College Football Week 8

HERE THEY COME

posted by phantom

Oct. 16 2006 8:13pm

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October 19-23, 2006

Confidential Kick-Off!! The Gold Sheet!!

11 *SEATTLE over Minnesota

Late Score Forecast:

*SEATTLE 28 - Minnesota 9

(Sunday, October 22)

Have much praise for the job new HC Brad Childress has done so far with

Minnesota, and veteran QB Brad Johnson (now 38!) is a heady leader. But

Viking offense has not reached the 20-point mark on its own TY, and too often

the attack is forced to dink, dink, dink away, with few defense-busting

plays. That's not a good formula in Seattle, where the Seahawks are 10-2

their last 12 when favored and where points often come in bunches. MVP Shaun

Alexander (check foot injury) is expected back for this one, and former

Patriot WR Deion Branch contributed 6 recs. and 2 TDs in last week's win at

St. Louis. Hawks' quick defense collected 6 sacks last in the Rams game, and

that unit feeds off the rabid Seattle crowd, which gets louder with every

positive play.

10 WEST VIRGINIA over *Connecticut

Late Score Forecast:

WEST VIRGINIA 45 - *Connecticut 10

(Friday night, October 20)

Expect an extremely focused effort from West Virginia this week after the

undefeated Mounties were snubbed and ranked behind 6-1 Auburn in the BCS

standings. WV is 6-0 with an average winning margin of 29 points. The

Mounties own the nation's top rushing offense (No. 3 scoring at 42 ppg)

thanks to QB Patrick White and RB Steve Slaton, who combined for 410 rushing

yards in their last game against Syracuse. UConn's "D" ranks 105th against

the run. Poll-conscious WV HC Rich Rodriguez figures to show little mercy

against undermanned Huskies this week. Connecticut, which has lost a pair of

starting offensive linemen, has scored just 16 ppg since opening with 52 pts.

against Rhode Island. UConn's switch to sr. Bonislawski at QB hasn't worked

out as HC Randy Edsall would've hoped (46%, 172 ypg passing).

10 UTEP over *Houston

Late Score Forecast:

UTEP 36 - *Houston 30

CUSA scouts beating a path to bookmaker early this week, eager to take points

with potent UTEP side that is fully capable of SU win at struggling Houston.

Cougars are filled with self-doubt after 3 losses in a row. Even prolific

sr. QB Kevin Kolb unable to generate enough offense to offset what shaky UH

defense has been giving up lately. And speedy Miners ready, willing & able

to heap more abuse on Coug stop unit. Confident sr. QB Jordan Palmer has 76

career TDP. Blazing sr. WR Johnnie Lee Higgins has 6 TDs last 3 weeks,

including long punt return scores in each of last 2 games. And HC Mike Price

decided not to redshirt touted true frosh RB Donald Buckram in an effort to

give attack even more home-run capability. With ball-hawking jr. CB Quintin

Demps (5 ints.) patrolling 2ndary, UTEP defense gets more stops than

Houston's in anticipated shootout.

10 *ARKANSAS STATE over North Texas

Late Score Forecast:

*ARKANSAS STATE 31 - North Texas 10

Sun Belt scouts give ASU the "buy sign" now that young, maturing offensive

playmakers put it all together in uplifting 26-23 upset at rival Memphis week

ago. The game has "slowed down" for Indians 6-1 RS frosh QB Leonard (219 YP

& 2 TDP vs. Tigers), who has the luxury of 2 quality RBs, with elusive 5-6 RS

frosh Wilkerson (116 YR last week) and 5-9, 217 Arnold (522 YR, 5 ypc), plus

a quality corps of WRs. That's bad news for a vulnerable North Texas defense

(30 ppg, only 5 ints.) that's been equally charitable vs. run (12 TDs) & pass

(11 TDs) in '06. Meanwhile, expect the aggressive, veteran ASU stop unit

(just 6 ppg in Sun Belt, 11 ints. overall) to smother a containable Mean

Green attack (meager 12 ppg) that still suffers from inadequate QB play (only

105 ypg passing, 3 TDs, 9 ints.). Defending Sun Belt champs, who are

currently tied for 1st, eager to keep the upper hand over declining NT

aggregate that had dropped 5 straight in league until 7-OT win vs. FIU.

10 *PURDUE over Wisconsin

Late Score Forecast:

*PURDUE 34 - Wisconsin 30

There's no question that the 6-1 Badgers are rolling. But, except for their

27-13 loss at Michigan, this is road contest at Purdue is Wisconsin's

toughest challenge so far. The Boilermakers' offense is progressing rapidly

TY, as mobile 6-4, 228 jr. QB Painter (13 TDP) becoming more assertive

virtually every game. And he has an excellent array of skill performers to

test the Badger defense, including RBs Sheets & J. Taylor, plus 5-10 jr. WR

Bryant, 6-4 soph WR G. Orton, and 6-4 sr. TE Dustin Keller, one of the best

in the country. 6-4 soph WR sensation Selwyn Lymon (8 for 238 at Notre Dame)

returns after missing last week's 31-10 win at Northwestern with a minor eye

injury. After three straight laughers, UW ripe for an upset from 5-2 Purdue

team determined to get back in the bowl picture TY.

TOTALS: UNDER in Pittsburgh-Atlanta game-Falcs have allowed only 6 total TDs

in 6 games; Steelers "under" 11 of last 14 away. OVER in Detroit-N.Y. Jets

game-Lion WR Roy Williams (10 for 161 receiving last week) becoming a major

force; some way, somehow, Jets have gone over 10 straight!

HONORABLE MENTION (Nine-Rated Games): COLORADO STATE (+4) at Wyoming-Wyo

improving, but experience at QB, fine WRs the key edges for CSU. NEVADA

(-13.5) vs. San Jose State-Nevada rules its home field (8-0 as home favorite

under HC Ault since his return); respect for Spartans' improvement keeps this

one from being rated higher. AIR FORCE (-14) at San Diego State-Winless

Aztecs appear to have a good young QB in RS frosh Craft, but depleted

two-deep not up to matching scores with Air Force' precision. HAWAII (-20.5)

at New Mexico State-UH eased up in its 68-37 victory at Fresno, which has

many more good defenders than N.M. State. WASHINGTON (+9.5) at

Indianapolis-Injuries, especially on defense, keeping Indy (only 4 covers

last 12 at home) from pulling away from many foes.

posted by phantom

Oct. 16 2006 8:13pm
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Wednesday, October 18th

(TC) Louisiana Lafayette at Florida Atlantic, 7:30 EST ESPN2

LA Lafayette: 6-0 Over on grass fields

Florida Atl: 0-7 ATS in home games

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

Thursday, October 19th

Bowling Green at Central Michigan, 7:30 EST ESPNU

Bowling Green: 6-1 Under in October

Central Michigan: 6-0 ATS in October

North Carolina at Virginia, 7:30 EST ESPN

North Carolina: 8-2 Under off 3+ losses

Virginia: 7-0 ATS at home vs. North Carolina

Utah at New Mexico, 9:00 EST

Utah: 13-3 Over off a conference loss

New Mexico: 26-12 ATS off ATS losses in 2 of their last 3 games

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

Friday, October 20th

West Virginia at Connecticut, 8:00 EST ESPN

West Virginia: 6-0 ATS off a conference win

Connecticut: 10-2 Under off a straight up win

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

Saturday, October 21st

(TC) Rutgers at Pittsburgh, 5:45 EST ESPN2

Rutgers: 8-3 Over vs. conference opponents

Pittsburgh: 7-0 ATS at home vs. conference opponents

Illinois at Penn State, 12:00 EST ESPN2

Illinois: 11-27 ATS off an Under

Penn State: 6-1 Under off a loss

Michigan State at Northwestern, 12:00 EST

Michigan State: 2-12 ATS away off a home conference loss

Northwestern: 6-1 Under off 3+ losses

Louisville at Syracuse, 12:00 EST

Louisville: 7-0 Over away in October

Syracuse: 8-1 ATS at home off an ATS win

Indiana at Ohio State, 12:00 EST ESPNU

Indiana: 10-2 Over as an underdog

Ohio State: 10-1 ATS off an Under

NC State at Maryland, 12:00 EST

NC State: 12-4 Under in road games

Maryland: 1-9 ATS as a home favorite

(TC) TCU at Army, 3:30 EST ESPNU

TCU: 0-4 ATS as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points

Army: 6-1 Under after committing 4+ turnovers

(TC) Southern Miss at Virginia Tech, 7:00 EST ESPNU

Southern Miss: 4-15 ATS off a conference win by 7 points or less

Virginia Tech: 13-4 ATS after scoring 14 points or less

Buffalo at Ohio U, 2:00 EST

Buffalo: 6-1 ATS off BB games gaining 125 or less rushing yards

Ohio U: 6-0 Under after forcing 3+ turnovers

Western Michigan at Ball State, 2:00 EST

Western Michigan: 0-7 ATS as a road favorite of 3.5 to 7 points

Ball State: 10-1 ATS at home after losing 2 of their last 3 games

(TC) Mississippi at Arkansas, 12:30 EST

Mississippi: 0-6 ATS off an Over

Arkansas: 11-2 ATS off a combined score of 70+ points

UCLA at Notre Dame, 2:30 EST NBC

UCLA: 9-1 ATS off a road game

Notre Dame: 9-25 ATS after winning 4 of their last 5 games

Tulane at Auburn, 2:30 EST

Tulane: 7-0 Over away vs. non-conference opponnets

Auburn: 10-1 ATS in October

South Carolina at Vanderbilt, 3:00 EST

South Carolina: 8-2 Under in road games

Vanderbilt: 13-1 ATS off a win by 6 points or less

UNLV at BYU, 3:00 EST

UNLV: 6-15 ATS off a loss

BYU: 6-0 Over off a home win

Kansas at Baylor, 3:00 EST

Kansas: 8-23 ATS off a home conference loss

Baylor: 1-6 ATS off BB games scoring 31+ points

Temple at Northern Illinois, 3:00 EST

Temple: 3-13 ATS vs. MAC opponents

Northern Illinois: 20-8 ATS at home off a road game

SMU at East Carolina, 3:00 EST

SMU: 13-4 Under as an underdog

East Carolina: 13-4 ATS last 17 games

Iowa at Michigan, 3:30 EST ABC

Iowa: 27-13 ATS off an Over

Michigan: 5-1 Under as a favorite

(TC) Miami FL at Duke, 1:00 EST

Miami FL: 12-3 Under off BB home wins

Duke: 0-7 ATS in home games

(TC) Texas at Nebraska, 12:00 EST ABC

Texas: 10-0 Over off a conference game

Nebraska: 23-9 ATS off a road win by 10+ points

(TC) Wisconsin at Purdue, 12:00 EST ESPN

Wisconsin: 15-6 ATS as a favorite

Purdue: 2-10 ATS in October

(TC) Mississippi State at Georgia, 1:00 EST

Mississippi State: 1-8 ATS off a home game

Georgia: 10-0 ATS off BB conference losses

Alabama at Tennessee, 3:30 EST CBS

Alabama: 16-6 ATS away off BB ATS losses

Tennessee: 1-8 ATS at home vs. conference opponents

Washington at California, 3:30 EST FSN

Washington: 1-8 ATS at home after losing 2 of their last 3 games

California: 6-1 ATS off BB ATS wins

Colorado State at Wyoming, 4:00 EST CSTV

Colorado State: 9-1 Over off BB Unders

Wyoming: 14-3 ATS off an ATS win

Rice at Central Florida, 4:00 EST

Rice: 1-8 ATS away vs. conference opponents

Central Florida: 10-2 Under off a non-conference game

(TC) Toledo at Eastern Michigan, 3:00 EST

Toledo: 4-0 Over playing on artificial turf

Eastern Michigan: 5-1 ATS off BB road games

Miami OH at Akron, 6:00 EST

Miami OH: 8-2 ATS off a SU road win / ATS loss

Akron: 6-1 Under off a road loss

(TC) Stanford at Arizona State, 3:30 EST

Stanford: 1-6 ATS off a straight up loss

Arizona State: 6-0 ATS off a SU road loss / ATS win

San Jose State at Nevada, 7:00 EST ABC

San Jose State: 8-1 Under away vs. conference opponents

Nevada: 8-0 ATS as a home favorite

Oregon State at Arizona, 7:00 EST

Oregon State: 8-2 Under after losing 2 of their last 3 games

Arizona: 12-30 ATS at home off a win

UTEP at Houston, 7:00 EST

UTEP: 10-2 ATS after forcing 3+ turnovers

Houston: 5-17 ATS at home off BB ATS losses

Utah State at Louisiana Tech, 7:00 EST

Utah State: 2-10 ATS away off BB ATS wins

Louisiana Tech: 5-1 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points

(TC) Fresno State at LSU, 9:00 EST ESPN2

Fresno State: 11-2 ATS off BB conference games

LSU: 6-21 ATS at home off 3+ conference games

(TC) Texas Tech at Iowa State, 3:30 EST

Texas Tech: 20-6 ATS off a conference loss by 10+ points

Iowa State: 1-14 ATS off BB games gaining 100 or less rushing yards

Texas A&M at Oklahoma State, 7:00 EST

Texas A&M: 5-19 ATS as a road underdog

Oklahoma State: 8-2 Over with a line of +3 to -3

(TC) Kansas State at Missouri, 2:00 EST

Kansas State: 15-5 Over off a conference loss

Missouri: 10-2 ATS at home off an Under

Colorado at Oklahoma, 7:00 EST FSN

Colorado: 20-7 Over off a win by 21+ points

Oklahoma: 19-35 ATS off a win by 21+ points

Marshall at UAB, 7:00 EST

Marshall: 0-7 ATS off a conference loss

UAB: 6-1 Over in October

(TC) Georgia Tech at Clemson, 7:45 EST ESPN

Georgia Tech: 16-6 Under in October

Clemson: 6-0 ATS after allowing 125 or less passing yards

(TC) Boston College at Florida State, 3:30 EST ABC

Boston College: 7-1 ATS off a win by 10+ points as an underdog

Florida State: 1-8 ATS off BB conference games

Hawaii at New Mexico State, 8:00 EST

Hawaii: 11-3 Over vs. conference opponents

New Mexico State: 0-7 ATS off a home loss

Tulsa at Memphis, 8:00 EST CSTV

Tulsa: 8-0 ATS off an Under

Memphis: 6-1 Over after committing 0 turnovers

Air Force at San Diego State, 8:00 EST

Air Force: 21-8 ATS away off a home win

San Diego State: 7-0 Over as a home underdog of 7.5 to 14 points

(TC) Boise State at Idaho, 5:00 EST

Boise State: 39-19 ATS vs. conference opponents

Idaho: 2-8 ATS off a conference win by 10+ points

(TC) Oregon at Washington State, 5:00 EST

Oregon: 6-0 ATS off an ATS loss

Washington State: 3-19 ATS off ATS wins in 4 or 5 of their last 6 games

Added Games:

North Texas at Arkansas State, 7:00 EST

North Texas: 22-10 ATS off a conference win

Arkansas State: 0-7 ATS off a win by 3 points or less

Middle Tennessee State at Lousiana Monroe, 7:00 EST

Mid Tenn State: 8-1 Under away off a loss

LA Monroe: 5-1 ATS off 3+ losses

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

Sunday, October 22nd

South Florida at Cincinnati, 8:00 EST ESPN

South Florida: 6-0 ATS off an Over

Cincinnati: 14-4 Under as a favorite

posted by phantom

Oct. 17 2006 5:45pm
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Marc Lawrence

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Wednesday, October 18th

LA Lafayette over FLA ATLANTIC by 6

We're not sure what prompted the folks at ESPN to isolate this

game as one of their weekday telecasts and we'll probably end

up watching something else (like Twenty Good Years). Lafayette

is a terrible favorite with three covers in its last 15 chances against

conference foes but the FAU Owls have failed to cover any of their

last six home games. Florida Atlantic, however, is a SMART BOX

play and we'll sheepishly oblige.

Thursday, October 19th

C MICHIGAN over Bowling Green by 7

Three weeks ago, CMU was licking its chops thinking about going

against a fl oundering Bowling Green team. Five straight losses to

the BeeGees, including a 24-point demolition on their home fi eld,

were scheduled to be erased from the Chippewa memory banks.

But Bowling Green is not the same team it was three weeks past

and the Chips will have their hands full today. CMU's 12-4-1 ATS

mark in its last 17 games keeps us from Bowling.

VIRGINIA over N Carolina by 10

Here are two teams that need wins in the worst way. Carolina's

offense is averaging eight ppg in league play this year (the Heels

allow 38 ppg) while going 0-3 SU and ATS. And the Heels haven't

had much luck in Charlottesville. In their last dozen trips here, the

Black Feet are 0-12 SU with only two covers to ease their pain.

With Virginia at 11-1 ATS in its last 12 home games with revenge,

we might take a Cavalier approach to this one.

Utah over NEW MEXICO by 8

Utah's offense is a shadow of its former self while New Mexico's

has disappeared completely. This rivalry, and it is a rivalry, has

been dead even over the last 14 years with both teams taking

seven wins and covers. The only edge we see either way is the

fact that winning road favorites, playing off a SU road favorite

loss, are 32-11 ATS before Game Nine of the season. Ute can fi gure

that one out.

