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Sunday, October 1st
Indianapolis at NY Jets, 1:00 EST
Indianapolis: 7-0 ATS as a road favorite
NY Jets: 6-19 ATS at home in the first month of the season
San Diego at Baltimore, 1:00 EST
San Diego: 11-1 ATS off a home win by 21+ points
Baltimore: 9-1 Under at home off an ATS loss
Minnesota at Buffalo, 1:00 EST
Minnesota: 3-13 ATS away off a division loss
Buffalo: 11-5 ATS as a favorite
Dallas at Tennessee, 1:00 EST
Dallas: 3-14 ATS as a road favorite of 7.5 to 10 points
Tennessee: 14-4 ATS at home vs. non-conference opponents
San Francisco at Kansas City, 1:00 EST
San Francisco: 2-8 ATS off ATS wins in 2 of their last 3 games
Kansas City: 8-1 ATS as a favorite
New Orleans at Carolina, 1:00 EST
New Orleans: N/A
Carolina: 7-0 Under at home vs. division opponents
Arizona at Atlanta, 1:00 EST
Arizona: 2-9 ATS as an underdog
Atlanta: N/A
Miami at Houston, 1:00 EST
Miami: 8-1 Under away off a home game
Houston: 0-6 ATS as a home underdog of 3.5 to 7 points
Detroit at St. Louis, 4:05 EST
Detroit: 5-1 Under after allowing 400+ total yards
St. Louis: 14-4 ATS at home off BB division games
New England at Cincinnati, 4:15 EST
New England: 5-1 ATS off a loss by 10+ points
Cincinnati: 6-1 Over off BB division wins
Jacksonville at Washington, 4:15 EST
Jacksonville: 9-1 ATS after scoring 14 or less points
Washington: 6-21 ATS at home in the first month of the season
Cleveland at Oakland, 4:15 EST
Cleveland: 8-1 Under away with a line of +3 to -3
Oakland: 0-9 ATS as a home underdog
Seattle at Chicago, 8:15 EST NBC
Seattle: 16-36 ATS in October
Chicago: 14-3 Under off an ATS loss
** (TC) Denotes Time Change
Monday, October 2nd
Green Bay at Philadelphia, 8:30 EST ESPN
Green Bay: 7-2 ATS after gaining 300+ passing yards
Philadelphia: 6-1 Under after scoring 30+ points
posted by phantom
Sept. 26 2006 11:24pm -
0 likes
INDIANAPOLIS (3 - 0) at NY JETS (2 - 1) - 10/1/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANAPOLIS is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
SAN DIEGO (2 - 0) at BALTIMORE (3 - 0) - 10/1/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
MINNESOTA (2 - 1) at BUFFALO (1 - 2) - 10/1/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in road games off a loss against a division rival since 1992.
MINNESOTA is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
DALLAS (1 - 1) at TENNESSEE (0 - 3) - 10/1/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) as a road favorite of 7.5 to 10 points since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
SAN FRANCISCO (1 - 2) at KANSAS CITY (0 - 2) - 10/1/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in a road game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points since 1992.
KANSAS CITY is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
NEW ORLEANS (2 - 0) at CAROLINA (1 - 2) - 10/1/2006, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 2-2 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 2-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA (1 - 2) at ATLANTA (2 - 0) - 10/1/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 1-0 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 1-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI (1 - 2) at HOUSTON (0 - 3) - 10/1/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a home underdog of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
DETROIT (0 - 3) at ST LOUIS (2 - 1) - 10/1/2006, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 57-81 ATS (-32.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
NEW ENGLAND (2 - 1) at CINCINNATI (3 - 0) - 10/1/2006, 4:15 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 1-0 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 1-0 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
JACKSONVILLE (2 - 1) at WASHINGTON (1 - 2) - 10/1/2006, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
JACKSONVILLE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all games where the total is 35 or less over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
CLEVELAND (0 - 3) at OAKLAND (0 - 2) - 10/1/2006, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 1-0 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 1-0 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE (3 - 0) at CHICAGO (3 - 0) - 10/1/2006, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 52-78 ATS (-33.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points since 1992.
SEATTLE is 16-36 ATS (-23.6 Units) in October games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
GREEN BAY (1 - 2) at PHILADELPHIA (2 - 1) - 10/2/2006, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 105-74 ATS (+23.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
PHILADELPHIA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) against NFC North division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 2-0 against the spread versus GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 2-0 straight up against GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
posted by phantom
Sept. 26 2006 11:24pm -
0 likes
NFL KEY RELEASES
BUFFALO over Minnesota RATING: 2
PHILADELPHIA over Green Bay RATING: 3
NEW YORK JETS over Indianapolis RATING: 4
CHICAGO over Seattles RATING: 4
KANSAS CITY over San Francisco RATING: 5
Indianapolis 23 - NEW YORK JETS 20 - (1:00) --This marks the Colts' 2nd trip
to the Big Apple in less than month. Edged the Giants, 26-21, in controversial
Sunday Night inaugural. Indy occupies normal spot atop AFC South, despite
just 14 FDs vs J'Ville. Manning is 5/1 for the season, but check Colts' 25th
rated "D". Jets' Pennington has risen for the ashes. Now 808 PYs & 5 TDs in
first 3 games, but can't ignore 475-256 yd deficit at Buffalo, as well as a 316-
125 RY deficit in last 2 games. This one is a division sandwich for the Colts,
but NY is in off a pair of division games. Jets 5-2-1 lately, with misses by just
1½ & 1 pt, so competitive. Indianapolis is a 15-3 ATS play on the non-division
road, while the Jets are just 10-18 ATS as dogs, but NY stayed with NEng hr.
San Diego 24 - BALTIMORE 23 - (1:00) --So much for riding the Ravens. They
were fortunate to escape the lowly Browns, winning it in the final 0:20, after
nailing INT in own endzone. Had 9 takeaways in their first 2 games, but just
2 vs Cleveland, & lead the NFL with a plus 10 TO ratio for the young season. Is
that enough to curtail the smoking & rested Chargers, who have a 435-142 RY
edge for the season, behind Tomlinson & Turner, with Rivers chipping at a
72% completion rate (33-of-46)? And try possession edges of 38:35-21:25 &
35:48-24:12. Sure those stats were amassed vs Oakland & Tennessee, but
Diego is still a 22-8 ATS play of late. ATS: Chargers 21-5 off <11 pt "D" effort,
13-2 dogs in 2nd RG, & 6-1 off bye. Ravens 10-3 in 2nd hoster. Call it to wire.
BUFFALO 20 - Minnesota 10 - (1:00) --Bills sure cranked that formerly 31st
rated "O", in loss to the Jets. Check edges of 26-15 in FDs, & 475-256 in yds,
including a 169-54 RY advantage. McGahee: 150 RYs; Losman: 328 PYs.
But it couldn't overcome 3 costly turnovers. Minny went down late to Chicago,
despite a 19-11 FD edge. No offensive TDs for the Vikes (INT return) vs 'da
Bears, but that Minny "D" has now held 9 of its last 10 foes below 20 pts. This
sets up nice for Buff, as the Bills are 10-2 ATS off a SU division loss, while the
Vikings are 6-16 ATS on the non-division road, 2-9 as RDs vs foes off a SU &
ATS loss, & 1-6 as an Oct dog vs a losing opponent. Bill "D" controls this one.
Dallas 23 - TENNESSEE 19 - (1:00) --Division sandwich for the Cowboys, but
they had an extra week to prepare. Dallas, of course, has to go it without the
services of Owens (finger), but note Bledsoe coming from 3 INTs in opening
day loss to the Jags, to none in rout of the 'Skins. The Titans are among the
dregs, allowing >30 pts no less than 9 times since LY. They're on the wrong
end of a 400-117 RY difference the past 2 wks, but check recording 5 sacks in
narrow loss to Miami. The 'Boys are just 3-14 ATS on the AFC road, 2-11 on
the road off a win of at least 14 pts, & 1-8 ATS on the road off a SU division win.
The Titans aren't much better, but a 9-2 spread play as dogs vs NFC squads.
KANSAS CITY 33 - San Francisco 20 - (1:00) --A couple of pts drop in the spot
for this one, due to Green situation (concussion). Just 8 ppg thus far for the
rested Chiefs, but this is a refreshing change for KC, after taking on the Broncs
& Bengals to open up. Note Huard clicking on 17-of-23 in that narrow OT loss
to Denver, but Johnson is still to get rumbling: 4.4 ypr. The Niners couldn't
hold their yds per play edge of first 2 outings, allowing 7.7 by the Eagles, but
Smith is now 3/0 for the season, & note nearly 400 yds vs Philly. Niners are
18-142 ATS when losing outright, while SU winner is 60-7 ATS in Chief HGs.
KC is 12-2 ATS in its 3rd game, & solid 12-4 ATS in Oct. Finally in win column.
CAROLINA 23 - New Orleans 20 - (1:00) --Year ago, the Saints pulled off highly
emotional win in opening week trip to Carolina, but this time around, the psyche
shoe is on the other foot, as the Panthers catch NewOrleans off opening in the
Dome on Monday Night. Smith's return put some spark into that Carolina
attack, moving from 14 & 15 FDs to 22 at Tampa, & from 243 ypg to 350 vs the
Bucs. But the dog is still a profitable 39-17 ATS when the Panthers take the
field, so note Carolina losing its home opener by 19 pts ATS. Saints are 17-3
ATS on the division road, & 12-4 as RDs of 6+ pts of late. Carolina is just 2-8
ATS off a SU division road win, & the series host checks in at 1-10 vs the pts.
ATLANTA 23 - Arizona 10 - (1:00) --Just 12 ppg for the Cards in their last two
outings, following that 34-pt explosion vs the always porous Niner "D". Three
Warner INTs in loss to the Rams. And he also fumbled the snap after reaching
the StLouis 18 in the dying moments, thereby depriving his squad from kicking
the winning FG. Losing breeds losing, even with James off a respectable 94
RY effort. Cards are 10-3 ATS off a loss of <8 pts, but 4-16 ATS on the non-
division road, & 3-12 away off back-to-back losses. SU winner is 16-2-1 ATS
in 'Zona games since LY, so a vote for the renewed overland game of the Falcs.
Miami 19 - HOUSTON 18 - (1:00) --Dolphs really in gear now, with their 12 ppg
average, & that includes just 10 pts vs the Titans, until Mare's latest winning
FG. Culpepper's 68% throwing pct is impressive (58-of-85), but he has now
been sacked 15 times. So a chance to finally explode vs the league's worst
"D", but remember, Miami has NewEngland dead ahead, & the dog is a 7-2 line
play in Dolph contests of late. The Texans outmanned by the week, & now
have a 98-48 pt deficit, despite Carr at 72% (59-of-82). The visitor is 15-6 ATS
in Houston games, but that sputtering Dolphin "O" may just be the right tonic.
ST LOUIS 23 - Detroit 10 - (4:05) --Mike Martz returns to StLouis. His Lion
squad finally moved the pig, but resultant 31-24 loss to the Packers is hardly
reason for hope. Rank 31st in rushing, with Kitna Detroit's only "O" (342 PYs
vs GBay). The Lions are now averaging 16.3 ppg in their last 50 contests.
Thus the newly fearsome "D" of the Rams (14.7 ppg) should be able to control
things. Second HG for StLouis, which pulled the upset of Denver in its opener
(11½ pt cover). Sure, the Rams are only a 10-21 spread play of late, but they
catch the Lions in a division sandwich, & stand at 19-4 ATS at home, following
a division tilt, are 19-5 ATS vs losing teams, & 7-1 ATS in Oct, off win & cover.
CINCINNATI 24 - New England 17 - (4:15) --Could it happen this fast? Guess
it could. The Pats are obviously not the machine of recent years. Free agency
has wracked this splendid franchise. Just a 43-34 pt edge in its 2-0 start, with
Sunday Night's anemic effort (no pts in first 50 minutes) a totally foreign result.
And that was in an obvious revenge setup. A 144-50 RY deficit to boot. The
Bengals, on the other hand are on the rise (Palmer: 4 TD passes vs Pitt), and
they've done their best work at home (in direct contrast to LY), with 481 yds &
27 FDs in their lone hoster to date. Believe it or not, Cincy is 7-0 ATS vs the
Pats. NewEngland is 16-5 ATS off SU loss, but 3-17 in its 2nd RG of the year.
