NFL WEEK 13
Not For Long.....................NFL.................. 
posted by phantom
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THE GOLD SHEET
THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 30
*CINCINNATI 24 - Baltimore 17--Last stand for defending AFC North champ Cincy, three games behind Ravens with five to play (but only one game out of wildcard position). Defense and OL still shorthanded, but Bengals' balanced firepower (34 ppg last 3) must still be respected. Insiders say Baltimore's DBs attempt to gamble too often trying to force turnovers (Ravens lead NFL at +15). And Ravens only 4-12 vs. spread last 16 on the road. TV--NFL Network
(06-BALT. 26-Cincy 20...B.22-17 B.38/129 C.22/92 B.21/31/0/245 B.12/26/2/183 B.0 C.1)
(05-Cincy 21-BALT. 9...C.25-17 B.24/124 C.34/98 C.19/26/0/231 B.19/31/0/116 C.1 B.1)
(05-CINCY 42-Balt. 29...23-23 C.32/135 B.33/133 C.22/30/1/302 B.18/32/2/189 C.2 B.1)
(06-BALT. -3 26-20; 05-Cincy -3 21-9, CINCY -9' 42-29...SR: Baltimore 13-8)
SUNDAY, DECEMBER 3
CHICAGO 31 - Minnesota 10--First home game in four weeks for the Bears. Rex Grossman has thrown 11 of his 14 ints. on the road; just 3 at home (albeit in last home start vs. Miami). With its defense energized by the crowd, Chicago is 4-1 vs. the spread at home; avg. score 33-12. Yes, Vikes are No. 1 vs. the run, and they did have the Bears on the ropes in the fourth Q in Week Three in the Twin Cities, losing only 19-16. But the once-stubborn Vikes have yielded 24 ppg last three; no covers their last 5!.
(06-Chi. 19-MINN. 16...C.19-11 M.24/97 C.21/51 C.23/41/2/274 M.21/31/0/189 C.0 M.2)
(05-CHI. 28-Minn. 3...16-16 C.30/95 M.19/80 M.26/49/2/203 C.16/25/1/97 C.2 M.0)
(05-MINN. 34-Chi. 10...M.22-13 C.33/154 M.18/149 M.27/40/0/247 C.14/23/0/97 M.0 C.0)
(06-Chi. -3' 19-16; 05-CHICAGO -3 28-3, MINNESOTA -5 34-10...SR: Minnesota 48-41-2)
PITTSBURGH 26 - Tampa Bay 21--Steelers, rather amazingly, have gone "over" 14-0-1 their last 15 at Heinz Field! Must foresee a fired-up effort after HC Cowher used "pitiful" (among other words) to describe their poor performance week ago in Baltimore, where once-proud OL allowed team-record 9 sacks. Defense (check status of S Polamalu), however, down from LY, allowing opportunities for well-rested Bucs' inconsistent, but hard-trying, young offensive group, now led by Pittsburgh native QB Gradkowski.
(02-Pittsburgh +4' 17-7...SR: Pittsburgh 6-1)
ST. LOUIS 27 - Arizona 16--Cardinals 1-4 vs. spread on road TY (5-11 last 16). That lone road cover TY due in great part to two 99-yard returns (one kickoff, one fumble) last week at Minnesota. But even those returns and Matt Leinart's 405 YP weren't enough for victory. And Arizona has lost top pass rusher and team leader DE Bertrand Berry (team-best 6 sacks when injured). Big rush edge for Steven Jackson (906 YR) and Rams, who helped their OL situation last week by moving fading veteran Todd Steussie to LT and inserting rookie 7th-round pick Mark Setterstrom at LG.
(06-St. Lou. 16-ARIZ. 14...A.20-18 A.28/101 S.28/63 S.21/31/0/301 A.19/28/3/246 S.2 A.1)
(05-St. Lou. 17-ARIZ. 12...A.18-16 S.22/108 A.16/82 A.29/42/1/297 S.18/29/1/189 S.0 A.1)
(05-Ariz. 38-ST. LOU. 28...A.27-19 A.26/94 S.12/6 S.33/43/0/347 A.27/39/0/278 A.1 S.2)
(06-St. Louis +4' 16-14; 05-St. Louis +1 17-12, Arizona +9 38-28...SR: St. Louis 31-23-2)
TENNESSEE 27 - Indianapolis 24--Titans now 6-1 vs. spread last 7 games and brimming with confidence after last week's improbable comeback from 3-TD deficit vs. the Giants. And while purists still criticize Vince Young's semi-sidearm delivery, functionalists point out that the accompanying quick delivery (he hit 24 of 35 for 2 TDs vs. N.Y.) is making him more difficult to defend every game, especially considering his scrambling (69 YR last week). Vince & Co. nearly pulled upset at Indy in his second start Oct. 8. RB Henry up to 756 YR. Tennessee "over" 9-2 TY!
(06-INDY 14-Tenn. 13...I.20-15 T.31/214 I.34/154 I.20/31/1/166 T.10/21/1/63 I.1 T.0)
(05-Indy 31-TENN. 10...I.22-18 T.19/109 I.26/100 I.20/27/0/264 T.28/37/1/204 I.0 T.0)
(05-INDY 35-Tenn. 3...I.21-17 I.31/105 T.20/40 T.26/39/0/220 I.13/17/0/187 I.1 T.1)
(06-INDY -18 14-13; 05-Indy -7 31-10, INDY -15' 35-3...SR: Indianapolis 14-10)
MIAMI 20 - Jacksonville 13--Dolphins have used stingy defense, some timely runs by Ronnie Brown, and key throws by Joey Harrington (3 TDP in Detroit on Thanksgiving) to 4 straight wins and covers. Brown (783 YR) is now week-to-week due to a hand fracture (Sammy Morris an experienced backup). Still, Jags now just 1-4 SU away, and their defense was missing four starters (DE Hayward, MLB M. Peterson, S Darius, CB B. Williams) plus nickel-back Terry Cousin last week in Buffalo. One more win puts Miami at .500 and into playoff contention. (03-Miami -3' 24-10...SR: Jacksonville 2-1)
(2006 Preseason: Jacksonville +1' beat Miami 31-26 at Miami)
NEW ORLEANS 24 - San Francisco 23--Few concerns about the rebuilt, re-stocked, rejuvenated N.O. offense, with Drew Brees passing for 300+ yards five straight games. But Saints' (1-3 when favored TY) thin defense beginning to be pierced with regularity, as N.O. recently lost games vs. Pittsburgh & Cincy despite a Saints' total offensive output of 1012 yards! Thus, must consider points with ascending S.F., with four straight covers (3-1 SU), powered by irrepressible RB Gore (1177 YR; check reported leg "bruise").
(04-NEW ORLEANS -7' 30-27...SR: San Francisco 45-20-2)
WASHINGTON 24 - Atlanta 17--Pressure continuing to mount on Michael Vick, who gave the unhappy Atlanta crowd a double "single-digit salute" following Falcs 4th straight loss and his 9 of 24 passing performance (166 YR, however) vs. New Orleans. But Vick is hardly to blame for the injuries that have hit the Atlanta DL and DBs. Meanwhile, young QB Jason Campbell holding his own so far (1-1 SU, 1-0-1 vs. spread) as a starter for Washington, with Ladell Betts (104 YR last week) filling in admirably for Clinton Portis.
(03-Washington +3 33-31...SR: Washington 15-4-1)
CLEVELAND 19 - Kansas City 13--The rampaging Larry Johnson has 745 YR in just his last six games. But pointspread rising rapidly on this contest after last week's results. And Browns defense happy to face a ground-oriented team after seeing last week's fleet Cincy WRs. Expect calm HC Crennel to channel WR Braylon Edwards' antics last week into hard-nosed performance for young Browns this week. Cleveland "under" 17-6 last 23 at home; while defensively-improved K.C. "under" 3-0-1 last 4 overall TY.
(03-KANSAS CITY -9' 41-20...SR: Kansas City 9-8-2)
UNDER THE TOTAL NEW ENGLAND 24 - Detroit 6--For some reason, Tom Brady (20-1 SU) excels on artificial turf, which is not good for the Lions (0-5 vs. the spread on the road TY) now that the new surface at Gillette Stadium is FieldTurf. Pats able to subdue the powerful Bears last week despite 5 N.E. giveaways. Lions (11 ppg last 3) not nearly as scary as Chicago. Despite some injuries (check Junior Seau), Pats have held 6 of last 8 foes to 13 points or fewer, going "under" in 9 of 11 TY.
