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Here's a nice NFL trend for everyone that has gone 209-124-9 (62.8%) since the start of the 1989 season (it's actually pretty simple):
Play ON any team that averages more than 1.25 offensive yards per rush more than their opponent, if they are not favored by more than 4 points (which obviously means that you always play them in this situation if they are getting points). The plays that fall into the trend this week are:
OAKLAND +12.5
BUFFALO +6.5
CAROLINA Pick (would have played this anyway)
N.Y. GIANTS +3 (-120) (would have played this anyway)
SAN FRANCISCO +3 (would have played this anyway)
PITTSBURGH -2.5
The trend was 17-8 last year, including 6-1 in Week 2. A large majority of the plays will be early in the season before the line catches up to the true abilities of the teams. 16 of the 25 plays last year came by Week 6. I'll keep a separate record for these plays for all to follow. Good Luck!
posted by jdelt88
Sept. 16 2006 5:37am -
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But I really like this week's card.
Cincy-10
Buffalo+6
Detroit+9
T.B.+6 -113 (bought 1/2)
Indy-13
Best of luck to all on their plays.
posted by cruisin
Sept. 17 2006 12:02am -
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TB+6
GB+3
PATS-6
GL!
posted by thenooch
Sept. 17 2006 2:57am -
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First of all, I'd like to say that I consider many of you pretty good friends (that have never met in person) b/c we communicate on a daily basis. Please be supportive, though, in the upcoming weeks as I go through a separation process. Most everyone has been awesome over the past three or so years. I am going to be going through the most difficult part of my life in the near future. I have no idea what separation will be like, but I don't believe it will be fun. Thank you so much for all that everyone has done for me and for this site over the past few years! I am being so sentimental right now, but I love you guys! Good Luck to everyone and I hope all goes well with your lives! I hope I can still contribute to this site in the future. I'll try to give what I can b/c that's what I do, but if I don't, best wishes to everyone (and I truly mean that)!
- Del-T
posted by jdelt88
Sept. 17 2006 4:33am -
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ALRIGHT FELLAS,
WE GOT OFF TO A GREAT START OF 5-1 ( +32 UNITS). HERE ARE MY NFL PLAYS FOR TODAY.
RAMS -3 5 UNITS
BILLS +6 5 UNITS
MINN -1.5 15 UNITS
NE -5.5 8 UNITS (THIS ONE'S FOR MRLV)
LET'S KEEP THE HOT STREAK GOING. I MAY COME BACK WITH A LATE GAME PLAY.
GOOD LUCK ON ALL YOUR PLAYS
MAR MAN
posted by marman
Sept. 17 2006 8:45am -
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2 Teasers for me today:
Giants +9/ Pats PK....2 team 6 pts
Cincy PK/ Balt -2.5/ Buff +16...3 team 10 pts
GL Playas!
posted by honicky23
Sept. 17 2006 10:37am -
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ok fellas sorry couldn't post yesterday for play. i was very busy. i feel bad cause i hammered nevada last night. also had smaller action of florida but they didn't cover for me. no record update since i didn't post. for now here we go
6 point teaser
fins with cowboys. basically a pk for both teams. i think both teams get it done today. 4 unit play for me.
record 6-0 +21 units so far. gl
posted by jtmoney16
Sept. 17 2006 10:53am -
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Shock and Awe Play today $$$$$$$$$$$$
Colts -3 1st qtr
-120
posted by mustand1z
Sept. 17 2006 10:55am -
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crappy day yesterday 1-3 on posted plays
today
giants +3
good luck
posted by bookieman31
Sept. 17 2006 11:19am -
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Detroit +8
St. Louis -3
posted by mj1430
Sept. 17 2006 11:33am -
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NY Giants +3.0
posted by jab38
Sept. 17 2006 11:45am -
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Vikes -2
Bills +6.5
GL Guys
posted by dollarbillz1
Sept. 17 2006 12:05pm -
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My plays:
Roll with me on New Orleans over 39 1/2.
Good luck...got hosed on the Noles under.
