COLLEGE FOOTS WEEK 3
LETS GET THIS PARTY STARTED!!! 
Tim Sullivan ..NY Post
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
wv -16 1/2
6-0 this year in best bets
22-7-1 total
posted by phantom
60 replies
-
0 likes
Newsletters best bets for tonight
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Rockys winner circle
MARYYLAND + 15 over West Virginia
Winning Points
Close Calls
West Virginia* over Maryland by 17 (Thursday)
Tough to diagnose the Mountaineer offensive schemes in a short week, and even
tougher gauging the speed of Pat White, who did not start vs. the Terrapins last
year, and Steve Slaton, who did not even play. WEST VIRGINIA 30-13.
posted by phantom
Sept. 14 2006 4:48pm -
0 likes
Cappers Access
Sport Favorite Underdog Line Pick
(Thur) CFB W. Virginia Maryland 17 Maryland
posted by phantom
Sept. 14 2006 4:49pm -
0 likes
Alex Smart
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
POD
Maryland / West Virginia OVER
The 5th ranked West Virginia Mountaineers started their season with a 42-10 win over Marshall, and followed that up with a romp over E.Washington by a resounding 52-3 score last weekend. Not a good omen for a Maryland team that looked less than stellar in their first two starts , beating Division 1-AA William Mary 27-10 and than taking 24-10 victory vs a depleted Middle Tennessee program. Look for West Virginia to score often and early and before the final score is put up on the board ,to possibly eclipse the total of this contest all by them selves. Note: West Virginia offense has scored an average of 46 PPG in their L/5 home games dating back to last season. The Over is 5-0 in Mountaineers last 5 home games. Play Over
posted by phantom
Sept. 14 2006 4:50pm -
0 likes
Sebastian:
20* wvirginia
__________________
posted by phantom
Sept. 14 2006 4:50pm -
0 likes
Bob Balfe/sunday Selections
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Maryland +17 over West Virginia
The Mountaineers have a very easy schedule this season and I feel they are a bit overrated. West Virginia does play great on offense and on defense, but this year they will have a young secondary that will get hit for big plays. This is a true game that will showcase size vs. speed. Maryland's offensive line and tight ends look like an NFL team and they should be able to protect Hollenbach to throw against that weaker secondary and give room to Josh Allen to run effectively tonight. Maryland coach Ralph Friedgen is a great coach and his staff has tons of experience that will not allow the stupid mistakes to repeat themselves from last season. Maryland has a great defense and they are hard to score on through the air. West Virginia's key to success will be running the ball which will slow down the game. The points in this game are way to high and Maryland if they play flawless has a shot in this game. Take the points
posted by phantom
Sept. 14 2006 4:51pm -
0 likes
Great Lakes 4* Maryland
posted by phantom
Sept. 14 2006 4:52pm -
0 likes
SUNSHINE FORECAST
Thursday, September 14, 2006
Maryland(+16) at West Virginia
Power Rating Projection:
West Virginia 37 Maryland 15
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
West Virginia 37 Maryland 14
Tennessee Tech at Middle Tennessee
Power Rating Projection:
Middle Tennessee 35 Tennessee Tech 0
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Middle Tennessee 35 Tennessee Tech 0
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Friday, September 15, 2006
Kansas(+4½) at Toledo
Power Rating Projection:
Toledo 27 Kansas 25
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Toledo 27 Kansas 24
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Saturday, September 16, 2006
Iowa State(+13) at Iowa
Power Rating Projection:
Iowa 28 Iowa State 24
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Iowa 28 Iowa State 24
Historical trend: Take Iowa State ( Domination by Iowa State, 7-1, 87.5% )
Historical trend: Take Iowa State ( Domination on the road by Iowa State, 4-0, 100.0% )
Brigham Young(+7) at Boston College
Power Rating Projection:
Boston College 31 Brigham Young 24
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Boston College 32 Brigham Young 25
Syracuse(+3½) at Illinois
Power Rating Projection:
Syracuse 29 Illinois 25
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Syracuse 29 Illinois 26
Temple(+42) at Minnesota
Power Rating Projection:
Minnesota 53 Temple 8
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Minnesota 58 Temple 13
Cincinnati(+30½) at Ohio State
Power Rating Projection:
Ohio State 42 Cincinnati 6
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Ohio State 40 Cincinnati 3
Duke(+35) at Virginia Tech
Power Rating Projection:
Virginia Tech 40 Duke 3
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Virginia Tech 37 Duke 0
Wake Forest(+6) at Connecticut
Power Rating Projection:
Connecticut 29 Wake Forest 16
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Connecticut 31 Wake Forest 6
Connecticut (1 star)
Western Michigan(+9½) at Virginia
Power Rating Projection:
Virginia 29 Western Michigan 18
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Virginia 24 Western Michigan 14
Marshall(+10½) at Kansas State
Power Rating Projection:
Kansas State 33 Marshall 12
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Kansas State 28 Marshall 7
Ohio(+17) at Rutgers
Power Rating Projection:
Rutgers 34 Ohio 14
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Rutgers 31 Ohio 10
Angle: After Winning as 20-Point Dog
Go against Ohio ( Underdog by 10 or more points, 5-9-1, 35.7% )
Ball State(+16) at Purdue
Power Rating Projection:
Purdue 44 Ball State 25
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Purdue 49 Ball State 31
Akron(-2) at Central Michigan
Power Rating Projection:
Central Michigan 24 Akron 20
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Central Michigan 19 Akron 16
Kent State(+10½) at Miami-Ohio
Power Rating Projection:
Miami-Ohio 39 Kent State 18
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Miami-Ohio 41 Kent State 20
Historical trend: Take Miami-Ohio ( Domination by home team, 6-2, 75.0% )
Eastern Michigan(+17½) at Northwestern
Power Rating Projection:
Northwestern 40 Eastern Michigan 15
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Northwestern 42 Eastern Michigan 17
South Florida(+2) at U-C-F
Power Rating Projection:
South Florida 29 U-C-F 19
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
South Florida 26 U-C-F 17
San Diego State(+14) at Wisconsin
Power Rating Projection:
Wisconsin 33 San Diego State 19
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Wisconsin 33 San Diego State 18
Boise State(-8½) at Wyoming
Power Rating Projection:
Boise State 27 Wyoming 25
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Boise State 27 Wyoming 25
Michigan State(+2½) at Pittsburgh
Power Rating Projection:
Pittsburgh 33 Michigan State 24
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Pittsburgh 35 Michigan State 26
Florida(-3) at Tennessee
Power Rating Projection:
Florida 29 Tennessee 20
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Florida 28 Tennessee 20
