27 replies
-
0 likes
THE GOLD SHEET
College Analysis
THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 2
*West Virginia 28 - LOUISVILLE 26--Winner positions itself for possible berth in BCS title game. Louisville offense still better balanced than West Virginia's. But Card attack (28 points or fewer in 3 of last 4) not the juggernaut of recent seasons, as sore-thumbed star QB Brohm has just 1 TDP in last 2 games. Mountaineer ground game not only possesses mucho home-run capability with sizzling sophs QB White & RB Slaton (combined 240 ypg rushing), but also enough power to wear down speed-oriented L'ville defense. Well-coached West Va. has covered 8 of last 9 away from Morgantown. CABLE TV--ESPN
(05-W. VA. 46-Lvl. 44 (OT)...L.26-20 W.53/281 L.44/182 L.31/49/1/277 W.13/27/0/109 W.0 L.0)
(05-WEST VIRGINIA +7 46-44 (OT)...SR: West Virginia 6-1)
FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 3
*Air Force 27 - ARMY 16--Air Force option mysteriously ineffective past few weeks (first time Fisher DeBerry teams without a TD in 1st half for 2 games in a row). But leaky Army "D" that allowed almost 600 yards last week at Tulane a welcome sight for QB Carney & Falcon attack. Meanwhile, Black Knights self-destructing (11 TOs last 3), and Bobby Ross looking to future with shift to frosh C. Williams at QB. CABLE TV--ESPN2
(05-Army 27-A. FORCE 24...22-22 Af.47/230 Ar.50/217 Af.17/23/0/203 Ar.13/23/0/143 Ar.0 Af.2)
(05-Army +11' 27-24 04-Afa -4 31-22 03-AFA -27 31-3...SR: Air Force 26-13-1)
SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 4
MICHIGAN 39 - Ball State 0--Although Michigan attack has scored just 54 pts. last 3 games, the defense has remained sharp, allowing just 12 ppg & fewest rush yards in the country. Wolverine QB Henne & RB Hart facing Ball St. stop unit that allows 450 ypg. Michigan "D" forced 5 TOs against Northwestern, and Cardinals can't protect true frosh QB Nate Davis from aggressive front sevens. Wolverines "under" in 6 straight. (FIRST MEETING)
IOWA 41 - Northwestern 17--Northwestern attack improved with insertion of QB Bacher (449 YP in starts vs. Michigan & Michigan St.), but Iowa also got a boost with return to form of RB Young (124 YR vs. NIU), and RS frosh QB Jake Christensen filled in nicely for Drew Tate vs. the Huskies, throwing for 253 yds. and a pair of scores. Revenge motivation should elicit a focused effort from Hawkeyes.
(05-N'WESTERN 28-Iowa 27...I.27-25 I.43/216 N.31/115 N.31/51/2/338 I.23/38/0/276 N.0 I.0)
(05-NORTHWESTERN +3 28-27...SR: Iowa 45-19-3)
Boston College 24 - WAKE FOREST 23--Beat-up BC was able to rest regulars (including QB Ryan) in last week's home romp over Buffalo. No surprise if fundamentally-sound Eagles eke out SU win. Would be surprised if Wake, off to its best start since 1979, doesn't put up 60-minute fight. Deacons (no turnovers last 2 games) don't hurt themselves and have enough defense to give BC fits again.
(05-B. COL. 35-W. For. 30...B.24-17 W.51/134 B.28/84 B.27/50/3/318 W.21/33/0/193 B.2 W.0)
(05-BC -14 35-30 04-WFU P 17-14 03-Wfu +11 32-28...SR: Boston College 6-5-2)
MICHIGAN STATE 36 - Purdue 30--Purdue's offense, roaring at times this season, has gone nearly silent last few weeks (suffered first shutout since '96 vs. Penn State), failing to score last 7 Qs. Michigan State defense has been on the ropes the last month, so expect Purdue drought to end, but sr. Spartan QB Stanton is very capable of exploiting Boiler 2ndary allowing 242 ypg passing.
(05-PURD. 28-Mich. St. 21...P.23-20 P.44/221 M.33/103 M.22/31/1/248 P.20/32/0/226 P.1 M.0)
(05-PURDUE +4' 28-21...SR: Michigan State 28-27-3)
Pittsburgh 27 - SOUTH FLORIDA 17--Both off a bye and trying to bounce back from deflating losses. RS frosh QB Grothe's versatility & toughness and veteran LB corps big pluses for USF. But Grothe can't trade aerial strikes with savvy Pitt sr. QB Palko (70%, 18 TDP, only 3 ints.). Panther HC Wannstedt looking to impress potential recruits in talent-rich Florida.
(05-PITT 31-S. Fla. 17...S.19-15 S.47/142 P.42/127 S.18/37/1/222 P.15/21/0/203 P.2 S.2)
(05-PITTSBURGH -1' 31-17 04-Pittsburgh -6' 43-14...SR: Pittsburgh 2-1)
Kansas 23 - IOWA STATE 17--Despite its promising offense going into TY, ISU can't maintain ball control, prevent drive-killing sacks (6 more last week), or score much in the 3rd & 4th Qs (only 30 pts. all year vs. I-A foes). Even though KU QB Kerry Meier was on the shelf again last week, Jayhawks might have found a good replacement in highly-touted 5-11, 190 true frosh Todd Reesing, who had 2 TDP & 1 TDR to spark 2nd-half victory vs. Colorado.
(05-KANSAS 24-Ia. St. 21 (OT)...K.20-17 K.38/123 I.36/56 I.18/34/1/257 K.24/43/3/254 K.0 I.0)
(05-KANSAS +3 24-21 (OT) 04-ISU +4 13-7 03-KANSAS -10 36-7...SR: Kansas 45-34-6)
Indiana 31 - MINNESOTA 30--Return to full health of RB Thigpen (104 YR vs. Michigan St.) and return to form of 6-7 WR Hardy (20 recs., 7 TDs last 3 games) major positives for improving Indiana. Combining their contributions with rapid maturation of Indiana QB K. Lewis (336 yds. total offense, 5 TD passes vs. Spartans) has 5-4 Hoosiers envisioning first bowl bid since '93.
(05-Minn. 42-IND. 21...M.27-20 M.49/347 I.37/112 I.26/43/1/253 M.16/26/0/225 M.0 I.0)
(05-Minn. -12' 42-21 04-IND. +17' 30-21 03-MINN. -28' 55-7...SR: Minnesota 35-25-3)
Georgia Tech 19 - NORTH CAROLINA STATE 17--Each of N.C. State's last 5 games decided by a TD or less. If maturing soph QB Evans keeps his composure against Tech's blitzes, Wolfpack (won SU in first 2 as home dog TY) will die hard.
(05-Ncs 17-GA. TECH 14...G.29-14 G.38/164 N.31/56 G.21/53/2/279 N.18/25/2/230 N.0 G.0)
(05-Ncs +4 17-14 04-Tech +7' 24-14 03-TECH +6' 29-21...SR: Georgia Tech 16-9)
CLEMSON 30 - Maryland 21--Price plummeting off last week's disparate results. Bad fundamental matchup for pliable Maryland front 7 (permitting 5 ypc) against relentless Clemson ground game. But confident Terps have 3 straight wins and a productive rushing attack of their own. Can careful sr. QB Hollenbach (only 5 ints. TY) do enough to keep visitor close?
(05-Clem. 28-MARY. 24...19-19 C.40/114 M.38/56 M.18/28/1/288 C.18/22/0/178 C.0 M.1)
(05-Clem. +2 28-24 04-CLEM. -3' 10-7 03-MARY. -8 21-7...SR: Clemson 29-23-1)
Florida 35 - VANDERBILT 13--Prefer to lay it with SEC West division frontrunner UF, which won't take Vandy lightly following nervous OT victory LY. With OL hurting and TE Bright (18 catches) sidelined, 'Dores soph QB Nickson hard-pressed to move chains vs. smothering Gator defense (12 ppg) that limited Georgia to 215 yds. and forced 5 TOs. And after generating just 2 offensive TDs vs. Dawgs, expect QB Leak (threw 1st int. in 4 games vs. UGA) & Co. to regain mojo vs. overworked Vandy stop unit.
(05-FLA. 49-Vandy 42 (OT)...F.29-22 F.42/191 V.25/58 V.28/42/2/361 F.32/41/0/257 F.0 V.2)
(05-FLA. -18' 49-42 (OT) 04-Fla. -12 34-17 03-FLA. -23 35-17...SR: Florida 28-9-2)
Ohio State 42 - ILLINOIS 7--Illinois true frosh QB I. Williams continues to manufacture points with play that borders on schoolyard in its lack of complexity ("You go long and I'll run around for a while and chuck it in the end zone."). Illini have committed 11 turnovers in their last 3 games, and Ohio State is zeroed in on national championship and riding a 15-1 pointspread streak. Troy Smith and Ted Ginn, Jr. will speed up on the fast artificial track at Champaign. Why buck the Buckeyes?
(05-OHIO ST. 40-Ill. 2...O.24-9 O.46/202 I.33/68 O.16/25/0/324 I.18/24/0/92 O.1 I.0)
(05-OHIO STATE -35 40-2...SR: Ohio State 59-29-4)
Central Michigan 30 - TEMPLE 17--Temple has snapped nation's longest losing streak, and Owls buoyed for another solid effort. Temple has covered 4 of last 5, a run corresponding to return to action of sr. RB Tim Brown (471 YR & 14 catches in those 5). Respect rested, hot Central Michigan (8-0-1 vs. number last 9), but Chippewas haven't laid more than 10 pts. on the road since '99 (at Buffalo). (FIRST MEETING)
Navy 28 - DUKE 12--Credit to Duke for continuing to play for full 60 minutes while more-talented recent foes have had trouble maintaining focus for 4 Qs. But Navy likely to match (or exceed) Blue Devil intensity, especially since Mids still looking for win to make themselves bowl-eligible. Expect Navy QB Kaheaku-Enhada to be more comfy at tiller of Paul Johnson's spread option after rough baptism as starter vs. Notre Dame.
(05-Navy 28-DUKE 21...D.20-13 N.35/326 D.58/179 D.16/27/1/152 N.4/9/1/87 N.1 D.0)
(05-Navy -6 28-21 04-NAVY -7' 27-12...SR: Navy 18-12-5)
Ohio 17 - EASTERN MICHIGAN 16--Ohio U. HC Solich has put together 4 straight wins to climb atop the MAC East, and he hasn't done it with mirrors (RB McRae 440 YR, 7 rush TDs in streak; defense just 17 ppg on season). However, EMU's defense was tough against Toledo and again at Western Michigan. In low-scoring affair, would rather take points with Eagles. (DNP...SR: Ohio 13-11-1)
Kent State 38 - BUFFALO 16--Much like Blanche DuBois in A Streetcar Named Desire, Buffalo's defense has "always depended on the kindness of strangers." After getting upset by Bulls last season and after being knocked out of first in the MAC East last week, Kent won't offer much comfort to the Bulls. KS QB Edelman and RB Jarvis get busy quickly against Buffalo's 117th-ranked stop unit.
(05-Buf. 10-KENT ST. 6...K.15-11 B.39/107 K.20/M37 K.23/40/2/175 B.16/23/0/97 B.0 K.2)
(05-Buffalo +7 10-6 04-Ksu -8 33-7 03-KSU -13 34-24...SR: Kent State 8-6)
Georgia 26 - KENTUCKY 23--Since 4-4 UK still fighting for a minor bowl bid (and to save HC Brooks' job), willing to "take" vs. struggling UGA, 1-5 vs. spread last 6. Wildcats steady 6-5 jr. QB Woodson (18 TDP, just 5 ints.; only 12 picks in last 584 attempts!) & quality WRs Burton (39 grabs) & Lyons (31) should burn an unfinished Dawg 2ndary. And doubt UGA's true frosh QB Stafford (3 TDP, 8 ints.) and underachieving cast can fully exploit soft UK defense that's allowed just 19 ppg vs. 2 SEC foes in Lexington.
(05-GA. 45-Ky. 13...G.21-13 G.31/169 K.31/99 G.22/38/0/226 K.18/33/0/100 G.0 K.1)
(05-GA. -26 45-13 04-Ga. -24 62-17 03-GA. -19 30-10...SR: Georgia 47-10-2)
AKRON 27 - Bowling Green 24--Bowling Green should be well-focused after humiliating loss at Temple. Meanwhile, Akron has dropped 3 of last 4 SU despite RB Kennedy rushing for 374 yds. in those games. Zip OL (107th in sacks allowed) has trouble protecting QB Getsy, who went down 4 times against Toledo and threw an interception TD.
(05-Akron 24-B. GREEN 14...B.22-20 B.38/193 A.42/153 A.15/29/0/205 B.22/31/1/173 A.0 B.1)
(05-Akron +14 24-14...SR: Bowling Green 8-6)
ALABAMA 23 - Mississippi State 13--Since nicked-up (see Ticker) Bama offense (only 224 yds. vs. suspension-plagued Florida International) continues to lack much punch and has upcoming battle at LSU, recommend MSU squad finally showing some scoring pop behind emerging, soph QB Henig, who has 618 YP last two games. Count on highly-charged effort from Croom's hard-trying Bulldogs (see Angle) vs. Tide squad that's only 2-9 vs. spread last 11 at Tuscaloosa.
(05-Ala. 17-MISS. ST. 0...A.19-8 A.47/182 M.25/26 A.14/22/2/116 M.10/30/3/77 A.1 M.1)
(05-Ala. -16 17-0 04-ALA. -17 30-14 03-Ala. -10' 38-0...SR: Alabama 71-16-3)
TEXAS A&M 26 - Oklahoma 17--Well-balanced A&M shotgun spread controlling the ball well these days, with QB Stephen McGee (no ints. last 4 games) making key conversions and powerful Jorvorskie Lane (17 TDs) pounding out the tough yards. OU's Paul Thompson (no ints. last 3) now equally as comfortable at QB, while backup RB Allen Patrick has 272 YR last 2 games. A&M 11-4 vs. spread last 15 overall at home, and Aggies ready and capable of reversing OU's 3-game series winning streak.
(05-OKLA. 36-Tex. A&M 30...O.27-24 T.44/292 O.48/211 O.20/29/1/298 T.12/35/1/158 O.2 T.0)
(05-OKLA. -13 36-30 04-Okla. -12 42-35 03-OKLA. -31 77-0...SR: Oklahoma 14-10)
TEXAS TECH 45 - Baylor 24--In battle of pass-happy offenses, TT has been doing it longer and better, winning 10 straight (8-2 vs. spread) in series. And Baylor defense has proven susceptible to big plays, yielding 31 pts. or more last 4 games. Bears can't keep up with the "AFROS" (America's Finest Receivers on Saturday), as TT's Hicks, R. Johnson, Filani, and Amendola (combined 31 for 425 vs. Texas) have dubbed themselves.
