NCAA picks for Wed. Feb 21'st
GLTA 2-1 ATS for me last night.
Mo valley: 52-21 ATS (Won Bradley over..>Team FLA, Won WSU over)
Big XII: 28-20-1 ATS (Lost on OU under)
Out of Conference 22-14 ATS
Big XII GOW: 3-2ATS
Mo Valley GOW: 7-0 ATS (Won on Bradley over)
Out of Conference GOW: 2-0 ATS
MO VALLEY GOM: 4-2 ATS
Big XII GOM:1-1 ATS
Out of Conference GOM: 1-0 ATS
Good luck everyone today.
posted by pc7588
19 replies
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0 likes
Congrats to all winners yesterday, I pretty much juiced out. MVC GOWs now 7-0, nice work PC.
I took the Under in Sunday’s game and the Duquesne Over gods punished me.
Charlotte/Duquesne Over 176
Charlotte scores pretty miserably on the road (63ppg overall), but they haven’t faced the bottom 4 D’s yet (H or A). On the road, they’ve faced #3, 4, 5, 7, 8, 9, D’s in A-10 ppg. #9 is URI giving up 72ppg in A-10, Charlotte scored 69 there this past weekend. #14 is Duq at 87.5 ppg, but 92.5 in new style or a 20-pt difference from the worst A-10 D 49ers have faced on the road. Worst A-10 ppg D Charlotte has faced at home is La Salle (76) and they scored 87 vs them. And vs the #1 and #2 D’s at home (giving up 63 and 65) Charlotte scored 72 and 70.
Charlotte and Duquesne 12th and 13th in FG % D (49.6% and 51.6%).
Charlotte does have the worst FG% in A-10 at 41%, but that’s because almost half their shots (44%) have been 3 point attempts, 104-292, 35.6% (2nd most made and attempted in A-10 behind Duq). Duq gives up A-10 worst 44% on 3’s (and amount, 114).
Duq at home in system:
93 vs Dayton (71ppg) +22
96 vs Temple (79ppg) +17
93 vs Xavier (67ppg) +26
87 vs URI (72ppg) +15
Average is 92ppg. Average over what opp gives up is 20 points.
Charlotte gives up 70ppg, add 20 to that and you get just about what Dukes have averaged at home.
Magic number for Duquesne is 90. Since the new style they are 5-0 when hitting 90+, and 0-4 when not hitting 90. I’m sure after three straight w/o 90 they’ll be pushing real hard to hit that number. Charlotte is 1-9 in road games (yes, of course the W was vs UR), so not a big shock if the Dukes win. And when they win, they hit 90+. I think Duquesne hits for 90+ and Charlotte should at a minimum be in the upper 80’s (was hoping total would be around 170, but will still play at 176).
Over is 7-2 in Duq 9 home games.
Over is 7-3 L10 overall for Charlotte.
Xavier –11
Big game for Xavier as they are still in at-large contention. Great oppt to knock-off 1st place team in A-10 (by half game) as they are extremely tough at Cintas Center. Last seven games overall they have been rolling people: UR 71-50, at GW 87-58, STL 76-57, CHA 91-57, at Duq 91-93, Dayton 83-67, at SBU 92-66. 9-2-1 ATS L12 home games.
URI has been biggest surprise in A-10 and are 6-5 ATS away from home. But look at their road scores, used non-conf games as that is where they faced better comp. First # is opp RPI then how much they lost by:
17 Kansas, -11
26 BC, -18
67 Providence, -29
97 Ohio, -28
They also lost at home to DePaul (56) by 8. Best teams in A-10 they faced on the road were STL (76) L by 4 and UMass (60) L by 22 (they did beat UMass at home by 3).
Xavier is 48 in the RPI, URI 102. In their L6, Xavier beat Dayton (75) by 16 at home, STL (76) by 19 at home and on the road GW (89) by 29. Earlier beat UMass at home by 6.
