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October 12-16, 2006
Confidential Kick-Off!! The Gold Sheet!!
11 *GEORGIA over Vanderbilt
Late Score Forecast:
*GEORGIA 30 - Vanderbilt 3
With all due respect to the improvements coach Bobby Johnson has made at
Vandy, Commodores have still been outclassed by the Bulldogs, who have won
last 11 in the series, including the last 5 by 16 points or more, including
all four in the Jay Cutler era. After last week's 51-33 shocking loss vs.
Tennessee, UGa now fighting for its SEC East life, which it still has, by the
way, since Florida beat Tennessee, and 5-1 Georgia still plays Florida.
Bulldogs likely to own the rush edge once again in series, and coach Richt
was forced to open the playbook for "caretaker" sr. QB Tereshinski in last
week's loss. Embarrassed UGa defense (7 ppg prior to Tenn.) sure to be
re-focused vs. Commodores' young QBs. And with Georgia PK Coutu (leg)
through for the season, OL & RBs know Dawgs can't be coming up short once in
red zone.
10 *RICE over Uab
Late Score Forecast:
*RICE 31 - Uab 26
Rice is playing a true home game for the first time since its Sept. 2 opener
(Texas game in Reliant Stadium had a Longhorn crowd). This will be an
important game on their schedule since it's Owls only home game until Nov.
18. Rice has gotten a huge boost offensively with the return of QB Chase
Clement from injury. Clement has thrown for 570 yards and 7 scores in two
games since coming back from a hand injury suffered in the opener. Clement's
return has allowed jr. Joel Armstrong, who was subbing at QB in Clement's
absence, to return to wideout where he's caught 11 passes the last two games.
Jarett Dillard has caught 4 of Clement's scoring passes, and has 232
receiving yards in the last two games. UAB has had some significant
attrition this season, and will probably be without six starters or key
backups this week.
10 FLORIDA over *Auburn
Late Score Forecast:
FLORIDA 23 - *Auburn 14
Respected SEC scouts report Auburn's deeply-concerned HC Tuberville plans on
making some defensive changes this week after painfully watching his vaunted
Tiger stop unit uncharacteristically allow Arkansas RBs to rumble for a
whopping 279 yds. in stunning 27-10 home upset. Unfortunately, the shaken
Auburn defense will encounter a different set of problems vs. diversified
Florida attack, led by QB duo of sr. Leak (65%, 14 TDs, 5 ints.) & hotshot
frosh Tebow. Meanwhile, Tigers run-oriented attack finds heavy resistance
from a rock-ribbed Gator front 7 (mere 57 ypg, 2.3 yp), which will place
extra pressure on QB Cox (only 5 TDP) & a mediocre WR corps. And now that
Meyer's squad is risen to No. 2 in AP, chances are good it will play for the
national title if it runs the table. UF has covered 6 straight as a road
dog!
10 TULANE over *Utep
Late Score Forecast:
TULANE 33 - *Utep 32
Tulane has rebounded from last year's impossible campaign (11 games in 11
straight weeks at 11 different venues), already equaling the 2 SU wins it was
able to muster in 2005. Rifle-armed sr. QB Lester Ricard is redeeming his
once promising pro future. Excluding trip to SEC powerhouse LSU, Ricard has
thrown for 1036 yards & 10 TDs in the last 3 games! Count on that hot hand
continuing this week at UTEP, especially now that jr. RB Matt Forte (348 YR
in wins over Rice and at Miss. State) giving Green Wave a formidable ground
presence. Mistake-prone Miner sr. QB Jordan Palmer (46 ints. last 2+
seasons!) likely to provide Ricard & Forte some short-field scoring
opportunities against a vulnerable UTEP defense that misses leadership of
injured sr. LB Jeremy Jones (team-leading 130 tackles LY). Host has covered
just 4 of last 14 as favorite. Take points.
posted by phantom
Oct. 10 2006 3:20pm -
0 likes
Kevin o.neill & friends (the Max)
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College Football
Saturday, October 14th, 2006
Fumbling Away Prosperity
Wake Forest (+4) over @NC State
Chuck Amato’s a genius! OK, no NCSU fans are
actually saying that, but the heat is off just a bit in
Raleigh after consecutive outright upset home wins
over Boston College and Florida State. Believe it or
not, NC State is now in first place in the Atlantic
Division (there will be a pop quiz later on who is in
the Atlantic and who is in the Coastal). But this is a
team that simply wants nothing to do with
prosperity. In fact, NCSU is 5-19 in their last 24
games as a favorite. And the emotion is in question
here. This roster is made up of players who can
charitably be referred to as “flightyâ€
posted by phantom
Oct. 11 2006 5:30pm -
0 likes
Kevin o.neill & friends (the Max)
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Michigan is a very sound and solid team that has
played extremely well in recent weeks, though the
likely loss of WR Mario Manningham hurts here.
Their new coordinators are working out quite well on
both sides of the ball. But it is asking a lot of
anybody to go into State College and lay points.
The Nittany Lions are a sprightly 7-2 against the
spread on the last 9 occasions they’ve been made a
home underdog. Last season’s loss on the final
play in Ann Arbor kept them out of the national title
chase and since they got good again last year
Beaver Stadium has been a very difficult venue for
opponents.
Not holding Lloyd Carr’s poor history as a road
favorite against him, as he has a very good team
here and has covered his last three as a road chalk
(though not against this level of competition. But
still think that PSU is the side, and Carr is due to
screw up a road game. PSU by 1.
Dave Fobare’s College Tech Play of the Week
KO’s Note: Many readers found Dave Fobare’s
technical work to be intriguing the past two years.
Again this season Dave will be providing Max
readers with a college play of the week and an NFL
play of the week each week in the Max this year.
We’re confident you’ll enjoy Dave’s work and learn
from it as well. Dave’s plays will be clearly labeled.
All other games are written up by Kevin O’Neill.
Florida (+2½) over Auburn
Why is Auburn favored here? Auburn was drummed
from the ranks of the unbeaten rather easily last
week in a 27-10 loss at home to Arkansas. In the
process their rushing defense was gashed for a total
of 280 yards by the Hogs' ground game. You'd have
thought the Tigers were playing Air Force; Arkansas
only needed to throw the ball 10 times all afternoon.
That game should simply have confirmed Florida's
overall superiority. They exceed Auburn in every
category: from a yards per play perspective Florida
has the better rushing offense, the better rushing
defense (by a big margin), the better passing
offense (by a big margin) and the better pass
defense.
From a tech standpoint a play on the Gators could
certainly seem dicey at first. A staple of Tech
Handicapping 101 says to beware teams with
perfect records late in the season. A study of
undefeated teams past the middle of the season
shows that they can be very risky to one's bankroll
on the road. Especially against good home teams.
From Game 7 on undefeated travelers are just 81-
101 ATS since 1990. But the best parts of that
situation do not apply to Florida in this game.
Instead the tech evidence favors Florida.
A negative 8-36 ATS system applies to Auburn due
to their upset loss last week to Arkansas; favorites
off a big conference upset are not good wagers.
Auburn also applies to a 146-223 ATS "master of the
obvious" system; play against faves that sport the
inferior record, recent streak straight up, and recent
streak against the spread. There is a bit more to it
than that, but basic logic of the system should be
self-evident. The Florida Gators are simply the better
team in every phase and they are getting points.
The tech edge is just a confirmation. Take Florida
plus the points over Auburn.
posted by phantom
Oct. 11 2006 5:30pm -
0 likes
sports memo
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Crazy finishes in CF make for wild weekend
What a weekend of bad beats and crazy finishes. Handicappers must
have a short memory to have long term success. This past week with so
many games landing close to the number and many results decided in
the last minute, it could be aggravating thinking of what might have
been. But it is also important to remember that one bettors bad beat is
another's lucky win. Here is just a partial listing of some of the more
incredible finishes and final plays of impact in college football.
Wisconsin v. Northwestern Total 44 - With the game in hand 34-9
Wisconsin was just looking to run out the clock. With less than a
minute remaining in the game, the Badgers running back Lance Smith
ran for a 25 yard touchdown. Take a knee and the game goes under.
Oklahoma State -3 v. Kansas State - The Cowboys held a 27-17 lead
with just over three minutes remaining in the game. Kansas State
started true freshman Josh Freeman after coach Ron Prince changed
the lineup giving seven players their first start. To make matters
worse offensive lineman Matt Boss quit the team last week. Yet the
Wildcats scored two touchdowns in just over two minutes in the
fourth quart for the 31-27 win. The first of the two scores capped off
a 92-yard drive with a one-yard scoring plunge, drawing the Wildcats
to within three. The KSU defense held the Cowboys to a three-and-out
on the following possession. Then freshman quarterback Freeman
scampered 21 yards and score the go ahead touchdown with just over
a minute remaining.
Texas A&M -pk v. Kansas - The Aggies scored 14 unanswered points
in the final quarter. Kansas leading 18-13 late in the fourth quarter
and facing third-and-1 with just over four minutes remaining failed to
convert. When A&M got the ball back they took over at its 20-yard
line with 3:31 remaining. They converted three times on third down
during their game-winning drive and scored with just over 30-seconds
left.
San Diego State +28 v. BYU - The Aztecs got crushed 47-17 but had
the opportunity to earn the backdoor cover. The Aztecs were playing
without nine of their starters due to injury, and without two others
who were serving one-game suspensions. Late in the fourth they
drove to the BYU 12 but could not convert.
Mississippi State +24 v. West Virginia - The Bulldogs covered this
number for more than 59 minutes of the game. But after failing to
convert on third down in their own territory Sylvester Croom opted to
punt. Trailing 35-14 the game was already decided. The point spread
was not. Vaughn Rivers ran back the punt for a touchdown with just
over a minute remain. The final 42-14 score gave all MSU backers a
losing ticket.
New Mexico State v. Idaho Total 59 - Having combined to score 41
points in the first half, it was almost a forgone conclusion that this
game would go over the total. Idaho gained 340 yards in the first half
but was held scoreless as they gained just 109 second half yards. New
Mexico State did add one second half score but the Aggies were called
for nine penalties for 110 yards and had two touchdowns called back.
Hawaii -11 v. Nevada - On the Island Hawaii held a 41-21 lead with just
under ten minutes remaining. They punted only one time in the entire
game yet with two fourth quarter scores Nevada was in contention to
tie the game. The Rainbow Warriors stopped Nevada's offense with
four tries from the Hawaii three yard line.
North Texas -2.5 v. Florida Intl’ Total 41 - These two Sun Belt foes combined
to score 13 offensive points in the first 58 minutes of the game.
Trailing 16-8 North Texas scored on a deflected pass reception on fourthand-
goal with two minutes remaining. They added a two point conversion
to tie it at 16 heading into overtime. No touchdowns were scored in the
extra sessions and in four of the seven there were no points scored, yet
despite the futility and numerous missed field goals North Texas earned a
25-22 spread covering win that also went over the total.
posted by phantom
Oct. 11 2006 5:32pm -
0 likes
Sports Memo donny black
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above posts is tim truschels guys
4
Wake Forest’s bid to go 6-0 ends
Utah State and UL-Lafayette win as huge underdogs; Georgia Tech slips past Terps
Big Ten defenses are very week at the bottom of the conference. The schism
between the top and bottom of the conference can be illustrated with a quick
look at this past week's action. Northwestern, Purdue and Michigan State
faced up against the top of the conference and their opponents Iowa,
Wisconsin and Michigan combined for 1417 yards of offense and were forced to
punt only six times combined.
The West Coast passing game was on display as Pittsburgh and Syracuse
played. The two quarterbacks Perry Patterson and Tyler Palco combined to
complete 40-of-53 passes for 75.5 completions. The difference in the game
was Pittsburgh rushing attack that averaged 7.2 yards per rush and netted
244 yards on the ground.
With a 17-3 lead, Wake Forest was driving inside the Clemson 30 yard line in the
first minute of the fourth quarter. Clemson defensive lineman Gaines Adams
forced a fumble and returned it 66 yards for the momentum changing score.
Clemson added 17 more points in the fourth quarter and earned a 27-17 win.
While the point spread outcome was never in doubt, Wake Forest would have
moved to 6-0 and been in first place in the ACC Atlantic division.
It wasn't the only ACC game that came down to a big play in the fourth.
Maryland, which had surrendered a fourth quarter lead, drove to the Georgia
Tech four yard line with less than a minute left. Georgia Tech blitzed on both
third and fourth down and sacked Maryland quarterback Sam Hollenbach on
consecutive plays thereby preserving the 27-23 win.
In its 35-7 win over Bowling Green, Ohio State failed to cover the spread for
the first time in 13 games. It was not for a lack of trying however as head coach
Jim Tressel went for the touchdown on fourth down late in the fourth quarter
inside the Bowling Green ten yard line. With a fourth-quarter scoring advantage
of 14-0 Saturday, Ohio State now has outscored its opponents 76-16 in the
final period.
Arkansas ran for 279 yards against Auburn in its 27-10 upset victory. The
Razorbacks ran the ball on 36 of their last 38 offensive plays from scrimmage.
Navy earned its eighth win in nine tries against Army and Air Force despite
throwing as many interceptions as completions. Navy attempted only six
passes and had one completed and one intercepted.
Mississippi State has suffered another quarterback injury. Omarr Conner, who
was switched from quarterback to receiver and back to quarterback left with
a pulled groin in the third quarter. The reason Conner was switched back to
quarterback was because in the opening game of the season starting quarterback
Michael Henig, broke his collarbone. Henig was cleared to play and in a
bit of irony replaced Conner. Henig was 7-of-15 for 115 yards but he threw two
interception. Third string quarterback, Tray Rutland took a shot to his knee in
the closing moments of the game.
Florida freshman quarterback Tim Tebow has gotten his share of time despite
being the back-up to senior Chris Leak. Tebow is a 6-foot-3 230 pound freight
train and is used inside the ten yard line and in short yardage situations. He
has taken 55 snaps and has ran or thrown for five touchdowns. LSU committed
five turnovers and Florida was flagged for 14 penalties in a very physical
and sloppy game.
UCLA back up quarterback Pat Cowan led the Bruins to a 27-7 win over
Arizona. Ben Olson sprained his left knee and is out for sure for the next few
weeks and possibly for the rest of the season. Cowan, a 6-foot-5 sophomore
completed 20 of 29 passes for 201 yards and two touchdowns. Arizona quarterback
Willie Tuitama was also knocked out in the first half with a concussion
on a hit by defensive end Bruce Davis. Tuitama, spent the fourth quarter in a
hospital suffering from his second major concussion this season.
Already playing without starting receiver Dwayne Jarrett, USC leading wideout
Steve Smith was injured in the second half and did not play after leaving
the game in the fourth quarter with an ankle injury. The Pac-10 officials were
again involved in a controversy as they had difficulties getting the ball set as
Washington drove to the USC 15-yard line on the final play of the game. Maybe
with a little help from the home field clock operator Washington was unable to
get the ball snapped and take one final shot at the game winning score.
Texas gained only 232 total yards of offense, but because of five Oklahoma
turnovers, the Longhorns won 28-10. Oklahoma was held scoreless in the second
half
Michigan State dropped their third straight contest. They were called for 11
penalties for 87 yards and turned the ball over twice. They were called for
three personal fouls, five false-starts/offside calls. The tone was sent when on
the first play of the game they muffed the kickoff.
Illinois head coach Ron Zook was criticized for opting for a two-point conversion
in the first quarter against Indiana with a 13-7 lead. They opted to go for
two on their next touchdown as well. Losing 34-32 those two extra points
became points of contention.
Missouri scored two touchdowns on interception returns on back-to-back plays
as Xzavie Jackson and William Moore ran back Graham Harrell passes to key
Missouri's win over Texas Tech. Missouri led 24-0 but had to hold on as Texas
Tech score 20 unanswered points before the Tigers answered with two scores
of their own. Missouri is 6-0 and will be favored in all but one of its remaining
games.
Mississippi beat Vanderbilt 17-10 despite converting just seven first downs and
netting just 179 total yards of offense. Rebels quarterback Brent Schaeffer
completed just three passes while throwing two interceptions.
Tennessee put up 51 points against a Georgia defense that had allowed 34 total
points in its first five games. The Vols might be the best team in the conference.
They lead the SEC in scoring offense with 35.2 points per game, passing
offense with 291.5 yards per game and total offense with 421.5 yards per game.
They have already scored 211 points eclipsing the 195 points they scored all of
last season.
Utah State as a nearly four touchdown underdog won outright over Fresno
State. The previously winless Aggies took the lead when freshman quarterback
Riley Nelson threw a 30-yard touchdown pass to Kevin Robinson with 55
seconds remaining. Not as high profile, many haven't noticed that Fresno
State, after a emotional loss to Oregon in early September is in a collapse similar
to Michigan State. Fresno State coach Pat Hill said "seeing us being 1-4,
that's very, very hard to stomach."
That wasn't the only big upset on the day. UL Lafayette, a team that had loss
to LSU and Texas A&M by a combined 96-10, upset Houston as a 17-point
underdog. The Ragin' Cajuns outscored the Cougars 31-7 after spotting
Houston a 21-0 lead just 16 minutes into the game. The game winning touchdown
came with just one minute remaining in the contest
posted by phantom
Oct. 11 2006 5:32pm -
0 likes
Power Sweep Plays
4*USC 42 Arizona St. 17
3*Troy 28 ULM 10
3*Florida St. 41 Duke 6
2*Georgia 34 Vanderbilt 10
2*Nebraska 27 Kansas St. 6
2*Auburn 20 Florida 13
Underdog POW NC St +6
Sports Memo
posted by phantom
Oct. 11 2006 5:34pm -
0 likes
Pointwise Rating 1-5 (1 top play and down from there)
College
Wisconsin 1
Vanderbilt 1
Oregon 2
Florida 3
California 3
San Jose ST 4
Florida St 5
Texas 5
Pros
Wash 2
Dallas 3
Cinn 4
Jets 4
KC 5
posted by phantom
Oct. 11 2006 5:34pm -
0 likes
Sports Memo
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Temple +43 v. Clemson O/U - 55
Recommendation: Clemson
Va. Tech -2 v. Boston College O/U - 42
Recommendation: Virginia Tech
The Tigers woke up in the 4th quarter to rally past Wake Forest last week. This
would appear to be a classic flat spot with Georgia Tech looming ahead. However,
Clemson is unlikely to come out flat two weeks in a row. The Tigers rank in the top
10 in total offense and defense. Temple put a scare into Kent State before losing
their 18th consecutive game. The Owls have covered in the last two weeks but have
failed in two previous games as an underdog of more than 40 points. Temple was
blanked by identical 62-0 scores against Louisville and Minnesota earlier this season.
The pattern continues as Temple fails to cover as a generous underdog.
The Hokies have had nearly two weeks to prepare for this one. Virginia Tech is looking
to bounce back after a rare home loss. The club has slipped a little from recent
teams but this squad is still dangerous. The defense is one of the nation's ten best.
After winning two of their first three games in overtime, the Eagles luck ran out at
NC State. The defense is suspect, especially against the pass (109th in pass defense).
While QB Matt Ryan is a playmaker, he will face a roadblock against the Tech defense.
This will be the difference as the Hokies will not begin a losing streak on Thursday.
Pitt -11.5 v. Central Florida O/U - 46.5
Recommendation: Pittsburgh
Purdue -7.5 v. Northwestern O/U - 52.5
Recommendation: Purdue
The Golden Knights are not at the level of last season when they advanced to a
bowl game. With the nation's 113th rated pass defense, it figures to be a long night
for UCF. Dave Wannstedt was labeled as a conservative defensive coach in his two
head coaching stints in the NFL. The 2005 Panthers fit the coach's reputation in
a 5-6 campaign. The 2006 Pittsburgh squad has been quite different. QB Tyler
Palko has led the Panthers to an average of 35 points per game. Wannstedt has
put his stamp on a solid defense that is holding opponents to under 15 points per
game. Pitt continues its' hot play with another cover as a road favorite.
The Boilermakers have been exposed in consecutive road losses to Notre Dame
and Iowa. The finesse game of Purdue was overmatched against the physical
Hawkeyes last week. Purdue should find better success against a Northwestern
club that is on a free fall. The Boilermakers are 6th in the nation in total offense
while the defense is the country's 5th worst. The Wildcats lack a passing game to
fully exploit the Purdue weakness. The lack of offense will doom them in this one.
Purdue scores enough to cover as the road favorite.
Well rested Hokies take care of BC
Purdue and Iowa roll as away favs; Colorado St.’s defense holds Air Force in check
Colorado St. +5 v. Air Force O/U - 46
Recommendation: Colorado State
Longtime coaching rivals Sonny Lubick and Fisher Deberry will meet again in this
Thursday matchup. After a couple of down years, both coaches are guiding
improved clubs in 2006. The Rams are 4-1 with the nation's 6th ranked total
defense. QB Caleb Hanie is able to make enough plays for an offense that is
mediocre on the whole. The Falcons are a solid club with the nation's 4th ranked
rushing attack. Unfortunately, the Navy squad is ranked even higher in this category.
AFA dropped a close decision to Navy for the fourth year in a row last week. We
like the dog in this game as the stout Rams defense makes its' presence felt again.
6
Power RB P.J. Hill and the Badgers offense has come to life with 93 points the last
two weeks. Thoughts that the Wisconsin program might fall without Barry Alvarez
are starting to subside. The offense is matched by the nation's 9th ranked total
defense. The Gophers were able to force overtime against Penn State but a missed
extra point cost them the game. At 2-4, Minnesota is on its' way to a losing year.
The Gophers continue to be a "soft" Big 10 club. They are routinely defeated
against physical opponents. Hill will feast against the country's 100th ranked total
defensive unit. The Badgers win big in Madison.
Minnesota +10.5 v. Wisconsin O/U - 49
Recommendation: Wisconsin
Iowa -17.5 v. Indiana O/U - 52
Recommendation: Indiana
Iowa covered for the first time this season with a rout of Purdue. The Hawkeyes
will be eager to face another elite club after the disappointment against Ohio State.
Iowa will get its' wish next week at Michigan. The Hawkeyes must first deal with
Indiana. The Hoosiers ended their three-game losing streak with a comeback win
at Illinois. The pass offense, with star wideout James Hardy, is dangerous. Iowa
continues to be a club that fares much better at home. We like the Hoosiers in the
home underdog role.
Syracuse +25.5 v. West Virginia O/U - 48
Recommendation: West Virginia
The Mountaineers continue to be an explosive team. Ironically, only conference foe
Louisville has produced a higher scoring offense this season. West Virginia's
Heisman candidate RB Steve Slaton has led the attack. While the offense grabs the
attention, the defense is allowing only 13 points per game. Syracuse has been an
improved team in 2006. The Orangemen have hung in against Wake Forest, Iowa,
and Pittsburgh before eventually falling to these one loss teams. West Virginia is
better than these clubs, especially in Morgantown. Syracuse does not have the horses
to run with West Virginia on either side of the ball. The Orangemen will be forced
to go to a weak passing game once they fall behind. The Mountaineers continue to
roll on their way to a showdown at Louisville next month.
The Demon Deacons fell apart in the fourth quarter against Clemson to lose for the
first time this year. The offense is still struggling without injured starters at QB and
RB. Wake has won with defense by allowing less than 14 points per game. Even in
last week's loss, the unit impressed by holding Clemson to only 3 points in the first
three quarters. NC State has won a pair of comeback games over BC and Florida
State in their last two contests. New starting QB Johnny Evans has provided the
offense with the needed spark to turn the season around. However, the offense is
still average and Wake will cause problems with their defense. The Demon Deacons
get it done in this rivalry game as the underdog.
