lets goooooooooooo!!!44 replies
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Sports Reporters..College
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BEST BET
KENT STATE over *BOWLING GREEN by 5
Here’s the whole story about last week’s Premier Players 3-Star “upsetâ€
posted by phantom
Sept. 19 2006 6:07pm -
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Sports Reporters
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7
COLLEGE FOO COLLEGE FOOTB TBALL ALL COLLEGE FOOTB TBALL ALL
UTAH over *SAN DIEGO STATE by 3
As advertised, San Diego State hung tough on the road in Big 10 country. The Aztecs’ offensive
line was not recruited to block in first year head coach Chuck Long’s power running
game and this showed versus a big Wisconsin defensive front. Utah’s defense is not quite as
good as the Badgers,’ but they are nearly as big. Utah’s offense is pass focused, which plays
into the strength of the Aztec defense. Totals players should be thinking UNDER for this
Mountain West clash. UTAH, 20-17.
*BOISE STATE over HAWAII by 10
Last week, Hawaii harassed UNLV QB Rocky Hinds with Jerry Glanville’s manic blitzing, but
that was after UNLV was down big, and Hinds had to air it out on each play while anchored
on a knee sprain. Boise St. will use their ground game to control the ball and keep it out of
the hands of Hawaii’s potent aerial attack.Warrior QB Colt Brennan will get his yards, but the
Broncos return all four in the secondary from a year ago and they have been to this rodeo
before. BOISE ST., 40-30.
*MICHIGAN STATE over NOTRE DAME by 1
So much for the national championship talk. Now Notre Dame pretty much has to run the
table and get some help to get back into the race. It won’t be easy to rebound here against
an MSU skill-position bunch and offensive line that had 488 yards of total offense in a single-
OT win over ND last season, and just torched Pitt’s decent defense. Notre Dame’s offense
should bounce back from last week’s subpar performance. Asking the ND defense to do the
same is a bit much. MICHIGAN STATE, 31-30.
USC over *ARIZONA by 22
The Trojans head to the Valley of the Sun to take on a Wildcat team that starts three freshman
on the offensive line. USC may be a bit dinged up within their defensive front seven, but
the talent and experience gap is far too wide. The Trojans know that they can throw the ball
effectively, so expect them to focus on the running game in order to get their young tailbacks
more experience as they kick off Pac-10 play. USC, 35-13.
OKLAHOMA STATE over *HOUSTON by 1
Houston has failed to cover four of its last five games played against BCS conference folks
the past three-plus seasons. OSU Cowboys are showing a better feel for their weapons in
Year Two of the Mike Gundy Era, yet Houston is more advanced in what they do. OKLAHOMA
STATE, 27-26.
*OREGON STATE over IDAHO by 23
Expect Oregon State’s defense to play with renewed fire after a debacle at Boise State in
Week 2, when they surrendered over 300 yards on the ground. Idaho and former Beaver
coach Dennis Erickson do not provide quite the same challenge. The Vandals like to throw it
early and often. Oregon St. is experienced in the secondary and their ball control offense
should ensure that the defense is well rested. OREGON STATE. 33-10.
*OKLAHOMA over MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE by 24
MTSU brings size on both the offensive and defensive fronts, but they lack the play-making
ability to keep this one interesting. Everything that Oklahoma does between now and October
7 is geared towards preparing for the Longhorns. That said, do not look for the Sooner
starters (cough – Adrian Peterson) to play after this one is in hand. OKLAHOMA, 34-10.
*MARYLAND over FLORIDA INT by 24
Maybe all those off-season staff moves caused to fluster the Maryland Terrapins as the ACC
crew’s failed to cover its first two on-the-board games and trailed West Virginia 28-0 last
week faster than you can say Boomer Esiason. Will a couple of extra prep days for the Terps
really matter here? Just keep in mind that coach Ralph Friedgen won/covered with his predecessor’s
players but he’s not winning with his recent recruits. MARYLAND, 34-10.
*AKRON over NORTH TEXAS by 18
North Texas eased back into its preferred non-conference mode by generating only 89 yards
of offense at Tulsa, and with the Sun Belt opener on deck, UNT likely will be content to go
through the motions again. Akron gave up a 100-yard INT return for a TD in its three-point
loss to Central Michigan. UNT's defense won't be able to create any such 14-point swings in
this one. AKRON, 31-13.
RECOMMENDED
*SOUTH CAROLINA over FLORIDA ATLANTIC by 39
Florida Atlantic’s schedule is brutal for a team in its sixth year of football and third in
Division I-A. South Carolina’s near loss to Wofford will only serve to fuel Steve Spurrier’s
flame. The Wofford game was an anomaly. The Gamecocks struggled against the Wofford
option attack (think Tennessee vs. Air Force, but with smaller players), started a new QB
who had not played the position in some time, and weathered the storm of former starter
Blake Mitchell having being thrown in jail. Spurrier will take this opportunity to bolster
the confidence of his team before they take on Auburn in a Thursday night match up.
Given the short week, expect the starters to come out and perform productively early,
paving the way for backups who are always eager to score. SOUTH CAROLINA, 42-3.
RECOMMENDED
*NEBRASKA over TROY by 29
Third consecutive paycheck game for Troy, which has done a good job hanging tough
against Florida State and Georgia Tech (tied entering fourth quarter). But there is only so
much in the emotional and physical reservoir. That well figures to run dry against a
Nebraska team that actually did OK defensively against USC, holding the Trojans to 399
yards total offense and only 28 points. That was only the second time since 2003 that
USC didn’t score at least 35 at home. Nebraska’s West Coast offense is farther along than
Troy’s new spread, and Troy’s JUCO transfer QB is not turning any corners against this
linebacking crew. Landlocked and pocket-shocked, he caves along with the rest as NU’s
size advantage up front wears down the visitor. NEBRASKA, 39-10.
*SMU over ARKANSAS STATE by 4
Two weeks to prep for this game should help an Arkansas State bunch that’s been a bit sloppy
with the ball and you folks should know SMU’s been a betting favorite just five times since
the start of the 2003 season. SMU, 24-20.
TUESDAY, SEPTEMBER 25
*CENTRAL FLORIDA over SOUTHERN MISS by 3
Fewer mistakes by UCF quarterback Steven Moffet – who channels Aaron Brooks -- would
allow RB Kevin Smith to be the controlling influence that George O’Leary desires. If someone
says “Southern Miss dominated UCF from start to finish in ’05,â€
posted by phantom
Sept. 19 2006 6:08pm -
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AN EARLY PEEK AT THIS WEEK'S TGS "LOOKING FOR AN ANGLE"
by Gary Olshan, Chief Analyst
Virginia at GEORGIA TECH (Thursday)...Recent series edge to Virginia, which has won and covered last 3 meetings (although another series angle has home team covering 6 of last 7).
Northwestern at NEVADA (Friday )...Nevada has provided good value at Mackay Stadium, posting an 19-8 spread mark since 2001.
Minnesota at PURDUE...Minnesota snapped Purdue’s 7-game series win streak with 42-35 OT victory LY. Gopher QB Cupito completed 22 of 35 for 271 yds., 3 TDs, but tossed 3 ints. (one returned for TD).
Utah at SAN DIEGO STATE...Utah in payback mode following home upset loss vs. SDS year ago. Utes outgained Aztecs 592-385 but couldn’t overcome early 14-0 deficit.
Washington State at STANFORD...Stanford has covered 8 of past 10 in series, including 24-21 upset at Wazzu LY. Cardinal QB Trent Edwards produced his own highlight film by accounting for season-high 359 yds. (92 YR) and 3 TDP.
Marshall at TENNESSEE...UT is just 2-11 vs. spread last 13 in Knoxville, and Marshall covered 20-point spread on this field in 34-24 setback in early 2003.
Louisiana Tech at TEXAS A&M...La. Tech just 2-8 as DD road dog since 2003.
Mississippi State at UAB...MSU just 2-9 as a road dog L3+Ys. and the two narrow covers were by combined 4 pts.
Cincinnati at VIRGINIA TECH...Virginia Tech has performed like a hot “techâ€
posted by phantom
Sept. 19 2006 6:09pm -
0 likes
NCAAFB - WEEK 4
Thursday, September 21st
Virginia at Georgia Tech, 7:30 EST ESPN
Virginia: 6-16 ATS away off an Under
Georgia Tech: 6-0 Under off an Over
** (TC) Denotes Time Change
Friday, September 22nd
Northwestern at Nevada, 8:00 EST ESPN2
Northwestern: 22-10 ATS away on artificial turf
Nevada: 6-0 Over off an Under
** (TC) Denotes Time Change
Saturday, September 23rd
Wisconsin at Michigan, 12:00 EST ESPN
Wisconsin: 7-0 ATS off a non-conference game
Michigan: 1-9 ATS off a win as a road underdog
Minnesota at Purdue, 12:00 EST ESPN2
Minnesota: 8-1 ATS in September
Purdue: 1-8 ATS off an ATS loss
(TC) Miami OH at Syracuase, 7:00 EST ESPNU
Miami OH: 1-6 ATS as an underdog
Syracuse: 8-0 ATS vs. MAC opponents
(TC) Ohio U at Missouri, 2:00 EST
Ohio U: 0-7 ATS away off a straight up loss
Missouri: 7-1 ATS as a home favorite of 14.5 to 21 points
Louisville at Kansas State, 12:00 EST FSN
Louisville: 18-7 ATS as a favorite
Kansas State: 6-1 Over as an underdog
(TC) Marshall at Tennessee, 4:00 EST
Marshall: 6-1 Under off BB non-conference games
Tennessee: 0-7 ATS as a home favorite
North Carolina at Clemson, 12:00 EST
North Carolina: 14-4 ATS away off BB ATS losses
Clemson: 7-1 Under off BB Overs
(TC) Kentucky at Florida, 7:45 EST ESPN
Kentucky: 2-11 ATS off BB games scoring 31+ points
Florida: 6-0 Under at home in September
Iowa at Illinois, 12:00 EST
Iowa: 9-1 ATS as a favorite of 21.5 to 31 points
Illinois: 4-13 ATS at home off BB non-conference games
(TC) Rice at Florida State, 3:30 EST ESPNU
Rice: 8-1 Over off an ATS loss
Florida State: 21-9 ATS off BB ATS losses
(TC) Buffalo at Auburn, 2:30 EST
Buffalo: 1-5 ATS vs. non-conference opponents
Auburn: 11-3 ATS as a home favorite
Kent State at Bowling Green, 1:00 EST
Kent State: 5-0 Under off BB games scoring 17 or less points
Bowling Green: 2-6 ATS first month of the season
Tulsa at Navy, 1:30 EST CSTV
Tulsa: 5-1 Over after allowing 14 or less points
Navy: 6-0 ATS after forcing 3+ turnovers
(TC) Cincinnati at Virginia Tech, 12:00 EST ESPNU
Cincinnati: 12-2 Under after committing 3+ turnovers
Virginia Tech: 6-0 ATS in September
Utah State at BYU, 3:00 EST
Utah State: 2-10 ATS off a loss by 28+ points
BYU: 6-0 Over as a favorite
Penn State at Ohio State, 3:30 EST ABC
Penn State: 0-6 ATS at Ohio State
Ohio State: 10-2 ATS off a straight up win
Iowa State at Texas, 3:30 EST ABC
Iowa State: 6-0 Over off an ATS win
Texas: 6-0 ATS off a road win by 10+ points
(TC) Washington State at Stanford, 5:00 EST
Washington State: 14-4 Over off a SU win / ATS loss
Stanford: 1-6 ATS off 3+ games allowing 31+ points
(TC) Arizona State at California, 3:30 EST FSN
Arizona State: 9-1 ATS in September
California: 7-0 Under off BB games scoring 31+ points
(TC) UCLA at Washington, 7:00 EST TBS
UCLA: 12-25 ATS away off a home win
Washington: 10-3 Over off a win by 3 points or less
(TC) Connecticut at Indiana, 3:30 EST
Connecticut: 6-0 Under in September
Indiana: 8-17 ATS with a line of +3 to -3
(TC) Central Michigan at Eastern Michigan, 3:30 EST
Central Michigan: 5-15 ATS off a conference win
Eastern Michigan: 10-2 ATS after allowing 125 or less passing yards
Air Force at Wyoming, 4:30 EST
Air Force: 10-2 Over vs. conference opponents
Wyoming: 7-0 ATS in September
UTEP at New Mexico, 5:00 EST CSTV
UTEP: 4-16 ATS away in September
New Mexico: 9-0 ATS at home off a home loss
(TC) West Virginia at East Carolina, 4:30 EST ESPN2
West Virginia: 9-1 ATS off an ATS win
East Carolina: 0-7 ATS at home after allowing 100 or less rushing yards
(TC) Boston College at NC State, 8:00 EST ESPN2
Boston College: 2-9 ATS as a road favorite of 7.5 to 14 points
NC State: 6-0 Under off BB ATS losses
(TC) Colorado at Georgia, 12:30 EST
Colorado: 0-6 ATS away off a home game
Georgia: 7-0 Under off a win by 21+ points
(TC) Alabama at Arkansas, 3:30 EST CBS
Alabama: 1-7 ATS off 3+ games allowing 17 or less points
Arkansas: 11-2 Under off BB ATS losses
Army at Baylor, 7:00 EST
Army: 1-5 ATS with a total of 42 or less points
Baylor: 7-0 Under at home off an ATS win
Temple at Western Michigan, 7:00 EST
Temple: 2-12 ATS vs. MAC opponents
Western Michigan: 7-3 Under off an ATS win
(TC) Wake Forest at Mississippi, 6:00 EST
Wake Forest: 14-5 Under in September
Mississippi: 1-8 ATS in September
South Florida at Kansas, 7:00 EST FSN
South Florida: 8-0 Under in September
Kansas: 15-33 ATS off BB ATS losses
Louisiana Tech at Texas A&M, 7:00 EST
Louisiana Tech: 0-6 ATS away vs. non-conference opponents
Texas A&M: 18-7 ATS at home in September
Mississippi State at UAB, 7:00 EST
Mississippi State: 0-8 ATS off a home game
UAB: 6-1 Under off an Under
Tulane at LSU, 8:00 EST
Tulane: 9-1 Over off an Over
LSU: 9-1 ATS off a combined score of 24 or less points
Utah at San Diego State, 8:00 EST
Utah: 1-8 ATS first half of the season
San Diego State: 28-11 Under off an ATS loss
Hawaii at Boise State, 8:00 EST
Hawaii: 7-1 Over after allowing 100 or less rushing yards
Boise State: 14-2 ATS as a favorite of 14.5 to 21 points
Notre Dame at Michigan State, 8:00 EST ABC
Notre Dame: 3-9 ATS vs. Michigan State
Michigan State: 18-7 ATS off a road win
USC at Arizona, 8:00 EST ABC
USC: 8-1 Under as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points
Arizona: 6-17 ATS at home off a home win
Oklahoma State at Houston, 9:00 EST CSTV
Oklahoma State: 9-1 ATS off BB wins by 21+ points
Houston: 8-20 ATS after gaining 325+ passing yards
(TC) Idaho at Oregon State, 10:15 EST
Idaho: 1-5 ATS off a straight up win
Oregon State: 9-2 Over off a loss by 17+ points
Added Games:
(TC) Middle Tennessee State at Oklahoma, 7:00 EST
Mid Tenn State: 6-0 Under vs. non-conference opponents
Oklahoma: 9-23 ATS as a home favorite of 21.5+ points
(TC) Florida International at Maryland, 6:00 EST
Florida Int: 6-2 Under as a road underdog
Maryland: 1-8 ATS as a home favorite
North Texas at Akron, 6:00 EST
North Texas: 1-11 ATS vs. non-conference opponents
Akron: 6-0 Under as a home favorite
Florida Atlantic at South Carolina, 7:00 EST
Florida Atl: 0-6 ATS after scoring 9 or less points
South Carolina: 5-1 ATS as a home favorite
Troy State at Nebraska, 7:00 EST
Troy State: 2-8 ATS off BB ATS wins
Nebraska: 12-2 Under after forcing 0 turnovers
Arkansas State at SMU, 8:00 EST
Arkansas State: 1-8 ATS off BB home games
SMU: 6-0 Under at home off an ATS loss
posted by phantom
Sept. 19 2006 8:07pm -
0 likes
College Football Trend Report - Week 4 (9/21 - 9/23)
VIRGINIA (1 - 2) at GEORGIA TECH (2 - 1) - 9/21/2006, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA is 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
VIRGINIA is 2-0 against the spread versus GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA is 2-0 straight up against GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NORTHWESTERN (2 - 1) at NEVADA (1 - 2) - 9/22/2006, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEVADA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
NEVADA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NEVADA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
NEVADA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
NORTHWESTERN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 3 seasons.
NORTHWESTERN is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in road games in games played on turf since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
WISCONSIN (3 - 0) at MICHIGAN (3 - 0) - 9/23/2006, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WISCONSIN is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in September games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
WISCONSIN is 1-0 against the spread versus MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 1-0 straight up against MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA (2 - 1) at PURDUE (3 - 0) - 9/23/2006, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 1-0 against the spread versus PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 1-0 straight up against PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI OHIO (0 - 3) at SYRACUSE (1 - 2) - 9/23/2006, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SYRACUSE is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) against MAC opponents since 1992.
