NCAA Picks for Sat. Jan 13
Well, we hit with ease on Creighton. Nice call as well astroman. I had a huge night with money all over the Creighton game, Billz's HFA and BP's Manahattan hitten. And then TOD hopefully got some action on those late NBA plays we discussed in the chat last night. Anywho..let's roll..GL today.
ATS::
Mo valley:36-11ATS (Won on Creighton)
Big XII: 17-11 ATS
Out of Conference 12-7 ATS
MO Valley GOW: 4-0 ATS
Big XII GOW: 3-1ATS
Out of Conference GOW: 1-0 ATS
MO VALLEY GOM: 2-1 ATS
Big XII GOM: 0-1 ATS
Out of Conference GOM: 1-0 ATS
I'm going to IHOP for breakfast. The official breakfast provider of great handicappers all over the South. I'll shout at you boys in a few.
Thoughts...
Waiting for totals to go in play. A few of you know my big gun today. We're just waiting on the total to be posted.
Leans are 10-2 ATS..I won't count em on record because I personally believe you can't win long term playing 12-15 games a day...but I have about 4 leans and 2 plays today. GL boyz.
posted by pc7588
6 replies
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0 likes
I like a few games today, which usually isn’t a good sign for me.
Temple/UMass Over 143
This is far from the normal defensive team Temple is used to having giving up 70ppg. At Xavier they gave up 76 (73 ppg) and vs St Joe’s they gave up 80 (67 ppg). Vs those teams, ranked #3 and #1 in A-10 in ppg allowed, Temple managed 68 and 67 points.
UMass scored 79 at La Salle (70ppg) and 91 in their last game vs GW (62 ppg). Temple giving up 70 ppg this year. UMass leads A-10 in FG% and is averaging 79ppg at home.
This year, Over 5-2 in Temple’s road games and 4-1 in UMass’s home games. I think both teams hit 70+.
Northeastern +5
I didn’t book this yet, because I see some 5.5s and think it may hit 6. Huskies catch the Dutchmen in a tough spot here. Hofstra had a big road win on Thursday night in a grinding OT game at Drexel. Now they have to travel to Boston for a noon game today. NE is pathetic away from home (0-11), but 4-1 at home, including 8-2 ATS their last 10 games. If Hofstra didn’t have that big win and quick turnaround, I probably wouldn’t play, but I feel it’s a tough spot for them and I’m sure public will be all over them (12-4) seeing that win and NE’s overall record of 4-12.
URI/St. Joe’s Over 139.5
St. Joe’s has been lighting it up lately, in their last 3 scoring 89 vs Duquesne (14th in A-10, 78ppg), 75 at Charlotte (12-74), and 80 at Temple (9-70). URI is 13th in A-10 D giving up 77 ppg, including 84 ppg on the road. URI leads the A-10 in scoring at 76 ppg and is first in 3-pt FG % as they fire up a ton. St. Joe’s has given up 70 and 67 to teams in the middle of the conf in scoring. Only problem is at home they are giving up a ridiculous 46 ppg. Need URI to hit those 3’s, as the over is 11-3 their last 14 road games.
Tempted to take St. Joe’s as well as they are 3-0 ATS at home this year and 9-1 ATS L10 vs A-10. I’m thinking something like 80+ - 65.
W&M –3
Tribe having a solid season, including already winning CAA road games at GMU (by 4) and Georgia State (by 14). Plus they are coming off a tough loss and I’m sure won’t look past Delaware so they stay towards the top of the standings. Delaware is down to 8 players (1 is a walk-on) and are 0-4 ATS at home, while W&M is 3-0 ATS on the road.
St. Louis +6 (bought half)
Was leaning towards the Under, but I’ll play the Billikens. Not sure what’s happened to them last few games as they started A-10 season losing B2B games to SBU and Duquesne. Xavier played halfway across the country in NY on Thursday, when they hit a school record 15 3’s. I don’t think they’ll be able to rely so much on outside shooting, especially with a quick turnaround with travel vs the #1 team in A-10 in FG % D (39%). STL 7-2 SU at home, Xavier 1-2 SU in road games. STL won both match-ups last year (4 starters back).
Hawaii -2.5
Nevada played on the road two nights ago and had to go 12-19 on 3’s to beat 1-14 SJSU by 9. Now they travel over to Hawaii who is 8-1 at home (vs. Creighton, Nebraska, Fresno State). I had heard Fazekas was supposed to play tonight, would be nice if he didn’t.
GL.
A-10: 4-5-1
Other: 5-4
posted by teeks75
Jan. 13 2007 9:47am -
0 likes
Good Morning All!
Here are my two plays for today from the Big 10...
I looked at the 5 games that are on the slate for today and I think their are 2 plays that we can take advantage of (I placed both of these wagers last night with BetCRIS and I believe both of them have had some line movement):
1st game:
Penn State (+4 1/2) vs Indiana, 9:15am PST
Indiana ( 11-4, 7-5 ATS, 5-4 ATS@home, 2-1 ATS Away)
Indiana is 3-6 ATS last 9 games against Penn State
Penn State (10-5, 6-1 ATS, 4-0 ATS@home, 2-1 ATS Away)
I see a low scoring game (in the 60's) and it going down to the wire
2nd game:
Purdue (-3 1/2) vs Michigan, 5pm PST
Michigan (14-3, 6-7 ATS, 4-5 ATS@home, 2-2 ATS Away)
Purdue (12-5, 8-5 ATS, 7-1 ATS@home, 1-4 ATS Away)
Michigan is 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 road games and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games against Purdue.
