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THE GOLD SHEET
SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 12
Kansas City 27 - MIAMI 20--Break up the Dolphins (!), winless until their stunner vs. the then 7-0 Bears last week in Chicago. Trent Green is back at practice, but don't expect him to start this game, especially with Damon Huard (former Dolphin) playing so well (11 TDs, only 1 int.). Kudos to Ronnie Brown for his 157 YR vs. Bears, but Larry Johnson (816 TY; 459 last 3 weeks) is more dangerous. K.C. "over" 5-0-1 last 6. Miami only 6-21 vs. spread last 27 at home. (05-K. City +1' 30-20...SR: Miami 13-12)
(05-K. City 30-MIAMI 20...K.24-9 K.45/185 M.14/94 K.20/34/0/277 M.12/31/1/192 K.0 M.0)
JACKSONVILLE 31 - Houston 10--Payback time for Jags, whose poor performance by gimpy QB Leftwich (14 of 28; missed open recs. Oct. 14 at Houston) eventuated in nifty backup Garrard (6-0-1 vs. spread 2005-06) starting and winning Jacksonville's last two games. Houston QB Carr hitting 70% under tutelage of HC Kubiak, but has infuriated his HC with 10 fumbles, losing 5. However, bigger problem is a "D" with only 2 ints. in '06! Jags 4-0 vs. spread at home TY, allowing only 6 ppg.
(06-HOU. 27-Jack. 7...H.21-14 H.34/131 J.25/102 H.25/34/0/218 J.14/28/0/118 H.0 J.2)
(05-JACK. 21-Hou. 14...J.18-17 J.27/98 H.23/88 J.19/25/0/214 H.22/30/0/191 J.0 H.1)
(05-Jack. 38-HOU. 20...J.30-18 J.33/172 H.29/107 J.18/31/0/276 H.19/29/1/263 J.0 H.0)
(06-HOU. +9 27-7; 05-JACK. -13' 21-14, Jack. -6 38-20...SR: Houston 5-4)
CINCINNATI 27 - San Diego 24--Bengal QB Carson Palmer glad that S.D.'s Shawne Merriman (8½ sacks) is serving his 4-game NFL suspension, as that should help Cincy end recent two-game slide. "Ocho Cinco" was held to only quatro recs. at Baltimore, but should find much more room this week. LaDainian Tomlimson (838 YR) will have his moments vs. Cincy's injured LBs, but more-seasoned Palmer wins the shootout vs. Philip Rivers. (03-Cincinnati -3 34-27...SR: San Diego 17-11)
ATLANTA 31 - Cleveland 13--Falcons tend to wear down visitors with their speedy ground game, going 3-1 vs. the spread at home. And Atlanta in the right frame of mind after poor showing last week in Detroit. Browns were out-rushed 190-89 last week in S.D.; deficit could be worse this week vs. Michael Vick (576 YR), Warrick Dunn & Jerious Norwood. Young Browns offense has 20 giveaways. (02-CLEVELAND +2' 24-16...SR: Cleveland 9-2)
Baltimore 30 - TENNESSEE 14--Steve McNair returns with his new team to Tennessee, where management disrespected him this summer in their contract dispute. Fortunately for McNair, he brings a much stronger defense with him than that owned by rebuilding host. McNair, of course, has lots of info on his old team, but Titans have also changed lots of things to adapt to Vince Young (only 15 of 36, 3 ints. last week vs. Jags). Ravens 2-0 with HC Billick calling the plays.
(05-TENN. 25-Balt. 10...T.16-12 T.29/97 B.13/14 T.19/37/0/193 B.25/41/1/168 T.1 B.1)
(05-TENNESSEE +3' 25-10...SR: EVEN 8-8)
INDIANAPOLIS 30 - Buffalo 10--Bills used part of their recent bye week to shuffle their OL, moving Jason Peters (TE in college) from RT to LT, sliding veteran Mike Gandy from LT to LG, and inserting 7th-round pick Terrance Pennington at RT. Then they went out and gained all of 184 yards vs. G.B. after losing top rusher McGahee (579 Y) in the first Q. FS Bob Sanders returned to help Indy's defense at N.E. Peyton Manning (17 TDs, 2 ints.) at peak level. (03-Indy -3 17-14...SR: Buffalo 34-29-1)
PITTSBURGH 27 - New Orleans 26--With all their misfortunes and injuries, champs being hit hard by the Super Bowl "jinx," as they've already lost more games (6) than all of LY. QB Roethlisberger (7 TDs, 14 ints.!) still making rash decisions, while Drew Brees of Saints the other way around (14 TDs, 7 ints.), and rookie of the year candidate WR Colston has 44 recs.! Even with their rugged defense, Steelers "over" 13-0-1 last 14 at home, and 33-9-1 last 43 at Heinz!
(02-NEW ORLEANS -3 32-29...SR: EVEN 6-6)
Washington 27 - PHILADELPHIA 24--Did Eagles enjoy their 38-24 victory over "T.O." and Dallas too much? They are 0-3 since, collecting only 3 sacks, being hammered for 209 YR by Jacksonville just before their bye week. Still, Washington was last in sacks through Week Eight, and WR S. Moss (check status) was out with a sore hamstring. But with their own softening defense, Eagles only 4-9 last 13 when favored. Narrow win last week vs. Dallas gives 3-6 Redskins new hope.
(05-WASH. 17-Phil. 10...17-17 W.29/78 P.23/45 P.22/35/1/291 W.21/29/0/215 W.1 P.0)
(05-Wash. 31-PHIL. 20...P.18-14 W.36/151 P.25/96 P.21/42/2/239 W.9/25/1/128 W.0 P.4)
(05-WASHINGTON -3 17-10, Washington -7' 31-20...SR: Washington 75-62-5)
*NY GIANTS 23 - Chicago 16--Rowdy Bears brought back to earth by Miami last week, committing 6 more turnovers! Now they take to the road, where Chicago has barely edged Minny & Arizona last two excursions, committing combined 8 TOs (6 ints.) in those games. Potential NFL playoff edges at stake, but N.Y. was missing four starters (WR Burress, DE Umenyiora, LB Short, CB Madison) last week vs. Houston, and DE Strahan (foot) left the game, while LB Brian Urlacher (foot) & WR Berrian did not finish for Chicago! TV--NBC
(04-Chicago +9 28-21...SR: Chicago 31-20-2)
MINNESOTA 16 - Green Bay 15--Good defense and their "dink, dink, dink" offense has led to tight, defensive-oriented wars in most Vikes' games (only 2 "overs" TY). And can envision another nail-biter in this bitter rivalry. Rookie Gs in G.B. lineup run-blocking much better (Ahman Green 3 straight 100-yard games), while DE Kampman (9½ sacks) & rookie LB Hawk giving Pack defense more bite. Brett Favre had been cutting his ints. until two costly ones last week at Buffalo.
(05-MINN. 23-G. Bay 20...M.24-19 M.26/108 G.23/45 G.29/37/0/329 M.23/31/0/255 M.1 G.0)
(05-Minn. 20-G. BAY 17...M.22-13 M.37/160 G.14/21 G.20/33/2/215 M.18/30/1/171 M.1 G.0)
(05-MINNESOTA P 23-20, Minnesota +5 20-17...SR: Minnesota 45-44-1)
OVER THE TOTAL NEW ENGLAND 34 - NY Jets 17--When Jets met Pats in Week Two, Tom Brady wasn't yet in sync with his new receivers. Now that he is, N.Y.'s low-ranking defense will be hard-pressed to get many stops, especially since it gives up 143 ypg and is likely to be pierced by RBs Dillon & Maroney. N.E. 10-1 vs. spread after a SU loss L3+Ys. Jets will keep firing, however, making a run at another "over" (N.Y. "over" 10-1 last 11).
(06-N. Eng. 24-JETS 17...Ne.24-16 Ne.39/147 Ny.24/51 Ny.22/37/1/286 Ne.15/29/1/211 Ne.1 Ny.0)
(05-N. ENG. 16-Jets 3...Ne.24-12 Ne.35/146 Ny.16/41 Ne.27/37/0/251 Ny.15/37/1/123 Ne.0 Ny.0)
(05-N. Eng. 31-JETS 21...Ne.26-10 Ne.50/151 Ny.10/40 Ne.19/30/1/170 Ny.14/26/1/131 Ne.0 Ny.2)
(06-New Eng. -6 24-17; 05-NEW ENG. -10 16-3, New Eng. -6' 31-21...SR: NY Jets 47-45-1)
DETROIT 26 - San Francisco 24--Detroit passing game (more than 250 yards 5 of last 6 games) a force, with Jon Kitna-Roy Williams connection flourishing (18 connections last 3 games). But don't trust beat-up, shorthanded Lion defense to contain improved Niner offense (such as it is). S.F. was 31st in ypg allowed until hosting offensively-limited Minny last week. (03-SAN FRANCISCO -7' 24-17...SR: San Francisco 32-27-1)
Denver 23 - OAKLAND 10--With its defense in control of things, Denver took few chances in first meeting Oct. 15, cruising to "boring" non-cover win. Still, Mike Shanahan is 16-5 SU (15-7-1 vs. spread) vs. his former employer. And Jake Plummer (3 TDs) got back on the beam last week vs. Steelers. Oakland's rebuilt defense coagulating with its talented young DBs, but offense (only 98 yards last home game; LaMont Jordan sore back--check status) still inconsistent. Eight of L10 in series "under."
(06-DENVER 13-Oak. 3...D.15-14 D.31/144 O.30/85 O.13/26/1/159 D.11/18/0/91 D.1 O.1)
(05-Denver 31-OAK. 17...O.20-18 D.38/121 O.17/60 O.26/50/3/275 D.16/22/0/205 D.2 O.0)
(05-DENVER 22-Oak. 3...D.24-15 D.40/155 O.17/87 D.19/29/1/259 O.17/41/1/161 D.0 O.1)
(06-DENVER -14 13-3; 05-Denver -3 31-17, DENVER -13' 22-3...SR: Oakland 54-38-2)
St. Louis 24 - SEATTLE 23--Shaun Alexander penciled to return for this game, but we've already heard that twice TY. So check his status, and that of QB Matt Hasselbeck (knee). Seahawks won a thriller in first meeting on 54-yard FG at end! However, with key contributors hurting for host, prefer fine skill players of underdog in rematch. QB Bulger has 13 TDs vs. only 1 int. under HC Linehan, who insisted on improved ball security TY.
(06-Sea. 30-ST. LOU. 28...St.21-20 Se.28/125 St.22/59 St.26/39/1/309 Se.19/34/0/239 Se.1 St.1)
(05-Sea. 37-ST. LOU. 31...Se.26-20 Se.30/134 St.17/77 St.26/40/1/309 Se.27/38/0/299 Se.0 St.1)
(05-SEA. 31-St. Lou. 16...St.22-21 Se.36/174 St.21/75 St.28/40/1/278 Se.17/29/2/243 Se.0 St.1)
(06-Seattle -3 30-28; 05-Seattle +3 37-31, SEATTLE -6' 31-16...SR: St. Louis 10-7)
Dallas 27 - ARIZONA 17--Is it possible Card players were more fond of ousted off. coord. Keith Rowen than of HC Denny Green? Cards 0-4 SU with rookie Matt Leinart at QB, and 0-2 vs. spread without Rowen designing the offense. However, their three losses at their new home field have been by 2, 3, and 1 point! But a lot of that edge went out the window last week, with Bill Parcells furious after suffering one of those "unbelievable" NFL losses last week.
(05-DALLAS 34-Ariz. 13...D.21-12 D.32/146 A.24/71 D.19/24/0/202 A.16/34/2/142 D.1 A.0)
(05-DALLAS -9 34-13...SR: Dallas 54-28-1)
MONDAY, NOVEMBER 13
*CAROLINA 23 - Tampa Bay 17--Despite their capable Steve Smith-led offense and intimidating Julius Peppers-led defense, Panthers (1-5-2 vs. the spread) have covered only one game TY! And Bucs' *talent is far better than their 2-6 record indicates. T.B. might play with a little extra incentive vs. Carolina, the team that battered Chris Simms, rupturing his spleen in first meeting. Backup Gradkowski has thrown only one int. TY! CABLE TV--ESPN
(06-Car. 26-T. BAY 24...C.22-13 C.28/101 T.25/64 C.22/36/0/249 T.14/25/1/145 C.3 T.0)
(05-Car. 34-T. BAY 14...T.18-15 C.32/77 T.18/44 T.25/42/2/226 C.11/18/0/210 C.0 T.2)
(05-T. Bay 20-CAR. 10...T.17-14 T.36/114 C.20/82 C.21/33/1/194 T.20/27/0/133 T.0 C.0)
(06-Car. -3 26-24; 05-Car. -1 34-14, T. Bay +5' 20-10...SR: Carolina 7-5)
MONDAY NIGHT HISTORY
Tampa Bay and Carolina on Monday Night
Tampa Bay is 2-4 SU and 2-4 vs. the spread on the road on MNF;
6-3 SU and 7-2 vs. the spread at home on MNF.
Carolina is 9-5 SU and 9-4-1 vs. the spread at home on MNF;
4-3 SU and 4-3 vs. the spread on the road on MNF..
NFL KEY RELEASES
JACKSONVILLE by 21 over Houston
ATLANTA by 18 over Cleveland
WASHINGTON by 3 over Philadelphia
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OVER THE TOTAL in the N.Y. Jet-New England game
THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 9
*AKRON 30 - Buffalo 17--Buffalo's 2nd-half explosion last week against Kent State a sign that the 2-7 Bulls haven't cashed it in just yet. RS frosh RB Starks (162 YR, 3 TDs vs. Flashes) had his best day, and sr. QB Paoli (193 YP, 1 TD) stepped in for injured starter Willy. Akron RB Kennedy (178 YR vs. BG) gave the offense some balance last week, but QB Getsy often under pressure and Zip defense is ordinary. CABLE TV--ESPNU
(05-Akron 13-BUF. 7...B.10-9 A.36/79 B.38/66 A.12/33/0/145 B.12/25/1/71 A.1 B.1)
(05-Akron -10 13-7 04-AKRON -9 44-21 03-Akron -15' 38-21...SR: Akron 7-0)
*Louisville 23 - RUTGERS 21--Little time for undefeated Louisville to celebrate home win over then-undefeated West Virginia, as Cards now face trip to undefeated Rutgers. Sure, L'ville's hopes for berth in national championship game more likely to be derailed by BCS rankings than by Scarlet Knights. And jr. QB Brohm rates big edge over still-raw Rutgers soph Teel. But Cards (only 3-7 vs. spread last 10 on road) likely to get all they can handle from happenin' host (18-7-1 last 26 as "short"), which has enough rushing (soph RB Rice is 2nd in nation with 161 ypg), defense (only 7 TDs allowed), and special teams to wage 60-minute battle. CABLE TV--ESPN
(05-LVL. 56-Rutgers 5...L.25-9 L.43/161 R.26/96 L.23/31/0/339 R.12/24/2/91 L.1 R.0)
(05-LOUISVILLE -21' 56-5...SR: Rutgers 4-1)
*BYU 35 - Wyoming 10--Since MWC frontrunner BYU continues to be a blue-chip investment (8-0-1 vs. spread), must lay it vs. Wyoming squad that barely escaped vs. lower-rung San Diego State. Cougars sizzling sr. QB John Beck (22 TDP, 3 ints.) raises his NFL stock with each game. Meanwhile, doubt Cowboys still-developing, mistake-prone attack (11 lost fumbles) able to sustain many drives vs. blitzing BYU defense that's permitted just one meaningful TD last 3 games.