SYRACUSE is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
SYRACUSE is 37-21 ATS (+13.9 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
OHIO U (2 - 1) at MISSOURI (3 - 0) - 9/23/2006, 2:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
LOUISVILLE (3 - 0) at KANSAS ST (3 - 0) - 9/23/2006, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS ST is 49-29 ATS (+17.1 Units) in home games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 49-29 ATS (+17.1 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 48-27 ATS (+18.3 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS ST is 49-29 ATS (+17.1 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in September games since 1992.
LOUISVILLE is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
MARSHALL (1 - 2) at TENNESSEE (2 - 1) - 9/23/2006, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARSHALL is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) in road games since 1992.
MARSHALL is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
N CAROLINA (1 - 2) at CLEMSON (2 - 1) - 9/23/2006, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
KENTUCKY (2 - 1) at FLORIDA (3 - 0) - 9/23/2006, 7:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KENTUCKY is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) as a road underdog of 21.5 or more points since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
KENTUCKY is 2-0 against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 2-0 straight up against KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
IOWA (3 - 0) at ILLINOIS (1 - 2) - 9/23/2006, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) as a favorite of 21.5 to 31 points since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 30-50 ATS (-25.0 Units) in home games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 30-50 ATS (-25.0 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 30-48 ATS (-22.8 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 38-68 ATS (-36.8 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
ILLINOIS is 1-1 against the spread versus IOWA over the last 3 seasons
IOWA is 2-0 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
RICE (0 - 3) at FLORIDA ST (2 - 1) - 9/23/2006, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
BUFFALO (1 - 2) at AUBURN (3 - 0) - 9/23/2006, 2:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AUBURN is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
AUBURN is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
AUBURN is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
AUBURN is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
AUBURN is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
AUBURN is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
AUBURN is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
KENT ST (1 - 2) at BOWLING GREEN (2 - 1) - 9/23/2006, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
BOWLING GREEN is 0-0 against the spread versus KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
BOWLING GREEN is 1-0 straight up against KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
TULSA (2 - 1) at NAVY (3 - 0) - 9/23/2006, 1:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NAVY is 87-56 ATS (+25.4 Units) in all games since 1992.
NAVY is 87-56 ATS (+25.4 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 83-53 ATS (+24.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
NAVY is 54-33 ATS (+17.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
TULSA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
NAVY is 1-0 against the spread versus TULSA over the last 3 seasons
NAVY is 1-0 straight up against TULSA over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI (1 - 2) at VIRGINIA TECH (3 - 0) - 9/23/2006, 1:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA TECH is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 58-38 ATS (+16.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
VIRGINIA TECH is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in September games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 38-21 ATS (+14.9 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
UTAH ST (0 - 3) at BYU (1 - 2) - 9/23/2006, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BYU is 20-36 ATS (-19.6 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
PENN ST (2 - 1) at OHIO ST (3 - 0) - 9/23/2006, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO ST is 1-1 against the spread versus PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
OHIO ST is 1-1 straight up against PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
IOWA ST (2 - 1) at TEXAS (2 - 1) - 9/23/2006, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 67-43 ATS (+19.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
TEXAS is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
WASHINGTON ST (2 - 1) at STANFORD (0 - 3) - 9/23/2006, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
STANFORD is 2-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons
STANFORD is 2-0 straight up against WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA ST (3 - 0) at CALIFORNIA (2 - 1) - 9/23/2006, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA ST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.
CALIFORNIA is 25-44 ATS (-23.4 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
CALIFORNIA is 1-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
CALIFORNIA is 1-0 straight up against ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
UCLA (2 - 0) at WASHINGTON (2 - 1) - 9/23/2006, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 1-1 against the spread versus UCLA over the last 3 seasons
UCLA is 2-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT (1 - 1) at INDIANA (2 - 1) - 9/23/2006, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
C MICHIGAN (1 - 2) at E MICHIGAN (0 - 3) - 9/23/2006, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
C MICHIGAN is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
E MICHIGAN is 2-0 against the spread versus C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
E MICHIGAN is 2-0 straight up against C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
AIR FORCE (0 - 1) at WYOMING (1 - 2) - 9/23/2006, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WYOMING is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in September games over the last 2 seasons.
AIR FORCE is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
WYOMING is 2-0 against the spread versus AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
WYOMING is 2-0 straight up against AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
UTEP (1 - 1) at NEW MEXICO (1 - 2) - 9/23/2006, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTEP is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) in road games in September games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
UTEP is 1-0 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
UTEP is 1-0 straight up against NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
W VIRGINIA (3 - 0) at E CAROLINA (1 - 2) - 9/23/2006, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E CAROLINA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in September games over the last 2 seasons.
W VIRGINIA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
W VIRGINIA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
W VIRGINIA is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
E CAROLINA is 1-1 against the spread versus W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
W VIRGINIA is 2-0 straight up against E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON COLLEGE (3 - 0) at NC STATE (1 - 2) - 9/23/2006, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON COLLEGE is 1-0 against the spread versus NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON COLLEGE is 1-0 straight up against NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO (0 - 3) at GEORGIA (3 - 0) - 9/23/2006, 12:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
ALABAMA (3 - 0) at ARKANSAS (2 - 1) - 9/23/2006, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
ARKANSAS is 2-0 against the spread versus ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS is 1-1 straight up against ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
ARMY (1 - 2) at BAYLOR (1 - 2) - 9/23/2006, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
BAYLOR is 1-0 against the spread versus ARMY over the last 3 seasons
BAYLOR is 1-0 straight up against ARMY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
TEMPLE (0 - 3) at W MICHIGAN (2 - 1) - 9/23/2006, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEMPLE is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) against MAC opponents since 1992.
TEMPLE is 14-32 ATS (-21.2 Units) in September games since 1992.
TEMPLE is 17-36 ATS (-22.6 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
TEMPLE is 1-0 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
W MICHIGAN is 1-0 straight up against TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
WAKE FOREST (3 - 0) at MISSISSIPPI (1 - 2) - 9/23/2006, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MISSISSIPPI is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
MISSISSIPPI is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
S FLORIDA (3 - 0) at KANSAS (2 - 1) - 9/23/2006, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS is 61-90 ATS (-38.0 Units) in all games since 1992.
KANSAS is 61-90 ATS (-38.0 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
KANSAS is 56-84 ATS (-36.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
LOUISIANA TECH (1 - 1) at TEXAS A&M (3 - 0) - 9/23/2006, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISIANA TECH is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISIANA TECH is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS A&M is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in home games in September games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
MISSISSIPPI ST (0 - 3) at UAB (1 - 2) - 9/23/2006, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
UAB is 1-0 against the spread versus MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
UAB is 1-0 straight up against MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
TULANE (1 - 1) at LSU (2 - 1) - 9/23/2006, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TULANE is 43-64 ATS (-27.4 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
LSU is 20-37 ATS (-20.7 Units) in home games after playing a conference game since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
UTAH (2 - 1) at SAN DIEGO ST (0 - 2) - 9/23/2006, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO ST is 1-1 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO ST is 1-1 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
HAWAII (1 - 1) at BOISE ST (3 - 0) - 9/23/2006, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOISE ST is 14-2 ATS (+11.8 Units) as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points since 1992.
BOISE ST is 59-33 ATS (+22.7 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 59-33 ATS (+22.7 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 45-24 ATS (+18.6 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
BOISE ST is 33-13 ATS (+18.7 Units) in home games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 33-13 ATS (+18.7 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 38-17 ATS (+19.3 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
BOISE ST is 47-29 ATS (+15.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
BOISE ST is 42-20 ATS (+20.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
BOISE ST is 37-20 ATS (+15.0 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
BOISE ST is 36-19 ATS (+15.1 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
BOISE ST is 1-1 against the spread versus HAWAII over the last 3 seasons
BOISE ST is 2-0 straight up against HAWAII over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NOTRE DAME (2 - 1) at MICHIGAN ST (3 - 0) - 9/23/2006, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN ST is 1-1 against the spread versus NOTRE DAME over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 1-1 straight up against NOTRE DAME over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
USC (2 - 0) at ARIZONA (2 - 1) - 9/23/2006, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 27-51 ATS (-29.1 Units) in home games since 1992.
ARIZONA is 27-51 ATS (-29.1 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
ARIZONA is 26-46 ATS (-24.6 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
ARIZONA is 42-67 ATS (-31.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
ARIZONA is 27-51 ATS (-29.1 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 1-1 against the spread versus USC over the last 3 seasons
USC is 2-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA ST (3 - 0) at HOUSTON (3 - 0) - 9/23/2006, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
IDAHO (1 - 2) at OREGON ST (1 - 1) - 9/23/2006, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
MIDDLE TENN ST (2 - 1) at OKLAHOMA (2 - 1) - 9/23/2006, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA is 6-20 ATS (-16.0 Units) as a favorite of 21.5 to 31 points since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
FLA INTERNATIONAL (0 - 3) at MARYLAND (2 - 1) - 9/23/2006, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
NORTH TEXAS (1 - 2) at AKRON (1 - 2) - 9/23/2006, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NORTH TEXAS is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
FLA ATLANTIC (0 - 3) at S CAROLINA (2 - 1) - 9/23/2006, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLA ATLANTIC is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
TROY ST (1 - 2) at NEBRASKA (2 - 1) - 9/23/2006, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEBRASKA is 51-32 ATS (+15.8 Units) in home games since 1992.
NEBRASKA is 51-32 ATS (+15.8 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
NEBRASKA is 47-25 ATS (+19.5 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
NEBRASKA is 36-20 ATS (+14.0 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NEBRASKA is 51-32 ATS (+15.8 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
ARKANSAS ST (1 - 1) at SMU (1 - 2) - 9/23/2006, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period
posted by phantom
Sept. 19 2006 8:08pm -
0 likes
Power Sweep
NCAA: 4*TEX
3*FLA ST
3*LOUISVILLE
2*AIR FORCE
2*MICH
2*ARK
DOG OF WEEK:MICH ST
NFL: 4*BALT
3*PHI
2*GIA
2*JAX
Pro Stat Play:BALT
Pro Angle Plays:3*BUFF,3*WASH,3*JAX
posted by phantom
Sept. 20 2006 2:36pm -
0 likes
marc lawrence newsletter
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AWESOME ANGLE
OF THE WEEK
ATS W-L Record
Since 1980:
14-1
WE'RE
READY! PLAY ON unc & wisky
INCREDIBLE STAT OF THE WEEK
Be sure to read the INCREDIBLE STAT OF THE WEEK
each week in the PLAYBOOK Football Newsletter!
road in these ‘Game Four On The Floor’ situations as teams
off a loss of 24 or more points are 20-7 ATS while teams
that allowed 36 or more points are 34-12 ATS. We’ll see if
the .
There you have it... a critical Game 4 theory that will likely
Boise State's Blue Carpet Broncos
are 16-1 ATS as conference home favorites
of < 28 points.
Saturday, September 23rd
3 BEST BET
At the beginning of the season, Michigan players vowed to
get revenge on all the teams that contributed to last year's
mediocre 7-5 season. This is the second of those revenge plots.
Unfortunately for Wolverine backers, UM is just 4-10 ATS in its
last ten as home favorites, 2-7 ATS in the last nine games of
this series and a woeful 2-10 ATS in games off a SU dog win,
including 0-7 ATS when favored by 7 or more points. Wisconsin
an amazing 29-6 ATS in its last 35 tries as underdogs of +7
or more. Add to the mix the fact that amnesia settles in real
quick for teams who upset Notre Dame, as Big Blue did in our
Underdog Game of the Month call last week. These forgetful
fellows are just 4-17-1 ATS as favorites in anti-Irish followup
games. Our Awesome Angle (see page 2) clinches it - we're
on the Badgers here today.
4 BEST BET
OHIO STATE over Penn State by 24
That green Nittany Lion secondary was torched by Brady
Quinn and it doesn't fi gure to do much better against Troy
Smith (still yet to toss a pick this season). Penn State has
trouble getting started in conference play as its 0-8 ATS record
in Big Ten openers attests and the Lions are 0-6 SUATS on this
fi eld in their last six tries. Revenge also fi gures into the mix.
Penn State held the Bucks to a season-low ten points last
year. Even though the winner of this game has managed
to score no more than 21 points in the last four meetings,
the Buckeyes are 33-4 SU & 23-1-31 ATS in the Horseshoe
with Tressel, including 14-5-1 ATS in conference play. They're
also riding a 10-0 SUATS win streak since last season! It's no
wonder they're the Number One team in the nation.
GAME OF THE WEEK UPSET UPSET
Tulsa over NAVY by 6
Two years ago, when Steve Kragthorpe was in the process
of rebuilding the Tulsa football program, the Midshipmen
rode into town and laid a 29-0 whitewash on the Golden
Hurricane. A lot of water has passed through the bilge since
then but Tulsa has not forgotten. The Big Breeze would love
to return the favor. Since Tulsa is 8-1 ATS in its last nine road
games and Navy is 4-17 ATS at home vs an opponent off a SU
win, revenge may be attained. Remember, the Middies just
avenged a win at Stanford last Saturday and have three others
revengers waiting on deck. We smell an upset.
5 BEST BET
Utah has the credentials to get the win here. The Utes are
13-6 ATS in their last 19 road games and 15-2 ATS the week
after playing Utah State. They're also looking to avenge an
embarrassing loss as double-digit home favorites suffered
against the Aztecs last season. San Diego State will be a
competitive team under Chuck Long but the Aztecs are
without their starting QB and have a lot of holes in their
secondary. He's also a fi rst-year coach in a bad situation.
Namely, college football rookie mentors are 10-25 ATS at
home versus a winning conference foe seeking revenge and
playing off a SUATS win, including 1-12 ATS the last 13 tries.
Utah over SAN DIEGO STATE by 17
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ~
4 BEST BET
We can guarantee you that the Steelers would rather play any
of the other 30 teams in the league than face the dangerous
Bengals. In a visitor series (roadie is 8-1 ATS last nine), the
Bengals come into the Ketchup Bottle looking for playoff
revenge. They bring their 5-1 ATS mark in division revenge
games face to face with Pittsburgh. In addition, the Super
Bowl champs have that bullseye adorned on their uniforms
this season. Talk about live dogs? The Cats sure fi ll the bill.
Cincinnati over PITTSBURGH by 10
3 BEST BET
After two on the road at New England and at Miami with
an upset win under their belt, the Bills welcome their state
rivals to Rich Stadium. They better not be too giddy, however,
as Buffy has a propensity for letting down in a major way in
games after tackling Miami, going 4-23 ATS in post Dolphin
duels. We're never in a hurry to back division favorites off SU
underdog wins in which they were outstatted by over 100
yards. New York battled New England down to the wire last
week and can get this. Upset!
NY JETS over Buffalo by 6
5 BEST BET
The Bears have taken the money 15 times in the last 23
meetings with the Vikes. In 19 of those 23 games, Minnesota
was the favorite. The Norsemen have refused to fold the tent
under new head coach Brad Childress. That was evident in
last week's come from behind win over the Panthers. With
the Bruins a paltry 1-8 ATS during the opening month of the
season against a foe off back to back wins and 1-7 ATS on the
division road before back-to-back non division scrapes, we'll
stay on the Love Boat (the Vikes, not Smith) here.
MINNESOTA over Chicago by 7
3* wisky..jets ...u browns
4* ohio st..cinny (nfl) ,,u vikes
5* Utah (college) vikes..u 49ers
5*
posted by phantom
Sept. 20 2006 2:37pm -
0 likes
The Max..Kevin O'Neill & Friends
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
College Football
Saturday, September 23rd, 2006
Mid-sharp-men
@Navy (-4½) over Tulsa
The Navy Midshipmen really struggled in their first
two outings. They churned out some yards on the
ground against East Carolina and 1-AA
Massachusetts, but struggled to win. Paul Johnson
was not pleased with the fumbles and the sloppy
offensive execution. But they busted out at
Stanford, as Johnson was happy with the Middies
performance (as were we, as it was a late phone
winner for us), he knows they have plenty of room
for improvement. That will prevent complacency.
Tulsa wasn’t sharp offensively, especially early, in
their 28-3 win over North Texas, but the Golden
Hurricane held the Mean Green under 100 yards of
total offense. But North Texas has really fallen off
the mid-major map in the past couple of years.
North Texas was no challenge, but the Navy attack
certainly is. There is no way this pass-first Tulsa
team can come close to replicating what Navy does
in practice. Run defense is no strength of theirs, as
they gave up 227 rushing yards to BYU a couple of
weeks back. And with 8 Conference USA games on
the horizon, will Steve Kragthorpe put his all into the
preparations for this ballgame?
Tulsa’s got a pretty advanced passing attack, but
Stanford’s Trent Edwards is supposedly a NFL
prospect and the Cardinal couldn’t do much damage
against Navy’s banged up secondary (which looks to
be healthier this week). Navy is simply much more
athletic than they used to be. They are a lot closer
to matching up with bigger opponents from a speed
perspective, and Tulsa isn’t the most athletic team in
the world to start with. While Tulsa looks ahead to
conference play, Navy enters this game with a lot
more confidence after their sharp performance in
Palo Alto. Their game against Connecticut on the
horizon is no particular lookahead of any magnitude.
Look for a nice win by the Middies. Navy by 11.
Pac of Mediocrity
@Stanford (+10) over Washington State
Stanford was terrible against Navy, and got walloped
by the Middies. It was as mistake-ridden a game as
you’ll ever see, as the Cardinal set up two Navy TD’s
by fumbling on kickoffs and just never got any
momentum working. They’ve got a good QB in
Trent Edwards, but he had as bad a game as he’s
had in his career, constantly high and wide, and
Navy’s actually got a much better defense than they
are acknowledged to possess. Perhaps they weren’t
as prepared for the option, which is not an offense
they’ll see in Pac Ten play. As coach Walt Harris
said after the game, “"We got outplayed tonight by
a football team that is very difficult to play against.