Historical trend: Take Florida ( Domination by visiting team, 6-2, 75.0% )
Historical trend: Take Tennessee ( Domination by underdog, 6-2, 75.0% )
Baylor(+13½) at Washington State
Power Rating Projection:
Washington State 27 Baylor 26
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Washington State 27 Baylor 26
Michigan(+6½) at Notre Dame
Power Rating Projection:
Notre Dame 30 Michigan 26
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Notre Dame 31 Michigan 27
Oklahoma(+4½) at Oregon
Power Rating Projection:
Oregon 27 Oklahoma 24
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Oregon 26 Oklahoma 23
Miami-Florida(+4) at Louisville
Power Rating Projection:
Louisville 38 Miami-Florida 20
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Louisville 41 Miami-Florida 23
Fresno State(-3½) at Washington
Power Rating Projection:
Fresno State 33 Washington 22
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Fresno State 34 Washington 23
Mississippi(+3½) at Kentucky
Power Rating Projection:
Kentucky 30 Mississippi 23
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Kentucky 29 Mississippi 22
Texas(-31) at Rice
Power Rating Projection:
Texas 49 Rice 8
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Texas 52 Rice 11
Texas Tech(-2) at Texas Christian
Power Rating Projection:
Texas Christian 29 Texas Tech 26
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Texas Christian 30 Texas Tech 27
Memphis(+1) at East Carolina
Power Rating Projection:
Memphis 28 East Carolina 24
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Memphis 28 East Carolina 24
Historical trend: Take East Carolina ( Domination by East Carolina, 5-1, 83.3% )
U-A-B(+17) at Georgia
Power Rating Projection:
Georgia 36 U-A-B 14
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Georgia 34 U-A-B 12
Tulane(+11) at Mississippi State
Power Rating Projection:
Mississippi State 27 Tulane 15
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Mississippi State 21 Tulane 10
No Carolina State(+2½) at Southern Miss
Power Rating Projection:
Southern Miss 22 No Carolina State 21
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Southern Miss 23 No Carolina State 21
Arkansas(-5½) at Vanderbilt
Power Rating Projection:
Vanderbilt 28 Arkansas 27
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Vanderbilt 28 Arkansas 27
Arizona State(-10) at Colorado
Power Rating Projection:
Colorado 26 Arizona State 25
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Colorado 25 Arizona State 24
Louisiana State(+3) at Auburn
Power Rating Projection:
Louisiana State 22 Auburn 20
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Louisiana State 17 Auburn 14
Buffalo(+23) at Northern Illinois
Power Rating Projection:
Northern Illinois 35 Buffalo 15
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Northern Illinois 33 Buffalo 13
Clemson(+4) at Florida State
Power Rating Projection:
Florida State 25 Clemson 23
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Florida State 23 Clemson 20
Historical trend: Take Florida State ( Domination at home by Florida State, 4-0, 100.0% )
Historical trend: Take Florida State ( Domination by favorite at Florida State, 4-0, 100.0% )
Historical trend: Take Florida State ( Domination by home team, 7-1, 87.5% )
Nebraska(+18½) at Southern Cal
Power Rating Projection:
Southern Cal 45 Nebraska 23
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Southern Cal 52 Nebraska 30
Missouri(-14) at New Mexico
Power Rating Projection:
Missouri 28 New Mexico 19
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Missouri 25 New Mexico 16
Utah(-20½) at Utah State
Power Rating Projection:
Utah 31 Utah State 13
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Utah 32 Utah State 3
Utah (1 star)
Colorado State(+2½) at Nevada-Reno
Power Rating Projection:
Nevada-Reno 31 Colorado State 30
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Nevada-Reno 35 Colorado State 34
Army(+27½) at Texas A+M
Power Rating Projection:
Texas A+M 36 Army 14
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Texas A+M 34 Army 13
Navy(+3) at Stanford
Power Rating Projection:
Navy 30 Stanford 25
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Navy 31 Stanford 26
Nevada-Las Vegas(+10½) at Hawaii
Power Rating Projection:
Hawaii 35 Nevada-Las Vegas 22
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Hawaii 38 Nevada-Las Vegas 24
Troy(+18) at Georgia Tech
Power Rating Projection:
Georgia Tech 26 Troy 7
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Georgia Tech 21 Troy 3
UL-Monroe(+24) at Alabama
Power Rating Projection:
Alabama 32 UL-Monroe 8
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Alabama 26 UL-Monroe 3
Bowling Green(-5) at Florida Intl
Power Rating Projection:
Bowling Green 31 Florida Intl 24
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Bowling Green 32 Florida Intl 24
Florida Atlantic(+29) at Oklahoma State
Power Rating Projection:
Oklahoma State 41 Florida Atlantic 7
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Oklahoma State 38 Florida Atlantic 6
North Texas(+19) at Tulsa
Power Rating Projection:
Tulsa 38 North Texas 12
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Tulsa 35 North Texas 10
Stephen F Austin at Arizona
Power Rating Projection:
Arizona 40 Stephen F Austin 7
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Arizona 40 Stephen F Austin 7
Furman at North Carolina
Power Rating Projection:
North Carolina 25 Furman 0
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
North Carolina 38 Furman 0
Grambling at Houston
Power Rating Projection:
Houston 46 Grambling 7
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Houston 45 Grambling 7
Idaho State at Idaho
Power Rating Projection:
Idaho 32 Idaho State 15
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Idaho 29 Idaho State 12
Nicholls State at Louisiana Tech
Power Rating Projection:
Louisiana Tech 46 Nicholls State 10
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Louisiana Tech 47 Nicholls State 11
Portland State at California
Power Rating Projection:
California 30 Portland State 10
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
California 24 Portland State 3
Southern Illinois at Indiana
Power Rating Projection:
Indiana 38 Southern Illinois 18
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Indiana 39 Southern Illinois 19
Wofford at South Carolina
Power Rating Projection:
South Carolina 37 Wofford 9
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
South Carolina 33 Wofford 6
Youngstown State at Penn State
Power Rating Projection:
Penn State 55 Youngstown State 0
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Penn State 58 Youngstown State 0
Sam Houston State at S-M-U
Power Rating Projection:
S-M-U 43 Sam Houston State 14
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
S-M-U 45 Sam Houston State 16
Texas Southern at New Mexico State
Power Rating Projection:
New Mexico State 39 Texas Southern 13
Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
New Mexico State 38 Texas Southern 12
posted by phantom
Sept. 14 2006 4:57pm -
0 likes
GOLDSHEET "LOOKING FOR AN ANGLE"...