(05-Tex. Tech 28-BAY. 0...B.20-17 B.40/121 T.22/111 T.22/44/2/264 B.21/38/3/204 T.0 B.1)
(05-Tech -12 28-0 04-TECH -31 42-17 03-Tech -26 62-14...SR: Baylor 32-31-1)
NOTRE DAME 45 - North Carolina 10--Not sure how much Carolina will have left to give lame-duck HC Bunting after last week's inspired (but losing) effort vs. Wake. Prefer to lay lumber with Irish, who are looking to boost BCS position & QB Quinn's Heisman hopes. TV--NBC (DNP...SR: Notre Dame 15-1)
Tcu 39 - UNLV 10--Big number on road. But big problems still exist for mistake-prone (-12 TO margin), non-competitive, 1-7 UNLV squad that has 6 straight spread losses and trailed Utah 45-6 before scoring a couple "garbage" TDs. Defending MWC champ TCU coming off its most complete game of year in 26-3 romp over hot Wyoming, according to HC Patterson, so Horned Frogs should dominate as they did LY. (05-TCU -29 51-3...SR: TCU 3-1)
(05-TCU 51-Unlv 3...T.29-6 T.60/286 U.25/5 T.21/35/1/301 U.12/31/1/152 T.0 U.1)
Hawaii 52 - UTAH STATE 17--We might as well be comparing Salma Hayek and Roseane Barr when talking about these WAC entries, as Hawaii's two 68-point explosions its last three are each more than the 55 USU has scored in its first 7 games combined! QB Brennan (24 TDP, 1 pick last 5) piloting June Jones' Red Gun with aplomb, and Warriors (3-0-1 vs. line away TY) no longer cringing about trips to mainland.
(05-HAWAII 50-Utah St. 23...H.25-16 U.44/153 H.24/115 H.30/45/2/464 U.17/24/0/218 H.0 U.1)
(05-HAWAII -17 50-23...SR: Utah State 4-2)
WYOMING 31 - San Diego State 10--Recuperative powers of each will be tested after last week's results. A clear preference, then, for Wyo, which has displayed more improvement than SDSU, whose rebuilding program under Chuck Long took a step (or two) back last week in loss to I-AA Cal Poly. No such shame in Cowboys' setback at TCU, and Joe Glenn's improved "D" a tough matchup for still-learning Aztec RS frosh QB Craft.
(05-S. DIEGO ST. 34-Wyo. 21...S.22-20 S.42/214 W.28/51 W.37/55/3/346 S.17/29/2/211 S.1 W.0)
(05-SDS -7' 34-21 04-WYO. +3 20-10 03-SDS -3 25-20...SR: Wyoming 14-13)
WESTERN MICHIGAN 34 - Miami-Ohio 10--Improving Miami QB Kokal lacks rush support. Without such, depleted RedHawk OL hard-pressed to keep Kokal upright vs. star WMU QB "killer" sr. LB Ismail (14 sacks!) & ball-hawking Broncos (nation-leading 19 ints.). Western Michigan QB Ryan Cubit has completed 68% of his passes for 4 TDs and no interceptions in last two games, and he's thrown for 243 ypg in his last 4. Matchup in pits favors Broncos both offensively and defensively. (04-Mia.-O -20' 42-21...SR: Miami-O 37-16-1)
Southern Cal 42 - STANFORD 6--We have little interest drinking the Stanford Kool-Aid these days with the Tree "O" hard-pressed to string together as much as a few 1st downs (never mind points) minus injured QB Edwards. So even though SC not offering much value itself (no covers last 5), bedraggled Cardinal (0-8 SU, 1-7 vs. line) provide perfect opportunity for Trojans to take out frustrations after being upset at Oregon State.
(05-S. CAL 51-Stan. 21...Sc.27-24 Sc.28/184 St.35/141 Sc.29/38/0/345 St.25/41/3/279 Sc.0 St.2)
(05-USC -34 51-21 04-Usc -22' 31-28 03-USC -21 44-21...SR: Southern Cal 57-24-3)
OREGON 29 - Washington 20--Granted, U-Dub psyche a concern after back-to-back OT losses have put bowl hopes in jeopardy. And Huskies could be down to 3rd-string QB DuRocher (ironically a former Duck) after new starter Bonnell was KO'd by ASU last week. But not sure we want to lay meaningful points in bitter rivalry if Mike Bellotti really re-opening Oregon QB derby between RS jrs. Dixon & Leaf.
(05-ORE. 45-Wash. 21...O.30-15 O.31/146 W.35/121 O.37/50/0/424 W.15/28/1/117 O.2 W.0)
(05-ORE. -16' 45-21 04-ORE. -20 31-6 03-WASH. -1' 42-10...SR: Washington 58-35-4)
TENNESSEE 23 - Lsu 13--Favor 7-1 UT, which has impressively outscored foes 68-13 in 4th-Q of last 5 wins. In battle between two quality defenses, have more faith in Vols dynamic QB Ainge (67%) than LSU counterpart J. Russell, who has struggled vs. last 11 SEC bowl teams he's faced (5-6 SU, 54%, 7 TDs, 9 ints.; only 1 TD vs. Florida & Auburn TY!). Can't expect Tiger ground attack (only 132 YR vs. aforementioned SEC teams) to make much hay, either. Thanks to creative o.c. Cutcliffe, UT leads SEC in red zone offense, while accurate PK Wilhoit (19 of last 21) gives host ST edge.
(05-Tenn. 30-LSU 27 (OT)...T.21-13 L.33/98 T.34/70 T.28/51/2/250 L.14/28/1/158 T.2 L.2)
(05-Tennessee +6' 30-27 (OT)...SR: Tennessee 20-5-3)
SOUTH CAROLINA 24 - Arkansas 19--Although USC eliminated from SEC East race with 31-24 loss vs. hot Tennessee, expect bowl-seeking 'Cocks to prevail vs. Arkansas squad sans big-time QB experience. Hogs true frosh Mustain (only 7 of 18 with 2 ints. vs UL Monroe!) figures to make fewer big plays than USC's versatile sr. QB Newton (Arkansas 2ndary has zero ints.). Kicking edge to 'Cocks PK Succop (10 of 11, hit 50-yarder vs. UT).
(05-S. Car. 14-ARK. 10...A.17-16 A.48/219 S.33/45 S.12/25/0/142 A.12/24/1/137 S.1 A.0)
(05-Usc +4' 14-10 04-USC -4 35-32 03-ARK. -8 28-6 at LR...SR: Arkansas 8-6)
FLORIDA STATE 30 - Virginia 14--Although venerable State mentor Bowden is scoffing at rising chorus of criticism in Tallahassee, his sputtering young Seminoles are in danger of failing to earn a bowl bid for first time since 1981! With that mortifying specter as motivation, FSU still has enough play-makers to lay reduced impost vs. poor-traveling Virginia (just 1 cover last 8 as road dog).
(05-VA. 26-Fla. St. 21...F.26-22 F.21/95 V.28/20 F.35/59/3/377 V.27/39/0/306 V.0 F.0)
(05-VA. +7 26-21 04-FSU -3 36-3 03-Fsu -8 19-14...SR: Florida State 12-2)
COLORADO 20 - Kansas State 14--Struggling 1-8 Colorado was good enough to rip Texas Tech 30-6 in Buffs' last home game. So youth-laden K-State might continue to struggle on the road, where it has lost TY 17-3 at Baylor & 41-21 at Missouri (Wildcats 2-10 last vs. spread last 12 away). Kicking edge to Buffs' Crosby, but K-State's young RBs (juco J. Johnson & frosh L. Patton) learning fast.
(05-Colo. 23-KAN. ST. 20...K.22-17 C.37/91 K.37/81 C.17/34/0/272 K.19/40/0/211 C.1 K.3)
(05-Colo. -7' 23-20 04-COLO. +2' 38-31 03-KSU -18 49-20...SR: Colorado 43-17-1)
Tulsa 28 - HOUSTON 27--Pointspread pendulum could start swinging other way for Tulsa, which failed to cover last week after earning money in 15 of previous 18 board games. Trust Golden Hurricane defense much more than erratic Houston stop unit. But irrepressible Coug sr. QB Kolb (2608 YP, 21 TDP & only 3 ints.) won't go quietly.
(05-Hou. 30-TULSA 23...H.22-17 H.45/200 T.26/77 T.26/49/1/283 H.19/31/1/276 H.1 T.2)
(05-Houston +3 30-23...SR: Houston 16-15)
*East Carolina 37 - UCF 23--Strange role for ECU as substantial road favorite. Still, profitable Pirates (15-4 vs. spread last 1+ seasons) have burgeoning confidence & bowl hopes after "hump" win at So. Miss. Balanced UCF attack can move chains, but Knights (permitted 143 points last 3 games!) getting ripped on defense.
(05-Ucf 30-E. CAR. 20...E.26-15 E.41/272 U.48/249 E.24/46/3/270 U.10/25/0/181 U.0 E.3)
(05-Ucf +1' 30-20...SR: East Carolina 4-1)
Nevada 30 - IDAHO 22--We could excuse Idaho for being a bit shell-shocked after Hawaii massacre last week. And not enamored with picking spot where hot Nevada (covered last 6) cools off. But Vandals have gotten up from deck TY more times than Floyd Patterson, and they've covered first 2 WAC games at friendly Kibbie Dome. Chris Ault's Wolf Pack "Pistol" minus a few bullets if QB Rowe (pulled last week) still limping with sort hammy.
(05-NEVADA 62-Idaho 14...N.26-19 N.44/265 I.23/38 I.25/49/1/275 N.23/32/0/272 N.0 I.1)
(05-NEVADA -8' 62-14...SR: Nevada 14-9)
WASHINGTON STATE 22 - Arizona 11--If judging by style points, can't get too excited about Arizona after Cats have failed to score more than 1 TD vs. all I-A foes TY. But this isn't figure skating, and Bob Stoops' gnarly "D" owns enough quickness in front 7 and sufficient cover ability on corners to stick with WSU weapons. Word from desert is that one or both recently-injured Cat QBs (Tuitama & Austin) will likely be available.
(04-Wsu -3' 20-19 03-WSU -29 30-7...SR: Arizona 20-13)
*Byu 42 - COLORADO STATE 20--Won't hesitate to support white-hot BYU (7-0-1 vs. spread) juggernaut that has demonstrated it can score virtually at will vs. most MWC defenses. Cougars future high NFL-draftee QB John Beck (70%, 19 TDP, 3 ints) continues his onslaught vs. banged-up, reeling CSU 2ndary that allowed NM's RS frosh QB Porterie to stage 4th-Q comeback in Fort Collins last week.
(05-BYU 24-Colo. St. 14...B.23-15 B.52/274 C.21/30 C.22/30/0/281 B.13/18/1/168 B.1 C.1)
(05-BYU +2' 24-14 04-Byu +2' 31-21 03-Csu P 58-13...SR: BYU 34-27-3)
*NEBRASKA 20 - Missouri 18--Winner likely earns the North spot in the Big XII title game. So expect steadier performance from Missouri, whose uncharacteristic mistakes (4 turnovers, blocked punt, roughing the kicker) set up all 26 of Oklahoma's points last week. Nebraska defense searching for answers after blowing 16-point lead at Oklahoma State. Tigers' only road loss TY by 6 points (at A&M).
(05-MO. 41-Neb. 24...M.25-13 M.49/277 N.19/M2 N.22/43/2/281 M.22/38/1/246 M.1 N.1)
(05-MO. -1 41-24 04-NEB. +2' 24-3 03-MO. +7' 41-24...SR: Nebraska 62-34-3)
*TEXAS 41 - Oklahoma State 18--OSU's offense emerging rapidly behind QB Bobby Reid (19 TDs, 7 ints), juco RB Savage (252 YR last two games), and WR Bowman (7 TDC last 3 games). But defense still problematic for Cowboys (32 ppg last 5). And Texas QB Colt McCoy (4 TDP in Lubbock last week) on his way to breaking Chris Simms' & Vince Young's single-season Horns' TDP record.
(05-Texas 47-OK. ST. 28...T.22-20 T.49/367 O.46/250 T.15/31/1/239 O.12/27/0/152 T.1 O.1)
(05-Texas -37' 47-28 04-TEXAS -13 56-35 03-Texas -3' 55-16...SR: Texas 18-2)
*WISCONSIN 21 - Penn State 10--In what figures to be a battle of two tough defenses, prefer the more effective offense. Wisconsin RB Hill has 1222 YR, 14 TDs (injured neck vs. Illinois, check status) running behind mammoth OL. Badger defense is stout, and Wiscy QB Stocco remains steadily productive. Nittany Lions turned Joe Paterno's criticism into praise with their first shutout in four years at Purdue, but could draw his ire with a loss.
(05-PENN ST. 35-Wis. 14...P.24-18 P.47/282 W.34/M11 W.19/34/2/313 P.13/28/2/238 P.0 W.0)
(05-PSU -12 35-14 04-WIS. -3 16-3 03-Wis. -1 30-23...SR: Wisconsin 7-4)
*Virginia Tech 17 - MIAMI-FLORIDA 16--Chemistry very dicey for Miami under beleaguered HC Coker. And Hurricane offense continues to sputter, producing just 1 TD (with less than 3 minutes remaining) in last week's loss at Ga. Tech. Can Hokie soph QB Glennon (only 214 YP in first 2 road games) keep still-formidable Miami defense "honest" against blossoming soph RB Ore (200+ YR in each of last 2 games)?
(05-Miami 27-VA. TECH 7...M.17-13 M.43/152 V.34/77 M.15/25/1/152 V.8/22/2/90 M.0 V.4)
(05-Miami +6' 27-7 04-Tech +7 16-10 03-TECH +3' 31-7...SR: Miami-Florida 16-7)
*Tulane 31 - MARSHALL 30--Star Marshall RB Bradshaw (639 YR & 8 TDs in last 4 games) salivating at prospect of facing lenient Tulane defense. However, NFL-caliber Green Wave sr. QB Ricard, who has thrown for 1678 yards & 10 TDs in last 5 games, now has strong ground support of his own. Jr. RB Forte 100+ YR in last 4.
(05-Mar. 27-Tulane 26...M.19-9 M.38/134 T.33/40 M.17/32/3/152 T.9/22/1/146 M.0 T.0)
(05-Marshall +1 27-26 at Mobile...SR: Marshall 1-0)
*CALIFORNIA 38 - Ucla 16--By this stage of campaign, we've learned UCLA's lack of playmakers becoming increasingly hard to disguise for "O" that's too often settling for PK Medlock's FGs (he has 18 already). Meanwhile, red zone hardly a problem for juiced-up Cal attack that's scoring 39 ppg in 7-game win streak. And much like WSU QB Brink last week, Bear QB Longshore (17 TDP) will make Bruin "D" pay for repeatedly selling out to stop the run. REGIONAL TV--ABC
(05-UCLA 47-Cal. 40...C.26-17 C.41/330 U.31/170 U.17/33/0/225 C.18/35/1/215 U.1 C.0)
(05-UCLA -1 47-40 04-CAL. -16 45-28 03-UCLA -3 23-20 (OT)...SR: UCLA 48-27-1)
*San Jose State 31 - NEW MEXICO STATE 30--Was it a one-game aberration, or has San Jose suddenly transformed into Tom Osborne's old Nebraska Cornhuskers after 476 YR last week vs. La Tech? Whatever, don't expect that sort of domination vs. NMSU, and remember Spartans no wins last 15 on road. Gunslinging Aggie QB Holbrook & Hal Mumme's Air Raid has already stayed within earshot of WAC heavies Boise & Hawaii at Las Cruces.