Jacksonville 20 - WASHINGTON 13 - (4:15) --Redskin "O" got healthy in trip to
Houston, moving from 255 ypg to 495 vs the Texans, with Betts & Portis com-
bining for 210 RYs, & Brunell setting an NFL record, by completing his first 22
passes. Wow! But things get a bit stickier here, as the Jags are among the
elites. Check time edges of 37:25-22:35 vs the Steelers, & 39:24-20:36 vs the
Colts, & that after an 8 minute edge vs Dallas. The difference in their loss to
Indy was an 82-yd punt taken the distance by the Colts. Sure, there's a chance
that the Jags will suffer a letdown, off that 3-game run, but they are 15-5 ATS
in non-division play, while the Redskins are 0-4 hosting AFC teams. Jaguars.
OAKLAND 16 - Cleveland 15 - (4:15) --November 17, 2002. That date? Why,
it was that last time that the Brownies were installed as road chalks. Thus this
is fairly uncharted territory for Cleveland. Browns are in off latest heartbreak,
following a foolish INT toss by Frye. Cannot run, with just 85, 57,& 38 overland
yds in their 3 games to date. The Raiders, of course, are among the barrel
bottoms, with their 55-6 pt deficit in their 24 & 9½ pt ATS setbacks, before that
much needed bye week. Catching the Browns off pair of division games is a
plus, so call the mild upset despite the chalk being 17-6 ATS in Oakland games.
CHICAGO 26 - Seattle 20 - (8:15 - ABC) --Mike Holmgren returns to Soldier
Field for the 1st time since his 1st year at Seattle ('99). Obviously spent many
an afternoon here, with the Packers. Seahawks sure did it up right vs Giants,
leading 42-3 in the 4th, with Hasselbeck pegging 5 TDs (3 picks). But this
Bear "D" is a horse of a different color. Check a 19-11 FD edge in narrow win
over Minny LW, beating the Vikes on the first-ever 4th quarter TD pass from
Grossman. Seattle is just 17 pts from an 18-2 ATS run, but Chicago has
covered its last 7 regular season HGs. Bears 14-6 ATS non-division HFs.
Seattle 1-7 ATS on non-division road, & did not cover more than 2 straight LY.
MONDAY NIGHT
PHILADELPHIA 34 - Green Bay 17 - (8:30 - ESPN) --Just when Favre seemed
dead on arrival, he not only throws for 340 yds, with 3 TDs, & no picks (vs Saints),
but he repeats that performance verbatim. That's right: 340 PYs, 3 TDs, no INTs
in upset of the Lions. Incredible. Now over 400 TD passes, joining Dan Marino.
But can do enough to keep the Pack in this one? Afterall, the Eagles rank #1 on
offense, accumulating 441, 451, & 416 yds to date, with McNabb at 960 PYs & 7
TDs. The Pack is 2-12 ATS as a dog vs the NFC East, while Philly is 11-2 ATS in
the series. And that upset win over Detroit resulted in GBay's first cover since
last Nov 13th. Simply asking too much for the Pack to stay with the Eagles here.
posted by phantom
Sept. 27 2006 1:49am -
0 likes
Services with Monday's Picks - 2006/09/24 20:17
Monday Night
Vegas Sports
Cincy +2 and the Over 43 WON
Chicago -3.5 LOST
Detroit LOST
St. Louis +5 WON
Consensus:
Carolina -3 LOST
Baltimore -6.5 LOST
Philadelphia -6 WON
NY Giants +3.5 LOST
Vegas Sports
We love the MNF game as well... jumping on Atlanta -3
Mike Lee
8% WASH WON
6% CHI LOST
6% JETS WON
6% PITT LOST
4% JAX LOST
4% ST LOUIS WON
4% SF LOST
_____________________________
8% DEN SUNDAY NIGHT
6% ATL MONDAY NIGHT PICK
Preferred Picks - 2006/09/24 10:58
3 Vikings WON
SUNDAY NIGHT
Broncos
MONDAY NIGHT
4 Saints
Joey Gaffney - 2006/09/23 23:06
Baltimore Ravens 10* GOY 6 LOST
Chicago Bears 8* PP 3 LOST
Cincinnati Bengals 7* PP 2.5 WON
Philadelphia Eagles 7* PP 6 LOST
Carolina Panthers 3* BB 3 LOST
New York Giants 3* BB 4 LOST
Atlanta Falcons 7* PP 3 MONDAY NIGHT PICK
Pigs Picks 2006 Key Releases - Week 3!
FALCONS (A) (-3.5) over Saints - QUAD (4-units)
X’s and O’s – Like a lion stalking its prey, I have been patiently waiting on this game, hoping it would come with the Saints 2-0. OK, everybody sing along, good and loud (to the tune of "When the Saints..": "Oh when the GUH, comes marching in, you know that Boss Hog's gonna win. I can't believe, this freak-in number....Oh when the GUH comes marching in!" That was fun! These silly bastards are watching the wrong tapes boys. Atlanta is manhandling good defenses at a record pace, most recently shredding last year's #2 run defense for 306 rushing yards. Now that's an ass-whoopin'! In week 1, the Falcons did similar damage to Carolina's 4th ranked run defense from 2005, and made it look easy. They have added the one-back option set for Vick, which will be a challenge for any defense, particularly one as weak as the Saints.
What's that you say? The Saints aren't weak on defense, and in fact rank 6th in the league against the run? Simmer down boys, all is well. Much like the 300 pound cheerleader with a pretty face, things get much uglier when you look under the hood! Let us not forget that this is the Saints, as in last year's 27th ranked rushing defense. Nor let us forget that their best run defender, Darren Howard, is no longer with the team. And let's certainly pause to reflect on the fact that they've just played Cleveland and Green Bay, two of the worst rushing teams in the NFL, no, make that the history of the NFL (25th and 30th last year, will be worse this year). Would you brag about getting Mel Gibson pissed off in a late-night bar? The sun comes up every day, and none of us have anything to do with it. Those two teams suck running the ball because they do, end of story. Now, the Saints must borrow some big-boy-pants and step up to the Adult League. This will be fun. Their 3 LB's consist of 1) an unheralded and sub-par Scott Shanle, 2) Mark Simoneau, who was humiliated, benched, and sent packing by the Eagles last year because he was so soft against the run, and 3) Scott Fujita, who's next hard tackle will be his first! Look, this is men against boys. Enough said.
I can't stop! Just one more thing. This "improved Saints' defense" that everyone is talking about just gave up 27 points, 21 first downs, and 385 yards of offense to the Packers, who were shut out in week 1. Is this coming into focus for you?
Atlanta's defense is playing equally well, ranking 4th against the run and 3rd in yards/pass against. Their D-line, in particular, Rod Coleman, Pat Kerney, and John Abraham will dominate the line of scrimmage and force Brees into obvious passing situations, game over. I will have major, major wood on this game. These don't come around too often.
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To Track a Service for 3 weeks -
College & NFL Cards
Big Al’s week 1 Card ( 1 Win & 9 losses )
Big Al’s Week 2 Football Card ( 4 Wins & 6 losses )
Big Al’s Week 3 Football Card ( 7 Wins & 5 losses )
Not Counting MLB Games Friday, Saturday & Sunday
So When a Serrrvice says there are Hot
Monitor Them
You can E mail Service that Sells & monitors Both Services.
Big Al Friday MLB
Red Hot Big Al's 5th Baseball Winner in a Row!
Al McMordie swept the board here in Major League Baseball on Thursday with a blowout National League Getaway Day Game of the Month Winner, and also a super play on Anaheim in the American League. Here, Big Al looks for his 5th straight baseball win and he's backing a pitcher that's been red-hot of late.
Big Al Friday MLB
mlb Detroit vs. Kansas City ( Kansas City + 136 ) Loss
mlb Chicago (N) vs. Cincinnati ( Chicago (N) -117 ) Loss
Oklahoma St. Cowboys vs Houston Cougars
Houston Cougars - 1 Point ( WON )
Oklahoma St. Cowboys 25 Houston Cougars 34
Reason: At 9 pm, our selection is on the Houston Cougars, who fall into a 45-12 ATS angle of mine that plays on home dogs (or PK) off back to back wins in which they scored 40+ points in each game. With Houston off 45-7 and 42-22 wins over Tulane and Grambling, we'll back Art Briles squad on Saturday night. Good luck as always...Al McMordie. And don't miss my Underdog of the Month, or my 3-game package, or my Bailout Blowout Winner on this Saturday.
Louisville Cardinals vs Kansas State Wildcats
Kansas State Wildcats + 14 Points ( LOSS )
Louisville Cardinals 24 Kansas State Wildcats 6
Reason: At 12 Noon, on Saturday,
on Fox Sports Net,
our Underdog of the Month is on the Kansas State Wildcats plus the points over Louisville.
Last week, we won our 5* Non-Conference Game of the Year on Louisville over Miami when the Cardinals blew out the Hurricanes 31-7. But off that huge win (their first in 11 meetings vs. Miami),
I look for the Cards to have a huge letdown in Manhattan on Saturday.
KSU is off back to back wins in which its defense didn't allow a point.
They beat Marshall 23-7 and Florida Atlantic 45-0 (Marshall scored its TD on a blocked punt).
The injury bug has struck Louisville hard.
The Cards have already lost running back Michael Bush and QB Brian Brohm.
Like KSU, Louisville's defense has played very well, holding Miami to 7 points,
and Temple to 0 in its last 2 games.
are a poor 32-65 vs foes off a SU/ATS win.
Take Kansas State.
Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
Idaho Vandals vs Oregon St. Beavers
Oregon St. Beavers - 25 Points ( WON )
Idaho Vandals 0 Oregon St. Beavers 38
Reason: At 10:15 pm,
our Bailout Blowout Winner is on the Oregon State Beavers minus the points over Idaho.
Oregon State had last week off after losing 42-14 to Boise State two weeks ago.
Now, Oregon St has been installed as favorites of more than 3 touchdowns,
and they fall into one of my best college systems which is 43-15 ATS
which plays on certain home favorites of 20+ points off a loss of 20 or more,
if their opponent is not off a loss of more than 20 points
(Idaho beat Idaho St. last week 27-24).
Take Mike Riley's Beavers in a blowout.
Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
UCLA Bruins vs Washington Huskies
Washington Huskies + 3 Points ( WON )
UCLA Bruins 19 Washington Huskies 29
Reason: At 7 pm,
our Pac 10 Game of the Month is on Tyrone Willingham's Washington Huskies
plus the points over UCLA
Washington falls into a 90-45 ATS system of mine that fades certain road teams
with a win percentage greater than .875,
if they're off back to back wins,
with their previous game at home,
and are matched up against a .601 (or better) foe off a win and cover.
Also, UCLA is a terrible 6-20 ATS on the road off a home win.
Take Washington.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Michigan State Spartans
Michigan State Spartans + 2.5 Points Loss
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Michigan State Spartans
Reason: At 8 pm,
our selection is on the Michigan State Spartans,
as home dogs off a road win in the first half of the season are on a 26-6 ATS tear.
MSU has won 7 of its last 9 meetings vs. Notre Dame,
including last year's 44-41 victory.
Look for QB Drew Stanton to key this upset win.
Take the points.