Friday, October 20th

W Virginia over CONNECTICUT by 20

With West Virginia at 12-3 SU and 13-2 ATS in its last 15 conference

road games, we'll quietly ignore Connecticut's 4-0 ATS mark in its

last four Big East home games. UConn is averaging just 15 ppg

against lined opposition this year while the Hillbillies are rolling

along at over 40 ppg on the season. West Virginia hasn't recovered

very well from Syracuse games (3-14 ATS last 17) but we aren't

likely to step in front of the Mounties here. One thing is for sure:

Both clubs can rush the ball effectively (WVU 6.9 OYPR, UConn

5.1 OYPR).

Saturday, October 21st

PITTSBURGH over Rutgers by 6

We thought the Panthers might run into some trouble in Orlando

last Friday but they came out early and hard to bury an outmanned

Central Florida team. Rutgers isn't outmanned, sailing along at

6-0 on the year. Pittsburgh's only distinct advantage on the fi eld

is at the QB position with Tyler Palko. The numbers department

is a different story. After Navy last week, Rutgers is 1-13 ATS as an

underdog of +2 or more against avenging opponents. Pittsburgh

is 14-0 ATS in their last 14 victories and 11-3 ATS at home off BB

road games. Whew!

PENN ST over Illinois by 25

How can Penn State have anything left in its emotion bag after

winning in overtime at Minnesota two weeks ago and battling

Michigan at home last week on national TV? It probably doesn't,

but the league has proven that you don't have to be at an

emotional peak to beat Illinois. Sure, the Illini would love to exact

revenge for that 63-10 humiliation at the hands of the Nits last

season, but this is a team that blew an 18-point lead to Indiana.

They are also 2-25 SU in their last 27 Big 10 tilts while Jo Pa is 13-

1 ATS in his last 14 SU conference wins when playing off a loss.

Check QB Morelli's status before plunging.

Michigan St over NORTHWESTERN by 4

We remember last year's meeting between these two and we're

sure that Michigan State does. Recall that the Spartans laid 14 at

home to Northwestern, took an early 7-0 lead, then proceeded

to lost the rest of the game 49-7. We don't think the Wildcats will

hit 49 this month but, after the grueling three weeks the Spartans

have had, we're not real excited about laying points with them

here. Curious stat of the week: Northwestern is 13-0 ATS the week

before playing Michigan.

Louisville over SYRACUSE by 17

Louisville is an amazing team. The Cardinals lost TWO Heisman

trophy candidates earlier this season and have nary skipped a

beat. They are rolling along averaging 43.6 ppg on the road

while fashioning a perfect 6-0 record. Still, Syracuse is better

than the team that lost by 24 in Louisville last season and the

Orange are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 home games. Here's another

curious stat in light of Louie's awesome road production:

Syracuse is 4-1 ATS at home when it allows 30 or more points.

We're not particularly fond of undefeated road teams at this

stage of the season, especially going into conference revenge.

Be careful here.

OHIO ST over Indiana by 31

The biggest concern to Ohio State fans in this game is TV coverage.

When ESPN assigned this to the little-used ESPNU, Columbus

erupted with a fervor generally reserved for Michigan games. The

Buckeyes themselves will probably not take this game seriously

either. Why should they? Indiana has one win in its last 18

conference road games and is averaging less than one cover per

year on the league road. And they are off that monster upset win

over Iowa last week. Not interested in disinterested chalk, even

ones that are 112-26-3 ATS when scoring 28 or more since 1982!

NC State over MARYLAND by 3

This has been an underdog series to say the least. The puppy has

grabbed the bone 16 times in the last 21 meetings with one push.

NC State is, as you already know, the antithesis of the home fi eld

advantage theory. The Pack is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 as ACC home

favorites but 10-1 ATS as an ACC road dog and 13-2 ATS as any

kind of road dog under Chuck Amato (0-2 ATS last two). Maryland

is 1-9 ATS in its last ten chances as a home favorite. No instruction

sheet needed. You know what to do here.

Tcu over ARMY by 13

You would think that a program as good as TCU's would be a terror

off back-to-back losses, especially with an extra week to prepare

as the Frogs have here. Not so. TCU is a lowly 2-10 ATS as favorites

off back-to-back losses and just 2-8 ATS on the road after a week

off. Army has covered the last four in the series despite losing all

four of the games on the fi eld. Still, with the Cadets at 4-11 ATS

in their last 15 as home dogs, we'll probably stay away from this

Frog and Pony (Okay, Mule) show.

VIRGINIA TECH over S Mississippi by 20

Here's another top-notch program off BB losses with one huge

difference. Virginia Tech is 16-5-1 ATS off a BB losses, including 10-0

ATS Game Eight or earlier and 8-2 ATS at home in that role. The

last time the Hokies were in this situation was in 2002 accentuating

the success of VPI football. Tech is also 14-3 ATS in its last 17 nonconference

games and 5-1 ATS home off a previous home loss,

not to mention 33-7 ATS in SU wins off a loss. Southern Miss, in

off a conference revenger against Houston last week, is 0-5 ATS

in its last fi ve road games. You can't Miss this.

OHIO over Buffalo by 13

We don't remember a game being called because of snow before

October 15th but that's the reason Buffalo has one less day to

prepare today. Not that it should matter all that much. Buffi e

has just four wins in its last 38 games and is 0-26 SU on the road

against .125 or better league teams with the average margin of

defeat standing at 29 points. Fortunately for the Bulls, Ohio is a

dismal 7-12 ATS in its last 19 MAC games. As Republican House

Leader Bill Frist said to quizzical senators when he slipped the

Internet Gambling Bill onto the backend of the recently passed

Port Authority Bill: don't even think about it.

W Michigan over BALL ST by 7

With the nation's best passer rating (195.2), QB Nate Davis leads

the Ball State Cardinals against a wavering Western Michigan club.

The Gonads have covered four of the last fi ve including last year's

60-57 track meet in Kalamazoo. We realize, however, that backing

the nation's worst defense against college football's 10th best stop

troops (over 200 yards the better defense) would make us look

ridiculous. We're not into ridiculous. Lay it if you play it.

ARKANSAS over Mississippi by 21

The SEC West division leader took a week off (played SE Missouri

State last week) to prepare for the Mississippi offensive juggernaut.

Mississippi has won one game in the stats this year against

Kentucky's 118th-ranked defense. Arkansas is 15-2 ATS at home

against avenging opponents in its last 17 tries. They also own a

vaunted rush machine (235 RYPG on 6.1 YPR), the likes of which

makes Ole Miss shudder in its Cotton Kepi's Ã¢â‚¬â€œ considering the

Rebs are 18-50 ATS in conference play when they surrender 200 or

more yards on the ground. Don't Miss this one, either.

NOTRE DAME over Ucla by 8

Tom Scott tells us that, for the last two weeks, the media and

the folks surrounding the football team have constructed a

zillion scenarios that would put Notre Dame in the national title

game should the Irish beat Southern Cal. Southern Cal? What

about UCLA?? Overconfidence kills more favorites than any

other weapon on the planet. Remember, the Irish are on a 1-8-1

ATS run and they are 0-8 ATS as home chalk against a winning

team off a loss. Bruins defense (96 YPG superior) makes them a

dangerous dog.

AUBURN over Tulane by 29

With Tulane posting a 1-13 ATS mark in its last 14 SU losses and

Auburn standing at 8-0 ATS in its last eight tries as home favorites

of -12 or more, there is really no reason to analyze this one any

further. Except that, after losing to Arkansas and playing for its SEC

life against Florida in back-to-back weeks, Aubbie can't be terribly

excited about this Ã¢â‚¬â€œ and you know how we feel about disinterested

favorites, especially those of this size! Wave bye-bye.

5* BEST BET

S Carolina over VANDERBILT by 15

South Carolina went back to Syvelle Newton when Auburn

came to town and almost upset the Tigers in Columbia. The

next week, with Newton still calling signals, the Gamecocks

won and covered against Kentucky in Lexington. Now, with

a week off, Carolina gets a chance to pad its record against a

feisty but undermanned Vanderbilt team. A bit fat, too, might

we add as the Commies check in off their fi rst win against a

ranked opponent (Georgia) in eons. It was only the 4th win

in 43 games against the Bulldogs, a landmark victory to say

the least. It all sets up a role in which Steve Spurrier has yet to

fail, namely his 10-0 SU & 8-2 ATS mark when playing with rest

against a sub .666 conference foe (5-0 SUATS away). The Cocks'

22-2 ATS mark in conference road victories serves as the icing

on the cake. It was dandy, but the party's over for Vandy.

BYU over Unlv by 34

The experts are trying to decide how the nation's best non-BCS

team, Boise State, can get into the ten team party. There are ways

but there is a fl aw in their logic. Boise State isn't the best non-BCS

team. BYU is. The Cougars are 4-2 this year, winning the stats in

both of those road losses and are a half-point away from a perfect

6-0 ATS record. Unlv can't win this game. We mention that because

BYU is 18-0 ATS in its last 18 SU wins.

BAYLOR over Kansas by 3

Kansas makes conference home games a distinct priority and, when

they play them back-to-back, the Jayhawks sometimes run out of

gas if they're on the road the following week. That empty tank has

resulted in 11 pointspread losses in their last 13 times in that role.

Conversely, Baylor is 1-7 ATS at home off BB road games and just

2-5 ATS in its last seven home games overall. These are two teams

that regularly fail in the roles in which they've been cast.

N ILLINOIS over Temple by 36

The only question we have in this game concerns Garrett Wolfe's

rushing yardage. NIU is 38-11-1 ATS in its last 50 wins and, given

that Temple has lost 18 consecutive road games, we like NIU's

chances for a SU win. After three tough league road games,

Northern is happy to be home and eager to reunite with its fans.

Against the nation's fourth-worst rush defense and with the

nation's rushing leader off a dismal effort last week, this should

be a fun reunion for the Huskies.

E CAROLINA over Smu by 7

Last week's effort aside, East Carolina has quietly become one of

football's best pointspread teams. The Pirates had covered seven in

a row before losing to Tulsa last week and have made themselves

into a serious contender for C-USA honors. In their fi fth straight

home game, the Pirates fi gure to be relaxed and composed

enough to get this win. ECU is 32-5 ATS in its last 37 SU wins but

SMU is 8-2 ATS in its last ten league games. Pass for now.

3* BEST BET

MICHIGAN over Iowa by 3

If anything is to be learned from Iowa's lackluster effort at

Indiana last week, it's that the Hawkeyes can't beat anybody if

they're not concentrating on what they're doing as they were

obviously looking ahead to this game. They'll be concentrating

today. Iowa is a strong 7-1-1 ATS against Michigan annually

saving its best for the Wolverines. Iowa is also 6-1 ATS in the

second of BB road games, 9-2 ATS taking doubles and 25-10

ATS in its last 35 Big Ten games. Big Blue is 1-6 ATS in the fi rst

of back-to-back homers. Last week's battle in Happy Valley

might take something out of UM. Nonetheless, our Awesome

Angle (see page 2) cements it. Iowa bags the cash for the 5th

straight time in Ann Arbor today.

Miami FL over DUKE by 27

Miami took the Dukies out behind the cabana last year and

whipped them 52-7 in the Orange Bowl, the stadium Ã¢â‚¬â€œ not the

event. Expect a similar result here after Duke was beaten from

pillar to post by Florida State last week while Miami was lolling

around the beach with neighboring Florida International. We

both know that Miami's third team could beat Duke but covering

this spread might be diffi cult for a team that hasn't done it yet

this season. Still, the Canes are 44-14 ATS in SU road wins when

their win percentage is less than .875. That's important to know

considering brawling Miami is 150-0 SU in games in which they

manage to score 30 or more points!

4* BEST BET

NEBRASKA over Texas by 7

Folks up in Lincoln are calling this a preview of the Big 12

championship game. Obviously, the local paper doesn't cover

teams from Missouri in their football pages. Call it whatever

you want, Nebraska better bring everything in their arsenal to

this game. Texas has improved since getting whipped at home

by Ohio State and QB Colt McCoy is beginning to show why

he was so highly recruited. Nonetheless, the Longhorns are

defending National Champs in a very undesirable role here

today (see Marc's MR. BIG STUFF article on page 2 for more).

Shucks, we're all over the Cornhuskers here today!

PURDUE over Wisconsin by 1

Wisconsin wanted to make a statement against Minnesota. The

Badgers really dislike being part of the "Little Nine" and they

showed why they merit more respect than that. Now, the shoe

is on the other paw. It's another member of the Little Nine that

needs to make its mark and Wisconsin is the chalkboard. Despite

the obvious defensive disadvantage, Purdue has a chance here,

at 25-11 ATS at home off a win and 9-3 ATS as home puppies with

revenge against a foe off a win. With double revenge, we just

might have a Boilermaker with our dinner this afternoon.

GEORGIA over Mississippi St by 20

Georgia just can't seem to put a complete game together. When

the defense does its job, the offense doesn't show up and when

the Bulldogs put a bunch on the board, the defense gives up a few

more. Consequently, the Dawgs aren't making much money for

their backers. Against this team, they have a chance to recoup some

losses. Mississippi State is 1-26 SU and 9-18 ATS in its last 27 SEC

road games. In this Dawg battle, take red-faced UGA or pass.

UPSET GAME OF THE WEEK

Alabama over TENNESSEE by 1

Here comes Alabama in its favorite role, an underdog with no

perceived chance to win the game. Certainly, if this turns into

a scoring contest, Tennessee will win. Bama knows it can't let

that happen. There is no home fi eld advantage in this series

with the visitor cashing 13 tickets in the last 14 meetings and

Tennessee has been know for its home failures in big games

under head coach Phil Fulmer (see this week's TRIVIA TEASER

on page 2). Alabama is 24-7-2 as an underdog vs a more than

.800 foe off a win. Double-digit dogs with better defenses

always command our attention. Again.

CALIFORNIA over Washington by 28

While everyone is christening USC as the Pac Ten's BCS

representative, California is waiting in the weeds for the Trojans.

For that game to matter, however, the Bears must get by the

drastically improved Huskies. Cal has been winning easily (by an

average of 26 points prior to Wazzu) in the Pac Ten this year and

will need another easy win to get the money today. That shouldn't

be a problem as they've downed the Huskies by an average win

margin of 39 PPG the last three meetings. Washington is just 6-42-1

ATS in its last 49 PAC Ten losses. This is loss number 50.

WYOMING over Colorado St by 3

Colorado State fans were horrifi ed when the Rams blew that

game to Air Force. CSU had an 18-point lead at the half but was

powerless to stop the Pilots in the second half and unable to

generate a single point against the resilient Air Force defense.

Wyoming's defense is better and Colorado State is defl ated. In this

annual war between two neighboring schools, sometimes your

defense and the other team's lack of oxygen is enough.

C FLORIDA over Rice by 1

Talk about defl ated. Central Florida had high hopes for making

a mark on the national scoreboard when Pittsburgh rolled into

Disney World last Friday. Those hopes lasted less than 80 seconds.

That's how long it took for Pitt to take a 14-0 lead. UCF shouldn't

get their hopes up here either. The Golden Knights are 1-7 ATS

against their last eight avenging opponents and 5-10 ATS in their

last 15 tries as conference home chalk. Rice could be nice.

E MICHIGAN over Toledo by 4

The struggling Rockets are 28-4 ATS in their last 32 SU wins, and,

of all the teams in the MAC conference not named Buffalo, this is

Toledo's best chance for a win. Eastern put up a pretty good fi ght

against Central Michigan at home but has been beaten pretty

badly in more than a few of its other games. Toledo has beaten

the Emus six straight times, averaging more than 28 points each.

Fortunately, we see the SMART BOX on the other side, with us.

Rockets' 0-5 ATS log in Game Eight doesn't help their cause.

AKRON over Miami OH by 14

Akron's hope for a successful season that was brightened by an

upset win over NC State have faded with an 0-2 mark in conference

play and three losses in the last four games. But the Zips can save

their season with a win here. The scars of fi ve consecutive losses

to the RedHawks can be healed in the Rubber Bowl this Saturday.

Miami is just 1-7 ATS in its last eight games as road dogs while

Akron is 5-1 ATS in its last six with rest. Another SMART BOX play,

this one with a little more punch.

ARIZONA ST over Stanford by 22

In a league with more disappointing teams than any other, these

two are right at the top of the list. Stanford hasn't even put up a

fi ght in conference play and Arizona State is still looking for its

fi rst league win. We can quote all the numbers in the world but

neither of these teams faintly resemble previous editions thereby

nullifying any meaningful trends. Forget about this...

NEVADA over San Jose St by 16

The Spartans have notched their fi rst four-game winning streak in

more than a quarter of a century. What are your expectations of

Jose making it fi ve wins in a row? Ours aren't very high considering

that Nevada is 8-0 ATS in its last eight games as home chalk and

that San Jose has lost 14 road games in a row. Wolves itching to

get back on the winning track after the loss at Hawaii.

Oregon St over ARIZONA by 3

We said that Arizona State and Stanford were near the top of

the list of the Pac Ten's most disappointing teams. These two are

also underachieving. Not surprising considering that these two

have scored a combined 39 points in fi ve league games. We can

tell you that prior to last year's shocking loss as a double-digit

favorite, OSU had six straight wins and covers against the Desert

Cats. Lean to the visitor with both the better offense and the

better defense.