Based on these scores for URI and Xavier, playing at the Cintas Center, and that Xavier may want to make a statement here for the committee, I see them dropping the hammer on the Rams.
SBU +21
UMass needs some style points too for at-large hopes, but running it up vs 6-19 SBU won’t help get you in. UMass should hit around 90 vs the worst FG% D in A-10, but probably get bored. They give up 73. SBU is trying to hold on to the 12th spot so they can qualify for A-10 Tourn (not that they’re gonna win here, but some effort would be nice). SBU 6-2 ATS away, UMass 4-5 ATS at home. Favs by 15+, UMass 1-3 ATS; Dogs by 15+, SBU 2-0. Holding UMass to 90 or less would be nice. Over may be worth a look too.
GL.
A-10: 21-16-2
Other: 13-11-1
posted by teeks75
Feb. 21 2007 7:52am -
0 likes
Honestly PC ... You truly are the KING of the MO VALLEY! PERIOD!!!!! Nobody can touch you in the long run in the Mo Valley !!!!! Hands Down !!!!!
$$$
posted by dab2dap
Feb. 21 2007 10:20am -
0 likes
"daB2daP":11oagrof
Honestly PC ... You truly are the KING of the MO VALLEY! PERIOD!!!!! Nobody can touch you in the long run in the Mo Valley !!!!! Hands Down !!!!!
$$$
Amen. Thanks PC for the great picks brotha. KING OF THE VALLEY!!!
posted by hilly
Feb. 21 2007 11:17am -
0 likes
All I have to say is: I told you so! The Spartans pulled it off- just like I called! Thank Gog- that's gotta get us in the tourney!
Unfortunately, my two other plays shit the bed! Creighton and T. Tech didn't even show up! Especially T. Tech- what a joke of a game!
BBL with some plays!
Frosty
posted by frosty
Feb. 21 2007 11:48am -
0 likes
Good night last night, 4-0-1
ytd record
13-6
hit on
Mizzou
Michigan St
UNLV
Illinois St
pushed
Providence
posted by docvegas
Feb. 21 2007 12:21pm -
0 likes
Thanks for the kind words fellas.
Sorry for ultimate capper's post Vegas....my mistake for bringing him to GP....
Good luck fellas..hope all is well..Got one play tonight only and that will be on Team FLA>
Let's roll
posted by pc7588
Feb. 21 2007 12:29pm -
0 likes
Today I am going with these
Tennessee -5
Drake -5
Mississippi St. -6
Oklahoma St. 5
Miami 3
4-0 yesterday
13-6 ytd
posted by docvegas
Feb. 21 2007 12:56pm -
0 likes
PC, thanks for the Bradley over. Hit it for a couple of Hundred and parlayed it with my UNLV game.
yesterday
1-0
since re-posting
18-7
ytd on Got Picks
27-17
Today
V Tch -4 -128
Mia, Fla +3 -105
Miss -3 -108
Tenn -4 -128
Okl St +5 -116
glta
posted by bingcrosby
Feb. 21 2007 1:10pm -
0 likes