(05-Byu 35-WYOMING 21...B.26-21 B.50/267 W.33/166 W.20/25/2/241 B.20/29/0/179 B.0 W.3)
(05-Byu -4 35-21 04-BYU -7' 24-13 03-WYO. +1 13-10...SR: BYU 39-30-3)
FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 10
CENTRAL MICHIGAN 24 - Western Michigan 23--Respect job RS frosh QB LeFevour has done for CMU in throwing for 261 ypg and 13 TDs with just 2 ints. in leading Chips to 4-1 SU mark last 5 games. Also realize RB Sneed has returned to top form last 2 games (261 YR, 5 TDs vs. BG & Temple). However, prefer WMU side that owns vastly superior defense (ranked 20th) and has balance of its own in QB Ryan Cubit (1306 YP, 11 TDP last 6 gms.) & RB Bonds (104 ypg rushing). TV--ESPNU
(05-WMU 31-C. Mich. 24...C.35-15 W.35/126 C.39/115 C.46/71/3/460 W.16/29/0/239 W.1 C.1)
(05-WMU -2' 31-24 04-CMU -7' 24-21 (OT) 03-WMU -9' 44-21...SR: W. Michigan 43-31-2)
*Utep 30 - UAB 24--Insiders say there's pressure building at UAB on longtime HC Watson Brown, who complains his Blazer defense lacks toughness. So does UTEP's. Still, malleable Miners likely to get enough stops to give prolific sr. QB Palmer (81 career TDP!) a chance to eke out SU win. Blazing UTEP sr. WR & return man Higgins (20 TDs last 1+ seasons) is most dangerous weapon on field. CABLE TV--ESPN2
(05-Uab 35-UTEP 23...Ut.30-22 Ua.45/189 Ut.43/148 Ut.33/52/3/337 Ua.11/17/1/184 Ua.1 Ut.1)
(05-Uab +7' 35-23...SR: UAB 1-0)
SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 11
MARYLAND 19 - Miami-Florida 13--Resurgent Maryland has won 4 straight & covered 4 of last 5. Miami still has more athletes on defense than Terps. But will that be enough to compensate for staggering Hurricane attack (16 TDs, 14 giveaways vs. Div. I-A foes TY)? Deliberate host (only 6 turnovers last 6 games) taking righteous care of rock with composed sr. QB Hollenbach at helm. (DNP...SR: EVEN 7-7)
Purdue 17 - ILLINOIS 15--Purdue has slowed to a walk last 3 games, as Boilermaker offense has just 2 TDs in last 3 games and hasn't run for 100 yards in last 4. Illinois showed some moxie in standing up to No. 1 Ohio State last week, holding Buckeye attack to season-low 224 yards and 17 points. Illini defense ranks respectable 26th, while rushing attack is generating 174 ypg rushing. Underdog has covered last 8 Illinois games!
(05-PURD. 37-Ill. 3...P.26-15 P.47/190 I.42/168 P.18/26/1/201 I.11/28/3/97 P.0 I.1)
(05-PURDUE -23 37-3 04-Purdue -21' 38-30 03-PURDUE -14 43-10...SR: Illinois 44-36-4)
PENN STATE 37 - Temple 7--Temple certainly not pretty to watch, but Owls' 5-1 spread record last 6 games has backers smiling. Penn State offense far from explosive (85th in scoring), and HC Joe Paterno (injured knee; check status) will probably ease up a bit on Temple HC Al Golden, who started at TE for Joe Pa in '90 & '91.
(03-PENN STATE -25 23-10...SR: Penn State 31-3-1)
SOUTH FLORIDA 20 - Syracuse 16--Resourceful RS frosh QB Grothe (check status) led USF to likely bowl-clinching win over Pitt before hobbling off with foot injury last week. With or without him, Bulls won't easily extend margin against speedy Syracuse "D" that's desperate to help Orange end 11-game Big East losing streak.
(05-S. Fla. 27-SYR. 0...Sf.20-12 Sf.51/338 Sy.37/117 Sf.5/14/1/89 Sy.8/26/3/65 Sf.0 Sy.0)
(05-South Florida -7' 27-0...SR: South Florida 1-0)
Michigan 31 - INDIANA 16--Expect Michigan to use this as a dress rehearsal for highly-anticipated visit to Columbus next week, but Wolverines don't figure to risk injury by pushing starters just to extend lead. Indiana's defense has shown extreme vulnerability at times, but Hoosier QB K. Lewis has 732 yds. total offense & 8 TDP last 2 games, so backdoor cover vs. No. 2 Wolverine defensive lineup a possibility.
(05-MICH. 41-Ind. 14...M.26-9 M.49/216 I.28/63 M.23/37/0/209 I.13/30/1/147 M.1 I.0)
(05-MICH. -25' 41-14 04-Mich. -18 35-14 03-MICH. -34 31-17...SR: Michigan 49-9)
Wisconsin 21 - IOWA 13--Wisconsin owns one of the strongest defenses in the country, as Badgers allow fewer than 12 ppg. Iowa offensive production down markedly this season, as injuries and graduation have resulted in a 1-8 spread mark and a pair of SU losses at previously formidable Kinnick Stadium (2-2 SU last 4 after winning 25 of previous 26 at home). Badgers solid in all phases of game, and RB P.J. Hill recovered from neck injury suffered vs. Illinois to run for 148 yds. vs. Penn State.
(05-Iowa 20-WIS. 10...I.21-16 I.37/166 W.31/19 W.21/38/0/257 I.21/34/1/224 I.1 W.0)
(05-Iowa +2' 20-10 04-IOWA -3 30-7 03-Iowa +2' 27-21...SR: Iowa 40-39-2)
BOSTON COLLEGE 33 - Duke 10--Doormat Duke (outscored 92-19 in first half of last 4 games) tends to lose touch early. However, not sure blue-collar BC will be that interested in scaling this pointspread mountain after depressing loss at Wake.
(DNP...SR: Boston College 2-1)
Georgia Tech 32 - NORTH CAROLINA 13--Carolina showing some fight since ax fell on lame-duck HC Bunting. But Tech looking to secure spot in ACC title game. Sr. QB Ball, underrated RB Choice (100+ YR in 4 of last 5), and star WR C. Johnson enough to get job done. Spread result likely hinges on how well volatile Heel QB Dailey keeps his composure against blitzing Ramblin' Wreck defense.
(05-GA. TECH 27-N. Car. 21...G.20-15 G.33/122 N.26/61 G.25/48/0/353 N.18/39/3/280 G.0 N.0)
(05-TECH -12' 27-21 04-UNC +8 34-13 03-TECH -10 41-24...SR: Georgia Tech 21-17-3)
WEST VIRGINIA 41 - Cincinnati 14--Sure, West Va. might be flat after Louisville let the air out of its BCS hopes. But focused effort from angry Mountaineers more likely under fiery HC Rodriguez. Cincy has extra prep time & 5 covers in last 6 games. But pedestrian Bearcat attack severely outgunned by Slaton, White & Co.
(05-W. Va. 38-CINCY 0...W.17-15 W.50/297 C.33/62 C.21/29/2/207 W.8/13/0/109 W.0 C.2)
(05-Wvu -14 38-0 03-Cincy +7 15-13...SR: West Virginia 12-1-1)
FLORIDA STATE 24 - Wake Forest 21--Proud Fla. State would love to deliver a "message" to upstart 8-1 Wake, which leads Seminoles in ACC's Atlantic Divison. And no surprise if FSU emerges with SU win now that mobile QB Lee is sparking attack. Nothing seems to come easy against disciplined Deacons (13-6 last 19 as dog), however. HC Grobe now has some defensive depth to go with his offensive guts & guile.
(05-FLA. ST. 41-W. For. 24...F.27-15 W.43/247 F.36/192 F.24/37/0/395 W.18/25/0/168 F.0 W.0)
(05-FSU -21 41-24 04-Fsu -13' 20-17 03-FSU -19 48-24...SR: Florida State 21-2-1)
KENTUCKY 34 - Vanderbilt 28--Since coming 5-4 Kentucky needs just one more win to gain bowl bid and save well-liked HC Brooks' job, prefer to lay small number vs. hard-trying but banged-up Vandy. Wildcats seasoned QB Woodson (60%, 20 TDP)--able to work play-action with emerging, speedy RS frosh RB A. Smith (158 YR in 36 carries last two games)--figures to outduel Vandy's athletic but less-experienced triggerman Nickson. UK's beleaguered defense played its best H of year in limiting Georgia to just one TD after intermission in 24-20 upset last week!
(05-Ky. 48-VANDY 43...V.30-16 K.43/210 V.27/119 V.39/67/0/395 K.12/20/1/155 K.1 V.3)
(05-Ky. +11' 48-43 04-KY. +3 14-13 03-VANDY +6' 28-17...SR: EVEN 37-37-4)
EAST CAROLINA 31 - Marshall 16--Final home game for bankroll-buddy ECU (covered 16 of 20 last 1+ seasons!), which needs one more win to be eligible for first bowl game since 2001. Star RB Bradshaw & sr. QB Skinner (5 TD passes last 2 games) not quite enough for Marshall to deny Pirates & cool sr. QB Pinkney.
(05-E. Car. 34-MAR. 29...E.25-22 E.45/245 M.34/199 E.17/25/1/219 M.26/35/1/191 E.1 M.1)
(05-East Carolina +5' 34-29...SR: East Carolina 5-2)
Navy 35 - EASTERN MICHIGAN 17--Disciplined Navy showed remarkable progress at Duke, running for 435 yds. with backup QB Kaheaku-Enhada (119 YR) at the controls. Middie ground attack is tops in the country despite losing starting QB Hampton to injury Nov. 14. EMU has covered 4 straight, but Eagle rush defense ranks 113th in the country, and this game is being played indoors on a fast track at Ford Field in Detroit.
(03-NAVY -14 39-7...SR: Navy 1-0)
VIRGINIA TECH 41 - Kent State 3--Surprising bloom off Kent's rose after two straight losses. Rest of Flashes' now-fallow garden will be plowed under by Tech RB Ore & hellacious Hokie defense. If Kent QB Edelman and RB Jarvis had difficulty dealing with the Bull defense at Buffalo last week, they aren't going to like what they see across the line from them in this game. VT ranks 3rd in the nation defensively and is 13-4 laying DDs at Blacksburg since 2003. (DNP...SR: EVEN 1-1)
UTAH 31 - Colorado State 13--Fading CSU (4 straight losses, 1-3 vs. spread) in midst of its typical late-season swoon, while rested, motivated Utah, goes bowling with one more win. Rams bruised QB Hanie (sacked 34 times!), who is seriously hampered sans a creditble ground game (only 2 ypc) finds no relief vs. fresh Ute defense, spearheaded by ominpresent DB leader Weddle. Rams (outscored 34-0 in the 4th Q of their 5 losses) have generated just 2 TDs over last 10 Qs!
(05-COLO. ST. 21-Utah 17...18-18 U.45/170 C.30/151 U.15/27/2/255 C.18/26/1/226 C.0 U.0)
(05-CSU -4' 21-17 04-UTAH -26 63-31 03-Utah +6' 28-21...SR: Utah 28-17-2)
TEXAS A&M 28 - Nebraska 17--Nebraska needs just one more win to clinch the Big XII North, but Huskers will have to wait until they return home to Lincoln and face 1-9 Colorado Nov. 24. Don't trust Husker defense to control hot A&M (5 straight covers) at College Station, especially considering NU gave up 41 points in last road game at Oklahoma State. Aggies' balanced attack of QB McGee (only 2 int. in 243 pass attempts this season), power guy Lane (18 TDR) & frosh speedster Goodson (127 YR vs. Oklahoma) produces just enough points. (03-NEBRASKA -10 48-12...SR: Nebraska 9-2)
ARKANSAS 28 - Tennessee 20--Prefer to side with confident 8-1 Arkansas squad that nicely balanced its devastating ground attack (ranked 4th nationallly) with efficient passing from 6-2 soph QB Dick (replaced ineffective Mustain), who completed 11 of 19 for 228 yds. in 26-20 win at South Carolina. With injured QB Ainge (seeTicker) & RB Foster (arrested on Sunday; check status) iffy, not sure UT able to bounce back from last-second loss vs. LSU. UT's excitable RS frosh backup QB Crompton sure to see a variety of d.c. Herring-installed blitz packages. (DNP...SR: Tennessee 12-2)
TULANE 32 - Southern Miss 28--Permissive Tulane's defense has shown more "hang-in-there" at home than on road. Green Wave sr. QB Ricard & jr. RB Forte combine to trump true frosh USM star RB Fletcher.
(05-S. MISS 26-Tulane 7...T.17-15 S.38/136 T.32/111 S.18/30/0/276 T.11/27/2/155 S.0 T.0)
(05-USM -21 26-7 04-Usm -13' 32-14 03-USM -17' 28-14...SR: Southern Miss 20-7)
TULSA 33 - Rice 24--After stellar pointspread run, well-coached Tulsa has failed to cover last 2. Can Hurricanes play "keepaway" from burgeoning Rice attack? Soph QB Clement (17 TDP, only 4 ints. TY), soph WR Dillard (TDC in 11 straight games), and sr. RB Q. Smith (354 YR & 6 TDs last 2 games) trying to get renascent Owls (won & covered 4 of last 5) back to bowl game for first time since 1961!
(05-Tulsa 41-RICE 21...R.19-18 R.59/231 T.34/178 T.18/24/1/205 R.8/21/2/85 T.0 R.2)
(05-Tulsa -7 41-21 04-TULSA +1 39-22 03-Tulsa -3 31-28...SR: Rice 6-4-1)
SMU 28 - Houston 26--Like Rice, former Southwest Conference member SMU hoping to end long postseason drought. Mustangs have just enough defense to give blossoming RS frosh QB Willis (20 TDP, only 4 ints.) a chance to best more established star Houston sr. QB Kolb (22 TDP & just 3 picks TY).
(05-Smu 29-HOU. 24...H.24-16 S.36/124 H.40/119 H.25/36/2/273 S.12/27/1/117 S.1 H.1)
(05-Smu +12' 29-24...SR: Houston 11-9-1)
AUBURN 23 - Georgia 14--With spread rising following Georgia's upset loss at Kentucky (4th defeat in last 5 games!), don't mind bucking an undynamic Auburn squad that's 1-6 vs. spread last 7. Tigers offense (only 18 ppg last 5 SEC tilts) lacks playmakers at WR, and with workhorse RB Irons (see Ticker) a ?, roomy number could work. Dawgs 3-0 as rare DD conf. dog since 2001 (1-0 TY).
(05-Auburn 31-GA. 30...A.23-22 A.46/227 G.31/142 G.20/36/0/304 A.16/28/1/279 A.1 G.2)
(05-Auburn +3 31-30 04-AUBURN -3' 24-6 03-GEORGIA -6 26-7...SR: Auburn 53-48-8)
WASHINGTON 28 - Stanford 5--Which "go-against" argument is more persuasive? Winless, punchless Stanford (only 1-8 vs. line) and its ongoing quest to plumb new depths of ineptitude, ready to set all-time school losing streak with what would be its 12th loss in a row? Or fading U-Dub, whose once-buoyant bowl hopes are almost extinguished, which has covered only 8 of its last 37 chances as chalk? Either way, proceed with caution.
(04-STANFORD -13' 27-13 03-WASHINGTON -13 29-17...SR: Washington 39-33-4)
Alabama 17 - LSU 21--With number zooming following disparate efforts week ago, ready to take DDs with proud, resilient Bama squad that's 8-1-1 as a DD dog since '96. LSU's strong-armed jr. QB J. Russell (6-6 SU, 10 TDP, 12 ints.; 3 ints. vs. Vols) still a wildcard vs. last 12 SEC bowl teams he's faced. Tide's poised, careful soph QB J. P. Wilson (only 3 ints. last 5 games) has the weaponry (RB Darby healthy; WR K. Brown expected back) to move chains. Bama "D" hasn't permitted more than 28 pts. since 2003!
(05-Lsu 16-ALA. 13 (OT)...A.20-16 A.32/97 L.33/46 L.16/30/0/229 A.19/40/0/187 L.0 A.0)(05-Lsu -3 16-13 (OT) 04-LSU -8 26-10) (03-Lsu -7 27-3...SR: Alabama 43-21-5)
FLORIDA 24- South Carolina 16--USC can't seem to get that "hump win" vs. SEC elite TY. Still, DDs worth taking with competitive 'Cocks (last 3 losses by 7 pts. or fewer), who own the offensive versatility--with either QB Newton or Mitchell (nearly led comeback win vs. Ark.)--to hang around semi-satisfied Florida (clinched SEC East), generating just 23 ppg in SEC action. HIGH emotion on both sides, with Steve Spurrier's return to "The Swamp" vs. revenge-minded Gators, but can't overlook UF's poor 2-10-2 spread mark last 14 in SEC. Kicking edge to 'Cocks deadly PK Succop (12 of 13 FGs).