HOUSTON over Texas El Paso by 13

Houston needs to reestablish its home fi eld after blowing that 21-0

lead to Sun Belt lightweight LA Lafayette two weeks ago and being

edged by Southern Miss last Saturday. The sketchy Miners could

roll over and fold up against Kevin Kolb's relentless onslaught or

they could fi ght the way they sometimes do when their backs are

against the wall. Houie 48-12-1 in its last 61 SU wins.

LA TECH over Utah St by 7

The Utah State offense hadn't scored a single touchdown on the

road prior to last week's trip to San Jose State and the Utags don't

fi gure to get many here. Not because Tech is a defensive dynamo.

Only Ball State has a worse defense in Div 1-A than the Bulldogs.

So, what you have here is the nation's 3rd worst offense in the

nation going up against its 2nd worst defense. Ever get the feeling

that are just too many teams and not enough quality players?

LSU over Fresno St by 32

Time was when we would take Fresno State and a bushel of points

in situations like this and start walking to the cashier window

immediately after making the bet. (FYI: FSU is taking more points

here today than in any game in our database, dating back to 1980.

They are 6-0 ATS as dogs of 19 or more in that span.) Not so today.

We're not saying that Fresno won't come out and play the Tigers

tough but the Bulldogs sure haven't shown any evidence of that

capability. The loss at Utah State certifi es that this Fresno is nothing

like the other Fresnos that made us so much money. Last week's

hammering by Hawaii confi rms those thoughts. LSU could roll.

IOWA ST over Texas Tech by 3

Iowa State doesn't do as well against the Big 12 as most people

seem to think. The Cyclones have won only three times in the

last 23 games against Big Twelve winning teams, with just eight

covers in those 23 tries. However, as bad as Iowa State has been in

league play, Texas Tech has been equally stinky on the road. The

Red Raiders are 7-20 SU on the road against .400 or better league

opposition and have one cover as road chalk in that role in the

last eight years. ONE. Us, we want the other one.

OKLAHOMA ST over Texas A&M by 6

Texas Tech's road troubles pale in comparison to the woes endured

by Texas A&M, who came up big for us last week as our College

False Favorite Game of the Month selection over Missouri. Today

is, though, a different story. The Aggies are 0-6 ATS on the road

into conference revenge, 6-22 ATS on the road against winning

teams and 4-14 ATS in their last 18 road games overall. Oklahoma

State hasn't really beaten anybody good this season, although the

effort put forth at Kansas State and Kansas in the last two weeks,

indicates some talent. If the Cowboys are taking, so are we.

MISSOURI over Kansas St by 8

The Tigers have easily been the best team in the Big Twelve North

and fi gure to be able to handle the Wildcats without too much

trouble. But Missouri is returning home off a demanding Texas Two

Step, at Texas Tech and at Texas A&M, and may be a little bit less

enthusiastic this week, especially with 'bubble-burst' lurking in the

air. When was the last time you saw a 16-point underdog who had

beaten its opponent 13 times in a row? We didn't think so. (They

were also double-digit favorites in 11 of those 13 contests). That's

why the Wildcats made our INCREDIBLE STAT OF THE WEEK.

OKLAHOMA over Colorado by 13

The news about Adrian Peterson had to be devastating for the

Sooners but Oklahoma football will go on and Colorado will face

a fi red-up band of Sooners on this day. The Buffaloes have covered

just fi ve times in their last 31 SU losses. Considering that they

haven't won a road game all season and that Oklahoma hasn't

lost at home yet, we don't like Colorado's chances.

UAB over Marshall by 11

Marshall has covered just once in its last 11 road games against

opponents who are playing with revenge and are 10-23 ATS in

its last 23 league road games. We were impressed with the UAB

ground blitz against Memphis and, should something like that

happen again, Marshall could be in trouble: Our database tells us

that Marshall is 6-20 ATS in the 26 road games in which the Herd

allowed 150 or more ground yards.

CLEMSON over Georgia Tech by 7

Whenever these two get together you had better start looking for

the Milk Bones. In the last ten meetings, the underdog has cashed

every ticket, with nine of the games decided by fi ve or less points.

Tech has other dog credentials such as 13-6 ATS against avenging

opponents and 7-2 ATS in its last nine tries as a road dog. Given

those underdog numbers, you might have already suspected that

the home team is just 1-6 ATS in the last seven meetings.

Boston College over FLORIDA ST by 1

It didn't surprise us that Boston College beat Virginia Tech but we

were a little bit shocked that the Eagles did it so easily. Florida

State has two convincing wins this season, against Rice and

against Duke. The other games were come from behind wins

against Miami and Troy, and losses to Clemson and NC State. The

Seminoles are nothing special. Special is Boston College as a road

underdog (43-24 ATS in their last 69 in that role), including 7-1

ATS when taking 17 or less against a winning team. Amazingly,

FSU is just 5-6 SU in its last 11 games. Do you think it's time to

send Jeff packing, Bobby?

Hawaii over N MEXICO ST by 17

If you like grind-it-out, defensive fi eld position football, stay as

far away from this game as you can get. To these two teams, good

fi eld position is defi ned as inside the stadium. Hawaii should win

the game. The Rainbows are better at the passing game and are

better defensively. If that's something you're buying, then buy a

ticket on the Pineapples. They are 23-3 ATS in their last 26 SU road

wins. New Mexico State is 0-9 ATS vs WAC foes last nine.

Tulsa over MEMPHIS by 18

Tulsa proved beyond a shadow of a doubt that it is not the least

bit fazed by the C-USA road. Against a red-hot East Carolina team,

the Hurricanes went right into Greenville and smoked the host

Pirates. This was going on while Memphis was coming from ahead

against the Sun Belt's Arkansas State. Tulsa is 10-1 ATS in its last 11

road games and has covered four in a row in Memphis.

Air Force over SAN DIEGO ST by 17

After its disappointing loss to Navy, we thought that Air Force

would be fl atter than Mark Mangino's Lay-Z-Boy and it was Ã¢â‚¬â€œ for

a half. But, like all military teams, the Pilots didn't give up and

rallied back from 18 down at the half to wind up winning last

week's game against Colorado State. Injuries have ruined the

Aztecs' season. Air Force is 9-0 ATS in its last nine road wins vs

foes off BB losses.

Boise St over IDAHO by 13

In the battle for the Golden Potato Masher, we have an inkling

that Boise might win the game. The Broncos have won the last

fi ve meetings by an average of 31 points per game and are 53-17

ATS in the last 70 games in which they scored at least 28. Idaho

would love to win this game and maybe someday it will, but this

is not the year. Nonetheless, the Broncos are another of those

undefeated roadies playing their tentative best not to lose.

Oregon over WASHINGTON ST by 5

Oregon jumped out early against our UCLA 5★ play last week and

never let the Bruins back in the game. It was a big game for the

Ducks but, since they've already lost at California, so is this. We love

the way this Washington State team battles every week but, when

you go against an offensive machine like Oregon, you need all of

your weapons and, right now, Wazzu doesn't. Attractive home dog

if the Puma get Jason Hill, their ace WR, back. Wazzu is 24-8 ATS

here as a dog in games they score 21-plus points, including 17-2

ATS when seeking revenge. Let's wait on this one...

ADDED GAMES

ARKANSAS ST over N Texas by 11

Arkansas State had been waiting all year to get at the Memphis

Tigers and the Indians took advantage of the opportunity. This

will be a fl at spot. However, there is no spot fl at enough to get us

on North Texas on the road. The Not-so-mean Green has lost six

straight away from home, fi ve of them by at least 20 points.

Mid Tenn St over LA MONROE by 4

Middle Tennessee has covered eight of its last ten road games

with revenge and has just one loss, last year by three points, to

Monroe to go with four wins over the past fi ve years. Monroe is

just 1-8 ATS at home against avenging opponents and but 6-3 ATS

in its last nine tries as home dogs. Tough call.

Sunday, October 22nd

S Florida over CINCINNATI by 3

While Cincinnati was strapping on Louisville, South Florida was

waltzing through Carolina virtually unopposed. You can't have

more diverse opposition than. The question is, can the Bearcats

rebound from that close-but-no-cigar emotional effort to take on

the surging Bulls? One thing is for sure, South Florida has the best

QB on the fi eld. That, and a few points, usually gets you a win.

posted by phantom

Oct. 17 2006 7:43pm
0 likes

Sports Reporters

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REGULAR PLAYS

WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 18

UL-LAFAYETTE over *FLORIDA ATLANTIC by 6

ULL has more offense than FAU, with versatile QB Jerry Babb, and he eventually will make

the difference in rare TV appearance for both squads. UL-LAFAYETTE, 26-20.

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 19

*CENTRAL MICHIGAN over BOWLING GREEN by 3

Central Michigan is the nationÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s only unbeaten, untied team vs. the spread (7-0 ATS.) At 4-0

SU in the MAC, they lead the West Division by a game-and-a-half while 3-1 Bowling Green

is in the East, sitting a game behind 4-0 Kent State. Big game for both but bigger for BG,

down from its recent editions yet still presenting problems for opposing defenses, especially

one trying to prepare in a short week. QB Anthony Turner is healthy again while backup

Freddie Barnes still is being used in running situations. CENTRAL MICHIGAN, 30-27.

*VIRGINIA over NORTH CAROLINA by 5

The boys in the booth will have plenty to say about North Carolina coach John Bunting and

Virginia boss Al Groh. North Carolina QB Cam SextonÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s 9-of-26 passing performance last

week in the 37-20 loss to South Florida was eerily similar to his 9-of-28 passing game

against the Miami Hurricanes just two weeks ago. VIRGINIA, 23-18.

UTAH over *NEW MEXICO by 10

Utah was down 31-0 last week before scoring a defensive TD versus Wyoming. The Utes are

better than that, and will be out for blood. New Mexico has confused some teams this season

with their 3-3-5 defense, but UtahÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s offensive attack is balanced and will not have problems

moving the football. On defense, UtahÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s secondary, which will be tested early and often,

is solid and experienced. UTAH, 30-20.

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 20

WEST VIRGINIA over *CONNECTICUT by 23

West Virginia wants the world to see that they are legit national title contenders and even

athletic UConn defense wonÃ¢â‚¬â„¢t be able to handle the darting runs of QB Pat White and TB Steve

Slaton, who can rush for dominant numbers against anyone. WEST VIRGINIA, 40-17.

SATURDAY, OCTOBER 21

*PITTSBURGH over RUTGERS by 10

A pair of former University of Miami defensive coaches buck heads here but give the bigger

edge to Pittsburgh boss-man Dave Wannstedt over RutgersÃ¢â‚¬â„¢ Greg Schiano for the following

reasons: Pittsburgh overall speed/size/depth better than what the Scarlet Knights possess

plus PittÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s had an extra prep day here and now the Panthers have seen whatÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s needed to

keep Rutgers RB Ray Rice to under 100 yards rushing (21 carries for 93 yards in last weekÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s

shutout win against Navy). PITTSBURGH, 27-17.

MICHIGAN STATE over *NORTHWESTERN by 3

One of these free-falling teams (Northwestern has lost five straight ATS, Michigan State has

dropped four straight ATS) will temporarily right itself. In what figures to be his fourth start,

NU QB Andrew Brewer should finally be getting comfortable with the offense while MSU QB

Drew Stanton was hurt in loss to Ohio State and certainly won't be 100 percent here. MICHIGAN

STATE, 23-20.

LOUISVILLE over *SYRACUSE by 22

Last weekÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s re-appearance by Louisville QB Brian Brohm (thumb) following just a three-week

absence caught a few folks by surprise and now the star slinger should be considerably

sharper than his 20-of-37, 324-yard state line against Cincinnati Ã¢â‚¬â€œ and so no wonder the

Orange is quaking in its high-tops here. LOUISVILLE, 38-16.

*OHIO STATE over INDIANA by 28

Ohio State's defense has improved quickly and Indiana QB Kellen Lewis won't have nearly

as much time as he did when he picked apart Iowa last week. Ohio State recently has made

a habit of opening big early leads and then coasting, so there may be some room for Indiana

and Lewis to come in through the back door late in the game, a door that has so far been

slammed shut on Northern Illinois, Texas, Penn State, Iowa and Michigan State backers. OHIO

STATE, 41-13.

*MARYLAND over NORTH CAROLINA STATE by 2

Two of NC StateÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s three losses this season have come by three points or less. The Terrapins

will ball-control this tilt for much of the time and a make-or-miss FG try by Ennis is what

decides this game at the 11th hour Ã¢â‚¬Â¦ itÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s goooood! MARYLAND, 22-20.

*VIRGINIA TECH over SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI by 9

Frank BeamerÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s club isnÃ¢â‚¬â„¢t playing with any real zest and may have some internal woes that

are beginning to surface. In this non-conference tilt in Blacksburg, the Hokie Nation wonÃ¢â‚¬â„¢t be

happy that the Techsters will have major difficulty in putting away these USM Golden Birdies

thanks to fact Tech QB Sean Glennon isnÃ¢â‚¬â„¢t all in sync with rest of offensive mates. VIRGINIA

TECH, 23-14.

*OHIO over BUFFALO by 15

A short work week of preparation for a Buffalo team which saw its pregame preparation disrupted

by October snowstorm, and then had to wait one day to play Miami-Ohio. Ohio benefited

from a +4 turnover ratio in its win at Illinois last week but might not be so fortunate

against a Buffalo team that had coughed up the ball only five times going into last SundayÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s

game. OHIO, 31-16.

*BALL STATE over WESTERN MICHIGAN by 1

Western MichiganÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s defense has been steadily improving and was able to shut down

Northern IllinoisÃ¢â‚¬â„¢ Garrett Wolfe this week. Ball State has been held to fewer than 80 yards

rushing in five of its last six games, and that lack of production will start to put a strain on

freshman QB Nate Davis. BALL STATE, 22-21.

*ARKANSAS over MISSISSIPPI by 18

The Rebels have been getting torched on the ground to the tune of about 170 yards per

game. Arkansas wants to run the ball down your throat with their physical and experienced

offensive front. Razorback tailbacks McFadden and Jones are human highlight reels. Ole

Miss was able to beat Vanderbilt due to some Commodore turnovers, and they managed to

hang tough with UGA and Bama due to those teamsÃ¢â‚¬â„¢ red-zone woes. But the Rebels are a

very average SEC club and will not be able to keep pace against a team that can put it in the

end zone. ARKANSAS, 31-13.

*NOTRE DAME over UCLA by 10

The passing game is Notre DameÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s bread-and-butter. Pass defense has been Karl DorrellÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s

trademark since arriving at UCLA. Two ex-NFL defensive assistants (and two ex-NFL offensive

assistants) help prepare the Bruin defenders for Charlie WeisÃ¢â‚¬â„¢ offensive schemes, and

UCLA defensive coordinator DeWayne Walker (Redskins) and DL coach Todd Howard

(Jaguars) are hoping that one week is enough time to get the kids on their page to play as

close to a perfect contain-game as possible. TheyÃ¢â‚¬â„¢re also hoping that second-time starting

QB Pat Cowan doesnÃ¢â‚¬â„¢t put them in bad positions to mess up the defenseÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s best-laid plans.

UCLAÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s offense leads the Pac 10 in possession-time in Jim CollettoÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s (Ravens) first season as

OL coach, but has enormous problems when it comes to dialing the end zone from the red

zone. NOTRE DAME, 26-16.

*AUBURN over TULANE by 32

Just seven days after facing one of the nationÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s best defenses in Florida, Auburn now faces

off against one of the worst. Auburn will likely score on 80% of their possessions, but this

Tiger squad lacks the big play threat, so do not expect 50+. Tulane can throw the rock with

some effectiveness, but Auburn boasts one of the top pass defenses in the country. Perhaps

a slight letdown after the huge Florida win, but AuburnÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s third string could handle this one.

AUBURN, 42-10.

SOUTH CAROLINA over *VANDERBILT by 3

Steve Spurrier ripped his defensive coaches after the Kentucky win. The bye week should

help the Gamecock defense, and they will need it. This may be the most athletic and confident

team that Vandy has ever fielded. The Commodore defense has yet to be truly tested by

a mobile QB like South CarolinaÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s Syvelle Newton, and it is NewtonÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s scrambling ability that

could be the difference in this game. SOUTH CAROLINA, 24-21.

*BYU over UNLV by 26

UNLVÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s defense is okay, but has been way, way overworked against offenses that didnÃ¢â‚¬â„¢t have

BYUÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s level of quality balance. Meanwhile, Ã¢â‚¬Å“one of college footballÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s greatest offensive

mindsÃ¢â‚¬

posted by phantom

Oct. 17 2006 7:46pm
0 likes

Sports Reporters..College

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BEST BET

GEORGIA TECH over *CLEMSON by 4

There are a bevy of reasons to suggest G-Tech plus points as the side here but letÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s get

to the three items that strike our fancy: First, Georgia Tech has the better/quicker defense

and D-coordinator Jon Tenuta remains a master at defusing an opponentÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s best

weapons. Secondly, the RamblinÃ¢â‚¬â„¢ Wreck has the single-best player on the field in WR

Calvin Johnson who can Ã¢â‚¬â€œ and has Ã¢â‚¬â€œ taken over a game in the blink of an eye. Finally,

some point-spread history as underdogs are 9-0 ATS in the last 10 games of this series

with the lone other game a pick Ã¢â‚¬Ëœem battle in 2002. Clemson QB Will Proctor has put up

some nice numbers this year but the guy can be erratic as evidenced in recent tilt at

Wake Forest (wilder than a young Nolan Ryan) and that comes back to haunt Orange

Nation here. GEORGIA TECH, 24-20.