Michigan is also 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games against Purdue.
While Purdue has been struggling as of late, I see home court advantage rattling the Wolverines in favor of the Boilermakers today
Good Luck with All of your plays...and a shout out to PC...you are on fire!
------------------------------------
Big 10 ATS Record: 3-1
posted by the_rookie10
Jan. 13 2007 10:34am -
0 likes
let's go to work....
Missouri Valley Game of the Month: Roll with me on Wichita State -11 1/2 @ home against Evansville.
Here's why we're gonna play the Shockers. After getting as high as #11 in the AP poll, the Shockers have fallen drastically. They now stand out of the top 25 and looking up to the big dogs of the Valley. Creighton and SIU are starting to seperate with a 2nd tier of Mo State, WSU, Bradley, and Indiana State all legit contenders. Evansville and Drake are still good upset plays but the Valley is starting to take shape.
I believe WSU is a top tier team and will start a Mo Valley run with a statement game today at home. I have another play on this game (which is listed under leans) but I really think we're gonna see WSU shoot lights out and dominate today. 11 is a lot of points for an Evansville team that can score..but Kyle Wilson and company will make a statement today and give us a win by 20+. Think of it this way..if a slumping Shockers team can take down Bradley by 19 at home..they should do much better against a lesser team.
ROLL WITH ME ON WICHITA STATE -11 1/2 @ home against Evansville
Big XII:
Remember my post last week that Colorado was garbage and Texas was up and coming..Well Texas won that game with ease. Now we have a better aggies team coming in with their patented defense. I'm going to stay away from the side (-15 1/2 and 92% on A and M) and roll with the total. Buffs will be befuddled by the defense of Gillespie and his #9 ranked Aggies. Also, the boys from Texas are gonna be a little rusty. Shouldn't break 132
ROLL WITH ME ON UNDER 141 1/2 in the XII on the Aggies under defense.
Mo valley:
Roll with me on SIU 1H -1. I'm not playing the under because something's fishy. Rockman be careful on this one as I know you love the SIU 1H unders as well. safer play is the side first half. SIU will give Mo State a serious case of carbondale monoxide (god that's bad) defense as the #2 ranked scoring defense in the country puts it to Ahearn and the sharpshooting bears. This is always a great game and I'm sure we're gonna see these two hook up in the semi's of the Mo Valley Post season tourney. However, in today's game (and the best one on the valley board) I see Mo state getting hounded defensively 1H and SIU opening up a big lead and then the bears charging in the 2H. I am playing SIU 1H and if they have a 8 or more point lead I'm going to roll Mo State 2H irregardless of the line.
ROLL WITH ME ON SIU 1H -1...
Leans (10-2 ATS YTD)
I like Gtown to get within the number or win SU @ Pitt..one of the few teams who can match up inside with Pitt...they play great D and are very similar to the Panthers. Gtown + 3 1/2...now up to 5
I like Wichita State and Evansville..edit to go over the 137 like they normally do.
I like Okie State to win SU @ nebraska +110 Don't let the Kansas game fool you..Okie State is good..KU played great.POSTPONED
I like K state to get within the 3 1/2 @ Mizzou.
Thanks as always for the props..glad I can help. Let's have a big day and Billz..throw me another HFA..they are like crack..and I've been addicted since 04!!!
I'm trying to get Como to throw out a frontrunner this weekend. Maybe we can talk the celebrity into throwin one down. I smell a huge weekend for GP...let's $$$ fellas.
posted by pc7588
Jan. 13 2007 10:46am -
0 likes
3 plays for today
Maryland -3.5
Okla St +1.5
Tenn +10
GLTA
posted by leshhead
Jan. 13 2007 11:05am -
0 likes
ANYONE SMELL THAT????
AHHHHHH, I LOVE THE SMELL OF MONEY$$$$
TELL COMO TO BRING THE NOISE!
PIMP
posted by bigpimpin409
Jan. 13 2007 11:25am -
0 likes
Great Day Yesterday
hit on CBB and went 3-1 NBA
also trailed Billz on the HFA and PC on the Creighton unders to make for a nice 7-1 day
thanks guys
5-3 ytd in CBB
lot of action today so I'm playing 1/2 unit each.
W.V/Marquette over 125 (booked this one and then it jumped to 127 after I dropped my $55)
Cuse under 143. Syracuse always seems to beat me when I'm on their games. Same w/ Brett Farve in the NFL (!!Please Retire!!) Anyone have that one team or player who seems to get ya every time.
G.Tech -7.5
Virgina +7(-115)
Kansas/Iowa State over133.5
UConn under 130
will also book V.Tech hopefully get a +5 on that one
Good Luck Everybody
posted by astroman
Jan. 13 2007 11:25am
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