(05-S.J. ST. 27-Nmsu 10...S.23-18 S.49/257 N.17/10 N.40/64/2/366 S.20/34/0/222 S.0 N.0)
(05-SAN JOSE STATE -7' 27-10...SR: San Jose State 11-2)
*Rice 35 - UTEP 31--Resurgent Rice has won & covered 3 of its last 4. Soph QB Clement has 12 TDP & only 3 ints. during that span, and undersung soph WR Dillard has a TDC in 10 straight games! Owl defense refreshed after last week's bye, and sr. RB Quinton Smith is coming off the best game of his career (183 YR, 3 TDs vs. Central Florida.
(05-Utep 38-RICE 31...R.27-19 R.65/272 U.30/145 U.24/30/2/387 R.9/19/0/108 U.1 R.1)
(05-Utep -19' 38-31 04-UTEP -16 35-28 (OT) 03-RICE -14' 45-14...SR: UTEP 5-4)
*Arizona State 24 - OREGON STATE 23--There's enough psychology involved here that we're tempted to consult Dr. Phil for his opinion. But we suspect OSU might have trouble duplicating the emotional crescendo it reached in last week's USC upset. Meanwhile, ASU quietly piecing season back together as it rediscovers infantry (juco Torain & soph Herring both 98 YR last week at Washington) to take some pressure off soph QB Carpenter.
(05-ASU 42-ORE. ST. 24...O.31-20 O.47/144 A.32/95 O.29/49/3/381 A.21/38/0/380 A.0 O.3)
(05-Asu -6' 42-24 04-ASU -7' 27-14 03-OSU -6 45-17...SR: Arizona State 22-8-1)
ADDED GAMES
AUBURN 42 - Arkansas State 7--Although Auburn has uncharacteristically failed to cover 3 straight at home as DD chalk, good chance vastly-superior Tigers return to previous form vs. Arkansas State squad lacking confidence following eye-opening 29-0 setback at Florida Atlantic. Auburn's now-healthy QB Cox (37 of 53 last 2 games) and his punishing RBs could force Indians to raise the white flag early with critical Sun Belt showdown vs. MTSU on tap. (FIRST MEETING)
MIDDLE TENNESSEE ST. 17 - Florida Atlantic 9--Bob Corker and Harold Ford Jr. only wish they could put the same distance between one another in their Tennessee senate battle as MTSU has suddenly done to Sun Belt foes in conference race. But Schnellenberger's improved FAU hasn't allowed a TD last 2 games and won't be scared of Blue Raiders after grueling non-league slate.
(05-Mts 35-FL. ATL. 14...M.25-16 M.64/263 F.26/104 F.11/28/3/165 M.12/19/1/115 M.0 F.2)
(05-Mts -4 35-14 04-Fau +2' 27-20 03-Fau (NL) 20-19...SR: Florida Atlantic 2-1)
*Louisiana-Lafayette 20 - TROY 13--Since normally-careful, well-coached ULL (only 7 TOs 1st 6 games, but 6 vs. MTSU) coming off such a sloppy game, lean to road-tested Ragin' Cajuns (4 straight Sun Belt road wins!), who run and defend run more effectively than Troy. ULL's star RB Fenroy (570 YR, 5.5 ypc) licking his chops after 156 YR (nearly 6 ypc) & 3 TDs in '05 tilt.
(05-LA. LAF. 31-Troy 28...L.20-19 L.52/265 T.46/183 T.11/27/1/137 L.9/20/0/134 L.2 T.0)
(05-LA.-LAFAYETTE -3' 31-28 04-Troy -13' 13-10...SR: Louisiana-Lafayette 8-1)
*NORTH TEXAS 29 - Louisiana Tech 22--First game back in Denton for North Texas since HC Dickey suffered a heart attack 4 weeks ago. Even the Eagles' laboring offense should be able to move the ball vs. vaporous La Tech defense that gave up 644 yards (!) last week at San Jose.
(05-LAT 40-N. Tex. 14...L.25-15 L.41/227 N.36/188 L.24/35/0/283 N.10/23/2/99 L.0 N.1)
(05-LOUISIANA TECH -20 40-14...SR: EVEN 5-5)
SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 5
*Southern Miss 31 - MEMPHIS 17--What's left of Memphis faithful are wondering what was so bad about deposed d.c. Dunn, as Tigers have allowed 178 points in 5 games since he was fired. Better stop units easily contain stodgy Southern Miss attack. But star true frosh RB Fletcher & athletic Eagle defense should be enough to get visitor win over hopeless host (no covers TY, only SU win over Div. I-AA Chattanooga). CABLE TV--ESPN
(05-Mem. 24-S.MISS 22...M.25-17 M.61/263 S.26/94 S.22/40/2/297 M.12/19/1/157 M.1 S.0)
(05-Memp. +7 24-22 04-MEMP. -6 30-26 03-USM -5 23-6...SR: Southern Miss 36-19-1)
COLLEGE KEY RELEASES
TEXAS A&M by 9 over Oklahoma
WESTERN MICHIGAN by 24 over Miami-Ohio
TENNESSEE by 10 over Lsu
RICE by 4 over Texas-El Paso
posted by phantom
Oct. 30 2006 10:49pm -
0 likes
Confidential Kick-Off!! The Gold Sheet!!
11 *SAN DIEGO over Cleveland
Late Score Forecast:
*SAN DIEGO 31 - Cleveland 6
(Sunday, November 5)
Although slightly surprised by the early performances of Philip Rivers (5-2
SU, 66%, 10 TDs, only 3 ints), the S.D. coaches and front-office brass had
this exact kind of performance in mind when they selected Rivers in the
draft. A football background as a youngster, four-year starter at N.C. State
coached by offensive guru Norm Chow, well-liked by his teammates, and already
married and with a family before joining the NFL. Responsible, knowledgeable
and conscientious he has been. And a slight alteration in the NFL has made
his quick delivery even better. Taking over an offense that was already set,
he has the Chargers 3-0 vs. the spread at home, averaging 34 ppg. Meanwhile,
the Browns Charlie Frye (7 TDs, but 11 ints.) is playing behind an OL that
was hurt by injuries in the preseason and now might have lost veteran G Joe
Andruzzi (knee; check status).
10 KENT STATE over *Buffalo
Late Score Forecast:
KENT STATE 41 - *Buffalo 13
Kent State should be emotionally ready for one of its top performances of the
season. Golden Flashes are coming off a disappointing upset at the hands of
Ohio U. that knocked them out of first place in the MAC East standings. Add
to that the fact that Kent was upset by lowly Buffalo last season and you
have a recipe for a fully-focused, determined effort on the part of the
Golden Flashes. Certainly Buffalo's defense, which yields 37 ppg & 225 ypg
rushing, will have a hard time containing soph jitterbug RS frosh RB Eugene
Jarvis (4.9 ypc) and soph QB Julian Edelman (has thrown for a TD in 7
straight games; only 2 ints. last 5). Kent boasts an exceptional 2ndary
(ranked 6th; manned by 4 holdover starters), and the Flashes have a solid
pass rush (17th in sacks) led by frosh DE Kevin Hogan. The Bulls, who've
lost 7 straight, yielded 44 ppg last 4 & were outscored 83-7 in last 2, not
showing much fight.
10 *SOUTH CAROLINA over Arkansas
Late Score Forecast:
*SOUTH CAROLINA 24 - Arkansas 13
Long-time SEC sources report that with difficult road games vs. Florida &
Clemson coming up, 5-3 South Carolina approaching this one like a bowl game,
as one more win gets 'Cocks into the postseason. Unlikely Arkansas'
run-oriented attack can steamroll a more physical Carolina front 7, which
limited the quality ground attacks of Auburn & Tennessee to a combined 198 YR
in 58 carries (just 3.4 ypc). And doubt Hogs still-learning, true frosh QB
Mustain able to consistently convert on down-and-distance vs. 'Cock blitz
packages, implemented by defensive wiz Tyrone Nix. Meanwhile, Carolina's
versatile sr. QB Newton (accounted for 315 yds. vs. Vols, 85 YR!) and a solid
supporting cast do their thing vs. non-dominating Arkansas defense that had
forced just one TO prior to UL Monroe tilt. Plus, key kicking edge goes to
'Cocks strong-legged PK Succop (10 of 11).
10 NAVY over *Duke
Late Score Forecast:
NAVY 35 - *Duke 13
After back-to-back losses to undefeated Rutgers & highly-ranked Notre Dame,
well-coached Navy dropping waaaaaay down in class with this trip to winless
Duke. And Midshipmen hungry for win that will make them eligible to go to a
bowl for the fourth straight season. New QB Kaipo-Noa Kaheaku-Enhada showed
plenty of moxie in his first start last week, as Navy trailed Irish by only
a FG late in first half. Under his direction, relentless Middie rushing
attack will steadily wear down Devil defense, much as it did in racking up
326 yards on the ground in last year's win at Durham. And underrated Navy
defense will more than hold its own vs. bumbling Duke attack that has
produced 22 turnovers and only 11 TDs TY. "Technicals" support visitor as
well. Middies 19-8 vs. spread last 27 away from Annapolis, while Devils just
1 cover last 10 at home.
10 *N.C. STATE over Georgia Tech
Late Score Forecast:
*N.C. STATE 20 - Georgia Tech 13
There's howling in Raleigh, where HC Amato is absorbing severe criticism that
his 3-5 Wolfpack might miss the bowl season for the second time in three
years. However, this has been N.C. State's "spot" in 2006, as the Wolfpack
is 2-0 as a home dog this season, with stubborn, hard-fought performances,
followed by late-game heroics to beat both Boston College and Florida State.
With soph QB Evans gaining valuable experience with every game, the Wolfpack
offense should play with greater confidence at home in a series that has seen
the underdog cover 5 straight. Last week's win by GT over Miami in Atlanta
was impressive. But the Yellow Jackets last road performance two weeks ago
at Clemson (a 31-7 loss) was not.
TOTALS: UNDER (40) in Cincinnati-Baltimore game-Baltimore's defense still
solid; not sold yet on the Billick-directed offense. OVER (47) in
Atlanta-Detroit game-With Vick hot (7 TDP last 2 games) and Kitna improving
in Mike Martz' passing schemes, the points should flow indoors at Ford Field.
HONORABLE MENTION (Nine-Rated Games): SOUTHERN CAL (-29.5) at
Stanford-Winless Stanford's (1-7 vs. spread) injured offense will give angry
Trojans too many opportunities. HOUSTON (+4) vs. Tulsa-Golden Hurricane is
solid all around, but Cougars' veteran leadership and quality offense should
keep this dog in the hunt. BYU (-16) at Colorado State-Cougars (7-0-1 vs.
spread) and precise-like QB John Beck winning easily in MWC; but rising
pointspread keeps this one from being rated higher. NEW MEXICO STATE (6) vs.
San Jose State-Spartans improved, no doubt; but so are the Aggies. CHICAGO
(-13.5) vs. Miami-Dolphins have zero covers TY; down three OLmen already and
facing rampaging Bears in Chicago, where their average score is 38 to 8.
posted by phantom
Oct. 30 2006 10:49pm -
0 likes
Scott Spreitzer's College Football Tuesday Night Top Hammer! (3-0 Sweep in CFB on Saturday)
Handicapper: Scott Spreitzer
League: College Football
Event: UAB vs SMU on 10/31/2006 at 16:30
Condition: SMU
Grade: Ungraded
Promotion: I'm laying the points with SMU on Tuesday. At this point of the season, I look for fading teams when playing against teams who are trying to grab bowl-eligible wins. I also look for those fading teams to show a knack for getting beat at the point of attack. That's exactly what we have here. UAB looked like they were turning things around, but they've been blasted in the trenches in each of their last two games. In those contests, laying 5 and 6 points to Rice and Marshall, UAB gave up 230 and 317 rushing yards on 6.4 & 6.9 RYPA! Making matters worse, in two of their last three games, UAB allowed 10.1 & 13.0 PYPA! In fact, Marshall gained 473 yards at 8.1 yards per play AT UAB! The defense is definitely wearing thin down the stretch. Meanwhile, SMU's stop unit continues to impress. They've allowed just 334 rushing yards in their last six games on 182 carries. That's an impressive average of just 1.84 yards per carry! If UAB can't run, they will not be able to keep the SMU defense honest. SMU is putting up 34.3 ppg in their last six contests and will have little trouble moving the ball on the anemic & fading Blazers. We'll lay the points on Tuesday night with SMU. Thanks! Good Luck! Scott
__________________
posted by phantom
Oct. 31 2006 5:07pm -
0 likes
Larry Ness Premium Subscription
Handicapper League Expire Date
Larry Ness All Sports 2006-11-02
League Selection # Matchup Selection Odds Result
ncaaf 317576 UAB vs. SMU SMU -4.5 / -110.0 NA
Things were going pretty well for Watson Brown at UAB as the Blazers went 7-5 in 2004 including a Hawaii Bowl appearance and then started the '05 season 3-1 (3-0 ATS). Things quickly fell apart LY, as the team ended the year on a 2-5 SU and ATS slide. Hackney, who averaged almost 300 YPG at the QB position and left as the school's all-time leading passer, has not been adequately replaced this year by senior Chris Williams, who has throw for just eight TDPs (six INTs) so far, averaging less than 150 YPG through the air. The running game has no player with as much as 300 yards yet and after averaging 4.3 YPC as a team LY, this year's average is down to 3.8 YPC. That doesn't bode well, as SMU's rush D allows just 80 YPG and 2.6 YPC! UAB's slide has continued in '06 and the team is now 5-10 SU and ATS since last year's fast start. As for SMU, the Mustangs enter at 4-4 and with three of their last four games at home (road game is at Rice!), the team has a chance for just its second winning season since the "death penalty" was imposed during the 1987-88 seasons. Red-shirt freshman QB Justin Willis has been unbelievable, leading the team to wins in 4 of his last five games (did not play in the UTEP loss), completing an amazing 70.5% with 18 TDPs and just two INTs in the five-game stretch. More good news for SMU comes in the fact that RB Martin (854 YR / 4.8 YPC in 2005) is probable after struggling most of the year with hamstring problems. SMU beat UAB last year on a "Hail Mary" pass at the end of the game but won't need such heroics this time around. C-USA Game of the Month 15* SMU.
posted by phantom
Oct. 31 2006 5:07pm -
0 likes
Tony George
CFB - 7:30 ET
UAB at SMU
Tuesday Night NCAA Football Winner- UAB and SMU hook it up in Dallas tonight, and I have the winning KEY in this game, jump all over it! A 7-1 ATS scenario adds fuel to the fire.