(02-New England -5' 20-12...SR: EVEN 4-4)
San Diego 23 - BUFFALO 22--It was only 41 years ago that young Pittsburgh LB Marty Schottenheimer began his NFL career in Buffalo. He will be glad to have his menacing OLB Shawne Merriman (8½ sacks; check status) back in action after the latter having completed his four-game NFL suspension. But Bills (5-2 as dog TY) fighting to even record at 6-6, RB McGahee (2 TDR last week) back in action, and improving young QB Losman (21 of 28 last week) has engineered late winning drives two straight games!
(05-S. DIEGO 48-Buf. 10...S.28-12 S.34/141 B.13/65 S.28/33/0/337 B.20/36/1/137 S.0 B.1)
(05-SAN DIEGO -11' 48-10...SR: San Diego 20-11-2)
NY Jets 24 - GREEN BAY 21--Packers only 8-14 vs. spread the last 2+ seasons at Lambeau Field (including 4-11-1 as a favorite). And Jets' rebuilding project appears to be ahead of G.B.'s at this stage of the season. Chad Pennington has excellent rapport with WRs Coles (68 recs.) & Cotchery (51), while defense (only 12 ppg last 3) adapting better to new HC Eric Mangini's new schemes. Packer defense a lowly 31st vs. the pass (prior to Monday nighter in Seattle). (02-NY JETS -1 42-17...SR: NY Jets 7-2)
NY GIANTS 23 - Dallas 21--Situation was depressing for N.Y. after Giants blew 21-0 point lead at Tennessee last week, leaving N.Y. fans and critics ranting. But it's the nature of the NFL for embattled teams to rally if they have any character and a modicum of talent. Such are the Giants, still fighting for first place in the NFC East, and loaded with skilled players on offense. Dallas (3 straight wins & covers) has young hero Romo (5 TDP vs. T.B.) rolling, but G-men not about to quit.
(06-Giants 36-DAL. 22...D.21-18 N.39/155 D.21/69 D.21/37/4/310 N.12/26/1/173 N.1 D.0)
(05-DAL. 16-Giants 13 (OT)...D.25-11 D.38/92 N.19/91 D.26/37/1/293 N.14/30/1/179 D.3 N.3)
(05-GIANTS 17-Dal. 10...N.17-16 N.34/127 D.27/81 N.12/31/2/150 D.15/39/2/125 N.0 D.2)
(06-Giants +3' 36-22; 05-DALLAS -3' 16-13 (OT), GIANTS -3 17-10...SR: Dallas 51-35-2)
Houston 17 - OAKLAND 16--Raiders' ranks getting thinner, with the loss of LT Robert Gallery & leading RB LaMont Jordan. Moreover, this is the first time Oakland (2-9) has been favored TY. Houston coach Gary Kubiak, as Mike Shanahan's right-hand man in Denver, is accustomed to success vs. the "Pride and Poise" boys. Despite last week's disappointment at NYJ, Texans (39 of 54 passing) showed they're not about to quit.
(04-HOUSTON +2' 30-17...SR: Houston 1-0)
*DENVER 23 - Seattle 20--After back-to-back losses, Mike Shanahan turning to promising rookie Jay Cutler vs. the non-dominating Seattle defense to see if the rookie QB can re-energize the Bronco offense. Plus, another week of rest should help the sore toes of top RB Tatum Bell (649 YR; out last two games). Normally not a fan of rookie QBs, but desperation effort and Seahawks' road record (0-7-1 vs. spread last
enough to take small (3 points max) risk. TV--NBC (02-Denver -5 31-9...SR: Denver 33-18)MONDAY, DECEMBER 4
*Carolina 24 - PHILADELPHIA 17--Panthers let their guard down again at Washington, as OL, DL (only 1 sack), RBs, and QB Delhomme (2 ints.) all underachieved. Don't expect the same this week vs. crippled Philly, which badly failed its first test without Donovan McNabb. Eagle defense (26th) has been fading vs. the run, which is just what the doctor ordered for Carolina and speedy rookie RB DeAngelo Williams, allowing WRs S. Smith & K. Johnson more freedom in secondary. CABLE TV--ESPN
(04-PHILADELPHIA -9' 30-8...SR: Philadelphia 3-2)
MONDAY NIGHT HISTORY
Carolina and Philadelphia on Monday Night
Carolina is 4-3 straight-up and 4-3 vs. the spread on the road on MNF;
10-5 straight-up and 10-4-1 vs. the spread at home on MNF.
Philadelphia is 14-10 straight-up and 15-9 vs. the spread at home on MNF;
9-10 straight-up and 11-8 vs. the spread on the road on MNF.
NFL KEY RELEASES
CHICAGO by 21 over Minnesota
TENNESSEE by 3 over Indianapolis
CLEVELAND by 6 over Kansas City
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
UNDER THE TOTAL in the Detroit-New England game
posted by phantom
Nov. 28 2006 3:37pm -
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Larry Ness Premium Subsc
League Date Selection # Matchup Selection Odds Result
nfl 2006-11-30 324107 Baltimore vs. Cincinnati Cincinnati -3.0 / -112.0 NA
Larry Ness\' NFL 20*
The Bengals led the Chargers 28-7 at the half in Week 10 and lost, 49-41. Left for dead, the Bengals have bounced back with wins over the Saints (31-16) and the Browns (30-0) these last two weeks. Now, on a short week, they host the red-hot Ravens, who have won five straight games (4-1 ATS). At 9-2, the Ravens own a commanding three-game lead in the AFC North with just five games remaining. With Billick taking over the play-calling, the Ravens have averaged 27.8 PPG (never less that than 24 in a game) and McNair has completed 68.6% of his passes with a 6-2 ratio (159 attempts). In comparison, he had seven INTs (just five TDs) in his previous six games (218 attempts). RB Lewis has yet to hit his previous form (66.8 YPG / 3.6 YPC) but Billick's run/pass balance has made the Ravens an efficient offense. It also helps when you have a great D that is second in sacks (39), No. 2 in takeaways (29) and first in TO margin (plus-15). As good as the Ravens are and as well as they are playing, the Bengals do catch them off a demolition of the hated Steelers. Baltimore had nine sacks LW and won 27-0. I believe the short week favors the home team. Cincy's Palmer is on a great three-game run (72.9% / 330 YPG / 9-2 ratio) with the team averaging 34 PPG. WR Chad Johnson has set an NFL 3-game record with 573 receiving yards (23.9 YPC / 5 TDs) and the much-maligned D held the NFL's No. 1 offense (Saints) to 16 points and shut out the Browns (four INTs), since the SD debacle! Like Lewis, RB Rudi Johnson is not having a vintage year but while he's averaged just 3.3 YPC on the road, he's averaging 4.6 YPC at home. LY, the Bengals led the NFL with 31 INTs and with a plus-24 TO ratio. LW's effort saw them get back to that form and with only Oakland up next, Cincy knows a win here would put them at 8-5 and SQUARELY back in the wild card hunt. Cincy's yet to have a great home performance in 2006. I'm calling for one tonight. NFL Thursday Night GOY 20* Cin Bengals.
posted by phantom
Nov. 30 2006 1:43pm -
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Dunkel Index - NFL
Thursday, November 30, 2006
Baltimore at Cincinnati
The Bengals looked like they were toast when they blew a 28-7 halftime lead to San Diego at home in Week 10. It was Cincinnati's third straight loss and fifth in six games, and looked to seal the Bengals' fate. But to coach Marvin Lewis' credit, he has kept the unit together and they proceeded to win back-to-back road games against New Orleans (31-16) and Cleveland (30-0) in convincing fashion. From the standpoint of the offense, the trio of QB Carson Palmer and WRs Chad Johnson and Chris Henry look to be clicking on all cylinders right now. But perhaps more importantly has been the play of the defense, which came into the Browns' game ranked last and pitched a shutout. The competition gets significantly tougher tonight against the Ravens, who have won five straight overall and four of five on the road. But those four road wins have come against Tampa Bay, Cleveland, New Orleans and Tennessee -- all rated lower than the Bengals. The only highly-rated team was Denver, which beat Baltimore by 10 (13-3). Given the Bengals newfound confidence, they look like a solid pick to cover the Vegas line (-3) according to Dunkel, which has Cincinnati favored by 5 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-3).
Game 101-102: Baltimore at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore 129.355; Cincinnati 134.827
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 5 1/2; 42 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 3; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-3); Over
posted by phantom
Nov. 30 2006 1:44pm -
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Gator's News and Notes...