HIS LIFE IS IN GODS HANDS NOW, HE WILL BE DEALT HIS CARD..PEOPLE ARE JUDGED IN THIS WORLD ON CHARACTER, HOW THEY TREAT OTHER PEOPLE AND HOW THEY LIVE THEIR LIFE..PEOPLE MIGHT SEE A CRAZY, CONFIDENT, COCKY, SOMETIMES LOONEY MRLASVEGAS BUT LET ME JUST SAY IN PERSON IM VERY EASY TO GET ALONG WITH, LIKEABLE, AND I THINK COMICAL..IM NOT THE CRAZY GUY I BRING TO THE TABLE HERE I TONE IT DOWN IM A CARING, THOUGHTFUL GOODHEARTED PERSON. I GIVE TO CHARITY, I ALWAYS HOLD THE DOOR FOR PEOPLE. I CALL OLDER MEN SIR AND THEY TELL ME NOT TOO CUZ IT MAKES THEM FEEL OLD. I ALWAYS SAY PLEASE AND THANK YOU. I TREAT MY FAMILY AND FRIENDS ALWAYS WHETHER ITS DINNER OR DRINKS ON WEEKENDS. I CARE TOO MUCH HOW OTHER PEOPLE JUDGE AND LIKE ME THATS MY ONE DOWNSIDE. I GO OUT OF MY WAY TO TRY AND PLEASE PEOPLE AND SOMETIMES PEOPLE TAKE ADVANTAGE OF ME..ALL I KNOW IS IM HAPPY HOW IVE LIVED MY YOUNG SHORT LIFE SO FAR ONLY IN MID 20'S..I LOOK FORWARD TO BEING MARRIED IN THE NEXT 5 YEARS WITH KIDS AND I LOVE LIVING EACH DAY AND THANK GOD IM STILL ALIVE..MANY PEOPLE LIKE ANNA NICOLE, ETC LET DRUGS, AND OTHER FACTORS IN WHICH CAN BE A SHAME..SOME PEOPLE JUST HOLD DEEPROOTED ANGER FOR WHATEVER REASON..IT ALL COMES TO HOW WE WERE BROUGHT UP AND WHO WE BECOME WHICH DEFINES US...SORRY FOR THE BIG PEPTALK, ALL I KNOW IS THIS GUY HAS SOME DEEP ISSUES IN LIFE AND SOMETHING TRAMATIC HAPPENED TO HIM WHILE HE WAS YOUNGER OR RECENTLY WHICH MAKES HIM SUCH A MISERABLE BEING OF AN EXISTENCE. PC THIS GUY IS NOWHERE IN YOUR CLASS AND I WAS ABOUT TO PM YOU BUT READ YOUR POST HERE. THIS CLOWN IS THE REASON GOTPICKS NEEDS TO THINK ABOUT CHARGING A FEE TO REGISTER NAMES. NO NEED FOR YOU TO APOLOGIZE I WONT EVEN LOOK AT THE DAILYPICKS AND THATS WHY I DONT POST THERE ANYMORE BECAUSE OF SCUM LIKE HIM..WHO KNOWS WHAT HAPPENED IN HIS LIFE ITS PRETTY SAD BUT THIS GUY IS ONE DARK, DEPRESEED INDIVIDUAL WHO NEEDS TO SEEK SOME HELP. ANYWAYS BRO I LOVE OKLAHOMA ST+5 TONIGHT AND MY VEGAS CONTACT HAS YOUR MIAMI HEAT+2.5 & IOWA-2 CBB BUT HE IS COLD TREAD LIGHTLY...KEEP ON KEEPING ON AS THE KING OF THE MOVALLEY DROPPED A NICKEL ON EACH OF YOUR GAMES LAST NIGHT EASY $1000 CHA CHING..
posted by DeletedUser
Feb. 21 2007 1:27pm -
0 likes
Hey Vegas,
Good post. Glad you hit..you stole my thunder too..I'll post another but I agree with you..Okie STate is desperate and should win outright.
GL..I"m ridin ya on Okie State and like that game too.
posted by pc7588
Feb. 21 2007 1:34pm -
0 likes
Thats pretty good stuff there Vegas. I usually dont comment on things like that but some great points.
PC..keep doin what ya do.
Im making some coin here and there during what I call my "off season" with lots of peeps plays and a hand full of my own. This time of year I just don't have the time to cap the games I do with NCAA Foots(luv me some qtrs)
I think most in here are differernt in person and thats one of the reasons I made the effort to get out to Vegas this year. Finally be able to put a face with the name and have a few drinks together.
