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Pointwise The lower the number the higher the play.
1 Nevada 48-14
1 Penn St48-14
2 Texas Tech 44-24
3 Navy 51-13
3 Minnesota 34-20
4 Missouri 38-13
5 West Virginia 41-17
5 BYU 48-14
2 Pats 34-20
3 Minn 19-16
4 Indy 26-23
4 Phil 37-17
5 Atl 23-22
posted by phantom
Nov. 14 2006 3:09pm -
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THE GOLD SHEET
THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 16
*OHIO 27 - Akron 16--Frank Solich has well-rested Ohio U. poised to clinch the MAC East title and a berth in the conference championship game opposite Central Michigan. The Bobcats have ridden a string of 5 straight 100+ rushing efforts by Kalvin McRae (617 YR, 8 TDs last 5). Vet Ohio U. 2ndary ranking 7th nationally vs. the pass should slow down Akron QB Getsy (2303 YP, 17 TDs). CABLE TV--ESPNU
(05-AKRON 27-Ohio 3...A.23-7 A.44/228 O.27/11 A.22/32/1/270 O.10/19/1/99 A.1 O.0)
(05-AKRON -3 27-3 04-Akron +1 31-19 03-AKRON -10' 35-28...SR: Akron 11-10-1)
*West Virginia 36 - PITTSBURGH 20--Big East title (and BCS bowl bid guaranteed to league's champ) still within West Virginia's grasp. Fading Pitt (3 straight losses) unlikely to derail its bitter rival in TY's "Backyard Brawl." No surprise if savvy vet QB Palko (22 TDP, only 6 ints.) makes some plays against burnable Mountaineer secondary. But he won't hit enough passes to keep pace with quick ground strikes by blazing Mountie sophs QB White & RB Slaton. Permeable Pitt defense permitting 258 ypg rushing on nearly 5 ypc in last 3 games! TV--ESPN
(05-W. VA. 45-Pitt 13...W.22-20 W.62/451 P.31/122 P.24/43/2/308 W.4/10/1/41 W.0 P.3)
(05-WVU -14 45-13 04-PITT +3 16-13 03-WVU +1 52-31...SR: Pittsburgh 59-36-3)
FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 17
*KENT STATE 22 - Eastern Michigan 20--Kent St. defense was impressive in holding Va. Tech to just 182 yds. total offense, but still wouldn't lay too many points with Flash offense that was missing QB Edelman last week (chest injury; replaced by vet Machen who threw for only 98 yards). EMU attack bouyed vs. Navy with return of QB Schmitt (309 yds. total offense).
(05-E. MICH. 27-Kent St. 20...K.22-21 E.41/122 K.30/76 K.29/46/2/243 E.23/40/1/218 E.0 K.0)
(05-EMU -4 27-20 04-KSU -12' 69-17...SR: EVEN 13-13)
*Central Michigan 27 - NORTHERN ILLINOIS 20--CMU has already clinched a spot in MAC title game, and Chippewas are 13-3-1 vs. the number in their last 17 games. CMU QB LeFevour is hot, throwing 14 TD passes and just 3 ints. in his last 6 games, and sr. WR Linson has caught at least 2 passes in 31 of his last 32 games. NIU star RB Wolfe, who ran for 224 ypg & scored 14 TDs in first 6 this season, has failed to top 66 YR in any of the Huskies' last 4 games, scoring just once. TV--ESPNU
(05-N. Ill. 31-C. MICH. 28...C.32-18 C.46/206 N.22/6 N.31/43/1/435 C.33/51/0/382 N.0 C.1)
(05-Niu -2' 31-28 04-NIU -20 42-10 03-Niu -17' 40-24...SR: Central Michigan 21-19-1)
SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 18
WISCONSIN 49 - Buffalo 6--Wisconsin gunning for 11-1 season, and doubt Buffalo's 115th-ranked rush defense (5.1 ypc) will slow down Badger RB Hill. Mammoth Wiscy OL should manhandle Bull "D" allowing 34 ppg, and it will be difficult for Buffalo QBs Paoli or Willy to lead team in the back door against Wisconsin's excellent pass defense (1st in pass efficiency; 3rd in yardage). (FIRST MEETING)
FLORIDA STATE 31 - Western Michigan 10--Add "shut out for first time since 1988" to indignities suffered by Florida State during this difficult campaign after Seminoles were smoked 30-0 by Wake at Tallahassee last week. FSU determined not to add "missed bowl game for first time since 1981" to list. Western Mich. offense (20 points or fewer in 6 of 10 games) not very dynamic. (DNP...SR: Florida State 1-0)
LOUISVILLE 42 - South Florida 17--Louisville not yet dead in Big East title chase, and potent Cards seeking revenge for humbling loss at Tampa LY. USF RS frosh QB Grothe one of nation's top newcomers. But L'ville, which has covered 14 of last 16 at Papa John's, more efficient in red zone lately thanks to emergence of slammin' true frosh RB Anthony Allen (6 TDs last 4 games).
(05-S. FLA. 45-Lvl. 14...L.26-16 S.47/251 L.33/104 L.29/47/1/389 S.5/10/1/104 S.1 L.2)
(05-USF +20 45-14 04-LVL. -29' 41-9 03-USF +2' 31-28 (OT)...SR: South Florida 2-1)
Connecticut 20 - SYRACUSE 19--At first blush this might look like a good chance for Syracuse to finally get a conference win after 12 straight Big East losses. However, punchless Orange (11 ppg last 5) hard-pressed to win, let alone cover even a small number, even with youth-laden UConn off draining 2-OT home win over Pitt last week.
(05-CONN. 26-Syr. 7...C.18-13 C.58/297 S.34/148 S.10/31/2/125 C.6/15/0/45 C.0 S.1)
(05-CONNECTICUT -6' 26-7 04-SYRACUSE -3 42-30...SR: EVEN 1-1)
Rutgers 24 - CINCINNATI 13--Won't be easy trip for Rutgers side celebrating biggest win in recent school history. Scrappy Cincy defense has begrudged last 4 visitors to Nippert Stadium just 33 points combined. Knights should eventually bludgeon Bearcats into submission with thick-legged soph RB Rice (1334 YR) behind big, veteran OL.
(05-RUTGERS 44-Cincy 9...R.29-14 R.50/337 C.28/M23 R.16/26/1/237 C.15/24/0/169 R.0 C.1)
(05-RUTGERS -13' 44-9...SR: Rutgers 7-3-1)
WAKE FOREST 17 - Virginia Tech 14--Sure, Florida State is down. Still, Wake (6-0 as dog TY) continues to serve notice that it's for real, crushing Seminoles last week in Deacons' first victory at Tallahassee since Ike was President! Tech OL not strong enough TY to put many dents in swarming Deacon defense (only 54 YR on 48 carries last 2 games!). And Hokie soph QB Glennon has thrown for just 300 yards & no TDs in first 3 road games. (04-Virginia Tech -6 17-10...SR: Virginia Tech 21-11-1)
GEORGIA TECH 31 - Duke 10--Plenty of rest for Tech "triplets" sr. QB Ball, star WR C. Johnson & jr. RB Choice, as Ramblin' Wreck has already clinched berth in ACC title game and has trip to rival Georgia up next. Tech 7-19 vs. spread last 26 laying more than a full TD.
(05-Ga. Tech 35-DUKE 10...G.25-13 G.49/257 D.42/181 G.17/27/1/147 D.9/30/2/90 G.1 D.1)
(05-Tech -20' 35-10 04-TECH -18 24-7 03-DUKE +13' 41-17...SR: Ga. Tech 42-30-1)
NORTHWESTERN 30 - Illinois 20--Northwestern RB Sutton has turned in two monster games in the last month, and has only been shut down by Ohio State and Michigan recently. NW soph QB Bacher has turned in 4 straight 200+ yard passing games and is much more accurate than Illini counterpart frosh I. Williams (only 40.6%). Underdog in Illini games covered 9 straight, and oddsmakers opened Illinois in rare role of road favorite! Illini special teams leave much to be desired, and they rank in the bottom three in the country in turnover ratio and passing efficiency.
(05-N'western 38-ILL. 21...N.36-24 N.61/356 I.43/199 I.20/35/1/241 N.25/31/0/240 N.0 I.0)
(05-Nwu -15 38-21 04-NWU -12' 28-21 (OT) 03-Nwu -3' 37-20...SR: Illinois 51-43-5)
Missouri 36 - IOWA STATE 13--Even at lofty spread, it's hard to side with depressed ISU, with key RBs & WRs hurt, HC McCarney resigning, pass defense yielding an amazing 73%, and Cyclones inevitably out-scored in 3rd & 4th Qs (opponents ahead 131-67 TY). Rested Mizzou, meanwhile, hungry for victory after back-to-back losses to Big XII powers Oklahoma & Nebraska, and Tigers have the fiery QB in Daniels to keep pressing on attack.
(05-MO. 27-Ia. St. 24 (OT)...I.20-19 I.54/157 M.37/88 M.24/35/1/230 I.16/25/1/169 M.2 I.2)
(05-MO. -6 27-24 (OT) 04-Mo. +4' 17-14 (OT) 03-MO. -26' 45-7...SR: Missouri 57-32-9)
Iowa 26 - MINNESOTA 24--Although Iowa owns just 1 cover this season, can't lay points with Minnesota side that's gotten the short end of the stick more often than not in this rivalry. This is the 100th meeting between the Gophers & Hawkeyes, and "Floyd of Rosedale" has been Iowa property the last 5 years. The Hawkeyes have covered 12 of last 13 against Minny. Look for Iowa QB Tate to rally his troops and keep hated rival from attaining bowl-eligibility with 6th win.
(05-IOWA 52-Minn. 28...I.28-24 I.40/236 M.34/129 I.20/34/1/377 M.26/46/2/315 I.0 M.0)
(05-IOWA -5 52-28 04-Iowa +4 29-27 03-IOWA -5 40-22...SR: Minnesota 58-39-2)
PURDUE 31 - Indiana 24--Purdue QB Curtis Painter ranks 4th in total offense, and he and RBs Sheets & Taylor (combined 1185 YR, 16 scores) figure to do damage facing Indiana defense ranked 116th vs. the pass and yielding 39 ppg in Big Ten play. Boilers have taken the "Old Oaken Bucket" 8 of last 9 years, covering last 4 in West Lafayette facing archrival Hoosiers. However, IU offense improved TY with more mobile QB Lewis.
(05-Purdue 41-IND. 14...P.22-20 P.51/299 I.39/145 I.12/27/3/169 P.14/27/1/124 P.0 I.2)
(05-Purdue -12 41-14 04-PURDUE -21 63-24 03-Purdue -26 24-16...SR: Purdue 67-35-6)
North Carolina State 20 - NORTH CAROLINA 19--Carolina (3 straight covers) scrapping down stretch for fired HC Bunting. Still, Heels haven't tasted victory since 3-point home win over Div. I-AA Furman Sept. 16. State has dropped 5 straight under beleaguered HC Amato, who's almost sure to join Bunting in unemployment line. Rushing & defense help revenge-minded Wolfpack get SU win for their well-liked mentor.
(05-N. Car. 31-N. CAR. ST. 24...U.22-16 U.49/144 S.28/13 S.21/35/0/257 U.13/23/1/177 U.1 S.2)
(05-Unc +11 31-24 04-UNC +10' 30-24 03-NCS -17 47-34...SR: North Carolina 62-27-6)
NAVY 41 - Temple 3--We're tempted to take the oddsmaker's bait on downtrodden Temple bunch that's covered 5 of its last 7 (all as hefty dog). But whatever pointspread success Owls have achieved is due as much to opponent indifference as anything else, and well-schooled Navy not likely to oblige in that regard. Mid option operating effectively again now that QB Kaheaku-Enhada (2 TDP last week) more comfy at tiller.
(05-NAVY 38-Temple 17...N.27-26 N.63/375 T.34/136 T.24/39/0/245 N.4/11/0/120 N.1 T.1)
(05-NAVY -27' 38-17...SR: Temple 4-2)
Tennessee 27 - VANDERBILT 23--Although this a major revenge game for UT (see Angle), Vols figure to be in 3rd straight tough tussle vs. competitive Vandy squad that's 11-4 last 15 as a dog. 'Dores mobile, quick-learning soph QB Nickson (1021 YP last 3 games!) & dynamic fellow soph WR Bennett (78 grabs; 24 last 2 games!) should continue to excel vs. a non-dominating UT defense. Vols banged up some at the skill positions (see Ticker), and Fulmer just 11-20 as chalk since '03.
(05-Vandy 28-TENN. 24...V.21-19 T.47/251 V.28/49 V.27/39/0/315 T.11/26/2/125 V.0 T.0)
(05-Vandy +11' 28-24 04-Tenn. -13 38-33 03-TENN. -21 48-0...SR: Tennessee 67-27-5)
Houston 36 - MEMPHIS 17--Even though Houston has already clinched spot in CUSA title game, no surprise if star sr. QB Kolb (23 TDP & only 3 ints.) & blossoming jr. RB Alridge (565 YR & 6 TDs on 13 ypc last 4 games!) lead Cougs to comfy road victory at moribund Memphis (only 1 win, 1 cover TY).
(05-Memp. 35-HOU. 20...M.20-19 M.56/315 H.36/106 H.26/45/0/396 M.7/12/1/112 M.1 H.2)
(05-Memp. +10' 35-20 04-MEMP. -13 41-14 03-Memp. +5 45-14...SR: EVEN 9-9)
TEXAS TECH 42 - Oklahoma State 26--Definitely prefer resilient home team in this shootout of prolific soph QBs. OSU's Bobby Reid has 21 TDs vs. 9 ints., while TT's Graham Harrell has 34 vs. 10. Cowboys (benefited from 6 takeaways in last week's 66-24 romp vs. Baylor) run better than Red Raiders. But host is now 20-7 vs. spread under hard-driving HC Leach after a SU loss. Expect Harrell to make fewer mistakes and take game over from opening possession.
(05-OK. ST. 24-Tex. Tech 17...19-19 O.52/303 T.19/30 T.29/42/1/308 O.11/23/1/94 O.1 T.2)
(05-OSU +23 24-17 04-TECH -4' 31-15 03-OSU -3' 51-49...SR: Texas Tech 19-11-3)
Ucf 32 - TULANE 30--Check status of Tulane RB Forte (knee), as Green Wave managed only 85 yards of offense without him in last week's 31-3 home loss to Southern Miss. No surprise if Tulane attack regains its potency against lesser UCF defense. Also no surprise if balanced Golden Knight offense fires winning shots.
(05-UCF 34-Tulane 24...T.24-23 U.48/286 T.18/80 T.27/47/4/360 U.18/31/0/202 U.0 T.1)
(05-UCF -6 34-24...SR: UCF 2-0)
NOTRE DAME 49 - Army 7--Last weekend's results boosted Notre Dame to 5th in the BCS poll and breathed life into national championship hopes. An impressive win against Army and a victoryat Southern Cal next Saturday would help make the case that the Irish are the team that deserves to face the winner of the Ohio State-Michigan game for the title. ND QB Brady Quinn has thrown for 29 scores vs. only 4 ints. this season (3 in loss to Michigan), while Army is last in the nation in turnover differential. TV--NBC
(DNP...SR: Notre Dame 36-8-4)
BOISE STATE 52 - Utah State 7--Since 10-0 Boise State (currently ranked 14th) kept its BCS bowl hopes alive with exhilirating, last-second win at San Jose State, vastly-superior, motivated Broncos prepared to cover 7th straight meeting vs. outmanned Utah State. Discouraged Aggies (outscored 105-10 last 2 TY) will feel the blues early on the "blue carpet," where BSU is 28-12 last 40 as chalk lately. Broncos super-soph RB I. Johnson (1466 YR, 21 TDs) has shot a national rushing title.
(05-Boise St. 45-UTAH ST. 21...B.22-19 B.34/84 U.39/84 B.27/40/0/351 U.17/31/0/211 B.0 U.1)
(05-Boise State -19 45-21...SR: Boise State 8-4)
RICE 31 - East Carolina 28--Go-with vs. go-with. Skip Holtz a pointspread dynamo, covering 17 of 21 in his 1+ seasons at East Carolina! But Rice (won & covered 5 of last 6) has captured some magic under creative rookie HC Graham. Last week's double-OT win at Tulsa leaves screeching Owls only 1 win away from being eligible for first bowl game in more than 4 decades! (05-EAST CAROLINA -4' 41-28...SR: East Carolina 1-0)
(05-E. CAR. 41-Rice 28...R.23-18 R.53/230 E.30/104 E.22/35/0/355 R.9/19/0/87 E.0 R.0)
Oklahoma 44 - BAYLOR 18--Bears gave ball away 6 times in last week's 66-24 smashing at Oklahoma State. RS frosh QB Syzmanski finally gets to play at home after two road starts. But Baylor is last in the nation in rushing (yes, even below Temple), and OU's speedy defense shut out Texas Tech's potent spread offense in second half last week. With RB Allen Patrick out (check status), Sooners unveiled future star, frosh RB Chris Brown.
(05-OKLA. 37-Bay. 30 (OT)...O.28-12 O.53/205 B.21/63 O.24/42/2/269 B.20/44/0/228 O.2 B.3)
(05-OKLA. -14' 37-30 (OT) 04-Okla. -36' 35-0 03-OKLA. -53 41-3...SR: Oklahoma 15-0)
Tulsa 27 - SMU 26--Season has turned sour for Tulsa & jr. QB Paul Smith, who has only 4 TDP in last 6 games. Hot hand in this matchup belongs to SMU RS frosh QB Willis (22 TDP, only 3 ints. in his last 7 games!). Hurricane might emerge with win, but it won't come easy against Mustang squad trying to get back to a bowl for first time since program was eviscerated by NCAA's "death penalty" in mid-1980s.
(05-TULSA 20-Smu 13...S.18-15 S.36/114 T.31/103 S.20/32/1/223 T.20/33/0/220 T.0 S.2)
(05-TULSA -14' 20-13 04-SMU +11' 41-35 (OT) 03-TULSA -17 35-16...SR: SMU 9-4)
OHIO STATE 28 - Michigan 17--With all the expectations and hype this game brings, we feel there's one key matchup to tip the scales in Ohio State's favor. Michigan's 4-man defensive front isn't going to be able to contain Ohio State's quicksilver QB Troy Smith without help, and that shift in style of play will put pressure on Wolverine 2ndary that it has rarely had to face this season. In most other areas, these two are extremely even. Both have dangerous RBs, tremendously tough defenses ranked in the top 5 in most categories, explosive wideouts capable of breaking a game open, and reliable special teams. Home crowd and Smith's mobility point to Buckeye win. Jim Tressel 4-1 SU vs. UM.
(05-Ohio St. 25-MICH. 21...O.25-17 O.35/118 M.24/32 O.27/37/0/300 M.25/37/0/223 O.2 N.0)
(05-Osu -3 25-21 04-OSU +5 37-21 03-MICH -7 35-21...SR: Michigan 57-39-6)
LSU 42 - Mississippi 7--After generating 28 ppg last two weeks vs. quality SEC defenses, expect loaded LSU to explode in final home game vs. more permissive Ole Miss "D" that yields 4.2 ypc with only 2 ints. Recent emergence of Tigers blue-chip frosh RB K. Williams (132 YR last 2) allows strong-armed QB J. Russell to use play-action, while pedestrian Rebel offense (meager 13 ppg) stirs up precious little action vs. smothering LSU stop unit (7 ppg in Baton Rouge).
(05-Lsu 40-MISS. 7...L.19-11 L.41/177 M.22/7 L.15/26/1/203 M.20/38/2/168 L.1 M.0)
(05-Lsu -16' 40-7 04-LSU -20' 27-24 03-Lsu -6' 17-14...SR: LSU 53-37-4)
Oregon State 20 - STANFORD 13--Not sure ugly win at Washington a late-season "buy" signal for Stanford. But at least Cardinal exorcised winless demons last week (maybe Max von Sydow really has been hanging around Palo Alto), and QB Ostrander has displayed enough guts to suggest he can hang in vs. juiced-up OSU pass rush. Has Beaver QB Moore cut down on picks TY (only 6) at expense of TD passes (just 8 in 10 games)?
(05-Stan. 20-ORE. ST. 17...S.18-16 S.40/68 O.30/62 O.16/40/1/250 S.18/33/2/234 S.1 O.0)
(05-Stan. +6 20-17 04-Osu -2' 24-19 03-OSU -14' 43-3...SR: Stanford 47-22-3)
ALABAMA 21 - Auburn 14--Less value offered following Tigers' embarrassing 37-15 home loss vs. Georgia, but will still buck Auburn squad sorely lacking playmakers at WR. And with Tiger QB Cox (4 of 14 with 4 ints. vs. Bulldogs) hampered by bursa sac on his knee, aggressive Bama defense able to stack vs. run. Meanwhile, Tide's improving QB J.P. Wilson (22 of 35 for 291 & 2 TDP vs. LSU) benefits from return of prime-time WR K. Brown. Tuberville's squad has dropped 7 straight as chalk.
(05-AUB. 28-Alabama 18...Au.13-11 Au.35/139 Al.37/33 Al.16/29/0/155 Au.14/21/0/118 Au.1 Al.0)
(05-AUBURN -7 28-18 04-Auburn -10' 21-13 03-AUBURN -8 28-23...SR: Alabama 38-31-1)
OREGON 27 - Arizona 20--Bandwagon filling up quickly for U of A bunch that's suddenly just 1 win from elusive bowl eligibility following raucous Cal upset. After concussion-interrupted first half of season, QB Tuitama suddenly playing like he did down stretch LY. And Mike Stoops' defense has the foot speed and lateral pursuit to keep mobile UO QB Dixon somewhat hemmed in pocket and to deal with potent Duck spread.
(05-Ore. 28-ARIZ. 21...A.19-10 A.37/212 O.32/67 O.15/28/2/240 A.22/41/2/199 O.1 A.2)
(05-Oregon -10' 28-21 04-OREGON -11' 28-14 03-Oregon -12 48-10...SR: Oregon 19-11)
BYU 45 - New Mexico 13--Since sizzling BYU (9-0-1 vs. spread) continues to demonstrate it's clearly the class of MWC in '06, must lay lumber vs. NM squad unable to notch another comeback win in 27-21 home loss vs. TCU (Lobos trailed 24-0 at H). Chances are good slow-starting visitors find themselves in early hole vs. explosive Coug squad that's outscored MWC foes 144-16 by halftime! Offensively-loaded, opportunistic BYU (+12 TO margin) is on a "mission," so lay it, pal.
(05-Byu 27-N. MEX. 24...N.28-27 N.45/244 B.30/93 B.34/44/1/371 N.18/28/0/218 B.0 N.1)
(05-Byu +7' 27-24 04-Unm +6' 21-14 03-Byu -2 10-7...SR: BYU 40-14-1)
TCU 32 - San Diego State 9--Return of QB O'Connell (7 of 7 off bench vs. UNLV last week) at least gives Chuck Long another dimension besides RS frosh Craft for mostly-misfiring SDSU attack. But no matter who's at QB, Aztecs' unassertive OL likely overmatched vs. the assortment of TCU blitzes and stunts Dick Bumpas' pet 4-2-5 "D" likely to show. Frogs unlikely to sit on lead after allowing NM to get back into game last week.
(05-Tcu 23-S. DIEGO ST. 20...T.24-20 T.58/291 S.33/125 S.25/46/2/235 T.13/23/2/112 T.1 S.0)
(05-Tcu -6' 23-20...SR: TCU 1-0)
Wyoming 28 - UNLV 12--There's a reason Wayne Newton and Vegas celebs don't bother to watch UNLV football these days. Maybe it's those 0 wins the last 14 games vs. I-A opposition! Although Rebs usually a bit more competitive at Sam Boyd Stadium, would still rather trust Wyo (which needs win for bowl eligibility) to bounce back after running into BYU buzzsaw last Thursday.
(05-WYO. 42-Unlv 17...W.25-20 W.34/95 U.32/91 W.23/31/0/346 U.26/48/2/239 W.0 U.1)
(05-WYO. -18 42-17 04-Wyo. +3' 53-45 (OT) 03-Unlv +1 35-24...SR: UNLV 8-6)
*MARSHALL 36 - Utep 27--Visiting UTEP owns top home-run threat on field in mercurial sr. WR & return man Higgins (23 TDs last 1+ seasons). Prefer better-balanced Marshall attack, however, now that NFL-caliber RB Bradshaw getting improved aerial support from sr. QB Skinner (6 TDP last 3 games). Pass-happy Miners (just 70 ypg rushing) lack ground production.
(05-UTEP 31-Marshall 3...U.22-16 M.41/215 U.38/194 U.17/26/1/215 M.13/30/1/125 U.2 M.0)
(05-UTEP -13' 31-3...SR: UTEP 1-0)
FRESNO STATE 27 - Idaho 21--Fresno snapped 7-game losing streak last week vs. defensively-porous New Mexico State, but Bulldogs still haven't covered (0-11-1 vs. spread!) since their heart-breaking loss a year ago at Southern Cal. Idaho defense weak (52 ppg last 3), but HC Erickson has helped Vandal offense when team not outclassed.
(05-Fres. St. 40-IDAHO 10...F.20-14 F.35/165 I.34/92 F.21/34/0/228 I.18/30/1/121 F.2 I.0)
(05-Fresno State -28' 40-10...SR: EVEN 4-4)
WASHINGTON STATE 24 - Washington 9--We're not sure which of these two "out-uglied" the other in last week's respective humiliations. But as long as Wazzu regains services of WRs Hill and/or Bumpus, trust Cougs to fire more Apple Cup scoring shots. Ty Willingham ready to ask FEMA for aid for U-Dub QB disaster (banged-up Bonnell & DuRocher combined 11 of 44 vs. Stanford). Pac-10 sources hinting at Husky internal issues.
(05-Wash. St. 26-WASH. 22...S.27-12 S.47/224 U.28/99 S.21/35/0/283 U.14/28/0/228 S.1 U.1)
(05-Wsu -3 26-22 04-WSU -12 28-25 03-WASH. +7 27-19...SR: Washington 63-29-6)
*Arkansas 34 - MISSISSIPPI STATE 14--Since 9-1 Arkansas needs one more win to clinch the SEC West, prefer to lay it, even vs. an admittedly-improving MSU squad. Hogs fast, powerful and versatile RB McFadden (1277 YR, 13 TDs, 6.3 ypc; played QB and WR vs. Tenn.) running with reckless abandon, while steady QB Dick & WR Monk (16 catches last 2 games) have quickly become a dynamic pass-catch duo. Bulldogs an unbullish 0-4 as home dog TY.