SMU -5
The Mustangs defense will win it, as they allow ONLY 80 yards per game on the ground. They are 7-1 ATS their last 8 games in conference play, and SMU's QB Justin WIllis has thrown 19 TD passes and only 3 picks, and a 70% completion rate for almost 1300 yards. UAB has injury problems on offense and will not be able to grind it out against this Mustang defense. SMU has the better offense, defense, and they are at home.
Play 1 Unit on SMU tonight..thanks and good luck..Tony George
posted by phantom
Oct. 31 2006 5:08pm -
0 likes
Info Plays
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CFB
10* on UAB Over 47.5
posted by phantom
Oct. 31 2006 5:09pm -
0 likes
Alex Smart
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
UAB / SMU Over
The UAB Blazers enter into this tilt against the SMU Mustangs on fire offensively averaging almost 30 PPG in their L/3 contests, but their defense has not been up to par allowing an average of 31.3 PPG and 400 YPG over the last three weeks. The Mustangs are playing some great football, especially at home where they have smashed opponents for 43.7 PPG on offense. SMUs defenses has looked vulnerable of late allowing 27.7 PPG in their L/4 overall trips to the gridiron and the pass D, is raked a miserable 117th in the nation. Considering the current form of both teams defenses and offenses and will be easy for me to back this contest going Over the set total. Play OVER
posted by phantom
Oct. 31 2006 5:09pm -
0 likes
Pac Star
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Smu (cfb: 7:30 Et)
__________________
Charlie Sports
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
college football. uab @ smu over 47' (500*)
college football. smu-4' (30*)
John Fina's Play of Winning Way Sports:
Football for October 31, 2006
NCAA - 2.5 units on Ala Birmingham +5 (-110)
__________________
Dr. Bob
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tuesday, October 31
SMU (-4 ½) 27 Uab 19
SMU is a much better team than UAB this season, as the Mustangs have a solid defense (5.3 yards per play allowed to teams that would combine to
average 5.2 yppl against an average team) and the Blazers have a horrible defense (5.8 yppl allowed to teams that would average only 5.0 yppl). The offenses are about the same, as I rate SMU’s attack at 0.3 yppl worse than average with quarterback Justin Willis in the game (he missed their loss to UTEP) and UAB’s attack at 0.2 yppl worse than
average. Willis has only thrown 3 interceptions on 174 pass attempts while UAB quarterback Chris Williams has thrown 6 picks in just 126
passes. Overall, my math model favors SMU by 14 ½ points in this game, which gives them a 62.7% chance of covering at -4 ½ points based solely
on the math (based on the historical predictability of my math model). However, UAB is 17-2 ATS as an underdog following a loss since 1999 and
the Blazers qualify in a very good 52-15 ATS road underdog bounce-back situation that has a 57.3% chance of covering at a fair line. I’m still
going to lean with SMU, but the situation and team trend favoring UAB make it impossible for me to play the mathematically correct side.
Wednesday, November 1
BOISE STATE (-26 ½) 36 Fresno State 14
Fresno State is certainly not as good as they were expected to be, but the Bulldogs aren’t nearly as bad as the line on this game makes them out to be. The Bulldogs are 0-6- 1 ATS this season, but they are now underrated, especially with talented sophomore quarterback Sean Norton
taking over at quarterback for ineffective Tom Brandstater 1 ½ games ago. Brandstater was well below average throwing the ball this season
(5.4 yards per pass play against teams that would combine to allow 6.1 yppp to an average quarterback), but Norton was great in his debut
against Hawaii and was considerably better than average against LSU (4.8 yppp against and LSU defense that would allow just 3.7 yppp at home to
an average team). Norton has averaged 7.1 yppp on 48 pass plays against teams that would combine to allow just 5.4 yppp to an average quarterback. One and a half games is not enough of a sample size to
predict that he’ll keep up that pace, but I can weight Norton’s rating with the team season offensive pass rating to give a more conservative
rating to Norton (which turns out to be 0.6 yppp better than average instead of the 1.7 yppp that he’s been so far). Fresno has a solid
rushing attack and I rate the Bulldogs’ attack at 0.3 yards per play better than average with Norton at quarterback. Fresno’s defense is 0.3
yppl worse than average and their special teams are exactly average, so the Bulldogs rate as an average Division 1A team. Boise State is a good
team (+0.7 yppl better than average on offense with QB Zabransky in the game, but only 0.2 yppl better than average defensively), but the are
not good enough to dominate a decent team – even on the Blue turf field here in Boise. Boise State is 32-12 ATS lifetime at home, but they are a
more modest 11-9 ATS here when favored by more than 21 points. My math model favors Boise by only 15 ½ points in this game, but the Broncos do
qualify in a 40-12-1 ATS situation that has a 58% chance of covering at a fair line. The math gives Fresno a 62.5% chance of covering at +25
(based on the historical performance of my math model). Overall Fresno still has a 54.5% chance of covering and I’ll lean with the Bulldogs despite the strong situation favoring Boise State.
posted by phantom
Oct. 31 2006 5:10pm -
0 likes
ATS Lock Club
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
3 units UAB
Pork chop
2* SMU
Brandon Lang Tuesday
SMU
The problem facing UAB in this game tonight is the fact they run the football and are facing a team that defends the run really well.
I love Justin Willis at QB for SMU. This kid can play.
This is only Smu's 3rd home game this year. It crushed Sam Houston State 45-14 and beat Marshall 31-21.
The Mustangs have been competitive all year. They have 4 losses this year, 3 of which to Texas Tech, Utep by 3 on the road (less than 15 hours after suspensions were handed out to the starting QB) and at East Carolina, which by the way is a pretty good football team.
They are 4-1 ATS run overall and have covered 7 of their last 8 conference games.
This is a great spot for the Stangs tonight.
UAB comes off back to back losses to Rice and Marshall and is on a 1-5-1 ATS slide.
This team finds ways to lose football games and that is exactly what it will do tonight as it drops its third straight tonight.
Smu has paid out nicely this year and it will get you the money again tonight
posted by phantom
Oct. 31 2006 5:13pm -
0 likes
Marc Lawrence
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Uab by 1
wednesday boise by 28
Thursday loui by 1
friday air force by 8
posted by phantom
Oct. 31 2006 5:14pm -
0 likes
pointwise key releases 1 to 5 with 1 highest
rating 1 clemson wash. st.
rating 2 lsu
rating 3 byu rice
rating 4 tcu
rating 5 ohio st. calif.
pro's
rating 2 jacksonville
rating 3 chic.
rating 4 cinn. sd.
rating 5 st. louis
posted by phantom
Oct. 31 2006 5:15pm -
0 likes
Marc Lawrence
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LOUISVILLE over W Virginia by 1
The game everybody in the Big East has been waiting for is fi nally
here and it will likely live up to its hype. The problem for Louisville
is to hold West Virginia under 28 points (the Mounties are 11-0 ATS
in their last 11 when scoring 28 or more). West Virginia faces the
indomitable task of stopping Louisville's 15-game home winning
streak (the Hillbillies are 4-24 ATS in their last 28 SU losses). The Cards
blew a 24-7 4Q lead against the Hillbillies last year, losing a 46-44
overtime thriller. More of the same today? Hard to say, but we do
know the SMART BOX likes the dog in this game.
Tuesday, October 31st
Uab over SMU by 1
SMU has quietly covered nine of its last 12 conference games and is
a solid 8-2 ATS as a favorite when coming off a SU loss. UAB, though,
is 17-4 ATS as an underdog off a loss and 6-1 ATS in its last seven
road games off a beat. The Hammers have kicked it up a notch (in
the stats) over their last four games and have nasty revenge on their
mind from a one-point loss as 20-point home chalk last year. In a
battle of acronyms, we'll side with the Blazers.
BOISE ST over Fresno St by 28
There's just no way you can consider a Fresno State team that hasn't
done anything good in more than two months, no matter how high
the odds. Boise is 21-6 ATS at home in its last 27 league games, 11-4
ATS in its last 15 as home chalk, and 24-9 ATS in its last 33 at home off
a SU win. Fresno is on an 0-9-1 ATS run, is 3-16-2 ATS when coming
off a loss and is a perfect 0-7 ATS in its last 7 games against avenging
opponents. Yes, the Blue Man group has revenge from a 20-point
beating they suffered last year. Lay it if you play it.
MICHIGAN over Ball St by 31
Like last week, don't look for Michigan to come out smoking here.
The Wolves will take Indiana seriously next week but not IU's second
cousin. Ball State has never beaten a BCS team and they obviously
won't win this but the Cardinals have enough weapons to sneak in
a score or two and that might be enough to get the money. You
know how we feel about disinterested favorites and Michigan fi ts
the description perfectly (they are 2-6 ATS in their last eight nonconference
battles).
IOWA over Northwestern by 21
Both teams put in sterling efforts last week. Iowa downed a decent
Northern Illinois team and did it without its best player, QB Drew
Tate. Northwestern shook off that incredible come-from-ahead
loss to Michigan State and played the nation's number two team
to a standstill for most of the game. Tate should be back for Iowa
and Northwestern proved its point. Now it's back to reality and the
reality is that Iowa is 22-1 SU and 19-4 ATS in its last 23 tries as a
conference home favorite.
Air Force over ARMY by 8
Air Force hasn't been able to get over the hump. The Falcons wanted
the Navy game in the worst way and didn't get it. They wanted to
end BYU's winning streak and couldn't do it. Now, they have to beat
Army on the banks of the Hudson to avoid getting shutout in the
Military menage-a-trois. Army hasn't covered a spread since beating
Baylor and owns just three wins in its last 18 games against Navy and
Air Force. They are also 0-6 ATS as home dogs of less than 18 points
against a foe off back-to-back losses. Last year's loss by the Flyboys
snapped an eight game AFA series win streak
posted by phantom
Oct. 31 2006 5:17pm -
0 likes
NEWS AND NOTES - Purdue hadn’t been shutout since 1996, the 3rd longest streak in the nation (127 games). They came in with the #7 offense in the NCAA but Penn St held them to 240 yards in a 12-0 win. PSU piled up 422 yards
UTEP led Tulsa by 14 points in the 3Q but has been horrible in the 4Q and allowed Tulsa to not only come back and beat them, but beat them by 10 points, 30-20
Virginia Tech was off 2 losses and took on #10 ranked Clemson and amazingly was a home dog in a Thursday Night game. VT held CU to 166 total yards offense while rolling up 224 yds rushing in their 24-7 win
The punting game crushed Kent St. They had a -1 yd punt set up a 1 play, 18 yd TD run for OU and then a fmbl’d punt snap set up OU for a 17 yd, 4 play drive for a TD. OU added a 30 yd FG before the half before blk’ing a punt and Kent was SOD at the OU 14, missed a 35 yd FG and dropped a TD pass with 2:33 left and suffered their first MAC loss
E Carolina had 20-9 FD and 299-180 yd edges but needed a TD with :03 left in the game to force OT. After S Miss got a 14 point swing on an 87 yd IR, EC then won the game in OT when SM was int’d in the EZ
In the 3Q Miami, Fl went on a 65 yd, 9 play drive but a FD pass to the 11 was fmbl’d and GT rec’d. On their next poss, UM went on a 54 yd, 13 play drive but settled for a 25 yd FG and despite dominating play in the 3Q and finishing with a 317-282 yd edge, UM lost by 7
Kansas went to true frosh QB Todd Reesing. After 86 yds offense in the 1H vs Colorado the 5’11â€
posted by phantom
Oct. 31 2006 5:21pm -
0 likes
NCAAFB
Quick Look
Tuesday, October 31st
UAB at SMU, 7:30 EST ESPN2
UAB: 32-15 ATS as an underdog
SMU: 1-8 ATS after allowing 325+ passing yards
** (TC) Denotes Time Change
UAB (3 - 5) at SMU (4 - 4) - 10/31/2006, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UAB is 32-15 ATS (+15.5 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
SMU is 1-0 against the spread versus UAB over the last 3 seasons
SMU is 1-0 straight up against UAB over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
Tuesday's game
SMU beat UAB on Hail Mary LY, 28-27; Mustangs were 30-43 for 333 yards passing in that game, had +2 turnover ratio, but were outgained 417-413. Blazers lost four of last six games, and were favored in last five- they gave up 34,31 points in last two losses; they're 0-3 on the road after losing 34-33 on last play of game at Rice 17 days ago. SMU is 4-2 in last six games, covering four of last five; they're 2-0 at home vs I-A foes, winning by 46 and 10 points. Last three UAB games went over the total, as did four of last five SMU games.
ATS Trends
Alabama-Birmingham
Blazers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Blazers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
Blazers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
Blazers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a bye week.
Blazers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss.
Blazers are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Blazers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Blazers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 night games.
Blazers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Blazers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on Grass.
Blazers are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Blazers are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in October.
Blazers are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Southern Methodist
Mustangs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on Grass.
Mustangs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.
Mustangs are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Mustangs are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 conference games.
Mustangs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss.
Mustangs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
Mustangs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Mustangs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Mustangs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
Mustangs are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 night games.
Mustangs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Mustangs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in October.
Mustangs are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Mustangs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a bye week.
Mustangs are 5-12 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Mustangs are 11-27 ATS in their last 38 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
OU Trends
Alabama-Birmingham
Over is 5-0 in Blazers last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Blazers last 4 games in October.
Under is 6-1-1 in Blazers last 8 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Under is 9-2 in Blazers last 11 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Blazers last 5 games as a road underdog.
Under is 4-1 in Blazers last 5 games as an underdog.
Under is 4-1 in Blazers last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
Under is 4-1 in Blazers last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 4-1 in Blazers last 5 road games.
Under is 4-1 in Blazers last 5 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Under is 8-3 in Blazers last 11 games overall.
Under is 21-8 in Blazers last 29 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Southern Methodist
Over is 4-0 in Mustangs last 4 games on Grass.
Under is 5-0 in Mustangs last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Over is 5-1 in Mustangs last 6 conference games.
Over is 5-1 in Mustangs last 6 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Mustangs last 5 games overall.
Under is 6-2 in Mustangs last 8 games following a S.U. loss.
Over is 6-2 in Mustangs last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Over is 8-3 in Mustangs last 11 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Head to Head
No trends available.
Recent Trends | In Depth
Alabama-Birmingham: Under is 8-3 in UAB last 11 games overall.
Southern Methodist:
SMU are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 conference games.
SMU are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 night games.
SMU are 5-12 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
NCAAFB 11/1 - 11/5
FRESNO ST (1 - 6) at BOISE ST (8 - 0) - 11/1/2006, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FRESNO ST is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in all games this season.