(05-S. CAR. 30-Fla. 22...F.21-16 F.37/149 S.36/120 F.18/31/1/210 S.7/17/0/126 S.0 F.0)
(05-USC +4 30-22 04-FLA. -7 48-14 03-Fla. -7 24-22...SR: Florida 19-4-3)
COLORADO 24 - Iowa State 13--1-9 Colorado meets injured 3-7 ISU, which has lost the ability to run (straight-ahead, short-yardage back Kock was Cyclones' leading rusher last week with 33 yds.). At least Buff QB B. Jackson (105 YR vs. K-State) and RBs Charles & Holliday give CU a chance to grind out a few FDs to position PK Crosby for key points.
(05-IA. ST. 30-Colo. 16...C.23-15 C.38/79 I.25/36 C.25/42/2/284 I.20/38/0/251 I.1 C.1)
(05-ISU +2 30-16 04-COLO. -10' 19-14 03-Colo. -7 44-10...SR: Colorado 46-13-1)
Minnesota 41 - MICHIGAN STATE 35--Minnesota QB Cupito snapped out of his slump with a vengeance against Indiana last week, and he figures to give MSU 2ndary (109th in pass efficiency) trouble. Fading MSU is 1-7 SU & 1-6-1 vs. number last 8. Spartan QB Stanton capable of trading with best, but Minny has weapons to hurt MSU's faulty defense.
(05-MIN. 41-Mich. St. 18...Mn.25-24 Mn.63/327 Mc.21/145 Mc.29/46/0/312 Mn.8/13/0/123 Mn.0 Mc.0)
(05-MINN. -5' 41-18 04-MSU +9 51-17 03-Msu +6 44-38...SR: Michigan State 25-15)
Ohio State 40 - NORTHWESTERN 10--Northwestern QB Bacher has 3 straight 200+ passing games, and RB Sutton gained 346 YR in those 3 contests, helping NU defense. Ohio State got more of a test than it would like at Illinois, so expect solid effort against Wildcats in preparation for Michigan game next week. Buckeye defense has allowed more than 10 points only twice TY.
(05-OHIO ST. 48-N'wstrn 7...O.23-16 O.54/317 N.29/98 N.18/40/1/153 O.9/15/1/105 O.0 N.1)
(05-OSU -19 48-7 04-NWU +11 33-27 (OT) 03-OSU -20' 20-0...SR: Ohio State 56-14-1)
Notre Dame 35 - AIR FORCE 13--Notre Dame coverage problems that were apparent facing North Carolina last week won't be exploited by land-locked Air Force attack. Irish have already seen (and handily dispatched) Navy's option, and Air Force has scored fewer than 20 ppg at home. Falcons own a vulnerable pass defense, and ND star QB Quinn seeking a few Heisman votes with productive outing. TV--CSTV (DNP...SR: N. Dame 21-5)
FRESNO STATE 38 - New Mexico State 23--Lean to embarrassed 1-7 FSU squad plummeting in class after facing 3 teams (Hawaii, LSU & Boise St.), who're combined 23-4 SU! Bulldogs punishing RB Wright (122 all-purpose ypg) should do no wrong vs. soft NMS front 7 (yielding 5 ypc), and Aggies just 2-7 as road dog last 1+Ys.
(05-Fres. St. 37-NMSU 7...F.19-10 F.49/207 N.28/90 F.10/19/0/112 N.17/31/0/105 F.0 N.2)
(05-Fresno State -27' 37-7...SR: Fresno State 12-0)
NEW MEXICO 23 - Tcu 22--TCU will be "bowling" again this postseason, but things are not the same in Fort Worth as LY's magical 11-1 mark when Frogs were a whopping +21 in TO margin (they're -1 in same category TY). Meanwhile, UNM's RS frosh QB Porterie proving positively David Copperfield-like in rallying Lobos to three straight thrilling wins. Rocky Long's UNM teams are 9-0 SU after a regular-season bye.
(05-TCU 49-N. Mex. 28...N.24-13 T.34/272 N.45/175 N.25/44/4/245 T.16/28/0/192 T.1 N.2)
(05-TCU -1' 49-28...SR: TCU 4-3)
California 30 - ARIZONA 10--Were those signs of life we detected from UA last week at Pullman? Perhaps, as Cat QB Tuitama appeared refreshed in return game from concussion, and RB Henry finally provided something of an infantry diversion vs. WSU. But keep in mind that Mike Stoops' offenses haven't scored a point last 2 years vs. Cal. And doubt Jeff Tedford wants Bears to enter showdown vs. USC off flat effort. TV-ABC
(05-CAL. 28-Ariz. 0...C.18-13 C.44/194 A.28/37 A.19/36/3/169 C.14/21/1/137 C.1 A.0)
(05-CAL. -16 28-0 04-Cal. -22' 38-0 03-CAL. -17' 42-14...SR: California 12-11-2)
Boise State 31 - SAN JOSE STATE 23--Boise still on track for undefeated reg. season and possible BCS berth. But worth noting that Broncos not carrying their "blue carpet pointspread magic" lately on road, where they're only 4-10-1 last 15 vs. number. San Jose "O" balanced enough (mini-RB Davis 376 YR last 2) to keep aggressive Boise "D" honest, and Broncs happy to slow pace and let RB I. Johnson do bulk of offensive work. TV-ESPN-2
(05-BOISE ST. 38-Sjsu 21...B.21-15 B.49/229 S.31/54 B.20/29/2/249 S.17/34/0/217 B.0 S.3)
(05-BSU -30' 38-21 04-Bsu -33 56-49 (OT) 03-BSU -26' 77-14...SR: Boise State 6-0)
*NEVADA 48 - Utah State 11--Unless oddsmakers inflate number out of sight (which they might be tempted to do), have no interest bucking red-hot Nevada bunch that's covered 7 in row and is a spotless 10-0 vs. line as Reno chalk since Chris Ault re-assumed command of program in '04. Fun time for sr. QB Rowe and Wolf Pack "Pistol" vs. USU stop unit that's allowed almost three-quarters of a mile (1142 yards!) past 2 weeks.
05-Nev. 30-UTAH ST. 24...19-19 N.45/195 U.39/93 U.19/27/1/226 N.12/19/0/146 N.1 U.0)
(05-Nevada -9' 30-24...SR: Nevada 12-4)
*OKLAHOMA STATE 38 - Baylor 17--BU's 6-4 RS frosh QB Szymanski (1 TDP, 2 TDRs last week) has lots of talent, but he's just starting to go through his growing pains, unsupported by much of a ground game. So, must side with explosive OSU offense after it was shut down last week in Austin. Bobby Reid & Co. (41 points vs. Nebraska in last home game) happy to be back in Stillwater.
(05-BAY. 44-Ok. St. 34...O.27-15 O.31/90 B.40/46 O.29/50/4/383 B.22/35/0/272 B.1 O.4)
(05-BAYLOR -3 44-34 04-OSU -25' 49-21 03-Osu -27 38-21...SR: EVEN 12-12)
*OKLAHOMA 30 - Texas Tech 17--Controversial ending of LY's game in Lubbock (see Looking for an Angle) will have Sooners extra eager. And TT has had some misadventures on the road TY, losing 12-3 at TCU & 30-6 at Colorado. OU defense, OL, and ground game (RB Patrick 440 YR in 3 games replacing Adrian Peterson) allowing QB P. Thompson (only 3 completes last week at A&M) to play low-risk football.
(05-TEX. TECH 23-Okla. 21...T.23-21 O.45/162 T.31/144 T.24/37/2/232 O.12/26/0/118 T.0 O.0)
(05-TECH -7' 23-21 04-OKLA. -25 28-13 03-Okla. -19 56-25...SR: Oklahoma 10-3)
*Pittsburgh 21 - CONNECTICUT 16--Offense usually struggles for UConn, but Husky defense still fighting hard for no-nonsense HC Edsall. Pitt has an eye on upcoming "Backyard Brawl" vs. West Va. and not much machismo in trenches.
(05-PITT 24-Conn. 0...C.20-11 C.37/143 P.34/76 C.18/35/3/156 P.12/21/0/116 P.0 C.0)
(05-PITTSBURGH -12 24-0 04-CONNECTICUT -6' 29-17...SR: EVEN 1-1)
*CLEMSON 24 - North Carolina State 13--Clemson QB Proctor hasn't been able to make recent foes pay enough for stacking box against bread-and-butter Tiger ground game. N.C. State is young & lacks much discipline, although scrappy Wolfpack (4 of 5 losses by 7 points or fewer) hasn't quit (yet?) on beleaguered HC Amato.
(05-Clem. 31-N. CAR. ST. 10...C.23-16 C.41/243 N.27/103 C.22/31/1/246 N.19/36/1/175 C.0 N.1)
(05-Clem. +4' 31-10 04-CLEM. +1 26-20 03-NCS -5 17-15...SR: Clemson 47-26-1)
*Ucf 31 - MEMPHIS 27--Defending C-USA champ UCF finally got its defense together last week vs. East Carolina, allowing only 23 points and 305 yards. Another such effort helps better-balanced, but defense-shy Golden Knights vs. coverless (0-7-1 vs. spread) Memphis. CABLE TV--CSTV (05-UCF +1' 38-17...SR: EVEN 1-1)
(05-UCF 38-Memphis 17...U.26-14 U.57/261 M.32/221 U.14/21/0/290 M.14/23/1/80 C.0 M.0)
*Texas 34 - KANSAS STATE 20--Even though Texas has trailed in 4 of its last 5 games and doesn't run as well as it used to under Vince Young, heady Longhorn QB McCoy (UT record 27 TDP TY!), seems fearless in assaulting opponents' secondaries. K-State's improving young skill group improving rapidly after satisfying wins over Iowa State and Colorado. Wildcats make it interesting.
(03-TEXAS -6' 24-20...SR: Texas 5-3)
*SAN DIEGO STATE 24 - Unlv 12--Feel free to talk us out of laying points with 1-win SDSU. But at least Aztecs displaying a pulse lately (recent home win over Air Force and close loss at Wyo), and original starting QB O'Connell returned to action last week at Laramie. That's more than can be said for sad-sack UNLV bunch that has effectively combined its ineptitude with pointspread futility (Rebs 2-12 vs. line last 14 away).
(05-UNLV 13-Sdsu 10...U.13-10 U.49/153 S.35/34 S.14/28/3/106 U.8/18/2/88 U.1 S.1)
(05-UNLV +9' 13-10 04-SDS -9' 21-3 03-Sds +5 7-0...SR: San Diego State 8-7)
*Washington State 24 - ARIZONA STATE 17--Recuperative powers of each will be tested after last week's depressing efforts. But even if wideouts Hill & Bumpus (both injured last week) can't make post, a measured vote for Wazzu and heady QB Brink. Less inclined to trust ASU's erratic Carpenter and injury-plagued Sun Devil "O" (most WRs & key RB Torain now hurting) to make something happen vs. juiced-up Cougar pass rush.
(05-Ariz. St. 27-WASH. ST. 24...A.31-28 W.42/223 A.39/124 A.29/44/1/424 W.21/35/1/283 A.1 W.1)
(05-Asu -2 27-24 04-ASU -13' 45-28 03-WSU -13' 34-19...SR: Arizona State 18-12-2)
*Oregon State 27 - UCLA 19--After passing a Dr. Phil-like psychological test (with flying colors) vs. ASU, there's apparently still time to "buy" red-hot OSU squad that's starting to think about more-desirable bowl (such as Holiday?) destinations. And it's a special game for Beavers' ex-UCLA sr. QB Moore, who has mostly eradicated the mistakes that plagued him LY (only 6 picks TY vs. 19 in '05) and that cost OSU dearly in LY's loss vs. a better Bruin side.
(05-UCLA 51-Osu 28...O.24-20 U.45/235 O.39/181 O.21/34/2/330 U.16/25/0/262 U.0 O.1)
(05-UCLA -9 51-28...SR: UCLA 37-13-4)
*SOUTHERN CAL 31 - Oregon 20--Not sure that last week's rout of inept Stanford means all is okay again for Pete Carroll's SC bunch that had dropped 5 straight vs. number before finding oasis in Palo Alto. But Trojans are healthier than they've been since early September now that explosive WR Jarrett has returned to lineup. And Pac-10 sources say recent erratic efforts by Oregon's jr. QB Dixon (2 more picks last week vs. U-Dub) mean Mike Bellotti won't hesitate to dust off his old two-QB system and give fellow jr. QB Leaf another look. CABLE TV--FSN
(05-S. Cal 45-ORE. 13...S.31-16 S.42/278 O.29/65 S.23/39/1/315 O.21/37/1/197 S.1 O.0)
(05-Southern Cal -21 45-13...SR: Southern Cal 35-15-2)
*HAWAII 66 - Louisiana Tech 17--Perhaps women and children ought to be barred from the expected carnage at Aloha Stadium. Best of luck to yielding La Tech defense against QB Brennan (39 TDP already!) and bowl-bound UH Red Gun that's scoring at better than point-per-minute clip lately (62 ppg last 4!) and would be happy to avenge lopsided loss vs. a better Bulldog team at Ruston LY.
(05-LA. TECH 46-Hi. 14...L.26-17 L.54/327 H.15/11 H.26/37/1/269 L.14/20/0/149 L.0 H.1)
(05-LTU -3' 46-14 04-HAWAII -4 34-23 03-Hawaii P 44-41...SR: Hawaii 3-1)
ADDED GAMES
FLORIDA ATLANTIC 19 - Troy 18--Troy still in thick of Sun Belt race. But Howard Schnellenberger's FAU not rolling over for conference foes, and Owls "O" showing a more pizzazz past few weeks now that Smith/Clayton QB combo providing more-effective leadership.
(05-TROY 28-Fla. Atl. 14...T.19-15 F.27/114 T.38/112 T.17/27/0/271 F.21/37/1/216 T.0 F.0)
(05-TROY +3' 28-14 04-TROY -12' 24-6...SR: Troy 3-0)
*LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE 31 - North Texas 15--Disappointing consecutive losses to Middle Tenn. & Troy have basically scuttled ULL's New Orleans Bowl hopes. But Cajuns and their juiced-up infantry still more appealing than relying on UNT's popgun attack (last nationally in total offense) to do any significant damage.
(05-La.-Laf. 31-N. TEX. 28...L.25-19 L.61/327 N.33/263 N.8/14/1/112 L.8/11/1/109 L.0 N.1)
(05-Ull -4 31-28 04-Ntu -2' 27-17 03-NTU -18' 44-23...SR: North Texas 7-3)
*ARKANSAS STATE 17 - Middle Tennessee St. 16--In this critical battle for 1st-place in Sun Belt, side with home-loving Arkansas State (perfect 8-0 SU last 1+Ys in Jonesboro), which should finally reach paydirt (off 2 straight shutouts) vs. MTS defense that gave up 370 yds. vs. offensively-challenged Florida Atlantic. Normally-productive Indians RB Arnold & Wilkerson get back on track after being derailed at Auburn week ago.
(05-MTSU 45-Ark. St. 7...M.21-16 A.35/146 M.43/146 M.18/28/1/266 A.16/28/1/119 M.0 A.0)
(05-MTS -5 45-7 04-MTS -6' 45-17 04-Mts -6 24-14...SR: Middle Tenn. St. 6-1)
*FLORIDA INTL. 24 - Louisiana-Monroe 20--Only win among these two TY was Monroe's 24-6 season-opening victory over Alcorn State. On the plus side for FIU are sr. QB Padrick and return of several well-rested players suspended after the Golden Panthers' brawl Oct. 14 in Miami.
(05-Fiu 31-LA.-MON. 29...L.29-17 L.31/100 F.25/60 L.32/49/1/384 F.21/35/0/235 F.1 L.2)
(05-Fiu +10 31-29 04-ULM -9' 28-20...SR: EVEN 1-1)
COLLEGE KEY RELEASES
VIRGINIA TECH by 38 over Kent State
TEXAS A&M by 11 over Nebraska
ALABAMA Plus over Lsu
NOTRE DAME by 22 over Air Force
posted by phantom
Nov. 6 2006 8:14pm -
0 likes
Confidential Kick-Off!! The Gold Sheet!!
11 OHIO STATE over *Northwestern
Late Score Forecast:
OHIO STATE 42 - *Northwestern 6
Last week's results serve to set up a concentrated effort from top-ranked
Ohio State. The Buckeyes were anything but intense in 17-10 win at Illinois
last Saturday, gaining a season-low 224 yards of total offense while allowing
an opponent to score in double figures for only the third time this season.