(05-ARK. 44-Miss. St. 10...A.19-11 A.45/247 M.33/106 A.14/26/2/132 M.11/27/1/77 A.0 M.2)
(05-ARK. -13' 44-10 at LR 04-Ark. -9' 24-21 03-ARK. -26' 52-6...SR: Arkansas 10-5-1)
*PENN STATE 31 - Michigan State 10--Penn State has shown it can be a bully at times this season, and disfunctional Michigan State appears to be playing out the string for lame-duck coach John L. Smith. Spartans have dropped 7 in a row vs. the number, haven't covered since Sept. 16 and lost star QB Drew Stanton (check status) to a head injury last week vs. Minnesota. Penn State's defense has yielded just 8 ppg last 5.
(05-Penn St. 31-MICH. ST. 22...M.23-16 P.39/188 M.42/168 M.23/36/4/233 P.10/20/0/105 P.1 M.0)
(05-Psu -8 31-22 04-PSU +3' 37-13 03-MSU -5 41-10...SR: EVEN 11-11-1)
*Kansas State 26 - KANSAS 24--K-State's upset of Texas makes this a very interesting battle of young, up-and-coming QBs. Question is whether talented Wildcats will succumb to the heady wine of victory after last week's stirring triumph, while resting Jayhawks watched their in-state rival grab all the headlines. Both teams on the rise.
(05-KAN. ST. 12-Kansas 3...S.13-8 U.33/109 S.45/35 S.15/24/1/147 U.8/22/0/127 S.0 U.3)
(05-KSU -6 12-3 04-KANSAS +3 31-28 03-KSU -21 42-6...SR: Kansas 62-36-5)
*VIRGINIA 17 - Miami-Florida 16--Troubled Miami still needs 1 more win to be eligible for a bowl game. But Hurricanes having problems persevering through spate of injuries and distractions. Virginia offense still a work in progress. But Cavs have extra week of prep and 11 covers in last 13 as dog at Charlottesville.
(05-MIAMI 25-Va. 17...M.20-17 M.34/151 V.41/111 V.16/29/0/296 M.23/30/0/248 M.1 V.0)
(05-MIAMI -17' 25-17 04-Miami +3' 31-21...SR: Miami-Florida 3-0)
*BOSTON COLLEGE 21 - Maryland 20--Home-field edge & QB Ryan (294 ypg passing last 3) might allow BC to escape with a win. It's likely to take the full 60 minutes (or more) to dispatch pesky Maryland, however. Terps have 5 straight wins, a shot at getting into ACC title game, a sr. QB making few mistakes (Hollenbach only 1 int. last 4), and a burgeoning home-run WR (RS frosh Heyward-Bey TDCs of 96 & 65 yards last week!).
(05-Bos. Col. 31-MARY. 16...M.24-18 B.44/221 M.39/133 B.16/24/1/230 M.25/46/3/230 B.3 M.1)
(05-Boston College -2 31-16...SR: Boston College 2-1)
*AIR FORCE 34 - Utah 32--MWC scouts hinting Fisher DeBerry's long tenure at AFA might be ending unless Falcs squeeze their way into bowl game. But no shame in several Falc losses TY (Tennessee, BYU, Notre Dame). And reluctant to support Utah until we see more evidence HC Whittingham (Urban Meyer's d.c. before taking over) has figured a way to slow AFA option that's produced big numbers last 3 vs. Utes.
(05-UTAH 38-A. Force 35...A.26-23 A.50/251 U.43/152 U.21/30/1/305 A.13/27/2/234 U.1 A.1)
(05-UTAH -7 38-35 04-UTAH -21' 49-35 03-Utah +3' 45-43 (OT)...SR: Air Force 13-9)
*SOUTHERN MISS 34 - Uab 14--Late-surging USM still alive in C-USA (ECU must lose at Rice), so have no qualms bucking disappointing 3-7 UAB squad, whose declining defense (30+ in 3 of last 4) has become "too soft," bemoans perplexed HC Watson Brown. Golden Eagles (37 ppg last 2) mobile 6-3 jr. QB Young and frosh phenom RB Fletcher (136 YR vs. Tulane) are flourishing, so expect declining UAB to drop 5th straight vs. number.
(05-S. Miss 37-UAB 28...S.24-23 S.36/177 U.28/80 U.29/42/1/407 S.18/33/0/247 S.0 U.0)
(05-Usm +2' 37-28 04-USM -1 26-21 03-Usm -3 17-12...SR: Southern Miss 6-0)
*Nevada 40 - LOUISIANA TECH 14--Oddsmakers keep setting pointspread hurdle higher and higher for Nevada as it keeps covering (as it's done 8 straight). But Wolf Pack a truly righteous entity now that hungry "D" (allowed 7 or fewer 3 of last 4) matching sr. QB Rowe & Chris Ault's potent "Pistol" (45 ppg last 3) in productivity derby. LT a bit tougher in Ruston, but Bulldogs still only 2-7 vs. line TY.
(05-NEV. 37-La. Tech 27...N.26-14 N.44/189 L.32/68 N.25/45/1/269 L.13/39/1/161 N.2 L.0)
(05-NEVADA -2' 37-27 04-LTU -6 38-21 03-Ltu +4 42-34...SR: Louisiana Tech 4-2)
*SOUTHERN CAL 27 - California 25--Granted, SC apparently in midst of another patented Pete Carroll late-season uptick (Troy 18-0 SU in November since Carroll arrived in '01!). But in Caroll's past chess matches vs. Cal when Jeff Tedford has had a quality QB (which means we're excluding LY when erratic Joe Ayoob self-destructed at Berkeley), Bears have covered all 3. And Nate Longshore a lot more reminiscent of Kyle Boller & Aaron Rodgers than mistake-prone Ayoob. SC aerial show hard to slow now that wideouts Jarrett & S. Smith healthy again, but CB Hughes & sticky-covering Cal DBs not likely to be overmatched. TV--ABC
(05-S. Cal 35-CAL. 10...S.26-17 S.47/188 C.31/167 S.20/32/1/246 C.13/23/4/132 S.0 C.2)
(05-Usc -18' 35-10 04-USC -7' 23-17 03-CAL. +13' 34-31 (OT)...SR: USC 58-30-5)
*Ucla 26 - ARIZONA STATE 24--Hard to tell what we'll see from Jekyll & Hyde ASU (lost by 34, won by 33 last 2). But quick UCLA "D" that kept Brady Quinn in check for 59 minutes at South Bend capable of doing same to Rudy Carpenter and undistinguished Sun Devil wideouts. And this is sort of game where PK Medlock (23 FGs already) could come in handy for Bruins, who need win for bowl eligibility.
(05-UCLA 45-Ariz. St. 35...A.29-23 A.45/181 U.39/150 U.22/27/0/510 A.27/37/0/334 U.2 A.3)
(05-UCLA -3' 45-35 04-ASU -7' 48-42 03-UCLA -2' 20-13...SR: UCLA 14-7-1)
*HAWAII 52 - San Jose State 23--Gallant effort vs. Boise indicates SJSU renaissance under Dick Tomey is no mirage. But neither is June Jones' point-per-minute UH Red Gun that cracked 60-point barrier for 4th time in last 5 a week ago vs. La Tech. Warrior QB Brennan (43 TDP!) now within shouting distance of David Klinger's single-season NCAA TDP record (54).
(05-Hawaii 45-SJSU 38...H.32-25 S.35/170 H.28/62 H.36/48/2/457 S.22/35/2/262 H.0 S.2)
(05-Hawaii -6 45-38 04-HAWAII -22' 46-28 03-Hawaii -13 13-10...SR: SJS 15-13-1)
ADDED GAMES
KENTUCKY 42 - Louisiana-Monroe 14--Now that UK has become bowl eligible for 1st time since 1999 and well-liked HC Brooks has probably saved his job, don't mind supporting upbeat, confident Wildcat squad bolstered by return of previously-injured big-play RB Little, who accounted for 246 yds. in 38-26 home victory vs. Vandy last week. UK's QB Woodson (29 of 42 for 440 & 4 TDP vs. 'Dores) dissects a ULM secondary that's rarely tested in offensively-challenged Sun Belt. (FIRST MEETING)
*La.-Lafayette 20 - FLORIDA INTL. 8--Difficult to lay points with disappointing ULL bunch that's dropped from Sun Belt radar after losing last 3 SU and last 4 vs. line. But have even less interest in FIU crew that officially disappeared into abyss during last week's home humiliation vs...UL-Monroe?
(05-LA.-LAF. 28-Fla. Intl. 7...L.30-14 L.65/308 F.20/64 F.18/34/0/162 L.11/13/0/105 L.1 F.0)
(05-ULL -9 28-7 04-Ull -7' 43-34 03-ULL (NL) 43-10...SR: La.-Lafayette 3-0)
*TROY 27 - Arkansas State 16--Troy barely survived its early four-game road trip to Florida State, Georgia Tech, Nebraska, and UAB, with juco QB Haugabook taking his lumps and learning on the fly. But back in the Sun Belt, Trojans are 4-0 SU, with Haugabook (325 YP, 3 TDs last week) & RB Cattouse (263 YR last 2 weeks) liking it very much. ASU blanked last two on road.
(05-ARK. ST. 9-Troy 3...13-13 A.44/127 T.32/69 A.9/20/0/117 T.12/23/1/98 A.0 T.0)
(05-ASU -3' 9-3 04-ASU +13 13-9...SR: Arkansas State 5-2)
*SOUTH CAROLINA 34 - Middle Tennessee St. 13--Sure, USC off heartbreaking 17-16 loss at Florida. But well-schooled, angry 'Cocks (3 straight narrow losses) ready to vent some frustration vs. formidable Middle Tenn. State squad (by Sun Belt standards) with a collective eye on upcoming conf. championship-decider vs. Troy. USC QB B. Mitchell & topflight WRs Rice & McKinley benefiting from resurgent ground attack (nearly 5 ypc vs. Gators). (FIRST MEETING)
*NORTH TEXAS 16 - Florida Atlantic 15--North Texas (only 247 on offense) upset Lafayette week ago after learning longtime HC Dickey was being terminated just a month after a mild heart attack. But FAU changed QBs last week (RS frosh Rusty Smith 312 YP vs. Troy) and is quicker on defense.
(05-FAU 26-N. Tex. 23...F.22-17 F.48/227 N.38/161 N.15/35/1/187 F.13/22/0/151 F.0 N.0)
(05-FAU -3' 26-23 04-Fau +7' 20-13...SR: Florida Atlantic 2-0)
COLLEGE KEY RELEASES
NORTHWESTERN by 10 over Illinois
TEXAS TECH by 16 over Oklahoma State
NOTRE DAME by 42 over Army
ALABAMA by 7 over Auburn
posted by phantom
Nov. 14 2006 3:10pm -
0 likes
CKO GOLD SHEET
11 *FLORIDA ST. over Western Michigan
Late Score Forecast:
*FLORIDA ST. 38 - Western Michigan 10
For handicappers, it's been a good season to zig and zag with Florida State.
While the young Seminoles are clearly down from their previous lofty
standards, proud FSU has proven it still has the wherewithal to respond to
disappointing defeats by hammering lesser foes. A 55-7 home win over Rice
followed home loss to Clemson. A 27-point win at Duke was the response to a
setback at N.C. State. And Noles laid a 33-0 whitewash on Virginia after
recent defeat at Maryland. Look for pattern to continue this week, as Bobby
Bowden's troops are coming off humbling 30-0 home loss to Wake. Seminoles
need one more win to be bowl eligible. Pedestrian Western Michigan offense
(20 points or fewer in 6 of 10 games) won't do much damage against athletic
FSU defense. And tall, rangy Nole WRs will make enough plays to get
desperate host a comfy win.
10 MARYLAND over *Boston College
Late Score Forecast:
MARYLAND 22 - *Boston College 17
Maryland is one of the hottest teams in the country, with 5 straight wins
including victories over Florida State, Clemson and Miami-Florida. Steady
defense powered by soph LB Erin Henderson & jr. LB Wesley Jefferson (both
avg. 9 tackles per game) has led the way, as the Terps have yielded just 69
points in their last 4 games. Improvement of QB Sam Hollenbach has been
remarkable in the last month. Hollenback has completed 67% of his passes and
thrown 7 TD passes and just 1 int. in the last 4 games. Frosh WR Darrius
Heyward-Bey started slowly, but has 33 catches in the last 8 games and 4
scores in the last 3. Maryland's special teams are solid as well, as PK Dan
Ennis has made 15 of 19 FGs this season and sr. Josh Wilson ranks 8th in the
country in kickoff returns, while P Adam Podlesh is 13th at 44 ypp. Maryland
has a legitimate shot at a berth in the ACC title game.
10 RUTGERS over *Cincinnati
Late Score Forecast:
RUTGERS 31 - *Cincinnati 14
Long-time Big East scouts tell us not be concerned at all about any letdown
or excessive celebration following Rutgers rousing 28-25 come-back victory
vs. Louisville. Chemistry-rich Scarlet Knights-who've leapfrogged to No. 6
in the BCS-firmly believe they have a shot at the national championship game.
Rutgers evolving QB Teel (189 YP vs. Cards, 1 TDP) demonstrated he can hit
timely passes and take pressure off tackle-breaking RB Rice (1334 YR) &
versatile, bruising FB Leonard week ago. That's very bad news for a smallish
Cincy defense that was overwhelmed by a physical WV attack (303 YR) in
misleading 42-24 loss in Morgantown (Bearcats scored 2 late, "garbage" TDs).
On other hand, Cincy's run-oriented, low-risk offense only gets "low-reward"
vs. fast, deep, athletic Scarlet Knight stop unit (11 ppg, 2.9 ypc) that
incredibly skunked L'Ville's powerful attack in 2nd H! And, note, Schiano's
squad has won by 7 or more in 15 of past 18 wins.
10 UCLA over *Arizona State
Late Score Forecast:
UCLA 27 - *Arizona State 19
Arizona State became bowl eligible last week with a blowout home win over
injury-riddled Washington State. But Pac-10 scouts much more impressed with
UCLA's blue-collar 25-7 victory over hot Oregon State. The Bruin defense is
vastly improved TY under highly-regarded new coordinator DeWayne Walker,
allowing fewer than 100 ypg rushing on less than 3 ypc (down from 233 on 5.4
in 2005!). Soph QB Patrick Cowan has steadily improved since taking over for
injured Ben Olson. UCLA has an emerging WR in jr. Marcus Everett (2 TDC last
week), solid ground support with tough-to-tackle jr. Chris Markey, and a
dead-eye PK in sr. Justin Medlock (nation-leading 23 FGs) to convert drives
that fall short of end zone into points. With Bruins needing one more win to
be eligible for a fifth straight postseason bid, small upset likely.
10*N.Y. JETS over Chicago
Late Score Forecast:
*N.Y. JETS 27 - Chicago 23
(Sunday, November 19)
Points worth taking, especially with spread edging up after Bears victimized
N.Y. Giant team with half a dozen starters out. Jets have slowly, steadily
developed under rookie HC Mangini, who learned so well under Bill Belichick
that he beat his mentor (and now former friend) in just their second meeting.
But the real keys are N.Y.'s advances since the start of the season. Heady,
quick-releasing QB Chad Pennington has stayed healthy (knock on wood) after
two years of injuries. Premium rookie OLmen LT D. Ferguson & C Mangold are
now more than holding their own. Rookie RB Leon Washington & retread Kevan
Barlow have combined for 759 YR and are now providing balance to the offense.
Quick WRs Coles & Cotchery have 92 catches and work well with Pennington.
And the defense, as demonstrated last week at Foxboro, now taking to
Mangini's schemes. Note Chicago only 2-2 vs. spread on road, with 13
giveaways.
TOTALS: OVER (48) in Indianapolis-Dallas game-Indy hurting in secondary;
Dallas pass rush not enough to slow Manning & his receivers. UNDER (36.5) in
Buffalo-Houston game-Bills' offense greatly hampered without McGahee; rookie
LB DeMeco Ryans and young DBs giving up far fewer big plays with Texans.
HONORABLE MENTION (Nine-Rated Games): DUKE (+27) at Georgia Tech-Young Blue
Devils have stabilized; Coastal champ Yellow Jackets need to stay healthy
with visit to hated Georgia, then huge ACC title game on deck! SMU (+6.5)
vs. Tulsa-Last chance at home for 5-5 SMU to become bowl eligible; Mustangs
on the road at streaking Rice next week. BYU (-26) vs. New
Mexico-Pointspread is big, but so is QB edge for Cougars; BYU has outscored
MWC foes 144-16 at the half. MARSHALL (-2.5) vs. Utep-Huge rush edge for
Thundering Herd with "thundering" RB Bradshaw (1152 YR); insertion of sr. QB
Skinner balancing Marshall offense. HOUSTON (-2.5) vs. Buffalo-Bills managed
only 162 yards of total offense at Indy; Gary Kubiak suddenly has hard-nosed
Texans seeking their third straight home win!
posted by phantom
Nov. 14 2006 3:11pm -
0 likes
CFB Computer Predictions
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tuesday, November 14, 2006
Ball State(+4½) at Toledo
Power Rating Projection:
Toledo 29 Ball State 28
Statistical Projections
Ball State 28
Rushing Yards: 83
Passing Yards: 266
Turnovers: 2 Toledo 31
Rushing Yards: 191
Passing Yards: 226
Turnovers: 2
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Toledo 31 Ball State 29
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Wednesday, November 15, 2006
Miami-Ohio(+4) at Bowling Green
Power Rating Projection:
Bowling Green 26 Miami-Ohio 24
Statistical Projections
Miami-Ohio 28
Rushing Yards: 101
Passing Yards: 277
Turnovers: 2 Bowling Green 28
Rushing Yards: 212
Passing Yards: 168
Turnovers: 2
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Bowling Green 24 Miami-Ohio 23
Historical trend: Take Miami-Ohio ( Domination by visiting team, 6-1, 85.7% )
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Thursday, November 16, 2006
Akron(+6) at Ohio
Power Rating Projection:
Ohio 24 Akron 18
Statistical Projections
Akron 19
Rushing Yards: 114
Passing Yards: 185
Turnovers: 2 Ohio 14
Rushing Yards: 133
Passing Yards: 95
Turnovers: 2
** Statistical edge to Akron
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Ohio 19 Akron 13
West Virginia(-10) at Pittsburgh
Power Rating Projection:
West Virginia 29 Pittsburgh 21
Statistical Projections
West Virginia 33
Rushing Yards: 314
Passing Yards: 110
Turnovers: 2 Pittsburgh 22
Rushing Yards: 105
Passing Yards: 220
Turnovers: 2
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
West Virginia 28 Pittsburgh 20
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Friday, November 17, 2006
Eastern Michigan(+10) at Kent State
Power Rating Projection:
Kent State 25 Eastern Michigan 15
Statistical Projections
Eastern Michigan 15
Rushing Yards: 107
Passing Yards: 134
Turnovers: 2 Kent State 23
Rushing Yards: 200
Passing Yards: 163
Turnovers: 2
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Kent State 19 Eastern Michigan 9
Central Michigan(-3) at Northern Illinois
Power Rating Projection:
Northern Illinois 27 Central Michigan 25
Statistical Projections
Central Michigan 26
Rushing Yards: 114
Passing Yards: 263
Turnovers: 2 Northern Illinois 23
Rushing Yards: 141
Passing Yards: 186
Turnovers: 1
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Northern Illinois 26 Central Michigan 24
Historical trend: Take Northern Illinois ( Domination at home by Northern Illinois, 4-0, 100.0% )
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Saturday, November 18, 2006
Buffalo(+38) at Wisconsin
Power Rating Projection:
Wisconsin 43 Buffalo 6
Statistical Projections
Buffalo 11
Rushing Yards: 72
Passing Yards: 132
Turnovers: 2 Wisconsin 42
Rushing Yards: 241
Passing Yards: 245
Turnovers: 2
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Wisconsin 41 Buffalo 3
Western Michigan(+17) at Florida State
Power Rating Projection:
Florida State 28 Western Michigan 14
Statistical Projections
Western Michigan 16
Rushing Yards: 83
Passing Yards: 149
Turnovers: 2 Florida State 24
Rushing Yards: 65
Passing Yards: 249
Turnovers: 2
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Florida State 23 Western Michigan 9
South Florida(+16½) at Louisville
Power Rating Projection:
Louisville 36 South Florida 11
Statistical Projections
South Florida 17
Rushing Yards: 109
Passing Yards: 219
Turnovers: 3 Louisville 31
Rushing Yards: 162
Passing Yards: 244
Turnovers: 2
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Louisville 33 South Florida 8
Connecticut(+3) at Syracuse
Power Rating Projection:
Syracuse 23 Connecticut 20
Statistical Projections
Connecticut 24
Rushing Yards: 229
Passing Yards: 141
Turnovers: 3 Syracuse 25
Rushing Yards: 122
Passing Yards: 211
Turnovers: 1
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Syracuse 19 Connecticut 16
Rutgers(-7) at Cincinnati
Power Rating Projection:
Rutgers 21 Cincinnati 16
Statistical Projections
Rutgers 24
Rushing Yards: 190
Passing Yards: 137
Turnovers: 1 Cincinnati 12
Rushing Yards: 79
Passing Yards: 158
Turnovers: 3
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Rutgers 16 Cincinnati 10
Virginia Tech(Pk) at Wake Forest
Power Rating Projection:
Virginia Tech 22 Wake Forest 14
Statistical Projections
Virginia Tech 14
Rushing Yards: 76
Passing Yards: 161
Turnovers: 3 Wake Forest 14
Rushing Yards: 114
Passing Yards: 112
Turnovers: 2
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Virginia Tech 17 Wake Forest 10
Duke(+28½) at Georgia Tech
Power Rating Projection:
Georgia Tech 30 Duke 9
Statistical Projections
Duke 12
Rushing Yards: 96
Passing Yards: 146
Turnovers: 2 Georgia Tech 31
Rushing Yards: 186
Passing Yards: 194
Turnovers: 2
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Georgia Tech 24 Duke 3
Illinois(+1) at Northwestern
Power Rating Projection:
Northwestern 24 Illinois 21
Statistical Projections
Illinois 23
Rushing Yards: 176
Passing Yards: 185
Turnovers: 3 Northwestern 22
Rushing Yards: 127
Passing Yards: 172
Turnovers: 2
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Northwestern 20 Illinois 17
Missouri(-14½) at Iowa State
Power Rating Projection:
Missouri 30 Iowa State 17
Statistical Projections
Missouri 39
Rushing Yards: 171
Passing Yards: 309
Turnovers: 2 Iowa State 17
Rushing Yards: 87
Passing Yards: 190
Turnovers: 2
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Missouri 27 Iowa State 14
Angle: After Bye Week
Go against Missouri ( Playing on the Road, Favored by 7½+ Points, 52-92-2, 36.1% )
Historical trend: Take Missouri ( Domination by visiting team, 6-2, 75.0% )
Iowa(+3½) at Minnesota
Power Rating Projection:
Minnesota 27 Iowa 22
Statistical Projections
Iowa 25
Rushing Yards: 150
Passing Yards: 279
Turnovers: 2 Minnesota 27
Rushing Yards: 143
Passing Yards: 225
Turnovers: 1
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Minnesota 24 Iowa 19
Historical trend: Take Iowa ( Domination by Iowa, 7-1, 87.5% )
Indiana(+13) at Purdue
Power Rating Projection:
Purdue 33 Indiana 24
Statistical Projections
Indiana 23
Rushing Yards: 138
Passing Yards: 219
Turnovers: 2 Purdue 34
Rushing Yards: 152
Passing Yards: 330
Turnovers: 2
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Purdue 35 Indiana 26
Historical trend: Take Purdue ( Domination at home by Purdue, 4-0, 100.0% )
Historical trend: Take Purdue ( Domination by favorite at Purdue, 4-0, 100.0% )
Historical trend: Take Purdue ( Domination by home team, 7-1, 87.5% )
No Carolina State(-4½) at North Carolina
Power Rating Projection:
No Carolina State 21 North Carolina 14
Statistical Projections
No Carolina State 30
Rushing Yards: 155
Passing Yards: 209
Turnovers: 1 North Carolina 19
Rushing Yards: 115
Passing Yards: 203
Turnovers: 2
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
No Carolina State 17 North Carolina 10
Historical trend: Take North Carolina ( Domination by underdog, 7-1, 87.5% )
Temple(+33) at Navy
Power Rating Projection:
Navy 43 Temple 11
Statistical Projections
Temple 14
Rushing Yards: 73
Passing Yards: 179
Turnovers: 2 Navy 48
Rushing Yards: 469
Passing Yards: 73
Turnovers: 1
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Navy 45 Temple 13
Tennessee(-9) at Vanderbilt
Power Rating Projection:
Tennessee 34 Vanderbilt 19
Statistical Projections
Tennessee 31
Rushing Yards: 116
Passing Yards: 279
Turnovers: 2 Vanderbilt 25
Rushing Yards: 156
Passing Yards: 218
Turnovers: 2
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Tennessee 34 Vanderbilt 19
Houston(-16) at Memphis
Power Rating Projection:
Houston 35 Memphis 18
Statistical Projections
Houston 38
Rushing Yards: 177
Passing Yards: 308
Turnovers: 1 Memphis 21
Rushing Yards: 109
Passing Yards: 212
Turnovers: 2
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Houston 34 Memphis 17
Oklahoma State(+7) at Texas Tech
Power Rating Projection:
Texas Tech 34 Oklahoma State 27
Statistical Projections
Oklahoma State 32
Rushing Yards: 191
Passing Yards: 192
Turnovers: 2 Texas Tech 33
Rushing Yards: 80
Passing Yards: 422
Turnovers: 2
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Texas Tech 38 Oklahoma State 32
Historical trend: Take Texas Tech ( Domination at home by Texas Tech, 4-0, 100.0% )
Historical trend: Take Texas Tech ( Domination by favorite at Texas Tech, 4-0, 100.0% )
U-C-F(Pk) at Tulane
Power Rating Projection:
Tulane 29 U-C-F 28
Statistical Projections
U-C-F 29
Rushing Yards: 148
Passing Yards: 264
Turnovers: 1 Tulane 27
Rushing Yards: 113
Passing Yards: 286
Turnovers: 1
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Tulane 32 U-C-F 31
Army(+36) at Notre Dame
Power Rating Projection:
Notre Dame 39 Army 16
Statistical Projections
Army 16
Rushing Yards: 92
Passing Yards: 157
Turnovers: 2 Notre Dame 37
Rushing Yards: 149
Passing Yards: 294
Turnovers: 1
** Statistical edge to Army
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Notre Dame 40 Army 17
Utah State(+38) at Boise State
Power Rating Projection:
Boise State 48 Utah State 8
Statistical Projections
Utah State 8
Rushing Yards: 74
Passing Yards: 117
Turnovers: 2 Boise State 47
Rushing Yards: 281
Passing Yards: 220
Turnovers: 1
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Boise State 49 Utah State 10
Historical trend: Take Boise State ( Domination by Boise State, 4-0, 100.0% )
East Carolina(-1½) at Rice
Power Rating Projection:
East Carolina 30 Rice 23
Statistical Projections
East Carolina 33
Rushing Yards: 159
Passing Yards: 294
Turnovers: 2 Rice 22
Rushing Yards: 140
Passing Yards: 164
Turnovers: 2
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