Wake Forest +5 v. NC State O/U - 39
Recommendation: Wake Forest
Maryland -4.5 v. Virginia O/U - 39
Recommendation: Under
These two clubs produced 78 points in last season's matchup. In 2006, the teams
will fall well short of that kind of offensive production. The Cavs rank 115th in the
nation in total offense as they have failed to support a solid defense. Virginia has
only covered one game this season. Maryland has done the same. The Terps finally
cashed a ticket at Ga. Tech last week. Maryland led most of the day but could
not finish off the win over the Yellow Jackets. The Terps have played average on
both sides of the ball in 2006. This leads us to go with the under as Virginia's
defense will come up with an inspired effort at home in this border rivalry.
posted by phantom
Oct. 11 2006 5:35pm -
0 likes
COLLEGE KEY RELEASES GOLD SHEET
UCF by 1 over Pittsburgh (Friday, Oct. 13)
MISSOURI by 12 over Texas A&M
ALABAMA by 24 over Mississippi
HOUSTON by 8 over Southern Miss
PENN STATE by 3 over Michigan
posted by phantom
Oct. 11 2006 5:39pm -
0 likes
Sports Betting Solutions..college foots for the next few days
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Virginia Tec @ Boston Colleg Analysis
Run Line Bet: Boston Colleg(h)
Boston College +2.5 $660/$600
Play On - A home team vs. the money line (BOSTON COLLEGE) - after allowing 17 points or less in 2 straight games against opponent after allowing 37 points or more last game.
(29-3 over the last 5 seasons.) (90.6%, +29.6 units. Rating = 6*)
The average money line posted in these games was: Team underdog with a money line of: +112.6
The average score in these games was: Team 35.2, Opponent 17.2 (Average point differential = +18)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0, +1 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (15-1, +10.4 units).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (54-12, +20.2 units).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (83-23, -1.4 units).
Toled @ Ken Analysis
Run Line Bet: Ken(h)
Kent St -7 $660/$600
Play On - A home team vs. the money line (KENT ST) - after allowing 17 points or less in 2 straight games against opponent after allowing 37 points or more last game.
(29-3 over the last 5 seasons.) (90.6%, +29.6 units. Rating = 6*)
The average money line posted in these games was: Team underdog with a money line of: +112.6
The average score in these games was: Team 35.2, Opponent 17.2 (Average point differential = +18)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0, +1 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (15-1, +10.4 units).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (54-12, +20.2 units).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (83-23, -1.4 units).
E Michiga @ Bowling Gree Analysis
Run Line Bet: Bowling Gree(h)
Bowling Green -10.5 $220/$200
Play On - A home team vs. the money line (BOWLING GREEN) - average team (+/- 0.6 YPP) against a terrible team (outgained by 1.2+ YPP), in conference games.
(43-4 over the last 5 seasons.) (91.5%, +32.7 units. Rating = 2*)
The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -257.5
The average score in these games was: Team 34.4, Opponent 16.5 (Average point differential = +17.9)
The situation's record this season is: (2-2, -6.3 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (25-3, +14.7 units).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (93-14, +12 units).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (128-23, +13.3 units).
Houston @ S Mississipp Analysis
Run Line Bet: S Mississipp(h)
Southern Mississippi -2 $440/$400
Play Against - Road underdogs vs. the money line (HOUSTON) - poor rushing team (100-140 RY/game) against a team with a good rushing defense (100-140 RY/game), after gaining 2 or less rushing yards/attempt last game.
(32-3 over the last 10 seasons.) (91.4%, +27.2 units. Rating = 4*)
The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -160
The average score in these games was: Team 34.6, Opponent 15.2 (Average point differential = +19.4)
The situation's record this season is: (2-0, +2 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (11-3, +6.2 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (21-3, +16.2 units).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (45-6, +31.4 units).
Tulan @ UTE Analysis
Run Line Bet: UTE(h)
Utep -13 $440/$400
Play On - A home team vs. the money line (UTEP) - a good offensive team (28-34 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (>=34 PPG).
(44-3 over the last 10 seasons.) (93.6%, +37 units. Rating = 4*)
The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -235
The average score in these games was: Team 40.5, Opponent 16.6 (Average point differential = +23.9)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0, +0 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (13-1, +9.3 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (22-2, +16.8 units).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (54-6, +36.2 units).
Purdu @ Northwester Analysis
Purdue -7 $330/$300
Play On - Road favorites vs. the money line (PURDUE) - off a blowout loss by 21 points or more to a conference rival, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a losing record.
(28-2 since 1992.) (93.3%, +24.5 units. Rating = 3*)
The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -175
The average score in these games was: Team 33, Opponent 18 (Average point differential = +15)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0, +0 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (2-0, +2 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (8-0, +8 units).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (18-0, +18 units).
Minnesota @ Wisconsi Analysis
Run Line Bet: Wisconsi(h)
Wisconsin -8.5
Play On - Home favorites vs. the money line (WISCONSIN) - with an excellent defense - allowing 4.5 or less yards/play, after outgaining opp by 225 or more total yards in their previous game.
(67-6 over the last 10 seasons.) (91.8%, +52.8 units. Rating = 5*)
The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -235.8
The average score in these games was: Team 36, Opponent 14.8 (Average point differential = +21.2)
The situation's record this season is: (4-0, +4 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (16-1, +13.6 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (38-3, +31.1 units).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (91-11, +45.8 units).
__________________
posted by phantom
Oct. 11 2006 5:43pm -
0 likes
Confidential Kick-Off!! The Gold Sheet!!
11 *GEORGIA over Vanderbilt
Late Score Forecast:
*GEORGIA 30 - Vanderbilt 3
With all due respect to the improvements coach Bobby Johnson has made at
Vandy, Commodores have still been outclassed by the Bulldogs, who have won
last 11 in the series, including the last 5 by 16 points or more, including
all four in the Jay Cutler era. After last week's 51-33 shocking loss vs.
Tennessee, UGa now fighting for its SEC East life, which it still has, by the
way, since Florida beat Tennessee, and 5-1 Georgia still plays Florida.
Bulldogs likely to own the rush edge once again in series, and coach Richt
was forced to open the playbook for "caretaker" sr. QB Tereshinski in last
week's loss. Embarrassed UGa defense (7 ppg prior to Tenn.) sure to be
re-focused vs. Commodores' young QBs. And with Georgia PK Coutu (leg)
through for the season, OL & RBs know Dawgs can't be coming up short once in
red zone.
10 *RICE over Uab
Late Score Forecast:
*RICE 31 - Uab 26
Rice is playing a true home game for the first time since its Sept. 2 opener
(Texas game in Reliant Stadium had a Longhorn crowd). This will be an
important game on their schedule since it's Owls only home game until Nov.
18. Rice has gotten a huge boost offensively with the return of QB Chase
Clement from injury. Clement has thrown for 570 yards and 7 scores in two
games since coming back from a hand injury suffered in the opener. Clement's
return has allowed jr. Joel Armstrong, who was subbing at QB in Clement's
absence, to return to wideout where he's caught 11 passes the last two games.
Jarett Dillard has caught 4 of Clement's scoring passes, and has 232
receiving yards in the last two games. UAB has had some significant
attrition this season, and will probably be without six starters or key
backups this week.
10 FLORIDA over *Auburn
Late Score Forecast:
FLORIDA 23 - *Auburn 14
Respected SEC scouts report Auburn's deeply-concerned HC Tuberville plans on
making some defensive changes this week after painfully watching his vaunted
Tiger stop unit uncharacteristically allow Arkansas RBs to rumble for a
whopping 279 yds. in stunning 27-10 home upset. Unfortunately, the shaken
Auburn defense will encounter a different set of problems vs. diversified
Florida attack, led by QB duo of sr. Leak (65%, 14 TDs, 5 ints.) & hotshot
frosh Tebow. Meanwhile, Tigers run-oriented attack finds heavy resistance
from a rock-ribbed Gator front 7 (mere 57 ypg, 2.3 yp), which will place
extra pressure on QB Cox (only 5 TDP) & a mediocre WR corps. And now that
Meyer's squad is risen to No. 2 in AP, chances are good it will play for the
national title if it runs the table. UF has covered 6 straight as a road
dog!
10 TULANE over *Utep
Late Score Forecast:
TULANE 33 - *Utep 32
Tulane has rebounded from last year's impossible campaign (11 games in 11
straight weeks at 11 different venues), already equaling the 2 SU wins it was
able to muster in 2005. Rifle-armed sr. QB Lester Ricard is redeeming his
once promising pro future. Excluding trip to SEC powerhouse LSU, Ricard has
thrown for 1036 yards & 10 TDs in the last 3 games! Count on that hot hand
continuing this week at UTEP, especially now that jr. RB Matt Forte (348 YR
in wins over Rice and at Miss. State) giving Green Wave a formidable ground
presence. Mistake-prone Miner sr. QB Jordan Palmer (46 ints. last 2+
seasons!) likely to provide Ricard & Forte some short-field scoring
opportunities against a vulnerable UTEP defense that misses leadership of
injured sr. LB Jeremy Jones (team-leading 130 tackles LY). Host has covered
just 4 of last 14 as favorite. Take points.
10 CHICAGO over *ARIZONA
Late Score Forecast:
CHICAGO 31 - *Arizona 10
(Monday, October 16)
Have much respect for the way Matt Leinart handled the Arizona offense last
week, generating two quick TDP vs. Kansas City. But when the Chiefs realized
the game was in great jeopardy for them, they turned up the heat and got a
key pickoff in the second half to set up a score. And K.C. won the game with
Trent Green injured, Willie Roaf retired, and Larry Anderson on the sidelines
at the end with a neck injury. Situation is not the same with the Bears,
whose offense is healthy, balanced, eager, and boasts its most firepower in
years, and whose defense seems determined to play "on the other side of the
ball" all day, intimidate, and force turnovers. That's a good combination
vs. a Cardinal OL lacking quickness and a rookie QB. Leinart will "have his
days" in the NFL, but not in this one.
TOTALS: Cincinnati-Tampa Bay OVER (42)-High-scoring Bengals "over" 9-2-1 last
12; rookie Gradkowski invigorated Bucs' aerial weapons last week.
Seattle-St. Louis UNDER (45)-HC Scott Linehan has kept his promise, improving
Ram defense, cutting turnovers, and featuring RB Steven Jackson.
HONORABLE MENTION (Nine-Rated Games): WYOMING (+4) vs. Utah-Now that Wyo has
found its QB (RS frosh Sween), Cowboys' improved RBs & defense should begin
paying dividends. SMU (-6) vs. Marshall-Even if starting QB Willis still
suspended for Mustangs, juco backup Slater can handle the offense, which is
now deep at RB. KANSAS (-4) vs. Oklahoma State-KU (11-4 vs. spread at home)
is just a couple of plays away from back-to-back upsets at Nebraska & vs. A&M
last two weeks, and now Jayhawks stepping down in class. LOUISIANA-MONROE
(+9) at Troy-Well-coached Monroe, which previously played at Kansas &
Alabama, happy to be back in Sun Belt, where it's allowing 15.5 ppg.
CAROLINA (+2; estimated) at Baltimore-Panthers (17-3 as dog since start of
2003) are 3-0 SU since return of Steve Smith; exercise due caution if
Carolina is favored.
posted by phantom
Oct. 11 2006 6:00pm -
0 likes
Gator news for today
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Play On - Favorites of 21.5 to 31 points - good team outrushing opponents by 50+ YPG against an average rushing team (+/- 40 RY/G), after gaining 6 or more rushing yards/attempt last game. (26-6 since 1992.) (81.2%) PLAY: Louisville -27
Play Against - Any team - a very good team (>=+10 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 5 PPG differential), after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game. (54-20 since 1992.) (73%) PLAY: Kansas -3.5
__________________
posted by phantom
Oct. 11 2006 7:28pm -
0 likes
power plays from phil steele
4*'s wf. c.mich. utah smu georgia flor.st. oreg. kent st. okla. usc
4*'s pro's-tampa bay wash. dall. chargers
posted by phantom
Oct. 12 2006 2:52pm -
0 likes
Red Sheet
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
OCTOBER 14, 2006 VOLUME 38, NUMBER 7
NORTH CAROLINA STATE 23 - Wake Forest 10 - (12:00 EDT) -- Line opened at NCSt minus 6½, and is
now minus 4. Love line movement in this one, which is due to respect for Wake's quick
start, along with the 'Pack's inability to bring home the bacon in the role of chalk. But make
no mistake the Deacons have a huge mountain to climb, after falling apart down last week's
stretch, when they had Clemson on the ropes, leading 17-3, before botched FG opened the
floodgates for eventual 27-17 loss. Though we respect Wake's 5-1 SU log, remember they
did it vs lined squads with a combined 6-15 record, plus Liberty. And they lost their top QB
& RB, right out of the gate. NCSt, on the other hand, has finally shaken the doldrums, with
upsets of BC & FlaSt (then #20 & #17). And this is host series.
RATING: NORTH CAROLINA STATE 89
SAN JOSE STATE 40 - Utah State 10 - (6:00) -- Line opened at San Jose St minus 14½, and is now minus
14. A couple of weeks back, we could have easily gone 7-1 on our rated college plays on
our earlier week publication (Pointwise). The one bad choice was San Diego St, in its game
with these improving Spartans, a 31-10 setback. Three straight wins for San Jose, with a
suddenly improved "D", which has held its last 2 foes to 8½ ppg. And that stat should hold
vs the Ags, who field the worst scoring offense in the nation: a scoring deficit of 198-41 thus
far, which includes a combined 96-7 pt shortage away from Logan. A week ago, they shocked
Fresno, 13-12, as a 26-pt dog, but still managed only 11 FDs. Note 3-game SJSt winning
skein, & QB Trafalis owning nation best 77% completion rate.
RATING: SAN JOSE STATE 89
WISCONSIN 38 - Minnesota 14 - (12:00) -- Line opened at Wisconsin minus 10½, and is now minus 9½.
When this season began, little was expected from the Badgers, who not only had said
goodbye to their most storied head coach, Barry Alvarez, but returned only 3 offensive
starters, & wound up the '05 season with weekly lacking defensive efforts. Certainly not the
rule for the normally stingy Wisky stop units. But things have come together nicely, with a
5-1 start, & yet to taste defeat vs the linemakers. In their 2 lined home games, they have a
combined 55-9 pt edge. Senior QB Stocco has been steady, with RB Hill just the latest
Badger toter (847 yds, 9 TDs). Minny coming off draining losses to Mich & PennSt.
RATING: WISCONSIN 88
Army 24 - CONNECTICUT 20 - (12:00) -- Line opened at Connecticut minus 7½, and is now minus 5½.
Things have certainly taken a wrong turn for the Huskies. As we noted, their 52-pt outburst
in their opener meant nothing, coming against Rhode Island. Since then, they've managed
a paltry 13, 14, 17, & 16 pts, in losing 3 of those 4, not only on the field, but also vs the pts.
As a matter of fact they've been manhandled, overland, the past 2 weeks, with a combined
442 RY deficit. And try 43 pts behind the spread in those 2. Just take the dog. That's the
mantra in Cadet games, thus far: 5-0 ATS, by an average of 20.5 pts. And they've covered
their 2 RGs to date by 23½ & 19 pts. And UConn has WVa up next.
RATING: ARMY 88
RICE 27 - Uab 24 - (7:30) -- Line opened at Uab minus 3½, and is now minus 5½. Quick jump in spread suits
us just fine. The Owls have always been one of the best host dog plays in the land, & are
currently on a 15-2 ATS run in that role, in conference play. They somehow made it through
their baptism of fire, opening with the likes of Houston, UCLA, Texas, & Florida St. Now in
their own realm, where they've averaged 36 pts in their last 2 outings, with QB Clement
throwing for 581 yds & 7 TDs. By the way, the dog covered both, by a combined 60½ pts!
The Blazers are in off a 200 RY edge (Memphis), but note forcing just a single punt. First
true HG for Owls since 9/2. First RG for Blazers since 9/16. Pup yaps again.
RATING: RICE 88
WASHINGTON 34 - Tennessee 12 - (1:00) -- Line opened at Washington minus 9½, and is now minus 9½.
A week ago on Pointwise, we noted that the Giants' backs were already to the wall. They
responded with a thorough thumping of these 'Skins (20-10 FD edge & 411-164 yd advantage).
Well, the same can now be said of Washington, which can't afford another early
season slip. In the Titans, they have the perfect opponent. Tennessee is in off a bruising 1-
pt loss at Indianapolis, just like it was a couple of weeks back, when it had to take on the
Cowboys, off a late 3-pt loss to the Dolphins. Result? A 45-14 home loss. With the chalk
covering 13-of-17 in 'Skin games of late, this looks like more of the same.
RATING: WASHINGTON 89
NEAR CHOICES (Rated 87): Vanderbilt, Ohio St, Illinois, USC, Florida - NFL: Philly, Dallas, Chicago
LINE MOVES (from largest to smallest move): Maryland (Pick to -5); WakeForest (+6½ to +4); Air Force
(-3½ to -5½); NorthCarolina (+4½ to +2½); Army (+7½ to +5½); UCLA (+12½ to +10½); UAB (-3½ to -5½);
Oklahoma (-17½ to -19½); Hawaii (-3½ to -5½); Temple (+45½ to +44); CentralFlorida (+11½ to +10);
Nebraska (-10 to -11½); Auburn (-1 to -2½); WashingtonSt (+9 to +7½); FloridaSt (-21 to -22½); Cincinnati
(+28 to +26½); Washington (-9 to -10½); Arizona (-3 to -4½); Colorado (+9½ to +8); Kentucky (+27½ to +26);
Memphis (-10½ to -12) - NFL: SanDiego (-8½ to -10) - TIME CHANGES: None, as of Tuesday.......
RED SHEET ONLINE
RATINGS: 89 & ABOVE: SUPERIOR PLAY
88 & BELOW: ABOVE AVERAGE PLAY
posted by phantom
Oct. 12 2006 2:55pm -
0 likes
Winning Points..College Plays
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
****BEST BET
ALABAMA* over MISSISSIPPI by 33
We can not fault Alabama for coming out flat against Duke last week – off of those
draining road losses at Arkansas and Florida, there was simply no way to find a
focus vs. that class of opponent. But when the season appeared to be slipping away
the Crimson Tide turned it around with a dominating second half, and we believe
that was only the start of things. First, let’s go back to those two losses and take a
closer look. Note that Alabama led by eight first downs and 87 yards in those
defeats, and consider how impressive that now is off of last week’s results, with
Florida handling L.S.U. and Arkansas dominating Auburn. The bottom line is that
the Alabama talent is as good as any in the S.E.C., as those games show, and now
that they have their focus back they can take out some frustrations against the outmanned
Rebels. Mississippi may enter this with a perceived momentum, having
played Georgia close two weeks ago and then beating Vanderbilt on Saturday, but
there is nothing happening. The Bulldogs were starting a freshmen QB on the road
and lacked direction, while the Commodores physically man-handled Ole Miss on
Saturday, leading 23-7 in first downs and 400-179 in total offense (five turnovers
did them in). The depleted Rebel defensive front can not take the physical pounding
vs. this kind of opponent on the road, and with four true freshmen seeing
action on that side of the ball there is an intimidation factor here as well.
Meanwhile there is absolutely no passing game to play from behind, which locks
the back door. ALABAMA 42-9.
***BEST BET
N. C. STATE* over WAKE FOREST by 20
There may not be a more difficult weak psychologically for a team all season than
Jim Grobe’s Deacons leading up to this game. After getting off to a 5-0 start
because of some weak competition, they were given a chance to actually Dream the
Dream vs. Clemson on Saturday, holding a 17-3 lead in the fourth quarter. But
when the clock struck midnight, it was like a gong going off. A botched field goal
that could have made it 20-3 instead saw a 17-10 reach the scoreboard, with
Clemson picking up the bobbled snap and returning it 66 yards for a touchdown.
From that point it was a complete collapse, with Wake Forest getting out-scored
24-0 in the final period. That is more than just a single “Lâ€
posted by phantom
Oct. 12 2006 2:58pm -
0 likes
Winning Points..College Plays
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
****BEST BET
ALABAMA* over MISSISSIPPI by 33
We can not fault Alabama for coming out flat against Duke last week – off of those
draining road losses at Arkansas and Florida, there was simply no way to find a
focus vs. that class of opponent. But when the season appeared to be slipping away
the Crimson Tide turned it around with a dominating second half, and we believe
that was only the start of things. First, let’s go back to those two losses and take a
closer look. Note that Alabama led by eight first downs and 87 yards in those
defeats, and consider how impressive that now is off of last week’s results, with
Florida handling L.S.U. and Arkansas dominating Auburn. The bottom line is that
the Alabama talent is as good as any in the S.E.C., as those games show, and now
that they have their focus back they can take out some frustrations against the outmanned
Rebels. Mississippi may enter this with a perceived momentum, having
played Georgia close two weeks ago and then beating Vanderbilt on Saturday, but
there is nothing happening. The Bulldogs were starting a freshmen QB on the road
and lacked direction, while the Commodores physically man-handled Ole Miss on
Saturday, leading 23-7 in first downs and 400-179 in total offense (five turnovers
did them in). The depleted Rebel defensive front can not take the physical pounding
vs. this kind of opponent on the road, and with four true freshmen seeing
action on that side of the ball there is an intimidation factor here as well.
Meanwhile there is absolutely no passing game to play from behind, which locks
the back door. ALABAMA 42-9.
***BEST BET
N. C. STATE* over WAKE FOREST by 20
There may not be a more difficult weak psychologically for a team all season than
Jim Grobe’s Deacons leading up to this game. After getting off to a 5-0 start
because of some weak competition, they were given a chance to actually Dream the
Dream vs. Clemson on Saturday, holding a 17-3 lead in the fourth quarter. But
when the clock struck midnight, it was like a gong going off. A botched field goal
that could have made it 20-3 instead saw a 17-10 reach the scoreboard, with
Clemson picking up the bobbled snap and returning it 66 yards for a touchdown.
From that point it was a complete collapse, with Wake Forest getting out-scored
24-0 in the final period. That is more than just a single “Lâ€
posted by phantom
Oct. 12 2006 2:59pm -
0 likes
Power sweep
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NCAA
4* USC over Arizona St - ASU HC Koetter probably spent his entire bye week second guessing his
Aug QB decision (Carpenter, 9 int) which caused Keller to transfer to Neb. The Devils come into the
Coliseum after two straight gutless performances vs Cal and Oreg in which they were outscored 97-34.
For the first time in many years the Trojans are flying under the radar and could use a dominating win
here to bolster their poll status (fell behind Florida in AP poll TW). First year starter Booty (242 ypg, 65%,
11-3 ratio) has had a great season thus far benefitting from WR stars Jarrett (212 yds, 3 TD’s - shoulder
inj LW) and Smith (411 yds, 4 TD’s) and also the emergence of true frosh RB Emmanuel Moody (394 yds,
6.6, 2 TD’s). USC is 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS vs ASU winning its last HG 45-7 (-10). LY, #14 ASU led by 4 late
but USC came back for a 10 pt win on the road. The HT is 8-3 ATS and Koetter is just 2-5 ATS after a bye
and only 3-15 SU vs P10 opponents from the state of CA. USC will be heading into a bye week and won’t
hold anything back against a deflated ASU ballclub. FORECAST: USC 42 Arizona St 7
3* TROY over ULM - It is Oct 14th and you are hosting your first Div IA opponent! Troy is now home
(6-1 SU & 5-2 ATS when hosting SBC) after 4 straight tough road gms (0-4 SU, 2-2 ATS). TU QB
Haugabook is avg 161 ypg (60%) with a 6-7 ratio. Watch for his numbers to improve greatly in conf play
as their new 4 WR spread off will be introduced to SBC foes. RB Jones has 142 yds (5.3) and WR
Banks has 31 rec (10.0). Having faced a high level of competition gives Troy the edge (#60-118). ULM
is off a 10-6 loss to Ark St but it wasn’t as close as the score indicates. They are avg 124 pass ypg while
giving up 193.ULM QB Lancaster is avg 145 ypg (58%) with a 3-6 ratio. RB Dawson has 338 yds (5.1)
and WR Sapp has 17 rec (12.3). ULM was hit hard with graduation losing 21 lettermen LY. This will
cause them to start to fade as the season winds down. The bye week allowed a banged up Troy squad
to regroup and focus on their pass happy offense. FORECAST: TROY 28 ULM 10
3* Florida St over DUKE - The visitor is 5-0 ATS in this series and LY FSU was -30 here and got two late
TD’s incl a 45 yd run on 4th and 2 for the frontdoor cover 55-24. Duke rushed for 191 yds LY. FSU is 7-1
ATS vs Duke when favored by 32’ or less and only 1-5 ATS if 33 or more while the avg score in this series
is 53-16 & avg line is FSU -33. FSU is coming off an upset loss LW vs NCSt as a 9’ pt fav on Thur and fell
out of the Top 25 for just the 3rd time S/’89. QB Weatherford is avg 192 ypg (60%) with a 5-3 ratio. The
Noles running gm continues to struggle as they are only #87 in the NCAA. RB Booker has 233 rush yds
(4.
and 1 TD while A Smith has 228 (4. with 2 TD’s. Duke’s losing streak is now 13 straight (#2 inNCAA) but the Devils are 2-1 ATS TY as a 20+ pt dog. QB Lewis is avg 132 ypg (53%) with just a 2-5 ratio.