Anyways 2 games I am looking at and leaning towards:
UTEP -6
Houston -6.5
GL tonight guys
posted by mustand1z
Feb. 21 2007 1:40pm -
0 likes
"mrlasvegas69":2mlx5gzd
HIS LIFE IS IN GODS HANDS NOW, HE WILL BE DEALT HIS CARD..PEOPLE ARE JUDGED IN THIS WORLD ON CHARACTER, HOW THEY TREAT OTHER PEOPLE AND HOW THEY LIVE THEIR LIFE..PEOPLE MIGHT SEE A CRAZY, CONFIDENT, COCKY, SOMETIMES LOONEY MRLASVEGAS BUT LET ME JUST SAY IN PERSON IM VERY EASY TO GET ALONG WITH, LIKEABLE, AND I THINK COMICAL..IM NOT THE CRAZY GUY I BRING TO THE TABLE HERE I TONE IT DOWN IM A CARING, THOUGHTFUL GOODHEARTED PERSON. I GIVE TO CHARITY, I ALWAYS HOLD THE DOOR FOR PEOPLE. I CALL OLDER MEN SIR AND THEY TELL ME NOT TOO CUZ IT MAKES THEM FEEL OLD. I ALWAYS SAY PLEASE AND THANK YOU. I TREAT MY FAMILY AND FRIENDS ALWAYS WHETHER ITS DINNER OR DRINKS ON WEEKENDS. I CARE TOO MUCH HOW OTHER PEOPLE JUDGE AND LIKE ME THATS MY ONE DOWNSIDE. I GO OUT OF MY WAY TO TRY AND PLEASE PEOPLE AND SOMETIMES PEOPLE TAKE ADVANTAGE OF ME..ALL I KNOW IS IM HAPPY HOW IVE LIVED MY YOUNG SHORT LIFE SO FAR ONLY IN MID 20'S..I LOOK FORWARD TO BEING MARRIED IN THE NEXT 5 YEARS WITH KIDS AND I LOVE LIVING EACH DAY AND THANK GOD IM STILL ALIVE..MANY PEOPLE LIKE ANNA NICOLE, ETC LET DRUGS, AND OTHER FACTORS IN WHICH CAN BE A SHAME..SOME PEOPLE JUST HOLD DEEPROOTED ANGER FOR WHATEVER REASON..IT ALL COMES TO HOW WE WERE BROUGHT UP AND WHO WE BECOME WHICH DEFINES US...SORRY FOR THE BIG PEPTALK, ALL I KNOW IS THIS GUY HAS SOME DEEP ISSUES IN LIFE AND SOMETHING TRAMATIC HAPPENED TO HIM WHILE HE WAS YOUNGER OR RECENTLY WHICH MAKES HIM SUCH A MISERABLE BEING OF AN EXISTENCE. PC THIS GUY IS NOWHERE IN YOUR CLASS AND I WAS ABOUT TO PM YOU BUT READ YOUR POST HERE. THIS CLOWN IS THE REASON GOTPICKS NEEDS TO THINK ABOUT CHARGING A FEE TO REGISTER NAMES. NO NEED FOR YOU TO APOLOGIZE I WONT EVEN LOOK AT THE DAILYPICKS AND THATS WHY I DONT POST THERE ANYMORE BECAUSE OF SCUM LIKE HIM..WHO KNOWS WHAT HAPPENED IN HIS LIFE ITS PRETTY SAD BUT THIS GUY IS ONE DARK, DEPRESEED INDIVIDUAL WHO NEEDS TO SEEK SOME HELP. ANYWAYS BRO I LOVE OKLAHOMA ST+5 TONIGHT AND MY VEGAS CONTACT HAS YOUR MIAMI HEAT+2.5 & IOWA-2 CBB BUT HE IS COLD TREAD LIGHTLY...KEEP ON KEEPING ON AS THE KING OF THE MOVALLEY DROPPED A NICKEL ON EACH OF YOUR GAMES LAST NIGHT EASY $1000 CHA CHING..
Well said
posted by bingcrosby
Feb. 21 2007 1:41pm -
0 likes
I like your card today!
posted by docvegas
Feb. 21 2007 2:05pm -
0 likes
Well Said Vegas! Much Respect on that post.
