I like a few games today, which usually isn’t a good sign for me.
Temple/UMass Over 143
This is far from the normal defensive team Temple is used to having giving up 70ppg. At Xavier they gave up 76 (73 ppg) and vs St Joe’s they gave up 80 (67 ppg). Vs those teams, ranked #3 and #1 in A-10 in ppg allowed, Temple managed 68 and 67 points.
UMass scored 79 at La Salle (70ppg) and 91 in their last game vs GW (62 ppg). Temple giving up 70 ppg this year. UMass leads A-10 in FG% and is averaging 79ppg at home.
This year, Over 5-2 in Temple’s road games and 4-1 in UMass’s home games. I think both teams hit 70+.
Northeastern +5
I didn’t book this yet, because I see some 5.5s and think it may hit 6. Huskies catch the Dutchmen in a tough spot here. Hofstra had a big road win on Thursday night in a grinding OT game at Drexel. Now they have to travel to Boston for a noon game today. NE is pathetic away from home (0-11), but 4-1 at home, including 8-2 ATS their last 10 games. If Hofstra didn’t have that big win and quick turnaround, I probably wouldn’t play, but I feel it’s a tough spot for them and I’m sure public will be all over them (12-4) seeing that win and NE’s overall record of 4-12.
URI/St. Joe’s Over 139.5
St. Joe’s has been lighting it up lately, in their last 3 scoring 89 vs Duquesne (14th in A-10, 78ppg), 75 at Charlotte (12-74), and 80 at Temple (9-70). URI is 13th in A-10 D giving up 77 ppg, including 84 ppg on the road. URI leads the A-10 in scoring at 76 ppg and is first in 3-pt FG % as they fire up a ton. St. Joe’s has given up 70 and 67 to teams in the middle of the conf in scoring. Only problem is at home they are giving up a ridiculous 46 ppg. Need URI to hit those 3’s, as the over is 11-3 their last 14 road games.
Tempted to take St. Joe’s as well as they are 3-0 ATS at home this year and 9-1 ATS L10 vs A-10. I’m thinking something like 80+ - 65.
W&M –3
Tribe having a solid season, including already winning CAA road games at GMU (by 4) and Georgia State (by 14). Plus they are coming off a tough loss and I’m sure won’t look past Delaware so they stay towards the top of the standings. Delaware is down to 8 players (1 is a walk-on) and are 0-4 ATS at home, while W&M is 3-0 ATS on the road.
St. Louis +6 (bought half)
Was leaning towards the Under, but I’ll play the Billikens. Not sure what’s happened to them last few games as they started A-10 season losing B2B games to SBU and Duquesne. Xavier played halfway across the country in NY on Thursday, when they hit a school record 15 3’s. I don’t think they’ll be able to rely so much on outside shooting, especially with a quick turnaround with travel vs the #1 team in A-10 in FG % D (39%). STL 7-2 SU at home, Xavier 1-2 SU in road games. STL won both match-ups last year (4 starters back).
Hawaii -2.5
Nevada played on the road two nights ago and had to go 12-19 on 3’s to beat 1-14 SJSU by 9. Now they travel over to Hawaii who is 8-1 at home (vs. Creighton, Nebraska, Fresno State). I had heard Fazekas was supposed to play tonight, would be nice if he didn’t.
GL.
A-10: 4-5-1
Other: 5-4