We couldn't get ahead like we did a year ago, which
makes it a little easier to defend that kind ….As long
as we continue to turn the ball over, it gives us no
chance to be successful. So what we need to do is
take care of the football, and when we do that we
have a good chance to win the football game."
Washington State was steamrolled at Auburn (no
shame there, Auburn is outstanding) and then
blasted Idaho at home, as they should have. But in
Seattle on Saturday they just barely got by Baylor
with a field goal in the game’s final 10 seconds.
They are a shanked kick away from being 1-2 yet
are laying doubles on the road to a team they have
lost to each of the past two years at home? Seems
a little rich. We’re not Bill Doba believers and think
it is meaningful that since losing to Michigan in the
Rose Bowl following the 1997 season, WSU has
been a double digit road favorite exactly twice.
They covered neither time. As bad as Stanford
looked Saturday, this is simply uncharted territory
for the Cougars.
A number of analysts I know were fairly high on
Stanford heading into the season, but with Stanford
0-3 straight up and to the spread, nobody is looking
to take them now. This is a veteran team that
knows what it has to work on. They take on a WSU
team that Stanford’s 16 returning starters have
beaten in Pullman each of the past two years and
now are getting a big number at home. We’ll call
for them to hang in this game and make it close.
Washington State by only 3.
Bloomington off the rose
Connecticut (+2) over @Indiana
Tough spot for Indiana to be in, as their sharp coach
Terry Hoeppner is resting at home after his second
brain surgery in 9 months. They missed him on
Saturday. After storming out to a 14-0 lead on their
first two offensive possessions the Hoosiers fell to 1-
AA Southern Illinois 34-27. The Hoosiers tackled
poorly, dropped passes, and ran for only 76 yards
against their lower level opponent The Salukis are a
top 20 team in their division but still a disastrous
loss by IU.
Playing the ‘Pokes
@Wyoming (-1) over Air Force
After a disappointing year in 2005 where 17
returning starters returning from a bowl upset of
UCLA finshed 4-7, Wyoming has played fairly well
this year despite their 1-2 start. The Cowboys
started strong with a pummeling of Utah State. An
OT loss at Virginia and a competitive home loss to
Boise State are not black marks. The consecutive
losses should have them poised for a top effort
against a conference foe. Having three games
under their belt also gives them an advantage in this
contest, as Air Force is the only Division 1-A team to
have played only a single game, their heartbreaking
loss to Tennessee has them at 0-1. They’ve had a
week off to shake off the emotion of that loss, but
Wyoming should be crisper with the extra games
under their belt.
The Cowboys outgained 3-0 Boise 251-246 but an
INT return for a TD hurt them. Wyoming matches
up well vs. Air Force. The Cowboys have covered
the last 5 games in this rivalry and 3 of those covers
were by 2 TD’s or more. If the Cowboys can
eliminate mistakes (0-2 turnover disadvantage and 8
penalties vs. Boise) they could notch a win over Air
Force as the early bettors who moved Wyoming
from +1 to –1 expect. Wyoming by 7.
Hold Your Nose
@NC State (+7) over Boston College
There can’t be a luckier 3-0 team in the country
than BC. Two consecutive double OT wins with the
tremendous aid of replay overturning very close calls
against the Eagles. They staved off a Central
Michigan comeback in their opener, were outgained
by 168 yards in their 2OT win over Clemson, (the
ACC apologized to Clemson for a missed penalty on
BC’s kickoff return for a TD) and then gave up 547
yards to BYU but prevailed thanks to three missed
FG’s and another week of double OT replay magic.
Now having the double OT’s added to the total, but
it is still a bad sign for the Eagles to give up 1037
yards in two home games.
NC State was flat as could be following their
dispiriting home loss to Akron. After lashing the Pack
with over 440 yards of total offense as a team,
Southern Miss’ Damion Fletcher (177 yards rushing)
said "some of those holes were big enough to drive
a truck through." But the silver lining may be that
NC State may have found a quarterback in Daniel
Evans, who went 8 for 11 and tossed a TD pass in
relief of Jay Stone, who tossed an interception on
first and goal from the USM 6 to kill a NC State
drive. NC State’s line play was poor on both sides of
the ball, which can happen to a flat team. But if
they’re ever going to play to their talent level, it will
be today. Eagles are primed for a fall while NC
State bounces back. Hold your nose and play these
underachievers. But look for Amato’s boys to do
something stupid to blow the outright win. BC by
only 1.
Bulldog Bounceback
Mississippi State (+10) over @UAB
Three straight bad losses, with the first two being
shutouts, doesn’t engender confidence. Until they
got into desperation mode on Saturday, Mississippi
State had scored only 7 points in 11 quarters. Their
starting QB was knocked out vs. South Carolina in
their opener and their freshman backup Tray
Rutland is simply not ready to play major college
football. MSU inserted Omarr Conner back at QB,
and though he was moved to WR for a reason he
played well, going 15-25 for 241 yards. Conner was
the QB last year and is at least experienced. MSU
moved the ball pretty well under Conner against
Tulane, though the Green Wave probably let up in
intensity with that big lead, it is still nice to a see a
positive sign out of the Bulldog offense. Sly Croom,
MSU’s head coach said of Conner, “that’s the best
game he’s played at quarterback since he’s been
here.â€
posted by phantom
Sept. 20 2006 2:37pm -
0 likes
Gold Sheet
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
HHHHHH KEY RELEASESHHHHHH
MIAMI by 21 over Tennessee
DETROIT by 16 over Green Bay
ATLANTA by 14 over New Orleans
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
OVER the total in the St. Louis-Arizona game
The Gold Sheet EXTRA!!! Technical Play of the Week
Arizona was only 2-8 as an underdog last season, but covered 2 of 3
chances getting more than 7 points. Baltimore has been a solid home favorite
lately (14-5-2 in role since ‘03), and though rarely “heavy chalkâ€
posted by phantom
Sept. 20 2006 2:38pm -
0 likes
Greg Roberts
Roast of the week:BYU 49-7 over Utah St.
Dog of the week: WISC 21-29 over Mich.
Totals game: Miss St- Uab under
Comp play for Sat: Utah over SD ST.
posted by phantom
Sept. 21 2006 3:01pm -
0 likes
Sports Reporters
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
7
COLLEGE FOO COLLEGE FOOTB TBALL ALL COLLEGE FOOTB TBALL ALL
UTAH over *SAN DIEGO STATE by 3
As advertised, San Diego State hung tough on the road in Big 10 country. The Aztecs’ offensive
line was not recruited to block in first year head coach Chuck Long’s power running
game and this showed versus a big Wisconsin defensive front. Utah’s defense is not quite as
good as the Badgers,’ but they are nearly as big. Utah’s offense is pass focused, which plays
into the strength of the Aztec defense. Totals players should be thinking UNDER for this
Mountain West clash. UTAH, 20-17.
*BOISE STATE over HAWAII by 10
Last week, Hawaii harassed UNLV QB Rocky Hinds with Jerry Glanville’s manic blitzing, but
that was after UNLV was down big, and Hinds had to air it out on each play while anchored
on a knee sprain. Boise St. will use their ground game to control the ball and keep it out of
the hands of Hawaii’s potent aerial attack.Warrior QB Colt Brennan will get his yards, but the
Broncos return all four in the secondary from a year ago and they have been to this rodeo
before. BOISE ST., 40-30.
*MICHIGAN STATE over NOTRE DAME by 1
So much for the national championship talk. Now Notre Dame pretty much has to run the
table and get some help to get back into the race. It won’t be easy to rebound here against
an MSU skill-position bunch and offensive line that had 488 yards of total offense in a single-
OT win over ND last season, and just torched Pitt’s decent defense. Notre Dame’s offense
should bounce back from last week’s subpar performance. Asking the ND defense to do the
same is a bit much. MICHIGAN STATE, 31-30.
USC over *ARIZONA by 22
The Trojans head to the Valley of the Sun to take on a Wildcat team that starts three freshman
on the offensive line. USC may be a bit dinged up within their defensive front seven, but
the talent and experience gap is far too wide. The Trojans know that they can throw the ball
effectively, so expect them to focus on the running game in order to get their young tailbacks
more experience as they kick off Pac-10 play. USC, 35-13.
OKLAHOMA STATE over *HOUSTON by 1
Houston has failed to cover four of its last five games played against BCS conference folks
the past three-plus seasons. OSU Cowboys are showing a better feel for their weapons in
Year Two of the Mike Gundy Era, yet Houston is more advanced in what they do. OKLAHOMA
STATE, 27-26.
*OREGON STATE over IDAHO by 23
Expect Oregon State’s defense to play with renewed fire after a debacle at Boise State in
Week 2, when they surrendered over 300 yards on the ground. Idaho and former Beaver
coach Dennis Erickson do not provide quite the same challenge. The Vandals like to throw it
early and often. Oregon St. is experienced in the secondary and their ball control offense
should ensure that the defense is well rested. OREGON STATE. 33-10.
*OKLAHOMA over MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE by 24
MTSU brings size on both the offensive and defensive fronts, but they lack the play-making
ability to keep this one interesting. Everything that Oklahoma does between now and October
7 is geared towards preparing for the Longhorns. That said, do not look for the Sooner
starters (cough – Adrian Peterson) to play after this one is in hand. OKLAHOMA, 34-10.
*MARYLAND over FLORIDA INT by 24
Maybe all those off-season staff moves caused to fluster the Maryland Terrapins as the ACC
crew’s failed to cover its first two on-the-board games and trailed West Virginia 28-0 last
week faster than you can say Boomer Esiason. Will a couple of extra prep days for the Terps
really matter here? Just keep in mind that coach Ralph Friedgen won/covered with his predecessor’s
players but he’s not winning with his recent recruits. MARYLAND, 34-10.
*AKRON over NORTH TEXAS by 18
North Texas eased back into its preferred non-conference mode by generating only 89 yards
of offense at Tulsa, and with the Sun Belt opener on deck, UNT likely will be content to go
through the motions again. Akron gave up a 100-yard INT return for a TD in its three-point
loss to Central Michigan. UNT's defense won't be able to create any such 14-point swings in
this one. AKRON, 31-13.
RECOMMENDED
*SOUTH CAROLINA over FLORIDA ATLANTIC by 39
Florida Atlantic’s schedule is brutal for a team in its sixth year of football and third in
Division I-A. South Carolina’s near loss to Wofford will only serve to fuel Steve Spurrier’s
flame. The Wofford game was an anomaly. The Gamecocks struggled against the Wofford
option attack (think Tennessee vs. Air Force, but with smaller players), started a new QB
who had not played the position in some time, and weathered the storm of former starter
Blake Mitchell having being thrown in jail. Spurrier will take this opportunity to bolster
the confidence of his team before they take on Auburn in a Thursday night match up.
Given the short week, expect the starters to come out and perform productively early,
paving the way for backups who are always eager to score. SOUTH CAROLINA, 42-3.
RECOMMENDED
*NEBRASKA over TROY by 29
Third consecutive paycheck game for Troy, which has done a good job hanging tough
against Florida State and Georgia Tech (tied entering fourth quarter). But there is only so
much in the emotional and physical reservoir. That well figures to run dry against a
Nebraska team that actually did OK defensively against USC, holding the Trojans to 399
yards total offense and only 28 points. That was only the second time since 2003 that
USC didn’t score at least 35 at home. Nebraska’s West Coast offense is farther along than
Troy’s new spread, and Troy’s JUCO transfer QB is not turning any corners against this
linebacking crew. Landlocked and pocket-shocked, he caves along with the rest as NU’s
size advantage up front wears down the visitor. NEBRASKA, 39-10.
*SMU over ARKANSAS STATE by 4
Two weeks to prep for this game should help an Arkansas State bunch that’s been a bit sloppy
with the ball and you folks should know SMU’s been a betting favorite just five times since
the start of the 2003 season. SMU, 24-20.
TUESDAY, SEPTEMBER 25
*CENTRAL FLORIDA over SOUTHERN MISS by 3
Fewer mistakes by UCF quarterback Steven Moffet – who channels Aaron Brooks -- would
allow RB Kevin Smith to be the controlling influence that George O’Leary desires. If someone
says “Southern Miss dominated UCF from start to finish in ’05,â€
posted by phantom
Sept. 21 2006 3:03pm -
0 likes
AN EARLY PEEK AT THIS WEEK'S TGS "LOOKING FOR AN ANGLE"
by Gary Olshan, Chief Analyst
Virginia at GEORGIA TECH (Thursday)...Recent series edge to Virginia, which has won and covered last 3 meetings (although another series angle has home team covering 6 of last 7).
Northwestern at NEVADA (Friday )...Nevada has provided good value at Mackay Stadium, posting an 19-8 spread mark since 2001.
Minnesota at PURDUE...Minnesota snapped Purdue’s 7-game series win streak with 42-35 OT victory LY. Gopher QB Cupito completed 22 of 35 for 271 yds., 3 TDs, but tossed 3 ints. (one returned for TD).
Utah at SAN DIEGO STATE...Utah in payback mode following home upset loss vs. SDS year ago. Utes outgained Aztecs 592-385 but couldn’t overcome early 14-0 deficit.
Washington State at STANFORD...Stanford has covered 8 of past 10 in series, including 24-21 upset at Wazzu LY. Cardinal QB Trent Edwards produced his own highlight film by accounting for season-high 359 yds. (92 YR) and 3 TDP.
Marshall at TENNESSEE...UT is just 2-11 vs. spread last 13 in Knoxville, and Marshall covered 20-point spread on this field in 34-24 setback in early 2003.
Louisiana Tech at TEXAS A&M...La. Tech just 2-8 as DD road dog since 2003.
Mississippi State at UAB...MSU just 2-9 as a road dog L3+Ys. and the two narrow covers were by combined 4 pts.
Cincinnati at VIRGINIA TECH...Virginia Tech has performed like a hot “techâ€
posted by phantom
Sept. 21 2006 3:03pm -
0 likes
Power Sweep
NCAA: 4*TEX
3*FLA ST
3*LOUISVILLE
2*AIR FORCE
2*MICH
2*ARK
DOG OF WEEK:MICH ST
posted by phantom
Sept. 21 2006 3:03pm -
0 likes
marc lawrence newsletter
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AWESOME ANGLE
OF THE WEEK
ATS W-L Record
Since 1980:
14-1
WE'RE
READY! PLAY ON unc & wisky
INCREDIBLE STAT OF THE WEEK
Be sure to read the INCREDIBLE STAT OF THE WEEK
each week in the PLAYBOOK Football Newsletter!
road in these ‘Game Four On The Floor’ situations as teams
off a loss of 24 or more points are 20-7 ATS while teams
that allowed 36 or more points are 34-12 ATS. We’ll see if
the .
There you have it... a critical Game 4 theory that will likely
Boise State's Blue Carpet Broncos
are 16-1 ATS as conference home favorites
of < 28 points.
Saturday, September 23rd
3 BEST BET
At the beginning of the season, Michigan players vowed to
get revenge on all the teams that contributed to last year's
mediocre 7-5 season. This is the second of those revenge plots.
Unfortunately for Wolverine backers, UM is just 4-10 ATS in its
last ten as home favorites, 2-7 ATS in the last nine games of
this series and a woeful 2-10 ATS in games off a SU dog win,
including 0-7 ATS when favored by 7 or more points. Wisconsin
an amazing 29-6 ATS in its last 35 tries as underdogs of +7
or more. Add to the mix the fact that amnesia settles in real
quick for teams who upset Notre Dame, as Big Blue did in our
Underdog Game of the Month call last week. These forgetful
fellows are just 4-17-1 ATS as favorites in anti-Irish followup
games. Our Awesome Angle (see page 2) clinches it - we're
on the Badgers here today.
4 BEST BET
OHIO STATE over Penn State by 24
That green Nittany Lion secondary was torched by Brady
Quinn and it doesn't fi gure to do much better against Troy
Smith (still yet to toss a pick this season). Penn State has
trouble getting started in conference play as its 0-8 ATS record
in Big Ten openers attests and the Lions are 0-6 SUATS on this
fi eld in their last six tries. Revenge also fi gures into the mix.
Penn State held the Bucks to a season-low ten points last
year. Even though the winner of this game has managed
to score no more than 21 points in the last four meetings,
the Buckeyes are 33-4 SU & 23-1-31 ATS in the Horseshoe
with Tressel, including 14-5-1 ATS in conference play. They're
also riding a 10-0 SUATS win streak since last season! It's no
wonder they're the Number One team in the nation.
GAME OF THE WEEK UPSET UPSET
Tulsa over NAVY by 6
Two years ago, when Steve Kragthorpe was in the process
of rebuilding the Tulsa football program, the Midshipmen
rode into town and laid a 29-0 whitewash on the Golden
Hurricane. A lot of water has passed through the bilge since
then but Tulsa has not forgotten. The Big Breeze would love
to return the favor. Since Tulsa is 8-1 ATS in its last nine road
games and Navy is 4-17 ATS at home vs an opponent off a SU
win, revenge may be attained. Remember, the Middies just
avenged a win at Stanford last Saturday and have three others
revengers waiting on deck. We smell an upset.