East Carolina 30 Rice 23
Oklahoma(-21½) at Baylor
Power Rating Projection:
Oklahoma 31 Baylor 13
Statistical Projections
Oklahoma 31
Rushing Yards: 239
Passing Yards: 184
Turnovers: 3 Baylor 17
Rushing Yards: 48
Passing Yards: 249
Turnovers: 3
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Oklahoma 26 Baylor 9
Historical trend: Take Oklahoma ( Domination by visiting team, 6-2, 75.0% )
Tulsa(-6) at S-M-U
Power Rating Projection:
Tulsa 28 S-M-U 25
Statistical Projections
Tulsa 24
Rushing Yards: 130
Passing Yards: 214
Turnovers: 2 S-M-U 20
Rushing Yards: 118
Passing Yards: 163
Turnovers: 1
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Tulsa 28 S-M-U 26
Historical trend: Take S-M-U ( Domination by S-M-U, 6-2, 75.0% )
Michigan(+7) at Ohio State
Power Rating Projection:
Ohio State 26 Michigan 15
Statistical Projections
Michigan 18
Rushing Yards: 149
Passing Yards: 158
Turnovers: 2 Ohio State 19
Rushing Yards: 94
Passing Yards: 174
Turnovers: 1
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Ohio State 32 Michigan 10
Ohio State (1 star)
Historical trend: Take Ohio State ( Domination by Ohio State, 6-2, 75.0% )
Mississippi(+27) at Louisiana State
Power Rating Projection:
Louisiana State 40 Mississippi 7
Statistical Projections
Mississippi 9
Rushing Yards: 69
Passing Yards: 113
Turnovers: 2 Louisiana State 28
Rushing Yards: 157
Passing Yards: 229
Turnovers: 1
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Louisiana State 38 Mississippi 6
Historical trend: Take Mississippi ( Domination by underdog, 6-2, 75.0% )
Historical trend: Take Mississippi ( Domination on the road by Mississippi, 4-0, 100.0% )
Oregon State(-16) at Stanford
Power Rating Projection:
Oregon State 30 Stanford 16
Statistical Projections
Oregon State 29
Rushing Yards: 155
Passing Yards: 249
Turnovers: 2 Stanford 10
Rushing Yards: 31
Passing Yards: 165
Turnovers: 3
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Oregon State 26 Stanford 12
Auburn(-3) at Alabama
Power Rating Projection:
Auburn 23 Alabama 21
Statistical Projections
Auburn 23
Rushing Yards: 151
Passing Yards: 168
Turnovers: 2 Alabama 22
Rushing Yards: 132
Passing Yards: 235
Turnovers: 1
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Auburn 19 Alabama 16
Arizona(+10) at Oregon
Power Rating Projection:
Oregon 33 Arizona 16
Statistical Projections
Arizona 14
Rushing Yards: 72
Passing Yards: 135
Turnovers: 2 Oregon 33
Rushing Yards: 181
Passing Yards: 262
Turnovers: 2
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Oregon 31 Arizona 14
New Mexico(+24) at Brigham Young
Power Rating Projection:
Brigham Young 41 New Mexico 17
Statistical Projections
New Mexico 15
Rushing Yards: 94
Passing Yards: 158
Turnovers: 2 Brigham Young 33
Rushing Yards: 126
Passing Yards: 275
Turnovers: 1
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Brigham Young 44 New Mexico 20
San Diego State(+17) at Texas Christian
Power Rating Projection:
Texas Christian 28 San Diego State 14
Statistical Projections
San Diego State 11
Rushing Yards: 78
Passing Yards: 144
Turnovers: 2 Texas Christian 27
Rushing Yards: 186
Passing Yards: 208
Turnovers: 2
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Texas Christian 23 San Diego State 9
Wyoming(-11) at Nevada-Las Vegas
Power Rating Projection:
Wyoming 27 Nevada-Las Vegas 23
Statistical Projections
Wyoming 28
Rushing Yards: 152
Passing Yards: 229
Turnovers: 2 Nevada-Las Vegas 17
Rushing Yards: 68
Passing Yards: 213
Turnovers: 2
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Wyoming 26 Nevada-Las Vegas 21
Historical trend: Take Nevada-Las Vegas ( Domination by underdog at Nevada-Las Vegas, 4-0, 100.0% )
Historical trend: Take Wyoming ( Domination by visiting team, 6-2, 75.0% )
UTEP(+1½) at Marshall
Power Rating Projection:
Marshall 29 UTEP 28
Statistical Projections
UTEP 29
Rushing Yards: 69
Passing Yards: 315
Turnovers: 2 Marshall 26
Rushing Yards: 151
Passing Yards: 216
Turnovers: 3
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Marshall 32 UTEP 31
Idaho(+10) at Fresno State
Power Rating Projection:
Fresno State 40 Idaho 20
Statistical Projections
Idaho 26
Rushing Yards: 118
Passing Yards: 244
Turnovers: 1 Fresno State 30
Rushing Yards: 172
Passing Yards: 200
Turnovers: 2
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Fresno State 45 Idaho 24
Washington(+10½) at Washington State
Power Rating Projection:
Washington State 25 Washington 20
Statistical Projections
Washington 21
Rushing Yards: 105
Passing Yards: 231
Turnovers: 2 Washington State 28
Rushing Yards: 129
Passing Yards: 297
Turnovers: 1
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Washington State 20 Washington 15
Historical trend: Take Washington ( Domination by underdog, 6-2, 75.0% )
Arkansas(-14) at Mississippi State
Power Rating Projection:
Arkansas 31 Mississippi State 16
Statistical Projections
Arkansas 32
Rushing Yards: 194
Passing Yards: 208
Turnovers: 2 Mississippi State 11
Rushing Yards: 67
Passing Yards: 142
Turnovers: 2
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Arkansas 28 Mississippi State 13
Historical trend: Take Mississippi State ( Domination by underdog at Mississippi State, 4-0, 100.0% )
Michigan State(+17) at Penn State
Power Rating Projection:
Penn State 33 Michigan State 19
Statistical Projections
Michigan State 17
Rushing Yards: 100
Passing Yards: 188
Turnovers: 2 Penn State 29
Rushing Yards: 122
Passing Yards: 238
Turnovers: 2
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Penn State 33 Michigan State 18
Historical trend: Take Penn State ( Domination at home by Penn State, 4-0, 100.0% )
Historical trend: Take Penn State ( Domination by favorite, 6-2, 75.0% )
Kansas State(+3) at Kansas
Power Rating Projection:
Kansas 30 Kansas State 23
Statistical Projections
Kansas State 20
Rushing Yards: 113
Passing Yards: 193
Turnovers: 2 Kansas 22
Rushing Yards: 146
Passing Yards: 201
Turnovers: 3
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Kansas 30 Kansas State 23
Historical trend: Take Kansas ( Domination by favorite, 7-1, 87.5% )
Historical trend: Take Kansas State ( Domination by Kansas State, 7-1, 87.5% )
Miami-Florida(-3½) at Virginia
Power Rating Projection:
Miami-Florida 21 Virginia 16
Statistical Projections
Miami-Florida 18
Rushing Yards: 96
Passing Yards: 196
Turnovers: 2 Virginia 15
Rushing Yards: 65
Passing Yards: 201
Turnovers: 1
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Miami-Florida 16 Virginia 10
Maryland(+6) at Boston College
Power Rating Projection:
Boston College 28 Maryland 18
Statistical Projections
Maryland 15
Rushing Yards: 116
Passing Yards: 149
Turnovers: 3 Boston College 30
Rushing Yards: 156
Passing Yards: 258
Turnovers: 1
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Boston College 24 Maryland 14
Utah(Pk) at Air Force
Power Rating Projection:
Utah 25 Air Force 22
Statistical Projections
Utah 28
Rushing Yards: 166
Passing Yards: 217
Turnovers: 2 Air Force 21
Rushing Yards: 230
Passing Yards: 85
Turnovers: 2
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Utah 24 Air Force 22
U-A-B(+14) at Southern Miss
Power Rating Projection:
Southern Miss 28 U-A-B 19
Statistical Projections
U-A-B 17
Rushing Yards: 136
Passing Yards: 160
Turnovers: 1 Southern Miss 25
Rushing Yards: 149
Passing Yards: 196
Turnovers: 1
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Southern Miss 24 U-A-B 15
Historical trend: Take U-A-B ( Domination by underdog, 5-1, 83.3% )
Nevada-Reno(-21½) at Louisiana Tech
Power Rating Projection:
Nevada-Reno 36 Louisiana Tech 16
Statistical Projections
Nevada-Reno 42
Rushing Yards: 245
Passing Yards: 245
Turnovers: 2 Louisiana Tech 16
Rushing Yards: 132
Passing Yards: 193
Turnovers: 4
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Nevada-Reno 36 Louisiana Tech 16
California(+5½) at Southern Cal
Power Rating Projection:
Southern Cal 29 California 22
Statistical Projections
California 24
Rushing Yards: 136
Passing Yards: 229
Turnovers: 1 Southern Cal 31
Rushing Yards: 167
Passing Yards: 279
Turnovers: 2
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Southern Cal 34 California 16
Southern Cal (1 star)
Historical trend: Take California ( Domination by underdog at Southern Cal, 4-0, 100.0% )
Historical trend: Take California ( Domination on the road by California, 4-0, 100.0% )
U.C.L.A.(+4½) at Arizona State
Power Rating Projection:
Arizona State 32 U.C.L.A. 24
Statistical Projections
U.C.L.A. 21
Rushing Yards: 120
Passing Yards: 174
Turnovers: 2 Arizona State 24
Rushing Yards: 136
Passing Yards: 199
Turnovers: 2
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Arizona State 34 U.C.L.A. 26
San Jose State(+23½) at Hawaii
Power Rating Projection:
Hawaii 40 San Jose State 17
Statistical Projections
San Jose State 22
Rushing Yards: 172
Passing Yards: 170
Turnovers: 2 Hawaii 33
Rushing Yards: 103
Passing Yards: 383
Turnovers: 2
** Statistical edge to San Jose State
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Hawaii 49 San Jose State 14
Hawaii (1 star)
UL-Monroe(+17½) at Kentucky
Power Rating Projection:
Kentucky 31 UL-Monroe 18
Statistical Projections
UL-Monroe 25
Rushing Yards: 154
Passing Yards: 243
Turnovers: 3 Kentucky 25
Rushing Yards: 109
Passing Yards: 264
Turnovers: 3
** Statistical edge to UL-Monroe
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Kentucky 29 UL-Monroe 16
UL-Lafayette(-6½) at Florida Intl
Power Rating Projection:
UL-Lafayette 28 Florida Intl 21
Statistical Projections
UL-Lafayette 17
Rushing Yards: 133
Passing Yards: 116
Turnovers: 2 Florida Intl 15
Rushing Yards: 60
Passing Yards: 210
Turnovers: 2
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
UL-Lafayette 26 Florida Intl 19
Arkansas State(+9½) at Troy
Power Rating Projection:
Troy 30 Arkansas State 17
Statistical Projections
Arkansas State 13
Rushing Yards: 138
Passing Yards: 146
Turnovers: 3 Troy 21
Rushing Yards: 135
Passing Yards: 198
Turnovers: 3
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Troy 26 Arkansas State 14
Middle Tennessee(+16) at South Carolina
Power Rating Projection:
South Carolina 32 Middle Tennessee 21
Statistical Projections
Middle Tennessee 19
Rushing Yards: 144
Passing Yards: 174
Turnovers: 2 South Carolina 21
Rushing Yards: 120
Passing Yards: 227
Turnovers: 2
** Statistical edge to Middle Tennessee
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
South Carolina 31 Middle Tennessee 20
Florida Atlantic(+5) at North Texas
Power Rating Projection:
North Texas 26 Florida Atlantic 20
Statistical Projections
Florida Atlantic 17
Rushing Yards: 98
Passing Yards: 192
Turnovers: 2 North Texas 17
Rushing Yards: 151
Passing Yards: 131
Turnovers: 2
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
North Texas 22 Florida Atlantic 16
Western Carolina at Florida
Power Rating Projection:
Florida 39 Western Carolina 0
Statistical Projections
No statistical projections for this game
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Florida 59 Western Carolina 0
posted by phantom
Nov. 15 2006 1:44am -
0 likes
Sports Reporters College
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
sorrry guys just been busy today.here you go
4
TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 14
*TOLEDO over BALL STATE by 7
The Rockets, who usually are in contention for MAC championships, are playing out the string
and might save some of their energy for rival Bowling Green next Tuesday. Ball State has
three extra days to prepare after going all-out at Michigan in close loss. TOLEDO, 33-26.
WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 15
*BOWLING GREEN over MIAMI-OHIO by 2
Slightly prefer Miami QB Mike Kokal over BG’s Anthony Turner. BOWLING GREEN, 26-24.
THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 16
*OHIO over AKRON by 8
Ohio needs a win here to lock up the MAC East title and a spot in the conference championship
game, and Bobcats are looking to atone for 27-3 loss last season in which they were
out-gained 498-110 in total offense. Ohio leads the MAC in pass defense efficiency this season
and should do a better job of containing Akron QB Luke Getsy, who is coming off a four-
TD performance in win over Buffalo. OHIO, 24-16.
WEST VIRGINIA over *PITTSBURGH by 6
Expect that ever-swift Mountaineers tandem of QB Pat White and RB Steve Slaton to prove
to be too elusive here for a Pittsburgh defense that allowed UConn signal-caller D.J.
Hernandez to run/pass ‘em wild in that two-OT game last week. The ’06 Backyard Brawl will
be closer than last year’s 45-13 West Virginia win. WEST VIRGINIA, 34-28.
FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 17
*KENT STATE over EASTERN MICHIGAN by 9
Kent State limited Virginia Tech to 214 yards last week, but how much of that was Virginia
Tech looking ahead to Wake Forest? EMU’s chances of being ready for the Navy offense were
slim and none, which you were forewarned about with a Best Bet against them last week.
This is easier, and Kent has some offensive injuries at the skill spots. KENT STATE, 22-13.
*NORTHERN ILLINOIS over CENTRAL MICHIGAN by 1
Motivation could be lacking for Central Michigan, which already has clinched MAC West title
and spot in conference final. RB Garrett Wolfe's latest sub-par performance (54 yards on 16
carries vs. Toledo) was partially due to the ridiculous conditions, as a dense fog rendered the
NIU passing game even more pathetic than usual. Better conditions would mean a good
chance for Wolfe to recapture his early-season form. NORTHERN ILLINOIS, 24-23.
SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 18
*WISCONSIN over BUFFALO by 36
Wisconsin QB John Stocco (shoulder) sat out last week’s win at Iowa and certainly isn’t
needed here as Badgers can simply run P.J. Hill into the line about 25 to 30 times and still
get a comfortable win. Buffalo doesn’t have the depth to compete with a power team at this
juncture of the season, as it demonstrated in a 41-0 loss at Boston College last month. WISCONSIN,
43-7.
*FLORIDA STATE over WESTERN MICHIGAN by 20
No doubt that Florida State’s Bobby Bowden never did deserve to be part of college football’s
Mount Rushmore but now the sad truth is Bowden and son Jeff (the rotten offensive coordinator)
have outlived their usefulness as last week’s humbling 30-0 home loss against Wake
Forest was bottom-of-the-barrel stuff. Neither QB Xavier Lee nor Drew Weatherford can do
anything right but this is a Mid-Am foe here, you know. FLORIDA STATE, 33-13.
*LOUISVILLE over SOUTH FLORIDA by 17
Lost amidst all the hoopla last Thursday night – the “pandemonium in Piscatawayâ€
posted by phantom
Nov. 16 2006 2:33pm -
0 likes
Sports Reporters College
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
COLLEGE FOO FOOTB TBALL ALL
6
*ALABAMA over AUBURN by 1
Auburn crumbled vs. Georgia’s physical style of play last Saturday. The Tide also likes to play
tough up front, which could cause problems for the smaller/faster Auburn defense. Do not
expect another 4-12, 4 INT performance from Tiger signal caller Brandon Cox. OC Al Borges
will ensure that his offense is ready to go for the Iron Bowl. The Tide rolls with a late field
goal. ALABAMA, 23-22.
*OREGON over ARIZONA by 8
For the third week in a row – here it comes – “Oregon cannot win if they cannot run.â€
posted by phantom
Nov. 16 2006 2:34pm -
0 likes
Sports Reporters College
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MIAMI-FL over *VIRGINIA by 5
The Year-from-hell continues for Miami with last week’s 14-13 loss-but-cover at Maryland
completely overshadowed by shooting death of DL Bryan Pata. Maybe boss-man Larry Coker
will exit out the side door moments after next week’s finale against Boston College. MIAMIFL,
21-16.
RECOMMENDED
MARYLAND over *BOSTON COLLEGE by 1
This ACC clash has plenty of hereafter implications. Don’t be surprised if the favored BC
Eagles pull back a bit and play this one close to the proverbial vest. Running backs L.V.
Whitworth and Andre Callender each cracked the 100-yard rushing mark last week in
BC’s win against Duke and only question here is whether Maryland’s sudden strike-fast
offense can make up points against ball-control minded Birds. The key may well be
whether Maryland can run it when QB Sam Hollenbach’s not going deep. Thanks to kicker
Dan Ennis and the Eagles’ conservative strategy here, the Terps keep it very close.
MARYLAND 21-20.
*AIR FORCE over UTAH by 2
Notre Dame was able to hold the Air Force option attack to under 4 yards per carry. Keep in
mind that the Irish had seen a similar attack from Navy just weeks before. The Utes are stout
against the run, to the tune of only 107 yards per game. The Falcons should have more success
that than and will be motivated by last year’s 38-35 loss. Utah will move the ball as well
on an Air Force secondary that struggles against decent passing teams. AIR FORCE, 28-26.
*SOUTHERN MISS over UAB by 8
Recent back-to-back road wins at Memphis and at Tulane may have Jeff Bower’s Southern
Miss kids revved up, but not us. They are 3-0-1 ATS in last four games against UAB, but UAB
will pound it on the ground for some success and make the task tougher than it looks with
a defense facing no extraordinary tasks. SOUTHERN MISS, 21-13.
NEVADA over *LOUISIANA TECH by 21
Nevada has covered eight in a row with the balanced Pistol offense (60% Runs, 180-210
yardage split) Louisiana Tech is back home after playing its seventh of eight road games this
year (who booked this schedule!) with nothing in the tank after a trip to the 50th state. NEVADA,
35-14.
RECOMMENDED
CALIFORNIA over *USC by 3
Two teams going in opposite directions? Cal is coming off a loss on the road to recent
upstart Arizona, while the Trojans shot down the Oregon Ducks by 25. So how does Cal
compete? The Golden Bears match up athletically with the Trojans, which is a rarity given
Pete Carroll’s’ recent recruiting success. Cal coach Jeff Tedford will use Marshawn Lynch
in a big way to ensure that he does not put his QB, who is prone to throwing picks, in
bad situations. The Trojans are starting to click a bit on offense, but the rushing attack
has been inconsistent all year and they did lose tailback Moody last week to injury. If Cal
can make USC one dimensional, they should be able to pressure Booty into a few picks.
Before last week, talk was that this Pac-10 battle would be even. Now people are handing
the game and the Pac-10 title to the Trojans. This game is huge for Cal and they will
be ready. CAL, 35-32.
*ARIZONA STATE over UCLA by 1
ASU is like a box of chocolates – you never know what you are going to get. Scary proposition
for you, but an opportunity as well. The Sun Devils returned to their passing roots last
week, hitting for over 300 yards. This will give the Bruin coaching staff something to think
about. UCLA’s offense is average at best, despite a nice showing at Cal two weeks ago. This
game is typically a shootout – averaging 72 points in the last nine. This Saturday’s game will
be much lower scoring. ARIZONA STATE, 24-23.
*HAWAII over SAN JOSE STATE by 22
San Jose put everything it had into last week’s game and came up just short against Boise
State, and now must face distraction of long trip. QB Colt Brennan has become almost
unstoppable in Hawaii’s system and he passed for 457 yards and three TDs in Hawaii’s 45-
38 road win over SJSU last season. Hawaii RB Nate Ilaoa (ankle) sat out last week against
Louisiana Tech but it obviously didn’t matter. HAWAII, 48-26.
*KENTUCKY over LOUISIANA-MONROE by 24
“Bowl eligibilityâ€
posted by phantom
Nov. 16 2006 2:34pm -
0 likes
winning points..best bets & preferred plays
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
****BEST BET
ALABAMA* over AUBURN by 17
Best Bet tickets in any sport do not come in any easier than our rout with Georgia
over Auburn at the top of these pages last week, with the Bulldogs rolling wire to
wire in beating the pointspread by 34 points. But we are not finished with Tommy
Tuberville’s Tigers yet. For while there will be some pointspread adjustment
because of last week’s thrashing, the bottom line is that they are still the most overrated
team in the nation. They carry a 3-2 record in their S.E.C. showdown games
into this one, beating L.S.U., Florida and South Carolina and losing to Arkansas
and Georgia, but take a closer look – they were out-played to the tune of -22 first
downs and 531 yards in those games. With just a few bounces going the other way
it could have been an 0-5 collar, and that is without counting an ugly 23-17 road
survival vs. weak Ole Miss. Yet somehow they are still considered superior to an
Alabama team that has been every bit their equal vs. common opponents, and will
bring a much greater sense of purpose here. For while Auburn was still dreaming
about a possible national championship as late as last Saturday’s kickoff, which
makes it most difficult to refocus, the Crimson Tide can make up for much of this
season’s disappointment by winning here. There is nothing in the way of that, as
we have the rarity of a team taking points at home that does not have a matchup
disadvantage anywhere on the field, and is also bringing every once of energy that
they have to the fray. ALABAMA 30-13.
***BEST BET
ILLINOIS over NORTHWESTERN* by 17
Heading into the final game of his second season Ron Zook is on the verge of a 2-
10 record if his Illini lose here, which on paper would appear to be a step back from
last year’s 2-9. But the truth is that this is one of the most improved teams in the
country, and one that will be ready to go bowling as early as next year. Yes, wins
have been few and far between, but take a closer look at some of those final scores.
In fact, in Big 10 play, take a closer look at all of them. They have played the same
seven opponents as last year, and closed the gap by a staggering 186 points, or nearly
27 points per game. They made up at least 11 points against every opponent,
and note that we are only talking about the scoreboard here. What is even more
intriguing is that they out-gained Ohio State, Penn State and Indiana in games that
they lost, and were within 30 yards of Purdue, Wisconsin and Iowa. There has not
been a conference game in which they were out-played, but in their 1-6 Big 10
demise they have been -8 in turnovers. Now playing bowl-bound programs in each
of the last four weeks they step way down in a class here, facing a soft Northwestern
team that will not pressure them into those mistakes. Now Juice Williams gets a
chance to show every bit of his athleticism against a Wildcat defense that does not
have the speed to contain him. Next season begins now for the Illini, in front of a
crowd that usually has more orange than purple in the stands when they play here
in Evanston. ILLINOIS 31-14.
**PREFERRED
Cincinnati* over Rutgers by 3
It is not pulling the huge upset at home under pressure that cements your program
as finally “Coming of Ageâ€
posted by phantom
Nov. 16 2006 2:36pm -
0 likes
Winning points close calls
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Ball State over Toledo* by 2 (Tuesday)
The confidence gained by going out and making some real plays at Michigan
could carry over for the Cardinals as they step down in class, with the Glass Bowl
no longer such an intimidating factor. BALL STATE 26-24.
Bowling Green* over Miami O. by 6 (Wednesday)
Falcons lead the M.A.C. in rushing, and the RedHawk defense is as week up front
as it has been in many seasons. That matters even more when the November winds
blow. BOWLING GREEN 27-21.
Ohio U.* over Akron by 7 (Thursday)
Bobcats get nearly two full weeks to prepare for this one, which means physical
freshness to match what should be an ideal focus – a win here and they go to the
M.A.C. Championship game. OHIO 26-19.
West Virginia over Pittsburgh* by 13 (Thursday)
Panther rush defense is the worst possible weakness to have when Pat White and
Steve Slaton come to town, and the short practice week off of a long day at UConn
is not the way to heal tired bodies in the DL. WEST VIRGINIA 33-20.