FRESNO ST is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
BOISE ST is 61-36 ATS (+21.4 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 39-20 ATS (+17.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
BOISE ST is 41-15 ATS (+24.5 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
BOISE ST is 38-22 ATS (+13.8 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
BOISE ST is 20-6 ATS (+13.4 Units) in November games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 36-14 ATS (+20.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
BOISE ST is 38-22 ATS (+13.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
BOISE ST is 20-6 ATS (+13.4 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
BOISE ST is 61-36 ATS (+21.4 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 46-27 ATS (+16.3 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
BOISE ST is 34-14 ATS (+18.6 Units) in home games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 34-14 ATS (+18.6 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
BOISE ST is 1-1 against the spread versus FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons
BOISE ST is 1-1 straight up against FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
W VIRGINIA (7 - 0) at LOUISVILLE (7 - 0) - 11/2/2006, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISVILLE is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
W VIRGINIA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
W VIRGINIA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
W VIRGINIA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
W VIRGINIA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
W VIRGINIA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
W VIRGINIA is 1-0 against the spread versus LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
W VIRGINIA is 1-0 straight up against LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
AIR FORCE (3 - 4) at ARMY (3 - 6) - 11/3/2006, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AIR FORCE is 41-63 ATS (-28.3 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
AIR FORCE is 13-33 ATS (-23.3 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
ARMY is 1-1 against the spread versus AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
ARMY is 1-1 straight up against AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
BALL ST (3 - 6) at MICHIGAN (9 - 0) - 11/4/2006, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
NORTHWESTERN (2 - 7) at IOWA (6 - 3) - 11/4/2006, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) in November games since 1992.
IOWA is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
IOWA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points over the last 3 seasons.
IOWA is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all games this season.
IOWA is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
IOWA is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
IOWA is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
NORTHWESTERN is 1-0 against the spread versus IOWA over the last 3 seasons
NORTHWESTERN is 1-0 straight up against IOWA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON COLLEGE (7 - 1) at WAKE FOREST (7 - 1) - 11/4/2006, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
WAKE FOREST is 2-0 against the spread versus BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons
WAKE FOREST is 1-1 straight up against BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
PURDUE (5 - 4) at MICHIGAN ST (4 - 5) - 11/4/2006, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN ST is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
PURDUE is 1-0 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
PURDUE is 1-0 straight up against MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH (6 - 2) at S FLORIDA (5 - 3) - 11/4/2006, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 2-0 against the spread versus S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 2-0 straight up against S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS (4 - 5) at IOWA ST (3 - 6) - 11/4/2006, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS is 65-92 ATS (-36.2 Units) in all games since 1992.
KANSAS is 45-67 ATS (-28.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
KANSAS is 60-86 ATS (-34.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
KANSAS is 47-76 ATS (-36.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
KANSAS is 38-73 ATS (-42.3 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
KANSAS is 12-32 ATS (-23.2 Units) in November games since 1992.
KANSAS is 12-32 ATS (-23.2 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
KANSAS is 65-92 ATS (-36.2 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
KANSAS is 27-45 ATS (-22.5 Units) in road games since 1992.
KANSAS is 27-45 ATS (-22.5 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
IOWA ST is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 56 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA ST is 1-1 against the spread versus KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
IOWA ST is 1-1 straight up against KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA (5 - 4) at MINNESOTA (3 - 6) - 11/4/2006, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 29-48 ATS (-23.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 1-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 1-1 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA TECH (6 - 2) at NC STATE (3 - 5) - 11/4/2006, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
NC STATE is 1-1 against the spread versus GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
NC STATE is 1-1 straight up against GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MARYLAND (6 - 2) at CLEMSON (7 - 2) - 11/4/2006, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEMSON is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
CLEMSON is 1-1 against the spread versus MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
CLEMSON is 2-0 straight up against MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA (7 - 1) at VANDERBILT (4 - 5) - 11/4/2006, 12:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
VANDERBILT is 1-1 against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 2-0 straight up against VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
OHIO ST (9 - 0) at ILLINOIS (2 - 7) - 11/4/2006, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all games this season.
OHIO ST is 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
OHIO ST is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
OHIO ST is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 31-50 ATS (-24.0 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 41-70 ATS (-36.0 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 31-52 ATS (-26.2 Units) in home games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 31-52 ATS (-26.2 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO ST is 1-0 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
OHIO ST is 1-0 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
C MICHIGAN (5 - 3) at TEMPLE (1 -
- 11/4/2006, 1:00 PM Top Trends for this game.
C MICHIGAN is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all games this season.
C MICHIGAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
C MICHIGAN is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in games played on turf this season.
C MICHIGAN is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
TEMPLE is 21-38 ATS (-20.8 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
NAVY (5 - 3) at DUKE (0 -
- 11/4/2006, 1:00 PM Top Trends for this game.
NAVY is 89-59 ATS (+24.1 Units) in all games since 1992.
NAVY is 85-56 ATS (+23.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
NAVY is 56-35 ATS (+17.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NAVY is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
NAVY is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
NAVY is 38-16 ATS (+20.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
NAVY is 89-59 ATS (+24.1 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 45-17 ATS (+26.3 Units) in road games since 1992.
NAVY is 45-17 ATS (+26.3 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
DUKE is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
NAVY is 2-0 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons
NAVY is 2-0 straight up against DUKE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
OHIO U (6 - 3) at E MICHIGAN (1 - 7) - 11/4/2006, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
KENT ST (5 - 3) at BUFFALO (1 - 7) - 11/4/2006, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 1-1 against the spread versus KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 1-1 straight up against KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA (6 - 3) at KENTUCKY (4 - 4) - 11/4/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 56 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA is 2-0 against the spread versus KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA is 2-0 straight up against KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
BOWLING GREEN (4 - 5) at AKRON (3 - 5) - 11/4/2006, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
AKRON is 1-0 against the spread versus BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons
AKRON is 1-0 straight up against BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MISSISSIPPI ST (2 - 7) at ALABAMA (6 - 3) - 11/4/2006, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
ALABAMA is 15-32 ATS (-20.2 Units) as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points since 1992.
ALABAMA is 20-36 ATS (-19.6 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
ALABAMA is 1-1 against the spread versus MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
ALABAMA is 2-0 straight up against MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA (6 - 2) at TEXAS A&M (8 - 1) - 11/4/2006, 2:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS A&M is 2-0 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA is 2-0 straight up against TEXAS A&M over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
BAYLOR (4 - 5) at TEXAS TECH (5 - 4) - 11/4/2006, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BAYLOR is 44-66 ATS (-28.6 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
BAYLOR is 14-31 ATS (-20.1 Units) in November games since 1992.
BAYLOR is 24-42 ATS (-22.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
BAYLOR is 14-31 ATS (-20.1 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 68-43 ATS (+20.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 87-61 ATS (+19.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 66-43 ATS (+18.7 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 49-26 ATS (+20.4 Units) in home games since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 49-26 ATS (+20.4 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS TECH is 1-1 against the spread versus BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS TECH is 2-0 straight up against BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA (1 - 7) at NOTRE DAME (7 - 1) - 11/4/2006, 2:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NOTRE DAME is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) as a favorite of 21.5 to 31 points since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
TCU (5 - 2) at UNLV (1 - 7) - 11/4/2006, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TCU is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TCU is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
TCU is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
UNLV is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
UNLV is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
UNLV is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
UNLV is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
UNLV is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
UNLV is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 3 seasons.
UNLV is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
UNLV is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
TCU is 1-0 against the spread versus UNLV over the last 3 seasons
TCU is 1-0 straight up against UNLV over the last 3 seasons
0 of 0 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
HAWAII (6 - 2) at UTAH ST (1 - 7) - 11/4/2006, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HAWAII is 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) in road games after playing a conference game since 1992.
HAWAII is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games in November games since 1992.
HAWAII is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
HAWAII is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
HAWAII is 1-0 against the spread versus UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
HAWAII is 1-0 straight up against UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO ST (1 - 6) at WYOMING (4 - 5) - 11/4/2006, 3:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
WYOMING is 1-1 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO ST over the last 3 seasons
WYOMING is 1-1 straight up against SAN DIEGO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI OHIO (1 -
at W MICHIGAN (6 - 2) - 11/4/2006, 3:30 PM Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI OHIO is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
W MICHIGAN is 0-0 against the spread versus MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI OHIO is 1-0 straight up against W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
USC (6 - 1) at STANFORD (0 -
- 11/4/2006, 7:00 PM Top Trends for this game.
USC is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
STANFORD is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all games this season.
STANFORD is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
STANFORD is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
STANFORD is 2-0 against the spread versus USC over the last 3 seasons
USC is 2-0 straight up against STANFORD over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON (4 - 5) at OREGON (6 - 2) - 11/4/2006, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 43-66 ATS (-29.6 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
OREGON is 2-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
OREGON is 2-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
LSU (6 - 2) at TENNESSEE (7 - 1) - 11/4/2006, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 1-0 against the spread versus LSU over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 1-0 straight up against LSU over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS (7 - 1) at S CAROLINA (5 - 3) - 11/4/2006, 7:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARKANSAS is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
S CAROLINA is 1-1 against the spread versus ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
S CAROLINA is 2-0 straight up against ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA (4 - 5) at FLORIDA ST (4 - 4) - 11/4/2006, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA ST is 1-1 against the spread versus VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA ST is 1-1 straight up against VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS ST (5 - 4) at COLORADO (1 -
- 11/4/2006, 3:30 PM Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) in November games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 73-50 ATS (+18.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 1-1 against the spread versus KANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO is 2-0 straight up against KANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
TULSA (7 - 1) at HOUSTON (6 - 3) - 11/4/2006, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TULSA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
TULSA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 15-31 ATS (-19.1 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 1-0 against the spread versus TULSA over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 1-0 straight up against TULSA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
E CAROLINA (4 - 4) at C FLORIDA (2 - 6) - 11/4/2006, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E CAROLINA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all games this season.
E CAROLINA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
E CAROLINA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
E CAROLINA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
E CAROLINA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
C FLORIDA is 1-0 against the spread versus E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
C FLORIDA is 1-0 straight up against E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NEVADA (5 - 3) at IDAHO (4 - 5) - 11/4/2006, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IDAHO is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
NEVADA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all games this season.
NEVADA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NEVADA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
NEVADA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
NEVADA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
NEVADA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEVADA is 1-0 against the spread versus IDAHO over the last 3 seasons
NEVADA is 1-0 straight up against IDAHO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA (3 - 5) at WASHINGTON ST (6 - 3) - 11/4/2006, 6:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 1-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON ST is 1-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
0 of 0 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
BYU (6 - 2) at COLORADO ST (4 - 4) - 11/4/2006, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BYU is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all games this season.
BYU is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
BYU is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
BYU is 2-0 against the spread versus COLORADO ST over the last 3 seasons
BYU is 2-0 straight up against COLORADO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MISSOURI (7 - 2) at NEBRASKA (6 - 3) - 11/4/2006, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEBRASKA is 36-19 ATS (+15.1 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
NEBRASKA is 49-26 ATS (+20.4 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
NEBRASKA is 38-21 ATS (+14.9 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NEBRASKA is 53-33 ATS (+16.7 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.
NEBRASKA is 53-33 ATS (+16.7 Units) in home games since 1992.
NEBRASKA is 53-33 ATS (+16.7 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEBRASKA is 1-1 against the spread versus MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons
NEBRASKA is 1-1 straight up against MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA ST (5 - 3) at TEXAS (8 - 1) - 11/4/2006, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA ST is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) in road games after playing a conference game since 1992.
TEXAS is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 69-46 ATS (+18.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
TEXAS is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 33-15 ATS (+16.5 Units) in November games since 1992.
TEXAS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
TEXAS is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 1-1 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS is 2-0 straight up against OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
PENN ST (6 - 3) at WISCONSIN (8 - 1) - 11/4/2006, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WISCONSIN is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
WISCONSIN is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
WISCONSIN is 1-1 against the spread versus PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 1-1 straight up against PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA TECH (6 - 2) at MIAMI (5 - 3) - 11/4/2006, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA TECH is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 1-1 against the spread versus VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 1-1 straight up against VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
TULANE (3 - 5) at MARSHALL (3 - 5) - 11/4/2006, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TULANE is 45-67 ATS (-28.7 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
MARSHALL is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MARSHALL is 0-0 against the spread versus TULANE over the last 3 seasons
MARSHALL is 1-0 straight up against TULANE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
UCLA (4 - 4) at CALIFORNIA (7 - 1) - 11/4/2006, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
UCLA is 1-0 against the spread versus CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
CALIFORNIA is 1-1 straight up against UCLA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
SAN JOSE ST (5 - 2) at NEW MEXICO ST (2 - 6) - 11/4/2006, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE ST is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
NEW MEXICO ST is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
NEW MEXICO ST is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE ST is 1-0 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons
SAN JOSE ST is 1-0 straight up against NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
RICE (3 - 5) at UTEP (4 - 4) - 11/4/2006, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
RICE is 2-0 against the spread versus UTEP over the last 3 seasons
UTEP is 2-0 straight up against RICE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA ST (5 - 3) at OREGON ST (5 - 3) - 11/4/2006, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON ST is 18-4 ATS (+13.6 Units) in home games in November games since 1992.