5 BEST BET
Utah has the credentials to get the win here. The Utes are
13-6 ATS in their last 19 road games and 15-2 ATS the week
after playing Utah State. They're also looking to avenge an
embarrassing loss as double-digit home favorites suffered
against the Aztecs last season. San Diego State will be a
competitive team under Chuck Long but the Aztecs are
without their starting QB and have a lot of holes in their
secondary. He's also a fi rst-year coach in a bad situation.
Namely, college football rookie mentors are 10-25 ATS at
home versus a winning conference foe seeking revenge and
playing off a SUATS win, including 1-12 ATS the last 13 tries.
Utah over SAN DIEGO STATE by 17
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ~
4 BEST BET
We can guarantee you that the Steelers would rather play any
of the other 30 teams in the league than face the dangerous
Bengals. In a visitor series (roadie is 8-1 ATS last nine), the
Bengals come into the Ketchup Bottle looking for playoff
revenge. They bring their 5-1 ATS mark in division revenge
games face to face with Pittsburgh. In addition, the Super
Bowl champs have that bullseye adorned on their uniforms
this season. Talk about live dogs? The Cats sure fi ll the bill.
Cincinnati over PITTSBURGH by 10
3 BEST BET
After two on the road at New England and at Miami with
an upset win under their belt, the Bills welcome their state
rivals to Rich Stadium. They better not be too giddy, however,
as Buffy has a propensity for letting down in a major way in
games after tackling Miami, going 4-23 ATS in post Dolphin
duels. We're never in a hurry to back division favorites off SU
underdog wins in which they were outstatted by over 100
yards. New York battled New England down to the wire last
week and can get this. Upset!
NY JETS over Buffalo by 6
5 BEST BET
The Bears have taken the money 15 times in the last 23
meetings with the Vikes. In 19 of those 23 games, Minnesota
was the favorite. The Norsemen have refused to fold the tent
under new head coach Brad Childress. That was evident in
last week's come from behind win over the Panthers. With
the Bruins a paltry 1-8 ATS during the opening month of the
season against a foe off back to back wins and 1-7 ATS on the
division road before back-to-back non division scrapes, we'll
stay on the Love Boat (the Vikes, not Smith) here.
MINNESOTA over Chicago by 7
3* wisky..jets ...u browns
4* ohio st..cinny (nfl) ,,u vikes
5* Utah (college) vikes..u 49ers
5*
posted by phantom
Sept. 21 2006 3:05pm -
0 likes
The Max..Kevin O'Neill & Friends
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
College Football
Saturday, September 23rd, 2006
Mid-sharp-men
@Navy (-4½) over Tulsa
The Navy Midshipmen really struggled in their first
two outings. They churned out some yards on the
ground against East Carolina and 1-AA
Massachusetts, but struggled to win. Paul Johnson
was not pleased with the fumbles and the sloppy
offensive execution. But they busted out at
Stanford, as Johnson was happy with the Middies
performance (as were we, as it was a late phone
winner for us), he knows they have plenty of room
for improvement. That will prevent complacency.
Tulsa wasn’t sharp offensively, especially early, in
their 28-3 win over North Texas, but the Golden
Hurricane held the Mean Green under 100 yards of
total offense. But North Texas has really fallen off
the mid-major map in the past couple of years.
North Texas was no challenge, but the Navy attack
certainly is. There is no way this pass-first Tulsa
team can come close to replicating what Navy does
in practice. Run defense is no strength of theirs, as
they gave up 227 rushing yards to BYU a couple of
weeks back. And with 8 Conference USA games on
the horizon, will Steve Kragthorpe put his all into the
preparations for this ballgame?
Tulsa’s got a pretty advanced passing attack, but
Stanford’s Trent Edwards is supposedly a NFL
prospect and the Cardinal couldn’t do much damage
against Navy’s banged up secondary (which looks to
be healthier this week). Navy is simply much more
athletic than they used to be. They are a lot closer
to matching up with bigger opponents from a speed
perspective, and Tulsa isn’t the most athletic team in
the world to start with. While Tulsa looks ahead to
conference play, Navy enters this game with a lot
more confidence after their sharp performance in
Palo Alto. Their game against Connecticut on the
horizon is no particular lookahead of any magnitude.
Look for a nice win by the Middies. Navy by 11.
Pac of Mediocrity
@Stanford (+10) over Washington State
Stanford was terrible against Navy, and got walloped
by the Middies. It was as mistake-ridden a game as
you’ll ever see, as the Cardinal set up two Navy TD’s
by fumbling on kickoffs and just never got any
momentum working. They’ve got a good QB in
Trent Edwards, but he had as bad a game as he’s
had in his career, constantly high and wide, and
Navy’s actually got a much better defense than they
are acknowledged to possess. Perhaps they weren’t
as prepared for the option, which is not an offense
they’ll see in Pac Ten play. As coach Walt Harris
said after the game, “"We got outplayed tonight by
a football team that is very difficult to play against.
We couldn't get ahead like we did a year ago, which
makes it a little easier to defend that kind ….As long
as we continue to turn the ball over, it gives us no
chance to be successful. So what we need to do is
take care of the football, and when we do that we
have a good chance to win the football game."
Washington State was steamrolled at Auburn (no
shame there, Auburn is outstanding) and then
blasted Idaho at home, as they should have. But in
Seattle on Saturday they just barely got by Baylor
with a field goal in the game’s final 10 seconds.
They are a shanked kick away from being 1-2 yet
are laying doubles on the road to a team they have
lost to each of the past two years at home? Seems
a little rich. We’re not Bill Doba believers and think
it is meaningful that since losing to Michigan in the
Rose Bowl following the 1997 season, WSU has
been a double digit road favorite exactly twice.
They covered neither time. As bad as Stanford
looked Saturday, this is simply uncharted territory
for the Cougars.
A number of analysts I know were fairly high on
Stanford heading into the season, but with Stanford
0-3 straight up and to the spread, nobody is looking
to take them now. This is a veteran team that
knows what it has to work on. They take on a WSU
team that Stanford’s 16 returning starters have
beaten in Pullman each of the past two years and
now are getting a big number at home. We’ll call
for them to hang in this game and make it close.
Washington State by only 3.
Bloomington off the rose
Connecticut (+2) over @Indiana
Tough spot for Indiana to be in, as their sharp coach
Terry Hoeppner is resting at home after his second
brain surgery in 9 months. They missed him on
Saturday. After storming out to a 14-0 lead on their
first two offensive possessions the Hoosiers fell to 1-
AA Southern Illinois 34-27. The Hoosiers tackled
poorly, dropped passes, and ran for only 76 yards
against their lower level opponent The Salukis are a
top 20 team in their division but still a disastrous
loss by IU.
Playing the ‘Pokes
@Wyoming (-1) over Air Force
After a disappointing year in 2005 where 17
returning starters returning from a bowl upset of
UCLA finshed 4-7, Wyoming has played fairly well
this year despite their 1-2 start. The Cowboys
started strong with a pummeling of Utah State. An
OT loss at Virginia and a competitive home loss to
Boise State are not black marks. The consecutive
losses should have them poised for a top effort
against a conference foe. Having three games
under their belt also gives them an advantage in this
contest, as Air Force is the only Division 1-A team to
have played only a single game, their heartbreaking
loss to Tennessee has them at 0-1. They’ve had a
week off to shake off the emotion of that loss, but
Wyoming should be crisper with the extra games
under their belt.
The Cowboys outgained 3-0 Boise 251-246 but an
INT return for a TD hurt them. Wyoming matches
up well vs. Air Force. The Cowboys have covered
the last 5 games in this rivalry and 3 of those covers
were by 2 TD’s or more. If the Cowboys can
eliminate mistakes (0-2 turnover disadvantage and 8
penalties vs. Boise) they could notch a win over Air
Force as the early bettors who moved Wyoming
from +1 to –1 expect. Wyoming by 7.
Hold Your Nose
@NC State (+7) over Boston College
There can’t be a luckier 3-0 team in the country
than BC. Two consecutive double OT wins with the
tremendous aid of replay overturning very close calls
against the Eagles. They staved off a Central
Michigan comeback in their opener, were outgained
by 168 yards in their 2OT win over Clemson, (the
ACC apologized to Clemson for a missed penalty on
BC’s kickoff return for a TD) and then gave up 547
yards to BYU but prevailed thanks to three missed
FG’s and another week of double OT replay magic.
Now having the double OT’s added to the total, but
it is still a bad sign for the Eagles to give up 1037
yards in two home games.
NC State was flat as could be following their
dispiriting home loss to Akron. After lashing the Pack
with over 440 yards of total offense as a team,
Southern Miss’ Damion Fletcher (177 yards rushing)
said "some of those holes were big enough to drive
a truck through." But the silver lining may be that
NC State may have found a quarterback in Daniel
Evans, who went 8 for 11 and tossed a TD pass in
relief of Jay Stone, who tossed an interception on
first and goal from the USM 6 to kill a NC State
drive. NC State’s line play was poor on both sides of
the ball, which can happen to a flat team. But if
they’re ever going to play to their talent level, it will
be today. Eagles are primed for a fall while NC
State bounces back. Hold your nose and play these
underachievers. But look for Amato’s boys to do
something stupid to blow the outright win. BC by
only 1.
Bulldog Bounceback
Mississippi State (+10) over @UAB
Three straight bad losses, with the first two being
shutouts, doesn’t engender confidence. Until they
got into desperation mode on Saturday, Mississippi
State had scored only 7 points in 11 quarters. Their
starting QB was knocked out vs. South Carolina in
their opener and their freshman backup Tray
Rutland is simply not ready to play major college
football. MSU inserted Omarr Conner back at QB,
and though he was moved to WR for a reason he
played well, going 15-25 for 241 yards. Conner was
the QB last year and is at least experienced. MSU
moved the ball pretty well under Conner against
Tulane, though the Green Wave probably let up in
intensity with that big lead, it is still nice to a see a
positive sign out of the Bulldog offense. Sly Croom,
MSU’s head coach said of Conner, “that’s the best
game he’s played at quarterback since he’s been
here.â€
posted by phantom
Sept. 21 2006 3:06pm -
0 likes
Dave Fobare’s College plays
..Tech Play of the Week
Central Mich (-4½) over @Eastern Mich
Value Dog
Jets (+6) over @Bills
False Favorite
Rams (+4½) over @Cardinals
Dave Fobare’s NFL Tech Play of the Week
@Detroit (–6½) over Green Bay
Niners Rising?
@Niners (+6) over Eagles
NFL System from Dave Fobare
Game 3 Under: In game 3, play the Under if our team has 0 or 1 win, finished last season above 0.500
SU, and the opponent is at least 0.500 SU.
Record since 1983: 5-0 ATS (100%)
This week’s application: Denver/New England under, NY Giants/Seattle under, and the under in this
Sunday’s game involving the loser of Monday Night’s (Steelers/Jags) game.
College System from Nelly’s Sportsline,
Double Digit Road Trip: Any NCAA double-digit underdog playing in their third consecutive road game.
Pointspread record since 1991: 74-49-1 (60%)
This week’s applications: Troy State, Ohio U, Buffalo, Florida Atlantic, and possibly Kent (if +10 or
more).
posted by phantom
Sept. 21 2006 3:07pm -
0 likes
Gold Sheet
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
HHHHHH KEY RELEASESHHHHHH
MIAMI by 21 over Tennessee
DETROIT by 16 over Green Bay
ATLANTA by 14 over New Orleans
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
OVER the total in the St. Louis-Arizona game
The Gold Sheet EXTRA!!! Technical Play of the Week
Arizona was only 2-8 as an underdog last season, but covered 2 of 3
chances getting more than 7 points. Baltimore has been a solid home favorite
lately (14-5-2 in role since ‘03), and though rarely “heavy chalkâ€
posted by phantom
Sept. 21 2006 3:07pm -
0 likes
Point Wise
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NFL Key Plays
This chart is to be used as a guide. For proper handicapping,
additional factors, such as injuries, tradition, incentive, trends,
weather, coaching, etc. must be taken into consideration.
BALTIMORE over Cleveland RATING: 2
CINCINNATI over Pittsburgh RATING: 3
NEW YORK GIANTS over Seattle RATING: 4
CHICAGO over Minnesota RATING: 4
JACKSONVILLE over Indianapolis RATING: 5
COLLEGE KEY RELEASES
BYU over Utah State RATING: 1
OHIO STATE over Penn State RATING: 1
MISSOURI over Ohio U RATING: 2
ALABAMA over Arkansas RATING: 3
BOISE STATE over Hawaii RATING: 3
MICHIGAN STATE over Notre Dame RATING: 4
NAVY over Tulsa RATING: 5
CONNECTICUT over Indiana RATING: 5
posted by phantom
Sept. 21 2006 3:09pm -
0 likes
The Harmon Forecast
In its 50th year, The Harmon Forecast predicts probable scores of college football games each week.
Game of the Week
*Michigan State 31, Notre Dame 30
Michigan State gets the slight edge at home over the Fighting Irish. The Spartans have won seven of the last nine meetings vs. Notre Dame, including last year's 44-41 victory in overtime.
Games for the weekend of Sept. 23
Air Force 24 *Wyoming 23
*Akron 31 North Texas 15
Alabama 22 *Arkansas 21
*Auburn 45 Buffalo 6
*Baylor 31 Army 17
*Boise State 37 Hawaii 26
Boston College 26 *N.C. State 21
*Bowling Green 27 Kent State 17
*BYU 43 Utah State 12
*California 31 Arizona State 25
Central Michigan 22 *Eastern Michigan 21
*Clemson 35 North Carolina 17
Connecticut 27 *Indiana 25
*Florida 38 Kentucky 17
*Florida State 42 Rice 10
*Georgia 33 Colorado 9
*Georgia Tech 29 Virginia 16
*Houston 29 Oklahoma State 26
Iowa 35 *Illinois 13
*Kansas 26 South Florida 20
*LSU 45 Tulane 6
Louisville 32 *Kansas State 21
*Maryland 29 Florida International 14
*Michigan 30 Wisconsin 19
*Michigan State 31 Notre Dame 30
*Missouri 36 Ohio 12
*Navy 32 Tulsa 27
*Nebraska 37 Troy 13
*Nevada 28 Northwestern 24
*Ohio State 36 Penn State 15
*Oklahoma 37 Middle Tennessee State 12
*Oregon State 39 Indiana 19
*Purdue 31 Minnesota 30
*SMU 28 Arkansas State 17
*South Carolina 37 Florida Atlantic 7
Southern Cal 36 *Arizona 18
*Syracuse 23 Miami (Ohio) 20
*Tennessee 37 Marshall 11
*Texas 38 Iowa State 18
*Texas A&M 43 Louisiana Tech 17
*UAB 25 Mississippi State 10
UCLA 29 *Washington 25
Utah 27 *San Diego State 21
UTEP 28 *New Mexico 22
*Virginia Tech 37 Cincinnati 7
Washington State 31 *Stanford 24
Wake Forest 23 *Mississippi 22
West Virginia 36 *East Carolina 18
*Western Michigan 36 Temple 8
* - Denotes home team
posted by phantom
Sept. 21 2006 3:10pm -
0 likes
Gold Sheet - College
THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 21
*GEORGIA TECH 27 - Virginia 6--Rebuilding Virginia's defense isn't bad. But Cavalier offense (only 1 TD in each of the first 3 games) is. Solid edge at QB for Tech with mobile and experienced sr. Ball, a 4-year starter. No surprise if blitzing Ramblin' Wreck forces still-learning UVa QBs, who have already had 3 ints. returned for TDs, into more major mistakes. Fourth straight game in Atlanta for triple revenge-minded Tech. Cavs only 5-16 vs. spread last 21 as visitor. CABLE TV--ESPN
(05-VA. 27-Ga. Tech 17...V.24-21 V.45/161 G.27/136 G.20/39/1/207 V.21/29/1/205 V.0 G.0)
(05-UVA -3' 27-17 04-Uva -5' 30-10 03-UVA -7 29-17...SR: Virginia 14-13-1)
FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 22
*NEVADA 27 - Northwestern 16--With Northwestern's "O" showing about as much pizzazz as Dick Cheney's wardrobe, and neither RS frosh QB (Kafka or Brewer) taking ownership of attack, Wildcats will be hard-pressed to outscore Chris Ault's Nevada "Pistol" that began firing live ammunition last week behind sr. QB Rowe (19 of 22 passing, plus 65 YR vs. Colo. State). Wolf Pack usually howls in Reno (11-2 vs. line last 13 as host). CABLE TV--ESPN2 (FIRST MEETING)
SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 23
Wisconsin 20 - MICHIGAN 23--Michigan answered many detractors with impressive performance at ND, but expect Wisconsin to give Wolverines a battle in Big Ten opener. Badger ground game has a new stud in RS frosh Hill (415 YR 1st 3), and Wisconsin OL has allowed sr. QB Stocco to be sacked just once thus far. Respect Wolverine firepower, but Lloyd Carr's crew just 3-11 vs. pts. L14 at Ann Arbor.
(05-WIS. 23-Mich. 20...W.21-17 M.36/143 W.43/140 M.16/34/1/258 W.15/32/1/147 W.0 M.1)
(05-WISCONSIN +3 23-20...SR: Michigan 47-11-1)
Minnesota 31 - PURDUE 30--In battle pitting pair of rebuilding defenses, slight edge to Minny HC Mason's crew over Purdue stop unit yielding 31 ppg. Expect sr. Gopher QB Cupito to deal more grief to injury-riddled Purdue secondary that yielded 304 ypg passing & 66% in non-conference play. Not eager to lay many points on road, however, as Boiler QB Painter has thrown for 624 yds. vs. Miami-O. & Ball State.