Kent State* over Eastern Michigan by 10 (Friday)
The Golden Flashes “economizedâ€
posted by phantom
Nov. 16 2006 2:36pm -
0 likes
Power Sweep
NFL
KEY SELECTIONS
4* MIAMI over Minnesota - This game has the Vikings #25 & #12 units over the L4W vs the Dolphins #11 & #9 units. After playing themselves into playoff oblivion MIA is one of the underrated teams for the 2H of the season & get a very good matchup at home vs a dome team that has only 9 offensive TD’s on the year. MIN hasn’t adjusted to HC Childress’ West Coast system as QB Johnson simply doesn’t have the WR corps to make it go. This has forced the offense to press for points & MIN has lost the TO battle in the L3 games (-6). MIA has begun its 2H resurgence by upsetting the Bears & beating KC returning to what made it work for them LY. They’ve avg’d 119 ypg rush (4.1) the L4W and MIA has been able to rest the defense & take the pressure off Harrington who has been getting better in the system. The Dolphins are the play here as they take on a dome team that doesn’t play well on grass & are painfully one-dimensional with the lack of a passing game. FORECAST: MIAMI 23 Minnesota 10
3* KANSAS CITY over Oakland - The Chiefs are 21-10-1 ATS vs the Raiders. First & 2nd year QB’s are now 2-19 SU at Arrowhead Stadium. The Chiefs get another inexperienced QB at home where they have outFD’d foes 23-15 & outgained them 369-248 & are +3 TO’s with an avg score of 29-20. OAK has scored 3 TD’s in their L/61 drives & have been outrushed 164 (4.6) to 86 (3.7) on the road TY with 20 sacks allowed & are -10 in TO’s being outscored 23-7 on avg. There is some value here as KC lost to a resurgent Dolphins team & OAK played well vs a depleted DEN defense off a pair of high profile games. The OAK OL has allowed opposing defenses to hit their QB 97 times prior to LW which is 45.8% of the QB snaps & while MLB Johnson may miss his one, KC has a good pair of DE’s in Hali & Allen. Look for the Chiefs to get an easy win at home vs an overmatched OAK offense & Larry Johnson to have a big day vs OAK’s #25 rush defense. FORECAST: KANSAS CITY 24 Oakland 6
OTHER SELECTIONS
2* TAMPA BAY over Washington - LY TB scored a TD & were down by 1 with 1:52 left. The XP was blocked but WAS hit with an offsides pen & the ball was placed at the 2 yd line. TB went for it & Alstott ran it in for the 2 pt conv as the teams combined for 759 yds. TB is 7-3-1 ATS hosting a non-div foe. This is the 2nd of 3 gms TB is playing in an 11 day span & is the 4th time the schedule has ever been this tough to a team. TB’s 2-6 record prior to MNF is their worst since 1996 & they have been outFD’d 19-13 & outgained 359-214 at home TY losing by an avg score of 24-15. WAS is 1-4 SU & ATS vs NFC teams TY with their best games coming vs the AFC South. In conference play WAS has been outFD 20-15 & outgained 366-251 losing by an avg score of 22-11. There is no line due to the MNF game but TB is at home vs WAS #30 defense which will get little help as Portis is out with a broken hand & the Bucs are the play. FORECAST: TAMPA BAY 17 Washington 10
2* Tennessee (+) over PHILADELPHIA - This is officially the 2* “Ugly Dogâ€
posted by phantom
Nov. 16 2006 2:39pm -
0 likes
Red Sheet
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NOVEMBER 18, 2006 VOLUME 38, NUMBER 12
ALABAMA 24 - Auburn 17 - (3:30 EST) -- Line opened at Auburn minus 4½, and is now minus 3. Well, the
bubble that was Auburn, popped (exploded would be a better descriptive), in the Tigers'
embarrassing 37-15 loss to fast-falling Georgia, as 12-pt chalks, no less. That one opened
many an eye, with a resultant 10 spot drop in the national polls. Can they regroup for this
traditional rivalry? Anything is possible, but they've been doing it with mirrors since early
Sept (446-171 yd deficit LW, for example), & any sudden turnaround hardly seems in the
cards. Tide is still seeking an overland game, but 'Bama is always a premier dog play (3-0-
1 ATS this year), with a quality defense. Wrong team is favored.
RATING: ALABAMA 89
NOTRE DAME 55 - Army 10 - (2:30 - NBC) -- Line opened at NotreDame minus 34, and is now minus 31½.
Third military school encounter of the season for the Irish, & thus far, they've shown that
they've just continued along with their normal total domination of such outfits: 38-14 rout of
Navy (10½ pt cover), & 39-17 wipeout of AirForce (11-pt cover). Admittedly, the spot on this
one is much higher than those earlier setups by 18 & 21½, but the Cadets have been
among the dregs for the past decade. Try a combined 24-88 since their last bowl shot ('96
Independence). Sporadic success this year, but can't dismiss defensive efforts of 48, 42, &
43 pts. Irish & Quinn (29 TD passes) get any kinks out before USC.
RATING: NOTRE DAME 89
FLORIDA STATE 33 - Western Michigan 7 - (2:00) -- Line opened at FloridaSt minus 15½, and is now
minus 15. If ever there was a spot to get on the Seminoles, this is it. A week ago, they
suffered the worst embarrassment in Bowden's storied career, namely a home shutout,
which had never happened in Bobby's reign. You know that the whip will be cracked, not
only for the quick bounceback angle, but the fact is that a bowl award may also depend on
the outcome of this contest. Through all of the 'Noles troubles this season, they still rank
10th in the nation in total defense. Their 33-0 shutout of Virginia followed on the heels their
previous loss (Maryland). And Western enters off pair of losses itself. Romper.
RATING: FLORIDA STATE 88
KANSAS 34 - Kansas State 20 - (3:30) -- Line opened at Kansas minus 3, and is now minus 2. Nice spot
for the Jayhawks, who had last week off, following their 41-10 lambasting of IowaSt, while
the Wildcats must come down from their shocking upset of mighty Texas. But the fact is
that Texas lost is spectacular QB McCoy early on (3rd ranked QB in the nation: 27 TD
passes, with just 4 INTs). Not only that, but KSt managed only 23 RYs in that one, & barely
hung on after jumping to a 42-21 lead. And that tilt was at home, which is huge, in analyzing
any Wildcat game, as the host has now covered 16 of their last 20 ouitings. KU is highly
competitive, QB Meier is in off 17-of-22 showing, & Cornish is at 1,130 RYs.
RATING: KANSAS 88
KENTUCKY 52 - Louisiana-Monroe 20 - (1:00) -- Line opened at Kentucky minus 18, and is now minus
19½. The Wildcats seem bowl-bound, for first time since '99 (20-13 loss to Syracuse in
MusicCity). We are the first to admit that we've been highly skeptical of their season,
despite their 6-4 record. Afterall, they've yet to outstat a single lined team, ranking 117th in
the nation in total defense. A week ago, they piled up 597 yds in their 12-pt won over Vandy,
but the Commodores amassed 621 yds themselves, as 4 Vandy turnovers proved the difference.
However, QB Woodson is smoking 29-of-42 for 446 yds & 4 TDs last wk, & this is
the time to step out with the 'Cats, catching Monroe off just its second win of year.
RATING: KENTUCKY 88
KANSAS CITY 30 - Oakland 10 - (1:00) -- Line opened at KansasCity minus 8, and is now minus 9½. This
was at one time, the most publicized rivalry in the NFL. Those days are now gone, at least
until the moldy Raiders turn their fortunes around (15-42 SU since their appearance in the
'02 SuperBowl. As with any squad, they've had their moments, but there is no getting
around the fact that, offensively, they rank dead among the NFL's 32 teams (less than 12
ppg). Not the stat they need, in trying to trade pts with the Chiefs, who've scored an average
of 35.3 ppg in their last 3 hosters. Johnson averaging 133.3 RYpg the last 4 weeks, &
Huard is an awesome 11/1 in TD/INT ratio. KC's 10 pts at Miami doesn't sit well.
RATING: KANSAS CITY 88
NEAR CHOICES (Rated 87): Nevada, PennSt, Missouri, Houston -- NFL: NewEngland, StLouis, NYGiants
LINE MOVES (from largest to smallest move): KentSt (-7½ to -12½); CentMichigan (+1 to -3½); Illinois
(+1½ to -2½); Indiana (+12½ to +10); Army (+34 to +31½); Oregon (-11 to -13); Nevada (-18 to -20); Akron
(+6½ to +5); UConn (+3 to +1½); NoCarolina (+5½ to +4); Navy (-30 to -31½); Oklahoma (-18½ to -20);
Alabama (+4½ to +3); Marshall (-1 to -2½); SoMississippi (-13 to -14½); SoCalifornia (-4 to -5½); Kentucky
(-18 to -19½); Hawaii (-22½ to -24) - NFL: Chicago (-4 to -7); NewEngland (-4 to -6); Jacksonville (-1½ to -
3½); KansasCity (-8 to -9½); Cincinnati (+5 to +3½); Baltimore (-3 to -4½); Houston (-1 to -2½); Minnesota
(+5 to +3½); Arizona (-1 to -2½). --TIME CHANGES: Rutgers/Cincinnati: now 7:45; Northwestern/Illinois:
now 1:00; WakeForest/VirginiaTech: now 7:00; BostonCollege/Maryland: now 12:00....
RED SHEET ONLINE
RATINGS: 89 & ABOVE: SUPERIOR PLAY
88 & BELOW: ABOVE AVERAGE PLAY
__________________
posted by phantom
Nov. 16 2006 2:40pm -
0 likes
Sports Reporters
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THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 16
*OHIO over AKRON by 8
Ohio needs a win here to lock up the MAC East title and a spot in the conference championship
game, and Bobcats are looking to atone for 27-3 loss last season in which they were
out-gained 498-110 in total offense. Ohio leads the MAC in pass defense efficiency this season
and should do a better job of containing Akron QB Luke Getsy, who is coming off a four-
TD performance in win over Buffalo. OHIO, 24-16.
WEST VIRGINIA over *PITTSBURGH by 6
Expect that ever-swift Mountaineers tandem of QB Pat White and RB Steve Slaton to prove
to be too elusive here for a Pittsburgh defense that allowed UConn signal-caller D.J.
Hernandez to run/pass ‘em wild in that two-OT game last week. The ’06 Backyard Brawl will
be closer than last year’s 45-13 West Virginia win. WEST VIRGINIA, 34-28.
posted by phantom
Nov. 16 2006 2:41pm -
0 likes
Intra-State Dominance: Starting in Game 11, play any dog in an intra-state rivalry game that has won at
least the last 3 in the series
Pointspread Record Since 1993: 17-6 ATS (66%)
This week’s application: Akron, Northwestern
__________________
Point Wise
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
5 West Virginia 41-17
__________________
winning points
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Ohio U.* over Akron by 7 (Thursday)
Bobcats get nearly two full weeks to prepare for this one, which means physical
freshness to match what should be an ideal focus – a win here and they go to the
M.A.C. Championship game. OHIO 26-19.
West Virginia over Pittsburgh* by 13 (Thursday)
Panther rush defense is the worst possible weakness to have when Pat White and
Steve Slaton come to town, and the short practice week off of a long day at UConn
is not the way to heal tired bodies in the DL. WEST VIRGINIA 33-20.
__________________
posted by phantom
Nov. 16 2006 2:42pm -
0 likes
Wunderdogs
Game: W Virginia at Pittsburgh (Thursday 11/16 12:15 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on W Virginia -11.5
Everyone is wondering about Pittsburgh. What jas happened? What happened is they played a soft schedule early with teams they matched up with well except for Michigan St. The problem they had last year with W. Virginia has manifested itself again this year. They really struggle against teams that have a good ground game. They have held opponents to 522 yds. rushing in 6 wins or just over 85 yards per game. The problem is that, in their losses teams have piled up just shy of 300 yards per game! W. Virginia ran for 453 last year, and only needed to complete 4 passes. This will not be a look ahead game for W. Virginia, but rather a statement game. Whatever hope they have in reaching the Championship game is going to require an eye popping victory here similar to last year's score of 45-13, and then a similar result versus Rutgers, with a little "hope for the best" thrown in. It is a two-game season for West Virginia right now, and the punishing ground gam! e that has taken its toll on Pittsburgh all year will once again rear it s ugly head. Mountaineers in this one.
__________________
Sportsbook
Even though they were favorites the last 3 games, the struggling Panthers have lost those games both straight up and ATS. Overall, the once hot Panthers are 5-4 ATS. The Panthers' ability to stop the run seems to weigh heavily on whether or not they cover. In the games that the Panthers covered, they allowed an average of 82.6 YPG on the ground. In the games that Pitt failed to cover, they allowed an alarming 277.5 YPG on the ground. This isn't good news considering WVU has an absolutely lethal ground attack that averages 318.2 YPG. With these overwhelming rushing numbers in mind it isn't surprising that over 90% of the early action is on WVU -11.
Dunkel Index - College Football
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Dunkel Index – NCAA Football
THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 16
West Virginia at Pittsburgh
While the West Virginia-Pitt game is billed as the "Backyard Brawl" it's not clear just how much of a brawl it will be. Pittsburgh was on its way to a nice season when the Panthers ran their record to 6-1 with a 52-7 pounding of Central Florida. But a 20-10 loss to Rutgers at home started the Panthers on a three-game slide that culminated with a 46-45 overtime loss to lower-rated UConn last weekend. By contrast West Virginia rebounded nicely from its disappointing loss to Louisville with a 42-24 win over Cincinnati that was only that close because of two fourth quarter TDs by the Bearcats. With Pitt sliding, West Virginia looks capable of covering the Vegas line (-11) on the road according to Dunkel, which has West Virginia favored by 15. Dunkel Pick: West Virginia (-11).
Game 105-106: Akron at Ohio
Dunkel Ratings: Akron 75.861; Ohio 85.455
Dunkel Line: Ohio by 9 1/2; 36
Vegas Line: Ohio by 4; 39
Dunkel Pick: Ohio (-4); Under
Game 107-108: West Virginia at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: West Virginia 104.761; Pittsburgh 89.634
Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 15; 58
Vegas Line: West Virginia by 11; 53
Dunkel Pick: West Virginia (-11); Over
posted by phantom
Nov. 16 2006 2:43pm -
0 likes
BEN BURNS
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
regular plays
pittsburgh and under total
Larry Ness' CFB TV Total of the Year (11-4-1 with non-Saturday CFB since 9/15!)
Handicapper: Larry Ness
League: College Football
Event: West Virginia vs Pittsburgh on 11/16/2006 at 16:45
Condition: Over
Grade: Ungraded
Promotion: I'm going a little against the grain here as West Va has been an under team on the road recently and Pitt has been an under team when playing as a dog. Also, the weather forecast is not great and the West Va offense is best suited for a fast track. However, this West Va team has been held under 30 points just ONCE all year (27 at East Carolina), while topping 40 points in six of nine games. The Mountaineers 40.2 PPG average places them second in the nation in scoring. Meanwhile, Pitt averages 33 PPG (15th) and I expect QB Tyler Palko to have success vs a West Va defense that is at times, vulnerable to the pass. Palko is No. 2 in the nation in passing efficiency and has 22 TDPs vs just six INTs. Pitt's D has been run all over lately, allowing 258 YPG rushing (5.0 YPC) in losing three straight games (Pitt had been 6-1). That doesn't bode well vs a West Va team that's second in the nation in rushing at 318.2 YPG (6.9 YPC) with 38 rushing TDs. Slaton averages 151.4 YPG and 7.5 YPC and White 93 YPG and 7.9 YPC. LY West Va ran for 451 yards against Pitt and barring a horrible playing field, will run wild tonight. This year's "Backyard Brawl" will not be a 'dogfight' but rather a 'shootout' in which Palko and Co. try and match the Mountaineers score for score. CFB TV Total of the Year 15* West Va/Pit Over
__________________
John Fina
Football for November 16, 2006
NCAA - 3 units on Akron +4.5 (-110)
NCAA - 3 units on Pittsburgh +11.5 (-110)
***
College Football 2-Team Parlay *(Risk 1 unit to win 2.5 units)*
- Akron +4.5
- Pittsburgh +11.5
__________________
brandon lang
THURSDAY
20 DIME
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
Ohio University
10 DIME
St.Johns
Note:
Gave a little back last night but still feel really good about the next 5 days.
Mark my words right now. I am about to go on one of my best 5 day runs ever.
Just make a mental note right now that come next Tuesday morning, I will be up close to 900 Dimes of net profit with what I have planned.
I am seeing things as clearly as I have seen them in quite sometime and I don't think I have been this excited in months.
Truthfully, I fully expect this to be without question my biggest weekend of the year. I really do.
I will have something to say about these games no later than 2:00 pm Eastern Thursday
good luck
posted by phantom
Nov. 16 2006 2:45pm -
0 likes
big al has a 34-11 system on akron
David Malinsky
West Virginia vs. Pittsburgh - Thursday, Nov 16, 2006 7:30 PM
Sport: NCAA - National Collegate Football 6 Units
Prediction: West Virginia
Line: Sportsbook @ -10.5 -110 - 11/13/2006 11:44:19 PM Eastern Time
Explanation: 6* WEST VIRGINIA over PITTSBURGH
We cashed a 6* ticket against Dave Wannstedt and his Panthers on Saturday, with Connecticut not only covering the spread but winning the game outright. And here was the key part to the analysis going in - â€
posted by phantom
Nov. 16 2006 2:46pm -
0 likes
Power Plays 4* Selections from Phil Steele (this is not Power Sweep it is Power Plays) someone had asked for these earlier in this thread and I havent had time to post them until now.
4* Florida State 33 W Mich 12
4* Louisville 35 USF 16
4* Wake Forest (if dog) 19 Va Tech 14
4* Purdue 36 Indiana 20
4* Navy 48 Temple 11
4* Tenn 34 Vandy 19
4* Houston 42 Memphis 22
4* Boise St 47 Utah St 5
4* Oklahoma 41 Baylor 12
4* Ohio St (-7 or less) 23 Mich 9
4* LSU 35 Miss 3
4* BYU 44 New Mex 13
4* Penn St 27 Mich St 6
4* Maryland 13 Boston College 17
4* Arizona St 26 UCLA 20
4* Hawaii 46 San Jose 17
posted by phantom
Nov. 17 2006 1:08am -
0 likes
North "FADE ME" Coast
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
underdog GOW cinny +7 over RUTGERS
cinny 16-13
posted by phantom
Nov. 17 2006 1:08am -
0 likes
Rotation #124 Wake Forest (+2) 2-Stars at -1 or better, 3-Stars at +3 or more.
Rotation #134 Purdue (-10) 3-Stars at -12 or less, 2-Stars from -12 1/2 to -14.
Rotation #147 Army (+31 1/2) 3-Stars at +30 or more, 2-Stars from +29 1/2 to +28.
Rotation #166 Oregon (-13) 2-Stars at -14 points or less.
Rotation #188 Boston College (-7) 2-Stars at -7 or less.
Rotation #194 Louisiana Tech (+20) 2-Stars at +17 or more, 3-Stars at +21 or more.
Strong Opinions/Possible Best Bets
Rotation #111 Central Michigan (-3 1/2) Strong Opinion, 2-Star Best Bet at -3 or less (Friday game).
Rotation #125 Duke (+26) Strong Opinion at +26 or more. 2-Star Best Bet at +28 or more.
Rotation #130 Iowa State (+14 1/2) Strong Opinion at +14 or more. 2-Star Best Bet at +16 or more.
Rotation #198 Arizona State (-4) Strong Opinion at -4 or less, 2-Star Best Bet at -3 or less.
3 Star Selection
***PURDUE (-10.0) 41 Indiana 20
09:00 AM Pacific, 18-Nov-06
Purdue has not had the season that their fans anticipated, but the Boilermakers have been able to beat the teams that they are capable of beating, registering wins and spread wins against all 5 Big 10 teams they’ve faced that currently have losing records - Minnesota, Northwestern, Michigan State, and Illinois. I’ll look for that pattern to continue this week as the Boilermakers’ potent attack (6.3 yards per play against teams that would combine to allow 5.5 yppl to an average team) will score with ease against an Indiana defense that is 0.9 yppl worse than average (6.3 yppl allowed to teams that would average 5.4 yppl against an average defense) and is especially horrible defending the pass (8.1 yards per pass play allowed to teams that would average 6.3 yppp). Purdue has had their defensive issues this season (0.5 yppl worse than average), but Indiana is a mediocre offensive team that won’t be able to keep up with what their defense allows. Purdue is coming off consecutive road wins and they qualify in a very good 56-16 ATS home favorite momentum situation as well as a 93-41-4 ATS last home game angle. Indiana, meanwhile, is ready for the season to be over after getting whipped the last two weeks and the Hoosiers apply to a negative 33-75-2 ATS last game road team situation. My math model favors the Boilermakers by 14 points in this game and I’ll take Purdue in a 3- Star Best Bet at -12 points or less and for 2-Stars from -12 ½ to -14 points.
3 Star Selection
***Army 13 NOTRE DAME (-31.5) 34
11:30 AM Pacific, 18-Nov-06
A lot of people find it surprising that Notre Dame has not won a game by more than 26 points in two seasons under coach Charlie Weis, especially given that they’ve been favored by 23 points or more 4 times and by 30 plus points twice. The Irish are 0-4 ATS as a favorite of more than 21 points under Weis and it will be impossible for him to get his team focused on this game with their date against USC coming next week. Notre Dame also isn’t good enough to be favored by this many points over a scrappy Army team hasn’t won many games under coach Bobby Ross (9-23 straight up) but doesn’t get blown out very often. Army is 7-3 ATS as an underdog of 14 points or more and they lost by just 4 points as a 27 point underdog to Texas A&M in their only such game this season. There are some general situations that favor Army to bounce back from their 7-43 loss at Air Force and they’ve had an extra week to prepare for this game. Army applies to a very good 88-21-2 ATS big road underdog bounce-back situation and that angle is 51-7-1 ATS if the opponent is on a win streak of 3 games or more – which assures that they are likely to be overlooking the big dog off a horrible performance. By the way, that 51-7-1 subset has won 35 consecutive times since 1995! My math model favors Notre Dame by just 26 ½ points. Army has been turning the ball over at a very high rate (3.2 turnovers per game), but Notre Dame doesn’t force too many turnovers and the math would favor the Irish by just 30 points if they are +2 in turnover margin instead of the +1.4 that my math model predicts. I took a horrible Stanford as a big dog against Notre Dame for an easy spread win earlier this season and I don’t see the Irish playing with full intensity in this game either (they’re just 1-7 ATS at home after consecutive wins under Weis). I’ll take Army in a 3-Star Best Bet at +30 points or more and for 2-Stars from +28 to +29 ½ points.
2 Star Selection
**BOSTON COLLEGE (-7.0) 32 Maryland 18
09:00 AM Pacific, 18-Nov-06
Maryland is the worst 2 loss team in the nation and the Eagles will help prove my point with an easy win in their home finale. The Terrapins are just barely better than average offensively, as they’ve averaged 5.3 yards per play with starting quarterback Sam Hollenbach on the field, against teams that would allow 5.2 yppl to an average team. Hollenbach and company will have trouble moving the ball against a solid Boston College defense that is good against both the run (4.1 yprp allowed to teams that would average 4.7 yprp) and the pass (5.2 yppp allowed to teams that would average 6.3 yppp). Overall the Eagles are 0.8 yppl better than average on defense, giving them a significant edge over Maryland’s attack. Boston College also has the advantage when they have the ball, as the Eagles have averaged 5.4 yppl with Matt Ryan at quarterback (he missed the Buffalo game) while facing teams that would allow 5.1 yppl to an average team. Maryland has given up 5.6 yppl this season to teams that would average just 5.2 yppl against an average defense, so they aren’t likely to slow down the Eagles’ offense in this game. Maryland does have great special teams, as they usually do every year, but Boston College is only 1.4 points worse in special teams and my math model favors the Eagles by 14 points in this game. BC has a very profitable 60% chance of covering at -7 points, based on the historical predictability of my math model, and I’ll take Boston College in a 2-Star Best Bet at -7 points or less while making the Eagles a strong opinion at -7 ½ or -8 points.
2 Star Selection
**OREGON (-13.0) 30 Arizona 9
12:30 PM Pacific, 18-Nov-06
Oregon has a habit of beating up on mediocre or bad teams at home, as evidenced by their 24-11 ATS mark when hosting a team with a win percentage of .500 or lower (9-0 ATS recently). The Ducks should be in a mood to kick some ass after getting whipped at USC last week and they apply to a solid 137-67-6 ATS blowout bounce-back situation. The best part of that angle doesn’t apply, but I don’t need much technical support to get on the side of the Ducks in this game against the suddenly overrated Wildcats. Arizona has upset Washington State and Cal in consecutive weeks, but they were out-gained in those two upsets by an average of 4.3 yards per play to 5.8 yppl – so they really aren’t playing any better than they have been all season. Arizona has been a bit better this season with Willie Tuitama at quarterback but his return coinciding with the two upset wins is just a fluke since the offense really hasn’t played that well (as noted above). For the season the Wildcats have averaged just 4.2 yppl against teams that would allow 5.2 yppl to an average team, and they’re still 0.9 yppl worse than average with Tuitama at quarterback. Tuitama will have no success throwing against an Oregon defense that ranks among the best in the nation, allowing just 4.4 yards per pass play this season to teams that would combine to average 6.6 yppp against an average team. Oregon is 0.3 yards per rushing play below average defensively, but Arizona is a horrible running team (just 3.5 yprp against teams that would allow 4.6 yprp) – so the Wildcats are not likely to take advantage of Oregon’s one minor defensive flaw. Arizona does have a solid defense (5.4 yppl allowed to teams that would combine to average 5.9 yppl against an average stop unit), but Oregon is 1.0 yppl better than average offensively and the Ducks have the advantage in that match-up. Overall my math model favors Oregon by 18 points in this game and the line would have been that high two weeks ago before Arizona pulled off two lucky upset wins while being out-gained by 1.5 yppl. I’ll take Oregon in a 2-Star Best Bet at -14 points or less.
2 Star Selection
**WAKE FOREST 20 Virginia Tech (-2.0) 12
04:00 PM Pacific, 18-Nov-06
There shouldn’t be much more doubt about Wake Forest being for real after last week’s resounding 30-0 victory at Florida State. The Demon Deacons have always played their best against good teams, as their mis-direction offense tends to level of playing field against athletically superior teams. It also tends to keep less talented teams close, which has made Wake Forest a bad bet against lesser teams. The underdogs is now 45-17-1 ATS in Wake Forest games since Jim Grobe took over as head coach, including 9-0 ATS this season. That is not the reason I’m playing Wake Forest this week, since they are not really much of an underdog. The reason for the play is 32-6-1 ATS situation that applies to Wake Forest that is based on last week’s shutout win. That situation is 18-1-2 ATS when applying to home teams and has a solid 59% chance of covering at a fair line. My math model favors Wake Forest by ½ a point and I’ll take Wake Forest in a 2-Star Best Bet at -1 or better and for 3-Stars at +3 or more.