Each week during the football season Gator publishes his top Trends and Angles for both the NFL and College games. Here is Part I of Gator's NFL Trend & Angle Report for Week 13
NFL Week 13 Trend & Angle Report Part I
RAVENS vs BENGALS
Cincinnati has played its way back into the playoff chase following impressive back-to-back wins over New Orleans and Cleveland on the road. However, the Bengals haven't had as much luck at Paul Brown Stadium, where they have lost three of their last four. Baltimore is chasing Indianapolis for the best record in the AFC. The Ravens have won five straight (4-1 ATS) overall and four of five away from home. Cincinnati has failed to get the green in 15 of its last 21 at home. The Bengals are 1-10 ATS at home when the total was between 42 1/2 and 49. Baltimore is 0-7 ATS on the highway after one or more straight spread wins. The Ravens are 13-8 against the Bengals, both SU and ATS. They whipped Cincinnati at home in the initial clash this season as three-point favorites, 26-20. The Bengals have zipped 'over' in 31 of 46 avenging a same season setback and they have topped the total in 23 of 33 avenging a road loss. Conversely, the Ravens have gone 'under' in 15 of 21 on the road and in 14 of 18 as underdogs.
posted by phantom
Nov. 30 2006 1:45pm -
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Newsletter plays for tonight..nfl
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GOLD SHEET
*CINCINNATI 24 - Baltimore 17--Last stand for defending AFC North champ Cincy, three games behind Ravens with five to play (but only one game out of wildcard position). Defense and OL still shorthanded, but Bengals' balanced firepower (34 ppg last 3) must still be respected. Insiders say Baltimore's DBs attempt to gamble too often trying to force turnovers (Ravens lead NFL at +15). And Ravens only 4-12 vs. spread last 16 on the road. TV--NFL Network
Marc Lawrence
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tTHURSDAY
CINCINNATI over Baltimore by 3
If the Ravens beat you in the fi rst game of a season series, your
chances aren't very good that you will beat them in the second.
Baltimore is 8-2 ATS against same season avengers and owns a huge
defensive edge here (98 YPG). Cincinnati has covered fi ve of the last
six in the series but fi ts right into the Baltimore revenge scheme
with just three covers in their last 13 home games with same season
revenge. Still, teams who beat the defending Super Bowl champs
tend to come fl at the next game.
posted by phantom
Nov. 30 2006 1:45pm -
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Newsletters For Tonight College
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GOLD SHEET
THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 30
MAC CHAMPIONSHIP
(at Ford Field - Detroit, Michigan)
*Central Michigan 31 - Ohio 23--Very much respect job Frank Solich has done in reconstructing an Ohio U. program that was 11-35 SU in the 4 years preceding his hiring. Now, vet defense ranks 22nd, and Bobcats boast one of the hottest RBs around (Kalvin McRae 128 ypg rushing, 11 TDs last 7 games). Sr. QB Everson was injured and didn't play in the finale vs. rival Miami-O., giving way to jr. Brad Bower (Illinois transfer), who did a good job running Solich's misdirection attack. However, prefer more balanced CMU in this match on the fast indoor artificial track at Ford Field. Chippewa RS frosh QB LeFevour has thrown for 248 ypg with 18 TDs and just 5 ints. in his last 8 games. Five CMU receivers have 29 or more catches and 4 or more scores. The shifty LeFevour has run for 47 ypg and scored 4 rush TDs in last 6 games, while true frosh RB Archer has 5 rush TDs in his last 3 games. Chippewa star DE Bazuin (hampered by injuries and constant double-teaming) has 8 sacks and leads a defense that yielded just 3.7 ypc (3.5 discounting Michigan game). MAC title games have been high-scoring affairs, averaging 74 ppg last 5, with 4 of those "over" the total. CABLE TV--ESPN
Marc Lawrence
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Thursday, November 30th
Mac Championship
C Michigan over Ohio by 6
Despite its recent surge, mostly behind a strong running game, Ohio
still gains just 285 YPG on the season, thus their 104th ranking. It's
the defense (21st ranked) that has been the catalyst. The key here is
Central's ability to stop the run. If the Bobbies have to rely on their
114th-ranked pass offense, they will be in trouble. Brian Kelly is a
master at winning championships (two Division II titles). While we're
not fond of laying points to a better defense, the Chippewas' 7-1
SUATS mark against the MAC this year is appealing. With Iowa State in
hot pursuit of Kelly, look for the Chips to play hard for him today.
Marc Lawrence’s
posted by phantom
Nov. 30 2006 1:45pm -
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Sports Reporters
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2
THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 30
*CINCINNATI over BALTIMORE by 7
Both sides are off short weeks and big shutout wins, but the situation bodes a slightly worse
for the Ravens since they must travel to face a revenge-seeking team that is also gunning
for them in the divisional standings. In Week 9, the Ravens transformed a fumble and an
interception into 14 first-quarter points (on 34 yards gained) allowing them to play conservatively
for the rest of the day en route to the win. They will have to take more chances playing
on the road assuming that Carson Palmer is too good to make the same mistakes twice.
This game is do-or-die for the Bengals, since they can’t afford any more losses right now,
and they took personal responsibility for their poor play in the first meeting, so Marvin Lewis
won’t have to do much motivating against his former team. Cincinnati’s offense often scores
quick strikes, which has left them 30th in the league in time of possession. If the Bengals
win the possession battle we are confident that they will put points on the board against a
strong defensive unit, albeit one that Starvin’ Marvin has good knowledge of its key players.
A mixture of emotion, knowledge, and strategy of keeping Steve McNair off the field should
translate into a Bengals victory. CINCINNATI 20-13
posted by phantom
Nov. 30 2006 1:46pm -
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SS forecast
NFL Computer Predictions
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Thursday, November 30, 2006
Baltimore Ravens (+2½) at Cincinnati Bengals
Power Rating Projection:
Baltimore Ravens 24 Cincinnati Bengals 23
Statistical Projections
Baltimore Ravens 22
Rushing Yards: 98
Passing Yards: 240
Turnovers: 2 Cincinnati Bengals 17
Rushing Yards: 81
Passing Yards: 258
Turnovers: 2
** Statistical edge to Baltimore Ravens
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Baltimore Ravens 31 Cincinnati Bengals 28
posted by phantom
Nov. 30 2006 1:46pm -
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rockys Over/unders
California Under 46
Ucla Over 47
Air Force Over 50
San Jose State Under 50
Arkansas Under 44
St Louis Over 46
Cleveland Over 38
New England Under 41.5
Ny Giants Under 43.5
Denver Over 40
posted by phantom
Nov. 30 2006 1:52pm -
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VEGAS EXPERTS
Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals
Thursday, November 30th, 8:00 PM EST
Cincinnati has gone over in 4-of-5 at home, scoring 26.4 pts/game and allowing 29.4. It is 23-10 OVER in home games revenging a road loss against opponent since 1992, 18-7 OVER in home games after having won 2 out of their last 3 games since 1992 and 16-5 OVER vs. very good defensive teams who give up 14 or less points/game since 1992. In addition, supporting angle says to Play Over - Any team against the total (BALTIMORE) - after a win by 21 or more points against opponent after a win by 28 or more points. (135-76 over the last 10 seasons, 64%).
Play on: Over
posted by phantom
Nov. 30 2006 1:54pm -
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Rockys Newsletter
Perfect System Play......ucla
Guaranteed Best Bet......houston University
Systems Play Of The Week....west Virginia
Game Of The Week.......da Bears
posted by phantom
Nov. 30 2006 1:55pm -
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Winning Points close calls & Trends
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3
CLOSE CALLS
*Chicago over Minnesota by 6
Even though the Bears have defeated the Vikings at home by an average of
17.5 points the past two years, this game could be much closer. No team
has been able to run on the Vikings, who lead the NFL by a wide margin in
rush defense. No ground game puts a lot of pressure on Rex Grossman.The
Bears haven’t exactly been careful with the ball, turning it over 24 times.
Without strong safety Mike Brown, Chicago also has surrendered at least
100 yards on the ground four of the last five weeks.That could mean another
good game for Chester Taylor. The problem backing Minnesota is how
many points can ancient Brad Johnson put up against a Chicago defense
that has allowed 10 or fewer points 15 of their last 26? CHICAGO 20-14.