(05-MINN. 42-Pur. 35 (OT)...M.29-15 M.68/301 P.29/180 M.22/36/3/271 P.15/34/2/246 M.0 P.0)
(05-MINNESOTA -3' 42-35 (OT)...SR: Minnesota 31-28-3)
SYRACUSE 23 - Miami-Ohio 20--Improving Syracuse (5 straight covers) feeling better about itself after snapping 11-game losing streak. Sr. QB Perry Patterson more nimble TY after dropping significant poundage. And Orange have some emerging weapons (true frosh WR Taj Smith two long TDs last week). Still, can't lay significant points to desperate 0-3 Miami-O., which has enough balance to hang.
(DNP...SR: Syracuse 2-0)
MISSOURI 41 - Ohio 10--Ohio sr. QB Everson (off that big 322-yd. passing game at No. Ill.) fell back to earth last week at Rutgers, as the Bobcats had minus 6 YR and only 8 FDs in 24-7 loss. Now, things get worse in OU's third straight road game, as Mizzou's more aggressive 2006 defense collected 8 QB drops last week at NM, while double-threat QB Daniel continued operating the offense (197 YR, 199 YP) with balanced efficiency. Positive chemistry in Columbia TY. (FIRST MEETING)
Louisville 37 - KANSAS STATE 20--Doubt QB Brian Brohm's thumb injury will significantly slow down juggernaut Louisville attack. Backup Hunter Cantwell has strong arm & big-game experience (he started LY's Gator Bowl). K-State defense stepping waaaay up in class, and Wildcat offense severely outgunned.
(FIRST MEETING)
TENNESSEE 34 - Marshall 7--After blowing DD lead vs. Florida, expect inflamed Tennessee to vent vs. struggling Marshall squad that mustered a paltry 142 total yds. and failed to score an offensive TD in 23-7 loss at rebuilding Kansas State. Vols hot triggerman Ainge (52 of 79 so far!) should have a field day vs. a reeling Thundering Herd 2ndary (256 YP vs Wildcats), while Marshall's erratic QB Morris (3 ints.) likely to self-destruct vs. fast UT defense. Undisciplined Thundering Herd (32 penalties so far) 1-5-1 vs. spread last 7. Beleaguered Fulmer needs convincing win to silence critics (at least temporarily). (03-TENN. -19' 34-24...SR: Tennessee 1-0)
CLEMSON 35 - North Carolina 13--Sure, Clemson might have to dip into emotional reserves after gut-wrenching double-OT loss at BC followed by upset at Florida State. Still, prefer to go against RS frosh UNC QB Cam Sexton (3 ints. last 2 games) in his first road start. Tigers' blazing speed at skill positions will scald a Heel defense that's already salving the burn of giving up 42 points on 521 yards to Div. I-AA Furman last week. (03-CLEMSON -13' 36-28...SR: Clemson 33-18-1)
FLORIDA 47 - Kentucky 13--Urban Meyer says Florida's comeback victory at Tennessee was "the finest team effort I've ever seen." Chemistry-rich, unselfish Gators should explode as they did in 1st H of LY's misleading 49-28 victory at Kentucky (see Angle). And with Florida's gifted, mobile frosh QB Tebow providing a change-of-pace, believe back door will be shut tight this time for outmanned Wildcat bunch celebrating its 1st SEC-opening win in 19 years. UK's 6-5, 240 QB Woodson unable to elude relentless UF front 7.
(05-Fla. 49-KY. 28...F.27-19 F.42/187 K.33/133 F.28/36/0/350 K.15/33/3/162 F.1 K.1)
(05-Fla. -23 49-28 04-FLA. -18' 20-3 03-Fla. -10 24-21...SR: Florida 39-17)
Iowa 31 - ILLINOIS 6--Illini alumni are looking to buy http://www.fireronzook.com [fireronzook.com]">www.fireronzook.com domain name from Florida alums after Syracuse broke its 11-game losing streak in Champaign last week. Realize Illinois frosh QB "Juice" Williams, who threw a pair of long 4th-Q TD strikes vs. Syracuse, gives Illini some backdoor capability. However, prefer to rely on Iowa's quality duo of QB Tate & RB A. Young facing Zook's team that's only 6-18 vs. number L24 in Big Ten.
(05-IOWA 35-Ill. 7...Ia.25-21 Ia.39/301 Il.33/141 Il.32/44/1/233 Ia.17/23/1/175 Ia.1 Il.0)
(05-IOWA -18' 35-7 04-Iowa -12 23-13 03-IOWA -26' 41-10...SR: Illinois 37-27-2)
FLORIDA STATE 41 - Rice 7--Bobby Bowden and beleaguered o.c. & son Jeff need to pile up some points in order to quiet chorus of criticism that is rising again. Texas tenderized Rice with a 52-7 pounding (38-0 H) last week. (FIRST MEETING)
AUBURN 48 - Buffalo 0--Although UB (2-0 vs. spread) fighting hard for young, likeable rookie HC Turner Gill, this intersectional is waaaayyyy too big a step up for Bull squad that yielded a whopping 344 YR in 31-13 loss at Northern Illinois. Auburn's loaded backfield will score in bushels, while the fierce, super-fast "D" makes UB QB Willy look silly. Tuberville a good bully (10-1 mark as DD home chalk since 2003). (FIRST MEETING)
BOWLING GREEN 24 - Kent State 21--Kent State defense, and particularly its veteran secondary, proving to be very underrated unit. Juco transfer Edelman hurt Miami-O. with his legs (5.6 ypc & a TD) and his arm (244 YP & a score) last week, as he's improving in running HC Doug Martin's attack in absence of vet Machen. BG giving up too many big plays (34 ppg) & QB Turner hurt his shoulder last week (check status).
(05-B. Green 24-KENT ST. 14...K.17-16 B.50/169 K.23/25 K.27/39/1/222 B.11/18/0/113 B.0 K.1)
(05-Bgu -11 24-14 03-BGU -20 42-33...SR: Bowling Green 52-15-6)
Tulsa 32 - NAVY 30--Go-with vs. go-with. Navy is a bankroll buddy, going 26-10-1 vs. spread last 37 games on board! But well-coached Tulsa is 8-1 against line last 9 away from home. Prefer more balanced Hurricane attack & play-making jr. QB Paul Smith over ground-pounding Middies (only 105 YP in first 3 games!). Tulsa front 7 much bigger and more mature than in 2004 meeting. (04-Navy +1 29-0...SR: Navy 1-0)
VIRGINIA TECH 37 - Cincinnati 3--Add hellacious home field to Tech's swarming defense & opportunistic special teams, and that's reason enough not to buck Beamer's Hokies (21-6 vs. spread last 2+ seasons!). (DNP...SR: Cincinnati 4-3)
BYU 38 - Utah State 2--The rare hat trick accomplished by the impotent Utah State offense (no points scored in first 3 games!) certainly not the sort associated with Wayne Gretzky or Bobby Hull. As long as Utag attack continues setting new standards of incompetence, have little interest recommending against balanced and angry BYU bunch eager to take out frustrations after bitter loss at BC. (DNP...SR: BYU 40-33-3)
OHIO STATE 38 - Penn State 17--OSU has covered 10 straight, and there's no reason to figure they'll be anything but fully focused on Penn State in Big Ten opener. Revenge-minded Buckeyes have covered 70% of their Big Ten home games under Jim Tressel, and rebuilt Nittany Lion OL remains an area of concern for Joe Paterno. OSU speedburner Ginn (5 TDs) & RB Pittman (6.7 ypc) will be tough to stop; QB T. Smith much more experienced than Lions' Morelli.
(05-PENN ST. 17-Ohio St. 10...O.16-11 P.37/117 O.40/91 O.13/25/1/139 P.11/20/0/78 P.0 O.1)
(05-PSU +3' 17-10 04-OSU -6' 21-10 03-Osu -7' 21-20...SR: Penn State 11-10)
TEXAS 34 - Iowa State 16--ISU's veteran offense provides just enough ball control & scoring to allow its developing defense to build on Cyclones' 10-4 dog mark L2+Ys. UT's ground game and defense are fearsome, but ISU (led 17-10 late in 3rd Q at Iowa) gets to deal with much less at QB in Horns' RS frosh McCoy than Hawkeye sr. Tate last week.
(03-Texas -17 40-19...SR: Texas 5-0)
Washington State 34 - STANFORD 17--Stanford's one-way plunge into the bowels of ineptitude further accelerated by mounting injuries on Cardinal "O" (WR Moore could join wideout Bradford on sidelines; RB Frank's retirement) to match infirmaries of Stanford stop unit. Can excuse potent Wazzu "O" for feeling as if it's about to go on a date with Beyonce' as it relishes prospect of facing Tree rush "D" allowing 336 (!) ypg.
(05-Stan. 24-WASH. ST. 21...S.27-19 W.37/246 S.47/218 S.19/29/0/257 W.13/26/2/161 S.0 W.0)
(05-Stan. +14 24-21 04-Stan. +1' 23-17 03-Wsu -10' 24-14...SR: Stanford 32-23-1)
CALIFORNIA 37 - Arizona State 19--Although these teams didn't meet LY, recent strategic "chess matches" between Jeff Tedford & Dirk Koetter more one-sided than Bobby Fischer's long-ago routs of Boris Spassky (Cal won big all 3 meetings between '02-04 by hefty 24 ppg). Pac-10 sources not sure revamped ASU "D" up to task of slowing balanced hosts now that QB Longshore (7 TDP last 2) has finally emerged for Bears.
(04-CAL. -16 27-0 03-Cal. +3 51-23...SR: Arizona State 13-12)
Ucla 27 - WASHINGTON 26--Early signs encouraging for much-maligned UCLA "D" that's playing with some attitude for new d.c. Walker. But lesser U-Dub teams pushed Bruins to brink last two seasons, and they're starting to whisper about bowls in Seattle as Huskies (no TOs in Fresno win) buy into Ty Willingham's disciplined agenda. Playmaking UW QB Stanback now capable of making foes pay for ganging up on Husky RBs.
(05-UCLA 21-Wash. 17...U.20-17 W.41/213 U.25/65 U.29/44/2/287 W.14/28/0/188 U.0 W.2)
(05-UCLA -21' 21-17 04-Ucla P 37-31 03-UCLA +1' 46-16...SR: UCLA 35-28-2)
Connecticut 23 - INDIANA 17--Indiana's 35-28 come-from-ahead loss to I-AA S. Illinois a reflection of the team's mental state in light of HC Hoeppner's cancer recurrence as well as the Hoosiers' continued defensive demise (36 ppg L9 games, 1-7 vs. spread). UConn couldn't survive early 86-yard int. return TD by Wake Forest, but if breaks are even, Huskies cover small number. (03-CONNECTICUT -6 34-10...SR: Connecticut 1-0)
Central Michigan 27 - EASTERN MICHIGAN 26--EMU played much better defense than Central last week. Eagles held Northwestern to just 266 total yards while the Chippewas were toasted for 375 YP & 3 TD strikes by Akron's Getsy. Not ready to lay points on road with CMU RS frosh QB LeFevour
(05-E. Mich. 23-C. MICH. (OT)...E.24-20 C.49/202 E.28/117 E.36/56/0/380 C.18/31/0/182 E.0 C.0)
(05-Emu +5' 23-20 (OT) 04-Emu +1' 61-58 (OT) at Ford Field 03-CMU -7' 38-10...SR: CMU 52-25-6)
Air Force 24 - WYOMING 19--MWC sources have duly noted improvement of Wyo's defense (allowed only 16 points in regulation play first 3 games, including test vs. potent Boise). But scouts also warn this could be one of Fisher DeBerry's "specials" at AFA, as vet QB Carney & Falc option were almost flawless in first '06 test at rabid Tennessee hothouse. Points not coming easily for new QB Doss & Poke attack.
(05-Wyo. 29-A. FORCE 28...A.23-17 A.63/286 W.33/68 W.19/29/0/267 A.4/12/2/53 W.1 A.1)
(05-Wyo. +2' 29-28 04-WYO. -2' 43-26 03-AFA -20 35-29...SR: Air Force 22-20-2)
Utep 26 - NEW MEXICO 21--UTEP's pick-prone Jordan Palmer (6 ints. already in '06) isn't the ideal QB to lay points with on the road these days. Miners appear to own firepower edge over New Mexico bunch still adjusting to nuances of new o.c. Bob Toledo's West Coast philosophy. But can't trust UTEP defense laying big number on road.
(05-UTEP 21-N. Mex. 13...N.17-16 N.43/149 U.31/70 U.16/31/1/178 N.15/25/1/136 U.0 N.0)
(05-UTEP -2' 21-13...SR: New Mexico 41-29-3)
*West Virginia 37 - EAST CAROLINA 23--Intense HC Rich Rodriguez has covered 11 of last 13 games. And quicksilver soph RB Steve Slaton (149 YR in first quarter last week!) is top weapon on field. However, ECU has most dynamic passing attack (by far) that Mountaineers have faced this season. And can't ignore Pirate HC Skip Holtz's own impressive pointspread marks (11-3 overall, 9-2 as dog last 1+ years). CABLE TV--ESPN2
(05-W. VA. 20-E. Car. 15...E.20-17 W.46/127 E.42/81 E.21/35/1/206 W.15/20/3/180 W.1 E.1)
(05-WVU -22 20-15 04-WVU -28' 56-23 03-Wvu -9' 48-7...SR: West Virginia 15-2)
*Boston College 21 - NORTH CAROLINA STATE 17--ACC scouts say N.C. State's Chuck Amato holds slight lead over Miami's Larry Coker in first-coach-to-be-fired lottery. Can young, undisciplined Wolfpack circle the wagons for their well-liked mentor against BC squad drained by 4 OTs in last 2 games?
(05-BOS. COL. 30-Ncsu 10...N.16-12 B.42/150 N.40/59 N.13/30/1/247 B.8/16/0/185 B.1 N.0)
(05-BOSTON COLLEGE -4' 30-10...SR: Boston College 2-1)
*GEORGIA 37 - Colorado 3--Since CU offense (2 TDs in 3 games) just plain "offensive" right now, compelled to lay it with reloading UGA squad, whose stifling "D" hasn't permitted a TD in 10 Qs! Dawgs poised, blue-chip frosh QB Stafford (10-17 for 107 yds., 1 TD vs. tough UAB defense) benefits from an expanding playbook with each game, while terrific trio of RBs (Lumpkin, Ware & T. Brown) soften-up overworked and increasingly-discouraged Buff stop unit. New CU mentor Hawkins' (former Boise State HC lost 48-13 at Ga. LY) return trip to Athens highly unpleasant once again. (FIRST MEETING)
*ARKANSAS 21 - Alabama 16--Bama "O" finally "busted out" vs. overmatched UL Monroe, but can't extrapolate that kind of performance in QB J.P. Wilson's 1st road start vs. seasoned Arkansas defense. Hogs heralded, fast-developing frosh QB Mustain (13 of 20 for 224 yds. & 3 TDP vs. Vandy) more likely to work some play-action, aided by superb RBs McFadden & F. Jones. Tide's premier weapon RB Darby (only 169 YR so far; nagging hip pointer) hasn't been up to snuff.
(05-ALA. 24-Ark. 13...Al.16-14 Ar.40/237 Al.37/128 Al.13/27/0/173 Ar.11/27/1/81 Al.0 Ar.1)
(05-ALA. -15' 24-13 04-ARK. -5 27-10 03-Ark. -1' 34-31 (OT)...SR: Alabama 21-14)
*BAYLOR 23 - Army 17--Not sure Army can duplicate emotional crescendo it reached in near-upset of A&M last week. But QB Pevoto & Bobby Ross' passing game showed signs of progress vs. Aggies, and we're not thrilled about laying points with Baylor bunch that's fallen so much in love with new spread "O" that it has basically disdained the run. Texan-laden Black Knights 7-1 vs. line last 8 in Lone Star State.
(05-Bay. 20-ARMY 10...19-19 B.37/146 A.40/56 A.19/37/2/228 B.20/30/2/205 B.1 A.0)
(05-Baylor -5' 20-10...SR: Baylor 3-0)
*WESTERN MICHIGAN 41 - Temple 6--Temple might rally for the supreme effort to snap 15-game losing streak. But don't bet on it. Owls have been outscored by a total of 87-0 in 1st halves of last 2 games.