2 Star Selection
**LOUISIANA TECH 23 Nevada (-20.0) 34
05:00 PM Pacific, 18-Nov-06
Nobody wants to be on a Louisiana Tech team that has allowed an average of 41.6 points per game, especially against a Nevada squad that has covered the spread in 8 consecutive games. However, those facts are the reason why Louisiana Tech is a good play this week. The Bulldogs apply to a 50-25-3 ATS big home underdog angle that plays on teams with a bad defense and Nevada is only 9-1 ATS this season because they are +1.2 per game in turnover margin, which isn’t likely to continue (my math model projects +0.4 in TO margin for the Wolf Pack today). What is hidden by Nevada’s great pointspread run is their horrible run defense (5.6 yards per rushing play allowed to teams that would average only 4.5 yprp against an average defense), and teams that allow 5.0 yprp or more are just 68-108-3 ATS as a road favorite of 10 points or more. The Wolf Pack apply to a very negative 21-65-1 ATS subset of that angle and Louisiana Tech has a freshman in Daniel Porter that has averaged 5.9 ypr since burning his red-shirt in game 4. In 7 games since Porter starting play the Bulldogs have averaged 5.2 yprp (against teams that would allow 4.8 yprp to an average team) and my math model projects 6.3 yprp for Louisiana Tech in this game. Nevada does have an excellent pass defense, but Bulldogs’ quarterback Zac Champion is a decent passer (6.0 yards per pass play against teams that would allow 6.4 yppp to an average quarterback). Louisiana Tech’s offense should move the ball well enough to score enough points to cover the big number in this game, especially given that the technical analysis is in their favor. Louisiana Tech also tends to play better at home, as they are 20-36-1 ATS under coach Jack Bicknell away from home and 17-14 ATS at home, including 9-3 ATS following a game in which they lost straight up and to the pointspread. My math model favors Louisiana Tech by just 12 ½ points and they’d be favored by just 17 points if they were their typical +1.2 in turnover margin. So, there is line value even if Nevada continues to get lucky with the turnovers, and I’ll take Louisiana Tech in a 2-Star Best Bet at +17 points or more and for 3-Stars at +21 points or more.
Friday Strong Opinion
Central Mich (-3.5) 31 NORTHERN ILL 21
05:05 PM Pacific, 17-Nov-06
I expected Northern Illinois to be very good running the ball again this season with Garrett Wolfe returning for his senior season and the Huskies were the best running team in the nation their first 6 games (7.7 yards per rushing play). However, opponents have stacked the line and Wolfe has been bothered by a sore hamstring and the Huskies have averaged a pathetic 62 rushing yards at 2.5 yprp in their last 4 games and teams will continue to put 8 or 9 guys in the box to stop the run until the Huskies prove that they can beat you with the pass. Quarterback Phil Horvath is a decent passer, but he’s actually gotten worse the last 4 games too, which doesn’t make a lot of sense since there are less defenders focused on the pass. Northern Illinois is still an average offensive team for the season (6.0 yards per play against teams that would allow 6.0 yppl to an average team), but the Huskies have averaged just 4.4 yppl in their last 4 games against teams that would combine to allow 5.8 yppl to an average attack. Northern Illinois has averaged 3.9 yppl or less in 3 of those 4 games with the exception being against a horrible Temple defense, and Central Michigan has one of the best defensive units in the MAC and the rate a bit better than average defensively on a national scale (4.9 yppl allowed to teams that would average 5.0 yppl). Central Michigan is also 0.1 yppl better than average offensively and they should move the ball very well against a bad Northern Illinois defense that’s allowed 5.8 yppl this season to teams that would average 4.9 yppl against an average defensive unit. Overall, my math model favors Central Michigan by 3 ½ points, which is right where the line has settled, but that number would be higher if Northern Illinois continues to play at the much lower offensive level that they’ve played at recently. Northern Illinois’ upset home loss to Toledo last Tuesday is not a good omen for the Huskies today, as that loss set them up in a very negative 12-51 ATS situation. The Chippewas are unbeaten in MAC play and they should stay that way. I’ll consider Central Michigan a Strong Opinion if they remain favored by more than 3 points, but I’ll Upgrade Central Michigan to a 2-Star Best Bet at -3 points or less.
Strong Opinion
Duke 10 GEORGIA TECH (-26.0) 31
10:30 AM Pacific, 18-Nov-06
Georgia Tech doesn’t have a good enough offense to be such a big favorite, as the Yellow Jackets have averaged just 5.1 yards per play with starting quarterback Reggie Ball in the game (against teams that would allow 5.5 yppl to an average team). Duke has a porous defense, but my math model only projects 5.8 yppl and 31 points for Georgia Tech in this game – which will make it tough to cover a nearly 4 touchdown spread. Georgia Tech does have a good defense (4.5 yppl allowed to teams that would average 5.1 yppl against an average stop unit), but my math model projects the Dukies with 11 points and favors the Yellow Jackets by just 20 ½ points. Georgia Tech is only 3-10-1 ATS as a double-digit favorite under coach Chan Gailey and the Yellow Jackets are only 12-20-1 ATS after a victory in his tenure (1-8-1 ATS as a favorite of 10 points or more). With their rivalry game with Georgia coming up next week I just don’t see Georgia Tech being fully focused on Duke. I’ll consider Duke a Strong Opinion at +26 points or more and I’ll make Duke a 2-Star Best Bet at +28 points or more.
Strong Opinion
IOWA ST. 21 Missouri (-14.5) 30
11:00 AM Pacific, 18-Nov-06
Iowa State is 0-6 straight up and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games and head coach Dan McCarthy will be coaching his last game in Ames after 12 years on the job. I expect the Cyclones to rally for their departing coach and underperforming teams can be good plays in their finale at home. In fact, Iowa State applies to a solid 34-10-2 ATS bounce-back situation that plays on big home underdogs in their final game that have been struggling. Missouri, meanwhile, applies to a negative 15-47 ATS late season off a bye angle and the Tigers are not as good defensively without star defensive end Brian Smith (their all time sack leader), who has missed the last 3 games and is out for the rest of the season. My math model favors Missouri by just 10 ½ points, but Iowa State has been allowing more points defensively than their stats would dictate since they have been horrible in 3rd down defense. If I adjust for that then I get a fair line of Missouri by 14 points. So, the line is at least fair and the situations favor Iowa State. I’ll consider Iowa State a Strong Opinion at +14 points or more and as a 2-Star Best Bet at +16 points or more.
Strong Opinion
ARIZONA ST. (-4.0) 27 UCLA 17
07:15 PM Pacific, 18-Nov-06
Both of these teams are coming off good wins last week, but Arizona State is in a better position to play well again. The Sun Devils apply to a solid 89-47-4 ATS last home game situation and they’ve been better at home under coach Koetter (21-14 ATS) than they’ve been on the road (11-19 ATS). My math model favors Arizona State by just 3 ½ points and the situation isn’t strong enough to make the Sun Devils a Best Bet without some line value. I’ll consider Arizona State a Strong Opinion at -4 or -3 ½ points and I’d take Arizona State in a 2-Star Best Bet at -3 points or less.
posted by phantom
Nov. 17 2006 1:09am -
0 likes
Greg Roberts:
YOUR 8* MVP PLAY OF THE YEAR IS:
CINCINNATI +7 VS. RUTGERS
The Scarlet Knights will come into this one all full of themselves after the biggest win in their history last Thursday against Louisville. They are also looking toward a possible showdown with West Virginia in 2 weeks. But pride cometh before the fall and they catch a fully capable Bearcat squad ready to exploit them. Cincinnati has been a tough customer at Nippert Field going 4-1 both straight up and against the spread here this year. Their defense is allowing a miniscule 65 yards per game rushing - a key ingredient to stopping Rutgers as the Scarlet Knights can't throw it ranking 113th in passing offense. Rutgers has failed to cover 4 straight on the road and the Bearcats will come with special emotion after a 44-9 thumping last year and the fact that they get a rare Saturday evening appearance on national TV.
YOUR 8* MVP PLAY OF THE YEAR IS:
CINCINNATI BEARCATS +7
posted by phantom
Nov. 17 2006 1:09am -
0 likes
Greg Roberts:
YOUR 6* HI-ROLLER FOOTBALL SELECTION IS:
TEXAS TECH -6 VS. OKLAHOMA ST.
The Red Raiders play their final home game this week looking to avenge last year's 24-17 defeat at the hands of the Cowboys. The Red Raiders have owned this series covering 10 of the last 12 games and are a resilient bunch as well covering 17 of the lat 23 games off a loss. Texas Tech has the vastly superior defense in this one having held 5 opponents this year to season lows in yardage. With Texas Tech outgaining foes by an average of 270 yards per game in Lubbock and Oklahoma St. at 1-6 against the spread vs. .500 or better competition on the road look for the Red Raiders to exact their revenge.
YOUR 6* HI-ROLLER FOOTBALL SELECTION IS:
TEXAS TECH RED RAIDERS -6
posted by phantom
Nov. 17 2006 1:09am -
0 likes
Greg Roberts
from another site...
THE ROAST OF THE WEEK
BYU OVER NEW MEXICO BY 40
Well the roast has been quite a feature this year stuffing our wallets in 10 of the 11 weeks. With a fat wallet and a big belly we'll go right back to the buffet table with one of the best roasters of all this year - the Stormin' Mormon of BYU. The Cougars have not failed to cover this year and going back to last season has now grabbed the cash in 14 of it's last 15 games. They've won every home game this year by more than 25 so forget about howling with the Lobos and join this Mormon on a mission.
BYU - 54 NEW MEXICO - 14
posted by phantom
Nov. 17 2006 1:10am -
0 likes
Rockys Over/Unders
Week Ending November 18
Purdue - Indiana Under 58
Navy - Temple Over 55
Texas Tech - Oklahoma State Over 68
Baylor - Oklahoma Over 53
Michigan - Ohio State Under 41
Stanford - Oregon State Under 40.5
posted by phantom
Nov. 17 2006 1:10am -
0 likes
Special K Sports Full College Football Ticket
15* West Virginia
15* Louisville
20* Super K Game Of The Week - Michigan
posted by phantom
Nov. 17 2006 1:11am -
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Larry Ness 5 Game Bonanza all 10*
Boston College
Tennessee
Texas Tech
Virginia Tech
California
posted by phantom
Nov. 18 2006 1:14am -
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12* COLLEGE GAME OF THE YEAR: ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE +3
The Crimson Tide comes into this one chomping at the bit to erase 4 years of Auburn dominance and are in much better current form than the overrated Tigers. Auburn has failed to cover 7 straight as a favorite and come a demoralized side here after all of their preseason aspirations were lost in a 37-15 thrashing at the hands of the Georgia Bulldogs at home last week. The Tide meanwhile rang up over 400 years of total offense in Baton Rouge against the 2nd ranked defense in the nation. Now the Tide fully believes they can win this game and will come with extra emotion as Auburn head coach Tommy Tuberville has taunted Alabama players and fans by wearing a T-shirt that stated 'Feat the Thumb', a reference to what would be Auburn's 5th straight victory in the series. Look for Alabama to shutdown Auburn's run game and dare an immobile banged up Brandon Cox to win the game through the air. Don't look for that to happen as the young Tiger wide receivers have had trouble getting open all season and without the threat of Cox running, opposing defenses have teed off on the Auburn offensive line. Against the 5 top teams on it's schedule Auburn went 3-2 but upon closer examination they trailed those teams by 22 first downs and 531 yards and could have easily gone 0-5 and that doesn't count a 23-17 narrow escape at Ole Miss. WR's D.J. Hall and Keith Brown should also find plenty of room behind a suspect banged up Auburn secondary that was riddled by true freshman Matthew Stafford last week. With the Tide only allowing 15.9 points per game at home in Shula's career look for the clock to strike midnight on Cinderella as 'Bama wins going away.
YOUR 12* COLLEGE GAME OF THE YEAR: ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE +3
posted by phantom
Nov. 18 2006 1:15am -
0 likes
Nationwide (goldsheet):
Super 7: Penn St, Top: Md, Reg: Idaho, Ucla, Haw
posted by phantom
Nov. 18 2006 1:15am -
0 likes
Gameday:
4* Louisville
DOC'S ENTERPRISES:
6*Texas Tech,
5*MICH,
4*PUR OVER, MISS ST, PENN ST, Cincinati, Kansas
posted by phantom
Nov. 18 2006 1:15am -
0 likes
Larry Ness' Game of the Century Winner
This year's "Game of the Century" (at least until Jan 8!) is Saturday's Michigan/Ohio State contest. I won't bore you with breaking down each team's strengths and weaknesses, as they are familiar to all. I'm playing Ohio State for a number of reasons. First and foremost is Troy Smith. The likely Heisman winner has made a career out of his first two games with Michigan, completing 66.7% of his passes (3 TDPs / 0 INTs) for 541 yards plus rushing for 182 yards (6.3 YPC) with two TDs. That's 361.5 YPG in total offense! Smith has led the Buckeyes to 18 straight wins (16-2 ATS) and is 9-1 in his career vs ranked teams. Since losing to Texas in Columbus LY, the Buckeyes have won 11 straight at home (10-1 ATS), failing to cover against only Bowling Green (won 35-7 as 35 1/2-point favorites). Smith is completing 66.4% of his passes TY, averaging 199.2 YPG with 26 TDPs and just four INTs. While Henne is a very good QB, his numbers are not that prolific and he surely hasn't matched Smith's big game performances. While Mike Hart is an outstanding runner, Pittman may be just as good (has sat out most 4th quarters and has been spelled by freshman Wells, who has over 500 YR and averages 5.3 YPC). In Hart's two games vs Ohio St, he's gained just 76 yards on 27 carries, or 2.8 YPC. Also, the Michigan offense has NEVER been the same since Manningham went out after the Michigan State game. He returned early to get ready for this game but it's really hard to believe he's the "old" Manningham, who was the nation's most prolific WR. While Michigan's D is great, especially against the run (29.9 / 1.3 YPC / 40 sacks), it's Ohio State's D (had to replace nine starters) that leads the nation allowing just 7.8 PPG! OSU's rush D allows 90.2 YPG (3.2) and its pass D has allowed just six TDPs and has 21 INTs (D has 27 takeaways). Tressel has gone 4-1 SU and ATS vs Michigan since taking over at Ohio State and his team is on the verge of a wire-to-wire national championship. While I don anticipate a blowout, I do expect a easier than expected Ohio State win. 15* Ohio State.
posted by phantom
Nov. 18 2006 1:16am -
0 likes
W Root and Co.
Best Bets
W Root California+ over USC.
Big Al Washington + over TB.
R Mayer 49s + over Seattle.
C Chirimbes V Tech- over W Forest.
posted by phantom
Nov. 18 2006 1:16am -
0 likes
Jim Feist and Co.
Contest Selections
(Games of 11/18 to 11/20)
Jim Feist's Contest Selections :
Colts/Cowboys OVER, Mississippi State
Dave Cokin's Contest Selections :
Boston College, UL Lafayette
Bob Donahue's Contest Selections :
Alabama, Oregon State
Scott Spreitzer's Contest Selections :
Boston College, Mississpppi
posted by phantom
Nov. 18 2006 1:16am -
0 likes
Lucky Lester's College Football Picks Week 12
Perfection…. Do I hear you lifting your beautiful head? I like these picks this week, so much so that I found if very difficult to differentiate between my Top 5 and the rest. So, stay tuned, see if I find a big winner on my hands at weeks end.
TOP 5 Bets
1. Iowa Hawkeyes
2. Maryland Terrapins
3. Duke Blue Devils
4. Oregon State
5. Wake Forest
West Virginia Mountaineers (-11) @ Pittsburgh Panthers: I'm sick and tired of losing Thursday Night games, but with Pitt hosting the Mounties, I think this is my time to shine. WV killed Pitt last year, and generally, that Panthers suck towards the end of the season. Offensively, Pitt doesn't, and won't have a clue how to stop the Mounties, which should prove entertaining if you like 4 game losing streaks by Pittsburgh.
Maryland Terrapins (+7.5) @ Boston College Eagles: I actually like the Terps to pull this one out in Boston. Maryland fought through a tough emotional rollercoaster game last week against the Hurricanes, so this week should be a relief if anything. I like the Terps to win the ACC, is that crazy?
Iowa Hawkeyes (+3) @ Minnesota Golden Gophers: Last week Iowa fell in a close battle with the Wisconsin Badgers, but if you are expecting a let down game, good luck. Drew Tate didn't play that well, and he'll be out to prove he's still go it, like Uncle Ricco. Expect him to have it, very unlike Uncle Ricco.
Duke Blue Devils (+1) @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets: Duke is 0-10, and this won't make them 1-10, but I imagine they'll be ready to play their 2nd to last game of the year. That and the fact that they've only lost 2 games by more than 25 points, and Georgia Tech has only 1 win by more than 25, makes me take the freaking Blue Devils. Finally, I found a line I like with Duke. We'll see how this works out.
Oklahoma Sooners (-19.5) @ Baylor Bears: The Bears haven't played a team on Oklahoma's level since they got pasted by Texas 21-63. Last week against OK State, the Bears allowed 66 to their 24. I'm not trying to pull the this team beat this team by this many so this team will win by this…. But I know the Sooners, and they can shut down a poor team with ease. They can also put up some mean points, (5 times over 30), so expect an easy cover by the Sooners.
Arkansas Razorbacks @ Mississippi State Bulldogs (+14.5): I love what the Razorbacks have done, but I have to take the points and the home team in this match up. The Bulldogs have played pretty well all season, and while the Razorbacks have dominated most of their games, coming down to the wire with only 1 loss often manages to tense up players. The Bulldogs will put up a fight.
Michigan Wolverines @ Ohio State Buckeyes (-6.5): The game is in Ohio, the Buckeyes are the better team, and Troy Smith is a tougher and better quarterback than Henne. Oh, and Tressell is the better coach. I guess I'll take the Buckeyes, and god help us not to see a rematch for the National Championship!
Buffalo Bulls (+38.5) @ Wisconsin Badgers: The Bulls have lost by more than 38 points once this year. They won't play close with the Badgers, but with a 38 point lead to start the game, sure, I'll take the Bulls, no problem. With Michael Jordan, that team was unstoppable!
Oregon State Beavers (-14) @ Stanford Cardinal: Home field advantage is a pile of brown smelly lies in the PAC 10. Stanford may have fooled you into believing they are a real football team, ala that long nosed kid and being a real boy, but don't fall under the trap. The Beavers screwed it up last week just so the line would shrink on this game. Take the sure thing cover and win from the Beave in this one.
Auburn Tigers (-3) @ Alabama Crimson Tide: Kenny Irons has to get on track, the Tigers defense has to step up their game, and Brandon Cox must stop his turnover baking. My guess, if one of those things happen, Auburn throttles Alabama. Auburn is too good to blow it for the 2nd week in a row.
Virginia Tech Hokies @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons (+2): Sure, Tech has a nice record, 8-2, and they've won 4 straight, but lets really get into their season. They've played 3 tough teams, (Miami doesn't count - Clemson, Boston College, and Georgia Tech) and are 1-2 in those games. Wake Forest is very good, they are playing at home, and remain a damn underdog besides beating every team on their schedule sans Clemson. That's got to piss off some Deacons. And so they'll say, "Basketball school our nuts!"
posted by phantom
Nov. 18 2006 1:16am -
0 likes
linemover +1.35 units for football
730 South Fla +17
12 Minnesota -2.5 -115
12 Minn/iowa Ov 52'
1230 Vandy +7'
230 Miss St +14'
330 Ohio St -6.5 -114
330 Auburn -3
7 Virginia Tech -1'
8 Mississippi +27
11 San Jose St +24'
11 Sjs/hawaii Ov 73
------------------------------------
trace fields:
DUKE +26.5
136 NORTH CAROLINA +4 NC STATE
130 IOWA STATE +14.5 MISSOURI
164 ALABAMA +3 AUBURN
196 USC -6 CALIFORNIA
182 PENN STATE -17 MICHIGAN STATE
168 BYU -26.5 NEW MEXICO
---------------------------------------------------------
His radio show plays dave cokin 15-17-1
119 Connecticut +3
The number here came right where I thought it would, which is fine with me. I make UConn the better team presently and expect them to garner the road win. The Huskies have shown some real improvement down the stretch, and I like the poise being shown by QB Hernandez. UConn is 4-5 and has a legit shot to get bowl eligible if they can win this game, as they get to host Cincinnati next week before having to go to Louisville to wrap up the regular season. Obviously, they have to win this game to maintain hopes of scraping out a minor bowl invite. The UConn running game is clicking pretty well and should find some holes to run through here. I very much like the idea of taking even small points against a bad Syracuse team. The Orange were once 3-2, but that was pretty phony to begin with. Once they lost Taj Smith to injury the offense was left without a game breaker to stretch defenses and the 'Cuse offense has done next to nothing for the last several weeks. I LOVE taking points against teams that can't run or stop the run. Over the last five games, Syracuse has averaged 66 yards rushing while allowing 243. Teams with those numbers make awful chalk, and I'm taking UConn here.
182 Penn State -17
Shortest writeup of the season. Michigan State has completely quit, has a lame duck coach and I see no reason they suddenly get excited and step up with a big effort on the road in their finale. Penn State has two shutouts the last three weeks, and could toss another one here. Penn State has outscored the Spartans 191-71 in the last four meetings between these two at State College. The Nittany Lions are 7-4 but the four defeats are to teams with a combined two losses! I can't see anything but a blowout here.
192 So Mississippi -13
Eagles are back home after laying out Tulane 31-3, yet they really didn't play all that well in the game. Lots of penalties, red zone screwups, etc. But the defense was very solid, and USM still has a chance to play for the conference title. They need to win out and hope ECU loses to Rice. Obviously, they have no control over the latter end of that equation, but USM is 5-5 and wins over UAB and Marshall would at least get them into position to go bowling. Regardless, I'd be leery of laying a big spot with this team as they aren't especially good....but I have little fear of playing against UAB at this point. The Blazers have lost a ton of tough games this season, but were hanging in and showing great effort until this past week. I saw a team that appeared to toss in the towel in the fourth quarter vs. UTEP after they fell behind and with two road games remaining on their slate they could be ready to get drilled. Watson Brown is no better than 50/50 to keep his job, they're very dinged up, and I believe UAB is now mentally beat up even more. So this is probably more of a play vs. UAB than it is a play on USM, but the bottom line still reads the same regardless. I'm laying the points.
---------------------------------------------------------------
Marc Lawrence 100% Perfect CFB Super Pick Super Play! - Saturday 11/18:
Play On: Connecticut
Note: Huskies need two wins in their final three games to become bowl eligible. They are home next week against Cincinnati and at Louisville the final week of the season. Thus, today's game becomes mandatory to their chances. With Syracuse mathematically eliminated once again this season from bowl eligibility we feel this is an excellent spot for UConn. They are 6-0 ATS away versus .333 or less opposition and 13-2 ATS against opponents that won 3 or less games the previous year. They also own the better offense and the better defense. Take Connecticut here.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gold Sheet Late Phones for Saturday
CONFIRMED!!
2* SuperPower (I think they are 1-3 or 1-4 this year on SP Plays) Penn St
1.5* Maryland
1* Idaho
1* UCLA
1* Hawaii
--------------------------------------------------------
Kelso's 50 unit Calif GOY
------------------------------------------------------------
Ron Meyer
California--Dallas Sportsmen
Houston--Playbook
Michigan--Live Dog
$500 play Kansas--Locker Room Report
Vanderbilt--Coach's Consensus
---------------------------------------------------------------------
Pure Profit
Florida State--Back Room Play
Middle Tennessee State--Diamond
$500 Play Missouri--Power Play
Maryland--High Rollers
USC--Money Move
Ohio State--Consensus
------------------------------------------------------------
Wayne Root
Virginia Tech--Insider's Circle
California--Source
$500 play Cincinnati--No Limit
Air Force--Money Maker
Kansas--Millionaire
------------------------------------------------------
Al McMordie
South Florida--3*
Minnesota--3*
Washington--3*
Oregon--3* (Favorite GOY)
Kansas--3* (Big 12 GOY)
Michigan--3*
Cincinnati--3* (GOM)
Virginia--Opinion
posted by phantom
Nov. 18 2006 1:17am -
0 likes
Big Al
Cincinnati--3* (GOM)
Kansas--3* (Big 12 GOY)
Oregon--3* (Favorite GOY)
South Florida--3*
Minnesota--3*
Washington--3*
Michigan--3*
Cincinnati--3* (GOM)
Virginia--Opinion
posted by phantom
Nov. 18 2006 1:17am -
0 likes
Larry Ness' 20* Big East GOY
Is it Rutgers turn to go down? West Va lost at Louisville and then, despite opening a 25-7 lead against a team it beat 56-5 the year before, Louisville lost at Rutgers. Now Rutgers takes its highest ranking in school history plus an outside chance at the BCS title game to Cincy to meet the Bearcats, a team it beat 44-9 LY. Don't pay attention to Cincy's loss last week at West Va, as they were in a terrible spot with the Mountaineers fresh off the Louisville loss. Do however, pay attention to how well the Bearcats have played at home TY, plus their two excellent efforts at Columbus and Blacksburg (led Va Tech in the 4th quarter!). Cincy is 5-1 at home and has allowed a total of just 33 points in their last four home games. Forget the West Va game and you'll see the team's rush D went the previous five games allowing just 330 YR (allowed 313 vs West Va!) on 128 attempts. That's an average of just 66 YPG and 2.6 YPC. Rutgers is all run (187.8 YPG / 4.7 YPC) and no pass. QB Teel has done little all season (was just 8-of-21 in the Louisville game) and it should be noted in Rutgers only two previous Big East road games TY, Teel has thrown for a total of just 172 yards with one TDP and two INTs. Rutgers' D is great (4th in PPG and YPG allowed) but look at its road games this year. Except for the 34-0 win at Navy (Navy's QB went down in the 1st Q!), the Scarlet Knights have won by five at 1-9 North Carolina by two at USF (failed two-pointer would have sent the game to OT) and 20-10 at Pitt, a team that's now lost four straight. It's "let-down city" on Saturday for Rutgers in the Queen City! Big East GOY 20* Cincinnati
posted by phantom
Nov. 18 2006 1:19am -
0 likes
Dr. Bob:
2*pur, Ore, La Tech,
Op: Wf, Army, Bc
posted by phantom
Nov. 18 2006 1:19am -
0 likes
Kojak's Selections for Week Ending 11/18
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
ytd 81-81-3
Finally climbed to .500 lw with a 12-8-1 week. This week hope to finally climb over .500 after very tough start to the year.