GL All !!
posted by dab2dap
Feb. 21 2007 2:59pm -
0 likes
Lets take the Vols and their home performances, plus the nice revenge factor for them against the Tide who have owned their asses of late.
Take Tenn - 5
posted by towin
Feb. 21 2007 4:22pm -
0 likes
I'm honestly drooling over tonight's cards. If I was a junkie I would play 9 games tonight...but we're gonna focus on 3...2 on here and the best bet on TeamFLA......
Important factors in tonight's games:
The Illini..>Chief Illiniweki's last game ever as the "spiritual" leader of the Illini. He retires after this game...you laugh, but I'm serious when I say that place will be rockin tonight.
The Teeks factor...>Fellas...Teeks has been dead on with when to play on the over in Dusquene. I rarely ride plays and that trend was and is a cash cow. Check it out.
START THINKING ABOUT HOME COURT....this is the time of year when seniors are playing their last game at home...factor that in this Saturday's big showdown in the X between Ohio State and Wisconsin. But I'm serious when I say that a Senior laden team that has nothing to play for is good for 3 extra points ATS....anyways...this is huge this time of year. If any of you played hoops, think about your last game at home at the last level. It's a huge deal and we'll see a lot of that this week.
Anyways, on to my plays:
1.) Big XII: Roll with me on Nebraska/Baylor under 135. If any of you have seen the Huskers this year (God help you..sorry Kim but that team has no offense) you know they rarely get in a track meet. Tonight might be one of those nights but I think the Bears will be up for the task. Here's the numbers to support it:...
Baylor is an 4-0 ATS on the under in their last 4.
The Huskers are sportin a nasty 4-0-1 ATS on the under in their last 5 on the road.
The Huskers are 7-2-1 ATS on the under in their last 10.
My logic...the Huskers are hit or miss..but Doc has em playing defense. Yet, they have been offensively challenged and will have trouble tonight. In their last 8 games they broke 70 once and averaged 62.1pts a game.
I'm a little scared of this play so don't go big on it. But I'm still on it.
ROLL WITH ME ON UNDER 135
NOTE: Careful if your playing the bears. Nebraska is 2-3 SU in their last 5 on the road..note those losses were at Oklahome, Okie State and K'State with SU wins @ Mizzou and @ T Tech. They are not as bad as their offense would suggest. Just my luck they break out of it tonight and get in a track meet, but I can't see it.
Missouri Valley:
SIU - 8 1/2. Can you believe this is the least confident that I have been on this team in my recent run of winners in the valley? I'm scared of this line because it's gone down and I just don't see any way SIU doesn't win by double digits. Trend wise SIU owns them ATS in their building and overall. The only thing I can think is a backdoor as the Saluki's rest Tatum and Faulker and Indy state creeps in the single digits.
ROLL WITH ME ON SIU - 8 1/2.
Team FLA on the way to BP as we speak....
posted by pc7588
Feb. 21 2007 4:48pm -
0 likes
It looks as if everyone agrees that Okie St. is the play. Unfortunately, I agree and it's a PO (0-3 on College PO's). Let's hope it wins for all of us:
OKLAHOMA STATE +4.5 (PUNCHOUT)
Looked at several other games, and nothing I like. GL!
posted by jdelt88
Feb. 21 2007 5:09pm -
0 likes
0-2 last night - still had a + day thanks to GP
71-62 ytd - as the season goes on the juice adds up!
7-4 bb's
lots tonight:
GTown -10.5 - ats train rolls on!
Maryland -9 - ugly spot here for FSU
ST. John's +12.5 (bb)
VTEch -5
NC State +20 ( yes, even grandma is on this one!!)
GL ALL!!!!
posted by astroman
Feb. 21 2007 6:24pm -
0 likes
Okie State +4 1/2
posted by mj1430
Feb. 21 2007 6:59pm