Picks for Tue Apr. 27'th
GL all, I'm taking a few days off from serious capping to do some cobia fishing. I'll be in the chat and occasionally release a consensus play with axd and some baseball. Have a great day, mrlasvegas, if you could send me your email by PM I would appreciate it. I had some questions to ask you. I PM'd to you before, but will send you my email again today. Have a great week everyone, please send me a PM as well if anyone is interested in fantasy football. We will run multiple leagues. With your email, please send a realistic amount you want to pay for entry fees. We will set up leagues as cheap as $50.00 and as expensive as a $1000.00 per team if there is enough interest in high end. Right now, I'm looking at $50.00, $100.00, $200.00, $300.00...and a 1K for any heavy hitters that want to wager that much on fantasy. All monies go back to players, I'm just setting up the leagues. Have a great one. Let me get together with Ricky and we'll set up a fantasy link for football. Take care, Chris. AKA PC7588 AKA, the fantasy baseball champ!
posted by pc7588
12 replies
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0 likes
NY METS (7 - 12) at LOS ANGELES (12 - 6): Play On The Los Angeles Dodgers -122
/6star
(Dodger-Mets write up)
Hi
Zambrano was just terrible today. I am going to come back with Nomo Tuesday as you have already seen. The Mets have only scored over 3 runs once in the last 6 games. While Glavine has been the better overall pitcher this year (even though his record does not indicate it at 2-0 Road and 2-1 Overall with an ERA of 1.00) I just don't see him getting any run support. If Nomo gets in trouble the Dodger bullpen has been very good this year with a home ERA of 1.26. Dodgers average 4.4 run per game at home with an OBP of .357 while hitting .268. The Mets are 5-10 vs RHP and have only averaged 2.7 runs and a .211 batting average in those games. Their Overall road numbers are not much better either. I think Glavine will have to be almost perfect to win this game. If the Dodgers get to him early the Mets bullpen is also bad with an ERA of 6.00 on the road and 5.04 Overall.
Here are the key trends I am looking at as they relate to pitching and offense
NY METS are 0-6 (-7.0 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .275 or better this season.
The average score was NY METS 1.7, OPPONENT 4.5
NY METS are 1-6 (-5.8 Units) against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season.
The average score was NY METS 1.3, OPPONENT 3.7
GLAVINE is 0-6 (-6.5 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .275 or better over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GLAVINE 3.7, OPPONENT 6.5 -
LOS ANGELES is 5-1 (+5.2 Units) against the money line vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game this season.
The average score was LOS ANGELES 6.0, OPPONENT 4.8 -
NY METS are 13-33 (-21.0 Units) against the money line after 5 straight games where they had less than 10 hits over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NY METS 3.3, OPPONENT 4.7
NY METS are 18-39 (-23.2 Units) against the money line after scoring 3 runs or less 3 straight games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NY METS 3.4, OPPONENT 4.8
A couple systems as they relate to Tuesday's game
Play Against - All underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (NY METS) - poor NL offensive team (<=4.1 runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA<=3.33), with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start.
(42-10 over the last 5 seasons.) (80.8%,)
The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -150
The average score in these games was: Team 5.6, Opponent 3.8 (Average run differential = +1.
The situation's record this season is: (0-0, +0 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (40-7, +29.1 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (86-32, +35 units).
Play Against - Road underdogs with a money line of +100 to +150 (NY METS) - poor NL offensive team (<=4.1 runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA<=3.33), cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games.
(30-3 over the last 5 seasons.) (90.9%)
The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -138.3
The average score in these games was: Team 7.5, Opponent 4.2 (Average run differential = +3.3)
The situation's record this season is: (2-0, +2 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (22-2, +19.2 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (40-10, +25.4 units).
I would back Nomo up to about -135 in this one. I am looking for a good 6 inning outing from him and then the bullpen taking over.
posted by oompaloompa
April 27 2004 12:39pm -
0 likes
What I have for you guys today is...
NBA
Miami +3
Miami vs New Orleans UNDER 170
MLB
San Diego -145
San Diego UNDER 8
Philadelphia Phillies +127
Lets go out and make some money guys. $$$$
Yesterday WON on Dallas -3 1sthalf lost on the game.
Won the OVER 180 DET/MIL game...
Lets come out with a winner today.
-Trilogy
posted by trilogy251
April 27 2004 2:13pm -
0 likes
Baltimore -1.5 +179
Baltimore ML -108
Baltimore 1st 5 innings -0.5 +121
Baltimore 1st 5 innings ML -114
EASY MONEY!
posted by southernbird
April 27 2004 3:46pm -
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2 large plays
Seattle -104
montreal +135
posted by zachsdad3
April 27 2004 4:11pm -
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Consider under 9 Boston/Tampa Bay with Abbott and Wakefield pitching. A concern is the Tampa bullpen, but if Abbott does his job this should be a mute point.
Consider under 8 (minus 110) on the San Diego/Montreal game with Patterson and Valdez pitching. Playing in Petro Park makes this consideration more positive.
posted by nworlnsch
April 27 2004 4:25pm -
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OK 1-1 LAST NIGHT NOT GOOD BUT MONDAY IS BEHIND ME AND NOW I WILL WIN
HORNETS-2 SMALL
UNDER 170 MEDIUM
TWOLVES-4 LARGE
ANGELS-150 LARGE
BE BACK WITH A NICE 4 TEAMER LATER
GOODLUCK
posted by gtnp
April 27 2004 4:36pm -
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BEEN AWHILE SINCE I POSTED...HERE ARE MY PLAYS...
MIAMI +2.5
MIA/NO OVER 169.5
MINNY -3.5
NHL:
DETROIT -150
GL AND BET WISELY
posted by axd717
April 27 2004 6:18pm -
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FOUR PACK SPECIAL !!! HEAT +2 !! MINNY +4 !!! NHL: MONT. ML !! WINGS ML!! GOOD LUCK MY FRIENDS!!
posted by joeweaver
April 27 2004 6:24pm -
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THATS MINNY -4 IN ABOVE POST!!
posted by joeweaver
April 27 2004 6:26pm -
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miami +3**
minny -4***
need this after my weekend ass kicking! g l to all!
posted by dasdumm
April 27 2004 7:09pm -
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just got home from work...
phball101 plays today
NBA:
Miami +2
Mia/NO UNDER 170
Minnesota -4
GLTA!!!!!!!!!!!!!
posted by phball101
April 27 2004 7:36pm -
0 likes
MIAMI ML
MINN ML
MIAMI/NEW ORLEANS OVER 169
MINN/DENVER UNDER 188
GOODPICKINGS
posted by kalind
April 27 2004 7:44pm