BEST BET

*WASHINGTON STATE over OREGON by 7

Like its Pac-10 brother Oregon State, the Cougars are a team that holds good handicapping

value due to some hard fought losses. Last week, Washington St. held an excellent

Cal offense to 21 points and could have been in the game late had they not come up

empty on three trips inside the Cal 20. Oregon rebounded nicely after the Cal debacle,

but getting a win in Pullman has proven difficult for both USC and Cal. The same will hold

true for the boys from Eugene. The Ducks like to run the ball in order to setup the pass.

Washington St. is stout up front and should limit the success of the Oregon offense. On

the other side of the ball, the Cougars will take advantage of a weak Duck run defense

that has been gashed for nearly 180 yards per game. WASHINGTON STATE, 27-20.

BEST BET

*ARMY over TCU by 1

The U.S. Government inked a deal with the Poinsetta Bowl people back in August: Our Military

goes at least 6-6, it plays in your bowl game. Army is currenty 3-4. TCU struck a verbal deal

with themselves: If we maintain the nationÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s longest winning streak through this season, we

force the powers to take us in a BCS game. TCU awoke in a cold sweat from that dream last

month, and is currently on a 0-2 losing streak between byes, with a couple of defensive players

booted from the team. The Horned FrogsÃ¢â‚¬â„¢ opponents to date have recorded the thirdweakest

Run-Pass ratio in the nation. But it is not a function of playing catch-up against the

pedestrian offense of TCU, a team that has led a 1-A opponent only once at the end of three

quarters this season (by 3 points, at Baylor). TCU no longer feeds that +21 TO Ratio habit (itÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s

Ã¢â‚¬Å“0Ã¢â‚¬

posted by phantom

Oct. 17 2006 7:54pm
0 likes

Marc Lawrence

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

angle of the week..Iowa

5 BEST BET

South Carolina went back to Syvelle Newton when Auburn

came to town and almost upset the Tigers in Columbia. The

next week, with Newton still calling signals, the Gamecocks

won and covered against Kentucky in Lexington. Now, with

a week off, Carolina gets a chance to pad its record against a

feisty but undermanned Vanderbilt team. A bit fat, too, might

we add as the Commies check in off their fi rst win against a

ranked opponent (Georgia) in eons. It was only the 4th win

in 43 games against the Bulldogs, a landmark victory to say

the least. It all sets up a role in which Steve Spurrier has yet to

fail, namely his 10-0 SU & 8-2 ATS mark when playing with rest

against a sub .666 conference foe (5-0 SUATS away). The Cocks'

22-2 ATS mark in conference road victories serves as the icing

on the cake. It was dandy, but the party's over for Vandy.

S Carolina over VANDERBILT by 15

3 BEST BET

If anything is to be learned from Iowa's lackluster effort at

Indiana last week, it's that the Hawkeyes can't beat anybody if

they're not concentrating on what they're doing as they were

obviously looking ahead to this game. They'll be concentrating

today. Iowa is a strong 7-1-1 ATS against Michigan annually

saving its best for the Wolverines. Iowa is also 6-1 ATS in the

second of BB road games, 9-2 ATS taking doubles and 25-10

ATS in its last 35 Big Ten games. Big Blue is 1-6 ATS in the fi rst

of back-to-back homers. Last week's battle in Happy Valley

might take something out of UM. Nonetheless, our Awesome

Angle (see page 2) cements it. Iowa bags the cash for the 5th

straight time in Ann Arbor today.

MICHIGAN over Iowa by 3

4 BEST BET

Folks up in Lincoln are calling this a preview of the Big 12

championship game. Obviously, the local paper doesn't cover

teams from Missouri in their football pages. Call it whatever

you want, Nebraska better bring everything in their arsenal to

this game. Texas has improved since getting whipped at home

by Ohio State and QB Colt McCoy is beginning to show why

he was so highly recruited. Nonetheless, the Longhorns are

defending National Champs in a very undesirable role here

today (see Marc's MR. BIG STUFF article on page 2 for more).

Shucks, we're all over the Cornhuskers here today!

NEBRASKA over Texas by 7

Alabama over TENNESSEE by 1UPSET GOW

Here comes Alabama in its favorite role, an underdog with no

perceived chance to win the game. Certainly, if this turns into

a scoring contest, Tennessee will win. Bama knows it can't let

that happen. There is no home fi eld advantage in this series

with the visitor cashing 13 tickets in the last 14 meetings and

Tennessee has been know for its home failures in big games

under head coach Phil Fulmer (see this week's TRIVIA TEASER

on page 2). Alabama is 24-7-2 as an underdog vs a more than

.800 foe off a win. Double-digit dogs with better defenses

always command our attention. Again.

GAME OF THE WEEK UPSET UPSET

BET

posted by phantom

Oct. 17 2006 8:00pm
0 likes

Powersweep

NCAA:

4* UCF 37-20 over Rice

3* Neb 23-20 over Tex

3* Fla St 30-17 over BC

2* Az St 41-6 over Stan

2* Ark 38-10 over Miss

2* BYU 48-13 over UNLV

Dog of the week: Ga Tech 21-24 over Clem

NFL:

4* NE 28-10 over Buff

3* Car 24-14 over Cinn

2* Pitt 20-6 over Atl

2* GB 17-14 over Mia

posted by phantom

Oct. 18 2006 5:40pm
0 likes

Rockys Newsletter

Guaranteed Best Bet---Iowa State

Game Of The Week------Wyoming

Perfect Super System-Virginia Tech

System Play Of The Week--Central Florida

posted by phantom

Oct. 18 2006 5:40pm
0 likes

Pointwise

1 tulsa 37-10

1 wisconsin 38-20

2 nevada 39-14

3 ariz st 38-10

2 bc 27-13

4 byu 52-18

5 lsu 56-10

5 w virg 45-13

2 pats 30-13

3 oak 17-14

4 seatt 27-13

4 tb 23-20

5 dall 26-20

posted by phantom

Oct. 18 2006 5:40pm
0 likes

Handicapper: Larry Ness

goy 15* on virginia

posted by phantom

Oct. 19 2006 2:59pm
0 likes

Not sure where to put this

Hot&Cold Teams ATS

N.Carl (0-6)

Cent. Mich(7-0)

Wisc.(5-0-1)

N.Western(0-5)

UCLA(6-0 under)

Calf.(5-0)

Standford(5-0 under)

Wash St.(5-0 under)

Marshall(0-5)

La.Tech(0-5)

Arizona(6-0)

Arizona(6-0 under playing Oegon St. who is (5-0 under) OVER!!!

Fresno St.(0-6)

posted by phantom

Oct. 19 2006 3:02pm
0 likes

Handicapper: Scott Spreitzer

League: College Football

Event: North Carolina vs Virginia on 10/19/2006 at 16:45

Condition: Virginia

Grade: Ungraded

Promotion: I'm laying the points with Virginia on Thursday night. Last week's blown 20-0 lead over Maryland, (28-26 UVA loss), had to be heartbreaking. But Al Groh's team, more specifically his offense, is beginning to show growth and maturity. They lost Saturday's game on an INT returned for a TD, but Virginia has confidence off of a 255-yard, first-half performance in that game. RSFR QB Jameel Sewell has found a favorite target in Kevin Ogletree, and UNC has no one to hang with the top receiver. The Tarheel defense ranks 115th in the nation in average points allowed per game (35.7) and they're without their leading tackler, LB Larry Edwards (collarbone). The run defense was already horrible, allowing over 207 RYPG at almost 5 yards per pop. UVA doesn't have many more legitimate shots for wins and they'll likely take out a season of frustration against this weak Tarheel entry. UNC HC John Bunting is a lame duck and the players really don't seem to care. Not a good combination when a team is just trying to finish out the string. We'll back the Cavaliers of Virginia, our TKO on Thursday. Thanks! Good Luck! Scott

posted by phantom

Oct. 19 2006 3:06pm
0 likes

Pure Lock, undefeated in college football 8-0

Virginia (like everyone else)

posted by phantom

Oct. 19 2006 3:06pm
0 likes

Dunkel Index Ã¢â‚¬â€œ NCAA Football

WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 18

Game 101-102: UL Lafayette at Florida Atlantic

Dunkel Ratings: UL Lafayette 70.196; Florida Atlantic 64.016

Dunkel Line: UL Lafayette by 6; 48

Vegas Line: UL Lafayette by 8 1/2; 47

Dunkel Pick: Florida Atlantic (+8 1/2); Over

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 19

Game 103-104: Bowling Green at Central Michigan

Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 74.659; Central Michigan 84.495

Dunkel Line: Central Michigan by 10; 50

Vegas Line: Central Michigan by 7; 50 1/2

Dunkel Pick: Central Michigan (-7); Under

Game 105-106: North Carolina at Virginia

Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 76.587; Virginia 87.127

Dunkel Line: Virginia by 10 1/2; 44 1/2

Vegas Line: Virginia by 6; 41

Dunkel Pick: Virginia (-6); Over

Game 107-108: Utah at New Mexico

Dunkel Ratings: Utah 93.995; New Mexico 79.640

Dunkel Line: Utah by 14 1/2; 39 1/2

Vegas Line: Utah by 6; 42 1/2

Dunkel Pick: Utah (-6); Over

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 20

Game 109-110: West Virginia at Connecticut

Dunkel Ratings: West Virginia 104.207; Connecticut 82.028

Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 22; 50 1/2

Vegas Line: West Virginia by 22; 50 1/2

Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Neutral

SATURDAY, OCTOBER 21

Game 111-112: Rutgers at Pittsburgh

Dunkel Ratings: Rutgers 102.745; Pittsburgh 100.819

Dunkel Line: Rutgers by 2; 45

Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 6 1/2; 45

Dunkel Pick: Rutgers (+6 1/2); Neutral

Game 113-114: Illinois at Penn State

Dunkel Ratings: Illinois 78.328; Penn State 101.343

Dunkel Line: Penn State by 23; 45 1/2

Vegas Line: Penn State by 17 1/2; 43

Dunkel Pick: Penn State (-17 1/2); Over

Game 115-116: Michigan State at Northwestern

Dunkel Ratings: Michigan State 96.415; Northwestern 81.558

Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 11; 43 1/2

Vegas Line: Michigan State by 7; 48

Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (-7); Under

Game 117-118: Louisville at Syracuse

Dunkel Ratings: Louisville 105.631; Syracuse 83.995

Dunkel Line: Louisville by 21 1/2; 47 1/2

Vegas Line: Louisville by 17; 54

Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-17); Under

Game 119-120: Indiana at Ohio State

Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 85.168; Ohio State 112.788

Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 27 1/2; 50 1/2

Vegas Line: Ohio State by 31; 52

Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+31); Under

Game 121-122: N.C. State at Maryland

Dunkel Ratings: N.C. State 89.286; Maryland 88.027

Dunkel Line: N.C. State by 1; 42

Vegas Line: Maryland by 3; 42

Dunkel Pick: N.C. State (+3); Neutral

Game 123-124: TCU at Army

Dunkel Ratings: TCU 89.993; Army 70.041

Dunkel Line: TCU by 20; 34

Vegas Line: TCU by 11 1/2; 38

Dunkel Pick: TCU (-11 1/2); Under

Game 125-126: Southern Mississippi at Virginia Tech

Dunkel Ratings: Southern Mississippi 86.069; Virginia Tech 101.562

Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 15 1/2; 40 1/2

Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 17; 42

Dunkel Pick: Southern Mississippi (+17); Under

Game 127-128: Buffalo at Ohio

Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 63.540; Ohio 78.088

Dunkel Line: Ohio by 14 1/2; 46

Vegas Line: Ohio by 18; 41 1/2

Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+18); Over

Game 129-130: Western Michigan at Ball State

Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 77.969; Ball State 79.082

Dunkel Line: Ball State by 1; 49 1/2

Vegas Line: Western Michigan by 4; 52

Dunkel Pick: Ball State (+4); Under

Game 131-132: Mississippi at Arkansas

Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi 81.681; Arkansas 94.287

Dunkel Line: Arkansas by 12 1/2; 45 1/2

Vegas Line: Arkansas by 17; 39 1/2

Dunkel Pick: Mississippi (+17); Over

Game 133-134: UCLA at Notre Dame

Dunkel Ratings: UCLA 92.066; Notre Dame 102.719

Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 10 1/2; 44 1/2

Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 13 1/2; 51 1/2

Dunkel Pick: UCLA (+13 1/2); Under

Game 135-136: Tulane at Auburn

Dunkel Ratings: Tulane 76.159; Auburn 102.089

Dunkel Line: Auburn by 26; 48

Vegas Line: Auburn by 32; 50

Dunkel Pick: Tulane (+32); Under

Game 137-138: South Carolina at Vanderbilt

Dunkel Ratings: South Carolina 90.779; Vanderbilt 90.255

Dunkel Line: Even; 35

Vegas Line: South Carolina by 3 1/2; 41

Dunkel Pick: Vanderbilt (+3 1/2); Under

Game 139-140: UNLV at BYU

Dunkel Ratings: UNLV 69.786; BYU 102.820

Dunkel Line: BYU by 33; 50 1/2

Vegas Line: BYU by 28 1/2; 54

Dunkel Pick: BYU (-28 1/2); Under

Game 141-142: Kansas at Baylor

Dunkel Ratings: Kansas 87.697; Baylor 86.039

Dunkel Line: Kansas by 1 1/2; 49 1/2

Vegas Line: Baylor by 4; 47

Dunkel Pick: Kansas (+4); Over

Game 143-144: Temple at Northern Illinois

Dunkel Ratings: Temple 55.969; Northern Illinois 81.044

Dunkel Line: Northern Illinois by 25; 50

Vegas Line: Northern Illinois by 33 1/2; 55

Dunkel Pick: Temple (+33 1/2); Under

Game 145-146: SMU at East Carolina

Dunkel Ratings: SMU 70.840; East Carolina 85.379

Dunkel Line: East Carolina by 14 1/2; 46

Vegas Line: East Carolina by 6; 48

Dunkel Pick: East Carolina (-6); Under

Game 147-148: Iowa at Michigan

Dunkel Ratings: Iowa 95.525; Michigan 111.384

Dunkel Line: Michigan by 16; 46

Vegas Line: Michigan by 13; 44

Dunkel Pick: Michigan (-13); Over

Game 149-150: Miami (FL) at Duke

Dunkel Ratings: Miami (FL) 96.782; Duke 69.165

Dunkel Line: Miami (FL) by 27 1/2; 33

Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 17 1/2; 41 1/2

Dunkel Pick: Miami (FL) (-17 1/2); Under

Game 151-152: Texas at Nebraska

Dunkel Ratings: Texas 114.354; Nebraska 104.334

Dunkel Line: Texas by 10; 55 1/2

Vegas Line: Texas by 6 1/2; 52

Dunkel Pick: Texas (-6 1/2); Over

Game 153-154: Wisconsin at Purdue

Dunkel Ratings: Wisconsin 107.000; Purdue 90.861

Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 16; 55

Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 6; 55

Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (-6); Neutral

Game 155-156: Mississippi State at Georgia

Dunkel Ratings: Rutgers Mississippi State 82.105; Georgia 100.683

Dunkel Line: Georgia by 18 1/2; 36 1/2

Vegas Line: Georgia by 18 1/2; 40

Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Under

Game 157-158: Alabama at Tennessee

Dunkel Ratings: Alabama 91.731; Tennessee 105.431

Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 13 1/2; 47 1/2

Vegas Line: Tennessee by 11; 42 1/2

Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-11); Over

Game 159-160: Washington at California

Dunkel Ratings: Washington 88.116; California 105.975

Dunkel Line: California by 18; 49

Vegas Line: California by 23; 52

Dunkel Pick: Washington (+23); Under

Game 161-162: Colorado State at Wyoming

Dunkel Ratings: Colorado State 87.212; Wyoming 85.074

Dunkel Line: Colorado State by 2; 40 1/2

Vegas Line: Wyoming by 4 1/2; 40 1/2

Dunkel Pick: Colorado State (+4 1/2); Neutral

Game 163-164: Rice at Central Florida

Dunkel Ratings: Rice 78.069; Central Florida 74.459

Dunkel Line: Rice by 3 1/2; 53

Vegas Line: Central Florida by 5 1/2; 56

Dunkel Pick: Rice (+5 1/2); Under

Game 165-166: Toledo at Eastern Michigan

Dunkel Ratings: Toledo 72.659; Eastern Michigan 66.211

Dunkel Line: Toledo by 6 1/2; 50

Vegas Line: Eastern Michigan by 1; 50

Dunkel Pick: Toledo (+1); Neutral

Game 167-168: Miami (OH) at Akron

Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 72.793; Akron 85.968

Dunkel Line: Akron by 13; 42 1/2

Vegas Line: Akron by 7 1/2; 47

Dunkel Pick: Akron (-7 1/2); Under

Game 169-170: Stanford at Arizona State

Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 75.157; Arizona State 93.787