WR Riley has 13 rec (15.
and 1 TD. Florida St now makes this trip fighting for its ACC lives. Even with BC(ahead in standings) on deck this tm will not look past an inferior opp. Florida St won for us as a 3★ off a
loss vs Rice (55-7) a few weeks ago and will do the same here. FORECAST: Florida St 41 DUKE 6
OTHER SELECTIONS
2* GEORGIA over Vanderbilt - UGA has regularlyplayed VU the week after their big gm vs Tenn but
is 4-1 ATS seemingly suffering no letdown. The Dogs were embarrassed LW as UT rolled over the
stingy D with 383 ttl yds while smacking 51 pts on them. The off did show some life with 210 1H yds &
24 1H pts (but 2 ST’s return TD’s). QB Tereshinski made his much anticipated return and hit 12-20 for
164 yds with a 1-2 ratio. He was held to just 5 comp’s (37 yds) in the 2H but showed no signs of the
ankle inj. The run gm continues its uphill battle and RB Lumpkin leads with 347 yds (5.7) TY. WR Milner
is the #1 rec with only 9 rec (14.7). The D is led by LB Taylor with 41 stops. The Dogs are without super
PK Coutu for the rest of the yr, but his bkup, Bailey was 2-2 LW. Vandy is off a messy loss to Ole Miss
in which all of UM’s scores were the result of VU TO’s. QB Nickson went down in the 2Q
but bkup Adams hit 10-20 for 176 yds (0-1 ratio). RB Jackson-Garrison has 392
yds (4.7) with 2 TD’s and the #2 rusher is Nickson. WR’s Bennett, Bright and White have comb for 59
rec (13.4) with 6 TD’s. The D is led by LB Goff (50 tkls). Vandy catches a UGA tm that can’t afford to
take anyone lightly after LW’s debacle. LW was Georgia’s 9th home loss S/’99 and all they’ve done is
covered all 8 gms following a home defeat. FORECAST: GEORGIA 34 Vanderbilt 10
2* Nebraska over KANSAS ST - KSt is 22-8 ATS vs the B12 North (6-0 ATS vs NU). LY NU won at
home 27-25 (-6) on a late FG drive (see Past History). NU has not won in Manhattan S/’96 (1st yr B12)
losing their L/2 by 30 ppg. #21 Nebraska defeated Iowa St LW 28-14. RB Glenn (PS#25) had a career
high 148 yds (7.
& the Blackshirt D stopped 3 late drives for the win. QB Taylor (PS#18JC) is avg 233ypg (66%) with a 13-2 ratio. RB Lucky (PS#3) leads the RB’s with 401 yds (6.3). WR Nunn has 19 rec
(16.7). KSt beat Okla St 31-27 LW as KSU scored 2 TD’s in the final 3:04. HC Prince has elected to go
with youth for the rest of the ssn and true frosh QB Freeman (PS#10) is the 1st Fr to start here S/’76
(177 yds, 67%, 0-0). He led a late rally running for a 21 yd TD with 1:11 left. RB Clayton (PS#13) who
was in the doghouse vs OkSt returned LW & has 322 yd (4.
. TE Norwood has 20 rec (8.5). NU has ahuge off edge (#13-77) as the D units are solid for both (#13-32). Nebraska was our pick to win the B12
North and certainly looks to be regaining its old swagger. FORECAST: Nebraska 27 KANSAS ST 6
2* AUBURN over Florida - Fla is riding high after LW’s victory vs LSU which marks the 6th time in
school history that UF has opened 6-0. The last time that happened was in ‘96 which is the last time they
were ranked #2 and UF’s National Champ yr. The Gators have a bye next week and are 12-5 ATS prior to
the break. They are led by the red-hot QB combination of Leak (avg 233 ypg, 65%, 14-4 ratio) and Tebow
(228 rush yds, 5.6, 2 TD passes LW) who made it look easy vs #9 LSU. Top RB Wynn missed LW’s gm but
still leads the tm with 354 yds (5.5). WR Baker has 31 rec (15.9) and 5 TD’s while Cornelius has 17 (19.1)
with 3 TD’s. DB Joyner leads the D with 37 tkls foll’d closely by LB’s Everett and Siler (70 comb stops). Aub
comes into this one shell-shocked after becoming the 1st Top 10 tm to lose to an unranked foe TY at home
vs Ark LW. The run gm could not find its footing with just 60 ttl rush yds and the D (which hadn’t all’d a rush
TD all yr) was pounded for 279 rush yds and 2 TD’s. QB Cox has some questioning if lingering knee and
ankle inj’s are finally catching up to him, and on the yr is avg 170 ypg (62%) with a 5-2 ratio. Workhorse RB
Irons has 515 rush yds (4.
while WR Taylor has 25 rec (12.0) and Smith has 12 (22.0). The Tigers are11-5 ATS (13-3 SU) vs SEC East tms but just 2-6 ATS (1-7 SU) vs Fla although they have covered the L/
2. Auburn has now won 11 straight SEC home gms and is off only their 3rd loss in 3 seasons. After LY’s
pair of defeats they went 2-0 ATS with a combined score of 55-3. FORECAST: AUBURN 20 Florida 13
UNDERDOG PLAY OF THE WEEK
Wake Forest (+6) over NC State
State has had only 4 home wins vs conf opp the L3Y including their nationally televised upset win LW
vs FSU on Thurs Night. LY NCSt had a 303-225 yd edge but lost by 8 (see Past History). NCSt is 4-17
ATS as a fav and is 1-4 ATS after facing FSU under Amato. Pack QB Evans has only made 2 career
starts and is avg 185 ypg (53%) with a 4-1 ratio in those matchups (both wins). LW NCSt finally got its
running game going as RB A Brown rushed for 113 yds (6.3) and on the year has 393 rush yds (6.3)
with 2 TD’s. Evans fav target, WR Dunlap, has 11 rec (14.3) with 3 TD’s. Wake has covered 3 in a row
including 2 outright upsets of the Wolfpack and an OT loss. The HT is 8-2 ATS but WF is 7-2 ATS in this
series. WF is coming off a heartbreaking 27-17 loss to CU, a game in which they led 17-3 at the end of
the 3Q’s but did give us a 3’ * Totals Play Winner on the Over. QB Skinner is avg 131 ypg (68%) with
a 3-1 ratio and actually had a TD rec LW, a pass from WR Morton (12 rec, 17.4, 1 TD). While a previous
young WF team may have faltered after losing in the disappointing fashion they did. This Grobe squad
with its 19 ret starters has the proper attitude in this ACC battle. FORECAST: NC STATE 20 Wake
posted by phantom
Oct. 12 2006 3:00pm -
0 likes
Rocky's
OVER & UNDER TOTALS
strictly computerized ~
WEEK ENDING OCTOBER 16
WEST VIRGINIA UNDER 48.5
WISCONSIN OVER 48.5
NC STATE UNDER 39
VIRGINIA UNDER 39
NORTH CAROLINA UNDER 43
WASHINGTON OVER 46
RICE OVER 49
BOISE STATE UNDER 64.5
NFL
MIAMI - JETS UNDER 36.5
OAKLAND - DENVER UNDER 36.5
posted by phantom
Oct. 12 2006 3:01pm -
0 likes
Mike Rose
TEMPLE (+44') VS. CLEMSON 7:30 ET
_________________
sportsbetting solutions
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Thursday, October 12, 2006
7:30 PM ncaaf Virginia Tech vs. Boston College Premium
Boston College $630/$600
3.0 / -105.0
Mike Rose
TEMPLE (+44') VS. CLEMSON 7:30 ET
COLORADO STATE (+6) VS. AIR FORCE 8:00 ET CSTV
_________________
Arne Lang
THURSDAY, OCT. 12, at Charlotte
TEMPLE vs. CLEMSON (-44)
RECOMMENDATION: Temple plus the points.
Big Al's Thursday Night Football Game of the Month
Al McMordie has crushed the books on his Thursday Night plays, and this week is releasing his 2nd strongest Thursday game of the season. It's Big Al's Thursday Night Game of the Month, and it's out of an awesome 27-6 system. If you enjoyed Big Al's Thursday Night Game of the Year on South Carolina over Auburn, you'll love this huge winner.
bc
UnionMansPicks - UNIONMANS PICKS
(NCAA) 10,000 STAR CLEMSON -44
(NCAA) 10,000 STAR VIRGINIA TECH -2 1/2
(NCAA) 10,000 STAR COLORADO ST. +6
GATORMANS PICKS
(MLB ) 3 UNITS NY METS -172
(NCAAF) 4 UNITS VIRGINIA TECH -2 1/2
(NCAAF) 5 UNITS COLORADO ST. +6
SILVER DOLLAR MANS PICKS
(NCAA) 100 UNITS TEMPLE & CLEMSON UNDER 56
(NCAA) 500 UNITS V.T & BOSTON COLLEGE OVER 42
(NCAA) 1000 UNITS COL ST. & AIR FORCE UNDER 45 1/2
posted by phantom
Oct. 12 2006 3:03pm -
0 likes
Scott Ferrall (Howard Stern)
Clemson
BOSTON COLLEGE
Colorado State
Scotty Spreitzer
CFB Thursday Night Knockout
Colorado State
Gator news for today
Virginia Tech @ Boston College (Thursday)
Tech has owned this series winning seven of the last eight meetings straight up but failing to get the money, posting a 2-5-1 ats record. Tech has been money when playing in these Thursday night tilts having won 11 straight and going 10-1 against the number. Tech is 7-0 ats off a double-digit straight up loss, 8-1 ats away facing a conference opponent who is playing with revenge, 14-2 against the number as road chalk when favored by less than 10 points. BC is 4-1 ats the last 5 in this series, 11-1 ats versus an opponent off a double-digit straight up loss, 0-5 ats at home when playing with revenge, 5-11 ats off a bye week.
_________________
sports betting solutions
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Virginia Tec @ Boston Colleg Analysis
Run Line Bet: Boston Colleg(h)
Boston College +2.5 $660/$600
Play On - A home team vs. the money line (BOSTON COLLEGE) - after allowing 17 points or less in 2 straight games against opponent after allowing 37 points or more last game.
(29-3 over the last 5 seasons.) (90.6%, +29.6 units. Rating = 6*)
The average money line posted in these games was: Team underdog with a money line of: +112.6
The average score in these games was: Team 35.2, Opponent 17.2 (Average point differential = +18)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0, +1 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (15-1, +10.4 units).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (54-12, +20.2 units).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (83-23, -1.4 units).
_________________
Winning Points best bets for tonight
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Boston College* over Virginia Tech by 1 (Thursday)
Once upon a time Tech won many close games like this through special teams, but
so far this season they have had two extra points, a field goal and a punt of their
own blocked. With the running game also struggling, they are not the same
Hokies. BOSTON COLLEGE 20-19.
Air Force* over Colorado State by 6 (Thursday)
Both teams are trying to sort through OL injuries, no matter how many times the
Rams have seen this option attack in the past, a short practice week calls for a difficult
transition. AIR FORCE 23-17.
Point Wise
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
THURSDAY
CLEMSON 66 - Temple 3 - (7:30 - @ Charlotte) -- One of largest lines ever, &
Owls in off pair of covers, but just 11 FDs & 50 RYs vs Kent. Obviously, the
Tigers can name their score, & with LW's scare fresh in their minds, have to
see all out assault early & often. Proctor, Spiller, Davis. Even with GT up next.
Virginia Tech 27 - BOSTON COLLEGE 19 - (7:30 - ESPN) -- Tough sledding for
these 2 of late, losing SU as 6½ & 8½ pt chalks. Normally dominant BC has a
1,357-1,114 yd deficit in last 3 outings: OT, OT, 2-pt loss. Yet to top 172 RYs,
while Tech has held last 3 foes to 12, 12, & 11 FDs. Hokes are Thursday kings.
AIR FORCE 31 - Colorado State 20 - (8:00 - CSTV) -- Falcons couldn't stay
with Navy, overland, but note a 290-66 RYpg edge entering that one, as well as
plus 60½ pts ATS. Two straight wins for Rams, who rank #5 containing the
run, with QB Hanie in off a 23-of-28 showing, & WR Morton a force. We pass.
_________________
Tim Sullivan
TONIGHT
BOSTON COLLEGE (+3) over Virginia Tech: Hokies were exposed by Georgia Tech and are painfully a different program when someone not named Vick is under center. Eagles have covered three straight at home and are 8-2 in their past 10 as dogs.
TOMORROW
Pitt (-9 1/2) over CENTRAL FLORIDA: This is no Orlando vacation for the Panthers, who need to gear up for Rutgers. You can bet Pitt quarterback Tyler Palko knows the Knights allow 265.4 yards per game through the air.
_________________
inside vegas sports pics
Boston College Eagles + 3 over Virginia Tech Hokies
No.22 Virginia Tech, which ranks third last in the ACC in rushing, rushed for only 42 yards in last week's 38-27 home loss to No.13 Georgia Tech.The Hokies are now 16-53 under coach Beamer when getting outrushed. (VirgTech at home beat GeoTech 51-7 last season.) No.26 Boston College is 3-0 at home, including a 34-33 win over No.12 Clemson. The Eagles, who rank second in the ACC in total offense, have won a nation's most seven consecutive bowl games.
_________________
inside vegas sports pics
Boston College Eagles + 3 over Virginia Tech Hokies
No.22 Virginia Tech, which ranks third last in the ACC in rushing, rushed for only 42 yards in last week's 38-27 home loss to No.13 Georgia Tech.The Hokies are now 16-53 under coach Beamer when getting outrushed. (VirgTech at home beat GeoTech 51-7 last season.) No.26 Boston College is 3-0 at home, including a 34-33 win over No.12 Clemson. The Eagles, who rank second in the ACC in total offense, have won a nation's most seven consecutive bowl games.
_________________
Mighty Quinn
Air Force -6
and Pitt - 9 1/2 as his best bet tomorrow
_________________
Brandon Lang
THURSDAY
20 DIME
Boston College
10 DIME
Mets -1 1/2 Runs - Please Specify Pitchers (Weaver vs Glavine)
Boston College
_________________
PlayersInsider:
Marc Davis
Thursday, October 12, 2006
50,000 UNIT COLLEGE FOOTBAL GAME OF THE NIGHT!!!
Confirmed...
MARC DAVIS
SPORT: COLLEGE FOOTBALL
GAME: VIRGINIA TECH @ BOSTON COLLEGE
PREDICTION: VIRGINIA TECH (-2.5)
_________________
Larry Ness - COMP
Play on: Temple
_________________
posted by phantom
Oct. 12 2006 3:07pm -
0 likes
Thursday, October 12th
Temple at Clemson, 7:30 EST
Temple: 12-1 ATS away off BB ATS wins
Clemson: 0-7 ATS off 5+ games allowing 125 or less rushing yards
Virginia Tech at Boston College, 7:30 EST ESPN
Virginia Tech: 6-0 ATS as a road favorite
Boston College: 30-16 Under off an ATS loss
Colorado State at Air Force, 8:00 EST CSTV
Colorado State: 22-10 ATS away off a win by 17+ points
Air Force: 11-3 Over vs. conference opponents
** (TC) Denotes Time Change
Friday, October 13th
Pittsburgh at Central Florida, 8:00 EST ESPN2
Pittsburgh: 0-8 ATS as a road favorite of 7.5 to 14 points
Central Florida: 5-1 Under vs. non-conference opponents
** (TC) Denotes Time Change
Saturday, October 14th
Syracuse at West Virginia, 12:00 EST
Syracuse: 0-6 ATS in October
West Virginia: 8-0 ATS after allowing 14 points or less
Purdue at Northwestern, 12:00 EST
Purdue: 0-6 ATS in October
Northwestern: 26-13 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points
Minnesota at Wisconsin, 12:00 EST ESPN
Minnesota: 5-14 ATS as a road underdog of 7.5 to 14 points
Wisconsin: 11-2 ATS in home games
Iowa at Indiana, 12:00 EST ESPN2
Iowa: 10-2 ATS off BB Overs
Indiana: 13-30 ATS as a home underdog
Wake Forest at NC State, 12:00 EST
Wake Forest: 6-0 ATS in October
NC State: 16-6 Under as a home favorite
(TC) Maryland at Virginia, 3:30 EST
Maryland: 3-10 ATS as a favorite
Virginia: 10-2 Under at home in October
South Florida at North Carolina, 12:00 EST ESPNU
South Florida: 10-1 Under as a favorite
North Carolina: 6-18 ATS at home vs. non-conference opponents
Miami OH at Buffalo, 1:00 EST
Miami OH: 6-2 ATS off a home conference loss
Buffalo: 5-1 Under off an ATS loss
Ball State at Central Michigan, 1:00 EST
Ball State: 6-1 Under off a win
Central Michigan: 6-0 ATS off an ATS win
(TC) Army at Connecticut, 12:00 EST
Army: 1-5 ATS off a home win by 28+ points
Connecticut: 5-1 ATS off BB losses by 17+ points
Rutgers at Navy, 1:30 EST CSTV
Rutgers: 10-2 Under vs. non-conference opponents
Navy: 9-0 ATS with a line of +3 to -3
(TC) Missouri at Texas A&M, 3:30 EST ABC
Missouri: 7-1 ATS off BB conference wins
Texas A&M: 6-1 Under as a home underdog of 7 points or less
Nebraska at Kansas State, 2:00 EST
Nebraska: 22-9 ATS off a road win by 10+ points
Kansas State: 1-6 ATS off a win as an underdog
Northern Illinois at Western Michigan, 2:00 EST
Northern Illinois: 12-3 ATS off BB road games
Western Michigan: 4-10 ATS as a home underdog
(TC) Mississippi at Alabama, 3:30 EST CBS
Mississippi: 9-2 Under away in the first half of the season
Alabama: 1-8 ATS as a home favorite
Utah at Wyoming, 3:00 EST
Utah: 16-3 Under away off a conference win
Wyoming: 13-3 ATS off an ATS win
Tulsa at East Carolina, 3:00 EST
Tulsa: 8-1 ATS in road games
East Carolina: 12-2 Under off an Over
Marshall at SMU, 3:00 EST
Marshall: 0-7 ATS away vs. conference opponents
SMU: 12-1 Under off a straight up loss
(TC) Florida at Auburn, 7:45 EST ESPN
Florida: 13-5 Under in road games
Auburn: 9-1 ATS in October
(TC) California at Washington State, 5:00 EST
California: 22-9 ATS away off a combined score of 60+ points
Washington State: 2-11 ATS off a road game
(TC) Vanderbilt at Georgia, 12:30 EST
Vanderbilt: 6-0 ATS as a road underdog
Georgia: 7-0 Under off a combined score of 70+ points
Ohio State at Michigan State, 3:30 EST ABC
Ohio State: 9-1 ATS vs. conference opponents
Michigan State: 1-8 ATS off a conference game
(TC) Florida State at Duke, 1:00 EST
Florida State: 8-2 Under after losing 2 of their last 3 games
Duke: 0-6 ATS in home games
(TC) Oregon State at Washington, 6:30 EST
Oregon State: 16-5 ATS off a conference loss by 7 points or less
Washington: 6-19 ATS off a conference road loss
UCLA at Oregon, 3:30 EST ABC
UCLA: 2-10 ATS away off BB ATS wins
Oregon: 6-0 ATS off an ATS loss
Toledo at Kent State, 4:00 EST
Toledo: 12-4 ATS off a loss by 17+ points
Kent State: 6-1 Under in home games
Eastern Michigan at Bowling Green, 4:00 EST
Eastern Michigan: 6-18 ATS on grass fields
Bowling Green: 10-2 ATS at home off BB road games
(TC) Iowa State at Oklahoma, 12:30 EST FSN
Iowa State: 6-0 ATS away after forcing 1 or 0 turnovers
Oklahoma: 2-10 ATS at home off a loss by 17+ points
Hawaii at Fresno State, 5:00 EST
Hawaii: 11-3 ATS as a favorite
Fresno State: 0-7 ATS off a loss as a favorite
Arizona at Stanford, 5:00 EST
Arizona: 7-19 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points
Stanford: 24-11 Under after forcing 1 or 0 turnovers
Utah State at San Jose State, 6:00 EST
Utah State: 5-16 ATS away off a win
San Jose State: 7-1 Under vs. conference opponents
(TC) UAB at Rice, 7:30 EST CSTV
UAB: 0-7 ATS as a road favorite of 7 points or less
Rice: 24-9 ATS as a home underdog
Ohio U at Illinois, 7:00 EST
Ohio U: 2-10 ATS as a road underdog
Illinois: 8-1 Under off a home game
(TC) Cincinnati at Louisville, 3:30 EST ESPNU
Cincinnati: 22-10 Under off a home game
Louisville: 8-0 ATS at home off a road game
Houston at Southern Miss, 7:00 EST
Houston: 2-10 ATS away off a loss by 6 points or less
Southern Miss: 23-10 ATS after scoring 14 points or less
(TC) Oklahoma State at Kansas, 2:00 EST
Oklahoma State: 8-2 Over in October
Kansas: 8-22 ATS off a home conference loss
(TC) Texas Tech at Colorado, 3:30 EST
Texas Tech: 15-1 ATS off a home loss
Colorado: 7-1 Over off a loss as a home favorite
Baylor at Texas, 7:00 EST TBS
Baylor: 7-0 Under off a combined score of 60+ points
Texas: 11-2 ATS off 3+ wins
Idaho at Louisiana Tech, 7:00 EST
Idaho: 1-10 ATS off a home conference win
Louisiana Tech: 15-5 Over off a conference game
(TC) Kentucky at LSU, 8:00 EST
Kentucky: 3-10 ATS as a road underdog of 21.5+ points
LSU: 6-0 ATS off a straight up loss
Arizona State at USC, 8:00 EST ABC
Arizona State: 12-3 Over off a loss by 21+ points
USC: 0-7 ATS off an Under
Michigan at Penn State, 8:00 EST ABC
Michigan: 2-10 ATS away off 3+ games allowing 17 points or less
Penn State: 7-0 Over at home off a conference loss by 7 points or less
Tulane at UTEP, 9:00 EST
Tulane: 8-1 Over off an Over
UTEP: 9-2 ATS after forcing 3+ turnovers
New Mexico at UNLV, 10:00 EST CSTV
New Mexico: 22-10 ATS off a home loss
UNLV: 8-21 ATS off an Under
Added Games:
(TC) Florida International at Miami FL, 7:00 EST
Florida Int: 4-0 ATS off a conference loss by 7 points or less
Miami FL: 0-6 ATS off an ATS win as a favorite of 10+ points
Arkansas State at Memphis, 2:00 EST
Arkansas State: 5-16 ATS off a home win
Memphis: 21-8 ATS off a loss by 6 points or less
Louisiana Monroe at Troy, 4:00 EST
LA Monroe: 1-6 ATS after scoring and allowing 17 points or less
Troy: 5-1 ATS as a home favorite
** (TC) Denotes Time Change
Sunday, October 15th
Boise State at New Mexico State, 8:00 EST ESPN
Boise State: 41-13 ATS off a conference game
New Mexico State: 0-9 ATS vs. conference opponents
posted by phantom
Oct. 12 2006 3:09pm -
0 likes
TEMPLE (0 - 6) vs. CLEMSON (5 - 1) - 10/12/2006, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEMPLE is 19-37 ATS (-21.7 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
TEMPLE is 1-0 against the spread versus CLEMSON over the last 3 seasons
CLEMSON is 1-0 straight up against TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA TECH (4 - 1) at BOSTON COLLEGE (4 - 1) - 10/12/2006, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA TECH is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
VIRGINIA TECH is 1-0 against the spread versus BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA TECH is 1-0 straight up against BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO ST (4 - 1) at AIR FORCE (2 - 2) - 10/12/2006, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO ST is 62-41 ATS (+16.9 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
COLORADO ST is 40-20 ATS (+18.0 Units) in October games since 1992.