*Pittsburgh over Tampa Bay by 11
With key assistants having departed, an aged defense and line injuries, the
Buccaneers are incapable of containing a good offense.The question here
is just how good is Pittsburgh’s offense? The Steelers have committed an
NFL-high 30 giveaways resulting in a minus-12 turnover ratio. To beat
Pittsburgh, you need to either force turnovers or make big pass plays, especially
with Troy Polamalu hurting his knee last week.Tampa Bay can do neither.
Any decent team can pound the Bucs.The problem with the Steelers
is and they keep turning the ball over. PITTSBURGH 24-13.
*St. Louis over Arizona by 4
St. Louis may have the weakest run defense in the NFL. Unfortunately for
the Cardinals, they have the NFL’s lowest-rated rushing offense.Maybe this
is the week, though,Edgerrin James averages more than three yards a carry.
We know about the Cards’ road woes – losers of 31 of their past 34 away
games. On the other hand,we can’t recommend laying big points with the
Rams, losers of five of their past six. The Rams’ most lopsided win is by
eight points.They’ve had narrow victories against the Cardinals and three
other below .500 clubs – Lions, Packers and 49ers. ST. LOUIS 24-20.
Indianapolis over *Tennessee by 6
Break up the Titans.Tennessee has covered six of its last seven.This streak
started when the Titans nearly upset the Colts in Indy losing by one point.
Shame on the Colts if they take the Titans for granted this time around.The
Titans were the best rushing team in the NFL from Weeks 5-11 averaging
166.2 yards.The Colts rank among the worst at stopping the run. At least
10 opponents have rushed for 100 yards against the Colts. Vince Young
played his best pro game last week in a confidence-building win against the
Giants coming back from a three-touchdown deficit.This week, however,
Young is opposite the good Manning and on carpet inside a loud dome.
INDIANAPOLIS 27-21.
NFL (CONTINUED) NFL (CONTINUED)
*Miami over Jacksonville by 3
Miami has won four in a row and Joey Harrington is playing well.We’re not
sure which is more surprising. We still don’t think Harrington is good
enough to take advantage of a Jacksonville secondary missing Donovin
Darius, their best safety and leader of the secondary.The Jaguars are one of
those with a strong home/road dichotomy.They are 5-1 at home, but 1-4 on
the road. Along with this inconsistency is internal strife and rumors of
Coach Jack Del Rio possibly being fired after the season.The Dolphins get
extra time to prepare, but will be without their best running back, Ronnie
Brown (broken hand). MIAMI 20-17.
*New Orleans over San Francisco by 10
It’s hard to go against the Saints and Drew Brees at the Superdome with a
49ers squad that is 1-4 on the road. Brees has five straight 300-yard passing
games. He could be in line for another, especially if star rookie wide receiver
Marques Colston (check status) has recovered from an ankle injury. San
Francisco is a grass team playing on the road for the third time in four
weeks. The 49ers should get their points, though, against a New Orleans
defense allowing an average of 34.6 points during its past three losses.
Frank Gore has four 100-yard rushing performances his last five games.
NEW ORLEANS 36-26.
Atlanta over *Washington by 2
Atlanta’s passing game is a mess with Michael Vick completing just 53-of-
117 for 571 yards his last four games. Morale isn’t real good either for the
Falcons, who are under .500 for the first time under Jim Mora Jr. during his
three seasons. It’s a grass field here, too, for the Falcons, which could slow
Vick and Warrick Dunn. The Redskins have won their last five December
games, but hardly command confidence. Their win last week against
Carolina was just the Redskins’ second in seven games with the other coming
on the final play against Dallas.ATLANTA 14-12.
Kansas City over *Cleveland by 5
The Chiefs are riding a lot of momentum winning seven of their last nine.
Trent Green still may be a little rusty. It shouldn’t matter the way Larry
Johnson is toting the ball. He’s rushed for 311 yards the past two games.
The Chiefs held the Broncos to just 38 yards rushing. Not a good sign for
the Browns, one of the three worst running teams in the NFL. Cleveland
hasn’t been very good at home either, dropping five of six.With internal
strife and bickering, Browns Coach Romeo Crennel may be in danger of losing
his team. So this becomes an important game for the Browns. The
Chiefs aren’t good enough to overlook the Browns. KANSAS CITY 14-9.
*New England over Detroit by 14
All NFL teams have flaws.The Lions’ flaws are just a little more noticeable:
They can’t run the ball (especially with Kevin Jones questionable with an
ankle injury), protect the quarterback or stop the run.They aren’t real good
against the pass either. It’s time for Matt Millen to hold a “Fire Millenâ€
posted by phantom
Nov. 30 2006 1:58pm -
0 likes
Winning Points best bets and preferred nfl plays
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
****BEST BET
Dallas over *New York Giants by 21
Tony Romo for president. He probably could win if you just poll Cowboys
fans.The guy is 4-1 as a starter. He’d be 5-0 if Mike Vanderjagt didn’t blow a
game-winning field goal attempt against the Redskins, which ended up
costing Dallas a victory. This is a matchup of two teams headed now in
completely different directions since they last met. The Cowboys are off
their two finest games, beating the previously unbeaten Colts and
Buccaneers. The Giants, on the other hand, have dropped three straight.
Physically they are a mess with front seven on defense unable to protect a
vulnerable secondary. On offense, they’ve lost their explosiveness. Out for
the season is their left tackle, Luke Petitgout, and No. 2 wideout, Amani
Toomer. The Cowboys defense hasn’t allowed more than two touchdowns
the last three games. Not sure if it’s a loss of confidence, but Eli Manning
isn’t playing well either. Now you have to worry, too, about the Giants’
mental state.A brutal schedule, inordinate amount of injuries to key starters
and blowing a 21-point lead to the lowly Titans has to rock the Giants’ psyche.
Even before the devastating defeat to the Titans,Tiki Barber and Jeremy
Shockey were questioning coaching decisions. Taskmaster Tom Coughlin
could be losing his team.When control goes, it goes fast. It seems like a century,
rather than just six weeks ago, when the Giants defeated the
Cowboys, 36-22, on Monday night. Ironically that defeat put Romo in the
lineup, replacing an ineffective Drew Bledsoe. So Romo has seen the
Giants. Not only do the Cowboys have a strong revenge motive, but four
extra days to prepare having previously played on Thanksgiving.That matters
when Bill Parcells is the coach. Expect a solid game plan. Don’t expect
the Cowboys to show any mercy. DALLAS 34-13.
***BEST BET
*Buffalo over San Diego by 10
If you can get past J.P. Losman, and he really hasn’t played bad the last two
games, you’ll see this is a great situational spot for the Bills. Not only are the
Chargers traveling cross-country, but it’s an early start for them with a
scheduled 10 a.m.West Coast kickoff time. It’s also the third road game in
four weeks for San Diego. If this isn’t enough, it’s a sandwich spot for the
Chargers off two division games and with home games on tap the next two
weeks against their major division rivals, Denver and Kansas City. The
Chargers just could get caught peeking ahead. Certainly it’s conceivable
that the Chargers’ focus and concentration could be down a level. Don’t
just think LaDainian Tomlinson. Sure he’s a monster. The guy’s scored 21
touchdowns his last seven games. But there’s more to San Diego than
Tomlinson.The Chargers’ passing game, missing Keenan McCardell (check
status), hasn’t been anything special the last couple of weeks and their
defense had a miserable November.They’ve allowed 161 points their last
six games, an average of 26.8 points a game.True, Buffalo doesn’t have San
Diego’s talent. But the Bills are feisty, well-coached and no club has better
overall special teams. Since their bye when Coach Dick Jauron reshuffled
the offensive line, the Bills have won three of four.Willis McGahee returned
last week to score two touchdowns after missing the previous two weeks
with broken ribs. He gives the Bills a legitimate lead runner. Lee Evans
remains a dangerous deep threat. He can burn a mediocre Chargers secondary
that is vulnerable without a strong pass rush. Note, too, Buffalo has
played seven ‘unders’ this season. High-scoring games are a rarity with the
Bills. Buffalo has allowed an average of 18 points per game the past four
contests.This has upset written all over it. BUFFALO 27-17.