OREGON ST is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
OREGON ST is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
OREGON ST is 18-4 ATS (+13.6 Units) in home games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA ST is 2-0 against the spread versus OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA ST is 2-0 straight up against OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS ST (5 - 3) at AUBURN (8 - 1) - 11/4/2006, 2:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
FLA ATLANTIC (3 - 5) at MIDDLE TENN ST (5 - 3) - 11/4/2006, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
MIDDLE TENN ST is 1-1 against the spread versus FLA ATLANTIC over the last 3 seasons
MIDDLE TENN ST is 1-1 straight up against FLA ATLANTIC over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
LA LAFAYETTE (4 - 3) at TROY ST (3 - 4) - 11/4/2006, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAFAYETTE is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
TROY ST is 1-1 against the spread versus LA LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
TROY ST is 1-1 straight up against LA LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
LOUISIANA TECH (2 - 6) at NORTH TEXAS (2 - 6) - 11/4/2006, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISIANA TECH is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISIANA TECH is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISIANA TECH is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
LOUISIANA TECH is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISIANA TECH is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISIANA TECH is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISIANA TECH is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
LOUISIANA TECH is 1-0 against the spread versus NORTH TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
LOUISIANA TECH is 1-0 straight up against NORTH TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
SOUTHERN MISS (4 - 4) at MEMPHIS (1 - 7) - 11/5/2006, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SOUTHERN MISS is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 1-1 against the spread versus SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 2-0 straight up against SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
posted by phantom
Oct. 31 2006 5:25pm -
0 likes
NCAAFB 11/1 - 11/5
Wednesday, November 1st
Fresno State at Boise State, 8:00 EST ESPN2
Fresno State: 0-7 ATS off BB losses
Boise State: 7-0 ATS off 5+ wins
** (TC) Denotes Time Change
Thursday, November 2nd
West Virginia at Louisville, 7:30 EST ESPN
West Virginia: 7-0 ATS off a conference game
Louisville: 0-6 ATS off 4+ wins
** (TC) Denotes Time Change
Friday, November 3rd
Air Force at Army, 8:00 EST ESPN2
Air Force: 1-11 ATS off BB Unders
Army: 6-0 Over off BB ATS losses
** (TC) Denotes Time Change
Saturday, November 4th
Ball State at Michigan, 12:00 EST ESPNU
Ball State: 7-1 Under off a conference win
Michigan: 13-30 ATS off ATS wins in 2 of their last 3 games
Northwestern at Iowa, 12:00 EST
Northwestern: 31-16 ATS away off a loss
Iowa: 1-8 ATS as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points
(TC) Boston College at Wake Forest, 7:00 EST ESPN2
Boston College: 11-2 Over off an ATS win as a favorite of 10+ points
Wake Forest: 5-1 ATS off BB wins
(TC) Purdue at Michigan State, 3:30 EST ESPNU
Purdue: 6-0 Under off a home loss
Michigan State: 1-11 ATS off a conference game
Pittsburgh at South Florida, 12:00 EST
Pittsburgh: 8-28 ATS off a home loss
South Florida: 13-5 Under in home games
(TC) Kansas at Iowa State, 2:00 EST
Kansas: 2-10 ATS away after losing 4 of their last 5 games
Iowa State: 6-1 Under off 3+ ATS losses
Indiana at Minnesota, 12:00 EST
Indiana: 10-2 ATS after winning 3 of their last 4 games
Minnesota: 14-4 Over at home off an ATS loss
(TC) Georgia Tech at NC State, 7:00 EST ESPNU
Georgia Tech: 8-1 Under off an Over
NC State: 3-10 ATS off BB conference games
Maryland at Clemson, 12:00 EST ESPN2
Maryland: 9-2 Over off a conference game
Clemson: 9-1 ATS after winning 2 of their last 3 games
(TC) Florida at Vanderbilt, 12:30 EST
Florida: 8-1 ATS off ATS losses in 2 of their last 3 games
Vanderbilt: 3-14 ATS off a win by 17+ points
(TC) Ohio State at Illinois, 3:30 EST ESPN2
Ohio State: 12-1 ATS vs. conference opponents
Illinois: 2-10 ATS at home off a loss by 6 points or less
Central Michigan at Temple, 1:00 EST
Central Michigan: 8-0 ATS off an ATS win
Temple: 3-11 ATS after allowing 14 points or less
Navy at Duke, 1:00 EST
Navy: 11-2 ATS away vs. non-conference opponents
Duke: 0-6 ATS off BB home games
Ohio U at Eastern Michigan, 1:00 EST
Ohio U: 0-7 ATS away off BB conference wins
Eastern Michigan: 6-0 Under in home games
Kent State at Buffalo, 1:00 EST
Kent State: 9-3 Under off a loss
Buffalo: 6-1 ATS off BB games forcing 1 or 0 turnovers
Georgia at Kentucky, 1:00 EST
Georgia: 16-5 ATS away after losing 2 of their last 3 games
Kentucky: 4-13 ATS off BB games allowing 31+ points
Bowling Green at Akron, 1:00 EST
Bowling Green: 6-1 ATS off BB road losses
Akron: 7-1 Under off a road loss
(TC) Mississippi State at Alabama, 12:30 EST
Mississippi State: 2-10 ATS off a conference game
Alabama: 10-2 Under off a win by 28+ points
(TC) Oklahoma at Texas A&M, 8:00 EST ESPN
Oklahoma: 11-31 ATS off BB games allowing 17 points or less
Texas A&M: 8-2 Over off BB wins
(TC) Baylor at Texas Tech, 12:00 EST FSN
Baylor: 14-31 ATS in November
Texas Tech: 15-2 ATS off a home loss
North Carolina at Notre Dame, 2:30 EST NBC
North Carolina: 7-0 Under away off BB conference losses
Notre Dame: 4-14 ATS as a favorite of 21.5 to 31 points
TCU at UNLV, 3:00 EST
TCU: 13-5 ATS last 18 games
UNLV: 0-6 ATS off a straight up loss
Hawaii at Utah State, 3:00 EST
Hawaii: 8-1 ATS as a favorite
Utah State: 6-1 Under off an Over
San Diego State at Wyoming, 3:00 EST
San Diego State: 10-2 ATS away off a loss by 6 points or less
Wyoming: 6-17 ATS after winning 3 of their last 4 games
Miami OH at Western Michigan, 3:30 EST
Miami OH: 1-7 ATS as a road underdog
Western Michigan: 7-2 Over off an Under
(TC) USC at Stanford, 7:00 EST FSN
USC: 12-3 Over off a loss as a favorite
Stanford: 1-7 ATS off a loss
Washington at Oregon, 3:30 EST TBS
Washington: 0-6 ATS off a loss by 6 points or less
Oregon: 13-3 Under at home off an ATS loss
LSU at Tennessee, 3:30 EST CBS
LSU: 15-5 ATS away after winning 2 of their last 3 games
Tennessee: 1-9 ATS at home vs. conference opponents
(TC) Arkansas at South Carolina, 7:45 EST ESPN
Arkansas: 1-5 ATS off ATS wins in 3 of their last 4 games
South Carolina: 18-7 Over after winning 2 of their last 3 games
(TC) Virginia at Florida State, 12:00 EST
Virginia: 14-4 Under vs. conference opponents
Florida State: 0-7 ATS off 3+ conference games
Kansas State at Colorado, 3:30 EST FSN
Kansas State: 0-6 ATS away off a home game
Colorado: 30-15 ATS in November
(TC) Tulsa at Houston, 3:30 EST CSTV
Tulsa: 10-1 ATS in road games
Houston: 6-12 ATS off a combined score of 80+ points
East Carolina at Central Florida, 4:00 EST
East Carolina: 8-1 ATS in road games
Central Florida: 1-5 ATS after losing 4 of their last 5 games
Nevada at Idaho, 5:00 EST
Nevada: 11-3 Over off a conference game
Idaho: 12-3 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points
(TC) Arizona at Washington State, 5:00 EST
Arizona: 6-1 Under this season
Washington State: 1-8 ATS as a home favorite
BYU at Colorado State, 6:30 EST
BYU: 7-1 ATS this season
Colorado State: 8-0 Over as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points
(TC) Missouri at Nebraska, 12:00 EST ABC
Missouri: 13-2 ATS off a home loss by 14+ points
Nebraska: 0-4 ATS off BB conference losses
Oklahoma State at Texas, 7:00 EST TBS
Oklahoma State: 10-2 Over vs. conference opponents
Texas: 10-1 ATS off BB road games
(TC) Penn State at Wisconsin, 12:00 EST ABC
Penn State: 3-12 ATS away after allowing 9 points or less
Wisconsin: 12-3 ATS in home games
(TC) Virginia Tech at Miami FL, 8:00 EST ABC
Virginia Tech: 14-3 ATS as a road favorite of 7 points or less
Miami FL: 0-7 ATS after gaining 100 or less rushing yards
(TC) Tulane at Marshall, 7:30 EST CSTV
Tulane: 9-2 Over off an Over
Marshall: 3-11 ATS off a home game
UCLA at California, 8:00 EST ABC
UCLA: 6-1 ATS as an underdog
California: 15-2 Over after scoring 3 or less first-half points
San Jose State at New Mexico State, 8:00 EST
San Jose State: 1-10 ATS vs. conference opponents
New Mexico State: 14-4 Under off a conference game
Rice at UTEP, 9:00 EST
Rice: 11-3 ATS off a road conference win
UTEP: 1-5 ATS in November
(TC) Arizona State at Oregon State, 4:00 EST
Arizona State: 9-3 Over off a win by 6 points or less
Oregon State: 18-4 ATS at home in November
Added Games:
Arkansas State at Auburn, 2:30 EST
Arkansas State: 5-1 ATS off a road win by 21+ points
Auburn: 8-1 Over after winning 3 of their last 4 games
Florida Atlantic at Middle Tennessee State, 3:30 EST
Florida Atl: 1-5 ATS off an Under
Mid Tenn State: 5-1 Over after winning 2 of their last 3 games
Louisiana Lafayette at Troy, 4:00 EST
LA Lafayette: 4-14 ATS as a favorite
Troy: 5-1 Under in home games
Louisiana Tech at North Texas, 7:00 EST
Louisiana Tech: 1-8 ATS as a road underdog
North Texas: 15-5 ATS off 3+ conference games
** (TC) Denotes Time Change
Sunday, November 5th
Southern Miss at Memphis, 8:00 EST ESPN
Southern Miss: 13-4 ATS off BB losses
Memphis: 8-2 Under off an Over
** (TC) Denotes Time Change
posted by phantom
Oct. 31 2006 5:26pm -
0 likes
Marc Lawrence
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LOUISVILLE over W Virginia by 1
The game everybody in the Big East has been waiting for is fi nally
here and it will likely live up to its hype. The problem for Louisville
is to hold West Virginia under 28 points (the Mounties are 11-0 ATS
in their last 11 when scoring 28 or more). West Virginia faces the
indomitable task of stopping Louisville's 15-game home winning
streak (the Hillbillies are 4-24 ATS in their last 28 SU losses). The Cards
blew a 24-7 4Q lead against the Hillbillies last year, losing a 46-44
overtime thriller. More of the same today? Hard to say, but we do
know the SMART BOX likes the dog in this game.
Tuesday, October 31st
Uab over SMU by 1
SMU has quietly covered nine of its last 12 conference games and is
a solid 8-2 ATS as a favorite when coming off a SU loss. UAB, though,
is 17-4 ATS as an underdog off a loss and 6-1 ATS in its last seven
road games off a beat. The Hammers have kicked it up a notch (in
the stats) over their last four games and have nasty revenge on their
mind from a one-point loss as 20-point home chalk last year. In a
battle of acronyms, we'll side with the Blazers.
BOISE ST over Fresno St by 28
There's just no way you can consider a Fresno State team that hasn't
done anything good in more than two months, no matter how high
the odds. Boise is 21-6 ATS at home in its last 27 league games, 11-4
ATS in its last 15 as home chalk, and 24-9 ATS in its last 33 at home off
a SU win. Fresno is on an 0-9-1 ATS run, is 3-16-2 ATS when coming
off a loss and is a perfect 0-7 ATS in its last 7 games against avenging
opponents. Yes, the Blue Man group has revenge from a 20-point
beating they suffered last year. Lay it if you play it.
MICHIGAN over Ball St by 31
Like last week, don't look for Michigan to come out smoking here.
The Wolves will take Indiana seriously next week but not IU's second
cousin. Ball State has never beaten a BCS team and they obviously
won't win this but the Cardinals have enough weapons to sneak in
a score or two and that might be enough to get the money. You
know how we feel about disinterested favorites and Michigan fi ts
the description perfectly (they are 2-6 ATS in their last eight nonconference
battles).
IOWA over Northwestern by 21
Both teams put in sterling efforts last week. Iowa downed a decent
Northern Illinois team and did it without its best player, QB Drew
Tate. Northwestern shook off that incredible come-from-ahead
loss to Michigan State and played the nation's number two team
to a standstill for most of the game. Tate should be back for Iowa
and Northwestern proved its point. Now it's back to reality and the
reality is that Iowa is 22-1 SU and 19-4 ATS in its last 23 tries as a
conference home favorite.
Air Force over ARMY by 8
Air Force hasn't been able to get over the hump. The Falcons wanted
the Navy game in the worst way and didn't get it. They wanted to
end BYU's winning streak and couldn't do it. Now, they have to beat
Army on the banks of the Hudson to avoid getting shutout in the
Military menage-a-trois. Army hasn't covered a spread since beating
Baylor and owns just three wins in its last 18 games against Navy and
Air Force. They are also 0-6 ATS as home dogs of less than 18 points
against a foe off back-to-back losses. Last year's loss by the Flyboys
snapped an eight game AFA series win streak
posted by phantom
Nov. 1 2006 1:53pm -
0 likes
Marc Lawrence Best Bets
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
GAME OF THE WEEK UPSET UPSET
IOWA ST over Kansas by 3
Kansas fi nally came away with a win in a close game last week
and, we have to say, the Jayhawks deserved it. Through all their
heartbreaks this year, the team never quit playing hard. Kansas
needs to do that again and try to stop Iowa State's 5-0 ATS streak in
the last fi ve meetings here. Kansas certainly has the better defense
and the most character. It remains to be seen if the Jayhawks can
translate those advantages into a road win. The Cyclones well
5 BEST BET
Of the many teams that were embarrassed last week, the
Tigers have the reddest faces of all. After taking a 7-0 lead
at Virginia Tech, Clemson was shut down and run down in
a 24-7 loss in front of the entire sporting nation. How the
Tigers bounce back will determine their postseason fate, and
word is they are hell-bent on making a New Years Day bowl
game. More importantly, they see Maryland sitting atop the
Atlantic Division in the ACC standings. Since Maryland has
not won a lined game in the stats this season (they lost by
225 yards in their win over Florida State last week), we expect
Clemmie to get the best of the numbers. The number that
matters, though, is the Tigers' brilliant 30-3-1 ATS mark in SU
wins over a conference opponent off a win, including 18-1-1
ATS if they beat the foe in their last meeting. Though I walk
in the shadow of the valley of death...
CLEMSON over Maryland by 28
3 BEST BET
NC State continued its downslide with its third straight loss
(won the stats in all) and is desperate to stop it this week.
We think Chuck Amato is capable of orchestrating that kind
of resurrection and he won't ever fi nd a team softened up
more than Georgia Tech is. Brutal battles with Clemson and
Miami of Florida in successive weeks fi gures to take its toll on
the Bumblebees and we'll step in and grab the honey. The
series dog is 5-0 ATS and the Wolfpack is 7-0 ATS in games
after squaring off against Virginia. With his back to the wall,
look for Amato go bravado in this must-win affair.
NC STATE over Georgia Tech by 6
4 BEST BET
Oklahoma answered a lot of questions, as many as Missouri
raised, with last week's 26-10 win in Columbia but we have
an idea that this trip to College Station will be a little tougher
for the Sooners. The Aggies have covered six in a row against
OU on this fi eld and are 6-0 ATS in their last six home games
with revenge against opponents who are off back-to-back
SUATS wins. Don't be surprised if the loss of Adrian Peterson
fi nally catches up to Oklahoma in Kyle Field in this SMART
BOX situation. Oh yea, this neat stat just in: A&M head coach
Dennis Franchione is 17-3 ATS as a dog against an opponent
off back-to-back wins if they covered their last game, including
11-0 ATS with revenge. Fran can!