Wisconsin Badgers vs Michigan Wolverines
Wisconsin Badgers + 13.5 Points Lost
Wisconsin Badgers 13 Michigan Wolverines 27
Reason: At 12 Noon, on ESPN, our Big 10 Game of the Month is on the Wisconsin Badgers plus the points over Michigan. Last week, Lloyd Carr's Wolverines upset Notre Dame (a big win for us), and we'll fade Michigan at home today in a classic letdown spot, as the Wolves are a dreadful 0-9 ATS since 1990 on home/neutral fields off a road dog win. This will be Wisconsin's first road game (following 3 home wins). The knee-jerk reaction is to go against a team playing its first road game in Week 4, but ......are a super 27-7 ATS vs. Conference foes off a win. Take the Badgers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
Saturday
MLB
Atlanta Braves vs Colorado Rockies
Under 9.5 Runs Loss ( 19 Runs Scored )
Atlanta Braves 9 Colorado Rockies 10
Reason: At 8:05pm our selection is on the Atlanta Braves and Colorado Rockies 'under' the total. Perhaps after this season, people will finally stop thinking of the Colorado Rockies as one of the worst pitching teams in baseball history. With about a week to go in the season, the Rockies have the 7th best team ERA in the Majors. If they stay in that position, or even if they slip a couple of notches before the end of the season, this is an amazing accomplishment when you consider that this team has never finished higher than 14th in team ERA in the NL in any year since their inaugural season in 1993. One of the big reasons has been the performance of lefthander Jeff Francis who has a 3.88 ERA and 1.26 WHIP and from whom the Rockies have won 18 of 30 starts. Another surprising aspect of the Rockies season is the under/over ratio for their games. Even if every remaining Colorado game goes over the total, there will still be more Rockie games under than over for the 2006 season. With regard to tonight's opponent, the Braves, 3 of the 4 games played so far this year have gone under the total (the 4th was a push), and 3 of the 4 have gone 9 runs or fewer (last night's game went 10 runs). The under is 13-6 in the last 19 games between the Braves and Rockies played in Colorado, and 6-2 in Atlanta's last 8 road games.
Take the 'under 9.5 Runs'
__________________
Big Al Sunday Picks
_________________
Big Game Vikings Covered
Chicago Bears vs Minnesota Vikings Minnesota Vikings Win
Reason: At 1 pm, our NFL Game of the Month is on the Minnesota Vikings plus the points over Chicago. The Bears have opened up their season with a 26-0 win over Green Bay and a 31-7 victory over Detroit. Certainly, the scores are impressive, but the quality of competition is not. Green Bay is the worst team in football, and Detroit isn't far behind. Minnesota is playing solid defense itself this year, with wins over 2 playoff teams from 2005: 19-16 at Washington, and 16-13 vs. Carolina. Minnesota is a solid 11-0 ATS as a home dog vs. foes with an .800 or better win percentage since 1987, and Chicago also falls into a nasty 1-15 ATS system which plays against teams that........ Take Minnesota. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills New York Jets Win
Reason: At 1 pm, our selection is on the NY Jets, as we will play against the Bills off their upset win at Miami last week. That game sets up this play, as Buffalo falls into a negative situation that's 2-21 ATS since December 1990 which involves playing against certain home favorites of minus 3 points or more vs. a division rival with a .500 or worse record, if our home fave is off a road upset win over another division rival. With Buffalo off that 16-6 upset at Miami last week, we'll fade the Bills today.
Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Carolina Panthers Loss
Reason: At 1 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers, as John Fox's crew is an awesome 23-4 ATS off a straight-up loss vs. a foe off a point spread loss, provided Carolina is not favored by 5+ points. Last week, the Panthers fell in overtime 16-13 at Minnesota, while Tampa Bay was drubbed 14-3 by Atlanta. Carolina is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 division road games, including 6 straight. Take the Panthers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. And don't miss my NFL Total of the Month or my NFL Game of the Month on this Sunday.
Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Over Win
Reason: At 1 pm, our NFL Total of the Month is on the 'over' in the Carolina/Tampa Bay game, as it falls into a super totals system of mine that is 67-38 ATS which involves playing the 'over' in certain games where teams are off back to back low-scoring games (Carolina has scored just 19 points; Tampa has mustered only 3). Of course, Carolina's low output can largely be attributed to the absence of Pro Bowl wide receiver Steve Smith, who will return for today's game. The Panthers, though, are struggling against the run, ranking 31st in the NFL, with an average of 196 yards given up per game. That's good news for the Buccaneer offense, which is led by RB Carnell 'Cadillac' Williams. I look for Williams to get over 100 yards today, just like the running backs of Minnesota & Atlanta did against Carolina in Weeks 1 and 2. And Keyshawn Johnson and Steve Smith will have big days as well, as Tampa's secondary won't be able to handle that combination. Take the 'over'. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. And don't miss my NFL Game of the Month, or my 3-game package today, which features winners out of 21-2, 23-4 and 42-20 ATS systems.
Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers Cincinnati Bengals Win
Reason: At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cincy Bengals, who are unbeaten at 2-0. Since 1980, 2-0 squads are a solid 42-20 ATS vs. foes off ....... No bounce-back for Pittsburgh today. Look for Cincy to avenge its playoff loss. Take the points.
Sunday MLB
Seattle Mariners vs Chicago (A) White Sox Under Loss
Reason: At 2:05 pm, our complimentary selection is on the 'under' in the Seattle/White Sox game. Chicago starter Freddy 'the Chief' Garcia has been brilliant over his last 3 starts (0.81 ERA; 0.62 WHIP) and his mound opponent has impressed, though in just 6 innings (0.00 ERA; 0.33 WHIP, 1 hit, 1 walk, 4 strikeouts). Take the 'under'. Al McMordie is stepping out on Sunday with a huge NFL Over/Under play out of his best Totals system. Last Monday, Big Al released a Super Totals play on the Jaguars/Steelers 'under' the total (part of Al's 2-0 Monday Sweep), and this NFL Total of the Month is twice as strong as that play, and will win just as easily. Don't miss it.
Atlanta Braves vs Colorado Rockies Atlanta Braves Loss
Reason: At 3:05pm our selection is on the Atlanta Braves over the Colorado Rockies. In a season where not much has gone right for Atlanta, there have been a few rays of hope recently for the team that, until this season, had dominated the NL East Division with an unheard of 15 straight pennants. Most of the positive news surrounds their pitching staff as they have just announced a pair of important signings for next year; a 1-year contract extension for closer Bob Wickman (who's been brilliant since being acquired from the Indians) and an $8 Million team option picked up on staff ace John Smoltz. This pair of signings will allow the Braves to focus on possible off-season free-agent acquisitions without the spectre of these two important veterans hanging over them as a distraction. Another big bright spot for Atlanta heading into the offseason is the performance of young lefthanded starter Chuck James. At only 24 and in his first full-time year in the Majors, James has won 10 his 16 starts, has an excellent ERA of 3.62 and a very nice WHIP of 1.24 (James has only surrendered 90 hits in his 107 innings pitched). James has thrown 7 quality starts in his last 9 outings and this is his first start ever against Colorado. The Rockies are going with an even younger and less-experienced starter than James. In fact 22 year old righthander Juan Morillo has never thrown a pitch in the majors, and although he is a very hard thrower (high 90's fastball) he projects more as a reliever than as a starter and his performance in the minors and lack of experience (he has never pitched above AA level) do nothing to indicate that he is ready for this huge step up. Take the Braves. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
posted by phantom
Sept. 27 2006 1:53am -
0 likes
Services with Monday's Picks - 2006/09/24 20:17
Monday Night
Vegas Sports
Cincy +2 and the Over 43 WON
Chicago -3.5 LOST
Detroit LOST
St. Louis +5 WON
Consensus:
Carolina -3 LOST
Baltimore -6.5 LOST
Philadelphia -6 WON
NY Giants +3.5 LOST
Vegas Sports
We love the MNF game as well... jumping on Atlanta -3
Mike Lee
8% WASH WON
6% CHI LOST
6% JETS WON
6% PITT LOST
4% JAX LOST
4% ST LOUIS WON
4% SF LOST
_____________________________
8% DEN SUNDAY NIGHT
6% ATL MONDAY NIGHT PICK
Preferred Picks - 2006/09/24 10:58
3 Vikings WON
SUNDAY NIGHT
Broncos
MONDAY NIGHT
4 Saints
Joey Gaffney - 2006/09/23 23:06
Baltimore Ravens 10* GOY 6 LOST
Chicago Bears 8* PP 3 LOST
Cincinnati Bengals 7* PP 2.5 WON
Philadelphia Eagles 7* PP 6 LOST
Carolina Panthers 3* BB 3 LOST
New York Giants 3* BB 4 LOST
Atlanta Falcons 7* PP 3 MONDAY NIGHT PICK
Pigs Picks 2006 Key Releases - Week 3!
FALCONS (A) (-3.5) over Saints - QUAD (4-units)
X’s and O’s – Like a lion stalking its prey, I have been patiently waiting on this game, hoping it would come with the Saints 2-0. OK, everybody sing along, good and loud (to the tune of "When the Saints..": "Oh when the GUH, comes marching in, you know that Boss Hog's gonna win. I can't believe, this freak-in number....Oh when the GUH comes marching in!" That was fun! These silly bastards are watching the wrong tapes boys. Atlanta is manhandling good defenses at a record pace, most recently shredding last year's #2 run defense for 306 rushing yards. Now that's an ass-whoopin'! In week 1, the Falcons did similar damage to Carolina's 4th ranked run defense from 2005, and made it look easy. They have added the one-back option set for Vick, which will be a challenge for any defense, particularly one as weak as the Saints.
What's that you say? The Saints aren't weak on defense, and in fact rank 6th in the league against the run? Simmer down boys, all is well. Much like the 300 pound cheerleader with a pretty face, things get much uglier when you look under the hood! Let us not forget that this is the Saints, as in last year's 27th ranked rushing defense. Nor let us forget that their best run defender, Darren Howard, is no longer with the team. And let's certainly pause to reflect on the fact that they've just played Cleveland and Green Bay, two of the worst rushing teams in the NFL, no, make that the history of the NFL (25th and 30th last year, will be worse this year). Would you brag about getting Mel Gibson pissed off in a late-night bar? The sun comes up every day, and none of us have anything to do with it. Those two teams suck running the ball because they do, end of story. Now, the Saints must borrow some big-boy-pants and step up to the Adult League. This will be fun. Their 3 LB's consist of 1) an unheralded and sub-par Scott Shanle, 2) Mark Simoneau, who was humiliated, benched, and sent packing by the Eagles last year because he was so soft against the run, and 3) Scott Fujita, who's next hard tackle will be his first! Look, this is men against boys. Enough said.
I can't stop! Just one more thing. This "improved Saints' defense" that everyone is talking about just gave up 27 points, 21 first downs, and 385 yards of offense to the Packers, who were shut out in week 1. Is this coming into focus for you?
Atlanta's defense is playing equally well, ranking 4th against the run and 3rd in yards/pass against. Their D-line, in particular, Rod Coleman, Pat Kerney, and John Abraham will dominate the line of scrimmage and force Brees into obvious passing situations, game over. I will have major, major wood on this game. These don't come around too often.
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To Track a Service for 3 weeks -
College & NFL Cards
Big Al’s week 1 Card ( 1 Win & 9 losses )
Big Al’s Week 2 Football Card ( 4 Wins & 6 losses )
Big Al’s Week 3 Football Card ( 7 Wins & 5 losses )
Not Counting MLB Games Friday, Saturday & Sunday
So When a Serrrvice says there are Hot
Monitor Them
You can E mail Service that Sells & monitors Both Services.
Big Al Friday MLB
Red Hot Big Al's 5th Baseball Winner in a Row!
Al McMordie swept the board here in Major League Baseball on Thursday with a blowout National League Getaway Day Game of the Month Winner, and also a super play on Anaheim in the American League. Here, Big Al looks for his 5th straight baseball win and he's backing a pitcher that's been red-hot of late.
Big Al Friday MLB
mlb Detroit vs. Kansas City ( Kansas City + 136 ) Loss
mlb Chicago (N) vs. Cincinnati ( Chicago (N) -117 ) Loss
Oklahoma St. Cowboys vs Houston Cougars
Houston Cougars - 1 Point ( WON )
Oklahoma St. Cowboys 25 Houston Cougars 34
Reason: At 9 pm, our selection is on the Houston Cougars, who fall into a 45-12 ATS angle of mine that plays on home dogs (or PK) off back to back wins in which they scored 40+ points in each game. With Houston off 45-7 and 42-22 wins over Tulane and Grambling, we'll back Art Briles squad on Saturday night. Good luck as always...Al McMordie. And don't miss my Underdog of the Month, or my 3-game package, or my Bailout Blowout Winner on this Saturday.
Louisville Cardinals vs Kansas State Wildcats
Kansas State Wildcats + 14 Points ( LOSS )
Louisville Cardinals 24 Kansas State Wildcats 6
Reason: At 12 Noon, on Saturday,
on Fox Sports Net,
our Underdog of the Month is on the Kansas State Wildcats plus the points over Louisville.