Conversely, Northwestern's upset as a 20-point underdog at Iowa will put the
Buckeyes on guard. The Wildcat defense has had two straight solid
performances, but can't forget this is the bunch that blew a 35-point
2nd-half lead to Michigan State and yielded 31 points or more to 6 of first
8 foes this season. OSU had its "look-ahead" lackluster performance last
week, and Buckeye coaching staff will use that game as a whip to prepare
their charges for a workmanlike destruction of Northwestern that will set up
the showdown with No. 2 Michigan next week.
10 *SOUTHERN CAL over Oregon
Late Score Forecast:
*SOUTHERN CAL 36 - Oregon 17
Acknowledge that USC's offense this year not as dynamic as the
Bush/Leinart-fueled attacks of recent seasons. But rumors of Trojans' demise
have been much exaggerated. USC still controls its own destiny in race for
Pac-10 title after bouncing back from upset at Oregon State (its first conf.
loss since early 2003!) with impressive 42-0 win at Stanford. Trojans
returned to their opportunistic ways last week, getting 3 takeaways against
Cardinal. So, no surprise if active front 7 forces erratic Oregon QB Dennis
Dixon (5 ints. in last 2 road games, both double-digit losses) into some
mistakes. And, with A-A soph Dwayne Jarrett finally back to 100% after
lingering shoulder injury, stacked USC WR corps is as healthy as it's been in
several weeks. Eagerly seize chance to lay reasonable (cheap?) price with
Trojans at Coliseum, where they last tasted defeat in early 2001!
10 PURDUE over *Illinois
Late Score Forecast:
PURDUE 24- *Illinois 14
Savvy Big Ten scouts believe oddsmakers overreacting to Illinois' competitive
17-10 home loss to emotionally flat Ohio State last week by posting the 2-8
squad as any kind of favorite. Sure, Zook's defense no longer a pushover in
'06. But Illini have only beaten one Div. I-A squad with winning record in
last 1+ seasons (huge comeback OT win vs. Rutgers LY)! And remember,
Illini's 23-20 upset at Michigan State was somewhat tainted, since sagging
Spartans were missing star WR Trannon & lost top RB Ringer to injury after
just one carry. Doubt either unrefined true frosh QB "Juice" Williams (42%,
9 TDs, 8 ints.) or vet journeyman Brasic sustains many drives vs. jelling
Purdue defense that's yielding only 16 ppg last 4 games. And now that
Boilers accurate 6-4 triggerman Painter (60%, 15 TDs; 21 of 30 for 286 last
week) & quality WRs are back on the same page, Boilers run record to 7-4.
10 *KENTUCKY over Vanderbilt
Late Score Forecast:
*KENTUCKY 37 - Vanderbilt 23
SEC scouts advise that these two might be headed in opposite directions after
disparate early-season results. Vandy covered its first 3 games, then won 3
of next 4 SU, its season hitting a crescendo in upset win at Georgia October
14. But with injuries robbing offense of key pieces up front, Commodores
have started to stumble down stretch. Kentucky, on the other hand, is
starting to rise after hitting a low point on October 14, rallying for 2
straight wins following 49-0 loss at LSU. Now, Wildcats need just 1 more
victory to be eligible for their first bowl game since 1999. And potent UK
should easily outdistance depleted Vandy attack. Blossoming jr. QB Andre
Woodson has thrown 5 TDP in last 2 games, 4 of those to speedy jr. WR Keenan
Burton. And stiffening Wildcat defense has snagged 7 takeaways during same
span. UK has won & covered 4 of last 5 in series.
10 GREEN BAY over *Minnesota
Late Score Forecast:
GREEN BAY 21 - *Minnesota 16
(Sunday, November 12)
Packers came very close to upsetting the Bills last week in Buffalo,
out-gaining the Bills 427 to 184, with a couple of fortuitous interceptions
(one tipped) saving the day for the offensively-challenged Bills. Those were
not rash throws by Bret Favre, who has been convinced by young HC and friend
Mike McCarthy to take far fewer risks TY, with Favre having only 5 picks
going into that game. And G.B.'s young, aggressive OL has helped the Pack
produce a 100-yard rusher in 4 straight games. The limited Minnesota offense
has generated only 8 TDs in 8 games, while the rebuilt Packer defense (among
the leaders with 27 sacks!) is becoming a tougher nut to crack, with DE
Kampman (9.5 sacks), speedy young LBs Hawk & Barnett, and free-agent S
Marquand Manuel solidifying things.
TOTALS: UNDER (39.5) in G.B.-Minnesota game-Vikes' defense, plus struggling
offense has produced only 2 "overs" in Minny games TY. OVER (43) in
Dallas-Arizona game-Teams have combined for 10-4-2 "over" mark TY; indoor
setting helps.
HONORABLE MENTION (Nine-Rated Games): NAVY (-13) at Eastern Michigan (at Ford
Field)-Middies found their ground game again at Duke with 435 YR; HC P.
Johnson won't hesitate to go on fourth & short indoors vs. EMU's smallish
defense. SMU (+5) vs. Houston-Mustangs now have quality firepower thanks to
RS frosh QB Willis (22 TDP); will become bowl-eligible (!) with a victory.
SAN JOSE STATE (+13) vs. Boise State-Improved San Jose is 4-0 SU at home TY
and has covered last two vs. Broncos; Boise's offense slows down on road.
LA.-LAFAYETTE (-11) vs. North Texas-Ragin' Cajuns can grab bowl-needed sixth
win with victory; ground game should dominate at home vs. poor-travelin' Mean
Green...NEW ENGLAND (-11) vs. N.Y. Jets-Belichick, Brady eliminate last
week's tipped interceptions; Pats 10-1 last 11 vs. spread after a
regular-season loss.
posted by phantom
Nov. 7 2006 1:48pm -
0 likes
Pointwise Ratings 1-5 with 1* being the best
1 Mich St
1 Hawaii
2 Okl st
3 BYU
3 Nevada
4 San Jose ST
5 Oregon
5 Navy
2 Atl
3 Phil
4 Pitt
4 St Louis
5 Det
posted by phantom
Nov. 7 2006 1:51pm -
0 likes
Red Sheet
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Ratings: 89 & Above: Superior Play
88 & Below: Above Average Play
Navy = 89
Nevada = 89
Virginia Tech = 88
Texas A&M = 88
Hawaii = 88
Jacksonville ( Pro) = 88
posted by phantom
Nov. 9 2006 1:36pm -
0 likes
ROCKYS NEWSLETTER
Guaranteed Best Bet...Steelers
Game Of The Week.....Baltimore
Preferred Play............Cincinnati Bearcats
Systems Play of the Week...San Jose St
posted by phantom
Nov. 9 2006 1:36pm -
0 likes
Power Sweep
KEY SELECTIONS
4* Boise St over SAN JOSE ST - BSU had a few extra days to prepare for this game & the Broncos won’t take SJSt lightly after the near upset they dodged here last time, especially now with a BCS bowl bid at stake. Boise is 0-3 ATS as an AF. Last time here it was an early morning game (9:00 AM) and SJSt (+33) almost pulled off the stunning upset but lost in 2OT. SJSt has covered the L/2 vs BSU by 26 and 13’ pts. SJSt ended a 15-game road losing streak & has won 7 straight at home & is 4-1-1 ATS. SJSt QB Tafralis is avg 176 ypg (68%) with an 11-5 ratio & his favorite WR is Jones who has 45 rec (11.7). RB Davis leads a solid running game & has 861 yds (7.4). On the other side, DB Lowery has an NCAA best 8 int’s TY which accounts for every int on the team. The Broncos have an edge on both sides of the ball with their #20 off vs the Spartans’ #86 D & BSU’s #38 D vs SJSt’s #65 off. BSU RB Johnson has 1,317 yds (6.
& has recorded a national-high 20 TD’s. BSU QB Zabransky has played with much more poise TY & is avg 179 yds (62%) with a 16-5 ratio. The Broncos’ goal is simple, keep winning & finish in the Top 12 of the BCS rankings. If they accomplish that, they’ll get the automatic BCS bowl bid. Bowl reps from the Orange, Fiesta & Sugar were at Boise’s last game. FORECAST: Boise St 34 SAN JOSE ST 133* Nebraska over TEXAS A&M - NU is 9-2 SU and 5-1 ATS in the series. Both tms have byes on deck (A&M is 3-7 ATS). This is A&M’s home finale. The Aggies have covered 5 straight but under Fran are just 2-9 SU in Nov being outscored by 17 ppg. They did push Okla to the limit LW in a 17-16 loss in which they held OU’s offense to -1 yds in the 4Q but OU came up with a crucial 4th down conversion as the Sooners were able to run out the final 3:28. McGee is avg 182 ypg (63%) with an 11-2 ratio while adding 482 rush yds (4.3). Lane (274 lbs, power, 18 TD’s) & Goodson (PS#4, speed) give A&M a nice change of pace combination as they have 1,235 yds (5.5). Schroeder has 34 rec (15.0) & TE Bennett (PS#1) has 30 rec (14.0). NU controls its own destiny in the North race after LW’s huge win over MO as our 5* College GOY in which they led 27-6 at the half. Taylor is avg 227 ypg (62%) with a 20-3 ratio. Lucky (567 yds, 5.7) & Jackson (695 yds, 5.6) lead the nation’s deepest backfield that avg 189 ypg (4.6). Nunn has 30 rec (15.7) & Purify has 25 rec (20.1). A&M is allowing almost 140 ypg less than LY, but NU has the better D (#22-33). Huskers have the off (#15-21) & ST’s (#63-68) edges as well. A&M could end up backing into a bowl at 8-4 with Texas up next as they end their ssn playing the B12 elite. FORECAST: Nebraska 27 TEXAS A&M 20
3* WASHINGTON over Stanford - This will be HC Willingham’s 1st gm at UW against his old school when the winless Cardinal (1-8 ATS) visit. From ‘95-’01 Willingham posted a 44-36-1 record at Stanford incl 4 bowl gms. During his 3 yr period at ND he went 2-1 SU and 3-0 ATS vs the Cardinal. UW is off its 5th straight loss (2-3 ATS) and will need a win here accompanied by an Apple Cup win at WSU to become bowl elig. The Huskies are led by bkup QB Bonnell who is avg 159 ypg (47%) with a 4-8 ratio and WR standout Shackelford has 42 rec (13.3) and they will look to expose a Stanford D that is ranked #113 in the NCAA. Stan bkup QB Ostrander has struggled avg 128 ypg (45%) with 2-7 ratio along with his OL that has all’d 37 sks. The off (#112) is only avg’g 231 ypg TY (scored over 10 pts once) while their D is all’g a hefty 418 ypg. UW is 10-2 SU and 8-4 ATS vs Stan and the HT is 8-2 ATS in this series. Stanford’s avg P10 score is now 36-5. FORECAST: WASHINGTON 31 Stanford 3
OTHER SELECTIONS
2* Houston over SMU - HC. The visitor is 10-5 ATS in this in-state rivalry but the dog is 6-2 ATS and SMU is 6-1 ATS in Nov HG’s. UH has not traveled here S/’94. LY SMU actually pulled an outright upset (+13’) on the road on a FG w/:03 left. SMU, off a misleading 22-9 win vs UAB (see News & Notes), has now won its L/6 at home and is one win away from being bowl elig (‘84 last bowl). QB Willis avg 196 ypg (72%!!) with a super 20-4 ratio (2nd most TD passes in SMU history, 21) and has spread the ball around as 5 rec have at least 17 catches and Sanders leads with 36 (12.3). RB Martin who hasn’t been 100% all year has only 178 yds (3.2) while rFr Mapps leads with 317 yds (5.1). Houston beat LY’s CUSA champ Tulsa 27-10 and held them to just 249 ttl yds. Kolb, in his last home game, hit WR Marshall for a TD with :05 left in the 1H to give them the lead for good. Kolb continues to put up Heisman type numbers avg 285 ypg (68%) with a 22-3 ratio. The WR combo of Avery/Marshall (94 rec, 13.4) has excelled. The Cougars run game was stalled during the 1H of the season but when they moved WR Alridge (572 yds, 11.2, nicknamed quick 6) to RB and he and Battle (528 yds, 4.4, 11 TD’s) are like “thunder and lightningâ€
posted by phantom
Nov. 9 2006 1:37pm -
0 likes
NCAAFB
Thursday, November 9th
Buffalo at Akron, 6:00 EST ESPNU
Buffalo: 0-6 ATS after forcing 3+ turnovers
Akron: 7-3 Over off a win
Louisville at Rutgers, 7:30 EST ESPN
Louisville: 10-3 ATS off a combined score of 70+ points
Rutgers: 6-1 Under this season
Wyoming at BYU, 8:00 EST CSTV
Wyoming: 2-11 ATS after winning 4 of their last 5 games
BYU: 6-0 ATS as a favorite
** (TC) Denotes Time Change
Friday, November 10th
(TC) Western Michigan at Central Michigan, 7:00 EST ESPNU
Western Michigan: 1-5 ATS off a SU home win / ATS loss
Central Michigan: 10-2 ATS vs. conference opponents
UTEP at UAB, 8:00 EST ESPN2
UTEP: 1-6 ATS in November
UAB: 6-1 ATS as a home underdog of 7 points or less
** (TC) Denotes Time Change
Saturday, November 11th
(TC) Miami FL at Maryland, 3:30 EST ABC
Miami FL: 7-1 Under this season
Maryland: 2-9 ATS as a home favorite
Purdue at Illinois, 12:00 EST
Purdue: 6-0 ATS in November
Illinois: 8-1 Under at home off a home game
(TC) Temple at Penn State, 3:30 EST
Temple: 12-2 ATS away off BB ATS wins
Penn State: 8-0 Under after scoring 14 points or less
Syracuse at South Florida, 12:00 EST
Syracuse: 16-5 ATS off BB Unders
South Florida: 11-2 Under as a favorite
(TC) Michigan at Indiana, 3:30 EST ESPN
Michigan: 6-0 Under vs. conference opponents
Indiana: 0-7 ATS off a combined score of 80+ points
Wisconsin at Iowa, 12:00 EST ESPN
Wisconsin: 17-5 ATS off an ATS win
Iowa: 1-6 ATS off an ATS loss
(TC) Duke at Boston College, 7:00 EST ESPNU
Duke: 0-6 ATS off BB home games
Boston College: 8-2 ATS as a home favorite of 21.5 to 28 points
Georgia Tech at North Carolina, 12:00 EST
Georgia Tech: 1-7 ATS off BB Overs
North Carolina: 5-1 ATS off 5+ losses
Cincinnati at West Virginia, 12:00 EST
Cincinnati: 22-8 Under off a conference game
West Virginia: 6-0 ATS after gaining 475+ total yards
(TC) Wake Forest at Florida State, 8:00 EST ABC
Wake Forest: 8-1 Over away vs. conference opponents
Florida State: 2-10 ATS off a conference win
Vanderbilt at Kentucky, 1:00 EST
Vanderbilt: 7-0 ATS as a road underdog
Kentucky: 5-1 Under vs. conference opponents
Marshall at East Carolina, 1:00 EST
Marshall: 1-8 ATS away vs. conference opponents
East Carolina: 7-0 ATS off a conference win
Navy at Eastern Michigan, 1:00 EST
Navy: 11-3 ATS away off a win
Eastern Michigan: 5-17 ATS vs. non-conference opponents
(TC) Kent State at Virginia Tech, 3:30 EST ESPNU
Kent State: 6-1 Under off a road loss
Virginia Tech: 15-6 ATS off a conference game
Colorado State at Utah, 2:00 EST
Colorado State: 12-3 Under vs. conference opponents
Utah: 20-7 ATS off a bye week
(TC) Nebraska at Texas A&M, 3:30 EST ABC
Nebraska: 1-6 ATS after scoring 24+ first-half points
Texas A&M: 6-0 ATS at home off a loss
(TC) Tennessee at Arkansas, 7:00 EST ESPN2
Tennessee: 1-8 ATS after forcing 3+ turnovers
Arkansas: 7-0 Under off BB Overs
Southern Miss at Tulane, 2:00 EST
Southern Miss: 22-8 Under off a road game
Tulane: 1-9 ATS off BB Overs
Rice at Tulsa, 3:00 EST
Rice: 12-3 ATS off a road conference win
Tulsa: 7-1 Over as an underdog
Houston at SMU, 3:00 EST
Houston: 6-16 ATS away in November
SMU: 13-3 ATS off an Under
(TC) Georgia at Auburn, 12:30 EST
Georgia: 11-1 ATS off BB losses
Auburn: 1-5 ATS off BB wins
Stanford at Washington, 3:30 EST
Stanford: 7-1 Under as an underdog
Washington: 1-8 ATS off a road conference loss
(TC) Alabama at LSU, 7:45 EST ESPN
Alabama: 8-2 ATS as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points
LSU: 6-19 ATS at home in November
South Carolina at Florida, 3:30 EST CBS
South Carolina: 1-5 ATS off BB ATS losses
Florida: 8-1 Under off an Over
(TC) Iowa State at Colorado, 3:00 EST
Iowa State: 2-10 ATS off 4+ ATS losses
Colorado: 11-3 Under off a home game
(TC) Minnesota at Michigan State, 12:00 EST ESPNU
Minnesota: 17-6 Over in November
Michigan State: 0-6 ATS vs. conference opponents
Ohio State at Northwestern, 3:30 EST ABC
Ohio State: 7-1 ATS off an Under
Northwestern: 3-11 ATS off a win
Notre Dame at Air Force, 4:00 EST CSTV
Notre Dame: 2-9 ATS off BB wins
Air Force: 18-5 Under after gaining 75 or less passing yards
New Mexico State at Fresno State, 5:00 EST
New Mexico State: 7-1 Under in November
Fresno State: 0-8 ATS this season
TCU at New Mexico, 5:30 EST
TCU: 2-9 ATS off 3+ games allowing 17 or less points
New Mexico: 6-0 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points
(TC) California at Arizona, 3:30 EST ABC
California: 18-7 ATS away off an Over
Arizona: 5-16 ATS off a win as an underdog
(TC) Boise State at San Jose State, 10:15 EST ESPN2
Boise State: 17-5 ATS off 3+ conference games
San Jose State: 9-2 Under at home off an Under
(TC) Utah State at Nevada, 4:00 EST
Utah State: 2-12 ATS off a loss by 28+ points
Nevada: 7-0 ATS as a home favorite
(TC) Baylor at Oklahoma State, 12:30 EST FSN
Baylor: 14-32 ATS in November
Oklahoma State: 14-3 ATS at home off a loss by 21+ points
Texas Tech at Oklahoma, 7:00 EST FSN
Texas Tech: 1-7 ATS off a home win by 17+ points
Oklahoma: 13-2 Under after winning 6 or 7 of their last 8 games
(TC) Pittsburgh at Connecticut, 3:30 EST
Pittsburgh: 3-12 ATS away off a conference loss by 10+ points
Connecticut: 10-2 Under in home games
(TC) NC State at Clemson, 12:00 EST
NC State: 3-11 ATS off BB conference games
Clemson: 14-2 ATS off a combined score of 29 or less points
Central Florida at Memphis, 8:00 EST CSTV
Central Florida: 1-6 ATS after losing 4 of their last 5 games
Memphis: 5-1 Over after committing 0 turnovers
Texas at Kansas State, 8:00 EST ABC
Texas: 15-6 ATS off a straight up win
Kansas State: 6-0 Over in November
UNLV at San Diego State, 9:00 EST
UNLV: 2-9 ATS in road games
San Diego State: 6-0 Under at home off a conference loss
Washington State at Arizona State, 9:00 EST
Washington State: 6-0 ATS off a home loss
Arizona State: 9-0 Over at home off a loss by 21+ points
(TC) Oregon State at UCLA, 6:15 EST
Oregon State: 7-0 Over away off a conference win by 21+ points
UCLA: 8-0 ATS off BB games allowing 37+ points
Oregon at USC, 10:15 EST FSN
Oregon: 7-0 ATS after committing 3+ turnovers
USC: 0-9 ATS off an Under
Louisiana Tech at Hawaii, 11:00 EST
Louisiana Tech: 1-8 ATS off an Over
Hawaii: 9-1 ATS as a favorite
Added Games:
Troy at Florida Atl, 4:00 EST
Troy: 1-4 ATS as a road favorite
Florida Atl: 5-1 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points
North Texas at Louisiana Lafayette, 5:00 EST
North Texas: 6-0 Under off a combined score of 60+ points
LA Lafayette: 4-14 ATS as a favorite
Middle Tennessee State at Arkansas State, 5:00 EST
Mid Tenn State: 1-5 ATS off a win by 21+ points
Arkansas State: 6-0 ATS off BB losses
Louisiana Monroe at Florida International, 7:00 EST
LA Monroe: 6-1 ATS off ATS losses in 2 of their last 3 games
Florida Int: 1-5 ATS off BB road games
---------------------------------------------------------
BUFFALO (2 - 7) at AKRON (4 - 5) - 11/9/2006, 6:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
AKRON is 1-1 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
AKRON is 2-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
LOUISVILLE (8 - 0) at RUTGERS (8 - 0) - 11/9/2006, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RUTGERS is 39-59 ATS (-25.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
LOUISVILLE is 1-0 against the spread versus RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
LOUISVILLE is 1-0 straight up against RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
WYOMING (5 - 5) at BYU (7 - 2) - 11/9/2006, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BYU is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games this season.
