Picks for Mon, Oct 30th
Great game for Dallas and Romo is Da Man not only did Dallas cover but they won su as posted in chat tonight$$
MNF GOC
New England -1 GOC
Brady is 18-1 in his career in games played on turf plus 7-0 mark in Domes
My bud MrLasVegas69 is on the same play also GOY for him let's roll baby$$$
GL
posted by takis28
29 replies
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I am still haunted from that tragic loss a couple of Sunday nights ago when the Pats lost to Denver at home....I lost a boatload of dough that night.....
I wondered why the spread in this game was ONLY Pats -1.....
I am not as certain tonight as I was when I laid soooo much on the Pats vs Denver....
And you know what???? That makes me feel SO FUCKING GOOD ABOUT THIS GAME!!!! The fact that there are a few minor thoughts like I mentioned makes me feel even better.....Pats D is tooo strong and their offense tooo explosive....
This is the cardinal sin of gambling, I KNOW IT IS....BUT, i have been nickling and diming, playing grab ass for the past few weeks.... it is here that I make my move....Its ride or die homies......The big guy is going ALL-IN here....
NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (game and first half)
Brady dominates in domed games and this will be NO different...No time to fuck around...Its pay day tonight boys and I want my fucking money!!
GOOD LUCK BOYS!!!!
See you no good mother fucking neighbors in that chat tonight.....I expect to see a good showing in there and nobody should be wearing horned hats either!!!!!!
JimmyZeeeee where you at????
posted by thebigmessy
Oct. 30 2006 3:00am -
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Not a perfect day but still went 3-1 which is making units!!
NFL GOY(1-0)
NFL BIG BETS(5-2-1)
NCAAF GOY(0-0)
NCAAF BIG BETS(5-1)
NHL GOY(1-0)
NHL BIG BETS(13-4)(+9.85 units)
NHL BIG BET: TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS ML +105
That is all for tonight, possibly another NHL bet or NFL bet but no promises. I will be back to post something if I have it later but already locked and loaded on Leafs!
posted by moneycanada
Oct. 30 2006 9:13am -
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MC....locked and loaded...thats what im talking about...
I dont see how the pats lose here...unless the fix is in...
posted by cruznbiyou
Oct. 30 2006 9:34am -
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I do not cap the nfl at all however I will put my two cents in here.....
I love Minny this evening.....Here is why;
Everybody and their mother will be on N.E
Games like this are where the books make a killing.
Reminds me of the Indy game yesterday. The books got cleaned..Will not happen two times in a row..........
I am going strong on Minny.....
posted by ultimatecapper
Oct. 30 2006 10:57am -
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UC this is true and the line opened at 3 and is down to 1.....maybe brady is getting a nice check from vegas...hmmmm
posted by cruznbiyou
Oct. 30 2006 11:34am -
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sorry takis but i like the pats also but when it looks too good to be true we are on the wrong side vikes may be the play tonight at home on monday night
nice hit yesterday with colts and cowboys
slim jim plays now 7-1
anyways ill be back later may have another play for tonight
posted by hayastan
Oct. 30 2006 12:12pm -
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NEW ENGLAND (5-1) AT MINNESOTA (4-2)
Trends:
Minnesota has covered five of six this season. ThePatriots have covered four of their six games. ThePatriots have covered 21 of their last 29 road games.The Vikings have covered nine of their last 11 on turf.
The Metrodome is always loud on game day. The din can be deafening and the building has been known to shake, giving the Minnesota Vikings one of the mostintimidating home-field advantages in the league.It's been five years since the Vikings have played at home on Monday night, and there's no doubt thesenotoriously noisy fans will be primed and ready fora long-awaited appearance on the week's biggeststage. If any team can handle it, it's the Patriots. New England has won nine straight games indoors and quarterback Tom Brady has never lost in a dome.
I'm with you Takis, New England -1.
posted by jab38
Oct. 30 2006 12:42pm -
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This game is one big hole covered with leaves in the woods....no one is going to know it is a trap until they fall in...
posted by cruznbiyou
Oct. 30 2006 1:54pm -
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Just some info for tonights game....
PATRIOTS IN DOMES
The Patriots will play in a dome for the first and only time this season when they travel to the Hubert H. Humphrey Metrodome. The Patriots have won nine consecutive dome games dating back to 2001, and Tom Brady is a perfect 9-0 in his career in domes. The Patriots have scored 31 or more points in each of their last four indoor games. New England has not lost a dome game since Thanksgiving Day, 2000 when the Detroit Lions rolled to a 34-9 win at the Pontiac Silverdome. The dome domination includes two of New England's recent Super Bowl victories, at the Louisiana Superdome (SB XXXVI) and at Reliant Stadium in Houston (SB XXXVIII).