Maryland at WEST VIRGINIA (Thursday)...Maryland had covered 5 straight in series until somewhat misleading 31-19 home loss vs. West Virginia LY. Terps trailed just 7-6 after 3 Qs before Mounties exploded for 24 points, scoring 10 of those following Maryland TOs. Terp QB Hollenbach completed 20 of 31 for 292 yds. despite no ground support (only 50 YR in 29 tries). However, Maryland defense still gave up 302 YR vs. WV spread attack that hadn’t yet unleashed newcomer RB Slaton (no carries), who eventually finished as the nation’s top rushing frosh in ‘05.
Kansas at TOLEDO (Friday)...Toledo veterans still haunted by 63-14 blowout in Lawrence in early 2004 (worst loss since 49-0 whitewash at Ohio State in ‘99). Rockets are a solid 12-4 as home chalk since 2002.
Lsu at AUBURN...Auburn pumped for huge rematch after PK Vaughn incredibly missed 5 FG, with the last one bouncing off the upright in the final seconds of 20-17 OT loss LY. Auburn’s Heisman candidate RB Irons slashed for 218 yards in 27 carries, 80 more yds. than LSU permitted vs. any major foe LY.
Byu at BOSTON COLLEGE...BYU eager for this rematch following 20-3 home loss LY. Cougs, who botched two scoring opportunities in the red zone due to holding penalties, trailed just 10-3 in final period. BYU QB John Beck looking for better red zone production after throwing for 330 yds. in 17-point setback.
Akron at CENTRAL MICHIGAN...Akron has this one circled in red following lackluster 31-17 home upset loss vs. CMU LY. Zips lacked much zip in crunch time following exhausting 48-42 OT victory vs. Northern Illinois the week before. With game tied at 17 in 4th Q, Akron gave up 14 unanswered points on 50 and 10-yd. TD runs by Chip RB Sneed.
Arizona State at COLORADO...Teacher vs. pupil. New CU mentor Dan Hawkins served under ASU HC Koetter, when Koetter was head honcho at Boise State from ‘98-‘01 and succeeded Koetter as Bronco HC.
Wake Forest at CONNECTICUT...WF HC Grobe will surely remind his squad of mortifying 51-17 home upset loss (worst defeat in Winston-Salem since ‘94!) in late-season '03 affair.
Uab at GEORGIA...UAB no pushover vs. major foes on road, recording 18-10 mark as 7 pt.-or-greater away dog last 10+Ys. UGA just 7-12-1 as DD chalk “tween the hedgesâ€
posted by phantom
Sept. 14 2006 4:58pm -
0 likes
The Sports Reporter (CFB)
THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 14
*WEST VIRGINIA over MARYLAND by 11
Maryland backers are 5-1 ATS vs, West Virginia in the Freidgen vs. Rodriguez era, including
the Terps’ 41-7 Gator Bowl romp at the end of the ’03 campaign. But now that WVU has Top
10 talent – maybe even Top 5 talent, will they still a have a tough time shaking heavy-duty
dog Maryland here? West Virginia’s physical nature won’t scare the Terps at all, and perhaps
a firm early hit on West Virginia RB Steve Slaton sends a message. WEST VIRGINIA, 27-16.
FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 15
*TOLEDO over KANSAS by 3
Home for the first time this season, Toledo is all-out to avoid an 0-3 SU start. The Toledo
upperclassmen certainly will be motivated as they remember a suspension-addled, 49-point
loss at Kansas two years ago. New Toledo QB Clint Cochran was victimized by two picks and
four sacks at Western Michigan, but figures to have a much easier time in friendlier surroundings
against a Kansas defense that surrendered 377 passing yards to UL-Monroe,
which is not known as an offensive juggernaut. TOLEDO, 27-24.
SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 16
*IOWA over IOWA STATE by 10
The loss of a starting QB often is overrated, but certainly not in this case. Iowa QB Drew Tate
sat out against Syracuse, and in his absence backup Jason Manson got the nod. Manson, a
better runner than passer, was less offensive than Marilyn Manson, unless you happened to
be an Iowa backer. He threw four INTs and only one TD, and one of those picks would have
been a TD had he thrown it about 2 yards further. Tate likely was being held out for precautionary
reasons against woeful ’Cuse and should be ready here, as Manson was 10-for-31
with one INT in a 23-3 loss in relief of Tate in this rivalry game last year. IOWA, 27-17.
*BOSTON COLLEGE over BYU by 3
Things “appearâ€
posted by phantom
Sept. 14 2006 4:59pm -
0 likes
Winning Points (CFB)
****BEST BET****
MISSOURI over NEW MEXICO* by 30
The Tigers brought us a rocking chair 34-7 rout of Ole Miss in this spot on the
page last week, and in truth it was as close to a perfect result as we could hope for.
