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College Football Week 12

Three Weeks Left............ :shock:

phantom

posted by phantom

Nov. 13 2006 3:34pm

49 replies

  1. 0 likes

    Pointwise The lower the number the higher the play.

    1 Nevada 48-14

    1 Penn St48-14

    2 Texas Tech 44-24

    3 Navy 51-13

    3 Minnesota 34-20

    4 Missouri 38-13

    5 West Virginia 41-17

    5 BYU 48-14

    2 Pats 34-20

    3 Minn 19-16

    4 Indy 26-23

    4 Phil 37-17

    5 Atl 23-22

    phantom

    posted by phantom

    Nov. 14 2006 3:09pm
  2. 0 likes

    THE GOLD SHEET

    THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 16

    *OHIO 27 - Akron 16--Frank Solich has well-rested Ohio U. poised to clinch the MAC East title and a berth in the conference championship game opposite Central Michigan. The Bobcats have ridden a string of 5 straight 100+ rushing efforts by Kalvin McRae (617 YR, 8 TDs last 5). Vet Ohio U. 2ndary ranking 7th nationally vs. the pass should slow down Akron QB Getsy (2303 YP, 17 TDs). CABLE TV--ESPNU

    (05-AKRON 27-Ohio 3...A.23-7 A.44/228 O.27/11 A.22/32/1/270 O.10/19/1/99 A.1 O.0)

    (05-AKRON -3 27-3 04-Akron +1 31-19 03-AKRON -10' 35-28...SR: Akron 11-10-1)

    *West Virginia 36 - PITTSBURGH 20--Big East title (and BCS bowl bid guaranteed to league's champ) still within West Virginia's grasp. Fading Pitt (3 straight losses) unlikely to derail its bitter rival in TY's "Backyard Brawl." No surprise if savvy vet QB Palko (22 TDP, only 6 ints.) makes some plays against burnable Mountaineer secondary. But he won't hit enough passes to keep pace with quick ground strikes by blazing Mountie sophs QB White & RB Slaton. Permeable Pitt defense permitting 258 ypg rushing on nearly 5 ypc in last 3 games! TV--ESPN

    (05-W. VA. 45-Pitt 13...W.22-20 W.62/451 P.31/122 P.24/43/2/308 W.4/10/1/41 W.0 P.3)

    (05-WVU -14 45-13 04-PITT +3 16-13 03-WVU +1 52-31...SR: Pittsburgh 59-36-3)

    FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 17

    *KENT STATE 22 - Eastern Michigan 20--Kent St. defense was impressive in holding Va. Tech to just 182 yds. total offense, but still wouldn't lay too many points with Flash offense that was missing QB Edelman last week (chest injury; replaced by vet Machen who threw for only 98 yards). EMU attack bouyed vs. Navy with return of QB Schmitt (309 yds. total offense).

    (05-E. MICH. 27-Kent St. 20...K.22-21 E.41/122 K.30/76 K.29/46/2/243 E.23/40/1/218 E.0 K.0)

    (05-EMU -4 27-20 04-KSU -12' 69-17...SR: EVEN 13-13)

    *Central Michigan 27 - NORTHERN ILLINOIS 20--CMU has already clinched a spot in MAC title game, and Chippewas are 13-3-1 vs. the number in their last 17 games. CMU QB LeFevour is hot, throwing 14 TD passes and just 3 ints. in his last 6 games, and sr. WR Linson has caught at least 2 passes in 31 of his last 32 games. NIU star RB Wolfe, who ran for 224 ypg & scored 14 TDs in first 6 this season, has failed to top 66 YR in any of the Huskies' last 4 games, scoring just once. TV--ESPNU

    (05-N. Ill. 31-C. MICH. 28...C.32-18 C.46/206 N.22/6 N.31/43/1/435 C.33/51/0/382 N.0 C.1)

    (05-Niu -2' 31-28 04-NIU -20 42-10 03-Niu -17' 40-24...SR: Central Michigan 21-19-1)

    SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 18

    WISCONSIN 49 - Buffalo 6--Wisconsin gunning for 11-1 season, and doubt Buffalo's 115th-ranked rush defense (5.1 ypc) will slow down Badger RB Hill. Mammoth Wiscy OL should manhandle Bull "D" allowing 34 ppg, and it will be difficult for Buffalo QBs Paoli or Willy to lead team in the back door against Wisconsin's excellent pass defense (1st in pass efficiency; 3rd in yardage). (FIRST MEETING)

    FLORIDA STATE 31 - Western Michigan 10--Add "shut out for first time since 1988" to indignities suffered by Florida State during this difficult campaign after Seminoles were smoked 30-0 by Wake at Tallahassee last week. FSU determined not to add "missed bowl game for first time since 1981" to list. Western Mich. offense (20 points or fewer in 6 of 10 games) not very dynamic. (DNP...SR: Florida State 1-0)

    LOUISVILLE 42 - South Florida 17--Louisville not yet dead in Big East title chase, and potent Cards seeking revenge for humbling loss at Tampa LY. USF RS frosh QB Grothe one of nation's top newcomers. But L'ville, which has covered 14 of last 16 at Papa John's, more efficient in red zone lately thanks to emergence of slammin' true frosh RB Anthony Allen (6 TDs last 4 games).

    (05-S. FLA. 45-Lvl. 14...L.26-16 S.47/251 L.33/104 L.29/47/1/389 S.5/10/1/104 S.1 L.2)

    (05-USF +20 45-14 04-LVL. -29' 41-9 03-USF +2' 31-28 (OT)...SR: South Florida 2-1)

    Connecticut 20 - SYRACUSE 19--At first blush this might look like a good chance for Syracuse to finally get a conference win after 12 straight Big East losses. However, punchless Orange (11 ppg last 5) hard-pressed to win, let alone cover even a small number, even with youth-laden UConn off draining 2-OT home win over Pitt last week.

    (05-CONN. 26-Syr. 7...C.18-13 C.58/297 S.34/148 S.10/31/2/125 C.6/15/0/45 C.0 S.1)

    (05-CONNECTICUT -6' 26-7 04-SYRACUSE -3 42-30...SR: EVEN 1-1)

    Rutgers 24 - CINCINNATI 13--Won't be easy trip for Rutgers side celebrating biggest win in recent school history. Scrappy Cincy defense has begrudged last 4 visitors to Nippert Stadium just 33 points combined. Knights should eventually bludgeon Bearcats into submission with thick-legged soph RB Rice (1334 YR) behind big, veteran OL.

    (05-RUTGERS 44-Cincy 9...R.29-14 R.50/337 C.28/M23 R.16/26/1/237 C.15/24/0/169 R.0 C.1)

    (05-RUTGERS -13' 44-9...SR: Rutgers 7-3-1)

    WAKE FOREST 17 - Virginia Tech 14--Sure, Florida State is down. Still, Wake (6-0 as dog TY) continues to serve notice that it's for real, crushing Seminoles last week in Deacons' first victory at Tallahassee since Ike was President! Tech OL not strong enough TY to put many dents in swarming Deacon defense (only 54 YR on 48 carries last 2 games!). And Hokie soph QB Glennon has thrown for just 300 yards & no TDs in first 3 road games. (04-Virginia Tech -6 17-10...SR: Virginia Tech 21-11-1)

    GEORGIA TECH 31 - Duke 10--Plenty of rest for Tech "triplets" sr. QB Ball, star WR C. Johnson & jr. RB Choice, as Ramblin' Wreck has already clinched berth in ACC title game and has trip to rival Georgia up next. Tech 7-19 vs. spread last 26 laying more than a full TD.

    (05-Ga. Tech 35-DUKE 10...G.25-13 G.49/257 D.42/181 G.17/27/1/147 D.9/30/2/90 G.1 D.1)

    (05-Tech -20' 35-10 04-TECH -18 24-7 03-DUKE +13' 41-17...SR: Ga. Tech 42-30-1)

    NORTHWESTERN 30 - Illinois 20--Northwestern RB Sutton has turned in two monster games in the last month, and has only been shut down by Ohio State and Michigan recently. NW soph QB Bacher has turned in 4 straight 200+ yard passing games and is much more accurate than Illini counterpart frosh I. Williams (only 40.6%). Underdog in Illini games covered 9 straight, and oddsmakers opened Illinois in rare role of road favorite! Illini special teams leave much to be desired, and they rank in the bottom three in the country in turnover ratio and passing efficiency.

    (05-N'western 38-ILL. 21...N.36-24 N.61/356 I.43/199 I.20/35/1/241 N.25/31/0/240 N.0 I.0)

    (05-Nwu -15 38-21 04-NWU -12' 28-21 (OT) 03-Nwu -3' 37-20...SR: Illinois 51-43-5)

    Missouri 36 - IOWA STATE 13--Even at lofty spread, it's hard to side with depressed ISU, with key RBs & WRs hurt, HC McCarney resigning, pass defense yielding an amazing 73%, and Cyclones inevitably out-scored in 3rd & 4th Qs (opponents ahead 131-67 TY). Rested Mizzou, meanwhile, hungry for victory after back-to-back losses to Big XII powers Oklahoma & Nebraska, and Tigers have the fiery QB in Daniels to keep pressing on attack.

    (05-MO. 27-Ia. St. 24 (OT)...I.20-19 I.54/157 M.37/88 M.24/35/1/230 I.16/25/1/169 M.2 I.2)

    (05-MO. -6 27-24 (OT) 04-Mo. +4' 17-14 (OT) 03-MO. -26' 45-7...SR: Missouri 57-32-9)

    Iowa 26 - MINNESOTA 24--Although Iowa owns just 1 cover this season, can't lay points with Minnesota side that's gotten the short end of the stick more often than not in this rivalry. This is the 100th meeting between the Gophers & Hawkeyes, and "Floyd of Rosedale" has been Iowa property the last 5 years. The Hawkeyes have covered 12 of last 13 against Minny. Look for Iowa QB Tate to rally his troops and keep hated rival from attaining bowl-eligibility with 6th win.

    (05-IOWA 52-Minn. 28...I.28-24 I.40/236 M.34/129 I.20/34/1/377 M.26/46/2/315 I.0 M.0)

    (05-IOWA -5 52-28 04-Iowa +4 29-27 03-IOWA -5 40-22...SR: Minnesota 58-39-2)

    PURDUE 31 - Indiana 24--Purdue QB Curtis Painter ranks 4th in total offense, and he and RBs Sheets & Taylor (combined 1185 YR, 16 scores) figure to do damage facing Indiana defense ranked 116th vs. the pass and yielding 39 ppg in Big Ten play. Boilers have taken the "Old Oaken Bucket" 8 of last 9 years, covering last 4 in West Lafayette facing archrival Hoosiers. However, IU offense improved TY with more mobile QB Lewis.

    (05-Purdue 41-IND. 14...P.22-20 P.51/299 I.39/145 I.12/27/3/169 P.14/27/1/124 P.0 I.2)

    (05-Purdue -12 41-14 04-PURDUE -21 63-24 03-Purdue -26 24-16...SR: Purdue 67-35-6)

    North Carolina State 20 - NORTH CAROLINA 19--Carolina (3 straight covers) scrapping down stretch for fired HC Bunting. Still, Heels haven't tasted victory since 3-point home win over Div. I-AA Furman Sept. 16. State has dropped 5 straight under beleaguered HC Amato, who's almost sure to join Bunting in unemployment line. Rushing & defense help revenge-minded Wolfpack get SU win for their well-liked mentor.

    (05-N. Car. 31-N. CAR. ST. 24...U.22-16 U.49/144 S.28/13 S.21/35/0/257 U.13/23/1/177 U.1 S.2)

    (05-Unc +11 31-24 04-UNC +10' 30-24 03-NCS -17 47-34...SR: North Carolina 62-27-6)

    NAVY 41 - Temple 3--We're tempted to take the oddsmaker's bait on downtrodden Temple bunch that's covered 5 of its last 7 (all as hefty dog). But whatever pointspread success Owls have achieved is due as much to opponent indifference as anything else, and well-schooled Navy not likely to oblige in that regard. Mid option operating effectively again now that QB Kaheaku-Enhada (2 TDP last week) more comfy at tiller.

    (05-NAVY 38-Temple 17...N.27-26 N.63/375 T.34/136 T.24/39/0/245 N.4/11/0/120 N.1 T.1)

    (05-NAVY -27' 38-17...SR: Temple 4-2)

    Tennessee 27 - VANDERBILT 23--Although this a major revenge game for UT (see Angle), Vols figure to be in 3rd straight tough tussle vs. competitive Vandy squad that's 11-4 last 15 as a dog. 'Dores mobile, quick-learning soph QB Nickson (1021 YP last 3 games!) & dynamic fellow soph WR Bennett (78 grabs; 24 last 2 games!) should continue to excel vs. a non-dominating UT defense. Vols banged up some at the skill positions (see Ticker), and Fulmer just 11-20 as chalk since '03.

    (05-Vandy 28-TENN. 24...V.21-19 T.47/251 V.28/49 V.27/39/0/315 T.11/26/2/125 V.0 T.0)

    (05-Vandy +11' 28-24 04-Tenn. -13 38-33 03-TENN. -21 48-0...SR: Tennessee 67-27-5)

    Houston 36 - MEMPHIS 17--Even though Houston has already clinched spot in CUSA title game, no surprise if star sr. QB Kolb (23 TDP & only 3 ints.) & blossoming jr. RB Alridge (565 YR & 6 TDs on 13 ypc last 4 games!) lead Cougs to comfy road victory at moribund Memphis (only 1 win, 1 cover TY).

    (05-Memp. 35-HOU. 20...M.20-19 M.56/315 H.36/106 H.26/45/0/396 M.7/12/1/112 M.1 H.2)

    (05-Memp. +10' 35-20 04-MEMP. -13 41-14 03-Memp. +5 45-14...SR: EVEN 9-9)

    TEXAS TECH 42 - Oklahoma State 26--Definitely prefer resilient home team in this shootout of prolific soph QBs. OSU's Bobby Reid has 21 TDs vs. 9 ints., while TT's Graham Harrell has 34 vs. 10. Cowboys (benefited from 6 takeaways in last week's 66-24 romp vs. Baylor) run better than Red Raiders. But host is now 20-7 vs. spread under hard-driving HC Leach after a SU loss. Expect Harrell to make fewer mistakes and take game over from opening possession.

    (05-OK. ST. 24-Tex. Tech 17...19-19 O.52/303 T.19/30 T.29/42/1/308 O.11/23/1/94 O.1 T.2)

    (05-OSU +23 24-17 04-TECH -4' 31-15 03-OSU -3' 51-49...SR: Texas Tech 19-11-3)

    Ucf 32 - TULANE 30--Check status of Tulane RB Forte (knee), as Green Wave managed only 85 yards of offense without him in last week's 31-3 home loss to Southern Miss. No surprise if Tulane attack regains its potency against lesser UCF defense. Also no surprise if balanced Golden Knight offense fires winning shots.

    (05-UCF 34-Tulane 24...T.24-23 U.48/286 T.18/80 T.27/47/4/360 U.18/31/0/202 U.0 T.1)

    (05-UCF -6 34-24...SR: UCF 2-0)

    NOTRE DAME 49 - Army 7--Last weekend's results boosted Notre Dame to 5th in the BCS poll and breathed life into national championship hopes. An impressive win against Army and a victoryat Southern Cal next Saturday would help make the case that the Irish are the team that deserves to face the winner of the Ohio State-Michigan game for the title. ND QB Brady Quinn has thrown for 29 scores vs. only 4 ints. this season (3 in loss to Michigan), while Army is last in the nation in turnover differential. TV--NBC

    (DNP...SR: Notre Dame 36-8-4)

    BOISE STATE 52 - Utah State 7--Since 10-0 Boise State (currently ranked 14th) kept its BCS bowl hopes alive with exhilirating, last-second win at San Jose State, vastly-superior, motivated Broncos prepared to cover 7th straight meeting vs. outmanned Utah State. Discouraged Aggies (outscored 105-10 last 2 TY) will feel the blues early on the "blue carpet," where BSU is 28-12 last 40 as chalk lately. Broncos super-soph RB I. Johnson (1466 YR, 21 TDs) has shot a national rushing title.

    (05-Boise St. 45-UTAH ST. 21...B.22-19 B.34/84 U.39/84 B.27/40/0/351 U.17/31/0/211 B.0 U.1)

    (05-Boise State -19 45-21...SR: Boise State 8-4)

    RICE 31 - East Carolina 28--Go-with vs. go-with. Skip Holtz a pointspread dynamo, covering 17 of 21 in his 1+ seasons at East Carolina! But Rice (won & covered 5 of last 6) has captured some magic under creative rookie HC Graham. Last week's double-OT win at Tulsa leaves screeching Owls only 1 win away from being eligible for first bowl game in more than 4 decades! (05-EAST CAROLINA -4' 41-28...SR: East Carolina 1-0)

    (05-E. CAR. 41-Rice 28...R.23-18 R.53/230 E.30/104 E.22/35/0/355 R.9/19/0/87 E.0 R.0)

    Oklahoma 44 - BAYLOR 18--Bears gave ball away 6 times in last week's 66-24 smashing at Oklahoma State. RS frosh QB Syzmanski finally gets to play at home after two road starts. But Baylor is last in the nation in rushing (yes, even below Temple), and OU's speedy defense shut out Texas Tech's potent spread offense in second half last week. With RB Allen Patrick out (check status), Sooners unveiled future star, frosh RB Chris Brown.

    (05-OKLA. 37-Bay. 30 (OT)...O.28-12 O.53/205 B.21/63 O.24/42/2/269 B.20/44/0/228 O.2 B.3)

    (05-OKLA. -14' 37-30 (OT) 04-Okla. -36' 35-0 03-OKLA. -53 41-3...SR: Oklahoma 15-0)

    Tulsa 27 - SMU 26--Season has turned sour for Tulsa & jr. QB Paul Smith, who has only 4 TDP in last 6 games. Hot hand in this matchup belongs to SMU RS frosh QB Willis (22 TDP, only 3 ints. in his last 7 games!). Hurricane might emerge with win, but it won't come easy against Mustang squad trying to get back to a bowl for first time since program was eviscerated by NCAA's "death penalty" in mid-1980s.

    (05-TULSA 20-Smu 13...S.18-15 S.36/114 T.31/103 S.20/32/1/223 T.20/33/0/220 T.0 S.2)

    (05-TULSA -14' 20-13 04-SMU +11' 41-35 (OT) 03-TULSA -17 35-16...SR: SMU 9-4)

    OHIO STATE 28 - Michigan 17--With all the expectations and hype this game brings, we feel there's one key matchup to tip the scales in Ohio State's favor. Michigan's 4-man defensive front isn't going to be able to contain Ohio State's quicksilver QB Troy Smith without help, and that shift in style of play will put pressure on Wolverine 2ndary that it has rarely had to face this season. In most other areas, these two are extremely even. Both have dangerous RBs, tremendously tough defenses ranked in the top 5 in most categories, explosive wideouts capable of breaking a game open, and reliable special teams. Home crowd and Smith's mobility point to Buckeye win. Jim Tressel 4-1 SU vs. UM.

    (05-Ohio St. 25-MICH. 21...O.25-17 O.35/118 M.24/32 O.27/37/0/300 M.25/37/0/223 O.2 N.0)

    (05-Osu -3 25-21 04-OSU +5 37-21 03-MICH -7 35-21...SR: Michigan 57-39-6)

    LSU 42 - Mississippi 7--After generating 28 ppg last two weeks vs. quality SEC defenses, expect loaded LSU to explode in final home game vs. more permissive Ole Miss "D" that yields 4.2 ypc with only 2 ints. Recent emergence of Tigers blue-chip frosh RB K. Williams (132 YR last 2) allows strong-armed QB J. Russell to use play-action, while pedestrian Rebel offense (meager 13 ppg) stirs up precious little action vs. smothering LSU stop unit (7 ppg in Baton Rouge).

    (05-Lsu 40-MISS. 7...L.19-11 L.41/177 M.22/7 L.15/26/1/203 M.20/38/2/168 L.1 M.0)

    (05-Lsu -16' 40-7 04-LSU -20' 27-24 03-Lsu -6' 17-14...SR: LSU 53-37-4)

    Oregon State 20 - STANFORD 13--Not sure ugly win at Washington a late-season "buy" signal for Stanford. But at least Cardinal exorcised winless demons last week (maybe Max von Sydow really has been hanging around Palo Alto), and QB Ostrander has displayed enough guts to suggest he can hang in vs. juiced-up OSU pass rush. Has Beaver QB Moore cut down on picks TY (only 6) at expense of TD passes (just 8 in 10 games)?

    (05-Stan. 20-ORE. ST. 17...S.18-16 S.40/68 O.30/62 O.16/40/1/250 S.18/33/2/234 S.1 O.0)

    (05-Stan. +6 20-17 04-Osu -2' 24-19 03-OSU -14' 43-3...SR: Stanford 47-22-3)

    ALABAMA 21 - Auburn 14--Less value offered following Tigers' embarrassing 37-15 home loss vs. Georgia, but will still buck Auburn squad sorely lacking playmakers at WR. And with Tiger QB Cox (4 of 14 with 4 ints. vs. Bulldogs) hampered by bursa sac on his knee, aggressive Bama defense able to stack vs. run. Meanwhile, Tide's improving QB J.P. Wilson (22 of 35 for 291 & 2 TDP vs. LSU) benefits from return of prime-time WR K. Brown. Tuberville's squad has dropped 7 straight as chalk.

    (05-AUB. 28-Alabama 18...Au.13-11 Au.35/139 Al.37/33 Al.16/29/0/155 Au.14/21/0/118 Au.1 Al.0)

    (05-AUBURN -7 28-18 04-Auburn -10' 21-13 03-AUBURN -8 28-23...SR: Alabama 38-31-1)

    OREGON 27 - Arizona 20--Bandwagon filling up quickly for U of A bunch that's suddenly just 1 win from elusive bowl eligibility following raucous Cal upset. After concussion-interrupted first half of season, QB Tuitama suddenly playing like he did down stretch LY. And Mike Stoops' defense has the foot speed and lateral pursuit to keep mobile UO QB Dixon somewhat hemmed in pocket and to deal with potent Duck spread.

    (05-Ore. 28-ARIZ. 21...A.19-10 A.37/212 O.32/67 O.15/28/2/240 A.22/41/2/199 O.1 A.2)

    (05-Oregon -10' 28-21 04-OREGON -11' 28-14 03-Oregon -12 48-10...SR: Oregon 19-11)

    BYU 45 - New Mexico 13--Since sizzling BYU (9-0-1 vs. spread) continues to demonstrate it's clearly the class of MWC in '06, must lay lumber vs. NM squad unable to notch another comeback win in 27-21 home loss vs. TCU (Lobos trailed 24-0 at H). Chances are good slow-starting visitors find themselves in early hole vs. explosive Coug squad that's outscored MWC foes 144-16 by halftime! Offensively-loaded, opportunistic BYU (+12 TO margin) is on a "mission," so lay it, pal.

    (05-Byu 27-N. MEX. 24...N.28-27 N.45/244 B.30/93 B.34/44/1/371 N.18/28/0/218 B.0 N.1)

    (05-Byu +7' 27-24 04-Unm +6' 21-14 03-Byu -2 10-7...SR: BYU 40-14-1)

    TCU 32 - San Diego State 9--Return of QB O'Connell (7 of 7 off bench vs. UNLV last week) at least gives Chuck Long another dimension besides RS frosh Craft for mostly-misfiring SDSU attack. But no matter who's at QB, Aztecs' unassertive OL likely overmatched vs. the assortment of TCU blitzes and stunts Dick Bumpas' pet 4-2-5 "D" likely to show. Frogs unlikely to sit on lead after allowing NM to get back into game last week.

    (05-Tcu 23-S. DIEGO ST. 20...T.24-20 T.58/291 S.33/125 S.25/46/2/235 T.13/23/2/112 T.1 S.0)

    (05-Tcu -6' 23-20...SR: TCU 1-0)

    Wyoming 28 - UNLV 12--There's a reason Wayne Newton and Vegas celebs don't bother to watch UNLV football these days. Maybe it's those 0 wins the last 14 games vs. I-A opposition! Although Rebs usually a bit more competitive at Sam Boyd Stadium, would still rather trust Wyo (which needs win for bowl eligibility) to bounce back after running into BYU buzzsaw last Thursday.

    (05-WYO. 42-Unlv 17...W.25-20 W.34/95 U.32/91 W.23/31/0/346 U.26/48/2/239 W.0 U.1)

    (05-WYO. -18 42-17 04-Wyo. +3' 53-45 (OT) 03-Unlv +1 35-24...SR: UNLV 8-6)

    *MARSHALL 36 - Utep 27--Visiting UTEP owns top home-run threat on field in mercurial sr. WR & return man Higgins (23 TDs last 1+ seasons). Prefer better-balanced Marshall attack, however, now that NFL-caliber RB Bradshaw getting improved aerial support from sr. QB Skinner (6 TDP last 3 games). Pass-happy Miners (just 70 ypg rushing) lack ground production.

    (05-UTEP 31-Marshall 3...U.22-16 M.41/215 U.38/194 U.17/26/1/215 M.13/30/1/125 U.2 M.0)

    (05-UTEP -13' 31-3...SR: UTEP 1-0)

    FRESNO STATE 27 - Idaho 21--Fresno snapped 7-game losing streak last week vs. defensively-porous New Mexico State, but Bulldogs still haven't covered (0-11-1 vs. spread!) since their heart-breaking loss a year ago at Southern Cal. Idaho defense weak (52 ppg last 3), but HC Erickson has helped Vandal offense when team not outclassed.

    (05-Fres. St. 40-IDAHO 10...F.20-14 F.35/165 I.34/92 F.21/34/0/228 I.18/30/1/121 F.2 I.0)

    (05-Fresno State -28' 40-10...SR: EVEN 4-4)

    WASHINGTON STATE 24 - Washington 9--We're not sure which of these two "out-uglied" the other in last week's respective humiliations. But as long as Wazzu regains services of WRs Hill and/or Bumpus, trust Cougs to fire more Apple Cup scoring shots. Ty Willingham ready to ask FEMA for aid for U-Dub QB disaster (banged-up Bonnell & DuRocher combined 11 of 44 vs. Stanford). Pac-10 sources hinting at Husky internal issues.

    (05-Wash. St. 26-WASH. 22...S.27-12 S.47/224 U.28/99 S.21/35/0/283 U.14/28/0/228 S.1 U.1)

    (05-Wsu -3 26-22 04-WSU -12 28-25 03-WASH. +7 27-19...SR: Washington 63-29-6)

    *Arkansas 34 - MISSISSIPPI STATE 14--Since 9-1 Arkansas needs one more win to clinch the SEC West, prefer to lay it, even vs. an admittedly-improving MSU squad. Hogs fast, powerful and versatile RB McFadden (1277 YR, 13 TDs, 6.3 ypc; played QB and WR vs. Tenn.) running with reckless abandon, while steady QB Dick & WR Monk (16 catches last 2 games) have quickly become a dynamic pass-catch duo. Bulldogs an unbullish 0-4 as home dog TY.

    (05-ARK. 44-Miss. St. 10...A.19-11 A.45/247 M.33/106 A.14/26/2/132 M.11/27/1/77 A.0 M.2)

    (05-ARK. -13' 44-10 at LR 04-Ark. -9' 24-21 03-ARK. -26' 52-6...SR: Arkansas 10-5-1)

    *PENN STATE 31 - Michigan State 10--Penn State has shown it can be a bully at times this season, and disfunctional Michigan State appears to be playing out the string for lame-duck coach John L. Smith. Spartans have dropped 7 in a row vs. the number, haven't covered since Sept. 16 and lost star QB Drew Stanton (check status) to a head injury last week vs. Minnesota. Penn State's defense has yielded just 8 ppg last 5.