Dunkel Line: Arizona State by 18 1/2; 52

Vegas Line: Arizona State by 23; 46

Dunkel Pick: Stanford (+23); Over

Game 171-172: San Jose State at Nevada

Dunkel Ratings: San Jose State 68.678; Nevada 89.922

Dunkel Line: Nevada by 21; 52

Vegas Line: Nevada by 13; 54

Dunkel Pick: Nevada (-13); Under

Game 173-174: Oregon State at Arizona

Dunkel Ratings: Oregon State 86.980; Arizona 87.647

Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 43 1/2

Vegas Line: Oregon State by 2; 39

Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+2); Over

Game 175-176: UTEP at Houston

Dunkel Ratings: UTEP 83.779; Houston 82.863

Dunkel Line: UTEP by 1; 59

Vegas Line: Houston by 6; 61 1/2

Dunkel Pick: UTEP (+6); Under

Game 177-178: Utah State at Louisiana Tech

Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 63.899; Louisiana Tech 66.967

Dunkel Line: Louisiana Tech by 3; 48

Vegas Line: Louisiana Tech by 6; 46 1/2

Dunkel Pick: Utah State (+6); Over

Game 179-180: Fresno State at LSU

Dunkel Ratings: Fresno State 72.498; LSU 111.787

Dunkel Line: LSU by 39 1/2; 50 1/2

Vegas Line: LSU by 32 1/2; 53

Dunkel Pick: LSU (-32 1/2); Under

Game 181-182: Texas Tech at Iowa State

Dunkel Ratings: Texas Tech 84.507; Iowa State 87.192

Dunkel Line: Iowa State by 2 1/2; 45 1/2

Vegas Line: Texas Tech by 3; 53 1/2

Dunkel Pick: Iowa State (+3); Under

Game 183-184: Texas A&M at Oklahoma State

Dunkel Ratings: Texas A&M 92.662; Oklahoma State 89.481

Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 3; 54

Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 2; 59 1/2

Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M (+2); Under

Game 185-186: Kansas State at Missouri

Dunkel Ratings: Kansas State 85.954; Missouri 98.758

Dunkel Line: Missouri by 13; 43 1/2

Vegas Line: Missouri by 16; 45

Dunkel Pick: Kansas State (+16); Under

Game 187-188: Colorado at Oklahoma

Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 91.474; Oklahoma 101.221

Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 10; 41 1/2

Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 13 1/2; 40

Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+13 1/2); Over

Game 189-190: Marshall at UAB

Dunkel Ratings: Marshall 75.006; UAB 82.083

Dunkel Line: UAB by 7; 44

Vegas Line: UAB by 7 1/2; 46

Dunkel Pick: Marshall (+7 1/2); Under

Game 191-192: Georgia Tech at Clemson

Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Tech 98.060; Clemson 107.094

Dunkel Line: Clemson by 9; 48

Vegas Line: Clemson by 7 1/2; 47

Dunkel Pick: Clemson (-7 1/2); Over

Game 193-194: Boston College at Florida State

Dunkel Ratings: Boston College 98.357; Florida State 96.005

Dunkel Line: Boston College by 2 1/2; 43 1/2

Vegas Line: No Line

Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 195-196: Hawaii at New Mexico State

Dunkel Ratings: Hawaii 86.571; New Mexico State 72.236

Dunkel Line: Hawaii by 14 1/2; 71 1/2

Vegas Line: Hawaii by 18 1/2; 72 1/2

Dunkel Pick: New Mexico State (+18 1/2); Under

Game 197-198: Tulsa at Memphis

Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 94.672; Memphis 73.979

Dunkel Line: Tulsa by 20 1/2; 47

Vegas Line: Tulsa by 12; 50

Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (-12); Under

Game 199-200: Air Force at San Diego State

Dunkel Ratings: Air Force 89.189; San Diego State 74.149

Dunkel Line: Air Force by 15; 51 1/2

Vegas Line: Air Force by 13 1/2; 45 1/2

Dunkel Pick: Air Force (-13 1/2); Over

Game 201-202: Boise State at Idaho

Dunkel Ratings: Boise State 100.453; Idaho 73.492

Dunkel Line: Boise State by 27; 53 1/2

Vegas Line: Boise State by 20 1/2; 58 1/2

Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-20 1/2); Under

Game 203-204: Oregon at Washington State

Dunkel Ratings: Oregon 104.182; Washington State 95.563

Dunkel Line: Oregon by 8 1/2; 50 1/2

Vegas Line: Oregon by 3 1/2; 52 1/2

Dunkel Pick: Oregon (-3 1/2); Under

Game 205-206: North Texas at Arkansas State

Dunkel Ratings: North Texas 60.391; Arkansas State 75.034

Dunkel Line: Arkansas State by 14 1/2; 36

Vegas Line: Arkansas State by 10 1/2; 41

Dunkel Pick: Arkansas State (-10 1/2); Under

Game 207-208: Middle Tennessee St. at UL Monroe

Dunkel Ratings: Middle Tennessee St. 75.754; UL Monroe 66.204

Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee St. by 9 1/2; 37

Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee St. by 3 1/2; 42

Dunkel Pick: Middle Tennessee St. (-3 1/2); Under

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 22

Game 233-234: South Florida at Cincinnati

Dunkel Ratings: South Florida 88.337; Cincinnati 86.384

Dunkel Line: South Florida by 2; 42

Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 42

Dunkel Pick: South Florida (+1 1/2); Neutral

posted by phantom

Oct. 19 2006 3:09pm
0 likes

NCAAFB

Clemson fell off the national radar after losing at Boston College in its second game of the season. The Tigers have bounced back after that one-point defeat to win their next five games and become one of the hottest teams on the football planet.

Coach Tommy Bowden has piloted Clemson to five straight victories by a combined score of 220-53. The Tigers stand an excellent chance of running the table the rest of the way with four of their last five games at Memorial Stadium, where they have outscored their foes, 157-13.

Georgia Tech provides the opposition in Week 8 and if past history is any indication, Clemson shouldn't expect another home romp.

The Yellow Jackets have won the past two series showdowns, including a 28-24 upset win in their last visit to Columbia as 6 1/2-point dogs, 28-24. Georgia Tech nipped the Tigers at Bobby Dodd Stadium as 2 1/2-point home favorites last year, 10-9.

Georgia Tech is riding a hot streak of its own. The Yellow Jackets have won five straight since losing their season opener at home to Notre Dame as eight-point underdogs, 14-10. Tech had last week off following a narrow home victory over Maryland, 27-23. The Jackets' are 8-19 ATS off a bye.

The Tigers explosive offense has put 43.8 points per game on the board. That's bad news for a Georgia Tech squad that's 0-17 ATS when it allows 28 points or more.

Close calls have been par for the course in this hotly contested Atlantic Coast Conference rivalry. Nine of the last 10 meetings have been decided by five points or less and the dog has barked in 16 of 17 showdowns. However, Clemson has come away with the cash in nine of the last dozen tussles.

Trends and angles for the remainder of the Week 8 menu appear below.

BGSU at CMU

Bowling Green has won five of eight versus Central Michigan, though it has failed to cash in six of the eight clashes. The Falcons are 2-5 straight up and 1-5-1 ATS when playing in a televised conference game. The home team has 'covered' seven of 11 meetings. The Chippewas are 2-6 ATS before a bye.

NORTH CAROLINA at VIRGINIA

The visiting team hasn't had much luck in this ACC rivalry, failing to cash in 16 of the last 20 meetings. North Carolina is 10-2-1 in its last13 chances as road dogs.

UTAH at NEW MEXICO

Utah has won and 'covered' seven of 11 against New Mexico. The Lobos have lost and failed in three of their last four midweek contests.

WEST VIRGINIA at CONNECTICUT

West Virginia has cashed nine of its last 10 weekday tests. Connecticut has lost seven straight to ranked opponents (3-4 ATS).

RUTGERS at PITT

Pittsburgh has won seven of its last eight prior to a bye (6-2 ATS). Rutgers has dropped 11 of its last 15 against the Panthers, though it has cashed at a 9-6 clip. The Scarlet Knights snapped a six-game series skid last year, beating Pitt at home, 37-29.

ILLINOIS at PENN STATE

Illinois has come up short in 11 of 13 versus Penn State while averaging 19 points per game. However, the home team is just 1-6 ATS in the last seven clashes.

MICHIGAN ST at NORTHWESTERN

Michigan State has floundered in 12 of its last 17 as road favorites. Northwestern is 2-5 ATS in its last seven homecoming games. The visitor has 'covered' seven of the last nine meetings.

LOUISVILLE at SYRACUSE

Louisville struggled on the road last year, failing in five of seven ATS. However, the Cardinals have cashed two of their first three on the road in 2006. Syracuse is 3-1 ATS in its first four outings at the Carrier Dome. The Orange is 1-6 ATS in their last seven Big East battles.

INDIANA at OHIO STATE

Indiana has averaged 1.1 yards per rush against Ohio State in the last four mismatches. The Buckeyes have posted a 14-0-1 mark versus the Hoosiers (10-4-1 ATS) while holding the Hoosiers to 9.9 points per game all-time. However, the visitor has cashed at a 10-3-1 rate recently.

NORTH CAROLINA ST at MARYLAND

North Carolina State has faltered in 13 of 16 as road favorites. The chalk in this series has stumbled at a 4-16-1 clip as well. The visiting team has 'covered' at a 7-3-1 pace. Maryland is 2-8 SU and 3-7 ATS in its last 10 conference home openers.

TCU at ARMY

TCU has won five straight against Army, though it has failed to get the cheese in the last three clashes. The Horned Frogs are just 7-15-1 as road favorites.

SOUTHERN MISS at VIRGINIA TECH

Virginia Tech looks to bounce back after suffering back-to-back losses for the first time since the end of the 2003 season. The Hokies are 18-12-2 ATS when facing teams from Conference-USA. Southern Mississippi has averaged 10.7 points per game in its first three road outings.

BUFFALO at OHIO U

Ohio has won six of eight against Buffalo, failing to cash in four of the last six. The Bulls are 3-0 ATS on the road this year despite yielding 39 PPG.

WMU at BALL STATE

The SU winner is 13-1 ATS in the last 14 series scrapes. The visiting team has failed in nine of the last 13 encounters. Ball State is 8-3-1 ATS in its last dozen at Scheumann Stadium.

OLE MISS at ARKANSAS

The favorite is 10-3-1 in this SEC rivalry and the host has cashed at a 9-3-1 pace. Arkansas is 2-5-1 ATS in its last eight at Fayetteville.

UCLA at NOTRE DAME

UCLA has 'covered' 13 of its last 19 non-conference tests on the road. The Bruins have also cashed eight of 12 when playing the second of back-to-back games away from home. Notre Dame is 8-2, both SU and ATS, following a bye.

TULANE at AUBURN

This could be a tough spot for Auburn to rise to the occasion after back-to-back home games with Arkansas and Florida. The Tigers have won four straight and cashed three straight homecoming games, outscoring the opposition 214-42.

SOUTH CAROLINA at VANDY

South Carolina has won six straight and 'covered' 10 of 14 against Vanderbilt. However, the Gamecocks are 2-9 SU and 3-8 ATS after taking a week off. The Commodores have dropped 13 straight versus Steve Spurrier coached teams.

UNLV at BYU

BYU has won seven of nine versus UNLV (3-6 ATS). The Cougars have failed to cash eight of their last 11 following a bye. The visitor has 'covered' eight of the last nine shootouts.

KANSAS at BAYLOR

Kansas has lost three straight at Baylor. The Bears have dropped eight straight homecoming games (1-7 ATS).

TEMPLE at NIU

Northern Illinois has won and 'covered' eight of its last nine homecoming affairs. The Huskies return home, where they are 0-2 ATS this year, after playing their last three games on the road.

SMU at ECU

SMU is 3-7 SU and 2-8 ATS on grass. The Mustangs four-game winning streak is their longest since 1999.

IOWA at MICHIGAN

Iowa is 8-2-1 ATS when playing its second consecutive road game. The Hawkeyes have also cashed at a 6-0-1 pace as road short-enders. Michigan has won seven of the last nine series meetings (1-6-2 ATS).

MIAMI at DUKE

Miami has won six of its last eight conference road outings (5-3 ATS). The Hurricanes are 13-3 SU on the ACC highway, though just 6-10 ATS.

TEXAS at NEBRASKA

Texas is 20-1 SU and 14-6-1 ATS on the road against conference foes with the exception of the Red River Shootout. Nebraska has lost five of six to the Longhorns (2-4 ATS). The CornXXXXs have 'covered' 12 of their last 18 against teams from the Big-12 South. The teams have combined to average 43.5 PPG in the last six showdowns.

WISCONSIN at PURDUE

Five of the last six series clashes have been decided by seven points or less. The favorite has cashed five of seven and the home team has failed in eight of 12 tries.

MISSISSIPPI STATE at GEORGIA

Georgia has won eight straight and cashed five of its last seven in this battle of the Bulldogs. Georgia is 12-1 SU, but only 4-9 ATS before facing Florida.

ALABAMA at TENNESSEE

Alabama has 'covered' six of its last seven at Knoxville and won three games outright. The visiting team is 13-1 ATS in the last 14 series battles.

WASHINGTON at CALIFORNIA

Washington had won 19 straight against California until coach Jeff Tedford arrived on the scene in Berkeley. The Golden Bears have prevailed in the last four meetings by an average score of 47-16 and they have cashed in eight of the last 11 meetings.

COLORADO ST at WYOMING

Colorado State has won 10 of its last 13 versus Wyoming. The underdog has cashed 10 of 14. The home team is 4-10 ATS, 'covering' in the last three.

RICE at UCF

Rice is 10-3 ATS before a bye. The Owls have split their first four spread decisions on the road after going 0-6 ATS on the highway in 2005. Central Florida struggled against poor teams the past three years, coming up short in eight of nine ATS.

TOLEDO at EMU

Toledo is 13-3 SU and 9-6-1 ATS against Eastern Michigan. The Eagles are 6-3-1 as home dogs. The host team is 3-7-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings.

MIAMI (O) at AKRON

The visitor is 3-10 SU and 3-9-1 ATS. Miami (O) has won 10 of 12 against Akron (7-4-1 ATS). The Zips have won five of six and cashed six straight after a bye. The teams have combined to put 70.5 PPG on the board in the last four encounters.

STANFORD at ARIZONA ST

Stanford has 'covered' seven of eight against Arizona State. The Cardinal have also cashed six straight prior to a bye. The Pac-10 rivals have combined to average 72 PPG in the last eight shootouts.

SAN JOSE ST at NEVADA

San Jose State has lost nine of its last 11 conference road openers (3-8 ATS). Nevada has won and cashed four straight against the Spartans by an average of 10 PPG. The favorite has come away with the money in the last six tussles.

OREGON STATE at ARIZONA

Oregon State has won and 'covered' six of seven against Arizona. The favorite is 8-2 in the last 10 encounters. The Beavers are 4-10 ATS on grass. The Wildcats are 3-10-1 ATS prior to a bye.

UTEP at HOUSTON

UTEP has flunked eight of its last 14 conference road tests (9-5 ATS). The Miners had cashed 10 of their last 13 in October prior to last week's battle with Tulane.

FRESNO STATE at LSU

Fresno is 11-6 as road dogs with six outright upsets. LSU has won and cashed five straight prior to a bye. The Tigers are 4-0 SU, but just 1-3 ATS, against WAC opponents.

TEXAS TECH at IOWA STATE

The favorite has 'covered' four straight series meetings and the home team is 3-1 in the last four.

TEXAS A&M at OKLAHOMA ST

Oklahoma State is 8-3-1 ATS as conference home favorites. The visitor is 2-5 ATS in the last seven showdowns.

KANSAS STATE at MISSOURI

Missouri has a golden opportunity to snap a 13-game series skid against Kansas State. The Wildcats have also 'covered' eight of 11 versus the Tigers. Kansas State is 12-0 ATS after losing to Nebraska, but just 1-4 ATS after beating the XXXXs. The host is 11-5 ATS of late.

COLORADO at OKLAHOMA

Colorado has cashed 10 of 15 against Oklahoma. The home team has 'covered' four straight.

MARSHALL at UAB

Marshall has dropped its last six as conference road underdogs.

BC at FLORIDA ST

Boston College has 'covered' seven of its last nine as road pups. The Eagles failed to cash their first pair on the highway this year, both as favorites.

HAWAII at NEW MEXICO ST

Hawaii was 4-11 ATS on the road the last three seasons until getting the green in its first two stops this year. New Mexico State got the money in first two chances as underdogs after faltering in nine of 11 in that role in 2005.

TULSA at MEMPHIS

The visitor is 7-1-1 in the last nine clashes. Memphis has 'covered' nine of its last 10 conference openers at Skelly Stadium.

AIR FORCE at SAN DIEGO ST

San Diego State has cashed six of nine against Air Force. The favorite has disappointed in nine of 13 series clashes.

BOISE STATE at IDAHO

Boise State has won seven straight and 'covered' six of seven prior to a bye. Idaho has lost eight of nine (2-7 ATS) versus the Broncos. The Vandals have cashed 10 of their last 14 as home dogs, with seven outright upsets.