Not only did the win come in easily, but a variety of bounces kept the scoreboard
from being much more one-sided, and that helps to hold the value down for this
one. Both field goals came from inside the 10 yard line, and there were three other
trips inside of Mississippi territory in which they did not score. Meanwhile the
only points they allowed came after a special teams turnover. So we will continue
to ride what may well be the most under-rated team in the land, one that is significantly
better without those electric talents of Brad Smith. Now it is time for
them to erase a bitter memory from an ugly 45-35 home loss to these Lobos last
September that helped to set the tone for Smith’s uneven senior campaign. And
they catch New Mexico ripe to be whipped. The Lobos are having a difficult time
adjusting to the playbook of new offensive coordinator Bob Toledo, who is running
an entirely different set of O’s than they had been accustomed to (and what
most recruits were brought in to play), and it gets even tougher with inexperienced
Chris Nelson having to step in at QB. Meanwhile the defense just got picked apart
for 472 yards and four touchdowns by a New Mexico State skill corps that does
not rival the kind of talent that Missouri brings. Once again that physical TE/WR
corps creates significant issues vs. an under-sized secondary, and Chase Daniel
takes full advantage. MISSOURI 40-10.
***BEST BET****
IOWA* over IOWA STATE by 28
Kirk Ferentz and his staff took a gamble in holding Drew Tate out at Syracuse last
Saturday, enabling him to be back to 100 percent for this one, and they nearly paid
the price. But that kind of gut-out win without their star QB can do wonders for
the confidence of the team in other areas, especially a defense that came up big
when it mattered most. Now Tate returns this one, and we get to take advantage
of a game that Ferentz and his Hawkeyes have been pointing to ever since they
were stung 23-3 in a turnover-plagued loss at Ames last year. And when they want
one, they get it, especially on this field. There are few tougher places in the nation
for a visitor than right here in Iowa City, where the current Hawkeye run is a
remarkable 19-2 ATS, and since taking over this program Ferentz is also a sharp
13-5-1 ATS in revenge games. Now it is just a matter of taking that focus and putting
it to work, with a most favorable price range here because of those nearescapes
by the Cyclones so far. They are just a bounce away from being 0-2 instead
of 2-0, and a young defense has been riddled through the air despite having favorable
matchups – they were home against Toledo’s Clint Cochran in his first
Division I start, but got picked apart for 39 completions, 367 yards and three
TD’s, and then played most of Saturday’s game against a U.N.L.V. team without
injured starting QB Rocky Hinds, yet still needed a disputed call in the end zone
to hang on. Now they step up way out of their league, and are not up to this challenge
yet. IOWA 38-10.
**PREFERRED**
Michigan over Notre Dame* by 4
The Irish will be #2 in many polls this week, which means that we get to take a
healthy price with a revenge-minded “underdogâ€
posted by phantom
Sept. 14 2006 5:00pm -
0 likes
Harmon Forecast
Sep. 12, 2006
In its 50th year, The Harmon Forecast predicts probable scores of college football games each week.
Game of the Week
*Auburn 26, LSU 20
The home team has won six consecutive games in this series, including LSU's 20-17 overtime victory last year. This game is very important in the SEC race as the winner has gone on to play in the SEC Championship game five of the past six seasons.
Games for the weekend of Sept. 16
*Alabama 37 Louisiana-Monroe 9
*Arizona 34 Stephen F. Austin 6
Arizona State 29 Colorado 20
Arkansas 26 *Vanderbilt 18
*Auburn 26 LSU 20
Boise State 29 *Wyoming 23
*Boston College 32 BYU 25
Bowling Green 24 *Florida International 21
*California 45 Portland State 3
*Central Florida 25 South Florida 24
*Central Michigan 23 Akron 22
Colorado State 30 *Nevada 28
*Connecticut 27 Wake Forest 21
*East Carolina 27 Memphis 24
Florida 23 *Tennessee 22
*Florida State 25 Clemson 24
Fresno State 29 *Washington 27
*Georgia 30 UAB 16
*Georgia Tech 30 Troy 13
*Hawaii 30 UNLV 21
*Houston 38 Grambling 14
*Idaho 23 Idaho State 8
*Illinois 23 Syracuse 18
*Indiana 33 Southern Illinois 14
*Iowa 31 Iowa State 21
*Kansas State 28 Marshall 19
*Kentucky 25 Mississippi 19
*Louisiana Tech 30 Nicholls State 12
*Louisville 30 Miami (Fla.) 24
*Miami (Ohio) 31 Kent State 16
*Middle Tennessee 26 Tennessee Tech 7
*Minnesota 44 Temple 7
*Mississippi State 25 Tulane 13
Missouri 32 *New Mexico 22
Navy 27 Stanford 26
*North Carolina 26 Furman 3
*Northern Illinois 38 Buffalo 10
*Northwestern 37 Eastern Michigan 25
*Notre Dame 30 Michigan 25
*Ohio State 42 Cincinnati 6
*Oklahoma State 34 Florida Atlantic 10
*Oregon 30 Oklahoma 25
*Penn State 41 Youngstown State 10
*Pittsburgh 27 Michigan State 24
*Purdue 36 Ball State 18
*Rutgers 30 Ohio 16
*South Carolina 23 Wofford 6
*Southern California 41 Nebraska 21
*Southern Methodist 24 Sam Houston State 6
*Southern Mississippi 25 N.C. State 19
Texas 44 *Rice 13
*Texas A&M 38 Army 12
Texas Tech 31 Texas Christian 29
*Toledo 28 Kansas 25
*Tulsa 36 North Texas 13
Utah 33 *Utah State 17
*Virginia 25 Western Michigan 18
*Virginia Tech 40 Duke 8
*Washington State 31 Baylor 21
*West Virginia 34 Maryland 17
*Wisconsin 36 San Diego State 17