**PREFERRED
*Cincinnati over Baltimore by 11 (Thursday)
Yes, it’s tough stepping in against a hot Baltimore club that has won five in
a row. But because of their hot streak, the Ravens have a nice three-game
cushion in the AFC North. This is a must-win spot for the Bengals, who
thought they were the better team when they lost, 26-20, to the Ravens in
Week 9.The Bengals had three turnovers in that loss, while the Ravens did
not turn the ball over.As good as the Ravens have been playing they hadn’t
really turned in a complete performance until shutting out the Steelers last
week.That came at home. Baltimore’s defense isn’t so intimidating on the
road.The Ravens have failed to cover 12 of their last 16 away contests.A
major part of Baltimore’s success is a plus 15 turnover ratio, best in the
NFL. Don’t look for the Ravens to be so fortunate on the road. Chad
Johnson has 573 receiving yards the past three games. Carson Palmer hasn’t
been too shabby either. He’s thrown for 990 yards and nine touchdowns
the last three games.That’s a nifty per game average of 330 yards and three
touchdown passes.There’s a good possibility the Bengals get back injured
starting center, Rich Braham, and offensive left tackle, Levi Jones. The
Bengals have been forced to use seven different combinations at linebacker.
But their defense is playing better and should be sky-high playing
Thursday night game at home. CINCINNATI 27-16.
*Denver over Seattle by 14
We see a weak schedule and traveling following a Monday night game
catching up to the Seahawks. Seattle entered Monday’s matchup against
Green Bay 14-1 at home, but just 7-7 on the road. Returning from a broken
foot, Shaun Alexander hasn’t looked like last year’s MVP winner. Seattle is
going to encounter an angry Broncos squad that has had amble preparation
time having last played on Thanksgiving. Denver surrendered an average of
34.6 points to the Colts and Chargers, but just 12 points a game against the
rest of their competition. Rookie Jay Cutler is expected to make his NFL
debut. He can’t be worse than Jake Plummer, who ranked 29th in passing
following the Thanksgiving games. It’s obvious the Broncos need a jolt having
lost consecutive games for the first time in two years.You’d have to go
back to 2003 to find the last time Denver dropped three in a row.With
Javon Walker boosting the wide receiving corps, the Broncos should be
doing better than only breaking the 18-point barrier three times in 11
games. Cutler should provide a spark. He has a stronger arm than Plummer.
This should enable him to find Walker, a premier deep threat.Walker has
averaged just four receptions for 61.7 yards the past three games. The
Broncos’ ground game may pick up, too, with Tatum Bell getting four extra
days to recover from turf toe. DENVER 27-13.
__________________
posted by phantom
Nov. 30 2006 1:58pm -
0 likes
Sports Reporters
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2
THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 30
*CINCINNATI over BALTIMORE by 7
Both sides are off short weeks and big shutout wins, but the situation bodes a slightly worse
for the Ravens since they must travel to face a revenge-seeking team that is also gunning
for them in the divisional standings. In Week 9, the Ravens transformed a fumble and an
interception into 14 first-quarter points (on 34 yards gained) allowing them to play conservatively
for the rest of the day en route to the win. They will have to take more chances playing
on the road assuming that Carson Palmer is too good to make the same mistakes twice.
This game is do-or-die for the Bengals, since they can’t afford any more losses right now,
and they took personal responsibility for their poor play in the first meeting, so Marvin Lewis
won’t have to do much motivating against his former team. Cincinnati’s offense often scores
quick strikes, which has left them 30th in the league in time of possession. If the Bengals
win the possession battle we are confident that they will put points on the board against a
strong defensive unit, albeit one that Starvin’ Marvin has good knowledge of its key players.
A mixture of emotion, knowledge, and strategy of keeping Steve McNair off the field should
translate into a Bengals victory. CINCINNATI 20-13.
SUNDAY, DECEMBER 3
RECOMMENDED
CHICAGO* over MINNESOTA by 18
The “Don’t Pass Lineâ€
posted by phantom
Nov. 30 2006 2:05pm -
0 likes
Kevin o.neill & friends (the Max)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Thursday, November 30, 2006
Ravenous Defense
Ravens (+3) @Bengals
Ravens look suspiciously like their Super Bowl
winning team of a half-decade ago. Their
defense has held 8 of 11 opponents to 288
yards of total offense or less. Meanwhile,
seasonal averages are meaningless when
judging the Baltimore offense, as they are a
completely different team since Brian Billick
took over the offensive coordinator duties.
Ravens outgained Cincy by 100 yards a few
weeks back. Other than playing a very weak
Browns offense, we’ve seen nothing to indicate
that they are any better right now defensively.
In fact, that shut out win propelled them from
#32 in the NFL all the way up to #31. They are
still a very poor defensive team despite the
momentum gained from the shutout win.
So you’ve got the second best defense
statistically with a rejuvenated offense taking
on the second-worst defense in the league.
Carson Palmer has looked gun shy at times this
season and the Ravens are certainly more than
capable of getting to him with some serious
pressure. Certainly there is some technical
handicapping that indicates that a short home
favorite off a shutout win would be a good play
(maybe that’s the reason the entire world was
on the Patriots on Sunday). But Billick seems to
know how to get a team cranked up for a
stretch run when times are good, and we don’t
foresee a letdown by Baltimore.
These Thursday night games may prove to be
tough for the road team but Baltimore seems
to be handling things well, giving the players
all Monday and Tuesday morning off before
having them in on Tuesday afternoon to watch
film and install the game plan. They should be
fresh and prepared, and this flighty Bengal
bunch may be primed for a letdown in what
would be a momentum spot for other clubs.
We’ll take the points here with the better team.
Ravens by 3.
Sunday, December 3rd, 2006
49ers (+7) over @Saints
Saints are the best story in the NFL this season
hands down, while the 49ers are turning into a
terrific tale on their own. Entering the month
of November the Niners had allowed 4 of their
previous 5 opponents to go for 38 points or
more. The changes in personnel and attitude
that we detailed in this space last week
completely turned things around, as in the
month of November the Saints allowed their 4
opponents only 12.5 points per game. One
thing about Mike Nolan that has bothered us is
choosing to go for field goals on 4th and inches
situations each of the past 2 weeks, and it is
something that may have cost the Niners the
game last week, but generally there is a very
positive progression here.
Saints offense has been spectacular, of course,
but the defense leaves a lot to be desired, as
they’re getting lit up on a weekly basis, with
the exception of slowing down a Falcons
offense that has a passing attack suitable of a
mid-70’s Southwestern Conference wishbone
club yet still would have put some points on
the board had they not shot itself in the foot
time after time on Sunday. New Orleans
allowed 3 of their 4 opponents before Atlanta
to go for 31 points or more. 49ers outright loss
at the Rams helps to keep them out of the
spotlight, which gives us a chance to take them
with more points than they should get in this
one. Saints by only 1.
Buffaloing the Bolts
@Bills (+6) over Chargers
Early in the season, the Chargers appeared to
have a crackerjack defense permitting their
first five opponents to gain only 218 yards per
game on average. But it turns out that they
faced teams with poor offenses that were
playing badly at that time. Add in some injuries
and personnel issues and San Diego has given
up an average of 362 yards per game in their
next six contests. Now they’re being asked to
lay points on the road in Buffalo in December
at 10AM on their body clock.
Despite their defensive weaknesses the
Lightning Bolts are still firmly in control in their
division and this is far from a must win game
for them. Bills, on the other hand, need this
game desperately if they wish to remain in the
conversation. This scrappy team outplays their
stats with great frequency and with the bad
situation for San Diego they should do so again
today. Bills by 1.
Houston, We Have A Problem
@Raiders (-3) over Texans
As an offensive coordinator with Denver Gary
Kubiak had the number of Erik Mangini when
the latter was a defensive coordinator and
assistant with the Patriots, but that wasn’t the
case on Sunday. Texans admitted to a lack of
urgency and effort in a winnable game against
the middling Jets. They allowed Chad
Pennington to have his first 200-yard passing
game in 7 games and had only 169 yards of
total offense with 8:05 to go before nearly
doubling that with phony yards in garbage
time. One legit stat for Houston was their 25
yards of rushing offense, which was just
dreadful. The Raiders were left for dead early
in the campaign but have now covered 6 of their last
7. Never thought this would be said, but the
Raiders have a better locker room environment than
the Texans right now. Raiders by 10.
Dave Fobare’s NFL Tech Play of the Week
Vikings (+10) over @Bears
Some how the Bears managed to stay with the
Patriots last week, losing by just four points, despite
another poor performance from QB Rex Grossman.
Last weekend Grossman completed just 15 of 34
pass attempts while throwing three interceptions. He
can look great and poised in some games, but also
can look like he's making his first start in others.
