1st, I lost last night with Wisconsin...congrats to the Buckeye backers....you could say they made a great comeback or that the Badgers collapsed at the end, but either way, it is a ATS loss in my book
On to my Wednesday Big 10/11 college basketball play...
I looked at the 3 games that are on the slate for tonight and they each have an angle that could be played, but I think my strongest play (and the one I'll post for the record) is:
Indiana vs Purdue, 4pm PST
Purdue (12-4, 8-4 ATS, 7-1 ATS @home, 1-3 ATS Away)
Indiana (10-4, 6-5 ATS, 4-4 ATS @home, 2-1 ATS Away)
Purdue is:
2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 road games
2-4 ATS in their last 6 games against Indiana
2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on the road against Indiana
Purdue's last 2 games:
1/6 64-60 win against Penn St at home
1/3 59-65 loss at Minnesota
Indiana last two games:
1/7 73-51 win against Michigan St
1/2 67-74 loss at Ohio State
While Purdue had some impressive early season victories at Oklahoma, home against DePaul and Missouri, they have progressively gotten worse over the last month.
In quite the opposite direction, Indiana has really started to click as a team and I expect them to continue tonight against Purdue.
The 17,456 fans at Assembly Hall in Bloomington, IN should help this team win by double digits...good luck to all!
In case you were wondering, the other plays that I was considering were:
Iowa (+9) at Illinois (I'll ride the dogs against Illinois until they can prove they can cover again...they are 2-7 ATS at home)
Northwestern/Michigan State Over 114 1/2 (I see this total in the 120's)
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Big 10 record 2-1