COLORADO ST is 43-26 ATS (+14.4 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
COLORADO ST is 43-24 ATS (+16.6 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
AIR FORCE is 1-1 against the spread versus COLORADO ST over the last 3 seasons
AIR FORCE is 1-1 straight up against COLORADO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH (5 - 1) at C FLORIDA (2 - 3) - 10/13/2006, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
SYRACUSE (3 - 3) at W VIRGINIA (5 - 0) - 10/14/2006, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SYRACUSE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in October games over the last 2 seasons.
W VIRGINIA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
W VIRGINIA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
W VIRGINIA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SYRACUSE is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
SYRACUSE is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
W VIRGINIA is 2-0 against the spread versus SYRACUSE over the last 3 seasons
W VIRGINIA is 2-0 straight up against SYRACUSE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
PURDUE (4 - 2) at NORTHWESTERN (2 - 4) - 10/14/2006, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PURDUE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in October games over the last 2 seasons.
PURDUE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.
NORTHWESTERN is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
NORTHWESTERN is 2-0 against the spread versus PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
NORTHWESTERN is 2-0 straight up against PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA (2 - 4) at WISCONSIN (5 - 1) - 10/14/2006, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WISCONSIN is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
WISCONSIN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
WISCONSIN is 2-0 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 2-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
IOWA (5 - 1) at INDIANA (3 - 3) - 10/14/2006, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 56 since 1992.
INDIANA is 40-60 ATS (-26.0 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 1-0 against the spread versus IOWA over the last 3 seasons
IOWA is 1-0 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
WAKE FOREST (5 - 1) at NC STATE (3 - 2) - 10/14/2006, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WAKE FOREST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in October games over the last 2 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons.
NC STATE is 20-36 ATS (-19.6 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
WAKE FOREST is 2-0 against the spread versus NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
NC STATE is 1-1 straight up against WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MARYLAND (3 - 2) at VIRGINIA (2 - 4) - 10/14/2006, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
VIRGINIA is 1-1 against the spread versus MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA is 1-1 straight up against MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
S FLORIDA (4 - 2) at N CAROLINA (1 - 4) - 10/14/2006, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N CAROLINA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
MIAMI OHIO (0 - 6) at BUFFALO (1 - 4) - 10/14/2006, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 1-1 against the spread versus MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI OHIO is 2-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
BALL ST (2 - 4) at C MICHIGAN (3 - 3) - 10/14/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
C MICHIGAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all games this season.
C MICHIGAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
C MICHIGAN is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
C MICHIGAN is 1-1 against the spread versus BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
C MICHIGAN is 2-0 straight up against BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
ARMY (3 - 3) at CONNECTICUT (2 - 3) - 10/14/2006, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
CONNECTICUT is 2-0 against the spread versus ARMY over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 2-0 straight up against ARMY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
RUTGERS (5 - 0) at NAVY (5 - 1) - 10/14/2006, 1:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NAVY is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
NAVY is 89-57 ATS (+26.3 Units) in all games since 1992.
NAVY is 89-57 ATS (+26.3 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 85-54 ATS (+25.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
NAVY is 56-34 ATS (+18.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
NAVY is 1-1 against the spread versus RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
NAVY is 1-1 straight up against RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MISSOURI (6 - 0) at TEXAS A&M (5 - 1) - 10/14/2006, 2:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
NEBRASKA (5 - 1) at KANSAS ST (4 - 2) - 10/14/2006, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS ST is 50-30 ATS (+17.0 Units) in home games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 50-30 ATS (+17.0 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 49-28 ATS (+18.2 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 72-48 ATS (+19.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 35-18 ATS (+15.2 Units) in home games after playing a conference game since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 50-30 ATS (+17.0 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS ST is 2-0 against the spread versus NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS ST is 1-1 straight up against NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
N ILLINOIS (4 - 2) at W MICHIGAN (3 - 2) - 10/14/2006, 2:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
N ILLINOIS is 2-0 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
N ILLINOIS is 2-0 straight up against W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MISSISSIPPI (2 - 4) at ALABAMA (4 - 2) - 10/14/2006, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ALABAMA is 15-31 ATS (-19.1 Units) as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points since 1992.
ALABAMA is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
ALABAMA is 36-55 ATS (-24.5 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
ALABAMA is 27-44 ATS (-21.4 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
ALABAMA is 1-1 against the spread versus MISSISSIPPI over the last 3 seasons
ALABAMA is 2-0 straight up against MISSISSIPPI over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
UTAH (4 - 2) at WYOMING (2 - 4) - 10/14/2006, 3:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
WYOMING is 1-1 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 2-0 straight up against WYOMING over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
TULSA (4 - 1) at E CAROLINA (2 - 3) - 10/14/2006, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E CAROLINA is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
TULSA is 1-0 against the spread versus E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
TULSA is 1-0 straight up against E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MARSHALL (1 - 4) at SMU (3 - 3) - 10/14/2006, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARSHALL is 15-30 ATS (-18.0 Units) in road games since 1992.
MARSHALL is 15-30 ATS (-18.0 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
MARSHALL is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MARSHALL is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
MARSHALL is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
SMU is 1-0 against the spread versus MARSHALL over the last 3 seasons
MARSHALL is 1-0 straight up against SMU over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA (6 - 0) at AUBURN (5 - 1) - 10/14/2006, 7:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AUBURN is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
AUBURN is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
AUBURN is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
AUBURN is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
CALIFORNIA (5 - 1) at WASHINGTON ST (4 - 2) - 10/14/2006, 5:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON ST is 1-0 against the spread versus CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
CALIFORNIA is 1-0 straight up against WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
VANDERBILT (2 - 4) at GEORGIA (5 - 1) - 10/14/2006, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANDERBILT is 20-36 ATS (-19.6 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA is 2-0 against the spread versus VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA is 2-0 straight up against VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
OHIO ST (6 - 0) at MICHIGAN ST (3 - 3) - 10/14/2006, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 19-38 ATS (-22.8 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO ST is 2-0 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
OHIO ST is 2-0 straight up against MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA ST (3 - 2) at DUKE (0 - 5) - 10/14/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DUKE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
DUKE is 1-1 against the spread versus FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA ST is 2-0 straight up against DUKE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
OREGON ST (2 - 3) at WASHINGTON (4 - 2) - 10/14/2006, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 42-64 ATS (-28.4 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
OREGON ST is 2-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
OREGON ST is 2-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
UCLA (4 - 1) at OREGON (4 - 1) - 10/14/2006, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
UCLA is 1-0 against the spread versus OREGON over the last 3 seasons
UCLA is 1-0 straight up against OREGON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
TOLEDO (2 - 4) at KENT ST (4 - 2) - 10/14/2006, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TOLEDO is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
E MICHIGAN (0 - 5) at BOWLING GREEN (3 - 3) - 10/14/2006, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E MICHIGAN is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
E MICHIGAN is 1-0 against the spread versus BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons
BOWLING GREEN is 1-0 straight up against E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
IOWA ST (3 - 3) at OKLAHOMA (3 - 2) - 10/14/2006, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in home games in October games since 1992.
OKLAHOMA is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
HAWAII (3 - 2) at FRESNO ST (1 - 4) - 10/14/2006, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HAWAII is 12-28 ATS (-18.8 Units) in road games after playing a conference game since 1992.
HAWAII is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
FRESNO ST is 2-0 against the spread versus HAWAII over the last 3 seasons
FRESNO ST is 2-0 straight up against HAWAII over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA (2 - 4) at STANFORD (0 - 6) - 10/14/2006, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
ARIZONA is 22-48 ATS (-30.8 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
ARIZONA is 43-69 ATS (-32.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
STANFORD is 1-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
STANFORD is 1-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
UTAH ST (1 - 5) at SAN JOSE ST (3 - 1) - 10/14/2006, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE ST is 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH ST is 1-0 against the spread versus SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons
UTAH ST is 1-0 straight up against SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
UAB (3 - 3) at RICE (1 - 5) - 10/14/2006, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RICE is 34-15 ATS (+17.5 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
RICE is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in home games in October games since 1992.
RICE is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
UAB is 1-0 against the spread versus RICE over the last 3 seasons
UAB is 1-0 straight up against RICE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
OHIO U (3 - 3) at ILLINOIS (2 - 4) - 10/14/2006, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO U is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO U is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
ILLINOIS is 31-51 ATS (-25.1 Units) in home games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 31-51 ATS (-25.1 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 31-49 ATS (-22.9 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 40-69 ATS (-35.9 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
CINCINNATI (3 - 3) at LOUISVILLE (5 - 0) - 10/14/2006, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISVILLE is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
LOUISVILLE is 2-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
LOUISVILLE is 2-0 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON (4 - 2) at SOUTHERN MISS (3 - 2) - 10/14/2006, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 2-0 against the spread versus SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
SOUTHERN MISS is 1-1 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA ST (3 - 2) at KANSAS (3 - 3) - 10/14/2006, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA ST is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) in road games after playing a conference game since 1992.
KANSAS is 63-91 ATS (-37.1 Units) in all games since 1992.
KANSAS is 63-91 ATS (-37.1 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
KANSAS is 43-66 ATS (-29.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
KANSAS is 58-85 ATS (-35.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
KANSAS is 45-75 ATS (-37.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
KANSAS is 36-72 ATS (-43.2 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
KANSAS is 23-47 ATS (-28.7 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
TEXAS TECH (4 - 2) at COLORADO (0 - 6) - 10/14/2006, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS TECH is 66-42 ATS (+19.8 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 85-60 ATS (+19.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 39-20 ATS (+17.0 Units) in October games since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 42-23 ATS (+16.7 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
COLORADO is 23-39 ATS (-19.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
BAYLOR (3 - 3) at TEXAS (5 - 1) - 10/14/2006, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 68-44 ATS (+19.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
TEXAS is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 1-1 against the spread versus BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS is 2-0 straight up against BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
IDAHO (3 - 3) at LOUISIANA TECH (1 - 4) - 10/14/2006, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
IDAHO is 1-0 against the spread versus LOUISIANA TECH over the last 3 seasons
LOUISIANA TECH is 1-0 straight up against IDAHO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
KENTUCKY (3 - 3) at LSU (4 - 2) - 10/14/2006, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LSU is 21-37 ATS (-19.7 Units) in home games after playing a conference game since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
ARIZONA ST (3 - 2) at USC (5 - 0) - 10/14/2006, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
USC is 1-1 against the spread versus ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
USC is 2-0 straight up against ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN (6 - 0) at PENN ST (4 - 2) - 10/14/2006, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN is 14-33 ATS (-22.3 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
PENN ST is 1-0 against the spread versus MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 1-0 straight up against PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
TULANE (2 - 3) at UTEP (3 - 2) - 10/14/2006, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TULANE is 44-66 ATS (-28.6 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
UTEP is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
UTEP is 1-0 against the spread versus TULANE over the last 3 seasons
UTEP is 1-0 straight up against TULANE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NEW MEXICO (2 - 4) at UNLV (1 - 4) - 10/14/2006, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UNLV is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
UNLV is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
UNLV is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
UNLV is 1-1 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
NEW MEXICO is 2-0 straight up against UNLV over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
FLA INTERNATIONAL (0 - 6) at MIAMI (3 - 2) - 10/14/2006, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
ARKANSAS ST (3 - 2) at MEMPHIS (1 - 4) - 10/14/2006, 2:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
ARKANSAS ST is 1-0 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 1-0 straight up against ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
LA MONROE (1 - 4) at TROY ST (1 - 4) - 10/14/2006, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
LA MONROE is 1-0 against the spread versus TROY ST over the last 3 seasons
LA MONROE is 1-0 straight up against TROY ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
BOISE ST (6 - 0) at NEW MEXICO ST (2 - 3) - 10/15/2006, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOISE ST is 61-34 ATS (+23.6 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 61-34 ATS (+23.6 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 46-25 ATS (+18.5 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
BOISE ST is 39-18 ATS (+19.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
BOISE ST is 41-13 ATS (+26.7 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
BOISE ST is 36-12 ATS (+22.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
BOISE ST is 38-20 ATS (+16.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
NEW MEXICO ST is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
BOISE ST is 1-0 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons
BOISE ST is 1-0 straight up against NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
posted by phantom
Oct. 12 2006 3:09pm -
0 likes
Dunkel Index – NCAA Football
THURSDAY, OCTOBER 12
Game 301-302: Temple vs. Clemson
Dunkel Ratings: Temple 55.843; Clemson 103.245
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 47 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: Clemson by 44; 56
Dunkel Pick: Clemson (-44); Under
Game 303-304: Virginia Tech at Boston College
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia Tech 97.622; Boston College 97.226
Dunkel Line: Even; 39 1/2
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 2 1/2; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston College (+2 1/2); Under
Game 305-306: Colorado State at Air Force
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado State 87.468; Air Force 88.933
Dunkel Line: Air Force by 1 1/2; 38
Vegas Line: Air Force by 5 1/2; 46
Dunkel Pick: Colorado State (+5 1/2); Under
FRIDAY, OCTOBER 13
Game 307-308: Pittsburgh at Central Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 89.884; Central Florida 80.554
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 9; 42 1/2
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 10; 47
Dunkel Pick: Central Florida (+10); Under
SATURDAY, OCTOBER 14
Game 309-310: Syracuse at West Virginia
Dunkel Ratings: Syracuse 78.068; West Virginia 107.398
Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 29 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: West Virginia by 24 1/2; 49
Dunkel Pick: West Virginia (-24 1/2); Over
Game 311-312: Purdue at Northwestern
Dunkel Ratings: Purdue 87.688; Northwestern 82.505
Dunkel Line: Purdue by 5; 50
Vegas Line: Purdue by 7; 53
Dunkel Pick: Northwestern (+7); Under
Game 313-314: Minnesota at Wisconsin
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 94.007; Wisconsin 98.544
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 4 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 8 1/2; 49
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+8 1/2); Under
Game 315-316: Iowa at Indiana
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa 102.204; Indiana 78.489
Dunkel Line: Iowa by 23 1/2; 56 1/2
Vegas Line: Iowa by 17 1/2; 52
Dunkel Pick: Iowa (-17 1/2); Over
Game 317-318: Wake Forest at N.C. State
Dunkel Ratings: Wake Forest 89.939; N.C. State 87.637
Dunkel Line: Wake Forest by 2; 37 1/2
Vegas Line: N.C. State by 4; 38 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wake Forest (+4); Under
Game 319-320: Maryland at Virginia
Dunkel Ratings: Maryland 88.613; Virginia 85.697
Dunkel Line: Maryland by 3; 42
Vegas Line: Maryland by 5; 38 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Virginia (+5); Over
Game 321-322: South Florida at North Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: South Florida 87.025; North Carolina 77.899
Dunkel Line: South Florida by 9; 49
Vegas Line: South Florida by 2 1/2; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Florida (-2 1/2); Over
Game 323-324: Miami (OH) at Buffalo
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 77.128; Buffalo 64.391
Dunkel Line: Miami (OH) by 13; 52
Vegas Line: Miami (OH) by 8 1/2; 46
Dunkel Pick: Miami (OH) (-8 1/2); Over
Game 325-326: Ball State at Central Michigan
Dunkel Ratings: Ball State 76.729; Central Michigan 83.848
Dunkel Line: Central Michigan by 7; 62 1/2
Vegas Line: Central Michigan by 9 1/2; 61
Dunkel Pick: Ball State (+9 1/2); Over
Game 327-328: Army at Connecticut
Dunkel Ratings: Army 73.989; Connecticut 76.282
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 2 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: Connecticut by 5 1/2; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Army (+5 1/2); Over
Game 329-330: Rutgers at Navy
Dunkel Ratings: Rutgers 91.014; Navy 89.446
Dunkel Line: Rutgers by 1 1/2; 48 1/2
Vegas Line: Navy by 1 1/2; 45
Dunkel Pick: Rutgers (+1 1/2); Over
Game 331-332: Missouri at Texas A&M
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri 102.046; Texas A&M 94.894
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 7; 46 1/2
Vegas Line: Missouri by 2; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Missouri (-2); Under
Game 333-334: Nebraska at Kansas State
Dunkel Ratings: Nebraska 104.429; Kansas State 87.933
Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 16 1/2; 41 1/2
Vegas Line: Nebraska by 10 1/2; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nebraska (-10 1/2); Under
Game 335-336: Northern Illinois at Western Michigan
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 81.312; Western Michigan 84.902
Dunkel Line: Western Michigan by 3 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Northern Illinois by 2; 51
Dunkel Pick: Western Michigan (+2); Under
Game 337-338: Mississippi at Alabama
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi 82.544; Alabama 92.969
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 10 1/2; 40
Vegas Line: Alabama by 16; 36 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi (+16); Over
Game 339-340: Utah at Wyoming
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 93.143; Wyoming 83.854
Dunkel Line: Utah by 9 1/2; 40
Vegas Line: Utah by 4; 40
Dunkel Pick: Utah (-4); Neutral
Game 341-342: Tulsa at East Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 84.681; East Carolina 85.995
Dunkel Line: East Carolina by 1 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Tulsa by 2 1/2; 49
Dunkel Pick: East Carolina (+2 1/2); Under
Game 343-344: Marshall at SMU
Dunkel Ratings: Marshall 75.018; SMU 83.044
Dunkel Line: SMU by 8; 46
Vegas Line: SMU by 4; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: SMU (-4); Over
Game 345-346: Florida at Auburn
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 102.752; Auburn 105.981
Dunkel Line: Auburn by 3; 42 1/2
Vegas Line: Pick; 38
Dunkel Pick: Auburn; Over
Game 347-348: California at Washington State
Dunkel Ratings: California 104.903; Washington State 92.505
Dunkel Line: California by 12 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: California by 7 1/2; 57
Dunkel Pick: California (-7 1/2); Under
Game 349-350: Vanderbilt at Georgia
Dunkel Ratings: Vanderbilt 84.905; Georgia 103.242
Dunkel Line: Georgia by 18 1/2; 40 1/2
Vegas Line: Georgia by 13 1/2; 38
Dunkel Pick: Georgia (-13 1/2); Over
Game 351-352: Ohio State at Michigan State
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio State 117.100; Michigan State 93.131
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 24; 51 1/2
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 14 1/2; 54
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-14 1/2); Under
Game 353-354: Florida State at Duke
Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 95.965; Duke 69.953
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 26; 40
Vegas Line: Florida State by 23; 42
Dunkel Pick: Florida State (-23); Under
Game 355-356: Oregon State at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon State 88.469; Washington 94.723
Dunkel Line: Washington by 6 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: Washington by 9 1/2; 46
Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (+9 1/2); Neutral
Game 357-358: UCLA at Oregon
Dunkel Ratings: UCLA 91.946; Oregon 104.211
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 13 1/2; 61
Vegas Line: Oregon by 10; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon (-10); Over
Game 359-360: Toledo at Kent
Dunkel Ratings: Toledo 75.145; Kent 86.230
Dunkel Line: Kent by 11; 42 1/2
Vegas Line: Kent by 7; 47
Dunkel Pick: Kent (-7); Under
Game 361-362: Eastern Michigan at Bowling Green
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 64.849; Bowling Green 76.016
Dunkel Line: Bowling Green by 11; 48 1/2
Vegas Line: Bowling Green by 10 1/2; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Bowling Green (-10 1/2); Under
Game 363-364: Iowa State at Oklahoma
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa State 89.043; Oklahoma 102.938
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 14; 53 1/2
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 19 1/2; 49
Dunkel Pick: Iowa State (+19 1/2); Over
Game 365-366: Hawaii at Fresno State
Dunkel Ratings: Hawaii 84.705; Fresno State 87.328
Dunkel Line: Fresno State by 2 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: Hawaii by 4 1/2; 56
Dunkel Pick: Fresno State (+4 1/2); Under
Game 367-368: Arizona at Stanford
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 84.506; Stanford 79.790
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 4 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: Arizona by 3 1/2; 38 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-3 1/2); Over
Game 369-370: Utah State at San Jose State
Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 61.679; San Jose State 81.999
Dunkel Line: San Jose State by 20; 50
Vegas Line: San Jose State by 14; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose State (-14); Over
Game 371-372: UAB at Rice
Dunkel Ratings: UAB 82.250; Rice 74.672
Dunkel Line: UAB by 7 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: UAB by 5 1/2; 49
Dunkel Pick: UAB (-5 1/2); Over
Game 373-374: Ohio at Illinois
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 75.441; Illinois 80.380
Dunkel Line: Illinois by 5; 52
Vegas Line: Illinois by 6 1/2; 44
Dunkel Pick: Ohio (+6 1/2); Over
Game 375-376: Cincinnati at Louisville
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 79.534; Louisville 109.148
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 29 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: Louisville by 26 1/2; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-26 1/2); Over
Game 377-378: Houston at Southern Mississippi
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 82.064; Southern Mississippi 87.778
Dunkel Line: Southern Mississippi by 5 1/2; 41 1/2
Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 2; 48
Dunkel Pick: Southern Mississippi (-2); Under
Game 379-380: Oklahoma State at Kansas
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma State 83.675; Kansas 89.427
Dunkel Line: Kansas by 6; 54
Vegas Line: Kansas by 3; 49
Dunkel Pick: Kansas (-3); Over
Game 381-382: Texas Tech at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Texas Tech 93.023; Colorado 82.957
Dunkel Line: Texas Tech by 10; 40
Vegas Line: Texas Tech by 7; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas Tech (-7); Under
Game 383-384: Baylor at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Baylor 86.960; Texas 111.385
Dunkel Line: Texas by 24 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: Texas by 29; 48
Dunkel Pick: Baylor (+29); Neutral
Game 385-386: Idaho at Louisiana Tech
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho 70.017; Louisiana Tech 70.442
Dunkel Line: Even; 59
Vegas Line: Louisiana Tech by 2 1/2; 53
Dunkel Pick: Idaho (+2 1/2); Over
Game 387-388: Kentucky at LSU
Dunkel Ratings: Kentucky 78.936; LSU 112.277
Dunkel Line: LSU by 33; 45
Vegas Line: LSU by 26 1/2; 50
Dunkel Pick: LSU (-26 1/2); Under
Game 389-390: Arizona State at USC
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona State 94.190; USC 116.654
Dunkel Line: USC by 22 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: USC by 18 1/2; 55
Dunkel Pick: USC (-18 1/2); Neutral
Game 391-392: Michigan at Penn State
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan 110.528; Penn State 104.957
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 5 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: Michigan by 6 1/2; 41
Dunkel Pick: Penn State (+6 1/2); Over
Game 393-394: Tulane at UTEP
Dunkel Ratings: Tulane 77.754; UTEP 85.582
Dunkel Line: UTEP by 8; 60
Vegas Line: UTEP by 13 1/2; 62
Dunkel Pick: Tulane (+13 1/2); Under
Game 395-396: New Mexico at UNLV
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico 80.926; UNLV 70.209
Dunkel Line: New Mexico by 10 1/2; 46 1/2
Vegas Line: New Mexico by 3; 37 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico (-3); Over
Game 397-398: Florida International at Miami (FL)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida International 60.201; Miami (FL) 97.506
Dunkel Line: Miami (FL) by 37; 40
Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 28; 41
Dunkel Pick: Miami (FL) (-28); Under
Game 399-400: Arkansas State at Memphis
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas State 73.089; Memphis 75.923