Last week, we won our 5* Non-Conference Game of the Year on Louisville over Miami when the Cardinals blew out the Hurricanes 31-7. But off that huge win (their first in 11 meetings vs. Miami),
I look for the Cards to have a huge letdown in Manhattan on Saturday.
KSU is off back to back wins in which its defense didn't allow a point.
They beat Marshall 23-7 and Florida Atlantic 45-0 (Marshall scored its TD on a blocked punt).
The injury bug has struck Louisville hard.
The Cards have already lost running back Michael Bush and QB Brian Brohm.
Like KSU, Louisville's defense has played very well, holding Miami to 7 points,
and Temple to 0 in its last 2 games.
are a poor 32-65 vs foes off a SU/ATS win.
Take Kansas State.
Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
Idaho Vandals vs Oregon St. Beavers
Oregon St. Beavers - 25 Points ( WON )
Idaho Vandals 0 Oregon St. Beavers 38
Reason: At 10:15 pm,
our Bailout Blowout Winner is on the Oregon State Beavers minus the points over Idaho.
Oregon State had last week off after losing 42-14 to Boise State two weeks ago.
Now, Oregon St has been installed as favorites of more than 3 touchdowns,
and they fall into one of my best college systems which is 43-15 ATS
which plays on certain home favorites of 20+ points off a loss of 20 or more,
if their opponent is not off a loss of more than 20 points
(Idaho beat Idaho St. last week 27-24).
Take Mike Riley's Beavers in a blowout.
Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
UCLA Bruins vs Washington Huskies
Washington Huskies + 3 Points ( WON )
UCLA Bruins 19 Washington Huskies 29
Reason: At 7 pm,
our Pac 10 Game of the Month is on Tyrone Willingham's Washington Huskies
plus the points over UCLA
Washington falls into a 90-45 ATS system of mine that fades certain road teams
with a win percentage greater than .875,
if they're off back to back wins,
with their previous game at home,
and are matched up against a .601 (or better) foe off a win and cover.
Also, UCLA is a terrible 6-20 ATS on the road off a home win.
Take Washington.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Michigan State Spartans
Michigan State Spartans + 2.5 Points Loss
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Michigan State Spartans
Reason: At 8 pm,
our selection is on the Michigan State Spartans,
as home dogs off a road win in the first half of the season are on a 26-6 ATS tear.
MSU has won 7 of its last 9 meetings vs. Notre Dame,
including last year's 44-41 victory.
Look for QB Drew Stanton to key this upset win.
Take the points.
Wisconsin Badgers vs Michigan Wolverines
Wisconsin Badgers + 13.5 Points Lost
Wisconsin Badgers 13 Michigan Wolverines 27
Reason: At 12 Noon, on ESPN, our Big 10 Game of the Month is on the Wisconsin Badgers plus the points over Michigan. Last week, Lloyd Carr's Wolverines upset Notre Dame (a big win for us), and we'll fade Michigan at home today in a classic letdown spot, as the Wolves are a dreadful 0-9 ATS since 1990 on home/neutral fields off a road dog win. This will be Wisconsin's first road game (following 3 home wins). The knee-jerk reaction is to go against a team playing its first road game in Week 4, but ......are a super 27-7 ATS vs. Conference foes off a win. Take the Badgers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
Saturday
MLB
Atlanta Braves vs Colorado Rockies
Under 9.5 Runs Loss ( 19 Runs Scored )
Atlanta Braves 9 Colorado Rockies 10
Reason: At 8:05pm our selection is on the Atlanta Braves and Colorado Rockies 'under' the total. Perhaps after this season, people will finally stop thinking of the Colorado Rockies as one of the worst pitching teams in baseball history. With about a week to go in the season, the Rockies have the 7th best team ERA in the Majors. If they stay in that position, or even if they slip a couple of notches before the end of the season, this is an amazing accomplishment when you consider that this team has never finished higher than 14th in team ERA in the NL in any year since their inaugural season in 1993. One of the big reasons has been the performance of lefthander Jeff Francis who has a 3.88 ERA and 1.26 WHIP and from whom the Rockies have won 18 of 30 starts. Another surprising aspect of the Rockies season is the under/over ratio for their games. Even if every remaining Colorado game goes over the total, there will still be more Rockie games under than over for the 2006 season. With regard to tonight's opponent, the Braves, 3 of the 4 games played so far this year have gone under the total (the 4th was a push), and 3 of the 4 have gone 9 runs or fewer (last night's game went 10 runs). The under is 13-6 in the last 19 games between the Braves and Rockies played in Colorado, and 6-2 in Atlanta's last 8 road games.
Take the 'under 9.5 Runs'
__________________
Big Al Sunday Picks
_________________
Big Game Vikings Covered
Chicago Bears vs Minnesota Vikings Minnesota Vikings Win
Reason: At 1 pm, our NFL Game of the Month is on the Minnesota Vikings plus the points over Chicago. The Bears have opened up their season with a 26-0 win over Green Bay and a 31-7 victory over Detroit. Certainly, the scores are impressive, but the quality of competition is not. Green Bay is the worst team in football, and Detroit isn't far behind. Minnesota is playing solid defense itself this year, with wins over 2 playoff teams from 2005: 19-16 at Washington, and 16-13 vs. Carolina. Minnesota is a solid 11-0 ATS as a home dog vs. foes with an .800 or better win percentage since 1987, and Chicago also falls into a nasty 1-15 ATS system which plays against teams that........ Take Minnesota. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills New York Jets Win
Reason: At 1 pm, our selection is on the NY Jets, as we will play against the Bills off their upset win at Miami last week. That game sets up this play, as Buffalo falls into a negative situation that's 2-21 ATS since December 1990 which involves playing against certain home favorites of minus 3 points or more vs. a division rival with a .500 or worse record, if our home fave is off a road upset win over another division rival. With Buffalo off that 16-6 upset at Miami last week, we'll fade the Bills today.
Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Carolina Panthers Loss
Reason: At 1 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers, as John Fox's crew is an awesome 23-4 ATS off a straight-up loss vs. a foe off a point spread loss, provided Carolina is not favored by 5+ points. Last week, the Panthers fell in overtime 16-13 at Minnesota, while Tampa Bay was drubbed 14-3 by Atlanta. Carolina is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 division road games, including 6 straight. Take the Panthers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. And don't miss my NFL Total of the Month or my NFL Game of the Month on this Sunday.
Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Over Win
Reason: At 1 pm, our NFL Total of the Month is on the 'over' in the Carolina/Tampa Bay game, as it falls into a super totals system of mine that is 67-38 ATS which involves playing the 'over' in certain games where teams are off back to back low-scoring games (Carolina has scored just 19 points; Tampa has mustered only 3). Of course, Carolina's low output can largely be attributed to the absence of Pro Bowl wide receiver Steve Smith, who will return for today's game. The Panthers, though, are struggling against the run, ranking 31st in the NFL, with an average of 196 yards given up per game. That's good news for the Buccaneer offense, which is led by RB Carnell 'Cadillac' Williams. I look for Williams to get over 100 yards today, just like the running backs of Minnesota & Atlanta did against Carolina in Weeks 1 and 2. And Keyshawn Johnson and Steve Smith will have big days as well, as Tampa's secondary won't be able to handle that combination. Take the 'over'. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. And don't miss my NFL Game of the Month, or my 3-game package today, which features winners out of 21-2, 23-4 and 42-20 ATS systems.
Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers Cincinnati Bengals Win
Reason: At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cincy Bengals, who are unbeaten at 2-0. Since 1980, 2-0 squads are a solid 42-20 ATS vs. foes off ....... No bounce-back for Pittsburgh today. Look for Cincy to avenge its playoff loss. Take the points.
Sunday MLB
Seattle Mariners vs Chicago (A) White Sox Under Loss
Reason: At 2:05 pm, our complimentary selection is on the 'under' in the Seattle/White Sox game. Chicago starter Freddy 'the Chief' Garcia has been brilliant over his last 3 starts (0.81 ERA; 0.62 WHIP) and his mound opponent has impressed, though in just 6 innings (0.00 ERA; 0.33 WHIP, 1 hit, 1 walk, 4 strikeouts). Take the 'under'. Al McMordie is stepping out on Sunday with a huge NFL Over/Under play out of his best Totals system. Last Monday, Big Al released a Super Totals play on the Jaguars/Steelers 'under' the total (part of Al's 2-0 Monday Sweep), and this NFL Total of the Month is twice as strong as that play, and will win just as easily. Don't miss it.
Atlanta Braves vs Colorado Rockies Atlanta Braves Loss
Reason: At 3:05pm our selection is on the Atlanta Braves over the Colorado Rockies. In a season where not much has gone right for Atlanta, there have been a few rays of hope recently for the team that, until this season, had dominated the NL East Division with an unheard of 15 straight pennants. Most of the positive news surrounds their pitching staff as they have just announced a pair of important signings for next year; a 1-year contract extension for closer Bob Wickman (who's been brilliant since being acquired from the Indians) and an $8 Million team option picked up on staff ace John Smoltz. This pair of signings will allow the Braves to focus on possible off-season free-agent acquisitions without the spectre of these two important veterans hanging over them as a distraction. Another big bright spot for Atlanta heading into the offseason is the performance of young lefthanded starter Chuck James. At only 24 and in his first full-time year in the Majors, James has won 10 his 16 starts, has an excellent ERA of 3.62 and a very nice WHIP of 1.24 (James has only surrendered 90 hits in his 107 innings pitched). James has thrown 7 quality starts in his last 9 outings and this is his first start ever against Colorado. The Rockies are going with an even younger and less-experienced starter than James. In fact 22 year old righthander Juan Morillo has never thrown a pitch in the majors, and although he is a very hard thrower (high 90's fastball) he projects more as a reliever than as a starter and his performance in the minors and lack of experience (he has never pitched above AA level) do nothing to indicate that he is ready for this huge step up. Take the Braves. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
posted by phantom
Sept. 27 2006 1:53am -
0 likes
Services that Lost Big Sunday & Monday's Picks -
Last Monday Night
5 Services had Steelers or Steelers / Jaguars Over
Only Loosing Services that did not know.
Steelers Ben Roethlisberger had 104 Tempature
Services that Lost everything Sunday.
9/24
_____________________________________
100 % Loosers from Sunday
John Ryan ( 49 ers + 6 Points )
Philadelphia Eagles at San Francisco 49ers ( LOST )
Guaranteed Pick:
Game: Philadelphia Eagles at San Francisco 49ers Sep 24 2006 4:15PM
Prediction: San Francisco 49ers
Reason: Ai Simulator 10* graded NFC Conference DOG play of the Year on San Francisco 49ers - AiS shows an 88% probability that the 49ers will lose this game by 6 or fewer points and a 65% probability that they will win the game. This play ranks among the Top-10 highest graded plays ever produced by my AiS. The come from behind win led by QB Alex Smith serves to confirm that this team is on the rise and that OC Norv Turner has made huge strides with this unit over the past year. I really believe this team is set to make a run for the play-offs and no better way to reach that goal than to have a huge win against a perennial NFC East contender. With the loss of Jevon Kearse, the pass rush will be reduced to almost nothing. Yes, the other Eagles have had success sacking the QB, but that was in large part due to double teaming Kearse. 49er LT Jonas Jennings has dramatic improvement in the mobility of his sprained ankle and he could easily return Sunday. With Kearse now gone, the next best pass rusher is Howard, who will line up against Jennings. Look for the 49ers to use back-up TE Eric Johnson to help block Howard. This will also set-up pass plays to Johnson since he will be viewed as a none pass threat by the defense. On Offense the 49er running game is coming together in a big way led by Gore. With Alex Smith now experiencing that he can come from behind and that he can read NFL defenses well look for the 49ers to put together their best game in years. Are they all the way back to the 49er glory days? Not in the least, but against an Eagle squad still hung over from the embarrassing OT loss to the NYG and having to travel cross country, the 49ers should win this game. The grading is the final result of the AiS. The slight differences in the probabilities of ATS and SU wins are only shown as just 1 example of the many modules involved in the neural net. Differing probabilities do not make one play stronger than another. Remember always that the reason we are making this play is due to the AiS grading. The supplemental info, angles, and systems serve only to reinforce the grading.
