NCAA PICKS FOR WED. 2/28
Good luck to all, I have my first Game of the Year tonight. I only do one for totals and sides in the XII and the Valley (total of 4) during the regular season. I also have the first round of the Valley already mapped out.
Anyways...look for my first Game of the Year tonight on Team FLA. Should be a sure fire winner. Just waiting to watch line movement.
GL boyz...slay em tonight.
posted by pc7588
11 replies
-
0 likes
Rough start to my week. Tonight I’m playing Dayton/Temple Over 147.5. Wasn’t sure which way this would move, so booked this morning.
7 of Temple’s L9 have gone over, and at home Over is 8-4. Over is 10-3 L13 overall for Dayton and away Over is 6-5. Flyers are w/o M. Scott, 3rd in scoring, rebounding at 10ppg and 4.4 rpg. Only sr on team missed all of last two. Still gonna go with the Over.
Owls L4 at home scored: 81 vs CHAR (72…+9), 98 vs UMass (69…+29), 109 vs SBU (81…+28) and 89 vs LAS (77…+12). Dayton (71ppg) gives up one less ppg than CHAR. Prior 3 A-10 home games scored 77 vs URI (74….+3), 85 vs STL (67…+18) and 67 vs SJU (67….E). Based on these #’s, Temple should hit at least Dayton’s avg of 71, and then some more. I’m hoping for low 80s.
Dayton playing Owls D that is 12th in ppg, giving up 79. In their L4 road games, Dayton has faced the D’s ranked 2, 3, 4, and 13, averaging 63ppg in those (those teams give up about 67ppg avg). Even w/o Scott, I think Flyers can hit 70+ vs this defense. Also in those 4, they basically gave up what opp averages (Temple scoring 82ppg). (L4 home haven’t been much better going against D’s #1, 4, 6, 7 who is GW, giving up 10ppg fewer than Temple, so L8 have only faced one D giving up 70+ ppg).
Other factors I like:
Both teams in top half of A-10 in FG% offense (Temple 3rd, 48.5%; Dayton 6th, 47.1%)
Both teams in bottom half of A-10 FG% defense (Temple 10th, 48.4%; Dayton 8th, 45.4%)
Game has top 3 scorers in A-10 games: 1. Tyndale (T) 21.6; 2. Roberts (D) 19.6; 3. Christmas (T) 19.4. And Salisbury (T) is 7th at 17.4.
Down the stretch, if fouling in close game, Roberts leads A-10 in FT% at 93%. Christmas is 6th at 84%.
GL.
A-10: 24-18-2
Other: 13-11-1
posted by teeks75
Feb. 28 2007 7:51am -
0 likes
Perfect night in college yesterday 3-0 will be back later with some more winners.
CBB YTD posted
21-9
posted by docvegas
Feb. 28 2007 12:24pm -
0 likes
i love goy's bro. it gets me all tingly inside. lol
posted by jtmoney16
Feb. 28 2007 12:26pm -
0 likes
Today I am going to hit theses three!
Texas A&M 2
South Carolina -1
Maryland 7
CBB ytd
21-9
posted by docvegas
Feb. 28 2007 12:41pm -
0 likes
I'm big on the GOY that's coming with team FLA..here's two more plays I'm rollin on tonight.
Big XII:
Roll with me on Texas/ T AandM under 66 1H. I know, I know, both teams score at will...but I'll take UT's recent 4-1 run on the under and A and M's lockdown defense for at least the first half.
Big XII:
roll with me on under 55 1/2 1H in Nebraska/Clones. Jesus, who's gonna score? Both teams have no offense.
All year we've been hittin 1H unders, and watching the 2H's blow up. I see the A and M game starting slow and building to a track meet in the 2nd. I think NU/ISU will stay under all night, but I'll play the 1H only.
Good luck boys, cross your fingers on the GOY..it's a balls play trend wise going against the trends of history in this matchup.
GL...I'm loooking forward to my biggest bet this year in college since SIU over Butler.
posted by pc7588
Feb. 28 2007 5:01pm -
0 likes
My Big East play for the day:
UConn/Nova over 129.5.
BE PLays now stand at 7-10-3. Won 3 in a row (Syracuse over Providence, Lville over Uconn, and Duke easily over SJU). Also played Syracuse against Gtown but did not post (not included in the record); Trying to heat up before the tourney.
GL to all
(out of conference, i like Iowa -3 against PSU. Iowa making a push)
posted by bdogg
Feb. 28 2007 6:11pm -
0 likes
I've really been looking hard at the Big East tourney and think the two coasts and the Valley have the best top to bottom tourneys. Pac 10 and Big East should both see some upsets from the quarterfinals on...
Anyways..here's my question....
Which team is this year's Cuse?
Could it be UCONN?
How bout Notre Dame?
If Pittsnogle comes back I'll take the Mountaineers.
I can't see Gtown winning 3 this year.
Pitt needs the rest for the Dance.
Cuse is cuse...I'll never count them out when they have a pale skinned whitey from New York shootin 3's. Davendorff and JMac are both on PC's all New York All ugly team.
Just wanted your thoughts, I'm going to bet props on the BEast and P10 tourneys...Joe weaver if your reading this..give me your take on Pitt please.
posted by pc7588
Feb. 28 2007 6:18pm -
0 likes
Also playing Providence -2 against S. Florida. Many other teams have gotten tripped up heading South, but PU needs the win bad.
Bought the hook.
PC, i'll post some thoughts later on...
posted by bdogg
Feb. 28 2007 6:22pm -
0 likes
2-2 last night
85-70 ytd
ACC=27-24
BigE=33-24
OOC=25-22
With ya on the UConn under BDogg. got it @ 129.
Was leaning on USF with the early line of 4.5 but won't take it here at 2.
also on DUke-6(-115)
and Indiana/NW under 119
GL Everybody
posted by astroman
Feb. 28 2007 6:44pm -
0 likes
astroman, i am on the over. i doubled up at the half (2H line was 69.5 to get to the original total of 129.5). looks like one of us will win.
posted by bdogg
Feb. 28 2007 8:23pm -
0 likes
Right on Bdogg, not sure how I spaced on that!! Nice hit w/ that one and the Friars. Solid run lately, thanks!
posted by astroman
Feb. 28 2007 9:14pm