Dunkel Line: Memphis by 3; 52 1/2
Vegas Line: Memphis by 11 1/2; 44
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas State (+11 1/2); Over
Game 401-402: UL Monroe at Troy
Dunkel Ratings: UL Monroe 64.569; Troy 71.541
Dunkel Line: Troy by 7; 40
Vegas Line: Troy by 8 1/2; 41
Dunkel Pick: UL Monroe (+8 1/2); Under
SUNDAY, OCTOBER 15
Game 427-428: Boise State at New Mexico State
Dunkel Ratings: Boise State 109.797; New Mexico State 67.124
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 42 1/2; 54 1/2
Vegas Line: Boise State by 26; 64 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-26); Under
posted by phantom
Oct. 12 2006 3:10pm -
0 likes
NCAAFB - Thur. through Sunday
Thursday, October 12th
Temple at Clemson, 7:30 EST
Temple: 12-1 ATS away off BB ATS wins
Clemson: 0-7 ATS off 5+ games allowing 125 or less rushing yards
Virginia Tech at Boston College, 7:30 EST ESPN
Virginia Tech: 6-0 ATS as a road favorite
Boston College: 30-16 Under off an ATS loss
Colorado State at Air Force, 8:00 EST CSTV
Colorado State: 22-10 ATS away off a win by 17+ points
Air Force: 11-3 Over vs. conference opponents
** (TC) Denotes Time Change
Friday, October 13th
Pittsburgh at Central Florida, 8:00 EST ESPN2
Pittsburgh: 0-8 ATS as a road favorite of 7.5 to 14 points
Central Florida: 5-1 Under vs. non-conference opponents
** (TC) Denotes Time Change
Saturday, October 14th
Syracuse at West Virginia, 12:00 EST
Syracuse: 0-6 ATS in October
West Virginia: 8-0 ATS after allowing 14 points or less
Purdue at Northwestern, 12:00 EST
Purdue: 0-6 ATS in October
Northwestern: 26-13 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points
Minnesota at Wisconsin, 12:00 EST ESPN
Minnesota: 5-14 ATS as a road underdog of 7.5 to 14 points
Wisconsin: 11-2 ATS in home games
Iowa at Indiana, 12:00 EST ESPN2
Iowa: 10-2 ATS off BB Overs
Indiana: 13-30 ATS as a home underdog
Wake Forest at NC State, 12:00 EST
Wake Forest: 6-0 ATS in October
NC State: 16-6 Under as a home favorite
(TC) Maryland at Virginia, 3:30 EST
Maryland: 3-10 ATS as a favorite
Virginia: 10-2 Under at home in October
South Florida at North Carolina, 12:00 EST ESPNU
South Florida: 10-1 Under as a favorite
North Carolina: 6-18 ATS at home vs. non-conference opponents
Miami OH at Buffalo, 1:00 EST
Miami OH: 6-2 ATS off a home conference loss
Buffalo: 5-1 Under off an ATS loss
Ball State at Central Michigan, 1:00 EST
Ball State: 6-1 Under off a win
Central Michigan: 6-0 ATS off an ATS win
(TC) Army at Connecticut, 12:00 EST
Army: 1-5 ATS off a home win by 28+ points
Connecticut: 5-1 ATS off BB losses by 17+ points
Rutgers at Navy, 1:30 EST CSTV
Rutgers: 10-2 Under vs. non-conference opponents
Navy: 9-0 ATS with a line of +3 to -3
(TC) Missouri at Texas A&M, 3:30 EST ABC
Missouri: 7-1 ATS off BB conference wins
Texas A&M: 6-1 Under as a home underdog of 7 points or less
Nebraska at Kansas State, 2:00 EST
Nebraska: 22-9 ATS off a road win by 10+ points
Kansas State: 1-6 ATS off a win as an underdog
Northern Illinois at Western Michigan, 2:00 EST
Northern Illinois: 12-3 ATS off BB road games
Western Michigan: 4-10 ATS as a home underdog
(TC) Mississippi at Alabama, 3:30 EST CBS
Mississippi: 9-2 Under away in the first half of the season
Alabama: 1-8 ATS as a home favorite
Utah at Wyoming, 3:00 EST
Utah: 16-3 Under away off a conference win
Wyoming: 13-3 ATS off an ATS win
Tulsa at East Carolina, 3:00 EST
Tulsa: 8-1 ATS in road games
East Carolina: 12-2 Under off an Over
Marshall at SMU, 3:00 EST
Marshall: 0-7 ATS away vs. conference opponents
SMU: 12-1 Under off a straight up loss
(TC) Florida at Auburn, 7:45 EST ESPN
Florida: 13-5 Under in road games
Auburn: 9-1 ATS in October
(TC) California at Washington State, 5:00 EST
California: 22-9 ATS away off a combined score of 60+ points
Washington State: 2-11 ATS off a road game
(TC) Vanderbilt at Georgia, 12:30 EST
Vanderbilt: 6-0 ATS as a road underdog
Georgia: 7-0 Under off a combined score of 70+ points
Ohio State at Michigan State, 3:30 EST ABC
Ohio State: 9-1 ATS vs. conference opponents
Michigan State: 1-8 ATS off a conference game
(TC) Florida State at Duke, 1:00 EST
Florida State: 8-2 Under after losing 2 of their last 3 games
Duke: 0-6 ATS in home games
(TC) Oregon State at Washington, 6:30 EST
Oregon State: 16-5 ATS off a conference loss by 7 points or less
Washington: 6-19 ATS off a conference road loss
UCLA at Oregon, 3:30 EST ABC
UCLA: 2-10 ATS away off BB ATS wins
Oregon: 6-0 ATS off an ATS loss
Toledo at Kent State, 4:00 EST
Toledo: 12-4 ATS off a loss by 17+ points
Kent State: 6-1 Under in home games
Eastern Michigan at Bowling Green, 4:00 EST
Eastern Michigan: 6-18 ATS on grass fields
Bowling Green: 10-2 ATS at home off BB road games
(TC) Iowa State at Oklahoma, 12:30 EST FSN
Iowa State: 6-0 ATS away after forcing 1 or 0 turnovers
Oklahoma: 2-10 ATS at home off a loss by 17+ points
Hawaii at Fresno State, 5:00 EST
Hawaii: 11-3 ATS as a favorite
Fresno State: 0-7 ATS off a loss as a favorite
Arizona at Stanford, 5:00 EST
Arizona: 7-19 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points
Stanford: 24-11 Under after forcing 1 or 0 turnovers
Utah State at San Jose State, 6:00 EST
Utah State: 5-16 ATS away off a win
San Jose State: 7-1 Under vs. conference opponents
(TC) UAB at Rice, 7:30 EST CSTV
UAB: 0-7 ATS as a road favorite of 7 points or less
Rice: 24-9 ATS as a home underdog
Ohio U at Illinois, 7:00 EST
Ohio U: 2-10 ATS as a road underdog
Illinois: 8-1 Under off a home game
(TC) Cincinnati at Louisville, 3:30 EST ESPNU
Cincinnati: 22-10 Under off a home game
Louisville: 8-0 ATS at home off a road game
Houston at Southern Miss, 7:00 EST
Houston: 2-10 ATS away off a loss by 6 points or less
Southern Miss: 23-10 ATS after scoring 14 points or less
(TC) Oklahoma State at Kansas, 2:00 EST
Oklahoma State: 8-2 Over in October
Kansas: 8-22 ATS off a home conference loss
(TC) Texas Tech at Colorado, 3:30 EST
Texas Tech: 15-1 ATS off a home loss
Colorado: 7-1 Over off a loss as a home favorite
Baylor at Texas, 7:00 EST TBS
Baylor: 7-0 Under off a combined score of 60+ points
Texas: 11-2 ATS off 3+ wins
Idaho at Louisiana Tech, 7:00 EST
Idaho: 1-10 ATS off a home conference win
Louisiana Tech: 15-5 Over off a conference game
(TC) Kentucky at LSU, 8:00 EST
Kentucky: 3-10 ATS as a road underdog of 21.5+ points
LSU: 6-0 ATS off a straight up loss
Arizona State at USC, 8:00 EST ABC
Arizona State: 12-3 Over off a loss by 21+ points
USC: 0-7 ATS off an Under
Michigan at Penn State, 8:00 EST ABC
Michigan: 2-10 ATS away off 3+ games allowing 17 points or less
Penn State: 7-0 Over at home off a conference loss by 7 points or less
Tulane at UTEP, 9:00 EST
Tulane: 8-1 Over off an Over
UTEP: 9-2 ATS after forcing 3+ turnovers
New Mexico at UNLV, 10:00 EST CSTV
New Mexico: 22-10 ATS off a home loss
UNLV: 8-21 ATS off an Under
Added Games:
(TC) Florida International at Miami FL, 7:00 EST
Florida Int: 4-0 ATS off a conference loss by 7 points or less
Miami FL: 0-6 ATS off an ATS win as a favorite of 10+ points
Arkansas State at Memphis, 2:00 EST
Arkansas State: 5-16 ATS off a home win
Memphis: 21-8 ATS off a loss by 6 points or less
Louisiana Monroe at Troy, 4:00 EST
LA Monroe: 1-6 ATS after scoring and allowing 17 points or less
Troy: 5-1 ATS as a home favorite
** (TC) Denotes Time Change
Sunday, October 15th
Boise State at New Mexico State, 8:00 EST ESPN
Boise State: 41-13 ATS off a conference game
New Mexico State: 0-9 ATS vs. conference opponents
** (TC) Denotes Time Change
posted by phantom
Oct. 12 2006 3:13pm -
0 likes
NCAAFB - Thursday through Sunday
College Football Trend Report
TEMPLE (0 - 6) vs. CLEMSON (5 - 1) - 10/12/2006, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEMPLE is 19-37 ATS (-21.7 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
TEMPLE is 1-0 against the spread versus CLEMSON over the last 3 seasons
CLEMSON is 1-0 straight up against TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA TECH (4 - 1) at BOSTON COLLEGE (4 - 1) - 10/12/2006, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA TECH is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
VIRGINIA TECH is 1-0 against the spread versus BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA TECH is 1-0 straight up against BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO ST (4 - 1) at AIR FORCE (2 - 2) - 10/12/2006, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO ST is 62-41 ATS (+16.9 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
COLORADO ST is 40-20 ATS (+18.0 Units) in October games since 1992.
COLORADO ST is 43-26 ATS (+14.4 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
COLORADO ST is 43-24 ATS (+16.6 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
AIR FORCE is 1-1 against the spread versus COLORADO ST over the last 3 seasons
AIR FORCE is 1-1 straight up against COLORADO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH (5 - 1) at C FLORIDA (2 - 3) - 10/13/2006, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
SYRACUSE (3 - 3) at W VIRGINIA (5 - 0) - 10/14/2006, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SYRACUSE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in October games over the last 2 seasons.
W VIRGINIA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
W VIRGINIA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
W VIRGINIA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SYRACUSE is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
SYRACUSE is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
W VIRGINIA is 2-0 against the spread versus SYRACUSE over the last 3 seasons
W VIRGINIA is 2-0 straight up against SYRACUSE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
PURDUE (4 - 2) at NORTHWESTERN (2 - 4) - 10/14/2006, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PURDUE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in October games over the last 2 seasons.
PURDUE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.
NORTHWESTERN is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
NORTHWESTERN is 2-0 against the spread versus PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
NORTHWESTERN is 2-0 straight up against PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA (2 - 4) at WISCONSIN (5 - 1) - 10/14/2006, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WISCONSIN is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
WISCONSIN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
WISCONSIN is 2-0 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 2-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
IOWA (5 - 1) at INDIANA (3 - 3) - 10/14/2006, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 56 since 1992.
INDIANA is 40-60 ATS (-26.0 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 1-0 against the spread versus IOWA over the last 3 seasons
IOWA is 1-0 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
WAKE FOREST (5 - 1) at NC STATE (3 - 2) - 10/14/2006, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WAKE FOREST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in October games over the last 2 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons.
NC STATE is 20-36 ATS (-19.6 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
WAKE FOREST is 2-0 against the spread versus NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
NC STATE is 1-1 straight up against WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MARYLAND (3 - 2) at VIRGINIA (2 - 4) - 10/14/2006, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
VIRGINIA is 1-1 against the spread versus MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA is 1-1 straight up against MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
S FLORIDA (4 - 2) at N CAROLINA (1 - 4) - 10/14/2006, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N CAROLINA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
MIAMI OHIO (0 - 6) at BUFFALO (1 - 4) - 10/14/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI OHIO is 36-20 ATS (+14.0 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 1-1 against the spread versus MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI OHIO is 2-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
BALL ST (2 - 4) at C MICHIGAN (3 - 3) - 10/14/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
C MICHIGAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all games this season.
C MICHIGAN is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
C MICHIGAN is 1-1 against the spread versus BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
C MICHIGAN is 2-0 straight up against BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
ARMY (3 - 3) at CONNECTICUT (2 - 3) - 10/14/2006, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
CONNECTICUT is 2-0 against the spread versus ARMY over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 2-0 straight up against ARMY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
RUTGERS (5 - 0) at NAVY (5 - 1) - 10/14/2006, 1:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NAVY is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
NAVY is 89-57 ATS (+26.3 Units) in all games since 1992.
NAVY is 85-54 ATS (+25.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
NAVY is 56-34 ATS (+18.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NAVY is 89-57 ATS (+26.3 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
NAVY is 1-1 against the spread versus RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
NAVY is 1-1 straight up against RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MISSOURI (6 - 0) at TEXAS A&M (5 - 1) - 10/14/2006, 2:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
NEBRASKA (5 - 1) at KANSAS ST (4 - 2) - 10/14/2006, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS ST is 49-28 ATS (+18.2 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 72-48 ATS (+19.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 35-18 ATS (+15.2 Units) in home games after playing a conference game since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 50-30 ATS (+17.0 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 50-30 ATS (+17.0 Units) in home games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 50-30 ATS (+17.0 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS ST is 2-0 against the spread versus NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS ST is 1-1 straight up against NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
N ILLINOIS (4 - 2) at W MICHIGAN (3 - 2) - 10/14/2006, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N ILLINOIS is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
N ILLINOIS is 2-0 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
N ILLINOIS is 2-0 straight up against W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MISSISSIPPI (2 - 4) at ALABAMA (4 - 2) - 10/14/2006, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ALABAMA is 15-31 ATS (-19.1 Units) as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points since 1992.
ALABAMA is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
ALABAMA is 36-55 ATS (-24.5 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
ALABAMA is 27-44 ATS (-21.4 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
ALABAMA is 1-1 against the spread versus MISSISSIPPI over the last 3 seasons
ALABAMA is 2-0 straight up against MISSISSIPPI over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
UTAH (4 - 2) at WYOMING (2 - 4) - 10/14/2006, 3:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
WYOMING is 1-1 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 2-0 straight up against WYOMING over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
TULSA (4 - 1) at E CAROLINA (2 - 3) - 10/14/2006, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E CAROLINA is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
TULSA is 1-0 against the spread versus E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
TULSA is 1-0 straight up against E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MARSHALL (1 - 4) at SMU (3 - 3) - 10/14/2006, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARSHALL is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MARSHALL is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
MARSHALL is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
MARSHALL is 15-30 ATS (-18.0 Units) in road games since 1992.
MARSHALL is 15-30 ATS (-18.0 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
SMU is 1-0 against the spread versus MARSHALL over the last 3 seasons
MARSHALL is 1-0 straight up against SMU over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA (6 - 0) at AUBURN (5 - 1) - 10/14/2006, 7:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AUBURN is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
AUBURN is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
AUBURN is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
AUBURN is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
CALIFORNIA (5 - 1) at WASHINGTON ST (4 - 2) - 10/14/2006, 5:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON ST is 1-0 against the spread versus CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
CALIFORNIA is 1-0 straight up against WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
VANDERBILT (2 - 4) at GEORGIA (5 - 1) - 10/14/2006, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANDERBILT is 20-36 ATS (-19.6 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA is 2-0 against the spread versus VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA is 2-0 straight up against VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
OHIO ST (6 - 0) at MICHIGAN ST (3 - 3) - 10/14/2006, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 19-38 ATS (-22.8 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO ST is 2-0 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
OHIO ST is 2-0 straight up against MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA ST (3 - 2) at DUKE (0 - 5) - 10/14/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DUKE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
DUKE is 1-1 against the spread versus FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA ST is 2-0 straight up against DUKE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
OREGON ST (2 - 3) at WASHINGTON (4 - 2) - 10/14/2006, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON ST is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 42-64 ATS (-28.4 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
OREGON ST is 2-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
OREGON ST is 2-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
UCLA (4 - 1) at OREGON (4 - 1) - 10/14/2006, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
UCLA is 1-0 against the spread versus OREGON over the last 3 seasons
UCLA is 1-0 straight up against OREGON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
TOLEDO (2 - 4) at KENT ST (4 - 2) - 10/14/2006, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TOLEDO is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
E MICHIGAN (0 - 5) at BOWLING GREEN (3 - 3) - 10/14/2006, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E MICHIGAN is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
E MICHIGAN is 1-0 against the spread versus BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons
BOWLING GREEN is 1-0 straight up against E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
IOWA ST (3 - 3) at OKLAHOMA (3 - 2) - 10/14/2006, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in home games in October games since 1992.
OKLAHOMA is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
HAWAII (3 - 2) at FRESNO ST (1 - 4) - 10/14/2006, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HAWAII is 12-28 ATS (-18.8 Units) in road games after playing a conference game since 1992.
HAWAII is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
FRESNO ST is 2-0 against the spread versus HAWAII over the last 3 seasons
FRESNO ST is 2-0 straight up against HAWAII over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA (2 - 4) at STANFORD (0 - 6) - 10/14/2006, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
ARIZONA is 43-69 ATS (-32.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
ARIZONA is 22-48 ATS (-30.8 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
STANFORD is 1-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
STANFORD is 1-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
UTAH ST (1 - 5) at SAN JOSE ST (3 - 1) - 10/14/2006, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE ST is 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH ST is 1-0 against the spread versus SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons
UTAH ST is 1-0 straight up against SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
UAB (3 - 3) at RICE (1 - 5) - 10/14/2006, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RICE is 34-15 ATS (+17.5 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
RICE is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in home games in October games since 1992.
RICE is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
UAB is 1-0 against the spread versus RICE over the last 3 seasons
UAB is 1-0 straight up against RICE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
OHIO U (3 - 3) at ILLINOIS (2 - 4) - 10/14/2006, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO U is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO U is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
ILLINOIS is 31-49 ATS (-22.9 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 40-69 ATS (-35.9 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 31-51 ATS (-25.1 Units) in home games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 31-51 ATS (-25.1 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
CINCINNATI (3 - 3) at LOUISVILLE (5 - 0) - 10/14/2006, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISVILLE is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
LOUISVILLE is 2-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
LOUISVILLE is 2-0 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON (4 - 2) at SOUTHERN MISS (3 - 2) - 10/14/2006, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 2-0 against the spread versus SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
SOUTHERN MISS is 1-1 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA ST (3 - 2) at KANSAS (3 - 3) - 10/14/2006, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA ST is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) in road games after playing a conference game since 1992.
KANSAS is 63-91 ATS (-37.1 Units) in all games since 1992.
KANSAS is 43-66 ATS (-29.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
KANSAS is 58-85 ATS (-35.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
KANSAS is 45-75 ATS (-37.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
KANSAS is 36-72 ATS (-43.2 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
KANSAS is 23-47 ATS (-28.7 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
KANSAS is 63-91 ATS (-37.1 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
TEXAS TECH (4 - 2) at COLORADO (0 - 6) - 10/14/2006, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS TECH is 66-42 ATS (+19.8 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 85-60 ATS (+19.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 39-20 ATS (+17.0 Units) in October games since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 42-23 ATS (+16.7 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
COLORADO is 23-39 ATS (-19.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
BAYLOR (3 - 3) at TEXAS (5 - 1) - 10/14/2006, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 68-44 ATS (+19.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
TEXAS is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 1-1 against the spread versus BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS is 2-0 straight up against BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
IDAHO (3 - 3) at LOUISIANA TECH (1 - 4) - 10/14/2006, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
IDAHO is 1-0 against the spread versus LOUISIANA TECH over the last 3 seasons
LOUISIANA TECH is 1-0 straight up against IDAHO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
KENTUCKY (3 - 3) at LSU (4 - 2) - 10/14/2006, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LSU is 21-37 ATS (-19.7 Units) in home games after playing a conference game since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
ARIZONA ST (3 - 2) at USC (5 - 0) - 10/14/2006, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
USC is 1-1 against the spread versus ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
USC is 2-0 straight up against ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN (6 - 0) at PENN ST (4 - 2) - 10/14/2006, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN is 14-33 ATS (-22.3 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
PENN ST is 1-0 against the spread versus MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 1-0 straight up against PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
TULANE (2 - 3) at UTEP (3 - 2) - 10/14/2006, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TULANE is 44-66 ATS (-28.6 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
UTEP is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
UTEP is 1-0 against the spread versus TULANE over the last 3 seasons
UTEP is 1-0 straight up against TULANE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NEW MEXICO (2 - 4) at UNLV (1 - 4) - 10/14/2006, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UNLV is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
UNLV is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
UNLV is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
UNLV is 1-1 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
NEW MEXICO is 2-0 straight up against UNLV over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
FLA INTERNATIONAL (0 - 6) at MIAMI (3 - 2) - 10/14/2006, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
ARKANSAS ST (3 - 2) at MEMPHIS (1 - 4) - 10/14/2006, 2:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
ARKANSAS ST is 1-0 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 1-0 straight up against ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
LA MONROE (1 - 4) at TROY ST (1 - 4) - 10/14/2006, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
LA MONROE is 1-0 against the spread versus TROY ST over the last 3 seasons
LA MONROE is 1-0 straight up against TROY ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
BOISE ST (6 - 0) at NEW MEXICO ST (2 - 3) - 10/15/2006, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOISE ST is 61-34 ATS (+23.6 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 39-18 ATS (+19.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
BOISE ST is 41-13 ATS (+26.7 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
BOISE ST is 36-12 ATS (+22.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
BOISE ST is 38-20 ATS (+16.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
BOISE ST is 61-34 ATS (+23.6 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 46-25 ATS (+18.5 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
NEW MEXICO ST is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
BOISE ST is 1-0 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons
BOISE ST is 1-0 straight up against NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
posted by phantom
Oct. 12 2006 3:14pm -
0 likes
NCAAFB - Thursday's Games
Clemson beat Temple last year, 37-7, coasting to 17-0 lead at half with total yardage 514-331. Tigers had a fierce struggle at Wake Saturday, rallying from 17-3 deficit in 4th quarter to win; they're in ACC sandwich, with Georgia Tech on deck. Temple is awful, but they covered last two games, losing 43-14 at Vandy (+33), 28-17 to Kent State at home (+23.5). Owls been outscored 103-24 in the second half, but spread is ridiculous. What genius put this one on television?
Boston College has kicker issues; their PK has never been in a football game of any kind. Virginia Tech won its last 11 games on Thursdays (10-1 vs spread); they beat Eagles 30-10 last year, outrushing BC 212-27, their third win in last four tries vs Boston College. Visitor is 7-3-1 vs spread in series. Eagles covered only five of last 16 after a bye. Average total in last four series games is 51.5. Hokies 3-0 vs spread after loss the last two years.
Underdog is 10-5-1 vs spread in last 16 Air Force-Colorado St games; Rams won four of last five in series, but they covered only two of last ten Moutain West road games. Colorado State was 18-29/338 passing last year, outgaining Falcons 551-357 in 41-23 win. Air Force had tough loss vs Navy last week; they're 1-3 vs spread in last four weeknight games. Average total in last five series games is 54.
posted by phantom
Oct. 12 2006 3:15pm -
0 likes
Temple at Clemson, 7:30 EST
Temple: 12-1 ATS away off BB ATS wins
Clemson: 0-7 ATS off 5+ games allowing 125 or less rushing yards
------------------------------------------
Clemson beat Temple last year, 37-7, coasting to 17-0 lead at half with total yardage 514-331. Tigers had a fierce struggle at Wake Saturday, rallying from 17-3 deficit in 4th quarter to win; they're in ACC sandwich, with Georgia Tech on deck. Temple is awful, but they covered last two games, losing 43-14 at Vandy (+33), 28-17 to Kent State at home (+23.5). Owls been outscored 103-24 in the second half, but spread is ridiculous. What genius put this one on television
--------------------------------------------
College Football Trend Report
TEMPLE (0 - 6) vs. CLEMSON (5 - 1) - 10/12/2006, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEMPLE is 19-37 ATS (-21.7 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
TEMPLE is 1-0 against the spread versus CLEMSON over the last 3 seasons
CLEMSON is 1-0 straight up against TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
----------------------------------------
Game 301-302: Temple vs. Clemson
Dunkel Ratings: Temple 55.843; Clemson 103.245
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 47 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: Clemson by 44; 56
Dunkel Pick: Clemson (-44); Under
CLEMSON- http://www.clemsontigers.com [clemsontigers.com]">www.clemsontigers.com
TEMPLE- http://www.owlsports.com [owlsports.com]">www.owlsports.com
posted by phantom
Oct. 12 2006 3:16pm -
0 likes
Virginia Tech at Boston College, 7:30 EST ESPN
Virginia Tech: 6-0 ATS as a road favorite
Boston College: 30-16 Under off an ATS loss
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Boston College has kicker issues; their PK has never been in a football game of any kind. Virginia Tech won its last 11 games on Thursdays (10-1 vs spread); they beat Eagles 30-10 last year, outrushing BC 212-27, their third win in last four tries vs Boston College. Visitor is 7-3-1 vs spread in series. Eagles covered only five of last 16 after a bye. Average total in last four series games is 51.5. Hokies 3-0 vs spread after loss the last two years.