* - Denotes home team
posted by phantom
Sept. 14 2006 5:00pm -
0 likes
Power Sweep-----9/16/06
College Selections
4* Texas over RICE 49-6
3* KENTUCKY over Mississippi 30-20
ILLINOIS over Syracuse 23-6
2* Michigan(+) over NOTRE DAME 23-24
VTECH over Duke 49-0
FLA INTL(+) over Bowling Green 27-20
UNDERDOG PLAY TENNESSEE(+4) over Florida
PRO SELECTIONS
4* Carolina over MINNY 28-20
3* New England over NY JETS 24-6
2* SAN DIEGO over Tennessee 38-3
Ny Giants over PHILADELPHIA 21-20
POWER RATINGS PLAY------Carolina
PRO ANGLES--------- (4) Baltimore and San Diego
PRO TOTALS
3* Browns/Bengals Under 43
Pats/Jets Under 37'
Rams/49ers Over 44
2* Saints/Packers Over 36'
Bills/Dolphins Under 37'
SYSTEM PLAY------ Tampa Bay
NEWS AND NOTES - Louisville punted and had a pass bounce off the receivers hands for an int on their first 2 drives. UL then scored on their next 10 poss with the shortest TD drive being 49 yds and they piled up 447 yds at the half and a 681-230 yd edge with Temple gaining 60 of those yds on their final drive...The last 3 regular season #1 vs #2 meetings, the losing team ended up winning the National Title. Unfortunately for Texas fans is the #1 team lost the game the previous 3 times...Prior to Ohio St’s 72 yd, 10 play drive for a TD mid-4Q, Texas had a 296-267 yd edge having lost a fmbl at the 2 yd line...NI Coach Novak compared Ohio QB Austin Everson to Troy Smith after he rushed for 41 yds and threw for 322 in OU’s upset of NI. NI led 17-7 in the 2Q but the Bobcats managed a comeback...E Carolina, trailing 17-12, appeared to have the game winning TD pass but WR Henry had the ball knocked out of his hands from behind and it rolled into the EZ for a TB with 1:23 left in UAB’s 17-12 win...Justin McKinney became the first Kansas St player in 70 years to run back an opening KO for a TD....Utah had just 39 yds offense in the 1Q and trailed N Arizona 7-0 but got the offense on track and had 473 yds over the final 3Q’s in a 45-7 win...Houston QB Kevin Kolb became the all-time leading passer in school history topping David Klinger’s mark of 9,430 yds (1988-’91). UH thrashed Tulane 45-7 in TU’s 12th straight road game as the Cougars piled up 621 yds offense...Texas A&M’s win was so easy over Louisiana-Lft that Coach Franchione used mostly backups in the 4Q, including a KO team that was comprised exclusively of walk-ons...There was nothing misleading about LSU’s 45-3 win over Arizona as the Cats had just 54 total yds offense thru the first 3Q’s and LSU settled for a FG after a 1st & goal at the 3 and had 3 other drives end on TO’s in UA territory...Chris Leak threw for a career high 352 yds vs UCF and while he did suffer his 2nd int of the season, both have come on errors by the receivers. Florida had a 637-153 yd edge vs UCF...SMU had just 3 pts vs Texas Tech and 6 vs N Texas, the fewest total for the Mustangs in their first two games since 1965...Stanford appeared on their way to a route over San Jose St leading 34-14 in the 2Q but Yonus Davis rushed for 184 yds and the Spartans rallied for a 35-34 win before their 3rd largest home crowd ever. Adam Tafralis, who threw for 323 yds the week prior, hit 14 of 16 passes but surprisingly for just 110 yds. In the 2H, Stanford fmbl’d at the SJSt 26, was int’d in the EZ from the 10 and fmbl’d at the SU 30...Bowling Green barely escaped vs Buffalo with a 3OT win, 48-40. For the game BG had 29-17 FD and 570-243 yd edges with UB getting a 94 yd KR TD and a blk’d punt for a TD in the 1H but UB did lead 27-20 with BG tying it on a 17 yd TD pass with 1:30 left. UB fmbl’d on 4th & 1 in the 3rd OT...Steve Spurrier’s team was shutout for the first time since his first year as a college coach in 1987 at Duke (193 game span). SC was SOD on 4th & goal at the 1 and Georgia had a 387-255 yd edge...Wyoming had a 313-205 edge vs UVA but 60 of their yds came on a pair of fake punts in the 1Q. WY settled for a 23 yd FG and was int’d at the 4 in the 1H and in the 2H they fmbl’d into the EZ for a TB on 1st & goal at the 1, had a punt block to set up the VA FG and then missed an xp in OT and lost 13-12...Kent St suffered a tough loss as in the 2H they went for it on 4th & 1 at the Army 2 and came up 6 inches short. Later they drove to the 6 but settled for a 23 yd FG and had a bad snap and caused the kick to go wide right. In OT it looked like QB Edelman was down but it was ruled a fmbl and Army was able to get a FG for the 3 pt win...NCSt continues its undisciplined play. The Zips led NCSt most of the game but the Wolfpack got a TD with 1:07 left to lead 17-13. The Zips then took advantage of an unsportsmanlike conduct call after the TD and started at their 33 and got a TD with no time left on the clock on 1st & goal from the 1 to pull off the road upset...Illinois, on the road, put themselves in a hole early. Rutgers led 14-0 mid1Q despite Illinois having a 27-(-2) yd edge. RU scored on a blk’d punt for a TD and a 33 yd IR for a TD...Nicholls St, who runs a triple option offense, did not complete a pass, attempting just 3 vs Nebraska. They did not cross midfield until the 4Q when they trailed 42-0...Navy QB KaipoNoa Kaheaku-Enhada was very impressive in the spring and came off the bench for Brian Hampton. Navy did hit just 1 of 7 passes for 21 yds and trailing 17-14, got a TD on a 27 yd drive following a 72 yd KR. UMass was int’d at the Navy 3 and fmbl’d at their own 25 with 3:42 left.