    (05-Penn St. 31-MICH. ST. 22...M.23-16 P.39/188 M.42/168 M.23/36/4/233 P.10/20/0/105 P.1 M.0)

    (05-Psu -8 31-22 04-PSU +3' 37-13 03-MSU -5 41-10...SR: EVEN 11-11-1)

    *Kansas State 26 - KANSAS 24--K-State's upset of Texas makes this a very interesting battle of young, up-and-coming QBs. Question is whether talented Wildcats will succumb to the heady wine of victory after last week's stirring triumph, while resting Jayhawks watched their in-state rival grab all the headlines. Both teams on the rise.

    (05-KAN. ST. 12-Kansas 3...S.13-8 U.33/109 S.45/35 S.15/24/1/147 U.8/22/0/127 S.0 U.3)

    (05-KSU -6 12-3 04-KANSAS +3 31-28 03-KSU -21 42-6...SR: Kansas 62-36-5)

    *VIRGINIA 17 - Miami-Florida 16--Troubled Miami still needs 1 more win to be eligible for a bowl game. But Hurricanes having problems persevering through spate of injuries and distractions. Virginia offense still a work in progress. But Cavs have extra week of prep and 11 covers in last 13 as dog at Charlottesville.

    (05-MIAMI 25-Va. 17...M.20-17 M.34/151 V.41/111 V.16/29/0/296 M.23/30/0/248 M.1 V.0)

    (05-MIAMI -17' 25-17 04-Miami +3' 31-21...SR: Miami-Florida 3-0)

    *BOSTON COLLEGE 21 - Maryland 20--Home-field edge & QB Ryan (294 ypg passing last 3) might allow BC to escape with a win. It's likely to take the full 60 minutes (or more) to dispatch pesky Maryland, however. Terps have 5 straight wins, a shot at getting into ACC title game, a sr. QB making few mistakes (Hollenbach only 1 int. last 4), and a burgeoning home-run WR (RS frosh Heyward-Bey TDCs of 96 & 65 yards last week!).

    (05-Bos. Col. 31-MARY. 16...M.24-18 B.44/221 M.39/133 B.16/24/1/230 M.25/46/3/230 B.3 M.1)

    (05-Boston College -2 31-16...SR: Boston College 2-1)

    *AIR FORCE 34 - Utah 32--MWC scouts hinting Fisher DeBerry's long tenure at AFA might be ending unless Falcs squeeze their way into bowl game. But no shame in several Falc losses TY (Tennessee, BYU, Notre Dame). And reluctant to support Utah until we see more evidence HC Whittingham (Urban Meyer's d.c. before taking over) has figured a way to slow AFA option that's produced big numbers last 3 vs. Utes.

    (05-UTAH 38-A. Force 35...A.26-23 A.50/251 U.43/152 U.21/30/1/305 A.13/27/2/234 U.1 A.1)

    (05-UTAH -7 38-35 04-UTAH -21' 49-35 03-Utah +3' 45-43 (OT)...SR: Air Force 13-9)

    *SOUTHERN MISS 34 - Uab 14--Late-surging USM still alive in C-USA (ECU must lose at Rice), so have no qualms bucking disappointing 3-7 UAB squad, whose declining defense (30+ in 3 of last 4) has become "too soft," bemoans perplexed HC Watson Brown. Golden Eagles (37 ppg last 2) mobile 6-3 jr. QB Young and frosh phenom RB Fletcher (136 YR vs. Tulane) are flourishing, so expect declining UAB to drop 5th straight vs. number.

    (05-S. Miss 37-UAB 28...S.24-23 S.36/177 U.28/80 U.29/42/1/407 S.18/33/0/247 S.0 U.0)

    (05-Usm +2' 37-28 04-USM -1 26-21 03-Usm -3 17-12...SR: Southern Miss 6-0)

    *Nevada 40 - LOUISIANA TECH 14--Oddsmakers keep setting pointspread hurdle higher and higher for Nevada as it keeps covering (as it's done 8 straight). But Wolf Pack a truly righteous entity now that hungry "D" (allowed 7 or fewer 3 of last 4) matching sr. QB Rowe & Chris Ault's potent "Pistol" (45 ppg last 3) in productivity derby. LT a bit tougher in Ruston, but Bulldogs still only 2-7 vs. line TY.

    (05-NEV. 37-La. Tech 27...N.26-14 N.44/189 L.32/68 N.25/45/1/269 L.13/39/1/161 N.2 L.0)

    (05-NEVADA -2' 37-27 04-LTU -6 38-21 03-Ltu +4 42-34...SR: Louisiana Tech 4-2)

    *SOUTHERN CAL 27 - California 25--Granted, SC apparently in midst of another patented Pete Carroll late-season uptick (Troy 18-0 SU in November since Carroll arrived in '01!). But in Caroll's past chess matches vs. Cal when Jeff Tedford has had a quality QB (which means we're excluding LY when erratic Joe Ayoob self-destructed at Berkeley), Bears have covered all 3. And Nate Longshore a lot more reminiscent of Kyle Boller & Aaron Rodgers than mistake-prone Ayoob. SC aerial show hard to slow now that wideouts Jarrett & S. Smith healthy again, but CB Hughes & sticky-covering Cal DBs not likely to be overmatched. TV--ABC

    (05-S. Cal 35-CAL. 10...S.26-17 S.47/188 C.31/167 S.20/32/1/246 C.13/23/4/132 S.0 C.2)

    (05-Usc -18' 35-10 04-USC -7' 23-17 03-CAL. +13' 34-31 (OT)...SR: USC 58-30-5)

    *Ucla 26 - ARIZONA STATE 24--Hard to tell what we'll see from Jekyll & Hyde ASU (lost by 34, won by 33 last 2). But quick UCLA "D" that kept Brady Quinn in check for 59 minutes at South Bend capable of doing same to Rudy Carpenter and undistinguished Sun Devil wideouts. And this is sort of game where PK Medlock (23 FGs already) could come in handy for Bruins, who need win for bowl eligibility.

    (05-UCLA 45-Ariz. St. 35...A.29-23 A.45/181 U.39/150 U.22/27/0/510 A.27/37/0/334 U.2 A.3)

    (05-UCLA -3' 45-35 04-ASU -7' 48-42 03-UCLA -2' 20-13...SR: UCLA 14-7-1)

    *HAWAII 52 - San Jose State 23--Gallant effort vs. Boise indicates SJSU renaissance under Dick Tomey is no mirage. But neither is June Jones' point-per-minute UH Red Gun that cracked 60-point barrier for 4th time in last 5 a week ago vs. La Tech. Warrior QB Brennan (43 TDP!) now within shouting distance of David Klinger's single-season NCAA TDP record (54).

    (05-Hawaii 45-SJSU 38...H.32-25 S.35/170 H.28/62 H.36/48/2/457 S.22/35/2/262 H.0 S.2)

    (05-Hawaii -6 45-38 04-HAWAII -22' 46-28 03-Hawaii -13 13-10...SR: SJS 15-13-1)

    ADDED GAMES

    KENTUCKY 42 - Louisiana-Monroe 14--Now that UK has become bowl eligible for 1st time since 1999 and well-liked HC Brooks has probably saved his job, don't mind supporting upbeat, confident Wildcat squad bolstered by return of previously-injured big-play RB Little, who accounted for 246 yds. in 38-26 home victory vs. Vandy last week. UK's QB Woodson (29 of 42 for 440 & 4 TDP vs. 'Dores) dissects a ULM secondary that's rarely tested in offensively-challenged Sun Belt. (FIRST MEETING)

    *La.-Lafayette 20 - FLORIDA INTL. 8--Difficult to lay points with disappointing ULL bunch that's dropped from Sun Belt radar after losing last 3 SU and last 4 vs. line. But have even less interest in FIU crew that officially disappeared into abyss during last week's home humiliation vs...UL-Monroe?

    (05-LA.-LAF. 28-Fla. Intl. 7...L.30-14 L.65/308 F.20/64 F.18/34/0/162 L.11/13/0/105 L.1 F.0)

    (05-ULL -9 28-7 04-Ull -7' 43-34 03-ULL (NL) 43-10...SR: La.-Lafayette 3-0)

    *TROY 27 - Arkansas State 16--Troy barely survived its early four-game road trip to Florida State, Georgia Tech, Nebraska, and UAB, with juco QB Haugabook taking his lumps and learning on the fly. But back in the Sun Belt, Trojans are 4-0 SU, with Haugabook (325 YP, 3 TDs last week) & RB Cattouse (263 YR last 2 weeks) liking it very much. ASU blanked last two on road.

    (05-ARK. ST. 9-Troy 3...13-13 A.44/127 T.32/69 A.9/20/0/117 T.12/23/1/98 A.0 T.0)

    (05-ASU -3' 9-3 04-ASU +13 13-9...SR: Arkansas State 5-2)

    *SOUTH CAROLINA 34 - Middle Tennessee St. 13--Sure, USC off heartbreaking 17-16 loss at Florida. But well-schooled, angry 'Cocks (3 straight narrow losses) ready to vent some frustration vs. formidable Middle Tenn. State squad (by Sun Belt standards) with a collective eye on upcoming conf. championship-decider vs. Troy. USC QB B. Mitchell & topflight WRs Rice & McKinley benefiting from resurgent ground attack (nearly 5 ypc vs. Gators). (FIRST MEETING)

    *NORTH TEXAS 16 - Florida Atlantic 15--North Texas (only 247 on offense) upset Lafayette week ago after learning longtime HC Dickey was being terminated just a month after a mild heart attack. But FAU changed QBs last week (RS frosh Rusty Smith 312 YP vs. Troy) and is quicker on defense.

    (05-FAU 26-N. Tex. 23...F.22-17 F.48/227 N.38/161 N.15/35/1/187 F.13/22/0/151 F.0 N.0)

    (05-FAU -3' 26-23 04-Fau +7' 20-13...SR: Florida Atlantic 2-0)

    COLLEGE KEY RELEASES

    NORTHWESTERN by 10 over Illinois

    TEXAS TECH by 16 over Oklahoma State

    NOTRE DAME by 42 over Army

    ALABAMA by 7 over Auburn

    phantom

    posted by phantom

    Nov. 14 2006 3:10pm
  3. 0 likes

    CKO GOLD SHEET

    11 *FLORIDA ST. over Western Michigan

    Late Score Forecast:

    *FLORIDA ST. 38 - Western Michigan 10

    For handicappers, it's been a good season to zig and zag with Florida State.

    While the young Seminoles are clearly down from their previous lofty

    standards, proud FSU has proven it still has the wherewithal to respond to

    disappointing defeats by hammering lesser foes. A 55-7 home win over Rice

    followed home loss to Clemson. A 27-point win at Duke was the response to a

    setback at N.C. State. And Noles laid a 33-0 whitewash on Virginia after

    recent defeat at Maryland. Look for pattern to continue this week, as Bobby

    Bowden's troops are coming off humbling 30-0 home loss to Wake. Seminoles

    need one more win to be bowl eligible. Pedestrian Western Michigan offense

    (20 points or fewer in 6 of 10 games) won't do much damage against athletic

    FSU defense. And tall, rangy Nole WRs will make enough plays to get

    desperate host a comfy win.

    10 MARYLAND over *Boston College

    Late Score Forecast:

    MARYLAND 22 - *Boston College 17

    Maryland is one of the hottest teams in the country, with 5 straight wins

    including victories over Florida State, Clemson and Miami-Florida. Steady

    defense powered by soph LB Erin Henderson & jr. LB Wesley Jefferson (both

    avg. 9 tackles per game) has led the way, as the Terps have yielded just 69

    points in their last 4 games. Improvement of QB Sam Hollenbach has been

    remarkable in the last month. Hollenback has completed 67% of his passes and

    thrown 7 TD passes and just 1 int. in the last 4 games. Frosh WR Darrius

    Heyward-Bey started slowly, but has 33 catches in the last 8 games and 4

    scores in the last 3. Maryland's special teams are solid as well, as PK Dan

    Ennis has made 15 of 19 FGs this season and sr. Josh Wilson ranks 8th in the

    country in kickoff returns, while P Adam Podlesh is 13th at 44 ypp. Maryland

    has a legitimate shot at a berth in the ACC title game.

    10 RUTGERS over *Cincinnati

    Late Score Forecast:

    RUTGERS 31 - *Cincinnati 14

    Long-time Big East scouts tell us not be concerned at all about any letdown

    or excessive celebration following Rutgers rousing 28-25 come-back victory

    vs. Louisville. Chemistry-rich Scarlet Knights-who've leapfrogged to No. 6

    in the BCS-firmly believe they have a shot at the national championship game.

    Rutgers evolving QB Teel (189 YP vs. Cards, 1 TDP) demonstrated he can hit

    timely passes and take pressure off tackle-breaking RB Rice (1334 YR) &

    versatile, bruising FB Leonard week ago. That's very bad news for a smallish

    Cincy defense that was overwhelmed by a physical WV attack (303 YR) in

    misleading 42-24 loss in Morgantown (Bearcats scored 2 late, "garbage" TDs).

    On other hand, Cincy's run-oriented, low-risk offense only gets "low-reward"

    vs. fast, deep, athletic Scarlet Knight stop unit (11 ppg, 2.9 ypc) that

    incredibly skunked L'Ville's powerful attack in 2nd H! And, note, Schiano's

    squad has won by 7 or more in 15 of past 18 wins.

    10 UCLA over *Arizona State

    Late Score Forecast:

    UCLA 27 - *Arizona State 19

    Arizona State became bowl eligible last week with a blowout home win over

    injury-riddled Washington State. But Pac-10 scouts much more impressed with

    UCLA's blue-collar 25-7 victory over hot Oregon State. The Bruin defense is

    vastly improved TY under highly-regarded new coordinator DeWayne Walker,

    allowing fewer than 100 ypg rushing on less than 3 ypc (down from 233 on 5.4

    in 2005!). Soph QB Patrick Cowan has steadily improved since taking over for

    injured Ben Olson. UCLA has an emerging WR in jr. Marcus Everett (2 TDC last

    week), solid ground support with tough-to-tackle jr. Chris Markey, and a

    dead-eye PK in sr. Justin Medlock (nation-leading 23 FGs) to convert drives

    that fall short of end zone into points. With Bruins needing one more win to

    be eligible for a fifth straight postseason bid, small upset likely.

    10*N.Y. JETS over Chicago

    Late Score Forecast:

    *N.Y. JETS 27 - Chicago 23

    (Sunday, November 19)

    Points worth taking, especially with spread edging up after Bears victimized

    N.Y. Giant team with half a dozen starters out. Jets have slowly, steadily

    developed under rookie HC Mangini, who learned so well under Bill Belichick

    that he beat his mentor (and now former friend) in just their second meeting.

    But the real keys are N.Y.'s advances since the start of the season. Heady,

    quick-releasing QB Chad Pennington has stayed healthy (knock on wood) after

    two years of injuries. Premium rookie OLmen LT D. Ferguson & C Mangold are

    now more than holding their own. Rookie RB Leon Washington & retread Kevan

    Barlow have combined for 759 YR and are now providing balance to the offense.

    Quick WRs Coles & Cotchery have 92 catches and work well with Pennington.

    And the defense, as demonstrated last week at Foxboro, now taking to

    Mangini's schemes. Note Chicago only 2-2 vs. spread on road, with 13

    giveaways.

    TOTALS: OVER (48) in Indianapolis-Dallas game-Indy hurting in secondary;

    Dallas pass rush not enough to slow Manning & his receivers. UNDER (36.5) in

    Buffalo-Houston game-Bills' offense greatly hampered without McGahee; rookie

    LB DeMeco Ryans and young DBs giving up far fewer big plays with Texans.

    HONORABLE MENTION (Nine-Rated Games): DUKE (+27) at Georgia Tech-Young Blue

    Devils have stabilized; Coastal champ Yellow Jackets need to stay healthy

    with visit to hated Georgia, then huge ACC title game on deck! SMU (+6.5)

    vs. Tulsa-Last chance at home for 5-5 SMU to become bowl eligible; Mustangs

    on the road at streaking Rice next week. BYU (-26) vs. New

    Mexico-Pointspread is big, but so is QB edge for Cougars; BYU has outscored

    MWC foes 144-16 at the half. MARSHALL (-2.5) vs. Utep-Huge rush edge for

    Thundering Herd with "thundering" RB Bradshaw (1152 YR); insertion of sr. QB

    Skinner balancing Marshall offense. HOUSTON (-2.5) vs. Buffalo-Bills managed

    only 162 yards of total offense at Indy; Gary Kubiak suddenly has hard-nosed

    Texans seeking their third straight home win!

    phantom

    posted by phantom

    Nov. 14 2006 3:11pm
  4. 0 likes

    CFB Computer Predictions

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Tuesday, November 14, 2006

    Ball State(+4½) at Toledo

    Power Rating Projection:

    Toledo 29 Ball State 28

    Statistical Projections

    Ball State 28

    Rushing Yards: 83

    Passing Yards: 266

    Turnovers: 2 Toledo 31

    Rushing Yards: 191

    Passing Yards: 226

    Turnovers: 2

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Toledo 31 Ball State 29

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Wednesday, November 15, 2006

    Miami-Ohio(+4) at Bowling Green

    Power Rating Projection:

    Bowling Green 26 Miami-Ohio 24

    Statistical Projections

    Miami-Ohio 28

    Rushing Yards: 101

    Passing Yards: 277

    Turnovers: 2 Bowling Green 28

    Rushing Yards: 212

    Passing Yards: 168

    Turnovers: 2

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Bowling Green 24 Miami-Ohio 23

    Historical trend: Take Miami-Ohio ( Domination by visiting team, 6-1, 85.7% )

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Thursday, November 16, 2006

    Akron(+6) at Ohio

    Power Rating Projection:

    Ohio 24 Akron 18

    Statistical Projections

    Akron 19

    Rushing Yards: 114

    Passing Yards: 185

    Turnovers: 2 Ohio 14

    Rushing Yards: 133

    Passing Yards: 95

    Turnovers: 2

    ** Statistical edge to Akron

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Ohio 19 Akron 13

    West Virginia(-10) at Pittsburgh

    Power Rating Projection:

    West Virginia 29 Pittsburgh 21

    Statistical Projections

    West Virginia 33

    Rushing Yards: 314

    Passing Yards: 110

    Turnovers: 2 Pittsburgh 22

    Rushing Yards: 105

    Passing Yards: 220

    Turnovers: 2

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    West Virginia 28 Pittsburgh 20

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Friday, November 17, 2006

    Eastern Michigan(+10) at Kent State

    Power Rating Projection:

    Kent State 25 Eastern Michigan 15

    Statistical Projections

    Eastern Michigan 15

    Rushing Yards: 107

    Passing Yards: 134

    Turnovers: 2 Kent State 23

    Rushing Yards: 200

    Passing Yards: 163

    Turnovers: 2

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Kent State 19 Eastern Michigan 9

    Central Michigan(-3) at Northern Illinois

    Power Rating Projection:

    Northern Illinois 27 Central Michigan 25

    Statistical Projections

    Central Michigan 26

    Rushing Yards: 114

    Passing Yards: 263

    Turnovers: 2 Northern Illinois 23

    Rushing Yards: 141

    Passing Yards: 186

    Turnovers: 1

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Northern Illinois 26 Central Michigan 24

    Historical trend: Take Northern Illinois ( Domination at home by Northern Illinois, 4-0, 100.0% )

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Saturday, November 18, 2006

    Buffalo(+38) at Wisconsin

    Power Rating Projection:

    Wisconsin 43 Buffalo 6

    Statistical Projections

    Buffalo 11

    Rushing Yards: 72

    Passing Yards: 132

    Turnovers: 2 Wisconsin 42

    Rushing Yards: 241

    Passing Yards: 245

    Turnovers: 2

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Wisconsin 41 Buffalo 3

    Western Michigan(+17) at Florida State

    Power Rating Projection:

    Florida State 28 Western Michigan 14

    Statistical Projections

    Western Michigan 16

    Rushing Yards: 83

    Passing Yards: 149

    Turnovers: 2 Florida State 24

    Rushing Yards: 65

    Passing Yards: 249

    Turnovers: 2

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Florida State 23 Western Michigan 9

    South Florida(+16½) at Louisville

    Power Rating Projection:

    Louisville 36 South Florida 11

    Statistical Projections

    South Florida 17

    Rushing Yards: 109

    Passing Yards: 219

    Turnovers: 3 Louisville 31

    Rushing Yards: 162

    Passing Yards: 244

    Turnovers: 2

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Louisville 33 South Florida 8

    Connecticut(+3) at Syracuse

    Power Rating Projection:

    Syracuse 23 Connecticut 20

    Statistical Projections

    Connecticut 24

    Rushing Yards: 229

    Passing Yards: 141

    Turnovers: 3 Syracuse 25

    Rushing Yards: 122

    Passing Yards: 211

    Turnovers: 1

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Syracuse 19 Connecticut 16

    Rutgers(-7) at Cincinnati

    Power Rating Projection:

    Rutgers 21 Cincinnati 16

    Statistical Projections

    Rutgers 24

    Rushing Yards: 190

    Passing Yards: 137

    Turnovers: 1 Cincinnati 12

    Rushing Yards: 79

    Passing Yards: 158

    Turnovers: 3

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Rutgers 16 Cincinnati 10

    Virginia Tech(Pk) at Wake Forest

    Power Rating Projection:

    Virginia Tech 22 Wake Forest 14

    Statistical Projections

    Virginia Tech 14

    Rushing Yards: 76

    Passing Yards: 161

    Turnovers: 3 Wake Forest 14

    Rushing Yards: 114

    Passing Yards: 112

    Turnovers: 2

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Virginia Tech 17 Wake Forest 10

    Duke(+28½) at Georgia Tech

    Power Rating Projection:

    Georgia Tech 30 Duke 9

    Statistical Projections

    Duke 12

    Rushing Yards: 96

    Passing Yards: 146

    Turnovers: 2 Georgia Tech 31

    Rushing Yards: 186

    Passing Yards: 194

    Turnovers: 2

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Georgia Tech 24 Duke 3

    Illinois(+1) at Northwestern

    Power Rating Projection:

    Northwestern 24 Illinois 21

    Statistical Projections

    Illinois 23

    Rushing Yards: 176

    Passing Yards: 185

    Turnovers: 3 Northwestern 22

    Rushing Yards: 127

    Passing Yards: 172

    Turnovers: 2

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Northwestern 20 Illinois 17

    Missouri(-14½) at Iowa State

    Power Rating Projection:

    Missouri 30 Iowa State 17

    Statistical Projections

    Missouri 39

    Rushing Yards: 171

    Passing Yards: 309

    Turnovers: 2 Iowa State 17

    Rushing Yards: 87

    Passing Yards: 190

    Turnovers: 2

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Missouri 27 Iowa State 14

    Angle: After Bye Week

    Go against Missouri ( Playing on the Road, Favored by 7½+ Points, 52-92-2, 36.1% )

    Historical trend: Take Missouri ( Domination by visiting team, 6-2, 75.0% )

    Iowa(+3½) at Minnesota

    Power Rating Projection:

    Minnesota 27 Iowa 22

    Statistical Projections

    Iowa 25

    Rushing Yards: 150

    Passing Yards: 279

    Turnovers: 2 Minnesota 27

    Rushing Yards: 143

    Passing Yards: 225

    Turnovers: 1

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Minnesota 24 Iowa 19

    Historical trend: Take Iowa ( Domination by Iowa, 7-1, 87.5% )

    Indiana(+13) at Purdue

    Power Rating Projection:

    Purdue 33 Indiana 24

    Statistical Projections

    Indiana 23

    Rushing Yards: 138

    Passing Yards: 219

    Turnovers: 2 Purdue 34

    Rushing Yards: 152

    Passing Yards: 330

    Turnovers: 2

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Purdue 35 Indiana 26

    Historical trend: Take Purdue ( Domination at home by Purdue, 4-0, 100.0% )

    Historical trend: Take Purdue ( Domination by favorite at Purdue, 4-0, 100.0% )

    Historical trend: Take Purdue ( Domination by home team, 7-1, 87.5% )

    No Carolina State(-4½) at North Carolina

    Power Rating Projection:

    No Carolina State 21 North Carolina 14

    Statistical Projections

    No Carolina State 30

    Rushing Yards: 155

    Passing Yards: 209

    Turnovers: 1 North Carolina 19

    Rushing Yards: 115

    Passing Yards: 203

    Turnovers: 2

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    No Carolina State 17 North Carolina 10

    Historical trend: Take North Carolina ( Domination by underdog, 7-1, 87.5% )

    Temple(+33) at Navy

    Power Rating Projection:

    Navy 43 Temple 11

    Statistical Projections

    Temple 14

    Rushing Yards: 73

    Passing Yards: 179

    Turnovers: 2 Navy 48

    Rushing Yards: 469

    Passing Yards: 73

    Turnovers: 1

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Navy 45 Temple 13

    Tennessee(-9) at Vanderbilt

    Power Rating Projection:

    Tennessee 34 Vanderbilt 19

    Statistical Projections

    Tennessee 31

    Rushing Yards: 116

    Passing Yards: 279

    Turnovers: 2 Vanderbilt 25

    Rushing Yards: 156

    Passing Yards: 218

    Turnovers: 2

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Tennessee 34 Vanderbilt 19

    Houston(-16) at Memphis

    Power Rating Projection:

    Houston 35 Memphis 18

    Statistical Projections

    Houston 38

    Rushing Yards: 177

    Passing Yards: 308

    Turnovers: 1 Memphis 21

    Rushing Yards: 109

    Passing Yards: 212

    Turnovers: 2

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Houston 34 Memphis 17

    Oklahoma State(+7) at Texas Tech

    Power Rating Projection:

    Texas Tech 34 Oklahoma State 27

    Statistical Projections

    Oklahoma State 32

    Rushing Yards: 191

    Passing Yards: 192

    Turnovers: 2 Texas Tech 33

    Rushing Yards: 80

    Passing Yards: 422

    Turnovers: 2

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Texas Tech 38 Oklahoma State 32

    Historical trend: Take Texas Tech ( Domination at home by Texas Tech, 4-0, 100.0% )

    Historical trend: Take Texas Tech ( Domination by favorite at Texas Tech, 4-0, 100.0% )

    U-C-F(Pk) at Tulane

    Power Rating Projection:

    Tulane 29 U-C-F 28

    Statistical Projections

    U-C-F 29

    Rushing Yards: 148

    Passing Yards: 264

    Turnovers: 1 Tulane 27

    Rushing Yards: 113

    Passing Yards: 286

    Turnovers: 1

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Tulane 32 U-C-F 31

    Army(+36) at Notre Dame

    Power Rating Projection:

    Notre Dame 39 Army 16

    Statistical Projections

    Army 16

    Rushing Yards: 92

    Passing Yards: 157

    Turnovers: 2 Notre Dame 37

    Rushing Yards: 149

    Passing Yards: 294

    Turnovers: 1

    ** Statistical edge to Army

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Notre Dame 40 Army 17

    Utah State(+38) at Boise State

    Power Rating Projection:

    Boise State 48 Utah State 8

    Statistical Projections

    Utah State 8

    Rushing Yards: 74

    Passing Yards: 117

    Turnovers: 2 Boise State 47

    Rushing Yards: 281

    Passing Yards: 220

    Turnovers: 1

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Boise State 49 Utah State 10

    Historical trend: Take Boise State ( Domination by Boise State, 4-0, 100.0% )

    East Carolina(-1½) at Rice

    Power Rating Projection:

    East Carolina 30 Rice 23

    Statistical Projections

    East Carolina 33

    Rushing Yards: 159

    Passing Yards: 294

    Turnovers: 2 Rice 22

    Rushing Yards: 140

    Passing Yards: 164

    Turnovers: 2

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    East Carolina 30 Rice 23