(05-Wmu 19-TEM. 16...W.23-15 W.43/151 T.45/127 W.22/36/2/227 T.10/23/1/158 W.3 T.2)
(05-Western Michigan -3' 19-16...SR: Western Michigan 4-0)
*MISSISSIPPI 20 - Wake Forest 19--Ole Miss has a bit more upside potential offensively with athletic QB Schaeffer (accounted for 255 yds. vs. Kentucky) than WF's raw RS frosh Skinner, who's been prematurely thrown into fire with vet field general Mauk injured. But Grobe's team 13-7-1 last 21 as road dog and is loaded with returning vets. (FIRST MEETING)
*KANSAS 24 - South Florida 7--RS frosh QB Matt Grothe (more than 400 total yards last week!) has energized USF aerial attack that produced fewer than 180 ypg in each of previous 3 seasons. But KU has its own emerging RS frosh QB in versatile Kerry Meier, as well as huge edge at TB with underrated sr. Jon Cornish. Jayhawk defense brings the pain at Lawrence, where host has covered 10 of last 13. KU, which had 5 turnovers last week at Toledo, cleans up its act and pulls away in this one. (FIRST MEETING)
*TEXAS A&M 41 - Louisiana Tech 13--HC Franchione called last week's 28-24 late escape vs. Army just what his Aggies needed after wins vs. totally overmatched Citadel & La.-Lafayette. Tech, which emerged with 31-21 victory over triple-option Nicholls State, doesn't have the experience on defense to handle A&M QB McGee (142 YR last week) and improving Aggie spread-option. (DNP...SR: Texas A&M 8-0)
*UAB 20 - Mississippi State 14--Since MSU QB/WR Conner (241 YP, 71 YR off bench vs. Tulane) appears he just might ignite the offense the 2nd time around, believe hard-trying, hungry Bulldogs can test UAB aggregrate that lacks much dynamism on offense (due to inexperienced QBs) and is nicked-up at RB (see Ticker). You can be sure MSU's demanding 3rd-year HC Croom will crack the whip on the "D" after virtual no-show in 33-29 home loss vs. Tulane loss. Blazers just 2-6 as chalk last 8.
(04-Uab -11' 27-13...SR: UAB 1-0)
*LSU 48 - Tulane 7--Tulane offense came alive in 32-point outburst vs. Miss. State, but that only serves to alert a rock-ribbed LSU defense that's permitted uno TD in past 4 games. After failing to reach paydirt vs. Auburn, Tigers rifle-armed QB Russell and his prime-time arsenal will make lots of downfield plays vs.slower, tackle-missing Green Wave "D." Resilient LSU has covered 5 straight following a SU loss, romping in last two by a combined 77-10 score. (DNP...SR: LSU 65-22-7)
*Utah 24 - SAN DIEGO STATE 15--Nothing wrong with early efforts of Chuck Long's new "D" (SDSU had Wisconsin blanked deep into 3rd Q last week). But MWC scouts report Aztecs' obsession with establishing the run a foolish pursuit without requisite manpower in pits, and new QB Mougey still breaking out of pocket too quickly. Meanwhile, Utah "O" back on track (47 ppg last 2) after sloppy effort in UCLA opener.
(05-S. Diego St. 28-UTAH 19...U.30-17 U.43/175 S.34/166 U.31/48/1/417 S.17/23/0/219 S.0 U.1)
(05-Sds +10 28-19 04-Utah -19 51-28 03-UTAH -9 27-6...SR: EVEN 12-12-1)
*BOISE STATE 38 - Hawaii 20--WAC scouts raving about upgrades in Jerry Glanville's Hawaii defense, which generated pressure with only 3 rushers and flooded pass lanes with defenders while dominating UNLV last week. But must defer to Boise's long-running "blue carpet magic" (26-9 vs. line last 35 as home chalk!) and newly-found quick-striking Bronco ground game that can keep June Jones' Red Gun parked on sidelines much of night.
(05-Boise St. 44-HI. 41...H.25-23 B.48/223 H.22/114 H.30/55/2/442 B.18/33/1/207 B.3 H.0)
(05-Bsu -10' 44-41 04-BSU -22' 69-3 03-Bsu -10' 45-28...SR: Boise State 5-2)
*MICHIGAN STATE 31 - Notre Dame 30--MSU has been a nemesis for Notre Dame historically, and Spartans have covered 8 of last 10 in series. MSU QB Stanton has been exceptional thus far, completing 68% and running for 6.4 ypc & 3 scores. Spartan RB Ringer (7.7 ypc) looks like he's finally 100% healthy and fulfilling his potential. Respect ND HC Charlie Weis, but Irish offense looked sloppy (5 TOs) against Michigan, and Irish defensive speed is suspect. REGIONAL TV--ABC
(05-Msu 44-N. DAME 41 (OT)...N.31-18 M.36/161 N.38/107 N.33/60/1/487 M.16/27/1/327 M.2 N.1)
(05-Msu +5' 44-41 (OT) 04-Und -3 31-24 03-Msu +10 22-16...SR: Notre Dame 43-25-1)
*Southern Cal 34 - ARIZONA 9--Although there's more of a workmanlike quality than explosiveness to new SC edition, presence of glue-fingered jr. WR Jarrett (11 catches vs. Nebraska) provides a constant big-play threat and a needed go-to target for new QB Booty. Meanwhile, opposing defenses not fooled as they were late LY by UA soph QB Tuitama (limited by concussion last week), keeping him contained in pocket while young Cat OL (3 RS frosh starting) adjusts to life in Pac-10. REGIONAL TV--ABC
(05-S. CAL 42-Ariz. 21...S.39-12 S.52/337 A.23/64 S.29/44/1/387 A.16/25/1/181 S.1 A.0)
(05-USC -37' 42-21 04-USC -35 49-9 03-Usc -28' 45-0...SR: Southern Cal 23-6)
*HOUSTON 26 - Oklahoma State 20--Both stepping up in class after soft early slates, but there's little doubt which team is likely to do more damage in air. Houston sr. Kevin Kolb, a 4-year starter, has 63 career TD passes; OSU soph Bobby Reid has 9. Edge to Cowboy defense (permitted no meaningful points in first 3 games), although TY's experienced Coug stop unit sounder than recent editions. (DNP...SR: EVEN 8-8-1)
*OREGON STATE 31 - Idaho 17--Dennis Erickson's "Reunion Tour" (are NFL Seahawks & 49ers on Idaho's slate, too?) continues at Corvallis, where Vandals hope they perform better than the last time they faced one of Erickson's other former employers (56-10 blowout loss vs. Wash. State). But don't trust mistake-prone OSU QB Moore to extend margin, and percolating juco RB Flowers giving Idaho attack extra dimension.
(DNP...SR: Oregon State 35-7)
ADDED GAMES
OKLAHOMA 36 - Middle Tennessee State 13--Some dubious officials' calls cost OU dearly at Oregon, while Middle finally got offense going in 44-0 rout of Tenn. Tech. Sooner defense (501 yds. at Eugene) appears to have just enough leaks for Blue Raiders to hang around (OU only 1-8 last 9 favored by 20 or more). (FIRST MEETING)
*MARYLAND 27 - Florida International 13--Not interested in laying substantial points with sputtering Maryland (1-7 last 8 as home chalk). Terps have scored more than 27 only three times in last 21 games. Prefer to "take" with plucky FIU. Panthers have a sr. QB, a blossoming TB (soph A'Mod Ned 16 for 169, including 80-yard TD burst, last week), and a scrappy defense. (FIRST MEETING)
*AKRON 33 - North Texas 10--Akron QB Luke Getsy (618 YP L2 games) & tough Zip run defense (3.0 ypc, 95 ypg) will make it a long day for North Texas side that has been a terrible spread play outside its conference. NTU juco QB Woody Wilson not enough to get Mean Green the cover. (DNP...SR: Akron 1-0)
*SOUTH CAROLINA 40 - Florida Atlantic 3 --Although frustrated "Darth Visor" made numerous personnel changes following disappointing 18-0 home loss vs. Georgia 2 weeks ago, won't hesitate to lay heavy wood (even with Auburn up next Thursday) vs. road-weary Florida Atlantic, content to pick up big paychecks and big losses. With 'Cocks reinstated QB B. Mitchell or whoever in control, youthful Owls get ripped for 4th straight time (lost by 46 vs. Florida International in '05 finale). Do you think former Florida mentor Spurrier shows much compassion for former Miami HC Schnellenberger? Nah. (FIRST MEETING)
*NEBRASKA 31 - Troy 16--After boasting about what would be their upcoming win at USC, Nebraska "rolled" to only 10 FDs and 9 completions vs. Southern Cal defense missing 3-4 starters. Meanwhile, it took a 21-point outburst by Ga. Tech to finally subdue QB Haugabook and hard-fighting Troy (6-2 last 8 as DD dog).
(03-NEBRASKA -27' 30-0...SR: Nebraska 3-0)
*SMU 20 - Arkansas State 19--Even though it was only vs. Sam Houston State, last week's 5 TD passes just what psychologist ordered for SMU RS frosh QB Justin Willis' sagging confidence. ASU's underrated defense won't be such pushovers, however, especially with extra week of prep. (FIRST MEETING)
TUESDAY, SEPTEMBER 26
*Southern Miss at UCF--Please visit our website (http://www.goldsheet.com [goldsheet.com]">www.goldsheet.com) or call 800-798-4653 on Tuesday, September 26 at no charge for our predicted score and analysis of this game. CABLE TV - ESPN2
(05-S. MISS 52-Ucf 31...U.23-19 U.35/96 S.31/73 S.24/39/1/278 U.24/41/1/260 S.0 U.4)
(05-SOUTHERN MISS -8' 52-31...SR: Southern Miss 1-0)
COLLEGE KEY RELEASES
WISCONSIN Plus over Michigan
MISSOURI by 31 over Ohio U.
TULSA by 2 over Navy
CALIFORNIA by 18 over Arizona State
KANSAS by 17 over South Florida
posted by phantom
Sept. 21 2006 3:11pm -
0 likes
PPP - Saturday PLAYS
Saturday, September 23
MICHIGAN (-14) over Wisconsin by 21 (Noon)
Dog is 4-0 ATS run in this series. Wisky is 11-4 ATS as road dog while Michigan is on a 3-11 ATS run at home. Rebuilt Badger running game and defense in fine form. Witness the 14-0 shutout of San Diego St. LW in which they out rushed the Aztecs 287-13 and held them to 115 total yards. Additional issue for Michigan is their possible let down following Notre Dame. Despite these detractors, I make a contrary favorite call on what right now appears to be the Nation's most balanced and complete team.
SYRACUSE (-6.5) over Miami Ohio by 14 (7:00)
0-3 SU Miami suffering thru a rebuilding season with just 7 RS, including 2 on a defensive unit that is getting beaten at the point of attack 5.1-2.8 YPR. Orange went thru their rebuilding season LY struggling to a 1-10 SU season. LW s 31-21 victory at Illinois broke their 11 game losing streak and was their 5th consecutive cover. Major positive indicator was out rushing the Illini 202-110. Come to this party early before Citrus futures skyrocket.
MISSOURI (-22) over Ohio U by 28 (2:00)
2 weeks ago the Bob Cats had an off the chart passing day against a weak N. Illinois pass defense suffering from an Ohio St. hangover. That's the only thing Ohio has done right all season as they are running for only 78 RYPG and allowing 5.0 YPR. We had a rare loser LW with Missouri who allowed New Mexico to come thru the back door with under a minute remaining. They out gained the Lobos 396-201. QB Daniels leads a balanced offense running for 224 RYPG and passing for 262 PYPG. The defense is stout allowing just 10 PPG and 1.7 YPR. We come right back with the Tigers this week against an Ohio team who was steamrolled by Rutgers LW 217 to *6 RY, is playing it's 3rd straight road game, and is just 2-11 ATS as RD.
Louisville (-14) over KANSAS ST by only 7 (Noon)
This line has already moved 6 points in favor of Louisville based on their 31-7 victory over Miami LW (only out gained them 389-342). No one seems to care that the Cardinal plays much better at home, may suffer a huge letdown, and is playing without their best runner or thrower. Well aware that the Card D is the stronger force against the transitioning Wild Cat offense. But State is playing some D of their own allowing just 10 PPG and 2.1 YPR. Contrary home dog call.
NAVY (-4.5) over Tulsa by 11 (1:30)
Multi faceted Tulsa offense very hard to prepare for. Tulsa has been a good traveler going 8-1 ATS away of late. Yet this rare Eastern trip precedes their conference opener next week. Middies again provided profit for our Late Phone subscribers with their 37-9 victory at Stanford in which they out rushed the Cardinal 368-74. It ran their recent record to 26-10 ATS. Again this season, they are the #1 running team in the Nation averaging 346 RYPG and 5.5 YPR. Steamroller?
VIRGINIA TECH (-26.5) over Cincinnati by 34 (Noon)
The Bear Cats hung tough with big brother for 3 quarters LW before succumbing 37-7. Can't see them relishing this trip to Blacksburg. At the same time the Hokies were Steamrolling Duke for us 36-0, allowing just 139 yards. Point spread runs for Tech are now mind boggling, 23-4 ATS first 5 games L6Y, 15-5 ATS at home, and on a current overall run of 18-4 ATS. Special teams and defense key another blow out victory.
OHIO ST. (-16) over Penn St. by only 9 (3:30)
#1 Buckeyes are 3-0 SU ATS and have now covered 10 consecutive games. This has been a homer series, 8-0 ATS, and Ohio St. is 14-5 ATS at home vs. Big 10 foes. In addition, Buckeyes are motivated by 17-10 revenge. When last the public left Penn St., they were witnessing them being annihilated by Notre Dame, 41-17. Must remember, however, that Penn St. was only out gained by the Irish 397-393. Dame prospered from 3 key Penn St. turnovers and numerous mental mistakes. Despite the youth on Penn State's offensive line and defensive backfield, their statistical profile finds them out rushing foes 208-63 and playing efficient pass defense. Ohio St. ATS streak stops today.
Washington St (-10 over STANFORD by only 3 (5:00)
Stanford coach Harris has outwardly conceded this to be a rebuilding year. They are allowing 336 RYPG and 40 PPG. Now their offense is suffering attrition as well. Maybe that's why we're getting 14 points more than what we would have gotten if this game were played 3 weeks ago. Wash St. laying doubles on the road in PAC 10 play even more ludicrous than backing the inept Cardinals.
CALIFORNIA (-7.5) over Arizona St. by 14 (3:30)
Opening day loss by Cal at Tennessee is going to continue to provide value for us on the Bears this week (remember, we already cashed a 5% top play winner in their romp over Minnesota). For starters, Tedford vs. Koetter is a mismatch with Bears winning all 3 of these coaching match-ups by an average of 24 PPG. On the surface, it appears the Sun Devil passing attack is enough to allow them to remain competitive. As you'll witness, however, the Bears have the superior stop unit and superior offensive line. When the Bears have the ball, watch RB Lynch, the best running back in college football, continue to get his 7+ YPR against an over rated State defensive front. Sun Devils just 6-14 ATS on PAC 10 road.
Air Force (P) over WYOMING by 7 (4:30)
When Air Force lost 31-30 at Tennessee in week 2, many attributed it to a Tennessee let down following their opening game win vs. Cal. Meanwhile, everyone is impressed with an improved Wyoming defense who has played 3 solid games including holding high scoring Boise to just 246 yards and 17 points in their home dog cover as (+8) LW. You don't score by getting to the party too late. That's what will happen if you miss out on this anticipated early season ATS run by the Fly Boys. If they can gain 281 RY at Tennessee, the Cowboys won't be stopping them. Get this one before it gets hot.
GEORGIA (-27) over Colorado by only 20 (12:30)
Here's another case where we get to take 2 full touchdowns over what the line would have been 3 weeks ago. The Buffs are off to an 0-3 SU, 0-2 ATS start in the Hawkins era. They are scoring just 8 PPG on 194 YPG. Top 5 Georgia is off to a 3-0 SU, 2-0 ATS start including back -to -back shutouts over South Carolina and UAB. But it's the opposite units that make us the money today. The Georgia offense is gaining just 318 YPG. The Colorado defense is allowing just 82 RYPG and 2.3 YPR. Take the generous value.
ARKANSAS (-1) over Alabama by 8 (3:30)
Alabama QB Wilson makes his first road stop for an Alabama offense that has struggled at home with mediocre defenses of Hawaii and Vandy. This a much tougher site and challenge. 0-3 ATS Arkansas with 19 RS, is the Nation's biggest under achiever. Balanced offence, led by emerging QB Mustain, succeeding overland at a rate of 193 RYPG on 5.6 YPR.
TEXAS A&M (-23.5) over Louisiana Tech by 31 (7:00)
If they are not going to show up, why does La Tech even schedule these games? They are just 1-10 ATS vs. BCS teams and 2-8 ATS as +10+. Depleted La Tech defensive unit returns just 2 starters and is equally vulnerable to both the run 197 RYPG and pass 207 PYPG. Coming off a 5-6 SU season, A&M destroyed their first 2 opponents by a combined count of 86-10. Following their 28-24 escape vs. Army LW, look for the confidence building momentum to return prior to Big 12 play.
Utah (-6) over SAN DIEGO ST. by 13 (8:00)
Utah another team whose week one under performance has kept them under the radar screen. They have exploded offensively L2G following horrendous performance week 1 at UCLA. Their 5.0 YPR offense plays well against an Aztec defense allowing a like amount. Stingy Utah defense, 72 RYPG, 2.2 YPR, assures Aztec ground game, 61 RYPG 1.7 YPR stays under wraps.
MICHIGAN ST. (+3.5) over Notre Dame by 4 (8:00)
Home dog Spartans the better team in this. Yet we get full value because of pre-season hype of QB Quinn and Irish offense. But they have yet to establish a ground game, just 84 RYPG on 2.7 YPR and don't figure to do so today against a State defense allowing just 79 RYPG and 2.8 YPR. Balanced Spartans averaging 256 RYPG and 248 PYPG are the superior offensive team behind QB Stanton. Lone regret is value lost when Irish were exposed LW by Michigan, yet another of our 16 ATS Late Phone winners for the week.
USC (-21) over ARIZONA by only 14 (8:00)
Yet another game where we get to take 2 TDs more than what the line would have been opening week. The public perception is of USC in a pair of Nationally Televised Saturday night wins vs. Arkansas and Nebraska. The alternating Saturday night they got to watch Arizona get destroyed at LSU. Too much value to pass up with a quality home dog.