OREGON at WASHINGTON ST

The favorite has clicked in five of six series showdowns. Oregon is 17-10 ATS against conference foes.

posted by phantom

Oct. 19 2006 3:10pm
0 likes

Russell Peters

50* N. Mexico

Gregg Roberts

10* P. State biggest play so far

Power Plays

CFB:

4* Michigan State, Arkansas, Baylor, Michigan, Miami Fl, Nebraska, Tenn, Fla State, Tulsa, San Diego State, Mid Tenn. State

NFL:

4* Tampa Bay, Carolina

Harmon Forecast

Air Force 30 *San Diego State 20

*Akron 26 Miami (Ohio) 21

*Arkansas State 27 North Texas 13

*Arizona 23 Oregon State 21

*Arizona State 34 Stanford 15

*Arkansas 28 Mississippi 15

*Auburn 41 Tulane 6

*Baylor 24 Kansas 23

Boise State 36 *Idaho 19

*BYU 42 UNLV 10

*California 35 Washington 14

*Central Florida 30 Rice 22

*Central Michigan 26 Bowling Green 20

*Clemson 31 Georgia Tech 21

*East Carolina 26 SMU 18

*Eastern Michigan 23 Toledo 22

*Florida State 29 Boston College 23

*Georgia 31 Mississippi State 10

Hawaii 41 *New Mexico State 26

*Houston 30 UTEP 27

Louisiana-Lafayette 25 *Florida Atlantic 19

*Louisiana Tech 25 Utah State 18

Louisville 36 *Syracuse 14

*LSU 45 Fresno State 10

*Maryland 20 N.C. State 19

Miami (Fla.) 33 *Duke 10

*Michigan 29 Iowa 19

Michigan State 30 *Northwestern 23

Middle Tennessee State 20 *Louisiana-Monroe 19

*Missouri 33 Kansas State 16

*Nevada 33 San Jose State 22

*Northern Illinois 44 Temple 7

*Notre Dame 34 UCLA 25

*Ohio 27 Buffalo 12

*Ohio State 44 Indiana 9

*Oklahoma 23 Colorado 14

*Oklahoma State 30 Texas A&M 26

Oregon 28 *Washington State 27

*Pittsburgh 30 Rutgers 21

*Penn State 29 Illinois 19

South Carolina 26 *Vanderbilt 20

South Florida 24 *Cincinnati 21

*Tennessee 27 Alabama 17

Texas 32 *Nebraska 24

Texas Tech 26 *Iowa State 23

TCU 26 *Army 17

Tulsa 34 *Memphis 19

*UAB 25 Marshall 17

Utah 25 *New Mexico 20

*Virginia 25 North Carolina 18

*Virginia Tech 32 Southern Miss 15

West Virginia 34 *Connecticut 17

Western Michigan 26 *Ball State 25

Wisconsin 28 *Purdue 27

*Wyoming 23 Colorado State 22

posted by phantom

Oct. 19 2006 3:13pm
0 likes

Rockys Winners Circle

THURSDAY FREE PICK

CENTRAL MICHIGAN OVER

Ross Benjamin (3-6-0 / -365)

CFB - Utah (-6)

Joe Wiz (8-10-0 / -263)

CFB - C.Michigan Under (50.5)

posted by phantom

Oct. 19 2006 3:15pm
0 likes

Paul Leiner Free Pick for Today

Thursday, October 19, 2006

Sport: College Football Pick

Game: New Mexico/Utah

Prediction: 3 Star Over 41 Utah/NM

60-44-3 last 107 Free Plays

posted by phantom

Oct. 19 2006 3:17pm
0 likes

NCAAFB

Thursday, October 19th

Bowling Green at Central Michigan, 7:30 EST ESPNU

Bowling Green: 6-1 Under in October

Central Michigan: 6-0 ATS in October

North Carolina at Virginia, 7:30 EST ESPN

North Carolina: 8-2 Under off 3+ losses

Virginia: 7-0 ATS at home vs. North Carolina

Utah at New Mexico, 9:00 EST

Utah: 13-3 Over off a conference loss

New Mexico: 26-12 ATS off ATS losses in 2 of their last 3 games

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

Friday, October 20th

West Virginia at Connecticut, 8:00 EST ESPN

West Virginia: 6-0 ATS off a conference win

Connecticut: 10-2 Under off a straight up win

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

Saturday, October 21st

(TC) Rutgers at Pittsburgh, 5:45 EST ESPN2

Rutgers: 8-3 Over vs. conference opponents

Pittsburgh: 7-0 ATS at home vs. conference opponents

Illinois at Penn State, 12:00 EST ESPN2

Illinois: 11-27 ATS off an Under

Penn State: 6-1 Under off a loss

Michigan State at Northwestern, 12:00 EST

Michigan State: 2-12 ATS away off a home conference loss

Northwestern: 6-1 Under off 3+ losses

Louisville at Syracuse, 12:00 EST

Louisville: 7-0 Over away in October

Syracuse: 8-1 ATS at home off an ATS win

Indiana at Ohio State, 12:00 EST ESPNU

Indiana: 10-2 Over as an underdog

Ohio State: 10-1 ATS off an Under

NC State at Maryland, 12:00 EST

NC State: 12-4 Under in road games

Maryland: 1-9 ATS as a home favorite

(TC) TCU at Army, 3:30 EST ESPNU

TCU: 0-4 ATS as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points

Army: 6-1 Under after committing 4+ turnovers

(TC) Southern Miss at Virginia Tech, 7:00 EST ESPNU

Southern Miss: 4-15 ATS off a conference win by 7 points or less

Virginia Tech: 13-4 ATS after scoring 14 points or less

Buffalo at Ohio U, 2:00 EST

Buffalo: 6-1 ATS off BB games gaining 125 or less rushing yards

Ohio U: 6-0 Under after forcing 3+ turnovers

Western Michigan at Ball State, 2:00 EST

Western Michigan: 0-7 ATS as a road favorite of 3.5 to 7 points

Ball State: 10-1 ATS at home after losing 2 of their last 3 games

(TC) Mississippi at Arkansas, 12:30 EST

Mississippi: 0-6 ATS off an Over

Arkansas: 11-2 ATS off a combined score of 70+ points

UCLA at Notre Dame, 2:30 EST NBC

UCLA: 9-1 ATS off a road game

Notre Dame: 9-25 ATS after winning 4 of their last 5 games

Tulane at Auburn, 2:30 EST

Tulane: 7-0 Over away vs. non-conference opponnets

Auburn: 10-1 ATS in October

South Carolina at Vanderbilt, 3:00 EST

South Carolina: 8-2 Under in road games

Vanderbilt: 13-1 ATS off a win by 6 points or less

UNLV at BYU, 3:00 EST

UNLV: 6-15 ATS off a loss

BYU: 6-0 Over off a home win

Kansas at Baylor, 3:00 EST

Kansas: 8-23 ATS off a home conference loss

Baylor: 1-6 ATS off BB games scoring 31+ points

Temple at Northern Illinois, 3:00 EST

Temple: 3-13 ATS vs. MAC opponents

Northern Illinois: 20-8 ATS at home off a road game

SMU at East Carolina, 3:00 EST

SMU: 13-4 Under as an underdog

East Carolina: 13-4 ATS last 17 games

Iowa at Michigan, 3:30 EST ABC

Iowa: 27-13 ATS off an Over

Michigan: 5-1 Under as a favorite

(TC) Miami FL at Duke, 1:00 EST

Miami FL: 12-3 Under off BB home wins

Duke: 0-7 ATS in home games

(TC) Texas at Nebraska, 12:00 EST ABC

Texas: 10-0 Over off a conference game

Nebraska: 23-9 ATS off a road win by 10+ points

(TC) Wisconsin at Purdue, 12:00 EST ESPN

Wisconsin: 15-6 ATS as a favorite

Purdue: 2-10 ATS in October

(TC) Mississippi State at Georgia, 1:00 EST

Mississippi State: 1-8 ATS off a home game

Georgia: 10-0 ATS off BB conference losses

Alabama at Tennessee, 3:30 EST CBS

Alabama: 16-6 ATS away off BB ATS losses

Tennessee: 1-8 ATS at home vs. conference opponents

Washington at California, 3:30 EST FSN

Washington: 1-8 ATS at home after losing 2 of their last 3 games

California: 6-1 ATS off BB ATS wins

Colorado State at Wyoming, 4:00 EST CSTV

Colorado State: 9-1 Over off BB Unders

Wyoming: 14-3 ATS off an ATS win

Rice at Central Florida, 4:00 EST

Rice: 1-8 ATS away vs. conference opponents

Central Florida: 10-2 Under off a non-conference game

(TC) Toledo at Eastern Michigan, 3:00 EST

Toledo: 4-0 Over playing on artificial turf

Eastern Michigan: 5-1 ATS off BB road games

Miami OH at Akron, 6:00 EST

Miami OH: 8-2 ATS off a SU road win / ATS loss

Akron: 6-1 Under off a road loss

(TC) Stanford at Arizona State, 3:30 EST

Stanford: 1-6 ATS off a straight up loss

Arizona State: 6-0 ATS off a SU road loss / ATS win

San Jose State at Nevada, 7:00 EST ABC

San Jose State: 8-1 Under away vs. conference opponents

Nevada: 8-0 ATS as a home favorite

Oregon State at Arizona, 7:00 EST

Oregon State: 8-2 Under after losing 2 of their last 3 games

Arizona: 12-30 ATS at home off a win

UTEP at Houston, 7:00 EST

UTEP: 10-2 ATS after forcing 3+ turnovers

Houston: 5-17 ATS at home off BB ATS losses

Utah State at Louisiana Tech, 7:00 EST

Utah State: 2-10 ATS away off BB ATS wins

Louisiana Tech: 5-1 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points

(TC) Fresno State at LSU, 9:00 EST ESPN2

Fresno State: 11-2 ATS off BB conference games

LSU: 6-21 ATS at home off 3+ conference games

(TC) Texas Tech at Iowa State, 3:30 EST

Texas Tech: 20-6 ATS off a conference loss by 10+ points

Iowa State: 1-14 ATS off BB games gaining 100 or less rushing yards

Texas A&M at Oklahoma State, 7:00 EST

Texas A&M: 5-19 ATS as a road underdog

Oklahoma State: 8-2 Over with a line of +3 to -3

(TC) Kansas State at Missouri, 2:00 EST

Kansas State: 15-5 Over off a conference loss

Missouri: 10-2 ATS at home off an Under

Colorado at Oklahoma, 7:00 EST FSN

Colorado: 20-7 Over off a win by 21+ points

Oklahoma: 19-35 ATS off a win by 21+ points

Marshall at UAB, 7:00 EST

Marshall: 0-7 ATS off a conference loss

UAB: 6-1 Over in October

(TC) Georgia Tech at Clemson, 7:45 EST ESPN

Georgia Tech: 16-6 Under in October

Clemson: 6-0 ATS after allowing 125 or less passing yards

(TC) Boston College at Florida State, 3:30 EST ABC

Boston College: 7-1 ATS off a win by 10+ points as an underdog

Florida State: 1-8 ATS off BB conference games

Hawaii at New Mexico State, 8:00 EST

Hawaii: 11-3 Over vs. conference opponents

New Mexico State: 0-7 ATS off a home loss

Tulsa at Memphis, 8:00 EST CSTV

Tulsa: 8-0 ATS off an Under

Memphis: 6-1 Over after committing 0 turnovers

Air Force at San Diego State, 8:00 EST

Air Force: 21-8 ATS away off a home win

San Diego State: 7-0 Over as a home underdog of 7.5 to 14 points

(TC) Boise State at Idaho, 5:00 EST

Boise State: 39-19 ATS vs. conference opponents

Idaho: 2-8 ATS off a conference win by 10+ points

(TC) Oregon at Washington State, 5:00 EST

Oregon: 6-0 ATS off an ATS loss

Washington State: 3-19 ATS off ATS wins in 4 or 5 of their last 6 games

Added Games:

North Texas at Arkansas State, 7:00 EST

North Texas: 22-10 ATS off a conference win

Arkansas State: 0-7 ATS off a win by 3 points or less

Middle Tennessee State at Lousiana Monroe, 7:00 EST

Mid Tenn State: 8-1 Under away off a loss

LA Monroe: 5-1 ATS off 3+ losses

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

Sunday, October 22nd

South Florida at Cincinnati, 8:00 EST ESPN

South Florida: 6-0 ATS off an Over

Cincinnati: 14-4 Under as a favorite

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

posted by phantom

Oct. 19 2006 6:18pm
0 likes

NCAAFB

Thursday

BOWLING GREEN (4 - 3) at C MICHIGAN (4 - 3) - 10/19/2006, 7:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.

C MICHIGAN is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games this season.

C MICHIGAN is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.

C MICHIGAN is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

C MICHIGAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in October games over the last 2 seasons.

C MICHIGAN is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons.

C MICHIGAN is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all lined games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History

BOWLING GREEN is 1-0 against the spread versus C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons

BOWLING GREEN is 1-0 straight up against C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons

N CAROLINA (1 - 5) at VIRGINIA (2 - 5) - 10/19/2006, 7:30 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History

VIRGINIA is 1-1 against the spread versus N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons

VIRGINIA is 1-1 straight up against N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons

1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

UTAH (4 - 3) at NEW MEXICO (3 - 4) - 10/19/2006, 9:00 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History

NEW MEXICO is 1-1 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons

NEW MEXICO is 1-1 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

FRIDAY

W VIRGINIA (6 - 0) at CONNECTICUT (3 - 3) - 10/20/2006, 8:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

W VIRGINIA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

W VIRGINIA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

W VIRGINIA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

W VIRGINIA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History

W VIRGINIA is 2-0 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons

W VIRGINIA is 2-0 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

SATURDAY

RUTGERS (6 - 0) at PITTSBURGH (6 - 1) - 10/21/2006, 12:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

RUTGERS is 38-58 ATS (-25.8 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

PITTSBURGH is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

PITTSBURGH is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

PITTSBURGH is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History

PITTSBURGH is 1-1 against the spread versus RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons

PITTSBURGH is 1-1 straight up against RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons

2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

ILLINOIS (2 - 5) at PENN ST (4 - 3) - 10/21/2006, 12:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

ILLINOIS is 23-39 ATS (-19.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

PENN ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History

PENN ST is 1-0 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons

PENN ST is 1-0 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons

1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

MICHIGAN ST (3 - 4) at NORTHWESTERN (2 - 5) - 10/21/2006, 12:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

MICHIGAN ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.

MICHIGAN ST is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

MICHIGAN ST is 19-39 ATS (-23.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.

NORTHWESTERN is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 since 1992.

NORTHWESTERN is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History

NORTHWESTERN is 1-0 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons

NORTHWESTERN is 1-0 straight up against MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons

1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

LOUISVILLE (6 - 0) at SYRACUSE (3 - 4) - 10/21/2006, 12:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

SYRACUSE is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

SYRACUSE is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

SYRACUSE is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

LOUISVILLE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

LOUISVILLE is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History

SYRACUSE is 1-0 against the spread versus LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons

LOUISVILLE is 1-0 straight up against SYRACUSE over the last 3 seasons

1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

INDIANA (4 - 3) at OHIO ST (7 - 0) - 10/21/2006, 12:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

OHIO ST is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

OHIO ST is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.

OHIO ST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

OHIO ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

OHIO ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

OHIO ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.

OHIO ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

OHIO ST is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

OHIO ST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History

OHIO ST is 2-0 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons

OHIO ST is 2-0 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

NC STATE (3 - 3) at MARYLAND (4 - 2) - 10/21/2006, 12:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

NC STATE is 20-37 ATS (-20.7 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

MARYLAND is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History

NC STATE is 2-0 against the spread versus MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons

NC STATE is 2-0 straight up against MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons

2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

TCU (3 - 2) at ARMY (3 - 4) - 10/21/2006, 3:30 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History

ARMY is 2-0 against the spread versus TCU over the last 3 seasons

TCU is 2-0 straight up against ARMY over the last 3 seasons

1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

SOUTHERN MISS (4 - 2) at VIRGINIA TECH (4 - 2) - 10/21/2006, 7:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

VIRGINIA TECH is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.

VIRGINIA TECH is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

VIRGINIA TECH is 38-22 ATS (+13.8 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.

VIRGINIA TECH is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History

There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

BUFFALO (1 - 5) at OHIO U (4 - 3) - 10/21/2006, 2:00 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History

OHIO U is 2-0 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons

OHIO U is 2-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons

1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

W MICHIGAN (4 - 2) at BALL ST (2 - 5) - 10/21/2006, 2:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

W MICHIGAN is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) as a road favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History

BALL ST is 2-0 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons

BALL ST is 2-0 straight up against W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons

1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

MISSISSIPPI (2 - 5) at ARKANSAS (5 - 1) - 10/21/2006, 12:30 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History

ARKANSAS is 2-0 against the spread versus MISSISSIPPI over the last 3 seasons

ARKANSAS is 2-0 straight up against MISSISSIPPI over the last 3 seasons

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

UCLA (4 - 2) at NOTRE DAME (5 - 1) - 10/21/2006, 2:30 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History

There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

TULANE (2 - 4) at AUBURN (6 - 1) - 10/21/2006, 2:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.

TULANE is 44-67 ATS (-29.7 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

AUBURN is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

AUBURN is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

AUBURN is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

AUBURN is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.

AUBURN is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History

There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

S CAROLINA (4 - 2) at VANDERBILT (3 - 4) - 10/21/2006, 3:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

VANDERBILT is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in home games in October games since 1992.

VANDERBILT is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History

S CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons

S CAROLINA is 2-0 straight up against VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

UNLV (1 - 5) at BYU (4 - 2) - 10/21/2006, 3:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

UNLV is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.