    Oklahoma(-21½) at Baylor

    Power Rating Projection:

    Oklahoma 31 Baylor 13

    Statistical Projections

    Oklahoma 31

    Rushing Yards: 239

    Passing Yards: 184

    Turnovers: 3 Baylor 17

    Rushing Yards: 48

    Passing Yards: 249

    Turnovers: 3

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Oklahoma 26 Baylor 9

    Historical trend: Take Oklahoma ( Domination by visiting team, 6-2, 75.0% )

    Tulsa(-6) at S-M-U

    Power Rating Projection:

    Tulsa 28 S-M-U 25

    Statistical Projections

    Tulsa 24

    Rushing Yards: 130

    Passing Yards: 214

    Turnovers: 2 S-M-U 20

    Rushing Yards: 118

    Passing Yards: 163

    Turnovers: 1

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Tulsa 28 S-M-U 26

    Historical trend: Take S-M-U ( Domination by S-M-U, 6-2, 75.0% )

    Michigan(+7) at Ohio State

    Power Rating Projection:

    Ohio State 26 Michigan 15

    Statistical Projections

    Michigan 18

    Rushing Yards: 149

    Passing Yards: 158

    Turnovers: 2 Ohio State 19

    Rushing Yards: 94

    Passing Yards: 174

    Turnovers: 1

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Ohio State 32 Michigan 10

    Ohio State (1 star)

    Historical trend: Take Ohio State ( Domination by Ohio State, 6-2, 75.0% )

    Mississippi(+27) at Louisiana State

    Power Rating Projection:

    Louisiana State 40 Mississippi 7

    Statistical Projections

    Mississippi 9

    Rushing Yards: 69

    Passing Yards: 113

    Turnovers: 2 Louisiana State 28

    Rushing Yards: 157

    Passing Yards: 229

    Turnovers: 1

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Louisiana State 38 Mississippi 6

    Historical trend: Take Mississippi ( Domination by underdog, 6-2, 75.0% )

    Historical trend: Take Mississippi ( Domination on the road by Mississippi, 4-0, 100.0% )

    Oregon State(-16) at Stanford

    Power Rating Projection:

    Oregon State 30 Stanford 16

    Statistical Projections

    Oregon State 29

    Rushing Yards: 155

    Passing Yards: 249

    Turnovers: 2 Stanford 10

    Rushing Yards: 31

    Passing Yards: 165

    Turnovers: 3

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Oregon State 26 Stanford 12

    Auburn(-3) at Alabama

    Power Rating Projection:

    Auburn 23 Alabama 21

    Statistical Projections

    Auburn 23

    Rushing Yards: 151

    Passing Yards: 168

    Turnovers: 2 Alabama 22

    Rushing Yards: 132

    Passing Yards: 235

    Turnovers: 1

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Auburn 19 Alabama 16

    Arizona(+10) at Oregon

    Power Rating Projection:

    Oregon 33 Arizona 16

    Statistical Projections

    Arizona 14

    Rushing Yards: 72

    Passing Yards: 135

    Turnovers: 2 Oregon 33

    Rushing Yards: 181

    Passing Yards: 262

    Turnovers: 2

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Oregon 31 Arizona 14

    New Mexico(+24) at Brigham Young

    Power Rating Projection:

    Brigham Young 41 New Mexico 17

    Statistical Projections

    New Mexico 15

    Rushing Yards: 94

    Passing Yards: 158

    Turnovers: 2 Brigham Young 33

    Rushing Yards: 126

    Passing Yards: 275

    Turnovers: 1

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Brigham Young 44 New Mexico 20

    San Diego State(+17) at Texas Christian

    Power Rating Projection:

    Texas Christian 28 San Diego State 14

    Statistical Projections

    San Diego State 11

    Rushing Yards: 78

    Passing Yards: 144

    Turnovers: 2 Texas Christian 27

    Rushing Yards: 186

    Passing Yards: 208

    Turnovers: 2

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Texas Christian 23 San Diego State 9

    Wyoming(-11) at Nevada-Las Vegas

    Power Rating Projection:

    Wyoming 27 Nevada-Las Vegas 23

    Statistical Projections

    Wyoming 28

    Rushing Yards: 152

    Passing Yards: 229

    Turnovers: 2 Nevada-Las Vegas 17

    Rushing Yards: 68

    Passing Yards: 213

    Turnovers: 2

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Wyoming 26 Nevada-Las Vegas 21

    Historical trend: Take Nevada-Las Vegas ( Domination by underdog at Nevada-Las Vegas, 4-0, 100.0% )

    Historical trend: Take Wyoming ( Domination by visiting team, 6-2, 75.0% )

    UTEP(+1½) at Marshall

    Power Rating Projection:

    Marshall 29 UTEP 28

    Statistical Projections

    UTEP 29

    Rushing Yards: 69

    Passing Yards: 315

    Turnovers: 2 Marshall 26

    Rushing Yards: 151

    Passing Yards: 216

    Turnovers: 3

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Marshall 32 UTEP 31

    Idaho(+10) at Fresno State

    Power Rating Projection:

    Fresno State 40 Idaho 20

    Statistical Projections

    Idaho 26

    Rushing Yards: 118

    Passing Yards: 244

    Turnovers: 1 Fresno State 30

    Rushing Yards: 172

    Passing Yards: 200

    Turnovers: 2

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Fresno State 45 Idaho 24

    Washington(+10½) at Washington State

    Power Rating Projection:

    Washington State 25 Washington 20

    Statistical Projections

    Washington 21

    Rushing Yards: 105

    Passing Yards: 231

    Turnovers: 2 Washington State 28

    Rushing Yards: 129

    Passing Yards: 297

    Turnovers: 1

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Washington State 20 Washington 15

    Historical trend: Take Washington ( Domination by underdog, 6-2, 75.0% )

    Arkansas(-14) at Mississippi State

    Power Rating Projection:

    Arkansas 31 Mississippi State 16

    Statistical Projections

    Arkansas 32

    Rushing Yards: 194

    Passing Yards: 208

    Turnovers: 2 Mississippi State 11

    Rushing Yards: 67

    Passing Yards: 142

    Turnovers: 2

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Arkansas 28 Mississippi State 13

    Historical trend: Take Mississippi State ( Domination by underdog at Mississippi State, 4-0, 100.0% )

    Michigan State(+17) at Penn State

    Power Rating Projection:

    Penn State 33 Michigan State 19

    Statistical Projections

    Michigan State 17

    Rushing Yards: 100

    Passing Yards: 188

    Turnovers: 2 Penn State 29

    Rushing Yards: 122

    Passing Yards: 238

    Turnovers: 2

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Penn State 33 Michigan State 18

    Historical trend: Take Penn State ( Domination at home by Penn State, 4-0, 100.0% )

    Historical trend: Take Penn State ( Domination by favorite, 6-2, 75.0% )

    Kansas State(+3) at Kansas

    Power Rating Projection:

    Kansas 30 Kansas State 23

    Statistical Projections

    Kansas State 20

    Rushing Yards: 113

    Passing Yards: 193

    Turnovers: 2 Kansas 22

    Rushing Yards: 146

    Passing Yards: 201

    Turnovers: 3

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Kansas 30 Kansas State 23

    Historical trend: Take Kansas ( Domination by favorite, 7-1, 87.5% )

    Historical trend: Take Kansas State ( Domination by Kansas State, 7-1, 87.5% )

    Miami-Florida(-3½) at Virginia

    Power Rating Projection:

    Miami-Florida 21 Virginia 16

    Statistical Projections

    Miami-Florida 18

    Rushing Yards: 96

    Passing Yards: 196

    Turnovers: 2 Virginia 15

    Rushing Yards: 65

    Passing Yards: 201

    Turnovers: 1

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Miami-Florida 16 Virginia 10

    Maryland(+6) at Boston College

    Power Rating Projection:

    Boston College 28 Maryland 18

    Statistical Projections

    Maryland 15

    Rushing Yards: 116

    Passing Yards: 149

    Turnovers: 3 Boston College 30

    Rushing Yards: 156

    Passing Yards: 258

    Turnovers: 1

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Boston College 24 Maryland 14

    Utah(Pk) at Air Force

    Power Rating Projection:

    Utah 25 Air Force 22

    Statistical Projections

    Utah 28

    Rushing Yards: 166

    Passing Yards: 217

    Turnovers: 2 Air Force 21

    Rushing Yards: 230

    Passing Yards: 85

    Turnovers: 2

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Utah 24 Air Force 22

    U-A-B(+14) at Southern Miss

    Power Rating Projection:

    Southern Miss 28 U-A-B 19

    Statistical Projections

    U-A-B 17

    Rushing Yards: 136

    Passing Yards: 160

    Turnovers: 1 Southern Miss 25

    Rushing Yards: 149

    Passing Yards: 196

    Turnovers: 1

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Southern Miss 24 U-A-B 15

    Historical trend: Take U-A-B ( Domination by underdog, 5-1, 83.3% )

    Nevada-Reno(-21½) at Louisiana Tech

    Power Rating Projection:

    Nevada-Reno 36 Louisiana Tech 16

    Statistical Projections

    Nevada-Reno 42

    Rushing Yards: 245

    Passing Yards: 245

    Turnovers: 2 Louisiana Tech 16

    Rushing Yards: 132

    Passing Yards: 193

    Turnovers: 4

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Nevada-Reno 36 Louisiana Tech 16

    California(+5½) at Southern Cal

    Power Rating Projection:

    Southern Cal 29 California 22

    Statistical Projections

    California 24

    Rushing Yards: 136

    Passing Yards: 229

    Turnovers: 1 Southern Cal 31

    Rushing Yards: 167

    Passing Yards: 279

    Turnovers: 2

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Southern Cal 34 California 16

    Southern Cal (1 star)

    Historical trend: Take California ( Domination by underdog at Southern Cal, 4-0, 100.0% )

    Historical trend: Take California ( Domination on the road by California, 4-0, 100.0% )

    U.C.L.A.(+4½) at Arizona State

    Power Rating Projection:

    Arizona State 32 U.C.L.A. 24

    Statistical Projections

    U.C.L.A. 21

    Rushing Yards: 120

    Passing Yards: 174

    Turnovers: 2 Arizona State 24

    Rushing Yards: 136

    Passing Yards: 199

    Turnovers: 2

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Arizona State 34 U.C.L.A. 26

    San Jose State(+23½) at Hawaii

    Power Rating Projection:

    Hawaii 40 San Jose State 17

    Statistical Projections

    San Jose State 22

    Rushing Yards: 172

    Passing Yards: 170

    Turnovers: 2 Hawaii 33

    Rushing Yards: 103

    Passing Yards: 383

    Turnovers: 2

    ** Statistical edge to San Jose State

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Hawaii 49 San Jose State 14

    Hawaii (1 star)

    UL-Monroe(+17½) at Kentucky

    Power Rating Projection:

    Kentucky 31 UL-Monroe 18

    Statistical Projections

    UL-Monroe 25

    Rushing Yards: 154

    Passing Yards: 243

    Turnovers: 3 Kentucky 25

    Rushing Yards: 109

    Passing Yards: 264

    Turnovers: 3

    ** Statistical edge to UL-Monroe

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Kentucky 29 UL-Monroe 16

    UL-Lafayette(-6½) at Florida Intl

    Power Rating Projection:

    UL-Lafayette 28 Florida Intl 21

    Statistical Projections

    UL-Lafayette 17

    Rushing Yards: 133

    Passing Yards: 116

    Turnovers: 2 Florida Intl 15

    Rushing Yards: 60

    Passing Yards: 210

    Turnovers: 2

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    UL-Lafayette 26 Florida Intl 19

    Arkansas State(+9½) at Troy

    Power Rating Projection:

    Troy 30 Arkansas State 17

    Statistical Projections

    Arkansas State 13

    Rushing Yards: 138

    Passing Yards: 146

    Turnovers: 3 Troy 21

    Rushing Yards: 135

    Passing Yards: 198

    Turnovers: 3

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Troy 26 Arkansas State 14

    Middle Tennessee(+16) at South Carolina

    Power Rating Projection:

    South Carolina 32 Middle Tennessee 21

    Statistical Projections

    Middle Tennessee 19

    Rushing Yards: 144

    Passing Yards: 174

    Turnovers: 2 South Carolina 21

    Rushing Yards: 120

    Passing Yards: 227

    Turnovers: 2

    ** Statistical edge to Middle Tennessee

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    South Carolina 31 Middle Tennessee 20

    Florida Atlantic(+5) at North Texas

    Power Rating Projection:

    North Texas 26 Florida Atlantic 20

    Statistical Projections

    Florida Atlantic 17

    Rushing Yards: 98

    Passing Yards: 192

    Turnovers: 2 North Texas 17

    Rushing Yards: 151

    Passing Yards: 131

    Turnovers: 2

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    North Texas 22 Florida Atlantic 16

    Western Carolina at Florida

    Power Rating Projection:

    Florida 39 Western Carolina 0

    Statistical Projections

    No statistical projections for this game

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Florida 59 Western Carolina 0

    phantom

    posted by phantom

    Nov. 15 2006 1:44am
  5. 0 likes

    Sports Reporters College

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    sorrry guys just been busy today.here you go

    4

    TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 14

    *TOLEDO over BALL STATE by 7

    The Rockets, who usually are in contention for MAC championships, are playing out the string

    and might save some of their energy for rival Bowling Green next Tuesday. Ball State has

    three extra days to prepare after going all-out at Michigan in close loss. TOLEDO, 33-26.

    WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 15

    *BOWLING GREEN over MIAMI-OHIO by 2

    Slightly prefer Miami QB Mike Kokal over BG’s Anthony Turner. BOWLING GREEN, 26-24.

    THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 16

    *OHIO over AKRON by 8

    Ohio needs a win here to lock up the MAC East title and a spot in the conference championship

    game, and Bobcats are looking to atone for 27-3 loss last season in which they were

    out-gained 498-110 in total offense. Ohio leads the MAC in pass defense efficiency this season

    and should do a better job of containing Akron QB Luke Getsy, who is coming off a four-

    TD performance in win over Buffalo. OHIO, 24-16.

    WEST VIRGINIA over *PITTSBURGH by 6

    Expect that ever-swift Mountaineers tandem of QB Pat White and RB Steve Slaton to prove

    to be too elusive here for a Pittsburgh defense that allowed UConn signal-caller D.J.

    Hernandez to run/pass ‘em wild in that two-OT game last week. The ’06 Backyard Brawl will

    be closer than last year’s 45-13 West Virginia win. WEST VIRGINIA, 34-28.

    FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 17

    *KENT STATE over EASTERN MICHIGAN by 9

    Kent State limited Virginia Tech to 214 yards last week, but how much of that was Virginia

    Tech looking ahead to Wake Forest? EMU’s chances of being ready for the Navy offense were

    slim and none, which you were forewarned about with a Best Bet against them last week.

    This is easier, and Kent has some offensive injuries at the skill spots. KENT STATE, 22-13.

    *NORTHERN ILLINOIS over CENTRAL MICHIGAN by 1

    Motivation could be lacking for Central Michigan, which already has clinched MAC West title

    and spot in conference final. RB Garrett Wolfe's latest sub-par performance (54 yards on 16

    carries vs. Toledo) was partially due to the ridiculous conditions, as a dense fog rendered the

    NIU passing game even more pathetic than usual. Better conditions would mean a good

    chance for Wolfe to recapture his early-season form. NORTHERN ILLINOIS, 24-23.

    SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 18

    *WISCONSIN over BUFFALO by 36

    Wisconsin QB John Stocco (shoulder) sat out last week’s win at Iowa and certainly isn’t

    needed here as Badgers can simply run P.J. Hill into the line about 25 to 30 times and still

    get a comfortable win. Buffalo doesn’t have the depth to compete with a power team at this

    juncture of the season, as it demonstrated in a 41-0 loss at Boston College last month. WISCONSIN,

    43-7.

    *FLORIDA STATE over WESTERN MICHIGAN by 20

    No doubt that Florida State’s Bobby Bowden never did deserve to be part of college football’s

    Mount Rushmore but now the sad truth is Bowden and son Jeff (the rotten offensive coordinator)

    have outlived their usefulness as last week’s humbling 30-0 home loss against Wake

    Forest was bottom-of-the-barrel stuff. Neither QB Xavier Lee nor Drew Weatherford can do

    anything right but this is a Mid-Am foe here, you know. FLORIDA STATE, 33-13.

    *LOUISVILLE over SOUTH FLORIDA by 17

    Lost amidst all the hoopla last Thursday night – the “pandemonium in Piscatawayâ€

    phantom

    posted by phantom

    Nov. 16 2006 2:33pm
  6. 0 likes

    Sports Reporters College

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    COLLEGE FOO FOOTB TBALL ALL

    6

    *ALABAMA over AUBURN by 1

    Auburn crumbled vs. Georgia’s physical style of play last Saturday. The Tide also likes to play

    tough up front, which could cause problems for the smaller/faster Auburn defense. Do not

    expect another 4-12, 4 INT performance from Tiger signal caller Brandon Cox. OC Al Borges

    will ensure that his offense is ready to go for the Iron Bowl. The Tide rolls with a late field

    goal. ALABAMA, 23-22.

    *OREGON over ARIZONA by 8

    For the third week in a row – here it comes – “Oregon cannot win if they cannot run.â€

    phantom

    posted by phantom

    Nov. 16 2006 2:34pm
  7. 0 likes

    Sports Reporters College

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MIAMI-FL over *VIRGINIA by 5

    The Year-from-hell continues for Miami with last week’s 14-13 loss-but-cover at Maryland

    completely overshadowed by shooting death of DL Bryan Pata. Maybe boss-man Larry Coker

    will exit out the side door moments after next week’s finale against Boston College. MIAMIFL,

    21-16.

    RECOMMENDED

    MARYLAND over *BOSTON COLLEGE by 1

    This ACC clash has plenty of hereafter implications. Don’t be surprised if the favored BC

    Eagles pull back a bit and play this one close to the proverbial vest. Running backs L.V.

    Whitworth and Andre Callender each cracked the 100-yard rushing mark last week in

    BC’s win against Duke and only question here is whether Maryland’s sudden strike-fast

    offense can make up points against ball-control minded Birds. The key may well be

    whether Maryland can run it when QB Sam Hollenbach’s not going deep. Thanks to kicker

    Dan Ennis and the Eagles’ conservative strategy here, the Terps keep it very close.

    MARYLAND 21-20.

    *AIR FORCE over UTAH by 2

    Notre Dame was able to hold the Air Force option attack to under 4 yards per carry. Keep in

    mind that the Irish had seen a similar attack from Navy just weeks before. The Utes are stout

    against the run, to the tune of only 107 yards per game. The Falcons should have more success

    that than and will be motivated by last year’s 38-35 loss. Utah will move the ball as well

    on an Air Force secondary that struggles against decent passing teams. AIR FORCE, 28-26.

    *SOUTHERN MISS over UAB by 8

    Recent back-to-back road wins at Memphis and at Tulane may have Jeff Bower’s Southern

    Miss kids revved up, but not us. They are 3-0-1 ATS in last four games against UAB, but UAB

    will pound it on the ground for some success and make the task tougher than it looks with

    a defense facing no extraordinary tasks. SOUTHERN MISS, 21-13.

    NEVADA over *LOUISIANA TECH by 21

    Nevada has covered eight in a row with the balanced Pistol offense (60% Runs, 180-210

    yardage split) Louisiana Tech is back home after playing its seventh of eight road games this

    year (who booked this schedule!) with nothing in the tank after a trip to the 50th state. NEVADA,

    35-14.

    RECOMMENDED

    CALIFORNIA over *USC by 3

    Two teams going in opposite directions? Cal is coming off a loss on the road to recent

    upstart Arizona, while the Trojans shot down the Oregon Ducks by 25. So how does Cal

    compete? The Golden Bears match up athletically with the Trojans, which is a rarity given

    Pete Carroll’s’ recent recruiting success. Cal coach Jeff Tedford will use Marshawn Lynch

    in a big way to ensure that he does not put his QB, who is prone to throwing picks, in

    bad situations. The Trojans are starting to click a bit on offense, but the rushing attack

    has been inconsistent all year and they did lose tailback Moody last week to injury. If Cal

    can make USC one dimensional, they should be able to pressure Booty into a few picks.

    Before last week, talk was that this Pac-10 battle would be even. Now people are handing

    the game and the Pac-10 title to the Trojans. This game is huge for Cal and they will

    be ready. CAL, 35-32.

    *ARIZONA STATE over UCLA by 1

    ASU is like a box of chocolates – you never know what you are going to get. Scary proposition

    for you, but an opportunity as well. The Sun Devils returned to their passing roots last

    week, hitting for over 300 yards. This will give the Bruin coaching staff something to think

    about. UCLA’s offense is average at best, despite a nice showing at Cal two weeks ago. This

    game is typically a shootout – averaging 72 points in the last nine. This Saturday’s game will

    be much lower scoring. ARIZONA STATE, 24-23.

    *HAWAII over SAN JOSE STATE by 22

    San Jose put everything it had into last week’s game and came up just short against Boise

    State, and now must face distraction of long trip. QB Colt Brennan has become almost

    unstoppable in Hawaii’s system and he passed for 457 yards and three TDs in Hawaii’s 45-

    38 road win over SJSU last season. Hawaii RB Nate Ilaoa (ankle) sat out last week against

    Louisiana Tech but it obviously didn’t matter. HAWAII, 48-26.

    *KENTUCKY over LOUISIANA-MONROE by 24

    “Bowl eligibilityâ€

    phantom

    posted by phantom

    Nov. 16 2006 2:34pm
  8. 0 likes

    winning points..best bets & preferred plays

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ****BEST BET

    ALABAMA* over AUBURN by 17

    Best Bet tickets in any sport do not come in any easier than our rout with Georgia

    over Auburn at the top of these pages last week, with the Bulldogs rolling wire to

    wire in beating the pointspread by 34 points. But we are not finished with Tommy

    Tuberville’s Tigers yet. For while there will be some pointspread adjustment

    because of last week’s thrashing, the bottom line is that they are still the most overrated

    team in the nation. They carry a 3-2 record in their S.E.C. showdown games

    into this one, beating L.S.U., Florida and South Carolina and losing to Arkansas

    and Georgia, but take a closer look – they were out-played to the tune of -22 first

    downs and 531 yards in those games. With just a few bounces going the other way

    it could have been an 0-5 collar, and that is without counting an ugly 23-17 road

    survival vs. weak Ole Miss. Yet somehow they are still considered superior to an

    Alabama team that has been every bit their equal vs. common opponents, and will

    bring a much greater sense of purpose here. For while Auburn was still dreaming

    about a possible national championship as late as last Saturday’s kickoff, which

    makes it most difficult to refocus, the Crimson Tide can make up for much of this

    season’s disappointment by winning here. There is nothing in the way of that, as

    we have the rarity of a team taking points at home that does not have a matchup

    disadvantage anywhere on the field, and is also bringing every once of energy that

    they have to the fray. ALABAMA 30-13.

    ***BEST BET

    ILLINOIS over NORTHWESTERN* by 17

    Heading into the final game of his second season Ron Zook is on the verge of a 2-

    10 record if his Illini lose here, which on paper would appear to be a step back from

    last year’s 2-9. But the truth is that this is one of the most improved teams in the

    country, and one that will be ready to go bowling as early as next year. Yes, wins

    have been few and far between, but take a closer look at some of those final scores.

    In fact, in Big 10 play, take a closer look at all of them. They have played the same

    seven opponents as last year, and closed the gap by a staggering 186 points, or nearly

    27 points per game. They made up at least 11 points against every opponent,

    and note that we are only talking about the scoreboard here. What is even more

    intriguing is that they out-gained Ohio State, Penn State and Indiana in games that

    they lost, and were within 30 yards of Purdue, Wisconsin and Iowa. There has not

    been a conference game in which they were out-played, but in their 1-6 Big 10

    demise they have been -8 in turnovers. Now playing bowl-bound programs in each

    of the last four weeks they step way down in a class here, facing a soft Northwestern

    team that will not pressure them into those mistakes. Now Juice Williams gets a

    chance to show every bit of his athleticism against a Wildcat defense that does not

    have the speed to contain him. Next season begins now for the Illini, in front of a

    crowd that usually has more orange than purple in the stands when they play here

    in Evanston. ILLINOIS 31-14.

    **PREFERRED

    Cincinnati* over Rutgers by 3

    It is not pulling the huge upset at home under pressure that cements your program

    as finally “Coming of Ageâ€

    phantom

    posted by phantom

    Nov. 16 2006 2:36pm
  9. 0 likes

    Winning points close calls

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Ball State over Toledo* by 2 (Tuesday)

    The confidence gained by going out and making some real plays at Michigan

    could carry over for the Cardinals as they step down in class, with the Glass Bowl

    no longer such an intimidating factor. BALL STATE 26-24.

    Bowling Green* over Miami O. by 6 (Wednesday)

    Falcons lead the M.A.C. in rushing, and the RedHawk defense is as week up front

    as it has been in many seasons. That matters even more when the November winds

    blow. BOWLING GREEN 27-21.

    Ohio U.* over Akron by 7 (Thursday)

    Bobcats get nearly two full weeks to prepare for this one, which means physical

    freshness to match what should be an ideal focus – a win here and they go to the

    M.A.C. Championship game. OHIO 26-19.

    West Virginia over Pittsburgh* by 13 (Thursday)

    Panther rush defense is the worst possible weakness to have when Pat White and

    Steve Slaton come to town, and the short practice week off of a long day at UConn

    is not the way to heal tired bodies in the DL. WEST VIRGINIA 33-20.

    Kent State* over Eastern Michigan by 10 (Friday)

    The Golden Flashes “economizedâ€

    phantom

    posted by phantom

    Nov. 16 2006 2:36pm
  10. 0 likes

    Power Sweep

    NFL

    KEY SELECTIONS

    4* MIAMI over Minnesota - This game has the Vikings #25 & #12 units over the L4W vs the Dolphins #11 & #9 units. After playing themselves into playoff oblivion MIA is one of the underrated teams for the 2H of the season & get a very good matchup at home vs a dome team that has only 9 offensive TD’s on the year. MIN hasn’t adjusted to HC Childress’ West Coast system as QB Johnson simply doesn’t have the WR corps to make it go. This has forced the offense to press for points & MIN has lost the TO battle in the L3 games (-6). MIA has begun its 2H resurgence by upsetting the Bears & beating KC returning to what made it work for them LY. They’ve avg’d 119 ypg rush (4.1) the L4W and MIA has been able to rest the defense & take the pressure off Harrington who has been getting better in the system. The Dolphins are the play here as they take on a dome team that doesn’t play well on grass & are painfully one-dimensional with the lack of a passing game. FORECAST: MIAMI 23 Minnesota 10

    3* KANSAS CITY over Oakland - The Chiefs are 21-10-1 ATS vs the Raiders. First & 2nd year QB’s are now 2-19 SU at Arrowhead Stadium. The Chiefs get another inexperienced QB at home where they have outFD’d foes 23-15 & outgained them 369-248 & are +3 TO’s with an avg score of 29-20. OAK has scored 3 TD’s in their L/61 drives & have been outrushed 164 (4.6) to 86 (3.7) on the road TY with 20 sacks allowed & are -10 in TO’s being outscored 23-7 on avg. There is some value here as KC lost to a resurgent Dolphins team & OAK played well vs a depleted DEN defense off a pair of high profile games. The OAK OL has allowed opposing defenses to hit their QB 97 times prior to LW which is 45.8% of the QB snaps & while MLB Johnson may miss his one, KC has a good pair of DE’s in Hali & Allen. Look for the Chiefs to get an easy win at home vs an overmatched OAK offense & Larry Johnson to have a big day vs OAK’s #25 rush defense. FORECAST: KANSAS CITY 24 Oakland 6

    OTHER SELECTIONS

    2* TAMPA BAY over Washington - LY TB scored a TD & were down by 1 with 1:52 left. The XP was blocked but WAS hit with an offsides pen & the ball was placed at the 2 yd line. TB went for it & Alstott ran it in for the 2 pt conv as the teams combined for 759 yds. TB is 7-3-1 ATS hosting a non-div foe. This is the 2nd of 3 gms TB is playing in an 11 day span & is the 4th time the schedule has ever been this tough to a team. TB’s 2-6 record prior to MNF is their worst since 1996 & they have been outFD’d 19-13 & outgained 359-214 at home TY losing by an avg score of 24-15. WAS is 1-4 SU & ATS vs NFC teams TY with their best games coming vs the AFC South. In conference play WAS has been outFD 20-15 & outgained 366-251 losing by an avg score of 22-11. There is no line due to the MNF game but TB is at home vs WAS #30 defense which will get little help as Portis is out with a broken hand & the Bucs are the play. FORECAST: TAMPA BAY 17 Washington 10

    2* Tennessee (+) over PHILADELPHIA - This is officially the 2* “Ugly Dogâ€

    phantom

    posted by phantom

    Nov. 16 2006 2:39pm
  11. 0 likes

    Red Sheet

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NOVEMBER 18, 2006 VOLUME 38, NUMBER 12

    ALABAMA 24 - Auburn 17 - (3:30 EST) -- Line opened at Auburn minus 4½, and is now minus 3. Well, the

    bubble that was Auburn, popped (exploded would be a better descriptive), in the Tigers'

    embarrassing 37-15 loss to fast-falling Georgia, as 12-pt chalks, no less. That one opened

    many an eye, with a resultant 10 spot drop in the national polls. Can they regroup for this

    traditional rivalry? Anything is possible, but they've been doing it with mirrors since early

    Sept (446-171 yd deficit LW, for example), & any sudden turnaround hardly seems in the

    cards. Tide is still seeking an overland game, but 'Bama is always a premier dog play (3-0-

    1 ATS this year), with a quality defense. Wrong team is favored.

    RATING: ALABAMA 89

    NOTRE DAME 55 - Army 10 - (2:30 - NBC) -- Line opened at NotreDame minus 34, and is now minus 31½.