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VIRGINIA TECH (4 - 1) at BOSTON COLLEGE (4 - 1) - 10/12/2006, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA TECH is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
VIRGINIA TECH is 1-0 against the spread versus BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA TECH is 1-0 straight up against BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------
Game 303-304: Virginia Tech at Boston College
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia Tech 97.622; Boston College 97.226
Dunkel Line: Even; 39 1/2
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 2 1/2; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston College (+2 1/2); Under
V. TECH- http://www.hokiesports.com [hokiesports.com]">www.hokiesports.com
BOSTON COLLEGE- http://www.bceagles.com [bceagles.com]">www.bceagles.com
posted by phantom
Oct. 12 2006 3:17pm -
0 likes
Colorado State at Air Force, 8:00 EST CSTV
Colorado State: 22-10 ATS away off a win by 17+ points
Air Force: 11-3 Over vs. conference opponents
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Underdog is 10-5-1 vs spread in last 16 Air Force-Colorado St games; Rams won four of last five in series, but they covered only two of last ten Moutain West road games. Colorado State was 18-29/338 passing last year, outgaining Falcons 551-357 in 41-23 win. Air Force had tough loss vs Navy last week; they're 1-3 vs spread in last four weeknight games. Average total in last five series games is 54
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COLORADO ST (4 - 1) at AIR FORCE (2 - 2) - 10/12/2006, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO ST is 62-41 ATS (+16.9 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
COLORADO ST is 40-20 ATS (+18.0 Units) in October games since 1992.
COLORADO ST is 43-26 ATS (+14.4 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
COLORADO ST is 43-24 ATS (+16.6 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
AIR FORCE is 1-1 against the spread versus COLORADO ST over the last 3 seasons
AIR FORCE is 1-1 straight up against COLORADO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
---------------------------------
Game 305-306: Colorado State at Air Force
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado State 87.468; Air Force 88.933
Dunkel Line: Air Force by 1 1/2; 38
Vegas Line: Air Force by 5 1/2; 46
Dunkel Pick: Colorado State (+5 1/2); Under
AIR FORCE- http://www.airforcesports.com [airforcesports.com]">www.airforcesports.com
COLO ST. - http://www.csurams.com [csurams.com]">www.csurams.com
posted by phantom
Oct. 12 2006 3:18pm -
0 likes
The “Outplay Factorâ€
posted by phantom
Oct. 12 2006 3:19pm -
0 likes
harmon forecast
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Games for Oct. 12 - Oct. 15
*Air Force 27 Colorado State 24
*Alabama 28 Mississippi 12
Arizona 22 *Stanford 21
*Arkansas 35 Southeast Missouri State 7
*Auburn 24 Florida 19
*Boise State 41 New Mexico State 19
*Bowling Green 26 Eastern Michigan 19
California 30 *Washington State 23
*Central Michigan 31 Ball State 26
*Clemson 49 Temple 3
*Connecticut 27 Army 19
*Florida Atlantic 21 Southern Utah 14
Florida State 36 *Duke 10
*Georgia 30 Vanderbilt 13
Hawaii 29 *Fresno State 27
*Illinois 23 Ohio 18
Iowa 34 *Indiana 16
*Kansas 26 Oklahoma State 25
*Kent 27 Toledo 23
*Louisiana Tech 27 Idaho 23
*Louisville 39 Cincinnati 10
*LSU 41 Kentucky 12
Maryland 21 *Virginia 19
*Memphis 27 Arkansas State 18
*Miami (Fla.) 37 Florida International 10
Miami (Ohio) 26 *Buffalo 18
Michigan 24 *Penn State 21
*Mississippi State 29 Jacksonville State 6
*Navy 26 Rutgers 24
Nebraska 27 *Kansas State 20
New Mexico 22 *UNLV 18
*North Carolina State 22 Wake Forest 21
Northern Illinois 28 *Western Michigan 22
Ohio State 33 *Michigan State 19
*Oklahoma 34 Iowa State 18
*Oregon 33 UCLA 27
Pittsburgh 30 *Central Florida 22
Purdue 31 *Northwestern 20
*San Jose State 30 Utah State 13
*SMU 27 Marshall 18
South Florida 27 *North Carolina 21
*Southern California 40 Arizona State 17
*Southern Mississippi 27 Houston 24
*Texas 41 Baylor 12
*Texas A&M 27 Missouri 26
Texas Tech 28 *Colorado 16
*Troy 22 Louisiana-Monroe 16
Tulsa 28 *East Carolina 23
UAB 26 *Rice 20
Utah 23 *Wyoming 22
*UTEP 37 Tulane 20
Virginia Tech 20 *Boston College 19
*Washington 31 Oregon State 18
*Wisconsin 31 Minnesota 19
*West Virginia 39 Syracuse 10
* - Denotes home team
posted by phantom
Oct. 12 2006 3:21pm -
0 likes
MARK LAWRENCE
clemson by 44
vt by 3
air force by 1
and tomorrow he likes pitt by 10
posted by phantom
Oct. 12 2006 3:34pm -
0 likes
Greg Roberts
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GREG ROBERTS 8* MVP is on BAMA.
GREG'S Roast of the week is TEX
Barking Dog is VIRGINIA
Totals Game is KC/PITT over nfl
posted by phantom
Oct. 12 2006 4:44pm -
0 likes
L.T.'s lock -- TEX A&M
Tone the bone's Bonafide - Tulsa
Apache's flaming arrow Buffalo , Vandy
posted by phantom
Oct. 12 2006 4:45pm -
0 likes
Dr. Bob Write ups
3 Star Selection
***Pittsburgh (-9.5) 37 CENTRAL FLORIDA 16
05:00 PM Pacific, 13-Oct-06
I was happy when Central Florida beat Marshall last Wednesday night since I knew that victory would maintain the Knights’ overrated status entering this game against a much superior team. Central Florida started the season overrated based on last year’s 8-5 record and 17 returning starters, but the Knights were actually a bad team last season that just happened to win all of their close games (they were 4-0 in games decided by 7 points or less) thanks in part to being +12 in turnover margin. Central Florida is actually a better team this season, but they are still 0.6 yards per play worse than average on offense (4.9 yppl against teams that would allow 5.5 yppl to an average team) and 0.7 yppl worse than average defensively (6.3 yppl allowed to teams that would average 5.6 yppl). That UCF defense won’t have any luck containing a very good Pittsburgh offense that has averaged 6.8 yppl in 6 games against teams that would allow 5.6 yppl to an average offensive unit. Quarterback Tyler Palko has averaged an incredible 9.8 yards per pass play and continues to limit his interceptions (just 3 this year) as he has done his entire career. My math model forecast the Panthers with 468 total yards at 7.3 yppl in this game and there is not much chance that the Golden Knights’ sub-par attack will be able to keep up against a solid Pitt defense that has yielded just 4.4 yppl this season (to teams that would average 4.8 yppl against an average team). The math model predicts only 288 yards at 4.5 yppl for UCF in this game. Central Florida quarterback Steven Moffett also does a good job of avoiding turnovers and the projected turnovers and special teams ratings are about even in this game. Overall the math model favors Pitt by 18 points and Central Florida applies to a negative 37-71-2 ATS letdown situation that is based on last week’s upset win. Central Florida simply cannot compete with good teams and Pittsburgh should be able to win comfortably tonight. I’ll take Pittsburgh in a 3-Star Best Bet at -10 points or less and for 2-Stars from -10 ½ to -13 points.
3 Star Selection
***S. Florida (-2.5) 33 NORTH CAROLINA 20
09:00 AM Pacific, 14-Oct-06
North Carolina’s only victory this season was a narrow 45-42 decision over Division 1AA Furman and the Tarheels’ first win over a 1A foe will most likely have to wait at least another week. North Carolina is a decent offensive team (5.0 yards per play against teams that would combine to allow 5.0 yppl to an average team), but the Heels are bad defensively (6.1 yppl allowed to teams that would average 5.5 yppl) and South Florida is better than average in all facets of the game. The Bulls have been 0.4 yppl better than average on offense (6.2 yppl against teams that would allow 5.8 yppl) and they are also 0.4 yppl better than average on defense (4.4 yppl allowed to teams that would average 4.8 yppl against an average team). Quarterback Matt Grothe has had to be a one man show on offense, averaging 7.6 yards per pass play and running for 475 yards on 83 rushing plays. However, the Bulls get back two projected starters on offense this week with top running back Ricky Ponton and WR Jackie Chambers returning from a 6 game suspension. I’m not sure how much Ponton and Chambers will play, but it certainly can’t hurt to have them available. My math model favors South Florida by 6 points and the Bulls apply to a very good 88-27-1 ATS statistical match-up indicator and a 201-102-7 ATS statistical match-up indicator. I’ll take South Florida in a 3-Star Best Bet at -3 points or less and for 2-Stars from -3 ½ to -6 points.
3 Star Selection
***CENTRAL MICH (-9.0) 44 Ball St. 24
10:00 AM Pacific, 14-Oct-06
Ball State is the worst defensive team in the nation and their better than average offense is not going to be enough to keep up against a solid Central Michigan team that remains underrated. The Chippewas are 3-3 straight up and 5-0-1 ATS with all 3 of their straight up losses coming from BCS conference teams (Boston College, Michigan, and Kentucky). Central Michigan actually played Boston College even at 5.3 yards per play each and they out-gained Kentucky 558 yards at 6.9 yppl to 373 yards at 5.9 yppl, so they were really out-played only by a dominating Michigan team. The Chippewas’ better than average attack (5.6 yppl against teams that would allow 5.3 yppl to an average team) will move the ball at will against a Ball State defense that has allowed 7.2 yppl to 6 teams that would combine to average only 4.8 yppl against an average defensive team. Ball State can’t even stop bad offensive teams (5.9 yppl allowed to E. Michigan, Indiana, and Buffalo) and they’ve allowed 8.3 yppl to the 3 capable offensive teams that they’ve faced – Purdue, North Dakota State, and Northern Illinois (who would combine to average 5.6 yppl against an average team). My math model projects 553 yards at 8.3 yppl for Central Michigan in this game and Ball State simply isn’t good enough offensively to match that. The Cardinals have a talented young quarterback in freshman Nate Davis, who has now taken over after splitting time with senior Joey Lynch the first 4 games. Davis has averaged an impressive 9.1 yards per pass play, but he’s faced teams that would combine to allow 7.8 yppp to an average quarterback. Ball State is a horrible running team (4.0 yards per rushing play against teams that would allow 5.2 yprp) and their offense is only 0.3 yppl better than average overall with Davis at quarterback. The Chippewas are 0.1 yppl worse than average defensively (5.3 yppl allowed to teams that would average 5.2 yppl), but the 5.6 yppl that is projected for Ball State in this game is not going to be enough to stay close to what their defense gives up. Both teams are equally good in special teams and projected turnovers are close too, and the math model favors Central Michigan by 20 points overall. Aside from the line value, I also like the fact that the Chippewas return home after playing their last 3 games on the road. Teams with a win percentage of greater than .400 are a solid 94-70-5 ATS at home after 3 or more road games, including 44-22-3 ATS if their coming off a win of more than 7 points in their most recent game. I’ll take Central Michigan in a 3-Star Best Bet at -10 points or less and for 2-Stars from – 10 ½ to -12 points.
3 Star Selection
***Arkansas St. 22 MEMPHIS (-11.5) 23
11:00 AM Pacific, 14-Oct-06
Memphis is a team in turmoil and the Tigers’ only victory this season was against a horrible Chattanooga team that is 21 points worse than an average Division 1A team (the Tigers beat them by 19 points at home). Arkansas State is worse than average team, but so are the Tigers and there really isn’t much difference between these two teams. Arkansas State is a horrible offensive team that has averaged 4.6 yards per play against a schedule of teams that would combine to allow 5.8 yppl to an average team, but the Indians do have two good running backs (Reggie Arnold and Chris James have combined for 632 yards at 5.2 ypr) and they have a slightly better than average rushing attack. That rushing attack should work against a Memphis defense that is 0.5 yards per rushing play worse than average (5.0 yprp allowed to teams that would average just 4.5 yprp against an average team) and 1.0 yppl worse than average overall defensively. Memphis is just 0.1 yppl worse than average offensively (5.5 yppl against teams that would allow 5.6 yppl) but Arkansas State is 0.1 yppl better than average defensively (4.9 yppl allowed to teams that would average 5.0 yppl) and the Indians have an opportunistic secondary that has led to 11 interceptions in just 5 games. So, the Memphis defense has a 0.2 yppl advantage over Arkansas State’s offense and the Indians’ stop unit has a 0.2 yppl advantage over the Tigers’ offense. Arkansas State has been worse in scoring margin than they should be based on their yardage numbers because they are -8 in fumbles lost margin, losing 11 fumbles and recovering just 3 fumbles. Fumbles are almost completely random in college football and the Indians are not going to be as unfortunate with fumbles as they’ve been in their first 5 games (my math model project -0.18 in fumbles for Arkansas State in this game). Overall the math model favors Memphis by just 2 points and the Tigers are just 7-23 ATS in all games when not getting at least 3 points. Arkansas State, meanwhile, applies to a very positive 88-27-1 ATS statistical match-up indicator that enhances the line value. I’ll take Arkansas State in a 3-Star Best Bet at +10 points or more and for 2-Stars from +7 ½ to +9 ½ points.
3 Star Selection
***SAN JOSE ST. (-14.0) 38 Utah St. 14
03:00 PM Pacific, 14-Oct-06
The Spartans are the real deal. San Jose State is 3-1 with their only loss being a competitive 29-35 setback at Washington, which looks pretty good now given how good the Huskies have proven to be. San Jose State is a good offensive team that has averaged 6.1 yards per play against teams that would combine to allow 5.5 yppl to an average team and the Spartans are 0.5 yppl worse than average defensively (5.5 yppl allowed to teams that would average 5.0 yppl). San Jose State’s defense also has one of the best cornerbacks in the nation in Dwight Lowry, who leads the nation with 7 interceptions in just 4 games. The Spartans’ attack should have no trouble scoring points against a Utah State defense that has allowed 6.2 yppl to teams that would average 5.5 yppl against an average team. I just don’t see how the Aggies can keep up with an offense that has averaged just 6.8 points per game this season while averaging 3.9 yppl (against teams that would allow 5.2 yppl). There is some hope for Utah State with freshman quarterback Riley Nelson playing pretty well in his first start last week, a 13-12 upset win over Fresno State. Nelson was only 9 of 19 passing for 5.52 yards per pass play, but he ran for 80 yards on 12 rushing plays to spark the offense. I rate the Aggies at only 0.7 yppl worse than average with Nelson at quarterback, but that’s still worse than San Jose’s defensive rating. Aside from being out-gained by about 150 yards in this game (according to my math model) the Aggies are also 1.9 points worse than San Jose State in special teams. Overall, my math model favors the Spartans by 19 ½ points and Utah State applies to a negative 12-49 ATS road letdown situation that is based on last week’s upset win as a 26 ½ point underdog. I’ll take San Jose State in a 3-Star Best Bet at - 14 points or less and for 2-Stars from -14 ½ to -17 points.
2 Star Selection
**UCLA 21 OREGON (-10.0) 24
12:30 PM Pacific, 14-Oct-06
UCLA lost starting quarterback Ben Olsen to injury in the first half of last week’s 27-7 win over Arizona, but backup Patrick Cowan did a very good job in relief by going 20 for 29 passing for 201 yards with no sacks and no interceptions. Cowen’s compensated passing numbers (0.1 yards per pass play worse than average) are actually better than Olsen’s so I see no reason to downgrade that position at this time. Overall, the Bruins are 0.3 yards per play worse than average offensively (5.3 yppl against teams that would allow 5.6 yppl to an average team) and they’re up against a solid Oregon defense that is 0.8 yppl better than average for the season (5.0 yppl allowed to teams that would average 5.8 yppl against an average team) and was actually 0.7 yppl better than average in last week’s 24-45 loss at Cal (6.2 yppl allowed to a Bears’ team that would average 7.0 yppl at home against an average team). The Ducks are also very good offensively, averaging 6.8 yppl with Dennis Dixon under center (against teams that would allow 5.1 yppl). UCLA has what it takes to stay competitive against any team with a defense that is 1.0 yppl better than average (4.0 yppl allowed to teams that would average 5.0 yppl) and good special teams that will help with field position. That good defense sets up UCLA in a very strong 57-15-1 ATS statistical profile indicator that plays on road underdogs with a very strong defense and it may surprise you to know that Oregon is 0-11 ATS as a home favorite of more than 6 points against teams with a win percentage of greater than .600 in 12 years under coach Mike Bellotti. My math model favors Oregon by 11 points and the indicator favoring UCLA has a 60.4% chance of covering at a fair line of +11 points and a solid 57.5% chance of covering at +10 points. I’ll take UCLA in a 2-Star Best Bet at +10 points or more and as a Strong Opinion at +9 or +9 ½ points.
2 Star Selection
**Baylor 12 TEXAS (-29.0) 31
04:00 PM Pacific, 14-Oct-06
Texas is in a huge letdown spot in this game after beating rival Oklahoma last week. In fact, the Longhorns apply to a very negative 4-34 ATS subset of an 18-62 ATS big home favorite letdown situation. That fact that Texas beat Baylor 62-0 on the road last year will make it even tougher for the Horns to get excited for this game. Baylor is a solid team that is 0.4 yards per play worse than average on offense and 0.1 yppl better than average on defense and the Bears have the characteristics of a team that should succeed in the role of huge underdog. Teams that defend the run well are good bets as road underdogs of 25 points or more, as big favorites have a tough time running up the score while running the ball with a big lead late in a game. Baylor has yielded just 4.0 yards per rushing play (to teams that would average 4.8 yprp against an average defense) and the Bears apply to an 81-25-1 ATS big road underdog statistical profile indicator. My math model favors Texas by 27 ½ points, so the line is more than fair, and I’ll take Baylor in a 2-Star Best Bet at +27 points or more and for 3-Stars at +30 points or more.
Thursday Strong Opinion
Colorado St. 19 AIR FORCE (-4.5) 20
05:00 PM Pacific, 12-Oct-06
Colorado State isn’t getting too much respect for their 4-1 record because they really haven’t beaten a good team yet, but the Rams have a solid defense and they match up well against the Air Force option attack. Air Force has averaged 5.1 yards per play this season despite facing teams that would combine to allow just 4.8 yppl to an average team, but the Falcons run the ball 81% of the time and Colorado State’s good defense (4.2 yppl allowed to teams that would average 4.8 yppl against an average defense) is particularly good at stopping the run, allowing just 3.7 yards per rushing play to teams that would average 4.8 yprp against an average team. Colorado State’s offense is plagued by a horrible rushing attack and they’ve been 0.7 yppl worse than average in their 5 games, but quarterback Caleb Hanie has averaged 6.6 yards per pass play (against teams that would allow 6.4 yppp to an average quarterback) and he should have a good game against an Air Force defense that has given up 7.3 yppp to teams that would combine to average 6.4 yppp against an average defense. My math model does favor Air Force by 5 points overall, but Colorado State could easily win this game if they let Hanie throw the ball more than they run it. The Rams apply to a 46-14-1 ATS game 6 situation and CSU is 30-9 ATS under coach Sonny Lubick as a regular season underdog or pick against any team with a win percentage of less than 1.000, including 18-1 ATS in their last 19 such games against conference foes. I’ll consider Colorado State a Strong Opinion at +4 points or more and as a 2-Star Best Bet if the Rams become an underdog of 7 points or more.
Strong Opinion
Army 24 CONNECTICUT (-5.5) 23
09:00 AM Pacific, 14-Oct-06
Army has lost to Arkansas State and been clobbered by Rice, yet they have also lost by just 4 points to Texas A&M and beat a solid Baylor team on the road. While the Cadets are tough to figure out they come into this game with some momentum after last week’s 62- 7 win over VMI. Army actually didn’t play all that well in that game, as they averaged 6.4 yards per play and allowed 4.0 yppl to a VMI team that would get out-gained by an average of 3.4 yppl to 8.4 yppl on the road by an average Division 1A team. For the season the Cadets rate at 1.7 yppl worse than average on offense and 0.6 yppl worse than average on defense but they’ve out-scored their opponents by an average of 25.0 to 21.8 despite being out-gained 4.6 yppl to 5.4 yppl. The reason for that is one of the nation’s best special teams units, which have been 8.1 points better than average. Connecticut has only beaten bad teams Rhode Island and Indiana and the Huskies have been 0.6 yppl worse than average offensively with both quarterbacks (current QB Bonislawski is a better passer but worse runner) and the Huskies’ defense has been a surprising 0.3 yppl worse than average. U Conn is now down 2 starting offensive linemen (both for the season) and they struggled trying to run the ball last week against South Florida (just 2.8 yards per rushing play), so the Huskies may not fully exploit a soft Army defensive front that has allowed 5.1 yprp (to teams that would average only 4.4 yprp against an average defense). As usual Army will probably be soundly out-gained, but they should also benefit from good field position thanks to their huge special teams advantage. My math model favors Connecticut by just 3 ½ points and Army applies to a very good 105-41- 1 ATS momentum situation. I don’t like the idea of depending on special teams to win my bet for me, so I’ll resist making Army a Best Bet despite the strong situation. I’ll consider Army a Strong Opinion at +4 points or more and I’d make them a 2-Star Best Bet at +7 points or more.
Strong Opinion
Iowa (-17.5) 36 INDIANA 13
09:00 AM Pacific, 14-Oct-06
Indiana is coming off an upset win at Illinois, but the Hoosiers really didn’t play well in that game from the line of scrimmage. Indiana did average 5.8 yards per play but they also allowed 7.1 yppl to the Illini and their defense continues to be a problem. The Hoosiers have allowed 5.9 yppl this season to teams that would average only 5.0 yppl against an average defense. Indiana has been better offensively with freshman Kellen Lewis at quarterback, but they are still 0.6 yppl worse than average offensively with Lewis under center. Iowa is 0.6 yppl better than average in 5 games with Drew Tate at quarterback (he missed the Syracuse game) and the Hawkeyes’ defense is among the nation’s best (4.4 yppl allowed to teams that would average 5.7 yppl against an average team). My math model favors Iowa by 20 points and Indiana applies to a negative 14-40-1 ATS letdown situation that is based on last week’s upset win at Illinois. The Hawkeyes are not as good on the road (18-19 ATS) as they’ve been at home (32-13-1 ATS) in 8 seasons under coach Kirk Ferentz and the difference between their road performances and their overall performance level is 4 ½ points. However, Indiana is just 4-13-1 ATS as a home underdog of more than 3 points since 2000, including 0-4 ATS since last season. I’ll consider Iowa a Strong Opinion at -18 points or less and I’d make Iowa a 2-Star Best Bet at -16 points or less.