AKRON (-18) over North Texas by 24 (6:00)
North Texas returned to form LW with their 28-3 loss at Tulsa. It makes their record 1-9 ATS vs. non-con and 0-9 ATS as +10+ road dogs. The only time they cared against a non-con opponent was when they upset SMU 2 weeks ago as a "Regional Rivalry Home Dog". Akron played competitively at Penn St., won at NC St., then had a let down in their 3rd straight road game vs. conference foe Central Michigan. Today in their only home appearance before October 21, look for them to turn it loose against a North Texas team who allows 211 PYPG including 270 yards thru the airways LW vs. Tulsa. Akron QB Getsey leads an Akron air attack averaging 278 PYPG.
NEBRASKA (-23) over Troy by only 16 (7:00)
Going for the trifecta here with Troy as we have cashed a pair of Late Phone plays each of the last 2 weeks with the Trojans. Despite it being their 3rd consecutive road game, they are determined to bring everything they have when playing the big boys. Improved offense, averaging 25 PPG, is led by QB Haugabook at 215 PYPG. Possible flat spot for Nebraska between their Saturday night TV loss at USC and the Big 12 Conference season ahead.
posted by phantom
Sept. 21 2006 3:12pm -
0 likes
The Red Sheet
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THE RED SHEET
SEPTEMBER 23, 2006 VOLUME 38, NUMBER 4
SOUTH CAROLINA 56 - Florida Atlantic 7 - (7:00 EDT) -- Line opened at South Carolina minus 30½, and is still minus 30½. Quite a suicide run for the Owls, who have yet to play in front of the home folks, with this one being their 4th consecutive road game. Thus far, the results have been a disaster, with 54-6, 45-0, & 48-8 losses. Enter the Gamecocks of Carolina, who are in need of a solid showing before taking on Auburn next week. A week ago, the 'Cocks barely got by Wofford, with a 290-165 RY disadvantage. That one, of course, was played with Carolina QB Mitchell sitting out a 1-game suspension (he returns here). SC has yet to put on the type of offensive display of which Spurrier is accustomed, and this provides the perfect opportunity. Have to see it near Atlantic's normal scoring deficit.
RATING: SOUTH CAROLINA 89
CALIFORNIA 40 - Arizona State 24 - (3:30) -- Line opened at California minus 7½, and is now minus 8.This one marks the 3rd home game for the Bears, who've won by near exact scores of 42-17 & 42-16 in their previous 2. Two weeks ago, we placed them in this same spot, with the result being that demolition of a Minnesota squad which has a 106-0 edge in its other 2
outings, albeit vs Kent & Temple. That Minny game saw the Bears with 31 FDs & 531 yds (16½ pt cover). Altho a 42-16 win over Portland St is hardly overwhelming, note that all of Cal's pts came in the 1st half last wk, with stellar RB Lynch averaging 18.7 ypr. Devils are formidable, but have just a 35-27 ppg edge in their last 8 lined games. Lay it.
RATING: CALIFORNIA 89
Kent State 24 - BOWLING GREEN 23 - (1:00) -- Line opened at Bowling Green minus 8½, and is now minus 7. Two years ago, when these 2 met on this field the spread was 20½, so nearly a 2-TD drop in the line. The Flashes were among the dregs a year ago, losing all 10 of their lined games, and winding up on a 9-game slide. Returning 18 starters from a 1-10 team
hardly seems a plus, but Kent's entire offensive philosophy has changed dramatically. In '05, the Flashes ranked dead last in the nation in rushing (46 ypg). Not so this time around, with a nice mixture of running & throwing the result. And BG is yet to cover. The dog is 8-1 against the pts in the MAC so far, & it's about time that we got in on it.
RATING: KENT STATE 88
KANSAS 27 - South Florida 13 - (7:00) -- Line opened at Kansas minus 3½, and is now minus 5½. Regrouping time for the Jayhawks, who went down in OT last Friday, thanks to a 5-0 turnover deficit, with QB Meier throwing 4 interceptions, 1 of which was taken back 84 yds, for a TD, in the 4th. When the smoke cleared, the Jays held advantages of 23-14 in FDs, 391-237 in yds, & 34:58-25:02 in time. But it wasn't to be. Now back home, where they are on a 10-4 spread run. As a matter of fact, the host has covered 10 of the last 12 games involving Kansas. The Bulls snapped a 5-game spread slide, with a draining affair of their own last wk, at Cent Fla, directly off a 1-pt home win over Fla-International.
RATING: KANSAS 88
NEVADA 30 - Northwestern 10 - (8:00 Friday - ESPN2) -- Line opened at Nevada minus 4½, and is now minus 7. As you can see, we've lost a total of 6spread pts, since the opening lines, with our non Superior Rated Plays. But that goes with the territory. As far as this contest is concerned, the main story, of course, is the dramatic drop in production of that Wildcat offense,
which finished the '05 season ranked 4th in the entire land in moving the ball. This season, vs the likes of Miami-Ohio, New Hampshire, & Eastern Michigan, they've averaged only 17 pts, failing to reach 200 yds, either running or passing. Reno was like a runner with the weights removed in rout of Colorado St, no reason not to dominate this.
RATING: NEVADA 88
Baltimore 26 - CLEVELAND 10 - (4:05) -- Line opened at Baltimore minus 6½, and is now minus 6. Until things change, we will continue to ride this meal ticket. The acquisition, in the off season, of Steve McNair has changed the dynamics of this Raven team about as dramatically, as any single player has done in the NFL, in ages - so far, at least. Sure, the nearly TD spot as a
division traveller, is always cause for concern, but see no letup for a hungry squad which drank from the Super Bowl cup just 6 yrs ago, but has just a single post-season win since, & is in off a 6-10 season. The Raven "D" is allowing just 3 ppg, as well as 151 yds per contest. Brownies beat 'em by 4 here last year, so Billick's outfit will be fully focused.
RATING: BALTIMORE 88
NEAR CHOICES (Rated 87): BYU, Ohio St, UCLA, Army, Utah -- NFL: Cincinnati, Detroit, New Orleans.
posted by phantom
Sept. 21 2006 3:13pm -
0 likes
Rocky's winner circle
Guaranteed BB- Balt
GOW- Calif
Dawg pound-NC st,Okl st, Ohio u,Tenn, Fla Int,East Mich
100% Super system- Stanford
System Gow-Sea
Total Gow-Over Boise
Gold pan willie 10*-Phl
7* Power play- Navy
Mr Platinum- Boise
Solid Gold- Neb
Underdog play- E Mich
Burglar Bob-Under Ala
Swami-New England
Nighthawk-Utah
K-lines kicks- Wyo
Sweetheart teasers
USC
Va Tech
Ohio st
Pro Sweetheart
Ariz
N.O.
Chi
posted by phantom
Sept. 21 2006 3:14pm -
0 likes
Vir Vs G Tech
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Virginia lost three assistant coaches last winter to head coach jobs, plus they took some more assistants with them, so Groh in position of having to coach the coaches. They're also using a cumbersome three-QB system, an idea that got David Cutcliffe fired at Ole Miss last year.
Georgia Tech has covered only 30% of its ACC home games of late (6-14) and is 3-8 vs spread on its Thursday ESPN appearances.
Virginia won last three series tilts, but lost at home to Western Michigan last week, after surviving Wyoming in OT the week before.
Sr QB Ball had 130 rushing yards in win over Troy last week. Home team covered seven of last eight series games.
posted by phantom
Sept. 21 2006 7:15pm -
0 likes
Thursday, September 21st
Virginia at Georgia Tech, 7:30 EST ESPN
Virginia: 6-16 ATS away off an Under
Georgia Tech: 6-0 Under off an Over
posted by phantom
Sept. 21 2006 7:20pm -
0 likes
Virginia at Georgia Tech (-17), total 39
7:30 p.m. ET, ESPN
The first conference game for each ACC Coastal rival, Georgia Tech takes to the road for the first time this year with hopes of ending Virginia`s three-game head-to-head winning streak. The Cavaliers have failed to cover in each of their games this season, but have won (and covered) in five of the last seven meetings between these foes.
The Ramblin` Wreck has cranked out over 200 rushing yards per game en route to their 2-1 record, but may look to target All-American receiver Calvin Johnson more often after completing just six passes to him over the last two games. Starting conference play should help - Johnson caught 21 passes for 367 yards and three touchdowns in his first three conference games last year.
posted by phantom
Sept. 21 2006 7:26pm -
0 likes
SUNSHINE FORECAST
Virginia(+17) at Georgia Tech
Power Rating Projection:
Georgia Tech 27 Virginia 14
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Georgia Tech 21 Virginia 9
Historical trend: Take Georgia Tech ( Domination by home team, 7-1, 87.5% )
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Friday, September 22, 2006
Northwestern(+6½) at Nevada-Reno
Power Rating Projection:
Northwestern 30 Nevada-Reno 28
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Northwestern 33 Nevada-Reno 31
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Saturday, September 23, 2006
Wisconsin(+14) at Michigan
Power Rating Projection:
Michigan 31 Wisconsin 22
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Michigan 30 Wisconsin 21
Minnesota(-3) at Purdue
Power Rating Projection:
Minnesota 33 Purdue 28
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Purdue 38 Minnesota 31
Purdue (1 star)
Angle: Fourth Straight Home Game
Go with Purdue ( Won previous three games, Underdog, PK or NL in at least one of 1st three games, 14-6, 70.0% )
Historical trend: Take Minnesota ( Domination by favorite, 6-0, 100.0% )
Miami-Ohio(+7) at Syracuse
Power Rating Projection:
Syracuse 22 Miami-Ohio 19
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Syracuse 17 Miami-Ohio 14
Ohio(+21) at Missouri
Power Rating Projection:
Missouri 38 Ohio 16
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Missouri 38 Ohio 16
Louisville(-14) at Kansas State
Power Rating Projection:
Louisville 30 Kansas State 20
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Kansas State 24 Louisville 22
Kansas State (1 star)
Angle: Fourth Straight Home Game
Go with Kansas State ( Won previous three games, Underdog, PK or NL in at least one of 1st three games, 14-6, 70.0% )
Marshall(+21) at Tennessee
Power Rating Projection:
Tennessee 30 Marshall 13
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Tennessee 24 Marshall 9
North Carolina(+16½) at Clemson
Power Rating Projection:
Clemson 36 North Carolina 23
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Clemson 46 North Carolina 20
Clemson (1 star)
Kentucky(+24) at Florida
Power Rating Projection:
Florida 39 Kentucky 9
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Florida 42 Kentucky 0
Florida (1 star)
Iowa(-20½) at Illinois
Power Rating Projection:
Iowa 36 Illinois 17
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Iowa 37 Illinois 17
Rice(+30½) at Florida State
Power Rating Projection:
Florida State 38 Rice 15
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Florida State 38 Rice 15
Buffalo(+43) at Auburn
Power Rating Projection:
Auburn 42 Buffalo 2
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Auburn 41 Buffalo 0
Kent State(+7) at Bowling Green
Power Rating Projection:
Bowling Green 36 Kent State 21
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Bowling Green 38 Kent State 24
Tulsa(+4½) at Navy
Power Rating Projection:
Tulsa 33 Navy 28
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Tulsa 38 Navy 34
Cincinnati(+26½) at Virginia Tech
Power Rating Projection:
Virginia Tech 41 Cincinnati 8
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Virginia Tech 38 Cincinnati 6
Utah State(+30½) at Brigham Young
Power Rating Projection:
Brigham Young 44 Utah State 13
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Brigham Young 47 Utah State 16
Historical trend: Take Brigham Young ( Domination by home team, 4-0, 100.0% )
Penn State(+16½) at Ohio State
Power Rating Projection:
Ohio State 33 Penn State 17
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Ohio State 31 Penn State 14
Historical trend: Take Ohio State ( Domination at home by Ohio State, 4-0, 100.0% )
Historical trend: Take Ohio State ( Domination by favorite at Ohio State, 4-0, 100.0% )
Historical trend: Take Ohio State ( Domination by home team, 8-0, 100.0% )
Iowa State(+24) at Texas
Power Rating Projection:
Texas 42 Iowa State 16
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Texas 45 Iowa State 18
Washington State(-10) at Stanford
Power Rating Projection:
Washington State 36 Stanford 25
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Washington State 35 Stanford 24
Arizona State(+7½) at California
Power Rating Projection:
California 26 Arizona State 24
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Arizona State 28 California 17
Arizona State (1 star)
U.C.L.A.(-3) at Washington
Power Rating Projection:
U.C.L.A. 33 Washington 28
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
U.C.L.A. 37 Washington 32
Historical trend: Take U.C.L.A. ( Domination by U.C.L.A., 6-1-1, 85.7% )
Connecticut(+1½) at Indiana
Power Rating Projection:
Indiana 27 Connecticut 26
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Indiana 25 Connecticut 24
Central Michigan at Eastern Michigan
Power Rating Projection:
Central Michigan 31 Eastern Michigan 25
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Central Michigan 33 Eastern Michigan 27
Air Force(+1) at Wyoming
Power Rating Projection:
Wyoming 29 Air Force 23
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Wyoming 28 Air Force 22
UTEP(-9½) at New Mexico
Power Rating Projection:
UTEP 27 New Mexico 25
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
UTEP 27 New Mexico 25
Angle: After Bye Week
Go against UTEP ( Playing on the Road, Favored by 7½+ Points, 50-86-2, 36.8% )
West Virginia(-21) at East Carolina
Power Rating Projection:
West Virginia 36 East Carolina 12
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
West Virginia 40 East Carolina 3
West Virginia (1 star)
Boston College(-6½) at No Carolina State
Power Rating Projection:
Boston College 23 No Carolina State 16
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Boston College 17 No Carolina State 10
Colorado(+27) at Georgia
Power Rating Projection:
Georgia 33 Colorado 11
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Georgia 29 Colorado 7
Alabama(+2) at Arkansas
Power Rating Projection:
Alabama 24 Arkansas 13
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Alabama 19 Arkansas 8
Army(+10½) at Baylor
Power Rating Projection:
Baylor 27 Army 17
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Baylor 23 Army 13
Temple(+2 at Western Michigan
Power Rating Projection:
Western Michigan 48 Temple 12
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Western Michigan 52 Temple 16
Wake Forest(+3) at Mississippi
Power Rating Projection:
Wake Forest 26 Mississippi 17
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Wake Forest 20 Mississippi 11
South Florida(+5½) at Kansas
Power Rating Projection:
Kansas 24 South Florida 21
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Kansas 20 South Florida 17
Louisiana Tech(+23) at Texas A+M
Power Rating Projection:
Texas A+M 42 Louisiana Tech 18
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Texas A+M 58 Louisiana Tech 10
Texas A+M (1 star)
Angle: Fourth Straight Home Game
Go with Texas A+M ( Won previous three games, Underdog, PK or NL in at least one of 1st three games, 14-6, 70.0% )
Mississippi State(+10) at U-A-B
Power Rating Projection:
U-A-B 26 Mississippi State 14
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
U-A-B 26 Mississippi State 14
Tulane(+36) at Louisiana State
Power Rating Projection:
Louisiana State 43 Tulane 5
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Louisiana State 50 Tulane 0
Louisiana State (1 star)
Utah(-6) at San Diego State
Power Rating Projection:
Utah 27 San Diego State 23
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Utah 25 San Diego State 21
Hawaii(+14½) at Boise State
Power Rating Projection:
Boise State 36 Hawaii 16
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Boise State 41 Hawaii 9
Boise State (1 star)
Notre Dame(-3½) at Michigan State
Power Rating Projection:
Michigan State 27 Notre Dame 26
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Notre Dame 27 Michigan State 26
Southern Cal(-21) at Arizona
Power Rating Projection:
Southern Cal 41 Arizona 9
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Southern Cal 38 Arizona 7
Oklahoma State(Pk) at Houston
Power Rating Projection:
Oklahoma State 28 Houston 27
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Oklahoma State 30 Houston 28
Idaho(+23) at Oregon State
Power Rating Projection:
Oregon State 43 Idaho 22
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Oregon State 49 Idaho 28
Middle Tennessee(+29) at Oklahoma
Power Rating Projection:
Oklahoma 36 Middle Tennessee 12
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Oklahoma 33 Middle Tennessee 10
Florida Intl(+18½) at Maryland
Power Rating Projection:
Maryland 30 Florida Intl 14
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Maryland 26 Florida Intl 10
North Texas(+17½) at Akron
Power Rating Projection:
Akron 33 North Texas 15
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Akron 30 North Texas 12
Florida Atlantic(+29½) at South Carolina
Power Rating Projection:
South Carolina 43 Florida Atlantic 8
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
South Carolina 41 Florida Atlantic 7
Troy(+21) at Nebraska
Power Rating Projection:
Nebraska 38 Troy 6
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Nebraska 33 Troy 3
Arkansas State(+6½) at S-M-U
Power Rating Projection:
S-M-U 29 Arkansas State 20
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
S-M-U 27 Arkansas State 17
The Citadel at Pittsburgh
Power Rating Projection:
Pittsburgh 47 The Citadel 1
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Pittsburgh 46 The Citadel 0
Howard at Rutgers
Power Rating Projection:
Rutgers 36 Howard 0
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Rutgers 51 Howard 0
Indiana State at Northern Illinois
Power Rating Projection:
Northern Illinois 48 Indiana State 18
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Northern Illinois 55 Indiana State 24
North Dakota St at Ball State
Power Rating Projection:
Ball State 30 North Dakota St 0
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Ball State 35 North Dakota St 0
S E Louisiana at Texas Tech
Power Rating Projection:
Texas Tech 56 S E Louisiana 0
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Texas Tech 59 S E Louisiana 0
Tennessee State at Vanderbilt
Power Rating Projection:
Vanderbilt 30 Tennessee State 0
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Vanderbilt 35 Tennessee State 0
No Carolina A+T at UL-Lafayette
Power Rating Projection:
UL-Lafayette 23 No Carolina A+T 2
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
UL-Lafayette 23 No Carolina A+T 3
Cal-San Luis Obispo at San Jose State
Power Rating Projection:
San Jose State 36 Cal-San Luis Obispo 15
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
San Jose State 34 Cal-San Luis Obispo 14
McNeese State at Toledo
Power Rating Projection:
Toledo 47 McNeese State 11
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Toledo 51 McNeese State 14
posted by phantom
Sept. 21 2006 11:31pm -
0 likes
Sports Reporters
BEST BET
KENT STATE over *BOWLING GREEN by 5
Here’s the whole story about last week’s Premier Players 3-Star “upsetâ€
posted by phantom
Sept. 21 2006 11:31pm -
0 likes
Gator Report
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College Football 70% Super Situations
>>>>> Each week we provide our Top 70% NFL & College Football Super Situations to our Gator Report subscribers you to can enjoy the winning with Gators Online Newsletter sign up today and win tonight with the best online report in the country, the Gator Report! Here are this weeks FREE College Football 70% Super Situations:
Play Against - Road underdogs - with a poor scoring defense - allowing 31 or more points/game, after a win by 6 or less points. (59-25 since 1992.) (70.2%) PLAY: Oregon State -23.5
Play Against - A road team - excellent offensive team (>=6.2 YPP) against a team with an excellent defense (<=4.2 YPP), in conference games. (45-16 over the last 10 seasons.) (73.8%) PLAY: Boise State -14.5
Play Over - All teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 - off 1 or more straight overs, in a game involving two average teams (+/- 5 PPG differential.). (43-16 over the last 10 seasons.) (72.9%) PLAY: UTEP / New Mexico OVER 54
posted by phantom
Sept. 22 2006 3:09pm -
0 likes
Greg Roberts
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Roast of the week:BYU 49-7 over Utah St.