5*
Pittsburgh +11....Pitt has struggled last couple of weeks vs South Florida and UConn but throw everything out the door when arch rival West Virginia comes to town. Pitt still looking to become bowl eligible and move up in bowl pecking order. Palko should be able to exploit WV secondary similar to Brohm did for Louisville. Slaton and White will do their thing but expect this game to be a much closer game than experts are predicting. WV wins but in a tight one.
West Virginia 30 Pittsburgh 27
3* South Florida +16.5....I fully expect Louisville to win this game but don't feel they will blow out a game Bulls team who is hitting their stride. I really feel Bulls match up well with Cards as witnessed by ly. Cards will be looking for revenge but will realize the Bulls were better than a one game wonder as they play them tough to the end.
Louisville 27 South Florida 17
3*
Cincinnati +7-115.....Bearcats are a lot better than people realize. Rutgers is in unchartered waters and feel a letdown is in order here. Cinci has played nearly every team tough on their schedule. Their record is deceiving as Knights will find out. Look for a last second fg for Rutgers to pull it out.
Rutgers 22 Cincinnati 21
3*
Wake Forest +1.....The Demon Deacons keep getting no respect from oddmakers but keep churning out the wins. VA Tech is nothing special like Miami and FSU this year but have had easier schedule. Wake Forest stays on track for showdown with Maryland as they win easier than expected once again.
Wake Forest 24 Va Tech 13
5* Northwestern +2.5.....Illinois once again getting too much respect and Northwestern not getting enough. Cats have owned this series and rarely play 2 bad games in a row at home. Illini has been to prone and should be on alert vs fired up Cats team reeling from blowout to Buckeyes. NW wins this game for Coach Pat su.
Northwestern 31 Illinois 21
5* Minnesota -3....Gophers need win here to surprisingly become bowl eligible. Iowa is simply too beat up right now to field competitive team. Gophers did not expect to be in this position a month ago but thanks to playing a MSU team that has quit ,IU who came in overconfident, and surviving vs SD St. here they are. Cupito and company will make more than enough plays to win and go bowling.
Minnesota 23 Iowa 10
1* UNLV +10.5...Wyoming got blown away lw vs BYU and go back on the road vs young Rebels team. I don't think Cowboys are very good and feel UNLV have chance for upset here. Cowboys win but a close one.
Wyoming 20 UNLV 17
5* Kansas -2....Everybody will jump on K.State this week after great performance but there is a big hangover that comes with it. Jayhawks will bring their Manhattan neighbors down to earth this week as KU trying to become bowl eligible. Mangino will have all the answers on both sides of the ball.
Kansas 26 K State 14
1* Maryland +7...Terps have not lost or won a game in ACC by more or less than 7 pts. So this seems to be great line to take dog who plays close games. Look for a defensive struggle with BC prevailing but close.
BC 19 Maryland 16
1* Michigan St. +17.5...Too many points here for Penn St. Spartans who have played hard in defeat last two weeks give John L. Smith a going away present. Another close loss vs Penn St.
Penn State 27 Michigan St. 20
3* Hawaii -25....No disrespect to San Jose St but Hawaii is just too much on both sides of the ball in another rout for the home team. Hawaii is playing as well as anyone in the country right now and would probably beat both Boise and Alabama if they played now.
Hawaii 58 San Jose St. 24
Last but not least the Big Game in the Horseshoe....
10* Michigan +7 (bought .5 pt).....Michigan has the athetic ability and cohesiveness to keep Buckeyes in check on offense. They also have the weapons on offense to make the big plays necessary as well as ball control and play keep away vs Buckeyes. Henne and Hart have played second fiddle to Smith and Ginn all year. Saturday they won't as Michigan pulls the big upset in the Horseshoe.
Michigan 21 Ohio State 19
Total Card:
10*
Michigan +7 (bought .5 pt)
5*
Pittsburgh +11
Kansas -2
Minnesota -3
Northwestern +2.5
3*
Hawaii -25
South Florida +16.6
Wake Forest +1
Cincinnati +7-115
1*
UNLV +10.5
Maryland +7
Michigan St. +17.5
BOL
posted by phantom
Nov. 18 2006 1:21am -
0 likes
Adding....
3* SMU +6.5....Ponies need win here to become bowl eligible vs Tulsa team that struggles on the road. I think they get the job done to provide a really nice cinderella story down in Dallas for a team that fought back from the death penalty.
5*
Middle Tennessee St. +15.5...Middle Tennessee St. is the class of the Sunbelt going to South Carolina. South Carolina has a classic sandwich game here as they just went to Florida and lost a heartbreaker to his former team and have arch rival Clemson next week. MTSU is live here as they proved they are no slouch vs Louisville who is a lot better than Gamecocks. I look for a game decided by a fg here.
3*
Troy -8....Arkansas St. has quit as witnessed vs MTSU lw. I really like Troy in this situation to step up and beat Ark St. by 2 td's +.
1*
Mississippi St. +14.5.....Bulldogs have been steadily improving as season has gone on as they played a tight game at Georgia and upset Alabama. Arkansas clearly is the better team but think they let down here as Miss St. is pretty physical vs the run. Look for a tighter game here then most expect but Hogs win.
posted by phantom
Nov. 18 2006 1:22am -
0 likes
MR NEWLYWED
10 CFB PLAYS For SATURDAY
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
8 UNITS
CINCI +7
MIZZU -13.5
HOUSTON -16.5
6 UNITS
OKLAHOMA -20
OREGON -14
KANSAS -2.5
5 UNITS
UCONN +2
MICH +7
BAMA +3
MISS STATE +14
posted by phantom
Nov. 18 2006 1:24am -
0 likes
SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 18TH
Michigan (2) at Ohio State (1) - Michigan is 11-0 SU, but just 6-4-1 ATS this season, and has gone UNDER the total in seven of its L8 games. The Wolverines are 4-0 SU and ATS on the road this year and are a perfect 7-0 SU and ATS in their L7 on the road. Ohio State is 18-0 SU and 16-2 ATS in its L18 contests. Ten of its L12 games have gone UNDER the total. The Buckeyes under Coach Jim Tressel are 4-1 SU and ATS vs. Michigan. The home team in this series is 15-8-1 ATS the last 24 meetings.
California (17) at USC (4) - Cal is 8-2 SU and 5-4 ATS. The Bears are 2-2 SU and ATS on the road and have gone UNDER the total in three straight road games. They are 7-3-1 ATS in their L11 games as a Pac 10 away underdog. Cal is 5-6 SU and 8-3 ATS the last 11 meetings with USC. The Trojans are 8-1 SU, but 4-5 ATS this year. However, they have covered their last two. USC has gone UNDER the total in four of its last five. The home team in this series is 2-8 ATS the last 10 match-ups.
Arkansas (5) at Mississippi State - The Razorbacks are 9-1 SU and 5-4 ATS and have gone OVER the total in five of their last seven games. They are 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS on the road in '06 and have covered six of their last seven on the road going back to last season. Arkansas is 0-5 ATS the last five games when favored on the road by more than a TD. Miss State is 3-7 SU and 5-5 ATS this year and has gone OVER the total in five straight. The Bulldogs are 1-5 SU and 0-5 ATS at home on the season. The underdog is 11-3 ATS all-time in this series.
Army at Notre Dame (6) - Army is 3-7 SU and 2-7 ATS and has gone OVER the total in six of its last seven. The Black Knights are 1-3 SU and ATS on the road and are 2-5 ATS in their L7 as 20 or more point underdogs. They have covered the last two meetings with Notre Dame. The Irish are 9-1 SU and 3-6-1 ATS on the year. They are 5-1 SU, but 1-5 ATS at home. Notre Dame is 0-4 ATS its L4 games as a 20+ point favorite. The Irish are 4-11-1 ATS in their L15 home finales.
Rutgers (7) at Cincinnati - Rutgers is 9-0 SU and 5-2-1 ATS and has gone UNDER the total in three of its L4. The Scarlet Knights are 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS on the road. They are 2-8-1 ATS in their L11 November road games. Cincinnati is 5-5 SU and 5-3-1 ATS this season, going UNDER the total in seven of its L8. The Bearcats are 5-1 SU and 3-1-1 ATS at home and are 8-4-1 ATS in their L13 home finales. They are 1-4-1 SU, but 4-2 ATS in their last six games vs. Rutgers.
Ole Miss at LSU (9) - The Rebels are 3-7 SU and 4-5 ATS and have gone OVER the total in three straight games. They are 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS on the road this year and 1-8 SU and 3-6 ATS the last two years away from home. Ole Miss is 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS in its L6 games after a bye. The Rebels are 7-2 ATS the L9 meetings with LSU. The Tigers are 8-2 SU and 5-5 ATS this season and are 7-0 SU and 5-2 ATS at home. The favorite is just 2-7 ATS the L9 match-ups in this series.
South Florida at Louisville (10) - The Bulls are 7-3 SU and 6-3 ATS and have gone UNDER the total in their L3 games. They are 2-2 SU and ATS on the road this season. The road team is 0-3 SU and ATS all-time in this series. Louisville is 8-1 SU and 5-4 ATS this season. The Cardinals are 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS at home and 15-0 SU and 13-2 ATS the last two years at Papa John's Stadium. South Florida upset Louisville last season in Tampa, 45-14.
Buffalo at Wisconsin (12) - Buffalo is 2-8 SU, but 6-3-1 ATS and has gone OVER the total in four of its L6. The Bulls are 0-6 SU and 4-2 ATS on the road in '06. They are 5-2 ATS in their L7 when getting three TDs or more. Wisconsin is 10-1 SU and 8-1-1 ATS this season. The Badgers are 6-0 SU and 4-1 ATS at home and have gone OVER the total in three of their L4. They are 3-4 ATS the L7 games as a three TD or more favorite. Wisconsin is 12-3 ATS in its L15 home finales.
Utah State at Boise State (13) - The Aggies are 1-9 SU and 3-6 ATS, failing to cover their last three. They are 0-6 SU and 2-4 ATS on the road and have gone UNDER the total in five of the six games. Utah State is 2-6 SU and 1-7 ATS the L9 meetings with Boise State. The Broncos are 10-0 SU and 4-5 ATS on the year and have gone OVER the total in four of their L5. They have not lost a home game since 2001 and are 10-2 ATS in their L12 on the Blue Turf. Boise is 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS in its last eight home finales.
Virginia Tech (19) at Wake Forest (14) - V-Tech is 8-2 SU and 5-4 ATS and has gone UNDER the total in its L3 games. The Hokies are 2-1 SU and ATS on the road and are 8-1 ATS in their L9 road games. They are 7-3 SU and 6-4 ATS in the L10 meetings with Wake. Virginia Tech is 3-1 ATS in its L4 road finales. The Demon Deacons are 9-1 SU and 6-2-1 ATS on the year. They are 4-1 SU and 2-2 ATS at home. Wake Forest is just 4-9 SU and ATS in its L13 home finales.
Auburn (15) at Alabama - Auburn is 9-2 SU and 4-7 ATS and has gone OVER the total in four of its L5. The Tigers are 3-0 SU and 1-2 ATS on the road. The visitor in this series is 8-3 ATS the last 11 meetings. The Crimson Tide are 6-5 SU and ATS this year and have gone OVER the total in seven of their L9. They are 6-1 SU, but 2-5 ATS at home. Alabama is 11-5 ATS vs. Auburn the L16 match-ups. Coach Mike Shula is 0-3 SU and 2-1 ATS vs. the Tigers.
Oklahoma (16) at Baylor - The Sooners are 8-2 SU and 6-3-1 ATS and have gone UNDER the total in five of their L6 games. They are 2-1 SU and ATS on the road and are 5-1 ATS in their L6 on the road. The visitor is 8-2 ATS the L10 meetings in this series. Baylor is 4-7 SU and 3-7 ATS this year and has gone OVER the total in five of its last six. The Bears are 3-3 SU, but 1-4 ATS at home and just 2-7 ATS at home going back to last season.
Duke at Georgia Tech (18) - Duke has lost 18 straight games and are 6-11 ATS. Four of its L6 games have gone OVER the total. The Blue Devils have dropped 15 consecutive road contests, but are 9-6 ATS over that span. They are 19-10-1 ATS in the last 30 match-ups with the Yellow Jackets. The visiting team is 4-1 ATS the L5 meetings in this series. Georgia Tech is 8-2 SU and 4-4-1 ATS this season. The Yellow Jackets are 5-1 SU and 2-2-1 ATS at home and are 2-4-2 ATS the L8 games as a two TD or more favorite.
Maryland (21) at Boston College (20) - The Terrapins are 8-2 SU and 4-5 ATS and have gone OVER the total in four of their last six. They are 2-2 SU and ATS on the road after going 4-0 ATS on the road last season. The road team is 3-0 SU and ATS all-time in this series. Boston College is 8-2 SU and 4-4-1 ATS this year. The Eagles have gone UNDER the total in three in a row and five of their last six. They are 6-0 SU and 3-1-1 ATS at home in '06 and are 15-2 SU and 9-5-2 ATS at home since the 2004. Boston College is 8-4 ATS in its L12 home finales.
Tennessee (22) at Vanderbilt - The Volunteers are 7-3 SU and ATS, and 3-1 SU and ATS on the road. Since 2003, they are 7-14 ATS when favored by a TD or more. Vanderbilt is 4-7 SU and 5-5 ATS this season and has gone OVER the total in five straight games. The Commodores are 2-3 SU and 2-2 ATS at home and they have gone OVER the number is their L6 at home. They are 10-5 ATS in their L16 home finales and have covered the last two meetings vs. Tennessee.
New Mexico at BYU (23) - The Lobos are 5-5 SU and 6-3 ATS and have gone OVER the total in three of their last four games. They are 3-1 SU and ATS on the road this year and 6-1 SU and ATS in their L7 road contests. New Mexico is 5-1 ATS the L6 games as a two TD or more dog. BYU is 8-2 SU and 9-0-1 ATS this season. The Cougars are a perfect 5-0 SU and ATS at home and have gone OVER the total in their L3 home games. They are 4-8 ATS in their L12 home finales.
_________________
posted by phantom
Nov. 18 2006 1:40am -
0 likes
Wednesday, November 15th
Miami OH at Bowling Green, 7:30 EST ESPN2
Miami OH: 6-0 Under away off an Over
Bowling Green: 7-0 ATS at home off BB losses
** (TC) Denotes Time Change
Thursday, November 16th
Akron at Ohio U, 7:30 EST ESPNU
Akron: 1-5 ATS vs. conference opponents
Ohio U: 6-1 Under off a conference win
West Virginia at Pittsburgh, 7:30 EST ESPN
West Virginia: 8-1 ATS after forcing 3+ turnovers
Pittsburgh: 12-25 ATS off an Over
** (TC) Denotes Time Change
Thursday, November 16th
Akron at Ohio U, 7:30 EST ESPNU
Akron: 1-5 ATS vs. conference opponents
Ohio U: 6-1 Under off a conference win
West Virginia at Pittsburgh, 7:30 EST ESPN
West Virginia: 8-1 ATS after forcing 3+ turnovers
Pittsburgh: 12-25 ATS off an Over
** (TC) Denotes Time Change
Saturday, November 18th
Buffalo at Wisconsin, 12:00 EST ESPNU
Buffalo: 6-0 Under away off a road loss
Wisconsin: 7-0 ATS vs. non-conference opponents
(TC) Western Michigan at Florida State, 2:00 EST
Western Michigan: 8-2 Over off an Under
Florida State: 9-1 ATS at home off BB home games
(TC) South Florida at Louisville, 7:30 EST ESPNU
South Florida: 10-2 Under off a home win
Louisville: 9-1 ATS at home off a road game
Connecticut at Syracuse, 12:00 EST
Connecticut: 6-0 Under after scoring 37+ points
Syracuse: 16-6 ATS off BB Unders
(TC) Rutgers at Cincinnati, 7:00 EST ESPN
Rutgers: 1-6 ATS as a road favorite of 7 points or less
Cincinnati: 8-2 Under off a loss
Virginia Tech at Wake Forest, 12:00 EST ESPN2
Virginia Tech: 15-3 ATS as a road favorite of 7 points or less
Wake Forest: 2-11 ATS off a conference win by 10+ points
(TC) Duke at Georgia Tech, 1:30 EST
Duke: 5-13 ATS as an underdog
Georgia Tech: 12-2 Under at home after winning 3 of their last 4 games
Illinois at Northwestern, 12:00 EST
Illinois: 9-2 Under in road games
Northwestern: 7-1 Under after losing 6 or 7 of their last 8 games
(TC) Missouri at Iowa State, 2:00 EST
Missouri: 11-2 Over after losing 3 of their last 4 games
Iowa State: 2-11 ATS off 4+ ATS losses
Iowa at Minnesota, 12:00 EST
Iowa: 2-10 ATS off a home game
Minnesota: 16-6 Over off an Under
Indiana at Purdue, 12:00 EST ESPNC
Indiana: 0-6 ATS in November
Purdue: 7-0 ATS in November
NC State at North Carolina, 12:00 EST
NC State: 9-21 ATS as a road favorite
North Carolina: 8-2 Under off 4+ losses
(TC) Temple at Navy, 12:30 EST CSTV
Temple: 6-0 Over away off BB non-conference games
Navy: 11-2 ATS off an Over
Tennessee at Vanderbilt, 12:30 EST
Tennessee: 1-7 ATS in November
Vanderbilt: 6-0 Over in November
Houston at Memphis, 2:00 EST
Houston: 6-0 ATS off a straight up win
Memphis: 1-5 ATS as an underdog
Oklahoma State at Texas Tech, 2:00 EST
Oklahoma State: 10-0 ATS after scoring 50+ points
Texas Tech: 0-6 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points
Central Florida at Tulane, 2:00 EST
Central Florida: 1-5 ATS off an ATS loss
Tulane: 10-3 ATS as a home favorite of 7 points or less
Army at Notre Dame, 2:30 EST NBC
Army: 6-0 Over off BB ATS losses
Notre Dame: 0-7 ATS at home vs. Independents
Utah State at Boise State, 3:00 EST
Utah State: 1-11 ATS off a road loss by 28+ points
Boise State: 35-11 ATS as a home favorite
East Carolina at Rice, 3:00 EST
East Carolina: 9-1 ATS in road games
Rice: 2-14 ATS after winning 5 or 6 of their last 7 games
(TC) Oklahoma at Baylor, 12:00 EST FSN
Oklahoma: 21-8 Under away off 3+ conference games
Baylor: 0-6 ATS off BB conference games
Tulsa at SMU, 3:00 EST
Tulsa: 10-2 ATS in road games
SMU: 0-7 ATS after allowing 475+ total yards
Michigan at Ohio State, 3:30 EST ABC
Michigan: 7-0 Under vs. conference opponents
Ohio State: 13-2 ATS vs. conference opponents
(TC) Mississippi at LSU, 8:00 EST
Mississippi: 6-1 Under off a non-conference game
LSU: 6-20 ATS at home in November
Oregon State at Stanford, 3:30 EST
Oregon State: 41-21 ATS off 3+ conference games
Stanford: 7-0 Under off an Under
Auburn at Alabama, 3:30 EST CBS
Auburn: 6-0 Over off BB home games
Alabama: 3-14 ATS at home after losing 2 of their last 3 games
Arizona at Oregon, 3:30 EST
Arizona: 6-16 ATS off a win as an underdog
Oregon: 10-2 Under at home off a conference loss
New Mexico at BYU, 4:00 EST
New Mexico: 1-8 ATS off ATS wins in 3 of their last 4 games
BYU: 7-0 ATS as a favorite
San Diego State at TCU, 4:00 EST VER
San Diego State: 7-20 ATS off BB ATS wins
TCU: 8-1 ATS off BB conference games
Wyoming at UNLV, 4:00 EST
Wyoming: 6-0 Over in November
UNLV: 1-7 ATS off a loss
UTEP at Marshall, 4:30 EST
UTEP: 14-4 ATS after losing 3 of their last 4 games
Marshall: 6-15 ATS off a conference game
Idaho at Fresno State, 5:00 EST
Idaho: 6-0 ATS off BB ATS losses
Fresno State: 0-9 ATS this season
Washington at Washington State, 6:45 EST FSN
Washington: 7-1 Under vs. conference opponents
Washington State: 1-9 ATS as a home favorite
(TC) Arkansas at Mississippi State, 2:30 EST
Arkansas: 8-1 ATS in the second half of the season
Mississippi State: 1-8 ATS at home off a conference game
(TC) Michigan State at Penn State, 12:00 EST ESPN2
Michigan State: 0-7 ATS vs. conference opponents
Penn State: 15-5 Over at home in November
(TC) Kansas State at Kansas, 3:30 EST FSN
Kansas State: 7-0 Over in November
Kansas: 13-32 ATS in November
(TC) Miami FL at Virginia, 12:00 EST
Miami FL: 5-1 ATS off ATS losses in 3 of their last 4 games
Virginia: 14-3 Under after gaining 75 or less rushing yards
Maryland at Boston College, 7:00 EST ESPN
Maryland: 1-5 ATS with a total of 42 points or less
Boston College: 6-1 Under as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points
Utah at Air Force, 7:30 EST
Utah: 8-1 Over off BB conference games
Air Force: 6-16 ATS off a loss by 17+ points
UAB at Southern Miss, 8:00 EST CSTV
UAB: 32-16 ATS as an underdog
Southern Miss: 23-8 Under off a road game
Nevada at Louisiana Tech, 8:00 EST
Nevada: 7-0 ATS as a favorite
Louisiana Tech: 2-10 ATS as an underdog
California at USC, 8:00 EST ABC
California: 0-6 ATS off ATS losses in 3 of their last 4 games
USC: 8-0 ATS at home off BB ATS wins as a favorite
UCLA at Arizona State, 10:15 EST FSN
UCLA: 12-26 ATS away off a home win
Arizona State: 8-1 ATS off a win by 21+ points
San Jose State at Hawaii, 11:00 EST
San Jose State: 10-2 Under away off a conference game
Hawaii: 10-1 ATS as a favorite
Added Games:
(TC) Louisiana Monroe at Kentucky, 1:00 EST
LA Monroe: 10-22 ATS vs. non-conference opponents
Kentucky: 5-1 ATS off a conference win
Louisiana Lafayette at Florida International, 6:00 EST
LA Lafayette: 4-15 ATS as a favorite
Florida Int: 5-1 Under off 3+ losses
Arkansas State at Troy, 7:00 EST
Arkansas State: 6-1 ATS off BB losses
Troy: 2-9 ATS off BB ATS wins
(TC) Middle Tennessee State at South Carolina, 12:30 EST
Mid Tenn State: 6-1 ATS off 3+ ATS wins
South Carolina: 6-1 Over as a home favorite
Florida Atlantic at North Texas, 7:00 EST
Florida Atl: 0-6 ATS in November
North Texas: 34-19 ATS vs. conference opponents
** (TC) Denotes Time Change
posted by phantom
Nov. 18 2006 1:40am -
0 likes
Posted: Wed Nov 15th 2006, 3:36pm Post subject:
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MIAMI OHIO (1 - 9) at BOWLING GREEN (4 - 6) - 11/15/2006, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOWLING GREEN is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
BOWLING GREEN is 1-0 against the spread versus MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
BOWLING GREEN is 1-0 straight up against MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
AKRON (5 - 5) at OHIO U (7 - 3) - 11/16/2006, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
AKRON is 2-0 against the spread versus OHIO U over the last 3 seasons
AKRON is 2-0 straight up against OHIO U over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
W VIRGINIA (8 - 1) at PITTSBURGH (6 - 4) - 11/16/2006, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W VIRGINIA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
W VIRGINIA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 1-1 against the spread versus W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 1-1 straight up against W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
E MICHIGAN (1 - 9) at KENT ST (5 - 5) - 11/17/2006, 6:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
KENT ST is 1-1 against the spread versus E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
KENT ST is 1-1 straight up against E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
C MICHIGAN (7 - 3) at N ILLINOIS (5 - 5) - 11/17/2006, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
C MICHIGAN is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all games this season.
C MICHIGAN is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
C MICHIGAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) against conference opponents this season.
C MICHIGAN is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
C MICHIGAN is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in games played on turf this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
N ILLINOIS is 1-0 against the spread versus C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
N ILLINOIS is 2-0 straight up against C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO (2 - at WISCONSIN (10 - 1) - 11/18/2006, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WISCONSIN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games this season.
WISCONSIN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
WISCONSIN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
WISCONSIN is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
WISCONSIN is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
WISCONSIN is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
WISCONSIN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
W MICHIGAN (7 - 3) at FLORIDA ST (5 - 5) - 11/18/2006, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA ST is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
S FLORIDA (7 - 3) at LOUISVILLE (8 - 1) - 11/18/2006, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISVILLE is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
LOUISVILLE is 1-1 against the spread versus S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
LOUISVILLE is 1-1 straight up against S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT (4 - 5) at SYRACUSE (3 - 7) - 11/18/2006, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SYRACUSE is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
SYRACUSE is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
SYRACUSE is 1-1 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
SYRACUSE is 1-1 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
RUTGERS (9 - 0) at CINCINNATI (5 - 5) - 11/18/2006, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
RUTGERS is 1-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
RUTGERS is 1-0 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA TECH (8 - 2) at WAKE FOREST (9 - 1) - 11/18/2006, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA TECH is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
VIRGINIA TECH is 1-0 against the spread versus WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA TECH is 1-0 straight up against WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
DUKE (0 - 10) at GEORGIA TECH (8 - 2) - 11/18/2006, 1:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DUKE is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA TECH is 2-0 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA TECH is 2-0 straight up against DUKE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
ILLINOIS (2 - 9) at NORTHWESTERN (3 - - 11/18/2006, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NORTHWESTERN is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 since 1992.
NORTHWESTERN is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
NORTHWESTERN is 1-1 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
NORTHWESTERN is 2-0 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MISSOURI (7 - 3) at IOWA ST (3 - - 11/18/2006, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA ST is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all games this season.
IOWA ST is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
IOWA ST is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 56 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA ST is 1-1 against the spread versus MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons
MISSOURI is 2-0 straight up against IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
IOWA (6 - 5) at MINNESOTA (5 - 6) - 11/18/2006, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in all games this season.
IOWA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
IOWA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
IOWA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
IOWA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in a road game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 since 1992.
