Wildcard Weekend
Saw the lines today and made one play:
Jets +8.5
Playing on the road in the playoffs vs NE isn’t something to look forward to, but I think this is too many points.
Jets are 6-2 SU and ATS on the road this year. NE is 3-5 ATS at home (5-3 SU). Teams split vs each other in regular season, each winning on the road.
Total currently at 37.5 at my book. 6 of NE’s 8 home games have gone under, Jets 4-4 O/U on the road. Jets scored 17 points both meetings, L 17-24 at home, W 17-14 on the road. So my line of thinking is if Jets can get 17, and game plays to the Under or right around the total, looking at something like 21-17.
With the other three games, a note on the totals. In games that opened at 46+ this season, Under has gone 21-9 (70%) vs the closing total.
GL.