Dog of the week: WISC 21-29 over Mich.
Totals game: Miss St- Uab under
Comp play for Sat: Utah over SD ST.
posted by phantom
Sept. 22 2006 3:10pm -
0 likes
Dunkel Index – NCAA Football
SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 23
Game 105-106: Wisconsin at Michigan
Dunkel Ratings: Wisconsin 97.902; Michigan 107.884
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 10; 49
Vegas Line: Michigan by 14; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (+14); Over
Game 107-108: Minnesota at Purdue
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 95.008; Purdue 90.550
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 4 1/2; 64
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 3; 64
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-3); Neutral
Game 109-110: Miami, (OH) at Syracuse
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 76.221; Syracuse 80.168
Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 4; 39
Vegas Line: Syracuse by 7; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (OH) (+7); Under
Game 111-112: Ohio at Missouri
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 77.737; Missouri 90.113
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 12 1/2; 49 1/2
Vegas Line: Missouri by 21 1/2; 48
Dunkel Pick: Ohio (+21 1/2); Over
Game 113-114: Louisville at Kansas State
Dunkel Ratings: Louisville 106.324; Kansas State 89.944
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 16 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: Louisville by 14; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-14); Under
Game 115-116: Marshall at Tennessee
Dunkel Ratings: Marshall 76.275; Tennessee 101.038
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 25; 42
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 22; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-22); Under
Game 117-118: North Carolina at Clemson
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 83.106; Clemson 100.153
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 17; 45 1/2
Vegas Line: Clemson by 16 1/2; 48
Dunkel Pick: Clemson (-16 1/2); Under
Game 119-120: Kentucky at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Kentucky 82.845; Florida 106.088
Dunkel Line: Florida by 23; 52
Vegas Line: Florida by 24; 54
Dunkel Pick: Kentucky (+24); Under
Game 121-122: Iowa at Illinois
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa 100.827; Illinois 77.014
Dunkel Line: Iowa by 24; 48
Vegas Line: Iowa by 21; 48
Dunkel Pick: Iowa (-21); Neutral
Game 123-124: Rice at Florida State
Dunkel Ratings: Rice 72.969; Florida State 98.329
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 25 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: Florida State by 30 1/2; 48
Dunkel Pick: Rice (+30 1/2); Under
Game 125-126: Buffalo at Auburn
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 63.980; Auburn 108.428
Dunkel Line: Auburn by 44 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: Auburn by 42; 50
Dunkel Pick: Auburn (-42); Under
Game 127-128: Kent at Bowling Green
Dunkel Ratings: Kent 70.447; Bowling Green 79.354
Dunkel Line: Bowling Green by 9; 51
Vegas Line: Bowling Green by 7; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Bowling Green (-7); Over
Game 129-130: Tulsa at Navy
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 85.737; Navy 88.294
Dunkel Line: Navy by 2 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: Navy by 4 1/2; 54
Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (+4 1/2); Over
Game 131-132: Cincinnati at Virginia Tech
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia Tech 105.326; Cincinnati 78.502
Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 27; 43 1/2
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 27; 44
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Under
Game 133-134: Utah State at BYU
Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 64.414; BYU 93.307
Dunkel Line: BYU by 29; 58
Vegas Line: BYU by 29; 51
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Over
Game 135-136: Penn State at Ohio State
Dunkel Ratings: Penn State 101.691; Ohio State 116.541
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 15; 48 1/2
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 16 1/2; 46
Dunkel Pick: Penn State (+16 1/2); Over
Game 137-138: Iowa State at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa State 91.826; Texas 112.054
Dunkel Line: Texas by 20; 54
Vegas Line: Texas by 24 1/2; 54
Dunkel Pick: Iowa State (+24 1/2); Neutral
Game 139-140: Washington State at Stanford
Dunkel Ratings: Washington State 90.112; Stanford 78.578
Dunkel Line: Washington State by 11 1/2; 59
Vegas Line: Washington State by 10; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington State (-10); Over
Game 141-142: Arizona State at California
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona State 95.609; California 103.489
Dunkel Line: California by 8; 59 1/2
Vegas Line: California by 8; 58
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Over
Game 143-144: UCLA at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: UCLA 97.650; Washington 85.111
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 12 1/2; 59 1/2
Vegas Line: UCLA by 3; 51
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (-3); Over
Game 145-146: Connecticut at Indiana
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 83.720; Indiana 81.046
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 2 1/2; 50 1/2
Vegas Line: Connecticut by 1; 48
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (-1); Over
Game 147-148: Central Michigan at Eastern Michigan
Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 80.768; Eastern Michigan 67.676
Dunkel Line: Central Michigan by 13; 50
Vegas Line: Central Michigan by 4; 49
Dunkel Pick: Central Michigan (-4); Over
Game 149-150: Air Force at Wyoming
Dunkel Ratings: Air Force 85.236; Wyoming 84.683
Dunkel Line: Air Force by 1; 45 1/2
Vegas Line: Wyoming by 1; 50
Dunkel Pick: Air Force (+1); Under
Game 151-152: UTEP at New Mexico
Dunkel Ratings: UTEP 89.428; New Mexico 76.670
Dunkel Line: UTEP by 13; 56 1/2
Vegas Line: UTEP by 9 1/2; 54
Dunkel Pick: UTEP (-9 1/2); Over
Game 153-154: West Virginia at East Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: West Virginia 107.398; East Carolina 84.398
Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 23; 52
Vegas Line: West Virginia by 21; 54
Dunkel Pick: West Virginia (-21); Under
Game 155-156: Boston College at NC State
Dunkel Ratings: Boston College 96.810; NC State 87.973
Dunkel Line: Boston College by 9; 41 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston College by 7; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston College (-7); Neutral
Game 157-158: Colorado at Georgia
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 78.718; Georgia 106.260
Dunkel Line: Georgia by 27 1/2; 41
Vegas Line: Georgia by 27; 36
Dunkel Pick: Georgia (-27); Over
Game 159-160: Alabama at Arkansas
Dunkel Ratings: Alabama 97.745; Arkansas 89.863
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 8; 34
Vegas Line: Arkansas by 1 1/2; 37 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Alabama (+1 1/2); Under
Game 161-162: Army at Baylor
Dunkel Ratings: Army 70.840; Baylor 85.795
Dunkel Line: Baylor by 15; 43
Vegas Line: Baylor by 11; 42
Dunkel Pick: Baylor (-11); Over
Game 163-164: Temple at Western Michigan
Dunkel Ratings: Temple 52.856; Western Michigan 86.303
Dunkel Line: Western Michigan by 33 1/2; 58 1/2
Vegas Line: Western Michigan by 28; 48
Dunkel Pick: Western Michigan (-28); Over
Game 165-166: Wake Forest at Mississippi
Dunkel Ratings: Wake Forest 86.382; Mississippi 81.433
Dunkel Line: Wake Forest by 5; 39
Vegas Line: Mississippi by 3; 41
Dunkel Pick: Wake Forest (+3); Under
Game 167-168: South Florida at Kansas
Dunkel Ratings: South Florida 85.611; Kansas 87.259
Dunkel Line: Kansas by 1 1/2; 45 1/2
Vegas Line: Kansas by 5 1/2; 44
Dunkel Pick: South Florida (+5 1/2); Over
Game 169-170: Louisiana Tech at Texas A&M
Dunkel Ratings: Louisiana Tech 76.749; Texas A&M 94.137
Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 17 1/2; 56 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas A&M by 24; 59
Dunkel Pick: Louisiana Tech (+24); Under
Game 171-172: Mississippi State at UAB
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi State 73.137; UAB 84.751
Dunkel Line: UAB by 11 1/2; 35 1/2
Vegas Line: UAB by 9 1/2; 37 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UAB (-9 1/2); Under
Game 173-174: Tulane at LSU
Dunkel Ratings: Tulane 68.247; LSU 111.576
Dunkel Line: LSU by 43 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: LSU by 36; 49
Dunkel Pick: LSU (-36); Under
Game 175-176: Utah at San Diego State
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 94.795; San Diego State 84.409
Dunkel Line: Utah by 10 1/2; 51 1/2
Vegas Line: Utah by 6 1/2; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah (-6 1/2); Over
Game 177-178: Hawaii at Boise State
Dunkel Ratings: Hawaii 84.072; Boise State 98.671
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 14 1/2; 62 1/2
Vegas Line: Boise State by 14 1/2; 62 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Neutral
Game 179-180: Notre Dame at Michigan State
Dunkel Ratings: Notre Dame 105.209; Michigan State 98.321
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 7; 58 1/2
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 3 1/2; 60
Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (-3 1/2); Under
Game 181-182: USC at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: USC 120.192; Arizona 87.342
Dunkel Line: USC by 33; 55
Vegas Line: USC by 21; 49
Dunkel Pick: USC (-21); Over
Game 183-184: Oklahoma State at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma State 86.526; Houston 84.725
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 2; 54
Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 1; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma State (-1); Under
Game 185-186: Idaho at Oregon State
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho 64.142; Oregon State 90.972
Dunkel Line: Oregon State by 27; 61 1/2
Vegas Line: Oregon State by 23; 55
Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (-23); Over
Game 187-188: Middle Tennessee St. at Oklahoma
Dunkel Ratings: Middle Tennessee St. 73.457; Oklahoma 98.260
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 25; 40
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 28 1/2; 44
Dunkel Pick: Middlet Tennessee St. (+28 1/2); Under
Game 189-190: Florida International at Maryland
Dunkel Ratings: Florida International 71.847; Maryland 88.722
Dunkel Line: Maryland by 17; 46 1/2
Vegas Line: Maryland by 18; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida International (+18); Over
Game 191-192: North Texas at Akron
Dunkel Ratings: North Texas 69.671; Akron 83.702
Dunkel Line: Akron by 14; 46
Vegas Line: Akron by 17 1/2; 42
Dunkel Pick: North Texas (+17 1/2); Over
Game 193-194: Florida Atlanta at South Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 58.445; South Carolina 90.941
Dunkel Line: South Carolina by 32 1/2; 39 1/2
Vegas Line: South Carolina by 29 1/2; 41
Dunkel Pick: South Carolina (-29 1/2); Under
Game 195-196: Troy at Nebraska
Dunkel Ratings: Troy 72.013; Nebraska 102.568
Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 30 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Nebraska by 23; 46
Dunkel Pick: Nebraska (-23); Over
Game 197-198: Arkansas State at SMU
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas State 68.993; SMU 72.031
Dunkel Line: SMU by 3; 44
Vegas Line: SMU by 6; 39 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas State (+6); Over
posted by phantom
Sept. 22 2006 3:10pm -
0 likes
Ben Lee Eckstein
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3-0 best bets for the year
Texas -24
posted by phantom
Sept. 22 2006 3:19pm -
0 likes
Northcoast free pick phones
Monday
Early Bird POW Texas A&M -23
Tuesday
Underdog POW Kent St.
Power Plays Newsletter 4* USC
Wednesday
PAC 10 POW Cal
Thursday
Totals POW Miami under
CUSA/ POW Navy
friday
Nothcoast free pick phone
SEC POW Tennessee
posted by phantom
Sept. 22 2006 3:19pm -
0 likes
Rocky's computerized totals (says he's 9-2...plus 3-0 on BB that are $9.)
Under Va Tech
Under Utah
posted by phantom
Sept. 22 2006 3:19pm -
0 likes
Dr. Bob
Utah (4)
Florida (3)
Michigan St (3)
Oreg St (2)
opinions:
Wisconsin
Minny
K St
S Fla
Hawaii
posted by phantom
Sept. 22 2006 3:20pm -
0 likes
Tom Luicci
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4 ~ 4 every week so far
12 ~ 12 season
MICHIGAN over Wisconsin, giving 14 (Noon, ESPN)Two reasons why the Wolverines shouldn't suffer a letdown: They're home and this is payback for last year. One more: Wisconsin's shaky offense
. PURDUE over Minnesota, taking 3 (Noon, ESPN2)Who cares that the Boilermakers don't play any defense? This is the way Joe Tiller-coached teams have always won: With an explosive offense. Arizona State over
CALIFORNIA, taking 7 1/2 (2:30, FSN)Rudy Carpenter faces a major test against Cal's defense. But maybe ASU's defense, which has 18 sacks already, can keep the Bears under control
. OHIO STATE over Penn State, giving 16 1/2 (3:30, Ch. 7)Hmm. Let's see. Penn State's QB is Anthony Morelli. Ohio State's is Troy Smith. Didn't the Buckeyes win by more than this spread at Texas?
West Virginia over EAST CAROLINA, giving 21 (4:30, ESPN2)The Pi rates have been competitive all year, but here is a troublesome stat: They allowed 403 yards rushing to Navy. Think WVU noticed?
FLORIDA over Kentucky, giving 24 (7:35, ESPN)Is this Kentucky catching Florida at the right time? Maybe. But more likely it's the talented Ga tors catching the ailing Wildcats at the right time
. Notre Dame over MICHIGAN STATE, giving 3 (8, Ch. 7)After losing to the Spartans last year, Charlie Weis told a group of boosters the Irish would never lose to Michigan State again while he was coach. Okay
. Boston College over N.C. STATE, giving 7 (8, ESPN)Eagles continue to flirt with disaster, but QB Matt Ryan is 8-0 as a starter. Wollfpack's coach ing search (and offense search) is well underway.
posted by phantom
Sept. 22 2006 3:21pm -
0 likes
Phill Steele
4* Texas
3* Fla. St
3* louissville
2* Air Force
2* Mich.
2* Arkansas
posted by phantom
Sept. 22 2006 3:33pm -
0 likes
Pointwise phone plays
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4*ohio st.
4*houston
3*south carol
3*virg. tech
3*byu
3*calif.
3*uconn.
2*texas
2*flor.
posted by phantom
Sept. 22 2006 3:33pm -
0 likes
winning points
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close calls
Nevada* over Northwestern by 8 (Friday)
The altitude in Reno can be a problem for some mediocre Northwestern linemen,
and without the usual playmakers to make up for the deficiencies in the trenches,
playing from behind on the road is a headache. NEVADA 27-19.
posted by phantom
Sept. 22 2006 3:41pm -
0 likes
Russell Peters
20* Nevada -7
posted by phantom
Sept. 22 2006 3:41pm -
0 likes
Lt Profits
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2* Nevada under
__________________
posted by phantom
Sept. 22 2006 3:42pm -
0 likes
inside vegas sports pics
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Nevada Wolf Pack - 6.5 over Northwestern Wildcats
Northwestern hits the road off going 1-1 last two games, both coming at home, losing to 1-AA New Hampshire 34-17, while edging lightweight (0-3) E. Mich.14-6. The Wildcats start an ineffective (so far) redshirt freshman at QB. The Wildcat's defense ranked worst in the nation last season. Nevada is 12-2 ATS last 14 home games off beating (2-1) Colorado State 28-10 last week.
posted by phantom
Sept. 22 2006 3:42pm -
0 likes
Charlie Sports
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college football. nevada -7 500*
college football. northwestern @ nevada under 47' 30*
posted by phantom
Sept. 22 2006 3:43pm -
0 likes
Gold Key ..Newsletter play
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3*** Northwestern +7 Over NEVADA (NCAA, 8 et
posted by phantom
Sept. 22 2006 3:44pm