MINNESOTA is 30-48 ATS (-22.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA is 2-0 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
IOWA is 2-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA (5 - 6) at PURDUE (7 - 4) - 11/18/2006, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 42-63 ATS (-27.3 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
INDIANA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons.
PURDUE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
PURDUE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
PURDUE is 2-0 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
PURDUE is 2-0 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NC STATE (3 - 7) at N CAROLINA (1 - 9) - 11/18/2006, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NC STATE is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) as a road favorite since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
N CAROLINA is 2-0 against the spread versus NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 2-0 straight up against NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
TEMPLE (1 - 10) at NAVY (7 - 3) - 11/18/2006, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NAVY is 91-59 ATS (+26.1 Units) in all games since 1992.
NAVY is 91-59 ATS (+26.1 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 87-56 ATS (+25.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
NAVY is 58-35 ATS (+19.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NAVY is 40-16 ATS (+22.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
TEMPLE is 1-0 against the spread versus NAVY over the last 3 seasons
NAVY is 1-0 straight up against TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE (7 - 3) at VANDERBILT (4 - 7) - 11/18/2006, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
VANDERBILT is 2-0 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
VANDERBILT is 1-1 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON (8 - 3) at MEMPHIS (1 - 9) - 11/18/2006, 2:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 2-0 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 2-0 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA ST (6 - 4) at TEXAS TECH (6 - 5) - 11/18/2006, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA ST is 20-36 ATS (-19.6 Units) in road games after playing a conference game since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 50-26 ATS (+21.4 Units) in home games since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 50-26 ATS (+21.4 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 69-44 ATS (+20.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 88-62 ATS (+19.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 38-22 ATS (+13.8 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) in home games after playing a conference game since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 67-43 ATS (+19.7 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS TECH is 1-1 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS TECH is 1-1 straight up against OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
C FLORIDA (3 - 7) at TULANE (3 - 7) - 11/18/2006, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
C FLORIDA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
C FLORIDA is 1-0 against the spread versus TULANE over the last 3 seasons
C FLORIDA is 1-0 straight up against TULANE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
ARMY (3 - 7) at NOTRE DAME (9 - 1) - 11/18/2006, 2:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARMY is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
ARMY is 6-20 ATS (-16.0 Units) after a bye week since 1992.
NOTRE DAME is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
UTAH ST (1 - 9) at BOISE ST (10 - 0) - 11/18/2006, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOISE ST is 62-37 ATS (+21.3 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 62-37 ATS (+21.3 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 47-28 ATS (+16.2 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
BOISE ST is 35-14 ATS (+19.6 Units) in home games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 35-14 ATS (+19.6 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 40-21 ATS (+16.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
BOISE ST is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
BOISE ST is 44-22 ATS (+19.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
BOISE ST is 42-16 ATS (+24.4 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
BOISE ST is 39-22 ATS (+14.8 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
BOISE ST is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) in November games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 37-15 ATS (+20.5 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
BOISE ST is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
BOISE ST is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
BOISE ST is 1-0 against the spread versus UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
BOISE ST is 1-0 straight up against UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
E CAROLINA (6 - 4) at RICE (5 - 5) - 11/18/2006, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RICE is 35-15 ATS (+18.5 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
RICE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after playing a conference game this season.
E CAROLINA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all games this season.
E CAROLINA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
E CAROLINA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
E CAROLINA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
E CAROLINA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after playing a conference game this season.
E CAROLINA is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
E CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus RICE over the last 3 seasons
E CAROLINA is 1-0 straight up against RICE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA (8 - 2) at BAYLOR (4 - 7) - 11/18/2006, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BAYLOR is 46-68 ATS (-28.8 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
BAYLOR is 46-68 ATS (-28.8 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
BAYLOR is 44-68 ATS (-30.8 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
BAYLOR is 14-33 ATS (-22.3 Units) in November games since 1992.
BAYLOR is 24-44 ATS (-24.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
BAYLOR is 14-33 ATS (-22.3 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
BAYLOR is 2-0 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA is 2-0 straight up against BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
TULSA (7 - 3) at SMU (5 - 5) - 11/18/2006, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TULSA is 21-38 ATS (-20.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.
TULSA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
SMU is 2-0 against the spread versus TULSA over the last 3 seasons
SMU is 1-1 straight up against TULSA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN (11 - 0) at OHIO ST (11 - 0) - 11/18/2006, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games this season.
OHIO ST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
OHIO ST is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
OHIO ST is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
OHIO ST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO ST is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO ST is 2-0 against the spread versus MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
OHIO ST is 2-0 straight up against MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MISSISSIPPI (3 - 7) at LSU (8 - 2) - 11/18/2006, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LSU is 6-20 ATS (-16.0 Units) in home games in November games since 1992.
LSU is 5-19 ATS (-15.9 Units) in home games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
LSU is 1-1 against the spread versus MISSISSIPPI over the last 3 seasons
LSU is 2-0 straight up against MISSISSIPPI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
OREGON ST (6 - 4) at STANFORD (1 - 9) - 11/18/2006, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
STANFORD is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all games this season.
STANFORD is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
STANFORD is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
STANFORD is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
STANFORD is 1-1 against the spread versus OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
STANFORD is 1-1 straight up against OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
AUBURN (9 - 2) at ALABAMA (6 - 5) - 11/18/2006, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ALABAMA is 20-37 ATS (-20.7 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
ALABAMA is 37-57 ATS (-25.7 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
ALABAMA is 28-46 ATS (-22.6 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
ALABAMA is 1-1 against the spread versus AUBURN over the last 3 seasons
AUBURN is 2-0 straight up against ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA (5 - 5) at OREGON (7 - 3) - 11/18/2006, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 45-70 ATS (-32.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
OREGON is 1-1 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
OREGON is 2-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NEW MEXICO (5 - 5) at BYU (8 - 2) - 11/18/2006, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BYU is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all games this season.
BYU is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
BYU is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
BYU is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) against conference opponents this season.
BYU is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
BYU is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
NEW MEXICO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
BYU is 1-1 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
BYU is 1-1 straight up against NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO ST (2 - 7) at TCU (7 - 2) - 11/18/2006, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TCU is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO ST is 1-0 against the spread versus TCU over the last 3 seasons
TCU is 1-0 straight up against SAN DIEGO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
WYOMING (5 - 6) at UNLV (1 - 9) - 11/18/2006, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UNLV is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
UNLV is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
UNLV is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
UNLV is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
UNLV is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
UNLV is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
UNLV is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
WYOMING is 2-0 against the spread versus UNLV over the last 3 seasons
WYOMING is 2-0 straight up against UNLV over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
UTEP (5 - 5) at MARSHALL (4 - 6) - 11/18/2006, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARSHALL is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
UTEP is 1-0 against the spread versus MARSHALL over the last 3 seasons
UTEP is 1-0 straight up against MARSHALL over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
IDAHO (4 - 6) at FRESNO ST (2 - 7) - 11/18/2006, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FRESNO ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in all games this season.
FRESNO ST is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
FRESNO ST is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
FRESNO ST is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
FRESNO ST is 1-0 against the spread versus IDAHO over the last 3 seasons
FRESNO ST is 1-0 straight up against IDAHO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON (4 - 7) at WASHINGTON ST (6 - 5) - 11/18/2006, 6:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 43-68 ATS (-31.8 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON ST is 1-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON ST is 2-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS (9 - 1) at MISSISSIPPI ST (3 - 7) - 11/18/2006, 2:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-1 against the spread versus ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS is 2-0 straight up against MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST (4 - 7) at PENN ST (7 - 4) - 11/18/2006, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN ST is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all games this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) against conference opponents this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after playing a conference game this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off a loss against a conference rival this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
PENN ST is 2-0 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
PENN ST is 2-0 straight up against MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS ST (7 - 4) at KANSAS (5 - 5) - 11/18/2006, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS ST is 75-50 ATS (+20.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
KANSAS is 66-92 ATS (-35.2 Units) in all games since 1992.
KANSAS is 66-92 ATS (-35.2 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
KANSAS is 61-86 ATS (-33.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
KANSAS is 39-73 ATS (-41.3 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
KANSAS is 13-32 ATS (-22.2 Units) in November games since 1992.
KANSAS is 13-32 ATS (-22.2 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS is 1-1 against the spread versus KANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS is 1-1 straight up against KANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI (5 - 5) at VIRGINIA (4 - 6) - 11/18/2006, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
VIRGINIA is 1-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 2-0 straight up against VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MARYLAND (8 - 2) at BOSTON COLLEGE (8 - 2) - 11/18/2006, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON COLLEGE is 1-0 against the spread versus MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON COLLEGE is 1-0 straight up against MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
UTAH (6 - 4) at AIR FORCE (4 - 5) - 11/18/2006, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AIR FORCE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
AIR FORCE is 2-0 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 2-0 straight up against AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
UAB (3 - 7) at SOUTHERN MISS (6 - 4) - 11/18/2006, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UAB is 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
SOUTHERN MISS is 2-0 against the spread versus UAB over the last 3 seasons
SOUTHERN MISS is 2-0 straight up against UAB over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NEVADA (7 - 3) at LOUISIANA TECH (3 - 7) - 11/18/2006, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEVADA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all games this season.
NEVADA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
NEVADA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
NEVADA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) against conference opponents this season.
NEVADA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
NEVADA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
NEVADA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISIANA TECH is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISIANA TECH is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
LOUISIANA TECH is 1-1 against the spread versus NEVADA over the last 3 seasons
LOUISIANA TECH is 1-1 straight up against NEVADA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
CALIFORNIA (8 - 2) at USC (8 - 1) - 11/18/2006, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
USC is 1-1 against the spread versus CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
USC is 2-0 straight up against CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
UCLA (5 - 5) at ARIZONA ST (6 - 4) - 11/18/2006, 10:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UCLA is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
UCLA is 2-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA ST is 1-1 straight up against UCLA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
SAN JOSE ST (6 - 3) at HAWAII (8 - 2) - 11/18/2006, 11:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HAWAII is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all games this season.
HAWAII is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
HAWAII is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
HAWAII is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
HAWAII is 1-1 against the spread versus SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons
HAWAII is 2-0 straight up against SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
LA MONROE (2 - 7) at KENTUCKY (6 - 4) - 11/18/2006, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA MONROE is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
LA LAFAYETTE (4 - 5) at FLA INTERNATIONAL (0 - 9) - 11/18/2006, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAFAYETTE is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAFAYETTE is 2-0 against the spread versus FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons
LA LAFAYETTE is 2-0 straight up against FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS ST (5 - 5) at TROY ST (5 - 4) - 11/18/2006, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
ARKANSAS ST is 2-0 against the spread versus TROY ST over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS ST is 2-0 straight up against TROY ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MIDDLE TENN ST (7 - 3) at S CAROLINA (5 - 5) - 11/18/2006, 12:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
FLA ATLANTIC (3 - 7) at NORTH TEXAS (3 - 7) - 11/18/2006, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLA ATLANTIC is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
FLA ATLANTIC is 1-0 against the spread versus NORTH TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
FLA ATLANTIC is 2-0 straight up against NORTH TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
posted by phantom
Nov. 18 2006 1:41am -
0 likes
Phil Steele's NEWS AND NOTES
Turnovers were the key for W Michigan as it was 10-7 at the half when CM went 44 yds in 10 plays after a fumble, and 26 yds in 3 plays after an int for TD’s. WM fmbl’d at the CM 40 and also was SOD at the CM 44 on 2 of their final 4 drives.
Miami had an 18-6 FD edge vs Maryland but the Terps got 2 big plays on 65 and 96 yd TD passes to Heyward-Bey and the Canes only had a 320-258 yd edge. Miami missed a 50 yd FG and settled for FG’s of 32 and 25 yds after 12 and 19 play drives as Maryland moved to 8-2.
Houston wrapped up a berth in the CUSA Title game with their 37-27 win over SMU. UH scored the first 14 points of the game but SMU scored the next 24. UH had a 504-343 yd edge and converted WR Anthony Alridge rushed for a career high 225 yds.
Florida St was shutout at home for the first time in Bobby Bowden’s 31 seasons and Wake Forest improved to 9-1 for the first time in school history ending a 22 year losing streak to FSU. FSU had a streak of 232 games without being shutout snapped.
Big plays were the key in Troy’s win over Fla Atl. They had 70, 67 and 54 yd TD passes. FA was driving for the tying TD but was int’d in the EZ with 2:46 left.
Joe Paterno was not on the sidelines vs Temple but the Lions D held Temple to just 2 FD’s in a 47-0 shutout win.
New Mexico is becoming the comeback king as they had double digit deficits vs UNLV, Utah and Colorado St in the previous 3 games and rallied to win all 3. Thanks in part to TO’s (like a fmbl on the 2nd play which was ret’d 12 yds for a TD), they trailed TCU 24-0 at the half. NM rallied once again and TCU needed an int at the 9 yd line with :22 left to hold on for a 6 point win. NM QB Porterie was sk’d 5 times and injured in the 3Q and the late comeback was led by backup QB Chris Nelson. TCU was held to 192 yds offense.
Boise St actually faced their first halftime deficit of the year trailing San Jose St 7-6 and needed a 37 yd FG on the game’s final play in their 23-20 win which kept alive their undefeated season and BCS bowl hopes.
Darren McFadden proved to be a legitimate Heisman candidate rushing for 181 yards and tossing a 12 yd TD pass while being used at QB and RB. Arkansas rolled up 259 yds rushing (5. vs a tough Tennessee D and led 31-7 before allowing a TD with just :31 left. McFadden set a school record by surpassing 180 yds rushing for the 5th time in his career.
Auburn’s Tommy Tuberville, who has done a lot of campaigning for a playoff system and complaining about the BCS, saw his team lose again and they were dominated by Georgia being outFD’d 20-9 and outgained 446-171. They trailed 30-7 at the half and were never really in the game. UGA Fr QB Matthew Stafford threw for 219 yds and rushed for 83.
NC State trailed by 3 and they had a tipped pass int’d with 2:54 left and CU added a FG with 1:10 left. NCSt drove to the CU 29 and had a pass caught near the EZ pylon ruled incomplete with :25 and on 4th & 2 they were sk’d with :23 left.
Bryan Cupito became Minnesota’s all-time career leading passer on a 37 yd TD pass which put the Gophers up 24-12. UM rallied from a 9-0 deficit in a 31-18 win at Mich St.
Rice Coach Todd Graham deserves merit as the possible Coach of the Year for the outstanding job he’s done at Rice. This clearly looked like a rebuilding season but the Owls knocked off Tulsa and are now 4-2 in CUSA play. Graham was Tulsa’s DC the past 3 years and Rice led the game 20-7 after 3Q’s before TU got three 4Q TD’s to force OT. Rice won it in 2 OT’s.
Hawaii was w/o starting RB Nate Ilaoa vs LA Tech but in the battle with the #1 ranked offense vs the #119 D it hardly mattered. UH rolled up 618 yds offense in the 61-17 romp.
Pitt led Conn by 14 in the 4Q. UC got a TD with 7:53 left and then a 1 yd TD pass with :03 left to force OT. In the 2nd OT, although he did not have to go for 2, UC Coach Edsall did and they got the 2 pt conversion on a Hernandez run for a 46-45 2-OT win over the Panthers.
UCF/Memphis combined for 34 pts in the 1H and it could have been more but UCF settled for a 20 yd FG. Amazingly, in the 2H, UCF went ultraconservative on offense, despite the fact that Moffett hit 19 of 28 for 319 yds. On their game winning drive they ran the ball between the tackles 10 of 14 plays on a 71 yd drive that ate up 7:39. On 4th & goal from the footline they let the clock run down and took a time-out and kicked an 18 yd FG for a non-covering 26-24 win.
POINTSPREAD PLAYS OF THE GAME
Utah was either an 11 or 12 pt favorite vs Colorado St. CSU took over with 2:07 left in the game and went 90 yds in six plays and got a 7 yd TD pass with :41 left. They went for 2 and were stopped and could not get the backdoor cover.
GAME OF THE CENTURY HAS A NICE SETUP
Ohio St/Michigan came in ranked #1 and #2 and undefeated for the first time in series history and both rolled over their opponents leaving no doubt that this week’s game is probably THE National Title Game. OSU only had a 229-225 yd edge at the half but took advantage of 4 TO’s and a blk’d punt which they turned into TD’s for a 33-10 halftime lead. They did dominate the 2H as NU had just 85 yds and the stands were colored more in Buckeyes Scarlet than Purple in their 54-10 rout of N’western.
Michigan allowed just 131 yds to Indiana and rolled to a dominating 34-3 win. At the end of the game there were more Michigan fans in the stands than Indiana fans. Mario Manningham had 2 catches for 11 yds in his 2nd game back from injury and should be close to 100% for next week’s big battle.
NATIONAL TITLE CONTENDERS GO BY THE WAYSIDE
Heading into the week it looked like there could be as many as 12 one loss teams at the end of the year battling for the right to play in the National Title game. Those numbers were thinned considerably this past week. Arizona beat a Top 25 team for the 2nd straight week rallying from a 17-3 deficit to knock off #8 ranked Cal, a team that was posturing for the National Championship Game. One key has been the return of Willie Tuitama as he hit 17 of 34 for 202 yds vs the tough Cal D.
Louisville led Rutgers 25-7 in the 2Q but could not hold on. RU did hold the potent Cards offense to 266 yds.
Florida and Boise St also survived near scares. Colt McCoy was one of the top QB’s in the country statistically heading into the Kansas St game and right out of the box hit 4 of 4 for 51 yds. UT, which came in ranked #5 in the BCS standings was dealt a severe blow when McCoy got a 1 yd TD run on a QB sneak for a 7-0 lead with 6:53 left in the 1Q. McCoy was just 2 shy of the NCAA frosh record for TD passes and hurt his right shoulder on the play and would not return. Backup QB Jevan Snead hit just 13 of 30 passes and KSU stunned Texas, 45-42.
TURNOVERS CAN MAKE A DIFFERENCE
Baylor turned the ball over 6 times vs Oklahoma St. In the 1H four TO’s led to 4 OSU TD’s including an int with :36 left in the half that led to a 2 play, 18 yd TD for the Cowboys. To open the 3Q OSU got a 23 yd IR TD and a 57 yd fmbl ret for a TD, 52-3. They did have a 510-355 yd edge.
New Mexico St had 22-14 FD and 376-263 yd edges vs Fresno St. They fmbl’d the ball 4 times and the Bulldogs converted 4 TO’s into 17 points. FSU, which had not won since the opening game of the season, scored a TD with 7:09 left but then NMSt drove to the Bulldogs 14 yd line on their final poss but lost 16 yds when a shotgun snap sailed over the QB’s head and could not score.
Florida Int’l had 3 TO’s result in 21 ULM points including a 26 yd IR for a TD. FIU was dogged by the fact that susp from the Miami game were not announced until gametime and some of the susp’d players practiced during the week and it was tough to gain any continuity. FIU had just 9 FD’s and got its first shutout loss in its home stadium while ULM got its first shutout win since 1999.
The Vanderbilt/Kentucky game was amazing on a couple of grounds. We had a 4H on the Over and VU would have a 621-597 yd edge combining for 1,218 yds. Amazingly, the game did not go Over the total until 3:31 remained b/c VU had 4 TO’s almost all inside the UK 10 yd line and there was also 3 missed FG’s. UK became bowl eligible and Andre Woodson threw for 450 yds in the win.
FAREWELL TOURS
Generally when a HC is fired or announces his resignation, the team rallies around him in the final few weeks. Such was the case last week at N Texas. Amazingly, after guiding NT to 4 consecutive SBC Titles and 4 bowls in 5 years heading into the season and just a couple weeks after suffering a heart attack, Darrell Dickey was fired prior to the ULL game showing some strange shortsightedness. NT will probably never again have a six year stretch with 4 conf titles and 4 bowls. NT’s D rallied for the outgoing coach and held ULL to 13 FD’s and just 208 yds in their 16-7 upset win.
N Carolina has not won a game SU since John Bunting was fired but they have covered all 3 and vs #19 Georgia Tech, only lost 7-0. It was the first time NC had been shutout twice in the season since 1989 but NC’s D did hold the Yellow Jackets to just 221 yds.
INJURIES OF NOTE
Kent St was playing w/o QB Edelman and Michael Machen threw for just 98 yds. KSU’s D held Virg Tech to just 214 total yards offense and VT needed a fmbl ret for a TD in the 4Q to win by 23 laying 30’.
The Tulane/S Miss game was a strange one as TU was w/o RB Forte due to a knee injury and then benched record setting QB Lester Ricard after 3 incompletions and an int. His backup, Scott Elliott, hit just 3 of 8 for 30 yds. SM did have a 393-85 yd edge but only led 10-3 in the 4Q. They got a 50 yd fmbl return for a TD and then got 46 and 65 yd drives for TD’s, the latter with :46 left to extend the margin to 31-3.
Washington St played w/o their top 2 WR’s in Bumpus and Hill after losing both to injuries in the 2H vs Arizona and for the entire game vs Arizona St. WSU dropped from the Top 25 and is off 2 straight losses. Without their 2 stud WR’s, they managed just 292 yds as ASU piled up 562 in a 47-14 rout. ASU scored on all 6 poss in the 1H.
Washington QB Carl Bonnell was inj’d late in the 1Q with a right thigh bruise. Backup QB Johnny DuRocher threw an int which was ret’d 49 yds for a TD. SU also had a screen pass go 74 yds for a TD. DuRocher was knocked out with a concussion after hitting 1 of 9 passes with 2 int’s and Bonnell was forced to return. Those circumstances led to a Washington 20-3 loss despite SU having just 7 FD’s. It was the 6th straight loss for UW and clinched a losing season.
Wisconsin played w/o starting QB Stocco but Tyler Donovan hit 17 of 24 for 228 yds and rushed for 61. Bret Bielema became the first Big 10 coach to win 10 games in his first year and UW, after they knock off Buffalo this week, will record their first 11 win regular season with their only loss coming to #2 ranked Michigan.
MISLEADING FINALS, FRONTDOOR AND BACKDOOR COVERS
Buffalo trailed Akron 21-10 with just 2:37 left. The Zips got off a 5 yd punt setting up UB at the 46. Five plays later UB, with 1:30 left, got a TD for the backdoor cover.
A misleading final was UTEP/UAB. UAB had an option pitch go for a TD but it was called back on an illegal forward pass which would have put them up 14-3. In the 2H 2 screen passes went 80 and 79 yds for UTEP, the 2nd of which happened when they led just 22-17 with 7:51 left. UTEP’s final score came after an int for a misleading 19 point win.
Cincinnati needed a frontdoor push vs W Virginia despite having a 20-13 FD edge. WV got big plays with a 63 yd TD on a long run by Slaton which was fmbl’d but picked up by WV WR Bolden who took it the final 5 yds for the TD. They also got a 65 yd TD run by Slaton and after an int, got a 10 yd drive for a TD to lead 42-10 after 3Q’s. UC was int’d at the WV 22 but drove 79 and 58 yds for a pair of TD’s, the latter with 5:34 left for the backdoor push.
USF did have a 514-250 yd edge vs Syracuse. Delbert Alvarado kicked a Big East record 56 yd FG for USF. Two key plays helped USF cover. On 3rd & 9 they got a 79 yd TD pass with 2:09 left in the 3Q and then with 7:46 left, rec’d a fmbl at the USF 3 and on the next play got a TD for the frontdoor cover, 27-10. SU’s last 2 drives ended in an int at the USF 26 and a fmbl at the SU 44.
Oklahoma was playing without their top 2 TB’s but Fr Chris Brown (PS#35) rushed for 84 yds on 6 carries. Texas Tech led 24-17 at the half and trailed 27-24 when they missed a 40 mid-4Q. The Sooners went on an 80 yd, 14 play drive and got a TD with 2:13 left for the frontdoor cover.
KICKING WOES
Kicking woes hurt the Gamecocks. S Carolina had a 55 yd FG taken off the board for a delay of game penalty and then had a 47 yd FG blk’d in the 3Q. After scoring a TD, SC had the xp blk’d with 2:13 left and only led 16-10 and then a 48 yd FG was blk’d on the final play of the game and the Gators escaped with a 17-16 home win.
UNLV missed 41 and 37 yd FG’s in the 2Q and with :22 left in the 1H had a 52 yarder bounce off the crossbar. In the 3Q they had a 53 yd FG come up just short and a 28 yd FG was blocked. SDSt also scored on a 59 yd IR for a TD so their 21-7 win over UNLV was not as comfortable as the score indicated as they only had a 277-250 yd edge.
It was not just missed FG’s for Alabama, but also 2 TO’s, but they had 4 trips in the redzone result in zero points vs LSU. The Tide had a 23-20 FD edge but after a sk missed a 40 yd FG they missed a 49 yd FG with :19 left in the half, they fmbl’d inside the LSU 10 and also had a tipped pass int’d at the LSU 12, as the Tide lost by 14 but still covered.
posted by phantom
Nov. 18 2006 1:41am -
0 likes
NCAAFB
Saturday's Games
Wisconsin won last seven games (6-1 vs. spread); this is their last game of season, so they can celebrate vs. Buffalo team that lost eight of last nine games, and still has TV game vs. Central Michigan in six days. Bulls are 0-6 on road (4-2 as road dog) with losses by 8,18,31,35,41 points. Five of last seven Badger games went over the total.
Jeff Bowden has resigned as Florida State's OC (effective after season) so struggling FSU offense (shut out at home last week for first time since '73) even further in disarray. Seminoles are 5-5, losing three of last four games, and covered only two of six as home favorite. Western Michigan is 3-2 as underdog this year, 7-3 SU, but lost last week 31-7 at MAC frontrunner C. Michigan.
Louisville lost first game last week, looks to bounce back vs. South Florida team that upset Cards 45-14 in Tampa LY (+21, TY 493-355L). Bulls had 251 rushing yards in that game and ran kickoff back for TD. USF won four of last five games this year; they're 2-1 vs. spread as dog. USF's losses this year are by 6,2,17 points. UofL covered one of last four games, but is 3-1 as home favorite, winning by 31,24,6,10 points.
UConn had comeback win vs. Pitt last week, rallying from 31-17 down in fourth quarter; they forced three turnovers and beat Syracuse LY 26-7, despite passing for only 45 yards. Orange lost last five games; they scored 30-34-40 pts in their wins, 17 or less in all seven losses. Only one of last six UConn foes scored less than 24 points. Four of last five Orange games stayed under the total.