BYU is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
BYU is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
BYU is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
BYU is 2-0 against the spread versus WYOMING over the last 3 seasons
BYU is 2-0 straight up against WYOMING over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
W MICHIGAN (7 - 2) at C MICHIGAN (6 - 3) - 11/10/2006, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
C MICHIGAN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games this season.
C MICHIGAN is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
C MICHIGAN is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
W MICHIGAN is 2-0 against the spread versus C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
C MICHIGAN is 1-1 straight up against W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
UTEP (4 - 5) at UAB (3 - 6) - 11/10/2006, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UAB is 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
UAB is 1-0 against the spread versus UTEP over the last 3 seasons
UAB is 1-0 straight up against UTEP over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI (5 - 4) at MARYLAND (7 - 2) - 11/11/2006, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
PURDUE (6 - 4) at ILLINOIS (2 -
- 11/11/2006, 12:00 PM Top Trends for this game.
PURDUE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
PURDUE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons.
ILLINOIS is 42-70 ATS (-35.0 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 32-52 ATS (-25.2 Units) in home games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 32-52 ATS (-25.2 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
ILLINOIS is 1-1 against the spread versus PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
PURDUE is 2-0 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
TEMPLE (1 - 9) at PENN ST (6 - 4) - 11/11/2006, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEMPLE is 22-38 ATS (-19.8 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
SYRACUSE (3 - 6) at S FLORIDA (6 - 3) - 11/11/2006, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SYRACUSE is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
S FLORIDA is 1-0 against the spread versus SYRACUSE over the last 3 seasons
S FLORIDA is 1-0 straight up against SYRACUSE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN (10 - 0) at INDIANA (5 - 5) - 11/11/2006, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) in November games since 1992.
INDIANA is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN is 1-0 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 2-0 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN (9 - 1) at IOWA (6 - 4) - 11/11/2006, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA is 2-0 against the spread versus WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
IOWA is 2-0 straight up against WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
DUKE (0 - 9) at BOSTON COLLEGE (7 - 2) - 11/11/2006, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DUKE is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
GEORGIA TECH (7 - 2) at N CAROLINA (1 -
- 11/11/2006, 12:00 PM There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
N CAROLINA is 2-0 against the spread versus GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 1-1 straight up against GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI (5 - 4) at W VIRGINIA (7 - 1) - 11/11/2006, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W VIRGINIA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
W VIRGINIA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
W VIRGINIA is 1-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
W VIRGINIA is 1-0 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
WAKE FOREST (8 - 1) at FLORIDA ST (5 - 4) - 11/11/2006, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA ST is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
FLORIDA ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
WAKE FOREST is 2-0 against the spread versus FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA ST is 2-0 straight up against WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
VANDERBILT (4 - 6) at KENTUCKY (5 - 4) - 11/11/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANDERBILT is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
VANDERBILT is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
VANDERBILT is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
VANDERBILT is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
KENTUCKY is 2-0 against the spread versus VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
KENTUCKY is 2-0 straight up against VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MARSHALL (4 - 5) at E CAROLINA (5 - 4) - 11/11/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARSHALL is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MARSHALL is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) in road games since 1992.
MARSHALL is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
E CAROLINA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games this season.
E CAROLINA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
E CAROLINA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after playing a conference game this season.
E CAROLINA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
E CAROLINA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
E CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus MARSHALL over the last 3 seasons
E CAROLINA is 1-0 straight up against MARSHALL over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NAVY (6 - 3) at E MICHIGAN (1 -
- 11/11/2006, 1:00 PM Top Trends for this game.
NAVY is 90-59 ATS (+25.1 Units) in all games since 1992.
NAVY is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
NAVY is 57-35 ATS (+18.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NAVY is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games in November games since 1992.
NAVY is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
NAVY is 39-16 ATS (+21.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
NAVY is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
NAVY is 90-59 ATS (+25.1 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 46-17 ATS (+27.3 Units) in road games since 1992.
NAVY is 46-17 ATS (+27.3 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
E MICHIGAN is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
KENT ST (5 - 4) at VIRGINIA TECH (7 - 2) - 11/11/2006, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA TECH is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 39-22 ATS (+14.8 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
VIRGINIA TECH is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
COLORADO ST (4 - 5) at UTAH (5 - 4) - 11/11/2006, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 1-1 against the spread versus COLORADO ST over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 1-1 straight up against COLORADO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NEBRASKA (7 - 3) at TEXAS A&M (8 - 2) - 11/11/2006, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEBRASKA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 56 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
TENNESSEE (7 - 2) at ARKANSAS (8 - 1) - 11/11/2006, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
SOUTHERN MISS (5 - 4) at TULANE (3 - 6) - 11/11/2006, 2:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
TULANE is 1-1 against the spread versus SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
SOUTHERN MISS is 2-0 straight up against TULANE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
RICE (4 - 5) at TULSA (7 - 2) - 11/11/2006, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TULSA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
TULSA is 2-0 against the spread versus RICE over the last 3 seasons
TULSA is 2-0 straight up against RICE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON (7 - 3) at SMU (5 - 4) - 11/11/2006, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in road games in November games since 1992.
HOUSTON is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
SMU is 1-0 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
SMU is 1-0 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA (6 - 4) at AUBURN (9 - 1) - 11/11/2006, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.
GEORGIA is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
AUBURN is 2-0 against the spread versus GEORGIA over the last 3 seasons
AUBURN is 2-0 straight up against GEORGIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
STANFORD (0 - 9) at WASHINGTON (4 - 6) - 11/11/2006, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
STANFORD is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in all games this season.
STANFORD is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) against conference opponents this season.
STANFORD is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
STANFORD is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses this season.
STANFORD is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
STANFORD is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) as an underdog this season.
WASHINGTON is 43-67 ATS (-30.7 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 0-0 against the spread versus STANFORD over the last 3 seasons
STANFORD is 1-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
ALABAMA (6 - 4) at LSU (7 - 2) - 11/11/2006, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ALABAMA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in a road game where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points since 1992.
LSU is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) in home games in November games since 1992.
LSU is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) in home games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
LSU is 1-0 against the spread versus ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
LSU is 2-0 straight up against ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
S CAROLINA (5 - 4) at FLORIDA (8 - 1) - 11/11/2006, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 1-1 against the spread versus S CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 1-1 straight up against S CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
IOWA ST (3 - 7) at COLORADO (1 - 9) - 11/11/2006, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) in November games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA ST is 2-0 against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO is 1-1 straight up against IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
posted by phantom
Nov. 9 2006 1:42pm -
0 likes
Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA ST is 2-0 against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO is 1-1 straight up against IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA (4 - 6) at MICHIGAN ST (4 - 6) - 11/11/2006, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) against conference opponents this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after playing a conference game this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN ST is 1-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 1-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
OHIO ST (10 - 0) at NORTHWESTERN (3 - 7) - 11/11/2006, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NORTHWESTERN is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 since 1992.
OHIO ST is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO ST is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
NORTHWESTERN is 1-1 against the spread versus OHIO ST over the last 3 seasons
NORTHWESTERN is 1-1 straight up against OHIO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NOTRE DAME (8 - 1) at AIR FORCE (4 - 4) - 11/11/2006, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NOTRE DAME is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
NEW MEXICO ST (2 - 7) at FRESNO ST (1 - 7) - 11/11/2006, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW MEXICO ST is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
NEW MEXICO ST is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
NEW MEXICO ST is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in all games this season.
FRESNO ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
FRESNO ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
FRESNO ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses this season.
FRESNO ST is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
FRESNO ST is 1-0 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons
FRESNO ST is 1-0 straight up against NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
TCU (6 - 2) at NEW MEXICO (5 - 4) - 11/11/2006, 5:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW MEXICO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
TCU is 1-0 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
TCU is 1-0 straight up against NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
CALIFORNIA (8 - 1) at ARIZONA (4 - 5) - 11/11/2006, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 27-48 ATS (-25.8 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
ARIZONA is 44-70 ATS (-33.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
ARIZONA is 28-53 ATS (-30.3 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
ARIZONA is 28-53 ATS (-30.3 Units) in home games since 1992.
ARIZONA is 28-53 ATS (-30.3 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
CALIFORNIA is 2-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
CALIFORNIA is 2-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
BOISE ST (9 - 0) at SAN JOSE ST (6 - 2) - 11/11/2006, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOISE ST is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points since 1992.
BOISE ST is 62-36 ATS (+22.4 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 40-20 ATS (+18.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
BOISE ST is 49-31 ATS (+14.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
BOISE ST is 42-15 ATS (+25.5 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
BOISE ST is 21-6 ATS (+14.4 Units) in November games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 37-14 ATS (+21.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
BOISE ST is 39-22 ATS (+14.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
BOISE ST is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
BOISE ST is 21-6 ATS (+14.4 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
BOISE ST is 62-36 ATS (+22.4 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 47-27 ATS (+17.3 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE ST is 2-0 against the spread versus BOISE ST over the last 3 seasons
BOISE ST is 2-0 straight up against SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
UTAH ST (1 -
at NEVADA (6 - 3) - 11/11/2006, 4:00 PM Top Trends for this game.
NEVADA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games this season.
NEVADA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NEVADA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
NEVADA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
NEVADA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in games played on turf this season.
NEVADA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
NEVADA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
NEVADA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
NEVADA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
NEVADA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH ST is 1-0 against the spread versus NEVADA over the last 3 seasons
NEVADA is 1-0 straight up against UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
BAYLOR (4 - 6) at OKLAHOMA ST (5 - 4) - 11/11/2006, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BAYLOR is 44-67 ATS (-29.7 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
BAYLOR is 14-32 ATS (-21.2 Units) in November games since 1992.
BAYLOR is 24-43 ATS (-23.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
BAYLOR is 14-32 ATS (-21.2 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA ST is 1-1 against the spread versus BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA ST is 1-1 straight up against BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS TECH (6 - 4) at OKLAHOMA (7 - 2) - 11/11/2006, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS TECH is 69-43 ATS (+21.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 88-61 ATS (+20.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 72-50 ATS (+17.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 65-44 ATS (+16.6 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA is 1-1 against the spread versus TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA is 1-1 straight up against TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH (6 - 3) at CONNECTICUT (3 - 5) - 11/11/2006, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
CONNECTICUT is 1-1 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 1-1 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NC STATE (3 - 6) at CLEMSON (7 - 3) - 11/11/2006, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEMSON is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
CLEMSON is 2-0 against the spread versus NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
CLEMSON is 2-0 straight up against NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
C FLORIDA (2 - 7) at MEMPHIS (1 -
- 11/11/2006, 8:00 PM There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
C FLORIDA is 1-0 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
C FLORIDA is 1-0 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS (9 - 1) at KANSAS ST (6 - 4) - 11/11/2006, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS ST is 50-29 ATS (+18.1 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 74-50 ATS (+19.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 36-19 ATS (+15.1 Units) in home games after playing a conference game since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 51-31 ATS (+16.9 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 51-31 ATS (+16.9 Units) in home games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 51-31 ATS (+16.9 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
TEXAS is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 70-46 ATS (+19.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
TEXAS is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 44-25 ATS (+16.5 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
TEXAS is 34-15 ATS (+17.5 Units) in November games since 1992.
TEXAS is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
TEXAS is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
UNLV (1 -
at SAN DIEGO ST (1 - 7) - 11/11/2006, 9:00 PM Top Trends for this game.