INJURIES OF NOTE - WM started backup QB Thomas Peregrin, a JC trans, who threw for 98 yds vs Toledo. W Mich was outFD’d 17-11 and outgained 306-261 but int’s were the key including a huge 14 pt swing in the 3Q when WM got a 92 yd IR for a TD. Instead of UT taking a 17-14 lead, WM led 21-10. Taking advantage of a 4-0 TO margin, WM upset UT 31-10...UNLV QB Rocky Hinds, a USC trans who threw for 322 yds in his first college start, inj’d his knee in the 2Q vs Iowa St. He had an MRI on Sunday. Shane Steichen may have led UNLV to the win and UNLV is not happy about the outcome of the game. The Rebels, from the 11 yd line, threw a pass into the EZ which Aaron Straiten came out of the EZ holding the ball and UNLV had felt they had won the game 17-16. The officials ruled it an incomplete pass and UNLV players were so angry that they refused to leave the field for close to 15:00 yelling at the officials and shaking their helmets trying to convince them to award them the TD in the ISU 16-10 win...K-St RB Thomas Clayton (PS#13) was susp’d in the opener but ret’d to the lineup and rushed for 89 yds vs Fla Atlantic...SMU RB DeMyron Martin sprained his right foot vs N Texas and wore a boot on the sidelines in the 2H...Arkansas’ Darren McFadden looks to be 100% recovered from his toe injury as he rushed for 184 yds on 20 carries vs Utah St...For the 2nd straight week, TCU was missing 2 of their top 3 backs due to injury and Aaron Brown rushed for 73 yds on 13 carries. TCU now has the nation’s longest win streak...New Mexico’s starting QB Kole McKamey suffered a knee inj on the 3rd play of the game vs NMSt. Backup Chris Nelson came in and hit just 11 of 26 passes but threw for 283 yds (25.7 yds per pass!). NMSt finished with a 532-426 yd edge and got to the 33 yd line before 4 incomplete passes saw them lose by 6...Tennessee got banged up vs AF as they lost starting RB Arian Foster, DB Inky Johnson and DL Harrell to injury. Wake Forest lost starting QB Benjamin Mauk to inj in Wk 1 and while Riley Skinner threw for 235 yds hitting 22 of 29 passes, Duke’s QB Thaddeus Lewis threw for 305 yds and the Blue Devils outplayed WF with a 24-14 FD edge. Duke, which cannot seem to catch a break, drove in position for the game winning FG with a chipshot from 28 yds out but was blk’d on the final play of the game. Duke’s WR Wright dropped a deep pass from Lewis that would have gone for an easy TD, they missed a 27 yd FG, fmbl’d at the WF 15 and had a 47 yd IR negated by a roughing the pass penalty. They also fmbl’d at the 1 yd line into the EZ for a TB...Wisconsin QB John Stocco who had knee surgery in Aug, started the first 2 games but did limp off the field in the 4Q vs W Illinois...Two Big 10 QB’s were surprised scratches from LW’s games. Iowa’s Drew Tate was announced out about an hour before game time and Jason Manson hit 14 of 28 for 178 yds but with 4 int’s. Iowa had just 10 pts in regulation and barely survived OT...Indiana QB Blake Powers was a last minute scratch vs Ball St. Graeme McFarland, the #2 QB, started but lasted just 6 plays. They went to 3rd stringer Kellen Lewis. Indy started slow behind the #3QB and trailed 17-0 but rallied and nearly got the cover. Indy finished with 20-14 FD and 373-330 yd edges but failed to convert on 3rd & short and settled for a 35 yd FG as opposed to a TD and only won by 1 laying 3.5...Alabama K Jamie Christensen was inj’d but walk-on frosh Leigh Tiffin hit a 47 yd FG in the 4Q and Bama escaped with a 13-10 win. Bama did have a 341-235 yd edge. Ironically Coach Mike Shula was a QB for Bama the last time Vandy won a game in this series (1984)...Georgia starting QB Joe Tereshinski was inj’d early and true frosh Matthew Stafford (PS#2) threw for 171 yds but hit just 8 of 19 passes and had 3 int’s.
DEJA VU ALL OVER AGAIN - The last time Oregon St travelled to Boise they led 14-0 and then were thrashed. On Thursday night, OSU faked a punt from its own 29 and converted keying one TD drive and then got a 65 yd PR for a TD and led 14-0. If you have a College Fantasy Football team, you should pick up Ian Johnson (BSU’s feature RB). Johnson keyed 6 Boise TD drives including 59 and 50 yd TD runs as he had 240 yds rushing on 22 carries as the 42-14 win on the Blue Turf in Boise as our Thursday Night ESPN Play...If you watched the Thanksgiving Day game vs Dallas and Miami in the snow back in 1993, you remember Leon Lett running after a blocked FG and touching it and Miami then recovering the ball and getting a miracle victory. This time it was Fresno St making the same snafu. With the game tied, the Bulldogs blocked a 36 yd FG but instead of letting the ball roll dead and taking poss, a Fresno St player tried to recover the ball and as it squirted loose, UO rec’d on the 5. On the next play they got a TD for a 7 pt lead, laying 3.5. Fresno tied the game but another pointspread play of the game happened. This time UO was going to kick the game winning FG with under 5:00 left which would not have put them ahead of the spread. They instead faked the FG and Paul Martinez ran it in for the TD and UO got the miracle cover costing us a Key Selection winner...For the 2nd straight week Fla Int’l lost by 1 due to a missed xp. FIa Int’l led 20-7 at the half (despite having less than 100 yards offense) thanks in part to a 14 yd IR for a TD but USF had a 76 yd PR TD in the 2Q and got a 29 yd TD pass with 2:33 left and with the xp giving them the win. USF had 2 PR’s for TD’s wiped out by penalties, missed a 35 yd FG and fmbl’d at the FI 39 in the 1H.