TOM ON TURF
This week's Patriots-Vikings game will be played on an artificial surface, a condition under which Tom Brady has been successful throughout his career.
Brady has compiled a career record of 18-1 as a starter in games played on artificial surfaces, including regular season and playoff games.
Brady is 7-0 in games played indoors and on turf.
In his 19 previous starts on artificial surfaces, Brady has thrown 35 touchdowns and just 15 interceptions.
On turf, Brady has completed 64.6 percent of his passes (377- 584), while completing 60.8 percent of his passes on natural grass (1531-2520).
On turf, Brady has compiled a career passer rating of 96.6, compared to a 86.6 career rating on grass.
The Patriots have won each of the last 11 games Brady has started on artificial turf.
Brady has recorded a completion percentage of 70 percent or higher in five of his 18 previous starts on artificial turf.
I really like my chances here with the Pats......
My two wagers for the night:
PATRIOTS -.5 (First Half)
PATRIOTS -125 (Moneyline) GAME
Again, I am ALL-IN here....Biggest night in NFL for me....AND I AM GOING TO WIN HERE......I will lay more on the first half with the possibility of doubling up 2nd half!!!!
NOW, HOLLA AT A PLAYAH WHEN YOU SEE HIM IN THE STREET!!!!!!
GOOD LUCK BOYS!!!!!
posted by thebigmessy
Oct. 30 2006 2:00pm -
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OVER 38.5 is a virtual lock no matter which side you take.
OVER 38.5 10*
Gl All
posted by redrascal
Oct. 30 2006 2:15pm -
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NFL
New England (5-1, 4-2 ATS) at Minnesota (4-2, 5-1 ATS)
Tom Brady and the Patriots carry a three-game SU and ATS winning streak into the Metrodome tonight, where they will battle the surprising Vikings.
New England has won three straight games, all by double digits, since a 17-7 home loss to the Broncos in Week 3. Last Sunday, the Pats destroyed the Bills 28-6 as a 5½-point road chalk, with Brady going 18-for-27 for 195 yards with two touchdown passes. It was the third consecutive game that Brady had a pair of scoring tosses.
Minnesota traveled to Seattle last week and ended the Seahawks’ 12-game home winning streak with a surprisingly easy 31-13 upset victory as a seven-point road underdog, Running back Chester Taylor rushed 26 times for a career-high 169 yards, including a 95-yard TD scamper that tied a Vikings record.
Minnesota is getting it done with defense this year, as Brad Childress’ team is allowing only 15.8 points and 277.8 yards per game, figures that rank sixth and seventh in the league, respectively. The defense also leads the NFL in rushing yards allowed (71 per game), and no opponent has scored more than 19 points. Finally, the defense has been very opportunistic, scoring four TDs in the last four games.
The Vikings’ offense, which puts up 20 points and 326 yards per contest, sprung to life last week at Seattle, producing three touchdowns. Prior to that, Minnesota had scored only five offensive TDs all year. Veteran QB Brad Johnson has been efficient, if not spectacular, as he’s completing 63 percent of his throws for 216.5 ypg with four TDs and four INTs. Meanwhile, Taylor entered the week as the NFL’s second-leading rusher with 590 yards.
Like Minnesota, New England has been prospering on defense. The Pats are fourth in the league in scoring defense (13.3 ppg), 10th in total defense (299.2 ypg) and sixth in rushing defense (84 ypg).
Brady is completing just 56 percent of his passes for only 204 ypg, but he’s thrown 10 TDs compared with just three INTs. He leads a New England offense that’s producing nearly 23 points and 325 yards per game. With the one-two running-back punch of rookie Laurence Maroney (361 yards, 3 TDs) and veteran Corey Dillon (328 yards, 4 TDs), the Patriots rank sixth in the league in rushing (131.5 ypg).
The Patriots are on ATS runs of 17-6 on the road and 12-3 as a road favorite. Bill Belichick’s team is also 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 road games against NFC opponents.
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS as an underdog this year and has won and covered eight straight games as a home pup. Also, the team is 6-1 SU and ATS hosting AFC foes.
Underdogs and home teams are both 5-3 ATS on Monday nights this season.
The Vikings’ top three receivers – Marcus Robinson, Travis Taylor and Troy Williamson – are all nursing various injuries, and their status for tonight’s game is unknown.