Trip to Cincinnati is major trap game for magical Rutgers squad three wins away from what could be Cinderella run at a national title; they crushed Bearcats 44-9 last year (-14) outrushing UC 337-M23, outgaining them 574-146. Knights are 4-0 on road, winning by 5,2,34,10 pts; they're 2-2 as favorite this year, but completed less than half its passes in last two games (19-45). Bearcats won last four home games.
Wake Forest is 9-1, but an underdog for sixth time in last seven lined games; they've won four games in row, shut Florida State out at FSU last week (their first win in Florida since '59), and are 3-1 at home. Virginia Tech won its last four games, allowing 5.8 peg, forcing 10 turnovers and holding all four foes under 240 TY. Under is 7-1-1 in Wake games this season, 6-2 in last eight Tech tilts.
Visitor covered four of last five Duke-Ga Tech games, with Duke losing last two visits to this site, 17-2/24-7; they're 0-10 this season, 0-19 vs. I-A schools the last two years, but are 3-1 as road dogs this season, losing by 1,36,16,21 points. Banged-up Tech sr QB Ball is expected to play despite being hurt. Last year, Duke led Tech 10-7 at half, lost 35-10. Tech is 2-3-1 as favorite in '06.
Visitor is 14-4 vs. the spread (dogs are 10-6) in last 18 Illinois-Northwestern games, with teams splitting 7-point decisions in Illinois's last two trips to Evanston. Illinois is 1-18 in last 19 games vs. I-A foes, not sure how they qualify as road favorite. Wildcats lost seven of last eight games, but they won at Iowa. Three of last four Illinois road games stayed under the total.
Missouri won last three games vs. Iowa State by 38,3,3 points; they knocked Cyclones out of Big 12 title game with home win LY, 27-24. State lost last six games, all by 14 pts (0-6 vs. spread); they haven't covered since Sept 23- their Big 12 home losses are by 14,16,31 points. Mizzou lost three of last four games; their three Big 12 wins are by 15,17,20 pts. Three of last four Iowa State games went over total.
Iowa covered 12 of last 13 games vs. Minnesota (average total in last five is 66), winning last two visits to Metrodome, 45-21/29-27, but Hawkeyes are struggling, losing last four Big 11 games and covering only one of seven as favorite this season. Gophers won last two games, scoring 94 pts with six takeaways, can finish 6-6 with win here; favorite is 8-2 vs. spread in Minnesota games this season.
Home side covered seven of last eight Indiana-Purdue games, with Hoosiers losing last two visits to Ross-Ade, 34-10/63-24; Boilers covered six of last nine series games, taking LY's 41-14 at IU. Purdue won last two games, but is already bowl eligible, and has trip to Hawai'i on deck; they're just 1-2 as favorite in '06. Indiana is 5-6, playing for .500 season, but their last four losses are by 35,41,37,31 points.
Road team covered six of last seven NC State-UNC games, with Heels 10-3 vs. spread in last 13, including 31-24 upset in Raleigh LY (+11). State lost last five games, all by eight or less points, so can't justify them as road favorite, even vs. UNC squad that is
0-9 vs. D-I teams this year. Heels lost 7-0 to Ga Tech last week, after giving up 45 points week before; they've actually covered their last three games.
Navy covered 10 of last 16 November home games; they beat Temple LY, 38-17 (-27) running ball for 375 yards. Middies just won pair of road games, scoring 87 pts, gaining 758 yds on ground, so expect them to pound Temple squad that allowed 249,216,211 rushing yards in its last three games. Owls have covered five of last seven games, so they're still trying. Navy is 2-3 as favorite in '06.
Vanderbilt beat Tennessee 28-24 (+11) LY for first time in last 23 tries, despite being outrushed 251-49, knocking Vols out of bowl game; now they catch Vols off two straight losses, where UT gave up 490 rushing yards and 59 points. Vandy is 0-3 at home in SEC this year, losing to Arkansas (21-19), South Carolina
(31-13), Florida (25-19). Last five Vanderbilt games went over.
Memphis won last three games vs. Houston by average score of 40-16, but thats about to change, since Tigers lost last eight games (1-7 vs. spread) with three of last four losses by 14+ points. Cougars allowed 35 ppg during losing streak. Houston has senior QB and four-game win streak (by 17,20,17,10 pts) during which they scored 37.3 ppg and ran ball for average of 249.8 ypg.
Home team won last four Texas Tech-Oklahoma State games, with Cowboys losing last two visits to Lubbock (49-24/31-15); favorite covered six of last eight series games, Tech ten of last 12. In their last seven games, State allowed 31.4 ppg; they lost three of last four road games. Tech is +7 in turnovers its three games. Seven of last eight OSU games and last four Tech tilts went over total.
Central Florida beat Tulane LY 34-24 (-5.5), using +5 turnover ratio to gain the win; they also outrushed Green Wave 286-80. Both sides are struggling here, UCF losing seven of last nine games, covering none of last five; they've won two games this season, and lost the next week both times (0-42/7-52). Tulane allowed 73 pts in losing last three games; they're 0-7 if they score less than 32 points.
Notre Dame tunes up for USC by playing Army (2-16-1 vs. the spread after a bye). Irish are 4-11-1 vs. spread as home favorite, 1-5 this year, with home wins by 24,14,21,3, 19 points. Cadets lost last four games (by 14,17,14,36 pts) and failed to cover last six-they're 2-2 as road dog in '06. Six of last seven Army games, six of last nine ND games went over the total. This result won't help Irish in BCS race.
Boise still trying to move up BCS ladder, so only recourse here might be to drill Utah St when they're down. State covered seven of last eight vs. Utah State, winning last two meetings (45-21/63-38). Aggies are 1-8, losing last four in row, last two by combined score of 105-10. Broncos could be looking ahead to Nevada game next week, but Aggies look like a team waiting anxiously for season to be over with.
Red-hot Rice won last four games, all as underdog, scoring 38 ppg; at 5-5, they have legit shot at a bowl, as switch to passing offense has gone great. Owls lost 41-28 LY at East Carolina (+4); this is just their third game in home stadium this year- previous two were both decided by single point. ECU also won its last four games; they're 9-1 vs. spread this season, covering last four games that were wins by 17,3,13,13 points.
Visitor covered eight of last ten Oklahoma-Baylor games, with Sooners winning in last two visits to Waco, 49-9/35-0; that said, Bears did take OU to OT in Norman LY, losing 37-30 (+14), but Bears crippled by season-ending injury to QB Bell- they lost last three games, are 0-5 vs. spread in last five, and allowed 46.8 ppg in last six. Sooners won last five games (4-1 vs. spread) by 25,21, 16,1,10 points.
SMU covered eight of last 11 games vs. Tulsa, with home side winning last four; Tulsa lost last two visits to this site, 24-21/
41-35 ot, but Hurricane lost last two games after a six-game win streak ended. Mustangs are 5-5, need this win or win vs. Rice next week to get first .500 season under Bennett. Dog covered three of last four series games. Seven of last eight Tulsa games went over total, as did five of last seven SMU tilts.
Michigan, Ohio State both unbeaten, both lying in wait for this game. Home side is 15-8-1 vs the spread in last 24 series games, with Tressel 4-1 vs. Lloyd Carr. Wolverines lost last two visits to Horseshoe, 14-9/37-21 and lost to Buckeyes at home last yr, when OSU outrushed them by 118-32, outgained them 418-255. Michigan been running ball well last three weeks, gaining 202, 352,208 yds. Close game here could mean a rematch in Arizona for national title.
Ole Miss plays LSU tough, covering seven of last nine series games, and last three visits to Baton Rouge (35-24/13-14/24-27), but Rebels are 1-5 in SEC, with losses by 17,5,3, 35,6 points. LSU is bully team, with home wins by 42,42,42,31,49,32,14 points (1-3 vs. spread last four at home). This is sandwich game for Tigers (Alabama/Arkansas) which helps Ole Miss, but they can't pass, so hard to cover thru backdoor.
Stanford got first win last week, beating crippled Washington, but Cardinal still 0-4 at home, losing by 28,26,13,42 points; in last four weeks, Cardinal ran ball for total of 124 yards (576-124). Beavers had won four in row before dismal 26-7 loss at UCLA last week, when Beavers lost four fumbles, missed two FGs and went in tank once they fell behind. Oregon St. is 3-0 vs. spread as favorite this season.
Visitor is 8-3 vs. spread in always hard-hitting Alabama-Auburn series, with Tigers winning last four series games by average score of 23-15, taking last two visits to this site, 17-7/21-13. Bama was outrushed 139-33 in last year's game; they've lost last three SEC games, scoring 14.3 ppg, but are 3-1 vs. spread as dog this year. Auburn got whacked by Auburn last week; they're 9-2 SU, but 1-7 vs. spread in last eight.
Arizona live team again with Tuitama back under center; UofA posted upset wins last two weeks, scoring 25.5 ppg; they're 4-11 vs. spread in last 15 games vs. Ducks, in series where road team covered five of last seven. Oregon is 4-0 at home vs. I-A teams, winning by 38,1,10,20 points- they fought hard in loss at USC last week. Six of last seven Arizona games and three of last four Oregon games stayed under total.
BYU on serious roll, winning, covering last seven games, with three of last five wins by 30+ points. Visiting team won last five New Mexico-BYU games, with Lobos taking last two visits to Provo, 20-16/21-14, both as road dogs, in low scoring series where average total has been around 39. Cougars are 5-0 as home favorite this season, winning by 25,38, 30,45,48 points. Lobos are 5-5, covering last four games; their worst loss is 17.
San Diego State split last four games after 0-5 start, but one of losses was vs. I-AA team; they lost 23-20 at home to TCU LY, getting outrushed 299-125. Aztecs are 0-4 on road this year (1-2-1 as road dog) losing by 14,21,30,3 points. TCU won last four games, is 7-2, but have only one I-A win, (26-3 vs. Wyoming) by more than 15 points. Five of last seven TCU games stayed under the total.
UNLV in total freefall, losing last nine games, covering one of last eight; they've been outscored 85-13 in first half of their last four games. Road team covered seven of last 9 in high-scoring series, where Wyoming's last two visits to Strip ended in 49-48 OT loss and 53-45 OT win- dogs covered 7 of last ten in series. Cowboys need win for 6-6 season and possible bowl invite (they bring lot of fans).
Marshall lost 31-3 at UTEP LY (+13), but Miners lost three of last four road games, and gave up 26.5 ppg in last six games, despite +10 turnover ratio during that time. Herd won three of last four games but lost 33-20 last week at East Carolina; they scored 42,41 pts in winning last two home games. UTEP is 4-1 when they allow less than 30 points. Last five Marshall games all went over the total.
Fresno State ended 7-game skid last week with a non-covering
23-18 win vs. New Mexico State; they're 1-11 vs. spread in last dozen games, and trailed at half in last five. Idaho lost last three games, allowing 51.7 peg; they're 3-3 as road dog this season. Last year, Bulldogs routed Idaho 40-10, outscoring Vandals 24-0 in second half, scoring TDs on blocked punt and a punt return.
Every Washington QB is hurt, except for prize freshman Locker, who is red-shirting so he still has four years left to play. Problem is, Bonnell has to play here with bruised leg because Durocher got concussion last week, and Washington already lost last six games, while Wazzu is looking for third straight series win for first time in 98 years. Dog is 4-1 vs. spread in last five Apple Cups, with last two played here both decided by FG. Huskies covered five of last six in series.
Other than Ohio State, I think Arkansas is best team in country, but trap game here for Hogs, in Tennessee/LSU sandwich, vs. improving Miss State squad that beat Alabama last time out, and lost by FG each in previous two games. Underdog is 11-3 vs. spread in series, with Hogs winning last two visits here, 26-19/24-21, as host covered last four in series. Arkansas is 3-0 on road, winning by 2,17,6 points.
Paterno expected to be in press box for Senior Day in Happy Valley; home side is 10-3 vs. spread in last 13 Michigan State-Penn State games, with Spartans losing last two visits here (61-7 /37-13); average series total is 65. Spartans are 4-11-1 vs. spread in last 16 November road games; they're 0-8 vs. spread in last eight games overall, failing to cover their last four tries as the underdog.
Kansas State off upset win over Texas, are 7-4, going bowling, while this is shot at bowl game for 5-5 Kansas squad that goes to Missouri next week. K-State covered 11 of last 12 games vs. Kansas, but with Snyder gone, this is start of new era in rivalry; Wildcats lost last visit to Lawrence, 31-28 and beat KU 12-3 at home LY, despite getting outgained 109-35 on ground.
Miami lost last three games, by 1,7,7 points; their starting QB has broken thumb, one of their best linemen was murdered last week and at 5-5, there's a coaching change coming soon, but they did win last two games vs. Virginia (31-21/25-17) team that lost 33-0 at 5-5 Florida State two weeks ago. Virginia has three wins and two shutouts; their other win was in OT. Am not very enthusiastic about either side here.
Maryland is 7-2, winning last five games, all by six or less pts; they covered last three tries as underdog, but lost 31-16 at home to Boston College LY (TY 451-363). BC won five of last six games; they have Turkey Day game at Miami in just five days. Terps are 2-2 on road, with last three decided by total of seven points. Five of last six BC games stayed under total.
Air Force lost three of last four games, covered one of last six; 11 of their last 15 games vs. Utah were decided by seven or less pts, with last two here decided by total of three (38-37A/45-43U, in OT). Falcons covered seven of last nine series games, with average total in last 20 meetings a hefty 64. Utes allowed 33.5 peg in losing last two road games, but they've won two in row at home since, scoring 40 ppg- their last four games went over.
UAB lost last four games, by 1,7,13,19 points, and covered just two of last nine; they're 1-2 vs. spread as dog, with only two of their seven losses by more than 13 pts. Blazers ost last five games vs. Southern Miss by average score of 20-15, losing last two series home games, 3-0/26-21. Eagles scored 36.5 ppg in winning last two games, running ball for total of 480 yards, as they prepare to go back to a bowl.
Nevada has big WAC game with Boise on deck, first visits Louisiana Tech squad that beat Wolf Pack last two times teams met in Ruston (50-47/38-21). Last year's 37-27 Nevada win was their first in last five series games, but Tech lost six of last eight games and is 2-8 vs. spread this year, while Nevada won four in row and seven of last eight games, covering all eight; they're 2-3 on road, winning by 28,38 points.
Cal had won eight in row before stumbling at Arizona last week; now, team lot of folks think is better than USC, and last team to beat Trojans in Coliseum, invades LA in series where road team covered eight of last ten series games. Bears lost tough games in last two visits here (30-28/23-17). Cal is 7-3-1 vs. spread in last 11 tries as Pac-10 road dog. Trojans outscored two foes 77-10 since loss at Oregon State.
UCLA ended its four-game skid last week, beating Beavers 25-7, while Arizona State won for third time in last four games, and are bowl eligible with 47-14 rout of banged-up Wazzu. Underdog is 4-1-1 in last six series games, with three of last four series totals 80+. Bruins outgained ASU 660-515 in wild 45-35 win LY; they're 0-4 on road this season, losing by 10,103,14 points. Seven of last nine UCLA games stayed under total.
Former Rainbow coach Tomey has San Jose 6-3, bowl eligible, but Hawai'i won last seven games, covered last five, scoring a ridiculous 57.7 ppg during win streak. After giving up 69 points in first two games, both vs. Pac-10 teams, San Jose hasn't given up more than 23 in a game; they're 4-1 vs. spread as dog this season. Hawai'i QB Brennan is only 11 TDs shy of single season record, and he has three games left.
Kentucky on cloud nine at 6-4 and bowl eligible; they scored 32 ppg in winning last three games and are 4-0 vs. spread as fave this year, though most pts they've laid this year is 6.5. Monroe snapped seven-game skid last week, beating FIU squad that fired its coach after the loss; ULM is 5-1 vs. spread on road this year, covering as big dog at Kansas (19-21), Arkansas (10-44), but not at Alabama (7-41).
FIU coach Strock "resigned" after ULM loss, winless Panthers, who've lost last three games by combined score of 108-3, after dropping five of first games by five or less points, are playing out string and hosting UL-Lafayette squad on three-game skid- their last two wins are by 3,6 points, but both did come on road. Cajuns won last three series games by 33,9,21 points.
Troy now 4-0 in Sun Belt, headed towards showdown with Middle Tennessee for league crown; only one of their four Sun Belt wins is by more than seven points, so hard to lay lumber vs Arkansas State squad that's been outscored 94-10 in last three games. This is ASU's first Sun Belt visit to Troy; then won home games vs. Trojans, 13-9/9-3; again, history of low-scoring games discourages laying points.
Middle Tennesse won, covered last six games, scoring 34+ pts in five of six games, but are way up in class here, vs. S Carolina squad smarting after three tough losses to Tennessee (24-31), Arkansas (20-26), Florida (16-17); at 5-5, Gamecocks need win to be bowl eligible. MTSU coach Stockstill was SC's recruiting coordinator last year; his team has league title game next week, when they host Troy in showdown.
North Texas playing under lame-duck coach- they went out and beat UL-Lafayette last week, after firing was announced. UNT lost last two years to FAU (26-23/20-13) and were outrushed 227-161 in LY's game. Owls lost last two weeks, scoring 15.5 ppg. North Texas is 0-2 as favorite this year, and scored 16 or less in six of last eight games. Six of last nine UNT games stayed under total
posted by phantom
Nov. 18 2006 1:43am -
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Lexus Sports
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10*Michigan
posted by phantom
Nov. 18 2006 1:46am -
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Larry Ness' 20* Rivalry GOY
Ron Prince has done a GREAT job in his first year at Manhattan, capped by last week's upset of Texas. On the heels of that 45-42 win, he must get his team ready to face in-state rival Kansas Former coach Bill Snyder always took the Kansas game seriously and his Wildcats dominated the Jayhawks over the years. Recently, KSU has gone 11-1 SU and ATS over Kansas but the dynamics of this year's meeting are different. The Jayhawks can become bowl-eligible with a win here, while not only is Kansas St already there (school is 7-4 after back-to-back losing seasons) but the Wildcats are off the Texas win. KSU freshman QB Josh Freeman has come on after a slow start, completing 71.4% of his passes for an average of 227 YPG with six TDPs and just two INTs in KSU's three-game winnings streak. However, the Wildcats have played just THREE road games all year, having beaten only 2-9 Colorado, while losing 17-3 at Baylor and 41-21 at Missouri. By the way, Freeman was just 11-of-33 at Baylor with three INTs and no TDs plus just 5-of-19 for 63 yards at Missouri with two INTs and again, no TDs. The Jayhawks have won 10 of their last 12 home games and QB Meier is off his best game of the season (17-of-22 with two TDPs vs Iowa St). RB Jon Cornish (1,130 YR / 5.4 YPC) gives Kansas a running threat that KSU lacks and while Kansas is coming off a bye, KSU is playing for the 12th straight weekend. KSU has had a nice bounce-back year under Prince but the team has won just THREE of its last 12 away from Manhattan and off the Texas win, is in a very tough spot emotionally. This is the perfect set-up for Mangini's Kansas team and the Jayhawks won't miss the opportunity. Rivalry Game of the Year 20* Kansas.
Larry Ness' Las Vegas Insider-CFB
Skip Holtz has done a remarkable job at East Carolina. The team was just 5-6 LY in his first year but 8-3 ATS. In 2006, he's kept up his winning ways ATS (9-1) but also has the team at 6-4 SU and with a win can clinch a spot in the C-USA title game. However, Todd Graham of Rice has done an equally good job and Rice comes in the hotter team. Rice opened 0-4 but then won over Army. The Owls lost at Tulane next but have since won four straight games outright, as underdogs (the last three on the road and are now 5-5)! They have averaged 38 PPG in that run and QB Chase Clement has been great. He missed the team's brutal three-game stretch vs UCLA, Texas and Fla St but has played in seven games TY. He's completing 59% for almost 229 YPG with 18 TDPs and just three INTs! The Rice rushing game averages 140.7 YPG (4.2) and will offer the East Carolina D a stern test. The Rice defense stinks but East Carolina can't run (110.6 YPG / 3.2 YPC) and while QB Pinkney had a huge game LW (21-of-27 for 270 yards), he's thrown just eight TDPs with eight INTs on the year. In his last two road games, he's averaged just 166 YPG in the air with no TDPs and four INTs. There's a lot of pressure on East Carolina and Rice is rolling. With a win here and next week vs SMU (also at home and SMU is 1-4 on the road TY), the Owls would get to 7-5 and could go bowling for the first time since 1961! It's Homecoming at Rice and believe it or not, the team is 6-1-1 ATS its last eight Homecoming games. Rice wins again as a dog (no respect!) Las Vegas Insider on Rice.
posted by phantom
Nov. 18 2006 1:57am -
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Aplay
Va tech
Athlon Spts(pr)
Maryland--Minnesota--Kansas St--Michigan
Ben Burns
M Tenn St
Big Al(sp)
South Florida--Minnesota*--Washington--GOY=OregonGOY=Kansas--Michigan--GOM=Cincinnati--Virginia
Billy Coleman
Purdue
Brain Gabrielle
Rutgers
Buzz Daly
Va Tech--N.C. St--Vanderbilt--Miss St--Kan State +2.0Ohio State--BYU--LSU
Cajun Spts
GOW=Tx Tech
Dave Cokin(sp)
So Miss--Penn St--Uconn--UL La--Bo Coll
Docs Enterprise
Te Tech--MICH--PUR Ov--MISS St--PENN STCincinati--Kansas
Docs Spts(sp)
Penn St--Tx Tech--MichiganOregon--Miss St--Purdue ov
Dr Bob(sp)
Bo College--Army--PurdueW Forest--Oregon--La tech
Erik Smith(pr)
Buffalo--Army--Bo College--Michigan
Fearless(pr)
Michigan--Auburn--Rutgers--Oklahoma St
Gameday
Louisville
Gold Sheet(wup)
N'western--Tx Tech--No Dame--Alabama
Greg Roberts
Miss St--BYU--Mi Fla Un--Cinci Un
Hanks Spts(pr)
Louis--Wisc--W Forest
Harmon Forecast(wup)
Buffalo--Minnesota--Uconn
Joe Gavazzi(sp)
Florida St--Rutgers--GOY=Uconn
Kelso Sturgeon(sp)
GOY=Calif
Kevin O.Neill(wup)
W Forest--Michigan--Bama--Maryland
Kiddz Corner
Ohio St
Larry Ness(sp)
Bo. College--Tenn--Tex Tech--Va Tech--Calif
Linemover
South Fla--Minnesota--Vandy--Miss St--Ohio StAuburn--Va Tech--Miss--San Jose St
LT Profits
Ark St--SMU
Malinsky
Maryland
Marc Lawerence(wup)
Michigan--Alabama--Iowa--Bo College
Mark Mayer
Minn--FSU--So Fla--Va--DukeSo Miss--UNR--No Dame--Wy
Mighty Quinn
BB=California
Norm Hitzges(pr)
B College--navy--N Carolina
Northcoast
Cinci
NY Post(sulivan)
BB=B Coll--Auburn--Louis
Pointwise(wup)
UNR--Penn St--Tx Tech
Power Sweep(wup)
BYU--Houston--Navy--Arizona St
Pure Profit(sp)
Florida State--M.Tennessee St--Missouri--MarylandUSC--Ohio State
Red Sheet(wup)
Bama--FSU--Kentucky--N Dame--Kansas
Rich Saber
Missouri--Houston--Oklahoma--OregonBYU--Penn St--Kansas St--So MissUNR--Hawaii--W Forest & Un
Scotts Pks(pr)
Arkansas--No Dame--Bosie--Oklahoma
Special K(sp)
W Virgina--Louis--GOW=Michigan
Sports Reporter(wup)
Missouri--Navy--Kansas--Penn St
Sunshine F'cast(pr)
Ohio St--USC--Hawaii
Tony George
BYU
Trace Adams
DUKE--N.CAROLINA--IOWA ST--ALABAMAUSC--PENN STATE--BYU
Wayne Root(sp)
Virginia Tech--California--Cincinnati--Air Force--Kansas
Winning Points(wup)
BB=Bama--Illionis
posted by phantom
Nov. 18 2006 12:52pm -
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ROCKYS WINNER CIRCLE
College Blowout GOY
Texas Tech
Golden Nugget GOW
Virginia
posted by phantom
Nov. 18 2006 12:52pm -
0 likes
1. A-play 20-kan, 10-vt, Af, Pur Over, Usc Over
2. Ats 8-kan, 7-ariz St, Cin, 6-ariz, Nc, 5-usc
3. Bankers 500-iowa
4. Big Money Iowa St
5. Blazer 4-wash, 3-iowa, Ariz, Sd St
6. Carolina Sports 1 4-utep, 3-kan, Cin
7. Doc's Enterprises 8t 6-tt, 5-mich, 4-pur Over, Miss St, Penn St, Cn, Kan
8. Dr. Bob 3 2-purd, Ore, La Tech, Op: Wf, Army, Bc
9. Friends Of Mike Lee 8-mich, S Fla, 6-rut, Vandy, N Mex, Ark
10. Gameday 2 4-louis
11. Headquarters 5-tt, Cn, Ohio St
12. Inside Info 3-tt, Ohio St, 2-uab, Rice
13. J.b. 2-ind, Ore, Af
14. Lenny Stevens 10t 20-ore, Ariz St, 10-cn, Mich, Penn St
15. Lt Profits 2-iowa, Ill, Cn
16. Nationwide (goldsheet) Super 7: Penn St, Top: Md, Reg, Idaho, Ucla, Haw
17. Neri 6 4-ore, Ark, 3-pur, Hou, Lsu
18. Northcoast 4-ore St, Haw, Tt, Cn, 3-tv, Mia-fl, Kan
19. Pointwise 10t 4-penn St, Ala, 3-mizz, Byu, Haw, Kan, Nev, Nd
20. Preferred Picks 10 Game Of Year: Michigan, 4-kan, Cn, Ala, Miss St
21. Private Players 8t 5-tt, 4-mich, 3-penn St, Kan, S Miss
22. Score 5 500-ark, 400-wf, Bc, Rice
23. Sycamore La Tech, Utep, Unlv, Cn
24. Underdog 4 Pass
25. Wildcat 7 10-smu, 7-wf, 5-tulane, Smu Over
posted by phantom
Nov. 18 2006 3:09pm
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