TEXAS A&M over Oklahoma by 10
posted by phantom
Nov. 1 2006 1:54pm -
0 likes
Rockys Newsletter
Guaranteed Best Bet........N. Car St
Game Of The Week.............Nebraska
Systen Play Of The Week..18-0...Indiana
Preferred Play...24-0 S/03...3-0 L3wks...So Fla, Clemson, Utep
posted by phantom
Nov. 1 2006 1:55pm -
0 likes
Sports Reporters College Best Bets
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
[
RECOMMENDED
*WAKE FOREST over BOSTON COLLEGE by 5
If Wake Forest didn’t suffer a major fourth-quarter meltdown against Clemson back on
October 7, then these Demon Deacons might be in the mix for this year’s BCS title game
in early January.Wake Forest is 7-1 SU and headed to its first bowl game since 2002 but
the here-and-now says coach Jim Grobe’s team has enough defensive playmakers to
silence Boston College QB Matt Ryan (did not play last week’s 41-0 win against Buffalo
with bad ankles) and ever-improving WF signal-caller Riley Skinner won’t make any crucial
mental mistakes. WAKE FOREST, 24-19.
RECOMMENDED
*CLEMSON over MARYLAND by 7
There was a whole lot to like about Maryland’s hang-on-fordear-
life 27-24 win against Florida State last Saturday night with QB Sam Hollenbach airing
three scoring strikes and defense buttoning down when it really mattered and now
here’s an Election Week vote for Terrapins to contain tailback tandem of James Davis and
C.J. Spiller, who managed a mere 71 yards rushing between ‘em in 24-7 prime time loss
at Virginia Tech last Thursday. Keep in mind that Maryland lost tough 28-24 verdict in
own backyard a year ago to these Tigers and so turning the tables on Tommy Bowden’s
club is only fair. CLEMSON, 27-20
.
RECOMMENDED
BOWLING GREEN over *AKRON by 1
It’s all about zigging and zagging. Maybe some people were shocked by Temple’s win
over Bowling Green a week ago, but if you’ve been reading this paper, you weren’t. With
that said, we expect a bounce-back effort from BG after coach Gregg Brandon called out
his players after the loss, saying they aren’t mentally tough enough. A case in point
occurred in the first half when BG wasted a 93-yard drive by fumbling out of the end zone
from Temple’s 1-yard-line for a touchback, and then allowed an 80-yard TD drive.
Brandon also inserted true freshman Tyler Sheehan at QB in the second half and implied
that he could start against Akron, which will give Akron something extra to think about
during preparation for this game. The host Zips are also skidding, as QB Luke Getsy isn’t
putting up the numbers he did last season. He was sacked four times and threw two
picks in a loss to Toledo last week. BOWLING GREEN, 24-23.
RECOMMENDED
*OREGON over WASHINGTON by 22
Washington enters Autzen Stadium this week fresh off their second straight overtime
loss. Coach Ty Willingham likes his team’s resiliency, but they face a rested Oregon squad
that will ensure that the Huskies do not play a third straight OT game. The story of this
one will be the Ducks’ ground game. Against D1 opponents, Oregon averages 191 rushing
yards per game. In their two losses, they averaged only 85 yards on the ground. Put
two and two together: when the tailbacks get lose, Oregon wins. Washington’s run
defense is scuffling, yielding an average of 178 yards in their last four Pac-10 contests.
Willingham wants to run the ball as well, but may not be able to if they fall behind. The
back door cover is not likely given Washington’s pedestrian passing attack, led by their
second string QB, and Oregon’s willingness to continue pounding the rock no matter
what the score. OREGON, 38-16.
SUPER BEST BET
LSU over *TENNESSEE by 20
Hurricane Rita blew into Louisiana last year leaving a mess and forcing the UT-LSU game
to be played on a Monday. Tennessee flew out of Baton Rouge that night leaving the
Tigers with a painful loss. You can be certain that the Bayou Bengals have not forgotten
about it. LSU may be the most athletic team in the country and their team speed will
cause problems for the home Vols. Fresh off of a bye, LSU knows that Tennessee’s
offense is relatively one-dimensional. Against Florida, Georgia and Alabama, the Vols’
ground game mustered only 54 yards per game. LSU’s defense is just as good as those
three teams, which spells trouble in Knoxville for the home team off a late-night high. QB
Erik Ainge has played well this year, but struggles at times when pressured and that is
precisely what the Tigers bring to the party. LSU QB Jamarcus Russell has progressed
from last year and he has an arsenal of speed merchants at his disposal. The public
views Tennessee as a viable national title contender. You viewed them as a potential
Super Best Bet winner last Saturday, and they were. Different stories come this Saturday
night. LSU, 30-10.
BEST BET
*NEBRASKA over MISSOURI by 16
The paper Tigers of Missouri didn't like it when Texas A&M pounded it on the ground and
threw to the tight ends all afternoon in their first loss, which is also what Nebraska will
do. Nebraska didn’t like it when Missouri rolled up 480 yards of offense and doubled the
Huskers in first downs last season in a game that was 24-21 at the half, but 17-0 for
Missouri in the second half, when Nebraska’s lone running threat was 5’6â€
posted by phantom
Nov. 1 2006 2:21pm -
0 likes
power sweep
4 byu
3 arkansas
3 oklahoma
2 ohio st
2 washington st
2 usc
underdog mississippi
4 san diego
3 tampa bay
2 baltimore
2 detroit
3 saints u 38'
3 dolphins o 39'
3 falcons o 47
2 titans u 38
2 rams o 47'
posted by phantom
Nov. 1 2006 2:22pm -
0 likes
keep up the hard work playa!!!!!!
posted by dab2dap
Nov. 1 2006 2:23pm -
0 likes
Winning Points College Best Bets
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
****BEST BET
CLEMSON* over MARYLAND by 35
The A.C.C. Atlantic Division standings create an interesting notion – Ralph
Friedgan’s Terrapins are tied for first place, and can control the race by winning
down the stretch. As such, this game has a completely different set-up that what it
is – a complete mismatch between the superior team coming in with a chip on its
shoulder, and a pretender that is ready to snap like a dry autumn twig after a draining
run of games. Off of that dismal showing at Virginia Tech last Thursday we can
expect Tommy Bowden’s Tigers to play with a special fire here, especially now that
they are forced to look up in the standings at Maryland. An O.L. that might be the
nation’s best can turn that energy into dominance of the line of scrimmage, and
that opens the door for bursts by James Davis and C. J. Spiller against a Terrapin
defense that was helpless against similar speed in an earlier whipping at West
Virginia (the Mountaineers ran for 340 yards at 7.9 per carry). And with Chansi
Stuckey having a full week to get healthy again there will be much more rhythm
to the passing game than we saw at Blacksburg last week. Meanwhile Maryland
lacks similar playmakers, and do not be fooled for a moment by those three straight
A.C.C. wins – they came by a combined 11 points, and film study would not indicate
that they were the better squad in any of them. When teams like this fall, it is
often a crash, especially in Death Valley against this class – the Tigers mauled
Georgia Tech and North Carolina by a combined 83-14 in their only two home
league games so far. CLEMSON 41-6.
***BEST BET
L.S.U. over TENNESSEE* by 17
Many times a “firstâ€
posted by phantom
Nov. 1 2006 2:43pm -
0 likes
Winning Points College Best Bets
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
****BEST BET
CLEMSON* over MARYLAND by 35
The A.C.C. Atlantic Division standings create an interesting notion – Ralph
Friedgan’s Terrapins are tied for first place, and can control the race by winning
down the stretch. As such, this game has a completely different set-up that what it
is – a complete mismatch between the superior team coming in with a chip on its
shoulder, and a pretender that is ready to snap like a dry autumn twig after a draining
run of games. Off of that dismal showing at Virginia Tech last Thursday we can
expect Tommy Bowden’s Tigers to play with a special fire here, especially now that
they are forced to look up in the standings at Maryland. An O.L. that might be the
nation’s best can turn that energy into dominance of the line of scrimmage, and
that opens the door for bursts by James Davis and C. J. Spiller against a Terrapin
defense that was helpless against similar speed in an earlier whipping at West
Virginia (the Mountaineers ran for 340 yards at 7.9 per carry). And with Chansi
Stuckey having a full week to get healthy again there will be much more rhythm
to the passing game than we saw at Blacksburg last week. Meanwhile Maryland
lacks similar playmakers, and do not be fooled for a moment by those three straight
A.C.C. wins – they came by a combined 11 points, and film study would not indicate
that they were the better squad in any of them. When teams like this fall, it is
often a crash, especially in Death Valley against this class – the Tigers mauled
Georgia Tech and North Carolina by a combined 83-14 in their only two home
league games so far. CLEMSON 41-6.
***BEST BET
L.S.U. over TENNESSEE* by 17
Many times a “firstâ€
posted by phantom
Nov. 1 2006 2:43pm -
0 likes
Sports Memo
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
HANDICAPPER RECORD EARLY WEEK PICK
Tim Trushel 11-4-1 Bills -3
Jared Klein 10-4-2 Rams -2.5
Donnie Black 11-5-0 Texas A&M +3
Ed Cash 10-6-0 Virginia Tech Under 38
Fairway Jay 9-6-1 Louisville -1
Marty Otto 8-6-2 Pittsburgh -5
Teddy Covers 8-7-1 Colts Over 47
Brent Crow 8-8-0 LSU -2
Erin Rynning 7-9-0 Lions +5
Sonny Palermo 4-10-2 LSU -2
Rob Veno 5-11-0 Navy Over 47.5
HANDICAPPER NEWSLETTER PICK RADIO PICK
Brent Crow South Carolina +5 (L) Ole Miss +19 (W)
Marty Otto South Carolina +5 (L) Missouri -1.5 (L)
Tim Trushel Titans -3 (W) Michigan Under 45 (W)
Rob Veno Nebraska -5.5 (L) Bengals -3.5 (L)
Erin Rynning Arizona State +1 (W) Colorado +2 (L)
Ed Cash Wyoming +6.5 (L) Georgia Tech -4.5 (W)
Sonny Palermo Rutgers -16.5 (L) Wisconsin -21.5 (L)
Jared Klein Chiefs -3 (W) Titans -3 (W)
Fairway Jay Texas Tech +12.5 (W) Wyoming +6 (L)
Teddy Covers E. Michigan +16.5 (W) USC -10.5 (L)
Donnie Black Syracuse U 42.5 (W) Cincinnati -6.5 (W
posted by phantom
Nov. 1 2006 2:49pm -
0 likes
Sports Memo
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Air Force -7 v. Army O/U - 46
Recommendation: Army
Both clubs limp into this game. Air Force has dropped three of four. At 3-4, this
is a must win if they expect to go bowling in 2006. As usual, the Falcons run the
football (3rd in the nation in rushing offense). QB Shaun Carney is able to keep
his team in most games. Army has lost three straight to fall to 3-6. Freshman QB
Carson Williams has brought life to the Army offense. He was recruited by several
BCS conference schools. Williams fired three TD passes in his first start last
week. This new found offense will enable the Black Knights to hang in as a live
home underdog.
N’western +17 v. Iowa O/U - 43.5
Recommendation: Iowa
The Wildcats are heading towards a winless season in the Big 10. The Wildcats have
covered the last two weeks but are in a tough spot here. With the nation's 100th
ranked total offense to go with the country's 91st rated total defense, Northwestern
is clearly in rebuilding mode, as this team looks towards 2007. Iowa (1-7 ATS) has not
quite met expectations but the Hawkeyes will be going to another bowl game at the
end of the year. While the offense has taken a hit with QB Drew Tate on the shelf,
Iowa still should be able to exploit Northwestern's mediocre defense. The Hawkeyes
are in revenge mode for this one, as Northwestern delivered a miracle comeback
win over Iowa last season. This should provide the proper focus for Iowa to deliver
payback at home.
Hoosiers’ play too good to pass up
BC and Wake Forest in a slugfest; GT takes one more step towards ACC Coastal crown
Ball State +33 v. Michigan O/U - 48.5
Recommendation: Ball State
The Cardinals bring the 14th best passing offense to the "Big House." They also
bring the nation's worst passing defense. At 3-6, this MAC team will simply serve
as another tune-up for Michigan's upcoming showdown with Ohio State. The
Michigan offense has been lacking in recent weeks. They have failed to score more
than 20 points in each of the last three weeks. Even against a defense like Ball
State's, the offense will be hard pressed to score enough to cover this kind of number.
The stout Michigan defense is vulnerable at times to the pass (75th in passing
defense). The Cardinals do just enough passing to come in as the underdog play at
Ann Arbor.
Purdue needs one win down the stretch to reach a bowl game. Incredibly, the
nation's 12th best offense has been held to a total of only three points in losses to
Wisconsin and Penn State. The defense is playing respectable by allowing only 36
points in the two defeats. Still, the unit is in the nation's ninth worst defensive
team. The Spartans are even less predictable. The greatest comeback in college
football history was followed up by a blowout loss at Indiana. Since the Notre Dame
collapse, the Spartans have failed to cover in any game. The offense (30th in scoring
offense) is capable of success but has lacked consistency. The Michigan State
defense is allowing over 30 points per game. We'll look for Purdue's offense to
rebound this week to take this one over the total.
Purdue +2 v. Michigan St. O/U - 55
Recommendation: Over
Pittsburgh -5 v. S. Florida O/U - 43.5
This is a Sportsmemo Best Bet. See
pages 16-18 for a complete details.
W. Virginia +1 v. Louisville O/U - 55.5
This is a Sportsmemo Best Bet. See
pages 16-18 for a complete details.
Both clubs have had disappointing campaigns so far. The Jayhawks snapped a
four-game slide with a win over Colorado. Even with starting QB Kerry Meier missing
action at times this year, the Jayhawks have been able to average 28 points
per game. The defense is the nation's fourth worst at defending the pass. The
Cyclones come in with a four-game losing streak intact. Since blowing a halftime
lead at Iowa early in the year, Iowa State has been a mediocre club. They have been
held to 14 points or less in four games while giving up at least 27 points in each
game since the visit to Iowa. The Cyclones should be able to strike against the pass
defense of Kansas, however, we'll take the over.
Kansas -1.5 v. Iowa State O/U - 49.5
Recommendation: Over
Boston College -4 v. Wake Forest O/U- 40
Recommendation: Under
A surprise showdown in the ACC's Atlantic Division. These two 7-1 clubs are tied
with Maryland in this race while Clemson is only one game behind. Each team is
led by defensive units that give up only 15 points per game. The Eagles do have
the better offense but it is only ranked 57th in the nation in total offense. After
losing starters at QB and RB to injury, Wake has managed games with new starting
QB Riley Skinner. He has guided the ship despite leading an offense that ranks
98th in the country in total offense. The defenses dominate in this game.