Strong Opinion
WYOMING 21 Utah (-3.5) 19
12:00 PM Pacific, 14-Oct-06
Wyoming is just 2-4, but the Cowboys could just as easily be 5-1 given that they are just 1-4 in games decided by 7 points or less. The Cowboys have averaged 5.0 yards per play and have allowed just 3.9 yppl, but they have only outscored their opponents by an average of 1.3 points per game because they are -1.5 in turnover margin per game. Some of that is certainly due to inexperience at quarterback, but turnovers are mostly random in college football and that bodes well for Wyoming from this point on. The Cowboys have been 0.2 yppl worse than average offensively and an impressive 1.2 yppl better than average defensively after compensating for level of opposition and the offense seems to be a bit better with freshman Karsten Sween at quarterback. Sween took over midway through the loss at Syracuse two weeks ago and started last week in the win over New Mexico and he has averaged 5.9 yards per pass play in those 2 games against teams that would allow only 5.4 yppp to an average quarterback. Overall the offense was about the same in Sween’s first start as they have been for the season, so I won’t raise the offensive rating of the Cowboys just yet. Utah is not nearly as good as Wyoming from the line of scrimmage, as the Utes have been 0.1 yppl worse than average on offense (5.5 yppl against teams that would allow 5.6 yppl to an average team) and 0.3 yppl better than average on defense (4.8 yppl allowed to teams that would average 5.1 yppl). Utah has played better than their stats because they’re averaging a +1.2 in turnover margin, which isn’t likely to continue. My math model predicts Wyoming with a 321 yards to 240 yards edge, but Utah does have a 2.3 points edge in projected turnovers and a 3.8 points edge in special teams. However, the math model still favors Wyoming by 2 points and I’ll consider Wyoming a Strong Opinion at +3 points or more.
Strong Opinion
TEXAS A&M 26 Missouri (-2.0) 22
12:30 PM Pacific, 14-Oct-06
Missouri skated through their first 5 games against inferior teams before facing Texas Tech last week, but the Tigers’ 38-21 win against the Red Raiders actually lessened my opinion of them. Missouri was out-gained 306 total yards at 4.9 yards per play to 456 yards at 5.9 yppl by Texas Tech and they won due to a 5 to 1 edge in turnovers, 3 of which were Texas Tech fumblers – which are random. I’m not saying that Missouri isn’t a solid team, but they are now overrated due to last week’s seemingly impressive win on the road against a good team. Missouri is slightly better than average offensively (5.8 yppl against teams that would allow 5.7 yppl to an average team) and the Tigers are 0.5 yppl better than average defensively, allowing 4.2 yppl to teams that would combine to average only 4.7 yppl against an average defensive team. Texas A&M is a slightly worse than average team from the line of scrimmage, averaging 6.2 yppl and allowing just 4.9 yppl to teams that would average only 4.7 yppl and give up 6.1 yppl to an average Division 1A team, but the Aggies have excellent special teams and quarterback Stephen McGee has thrown just 1 interception in 6 games. Overall my math model favors Texas A&M by 3 ½ points and Missouri applies to a negative 36-72-1 ATS road favorite letdown situation. Texas A&M is 10-4 ATS at home the last 3 seasons and I’ll consider Texas A&M a Strong Opinion at +1 or more and as a 2-Star Best Bet at +3 points or more.
Strong Opinion
Cincinnati 18 LOUISVILLE (-25.5) 38
12:30 PM Pacific, 14-Oct-06
Louisville has covered the spread in 13 of their last 14 home games, but they are favored by too many points against a solid Cincinnati team. The Bearcats are 0.2 yards per play worse than average offensively with starting quarterback Dustin Grutza under center (5.2 yppl against teams that would allow 5.4 yppl) and the Bearcats will move the ball at a decent rate against a mediocre Louisville defense (4.5 yppl allowed to teams that would average only 4.5 yppl against an average team). Louisville is explosive offensively, averaging 7.6 yppl against teams that would allow a combined 5.6 yppl to an average attack, and they haven’t missed a beat without running back Michael Bush (injured in game 1) and quarterback Brian Brohm (injured in game 3). In fact, the offense has been a little better in backup quarterback Hunter Cantwell’s two starts. Cantwell filled in for an injured Brohm at the end of last season and Cantwell’s compensated yards per pass play is even better than Brohm’s rating since the start of last season. Louisville will get their points, but Cincinnati should slow them down some with a stop unit that is 0.5 yppl better than average (5.0 yppl allowed to teams that would average 5.5 yppl). The Bearcats are certainly more likely to turn the ball over and Louisville has a 3.7 points advantage in projected turnovers but my math model still only favors the Cardinals by 17 ½ points using a standard home field advantage. Louisville’s home field advantage is worth an additional 4 points, which would result in a fair line of 21 ½ points. Both teams apply to a favorable situation, but the 81-25-1 ATS big road underdog angle that applies to Cincinnati is stronger than a 138-73-2 ATS situation that applies to Louisville. Cincinnati only lost by 30 points (7-37) at #1 Ohio State and that game was closer than the final score indicated (they were only down by 13 points with 10 minutes left in the game), so the Bearcats should be able to hang with a Louisville team with a defense that is much more forgiving than Ohio State’s defense. I’ll consider Cincinnati a Strong Opinion at +25 points or more and I’ll take Cincy in a 2-Star Best Bet if the line goes up to +28 points or more.
Strong Opinion
Florida Intl. 6 MIAMI FLA (-27.5) 26
04:00 PM Pacific, 14-Oct-06
Florida International may not even need to score to win this bet. The Panthers are 0-6 team, but 5 of their losses have been by 5 points or less and they have a good defense that should be able to limit Miami’s sub-par offense. FIU has allowed just 4.2 yards per play (to teams that would combine to average 4.6 yppl against an average team) and the Panthers haven’t allowed more than 5.0 yppl in any of their 6 games, including a road game against a South Florida team that would average 5.8 yppl at home against an average defensive team. Miami, meanwhile, has averaged just 5.7 yppl despite facing teams that would combine to allow 6.1 yppl to an average team. My math model projects just 301 total yards at 4.6 yppl for the Hurricanes in this game, which will make it tough for them to score enough points to cover a 4 touchdown spread - even if their defense pitches a shutout. Miami has scored more than 27 points only against Division 1AA Florida A&M, who would allow 7.3 yppl and 45 points to an average Division 1A team. The Hurricanes have faced two bad defensive teams the last two weeks in Houston and North Carolina and they only averaged 20.5 points at home in those games. Miami is just 6-19 ATS as a home favorite of 3 points or more in recent years, but the Hurricanes would apply to a 313-165-11 ATS statistical indicator at -27 points or less, so I’ll only consider Florida International a Strong Opinion at +27 or +27 ½, but I’ll make Florida International a 2-Star Best Bet at +28 points or more.
Strong Opinion
KANSAS ST. 20 Nebraska (-9.0) 24
04:10 PM Pacific, 14-Oct-06
Kansas State is an underrated that is tough to beat in Manhattan and they should give the Cornhuskers a battle today. The Wildcats have gone to youth in the offensive backfield with freshman Josh Freeman taking over at quarterback last week and super quick frosh Leon Patton taking over as the main ball-carrier. Freeman performed well in his first start last week, completing 10 of 15 passes for 177 yards and 8.4 yards per pass play (including sacks) while also running for 41 yards on 4 rushing plays. Patton was even more impressive with 151 yards on 21 carries against the Cowboys. Kansas State’s offense rates at 0.6 yppl worse than average and I’m not going to adjust that rating based on just one game of data with the new backfield, but the Wildcats were 0.9 yppl better than average last week with 7.0 yppl against an Oklahoma State defense that would allow 6.1 yppl on the road to an average attack. Nebraska’s defense has allowed 5.1 yppl this season to teams that would combine to average just 5.0 yppl against an average team, so they are a bit worse than average defensively and I expect the Wildcats to move the ball at a decent pace at home. Nebraska’s offense is what makes the Huskers a good team and that unit has averaged 6.9 yppl this season (against teams that would allow 5.9 yppl). However, Kansas State is almost as good defensively, rating at 0.9 yppl better than average on that side of the ball (4.5 yppl allowed to teams that would average 5.4 yppl) and they limited Louisville’s explosive attack to 24 points on 5.9 yppl (which is 1.1 yppl less than what Louisville would gain on the road against an average team). Overall, my math model favors Nebraska by just 5 ½ points and Kansas State is 68-30 ATS at home since 1990, including 3-1 ATS this season. If I use only Kansas State’s stats from their home games then I would get Nebraska by just 4 points and I will consider Kansas State a Strong Opinion at +9 points or more and I would upgrade Kansas State to a 2-Star Best Bet at +11 points or more.
Strong Opinion
PENN ST. 19 Michigan (-6.0) 20
05:00 PM Pacific, 14-Oct-06
Michigan is a very good team and deserving of their high ranking (for once), but the Nittany Lions have the defense to keep this game competitive throughout. Penn State has been 1.1 yards per play better than average defensively this season (4.5 yppl allowed to teams that would average 5.6 yppl against an average defense) and they have an advantage over a Michigan attack that is 0.6 yppl better than average (6.0 yppl against teams that would allow 5.4 yppl). The Wolverines’ defense is what makes them special, as that unit has yielded only 4.2 yppl to teams that would average 5.7 yppl against an average defensive team. The Nittany Lions are just 0.4 yppl better than average offensively this season and my math model projects just 267 yards at 4.1 yppl for them in this game. However, Michigan is projected at just 311 yards and 4.9 yppl and the math favors the Wolverines by only 4 points. Michigan is just 10-22-1 ATS as a road favorite (although 1- 0 ATS this season) and the Wolverines apply to a negative 31-65-1 ATS unbeaten road favorite situation. Penn State and their fans will be fired up for this game and I’ll consider Penn State a Strong Opinion at +5 points or more and I’d take Penn State in a 2- Star Best Bet if they become an underdog of 7 points or more.
posted by phantom
Oct. 12 2006 4:45pm -
0 likes
Tim Sullivan
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SATURDAY
Wake Forest (+4) over N.C. STATE: The Deacons get a bounce-back effort after collapsing vs. Clemson. The Wolfpack resurgence is a good story, but Wake is 11-4-1 ATS in its past 16 road games.
GEORGIA (-13 1/2) over Vanderbilt: (BB)Bulldogs fell apart late vs. Tennessee, but the Commodores are not the Vols. Georgia has won the past four in the series by an average of 24.2.
Rutgers (+1 1/2) over NAVY( BB ) Middies won't hit their average of 318 rushing yards, simply because Rutgers' offense won't let them. The Knights - no slouches in the running department themselves - will squeeze the life out of the clock.
Ohio State (-15) over MICHIGAN STATE: Spartans have quit, and the Buckeyes, who lost ATS for the first time this season last week, will regroup.
LOUISVILLE (-27) over Cincinnati: Cardinals - (BB)14-3 ATS at home in the past 17 - are slowly getting healthy and have beaten the Bearcats by an average of 43.5 the past two years.
Florida State (-23) over DUKE: Seminoles are an embarrassment these days, but even Virginia beat the Blue Devils by 37. FSU has covered three straight in Durham.
TEXAS (-281/2) over Baylor: Longhorns are 6-1 ATS the past seven years following the Oklahoma game. Texas has hammered Baylor by an average of 49-7 since 1998.
LSU (-26) over Kentucky: Tigers are on the bounce and the Wildcats are banged up. Kentucky goes without leading rusher Rafael Little and has little chance.
AUBURN (pick) over Florida: These Tigers also are on the bounce and won't lose two in a row. The Gators are 1-4 ATS under Urban Meyer on the road.
Cal (-8) over WASHINGTON STATE: Tough to see a letdown from the Bears, who need to impress the pollsters and keep their engines revved for USC.
Michigan (-6) over PENN STATE: Common opponents tell all: Minnesota - Penn State beat 'em by one, Michigan beat 'em by 14; Notre Dame - Penn State lost to 'em by 24; Michigan beat 'em by 26.
Arizona State (+19) over USC: Sun Devils have had two weeks to prepare. Trojans have lost three straight ATS, all in conference.
Last week: 5-10. Best Bets: 1-2. Season: 45-40-5. 52.9% Best Bets: 12-6...66.7% 3bb geo..rutg..loui. this week
posted by phantom
Oct. 12 2006 4:46pm -
0 likes
PPP freebies
SATURDAY, OCTOBER 14
WEST VIRGINIA (-25) over Syracuse by 32 (Noon)
WVU coach Rodriguez was incensed over the 11 penalties for 132 yards in the Mounties miracle cover LW at Miss. St. (returned a punt for a TD with just a minute remaining). He has cracked the whip in practice this week as they gear up for Big East wars. Orange are certainly improved following their 1-10 SU season of 2005. Yet the last 2 weeks have given a glimpse of their continuing defensive deficiencies. The inept Wyoming offense gained over 500 yards while Pitt ran for 236 yards LW. Their own offense is still averaging a meager 276 YPG. In any event they don't figure to slow down a Mountie attack that runs 75% of the time for 280 RYPG on 6.2 YPR. This match-up a possible candidate FOR A STEAMROLLER WINNER OR A 5* BIG EAST GAME OF THE WEEK WINNER (NOW 5-1 ATS)
WISCONSIN (-8) over Minnesota by 16 (NOON)
Badgers STEAMROLLED for us LW in their 41-9 victory vs. Northwestern, out gaining the Cats 527-216. Later in the day, Minnesota was losing an OT heartbreaker to Penn St. History says Badgers rule again as they have covered L4 in the series vs. Gophers. Wisky features a balanced, explosive offense, averaging over 400 yards. But the real key to this victory is a far superior defense which allows just 13 PPG and 246 YPG.
NC STATE (-3.5) over Wake Forest by 10 (Noon)
I'm well aware of the pointspread profile of the Amato coached Wolf Pack. They stand just 3-11 ATS HF and historically have failed following huge wins such as the one they had last Thursday Night vs. Florida St. In addition, Wake, under Grobe, has been far more prosperous in the role of underdog. Though this is a veteran Wake team, their 5-0 SU bubble (against the weakest schedule in the Nation) was exposed in the 4th Q vs. Clemson LW. As a result, a freefall into ACC mediocrity or worse is a probable event.
S. Florida (-2.5) over NORTH CAROLINA by 10 (Noon)
Tarheels are in a freefall of their own at 1-4 SU and 0-7 ATS, albeit vs. a much tougher schedule. Worse news is that they may not be stepping as far down in class as they think following their road trip to Clemson and Miami. S. Florida won as our 5* BIG EAST GAME OF THE WEEK LW (now 5-1 ATS) out rushing U. Conn 205-60 in a 38-16 victory. Though out manned a bit on their defensive line this week, one of the top LB corps in the Nation is a major reason they allow just 3.1 YPR and 114 RYPG. Key to this year's success, however, has been do-everything QB Grothe who has ignited a long dormant Bulls offense. Despite the Tarheels unimpressive record, emerging S. Florida will have no problem getting motivated for a trip to ACC country.
Missouri (-2) over TEXAS A&M by 9 (2:00)
Well aware that the Tigers win at TTRR was a bit misleading as they prospered from 5 TOs including 2 "Pick 6's". Also realize that consecutive trips to Texas can be most challenging. Don't expect a lack of motivation as no less than 26 of these Tigers are from the Lone Star State. First year QB Daniels and the balanced 32 PPG offense are getting most of the ink. But I have noticed the vastly improved defense allowing just 13 PPG and 274 YPG. Must respect the home road dichotomy that favors the Aggies. Yet their 21-18 escape at Lawrence LW has let down written all over it.
Nebraska (-10) over KANSAS ST by 17 (2:00)
We lost a play with Oklahoma St. at Kansas St. LW, when the Wild Cats scored on a blocked punt, later trailed 27-17, but rallied to score 2 TDs in the last 3 minutes for 31-27 lead. That held up as the final when they intercepted a pass in the end zone in the games final play. Later in the evening, Nebraska was flexing its muscles in a 28-14 win at Iowa St in which they rushed for 251 yards. That now puts them into the elite "200 Club" which finds them both running and passing for 200 + yards and averaging 36 PPG. With a top 25 pass defense and a D line allowing just 96 RYPG and 3.4 YPR, they now feature the type of statistical profile that always grabs my attention. State's HC Prince has committed to a youth movement including starting a true freshman at QB. That puts them about 3 years behind where Nebraska is today.
N. Illinois (-2) over WESTERN MICHIGAN by 9 (2:00)
One of last weeks most surprising college football results was the Huskies 28-25 win, no cover, against 0-6 SU Miami Ohio. RB Wolfe underperformed his Heisman hype and the Red Hawks played with Superbowl intensity as they took advantage of NIUs weak link, their pass defense. Not sure that will happen this week vs. a Western Michigan passing game that is averaging just 148 PYPG. Key here is again the Husky dominance at the point of attack. Led by RB Wolfe, they are averaging 264 RYPG on 7.8 YPR. That helps to open the passing lanes for accurate QB Horvath, keying an attack that gains a balanced 479 YPG. In the L2Y, Huskies have rung up 101 points and 1203 yards against this defense including 277 RY by RB Wolfe LY. Last week, Western allowed the lethargic OU ground game (105 RYPG, 3.3 YPR) to ramble for 257 yards. We get our money back with the Huskies this Saturday. The Broncos just 1-9 ATS as HD L5Y.
ALABAMA (-15) over Mississippi by 22 (3:30)
In this weeks feature article "IS YOUR TEAM SUFFERING FROM ERECTILE DYSFUNCTION" I note the importance of having your team physically, mentally, and psychologically ready to play each week. Sandwiched between 2 SEC road games at Arkansas and Florida, with a pair of SEC games ahead, the Tide was clearly not focused on giving their best effort vs. lowly Duke LW. In fact, the Devils out rushed them 201-134 in an eventual 30-14 Alabama win. Expect much better focus against rival Ole Miss in a series which has seen the home team cover 6 consecutive games. I was fooled by the first game of the year for Ole Miss in their victory over Memphis. I thought I was seeing an emerging set of triplets in QB Schaffer, RB Green-Ellis and WR McCluster. That's proven to be a sham as the Memphis defense is allowing over 200 YPG both rushing and passing. Meanwhile, the Rebels own offense is averaging just 13 PPG and 259 YPG. In their game LW vs. Vandy, they prospered from 5 TOs, gained only 179 yards, managed only 7 first downs, yet, got the victory when they scored on a "Pick 6" on the final play of the game against Vandy's second string QB. It was an ugly 17-10 win. Not so fortunate this week against the more erectile Tide.
Utah (-4) over Wyoming by 11 (3:00)
This is the best Wyoming defense in years, allowing just 20 PPG and 230 YPG. Though that has been accomplished against the likes of such inept attack units such as Utah St., Virginia, Syracuse and New Mexico, it's most impressive that they held Boise St. to just 17 points. Unfortunately for the Cowboys, they have just a 22 PPG offense to back it up and stand just 2-4 SU. In an attempt to remedy that, Wyoming started red shirt freshman QB Sween in their 14-10 victory at New Mexico. Though the Utes have struggled when facing superior competition such as UCLA and Boise St., they have dominated all 4 other comers including an impressive 20-7 home win vs. TCU last Thursday night. They more than match the Cowboys on defense allowing just 16 PPG and have the balanced offense to again succeed against this class of inferior opposition.
Florida (+1) over AUBURN by 6 (7:45)
Don't like the "set up" of the divergent results these teams had last week. Auburn figures to bounce back with fury after allowing Arkansas to out rush them 279-60 in the Hogs 27-10 win on this field as +15 LW. Later that evening, Florida was winning 23-10 at home vs. LSU, a game the Tigers gift -wrapped for the Gators with 5 TOs. But the numbers don't lie. Gators have the more balanced, explosive offense and are superior at stopping both the run and the pass. Perhaps the Auburn loss, which extinguished their National Title hopes, turns into unbeaten let down rather than bounce back.
California (-8) over WASHINGTON ST by 15 (5:00)
Each of these teams provided LTS winners LW as short favorites. It was the 4th time in 5 weeks that I have gone with the Bears which has accounted for +17 units of profit (dime players are up $17,000). Have a lot of good feelings about Wash St too. Not ready to jump off the Bear bandwagon which features one of the most balanced, explosive attacks in the Nation.
WASHINGTON (-9) over Oregon St by 16 (6:30)
The Beavers were compliant in laying down for us vs. the Cougars last Saturday gaining only 287 yards in the 13-6 defeat. That was not unusual, as for the season they average just 18 PPG and only 88 RYPG. Now in an effort to jumpstart the offense, the Corvallis faithful have instituted a QB controversy for HC Riley. We just hope we haven't come to the party for the Huskies too late. Under HC Willingham, the Huskies are making their move back up the charts. There have been 4 straight covers. Yet, they are off a hard fought loss to USC, a game they were in till the final gun. Every statistic across the board has improved including, most importantly, reestablishing themselves at the point of attack where they are out gaining the opposition 4.7 to 3.5 YPR.
Toledo (+7) over KENT ST by 1 (4:00)
These 2 are headed opposite directions. The Rockets were 9-3 SU LY. This year, they stand just 2-4 SU. Kent ST was 1-10 SU LY. This year they are America's darlings at 4-2 SU ATS. As a result, this line is more than 3 TDs from where it would have been on opening week. Simply not willing to believe these coats have turned their color so quickly.
FRESNO ST (+5) over Hawaii by 2 (5:00)
The Bulldogs, 1-4 SU, 0-5 ATS, have now failed to cover 8 consecutive games since they left it all on the field following their near upset of #1 USC last November. New QB Brandstater is losing confidence quickly. The passing attack has diminished to just 155 PYPG. That's a long way from the 382 PYPG being recorded by June Jones Redgun Offense led by QB Brennan. But a vote goes here to the Red Wave on one of Americas toughest home fields with a Bulldog team getting nearly 3 TDs more than the line would have been opening week.
LOUISVILLE (-26.5) over Cincinnati by 34 (3:30)
Bear Cat defense is notably improved allowing just 95 RYPG and 3.3 YPR. They have much to prove after being smoked by this Louisville offense in the 2 previous meetings. But Cardinal defense is superior across the board and have been like money in the bank L2Y on this field. Their recent stats show a record of 13-1 ATS as HF averaging 53 PPG. Holding a 3.7 net YPR dif at the point of attack, they could again STEAMROLL their cross-river rival into submission.
Texas Tech (-7) over COLORADO by 14 (3:30)
I lost a top play selection on Colorado LW. Since they are 0-6 SU, 1-3 ATS and have lost 10 consecutive games, it looks like it may well have been a stupid selection. But if you had a 5 -point home favorite who you knew was going to out rush the opposition 276-110, where would you want your money? Now, with hopes of a winning season out he window, and injuries mounting to the defense secondary, they could well prove vulnerable to the vaunted TTRR passing attack. Despite their 38-21 home loss to Missouri LW, they gained 378 PY. It was 5 TOs that did them in. Yet, the Raiders have been nothing if not resilient, standing 18-6 ATS / loss L6+Y. It might be scary to be a Buff backer this week.
LSU (-26) over Kentucky by 33 (8:00)
Following their 5 TO debacle, and ensuing elimination from the SEC race., one might question the mentality of LSU. Their motivation would be of more concern if they weren't 6-0 ATS / loss. The Wild Cat defense, allowing 32 PPG and nearly 500 YPG, will offer little resistance. LSU's top rated pass defense and stifling defensive front resulting in a 5.0 net YPR dif could make this look like an easy STEAMROLLING proposition by half time.
USC (-19) over Arizona ST by 26 (8:00, ABC)
Behind the downward offensive spiral of QB Carpenter, AZ. ST. enters with 2 weeks to focus on their lack of confidence following losses to Oregon and Cal by a combined count of 97-34. Already known as one of the worst road teams in college football, don't expect that confidence to grow against a USC top 10 pass defense who's defensive line will be frothing at the mouth. Expect a huge confidence-building win by the offense against a helpless Aztec defense allowing 4.9 YPR with a bottom 25% pass defense. Gift!!
Michigan (-6) over PENN ST by 13 (8:00)
While USC is stating their case for #1 in the Country on the left coast, East Coast viewers will be witnessing the real #1 team, the Michigan Wolverines. This point will be made abundantly clear in late November at Ohio St. The Wolverines simply have the best profile of any team in the country. A balanced offense is averaging 34 PPG while they are allowing just 40 RYPG on 1.7 YPR and feature a top 5 pass defense. Yet, you'll be among the minority of Michigan backers. Far more are in love with Paterno and Penn St who they note is playing with bitter lone loss revenge, stand 4-0 ATS as home dog and have been hardened by road games at Ohio St., Notre Dame and Minnesota.
TROY (-9) over UL Monroe by 16 (4:00)
At first glance, neither of these teams appear to have much to offer. They are each 1-4 SU, 2-2 ATS, being squashed by the big boys. Now it's time to come back into class with a major match-up advantage for Troy. Troy QB Haugabook, running his 4 WR spread, is the dominant unit on the field. UL Monroe's narrow 10-6 loss at Ark St as phony as it comes as they were out gained 372-223.