The over is 19-7 in New England’s last 26 road games, including 2-1 this year. However, the Vikings are on a 9-3-1 “underâ€
posted by redrascal
Oct. 30 2006 2:34pm -
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OVER 38.5 GL ALL
posted by bozoclown1
Oct. 30 2006 3:17pm -
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MINNESOTA +1.5
posted by jdelt88
Oct. 30 2006 3:31pm -
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I did not count them but Phantom made some nice posts and after a quick glance it looks as though a majority of the serivces are on Minny tonight.....You can re-check and count to be sure, but it seems they are on Minny and I hope they are on Minny.....
PATS BABY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
posted by thebigmessy
Oct. 30 2006 4:14pm -
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If anyone wants clarification on who to play tonite...go to lockoftheday.com...and fade this pick...they are god awful
posted by cruznbiyou
Oct. 30 2006 4:23pm -
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MNF TIME
------------
Here is my shortened take:
-We all know how much everything favours pats, 18-1, 7-0 etc...
-Next weeks lines Pats -1 against Colts = Pats play great tonight and Minny only -5/-6 against Niners = Minny stinks tonight...
-Pats average 31 pts/game indoors which means it should go over because Minny is good for 10...
-How in the hell can it be this easy with everyone taking Pats and Over? but at the same time I think it is tough to see Vikings actually winning this sucker so I am on...........
NFL BIG BET: NE/MINNESOTA UNDER 40
GL!
posted by moneycanada
Oct. 30 2006 4:31pm -
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MNF Play...
Tonight I'm jumping on the under in MNF. Both these teams are run first teams that like to shorten and grind out games... Both teams have defenses allowing under 13 Ppg on average. The stat that I really like for this under is the fact that both teams are +2 and +3 respectively in TO margin... If a team can manage to protect te ball, like these teams do, then they won't be giving the ball up and allowing short fields for opponents; and the way I see it they won't be allowing quick scores...
My play
NE/Minn under 40 (line avail at pinnacle)
GLTA
NFL (5-1) +3.9 units 83%
NCAA (2-3) -1.3 units 40%
Total (7-4) +2.6 units 64%
posted by slam
Oct. 30 2006 4:42pm -
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BP.com/BPonICE
Chicago / Philadelphia OVER 6
BPonICE 14-2-1 YTD
posted by dab2dap
Oct. 30 2006 5:30pm -
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SEEMS like the public is on NE, BUT the services are on MINNY....
OH my.....someone's gonna get it in the shorts tonite......
posted by phantom
Oct. 30 2006 5:45pm -
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Doggie dawg night!
NHL
TORONTO (+100)
WASHINGTON (+180)
LOS ANGELES (+125)
NFL
MINNESOTA +1.5
Lets roll!!! only logic im using on nfl game is that NE -1.5 looks way too easy!
posted by moneybags82
Oct. 30 2006 5:47pm -
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Im taking the over on this one fellas, I been burned all year betting againts the purple people eaters, the over 40 looks likecash money to me baby. Over 40!!!
posted by oompaloompa
Oct. 30 2006 5:55pm -
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slim jim #9 and #10
rangers/kings over 6
pats/vikes over 40
gl
posted by hayastan
Oct. 30 2006 6:08pm -
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slim jim plays are 7-1 overall
posted by hayastan
Oct. 30 2006 6:09pm -
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BEAR TRAP GAME OF THE YEAR
MINNNY +2
SEE THE TRAP AND WALK AROUND IT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
posted by cruznbiyou
Oct. 30 2006 6:38pm -
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Minny +3 (at Pinny after buying)
U 40...
GL!
posted by thenooch
Oct. 30 2006 7:35pm -
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NFL MNF FADE ME & WIN GAME OF THE CENTURY:
NE -1.5
posted by nflwinnings
Oct. 30 2006 7:47pm -
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im loving the OVER 40 tonight and riding on NE also.
good luck fellas
posted by deewlay
Oct. 30 2006 7:55pm -
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BPONICE i'm a huge fan of your plays but just having seen Chicago those fucks would not score in a brothel it was a big ask to expect the Flyers to score 7 although i think they should have scored more than 3
anyway best of luck tomorrow with your plays
Champions League back tomorrow Soccerfans and i have a play for the good old NBA
FILM ME AND FINISH ME OFF
posted by aquaharry
Oct. 30 2006 9:47pm -
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thanks aqua... I expected a more scoring affair (more so due to weak goal tending) ... but did not turn out that way ... 3-0 ... We will get em back tomorrow.. thanks for your input brother!!!!!
posted by dab2dap
Oct. 30 2006 10:17pm
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