According to one noted fantasy stats guru,
Grossman has thrown more "near interceptions" - 25
- than any other QB in the NFL this season. The
Bears' braintrust are working him more out of the
shotgun to give him more room to throw, and are
trying to move him around the pocket to find
acceptable throwing lanes. When that happens, he
can make the necessary throws. He is also very calm
under pressure. When the Bears play great defense
and also run the ball like they did last week against
the Jets, they only need Grossman to manage the
game and he can do that well down the stretch. But
when he is forced to win games with his arm, the
Bears could have some trouble.
As mentioned, the Bears managed to stay close to
New England last week with a surprisingly robust
rushing game. It’s unlikely they will have such
success this Sunday. The Viking's rush defense is
the best in the NFL, limiting opposing runners to just
2.7 yards per rush. Last week Arizona all but
abandoned the running game entirely, attempting a
measly six carries all game long despite actually
leading for the bulk of the first half. The Vikings
dominance in this area triggers a 57-33 ATS rushing
matchup system that is 3-1 so far this season.
The inability of the Bears to take advantage of the
five turnovers they forced at New England last week
does not bode well; NFL favorites that forced lots of
turnovers the previous week but still lost are just 32-
67 against the number since 1983.
Many of the Bears' wins this season have come from
the harried reactions of opposing offenses trying to
deal with Chicago's defensive pressure. Minnesota
knows that they can handle the pressure; they put a
good scare into Chicago losing by just 3 points in
their first meeting. Rex Grossman's deficiencies and
the Viking's stout rushing defense will be enough for
Minnesota to stay under the number. Take
Minnesota plus the points in the NFL Tech
Team Play of the Week.
Luck Reversal: Play any NFL team off a game in which their net takeaway/turnover number was at least
+4 yet they still failed to cover the spread.
Pointspread Record Since 1983: 35-23 ATS (60.3%)
This week’s application: Minnesota Vikings
Sign of Trouble: Play against any NFL home dog coming off a shutout home loss in the previous game.
Pointspread Record since 1984: 24-11 (69%)
This week’s application: Kansas City Chiefs (play against Cleveland Browns)
Uncharted Waters: Play against any NFL favorite if they were an underdog each of the previous 10 games
this season.
Pointspread record since 1980: 13-5-1 (72%)
This week’s application: Houston Texans (play against Oakland Raiders)
posted by phantom
Nov. 30 2006 2:06pm -
0 likes
SS forecast
NFL Computer Predictions
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Thursday, November 30, 2006
Baltimore Ravens (+2½) at Cincinnati Bengals
Power Rating Projection:
Baltimore Ravens 24 Cincinnati Bengals 23
Statistical Projections
Baltimore Ravens 22
Rushing Yards: 98
Passing Yards: 240
Turnovers: 2 Cincinnati Bengals 17
Rushing Yards: 81
Passing Yards: 258
Turnovers: 2
** Statistical edge to Baltimore Ravens
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Baltimore Ravens 31 Cincinnati Bengals 28
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sunday, December 3, 2006
Minnesota Vikings (+10) at Chicago Bears
Power Rating Projection:
Chicago Bears 25 Minnesota Vikings 14
Statistical Projections
Minnesota Vikings 14
Rushing Yards: 116
Passing Yards: 185
Turnovers: 3 Chicago Bears 19
Rushing Yards: 83
Passing Yards: 198
Turnovers: 2
** Statistical edge to Minnesota Vikings
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Chicago Bears 21 Minnesota Vikings 10
Tampa Bay Buccaneers(+9) at Pittsburgh Steelers
Power Rating Projection:
Pittsburgh Steelers 27 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16
Statistical Projections
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 15
Rushing Yards: 79
Passing Yards: 173
Turnovers: 2 Pittsburgh Steelers 26
Rushing Yards: 114
Passing Yards: 287
Turnovers: 2
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Pittsburgh Steelers 27 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 17
Arizona Cardinals (+6½) at St Louis Rams
Power Rating Projection:
St Louis Rams 27 Arizona Cardinals 19
Statistical Projections
Arizona Cardinals 20
Rushing Yards: 99
Passing Yards: 266
Turnovers: 3 St Louis Rams 22
Rushing Yards: 92
Passing Yards: 263
Turnovers: 2
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
St Louis Rams 33 Arizona Cardinals 24
Indianapolis Colts (-7½) at Tennessee Titans
Power Rating Projection:
Indianapolis Colts 29 Tennessee Titans 21
Statistical Projections
Indianapolis Colts 30
Rushing Yards: 116
Passing Yards: 280
Turnovers: 1 Tennessee Titans 22
Rushing Yards: 143
Passing Yards: 187
Turnovers: 2
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Indianapolis Colts 37 Tennessee Titans 28
Angle: Favored by More Than 7 Points on the Road
Go against Indianapolis Colts ( No additional conditions, 44-66-3, 40.0% )
Angle: Home Underdogs
Go with Tennessee Titans ( Underdog by more than 7 points, Won at home in previous game, 8-4, 66.7% )
Jacksonville Jaguars(+1½) at Miami Dolphins
Power Rating Projection:
Miami Dolphins 21 Jacksonville Jaguars 20
Statistical Projections
Jacksonville Jaguars 17
Rushing Yards: 109
Passing Yards: 169
Turnovers: 2 Miami Dolphins 15
Rushing Yards: 80
Passing Yards: 223
Turnovers: 2
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Miami Dolphins 20 Jacksonville Jaguars 19
San Francisco 49ers (+7) at New Orleans Saints
Power Rating Projection:
New Orleans Saints 24 San Francisco 49ers 16
Statistical Projections
San Francisco 49ers 20
Rushing Yards: 163
Passing Yards: 173
Turnovers: 1 New Orleans Saints 26
Rushing Yards: 104
Passing Yards: 312
Turnovers: 2
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
New Orleans Saints 22 San Francisco 49ers 14
Atlanta Falcons (+1½) at Washington Redskins
Power Rating Projection:
Washington Redskins 23 Atlanta Falcons 17
Statistical Projections
Atlanta Falcons 20
Rushing Yards: 172
Passing Yards: 178
Turnovers: 1 Washington Redskins 23
Rushing Yards: 128
Passing Yards: 216
Turnovers: 1
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Washington Redskins 21 Atlanta Falcons 16
Kansas City Chiefs (-5) at Cleveland Browns
Power Rating Projection:
Kansas City Chiefs 19 Cleveland Browns 16
Statistical Projections
Kansas City Chiefs 22
Rushing Yards: 159
Passing Yards: 181
Turnovers: 1 Cleveland Browns 14
Rushing Yards: 75
Passing Yards: 192
Turnovers: 2
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Kansas City Chiefs 19 Cleveland Browns 6
Kansas City Chiefs (1 star)
Angle: Home Again after Home ATS Loss
Go against Cleveland Browns ( Less than 10 days since previous game, Small Home Dog (3 pts or less) in previous game, 11-24-1, 31.4% )
Detroit Lions (+13½) at New England Patriots
Power Rating Projection:
New England Patriots 26 Detroit Lions 17
Statistical Projections
Detroit Lions 12
Rushing Yards: 58
Passing Yards: 236
Turnovers: 2 New England Patriots 12
Rushing Yards: 58
Passing Yards: 236
Turnovers: 2
** Statistical edge to Detroit Lions
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
New England Patriots 28 Detroit Lions 19
San Diego Chargers (-5½) at Buffalo Bills
Power Rating Projection:
San Diego Chargers 25 Buffalo Bills 19
Statistical Projections
San Diego Chargers 30
Rushing Yards: 159
Passing Yards: 231
Turnovers: 1 Buffalo Bills 18
Rushing Yards: 99
Passing Yards: 190
Turnovers: 1
** Statistical edge to San Diego Chargers
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
San Diego Chargers 27 Buffalo Bills 20
New York Jets at Green Bay Packers
Power Rating Projection:
New York Jets 19 Green Bay Packers 18
Statistical Projections
New York Jets 21
Rushing Yards: 93
Passing Yards: 213
Turnovers: 1 Green Bay Packers 20
Rushing Yards: 111
Passing Yards: 244
Turnovers: 2
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
New York Jets 14 Green Bay Packers 13
Dallas Cowboys (-3½) at New York Giants
Power Rating Projection:
New York Giants 22 Dallas Cowboys 21
Statistical Projections
Dallas Cowboys 25
Rushing Yards: 124
Passing Yards: 250
Turnovers: 2 New York Giants 21
Rushing Yards: 125
Passing Yards: 206
Turnovers: 2
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Dallas Cowboys 22 New York Giants 21
Houston Texans (+3½) at Oakland Raiders
Power Rating Projection:
Oakland Raiders 18 Houston Texans 16
Statistical Projections
Houston Texans 19
Rushing Yards: 98
Passing Yards: 225
Turnovers: 1 Oakland Raiders 17
Rushing Yards: 105
Passing Yards: 182
Turnovers: 1
** Statistical edge to Houston Texans
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Oakland Raiders 12 Houston Texans 10
Seattle Seahawks at Denver Broncos
Power Rating Projection:
Denver Broncos 24 Seattle Seahawks 15
Statistical Projections
Seattle Seahawks 16
Rushing Yards: 104
Passing Yards: 215
Turnovers: 2 Denver Broncos 20
Rushing Yards: 139
Passing Yards: 199
Turnovers: 1
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Denver Broncos 20 Seattle Seahawks 12
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Monday, December 4, 2006
Carolina Panthers (-3) at Philadelphia Eagles
Power Rating Projection:
Philadelphia Eagles 21 Carolina Panthers 20
Statistical Projections
Carolina Panthers 19
Rushing Yards: 115
Passing Yards: 185
Turnovers: 2 Philadelphia Eagles 18
Rushing Yards: 113
Passing Yards: 236
Turnovers: 2
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Philadelphia Eagles 20 Carolina Panthers 19
posted by phantom
Nov. 30 2006 2:17pm -
0 likes
Phantom...