SUNDAY, OCTOBER 15
Boise St (-26) over NEW MEXICO ST by 33 (8:00 ESPN)
At first glance, getting a nearly 4 TD home dog on ESPN who averages 29 PPG and passes for 430 PYPG appears to be the way to go. Yet, undefeated Boise ST, 6-0 SU, 4-1 ATS wants to be BCS bound. The only way to move up in the polls is with a dominating, Nationally Televised win. They have a top 5 passing defense to stop what the Aggies do best. And a balanced, explosive offense which runs 65% of the time for 225 RYPG for 5.5 YPR. Can only see Boise STEAMROLLING their outmanned opposition into submission playing a full 60 minutes to do so.
posted by phantom
Oct. 13 2006 2:57pm -
0 likes
Colin Cowherd on ESPN radio:
Nebraska
Washington State
Florida
Rutgers
Oregon
Marc Lawrence ..Superplay
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Marc Lawrence Never Lost CFB Super Pick Super Play!
Play On: ARMY
Note: The Cadets look to avenge a 34-point home loss suffered last year against the Huskies. They'll do so knowing head coach Bobby Ross is 17-5-1 ATS as a dog in games off a win in his CFB head coaching career, including 8-0-1 ATS versus a foe off a loss. Look for those numbers to improve. Take Army and the points
Big al
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Guaranteed Pick: Big Al Mcmordie
Game: Michigan at Penn State Oct 14 2006 8:00PM
Prediction: Penn State
Reason: At 8 pm, on ABC TV, our Big 10 Game of the Year is on the Penn State Nittany Lions over Michigan. My alma mater, the University of Michigan, was my choice to win the National Championship at 25-1 odds before the season started, but I'm going to jump off U-M's ship this week and take the points with Joe Paterno's crew. Michigan's dynamic big-play receiver, Mario Manningham, injured his knee in the win over MSU last week, and will miss the next few games. His absence will hurt the Wolverines, who won't be able to throw the ball downfield as easily. Also, Penn State is a perfect 10-0 ATS since 1980 when playing with revenge vs. a foe off a SU/ATS win, if the Nittany Lions have a win percentage of .350 or better, and are priced from +9 to -3 points. Last year, Penn State lost just one game all season, and it was a controversial defeat in Ann Arbor when Michigan scored a Touchdown on the game's final play. And that TD pass was made possible when U-M coach Lloyd Carr lobbied a few plays earlier to have a few more seconds added to the game clock. Needless to say, Joe Paterno was furious in the post-game press conference, and he used every dirty word in his vocabulary. Penn State has had this game circled on its calendar and they'll get sweet revenge on Saturday night. Good luck, as always
Dave Malinsky comp
Game: Michigan @ Penn St. on Oct 14, 2006 8:00PM
Prediction: Penn St.
Reason: 4* PENN STATE over MICHIGAN
Bitter memories often make for special motivations in college football, and there are few in the 2006 season that will stand out as much as this one. And the fact that under the current circumstances we are able to play the game at such a bargain absolutely gets us involved.
Penn State suffered its lone defeat in 2005 in a most frustrating fashion, a 27-25 loss to these Wolverines at Ann Arbor when Chad Henne hit Mario Manningham on a 10-yard touchdown pass on the final play of the game. It was a play that only took place because the officials had added some time to the clock just a few moments prior, a move that Joe Paterno still has not had explained to him to this day. It means a special effort will come from a developing State squad, and the door is wide open not only to stay within this number, but to win the game outright, because they will not be beaten by Manningham this season. And that is what makes this value so strong.
For this game to still be sitting at +6.5 does not recognize at all what Manningham means to the Michigan offense. He was on the verge of Heisman Trophy contention with 24 catches, good for 527 yards (a phenomenal 21.9 per reception) and nine touchdowns, and he simply can not be replaced on the Michigan roster. He was the only real deep threat, with Steve Breaston merely a possession receiver (9.7 per catch), and young Adrian Arrington the only other wide-out that has caught more than three passes all season. That severely limits the entire Wolervine offensive package, which badly needed Manningham’s threat to force safeties into deep double coverage, which meant less run support against Mike Hart. And it also takes away the chance to attack the weakest link of the Penn State defense, a young but talented secondary.
That is not much of a weak link anymore. Road tests at Notre Dame and Ohio State gave them a chance to grow up quickly, and remember that the 28-6 scoreboard at Columbus did not tell the tale at all – they held the Buckeyes to 253 yards, and intercepted Troy Smith twice. Now they face a far lesser challenge, and it becomes the LB corps of Paul Posluszny, Dan Connor and Tim Shaw, perhaps the nation’s best, that shuts down Hart and the cut-back schemes that make the Wolverine ground game go.
As each week goes by we see Penn State QB Anthony Morrelli get more comfortable (569 passing yards the last two games, at an excellent 8.2 per attempt), and with RB Tony Hunt and an outstanding WR corps the weapons are there to make plays against any defense now that Morrelli is playing with confidence. Penn State will have ample opportunity to win this outright in front of another “White Outâ€
posted by phantom
Oct. 13 2006 2:59pm -
0 likes
Bryan Leonard comp
Game: Hawaii @ Fresno St. on Oct 14, 2006 5:00PM
Prediction: Fresno St.
Reason: Fresno State (+) over Hawaii
Hawaii heads to the mainland for the third time this season looking for their first road victory. The Warriors are just 2-10 straight up away from home with the last win coming in 2005 at San Jose State. They are 1-5 ATS in the role of road favorite. While we like the job June Jones has done this year are they ready to win by a margin at Fresno?
Much has been made about the Bulldog collapse the past two games losing to Colorado State at home by 12 and losing at Utah State on the road by a point. What they don't mention is they beat a good Nevada team at home by 9 (Hawaii just beat the Wolf Pack last week at home by 7), they lost by just 7 here to a very good Oregon team, and they lost by a single point at a much improved Washington squad.
Pat Hill has been one of the most sought after coaches in the country and now based on the last two weeks he is on the hot seat. Sure the Bulldogs haven't been covering numbers, but they are traditionally a sizable favorite. Now they are cashing points at home against a pretty good but not great Hawaii squad. Fresno is 7-2 ATS under Pat Hill as a home underdog. The host is 10-4 ATS in this series. In the last 10 meetings between these two Fresno has been favored in 9 of those games, by an average of 14 points per game. With road trips to LSU and Boise State on deck this becomes a must win game for Fresno State. The Bulldogs are 36-7 straight up at home the last 7+ years. They beat Hawaii the last two seasons by a combined score of 97-24. Have these two programs changed that much? We doubt it very highly.
PLAY FRESNO STATE
posted by phantom
Oct. 13 2006 3:00pm -
0 likes
Ferrall
SATURDAY
WEST VIRGINIA 25 48 Syracuse WEST VIRGINIA
WISCONSIN 8 1/2 49 Minnesota WISCONSIN
Iowa 17 1/2 52 INDIANA Iowa
NAVY 1 1/2 45 1/2 Rutgers NAVY
Missouri 2 1/2 52 1/2 TEXAS A&M TEXAS A&M
Nebraska 10 1/2 46 1/2 KANSAS STATE Nebraska
ALABAMA 14 1/2 37 Mississippi ALABAMA
AUBURN 1 39 Florida Florida
California 7 1/2 56 1/2 WASHINGTON STATE California
GEORGIA 13 1/2 38 1/2 Vanderbilt GEORGIA
Ohio State 15 54 MICHIGAN STATE Ohio State
WASHINGTON 9 1/2 46 1/2 Oregon State WASHINGTON
OREGON 10 1/2 55 Ucla OREGON
OKLAHOMA 20 49 Iowa State OKLAHOMA
LOUISVILLE 27 53 1/2 Cincinnati LOUISVILLE
KANSAS 3 1/2 49 Oklahoma State KANSAS
TEXAS 28 1/2 48 1/2 Baylor Baylor
LSU 26 49 1/2 Kentucky LSU
USC 19 56 1/2 Arizona State USC
Michigan 6 1/2 40 1/2 PENN. STATE Michigan
SUNDAY
Boise State 26 64 NEW MEXICO STATE Boise State
posted by phantom
Oct. 13 2006 3:00pm -
0 likes
RAS "Official Plays" - Week 7 - Two Plays
Rutgers at Navy (-2.5) - 10:30am Pacific - Game #329-330
Navy head coach Paul Johnson is doing an incredible job. After winning only three games in three years, the Midshipmen are 31-12 since the start of 2003. Paul Johnson is a great in game coach who always seems to make the just the right adjustments. Navy has scored a touchdown on 5 of 6 opening second half drives this year and have scored on the first possession of the second half in 14 of their last 17 games. This year's Navy team features 16 returning starters which is the most ever in my 15 years of records. Navy did struggle offensively early in the season but senior QB Brian Hampton has stepped up his play in recent weeks. Hampton has three straight 100+ yard rushing games and after completing just 2-for-9 passes in first two games, has gone 20 of 38 since. Navy does not have to pass much anyway as they lead the nation with 350+ rushing yards per game. Navy's only loss of the season came by 1 point in overtime vs Tulsa after missing an extra point. They followed up a crushing win over UConn with a convincing win over a solid Air Force team last week.
Rutgers is coming off a BYE week but they are just 6-17 ATS in last 24 games after a BYE. Head coach Greg Schiano is said to spend a great deal of time recruiting during off weeks. Rutgers is 5-0 and ranked in the top 25 but the toughest opponent they have faced so far is South Florida two weeks ago. That game went down to the wire with USF dropping a pass on a 2 point conversion that would have forced OT and Rutgers benefited from a +2 turnover ratio. Navy will be the only option team Rutgers will play this season and after what happened to Big East counterpart UConn, Big East teams may choose to no longer schedule Navy.
This is a rare opportunity for Navy to play a ranked opponent on their home field. It is also homecoming week so there is no doubt the Midshipmen will be up for this game. Navy lost 31-21 at Rutgers last season but were -3 turnovers for the game. They routed Rutgers 54-21 here two seasons ago and Paul Johnson is an incredible 10-1 ATS in revenge situations. Navy is also 17-3 straight up at home since 2003. Give the small number.
RAS Official Play: Navy -2.5 1 UNIT
New Mexico at UNLV (+2.5) - 7:00pm Pacific - Game #395-396
I consider second year head coach Mike Sanford to be a big upgrade from his predecessor John Robinson. Sanford was the OC under Urban Meyer at Utah. UNLV started the season with a visually impressive win over 1-AA Idaho State and followed that up with a close loss at Iowa State, but in that game starting QB Rocky Hinds left in the first half with a sprained knee. Hinds, a well regarded transfer from USC, played in the next three games but was limited in his mobility and was largely ineffective. Nonetheless his numbers have gotten better in each of the past three games and he declared himself 100% healthy this week. Before this season Hinds had not played in a live football game for 3 years so he has also had to shake off some rust. He is eager to show what he can do and this may be a breakout game for him. Sophomore WR Casey Flair has emerged as one of the top receivers in the league, ranking 1st in receiving yardage and 2nd in receptions per game. UNLV ranks second to only BYU among MWC teams in passing yardage. They have moved the ball well at times but it has not shown up on the scoreboard yet. Defensively, UNLV has been below average but taking on the likes of Hawaii, Iowa State, and Nevada in non-conference play has their stats a bit skewed. New Mexico's anemic offense will be a welcome sight. Junior LB Beau Bell (2nd in tackles, tackles for loss in MWC) is one of the best in the West.
Last week New Mexico gained just 190 yards of total offense vs Wyoming, could not take advantage of three first half turnovers from the Cowboys, and failed to hold on to a 10-0 halftime lead. Senior QB Chris Nelson went just 4-for-14 and third string backup Donovan Porterie finished 7-for-17 and was sacked three times. Despite struggling, the redshirt freshman Poterie has been named the starter this week, but head coach Rocky Long did not give him much of a vote of confidence when he said his playing time would be determined by his performance and that senior Chris Nelson would also see action. If the passing game was not bad enough already, starting TE John Mulchrone, third on the team in receiving, is doubtful to play with an ankle injury. New Mexico's defense has been solid but this will be their seventh straight game without a BYE and after the results of the past two week's, they cannot be too excited to play.
UNLV almost won at New Mexico as a +15 dog in the first game of last season. These two teams have gone in different directions since then. UNLV is led by a young coaching staff looking to make names for themselves while New Mexico is clearly in rebuilding mode under veteran coach Rocky Long. The Rebels have a much more talented QB and this is their first conference home game of the season. UNLV is 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a conference home dog. Take the points.
RAS Official Play: UNLV +2.5 1 UNIT
posted by phantom
Oct. 13 2006 4:11pm -
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Larry Ness
20* Revenge GOY
Navy
Las Vegas Insider
Auburn
posted by phantom
Oct. 13 2006 6:00pm -
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KELSO STURGEON
10* CHAIRMANS CLUB
tulsa
BEST BETS CLUB
5 army
4 kansas
3 idaho
posted by phantom
Oct. 13 2006 6:02pm -
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Mike Rose
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Rutgers / Navy OVER 45 (CFB: 1:30 ET - SAT)
Doc's Enterprises:
5* Dog Goy: Wyo, 5*pur, 4* S Jose, Wisc Over, Army, Smu, Ala
Nationwide (goldsheet):
Top: Kan, Reg: Ball St, Oh St, Ucla, Toledo
Lt Profits:
2-tx A&m, Wyo, Idaho
posted by phantom
Oct. 13 2006 9:15pm -
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Power Sweep
Computer Corner Diff/Las Vegas
Wake Forest by 0.2 over NC St. 5.7
Conn by 0.4 over Army 5.6
Texas Tech by 2.9 over Colorado 4.1
SMU by 9.6 over Marshall 4.1
Troy by 13.2 over ULM 4.2
posted by phantom
Oct. 13 2006 9:16pm -
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hsw
900 Promo:
Wash
Florida
Penn St
Usc
2* San Jose St
posted by phantom
Oct. 14 2006 4:29pm -
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Ats Lock
392 20 Penn St +6
348 7 Wash St. +8.5
380 7 Kansas -2.5
393 6 Tulane +12.5
332 5 Tex A&M +2
Bases
3 U 7.5 Det
3 St. Louis -125
Financial
374 4 Illinois -6.5
346 4 Aub +2
334 4 Kan St. +9
posted by phantom
Oct. 14 2006 4:30pm -
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LT Profits Texas A & M
APlay GOY Penn State
Sebastian's GOY Penn St
Ron Meyer Big 12 GOY Nebraska
Scotty Spreizer Insider GOY Alabama
posted by phantom
Oct. 14 2006 4:31pm -
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Dr D's
3* on W.Vir and Syracuse to go over 49.
4* on Washington
3* on Navy
He also had a
5* 10 pt teaser on Bowling Green,San Jose St and Washington.
posted by phantom
Oct. 14 2006 4:31pm -
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Derek Sharp
Personal Perception - Arizona State +18.5
Secure Spread - California -8
Home Stand - Detroit Tigers
Total Cover - Ohio State/Michigan State Under 53
_________________
posted by phantom
Oct. 14 2006 4:32pm -
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Ron Meyer
BIG 12 GOY - NEBRASKA
_________________
posted by phantom
Oct. 14 2006 4:32pm -
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john ryan ncaaf 5* plays
5* florida
5* washington st
posted by phantom
Oct. 14 2006 4:32pm -
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Chip Chirimbes
Chip Chirimbes Football
Saturday, October 14, 2006
4* Rutgers (+2.5) NAVY
10:30am (PT)
4* Florida (+2) AUBURN
4:45pm (PT)
4* Army (+4.5) CONNECTICUT
9:00am (PT)
A-PLAY Houston (+1.5) SOUTHERN MISS
4:00pm (PT)
posted by phantom
Oct. 14 2006 4:32pm -
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Trace Adams
1000* - Penn State Nittany Lions, 500*s - Ohio State Buckeyes, Oregon State Beavers
Michigan's MO in the past was to not cover as a favorite, but you can throw that right out the window, as after opening this season by failing their first 2 games as the double digit favorite, the Wolverines have now covered 3 straight when favored, and 4 straight overall with their win at Notre Dame.
Michigan is brimming with confidence, but Penn State is in "revenge mode", as Michigan handed the Nittany's their lone loss of the season last year on the game's final play!
Sure Joe Pa had better talent last season, but Happy Valley under the lights is one tough place to exit with a win. The Lions are 4-0 as a home dog the last 2 years, and 6-3 overall their last 9 as the home pup with 4 outright wins.
State is looking to erase a 7 game losing streak in this series, and while the outright is not out of the question, I will gladly take the points in this one, as Penn State gives the Maize-and-Blue all they can handle in this 4-quarter affair.
1000 - Penn State Nittany Lions
Since their collapse against the Irish, the Spartans have been a walking train-wreck, as Michigan State has now lost their last 3, losing to lowly Illinois, and losing by 18 at Michigan just last week.
I can't back Michigan State to get back up off the floor for this game against an Ohio State team that is 12-1 against the spread their last 13, failing last week as the 37-point favorite in a 35-7 win over Bowling Green.
The Buckeyes are 13-2 against the spread their last 15 games played against the Big 10 Conference, and they have won and covered the 3 years against the Spartans - the last 2 coming while getting clearly outplayed by Michigan State. It just goes to show you how "fragile" this Michigan State team truly is.
Expect the Bucks to roll to another win and cover today in East Lansing.
500 - Ohio State Buckeyes
Late day action in Seattle, and I will take the points with the Beavers today against a Washington team that will have to rebound from their heartbreaking loss at Southern Cal last Saturday.
Washington has certainly improved under Ty Willingham, but this will be just the second time this season they have been favored. The first was a win by non-cover against San Jose State. That makes it 4-16-1their last 21 games when favored!
Oregon State has won outright the last 2 series meetings, and they are 5-2 against the spread in their first PAC 10 road game of the year the last 7 seasons.
I can see the Huskies getting the win today, but I don't think they are going to cover the impost.
Take the Beavers plus the points to keep matters close in the Emerald City today.
2500* - West Virginia Mountaineers
This will be West Virginia's only home game in a 5-game span, as their last 2 were on the road, and their next 2 are also on the road.
Look for the Mountaineers to enjoy some "home cooking" in a big way, as Coach Rodriguez knows that the pollsters are following the Mounties every move, and after a little bit of a sluggish effort last week at Miss State, I expect the Mountaineers to be jacked-up to kick some Orange ass!
Syracuse was lucky to put up 11 points last week at home, and while Syracuse is much-improved from last year's team that actually played West Virginia to a 15-7 loss at home - as the 2-point favorite!
The Orangemen have played their last 3 at home, and being on the road this weekend facing their toughest foe of the season, I look for the Orange to crack before this one is all said and done, and for the Mounties to hang a big 5 touchdown win on the 'Cuse.
The Mounties have covered 3 of 4 this year minus the double digits, and I see no reason White, Slaton, and company can't put up a big number in today's tilt.
Lay the chalk as West Virginia takes this one something like 53-10.
500* - Detroit -1 1/2 runs - RUN LINE PLAY!
I told you after I went against the Tigers in Game 1 that I was done going against them, and as you can see they have a chance to clinch the ALCS with a win this afternoon.
The price on Bonderman is just too high, but there is real value once again in playing Detroit on the RUN LINE.
Detroit has won all 3 games in this series by 3 runs or more, and there is no reason to believe they won't win this one by at least 2 runs.
Oakland has that dazed look in their eyes, and Jim Leyland knows how to close a sale at this juncture of the season.
Lay the run and a half as we take back the +125 with the win today
posted by phantom
Oct. 14 2006 4:33pm -
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-Minute Warning
10-Dime Consensus Club
College Football
CALIFORNIA
posted by phantom
Oct. 14 2006 4:33pm -
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Chuck Franklin
2000* Top Dog of the Year - RICE
Rice has not played a home game since September 2nd, and this is the only home game they will play until Nov 18. (Who is responsible for that lousy scheduling?) It really doesn't matter as the Owls will be wanting this game for the home fans. With QB Chase Clement back in action, the Owls will be throwing the ball often. He has passed for over 550 yards and seven touchdowns in the two games he has played in since coming back from his hand injury. The Clement-to-Jarett Dillard combination was responsible for four TD's the last two weeks and over 200 yards in the air. Uab will be playing without as many as six starters, and with so many young players starting, Rice will have its way offensively. The Owls are 18-5-1 ATS the last 24 conference home games including a 1-point loss to Houston as a 14-point dog to open the season. Rice plus the points this afternoon is obviously the play, but don't be surpried if the Owls win this game outright!
1000* Home Field Dominator Bonus Plays - Southern Cal and Penn State
College Football
2000* Absolute Blowout
WEST VIRGINIA
Like Pitt last night over UCF, this game will be an absolute blowout. West Virginia will not let up from start to finish. The Mountaineers have won 12 straight games, covering the spread in 10 of the last 11. They want to destroy their opponents for the sake of a higher-ranking in the polls. When playing at Morgantown, as they are today, West Virginia has won six in a row and is a perfect 5-0 ATS. The Mountaineers like to score points, as they have averaged over 45 points per game in those six games. The key to this game is a West Virginia rushing attack that averages over 300 yards per game. Pitt was able to get over 200 rushing yards last week against Syracuse. With WV having a better run game than Pitt, expect over 300 yards on the ground. West Virginia establishes themselves as a Big East and national power in this absolute blowout!
1000* Bonus Road Warriors - Missouri and Ucla
posted by phantom
Oct. 14 2006 4:33pm -
0 likes
Excutive
600%
UTEP -12'
over Tulane
For Our Analysis On Our 600% Lock - Click Here
1:30
350%
Navy -3
over Rutgers
1:00
300%
Central Michigan -10
over Ball St
3:00
300%
Marshall +5
over Smu
posted by phantom
Oct. 14 2006 4:34pm -
0 likes
executive 600 anaylsis
In Conference USA this week Texas El Paso plays their 2nd conference game of the season.
They catch Tulane in a great spot, as the Green Wave are coming off a Home win in
New Orleans, where they hadn't won since they beat Army in November of 2004.
That was a win they looked forward to for a long time, since Hurricane Katrina made them
homeless last season. This is a game Utep needs to put a spark in their running game.
Utep had 17-0 leads the past 2 weeks that they gave up due to a poor running game that
didn't allow them to control the clock and the ball. They had to rely strictly on the pass
and the turnovers eventually came. They played N.Mexico St and Smu the past 2 weeks.
They eventually won both of those games, but much closer than expected.
Those 2 teams have a much better rush defense than does Tulane.
N.Mex.St allows 107 yds/game on the ground and Smu gives up a stingy 82 yds/game.
Tulane comes in this week giving up an average of 148 yards per contest. Both of these
teams today rely on their passing game, but the passing game is much more difficult to get
on track when that's all you can do. Utep allows only 106 yds/game on the ground which is 2nd
in their conference to Smu, thus Tulane will be forced to pass almost every play.
Utep has 8 interceptions in 5 games which is tied for the most
in their conference while Tulane's has 4 int's. Tulane has given up 22 touchdowns, and
they average giving up 36 pts/game which is tied for the worst in Conf. USA.
This is Tulane's first trip back on the road after having the luxury of finally playing
in front of their emotional home crowd. Next week they play on the road again at Auburn,
and then the following week back at home against Army for their Homecoming game.
Don't see a lot of enthusiasm from the Green Wave in today's contest.
UTEP 44 Tulane 20
posted by phantom
Oct. 14 2006 4:34pm -
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Tony Wright GOY = UTEP
posted by phantom
Oct. 14 2006 4:35pm -
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bill hilton/gameday sports
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Saturday - Colleges
#358 - 4*OREGON-8' vs Ucla
#346 - 3*AUBURN+2 vs Florida
#311 - 2*PURDUE-7' vs N'western
#332 - 2*TEX A&M+1' vs Missouri
Sunday - NFL
#406 - 3*WASH'TON-10' vs Tennessee
#424 - 3*PITTSBURGH-6' vs KC Chiefs
#416 - 2*NEW ORL+3' vs Philly
#419 - 2*MIAMI+2 vs NY Jets
Mon Night:
"Lean" to Arizona+10 vs Chicago
Next football posting will be Thursday
Oct 19th by 4:00 pm ET+1-
posted by phantom
Oct. 14 2006 4:35pm