UNLV is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
UNLV is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
UNLV is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
UNLV is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
UNLV is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
UNLV is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
UNLV is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
UNLV is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO ST is 1-1 against the spread versus UNLV over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO ST is 1-1 straight up against UNLV over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON ST (6 - 4) at ARIZONA ST (5 - 4) - 11/11/2006, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA ST is 2-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA ST is 2-0 straight up against WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
OREGON ST (6 - 3) at UCLA (4 - 5) - 11/11/2006, 6:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UCLA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
UCLA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
UCLA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON ST is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
UCLA is 1-0 against the spread versus OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
UCLA is 1-0 straight up against OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
OREGON (7 - 2) at USC (7 - 1) - 11/11/2006, 10:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
USC is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
USC is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
USC is 1-0 against the spread versus OREGON over the last 3 seasons
USC is 1-0 straight up against OREGON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
LOUISIANA TECH (3 - 6) at HAWAII (7 - 2) - 11/11/2006, 11:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISIANA TECH is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISIANA TECH is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISIANA TECH is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) as a road underdog of 21.5 or more points over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISIANA TECH is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISIANA TECH is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
HAWAII is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
HAWAII is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
HAWAII is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
HAWAII is 1-1 against the spread versus LOUISIANA TECH over the last 3 seasons
HAWAII is 1-1 straight up against LOUISIANA TECH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
TROY ST (4 - 4) at FLA ATLANTIC (3 - 6) - 11/11/2006, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
TROY ST is 2-0 against the spread versus FLA ATLANTIC over the last 3 seasons
TROY ST is 2-0 straight up against FLA ATLANTIC over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NORTH TEXAS (2 - 7) at LA LAFAYETTE (4 - 4) - 11/11/2006, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAFAYETTE is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
NORTH TEXAS is 2-0 against the spread versus LA LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
LA LAFAYETTE is 1-1 straight up against NORTH TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MIDDLE TENN ST (6 - 3) at ARKANSAS ST (5 - 4) - 11/11/2006, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARKANSAS ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MIDDLE TENN ST is 2-0 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
MIDDLE TENN ST is 2-0 straight up against ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
LA MONROE (1 - 7) at FLA INTERNATIONAL (0 -
- 11/11/2006, 7:00 PM There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 2-0 against the spread versus LA MONROE over the last 3 seasons
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 1-1 straight up against LA MONROE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
---------------------------------------------------------
Saturday's games
Maryland won last four games, all by six or less points, and are surprising 7-2; they're 1-3 vs. spread as favorite, as dog covered six of their eight lined games this season. Miami lost last two games, is just 5-4, amid rumors coaching change is in store, with no real #1 candidate emerging. Seven of Miami's eight lined games this season stayed under total, but four of last five Terp games went over. Miami had player shot and killed shortly after he left practice Tuesday.
Purdue scored 39.3 ppg in winning last three meetings vs. Illinois- they whacked Illini 37-3 LY (-23) (391-265 TY, +3 TOs). Illinois lost last five games and is 2-8, but they played Wisconsin (30-24), Ohio State (17-10) tough last two weeks- they held Buckeyes to 224 yards LW. Boilers are 2-4 in last six games, but won last two road games; all four of their losses are by 12+ points. 2-8 team favored over 6-3 team?
Paterno had broken leg operated on Monday; hard to imagine Penn State game without him, even vs. doormat Temple squad that covered last three games and five of last six. Over is 7-2 in last nine Owl games. PSU lost 13-3 in Madison LW (TY 201-340); they scored 12 or less points in three of last four games, with 33-7 their biggest win vs. I-A foes so far this season.
South Florida blanked Syracuse 27-0 in Carrier Dome LY (-8), outrushing Orange 338-117 in game that was 13-0 at half; Bulls upset Pitt at home last week to get bowl eligible rushing for 191 yards and picking three Palko passes- they're 3-1 at home vs.
D-I foes, with wins by 1,22,10 pts. Syracuse lost last four games (by 10,24,15,14 points) but is 7-2 vs. spread this season, 3-1 as road underdog.
Michigan has Ohio State next week, so continued sluggish play (22 ppg last four weeks) possible as they withhold stuff from Buckeye spies. Wolverines outrushed Indiana 216-63 in LY's
41-14 win (425-210 TY, 41-7 at half). Hoosiers got waxed last wk 63-26 last week by 4-6 Gopher squad; their last three losses are by 35,41,37 points. Six of last seven Michigan games stayed under the total.
Iowa is 2-4 in last six games, losing as 20-point home favorite LW; they beat Wisconsin 20-10 LY, rallying from 10-3 halftime deficit, outrushing Badgers 166-19 which offset -2 turnover ratio, but Wisconsin is on roll this year at 9-1, with six-game win streak. Badgers allowed 10.2 ppg in last five games. In second halves of last five games, Badgers outscored foes 81-9. QB Tate played LW, but Northwestern outgained Iowa 445-266.
Boston College passed for 402 yards at Wake last week but lost 21-14, committing ten penalties and running ball for just 28 yds. Eagles are 2-3 vs. spread as favorite in '06, and 1-4 vs. spread in last five November home games. Duke is 0-9, losing three road games at Wake (14-13), Va Tech (36-0), Alabama (30-14)- they allowed 673 rushing yards in last two games, losses vs. Vandy, Navy. Four of last five BC games stayed under total.
Underdog covered eight of last 12 Georgia Tech-UNC games, with Tech winning four of last five (wins by 7,17,6,21 points). Carolina is 0-8 vs. I-A teams this year (2-5 vs. spread as dog) with home losses by 5,25,17,7 points- they have only one INT all season, and no takeaways in last three games. Tech scored 30,31 pts in beating Miami, NC State last two weeks; this could be third lame-duck coach in row they've faced.
Visitor covered last four Cincinnati-West Va games, with WVa outgaining UC 406-269 in last meeting, a 38-0 Moutaineer road win (-14). WVa had first loss last week at Louisville (44-34); interesting to see how they react, since all their wins had been by 17+ pts. Bearcats won four of last five games behind defense that allowed only 11.2 ppg in last five games. Last seven Bearcat games stayed under the total.
Xavier Lee once again gets nod at QB for Florida State squad favored by TD over 8-1 Wake Forest for one reason: name of two schools. Wake lost last three visits to Doak Campbell (24-28 /24-48/24-41), but Seminoles are 3-4 in last seven games- they held Virginia to 190 TY last week in 33-0 win, but Wake beat Boston College last week, their third win in row, eighth in nine games. Under is 6-1-1 in Wake Forest games.
Kentucky won last two games, vs. Miss State, Georgia, now can become bowl eligible with win vs. Vandy squad that needs this win and upset in Knoxville next week to get to 6-6 for season. UK is 4-1 at home, losing only to South Carolina (17-24); they're riding +9 turnover margin and athletic QB Woodson to bowl bid. Vandy won last two games on road, covered four of five on foreign soil this year; their last four games went over total.
Marshall won, covered its last three games, scoring 38 ppg, but they're 1-4 vs. spread as underdog TY, losing road games at WVa (42-10), K-State (23-7), Tennessee (33-7) and SMU (31-21). Herd is 19-35 on 3rd down last three games, so they're making plays. East Carolina won 34-29 at Marshall LY (+4.5); they're 8-1 vs. spread this season, 16-4 under Holtz in his two years at ECU (4-0 vs. spread as favorite this season).
Navy covered eight of last ten as road favorite; they're 4-0 away from home TY, winning at Stanford (37-9), UConn (41-17), Duke (38-13) and Air Force (24-17). Middies using backup QB; they're 1-3 vs spread as favorite TY. Eastern Michigan covered its last four games, all decided by six or less points. Six of last seven Eastern games stayed under total. Eagles allowed Ohio to run for 278 yards last week, bad omen with Navy option coming in.
Kent State had been 5-0 in MAC, then they lost 17-7 to Ohio U, and got outscored 38-0 in second half of meltdown at Buffalo last week- they're 4-1 vs spread as underdog. Virginia Tech won, covered last three games by 30,17,7 pts, but with Hokies off of Clemson, Miami wins and 8-1 Wake Forest up next, letdown is a possibility here. ACC home favorites are 6-11 vs spread out of conference. MAC road dogs are 11-13-1.
Underdog covered seven of last nine Colorado State-Utah tilts, with Rams losing 63-31 in last visit here (they got revenge last year, with 21-17 win at home). Visitor is 10-4 vs spread in series. Utah covered 10 of last 13 after bye; they're 2-3 last five games overall. State lost last four games, amid rumors Coach Lubick is stepping down after season. Last five CSU games stayed under.
Texas Aggies covered last five games, but lost 17-16 to Sooners last week, when A&M kicked FG with under 4:00 left, down by 4 points- odd decision, and they never got ball back. Their losses this season are by 1,4 pts. Six of last seven A&M games stayed under total. XXXXs beat Missouri last week, snapping 2-game slide; they gained 452,422 yards in last two games, so offense is healthy, even if lot of their defensive players aren't.
Tennessee suspended one of their RBs after arrest in nightclub after last week's LSU loss; Ainge's status (ankle) unknown here, so Hogs may be facing another backup QB- they survived last week when Gamecocks reinserted starter Mitchell in second half and he played like Johnny Unitas, falling just short in 26-20 loss. Arkansas won last eight games ince loss in opener; they ran it for 267 yards in Columbia last week, impressive number.
Southern Miss on road after Sunday night road game, so a very short work week for Ggolden Eagle squad that beat Tulane 26-7 LY (-21.5), winning 66% of third down plays, but USM's win at Memphis Sunday was just second in last five games. Tulane is 2-5 in last seven games; eight of their nine games this season went over total, as Green Wave using no-huddle offense that is helping their offense, putting more pressure on their defense.
Spunky Rice won at UTEP last week, their third win in row, all as the underdog, but this is also their sixth road game in last seven games (eight weeks)- last seven Rice games went over the total. Tulsa won 41-21 at Rice last year (-7) but both sides are better in '06. Tulsa had six-game win streak snapped last wk at Houston, but Hurricane is 3-0 vs I-A teams at home (2-1 as home favorite) winning by 25,14,10 points.
posted by phantom
Nov. 9 2006 1:42pm -
0 likes
NCAAFB
Thursday's Games
Akron won last seven games vs. Buffalo by average score of 32-14, and covered last five weekday games, but were held to nine first downs LY in 13-7 struggle at Buffalo (-10, TY 224-131). Zips are 2-3 in last five games, 2-4 vs. spread as favorite. Buffalo was on way to eighth straight loss LW, trailing 14-3 at half, but they shut Kent out 38-0 in second half, for second win of season.
Last year, Rutgers came out and stomped on Louisville's logo, then got stomped by Cardinals, 56-5 (+21.5), as Knights were outgained 500-187, completing just 12-34 passes. This will be big event in Jersey, with ESPN in town and NYC talkshows doing broadcasts from site. Louisville is 4-0 on road, winning by 62,18,27,15 points (2-2 as road favorite). Rutgers is 8-0, despite being underdog three times; only one of their wins is by less than ten points.
BYU is on fire, winning last six games by average score of 36-10 (6-0 vs. spread); they are 4-0 as home favorite this year, winning by 25,38,30,45 pts and won last two home games vs. Wyoming (35-31/24-13). BYU had 267 rushing yards in LY's 35-21 win at Laramie (-4). Cowboys are improved in '06, winning four of last five games; only one of their five losses (26-3 at TCU) is by more than seven points- they're 3-2 as dog in '06.
Friday's Games
Central Michigan won last four games by an average score of 33-17; they're 4-0 vs. spread at home TY (3-1 SU), winning by 3, 11,17 points. Home side is 10-5-1 vs. spread in last 16 Central-Western games, with Broncos losing last visit here in OT, their only loss in last five series games. Western won their last four games, three by three or less points; they're 2-2 on road this season, 3-1 vs. spread as underdog.
Texas-El Paso is in freefall, losing three games in row, allowing 33.7 ppg; in those games, Miners were outrushed 596-143, as UTEP offense has become unbalanced. UAB went to El Paso and beat UTEP 35-23 LY (+8), picking off three passes that offset 485-373 edge for Miners in total yardage. UAB also lost last three games, by 1,7,13 points; they're 3-2 at home this season. UTEP is 1-3 on road, losing by 13,10,17 points.
posted by phantom
Nov. 9 2006 1:43pm -
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THURSDAY NCAA FOOTBALL QUICK LOOK
LOUISVILLE AT RUTGERS
Game 305-306: Louisville at Rutgers
Dunkel Ratings: Louisville 105.196; Rutgers 101.577
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 3 1/2; 47 1/2
Vegas Line: Louisville by 6 1/2; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rutgers (+6 1/2); Under
LOUISVILLE (8 - 0) at RUTGERS (8 - 0) - 11/9/2006, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RUTGERS is 39-59 ATS (-25.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
LOUISVILLE is 1-0 against the spread versus RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
LOUISVILLE is 1-0 straight up against RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
Louisville at Rutgers, 7:30 EST ESPN
Louisville: 10-3 ATS off a combined score of 70+ points
Rutgers: 6-1 Under this season
Last year, Rutgers came out and stomped on Louisville's logo, then got stomped by Cardinals, 56-5 (+21.5), as Knights were outgained 500-187, completing just 12-34 passes. This will be big event in Jersey, with ESPN in town and NYC talkshows doing broadcasts from site. Louisville is 4-0 on road, winning by 62,18,27,15 points (2-2 as road favorite). Rutgers is 8-0, despite being underdog three times; only one of their wins is by less than ten points.
posted by phantom
Nov. 9 2006 1:45pm -
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THURSDAY NCAA FOOTBALL QUICK LOOK
WYOMING AT BYU
Game 307-308: Wyoming at BYU
Dunkel Ratings: Wyoming 83.138; BYU 104.540
Dunkel Line: BYU by 21 1/2; 41
Vegas Line: BYU by 18 1/2; 46
Dunkel Pick: BYU (-18 1/2); Under
WYOMING (5 - 5) at BYU (7 - 2) - 11/9/2006, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BYU is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games this season.
BYU is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
BYU is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
BYU is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
BYU is 2-0 against the spread versus WYOMING over the last 3 seasons
BYU is 2-0 straight up against WYOMING over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
Wyoming at BYU, 8:00 EST CSTV
Wyoming: 2-11 ATS after winning 4 of their last 5 games
BYU: 6-0 ATS as a favorite
BYU is on fire, winning last six games by average score of 36-10 (6-0 vs. spread); they are 4-0 as home favorite this year, winning by 25,38,30,45 pts and won last two home games vs. Wyoming (35-31/24-13). BYU had 267 rushing yards in LY's 35-21 win at Laramie (-4). Cowboys are improved in '06, winning four of last five games; only one of their five losses (26-3 at TCU) is by more than seven points- they're 3-2 as dog in '06.
posted by phantom
Nov. 9 2006 1:46pm -
0 likes
dr. bob
4 Star Selection
****TCU (-8.0) 24 NEW MEXICO 20
02:30 PM Pacific, 11-Nov-06
New Mexico has always started slowly and improved as the season progresses under coach Rocky Long and this season is no different. The Lobos started the season with a home loss to Division 1AA Portland State and were 2-4 straight up and 2-3 ATS in their first 6 games before running off 3 straight wins and spread wins with talented freshman Donovan Porterie at quarterback. New Mexico is 19-27 straight up and 15-25-1 ATS in the first 6 games of the season under Long since 1999 and the Lobos are now 29-13 straight up and 32-10 ATS in from game 7 on (regular season), including an incredible 24-1 ATS in their last 25 late season games when not favored by 3 points or more (as favorite of less than 3 or dog). The Lobos’ offense has improved in those 3 games with Porterie at quarterback, averaging 5.5 yards per play against teams that would combine to allow 5.4 yppl to an average attack. That is much better than the -0.9 yppl rating that they had in their first 6 games with two other starting quarterbacks. New Mexico has a solid defense that has allowed 5.0 yppl to teams that would average 5.0 yppl against an average stop unit, so they are about average overall from the line of scrimmage and better than average in special teams. TCU is a good team, rating at 0.1 yppl better than average on offense and 0.8 yppl better than average on defense, but the Horned Frogs are certainly not good enough to be favored by as many points as they are against the improved Lobos. In fact, my math model favors TCU by just 1 ½ points in this game and New Mexico has had an extra week to prepare, which is very advantageous late in the season. The Lobos actually apply to a 40-10-1 ATS late season team off a bye angle and TCU is not that great on the road, going just 7-14 ATS in conference road games under coach Patterson and 2-9 ATS as a road favorite of more than 7 points (0-5 ATS in conference). This one looks good every way you look at it, as we have a strong general situation, supporting team trends and good line value. I’ll take New Mexico in a 4- Star Best Bet at +7 points or more, for 3-Stars from +6 ½ to +4 points and for 2-Stars at +3 ½ or +3 points.