STEVE SAUNDERS 5000* NFL LOCK
CAROLINA PANTHERS -3.5 Points ( LOST )
Panthers 26 Buccaneers 24
Steve Smith should be back today and I really feel he will give this team a much needed boost not just on offense but to the whole team as well.
Plus, with Carolina being 0-2, they really need to win this game and even though the Bucs themselves are 0-2, I feel as if they are 0-2 because they are a bad team.
Carolina is 0-2 because their best player on offense was out the first two games.
Simms has looked awful the first two weeks of the season and to be honest, I just want to force the bad QB's on the Bucs to beat a good defense like Carolina's. I don't think they can do it and that's why Carolina should easily roll to their first win of the season.
2000* NFL Play
Baltimore Ravens -7 ( LOST )
Ravens 15 Browns 14
I really don't like to lay a TD on the road but to be honest,
I just don't see how the Browns are going to score more than 7 points in this game.
Not against that Ravens defense with the way they are playing right now.
Baltimore's offense is showing some pop under McNair
and that defense is probably the best in the entire league.
Don't expect this team to score on the Ravens.
A final score around 24-7 wouldn't surprise me at all.
Play Baltimore - 7 Points
LT Profits
3* Steelers (GOW) Steelers - 2 Points ( LOST )
Steelers 20 Bengals 28
2* Bills Bills - 5.5 Points ( LOST )
Bills 20 Jets 28
NSA
20 Units Buffalo Bills - 5.5 Points ( LOST )
Bills 20 Jets 28
Oddscracker
Pittsburgh Steelers (AFC GOM) Steelers - 2 Points ( LOST )
Steelers 20 Bengals 28
Matt River:
150 Carolina -3.5 Points ( LOST )
Panthers 26 Buccaneers 24
75 New England
50 Houston + 3.5 Points ( LOST )
Redskings 31 Texans 15
100 % Loosers from Sunday Rob House
Jaguars, Panthers & Ravens
3,000,000* Triple Your Wager AFC Game of the Year
3,000,000* Jacksonville Jaguars + 6.5 Points ( LOST )
Jaguars 14 Colts 21
500,000* Carolina Panthers -3.5 Points ( LOST )
Panthers 26 Buccaneers 24
500,000* Baltimore Ravens - 7 Points ( LOST )
Ravens 15 Cleveland Browns 14
100 % Loosers from Sunday Hammer
Under 43 Points ????? Over 71 Points
The Hammer Guaranteed Selections September 24, 2006
$30.00 Guaranteed:
YEA BABY! ANOTHER FOOTBALL WINNER
as our HUGE WINNER ON SYRACUSE
was just another feather in the HAMMERS HAY!
If you thought that was easy yesterday just wait until you get down on my
NFL OVER AND UNDER PLAY OF THE MONTH!
You can get this TOTALLY AWESOME WINNER today for just $30 and as always you are a winner or your not charged! 9/24/2006
NFL OVER AND UNDER PLAY OF THE MONTH
UNDER 43 NY Giants and Seattle 4:15 EST
Giants 30 Seahawks 42 ( SCORED 35 Seahawks Giants 3 HALF TIME )
LOST BIG 72 Points Scored On
( UNDER the TOTAL Game of the MONTH )
Grey Wolf Sports
GAME OF THE MONTH Carolina Panthers -3
Panthers -3.5 Points ( LOST )
Panthers 26 Buccaneers 24
______________________________________
JB Sports Is Very Reliable 2 Seasons ago
Swept NFL in the Month of December
JB Sports Won all 3 Plays in NCAA
______________________________________
100 % Loosers from Sunday JB Sports
Sunday ( O WINS 3 LOSSES )
Panthers -3.5 Points ( LOST )
Panthers 26 Buccaneers 24
Lions -6.5 Points ( LOST )
Lions 24 Packers 31
Giants + 3.5 Points ( LOST )
Giants Seahawks
Wildcat
10* Chicago Bears - 3.5 Points ( LOST )
Vikings 16 Bears 19
Guaranteed
4* Panthers -3.5 Points ( LOST )
Panthers 26 Buccaneers 24
Scott Spreitzer
TKO GOM Arizona Cardinals - 4.5 Points ( LOST )
Cardinals 14 Rams 16
100 % Loosers from Sunday Kelso Sturgeon BIG PARLEY WINNER
10* Miami - 10.5 Points ( LOST )
Dolphins 13 Titans 10
10* Baltimore NFL AFC Parlay of Year ( LOST )
Ravens - 7 Points
Ravens 14 Browns 14
Also Kelso Sturgeon Other Plays
10* Arizona - 4.5 Points ( LOST )
Cardinals 14 Rams 16
10* Detroit - 6.5 Points ( LOST )
Lions 24 Packers 31
3* Jaxenville Jaguars + 6.5 Points ( LOST )
Colts 21 Jaguars 14
posted by phantom
Sept. 27 2006 1:55am -
0 likes
power sweep
4 air force
3 ucla
3 ariz st
2 kentucky
2 louisiana lft
underdog unlv
4 new england
3 dallas
2 carolina
2 houston
3 lions under44
3 falcons over 41'
3 colts over45
2 bengals under 45'
2 ravens under 33
posted by phantom
Sept. 27 2006 2:28pm -
0 likes
Marc Lawrence
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AWESOME ANGLE
OF THE WEEK
Marc's Awesome Angle Of The Week
Wins 67% In PLAYBOOK Last Four Years!
ATS W-L Record
Since 1980:
16-3
(84%)
ROAD
LEARY PLAY AGAINST any
3*> .500 college football team
in Game 5 in their fi rst road
game of the season if they
are off a SUATS win.
GA TECH, PURDUE & TENNESSEE
T R I V I A T E A S E R
5 BEST BET
Whether Kansas opts for freshman QB Kerry Meier (missed
last game with sore shoulder) or senior Adam Barmann
(former starter fi lled in last week), it won't much matter
here today. That's because Big Red has had this game
circled in Red ever since last year's 25-point whack job in
Lawrence. It snapped a 25-game win streak by the Huskers
in the series and, best of all, they've got personnel on hand
to do something about it. Nebraska is 18-4 ATS in its last
22 SU revenge wins, including 12-1 ATS against a winning
opponent. They've also balanced their offense in '06,
averaging 224 yards on the ground and 284 yards in the air.
Coupled with the 6th best defense in the land it looks like a
long day in Lincoln for the Wildcats today. Cream Corn.
4 BEST BET
While watching the Purdue-Minnesota game last week, we
came to this conclusion. Had Minnesota chosen to pass more,
the Gophers might have won by 30. Purdue's secondary, rife
with young untested players, really has no clue. Notre Dame
has this guy named Quinn and we can tell you for certain
that if we noticed the weakness in the Boiler secondary, so
did Brady's coach. Even though Purdue is a mission dog, we
won't stoke the boiler today. Not only does 'Due fi t into a
solid 'play against' situation in our Awesome Angle (page 2),
they're also a 4-0 Game 5 road dog (see Marc's BETCHA DIDN'T
KNOW for more). Yes, the Irish were blessed last week. With
that, look for the Rosary Beads to pass the Boilers silly. All in
the name of – a Best Bet!
NOTRE DAME over Purdue by 27
GAME OF THE WEEK UPSET UPSET
TEXAS A&M over Texas Tech by 8
If Texas A&M didn't have this game circled in red when the
season began, it could only be because the Aggies preferred
their own burgundy. Tech whipped A&M 56-17 in Lubbock
last year leaving a bitter taste in the mouths of the Aggies.
Texas Tech has covered 19 of the last 26 and 10 of the last 12
in this series. Still, a bad Aggie team beat a really good Texas
Tech team here two years ago. One would be foolish to think
that it can't happen again. As we mentioned earlier, the Red
Raiders are black-and-white when home-and-away. Look for
the series host to improve to 7-1 ATS here today.
3 BEST BET
After four straight home games, Tennessee fi nally hits the
road, a place that has not been kind to Volunteer backers.
The Orange is 11-20-2 ATS in its last 33 tries as road favorites
of -9 or more and has not covered in that role against nonconference
opposition since at least 1980 (0-7 ATS). Memphis
has covered six in a row in the series and, of course, regards
this as its most important game of the year. Just as important
are the next three games on the Vols' slate, namely Georgia,
Alabama & South Carolina, revenge games all. Our Awesome
Angle concurs – take the points
Tennessee over MEMPHIS by 3
posted by phantom
Sept. 27 2006 2:29pm -
0 likes
OCTOBER 2, 2006 4 BEST BET 3 BEST BET 5 BEST BET
COLLEGE
NFL
NFL TOTALS
3*MEMPHIS...............4* NOTRE DAME .................5*..NEBRASKA
3*CHIEFS................. 4*BEARS ...........................5*..RAVENS
3*Chiefs..UNDER............ 4* Texans OVER ................5*...Bears OVER
posted by phantom
Sept. 27 2006 2:29pm -
0 likes
sTRAGETIC SPORTS
HES 6-0 in this contest..hes the leader so far with Tom Freese
he has Texas Tech
Tom Freese is also 6-0
he has the JAGS
this is Wiseguys Contest
posted by phantom
Sept. 27 2006 2:30pm -
0 likes
THE GOLDSHEET
SUNDAY, OCTOBER 1
Indianapolis 31 - NY JETS 20--Indy was banged up going into game vs. physical Jacksonville last week (S Sanders, PK Vinatieri, others DNP), so can't blame Colts for overlooking lightly-regarded (but 2-1) Jets. But must be mindful that Indy's skill players pretty healthy and Colts are 7-0-1 in 2005-06 as a road favorite, including victory on this field vs. NYG. Jets still don't run well, but with heady Chad Pennington back running offense, they have gone "over" all three TY!
(03-INDIANAPOLIS -6 38-31...SR: Indianapolis 39-27)
BALTIMORE 19 - San Diego 10--After "cruises" in first two NFL starts, complete with mai tais whipped up by Oakland and Tennessee, S.D. QB Philip Rivers likely to discover his "vacation" is over vs. rugged Baltimore defense that is +10 in TOs and has given up only 20 points first 3 games. In addition to a now-healthy Ray Lewis, Ravens getting a big boost from OLB Adalius Thomas & Terrell Suggs (back to DE TY in 4-3; check status). Will note S.D. is 13-2-2 on road last 2+Ys (but 8-0-2 as dog). Ravens "under" 12 of last 18 at home.
(03-Baltimore P 24-10...SR: EVEN 2-2)
BUFFALO 20 - Minnesota 13--Both teams bobbled away leads last week, with J.P. Losman (328 YP vs. Jets) losing 2 fumbles and 1 int., while that dropped handoff by Vikes in waning minutes opened the doors for desperate Bears. The ball control provided by Willis McGahee (150 YR last week; 311 for season) might turn out to be the edge in this one. Minny offense generating few big plays.
(02-Buffalo +4' 45-39 (OT)...SR: Minnesota 7-3)
Dallas 27 - TENNESSEE 13--Whether Terrell Owens plays or not (HC Parcells says T.O. might return just 12 days after finger fracture surgery), will side with defensively superior Cowboys vs. Kerry Collins (6 ints.)-Vince Young QB duo. Thanks to Owens' balky hamstring, Dallas backup WRs got lots of reps with first team in preseason. With Titans vulnerable vs. run, Drew Bledsoe should have numerous opportunities to go downfield without facing overpowering pressure in the pocket. (02-DALLAS +3 21-13...SR: Dallas 6-5)
KANSAS CITY 30 - San Francisco 16--Damon Huard (67.4%, 1 TD, no ints.) has proven to be an adequate substitute steward of the K.C. offense so far, as Trent Green (check status) might sit out one more game due to his concussion in opener. And Huard still has more experience than S.F. starter Alex Smith. Niner RB Frank Gore (except for fumbles) has turned out to be an early fantasy surprise, but Chiefs' Larry Johnson looking for a big game after slow start (for him) at 194 YR first two games behind two new OTs.