FRONTDOOR COVERS, BACKDOOR COVERS AND MISLEADING FINALS - As we expected LW with our Underdog Play of the Week call on N Carolina, VT’s young offense struggled in their first road game. VT totalled just 9 FD’s and 224 total yds offense for the game. Naturally NC (+14) was an easy winner, right? Actually, NC led 3-0 having 2 of their first 3 drives inside the VT 35 yd line but they settled for a FG, had a holding call force a punt and then was int’d and ret’d all the way to the 2. VT’s first 2 TD “drivesâ€
posted by phantom
Sept. 14 2006 5:01pm -
0 likes
THE GOLD SHEET
College Analysis
KEY TO FOOTBALL ANALYSES
Home team in CAPS. *â€â€indicates night game. Statistics after game writeups are listed in the following order: Score of game, first downs, rushing attempts/rushing yards, passes completed/passes attempted/passes intercepted/passing yards, and fumbles lost. In each statistical category the leader is listed first. Scores and pointspreads (in parentheses) are results of most recent meetings in series. Pâ€â€Pick Game. SRâ€â€Series Record (official league games only), with team leading in series, number of games won, lost and tied. NLâ€â€No Line. OPRâ€â€Average Opponents’ Power Rating (at the time they met) of all TGS-rated teams played. TGS Key Releases are underlined and denoted with a star ().
Some frequently-appearing abbreviations. HCâ€â€Head Coach (also, college Homecoming Game, when listed in score line). “Oâ€
posted by phantom
Sept. 14 2006 5:02pm -
0 likes
CKO Vol. 44 September 14 - 18, 2006 No. 3
Confidential Kick-Off!! The Gold Sheet!!
America's Handicapping Leaders For 50 Seasons!
10 *TULSA over North Texas
Late Score Forecast:
*TULSA 41 - North Texas 10
Look for veteran Tulsa (18 returning starters; 16 seniors in 2-deep) to
bounce back after BYU loss in a big way at friendly Skelly Stadium. Golden
Hurricane QB Paul Smith has thrown 24 TD passes and just 7 ints. and 3358
yds. in his last 15 games. The Tulsa defense held North Texas to 129 total
yards in 54-2 shellacking last season, and the Mean Green attack has shown
only minor signs of improvement as lead RB Jamario Thomas has carried 39
times for 128 yards (3.3 ypc). North Texas has been a strong go-against when
it ventures outside the Sun Belt, dropping 13 of its last 14 spread decisions
playing non-conference opponents.
10 MIAMI-FLORIDA over *Louisville
Late Score Forecast:
MIAMI-FLORIDA 27 - * Louisville 20
Compelled to take the contrarian side with a "dissed" Miami squad after the
early line quickly rose nearly 3 points from the opener. Sure, Louisville's
explosive attack has looked unstoppable vs. the soft, overmatched defenses of
Kentucky and Temple. But without NFL-caliber 250-lb. RB Bush to pound away
inside for the near-automatic 1st-down on short-yardage, Brohm & Co. will
struggle to find any rhythm vs. highly-athletic, fast Hurricane "D" that
limited Florida State attack to only 176 yds. (1 YR!). Watch Miami's
sr.-laden, hard-charging DL wreak some havoc vs. semi-rebuilt Card OL (3
sophs starting!). And now that Hurricanes productive RB Moss (701 YR, 5.1
ypc LY) back from suspension, improved 6-4 jr. QB Wright able to work
play-action vs. a now-vulnerable L'ville secondary missing injured,
super-soph CB Council (49 tackles LY). Keep in mind, Coker's squad has won
and covered the last 6 as an underdog, and is 21-3 SU on road since 2001!
10 MARSHALL over *Kansas State
Late Score Forecast:
MARSHALL 23 - *Kansas State 21
Eager to take substantial points with jelling Marshall squad that's a step
(or two) ahead of Kansas State in the rebuilding process. C-USA scouts say
second-year HC Mark Snyder (former d.c. at Ohio State) has Herd starting to
thunder in right direction, while K-State still very much a work in progress
in new mentor Ron Prince's rookie season. Marshall has an NFL-caliber RB in
jr. Ahmad Bradshaw (152 YR & 4 TDs last week) and a QB with growing
confidence in jr. Bernard Morris (509 total yards in first 2 games).
Wildcats stepping up in class after 1-point win over Div. I-AA Illinois State
& blowout of outmanned Florida Atlantic. Sr. QB Dylan Meier (only 288 YP in
those 2) not much better than serviceable. And Herd's veteran LBs will keep
K-State RB Thomas Clayton from running wild.
10 TEXAS over *Rice
Late Score Forecast:
TEXAS 52 - *Rice 10
(at Reliant Stadium)
With its Big XII opener vs. Iowa State next, this is no time for Mack Brown
to let his troops mope. Texas needs a smashing confidence builder after the
Longhorns' loss vs. Ohio State, and offensive coordinator Greg Davis wants to
expand the playbook more for RS frosh QB Colt McCoy. UT has the slasher
(Selvin Young), speed guy (Jamaal Charles) and power guy (Henry Melton) to
take turns at RB against the gambling, overwhelmed Rice defense that gave up
277 YR to barely-motivated UCLA last week. TGS scouts report Brown has made
the Houston area a priority target of his recruiting (e.g., Vince & Selvin
Young, Jamaal Charles). And the well-heeled "Texas Exes" in the area will
show up in the thousands at comfy Reliant (Rice has one of the smallest
student bases in the nation). UT led 42-0 at the H LY.
HONORABLE MENTION (Nine-Rated Games): MINNESOTA (-42) vs. Temple-Number is
huge, but there's only one side; Temple's defense (such as it is) is s-l-o-w.
CENTRAL MICHIGAN (+2) vs. Akron-After opposing BC & Michigan, improving CMU
faces "someone its own size" in MAC opener; third straight on road for Zips!