Do you have any trends for this week for NFL...
posted by zimon
Dec. 1 2006 3:38pm -
0 likes
maybe saturday...haven't seen anything yet
posted by phantom
Dec. 2 2006 2:37am -
0 likes
NFL
Long Sheet
Pro Football Trend Report
MINNESOTA (5 - 6) at CHICAGO (9 - 2) - 12/3/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 3-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 3-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY (3 -
at PITTSBURGH (4 - 7) - 12/3/2006, 4:15 PM Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 63-40 ATS (+19.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
ARIZONA (2 - 9) at ST LOUIS (5 - 6) - 12/3/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 3-2 against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 3-2 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS (10 - 1) at TENNESSEE (4 - 7) - 12/3/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANAPOLIS is 4-1 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 5-0 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
JACKSONVILLE (6 - 5) at MIAMI (5 - 6) - 12/3/2006, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 21-38 ATS (-20.8 Units) in December games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
SAN FRANCISCO (5 - 6) at NEW ORLEANS (7 - 4) - 12/3/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in dome games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in home games in December games since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 14-30 ATS (-19.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-0 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 1-0 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA (5 - 6) at WASHINGTON (4 - 7) - 12/3/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 40-62 ATS (-28.2 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
KANSAS CITY (7 - 4) at CLEVELAND (3 -
- 12/3/2006, 1:00 PM Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) in road games off a win against a division rival since 1992.
KANSAS CITY is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
DETROIT (2 - 9) at NEW ENGLAND (8 - 3) - 12/3/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 37-18 ATS (+17.2 Units) in December games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
SAN DIEGO (9 - 2) at BUFFALO (5 - 6) - 12/3/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in home games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
SAN DIEGO is 29-13 ATS (+14.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 25-10 ATS (+14.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 34-14 ATS (+18.6 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
SAN DIEGO is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in road games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
SAN DIEGO is 29-13 ATS (+14.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 1-0 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO is 1-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NY JETS (6 - 5) at GREEN BAY (4 - 7) - 12/3/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 21-6 ATS (+14.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
DALLAS (7 - 4) at NY GIANTS (6 - 5) - 12/3/2006, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY GIANTS are 17-37 ATS (-23.7 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
NY GIANTS is 4-0 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
NY GIANTS is 4-1 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON (3 -
at OAKLAND (2 - 9) - 12/3/2006, 4:05 PM Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.
OAKLAND is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 15-30 ATS (-18.0 Units) in December games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 20-41 ATS (-25.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
OAKLAND is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 1-0 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 1-0 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE (7 - 4) at DENVER (7 - 4) - 12/3/2006, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 52-82 ATS (-38.2 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points since 1992.
DENVER is 34-16 ATS (+16.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
CAROLINA (6 - 5) at PHILADELPHIA (5 - 6) - 12/4/2006, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 108-76 ATS (+24.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
CAROLINA is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
CAROLINA is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in December games since 1992.
CAROLINA is 48-24 ATS (+21.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
CAROLINA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 1-0 against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 1-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
posted by phantom
Dec. 2 2006 10:36pm -
0 likes
NFL
Short Sheet
Sunday, December 3rd
Minnesota at Chicago, 1:00 EST
Minnesota: 10-2 Under away off a win
Chicago: 10-2 ATS off an Under
(TC) Tampa Bay at Pittsburgh, 4:15 EST
Tampa Bay: 6-15 ATS in road games
Pittsburgh: 9-0 Over off a road game
Arizona at St. Louis, 1:00 EST
Arizona: 10-0 ATS after losing 4 of their last 5 games
St. Louis: 13-4 Over off a division win by 7 points or less
Indianapolis at Tennessee, 1:00 EST
Indianapolis: 9-2 ATS off a non-conference game
Tennessee: 1-7 ATS in December
(TC) Jacksonville at Miami, 4:05 EST
Jacksonville: 13-4 ATS off an ATS loss
Miami: 10-21 ATS vs. conference opponents
San Francisco at New Orleans, 1:00 EST
San Francisco: 9-1 ATS off a road loss
New Orleans: 1-8 ATS at home off an Under
Atlanta at Washington, 1:00 EST
Atlanta: 5-1 Under vs. conference opponents
Washington: 7-1 ATS in December
Kansas City at Cleveland, 1:00 EST
Kansas City: 11-3 ATS as a favorite
Cleveland: 11-3 Under in home games
Detroit at New England, 1:00 EST
Detroit: 12-2 ATS away off a home loss by 10+ points
New England: 9-1 Under as a favorite
San Diego at Buffalo, 1:00 EST
San Diego: 6-0 ATS away off 3+ wins
Buffalo: 8-0 Over in December
NY Jets at Green Bay, 1:00 EST
NY Jets: 8-2 Over after having 75 or less rushing yards
Green Bay: 1-6 ATS in December
(TC) Dallas at NY Giants, 4:15 EST
Dallas: 16-6 Over in road games
NY Giants: 1-7 ATS off BB ATS losses
Houston at Oakland, 4:05 EST
Houston: 10-2 ATS away off BB losses
Oakland: 4-13 ATS with a line of +3 to -3
(TC) Seattle at Denver, 8:15 EST NBC
Seattle: 0-6 ATS away vs. non-conference opponents
Denver: 9-1 Under at home off a division game
** (TC) Denotes Time Change
Monday, December 4th
Carolina at Philadelphia, 8:30 EST ESPN
Carolina: 6-2 ATS in December
Philadelphia: 14-5 ATS off a loss by 21+ points
** (TC) Denotes Time Change
posted by phantom
Dec. 2 2006 10:36pm -
0 likes
NFL
Write-ups
Vikings (5-6) @ Bears (9-2)-Chicago split last four games after 7-0 start; in last two games, they scored two TDs on 21 drives. In first five games, Bears averaged at least 5.9 yds/pass attempt in every game; in last six games, they averaged less than five yards four times. Chicago won first meeting 19-16 in Week 3 defensive struggle (TY 325-286). Vikings snapped four-game skid with win last week, despite allowing pair of 99-yd TDs, on KR and FR; they're 2-6 without positive turnover ratio. Last week, Bears allowed their first TD drive of 80+ yds since Week 2.
Bucs (3-8) @ Steelers (4-7)-AFC teams are 25-6 vs. AFC last six weeks, but tough to lay 7 with struggling Steeler squad now missing Polamalu (knee); Pitt is 3-7 in last 10 games, with one win (45-7 vs. Chiefs in Week 6) by more than seven pts. That said, Bucs are 0-5 on road (1-4 vs. spread) losing by 11,3,14,14,28 pts. Gradkowski is from western PA, so this is special game for him, but Tampa has averaged 5.2 yds/pass in six of last seven games, not very good. Six of eight Buc losses are by 11+ points. After running ball 11 times for 21 yards LW, would expect Cowher to try and pound ball early, often.