(02-SAN FRANCISCO -6 17-13...SR: San Francisco 6-3)
CAROLINA 20 - New Orleans 16--It's usually "useful" to remember that the Panthers (even with Steve Smith back) make a much better underdog than favorite (0-2 in role TY). And even though Saints' OLmen not very long in the tooth, they have proven to be very "willing," knowing they have big-play RBs McAllister & Bush to block for, plus a heady QB in Drew Brees who gets rid of the ball quickly to an underrated WR corps. Saints have covered four straight visits to Charlotte!
(05-N. Orl. 23-CAR. 20...N.20-19 C.25/141 N.33/101 C.19/30/1/209 N.18/24/0/190 N.2 C.1)
(05-Car. 27-N. ORL. 10...C.19-15 C.43/161 N.22/94 N.17/34/4/183 C.13/21/1/165 C.1 N.2)
(05-New Orleans +7 23-20, Carolina -9' 27-10 at Baton Rouge...SR: Carolina 12-10)
ATLANTA 30 - Arizona 17--Wouldn't want to be going against rugged-running Falcs at home, especially if they dropped that big Monday nighter at New Orleans. Cards having problems with DB injuries, and Kurt Warner (8 total fumbles TY, 3 ints. last week) frequently gives up the ball when pressured, which is the style of upgraded Atlanta defense (CBs DeAngelo Hall & Jason Webster 2 ints. each in first two games). BIG rush edge for Falcs. (04-ATLANTA -10 6-3...SR: Arizona 13-9)
Miami 21 - HOUSTON 20--Houston, which gave up a record 22 straight completions vs. Washington last week to start the game, arguably the worst defense in league right now. Question is whether Miami (only 12 ppg TY; 1-13 last 14 when favored) is equipped to exploit the situation down two starters in Dolphin OL and with Daunte Culpepper struggling to regain his pre-injury form. At least David Carr (6 TDs, only 1 int.) showing development. (03-Houston +14 21-20...SR: Houston 1-0)
ST. LOUIS 27 - Detroit 14--Former Ram mentor Mike Martz--now off. coord. of the Lions--returns to St. Louis to take on his old team. While he knows his former offensive players well, he might not recognize the new Ram defense that features more speed and pressure (+7 in TOs) under new def. coord. Jim Haslett (previous HC of N.O.). Meanwhile, Detroit defense has resembled a sieve past two games, giving up 7 TDs without an interception. (03-DETROIT +11' 30-20...SR: St. Louis 40-38-1)
OVER the Total New England 28 - CINCINNATI 27--With Pats in angry mood after their home loss vs. Denver, expect N.E. to come out in attack mode vs. Cincy team celebrating its payback win at Pittsburgh but still missing key LBs Thurman and Pollack. Bengals only 3-7 last 10 as home favorite, while resilient Pats (no back-to-back losses since 2002) "over" 17 of last 23 on road. Carson Palmer 4 TDP last week, but also 6 sacks and 2 interceptions. High-scoring Cincinnati 5-0-1 "over" last 6 at home and 8-2-1 last 11 overall. Brady & Palmer get into a shootout.
(04-NEW ENGLAND -11 35-28...SR: New England 11-8)
Jacksonville 20 - WASHINGTON 10--Don't look for Mark Brunell (record 22 straight completions to open game last week in Houston) to have a such a pleasant day against rabid Jacksonville defense, which has held powerful Steelers and Colts to a total of 2 offensive TDs last two games! Meanwhile, Washington defense has lacked much pass rush (only 3 sacks TY), which means opportunities for Jag QB Leftwich's "big gun" and emerging rookie RB Maurice Hones-Drew (103 YR, 4 recs. last week).
(02-JACKSONVILLE -2' 26-7...SR: Washington 2-1)
Cleveland 24 - OAKLAND 16--Charlie Frye (8 career starts) finally enjoys the upper hand in experience vs. the opposing QB, as counterpart second-year man Andrew Walter gets his first career start. Walter and his shuffled OL were overwhelmed when the former ASU star entered off the bench last game in Baltimore, with Walter suffering 6 sacks, 3 ints., 1 fumble and a safety. He still has Randy Moss and LaMont Jordan to help him vs. banged-up Browns, who eked out a victory on this field LY.
(05-Cle. 9-OAK. 7...O.16-13 O.31/143 C.25/71 C.21/32/1/184 O.14/30/1/113 C.1 O.0)
(05-Cleveland +3 9-7...SR: Oakland 11-6)
*CHICAGO 23 - Seattle 10--Important game for Chicago if it is to prove there's a new "sherriff" in the NFC in 2006. Bears thought they were on their way to Seattle for an NFC title clash LY until they were dumped at home by Steve Smith and the Panthers in Divisional playoffs. Now, they catch Seahawks in the Windy City with G Steve Hutchinson gone and several members of Seattle OL banged up. That is not good when playing rowdy Chicago defense at Solder Field, where 8 of last 10 foes have been held to single digits. TV--NBC (03-SEATTLE -11 24-17...SR: Seattle 6-2)
MONDAY, OCTOBER 2
*PHILADELPHIA 28 - Green Bay 23--With Packer offense showing plenty of fight and firepower (58 pts.) past two games, G.B. has a bit of renewed spirit now that it has garnered its first victory and things don't look so bleak. Ahman Green (63 YR, 68 YR) again helping Brett Favre in backfield, while Philly defense suffering some early-season hits (check status of S Dawkins & CBs Hood & Lewis). Donovan McNabb (7 TDs, 1 int.) is "back" after LY's injuries. Check to see if speed target Donté Stallworth (hamstring; DNP last week) is back. CABLE TV--ESPN
(05-PHIL. 19-G. Bay 14...G.18-15 P.34/180 G.30/128 G.15/33/2/164 P.12/28/0/84 P.1 G.3)
(05-PHILADELPHIA -4' 19-14...SR: Green Bay 22-14)
MONDAY NIGHT HISTORY
Green Bay and Philadelphia on Monday Night
Green Bay is 14-16 straight-up and 17-12-1 vs. the pointspread on the road on Monday Night Football;
10-7-1 straight-up and 9-9 vs. the pointspread at home on Monday Night Football.
Philadelphia is 13-10 straight-up and 14-9 vs. the pointspread at home on Monday Night Football;
9-10 straight-up and 11-8 vs. the pointspread on the road on Monday Night Football.
HEAD-TO-HEAD MEETINGS SINCE 2004 (not necessarily Mon. night)
2005 Reg. Seas.: Philadelphia -4½ beat Green Bay 19-14 at Philadelphia
2004 Reg. Seas.: Philadelphia -6 beat Green Bay 47-17 at Philadelphia
PERFORMANCE BREAKDOWN (1993-06)
Favorites vs. Pointspread
Favored by 1-6½ points Won 78, Lost 83, Tied 3
Favored by 7 points or more Won 28, Lost 24, Tied 2
Total Favorites Won 106, Lost 107, Tied 5
Home Teams vs. Pointspreads
Home Team Favorite Won 76, Lost 81, Tied 5
Home Team Underdog Won 26, Lost 29
Home Team at Pick Won 1, Lost 0
Total Home Team Won 103, Lost 110, Tied 5
2006 MONDAY NIGHT RESULTS
Minnesota +4½ beat Washington 19-16 at Washington u36
San Diego -3 beat Oakland 27-0 at Oakland u43
Jacksonville +2½ beat Pittsburgh 9-0 u37½
NFL KEY RELEASES
ATLANTA by 14 over New Orleans
BALTIMORE by 9 over San Diego
CHICAGO by 13 over Seattle
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
OVER THE TOTAL in the New England-Cincinnati game
2006 NFL RATINGS & POINTSPREAD RECORDS
All teams measured from the TOP RATING of zero. HFV - Home Field Value. Deduct allotted points for HFV from rating of Home Team. R - Current Power Rating. SUR - Straight-Up Won-Loss Record. PSR - Won-Loss Record vs. Pointspread. O/U-Total Over-under record (number of games that went over-number of games that went under). PF & PA - Average Points Scored For and Against. Results at Home listed under Home. Results on Road listed under Away. Teams with a bold + or - have had their ratings moved 2 points or more for the better (+) or worse (-) since last week.
TOTAL HOME AWAY
TEAM R HFV SUR PSR O/U PF-PA PSR PF-PA PSR PF-PA
Arizona 10 3 1-2 0-3 1-2 19-21 0-2 24-22 0-1 10-21
Atlanta 4 3 2-0 2-0 0-2 17-5 1-0 14-3 1-0 20-6
Baltimore 6 4 3-0 2-1 1-2 23-7 1-0 28-6 1-1 21-7
Buffalo 9 2 1-2 2-1 1-2 18-18 0-1 20-28 2-0 17-13
Carolina 4 3 1-2 0-3 1-2 15-20 0-1 6-20 0-2 20-20
Chicago 4 3 3-0 2-1 1-1 26-8 1-0 34-7 1-1 23-8
Cincinnati 3 3 3-0 3-0 2-1 28-16 1-0 34-17 2-0 26-15
Cleveland 13 2 0-3 1-2 1-2 15-23 1-1 14-17 0-1 17-34
Dallas 4 3 1-1 1-1 1-0 22-17 1-0 27-10 0-1 17-24
Denver 5 5 2-1 1-2 0-3 12-10 0-1 9-6 1-1 14-13
Detroit 13 2 0-3 1-2 2-1 12-25 1-1 15-20 0-1 7-34
Green Bay+ 13 1 1-2 1-2 2-1 19-28 0-2 14-30 1-0 31-24
Houston 15 2 0-3 0-3 2-1 16-33 0-2 13-28 0-1 24-43
Indianapolis 0 3 3-0 3-0 1-2 30-20 2-0 32-19 1-0 26-21
Jacksonville 4 3 2-1 2-1 1-2 16-13 2-0 17-9 0-1 14-21
Kansas City 7 2 0-2 1-1 0-2 8-16 0-1 10-23 1-0 6-9
Miami 7 1 1-2 0-3 1-2 12-18 0-2 10-13 0-1 17-28
Minnesota 7 2 2-1 3-0 0-2 17-16 2-0 16-16 1-0 19-16
New England 3 3 2-1 1-2 1-2 17-17 0-2 13-17 1-0 24-17
New Orleans 10 2 2-0 2-0 1-1 27-21 - - 2-0 27-21
NY Giants 6 3 1-2 1-2 2-1 27-31 0-1 21-26 1-1 30-33
NY Jets 9 2 2-1 2-1 3-0 23-20 0-1 17-24 2-0 26-18
Oakland 17 2 0-2 0-2 1-1 3-28 0-1 0-27 0-1 6-28
Philadelphia+ 4 3 2-1 2-1 2-1 29-21 0-1 24-30 2-0 31-17
Pittsburgh- 4 3 1-2 1-2 2-1 16-18 1-1 24-23 0-1 0-9
St. Louis 9 3 2-1 2-1 0-3 16-15 1-0 18-10 1-1 15-17
San Diego 3 3 2-0 2-0 1-1 34-4 1-0 40-7 1-0 27-0
San Francisco 14 2 1-2 2-1 2-1 24-28 1-1 22-26 1-0 27-34
Seattle 3 5 3-0 2-1 1-2 24-15 2-0 32-20 0-1 9-6
Tampa Bay 9 2 0-3 1-2 1-2 9-22 1-1 12-27 0-1 3-14
Tennessee 13 2 0-3 1-2 2-1 11-25 0-1 16-23 1-1 9-27
Washington 7 3 1-2 1-2 1-1 19-20 0-1 16-19 1-1 21-21
posted by phantom
Sept. 27 2006 2:31pm -
0 likes
The Pinnacle Pulse - Sept. 27th, 2006
The Inside Wagering Line From Pinnacle Sports Book By Simon Noble
Until recently, sharp players routinely turned a profit using very little handicapping and simply playing underdogs. Blindly betting every home dog of +7.5 or more during NFL season became a staple that regularly cashed at the window. Then this traditional handicapping technique stopped working to the point that these “bread and butterâ€
posted by phantom
Sept. 27 2006 7:55pm -
0 likes
mark lawrence playbook
5 BEST BET
A matchup of the league's top two ranked defenses, this
game just might be a preview of a playoff game later this
season. San Diego is undefeated and has numbers galore
in this game, this season and in the history book. Baltimore
has equally impressive stats, undefeated as well, with a 9-3
ATS log at home against the AFC West. What we really like
about the Black Birds, though, is their new-found swagger.