4 Star Selection
****SAN JOSE ST. 24 Boise St. (-14.5) 27
03:00 PM Pacific, 11-Nov-06
There is a lot of pressure on unbeaten teams late in the season and usually those teams tend to play not to lose rather than playing to win big. In fact, unbeaten road teams that are 7-0 or better, are just 93-132-4 ATS since 1980 and Boise State actually applies to a very negative 10-48-2 ATS subset of that situation that is 0-17 ATS since 2000. The Broncos applied to that same subset in their lackluster 42-26 win as a 21 point road favorite at Idaho a few weeks ago. San Jose State, meanwhile, applies to a 55- 19-2 ATS late season home underdog momentum situation and the record is a perfect 11-0 ATS if both angles apply to the same game. There are a few other situations favoring San Jose State as well and the Spartans are a pretty decent team. San Jose State has a great running back in Yonus Davis, who has 861 yards at 7.4 ypr this season, and a better than average veteran quarterback in Adam Tafralis (7.1 yards per pass play against teams that would allow 6.8 yppp to an average quarterback). Overall the Spartans are 0.4 yards per play better than average offensively and they are average defensively, allowing 5.1 yppl to teams that would combine to average 5.1 yppl against an average defense. Boise State is obviously better on both sides of the ball, rating at 0.8 yppl better than average offensively (with QB Zabransky in the game) and 0.3 yppl better than average defensively. You may notice that San Jose State has a slight advantage on offense over Boise State’s defense, which is important when backing a big home underdog. Overall, my math model favors Boise State by just 10 points in this game and the Spartans lost by just 5 points at Washington earlier this season (when the Huskies had their starting quarterback and were playing well), so they have proven that they can compete with better teams. The Spartans have a very profitable 65% chance of covering at +14 points and I’ll take San Jose State in a 4-Star Best Bet at +14 points or more, for 3-Stars from +12 to +13 ½, and for 2-Stars from +10 to +11 ½ points.
3 Star Selection
***RUTGERS 25 Louisville (-6.5) 21
04:30 PM Pacific, 09-Nov-06
Another battle of unbeaten teams in the Big East and the home team should come out on top again after Louisville beat West Virginia at home last Thursday. Unlike last week, when neither team could stop the other from scoring, Rutgers has a defense that can slow down the Cardinals. The Scarlet Knights have allowed just 4.1 yards per play this season to teams that would combine to average 5.1 yppl against an average team. Louisville has averaged 7.5 yppl (against teams that would allow 5.5 yppl to an average attack) and the Cardinals are obviously the best offensive team that Rutgers has faced this season. However, the Knights did limit a potent Pitt attack to just 10 points on 236 total yards and 4.5 yppl in Pittsburgh, so they are certainly capable of slowing down Louisville today at home. Rutgers isn’t much offensively, averaging just 5.3 yppl (against teams that would allow 5.5 yppl to an average team), but Louisville is just 0.2 yppl better than average defensively (5.0 yppl allowed to teams that would average 5.2 yppl), so Rutgers should do a decent job of moving the ball. Where Rutgers has a real advantage is in special teams, which should give them good field position in this game. Overall, my math model favors Louisville by just 2 ½ points in this game and another mathematical tool favors the Cardinals by 4 points. What makes Rutgers a play is not the marginal line value, but rather the situation. Louisville applies to the same negative 9-41-2 ATS unbeaten road team situation that West Virginia applied to last week in their loss at Louisville. Rutgers, meanwhile, applies to a very strong 48-13-1 ATS home underdog momentum situation at +5 or more and a 40-12-1 ATS home dog momentum situation. Also, unbeaten home underdogs (5-0 teams or better) are 24-12-1 ATS since 1980, including 12-5 ATS against an unbeaten visitor, and Rutgers will be playing with a lot of confidence in this game. Louisville hasn’t played nearly as good away from home under coach Bobby Petrino (11-12-1 ATS) as they have at Papa John’s Stadium (15-6 ATS) and the Cardinals are just 2-6 ATS as a favorite away from home against a team with a winning record. Rutgers, meanwhile, is 18-7-1 ATS as an underdog the last 4 years, including 3-0 ATS this season. I’ll take Rutgers in a 3-Star Best Bets at +5 points or more (4-Stars at +7 or more) and for 2-Stars from +3 ½ to +4 ½ points (strong opinion at +3).
3 Star Selection
***SMU 28 Houston (-5.0) 24
12:00 PM Pacific, 11-Nov-06
Houston’s big win last week over Tulsa was certainly impressive, but the Cougars were in a very high percentage situation. This week the Cougars are not in a good situation going on the road as a favorite after their upset win over the Hurricanes last week. Houston applies to a negative 95-186-7 ATS road letdown situation while SMU applies to a solid 84-46 ATS situation that plays on dogs coming off a win and a bye week. SMU has had two weeks to prepare for this game and their confidence is no doubt running high given their recent success at home and 5-2 record in their last 7 games overall. The Mustangs have won 6 consecutive home games in which the defense has allowed an average of just 11.2 points and SMU is 11-4 ATS in their last 15 lined games as the host. Not only is SMU in a good situation, but they are also undervalued due to their recent history of bad play. Those days are gone. The Mustangs have an efficient freshman quarterback in Justin Willis, who has completed 71% of this passes with 20 going for touchdowns against just 4 interceptions. Willis doesn’t throw the ball downfield very often and he actually rates as below average on a yards per pass play scale, but the Mustangs’ attack is only 0.3 yards per play worse than average. That unit should perform well against a Houston defense that has been 0.9 yppl worse than average (5.9 yppl allowed to teams that would average just 5.0 yppl against an average team) in 7 games since the Cougars lost their best defensive player, SS Schwartz, in their second game. Houston’s offense makes up for their poor defense by averaging 6.9 yppl (against teams that would allow 6.0 yppl) and senior quarterback Kevin Kolb has thrown just 3 picks in 317 passes this season. The Cougars actually rate even higher on offense now that they’ve converted shifty receiver Anthony Alridge to running back. Alridge has averaged an incredible 11.2 ypr on 51 carries this season and the Houston offense currently rates at 1.2 yppl better than average. SMU is among the best in the nation at defending the run and they’re decent against the pass and the Mustangs rate at 0.3 yppl better than average defensively. SMU has a 2.8 points edge in special teams and my math model favors the Mustangs by ½ a point in this game. The situation favoring SMU only applies for underdogs of 3 points or more, so I’ll take SMU in a 2-Star Best Bet at +3 points or more and for 3-Stars at +4 points or more.
3 Star Selection
***KANSAS ST. 21 Texas (-17.0) 29
05:00 PM Pacific, 11-Nov-06
Texas has only played two true road games all season long and they barely won both of those games (by 2 points at Nebraska and by 4 points at Texas Tech). Texas has been inconsistent with their effort on the defensive side of the ball and this is a game in which I expect the Longhorns to letdown. Texas applies to a negative 17-57-3 ATS road letdown situation while Kansas State has played well in consecutive victories and they qualify in a very good 48-13-1 ATS momentum home underdog situation. There is also a more general 186-95-7 ATS home momentum situation that favors the Wildcats, who are now 69-31 ATS at home since 1990 (4-2 ATS this season). Kansas State has been hit with costly injuries to their secondary, losing top CB Baldwin in game 4 and then S Watts a couple of weeks ago, so the Wildcats have gone from a very good defensive team early this season to a slightly worse than average defense currently. However, Kansas State’s offense has improved in their last 5 games with Josh Freeman at quarterback and Leon Patton as the main running back (413 yards at 6.1 ypr in 5 games as the main back). In those 5 games the Wildcats have averaged 5.8 yppl against teams that would allow 5.3 yppl to an average team. Kansas State has been without their top receiver, Jermaine Moreira the past 2 ½ games, but the pass attack has actually posted better numbers during that span so I felt no need to make an adjustment for that. Texas has only been 0.4 yppl better than average defensively this season, allowing 5.1 yppl to teams that would combine to average 5.5 yppl against an average defensive team, and the Longhorns have allowed an average of 429 yards at 6.7 yppl in their two games as the visitor (against Nebraska and Texas Tech offensive units that would combine to average 6.6 yppl at home against an average team). My math model favors Texas by 14 ½ points and the Longhorns are due for a letdown. I’ll take Kansas State in a 3-Star Best Bet at +16 points or more and for 2-Stars from +15 ½ to +14 points.
2 Star Selection
**Texas El Paso 27 UAB (-2.0) 21
05:00 PM Pacific, 10-Nov-06
The Miners have now lost 3 straight games, the last of which was an upset home loss as an 8 ½ point favorite against Rice last week. That loss should result in a turnaround this week as UTEP applies to a very strong 57-10 ATS road bounce-back situation - as long as they are pick or an underdog. It helps that UTEP is the better team in this game, as the Miners rate considerably higher on both sides of the ball. El Paso is 0.2 yards per play better than average on offense (5.9 yppl against teams that would allow 5.7 yppl to an average team) and 0.2 yppl worse than average on defense (5.6 yppl allowed to teams that would average 5.4 yppl against an average defense). UAB, meanwhile, is 0.7 yppl worse than average with quarterback Chris Williams in the game and the Blazers are 0.6 yppl worse than average defensively (5.7 yppl allowed to teams that would average 5.1 yppl against an average team). My math model favors UTEP by 5 points in this game and the situation favoring the Miners applies at pick or dog, so I’ll take Texas El Paso in a 2-Star Best Bet at pick or as an underdog (3-Stars at +3 or more).
2 Star Selection
**BOSTON COLLEGE (-28.0) 42 Duke 6
04:00 PM Pacific, 11-Nov-06
Boston College is coming off a loss at Wake Forest and the Eagles will be looking to take out their frustrations on the lowly Blue Devils today. Boston College is 21-9 ATS after a conference loss in 10 years under coach Tom O’Brien (19-5 ATS last 24) and O’Brien rarely shows mercy at home against out-manned conference foes, going 10-1 ATS hosting conference opponents with losing records during his tenure. Boston College also applies to a 60-23 ATS big home favorite bounce-back situation as long as they are favored by 28 points or less and my math model favors the Eagles by 36 ½ points. The Eagles are 9-3-1 ATS as a favorite of 20 points or more, so they usually get the money as a big favorite, but I’ll only play BC as a Best Bet if the 60-23 ATS situation applies. I’ll take Boston College in a 2-Star Best Bet at -28 points or less and I’ll consider the Eagles a Strong Opinion at -31 or less.
2 Star Selection
**Central Florida 34 MEMPHIS (-1.0) 26
05:00 PM Pacific, 11-Nov-06
I’ve been going against both of these teams this season but Central Florida is improving while Memphis is getting worse. UCF coach George O’Leary has started Kyle Israel at quarterback the last 3 games and the offense has responded by averaging 5.9 yards per play in those games (against teams that would allow 5.9 yppl to an average team). An average attack is an improvement for the Golden Knights and Israel should have a huge day attacking a Memphis secondary that has allowed 8.0 yards per pass play this season (to teams that would combine to average 5.4 yppp against an average defense). The Tigers were without 3 time All-Conference S Wesley Smith for 2 of those games, including last week, but Smith is expected to play this week and Memphis is a bit better when he’s been in (but still 2.4 yppp worse than average). Overall the Tigers are 1.2 yppl worse than average defensively, so Central Florida should move the ball very well. The Memphis offense is only 0.4 yppl worse than average and they have an advantage over a Central Florida defense that is 0.8 yppl worse than average (6.4 yppl allowed to teams that would average 5.6 yppl against an average team). However, that 0.4 yppl advantage by the Memphis offense is far less than the 1.2 yppl advantage that the Knights have over the Tigers’ defense. Central Florida also has better special teams and my math model favors the Knights by 7 points in this game. UCF would also apply to a solid 51-26-2 ATS bounce- back situation if they are an underdog or pick and I’ll take Central Florida in a 2- Star Best Bet at -1 or better and for 3-Stars at +2 or more.
2 Star Selection
**SAN DIEGO ST. (-7.5) 32 UNLV 16
06:00 PM Pacific, 11-Nov-06
San Diego State was horrible early in the season under new coach Chuck Long, but the Aztecs are showing signs of life on both sides of the ball lately. The offense has averaged only 4.8 yards per play this season (against teams that would allow 5.2 yppl to an average team), but the Aztecs rate at 0.4 yppl better than average with their current offensive lineup. The difference is having Atiyyah Henderson at tailback since their 3rd game (601 yards at 5.1 ypr in 6 games as the main back) and having redshirt freshman Kevin Craft at quarterback the last 4 games, in which he’s averaged 6.1 yards per pass play against teams that would combine to allow just 5.6 yppp to an average quarterback. Craft replaced the ineffective Darren Mougey, who took over in game 2 after veteran starter Kevin O’Connell was injured in the opener. O’Connell returned last week and threw 6 passes for 94 yards and has completed 16 of his 20 passes this season. O’Connell and Craft will both play and I expect both to have success against a porous UNLV secondary that has allowed 7.8 yppp this season to teams that would average 6.5 yppp against an average team. UNLV is 0.6 yppl worse than average overall defensively, and my math model forecasts 414 yards at 6.6 yppl for the Aztecs in this game. UNLV will have a tough time keeping up with an attack that rates at 1.0 yppl worse than average with Rocky Hinds behind center (the much more effective Shane Steichen was hurt a few weeks ago and is out for the season). San Diego State’s defense has allowed only 4.5 yppl in their last 3 games and they are now just 0.2 yppl worse than average for the season on defense, so the Aztecs have a huge edge when UNLV has the ball too. The Rebels do have a 1.5 points edge in special teams but the math favors San Diego State by 16 ½ points. I’ll take San Diego State in a 2-Star Best Bet at -9 points or less and for 3-Stars at -7 or less (strong opinion at -9 ½ or -10).
2-Star Best Bet
**Pittsburgh (-7) 28 CONNECTICUT 14
12:30 PM Pacific, 11-Nov-06
Pittsburgh has lost two consecutive games to good defensive teams Rutgers and South Florida, and those losses have led to some line value on their side entering this game. The Panthers are still a very good team that has averaged 6.5 yards per play on offense (against teams that would allow 5.6 yppl to an average team) while allowing just 4.6 yppl (to teams that would combine to average 5.0 yppl against an average defense). Connecticut, meanwhile, is 0.6 yppl worse than average on offense and 0.1 yppl worse than average on defense and the Panthers have beaten mediocre teams pretty easily this season. My math model favors Pitt by 16 points in this game but conference road favorites of more than 7 points that are coming off back-to-back losses are not good bets historically against a team with the revenge motive (45-76-2 ATS), so I will insist on only making Pitt a 2-Star Best Bet at -7 points or less. The situation against Pittsburgh is not strong enough to keep me from favoring the Panthers to cover in this game.
Strong Opinion
Navy (-14.0) 32 Eastern Mich 14 (at Detroit)
10:00 AM Pacific, 11-Nov-06
Navy has always been a good bet away from home and the Midshipmen are now 35-8-1 ATS in regular season road or neutral games against teams with losing records after whipping Duke last Saturday. Navy can’t throw the ball at all out of their option without injured starter Brian Hampton, but the Middies should have no trouble running their option attack against an Eastern Michigan defense that is decent defending the pass (which means very little in this game), but are horrible against the run (5.4 yards per rushing play allowed to teams that would combine to average 4.6 yprp against an average defensive team). My math model favors Navy by 14 points, so there really isn’t much line value, but I’ll consider Navy a Strong Opinion at -14 points or less based on their very profitable history in this role
posted by phantom
Nov. 9 2006 3:30pm -
0 likes
Dr. Bob:
New Mexico (+8) 4-Stars at +7 or more, 3-Stars from +4 to +6 1/2, 2- Stars at +3 or +3 1/2.
San Jose State (+14 1/2) 4-Stars at +14 or more, 3-Stars from +12 to +13 1/2, 2-Stars from +10 to +11 ½
Rutgers (+6 1/2) 3-Stars at +5 or more, 2-Stars from +3 1/2 to +4 1/2, 4-Stars at +7 or more.
------------------
SMU (+5) 3-Stars at +4 or more, 2-Stars at +3 or +3 1/2.