    Third military school encounter of the season for the Irish, & thus far, they've shown that

    they've just continued along with their normal total domination of such outfits: 38-14 rout of

    Navy (10½ pt cover), & 39-17 wipeout of AirForce (11-pt cover). Admittedly, the spot on this

    one is much higher than those earlier setups by 18 & 21½, but the Cadets have been

    among the dregs for the past decade. Try a combined 24-88 since their last bowl shot ('96

    Independence). Sporadic success this year, but can't dismiss defensive efforts of 48, 42, &

    43 pts. Irish & Quinn (29 TD passes) get any kinks out before USC.

    RATING: NOTRE DAME 89

    FLORIDA STATE 33 - Western Michigan 7 - (2:00) -- Line opened at FloridaSt minus 15½, and is now

    minus 15. If ever there was a spot to get on the Seminoles, this is it. A week ago, they

    suffered the worst embarrassment in Bowden's storied career, namely a home shutout,

    which had never happened in Bobby's reign. You know that the whip will be cracked, not

    only for the quick bounceback angle, but the fact is that a bowl award may also depend on

    the outcome of this contest. Through all of the 'Noles troubles this season, they still rank

    10th in the nation in total defense. Their 33-0 shutout of Virginia followed on the heels their

    previous loss (Maryland). And Western enters off pair of losses itself. Romper.

    RATING: FLORIDA STATE 88

    KANSAS 34 - Kansas State 20 - (3:30) -- Line opened at Kansas minus 3, and is now minus 2. Nice spot

    for the Jayhawks, who had last week off, following their 41-10 lambasting of IowaSt, while

    the Wildcats must come down from their shocking upset of mighty Texas. But the fact is

    that Texas lost is spectacular QB McCoy early on (3rd ranked QB in the nation: 27 TD

    passes, with just 4 INTs). Not only that, but KSt managed only 23 RYs in that one, & barely

    hung on after jumping to a 42-21 lead. And that tilt was at home, which is huge, in analyzing

    any Wildcat game, as the host has now covered 16 of their last 20 ouitings. KU is highly

    competitive, QB Meier is in off 17-of-22 showing, & Cornish is at 1,130 RYs.

    RATING: KANSAS 88

    KENTUCKY 52 - Louisiana-Monroe 20 - (1:00) -- Line opened at Kentucky minus 18, and is now minus

    19½. The Wildcats seem bowl-bound, for first time since '99 (20-13 loss to Syracuse in

    MusicCity). We are the first to admit that we've been highly skeptical of their season,

    despite their 6-4 record. Afterall, they've yet to outstat a single lined team, ranking 117th in

    the nation in total defense. A week ago, they piled up 597 yds in their 12-pt won over Vandy,

    but the Commodores amassed 621 yds themselves, as 4 Vandy turnovers proved the difference.

    However, QB Woodson is smoking 29-of-42 for 446 yds & 4 TDs last wk, & this is

    the time to step out with the 'Cats, catching Monroe off just its second win of year.

    RATING: KENTUCKY 88

    KANSAS CITY 30 - Oakland 10 - (1:00) -- Line opened at KansasCity minus 8, and is now minus 9½. This

    was at one time, the most publicized rivalry in the NFL. Those days are now gone, at least

    until the moldy Raiders turn their fortunes around (15-42 SU since their appearance in the

    '02 SuperBowl. As with any squad, they've had their moments, but there is no getting

    around the fact that, offensively, they rank dead among the NFL's 32 teams (less than 12

    ppg). Not the stat they need, in trying to trade pts with the Chiefs, who've scored an average

    of 35.3 ppg in their last 3 hosters. Johnson averaging 133.3 RYpg the last 4 weeks, &

    Huard is an awesome 11/1 in TD/INT ratio. KC's 10 pts at Miami doesn't sit well.

    RATING: KANSAS CITY 88

    NEAR CHOICES (Rated 87): Nevada, PennSt, Missouri, Houston -- NFL: NewEngland, StLouis, NYGiants

    LINE MOVES (from largest to smallest move): KentSt (-7½ to -12½); CentMichigan (+1 to -3½); Illinois

    (+1½ to -2½); Indiana (+12½ to +10); Army (+34 to +31½); Oregon (-11 to -13); Nevada (-18 to -20); Akron

    (+6½ to +5); UConn (+3 to +1½); NoCarolina (+5½ to +4); Navy (-30 to -31½); Oklahoma (-18½ to -20);

    Alabama (+4½ to +3); Marshall (-1 to -2½); SoMississippi (-13 to -14½); SoCalifornia (-4 to -5½); Kentucky

    (-18 to -19½); Hawaii (-22½ to -24) - NFL: Chicago (-4 to -7); NewEngland (-4 to -6); Jacksonville (-1½ to -

    3½); KansasCity (-8 to -9½); Cincinnati (+5 to +3½); Baltimore (-3 to -4½); Houston (-1 to -2½); Minnesota

    (+5 to +3½); Arizona (-1 to -2½). --TIME CHANGES: Rutgers/Cincinnati: now 7:45; Northwestern/Illinois:

    now 1:00; WakeForest/VirginiaTech: now 7:00; BostonCollege/Maryland: now 12:00....

    RED SHEET ONLINE

    RATINGS: 89 & ABOVE: SUPERIOR PLAY

    88 & BELOW: ABOVE AVERAGE PLAY

    __________________

    phantom

    posted by phantom

    Nov. 16 2006 2:40pm
  12. 0 likes

    Sports Reporters

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 16

    *OHIO over AKRON by 8

    Ohio needs a win here to lock up the MAC East title and a spot in the conference championship

    game, and Bobcats are looking to atone for 27-3 loss last season in which they were

    out-gained 498-110 in total offense. Ohio leads the MAC in pass defense efficiency this season

    and should do a better job of containing Akron QB Luke Getsy, who is coming off a four-

    TD performance in win over Buffalo. OHIO, 24-16.

    WEST VIRGINIA over *PITTSBURGH by 6

    Expect that ever-swift Mountaineers tandem of QB Pat White and RB Steve Slaton to prove

    to be too elusive here for a Pittsburgh defense that allowed UConn signal-caller D.J.

    Hernandez to run/pass ‘em wild in that two-OT game last week. The ’06 Backyard Brawl will

    be closer than last year’s 45-13 West Virginia win. WEST VIRGINIA, 34-28.

    phantom

    posted by phantom

    Nov. 16 2006 2:41pm
  13. 0 likes

    Intra-State Dominance: Starting in Game 11, play any dog in an intra-state rivalry game that has won at

    least the last 3 in the series

    Pointspread Record Since 1993: 17-6 ATS (66%)

    This week’s application: Akron, Northwestern

    __________________

    Point Wise

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    5 West Virginia 41-17

    __________________

    winning points

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Ohio U.* over Akron by 7 (Thursday)

    Bobcats get nearly two full weeks to prepare for this one, which means physical

    freshness to match what should be an ideal focus – a win here and they go to the

    M.A.C. Championship game. OHIO 26-19.

    West Virginia over Pittsburgh* by 13 (Thursday)

    Panther rush defense is the worst possible weakness to have when Pat White and

    Steve Slaton come to town, and the short practice week off of a long day at UConn

    is not the way to heal tired bodies in the DL. WEST VIRGINIA 33-20.

    __________________

    phantom

    posted by phantom

    Nov. 16 2006 2:42pm
  14. 0 likes

    Wunderdogs

    Game: W Virginia at Pittsburgh (Thursday 11/16 12:15 PM Eastern)

    Pick: 2 units on W Virginia -11.5

    Everyone is wondering about Pittsburgh. What jas happened? What happened is they played a soft schedule early with teams they matched up with well except for Michigan St. The problem they had last year with W. Virginia has manifested itself again this year. They really struggle against teams that have a good ground game. They have held opponents to 522 yds. rushing in 6 wins or just over 85 yards per game. The problem is that, in their losses teams have piled up just shy of 300 yards per game! W. Virginia ran for 453 last year, and only needed to complete 4 passes. This will not be a look ahead game for W. Virginia, but rather a statement game. Whatever hope they have in reaching the Championship game is going to require an eye popping victory here similar to last year's score of 45-13, and then a similar result versus Rutgers, with a little "hope for the best" thrown in. It is a two-game season for West Virginia right now, and the punishing ground gam! e that has taken its toll on Pittsburgh all year will once again rear it s ugly head. Mountaineers in this one.

    __________________

    Sportsbook

    Even though they were favorites the last 3 games, the struggling Panthers have lost those games both straight up and ATS. Overall, the once hot Panthers are 5-4 ATS. The Panthers' ability to stop the run seems to weigh heavily on whether or not they cover. In the games that the Panthers covered, they allowed an average of 82.6 YPG on the ground. In the games that Pitt failed to cover, they allowed an alarming 277.5 YPG on the ground. This isn't good news considering WVU has an absolutely lethal ground attack that averages 318.2 YPG. With these overwhelming rushing numbers in mind it isn't surprising that over 90% of the early action is on WVU -11.

    Dunkel Index - College Football

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Dunkel Index – NCAA Football

    THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 16

    West Virginia at Pittsburgh

    While the West Virginia-Pitt game is billed as the "Backyard Brawl" it's not clear just how much of a brawl it will be. Pittsburgh was on its way to a nice season when the Panthers ran their record to 6-1 with a 52-7 pounding of Central Florida. But a 20-10 loss to Rutgers at home started the Panthers on a three-game slide that culminated with a 46-45 overtime loss to lower-rated UConn last weekend. By contrast West Virginia rebounded nicely from its disappointing loss to Louisville with a 42-24 win over Cincinnati that was only that close because of two fourth quarter TDs by the Bearcats. With Pitt sliding, West Virginia looks capable of covering the Vegas line (-11) on the road according to Dunkel, which has West Virginia favored by 15. Dunkel Pick: West Virginia (-11).

    Game 105-106: Akron at Ohio

    Dunkel Ratings: Akron 75.861; Ohio 85.455

    Dunkel Line: Ohio by 9 1/2; 36

    Vegas Line: Ohio by 4; 39

    Dunkel Pick: Ohio (-4); Under

    Game 107-108: West Virginia at Pittsburgh

    Dunkel Ratings: West Virginia 104.761; Pittsburgh 89.634

    Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 15; 58

    Vegas Line: West Virginia by 11; 53

    Dunkel Pick: West Virginia (-11); Over

    phantom

    posted by phantom

    Nov. 16 2006 2:43pm
  15. 0 likes

    BEN BURNS

    COLLEGE FOOTBALL

    regular plays

    pittsburgh and under total

    Larry Ness' CFB TV Total of the Year (11-4-1 with non-Saturday CFB since 9/15!)

    Handicapper: Larry Ness

    League: College Football

    Event: West Virginia vs Pittsburgh on 11/16/2006 at 16:45

    Condition: Over

    Grade: Ungraded

    Promotion: I'm going a little against the grain here as West Va has been an under team on the road recently and Pitt has been an under team when playing as a dog. Also, the weather forecast is not great and the West Va offense is best suited for a fast track. However, this West Va team has been held under 30 points just ONCE all year (27 at East Carolina), while topping 40 points in six of nine games. The Mountaineers 40.2 PPG average places them second in the nation in scoring. Meanwhile, Pitt averages 33 PPG (15th) and I expect QB Tyler Palko to have success vs a West Va defense that is at times, vulnerable to the pass. Palko is No. 2 in the nation in passing efficiency and has 22 TDPs vs just six INTs. Pitt's D has been run all over lately, allowing 258 YPG rushing (5.0 YPC) in losing three straight games (Pitt had been 6-1). That doesn't bode well vs a West Va team that's second in the nation in rushing at 318.2 YPG (6.9 YPC) with 38 rushing TDs. Slaton averages 151.4 YPG and 7.5 YPC and White 93 YPG and 7.9 YPC. LY West Va ran for 451 yards against Pitt and barring a horrible playing field, will run wild tonight. This year's "Backyard Brawl" will not be a 'dogfight' but rather a 'shootout' in which Palko and Co. try and match the Mountaineers score for score. CFB TV Total of the Year 15* West Va/Pit Over

    __________________

    John Fina

    Football for November 16, 2006

    NCAA - 3 units on Akron +4.5 (-110)

    NCAA - 3 units on Pittsburgh +11.5 (-110)

    ***

    College Football 2-Team Parlay *(Risk 1 unit to win 2.5 units)*

    - Akron +4.5

    - Pittsburgh +11.5

    __________________

    brandon lang

    THURSDAY

    20 DIME

    COLLEGE FOOTBALL

    Ohio University

    10 DIME

    St.Johns

    Note:

    Gave a little back last night but still feel really good about the next 5 days.

    Mark my words right now. I am about to go on one of my best 5 day runs ever.

    Just make a mental note right now that come next Tuesday morning, I will be up close to 900 Dimes of net profit with what I have planned.

    I am seeing things as clearly as I have seen them in quite sometime and I don't think I have been this excited in months.

    Truthfully, I fully expect this to be without question my biggest weekend of the year. I really do.

    I will have something to say about these games no later than 2:00 pm Eastern Thursday

    good luck

    phantom

    posted by phantom

    Nov. 16 2006 2:45pm
  16. 0 likes

    big al has a 34-11 system on akron

    David Malinsky

    West Virginia vs. Pittsburgh - Thursday, Nov 16, 2006 7:30 PM

    Sport: NCAA - National Collegate Football 6 Units

    Prediction: West Virginia

    Line: Sportsbook @ -10.5 -110 - 11/13/2006 11:44:19 PM Eastern Time

    Explanation: 6* WEST VIRGINIA over PITTSBURGH

    We cashed a 6* ticket against Dave Wannstedt and his Panthers on Saturday, with Connecticut not only covering the spread but winning the game outright. And here was the key part to the analysis going in - â€

    phantom

    posted by phantom

    Nov. 16 2006 2:46pm
  17. 0 likes

    Power Plays 4* Selections from Phil Steele (this is not Power Sweep it is Power Plays) someone had asked for these earlier in this thread and I havent had time to post them until now.

    4* Florida State 33 W Mich 12

    4* Louisville 35 USF 16

    4* Wake Forest (if dog) 19 Va Tech 14

    4* Purdue 36 Indiana 20

    4* Navy 48 Temple 11

    4* Tenn 34 Vandy 19

    4* Houston 42 Memphis 22

    4* Boise St 47 Utah St 5

    4* Oklahoma 41 Baylor 12

    4* Ohio St (-7 or less) 23 Mich 9

    4* LSU 35 Miss 3

    4* BYU 44 New Mex 13

    4* Penn St 27 Mich St 6

    4* Maryland 13 Boston College 17

    4* Arizona St 26 UCLA 20

    4* Hawaii 46 San Jose 17

    phantom

    posted by phantom

    Nov. 17 2006 1:08am
  18. 0 likes

    North "FADE ME" Coast

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    underdog GOW cinny +7 over RUTGERS

    cinny 16-13

    phantom

    posted by phantom

    Nov. 17 2006 1:08am
  19. 0 likes

    Rotation #124 Wake Forest (+2) 2-Stars at -1 or better, 3-Stars at +3 or more.

    Rotation #134 Purdue (-10) 3-Stars at -12 or less, 2-Stars from -12 1/2 to -14.

    Rotation #147 Army (+31 1/2) 3-Stars at +30 or more, 2-Stars from +29 1/2 to +28.

    Rotation #166 Oregon (-13) 2-Stars at -14 points or less.

    Rotation #188 Boston College (-7) 2-Stars at -7 or less.

    Rotation #194 Louisiana Tech (+20) 2-Stars at +17 or more, 3-Stars at +21 or more.

    Strong Opinions/Possible Best Bets

    Rotation #111 Central Michigan (-3 1/2) Strong Opinion, 2-Star Best Bet at -3 or less (Friday game).

    Rotation #125 Duke (+26) Strong Opinion at +26 or more. 2-Star Best Bet at +28 or more.

    Rotation #130 Iowa State (+14 1/2) Strong Opinion at +14 or more. 2-Star Best Bet at +16 or more.

    Rotation #198 Arizona State (-4) Strong Opinion at -4 or less, 2-Star Best Bet at -3 or less.

    3 Star Selection

    ***PURDUE (-10.0) 41 Indiana 20

    09:00 AM Pacific, 18-Nov-06

    Purdue has not had the season that their fans anticipated, but the Boilermakers have been able to beat the teams that they are capable of beating, registering wins and spread wins against all 5 Big 10 teams they’ve faced that currently have losing records - Minnesota, Northwestern, Michigan State, and Illinois. I’ll look for that pattern to continue this week as the Boilermakers’ potent attack (6.3 yards per play against teams that would combine to allow 5.5 yppl to an average team) will score with ease against an Indiana defense that is 0.9 yppl worse than average (6.3 yppl allowed to teams that would average 5.4 yppl against an average defense) and is especially horrible defending the pass (8.1 yards per pass play allowed to teams that would average 6.3 yppp). Purdue has had their defensive issues this season (0.5 yppl worse than average), but Indiana is a mediocre offensive team that won’t be able to keep up with what their defense allows. Purdue is coming off consecutive road wins and they qualify in a very good 56-16 ATS home favorite momentum situation as well as a 93-41-4 ATS last home game angle. Indiana, meanwhile, is ready for the season to be over after getting whipped the last two weeks and the Hoosiers apply to a negative 33-75-2 ATS last game road team situation. My math model favors the Boilermakers by 14 points in this game and I’ll take Purdue in a 3- Star Best Bet at -12 points or less and for 2-Stars from -12 ½ to -14 points.

    3 Star Selection

    ***Army 13 NOTRE DAME (-31.5) 34

    11:30 AM Pacific, 18-Nov-06

    A lot of people find it surprising that Notre Dame has not won a game by more than 26 points in two seasons under coach Charlie Weis, especially given that they’ve been favored by 23 points or more 4 times and by 30 plus points twice. The Irish are 0-4 ATS as a favorite of more than 21 points under Weis and it will be impossible for him to get his team focused on this game with their date against USC coming next week. Notre Dame also isn’t good enough to be favored by this many points over a scrappy Army team hasn’t won many games under coach Bobby Ross (9-23 straight up) but doesn’t get blown out very often. Army is 7-3 ATS as an underdog of 14 points or more and they lost by just 4 points as a 27 point underdog to Texas A&M in their only such game this season. There are some general situations that favor Army to bounce back from their 7-43 loss at Air Force and they’ve had an extra week to prepare for this game. Army applies to a very good 88-21-2 ATS big road underdog bounce-back situation and that angle is 51-7-1 ATS if the opponent is on a win streak of 3 games or more – which assures that they are likely to be overlooking the big dog off a horrible performance. By the way, that 51-7-1 subset has won 35 consecutive times since 1995! My math model favors Notre Dame by just 26 ½ points. Army has been turning the ball over at a very high rate (3.2 turnovers per game), but Notre Dame doesn’t force too many turnovers and the math would favor the Irish by just 30 points if they are +2 in turnover margin instead of the +1.4 that my math model predicts. I took a horrible Stanford as a big dog against Notre Dame for an easy spread win earlier this season and I don’t see the Irish playing with full intensity in this game either (they’re just 1-7 ATS at home after consecutive wins under Weis). I’ll take Army in a 3-Star Best Bet at +30 points or more and for 2-Stars from +28 to +29 ½ points.

    2 Star Selection

    **BOSTON COLLEGE (-7.0) 32 Maryland 18

    09:00 AM Pacific, 18-Nov-06

    Maryland is the worst 2 loss team in the nation and the Eagles will help prove my point with an easy win in their home finale. The Terrapins are just barely better than average offensively, as they’ve averaged 5.3 yards per play with starting quarterback Sam Hollenbach on the field, against teams that would allow 5.2 yppl to an average team. Hollenbach and company will have trouble moving the ball against a solid Boston College defense that is good against both the run (4.1 yprp allowed to teams that would average 4.7 yprp) and the pass (5.2 yppp allowed to teams that would average 6.3 yppp). Overall the Eagles are 0.8 yppl better than average on defense, giving them a significant edge over Maryland’s attack. Boston College also has the advantage when they have the ball, as the Eagles have averaged 5.4 yppl with Matt Ryan at quarterback (he missed the Buffalo game) while facing teams that would allow 5.1 yppl to an average team. Maryland has given up 5.6 yppl this season to teams that would average just 5.2 yppl against an average defense, so they aren’t likely to slow down the Eagles’ offense in this game. Maryland does have great special teams, as they usually do every year, but Boston College is only 1.4 points worse in special teams and my math model favors the Eagles by 14 points in this game. BC has a very profitable 60% chance of covering at -7 points, based on the historical predictability of my math model, and I’ll take Boston College in a 2-Star Best Bet at -7 points or less while making the Eagles a strong opinion at -7 ½ or -8 points.

    2 Star Selection

    **OREGON (-13.0) 30 Arizona 9

    12:30 PM Pacific, 18-Nov-06

    Oregon has a habit of beating up on mediocre or bad teams at home, as evidenced by their 24-11 ATS mark when hosting a team with a win percentage of .500 or lower (9-0 ATS recently). The Ducks should be in a mood to kick some ass after getting whipped at USC last week and they apply to a solid 137-67-6 ATS blowout bounce-back situation. The best part of that angle doesn’t apply, but I don’t need much technical support to get on the side of the Ducks in this game against the suddenly overrated Wildcats. Arizona has upset Washington State and Cal in consecutive weeks, but they were out-gained in those two upsets by an average of 4.3 yards per play to 5.8 yppl – so they really aren’t playing any better than they have been all season. Arizona has been a bit better this season with Willie Tuitama at quarterback but his return coinciding with the two upset wins is just a fluke since the offense really hasn’t played that well (as noted above). For the season the Wildcats have averaged just 4.2 yppl against teams that would allow 5.2 yppl to an average team, and they’re still 0.9 yppl worse than average with Tuitama at quarterback. Tuitama will have no success throwing against an Oregon defense that ranks among the best in the nation, allowing just 4.4 yards per pass play this season to teams that would combine to average 6.6 yppp against an average team. Oregon is 0.3 yards per rushing play below average defensively, but Arizona is a horrible running team (just 3.5 yprp against teams that would allow 4.6 yprp) – so the Wildcats are not likely to take advantage of Oregon’s one minor defensive flaw. Arizona does have a solid defense (5.4 yppl allowed to teams that would combine to average 5.9 yppl against an average stop unit), but Oregon is 1.0 yppl better than average offensively and the Ducks have the advantage in that match-up. Overall my math model favors Oregon by 18 points in this game and the line would have been that high two weeks ago before Arizona pulled off two lucky upset wins while being out-gained by 1.5 yppl. I’ll take Oregon in a 2-Star Best Bet at -14 points or less.

    2 Star Selection

    **WAKE FOREST 20 Virginia Tech (-2.0) 12

    04:00 PM Pacific, 18-Nov-06

    There shouldn’t be much more doubt about Wake Forest being for real after last week’s resounding 30-0 victory at Florida State. The Demon Deacons have always played their best against good teams, as their mis-direction offense tends to level of playing field against athletically superior teams. It also tends to keep less talented teams close, which has made Wake Forest a bad bet against lesser teams. The underdogs is now 45-17-1 ATS in Wake Forest games since Jim Grobe took over as head coach, including 9-0 ATS this season. That is not the reason I’m playing Wake Forest this week, since they are not really much of an underdog. The reason for the play is 32-6-1 ATS situation that applies to Wake Forest that is based on last week’s shutout win. That situation is 18-1-2 ATS when applying to home teams and has a solid 59% chance of covering at a fair line. My math model favors Wake Forest by ½ a point and I’ll take Wake Forest in a 2-Star Best Bet at -1 or better and for 3-Stars at +3 or more.

    2 Star Selection

    **LOUISIANA TECH 23 Nevada (-20.0) 34

    05:00 PM Pacific, 18-Nov-06

    Nobody wants to be on a Louisiana Tech team that has allowed an average of 41.6 points per game, especially against a Nevada squad that has covered the spread in 8 consecutive games. However, those facts are the reason why Louisiana Tech is a good play this week. The Bulldogs apply to a 50-25-3 ATS big home underdog angle that plays on teams with a bad defense and Nevada is only 9-1 ATS this season because they are +1.2 per game in turnover margin, which isn’t likely to continue (my math model projects +0.4 in TO margin for the Wolf Pack today). What is hidden by Nevada’s great pointspread run is their horrible run defense (5.6 yards per rushing play allowed to teams that would average only 4.5 yprp against an average defense), and teams that allow 5.0 yprp or more are just 68-108-3 ATS as a road favorite of 10 points or more. The Wolf Pack apply to a very negative 21-65-1 ATS subset of that angle and Louisiana Tech has a freshman in Daniel Porter that has averaged 5.9 ypr since burning his red-shirt in game 4. In 7 games since Porter starting play the Bulldogs have averaged 5.2 yprp (against teams that would allow 4.8 yprp to an average team) and my math model projects 6.3 yprp for Louisiana Tech in this game. Nevada does have an excellent pass defense, but Bulldogs’ quarterback Zac Champion is a decent passer (6.0 yards per pass play against teams that would allow 6.4 yppp to an average quarterback). Louisiana Tech’s offense should move the ball well enough to score enough points to cover the big number in this game, especially given that the technical analysis is in their favor. Louisiana Tech also tends to play better at home, as they are 20-36-1 ATS under coach Jack Bicknell away from home and 17-14 ATS at home, including 9-3 ATS following a game in which they lost straight up and to the pointspread. My math model favors Louisiana Tech by just 12 ½ points and they’d be favored by just 17 points if they were their typical +1.2 in turnover margin. So, there is line value even if Nevada continues to get lucky with the turnovers, and I’ll take Louisiana Tech in a 2-Star Best Bet at +17 points or more and for 3-Stars at +21 points or more.