Behind Steve McNair the offense has become legit while the
defense is showing signs of the 2000 Super Bowl edition.
Look for 'Rest to Make Rust' for the invading Chargers as
Brian Billick improves to 13-3 ATS at home off a win against
a non-division foe. Bolts short out.
BALTIMORE over San Diego by 10
3 BEST BET
The Chiefs desperately need a break out game to get their
season on the right track and this may be it. KC is 12-4-1 ATS
in its last 17 October games and 12-2 ATS in game three of
the season. San Francisco is a perfect 0-8 ATS against nondivision
foes who are off BB losses and 2-8 ATS on the road
between home games. The Chief defense hasn't played that
badly this season, 7th ranked in the league. They'll get after
Alex Smith right from the get go. Chiefs coach Herm Edwards
is 5-1 ATS in his NFL career with rest, including 4-0 ATS when
playing off a loss. The situation, and the price makes, this a
Wilbur Harrison special.
KANSAS CITY over San Francisco by 16
Indianapolis over NY JETS by 7
Knee-jerk reaction would be to fade the Colts off back-to-back
division wins with another division game on deck. We can't do that
as Indianapolis has this remarkable record as a non-division road
favorite (11-1 ATS last dozen tries) and they have this remarkable
quarterback who seems completely unfazed by anything any
defense throws at him. For sure, Peyton Manning is tough to beat.
He is not unbeatable, though. He's only covered once in his last fi ve
cracks at the Jets and, on the road in the middle of two division
home games, might be vulnerable again. We said Might Be!
Minnesota over BUFFALO by 1
Buffalo catches Minnesota in its most vulnerable situation. The
Vikings are 1-8 ATS on the road between home games and 1-7
ATS as dogs of +6 or less off a division home game. Buffalo, on the
other hand, is 8-2 ATS at home against non-division teams when
the Bills are off BB division games. Those are the numbers. Here
is the reality. Minnesota has a QB who knows how to win on the
road. Buffalo's Losman is still learning how to win.
Dallas over TENNESSEE by 6
There can be no logical reason to play Tennessee until the Titans
get their problems straightened out and that may not happen this
season. Yes, the battles the Dolphins down to the wire but Miami
has holes of its own. Dallas has corrected a few of its problems
and certainly seems like the more talented team here. The fact
that the Cowboys are 1-9 ATS in their last ten tries as non-division
road favorites and 2-14 ATS on the road after a win of 14 or more
shouldn't diminish that idea. Come to think of it, it does, though.
Doesn't it?
4 BEST BET
After waltzing through the pathetic NFC North for three
consecutive weeks, the Bears get to see what the real NFL
looks like. Who knows, Chicago might be able to handle it.
The Bears are 7-2 ATS against the NFC West and have covered
three in a row against the Seahawks. Seattle doesn't handle
this role very well. The Gulls are 4-15 ATS on the October road
against winning teams. And don't forget, defending Super
Bowl losers are just 24-50-3 ATS on the non-division road the
following season as favorites or dogs of 3 or less points. Lovie
numbers, wouldn't you agree?
CHICAGO over Seattle by 13
PHILADELPHIA over Green Bay by 10
Philly has covered 10 of the last 13 and six of the last seven against
the Pack. In fact, the Eagles are a perfect 6-0 ATS against Green
Bay's division in their last six tries while the Packers are 1-9 ATS as
road dogs vs Philadelphia's group. The good news for Philly fans is
that Any Reid is a respectable 8-5 SUATS under the Monday Night
lights. The bad news is he is 0-4 SUATS in his last four tries in these
games. On the fl ip side, the Packers are 6-1 ATS in their last seven
Monday night travelers. Your call.
CAROLINA over New Orleans by 10
The Panthers have been waiting since the fi rst week of the season
to wash the taste of that Atlanta home loss out of the mouths of
their fans. New Orleans, with two road wins already and off the
most emotional game in their NFL history, is ripe for the picking.
Steve Smith is back to wreak havoc in the Saint secondary while
the Panther defense chases Drew Brees all over the state. Carolina,
if not too pricey, seems like the value here.
ATLANTA over Arizona by 11
We've been doing this stuff for three decades and we've never
seen anything as ridiculous as the Atlanta running game. The
Falcons had 558 ground yards in their fi rst two games, an average
of 279 yards per game. To put that into perspective, in the 598
games since the start of last season, only one team other than
Atlanta had 279 or more ground yards in a single game. Arizona
is 4-18 ATS in its last 22 non-division games when allowing 150
or more rushing yards and 1-7 ATS away off a division hoster. Lay
it if you play it.
Miami over HOUSTON by 6
Miami has an awful team trend to overcome here. The Dolphins
are 2-15 ATS as favorites off BB home games and, with the way
Daunte Culpepper is playing, might extend that record today.
Houston hasn't done much this year and the Texans don't seem
to have the weapons to beat anybody good. We're not saying the
Dolphins are good. They haven't beat anybody good either. You
likely won't see us anywhere near this game.
ST LOUIS over Detroit by 3
Throw all the record books out the window when the Lions go
on the road. The only thing you need to know is that Detroit has
won fi ve of its last 41 road games. While they have run the ball
effectively, they are still in quest of their maiden win this season.
They're also 15-4 ATS anywhere off back-to-back division games,
and 5-0 ATS as an October dog against an opponent off a SU dog
win. With the Rams 0-5 ATS home between road games, 'roadwin-
6' would not surprise.
CINCINNATI over New England by 4
New England has been the best team in the NFL over the past four
years but there are signs of decline in Foxboro. Nothing big, mind
you, but the little things that made the Patriots special are not
all there anymore. They lost a lot off talent during the off-season
and were stuffed on their home fi eld by the Broncos last week
Cincinnati is on the way up. The Bengals, when healthy, have as
many offensive weapons as any team in the league and their
defense is getting better by the week. Cincy is 7-0-1 ATS against
New England. The only thing tempering a Bengal ticket is their
playoff revenge win over division-rival Super Bowl champion
Steelers last Sunday.
Jacksonville over WASHINGTON by 3
Brutal is about the only word that can describe the beginning of
Jacksonville's season. The Jags had Dallas and Pittsburgh at home
in games one and two, then travelled to Indianapolis to face their
third playoff team in a row. How much can the gutty Cats have
left for the win hungry Redskins. We do know they have played
with aplomb in non-division games under head coach Jack Del
Rio (20-12-1 ATS, including 20-8-1 ATS as a favorite or dog of 4
or less points).
OAKLAND over Cleveland by 3
Cleveland came close bot was nipped at the wire by a 52-yard fi eld
goal last week by the Ravens. As a result, the winner of this game
will pop fi nally their cherry. The Brownies are 7-22 SU in its last 29
games while Oakland is 11-35 SU in its last 46 games. Neither set
of numbers instills confi dence in our handicapping team. Should
the Raiders end up the dog we note that winless puppies in this
league are 12-5 ATS when playing with rest against an opponent
off a loss. Keep that in mind.
posted by phantom
Sept. 28 2006 2:51pm -
0 likes
HQ Report
HQ UNDERDOG PLAY of the WEEK:
TROY (+) over UAB
Last week HQ Underdog POW Hawaii(+14)won 34-41
TOTAL RECALL OVER / UNDER:
Wyoming vs Syracuse PLAY UNDER
A.T.S. (Angles, Trends & Systems):
NOTRE DAME over Purdue
Visiting Team is 5- 9 ATS the last 14 years
Last week Air Force Won
NFL FOOTBALL SELECTIONS
5* COLTS over Jets by 17
last week 5* Bengals Won
Total Recall Over / Under:
49ers versus Chiefs PLAY OVER
Super System Line:
CARDINALS (+) over Falcons
posted by phantom
Sept. 28 2006 2:55pm -
0 likes
Sports Marketwatch – NFL Week 4
Recapping Last Week
The pendulum swung the sportsbook’s way. Favorable outcomes in the Sunday Night and Monday Night’s games ensured a positive weekend. All sportsbooks reported a profitable NFL Week 3. “Had Minnesota won outright it would have been a lot sweeter, but at this point we’re just glad we finally stopped the bleeding,â€
posted by phantom
Sept. 29 2006 4:05pm -
0 likes
Gator Report
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Each week during the Football Season we provide Trends and Angles for some of the weekends premier match ups. Here are the NFL Monday Night Trends and Angles;
NFL Week 4 Monday Night Trends & Angles
Game: Green Bay @ Philadelphia
Line: Philadelphia -11.5 (48.5)
Trends/Angles:
GB is 0-6 ats their last 6 versus Philly. GB is 8-0 ats the week after having at least 300 yards passing. GB is 6-0 ats as a road dog of 7 or more versus a team with more wins. GB has covered 8 of their last 13 as a dog on MNF. GB 5-1 ats in 2nd of B2B road games. GB 5-1 ats as road dogs of 7 or more. GB 1-9 ats as road dogs versus NFC East. 3-10 ats as dogs with non-division revenge. Philly is 0-7 ats versus any team with fewer wins off a straight up win. Philly is 0-6 ats on turf after a straight up win. Philly is 10-3 ats as home favorites on MNF. Philly 6-0 ats versus NFC North. Philly is 10-1 ats in 1st of B2B home games. Philly is 0-4 straight up and ats their last 4 Monday Night games.
MNF Systems:
"Play Against" any MNF team that has allowed 24+ points in each of it's last 2 games (37-15-1 ATS 71% since 1989) Play Against: Green Bay
"Play Against" any NFL Dog of 10 or more on Monday Night Football (11-4 ATS 73% since 1996/ 1-14 s/u and 5-10 o/u) Play Against: Green Bay
posted by phantom
Oct. 2 2006 3:04pm -
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docs
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2-1 yesterday + 5*
3 Unit Play. #128 Take Under 48 in Green Bay @ Philadelphia (Monday 8:30 pm ESPN) The Packers got back on track last week and this number is too inflated to see if the Eagles can cover. QB McNabb has been one of the most impressive players thus far into the young season and look for him to have a solid game against the Packers. Both teams need to concentrate on defense after allowing numerous points in their first two games. Phily was way ahead last week before putting in their reserves and letting the 49ers score a few meaningless touchdowns. This will be a more competitive game and thus the defense will remain strong throughout. Philadelphia 27, Green Bay 14
posted by phantom
Oct. 2 2006 3:05pm -
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Pointwise phone plays
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3* philly
__________________
posted by phantom
Oct. 2 2006 3:05pm -
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Gold Sheet
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NEWSLETTER PLAYS
*PHILADELPHIA 28 - Green Bay 23--With Packer offense showing plenty of fight and firepower (58 pts.) past two games, G.B. has a bit of renewed spirit now that it has garnered its first victory and things don't look so bleak. Ahman Green (63 YR, 68 YR) again helping Brett Favre in backfield, while Philly defense suffering some early-season hits (check status of S Dawkins & CBs Hood & Lewis). Donovan McNabb (7 TDs, 1 int.) is "back" after LY's injuries. Check to see if speed target Donté Stallworth (hamstring; DNP last week) is back.
MARC LAWRENCE
PHILADELPHIA over Green Bay by 10
Philly has covered 10 of the last 13 and six of the last seven against
the Pack. In fact, the Eagles are a perfect 6-0 ATS against Green
Bay's division in their last six tries while the Packers are 1-9 ATS as
road dogs vs Philadelphia's group. The good news for Philly fans is
that Any Reid is a respectable 8-5 SUATS under the Monday Night
lights. The bad news is he is 0-4 SUATS in his last four tries in these
games. On the fl ip side, the Packers are 6-1 ATS in their last seven
Monday night travelers. Your call.