I have started working on college basketball and subsequently pro hoops. For those of you that know me, MLB and hoops are my thing, I'm average at best in pigskin. So, play with caution if your riding. I will start posting College trends and value plays in the college hoops section next week. Good chance I'm going to lay off posting pigskin in this site because I've had a pretty slow start.
Take care playas...
MLB
2-2 ATS since returning
Roll with me on over 9 1/2 +100 in Giants/Cards.
Sanchez/Weaver must go.
Jdelt...good luck. They say that everything happens for a reason. If you get bored come down to PCB and play some golf and do some fishing. Wish ya all the best and hope it works out for the best.
posted by pc7588
Sept. 17 2006 12:19pm -
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JDELT- stay strong bro. everything will work itself out..
i really like all 3 of my plays but i am considering these 2 also...
Clev+10-11
SF+3
not sure yet...
GL!
posted by thenooch
Sept. 17 2006 12:23pm -
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Rough Saturday, gave back my weekday profits....
TB +5
MINN -1.5
BUFF +7 (bought hook)
NYG +3
posted by cruznbiyou
Sept. 17 2006 12:24pm -
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adding...
Saints -30
Saints over 39
posted by cruznbiyou
Sept. 17 2006 12:52pm -
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sunday early plays:
cincy -10
TB +4.5
Minny -2.5
philly under 42
good luck today everyone!
D.
posted by deewlay
Sept. 17 2006 12:57pm -
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balitmore -13
under 41 cle/cin
under 42 nyg/phil
TB +4.5
posted by close_call
Sept. 17 2006 12:58pm -
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jdelt!! sorry to hear about your impending situation......wish you the best......our prayers and thoughts go out to both of you....hopefully time will heal the hurt.......everything happens for a reason....make the best of it....
aloha jd!
phant
posted by phantom
Sept. 17 2006 1:56pm -
0 likes 2-0 yesterday.....hehe.....
now for today....hmmmm.....
gonna pick ride...ace-ace....denver under 40.......
lotsa luck fellas!!
posted by phantom
Sept. 17 2006 1:57pm -
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Just hit on the Saints over$$$$
I have to disagree Phantom..although we can both win.
I'm on KC over 38
9 out of the last 10 have gone over.
Screw the injuries and the bad play of Plummer..lots of factors for me to play this over.
GL to all...Phantom..I'll take a 20-19 Chiefs final$$$
posted by pc7588
Sept. 17 2006 3:40pm -
0 likes PC....LETS GET'M!!
posted by phantom
Sept. 17 2006 3:52pm -
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1* saint louis vs san francisco UNDER 43.5
posted by kalind
Sept. 17 2006 4:01pm -
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Good Luck J Delt, keep the faith.
MT
posted by zmatty
Sept. 17 2006 5:30pm -
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7-5 yesterday in the college footies......my sunday night nfl plays are
risking 220 to win 200:
Washington +7
Dallas/Washington UNDER 37
GoodLuck guys
posted by phball101
Sept. 17 2006 7:42pm -
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FELLAS,
ANOTHER HUGE DAY. I WILL PLAY THE
WASHINGTON REDSKINS +7 6 UNITS
ALREADY +23 UNITS ON THE DAY
GOOD LUCK ON ALL YOUR PLAYS
MAR MAN
posted by marman
Sept. 17 2006 8:05pm -
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WASHINGTON COST ME A LUXURY HOTEL NIGHT AT THE HILTON TO A $39 DOLLAR NIGHT AT THE RED FOX MOTEL...HUGE DAY IS MRLASVEGAS NFL GOY WINNER YOU POSTED PATS-6...KEEP AN EYE OUT ILL HAVE THE MARMEISTER POST MY GOY'S SINCE IM DONE POSTING HERE FOR NUMEROUS REASONS.. NFL GOY'S NOW 1-1 SHOULD BE 2-1 BUT LAID OF SAN FRAN LAST WEEK... PATS=$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
posted by DeletedUser
Sept. 18 2006 12:16am