    Friday Strong Opinion

    Central Mich (-3.5) 31 NORTHERN ILL 21

    05:05 PM Pacific, 17-Nov-06

    I expected Northern Illinois to be very good running the ball again this season with Garrett Wolfe returning for his senior season and the Huskies were the best running team in the nation their first 6 games (7.7 yards per rushing play). However, opponents have stacked the line and Wolfe has been bothered by a sore hamstring and the Huskies have averaged a pathetic 62 rushing yards at 2.5 yprp in their last 4 games and teams will continue to put 8 or 9 guys in the box to stop the run until the Huskies prove that they can beat you with the pass. Quarterback Phil Horvath is a decent passer, but he’s actually gotten worse the last 4 games too, which doesn’t make a lot of sense since there are less defenders focused on the pass. Northern Illinois is still an average offensive team for the season (6.0 yards per play against teams that would allow 6.0 yppl to an average team), but the Huskies have averaged just 4.4 yppl in their last 4 games against teams that would combine to allow 5.8 yppl to an average attack. Northern Illinois has averaged 3.9 yppl or less in 3 of those 4 games with the exception being against a horrible Temple defense, and Central Michigan has one of the best defensive units in the MAC and the rate a bit better than average defensively on a national scale (4.9 yppl allowed to teams that would average 5.0 yppl). Central Michigan is also 0.1 yppl better than average offensively and they should move the ball very well against a bad Northern Illinois defense that’s allowed 5.8 yppl this season to teams that would average 4.9 yppl against an average defensive unit. Overall, my math model favors Central Michigan by 3 ½ points, which is right where the line has settled, but that number would be higher if Northern Illinois continues to play at the much lower offensive level that they’ve played at recently. Northern Illinois’ upset home loss to Toledo last Tuesday is not a good omen for the Huskies today, as that loss set them up in a very negative 12-51 ATS situation. The Chippewas are unbeaten in MAC play and they should stay that way. I’ll consider Central Michigan a Strong Opinion if they remain favored by more than 3 points, but I’ll Upgrade Central Michigan to a 2-Star Best Bet at -3 points or less.

    Strong Opinion

    Duke 10 GEORGIA TECH (-26.0) 31

    10:30 AM Pacific, 18-Nov-06

    Georgia Tech doesn’t have a good enough offense to be such a big favorite, as the Yellow Jackets have averaged just 5.1 yards per play with starting quarterback Reggie Ball in the game (against teams that would allow 5.5 yppl to an average team). Duke has a porous defense, but my math model only projects 5.8 yppl and 31 points for Georgia Tech in this game – which will make it tough to cover a nearly 4 touchdown spread. Georgia Tech does have a good defense (4.5 yppl allowed to teams that would average 5.1 yppl against an average stop unit), but my math model projects the Dukies with 11 points and favors the Yellow Jackets by just 20 ½ points. Georgia Tech is only 3-10-1 ATS as a double-digit favorite under coach Chan Gailey and the Yellow Jackets are only 12-20-1 ATS after a victory in his tenure (1-8-1 ATS as a favorite of 10 points or more). With their rivalry game with Georgia coming up next week I just don’t see Georgia Tech being fully focused on Duke. I’ll consider Duke a Strong Opinion at +26 points or more and I’ll make Duke a 2-Star Best Bet at +28 points or more.

    Strong Opinion

    IOWA ST. 21 Missouri (-14.5) 30

    11:00 AM Pacific, 18-Nov-06

    Iowa State is 0-6 straight up and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games and head coach Dan McCarthy will be coaching his last game in Ames after 12 years on the job. I expect the Cyclones to rally for their departing coach and underperforming teams can be good plays in their finale at home. In fact, Iowa State applies to a solid 34-10-2 ATS bounce-back situation that plays on big home underdogs in their final game that have been struggling. Missouri, meanwhile, applies to a negative 15-47 ATS late season off a bye angle and the Tigers are not as good defensively without star defensive end Brian Smith (their all time sack leader), who has missed the last 3 games and is out for the rest of the season. My math model favors Missouri by just 10 ½ points, but Iowa State has been allowing more points defensively than their stats would dictate since they have been horrible in 3rd down defense. If I adjust for that then I get a fair line of Missouri by 14 points. So, the line is at least fair and the situations favor Iowa State. I’ll consider Iowa State a Strong Opinion at +14 points or more and as a 2-Star Best Bet at +16 points or more.

    Strong Opinion

    ARIZONA ST. (-4.0) 27 UCLA 17

    07:15 PM Pacific, 18-Nov-06

    Both of these teams are coming off good wins last week, but Arizona State is in a better position to play well again. The Sun Devils apply to a solid 89-47-4 ATS last home game situation and they’ve been better at home under coach Koetter (21-14 ATS) than they’ve been on the road (11-19 ATS). My math model favors Arizona State by just 3 ½ points and the situation isn’t strong enough to make the Sun Devils a Best Bet without some line value. I’ll consider Arizona State a Strong Opinion at -4 or -3 ½ points and I’d take Arizona State in a 2-Star Best Bet at -3 points or less.

    phantom

    posted by phantom

    Nov. 17 2006 1:09am
  20. 0 likes

    Greg Roberts:

    YOUR 8* MVP PLAY OF THE YEAR IS:

    CINCINNATI +7 VS. RUTGERS

    The Scarlet Knights will come into this one all full of themselves after the biggest win in their history last Thursday against Louisville. They are also looking toward a possible showdown with West Virginia in 2 weeks. But pride cometh before the fall and they catch a fully capable Bearcat squad ready to exploit them. Cincinnati has been a tough customer at Nippert Field going 4-1 both straight up and against the spread here this year. Their defense is allowing a miniscule 65 yards per game rushing - a key ingredient to stopping Rutgers as the Scarlet Knights can't throw it ranking 113th in passing offense. Rutgers has failed to cover 4 straight on the road and the Bearcats will come with special emotion after a 44-9 thumping last year and the fact that they get a rare Saturday evening appearance on national TV.

    YOUR 8* MVP PLAY OF THE YEAR IS:

    CINCINNATI BEARCATS +7

    phantom

    posted by phantom

    Nov. 17 2006 1:09am
  21. 0 likes

    Greg Roberts:

    YOUR 6* HI-ROLLER FOOTBALL SELECTION IS:

    TEXAS TECH -6 VS. OKLAHOMA ST.

    The Red Raiders play their final home game this week looking to avenge last year's 24-17 defeat at the hands of the Cowboys. The Red Raiders have owned this series covering 10 of the last 12 games and are a resilient bunch as well covering 17 of the lat 23 games off a loss. Texas Tech has the vastly superior defense in this one having held 5 opponents this year to season lows in yardage. With Texas Tech outgaining foes by an average of 270 yards per game in Lubbock and Oklahoma St. at 1-6 against the spread vs. .500 or better competition on the road look for the Red Raiders to exact their revenge.

    YOUR 6* HI-ROLLER FOOTBALL SELECTION IS:

    TEXAS TECH RED RAIDERS -6

    phantom

    posted by phantom

    Nov. 17 2006 1:09am
  22. 0 likes

    Greg Roberts

    from another site...

    THE ROAST OF THE WEEK

    BYU OVER NEW MEXICO BY 40

    Well the roast has been quite a feature this year stuffing our wallets in 10 of the 11 weeks. With a fat wallet and a big belly we'll go right back to the buffet table with one of the best roasters of all this year - the Stormin' Mormon of BYU. The Cougars have not failed to cover this year and going back to last season has now grabbed the cash in 14 of it's last 15 games. They've won every home game this year by more than 25 so forget about howling with the Lobos and join this Mormon on a mission.

    BYU - 54 NEW MEXICO - 14

    phantom

    posted by phantom

    Nov. 17 2006 1:10am
  23. 0 likes

    Rockys Over/Unders

    Week Ending November 18

    Purdue - Indiana Under 58

    Navy - Temple Over 55

    Texas Tech - Oklahoma State Over 68

    Baylor - Oklahoma Over 53

    Michigan - Ohio State Under 41

    Stanford - Oregon State Under 40.5

    phantom

    posted by phantom

    Nov. 17 2006 1:10am
  24. 0 likes

    Special K Sports Full College Football Ticket

    15* West Virginia

    15* Louisville

    20* Super K Game Of The Week - Michigan

    phantom

    posted by phantom

    Nov. 17 2006 1:11am
  25. 0 likes

    Larry Ness 5 Game Bonanza all 10*

    Boston College

    Tennessee

    Texas Tech

    Virginia Tech

    California

    phantom

    posted by phantom

    Nov. 18 2006 1:14am
  26. 0 likes

    12* COLLEGE GAME OF THE YEAR: ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE +3

    The Crimson Tide comes into this one chomping at the bit to erase 4 years of Auburn dominance and are in much better current form than the overrated Tigers. Auburn has failed to cover 7 straight as a favorite and come a demoralized side here after all of their preseason aspirations were lost in a 37-15 thrashing at the hands of the Georgia Bulldogs at home last week. The Tide meanwhile rang up over 400 years of total offense in Baton Rouge against the 2nd ranked defense in the nation. Now the Tide fully believes they can win this game and will come with extra emotion as Auburn head coach Tommy Tuberville has taunted Alabama players and fans by wearing a T-shirt that stated 'Feat the Thumb', a reference to what would be Auburn's 5th straight victory in the series. Look for Alabama to shutdown Auburn's run game and dare an immobile banged up Brandon Cox to win the game through the air. Don't look for that to happen as the young Tiger wide receivers have had trouble getting open all season and without the threat of Cox running, opposing defenses have teed off on the Auburn offensive line. Against the 5 top teams on it's schedule Auburn went 3-2 but upon closer examination they trailed those teams by 22 first downs and 531 yards and could have easily gone 0-5 and that doesn't count a 23-17 narrow escape at Ole Miss. WR's D.J. Hall and Keith Brown should also find plenty of room behind a suspect banged up Auburn secondary that was riddled by true freshman Matthew Stafford last week. With the Tide only allowing 15.9 points per game at home in Shula's career look for the clock to strike midnight on Cinderella as 'Bama wins going away.

    YOUR 12* COLLEGE GAME OF THE YEAR: ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE +3

    phantom

    posted by phantom

    Nov. 18 2006 1:15am
  27. 0 likes

    Nationwide (goldsheet):

    Super 7: Penn St, Top: Md, Reg: Idaho, Ucla, Haw

    phantom

    posted by phantom

    Nov. 18 2006 1:15am
  28. 0 likes

    Gameday:

    4* Louisville

    DOC'S ENTERPRISES:

    6*Texas Tech,

    5*MICH,

    4*PUR OVER, MISS ST, PENN ST, Cincinati, Kansas

    phantom

    posted by phantom

    Nov. 18 2006 1:15am
  29. 0 likes

    Larry Ness' Game of the Century Winner

    This year's "Game of the Century" (at least until Jan 8!) is Saturday's Michigan/Ohio State contest. I won't bore you with breaking down each team's strengths and weaknesses, as they are familiar to all. I'm playing Ohio State for a number of reasons. First and foremost is Troy Smith. The likely Heisman winner has made a career out of his first two games with Michigan, completing 66.7% of his passes (3 TDPs / 0 INTs) for 541 yards plus rushing for 182 yards (6.3 YPC) with two TDs. That's 361.5 YPG in total offense! Smith has led the Buckeyes to 18 straight wins (16-2 ATS) and is 9-1 in his career vs ranked teams. Since losing to Texas in Columbus LY, the Buckeyes have won 11 straight at home (10-1 ATS), failing to cover against only Bowling Green (won 35-7 as 35 1/2-point favorites). Smith is completing 66.4% of his passes TY, averaging 199.2 YPG with 26 TDPs and just four INTs. While Henne is a very good QB, his numbers are not that prolific and he surely hasn't matched Smith's big game performances. While Mike Hart is an outstanding runner, Pittman may be just as good (has sat out most 4th quarters and has been spelled by freshman Wells, who has over 500 YR and averages 5.3 YPC). In Hart's two games vs Ohio St, he's gained just 76 yards on 27 carries, or 2.8 YPC. Also, the Michigan offense has NEVER been the same since Manningham went out after the Michigan State game. He returned early to get ready for this game but it's really hard to believe he's the "old" Manningham, who was the nation's most prolific WR. While Michigan's D is great, especially against the run (29.9 / 1.3 YPC / 40 sacks), it's Ohio State's D (had to replace nine starters) that leads the nation allowing just 7.8 PPG! OSU's rush D allows 90.2 YPG (3.2) and its pass D has allowed just six TDPs and has 21 INTs (D has 27 takeaways). Tressel has gone 4-1 SU and ATS vs Michigan since taking over at Ohio State and his team is on the verge of a wire-to-wire national championship. While I don anticipate a blowout, I do expect a easier than expected Ohio State win. 15* Ohio State.

    phantom

    posted by phantom

    Nov. 18 2006 1:16am
  30. 0 likes

    W Root and Co.

    Best Bets

    W Root California+ over USC.

    Big Al Washington + over TB.

    R Mayer 49s + over Seattle.

    C Chirimbes V Tech- over W Forest.

    phantom

    posted by phantom

    Nov. 18 2006 1:16am
  31. 0 likes

    Jim Feist and Co.

    Contest Selections

    (Games of 11/18 to 11/20)

    Jim Feist's Contest Selections :

    Colts/Cowboys OVER, Mississippi State

    Dave Cokin's Contest Selections :

    Boston College, UL Lafayette

    Bob Donahue's Contest Selections :

    Alabama, Oregon State

    Scott Spreitzer's Contest Selections :

    Boston College, Mississpppi

    phantom

    posted by phantom

    Nov. 18 2006 1:16am
  32. 0 likes

    Lucky Lester's College Football Picks Week 12

    Perfection…. Do I hear you lifting your beautiful head? I like these picks this week, so much so that I found if very difficult to differentiate between my Top 5 and the rest. So, stay tuned, see if I find a big winner on my hands at weeks end.

    TOP 5 Bets

    1. Iowa Hawkeyes

    2. Maryland Terrapins

    3. Duke Blue Devils

    4. Oregon State

    5. Wake Forest

    West Virginia Mountaineers (-11) @ Pittsburgh Panthers: I'm sick and tired of losing Thursday Night games, but with Pitt hosting the Mounties, I think this is my time to shine. WV killed Pitt last year, and generally, that Panthers suck towards the end of the season. Offensively, Pitt doesn't, and won't have a clue how to stop the Mounties, which should prove entertaining if you like 4 game losing streaks by Pittsburgh.

    Maryland Terrapins (+7.5) @ Boston College Eagles: I actually like the Terps to pull this one out in Boston. Maryland fought through a tough emotional rollercoaster game last week against the Hurricanes, so this week should be a relief if anything. I like the Terps to win the ACC, is that crazy?

    Iowa Hawkeyes (+3) @ Minnesota Golden Gophers: Last week Iowa fell in a close battle with the Wisconsin Badgers, but if you are expecting a let down game, good luck. Drew Tate didn't play that well, and he'll be out to prove he's still go it, like Uncle Ricco. Expect him to have it, very unlike Uncle Ricco.

    Duke Blue Devils (+1) @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets: Duke is 0-10, and this won't make them 1-10, but I imagine they'll be ready to play their 2nd to last game of the year. That and the fact that they've only lost 2 games by more than 25 points, and Georgia Tech has only 1 win by more than 25, makes me take the freaking Blue Devils. Finally, I found a line I like with Duke. We'll see how this works out.

    Oklahoma Sooners (-19.5) @ Baylor Bears: The Bears haven't played a team on Oklahoma's level since they got pasted by Texas 21-63. Last week against OK State, the Bears allowed 66 to their 24. I'm not trying to pull the this team beat this team by this many so this team will win by this…. But I know the Sooners, and they can shut down a poor team with ease. They can also put up some mean points, (5 times over 30), so expect an easy cover by the Sooners.

    Arkansas Razorbacks @ Mississippi State Bulldogs (+14.5): I love what the Razorbacks have done, but I have to take the points and the home team in this match up. The Bulldogs have played pretty well all season, and while the Razorbacks have dominated most of their games, coming down to the wire with only 1 loss often manages to tense up players. The Bulldogs will put up a fight.

    Michigan Wolverines @ Ohio State Buckeyes (-6.5): The game is in Ohio, the Buckeyes are the better team, and Troy Smith is a tougher and better quarterback than Henne. Oh, and Tressell is the better coach. I guess I'll take the Buckeyes, and god help us not to see a rematch for the National Championship!

    Buffalo Bulls (+38.5) @ Wisconsin Badgers: The Bulls have lost by more than 38 points once this year. They won't play close with the Badgers, but with a 38 point lead to start the game, sure, I'll take the Bulls, no problem. With Michael Jordan, that team was unstoppable!

    Oregon State Beavers (-14) @ Stanford Cardinal: Home field advantage is a pile of brown smelly lies in the PAC 10. Stanford may have fooled you into believing they are a real football team, ala that long nosed kid and being a real boy, but don't fall under the trap. The Beavers screwed it up last week just so the line would shrink on this game. Take the sure thing cover and win from the Beave in this one.

    Auburn Tigers (-3) @ Alabama Crimson Tide: Kenny Irons has to get on track, the Tigers defense has to step up their game, and Brandon Cox must stop his turnover baking. My guess, if one of those things happen, Auburn throttles Alabama. Auburn is too good to blow it for the 2nd week in a row.

    Virginia Tech Hokies @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons (+2): Sure, Tech has a nice record, 8-2, and they've won 4 straight, but lets really get into their season. They've played 3 tough teams, (Miami doesn't count - Clemson, Boston College, and Georgia Tech) and are 1-2 in those games. Wake Forest is very good, they are playing at home, and remain a damn underdog besides beating every team on their schedule sans Clemson. That's got to piss off some Deacons. And so they'll say, "Basketball school our nuts!"

    phantom

    posted by phantom

    Nov. 18 2006 1:16am
  33. 0 likes

    linemover +1.35 units for football

    730 South Fla +17

    12 Minnesota -2.5 -115

    12 Minn/iowa Ov 52'

    1230 Vandy +7'

    230 Miss St +14'

    330 Ohio St -6.5 -114

    330 Auburn -3

    7 Virginia Tech -1'

    8 Mississippi +27

    11 San Jose St +24'

    11 Sjs/hawaii Ov 73

    ------------------------------------

    trace fields:

    DUKE +26.5

    136 NORTH CAROLINA +4 NC STATE

    130 IOWA STATE +14.5 MISSOURI

    164 ALABAMA +3 AUBURN

    196 USC -6 CALIFORNIA

    182 PENN STATE -17 MICHIGAN STATE

    168 BYU -26.5 NEW MEXICO

    ---------------------------------------------------------

    His radio show plays dave cokin 15-17-1

    119 Connecticut +3

    The number here came right where I thought it would, which is fine with me. I make UConn the better team presently and expect them to garner the road win. The Huskies have shown some real improvement down the stretch, and I like the poise being shown by QB Hernandez. UConn is 4-5 and has a legit shot to get bowl eligible if they can win this game, as they get to host Cincinnati next week before having to go to Louisville to wrap up the regular season. Obviously, they have to win this game to maintain hopes of scraping out a minor bowl invite. The UConn running game is clicking pretty well and should find some holes to run through here. I very much like the idea of taking even small points against a bad Syracuse team. The Orange were once 3-2, but that was pretty phony to begin with. Once they lost Taj Smith to injury the offense was left without a game breaker to stretch defenses and the 'Cuse offense has done next to nothing for the last several weeks. I LOVE taking points against teams that can't run or stop the run. Over the last five games, Syracuse has averaged 66 yards rushing while allowing 243. Teams with those numbers make awful chalk, and I'm taking UConn here.

    182 Penn State -17

    Shortest writeup of the season. Michigan State has completely quit, has a lame duck coach and I see no reason they suddenly get excited and step up with a big effort on the road in their finale. Penn State has two shutouts the last three weeks, and could toss another one here. Penn State has outscored the Spartans 191-71 in the last four meetings between these two at State College. The Nittany Lions are 7-4 but the four defeats are to teams with a combined two losses! I can't see anything but a blowout here.

    192 So Mississippi -13

    Eagles are back home after laying out Tulane 31-3, yet they really didn't play all that well in the game. Lots of penalties, red zone screwups, etc. But the defense was very solid, and USM still has a chance to play for the conference title. They need to win out and hope ECU loses to Rice. Obviously, they have no control over the latter end of that equation, but USM is 5-5 and wins over UAB and Marshall would at least get them into position to go bowling. Regardless, I'd be leery of laying a big spot with this team as they aren't especially good....but I have little fear of playing against UAB at this point. The Blazers have lost a ton of tough games this season, but were hanging in and showing great effort until this past week. I saw a team that appeared to toss in the towel in the fourth quarter vs. UTEP after they fell behind and with two road games remaining on their slate they could be ready to get drilled. Watson Brown is no better than 50/50 to keep his job, they're very dinged up, and I believe UAB is now mentally beat up even more. So this is probably more of a play vs. UAB than it is a play on USM, but the bottom line still reads the same regardless. I'm laying the points.

    ---------------------------------------------------------------

    Marc Lawrence 100% Perfect CFB Super Pick Super Play! - Saturday 11/18:

    Play On: Connecticut

    Note: Huskies need two wins in their final three games to become bowl eligible. They are home next week against Cincinnati and at Louisville the final week of the season. Thus, today's game becomes mandatory to their chances. With Syracuse mathematically eliminated once again this season from bowl eligibility we feel this is an excellent spot for UConn. They are 6-0 ATS away versus .333 or less opposition and 13-2 ATS against opponents that won 3 or less games the previous year. They also own the better offense and the better defense. Take Connecticut here.

    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Gold Sheet Late Phones for Saturday

    CONFIRMED!!

    2* SuperPower (I think they are 1-3 or 1-4 this year on SP Plays) Penn St

    1.5* Maryland

    1* Idaho

    1* UCLA

    1* Hawaii

    --------------------------------------------------------

    Kelso's 50 unit Calif GOY

    ------------------------------------------------------------

    Ron Meyer

    California--Dallas Sportsmen

    Houston--Playbook

    Michigan--Live Dog

    $500 play Kansas--Locker Room Report

    Vanderbilt--Coach's Consensus

    ---------------------------------------------------------------------

    Pure Profit

    Florida State--Back Room Play

    Middle Tennessee State--Diamond

    $500 Play Missouri--Power Play

    Maryland--High Rollers

    USC--Money Move

    Ohio State--Consensus

    ------------------------------------------------------------

    Wayne Root

    Virginia Tech--Insider's Circle

    California--Source

    $500 play Cincinnati--No Limit

    Air Force--Money Maker

    Kansas--Millionaire

    ------------------------------------------------------

    Al McMordie

    South Florida--3*

    Minnesota--3*

    Washington--3*

    Oregon--3* (Favorite GOY)

    Kansas--3* (Big 12 GOY)

    Michigan--3*

    Cincinnati--3* (GOM)

    Virginia--Opinion

    phantom

    posted by phantom

    Nov. 18 2006 1:17am
  34. 0 likes

    Big Al

    Cincinnati--3* (GOM)

    Kansas--3* (Big 12 GOY)

    Oregon--3* (Favorite GOY)

    South Florida--3*

    Minnesota--3*

    Washington--3*

    Michigan--3*

    Cincinnati--3* (GOM)

    Virginia--Opinion

    phantom

    posted by phantom

    Nov. 18 2006 1:17am
  35. 0 likes

    Larry Ness' 20* Big East GOY

    Is it Rutgers turn to go down? West Va lost at Louisville and then, despite opening a 25-7 lead against a team it beat 56-5 the year before, Louisville lost at Rutgers. Now Rutgers takes its highest ranking in school history plus an outside chance at the BCS title game to Cincy to meet the Bearcats, a team it beat 44-9 LY. Don't pay attention to Cincy's loss last week at West Va, as they were in a terrible spot with the Mountaineers fresh off the Louisville loss. Do however, pay attention to how well the Bearcats have played at home TY, plus their two excellent efforts at Columbus and Blacksburg (led Va Tech in the 4th quarter!). Cincy is 5-1 at home and has allowed a total of just 33 points in their last four home games. Forget the West Va game and you'll see the team's rush D went the previous five games allowing just 330 YR (allowed 313 vs West Va!) on 128 attempts. That's an average of just 66 YPG and 2.6 YPC. Rutgers is all run (187.8 YPG / 4.7 YPC) and no pass. QB Teel has done little all season (was just 8-of-21 in the Louisville game) and it should be noted in Rutgers only two previous Big East road games TY, Teel has thrown for a total of just 172 yards with one TDP and two INTs. Rutgers' D is great (4th in PPG and YPG allowed) but look at its road games this year. Except for the 34-0 win at Navy (Navy's QB went down in the 1st Q!), the Scarlet Knights have won by five at 1-9 North Carolina by two at USF (failed two-pointer would have sent the game to OT) and 20-10 at Pitt, a team that's now lost four straight. It's "let-down city" on Saturday for Rutgers in the Queen City! Big East GOY 20* Cincinnati

    phantom

    posted by phantom

    Nov. 18 2006 1:19am
  36. 0 likes

    Dr. Bob:

    2*pur, Ore, La Tech,

    Op: Wf, Army, Bc

    phantom

    posted by phantom

    Nov. 18 2006 1:19am
  37. 0 likes

    Kojak's Selections for Week Ending 11/18

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ytd 81-81-3

    Finally climbed to .500 lw with a 12-8-1 week. This week hope to finally climb over .500 after very tough start to the year.

    5*

    Pittsburgh +11....Pitt has struggled last couple of weeks vs South Florida and UConn but throw everything out the door when arch rival West Virginia comes to town. Pitt still looking to become bowl eligible and move up in bowl pecking order. Palko should be able to exploit WV secondary similar to Brohm did for Louisville. Slaton and White will do their thing but expect this game to be a much closer game than experts are predicting. WV wins but in a tight one.

    West Virginia 30 Pittsburgh 27

    3* South Florida +16.5....I fully expect Louisville to win this game but don't feel they will blow out a game Bulls team who is hitting their stride. I really feel Bulls match up well with Cards as witnessed by ly. Cards will be looking for revenge but will realize the Bulls were better than a one game wonder as they play them tough to the end.

    Louisville 27 South Florida 17

    3*

    Cincinnati +7-115.....Bearcats are a lot better than people realize. Rutgers is in unchartered waters and feel a letdown is in order here. Cinci has played nearly every team tough on their schedule. Their record is deceiving as Knights will find out. Look for a last second fg for Rutgers to pull it out.

    Rutgers 22 Cincinnati 21

    3*

    Wake Forest +1.....The Demon Deacons keep getting no respect from oddmakers but keep churning out the wins. VA Tech is nothing special like Miami and FSU this year but have had easier schedule. Wake Forest stays on track for showdown with Maryland as they win easier than expected once again.

    Wake Forest 24 Va Tech 13

    5* Northwestern +2.5.....Illinois once again getting too much respect and Northwestern not getting enough. Cats have owned this series and rarely play 2 bad games in a row at home. Illini has been to prone and should be on alert vs fired up Cats team reeling from blowout to Buckeyes. NW wins this game for Coach Pat su.

    Northwestern 31 Illinois 21

    5* Minnesota -3....Gophers need win here to surprisingly become bowl eligible. Iowa is simply too beat up right now to field competitive team. Gophers did not expect to be in this position a month ago but thanks to playing a MSU team that has quit ,IU who came in overconfident, and surviving vs SD St. here they are. Cupito and company will make more than enough plays to win and go bowling.

    Minnesota 23 Iowa 10

    1* UNLV +10.5...Wyoming got blown away lw vs BYU and go back on the road vs young Rebels team. I don't think Cowboys are very good and feel UNLV have chance for upset here. Cowboys win but a close one.