Kansas State (+17) 3-Stars at +16 or more, 2-Stars from +14 to +15 1/2.
-----------------
UTEP (+2) 2-Stars at pick or better.
Boston College (-28) 2-Stars at -28 or less.
Central Florida (+1) 2-Stars at -1 or better, 3-Stars at +2 or more.
-----------------
San Diego State (-7 1/2) 2-Stars at -9 or less, 3-Stars at -7 or less.
Pittsburgh 2-Stars at -7 or less.
posted by phantom
Nov. 9 2006 5:11pm -
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Larry Ness
Rocky Long's teams at New Mexico have typically gotten better as the year progresses and he's also done really well after a bye. Both of those factors are in play this week as New Mexico hosts TCU. Since 1996 the Lobos are 12-1 SU and 13-0 ATS after a bye and Rocky Long has won his last nine regular season games following a bye week. After a 2-4 start TY, New Mexico has won and covered its last three, which is nothing new. Since 2001, the Lobos are 25-6 SU and 27-7 ATS from Game 7 on! Donovan Porterie is the team's third choice at QB this year and he's led the team on its three-game winning streak, averaging 237.7 YPG in the air with five TDPs and two INTs. While RB Ferguson is no DonTrell Moore, he's doing just fine, with 713 YR on the year (4.3 YPC). TCU is 6-2 (bowl eligible) but despite three straight wins, is not the same team as LY, when the Horned Frogs went 11-1. After beating Texas Tech 12-3, TCU lost at home to BYU (31-17) and then at Utah (20-7), before winning against 3-7 Army, 1-8 UNLV and disappointing Wyoming (5-5). QB Ballard is back but his TD/INT ratio is just 5/5 this year, compared to 13/7 in 2005. The D is still tough (13.0 PPG ranks T-7th / 68.3 YPG rushing ranks 4th) but unlike LY when the team had a plus-21 turnover ratio, this year's team is at minus-one! Expect New Mexico to continue its habit of winning after a bye and winning late in the year. CFB Underdog of the Year 20* New Mexico
posted by phantom
Nov. 9 2006 10:06pm -
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Greg Roberts Dixie Digest 11/11,12
ROAST OF THE WEEK NEV58-10ov UNLV (This play is 9-1 for year)
BARKING DOG: BAMA 17-21 LSU (His record on this play is also high %)
TOTALS GAME: HAWAII 77-20 ov La Tech. Play OVER. (He hit all 3 lst wk)
Comp Play for Today: OK ST/BAY OVER
posted by phantom
Nov. 9 2006 10:09pm -
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Sports Reporter
NFL FOOTBALL
Super Best Bet
NY Giants over Chicago by 21
Best Bet TOTAL
Detroit over San Fran by 7 OVER 44
Recommended
Dallas over Arizona by 14
Jacksonville over Houston by 19
NCAA FOOTBALL
Best Bets
TCU over New Mexico by 17
Navy over Eastern Michigan by 24
Vanderbilt over Kentucky by 11
Recommended
West Virginia over Cincinnati by 28
Oklahoma over Texas Tech by 17
Hawaii over Louisiana Tech by 28
UCLA over Oregon State by 7
posted by phantom
Nov. 9 2006 10:09pm -
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Marc Lawrence Playbook
Awesome angle of the week
Play AGAINST Carolina Panthers
NCAA College
5* Best Bet
Miami Fla over Maryland by 10
4* Best Bet
Florida St over Wake Forest by 17
3* Best Bet
LSU Over Alabama by 7
UPSET Game of Week
Vanderbilt over Kentucky by 7
NFL Football
5* Best Bet
NY Giants over Chicago by 16
4* Best Bet
Pittsburgh over New Orleans by 14
3* Best Bet
Miami over Kansas City by 7
NFL TOTALS
Jaguars UNDER
Colts OVER
Lions OVER
posted by phantom
Nov. 9 2006 10:10pm -
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ARNE K. LANG:
FRIDAY, NOV. 10: WESTERN MICHIGAN at CENTRAL MICHIGAN (-5 1/2)
How big is this game? Quoting from an article in the Saginaw News, "police . . . are mustering hundreds of officers from around the state to help quell any skirmishes, overzealousness or general debauchery." This is yet another reason why we prefer the home team. Brian Kelly is no stranger to big games, having guided his former club to three consecutive D-II title games (winning two).
The chief asset for the visiting Broncos is a fierce pass rush. No team has made more sacks. However, we doubt that CMU triggerman Dan LeFevour will be blitzed into a bad night. Protecting LeFevour's blind side is Joe Staley, a player projected to play on Sundays in 2007.
The three CMU losses have come at the hands of Boston College, Michigan, and Kentucky. The Chippewas had little trouble advancing the ball against Kentucky despite the absence of leading runner Ontario Sneed. In last week's tilt at Temple, Sneed had his best game of the season. The Chippewas went on cruise control after racing out to a 28-0 lead. In theory, they should be fresher than the Broncos, whose last game was a seesaw affair.
In last year's match at Kalamazoo, CMU came up short despite 35 first downs. The Chips were hampered by four turnovers and 13 penalties. The home field has loomed large in this series. CMU is 13-1-1 SU in the last 15 meetings at Kelly/Shorts Stadium.
RECOMMENDATION: Central Michigan minus the points.
curry bagwell:
Texas El Paso +1 - Friday
UAB failed to score a touchdown vs. defenseless SMU last week. Their QB rarely was able to attempt a pass from the pocket. Prior to that game, they allowed over 30 ppg to Memphis, Rice, and Marshall. That spells trouble going against this UTEP offense which took Texas Tech to overtime, losing 38-35.
DR BOB
UTEP (+2) 2-Stars at pick or better.
DR BOB
2 Star Selection
** Texas El Paso 27 UAB (-2.0) 21
05:00 PM Pacific, 10-Nov-06
The Miners have now lost 3 straight games, the last of which was an upset home loss as an 8 ½ point favorite against Rice last week. That loss should result in a turnaround this week as UTEP applies to a very strong 57-10 ATS road bounce-back situation - as long as they are pick or an underdog. It helps that UTEP is the better team in this game, as the Miners rate considerably higher on both sides of the ball. El Paso is 0.2 yards per play better than average on offense (5.9 yppl against teams that would allow 5.7 yppl to an average team) and 0.2 yppl worse than average on defense (5.6 yppl allowed to teams that would average 5.4 yppl against an average defense). UAB, meanwhile, is 0.7 yppl worse than average with quarterback Chris Williams in the game and the Blazers are 0.6 yppl worse than average defensively (5.7 yppl allowed to teams that would average 5.1 yppl against an average team). My math model favors UTEP by 5 points in this game and the situation favoring the Miners applies at pick or dog, so I’ll take Texas El Paso in a 2-Star Best Bet at pick or as an underdog (3-Stars at +3 or more).
SCOTT DELANEY
Tonight, it's to the gridiron, as we cash in with Western Michigan tonight.
Little as its known, this is as bitter a rivalry as the one forthcoming between Ohio State and Michigan and/or between Nebraska and Oklahoma.
You wouldn't think it, given this is the MAC, but the Broncos boast the nation's seventh-ranked rushing D and No. 1 in the conference, while the passing D isn't too shabby at No. 3 in the MAC.
WMU quarterback Ryan Cubit should be moving the ball against this defense, which is one of the worst in the nation, and that'll be key in the final quarter of this epic battle.
The winner of this game has a paved way to the MAC West Division crown and a berth into the conference final. And though CMU had an unbeaten ATS campaign tacked up until yielding two late scores against lowly Temple last week, I like the Broncos to hang with the Chipps in this one, as I believe the defense of WMU will prevail at crucial times in this game.
on a 1♦ to 5♦ Basis
3♦ WESTERN MICHIGAN
Pirate Sports
Top Plays (5-1 YTD):
Central Michigan (-5.5) - Central Michigan faces off against Western Michigan this Friday night. Central Michigan is 5-0 in conference play thus far and looks to be 6-0 after this game. The Central Michigan offense will come up big this game and play well by airing it out against the strong run defense of Western Michigan . My yards/play theory shows Central Michigan as a 5.5 favorite matching the Vegas line, however the powerline system shows Central as a much stronger two touchdown favorite
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posted by phantom
Nov. 10 2006 1:23pm -
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Larry Ness Premium Subscrip
Last year Mike Price's team was 8-1 and poised to clinch the C-USA West title, needing only a home win over UAB. UTEP was favored by just over a TD but the Miners fell behind 21-3 at the half and eventually lost, 35-23. UTEP never recovered, dropping its final regular season game as well, plus its bowl game. This year's rematch sees both teams coming in on three-game losing streaks and while not much is at stake, I believe UTEP has more motivation plus owns the talent edge. QB Jordan Palmer had interception problems LY (19) and began TY with six INTs in his first two games (80 attempts). However, while the team has struggled, he's had just five INTs over his last seven games (225 attempts) and enters completing 65.9%, averaging 271.9 YPG and 19 TDPs. UAB's Chris Williams has thrown just eight TDPs all year (six came in two games) and as a team, UAB averages more than 100 YPG less passing yards than UTEP. UTEP's running game is non-existent and while UAB's is slightly better, the Blazers have all sorts of injury problems with their RBs. UAB has already lost at home to Miss St (has won just four road games since 2001) and Marshall (team's lone road win of '06), so there is no reason a UTEP team (in payback mode) can't win in Birmingham. CFB Friday Game of the Year 15* UTEP
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By Chuck Franklin, Featured Handicapper
Western Michigan at CENTRAL MICHIGAN (-6)
Revenge is on the side of a Central Michigan team that is also looking to get the win and claim a part of the MAC West title. Last year Western Michigan won this game 31-24. This year Central Michigan wins by double-digits.
The Chippewas will win this game in the air. They are second in the MAC with 250 yards passing per game. That plays right into the weakness of a pretty good Western Michigan defense. The Broncos have one of the best overall defenses in the MAC, but they allow 210 passing yards per game.
Central Michigan is 11-5 SU and 13-3 ATS the 16 lined games. If they are facing a team that has won two games in a row, the Chippewas are 13-4 ATS, including a perfect 7-0 ATS when playing at home.
Central Michigan will get the win and cover in its last home game of the season!
3♦ CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Western Michigan at CENTRAL MICHIGAN (-5) By Michael Cannon, Featured Handicapper
How easy was that free winner on Byu last night? I am now 5-2 with my last seven free college football plays.
Lay the points with Central Michigan tonight when they host Western Michigan in a game that will determine first place in the MAC West Division.
Central Michigan had an unbeaten ATS season going until giving up two late touchdowns last week in a 42-26 win over Temple. The Chippewas are on a 12-2-2 ATS roll since 2005.
They are led on offense by quarterback Dan LeFevour, who has connected on 62 percent of his passes for 1,881 yards and 17 touchdowns with just six interceptions.
Western Michigan has been playing just well enough to win lately, and barely squeeked by a Miami (OH) team that has just one win on the season. The Broncos survived 27-24, but fell way short as a 12-point home chalk.
Central Michigan will be out for revenge here, after losing to the Broncos last year, 31-24. In that game the Chippewas outgained Western Michigan 575-365, but turned the ball over four times.
Lay the points as Central Michigan has been playing far better football than Western Michigan lately.
Chippewas by 10.
3♦ CENTRAL MICHIGAN
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posted by phantom
Nov. 10 2006 1:24pm -
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By Bobby Maxwell, Featured Handicapper
We absolutely nailed our FREE play on the college gridiron Saturday when Maryland not only covered, but beat Clemson outright and improved our record to 13-5 with complimentary plays.
Tonight we have a strong play in the Mid-American Conference matchup with Central Michigan as the Chippewas host Western Michigan.
Central Michigan is the only way to go with this game as they've been on a 12-2-2 ATS run since 2005 and they are 8-1-1 ATS in the last 10 games. The lone non-cover came last week when the Chippewas beat Temple 42-26 but failed to cover as 20-point road chalk.
Western Michigan is coming off a 27-24 win over MIami (Ohio) last week but came up short as 12-point home favorites. The Broncos have won four straight games, but three of those games have been decided by a field goal or less.
Central Michigan leads the MAC West Division with a 5-0 mark (5-0 ATS) and has a half-game lead over the Broncos. The Chippewas fell to Western Michigan 31-24 last year but outgained the Broncos 575-365, including 460-239 through the air, but four turnovers sealed their fate.
The home team has won nine of the last 10 meetings between these two. Central Michigan is 3-1 at home (4-0 ATS) with the only loss coming in the season opener against Boston College.
The key will be Central Michigan QB Dan LeFevour not throwing any iinterceptions. He has thrown 17 TD passes this season and just six INTs, but he has to avoid turnovers. If the Chippewas can keep control of the ball, this is an easy cover.
Central Michigan is the better team and has some revenge on mind after dominating the Broncos last year, but losing the game. Play the Chippewas.
3♦ CENTRAL MICHIGAN
posted by phantom
Nov. 10 2006 1:32pm -
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By Chris Jordan, Featured Handicapper
UTEP (+2) at Uab
The Miners are in position to get a bowl berth, despite a tough loss last week. So with three games left I'd think Mike Price will have his team looking at a huge win against the Blazers in this one.
After all, UTEP is mired in a three-game losing streak, and Price is back in the state where his Alabama coaching career began. Pride sets in guys, and that can be a big deal for a coach staring down the barrel of a bowl-less season, when everyone thought you'd be bowling.
His running game is stuck in the mud, tackling seems to be a problem for his stop unit and the starting offensive line is too inexperienced, at least it seems that way.
So how are we to think the Miners get it done in this one?
Simple: Pass, pass, pass against a defensive secondary that is skeptical at best. The Blazers' passing D ranks 45th in the nation, while its passing efficiency defense is even worse at 75th. And tonight we're going to see Price's aerial attack – ranked 11th in the nation – put up phenomenal numbers to inch closer to a bowl berth.
3♦ UTEP
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posted by phantom
Nov. 10 2006 1:32pm -
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By Rob House, Featured Handicapper
The Public is betting UAB and for the life of me I can't figure that one out. UAB is on a 3 game losing streak, same as UTEP but at least UTEP is scoring points.
UAB is struggling to find the end zone right now as they put up just 9 points against SMU int heir last game.
Utep is going to score points tonight as they have averaged 28.3 points per game over their last 6.
UAB on the other hand is averaging just 18.8 points per game over their last 7 games. They've had two good offensive games all year and that's pretty much it.
Look for UTEP to light up the scoreboard tonight and don't expect UAB to match.
Go with the Miners here in this one.
5♦ UTEP
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posted by phantom
Nov. 10 2006 1:33pm -
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pointwise phone plays:
4 mia.fl. navy
3 haw. okla.st. flor.st. uconn. mich.st. nev. san jose st
posted by phantom
Nov. 10 2006 4:33pm -
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Greg Roberts:
MVP.............. 6* Navy -13 1/2
YOUR 6* MVP SELECTION IS:
NAVY -13' VS. E. MICHIGAN
Have to believe the 1-8 Eagles of Eastern Michigan are exhausted having allowed at least 156 yards rushing to each opponent on it's schedule as they rank 113th in the nation vs. the run. It will get no easier for the beleaguered Eagles on Saturday as they take on the nation's #1 run game from an attack they rarely see. The Middies have covered 12 of their last 17 as a favorite of more than 6 and, as a tribute to their stamina, preparedness and conditioning, they are 7-1 against the spread in their final 4 games the last 2 years under Paul Johnson. Anchors Aweigh!
YOUR 6* MVP SELECTION IS:
NAVY MIDSHIPMEN -13'
posted by phantom
Nov. 10 2006 4:33pm -
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Greg Roberts:
YOUR 6* HI-ROLLER FOOTBALL SELECTION IS:
FLORIDA ST -8 VS. WAKE FOREST
We have tremendous respect for Jim Grobe's Demon Deacons as an underdog but it's simply the wrong place at the wrong time here. The Seminole offense has found new life behind Vince Young line signal caller Xavier Lee and are getting a lot of their defensive personnel healthy and back again this week as well. Florida St. has won 14 straight vs. Wake Forest all as a double digit favorite with no game in Tallahassee closer than 17 points the last 10 years. Wake Forest has been out-gained and out-firstdowned by every ACC opponent this year and come Saturday it will show on the scoreboard too!
YOUR 6* HI-ROLLER FOOTBALL SELECTION IS:
FLORIDA STATE SEMINOLES -8
posted by phantom
Nov. 10 2006 4:34pm