Cardinals (2-9) @ Rams (5-6)-Rams ended five-game skid with last-minute win LW; they won first meeting 16-14 in desert (+4.5) in Week 3, despite starting eight of ten drives 80+ yards from goal- they forced four turnovers. For year, Rams are 0-4 if they don't win TO battle, but Arizona has only two takeaways in last four games (-7) and lost last week despite being first since '62 to score two 99-yard TDs in same game. Leinart threw for 395 yds, but team only ran ball six times whole game, tying all-time NFL low. Cardinals are 0-5 on road, losing by 11,22,13,17,5 points.
Colts (10-1) @ Titans (3-7)-Spunky Titans led 10-0 at half in Week 5 game at Indy, lost 14-13 late, despite running ball for 212 yards and holding Colts to season-low 5.4 yds/pass. Since then, Tennessee is 3-2, scoring 57 pts in last two games behind rookie QB Young, who engineered 24-pt fourth quarter in comeback win LW. Colts scored 29.5 pg in winning first four road games before loss at Dallas; they ran ball for 237 yds vs. Eagles, 83 yds more than any other '06 game, and second-highest total of Manning era. NFL home dogs in division games are 12-7 vs. spread this season.
Jaguars (6-5) @ Dolphins (5-6)-Miami is 4-0 since bye, holding foes to 13.3 pg (five TDs on 50 drives) and forcing 11 turnovers (they forced eight in first seven games). Jags are 1-4 on road, with losses by 7,6,20,3 pts. In their six wins, Jax allowed average of 6.7 pg, with two shutouts; in their five losses, they allowed average of 24.8 pg. Over last six games, Dolphins won 56.8% of third down plays. In last three games, Fish defense forced 17 3/outs on foes' 37 drives; in last four weeks, they outsacked opponents 17-2.
49ers (5-6) @ Saints (7-4)-Keep in mind Saints are 7-1 this season when turnover ratio is better than -3, but they lost last two home games, allowing 66 pts to pair of AFC foes (-7 TO ratio in two games). Niners won three of last four games (4-0 vs. spread) but blew late lead in St Louis LW, when they could have jumped into serious playoff contention- they're 1-4 on road (3-2 as road dog), winning only at Detroit. Over last six games, Saints won 56.2% of third down plays; they scored 31 pts in three of last four games- they scored 14 TDs on their last 46 drives. NFC West road dogs are 2-8 out of division.
Falcons (5-6) @ Redskins (4-7)-Atlanta in freefall, losing four games in row, amid rumors Mora's job in danger unless things turn around; they've lost four games in row, scoring 12.5 pg (five TDs on last 45 drives), and are 1-6 when they score less than 20 points. Skins lost five of last seven games but are 3-2 at home, with all five games decided by four or less pts, or in OT; over last five weeks, they've lost 57.7% of third down plays. Falcons need to pass better; they had 281 rushing yards LW, but in last two games combined, they've completed only 20-45 passes, for total of 134 yards.
Chiefs (7-4) @ Browns (3-8)- Cleveland just played two division rivals at home and managed zero offensive TDs on 20 drives; they also lost game where they scored TDs on both special teams and defense. One of the WRs screams at the QB on the bench, but the backup is Ken Dorsey, so the QB can't be benched, no matter how awful he is. Browns are 1-5 at home, while Chiefs won five of last six games, running ball for 423 yards in last two games. What is worse for a 3-8 team playing in front of their disgusted fans than having Larry Johnson's footprints on them all day?
Lions (2-9) @ Patriots (8-3)- Detroit lost last three games by 6,7, 17 points, scoring three TDs on 31 drives; they're 0-5 on road (0-5 as road dog) losing by 27,7,9,7,7 pts, but Bears, Miami are only teams to beat them by more than nine pts. Patriots are 3-3 at home, with wins by 2,10,4 points; this is sandwich game for them, in between Bears/surging Dolphins, but AFC teams routinely squash NFC clubs, so caution advised. Not to bust on the Lions' ineptitude, but they're -6 in turnovers (25th), -45 in incomplete passes (32nd), lost 54.6% of 3rd down plays (29th)and committed 14 more penalties than their opponents (T26th). Other than that, no problem….
Chargers (9-2) @ Bills (5-6)-Have to respect improved Bills (3-1 since bye, with loss by a point at Colts) but LT scored 14 TDs in last five games, more than any player ever in any five-game period, plus Bolts get star LB Merriman back from suspension for this. Marty played for Bills; his Chargers are 4-2 on road, scoring average of 39.8 pg in wins, 13,27 in only losses (both by a FG). Red flag for Bills is 395 rushing yards Texans, Jags put up on them last two weeks. SD scored 22 TDs on last 53 drives; they won last five games, even though they haven't led at half in any of last four.
Jets (6-5) @ Packers (4-7)- Pack allowed 69 points in losing last two games, allowing eight TDs on 26 drives, and only fifth-ever 200-yard rushing game on Monday Night Football, now play on short week vs. AFC foe (NFC 6-25 vs. AFC last six weeks) that is 3-2 on road. Jets are 5-1 if they score more than 17 pts, 0-3 if they score less than 17 and 1-1 if they score exactly 17. Green Bay beat Cardinals 31-14, won 23-17 at Minnesota three weeks ago; every other Pack foe scored 23+ this season. Last four Jet games stayed under total (33-31-10-37).
Cowboys (7-4) @ Giants (6-5)-Big Blue can right lot of wrongs with win here, which would give them series sweep of Dallas and upper hand in NFC East race; problem is, players don't seem to trust themselves or coaches-confidence has to be shaky after blowing 21-0 lead with 10:00 left vs. rookie QB in Nashville LW. Plus, Dallas has revenge on mind after 36-22 home loss in Week 7, when Giants outrushed Dallas 155-69 and had one of only two positive turnover ratios all season (+2). Cowboys won three in row, by 17,7,28 pts, scoring 13 TDs on just 27 drives- they're 36-67 (53.7%) on third down in Romo's five starts.
Texans (3-8) @ Raiders (2-9)- Oakland "reassigned" offensive coordinator this week; they've scored four TDs on last 54 drives (24 3/outs), but at some point, don't players have to get blame too? Raider defense playing better, allowing 10 TDs on last 74 drives over last seven games, but they've still lost four in row, by 16,4,4,7 points; problem is here, they're favored to win for first time all season, usually a bad spot. Houston lost four of last five games; when you draft for defense, then JP Losman goes 26-38/333 against you, then you screwed up royally by not drafting Vince Young, a Houston native.
Seahawks (7-4) @ Broncos (7-4)- Cutler makes first start at QB, as Plummer scapegoat for all Denver problems (as if he were one who changes RBs every year). Rookie QBs making their first career start are on 11-game losing streak, with Drew Henson in '04 last rookie QB to start, win game. Denver is 2-3 in last five games; they lost last two home games, allowing 69 pts. Seattle was 0-2 on road with Wallace starting; they're 2-1 on road with Hasselbeck, but wins were by combined total of five pts. NFC West road dogs are 2-8 vs. spread out of division this season, and AFC has killed the NFC.
Panthers (6-5) @ Eagles (5-6)-Philly lost five of last six games, have Garcia at QB, but with win here, they still tie for last playoff spot. Carolina scored 15 or less pts in four of last five games; they're 2-3 on road, with all five games decided by four or less points. Philly defense sagged last two weeks, allowing 446 rushing yards, 76 pts; they've given up 21+ pts in each of last three halves. In last seven games, Panther offense started 30 drives 80+ yards from end zone; they scored three FGs, no TDs and went 3/out 12 times, so offense not carrying own weight. Philly is just 3-3 at home.
posted by phantom
Dec. 2 2006 10:36pm -
0 likes
NFL
Six NFL trends for this weekend
Buffalo covered 10 of last 14 tries as home underdog.
Bears covered 10 of last 13 home games.
Arizona covered nine of last 34 road games.
Packers failed to cover last five home games vs. the AFC.
Colts are 18-8-1 vs. spread as a road favorite.
Jacksonville is 5-14 vs. spread as a road favorite.
posted by phantom
Dec. 2 2006 10:37pm -
0 likes
Six-Pack for Saturday
Six more NFL trends for this weekend
-- Saints covered five of their last 16 as a favorite.
-- Tennessee is 6-12 vs spread in divisional home games.
-- Chargers are 16-4-2 vs spread in last 22 road games.
-- Raiders are 9-19-1 vs spread in last 29 home games.
-- Patriots are 11-2-2 vs spread at home vs NFC teams.
-- Bears are 9-4-2 vs spread in division games.
posted by phantom
Dec. 2 2006 10:37pm