    Wyoming 20 UNLV 17

    5* Kansas -2....Everybody will jump on K.State this week after great performance but there is a big hangover that comes with it. Jayhawks will bring their Manhattan neighbors down to earth this week as KU trying to become bowl eligible. Mangino will have all the answers on both sides of the ball.

    Kansas 26 K State 14

    1* Maryland +7...Terps have not lost or won a game in ACC by more or less than 7 pts. So this seems to be great line to take dog who plays close games. Look for a defensive struggle with BC prevailing but close.

    BC 19 Maryland 16

    1* Michigan St. +17.5...Too many points here for Penn St. Spartans who have played hard in defeat last two weeks give John L. Smith a going away present. Another close loss vs Penn St.

    Penn State 27 Michigan St. 20

    3* Hawaii -25....No disrespect to San Jose St but Hawaii is just too much on both sides of the ball in another rout for the home team. Hawaii is playing as well as anyone in the country right now and would probably beat both Boise and Alabama if they played now.

    Hawaii 58 San Jose St. 24

    Last but not least the Big Game in the Horseshoe....

    10* Michigan +7 (bought .5 pt).....Michigan has the athetic ability and cohesiveness to keep Buckeyes in check on offense. They also have the weapons on offense to make the big plays necessary as well as ball control and play keep away vs Buckeyes. Henne and Hart have played second fiddle to Smith and Ginn all year. Saturday they won't as Michigan pulls the big upset in the Horseshoe.

    Michigan 21 Ohio State 19

    Total Card:

    10*

    Michigan +7 (bought .5 pt)

    5*

    Pittsburgh +11

    Kansas -2

    Minnesota -3

    Northwestern +2.5

    3*

    Hawaii -25

    South Florida +16.6

    Wake Forest +1

    Cincinnati +7-115

    1*

    UNLV +10.5

    Maryland +7

    Michigan St. +17.5

    BOL

    phantom

    posted by phantom

    Nov. 18 2006 1:21am
  38. 0 likes

    Adding....

    3* SMU +6.5....Ponies need win here to become bowl eligible vs Tulsa team that struggles on the road. I think they get the job done to provide a really nice cinderella story down in Dallas for a team that fought back from the death penalty.

    5*

    Middle Tennessee St. +15.5...Middle Tennessee St. is the class of the Sunbelt going to South Carolina. South Carolina has a classic sandwich game here as they just went to Florida and lost a heartbreaker to his former team and have arch rival Clemson next week. MTSU is live here as they proved they are no slouch vs Louisville who is a lot better than Gamecocks. I look for a game decided by a fg here.

    3*

    Troy -8....Arkansas St. has quit as witnessed vs MTSU lw. I really like Troy in this situation to step up and beat Ark St. by 2 td's +.

    1*

    Mississippi St. +14.5.....Bulldogs have been steadily improving as season has gone on as they played a tight game at Georgia and upset Alabama. Arkansas clearly is the better team but think they let down here as Miss St. is pretty physical vs the run. Look for a tighter game here then most expect but Hogs win.

    phantom

    posted by phantom

    Nov. 18 2006 1:22am
  39. 0 likes

    MR NEWLYWED

    10 CFB PLAYS For SATURDAY

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    8 UNITS

    CINCI +7

    MIZZU -13.5

    HOUSTON -16.5

    6 UNITS

    OKLAHOMA -20

    OREGON -14

    KANSAS -2.5

    5 UNITS

    UCONN +2

    MICH +7

    BAMA +3

    MISS STATE +14

    phantom

    posted by phantom

    Nov. 18 2006 1:24am
  40. 0 likes

    SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 18TH

    Michigan (2) at Ohio State (1) - Michigan is 11-0 SU, but just 6-4-1 ATS this season, and has gone UNDER the total in seven of its L8 games. The Wolverines are 4-0 SU and ATS on the road this year and are a perfect 7-0 SU and ATS in their L7 on the road. Ohio State is 18-0 SU and 16-2 ATS in its L18 contests. Ten of its L12 games have gone UNDER the total. The Buckeyes under Coach Jim Tressel are 4-1 SU and ATS vs. Michigan. The home team in this series is 15-8-1 ATS the last 24 meetings.

    California (17) at USC (4) - Cal is 8-2 SU and 5-4 ATS. The Bears are 2-2 SU and ATS on the road and have gone UNDER the total in three straight road games. They are 7-3-1 ATS in their L11 games as a Pac 10 away underdog. Cal is 5-6 SU and 8-3 ATS the last 11 meetings with USC. The Trojans are 8-1 SU, but 4-5 ATS this year. However, they have covered their last two. USC has gone UNDER the total in four of its last five. The home team in this series is 2-8 ATS the last 10 match-ups.

    Arkansas (5) at Mississippi State - The Razorbacks are 9-1 SU and 5-4 ATS and have gone OVER the total in five of their last seven games. They are 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS on the road in '06 and have covered six of their last seven on the road going back to last season. Arkansas is 0-5 ATS the last five games when favored on the road by more than a TD. Miss State is 3-7 SU and 5-5 ATS this year and has gone OVER the total in five straight. The Bulldogs are 1-5 SU and 0-5 ATS at home on the season. The underdog is 11-3 ATS all-time in this series.

    Army at Notre Dame (6) - Army is 3-7 SU and 2-7 ATS and has gone OVER the total in six of its last seven. The Black Knights are 1-3 SU and ATS on the road and are 2-5 ATS in their L7 as 20 or more point underdogs. They have covered the last two meetings with Notre Dame. The Irish are 9-1 SU and 3-6-1 ATS on the year. They are 5-1 SU, but 1-5 ATS at home. Notre Dame is 0-4 ATS its L4 games as a 20+ point favorite. The Irish are 4-11-1 ATS in their L15 home finales.

    Rutgers (7) at Cincinnati - Rutgers is 9-0 SU and 5-2-1 ATS and has gone UNDER the total in three of its L4. The Scarlet Knights are 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS on the road. They are 2-8-1 ATS in their L11 November road games. Cincinnati is 5-5 SU and 5-3-1 ATS this season, going UNDER the total in seven of its L8. The Bearcats are 5-1 SU and 3-1-1 ATS at home and are 8-4-1 ATS in their L13 home finales. They are 1-4-1 SU, but 4-2 ATS in their last six games vs. Rutgers.

    Ole Miss at LSU (9) - The Rebels are 3-7 SU and 4-5 ATS and have gone OVER the total in three straight games. They are 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS on the road this year and 1-8 SU and 3-6 ATS the last two years away from home. Ole Miss is 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS in its L6 games after a bye. The Rebels are 7-2 ATS the L9 meetings with LSU. The Tigers are 8-2 SU and 5-5 ATS this season and are 7-0 SU and 5-2 ATS at home. The favorite is just 2-7 ATS the L9 match-ups in this series.

    South Florida at Louisville (10) - The Bulls are 7-3 SU and 6-3 ATS and have gone UNDER the total in their L3 games. They are 2-2 SU and ATS on the road this season. The road team is 0-3 SU and ATS all-time in this series. Louisville is 8-1 SU and 5-4 ATS this season. The Cardinals are 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS at home and 15-0 SU and 13-2 ATS the last two years at Papa John's Stadium. South Florida upset Louisville last season in Tampa, 45-14.

    Buffalo at Wisconsin (12) - Buffalo is 2-8 SU, but 6-3-1 ATS and has gone OVER the total in four of its L6. The Bulls are 0-6 SU and 4-2 ATS on the road in '06. They are 5-2 ATS in their L7 when getting three TDs or more. Wisconsin is 10-1 SU and 8-1-1 ATS this season. The Badgers are 6-0 SU and 4-1 ATS at home and have gone OVER the total in three of their L4. They are 3-4 ATS the L7 games as a three TD or more favorite. Wisconsin is 12-3 ATS in its L15 home finales.

    Utah State at Boise State (13) - The Aggies are 1-9 SU and 3-6 ATS, failing to cover their last three. They are 0-6 SU and 2-4 ATS on the road and have gone UNDER the total in five of the six games. Utah State is 2-6 SU and 1-7 ATS the L9 meetings with Boise State. The Broncos are 10-0 SU and 4-5 ATS on the year and have gone OVER the total in four of their L5. They have not lost a home game since 2001 and are 10-2 ATS in their L12 on the Blue Turf. Boise is 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS in its last eight home finales.

    Virginia Tech (19) at Wake Forest (14) - V-Tech is 8-2 SU and 5-4 ATS and has gone UNDER the total in its L3 games. The Hokies are 2-1 SU and ATS on the road and are 8-1 ATS in their L9 road games. They are 7-3 SU and 6-4 ATS in the L10 meetings with Wake. Virginia Tech is 3-1 ATS in its L4 road finales. The Demon Deacons are 9-1 SU and 6-2-1 ATS on the year. They are 4-1 SU and 2-2 ATS at home. Wake Forest is just 4-9 SU and ATS in its L13 home finales.

    Auburn (15) at Alabama - Auburn is 9-2 SU and 4-7 ATS and has gone OVER the total in four of its L5. The Tigers are 3-0 SU and 1-2 ATS on the road. The visitor in this series is 8-3 ATS the last 11 meetings. The Crimson Tide are 6-5 SU and ATS this year and have gone OVER the total in seven of their L9. They are 6-1 SU, but 2-5 ATS at home. Alabama is 11-5 ATS vs. Auburn the L16 match-ups. Coach Mike Shula is 0-3 SU and 2-1 ATS vs. the Tigers.

    Oklahoma (16) at Baylor - The Sooners are 8-2 SU and 6-3-1 ATS and have gone UNDER the total in five of their L6 games. They are 2-1 SU and ATS on the road and are 5-1 ATS in their L6 on the road. The visitor is 8-2 ATS the L10 meetings in this series. Baylor is 4-7 SU and 3-7 ATS this year and has gone OVER the total in five of its last six. The Bears are 3-3 SU, but 1-4 ATS at home and just 2-7 ATS at home going back to last season.

    Duke at Georgia Tech (18) - Duke has lost 18 straight games and are 6-11 ATS. Four of its L6 games have gone OVER the total. The Blue Devils have dropped 15 consecutive road contests, but are 9-6 ATS over that span. They are 19-10-1 ATS in the last 30 match-ups with the Yellow Jackets. The visiting team is 4-1 ATS the L5 meetings in this series. Georgia Tech is 8-2 SU and 4-4-1 ATS this season. The Yellow Jackets are 5-1 SU and 2-2-1 ATS at home and are 2-4-2 ATS the L8 games as a two TD or more favorite.

    Maryland (21) at Boston College (20) - The Terrapins are 8-2 SU and 4-5 ATS and have gone OVER the total in four of their last six. They are 2-2 SU and ATS on the road after going 4-0 ATS on the road last season. The road team is 3-0 SU and ATS all-time in this series. Boston College is 8-2 SU and 4-4-1 ATS this year. The Eagles have gone UNDER the total in three in a row and five of their last six. They are 6-0 SU and 3-1-1 ATS at home in '06 and are 15-2 SU and 9-5-2 ATS at home since the 2004. Boston College is 8-4 ATS in its L12 home finales.

    Tennessee (22) at Vanderbilt - The Volunteers are 7-3 SU and ATS, and 3-1 SU and ATS on the road. Since 2003, they are 7-14 ATS when favored by a TD or more. Vanderbilt is 4-7 SU and 5-5 ATS this season and has gone OVER the total in five straight games. The Commodores are 2-3 SU and 2-2 ATS at home and they have gone OVER the number is their L6 at home. They are 10-5 ATS in their L16 home finales and have covered the last two meetings vs. Tennessee.

    New Mexico at BYU (23) - The Lobos are 5-5 SU and 6-3 ATS and have gone OVER the total in three of their last four games. They are 3-1 SU and ATS on the road this year and 6-1 SU and ATS in their L7 road contests. New Mexico is 5-1 ATS the L6 games as a two TD or more dog. BYU is 8-2 SU and 9-0-1 ATS this season. The Cougars are a perfect 5-0 SU and ATS at home and have gone OVER the total in their L3 home games. They are 4-8 ATS in their L12 home finales.

    _________________

    phantom

    posted by phantom

    Nov. 18 2006 1:40am
  41. 0 likes

    Wednesday, November 15th

    Miami OH at Bowling Green, 7:30 EST ESPN2

    Miami OH: 6-0 Under away off an Over

    Bowling Green: 7-0 ATS at home off BB losses

    ** (TC) Denotes Time Change

    Thursday, November 16th

    Akron at Ohio U, 7:30 EST ESPNU

    Akron: 1-5 ATS vs. conference opponents

    Ohio U: 6-1 Under off a conference win

    West Virginia at Pittsburgh, 7:30 EST ESPN

    West Virginia: 8-1 ATS after forcing 3+ turnovers

    Pittsburgh: 12-25 ATS off an Over

    ** (TC) Denotes Time Change

    Thursday, November 16th

    Akron at Ohio U, 7:30 EST ESPNU

    Akron: 1-5 ATS vs. conference opponents

    Ohio U: 6-1 Under off a conference win

    West Virginia at Pittsburgh, 7:30 EST ESPN

    West Virginia: 8-1 ATS after forcing 3+ turnovers

    Pittsburgh: 12-25 ATS off an Over

    ** (TC) Denotes Time Change

    Saturday, November 18th

    Buffalo at Wisconsin, 12:00 EST ESPNU

    Buffalo: 6-0 Under away off a road loss

    Wisconsin: 7-0 ATS vs. non-conference opponents

    (TC) Western Michigan at Florida State, 2:00 EST

    Western Michigan: 8-2 Over off an Under

    Florida State: 9-1 ATS at home off BB home games

    (TC) South Florida at Louisville, 7:30 EST ESPNU

    South Florida: 10-2 Under off a home win

    Louisville: 9-1 ATS at home off a road game

    Connecticut at Syracuse, 12:00 EST

    Connecticut: 6-0 Under after scoring 37+ points

    Syracuse: 16-6 ATS off BB Unders

    (TC) Rutgers at Cincinnati, 7:00 EST ESPN

    Rutgers: 1-6 ATS as a road favorite of 7 points or less

    Cincinnati: 8-2 Under off a loss

    Virginia Tech at Wake Forest, 12:00 EST ESPN2

    Virginia Tech: 15-3 ATS as a road favorite of 7 points or less

    Wake Forest: 2-11 ATS off a conference win by 10+ points

    (TC) Duke at Georgia Tech, 1:30 EST

    Duke: 5-13 ATS as an underdog

    Georgia Tech: 12-2 Under at home after winning 3 of their last 4 games

    Illinois at Northwestern, 12:00 EST

    Illinois: 9-2 Under in road games

    Northwestern: 7-1 Under after losing 6 or 7 of their last 8 games

    (TC) Missouri at Iowa State, 2:00 EST

    Missouri: 11-2 Over after losing 3 of their last 4 games

    Iowa State: 2-11 ATS off 4+ ATS losses

    Iowa at Minnesota, 12:00 EST

    Iowa: 2-10 ATS off a home game

    Minnesota: 16-6 Over off an Under

    Indiana at Purdue, 12:00 EST ESPNC

    Indiana: 0-6 ATS in November

    Purdue: 7-0 ATS in November

    NC State at North Carolina, 12:00 EST

    NC State: 9-21 ATS as a road favorite

    North Carolina: 8-2 Under off 4+ losses

    (TC) Temple at Navy, 12:30 EST CSTV

    Temple: 6-0 Over away off BB non-conference games

    Navy: 11-2 ATS off an Over

    Tennessee at Vanderbilt, 12:30 EST

    Tennessee: 1-7 ATS in November

    Vanderbilt: 6-0 Over in November

    Houston at Memphis, 2:00 EST

    Houston: 6-0 ATS off a straight up win

    Memphis: 1-5 ATS as an underdog

    Oklahoma State at Texas Tech, 2:00 EST

    Oklahoma State: 10-0 ATS after scoring 50+ points

    Texas Tech: 0-6 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points

    Central Florida at Tulane, 2:00 EST

    Central Florida: 1-5 ATS off an ATS loss

    Tulane: 10-3 ATS as a home favorite of 7 points or less

    Army at Notre Dame, 2:30 EST NBC

    Army: 6-0 Over off BB ATS losses

    Notre Dame: 0-7 ATS at home vs. Independents

    Utah State at Boise State, 3:00 EST

    Utah State: 1-11 ATS off a road loss by 28+ points

    Boise State: 35-11 ATS as a home favorite

    East Carolina at Rice, 3:00 EST

    East Carolina: 9-1 ATS in road games

    Rice: 2-14 ATS after winning 5 or 6 of their last 7 games

    (TC) Oklahoma at Baylor, 12:00 EST FSN

    Oklahoma: 21-8 Under away off 3+ conference games

    Baylor: 0-6 ATS off BB conference games

    Tulsa at SMU, 3:00 EST

    Tulsa: 10-2 ATS in road games

    SMU: 0-7 ATS after allowing 475+ total yards

    Michigan at Ohio State, 3:30 EST ABC

    Michigan: 7-0 Under vs. conference opponents

    Ohio State: 13-2 ATS vs. conference opponents

    (TC) Mississippi at LSU, 8:00 EST

    Mississippi: 6-1 Under off a non-conference game

    LSU: 6-20 ATS at home in November

    Oregon State at Stanford, 3:30 EST

    Oregon State: 41-21 ATS off 3+ conference games

    Stanford: 7-0 Under off an Under

    Auburn at Alabama, 3:30 EST CBS

    Auburn: 6-0 Over off BB home games

    Alabama: 3-14 ATS at home after losing 2 of their last 3 games

    Arizona at Oregon, 3:30 EST

    Arizona: 6-16 ATS off a win as an underdog

    Oregon: 10-2 Under at home off a conference loss

    New Mexico at BYU, 4:00 EST

    New Mexico: 1-8 ATS off ATS wins in 3 of their last 4 games

    BYU: 7-0 ATS as a favorite

    San Diego State at TCU, 4:00 EST VER

    San Diego State: 7-20 ATS off BB ATS wins

    TCU: 8-1 ATS off BB conference games

    Wyoming at UNLV, 4:00 EST

    Wyoming: 6-0 Over in November

    UNLV: 1-7 ATS off a loss

    UTEP at Marshall, 4:30 EST

    UTEP: 14-4 ATS after losing 3 of their last 4 games

    Marshall: 6-15 ATS off a conference game

    Idaho at Fresno State, 5:00 EST

    Idaho: 6-0 ATS off BB ATS losses

    Fresno State: 0-9 ATS this season

    Washington at Washington State, 6:45 EST FSN

    Washington: 7-1 Under vs. conference opponents

    Washington State: 1-9 ATS as a home favorite

    (TC) Arkansas at Mississippi State, 2:30 EST

    Arkansas: 8-1 ATS in the second half of the season

    Mississippi State: 1-8 ATS at home off a conference game

    (TC) Michigan State at Penn State, 12:00 EST ESPN2

    Michigan State: 0-7 ATS vs. conference opponents

    Penn State: 15-5 Over at home in November

    (TC) Kansas State at Kansas, 3:30 EST FSN

    Kansas State: 7-0 Over in November

    Kansas: 13-32 ATS in November

    (TC) Miami FL at Virginia, 12:00 EST

    Miami FL: 5-1 ATS off ATS losses in 3 of their last 4 games

    Virginia: 14-3 Under after gaining 75 or less rushing yards

    Maryland at Boston College, 7:00 EST ESPN

    Maryland: 1-5 ATS with a total of 42 points or less

    Boston College: 6-1 Under as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points

    Utah at Air Force, 7:30 EST

    Utah: 8-1 Over off BB conference games

    Air Force: 6-16 ATS off a loss by 17+ points

    UAB at Southern Miss, 8:00 EST CSTV

    UAB: 32-16 ATS as an underdog

    Southern Miss: 23-8 Under off a road game

    Nevada at Louisiana Tech, 8:00 EST

    Nevada: 7-0 ATS as a favorite

    Louisiana Tech: 2-10 ATS as an underdog

    California at USC, 8:00 EST ABC

    California: 0-6 ATS off ATS losses in 3 of their last 4 games

    USC: 8-0 ATS at home off BB ATS wins as a favorite

    UCLA at Arizona State, 10:15 EST FSN

    UCLA: 12-26 ATS away off a home win

    Arizona State: 8-1 ATS off a win by 21+ points

    San Jose State at Hawaii, 11:00 EST

    San Jose State: 10-2 Under away off a conference game

    Hawaii: 10-1 ATS as a favorite

    Added Games:

    (TC) Louisiana Monroe at Kentucky, 1:00 EST

    LA Monroe: 10-22 ATS vs. non-conference opponents

    Kentucky: 5-1 ATS off a conference win

    Louisiana Lafayette at Florida International, 6:00 EST

    LA Lafayette: 4-15 ATS as a favorite

    Florida Int: 5-1 Under off 3+ losses

    Arkansas State at Troy, 7:00 EST

    Arkansas State: 6-1 ATS off BB losses

    Troy: 2-9 ATS off BB ATS wins

    (TC) Middle Tennessee State at South Carolina, 12:30 EST

    Mid Tenn State: 6-1 ATS off 3+ ATS wins

    South Carolina: 6-1 Over as a home favorite

    Florida Atlantic at North Texas, 7:00 EST

    Florida Atl: 0-6 ATS in November

    North Texas: 34-19 ATS vs. conference opponents

    ** (TC) Denotes Time Change

    phantom

    posted by phantom

    Nov. 18 2006 1:40am
  42. 0 likes

    Posted: Wed Nov 15th 2006, 3:36pm Post subject:

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MIAMI OHIO (1 - 9) at BOWLING GREEN (4 - 6) - 11/15/2006, 7:30 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    BOWLING GREEN is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    BOWLING GREEN is 1-0 against the spread versus MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons

    BOWLING GREEN is 1-0 straight up against MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons

    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    AKRON (5 - 5) at OHIO U (7 - 3) - 11/16/2006, 7:30 PM

    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    AKRON is 2-0 against the spread versus OHIO U over the last 3 seasons

    AKRON is 2-0 straight up against OHIO U over the last 3 seasons

    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    W VIRGINIA (8 - 1) at PITTSBURGH (6 - 4) - 11/16/2006, 7:30 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    W VIRGINIA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

    W VIRGINIA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    PITTSBURGH is 1-1 against the spread versus W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons

    PITTSBURGH is 1-1 straight up against W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons

    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    E MICHIGAN (1 - 9) at KENT ST (5 - 5) - 11/17/2006, 6:00 PM

    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    KENT ST is 1-1 against the spread versus E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons

    KENT ST is 1-1 straight up against E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons

    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    C MICHIGAN (7 - 3) at N ILLINOIS (5 - 5) - 11/17/2006, 8:05 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    C MICHIGAN is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all games this season.

    C MICHIGAN is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all lined games this season.

    C MICHIGAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) against conference opponents this season.

    C MICHIGAN is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.

    C MICHIGAN is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in games played on turf this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    N ILLINOIS is 1-0 against the spread versus C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons

    N ILLINOIS is 2-0 straight up against C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons

    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    BUFFALO (2 - 8) at WISCONSIN (10 - 1) - 11/18/2006, 12:00 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    WISCONSIN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games this season.

    WISCONSIN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all lined games this season.

    WISCONSIN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a favorite this season.

    WISCONSIN is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.

    WISCONSIN is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.

    WISCONSIN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.

    WISCONSIN is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.

    WISCONSIN is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

    WISCONSIN is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

    WISCONSIN is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

    WISCONSIN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    W MICHIGAN (7 - 3) at FLORIDA ST (5 - 5) - 11/18/2006, 2:00 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    FLORIDA ST is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    S FLORIDA (7 - 3) at LOUISVILLE (8 - 1) - 11/18/2006, 7:30 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    LOUISVILLE is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.

    LOUISVILLE is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.

    LOUISVILLE is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    LOUISVILLE is 1-1 against the spread versus S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons

    LOUISVILLE is 1-1 straight up against S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons

    2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    CONNECTICUT (4 - 5) at SYRACUSE (3 - 7) - 11/18/2006, 12:00 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    SYRACUSE is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

    SYRACUSE is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    SYRACUSE is 1-1 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons

    SYRACUSE is 1-1 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons

    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    RUTGERS (9 - 0) at CINCINNATI (5 - 5) - 11/18/2006, 7:00 PM

    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    RUTGERS is 1-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons

    RUTGERS is 1-0 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons

    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    VIRGINIA TECH (8 - 2) at WAKE FOREST (9 - 1) - 11/18/2006, 12:00 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    VIRGINIA TECH is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.

    VIRGINIA TECH is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.

    VIRGINIA TECH is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.

    VIRGINIA TECH is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.

    VIRGINIA TECH is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

    VIRGINIA TECH is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    VIRGINIA TECH is 1-0 against the spread versus WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons

    VIRGINIA TECH is 1-0 straight up against WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons

    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    DUKE (0 - 10) at GEORGIA TECH (8 - 2) - 11/18/2006, 1:30 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    DUKE is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

    DUKE is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

    DUKE is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

    DUKE is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

    DUKE is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

    DUKE is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    GEORGIA TECH is 2-0 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons

    GEORGIA TECH is 2-0 straight up against DUKE over the last 3 seasons

    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    ILLINOIS (2 - 9) at NORTHWESTERN (3 - 8) - 11/18/2006, 12:00 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    NORTHWESTERN is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 since 1992.

    NORTHWESTERN is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    NORTHWESTERN is 1-1 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons

    NORTHWESTERN is 2-0 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons

    2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    MISSOURI (7 - 3) at IOWA ST (3 - 8) - 11/18/2006, 2:00 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    IOWA ST is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all games this season.

    IOWA ST is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.

    IOWA ST is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 56 since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    IOWA ST is 1-1 against the spread versus MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons

    MISSOURI is 2-0 straight up against IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons

    2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    IOWA (6 - 5) at MINNESOTA (5 - 6) - 11/18/2006, 12:00 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    IOWA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in all games this season.

    IOWA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in all lined games this season.

    IOWA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.

    IOWA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.

    IOWA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in a road game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 since 1992.

    MINNESOTA is 30-48 ATS (-22.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    IOWA is 2-0 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons

    IOWA is 2-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons

    2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    INDIANA (5 - 6) at PURDUE (7 - 4) - 11/18/2006, 12:00 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    INDIANA is 42-63 ATS (-27.3 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

    INDIANA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.

    INDIANA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons.

    PURDUE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.

    PURDUE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    PURDUE is 2-0 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons

    PURDUE is 2-0 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons

    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    NC STATE (3 - 7) at N CAROLINA (1 - 9) - 11/18/2006, 12:00 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    NC STATE is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) as a road favorite since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    N CAROLINA is 2-0 against the spread versus NC STATE over the last 3 seasons

    N CAROLINA is 2-0 straight up against NC STATE over the last 3 seasons

    2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    TEMPLE (1 - 10) at NAVY (7 - 3) - 11/18/2006, 12:30 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    NAVY is 91-59 ATS (+26.1 Units) in all games since 1992.

    NAVY is 91-59 ATS (+26.1 Units) in all lined games since 1992.

    NAVY is 87-56 ATS (+25.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

    NAVY is 58-35 ATS (+19.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

    NAVY is 40-16 ATS (+22.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    TEMPLE is 1-0 against the spread versus NAVY over the last 3 seasons

    NAVY is 1-0 straight up against TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons

    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    TENNESSEE (7 - 3) at VANDERBILT (4 - 7) - 11/18/2006, 12:30 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    TENNESSEE is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    VANDERBILT is 2-0 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons

    VANDERBILT is 1-1 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons

    2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    HOUSTON (8 - 3) at MEMPHIS (1 - 9) - 11/18/2006, 2:00 PM

    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    MEMPHIS is 2-0 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons

    MEMPHIS is 2-0 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons

    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    OKLAHOMA ST (6 - 4) at TEXAS TECH (6 - 5) - 11/18/2006, 2:00 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    OKLAHOMA ST is 20-36 ATS (-19.6 Units) in road games after playing a conference game since 1992.