Indiana +4.5 v. Minnesota O/U - 56.5
Recommendation: Indiana
The Hoosiers, after a huge day from wideout James Hardy last week against
Michigan State, are a win away from becoming bowl eligible. Freshman QB Kellen
Lewis is developing a nice chemistry with his star wide receiver. The defense is
suspect for Indiana but Minnesota has similar issues. The Gophers are winless in
the conference, as they no longer are able to dominate teams on the ground. The
loss of a pair of 1,000 yard rushers from a year ago has left the club with an average
offensive unit. With more to play for, we'll take the hungry Hoosiers as a road
underdog.
Georgia Tech -6 v. N.C St. O/U - 40
Recommendation: Georgia Tech
The Yellow Jackets rebounded from the blowout at Clemson to handle Miami.
Georgia Tech is leading the Coastal Division of the ACC. Georgia Tech is a complete
team. All-American WR Calvin Johnson is the difference maker, as Chan
Gailey's team is poised to break a string of seven-win seasons. The Wolfpack
have dropped three straight since upset wins over BC and Florida State. All
three defeats were by seven points or less. The lack of an offense (97th in the
nation in scoring offense) has hurt this club in 2006. The end could be near for
Chuck Amato, as rumors swirl about NC State alum Bill Cowher coming home
to coach the Wolfpack in 2007. The Yellow Jackets move a step closer to the
ACC title game with a win in Raleigh on Saturday.
Navy -11.5 v. Duke O/U - 47.5
This is a Sportsmemo Best Bet. See
pages 16-18 for a complete details
.
Maryland +15.5 v. Clemson O/U - 45.5
Recommendation: Clemson
A contrast in styles in this one. The Terps have grinded their way to a 6-2 mark
in 2006. Maryland is getting the most out of its' personnel this season. The
team is 97th in total offense but ranks a respectable 57th in scoring offense.
Likewise, the defense is 83rd ranked nationally in total defense while coming
in at 58th in scoring defense. The Tigers have also lost twice this season.
Unlike Maryland, Clemson is able to dominate on both sides of the ball. The
Tigers are 13th in the nation in total offense while ranking 5th in total defense.
The explosive running tandem of James Davis and C.J. Spiller will find plenty
of opportunities against the country's 100th ranked rushing defense. "Death
Valley" has lived up to its' name this year. Clemson is 4-0 at home and has won
by an average score of 47-5 in the four contests. Davis and Spiller exploit the
Terps at home.
A 21-0 early third quarter lead against Georgia barely held up last week for the
Gators. Florida (0-3 ATS away from Gainesville) loses some swagger when they
have to leave "The Swamp." The offense is solid while the defense is outstanding
for Florida. The Gators rank in the nation's top 10 in scoring, total, and rushing
defense. The Commodores took Florida to OT last season before falling 49-
42. At 4-5, bowl hopes are still alive late in the year for a second straight season.
Vandy scored 45 points last week but the unit has been inconsistent. In
their five losses, the Commodores have failed to reach 20 points in any game.
The defense is allowing only 20 points per game. This should be a good spot
for Vanderbilt to catch Florida after the emotional game with Georgia. Vandy
hangs in again with the mighty Gators.
Florida -14 v. Vanderbilt O/U - 43.5
Recommendation: Vanderbilt
The Bobcats have won and covered in their last four games. A trip to the MAC championship
game is well within reach as Ohio faces three losing teams to close out the
regular season. The club wins with defense (26th in total defense). The offense,
despite being the nation's 10th worst in total offense, is able to contribute when needed.
The Eagles have started to compete but this team figures to do little if anything
against Ohio's defense. Eastern has failed to score more than 21 points in any game
this year. Ohio's defense enables the road favorite to get it done in this one.
Ohio -7 v. E. Michigan O/U - 40
Recommendation: Ohio
Ohio State -26.5 v. Illinois O/U - 47.5
Recommendation: Under
The Buckeyes continue to dominate in 2006. All nine wins have been by 17
points or more. Only two of nine opponents have scored more than 7 points
against the stout Ohio State defense. QB Troy Smith and RB Antonio Pittman
pace the balanced offense. Despite ranking in the nation's top 50 in total
offense and defense, Illinois has won only twice in 2006. The Illini have
dropped four straight with three of the defeats coming by six points or less.
This young team has potential but it makes too many mistakes to back them
in this spot. Ohio State has gone under in eight of nine games this year. It will
be nine of ten after the Buckeyes hold Illinois in check on Saturday.
The Flashes had a five-game winning streak snapped last week by Ohio. Still,
Kent State (5-3) is one of the most improved teams in the country after posting
only one win in 2005. Since allowing 44 points to Minnesota in the opener,
Kent has held its' last seven opponents to 17 points or less. The Bulls
dropped their seventh straight contest last week. Five of the seven losses have
been by 28 points or more. Turner Gill has plenty of work ahead, as the Bulls
are now 6-48 since the 2002 season. Kent gets back on track against Buffalo.
Kent State -14.5 v. Buffalo O/U - 41.5
Recommendation: Kent State
The Wildcats have a golden opportunity to reach a bowl in 2006 after posting their
first road win of the season last week. Kentucky begins a three-game homestand
against Georgia on Saturday. At 4-4, the Wildcats need to win two more to reach a
bowl game. The Wildcats are 3-1 at home this year. QB Andre Woodson has had a
solid year in directing the nation's 22nd ranked passing offense. Georgia is finally
having a down year under Mark Richt. The Bulldogs will go to a bowl but it will likely
be a second tier event. The offense (90th in total offense) is still a work in progress
with freshman QB Matthew Stafford. Without much to play for, Georgia figures to
lack some intensity in this one against a team they have blownout by an average
score of 47-16 over the last four years. We'll take the home dog in this SEC matchup.
Georgia -6.5 v. Kentucky O/U - 49.5
Recommendation: Kentucky
C. Michigan -17.5 v. Temple O/U - 49
Recommendation: Central Michigan
The streak is over. The Owls finally snapped the nation's longest losing streak of
20 with a 28-14 win over Bowling Green. Temple will try to knock off another
MAC team in this one. Central Michigan is a perfect 8-0 ATS in 2006. The
Chippewas should be able to attack the nation's worst scoring defense. Central
is 24th in the country in passing offense. Temple is improving but the Chippewas
have too much in this game.
The Falcons have been up and down this year while breaking in new QB Anthony
Turner. The club had an ultimate down moment last week by allowing Temple to end
its' 20-game losing streak. With the nation's 12th ranked rushing offense, Bowling
Green is able to hang around in most games. Akron has been disappointing this year
after the return of Luke Getsy under center, many thought this team would repeat
their MAC championship. The schedule maker did not help the Zips by scheduling
six of their first eight games on the road. With the exception of a last-second win at
NC State, Akron has dropped their other five road contests. They have won and covered
in their two home games. The home field gives Akron the edge in this one.
Bowling Green +9 v. Akron O/U - 46
Recommendation: Akron
The Bulldogs are showing some life despite their 2-7 record. QB Michael Henig has
returned to the lineup since being injured in the season opener. Mississippi State has
averaged 30 points in their last three games. This young team is still learning how to
win (0-3 SUR in games decided by 3 points or less) but Sylvester Croom's club is
starting to compete. Bama isn't the best team to back as big home favorites. Alabama
is 6-0 at home this season but has only covered twice. The Tide has been at least a
14-point favorite in all six games. Alabama has won the last four meetings against
Mississippi State by at least 14 points but this Crimson Tide team has not played up
to its' potential. Henig keeps the Bulldogs in striking distance.
Mississippi St. +14 v. Alabama O/U - 38.5
Recommendation: Mississippi State
posted by phantom
Nov. 1 2006 2:50pm -
0 likes
Marc Lawrence
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BOISE ST over Fresno St by 28
There's just no way you can consider a Fresno State team that hasn't
done anything good in more than two months, no matter how high
the odds. Boise is 21-6 ATS at home in its last 27 league games, 11-4
ATS in its last 15 as home chalk, and 24-9 ATS in its last 33 at home off
a SU win. Fresno is on an 0-9-1 ATS run, is 3-16-2 ATS when coming
off a loss and is a perfect 0-7 ATS in its last 7 games against avenging
opponents. Yes, the Blue Man group has revenge from a 20-point
beating they suffered last year. Lay it if you play it.
__________________
High Rollers Club
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Big Game Hunter Play
Fresno State 23.0 / -102.0
NOTE>>Not the High Rollers club out of Hawaii..These guys are different ones..FYI..
0-2 last night
__________________
Sports Reporters
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
*BOISE STATE over FRESNO STATE by 25
Both are run-oriented, averaging around 5 yards per carry. However, when Fresno State cannot
run the ball effectively, their offense stalls due to an ineffective passing game. Boise State
wants revenge for last year’s 27-7 loss and has been looking to this game since the Utah win
four weeks ago. BOISE STATE, 39-14.
__________________
Dr. Bob
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Wednesday, November 1
BOISE STATE (-26 ½) 36 Fresno State 14
Fresno State is certainly not as good as they were expected to be, but the Bulldogs aren’t nearly as bad as the line on this game makes them out to be. The Bulldogs are 0-6- 1 ATS this season, but they are now underrated, especially with talented sophomore quarterback Sean Norton
taking over at quarterback for ineffective Tom Brandstater 1 ½ games ago. Brandstater was well below average throwing the ball this season
(5.4 yards per pass play against teams that would combine to allow 6.1 yppp to an average quarterback), but Norton was great in his debut
against Hawaii and was considerably better than average against LSU (4.8 yppp against and LSU defense that would allow just 3.7 yppp at home to
an average team). Norton has averaged 7.1 yppp on 48 pass plays against teams that would combine to allow just 5.4 yppp to an average quarterback. One and a half games is not enough of a sample size to
predict that he’ll keep up that pace, but I can weight Norton’s rating with the team season offensive pass rating to give a more conservative
rating to Norton (which turns out to be 0.6 yppp better than average instead of the 1.7 yppp that he’s been so far). Fresno has a solid
rushing attack and I rate the Bulldogs’ attack at 0.3 yards per play better than average with Norton at quarterback. Fresno’s defense is 0.3
yppl worse than average and their special teams are exactly average, so the Bulldogs rate as an average Division 1A team. Boise State is a good
team (+0.7 yppl better than average on offense with QB Zabransky in the game, but only 0.2 yppl better than average defensively), but the are
not good enough to dominate a decent team – even on the Blue turf field here in Boise. Boise State is 32-12 ATS lifetime at home, but they are a
more modest 11-9 ATS here when favored by more than 21 points. My math model favors Boise by only 15 ½ points in this game, but the Broncos do qualify in a 40-12-1 ATS situation that has a 58% chance of covering at a fair line. The math gives Fresno a 62.5% chance of covering at +25 (based on the historical performance of my math model). Overall Fresno still has a 54.5% chance of covering and I’ll lean with the Bulldogs despite the strong situation favoring Boise State.
__________________
winning points
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Boise State* over Fresno State by 27 (Wednesday)
Broncos were absolutely pushed around in a 27-7 loss at Fresno last year, and now
get a chance to kick the Bulldogs while they are down. BOISE STATE 41-14.
__________________
BRANDON Lang
20 DIME
Boise State
10 DIME
Raptors
Note:
Feels good to cash another 20 Dime winner on Smu. You hear me say things like grinding away, staying with what you know will work on a longterm basis.
Just getting on the right side of games and watching the breaks turn our way. You do this long enough and you realize it all turns back around your way as long as you stay rooted in what you know works.
The frustrating thing is people don't get it. The hate that people have for me and express to my customer service people when I go through a bad stretch is unbelievable.
I lose for a couple of weekends and you think the world was going to end. You would think I had never won any games in my life.
Amazing. Just amazing. Consistent winning for over 8 months, fully advising people you are going to have rough stretches and still it's not enough.
My mom says I am in a no win situation. She says if you win you get no credit because that is what you are expected to do and if you lose they hate you.
I tell her what I tell everyone, just being honest and sincere in what you do everyday, make sure you give 100% effort and let your success in not only in this business but your life do the talking for you.
Let's keep moving forward tonight. Let's get a 6th straight winning day and a 7th straight 20 Dime winner tonight.
BOISE STATE
Not a single ounce of doubt in my mind tonight that Boise State is the right side of this game tonight and once again I will give you a few reason's why.
First of all, Fresno St is just that bad. They are 1-7 SU and ATS with their only cover being by 1 point in their last game versus LSU. The line opened Lsu -31 and closed at 34 in some places.
Lsu didn't score in the last 13 mintues of that game to allow Fresno the lucky cover.
This is the same Fresno State team that 3 weeks ago lost at home to Hawaii 68-37. Now, this might sound pretty simple but if Hawaii can put up 68 on this Fresno State team, I am pretty confident Boise can get over 50 on the blue carpet tonight.
Boise comes in a perfect 8-0 and they know, beyond a shadow of a doubt they need big, convincing blowouts in their last 4 games to even get near a BCS bid. They can pull it off, but they need to win big and this game tonight is as good a start as any.
In their 4 home games this year, they have beaten Sacramento State 45-0, Oregon State 42-14, Hawaii 41-34 and L'Tech 55-14.
The most impressive win in that bunce was Oregon State by 28. You know, the same Oregon State team that just upset Usc last Saturday 33-31.
Boise comes off two road games where they struggled a bit at New Mexico State and Idaho. They failed to cover both as 27 1/2 and 21 point road chalks.
However, they are back home tonight in a place they have outscored Fresno in the last two meetings here 100-37. This is a blowout.
Boise State is 3rd in the nation in scoring and 6th in rush offense. You don't have to worry about this Boise offense tonight. They will get over 40, just as they have in every home game this year.
Getting lost in all this scoring is a defense that is leading the WAC in scoring defense at just 16 points a game and total defense at just under 310 a game including only 76 yards on the ground.
Fresno is going to wish they never made this trip up here tonight as Boise scores early and often and win this game going away by 30 points or more.
20 Dime Winner #7 in a row on Boise State
posted by phantom
Nov. 1 2006 2:58pm -
0 likes
Newsletter Records for NCAA the last 6 weeks
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Here are the newsletter records for the last 6 weeks. Most I only record their best bets so I don't have their complete records. I'll rate them according who is doing the best in their best bets.
College Newsletter Records
1. Pointwise-- 1* (8-4) 2*(3-3) 3*(8-4)....note for pointwise the lower the *rating the higher the play. A 1* is their top play.
2. Red Sheet-- 89 rated plays (7-5) 88 rated plays (12-6)
3. Winning Points-- 4* (4-1) 3* (1-4)...would only recommend playing their 4*.
The following newsletters I would recommend fading.
Playbook-- 5* (3-3) 4* (3-3) 3* (2-4)
Sports Reporters-- Super Best Bets (1-2) Best Bets (7-9)
Power Sweep-- 4* (2-4) 3* (6-6)
CKO-- 11 rated plays (2-3) 10 rated plays (7-11)
Goldsheet-- Best Bets (10-20)
posted by phantom
Nov. 3 2006 11:22pm