ASA FIRST & gOAL
1* GB/PHI OVER 47
RED SHEET
PHILLY
posted by phantom
Oct. 2 2006 3:05pm -
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Pigspicks 2-0 Sunday
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EAGLES (H) (-11) over Packers - TRIPLE (3-units)
X’s and O’s – This is just a terrible match up all around for Green Bay. The only thing the Packers do well defensively is stop the run, but that's not how the Eagles make their money. Philly throws to score, and by doing so sets up the run. It's not a typical "our 7 against your 7" running game, but one that looks to get you out of a base scheme, and then run against favorable match ups they create. But the Packers are getting shredded through the air, and by far lesser passing teams than the Eagles. In week 2, they yielded 332 passing yards to the Saints, who have failed to break 180 in their other 2 games. And last week, they coughed up 320 yards, 8 ypp and 24 points to the Lions. The Lions, folks, as in Jon Kitna and company? You know, the ones who had scored a total of 13 points in 8 quarters of football up to that point? The Packers do not generate a consistent pass rush, and their safeties and linebackers either stink or are too young to do the job yet. The Eagles have the #1 passing offense in the NFL, and match up particularly well given Green Bay's weaknesses. Westbrook out of the backfield and LJ Smith on crossing routes creates major stress on the safeties and LB's. And that's going to almost eliminate double coverage as an option. Look, you know I'm not a pinball-football guy by nature, but the Eagles should be open all day, and even McNabb will hit them in the hands occasionally. The Packers have given up an NFL high 20 explosive plays in the passing game (over 20 yards). That total will rise considerably Monday Night.
Unfortunately for Brett, it's worse on the other side of the ball. Green Bay has serious issues at the O-line, with two rookie guards and a newbie at center. Now, this shows up in 2 ways for the Packers. The run game has been virtually non- existent. In his last 2 games Ahman Green has averaged 52 yards rushing and just 2.7 yards per carry (ypc). That'll get a quarterback killed in this league. The other place is shows up is Brett's average per completion, which was hovering around the 5.7 range before the Lion's game. He would love to work deeper down the field, but here simply isn't time. The Eagles lead the NFL with 16 sacks, and 14 of those have come from their D-Line! That's amazing, and highly unusual for Jim Johnson, who loves to blitz. But they'll get all the pressure they need from the front 4 on Monday, drop 7 into coverage, and wait for Brett to press his luck. Eventually, he'll get frustrated, and impatient, and the INT's will show up. The Eagles are banged up at CB, so they'll not shut Favre out. But old #4 will likely create as many scoring chances for Philly as he does his Packers. We could be in bed early on this one.
Eagles / Packers OVER- Double Play (2-Units) – It is an established fact that points come out of the passing game. When you've got the #1 passing offense at home on Monday night against the 31st ranked passing defense, you can reasonably expect a lot of points. The Eagles may get near the total by themselves, but I expect Green Bay to find the endzone as well. Philly is banged up in the secondary, and they have given up 30 points to the Giants and 24 points to the 49ers the last 2 weeks. The pressure the Eagles get on Favre could lead to a score or two of its own, but Brett will not be buried with unspent bullets in his gun. This one goes over.
posted by phantom
Oct. 2 2006 3:06pm -
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Dunkel Index - NFL
MONDAY, OCTOBER 2
Game 427-428: Green Bay at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Green Bay 120.994; Philadelphia 128.603
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 7 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 11; 48
Dunkel Pick: Green Bay (+11); Under
posted by phantom
Oct. 2 2006 3:11pm -
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Posted: Tue Oct 3rd 2006, 5:45am Post subject:
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THE GOLDSHEET
MONDAY, OCTOBER 2
*PHILADELPHIA 28 - Green Bay 23--With Packer offense showing plenty of fight and firepower (58 pts.) past two games, G.B. has a bit of renewed spirit now that it has garnered its first victory and things don't look so bleak. Ahman Green (63 YR, 68 YR) again helping Brett Favre in backfield, while Philly defense suffering some early-season hits (check status of S Dawkins & CBs Hood & Lewis). Donovan McNabb (7 TDs, 1 int.) is "back" after LY's injuries. Check to see if speed target Donté Stallworth (hamstring; DNP last week) is back. CABLE TV--ESPN
(05-PHIL. 19-G. Bay 14...G.18-15 P.34/180 G.30/128 G.15/33/2/164 P.12/28/0/84 P.1 G.3)
(05-PHILADELPHIA -4' 19-14...SR: Green Bay 22-14)
MONDAY NIGHT HISTORY
Green Bay and Philadelphia on Monday Night
Green Bay is 14-16 straight-up and 17-12-1 vs. the pointspread on the road on Monday Night Football;
10-7-1 straight-up and 9-9 vs. the pointspread at home on Monday Night Football.
Philadelphia is 13-10 straight-up and 14-9 vs. the pointspread at home on Monday Night Football;
9-10 straight-up and 11-8 vs. the pointspread on the road on Monday Night Football.
HEAD-TO-HEAD MEETINGS SINCE 2004 (not necessarily Mon. night)
2005 Reg. Seas.: Philadelphia -4½ beat Green Bay 19-14 at Philadelphia
2004 Reg. Seas.: Philadelphia -6 beat Green Bay 47-17 at Philadelphia
PERFORMANCE BREAKDOWN (1993-06)
Favorites vs. Pointspread
Favored by 1-6½ points Won 78, Lost 83, Tied 3
Favored by 7 points or more Won 28, Lost 24, Tied 2
Total Favorites Won 106, Lost 107, Tied 5
Home Teams vs. Pointspreads
Home Team Favorite Won 76, Lost 81, Tied 5
Home Team Underdog Won 26, Lost 29
Home Team at Pick Won 1, Lost 0
Total Home Team Won 103, Lost 110, Tied 5
posted by phantom
Oct. 2 2006 3:12pm -
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HERE A GOOD READ ON THE GAME....
Monday Night Football: Packers at Eagles
By Darcy MacRae
Sun, Oct 1, 2006
The matchup: Green Bay Packers at Philadelphia Eagles
The line: Eagles -11, total set at 48 ½
Changing of the guard
Long-time Packer William Henderson was bumped out of his starting fullback
spot by Brandon Miree this week.
If the 35-year-old dresses this week it will be as Miree`s backup. Miree`s
got youth on his side and Henderson's has experience in the Packers`
offensive zone-blocking scheme.
"It's a humbling experience, and hopefully, it keeps me hungry," Henderson
told reporters.
Henderson is the third oldest player on the Packers at 35, and he and Brett
Favre are the last remnants from the Packers' Super Bowl championship team
of 1996.
Eagles secondary hurting
Philadelphia cornerback Rod Hood and safety Sean Considine missed practice
on Saturday and their status for the game with Green Bay is unclear. Safety
Brian Dawkins did practice on Saturday after only taking part in limited
drills a day earlier, but he could also be a game-time decision on Monday.
The Eagles hoped cornerback Lito Sheppard would be able to return to the
team on Monday, but his status will also likely be a game-time decision. He
suffered a high ankle sprain against Houston on Sept. 10. He returned to
practice this week but isn`t 100 percent healthy.
"I don`t want to go out and re-injure myself if I am not ready," Sheppard
told reporters.
Favre not done yet?
The depleted Eagles secondary is music to Brett Favre's ears.
The Green Bay quarterback is coming off a game against Detroit in which he
threw for 340 yards and three touchdowns. An injury-plagued Eagles secondary
might be just what Favre needs to win his second straight quarterback FedEx
Express NFL Player of the Week award.
"The guy still has it," Packers tight end Bubba Franks told reporters
regarding Favre.
It was just a couple of weeks ago critics were calling for the Packers to
bench Favre, but for now he seems to have won most detractors over.
"They (the Packers) are asking a lot of Brett, and many people don`t know
that," Franks told reporters. "But he`s doing a great job of . communicating
to everybody."
Westbrook back to 100 percent?
Brian Westbrook missed all but one Eagles practice last week (he worked out
on Saturday) in an effort to lessen the swelling in his right knee. However,
reports out of Philadelphia say Westbrook is healthier now than he was in
the first three weeks of the season.
The Eagles hope it's the case, since they think Westbrook's versatility as a
rusher and as a receiver can help them further exploit a Packers' secondary
that hasn't exactly struck fear into opposing offenses.
"He`s going to carry the ball 15 or 16 times and have maybe 80 yards
receiving," Eagles linebacker Jeremiah Trotter told reporters regarding
Westbrook.
Stallworth probable
As if the Packers secondary didn't have enough to worry about already, it
looks as though Eagles receiver Donte Stallworth will return to the team for
the Monday Nighter.
Stallworth missed Philadelphia's game with San Francisco last week with a
hamstring spasm. But he returned to practice on Friday and told reporters it
would be "surprising" if he couldn't play against Green Bay.
Stallworth has 222 yards receiving in two games this season.
O-line woes
The Packers are wondering which offensive line will show up to face
Philadelphia on Monday night.
In their first two games this year, the Pack's O-line allowed five sacks.
However, last week against Detroit they kept Favre safe all day long and
didn't give up a single sack. It was the first time in 13 years that a Green
Bay offensive line didn't allow a single sack in a game.
The Packers will need this type of performance again against Philadelphia
since the Eagles lead the NFL with 16 sacks this year and have also forced
seven fumbles.
Weather
Although the Northeastern states received some bad weather on Sunday,
weather forecasts are calling for decent weather in Philadelphia on Monday
night.
There is just a 10 percent chance of precipitation, while the game time
temperature is expected to be in the low 60s (Fahrenheit). Maximum humidity
is expected to be 78 percent
posted by phantom
Oct. 2 2006 3:18pm -
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Packers pass defense defines tall total
By Jason Logan
Sun, Oct 1, 2006
The blame game has started in Green Bay for the Packers poor pass defense
with fingers pointing in every direction.
Some say it's mental mistakes, while others call out defensive coordinator
Bob Sanders. Even the Green Bay staff is getting in on the witch hunt,
tagging the Packers safeties as the scapegoats.
Whatever the culprit is, it has inflated Monday night's total to 48 ½.
"This is a very high total and the line definitely reflects the Green Bay
secondary," say bookmakers at Bodog.com. "If Philly executes like they have
thus far, expect them to eat up the Green Bay defense."
The Packers secondary has allowed 16 passes of 20 or more yards this season.
It also ranks second worst in the NFL in pass defense giving up an average
of 301 yards through the air. That puts Green Bay on pace to hand over 85 of
these big gains this season after only allowing 36 last year, the lowest
team total in over a decade.
"A lot of the stuff we`ve messed up on is communication," linebacker Nick
Barnett told the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. "Calling the wrong check.
Making the wrong checks. Thinking you`re supposed to cut when you`re not
supposed to cut."
These mental mistakes may be growing pains as the Packers adjust to Sanders`
matchup zone system. Sanders is using a similar defensive scheme as former
play caller Jim Bates, except for the use of the safeties in a deep cover-2.
"I think the game is being called pretty good with the exception of a couple
calls, a couple mistakes," said Barnett. "(Sanders) admits that himself.
Other than that, even with those calls, if you execute, I still think we can
stop the plays. Guys physically can cover guys. If we clean up the
communication, it`s all good."
The threat of the deep ball grows much bigger on Monday night when the
Packers secondary faces the Philadelphia Eagles and the league`s top passing
offense. Green Bay safeties Marquand Manuel and Nick Collins are already
under the microscope of cheese head faithful as they take on a passing
attack that averages over 307 yards a game.
"I think those two safeties are both bad cover guys," an unnamed Packers
personnel director told reporters. "Any inside passing game, any
post-corner, anything over the top they`re to help with, forget it. I don`t
know how the hell Manuel stays on the field. He`s not a good player at all."
Manuel and Collins will have to matchup with Eagles receiving threats Dante
Stallworth, Reggie Brown and tight end L.J. Smith as well as multitasking
running back Brian Westbrook. Philadelphia's passing offense has totaled 921
total yards in just three games this season behind the strong arm of
quarterback Donovan McNabb.
"The biggest issue for Green Bay will be containing Stallworth, Smith and
Brown," say Bodog.com's bookmakers. "If they open up too much, however,
Westbrook is a threat on both the receiving and rushing end of the game.
"If Green Bay takes some chances early, they may be able to get McNabb off
his game. Either way, though, the Green Bay offense will need to put points
on the board to stay in this contest."
The Packers are averaging just over 19 points per game while allowing
opponents to light up the scoreboard with 28 points against. Green Bay has
played over the total in two of three games this season, seeing totals of 34
½, 39 ½ and 40.
Oddsmakers have set Green Bay as an 11-point road underdog for Monday Night
Football.
posted by phantom
Oct. 2 2006 3:19pm -
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Nice work bro gl
posted by takis28
Oct. 2 2006 7:42pm