    TEXAS TECH is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.

    TEXAS TECH is 50-26 ATS (+21.4 Units) in home games since 1992.

    TEXAS TECH is 50-26 ATS (+21.4 Units) in home lined games since 1992.

    TEXAS TECH is 69-44 ATS (+20.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

    TEXAS TECH is 88-62 ATS (+19.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

    TEXAS TECH is 38-22 ATS (+13.8 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

    TEXAS TECH is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) in home games after playing a conference game since 1992.

    TEXAS TECH is 67-43 ATS (+19.7 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

    TEXAS TECH is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.

    TEXAS TECH is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    TEXAS TECH is 1-1 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons

    TEXAS TECH is 1-1 straight up against OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons

    2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    C FLORIDA (3 - 7) at TULANE (3 - 7) - 11/18/2006, 2:00 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    C FLORIDA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    C FLORIDA is 1-0 against the spread versus TULANE over the last 3 seasons

    C FLORIDA is 1-0 straight up against TULANE over the last 3 seasons

    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    ARMY (3 - 7) at NOTRE DAME (9 - 1) - 11/18/2006, 2:30 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    ARMY is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.

    ARMY is 6-20 ATS (-16.0 Units) after a bye week since 1992.

    NOTRE DAME is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    UTAH ST (1 - 9) at BOISE ST (10 - 0) - 11/18/2006, 3:00 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    BOISE ST is 62-37 ATS (+21.3 Units) in all games since 1992.

    BOISE ST is 62-37 ATS (+21.3 Units) in all lined games since 1992.

    BOISE ST is 47-28 ATS (+16.2 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

    BOISE ST is 35-14 ATS (+19.6 Units) in home games since 1992.

    BOISE ST is 35-14 ATS (+19.6 Units) in home lined games since 1992.

    BOISE ST is 40-21 ATS (+16.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

    BOISE ST is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

    BOISE ST is 44-22 ATS (+19.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

    BOISE ST is 42-16 ATS (+24.4 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.

    BOISE ST is 39-22 ATS (+14.8 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

    BOISE ST is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) in November games since 1992.

    BOISE ST is 37-15 ATS (+20.5 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

    BOISE ST is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

    BOISE ST is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    BOISE ST is 1-0 against the spread versus UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons

    BOISE ST is 1-0 straight up against UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons

    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    E CAROLINA (6 - 4) at RICE (5 - 5) - 11/18/2006, 3:00 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    RICE is 35-15 ATS (+18.5 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.

    RICE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after playing a conference game this season.

    E CAROLINA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all games this season.

    E CAROLINA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all lined games this season.

    E CAROLINA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.

    E CAROLINA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.

    E CAROLINA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.

    E CAROLINA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.

    E CAROLINA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after playing a conference game this season.

    E CAROLINA is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    E CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus RICE over the last 3 seasons

    E CAROLINA is 1-0 straight up against RICE over the last 3 seasons

    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    OKLAHOMA (8 - 2) at BAYLOR (4 - 7) - 11/18/2006, 12:00 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    BAYLOR is 46-68 ATS (-28.8 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

    BAYLOR is 46-68 ATS (-28.8 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

    BAYLOR is 44-68 ATS (-30.8 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.

    BAYLOR is 14-33 ATS (-22.3 Units) in November games since 1992.

    BAYLOR is 24-44 ATS (-24.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

    BAYLOR is 14-33 ATS (-22.3 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    BAYLOR is 2-0 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons

    OKLAHOMA is 2-0 straight up against BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons

    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    TULSA (7 - 3) at SMU (5 - 5) - 11/18/2006, 3:00 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    TULSA is 21-38 ATS (-20.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.

    TULSA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.

    TULSA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.

    TULSA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

    TULSA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

    TULSA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    SMU is 2-0 against the spread versus TULSA over the last 3 seasons

    SMU is 1-1 straight up against TULSA over the last 3 seasons

    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    MICHIGAN (11 - 0) at OHIO ST (11 - 0) - 11/18/2006, 3:30 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    OHIO ST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games this season.

    OHIO ST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all lined games this season.

    OHIO ST is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

    OHIO ST is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.

    OHIO ST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.

    OHIO ST is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

    OHIO ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

    OHIO ST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.

    OHIO ST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.

    OHIO ST is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.

    OHIO ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    OHIO ST is 2-0 against the spread versus MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons

    OHIO ST is 2-0 straight up against MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons

    2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    MISSISSIPPI (3 - 7) at LSU (8 - 2) - 11/18/2006, 8:00 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    LSU is 6-20 ATS (-16.0 Units) in home games in November games since 1992.

    LSU is 5-19 ATS (-15.9 Units) in home games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    LSU is 1-1 against the spread versus MISSISSIPPI over the last 3 seasons

    LSU is 2-0 straight up against MISSISSIPPI over the last 3 seasons

    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    OREGON ST (6 - 4) at STANFORD (1 - 9) - 11/18/2006, 3:30 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    STANFORD is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all games this season.

    STANFORD is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.

    STANFORD is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.

    STANFORD is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    STANFORD is 1-1 against the spread versus OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons

    STANFORD is 1-1 straight up against OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons

    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    AUBURN (9 - 2) at ALABAMA (6 - 5) - 11/18/2006, 3:30 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    ALABAMA is 20-37 ATS (-20.7 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.

    ALABAMA is 37-57 ATS (-25.7 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

    ALABAMA is 28-46 ATS (-22.6 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    ALABAMA is 1-1 against the spread versus AUBURN over the last 3 seasons

    AUBURN is 2-0 straight up against ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons

    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    ARIZONA (5 - 5) at OREGON (7 - 3) - 11/18/2006, 3:30 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    ARIZONA is 45-70 ATS (-32.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    OREGON is 1-1 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons

    OREGON is 2-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons

    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    NEW MEXICO (5 - 5) at BYU (8 - 2) - 11/18/2006, 4:00 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    BYU is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all games this season.

    BYU is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all lined games this season.

    BYU is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) as a favorite this season.

    BYU is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) against conference opponents this season.

    BYU is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.

    BYU is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.

    NEW MEXICO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    BYU is 1-1 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons

    BYU is 1-1 straight up against NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons

    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    SAN DIEGO ST (2 - 7) at TCU (7 - 2) - 11/18/2006, 4:00 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    TCU is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    SAN DIEGO ST is 1-0 against the spread versus TCU over the last 3 seasons

    TCU is 1-0 straight up against SAN DIEGO ST over the last 3 seasons

    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    WYOMING (5 - 6) at UNLV (1 - 9) - 11/18/2006, 4:00 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    UNLV is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.

    UNLV is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.

    UNLV is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

    UNLV is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

    UNLV is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.

    UNLV is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

    UNLV is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    WYOMING is 2-0 against the spread versus UNLV over the last 3 seasons

    WYOMING is 2-0 straight up against UNLV over the last 3 seasons

    2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    UTEP (5 - 5) at MARSHALL (4 - 6) - 11/18/2006, 4:30 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    MARSHALL is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    UTEP is 1-0 against the spread versus MARSHALL over the last 3 seasons

    UTEP is 1-0 straight up against MARSHALL over the last 3 seasons

    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    IDAHO (4 - 6) at FRESNO ST (2 - 7) - 11/18/2006, 5:00 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    FRESNO ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.

    FRESNO ST is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in all games this season.

    FRESNO ST is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in all lined games this season.

    FRESNO ST is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.

    FRESNO ST is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    FRESNO ST is 1-0 against the spread versus IDAHO over the last 3 seasons

    FRESNO ST is 1-0 straight up against IDAHO over the last 3 seasons

    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    WASHINGTON (4 - 7) at WASHINGTON ST (6 - 5) - 11/18/2006, 6:45 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    WASHINGTON is 43-68 ATS (-31.8 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.

    WASHINGTON is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    WASHINGTON ST is 1-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons

    WASHINGTON ST is 2-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons

    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    ARKANSAS (9 - 1) at MISSISSIPPI ST (3 - 7) - 11/18/2006, 2:30 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-1 against the spread versus ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons

    ARKANSAS is 2-0 straight up against MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons

    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    MICHIGAN ST (4 - 7) at PENN ST (7 - 4) - 11/18/2006, 12:00 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    MICHIGAN ST is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all games this season.

    MICHIGAN ST is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.

    MICHIGAN ST is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) against conference opponents this season.

    MICHIGAN ST is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.

    MICHIGAN ST is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

    MICHIGAN ST is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after playing a conference game this season.

    MICHIGAN ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off a loss against a conference rival this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    PENN ST is 2-0 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons

    PENN ST is 2-0 straight up against MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons

    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    KANSAS ST (7 - 4) at KANSAS (5 - 5) - 11/18/2006, 3:30 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    KANSAS ST is 75-50 ATS (+20.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

    KANSAS is 66-92 ATS (-35.2 Units) in all games since 1992.

    KANSAS is 66-92 ATS (-35.2 Units) in all lined games since 1992.

    KANSAS is 61-86 ATS (-33.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

    KANSAS is 39-73 ATS (-41.3 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.

    KANSAS is 13-32 ATS (-22.2 Units) in November games since 1992.

    KANSAS is 13-32 ATS (-22.2 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    KANSAS is 1-1 against the spread versus KANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons

    KANSAS is 1-1 straight up against KANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons

    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    MIAMI (5 - 5) at VIRGINIA (4 - 6) - 11/18/2006, 12:00 PM

    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    VIRGINIA is 1-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons

    MIAMI is 2-0 straight up against VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons

    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    MARYLAND (8 - 2) at BOSTON COLLEGE (8 - 2) - 11/18/2006, 7:00 PM

    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    BOSTON COLLEGE is 1-0 against the spread versus MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons

    BOSTON COLLEGE is 1-0 straight up against MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons

    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    UTAH (6 - 4) at AIR FORCE (4 - 5) - 11/18/2006, 7:30 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    AIR FORCE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    AIR FORCE is 2-0 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons

    UTAH is 2-0 straight up against AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons

    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    UAB (3 - 7) at SOUTHERN MISS (6 - 4) - 11/18/2006, 8:00 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    UAB is 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    SOUTHERN MISS is 2-0 against the spread versus UAB over the last 3 seasons

    SOUTHERN MISS is 2-0 straight up against UAB over the last 3 seasons

    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    NEVADA (7 - 3) at LOUISIANA TECH (3 - 7) - 11/18/2006, 8:00 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    NEVADA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all games this season.

    NEVADA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all lined games this season.

    NEVADA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) as a favorite this season.

    NEVADA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) against conference opponents this season.

    NEVADA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.

    NEVADA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.

    NEVADA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

    LOUISIANA TECH is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

    LOUISIANA TECH is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    LOUISIANA TECH is 1-1 against the spread versus NEVADA over the last 3 seasons

    LOUISIANA TECH is 1-1 straight up against NEVADA over the last 3 seasons

    2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    CALIFORNIA (8 - 2) at USC (8 - 1) - 11/18/2006, 8:00 PM

    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    USC is 1-1 against the spread versus CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons

    USC is 2-0 straight up against CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons

    2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    UCLA (5 - 5) at ARIZONA ST (6 - 4) - 11/18/2006, 10:15 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    UCLA is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    UCLA is 2-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons

    ARIZONA ST is 1-1 straight up against UCLA over the last 3 seasons

    2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    SAN JOSE ST (6 - 3) at HAWAII (8 - 2) - 11/18/2006, 11:00 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    HAWAII is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all games this season.

    HAWAII is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all lined games this season.

    HAWAII is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

    HAWAII is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    HAWAII is 1-1 against the spread versus SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons

    HAWAII is 2-0 straight up against SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons

    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    LA MONROE (2 - 7) at KENTUCKY (6 - 4) - 11/18/2006, 2:00 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    LA MONROE is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    LA LAFAYETTE (4 - 5) at FLA INTERNATIONAL (0 - 9) - 11/18/2006, 6:00 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    LA LAFAYETTE is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    LA LAFAYETTE is 2-0 against the spread versus FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons

    LA LAFAYETTE is 2-0 straight up against FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons

    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    ARKANSAS ST (5 - 5) at TROY ST (5 - 4) - 11/18/2006, 7:00 PM

    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    ARKANSAS ST is 2-0 against the spread versus TROY ST over the last 3 seasons

    ARKANSAS ST is 2-0 straight up against TROY ST over the last 3 seasons

    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    MIDDLE TENN ST (7 - 3) at S CAROLINA (5 - 5) - 11/18/2006, 12:30 PM

    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    FLA ATLANTIC (3 - 7) at NORTH TEXAS (3 - 7) - 11/18/2006, 7:00 PM

    Top Trends for this game.

    FLA ATLANTIC is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.

    FLA ATLANTIC is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons.

    NORTH TEXAS is 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History

    FLA ATLANTIC is 1-0 against the spread versus NORTH TEXAS over the last 3 seasons

    FLA ATLANTIC is 2-0 straight up against NORTH TEXAS over the last 3 seasons

    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    phantom

    posted by phantom

    Nov. 18 2006 1:41am
  43. 0 likes

    Phil Steele's NEWS AND NOTES

    Turnovers were the key for W Michigan as it was 10-7 at the half when CM went 44 yds in 10 plays after a fumble, and 26 yds in 3 plays after an int for TD’s. WM fmbl’d at the CM 40 and also was SOD at the CM 44 on 2 of their final 4 drives.

    Miami had an 18-6 FD edge vs Maryland but the Terps got 2 big plays on 65 and 96 yd TD passes to Heyward-Bey and the Canes only had a 320-258 yd edge. Miami missed a 50 yd FG and settled for FG’s of 32 and 25 yds after 12 and 19 play drives as Maryland moved to 8-2.

    Houston wrapped up a berth in the CUSA Title game with their 37-27 win over SMU. UH scored the first 14 points of the game but SMU scored the next 24. UH had a 504-343 yd edge and converted WR Anthony Alridge rushed for a career high 225 yds.

    Florida St was shutout at home for the first time in Bobby Bowden’s 31 seasons and Wake Forest improved to 9-1 for the first time in school history ending a 22 year losing streak to FSU. FSU had a streak of 232 games without being shutout snapped.

    Big plays were the key in Troy’s win over Fla Atl. They had 70, 67 and 54 yd TD passes. FA was driving for the tying TD but was int’d in the EZ with 2:46 left.

    Joe Paterno was not on the sidelines vs Temple but the Lions D held Temple to just 2 FD’s in a 47-0 shutout win.

    New Mexico is becoming the comeback king as they had double digit deficits vs UNLV, Utah and Colorado St in the previous 3 games and rallied to win all 3. Thanks in part to TO’s (like a fmbl on the 2nd play which was ret’d 12 yds for a TD), they trailed TCU 24-0 at the half. NM rallied once again and TCU needed an int at the 9 yd line with :22 left to hold on for a 6 point win. NM QB Porterie was sk’d 5 times and injured in the 3Q and the late comeback was led by backup QB Chris Nelson. TCU was held to 192 yds offense.

    Boise St actually faced their first halftime deficit of the year trailing San Jose St 7-6 and needed a 37 yd FG on the game’s final play in their 23-20 win which kept alive their undefeated season and BCS bowl hopes.

    Darren McFadden proved to be a legitimate Heisman candidate rushing for 181 yards and tossing a 12 yd TD pass while being used at QB and RB. Arkansas rolled up 259 yds rushing (5.8) vs a tough Tennessee D and led 31-7 before allowing a TD with just :31 left. McFadden set a school record by surpassing 180 yds rushing for the 5th time in his career.

    Auburn’s Tommy Tuberville, who has done a lot of campaigning for a playoff system and complaining about the BCS, saw his team lose again and they were dominated by Georgia being outFD’d 20-9 and outgained 446-171. They trailed 30-7 at the half and were never really in the game. UGA Fr QB Matthew Stafford threw for 219 yds and rushed for 83.

    NC State trailed by 3 and they had a tipped pass int’d with 2:54 left and CU added a FG with 1:10 left. NCSt drove to the CU 29 and had a pass caught near the EZ pylon ruled incomplete with :25 and on 4th & 2 they were sk’d with :23 left.

    Bryan Cupito became Minnesota’s all-time career leading passer on a 37 yd TD pass which put the Gophers up 24-12. UM rallied from a 9-0 deficit in a 31-18 win at Mich St.

    Rice Coach Todd Graham deserves merit as the possible Coach of the Year for the outstanding job he’s done at Rice. This clearly looked like a rebuilding season but the Owls knocked off Tulsa and are now 4-2 in CUSA play. Graham was Tulsa’s DC the past 3 years and Rice led the game 20-7 after 3Q’s before TU got three 4Q TD’s to force OT. Rice won it in 2 OT’s.

    Hawaii was w/o starting RB Nate Ilaoa vs LA Tech but in the battle with the #1 ranked offense vs the #119 D it hardly mattered. UH rolled up 618 yds offense in the 61-17 romp.

    Pitt led Conn by 14 in the 4Q. UC got a TD with 7:53 left and then a 1 yd TD pass with :03 left to force OT. In the 2nd OT, although he did not have to go for 2, UC Coach Edsall did and they got the 2 pt conversion on a Hernandez run for a 46-45 2-OT win over the Panthers.

    UCF/Memphis combined for 34 pts in the 1H and it could have been more but UCF settled for a 20 yd FG. Amazingly, in the 2H, UCF went ultraconservative on offense, despite the fact that Moffett hit 19 of 28 for 319 yds. On their game winning drive they ran the ball between the tackles 10 of 14 plays on a 71 yd drive that ate up 7:39. On 4th & goal from the footline they let the clock run down and took a time-out and kicked an 18 yd FG for a non-covering 26-24 win.

    POINTSPREAD PLAYS OF THE GAME

    Utah was either an 11 or 12 pt favorite vs Colorado St. CSU took over with 2:07 left in the game and went 90 yds in six plays and got a 7 yd TD pass with :41 left. They went for 2 and were stopped and could not get the backdoor cover.

    GAME OF THE CENTURY HAS A NICE SETUP

    Ohio St/Michigan came in ranked #1 and #2 and undefeated for the first time in series history and both rolled over their opponents leaving no doubt that this week’s game is probably THE National Title Game. OSU only had a 229-225 yd edge at the half but took advantage of 4 TO’s and a blk’d punt which they turned into TD’s for a 33-10 halftime lead. They did dominate the 2H as NU had just 85 yds and the stands were colored more in Buckeyes Scarlet than Purple in their 54-10 rout of N’western.

    Michigan allowed just 131 yds to Indiana and rolled to a dominating 34-3 win. At the end of the game there were more Michigan fans in the stands than Indiana fans. Mario Manningham had 2 catches for 11 yds in his 2nd game back from injury and should be close to 100% for next week’s big battle.

    NATIONAL TITLE CONTENDERS GO BY THE WAYSIDE

    Heading into the week it looked like there could be as many as 12 one loss teams at the end of the year battling for the right to play in the National Title game. Those numbers were thinned considerably this past week. Arizona beat a Top 25 team for the 2nd straight week rallying from a 17-3 deficit to knock off #8 ranked Cal, a team that was posturing for the National Championship Game. One key has been the return of Willie Tuitama as he hit 17 of 34 for 202 yds vs the tough Cal D.

    Louisville led Rutgers 25-7 in the 2Q but could not hold on. RU did hold the potent Cards offense to 266 yds.

    Florida and Boise St also survived near scares. Colt McCoy was one of the top QB’s in the country statistically heading into the Kansas St game and right out of the box hit 4 of 4 for 51 yds. UT, which came in ranked #5 in the BCS standings was dealt a severe blow when McCoy got a 1 yd TD run on a QB sneak for a 7-0 lead with 6:53 left in the 1Q. McCoy was just 2 shy of the NCAA frosh record for TD passes and hurt his right shoulder on the play and would not return. Backup QB Jevan Snead hit just 13 of 30 passes and KSU stunned Texas, 45-42.

    TURNOVERS CAN MAKE A DIFFERENCE

    Baylor turned the ball over 6 times vs Oklahoma St. In the 1H four TO’s led to 4 OSU TD’s including an int with :36 left in the half that led to a 2 play, 18 yd TD for the Cowboys. To open the 3Q OSU got a 23 yd IR TD and a 57 yd fmbl ret for a TD, 52-3. They did have a 510-355 yd edge.

    New Mexico St had 22-14 FD and 376-263 yd edges vs Fresno St. They fmbl’d the ball 4 times and the Bulldogs converted 4 TO’s into 17 points. FSU, which had not won since the opening game of the season, scored a TD with 7:09 left but then NMSt drove to the Bulldogs 14 yd line on their final poss but lost 16 yds when a shotgun snap sailed over the QB’s head and could not score.

    Florida Int’l had 3 TO’s result in 21 ULM points including a 26 yd IR for a TD. FIU was dogged by the fact that susp from the Miami game were not announced until gametime and some of the susp’d players practiced during the week and it was tough to gain any continuity. FIU had just 9 FD’s and got its first shutout loss in its home stadium while ULM got its first shutout win since 1999.

    The Vanderbilt/Kentucky game was amazing on a couple of grounds. We had a 4H on the Over and VU would have a 621-597 yd edge combining for 1,218 yds. Amazingly, the game did not go Over the total until 3:31 remained b/c VU had 4 TO’s almost all inside the UK 10 yd line and there was also 3 missed FG’s. UK became bowl eligible and Andre Woodson threw for 450 yds in the win.

    FAREWELL TOURS

    Generally when a HC is fired or announces his resignation, the team rallies around him in the final few weeks. Such was the case last week at N Texas. Amazingly, after guiding NT to 4 consecutive SBC Titles and 4 bowls in 5 years heading into the season and just a couple weeks after suffering a heart attack, Darrell Dickey was fired prior to the ULL game showing some strange shortsightedness. NT will probably never again have a six year stretch with 4 conf titles and 4 bowls. NT’s D rallied for the outgoing coach and held ULL to 13 FD’s and just 208 yds in their 16-7 upset win.

    N Carolina has not won a game SU since John Bunting was fired but they have covered all 3 and vs #19 Georgia Tech, only lost 7-0. It was the first time NC had been shutout twice in the season since 1989 but NC’s D did hold the Yellow Jackets to just 221 yds.

    INJURIES OF NOTE

    Kent St was playing w/o QB Edelman and Michael Machen threw for just 98 yds. KSU’s D held Virg Tech to just 214 total yards offense and VT needed a fmbl ret for a TD in the 4Q to win by 23 laying 30’.

    The Tulane/S Miss game was a strange one as TU was w/o RB Forte due to a knee injury and then benched record setting QB Lester Ricard after 3 incompletions and an int. His backup, Scott Elliott, hit just 3 of 8 for 30 yds. SM did have a 393-85 yd edge but only led 10-3 in the 4Q. They got a 50 yd fmbl return for a TD and then got 46 and 65 yd drives for TD’s, the latter with :46 left to extend the margin to 31-3.

    Washington St played w/o their top 2 WR’s in Bumpus and Hill after losing both to injuries in the 2H vs Arizona and for the entire game vs Arizona St. WSU dropped from the Top 25 and is off 2 straight losses. Without their 2 stud WR’s, they managed just 292 yds as ASU piled up 562 in a 47-14 rout. ASU scored on all 6 poss in the 1H.

    Washington QB Carl Bonnell was inj’d late in the 1Q with a right thigh bruise. Backup QB Johnny DuRocher threw an int which was ret’d 49 yds for a TD. SU also had a screen pass go 74 yds for a TD. DuRocher was knocked out with a concussion after hitting 1 of 9 passes with 2 int’s and Bonnell was forced to return. Those circumstances led to a Washington 20-3 loss despite SU having just 7 FD’s. It was the 6th straight loss for UW and clinched a losing season.

    Wisconsin played w/o starting QB Stocco but Tyler Donovan hit 17 of 24 for 228 yds and rushed for 61. Bret Bielema became the first Big 10 coach to win 10 games in his first year and UW, after they knock off Buffalo this week, will record their first 11 win regular season with their only loss coming to #2 ranked Michigan.

    MISLEADING FINALS, FRONTDOOR AND BACKDOOR COVERS

    Buffalo trailed Akron 21-10 with just 2:37 left. The Zips got off a 5 yd punt setting up UB at the 46. Five plays later UB, with 1:30 left, got a TD for the backdoor cover.

    A misleading final was UTEP/UAB. UAB had an option pitch go for a TD but it was called back on an illegal forward pass which would have put them up 14-3. In the 2H 2 screen passes went 80 and 79 yds for UTEP, the 2nd of which happened when they led just 22-17 with 7:51 left. UTEP’s final score came after an int for a misleading 19 point win.

    Cincinnati needed a frontdoor push vs W Virginia despite having a 20-13 FD edge. WV got big plays with a 63 yd TD on a long run by Slaton which was fmbl’d but picked up by WV WR Bolden who took it the final 5 yds for the TD. They also got a 65 yd TD run by Slaton and after an int, got a 10 yd drive for a TD to lead 42-10 after 3Q’s. UC was int’d at the WV 22 but drove 79 and 58 yds for a pair of TD’s, the latter with 5:34 left for the backdoor push.

    USF did have a 514-250 yd edge vs Syracuse. Delbert Alvarado kicked a Big East record 56 yd FG for USF. Two key plays helped USF cover. On 3rd & 9 they got a 79 yd TD pass with 2:09 left in the 3Q and then with 7:46 left, rec’d a fmbl at the USF 3 and on the next play got a TD for the frontdoor cover, 27-10. SU’s last 2 drives ended in an int at the USF 26 and a fmbl at the SU 44.

    Oklahoma was playing without their top 2 TB’s but Fr Chris Brown (PS#35) rushed for 84 yds on 6 carries. Texas Tech led 24-17 at the half and trailed 27-24 when they missed a 40 mid-4Q. The Sooners went on an 80 yd, 14 play drive and got a TD with 2:13 left for the frontdoor cover.

    KICKING WOES

    Kicking woes hurt the Gamecocks. S Carolina had a 55 yd FG taken off the board for a delay of game penalty and then had a 47 yd FG blk’d in the 3Q. After scoring a TD, SC had the xp blk’d with 2:13 left and only led 16-10 and then a 48 yd FG was blk’d on the final play of the game and the Gators escaped with a 17-16 home win.

    UNLV missed 41 and 37 yd FG’s in the 2Q and with :22 left in the 1H had a 52 yarder bounce off the crossbar. In the 3Q they had a 53 yd FG come up just short and a 28 yd FG was blocked. SDSt also scored on a 59 yd IR for a TD so their 21-7 win over UNLV was not as comfortable as the score indicated as they only had a 277-250 yd edge.

    It was not just missed FG’s for Alabama, but also 2 TO’s, but they had 4 trips in the redzone result in zero points vs LSU. The Tide had a 23-20 FD edge but after a sk missed a 40 yd FG they missed a 49 yd FG with :19 left in the half, they fmbl’d inside the LSU 10 and also had a tipped pass int’d at the LSU 12, as the Tide lost by 14 but still covered.

    phantom

    posted by phantom

    Nov. 18 2006 1:41am
  44. 0 likes

    NCAAFB

    Saturday's Games

    Wisconsin won last seven games (6-1 vs. spread); this is their last game of season, so they can celebrate vs. Buffalo team that lost eight of last nine games, and still has TV game vs. Central Michigan in six days. Bulls are 0-6 on road (4-2 as road dog) with losses by 8,18,31,35,41 points. Five of last seven Badger games went over the total.

    Jeff Bowden has resigned as Florida State's OC (effective after season) so struggling FSU offense (shut out at home last week for first time since '73) even further in disarray. Seminoles are 5-5, losing three of last four games, and covered only two of six as home favorite. Western Michigan is 3-2 as underdog this year, 7-3 SU, but lost last week 31-7 at MAC frontrunner C. Michigan.