UNLV is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

UNLV is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

UNLV is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History

BYU is 1-1 against the spread versus UNLV over the last 3 seasons

BYU is 1-1 straight up against UNLV over the last 3 seasons

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

KANSAS (3 - 4) at BAYLOR (3 - 4) - 10/21/2006, 3:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

KANSAS is 63-92 ATS (-38.2 Units) in all games since 1992.

KANSAS is 43-67 ATS (-30.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

KANSAS is 58-86 ATS (-36.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

KANSAS is 45-76 ATS (-38.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

KANSAS is 36-73 ATS (-44.3 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.

KANSAS is 23-48 ATS (-29.8 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.

KANSAS is 63-92 ATS (-38.2 Units) in all lined games since 1992.

KANSAS is 36-58 ATS (-27.8 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

KANSAS is 26-45 ATS (-23.5 Units) in road games since 1992.

KANSAS is 26-45 ATS (-23.5 Units) in road lined games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History

There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

TEMPLE (0 - 7) at N ILLINOIS (4 - 3) - 10/21/2006, 3:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

TEMPLE is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) against MAC opponents since 1992.

TEMPLE is 19-38 ATS (-22.8 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.

N ILLINOIS is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History

There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

SMU (4 - 3) at E CAROLINA (2 - 4) - 10/21/2006, 3:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

E CAROLINA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

E CAROLINA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

E CAROLINA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

E CAROLINA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

SMU is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History

E CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus SMU over the last 3 seasons

E CAROLINA is 1-0 straight up against SMU over the last 3 seasons

1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

IOWA (5 - 2) at MICHIGAN (7 - 0) - 10/21/2006, 3:30 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History

MICHIGAN is 1-1 against the spread versus IOWA over the last 3 seasons

MICHIGAN is 2-0 straight up against IOWA over the last 3 seasons

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

MIAMI (4 - 2) at DUKE (0 - 6) - 10/21/2006, 2:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

DUKE is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

DUKE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.

DUKE is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

DUKE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

DUKE is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

DUKE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons.

DUKE is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

DUKE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

DUKE is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.

DUKE is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History

MIAMI is 1-0 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons

MIAMI is 1-0 straight up against DUKE over the last 3 seasons

1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

TEXAS (6 - 1) at NEBRASKA (6 - 1) - 10/21/2006, 12:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

NEBRASKA is 35-19 ATS (+14.1 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.

NEBRASKA is 48-26 ATS (+19.4 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

NEBRASKA is 37-21 ATS (+13.9 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

NEBRASKA is 52-33 ATS (+15.7 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.

NEBRASKA is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) in home games in October games since 1992.

NEBRASKA is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

NEBRASKA is 52-33 ATS (+15.7 Units) in home games since 1992.

NEBRASKA is 52-33 ATS (+15.7 Units) in home lined games since 1992.

TEXAS is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

TEXAS is 69-44 ATS (+20.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

TEXAS is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

TEXAS is 44-23 ATS (+18.7 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

TEXAS is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.

TEXAS is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

TEXAS is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History

There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

WISCONSIN (6 - 1) at PURDUE (5 - 2) - 10/21/2006, 12:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

WISCONSIN is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

WISCONSIN is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

WISCONSIN is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

WISCONSIN is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

PURDUE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History

WISCONSIN is 2-0 against the spread versus PURDUE over the last 3 seasons

WISCONSIN is 2-0 straight up against PURDUE over the last 3 seasons

2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

MISSISSIPPI ST (2 - 5) at GEORGIA (5 - 2) - 10/21/2006, 2:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

GEORGIA is 11-0 ATS (+11.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.

GEORGIA is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History

MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-0 against the spread versus GEORGIA over the last 3 seasons

GEORGIA is 1-0 straight up against MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons

1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

ALABAMA (5 - 2) at TENNESSEE (5 - 1) - 10/21/2006, 3:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.

TENNESSEE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

TENNESSEE is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History

TENNESSEE is 1-1 against the spread versus ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons

TENNESSEE is 1-1 straight up against ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons

2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

WASHINGTON (4 - 3) at CALIFORNIA (6 - 1) - 10/21/2006, 3:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.

WASHINGTON is 42-65 ATS (-29.5 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History

CALIFORNIA is 1-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons

CALIFORNIA is 2-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons

1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

COLORADO ST (4 - 2) at WYOMING (3 - 4) - 10/21/2006, 4:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

COLORADO ST is 63-41 ATS (+17.9 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.

COLORADO ST is 80-56 ATS (+18.4 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

COLORADO ST is 41-20 ATS (+19.0 Units) in October games since 1992.

COLORADO ST is 44-24 ATS (+17.6 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

COLORADO ST is 44-27 ATS (+14.3 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History

COLORADO ST is 2-0 against the spread versus WYOMING over the last 3 seasons

COLORADO ST is 2-0 straight up against WYOMING over the last 3 seasons

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

RICE (2 - 5) at C FLORIDA (2 - 4) - 10/21/2006, 4:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

RICE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

RICE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History

RICE is 1-0 against the spread versus C FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons

C FLORIDA is 1-0 straight up against RICE over the last 3 seasons

1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

TOLEDO (2 - 5) at E MICHIGAN (0 - 6) - 10/21/2006, 3:00 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History

TOLEDO is 2-0 against the spread versus E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons

TOLEDO is 2-0 straight up against E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons

1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

MIAMI OHIO (1 - 6) at AKRON (2 - 4) - 10/21/2006, 6:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

AKRON is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after a bye week since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History

MIAMI OHIO is 2-0 against the spread versus AKRON over the last 3 seasons

MIAMI OHIO is 2-0 straight up against AKRON over the last 3 seasons

1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

STANFORD (0 - 7) at ARIZONA ST (3 - 3) - 10/21/2006, 3:30 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History

STANFORD is 2-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons

ARIZONA ST is 1-1 straight up against STANFORD over the last 3 seasons

2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

SAN JOSE ST (4 - 1) at NEVADA (3 - 3) - 10/21/2006, 7:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

NEVADA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

NEVADA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

NEVADA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

NEVADA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.

NEVADA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History

NEVADA is 2-0 against the spread versus SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons

NEVADA is 2-0 straight up against SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons

1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

OREGON ST (3 - 3) at ARIZONA (3 - 4) - 10/21/2006, 7:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

ARIZONA is 27-47 ATS (-24.7 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

ARIZONA is 44-69 ATS (-31.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

ARIZONA is 28-52 ATS (-29.2 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.

ARIZONA is 28-52 ATS (-29.2 Units) in home games since 1992.

ARIZONA is 28-52 ATS (-29.2 Units) in home lined games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History

ARIZONA is 1-1 against the spread versus OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons

ARIZONA is 1-1 straight up against OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons

1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

UTEP (4 - 2) at HOUSTON (4 - 3) - 10/21/2006, 7:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

UTEP is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.

HOUSTON is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History

HOUSTON is 1-0 against the spread versus UTEP over the last 3 seasons

UTEP is 1-0 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons

1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

UTAH ST (1 - 6) at LOUISIANA TECH (1 - 5) - 10/21/2006, 7:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

LOUISIANA TECH is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History

LOUISIANA TECH is 1-0 against the spread versus UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons

LOUISIANA TECH is 1-0 straight up against UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons

1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

FRESNO ST (1 - 5) at LSU (5 - 2) - 10/21/2006, 8:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

FRESNO ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in all games this season.

FRESNO ST is 6-21 ATS (-17.1 Units) in road games in October games since 1992.

FRESNO ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 2 seasons.

FRESNO ST is 22-38 ATS (-19.8 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

FRESNO ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in all lined games this season.

LSU is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History

There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

TEXAS TECH (4 - 3) at IOWA ST (3 - 4) - 10/21/2006, 3:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.

TEXAS TECH is 66-43 ATS (+18.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

TEXAS TECH is 39-21 ATS (+15.9 Units) in October games since 1992.

TEXAS TECH is 42-24 ATS (+15.6 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

IOWA ST is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 56 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History

There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

TEXAS A&M (6 - 1) at OKLAHOMA ST (4 - 2) - 10/21/2006, 7:00 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History

TEXAS A&M is 2-0 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons

TEXAS A&M is 2-0 straight up against OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons

2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

KANSAS ST (4 - 3) at MISSOURI (6 - 1) - 10/21/2006, 2:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

KANSAS ST is 72-49 ATS (+18.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

KANSAS ST is 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History

KANSAS ST is 2-0 against the spread versus MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons

KANSAS ST is 2-0 straight up against MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons

2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

COLORADO (1 - 6) at OKLAHOMA (4 - 2) - 10/21/2006, 7:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

OKLAHOMA is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History

OKLAHOMA is 1-0 against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons

OKLAHOMA is 1-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons

1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

MARSHALL (1 - 5) at UAB (3 - 4) - 10/21/2006, 7:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

MARSHALL is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.

MARSHALL is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

MARSHALL is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

MARSHALL is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.

MARSHALL is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.

MARSHALL is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.

MARSHALL is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.

MARSHALL is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History

MARSHALL is 1-0 against the spread versus UAB over the last 3 seasons

MARSHALL is 1-0 straight up against UAB over the last 3 seasons

1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

GEORGIA TECH (5 - 1) at CLEMSON (6 - 1) - 10/21/2006, 7:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

CLEMSON is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

CLEMSON is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History

CLEMSON is 1-1 against the spread versus GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons

GEORGIA TECH is 2-0 straight up against CLEMSON over the last 3 seasons

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

BOSTON COLLEGE (5 - 1) at FLORIDA ST (4 - 2) - 10/21/2006, 3:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.

FLORIDA ST is 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History

FLORIDA ST is 1-0 against the spread versus BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons

FLORIDA ST is 1-0 straight up against BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons

1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

HAWAII (4 - 2) at NEW MEXICO ST (2 - 4) - 10/21/2006, 8:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

HAWAII is 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) in road games after playing a conference game since 1992.

NEW MEXICO ST is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

NEW MEXICO ST is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.

NEW MEXICO ST is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

NEW MEXICO ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

NEW MEXICO ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

NEW MEXICO ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

NEW MEXICO ST is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

NEW MEXICO ST is 8-23 ATS (-17.3 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History

HAWAII is 1-0 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons

HAWAII is 1-0 straight up against NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons

1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

TULSA (5 - 1) at MEMPHIS (1 - 5) - 10/21/2006, 8:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

TULSA is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

TULSA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.

TULSA is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

TULSA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

TULSA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

TULSA is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

TULSA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.

TULSA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History

TULSA is 1-0 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons

TULSA is 1-0 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons

1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

AIR FORCE (3 - 2) at SAN DIEGO ST (0 - 5) - 10/21/2006, 8:00 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History

SAN DIEGO ST is 1-1 against the spread versus AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons

SAN DIEGO ST is 1-1 straight up against AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons

2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

BOISE ST (7 - 0) at IDAHO (4 - 3) - 10/21/2006, 8:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

BOISE ST is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points since 1992.

BOISE ST is 61-35 ATS (+22.5 Units) in all games since 1992.

BOISE ST is 39-19 ATS (+18.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

BOISE ST is 49-30 ATS (+16.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

BOISE ST is 44-21 ATS (+20.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

BOISE ST is 41-14 ATS (+25.6 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.

BOISE ST is 38-21 ATS (+14.9 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

BOISE ST is 36-13 ATS (+21.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

BOISE ST is 38-21 ATS (+14.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

BOISE ST is 20-6 ATS (+13.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

BOISE ST is 61-35 ATS (+22.5 Units) in all lined games since 1992.

BOISE ST is 46-26 ATS (+17.4 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History

BOISE ST is 2-0 against the spread versus IDAHO over the last 3 seasons

BOISE ST is 2-0 straight up against IDAHO over the last 3 seasons

1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

OREGON (5 - 1) at WASHINGTON ST (4 - 3) - 10/21/2006, 5:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

OREGON is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History

WASHINGTON ST is 1-1 against the spread versus OREGON over the last 3 seasons

OREGON is 2-0 straight up against WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons

2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

NORTH TEXAS (2 - 4) at ARKANSAS ST (4 - 2) - 10/21/2006, 7:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

NORTH TEXAS is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History

ARKANSAS ST is 1-1 against the spread versus NORTH TEXAS over the last 3 seasons

ARKANSAS ST is 1-1 straight up against NORTH TEXAS over the last 3 seasons

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

MIDDLE TENN ST (3 - 3) at LA MONROE (1 - 5) - 10/21/2006, 7:00 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History

LA MONROE is 1-1 against the spread versus MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons

LA MONROE is 1-1 straight up against MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons

1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

SUNDAY

S FLORIDA (5 - 2) at CINCINNATI (3 - 4) - 10/22/2006, 8:00 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History

CINCINNATI is 2-0 against the spread versus S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons

CINCINNATI is 1-1 straight up against S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons

1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

posted by phantom

Oct. 19 2006 6:19pm
0 likes

WV VS UCONN

QUICK TREND

West Virginia at Connecticut, 8:00 EST ESPN

West Virginia: 6-0 ATS off a conference win

Connecticut: 10-2 Under off a straight up win

-------------------------------------

THE DUNKEL

Game 109-110: West Virginia at Connecticut

Dunkel Ratings: West Virginia 104.207; Connecticut 82.028

Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 22; 50 1/2

Vegas Line: West Virginia by 22; 50 1/2

Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Neutral

--------------------------------------

OVERALL TRENDS

W VIRGINIA (6 - 0) at CONNECTICUT (3 - 3) - 10/20/2006, 8:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.

W VIRGINIA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

W VIRGINIA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

W VIRGINIA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

W VIRGINIA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History

W VIRGINIA is 2-0 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons

W VIRGINIA is 2-0 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

-----------------------------------------

QUICK SHOT

WEST VIRGINIA at CONNECTICUT

West Virginia has cashed nine of its last 10 weekday tests. Connecticut has lost seven straight to ranked opponents (3-4 ATS).

-----------------------------------------

Friday's Game

West Virginia ran ball for 228 yards in 45-13 win vs. UConn last year (TY 372-129); they won 31-19 in last visit here (-6). West Va had 457 yards on ground LW vs. Syracuse- East Carolina was only team to hold them under 312 rushing yds TY. WVa covered eight of last nine weekday games. UConn is 3-3, with losses by 11,24,22 points. Navy had 461 rushing yds against Huskies, so Mountaineers should be able to do similar damage.

---------------------------------------------

WHY WV SHOULD COVER

The West Virginia Mountaineers visited Mississippi State two weeks ago, opening as 28-point favorites, but with the pointspread dropping to 20 Ã‚Â½ by kickoff.

I interpreted the reduced spread as a lack of respect for both the Mountaineers and the Big East and listed reasons why theyÃ¢â‚¬â„¢d beat the Bulldogs by at least three touchdowns.

It wasnÃ¢â‚¬â„¢t pretty, but they did it and I patted myself on the back without realizing how soon IÃ¢â‚¬â„¢d have to stand up for the West Virginia boys again.

While the 22-point spread against the Connecticut Huskies likely wonÃ¢â‚¬â„¢t drop too much before kickoff, I`m still compelled to reiterate why WVU looks like a safe bet to cover another hefty spread tonight.

A mismatch that matters

West Virginia has the best running game in the nation, featuring Heisman candidate Steve Slaton. The Mountaineers have topped 300 rushing yards in five of six games this season, topped by last weekÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s 457 yards against Syracuse. Quarterback Patrick White led the way with 247 yards and four touchdowns.

UConn struggles against the run, especially when a mobile quarterback is part of the equation. The Huskies allowed 464 yards on the ground to Navy three weeks ago when the Midshipmen had a healthy Brian Hampton.

West VirginiaÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s opponents knew that the run was coming, yet the Mountaineers couldnÃ¢â‚¬â„¢t be stopped.

UConn knew Navy was coming with the run and still couldnÃ¢â‚¬â„¢t stop it.

ItÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s a bad combination for Huskies backers.

Passive attack

UConn head coach Randy Edsall says ball control is the key to beating the Mountaineers.