    Louisville lost first game last week, looks to bounce back vs. South Florida team that upset Cards 45-14 in Tampa LY (+21, TY 493-355L). Bulls had 251 rushing yards in that game and ran kickoff back for TD. USF won four of last five games this year; they're 2-1 vs. spread as dog. USF's losses this year are by 6,2,17 points. UofL covered one of last four games, but is 3-1 as home favorite, winning by 31,24,6,10 points.

    UConn had comeback win vs. Pitt last week, rallying from 31-17 down in fourth quarter; they forced three turnovers and beat Syracuse LY 26-7, despite passing for only 45 yards. Orange lost last five games; they scored 30-34-40 pts in their wins, 17 or less in all seven losses. Only one of last six UConn foes scored less than 24 points. Four of last five Orange games stayed under the total.

    Trip to Cincinnati is major trap game for magical Rutgers squad three wins away from what could be Cinderella run at a national title; they crushed Bearcats 44-9 last year (-14) outrushing UC 337-M23, outgaining them 574-146. Knights are 4-0 on road, winning by 5,2,34,10 pts; they're 2-2 as favorite this year, but completed less than half its passes in last two games (19-45). Bearcats won last four home games.

    Wake Forest is 9-1, but an underdog for sixth time in last seven lined games; they've won four games in row, shut Florida State out at FSU last week (their first win in Florida since '59), and are 3-1 at home. Virginia Tech won its last four games, allowing 5.8 peg, forcing 10 turnovers and holding all four foes under 240 TY. Under is 7-1-1 in Wake games this season, 6-2 in last eight Tech tilts.

    Visitor covered four of last five Duke-Ga Tech games, with Duke losing last two visits to this site, 17-2/24-7; they're 0-10 this season, 0-19 vs. I-A schools the last two years, but are 3-1 as road dogs this season, losing by 1,36,16,21 points. Banged-up Tech sr QB Ball is expected to play despite being hurt. Last year, Duke led Tech 10-7 at half, lost 35-10. Tech is 2-3-1 as favorite in '06.

    Visitor is 14-4 vs. the spread (dogs are 10-6) in last 18 Illinois-Northwestern games, with teams splitting 7-point decisions in Illinois's last two trips to Evanston. Illinois is 1-18 in last 19 games vs. I-A foes, not sure how they qualify as road favorite. Wildcats lost seven of last eight games, but they won at Iowa. Three of last four Illinois road games stayed under the total.

    Missouri won last three games vs. Iowa State by 38,3,3 points; they knocked Cyclones out of Big 12 title game with home win LY, 27-24. State lost last six games, all by 14 pts (0-6 vs. spread); they haven't covered since Sept 23- their Big 12 home losses are by 14,16,31 points. Mizzou lost three of last four games; their three Big 12 wins are by 15,17,20 pts. Three of last four Iowa State games went over total.

    Iowa covered 12 of last 13 games vs. Minnesota (average total in last five is 66), winning last two visits to Metrodome, 45-21/29-27, but Hawkeyes are struggling, losing last four Big 11 games and covering only one of seven as favorite this season. Gophers won last two games, scoring 94 pts with six takeaways, can finish 6-6 with win here; favorite is 8-2 vs. spread in Minnesota games this season.

    Home side covered seven of last eight Indiana-Purdue games, with Hoosiers losing last two visits to Ross-Ade, 34-10/63-24; Boilers covered six of last nine series games, taking LY's 41-14 at IU. Purdue won last two games, but is already bowl eligible, and has trip to Hawai'i on deck; they're just 1-2 as favorite in '06. Indiana is 5-6, playing for .500 season, but their last four losses are by 35,41,37,31 points.

    Road team covered six of last seven NC State-UNC games, with Heels 10-3 vs. spread in last 13, including 31-24 upset in Raleigh LY (+11). State lost last five games, all by eight or less points, so can't justify them as road favorite, even vs. UNC squad that is

    0-9 vs. D-I teams this year. Heels lost 7-0 to Ga Tech last week, after giving up 45 points week before; they've actually covered their last three games.

    Navy covered 10 of last 16 November home games; they beat Temple LY, 38-17 (-27) running ball for 375 yards. Middies just won pair of road games, scoring 87 pts, gaining 758 yds on ground, so expect them to pound Temple squad that allowed 249,216,211 rushing yards in its last three games. Owls have covered five of last seven games, so they're still trying. Navy is 2-3 as favorite in '06.

    Vanderbilt beat Tennessee 28-24 (+11) LY for first time in last 23 tries, despite being outrushed 251-49, knocking Vols out of bowl game; now they catch Vols off two straight losses, where UT gave up 490 rushing yards and 59 points. Vandy is 0-3 at home in SEC this year, losing to Arkansas (21-19), South Carolina

    (31-13), Florida (25-19). Last five Vanderbilt games went over.

    Memphis won last three games vs. Houston by average score of 40-16, but thats about to change, since Tigers lost last eight games (1-7 vs. spread) with three of last four losses by 14+ points. Cougars allowed 35 ppg during losing streak. Houston has senior QB and four-game win streak (by 17,20,17,10 pts) during which they scored 37.3 ppg and ran ball for average of 249.8 ypg.

    Home team won last four Texas Tech-Oklahoma State games, with Cowboys losing last two visits to Lubbock (49-24/31-15); favorite covered six of last eight series games, Tech ten of last 12. In their last seven games, State allowed 31.4 ppg; they lost three of last four road games. Tech is +7 in turnovers its three games. Seven of last eight OSU games and last four Tech tilts went over total.

    Central Florida beat Tulane LY 34-24 (-5.5), using +5 turnover ratio to gain the win; they also outrushed Green Wave 286-80. Both sides are struggling here, UCF losing seven of last nine games, covering none of last five; they've won two games this season, and lost the next week both times (0-42/7-52). Tulane allowed 73 pts in losing last three games; they're 0-7 if they score less than 32 points.

    Notre Dame tunes up for USC by playing Army (2-16-1 vs. the spread after a bye). Irish are 4-11-1 vs. spread as home favorite, 1-5 this year, with home wins by 24,14,21,3, 19 points. Cadets lost last four games (by 14,17,14,36 pts) and failed to cover last six-they're 2-2 as road dog in '06. Six of last seven Army games, six of last nine ND games went over the total. This result won't help Irish in BCS race.

    Boise still trying to move up BCS ladder, so only recourse here might be to drill Utah St when they're down. State covered seven of last eight vs. Utah State, winning last two meetings (45-21/63-38). Aggies are 1-8, losing last four in row, last two by combined score of 105-10. Broncos could be looking ahead to Nevada game next week, but Aggies look like a team waiting anxiously for season to be over with.

    Red-hot Rice won last four games, all as underdog, scoring 38 ppg; at 5-5, they have legit shot at a bowl, as switch to passing offense has gone great. Owls lost 41-28 LY at East Carolina (+4); this is just their third game in home stadium this year- previous two were both decided by single point. ECU also won its last four games; they're 9-1 vs. spread this season, covering last four games that were wins by 17,3,13,13 points.

    Visitor covered eight of last ten Oklahoma-Baylor games, with Sooners winning in last two visits to Waco, 49-9/35-0; that said, Bears did take OU to OT in Norman LY, losing 37-30 (+14), but Bears crippled by season-ending injury to QB Bell- they lost last three games, are 0-5 vs. spread in last five, and allowed 46.8 ppg in last six. Sooners won last five games (4-1 vs. spread) by 25,21, 16,1,10 points.

    SMU covered eight of last 11 games vs. Tulsa, with home side winning last four; Tulsa lost last two visits to this site, 24-21/

    41-35 ot, but Hurricane lost last two games after a six-game win streak ended. Mustangs are 5-5, need this win or win vs. Rice next week to get first .500 season under Bennett. Dog covered three of last four series games. Seven of last eight Tulsa games went over total, as did five of last seven SMU tilts.

    Michigan, Ohio State both unbeaten, both lying in wait for this game. Home side is 15-8-1 vs the spread in last 24 series games, with Tressel 4-1 vs. Lloyd Carr. Wolverines lost last two visits to Horseshoe, 14-9/37-21 and lost to Buckeyes at home last yr, when OSU outrushed them by 118-32, outgained them 418-255. Michigan been running ball well last three weeks, gaining 202, 352,208 yds. Close game here could mean a rematch in Arizona for national title.

    Ole Miss plays LSU tough, covering seven of last nine series games, and last three visits to Baton Rouge (35-24/13-14/24-27), but Rebels are 1-5 in SEC, with losses by 17,5,3, 35,6 points. LSU is bully team, with home wins by 42,42,42,31,49,32,14 points (1-3 vs. spread last four at home). This is sandwich game for Tigers (Alabama/Arkansas) which helps Ole Miss, but they can't pass, so hard to cover thru backdoor.

    Stanford got first win last week, beating crippled Washington, but Cardinal still 0-4 at home, losing by 28,26,13,42 points; in last four weeks, Cardinal ran ball for total of 124 yards (576-124). Beavers had won four in row before dismal 26-7 loss at UCLA last week, when Beavers lost four fumbles, missed two FGs and went in tank once they fell behind. Oregon St. is 3-0 vs. spread as favorite this season.

    Visitor is 8-3 vs. spread in always hard-hitting Alabama-Auburn series, with Tigers winning last four series games by average score of 23-15, taking last two visits to this site, 17-7/21-13. Bama was outrushed 139-33 in last year's game; they've lost last three SEC games, scoring 14.3 ppg, but are 3-1 vs. spread as dog this year. Auburn got whacked by Auburn last week; they're 9-2 SU, but 1-7 vs. spread in last eight.

    Arizona live team again with Tuitama back under center; UofA posted upset wins last two weeks, scoring 25.5 ppg; they're 4-11 vs. spread in last 15 games vs. Ducks, in series where road team covered five of last seven. Oregon is 4-0 at home vs. I-A teams, winning by 38,1,10,20 points- they fought hard in loss at USC last week. Six of last seven Arizona games and three of last four Oregon games stayed under total.

    BYU on serious roll, winning, covering last seven games, with three of last five wins by 30+ points. Visiting team won last five New Mexico-BYU games, with Lobos taking last two visits to Provo, 20-16/21-14, both as road dogs, in low scoring series where average total has been around 39. Cougars are 5-0 as home favorite this season, winning by 25,38, 30,45,48 points. Lobos are 5-5, covering last four games; their worst loss is 17.

    San Diego State split last four games after 0-5 start, but one of losses was vs. I-AA team; they lost 23-20 at home to TCU LY, getting outrushed 299-125. Aztecs are 0-4 on road this year (1-2-1 as road dog) losing by 14,21,30,3 points. TCU won last four games, is 7-2, but have only one I-A win, (26-3 vs. Wyoming) by more than 15 points. Five of last seven TCU games stayed under the total.

    UNLV in total freefall, losing last nine games, covering one of last eight; they've been outscored 85-13 in first half of their last four games. Road team covered seven of last 9 in high-scoring series, where Wyoming's last two visits to Strip ended in 49-48 OT loss and 53-45 OT win- dogs covered 7 of last ten in series. Cowboys need win for 6-6 season and possible bowl invite (they bring lot of fans).

    Marshall lost 31-3 at UTEP LY (+13), but Miners lost three of last four road games, and gave up 26.5 ppg in last six games, despite +10 turnover ratio during that time. Herd won three of last four games but lost 33-20 last week at East Carolina; they scored 42,41 pts in winning last two home games. UTEP is 4-1 when they allow less than 30 points. Last five Marshall games all went over the total.

    Fresno State ended 7-game skid last week with a non-covering

    23-18 win vs. New Mexico State; they're 1-11 vs. spread in last dozen games, and trailed at half in last five. Idaho lost last three games, allowing 51.7 peg; they're 3-3 as road dog this season. Last year, Bulldogs routed Idaho 40-10, outscoring Vandals 24-0 in second half, scoring TDs on blocked punt and a punt return.

    Every Washington QB is hurt, except for prize freshman Locker, who is red-shirting so he still has four years left to play. Problem is, Bonnell has to play here with bruised leg because Durocher got concussion last week, and Washington already lost last six games, while Wazzu is looking for third straight series win for first time in 98 years. Dog is 4-1 vs. spread in last five Apple Cups, with last two played here both decided by FG. Huskies covered five of last six in series.

    Other than Ohio State, I think Arkansas is best team in country, but trap game here for Hogs, in Tennessee/LSU sandwich, vs. improving Miss State squad that beat Alabama last time out, and lost by FG each in previous two games. Underdog is 11-3 vs. spread in series, with Hogs winning last two visits here, 26-19/24-21, as host covered last four in series. Arkansas is 3-0 on road, winning by 2,17,6 points.

    Paterno expected to be in press box for Senior Day in Happy Valley; home side is 10-3 vs. spread in last 13 Michigan State-Penn State games, with Spartans losing last two visits here (61-7 /37-13); average series total is 65. Spartans are 4-11-1 vs. spread in last 16 November road games; they're 0-8 vs. spread in last eight games overall, failing to cover their last four tries as the underdog.

    Kansas State off upset win over Texas, are 7-4, going bowling, while this is shot at bowl game for 5-5 Kansas squad that goes to Missouri next week. K-State covered 11 of last 12 games vs. Kansas, but with Snyder gone, this is start of new era in rivalry; Wildcats lost last visit to Lawrence, 31-28 and beat KU 12-3 at home LY, despite getting outgained 109-35 on ground.

    Miami lost last three games, by 1,7,7 points; their starting QB has broken thumb, one of their best linemen was murdered last week and at 5-5, there's a coaching change coming soon, but they did win last two games vs. Virginia (31-21/25-17) team that lost 33-0 at 5-5 Florida State two weeks ago. Virginia has three wins and two shutouts; their other win was in OT. Am not very enthusiastic about either side here.

    Maryland is 7-2, winning last five games, all by six or less pts; they covered last three tries as underdog, but lost 31-16 at home to Boston College LY (TY 451-363). BC won five of last six games; they have Turkey Day game at Miami in just five days. Terps are 2-2 on road, with last three decided by total of seven points. Five of last six BC games stayed under total.

    Air Force lost three of last four games, covered one of last six; 11 of their last 15 games vs. Utah were decided by seven or less pts, with last two here decided by total of three (38-37A/45-43U, in OT). Falcons covered seven of last nine series games, with average total in last 20 meetings a hefty 64. Utes allowed 33.5 peg in losing last two road games, but they've won two in row at home since, scoring 40 ppg- their last four games went over.

    UAB lost last four games, by 1,7,13,19 points, and covered just two of last nine; they're 1-2 vs. spread as dog, with only two of their seven losses by more than 13 pts. Blazers ost last five games vs. Southern Miss by average score of 20-15, losing last two series home games, 3-0/26-21. Eagles scored 36.5 ppg in winning last two games, running ball for total of 480 yards, as they prepare to go back to a bowl.

    Nevada has big WAC game with Boise on deck, first visits Louisiana Tech squad that beat Wolf Pack last two times teams met in Ruston (50-47/38-21). Last year's 37-27 Nevada win was their first in last five series games, but Tech lost six of last eight games and is 2-8 vs. spread this year, while Nevada won four in row and seven of last eight games, covering all eight; they're 2-3 on road, winning by 28,38 points.

    Cal had won eight in row before stumbling at Arizona last week; now, team lot of folks think is better than USC, and last team to beat Trojans in Coliseum, invades LA in series where road team covered eight of last ten series games. Bears lost tough games in last two visits here (30-28/23-17). Cal is 7-3-1 vs. spread in last 11 tries as Pac-10 road dog. Trojans outscored two foes 77-10 since loss at Oregon State.

    UCLA ended its four-game skid last week, beating Beavers 25-7, while Arizona State won for third time in last four games, and are bowl eligible with 47-14 rout of banged-up Wazzu. Underdog is 4-1-1 in last six series games, with three of last four series totals 80+. Bruins outgained ASU 660-515 in wild 45-35 win LY; they're 0-4 on road this season, losing by 10,103,14 points. Seven of last nine UCLA games stayed under total.

    Former Rainbow coach Tomey has San Jose 6-3, bowl eligible, but Hawai'i won last seven games, covered last five, scoring a ridiculous 57.7 ppg during win streak. After giving up 69 points in first two games, both vs. Pac-10 teams, San Jose hasn't given up more than 23 in a game; they're 4-1 vs. spread as dog this season. Hawai'i QB Brennan is only 11 TDs shy of single season record, and he has three games left.

    Kentucky on cloud nine at 6-4 and bowl eligible; they scored 32 ppg in winning last three games and are 4-0 vs. spread as fave this year, though most pts they've laid this year is 6.5. Monroe snapped seven-game skid last week, beating FIU squad that fired its coach after the loss; ULM is 5-1 vs. spread on road this year, covering as big dog at Kansas (19-21), Arkansas (10-44), but not at Alabama (7-41).

    FIU coach Strock "resigned" after ULM loss, winless Panthers, who've lost last three games by combined score of 108-3, after dropping five of first games by five or less points, are playing out string and hosting UL-Lafayette squad on three-game skid- their last two wins are by 3,6 points, but both did come on road. Cajuns won last three series games by 33,9,21 points.

    Troy now 4-0 in Sun Belt, headed towards showdown with Middle Tennessee for league crown; only one of their four Sun Belt wins is by more than seven points, so hard to lay lumber vs Arkansas State squad that's been outscored 94-10 in last three games. This is ASU's first Sun Belt visit to Troy; then won home games vs. Trojans, 13-9/9-3; again, history of low-scoring games discourages laying points.

    Middle Tennesse won, covered last six games, scoring 34+ pts in five of six games, but are way up in class here, vs. S Carolina squad smarting after three tough losses to Tennessee (24-31), Arkansas (20-26), Florida (16-17); at 5-5, Gamecocks need win to be bowl eligible. MTSU coach Stockstill was SC's recruiting coordinator last year; his team has league title game next week, when they host Troy in showdown.

    North Texas playing under lame-duck coach- they went out and beat UL-Lafayette last week, after firing was announced. UNT lost last two years to FAU (26-23/20-13) and were outrushed 227-161 in LY's game. Owls lost last two weeks, scoring 15.5 ppg. North Texas is 0-2 as favorite this year, and scored 16 or less in six of last eight games. Six of last nine UNT games stayed under total

    phantom

    posted by phantom

    Nov. 18 2006 1:43am
  45. 0 likes

    Lexus Sports

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    10*Michigan

    phantom

    posted by phantom

    Nov. 18 2006 1:46am
  46. 0 likes

    Larry Ness' 20* Rivalry GOY

    Ron Prince has done a GREAT job in his first year at Manhattan, capped by last week's upset of Texas. On the heels of that 45-42 win, he must get his team ready to face in-state rival Kansas Former coach Bill Snyder always took the Kansas game seriously and his Wildcats dominated the Jayhawks over the years. Recently, KSU has gone 11-1 SU and ATS over Kansas but the dynamics of this year's meeting are different. The Jayhawks can become bowl-eligible with a win here, while not only is Kansas St already there (school is 7-4 after back-to-back losing seasons) but the Wildcats are off the Texas win. KSU freshman QB Josh Freeman has come on after a slow start, completing 71.4% of his passes for an average of 227 YPG with six TDPs and just two INTs in KSU's three-game winnings streak. However, the Wildcats have played just THREE road games all year, having beaten only 2-9 Colorado, while losing 17-3 at Baylor and 41-21 at Missouri. By the way, Freeman was just 11-of-33 at Baylor with three INTs and no TDs plus just 5-of-19 for 63 yards at Missouri with two INTs and again, no TDs. The Jayhawks have won 10 of their last 12 home games and QB Meier is off his best game of the season (17-of-22 with two TDPs vs Iowa St). RB Jon Cornish (1,130 YR / 5.4 YPC) gives Kansas a running threat that KSU lacks and while Kansas is coming off a bye, KSU is playing for the 12th straight weekend. KSU has had a nice bounce-back year under Prince but the team has won just THREE of its last 12 away from Manhattan and off the Texas win, is in a very tough spot emotionally. This is the perfect set-up for Mangini's Kansas team and the Jayhawks won't miss the opportunity. Rivalry Game of the Year 20* Kansas.

    Larry Ness' Las Vegas Insider-CFB

    Skip Holtz has done a remarkable job at East Carolina. The team was just 5-6 LY in his first year but 8-3 ATS. In 2006, he's kept up his winning ways ATS (9-1) but also has the team at 6-4 SU and with a win can clinch a spot in the C-USA title game. However, Todd Graham of Rice has done an equally good job and Rice comes in the hotter team. Rice opened 0-4 but then won over Army. The Owls lost at Tulane next but have since won four straight games outright, as underdogs (the last three on the road and are now 5-5)! They have averaged 38 PPG in that run and QB Chase Clement has been great. He missed the team's brutal three-game stretch vs UCLA, Texas and Fla St but has played in seven games TY. He's completing 59% for almost 229 YPG with 18 TDPs and just three INTs! The Rice rushing game averages 140.7 YPG (4.2) and will offer the East Carolina D a stern test. The Rice defense stinks but East Carolina can't run (110.6 YPG / 3.2 YPC) and while QB Pinkney had a huge game LW (21-of-27 for 270 yards), he's thrown just eight TDPs with eight INTs on the year. In his last two road games, he's averaged just 166 YPG in the air with no TDPs and four INTs. There's a lot of pressure on East Carolina and Rice is rolling. With a win here and next week vs SMU (also at home and SMU is 1-4 on the road TY), the Owls would get to 7-5 and could go bowling for the first time since 1961! It's Homecoming at Rice and believe it or not, the team is 6-1-1 ATS its last eight Homecoming games. Rice wins again as a dog (no respect!) Las Vegas Insider on Rice.

    phantom

    posted by phantom

    Nov. 18 2006 1:57am
  47. 0 likes

    Aplay

    Va tech

    Athlon Spts(pr)

    Maryland--Minnesota--Kansas St--Michigan

    Ben Burns

    M Tenn St

    Big Al(sp)

    South Florida--Minnesota*--Washington--GOY=OregonGOY=Kansas--Michigan--GOM=Cincinnati--Virginia

    Billy Coleman

    Purdue

    Brain Gabrielle

    Rutgers

    Buzz Daly

    Va Tech--N.C. St--Vanderbilt--Miss St--Kan State +2.0Ohio State--BYU--LSU

    Cajun Spts

    GOW=Tx Tech

    Dave Cokin(sp)

    So Miss--Penn St--Uconn--UL La--Bo Coll

    Docs Enterprise

    Te Tech--MICH--PUR Ov--MISS St--PENN STCincinati--Kansas

    Docs Spts(sp)

    Penn St--Tx Tech--MichiganOregon--Miss St--Purdue ov

    Dr Bob(sp)

    Bo College--Army--PurdueW Forest--Oregon--La tech

    Erik Smith(pr)

    Buffalo--Army--Bo College--Michigan

    Fearless(pr)

    Michigan--Auburn--Rutgers--Oklahoma St

    Gameday

    Louisville

    Gold Sheet(wup)

    N'western--Tx Tech--No Dame--Alabama

    Greg Roberts

    Miss St--BYU--Mi Fla Un--Cinci Un

    Hanks Spts(pr)

    Louis--Wisc--W Forest

    Harmon Forecast(wup)

    Buffalo--Minnesota--Uconn

    Joe Gavazzi(sp)

    Florida St--Rutgers--GOY=Uconn

    Kelso Sturgeon(sp)

    GOY=Calif

    Kevin O.Neill(wup)

    W Forest--Michigan--Bama--Maryland

    Kiddz Corner

    Ohio St

    Larry Ness(sp)

    Bo. College--Tenn--Tex Tech--Va Tech--Calif

    Linemover

    South Fla--Minnesota--Vandy--Miss St--Ohio StAuburn--Va Tech--Miss--San Jose St

    LT Profits

    Ark St--SMU

    Malinsky

    Maryland

    Marc Lawerence(wup)

    Michigan--Alabama--Iowa--Bo College

    Mark Mayer

    Minn--FSU--So Fla--Va--DukeSo Miss--UNR--No Dame--Wy

    Mighty Quinn

    BB=California

    Norm Hitzges(pr)

    B College--navy--N Carolina

    Northcoast

    Cinci

    NY Post(sulivan)

    BB=B Coll--Auburn--Louis

    Pointwise(wup)

    UNR--Penn St--Tx Tech

    Power Sweep(wup)

    BYU--Houston--Navy--Arizona St

    Pure Profit(sp)

    Florida State--M.Tennessee St--Missouri--MarylandUSC--Ohio State

    Red Sheet(wup)

    Bama--FSU--Kentucky--N Dame--Kansas

    Rich Saber

    Missouri--Houston--Oklahoma--OregonBYU--Penn St--Kansas St--So MissUNR--Hawaii--W Forest & Un

    Scotts Pks(pr)

    Arkansas--No Dame--Bosie--Oklahoma

    Special K(sp)

    W Virgina--Louis--GOW=Michigan

    Sports Reporter(wup)

    Missouri--Navy--Kansas--Penn St

    Sunshine F'cast(pr)

    Ohio St--USC--Hawaii

    Tony George

    BYU

    Trace Adams

    DUKE--N.CAROLINA--IOWA ST--ALABAMAUSC--PENN STATE--BYU

    Wayne Root(sp)

    Virginia Tech--California--Cincinnati--Air Force--Kansas

    Winning Points(wup)

    BB=Bama--Illionis

    phantom

    posted by phantom

    Nov. 18 2006 12:52pm
  48. 0 likes

    ROCKYS WINNER CIRCLE

    College Blowout GOY

    Texas Tech

    Golden Nugget GOW

    Virginia

    phantom

    posted by phantom

    Nov. 18 2006 12:52pm
  49. 0 likes

    1. A-play 20-kan, 10-vt, Af, Pur Over, Usc Over

    2. Ats 8-kan, 7-ariz St, Cin, 6-ariz, Nc, 5-usc

    3. Bankers 500-iowa

    4. Big Money Iowa St

    5. Blazer 4-wash, 3-iowa, Ariz, Sd St

    6. Carolina Sports 1 4-utep, 3-kan, Cin

    7. Doc's Enterprises 8t 6-tt, 5-mich, 4-pur Over, Miss St, Penn St, Cn, Kan

    8. Dr. Bob 3 2-purd, Ore, La Tech, Op: Wf, Army, Bc

    9. Friends Of Mike Lee 8-mich, S Fla, 6-rut, Vandy, N Mex, Ark

    10. Gameday 2 4-louis

    11. Headquarters 5-tt, Cn, Ohio St

    12. Inside Info 3-tt, Ohio St, 2-uab, Rice

    13. J.b. 2-ind, Ore, Af

    14. Lenny Stevens 10t 20-ore, Ariz St, 10-cn, Mich, Penn St

    15. Lt Profits 2-iowa, Ill, Cn

    16. Nationwide (goldsheet) Super 7: Penn St, Top: Md, Reg, Idaho, Ucla, Haw

    17. Neri 6 4-ore, Ark, 3-pur, Hou, Lsu

    18. Northcoast 4-ore St, Haw, Tt, Cn, 3-tv, Mia-fl, Kan

    19. Pointwise 10t 4-penn St, Ala, 3-mizz, Byu, Haw, Kan, Nev, Nd

    20. Preferred Picks 10 Game Of Year: Michigan, 4-kan, Cn, Ala, Miss St

    21. Private Players 8t 5-tt, 4-mich, 3-penn St, Kan, S Miss

    22. Score 5 500-ark, 400-wf, Bc, Rice

    23. Sycamore La Tech, Utep, Unlv, Cn

    24. Underdog 4 Pass

    25. Wildcat 7 10-smu, 7-wf, 5-tulane, Smu Over

    phantom

    posted by phantom

    Nov. 18 2006 3:09pm

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