Ã¢â‚¬Å“You take a look at West Virginia and see how explosive they are,Ã¢â‚¬

posted by phantom

Oct. 20 2006 2:57pm
0 likes

THE GOLD SHEET a.k.a. NATIONWIDE PUBLISHING

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

2 units = SUPER POWER 7 = # 167 MIAMI (Ohio)

1 1/2 units = TOP CHOICE = # 186 MISSOURI

1 unit = REGULAR PLAYS = # 157 ALABAMA

# 191 GEORGIA TECH

# 199 AIR FORCE

posted by phantom

Oct. 20 2006 9:28pm
0 likes

Handicapper: Larry Ness

League: College Football

Event: Louisville vs Syracuse on 10/21/2006 at 09:00

Condition: Louisville

Grade: Ungraded

Promotion: Louisville saw its QB Brian Brohm return last week against Cincy and while the Cardinals struggled somewhat in winning their 15th straight home game (won just 23-17), Brohm looked pretty good. He completed 20-of-37 passes for 324 yards. Amazingly, the running game hasn't missed a beat even though Bush went down in the season-opener, as Stripling and Smith have keyed a unit that averages 214.8 YPG and 5.7 YPG. Defensively, the Cardinals have been a HUGE surprise this year (and are still underrated), holding opponents to just 12.5 PPG and 278.3 YPG. The team's rush D allows just 84.2 YPG (2.8 YPC), despite a sloppy effort LW vs Cincy (Bearcats inexplicably ran for 212 yards!). Syracuse is in real trouble here. The Orange enter this game averaging just 274.1 YPG offensively (107th), while allowing 410.1 YPG (109th). The rush D is allowing 202 YPG (111th) and 5.3 YPG, which hardly bodes well when facing the punishing Louisville RBs (LW Syra allowed West Va to run for 457 yards!). The team's 17 takeaways and 26 sacks have saved them, as it's allowed them to give up just 24.4 PPG, much less than one would expect when looking at the yardage totals. Louisville struggled into the 4th quarter against Syracuse LY at home (led just 24-17 before winning 41-17) and in that game, saw Brohm go down with an injury (was unavailable for the postseason). I expect Louisville to "take no prisoners" in this one and this will be a blowout from start to finish! CFB Blowout of the Year 15* Lousiville

posted by phantom

Oct. 20 2006 9:28pm
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Scotty Spreitzer

CFB Pancake GOY-Tulsa

Blowout of the month-Notre Dame

Pac 10 GOM-California

also on Nevada

KELSO STURGEONS

ChairmanÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s Club

College For Saturday

10 Units

CLEMSON (-7) over Georgia Tech

Prediction: Clemson by 10-14

Starting Time: 7:45

TV: ESPN2

NFL For Sunday

10 Units

Washington Redskins (+9) over INDIANAPOLIS COLTS

Prediction: Colts by 1-4

Starting Time: 4:15

TV: FOX

Best Bets Club

5 Units

Michigan State (-7 Ã‚Â½) over NORTHWESTERN

Prediction: MSU by 14-17

Starting Time: 12:00 Noon

TV: ESPN Plus

4 Units

Boston College (+6 Ã‚Â½) over FLORIDA STATE

Prediction: Boston College by 1-3

Starting Time: 3:30

TV: ABC

3 Units

WYOMING (-4) over Colorado State

Prediction: Wyoming by 7-10

Starting Time: 4:00

Pat Miller

Game: North Carolina State @ Maryland on Oct 21, 2006 12:00PM

Prediction: Maryland

Reason: A big comeback win at Virginia last Saturday may just be the turning point in Maryland's season. We'll back them laying less than a field goal at home against an inconsistent N.C. State squad.

The Terps biggest edge in this game will be on the ground. The duo of Keon Lattimore and Lance Ball should have a field day against the Wolfpack's 75th ranked run defense. Last week they combined for 190 yards rushing against a stingy Virginia defense. That was just the springboard they needed heading into this matchup.

While Terps QB Sam Hollenbach hasn't exactly been lighting the ACC on fire this season, he has shown steady improvement. He has cut down on his interceptions considerably, and that will be key against N.C. State's opportunistic secondary. Hollenbach should be able to do just enough through the air to keep the Wolfpack defense honest, and give Ball and Lattimore room to do their work.

QB Daniel Evans has been hailed as a savior at N.C. State, but I'm not quite as impressed. Sure, he has been a marked improvement over Marcus Stone, but that's not saying much. After suffering a concussion last Saturday against Wake Forest, I'm not sure how sharp Evans will be against Maryland. The Terps secondary is more talented than their numbers would suggest and should be able to keep Evans from converting too many big plays.

With both teams entering this one at 1-1 in ACC play, this is a critical contest. We'll give the edge to the home side as they use their offensive balance to seal the deal. Take Maryland

posted by phantom

Oct. 20 2006 9:30pm
0 likes

Stuey

FRIDAY'S SELECTION

I'm on a 108-89-3 free selection run after the Mets failed to get the job done last night in Game 7 of the NLCS. But are you kidding me, what a game! Also, don't forget that after Denver and Oakland easily stayed under the posted total last Sunday night, I'm now 9-2-2 with my last 13 free gridiron plays.

For your Friday freebie, I'm taking a look at Saturday's college card as I like Arizona State to blast woeful Stanford in Tempe. The Sun Devils have had a tough go of it the last several weeks in facing the Pac-10's elite in Southern Cal, Oregon and California. But ASU's solid effort in last week's 28-21 loss at USC has head coach Dirk Koetter's team feeling encouraged about themselves heading back home to face this very bad Cardinal (0-7 SU and 1-6 ATS) team. Stanford can't stop anybody and the Sun Devils will roll up a big number in this blowout win.

Ther only reason why Stanford has covered even one game in 2006 is because Notre Dame's Charlie Weiss doesn't believe in embarrassing opponents just for the sake of doing such. This is a very bad Stanford squad that has lost every game by double digits except for one. And that was against San Jose State when the double-digit chalk Cardinal lost outright! Stanford can't stop anyone and is giving up 34 points and 432 yards per game. They have been dreadful against the run in allowing better than 262 yards rushing per contest. That's bad, folks.

The Sun Devils can move the ball both on the ground (164.2 ypg) and through the air (196.7 ypg). While quarterback Rudy Carpenter hasn't produced a huge effort this year as expected, that changes today. That's because I'm looking for speedy tailback Ryan Torain (524 yards, 5.6 ypc) to break off some big gainers early. When Stanford moves up in an effort to contain Torain, Carpenter (12 TD passes) and ASU receivers will burn them. Arizona State has a talent on the offensive sides of the football and this unit is set to explode Saturday.

As bad as Stanford has been on defense this season, they've been just as bad if not worse on offense. They're averaging only 11.4 points and 246 yards per game. They can't run (71 ypg), they can't hold onto the football (16 turnovers) and they're off a game in which Aizona limited the Cardinal to a mere 52 total yards. Stanford is getting inconsistent play from its quarterbacks (32 sacks doesn't help matters) and while Arizona State won't be setting any defensive records this year, the Sun Devils will have little problem stopping this weak Stanford attack. ASU, which has forced a decent 13 turnovers this year, will force the Cardinal into miscues, that will in turn become easy Sun Devil points.

Ariziona State is 9-2 ATS as a double-digit home chalk under Koetter and this team is eager for a feel-good win as the Sun Devils haven't tasted victory since an 18-point win at Colorado more than a month ago. After facing the conference's elite in recent weeks, it will be the Sun Devils who bring out the whipping stick Saturday in this 30-plus point win over this very bad Stanford team.

posted by phantom

Oct. 20 2006 9:31pm
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Teddy Sevransky

Game: Rice @ Central Florida on Oct 21, 2006 4:00PM

Prediction: Rice

Reason: Central Florida has exactly one win over a Division 1A opponent this year, beating a 1-5 Marshall team by a single point, 23-22. The Golden Knights have been unable to harness the positive momentum they garnered a season ago, rebounding from a winless 2004 campaign to earn a trip to the Conference USA championship game and a subsequent bowl bid.

George OÃ¢â‚¬â„¢LearyÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s team has done little on offense all year. Quarterback Stephen Moffett is arguably the single worst senior starting quarterback in the country, while running backs Kevin Smith and Jason Peters have found yardage hard to come by behind their rebuilt offensive line. ThatÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s why UCF has been held to 17 points or less in four of their five lined games this season, including all three previous lined games at home.

ItÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s hard to lay points with a team like Central Florida. They donÃ¢â‚¬â„¢t have the offensive potency to blow out their opposition. They donÃ¢â‚¬â„¢t have the confidence factor allowing them to put close games out of reach in the fourth quarter. And they simply arenÃ¢â‚¬â„¢t winning many games, let alone winning them by margin. Throw in a rush defense that has allowed 491 yards on the ground over the past two weeks and itÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s clear that the Knights are false favorites in this spot against a rapidly improving Rice team.

First year Owls head coach Todd Graham compiled an impressive resume before landing the Rice job, working under Steve Kragthorpe at Tulsa and Rich Rodriguez at West Virginia, two of the brightest offensive minds in the country. And Rice has made significant strides under GrahamÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s tutelage, winning two of their last three games after an 0-4 start.

Unlike Central Florida, Rice is scoring with ease these days, putting up 106 points in their last three ballgames. Quarterback Chase Clement has found playmaking wide receiver Jarrett Dillard repeatedly in the end zone Ã¢â‚¬â€œ DillardÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s eleven touchdown catches lead the nation. Running back Quinton Smith has demonstrated big play potential, giving the offense some much needed balance. ThereÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s little reason to think that this improving Rice squad wonÃ¢â‚¬â„¢t be able to trade points with UCF on Saturday. Take the points with Rice.

posted by phantom

Oct. 20 2006 9:31pm
0 likes

Bettors World Key Plays

5* Nebraska +6.5 over Texas - Just when we find another good spot to go against Texas, the BCS rankings come out and piss Texas off. To a man, this team feels it got no respect in the BCS rankings (9th). They figured they'd be ranked much higher. Which will have the Longhorns out to make a statement this week when they travel to Nebraska. But can they? This game huge for Nebraska as well. We've stated several times here on these pages how Nebraska is returning to prominence after a few down years while the team implemented a new offensive scheme under coach Callahan. What better way to say "We're back!" than a win over last years National Champs? Sometimes in these write ups, we just like to hear ourselves talk : ) Fact remains, each week, the games that make these pages all start with our number being significantly different from the current line. In this case, we make this game dead even. A pick em. Both teams have beaten some cupcakes and both teams have come up short in their one big test. Texas lost at home to Ohio State and Nebraska lost on the road to USC. Here we have a home dog in a HUGE game against a Texas QB making his first road start EVER, getting 6.5 points in a game we rate even and feel they can win straight up. We win this game 55-60 times out of 100 which is why we play it.

4* Georgia Tech +7.5 over Clemson - Sometimes we handicap a game, go through our usual process, get our number, look at the history, etc.etc. and find that everything we look at overwhelmingly favors one side. Generally when that happens, we find ourselves coming to the conclusion that we simply have to be missing something! Unfortunately, when we allow ourselves to think we must be missing something, we end up talking ourselves out of some winners by staying off the game. Such is the dilemma we find ourselves in with this game. Our number favors Tech as we make Clemson a 4 point fav. A look at the history between these two over the last decade and a half tells us that when these two play, SOMEONE wins by 3. Tons of 3 point games between these two with the majority of their games decided by a TD or less. Matter of fact if you gave Tech +7.5 points in each of the last 14 games between these two, they would have covered 11 and lost only 3. Nine out of the last 10 have been decided by 5 or less. Perhaps we are missing something, which we won't find out about until sometime around 10pm est on Saturday night. But in the meantime, we're going to take +7.5 with a team that is 5-1, and figures to be every bit as good as Clemson, in a series that is ALWAYS close.

3* Rutgers +6.5 over Pittsburgh - We hate to get caught going to the well one too many times with any one team. Particularly when the rest of the country is also starting to hop on the bandwagon. That's our concern here with Rutgers. But we don't feel the line reflects a public bandwagon. If it did, this game would be -3. When we handicap this game statistically, and come up with our own number, we make Pitt a field goal favorite at best. So, still plenty of value here with Rutgers. What we have here, is two "good" football teams. What we don't know, is how good either is. Pitt is 6-1 and Rutgers 6-0, but neither team has played quality opposition. Pitts toughest opponent was Michigan State, and guess what? They failed that test with their only loss, 38-23. Rutgers biggest test was probably last week against Navy, which they blew away 34-0 and treated us to a 5* winner here on these pages. Something else that has us treading lightly here that this is a big revenge game for Pitt. Last year they trailed Rutgers 27-0 at the half. Rutgers hung on for the win, but at least one Rutgers player has been reported to have been wearing a Rutgers jersey ever since in anticipation of this rematch. We'll obviously know more about these two after this week. But here, we have to go with a solid football team as an underdog getting a generous amount of points in a game they have the potential to win outright.

2* UCLA +14 over Notre Dame - We're just not ready to lay 14 points with Notre Dame. Last year ND had a great offense and a defense that needed work. All the pre season talk this year was geared towards ND being a potential National Champ. The feeling was that they would be equally potent on offense but the defense would be vastly improved. But we've seen this team give up 47 to Michigan and 37 to Michigan State. Hardly a power house defense. Which leaves the door open for a team like UCLA to put some points on the board. We're playing this game simply because our number is ND by about a touchdown and we're getting +14. We have to watch the QB situation here. If UCLA QB (back up) Pat Cowan does NOT start, this becomes NO PLAY. Just a small play here......2*

2* BC +6.5 over Florida State - Too many points regardless of who the QB is for BC. BC is the better team here. Look for them to get a little revenge for last years home loss to FSU.

posted by phantom

Oct. 20 2006 10:32pm
0 likes

Rockys Over/Unders

26-19

Maryland - Nc State Under 43

Ohio - Buffalo Under 42.5

Alabama - Tennessee Under 43

Lsu - Fresno State Over 52.5

Duke - Miami Florida Under 43

Georgia - Mississippi State Under 39.5

Arkansas State - North Texas Under 40.5

posted by phantom

Oct. 21 2006 1:10am
0 likes

Scotty Spreitrzer's 25* Conference Crusher

UAB

Larry Ness Triple 15*

Buffalo

Oregon State

Tulsa

RAS "Official Plays" - Week 8 - Two Plays

NC State at Maryland (Over 42.5) - 9:00am Pacific - Game #121-122

Maryland's offense ranks only 87th nationally but has been boosted in recent weeks by an improved running game, the emergence of WR Derrius Heyward-Bey, and the recent return of senior WR Drew Weatherly from injury. RB Lance Ball rushed for 116 yards vs Georgia Tech's #7 ranked run defense two weeks ago and RB Keon Lattimore rushed for 114 yards (7.6 average) with Ball adding 78 more (6.5 average) vs Virginia's #55 ranked run defense last week. Tackle Jared Gaither, only a sophomore, is already considered the top offensive lineman in the ACC. Head coach Ralph Freidgen has always been a great offensive coach and this week noted that the team can make more plays down field in the passing game. Freidgen said, "I need to be more wide open (play calling) offensively." The recently established balance on offense will only help. Defensively, Maryland has not had a single strong effort all season. 1-AA William & Mary, Middle Tennessee State, and Florida International all gained 300+ yards vs Maryland. Last week Virginia racked up 421 yards, by far their season high, and almost 200 yards more than their season average heading into the game.

The talent NC State lost on defense from last year is well documented. They currently rank 48th nationally in total defense but have not yet faced a single top 50 offense this season. Wake Forest's 96th ranked offense scored 23 points on them last week and that was in Raleigh. Even NC State's top notch defenses of the past two seasons gave up 20.1 points per game on the road. This years version is far less stingy and has only forced five turnovers all season. They gave up 37 points at Southern Miss in their only road game of the season so far. Starting DT Demario Pressley, an important part of the run defense, is listed as questionable this week with a wrist injury. Clearly NC State's offense has been better since sophomore Daniel Evans took over the QB job in week four. The powerful RB duo of Andre Brown and Toney Baker has been solid and figures to pose problems for Maryland's suspect run defense.

Since coming off a BYE on September 30, Maryland's two games have averaged 52 points. NC State games that QB Daniel Evans has played in have averaged 44.5 points. Both teams have plenty of room for improvement offensively. Both teams have overrated defenses as NC State has only played one road game and is yet to face a top 50 offense. Maryland ranks 81st nationally in total defense despite four of their six games coming against three offenses ranked in the bottom 10 in the country and a 1-AA team. Play the over.

RAS Official Play: Over 42.5 1 UNIT

Kansas at Baylor (Over 47.5) - 12:00pm Pacific - Game #141-142

As mentioned here in the past, Baylor installed a new "Texas Tech" style spread offense in the offseason. The system produced mixed results in the early going with a lot of near misses and dropped passes. In the past two weeks it has finally began to produce the kind of numbers they had hoped. The Bears put up 34 in an overtime win at Colorado two weeks ago and put up 31 at Texas last week despite four lost fumbles. Senior QB Shawn Bell threw for a career high 303 yards vs the Longhorns and has thrown six touchdown passes in his last three games. While the Baylor offense is finally starting to click, their defense has shown signs of wearing down. Baylor gave up 31 points vs a Colorado team who came into the game having not scored more than 13. Last week Baylor gave up 63 points vs Texas. Another sign of the unit's fatigue is that opponents are scoring more than twice as much in the second half as they are in the first. This will be Baylor's eighth straight game without a BYE.

Kansas enters this game ranked 101st nationally in total defense and 117th in pass defense. They only returned 3 starters on defense and recently became more inexperienced with the loss of senior LB Eric Washington to injury. They gave up a whopping 603 yards and 42 points last week to Oklahoma State. Their defense historically is much worse on the road where they have given up 35.83 points per game in last six road games dating back to last season and that is not counting any overtime points. KU also will be playing their eight straight week without a BYE. On offense, promising redshirt freshman QB Kerry Meier returned from a three game absence last week and performed well. Meier adds another dimension to the KU offense with his running, toughness, and overall leadership ability. Not counting KU's 49 points vs 1-AA Northwestern State in season opener, KU is still averaging an impressive 28.0ppg with Meier as the starter.

Both of these teams are set to have higher scoring games the rest of the way. Both offenses are underrated and improving while both defenses are getting warn down without any BYE weeks. The previous two meetings between these schools (2002, 2003) generated an average total of 58. Play the over.

RAS Official Play: Over 47.5 1 UNIT

posted by phantom

Oct. 21 2006 1:13am

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