TCU (+2) vs. Texas Tech-Proud Horned Frogs haven't forgotten 70-35
humiliation laid on them two years ago in Lubbock; TCU has the RBs, QB, pass
rushers to exact revenge. NEVADA (-3) vs. Colorado State-Wolf Pack finally
at home after stops at Fresno & Arizona State; not sure about CSU ground game
without power back Bell. SAN DIEGO (-12; estimated) vs. Tennessee-Kerry
Collins was not a good choice for the Titans, especially vs. Chargers'
defense.
posted by phantom
Sept. 14 2006 5:02pm -
0 likes
Steam Sheet
Computer whiz, Dan Tesinferno's #1 Play
3* ARIZONA ST over Colorado by 20
Eventually, Dan Hawkins will turn the Colorado program
around but, judging by the first two games of this season, he
has a long way to go! The Buffaloes put up a miserable 146
yards of offense last week against a defensively mediocre
Colorado State team (65 on the opening drive). The week
before, against Montana State, Colorado managed a mere 216
yards in a 19-10 loss. Arizona State, meanwhile, blew out a
good Nevada team by 31 last week to go to 2-0 on the season.
Here's the thing: With this offense, Colorado doesn't figure to
win the game and that is deadly for Buffalo backers. The Buffs
are 2-17 ATS in their last 19 non-conference home losses,
including 1-10 ATS if the opponent is off a win. Conversely,
Arizona State is 45-7 ATS in its last 52 SU road wins, including
15-2 ATS when the Devils are coming off back-to-back wins.
THE DEVIL, YOU SAY 30-10!
Danny's Upset Special
3* NAVY over Stanford by 10
This one is all about the numbers and Navy owns them all.
The Middies, who have rushed for at least 200 yards in each
of their last 22 games, are an impressive 47-12 ATS as an
underdog when they hit the 200 mark. Included in those 59
games for the Mids is a 38-13 ATS log on the road, a 38-10
ATS mark with revenge and a 29-4 ATS statement as a road
underdog. Stanford, which has allowed 300+ rushing yards
in both of its games this season, is 24-58 ATS when it allows
over 200 ground yards. Included in those 82 games is a 4-20
ATS record as a favorite, a 9-28 ATS mark at home and a 2-
14 ATS log as a home favorite. When the numbers come out
like that, I have to make a move.
DON'T TREAD ON ME 34-24!
Tom Scott's Number One Play
4* TOLEDO over Kansas by 14 - FRIDAY
With the Smoker off to an 0-2 start, we rely on the power of
the Glass Bowl to get us off the schneid. In that stadium,
Toledo is 34-2 SU and 23-8 to the number (23-4 ATS when
not favored by 28 or more). During that stretch, the Rockets
are 10-0 ATS against non-MAC foes, 7-0 ATS off a loss of ten
or more and 6-0 ATS against opponents who are off back-toback
wins. Toledo has averaged a whopping 40 points per
game in those 36 home contests. Kansas is 18-55 ATS on the
road when it allows 28 or more and is +40 or more. Stats
aside, it's 0-2 week in the Glass City and Toledo Tommy has
his boys very aware that their season is in big trouble if they
don't win this game. I've seen the big fellow with his back to
the wall. It's not a pleasant sight for opposing teams.
STUTZ BEARCAT 40-26!
Our Upset Special
3* MICHIGAN STATE over Pittsburgh by 11
You might think I'm a little bit nuts with this pick but take a
good look at the two offenses that the Panthers have faced
this year. In Cincinnati and Virginia, Pitt has seen two of the
most pedestrian attacks in the country. There is no Drew
Stanton, Matt Trannon or Javon Ringer on those two teams.
Granted, my luck with Michigan State is mostly bad, but the
lack of competition plus extremely good fortune is the reason
Pitt is 2-0. The Panthers run the ball for less than three yards
per carry but have managed to roll up 71 points in two games
thanks to seven scoring plays of 55 yards or more (two by the
defense). Now, they'll have to drive some and stop some.
PIT STOP 28-17!
The Blowout Special
3* MISSOURI over New Mexico by 24
We used a game exactly like this in this spot last week and,
thanks to a surprise last minute decision by Kirk Ference, we
lost. We have the exact same situation here: A road team who
should win based on everything shown to this point with an
unblemished ATS record in its last 31 road victories against a
home team who is a lowly 6-29 to the number in its last 35
home losses. Adding to New Mexico's woes is its perfect 0-14
ATS record in those 35 games when the Lobos were coming off
a SU win that wasn't a pointspread loss. Oh, there is one thing
different about this game. Unlike Iowa, Missouri will have the
emotional edge (laid 10 at home last year vs Lobos, lost by 10).
SHOW ME, AGAIN 38-14!
A money making angle from Danny T.
PLAY ON any team in game three of the season if he's 0-2
SUATS, is playing an opponent who is NOT 2-0 SUATS
and if that opponent allowed 22+ in his last game.
26 year ATS = 26-4 for 86.6%
This week's play = E MICHIGAN + over Northwestern
OTHER PLAYS:
W Virginia over Maryland by 17 THU
Not about to step in front of a Mountaineer
offense that hasn't been stopped in a long
time. Maryland sputtering with lackluster
wins over Billy and the Bitch and Mid Tenn St.
Iowa over Iowa St by 13
Still pissed at Ference for that under the
radar move last week, but if Tate plays,
Hawks can match points with ISU and there's
no comparison between the defenses.
Boston College over Byu by 7
There are a lot of folks out there trumpeting
the Mormon case here but 2000 miles is a
long way to go to face a gang as tough as this.
Illinois over Syracuse by 3
Illinois is 4-29 SU in its last 33 lined games
and Cuse has lost 11 straight. Case closed.
Minnesota over Temple by 42
If the Gophers don't get bored by halftime.
Miami OH over Kent St by 11
The less I say about this, the better.
Northwestern over E Michigan by 10
See the Angle of the Week on page 3.
S Florida over C Florida by 1
Not sure USF should be the dog here. Only my
complete lack of interest keeps me away
Wisconsin over San Diego St by 13
If O'Connell hadn't gotten hurt in the UTEP
game, I'd be looking at the Aztecs here. Wisconsin
looked terrible last week against I-AA
Western Illinois. SDSU might still get it done.
Boise St over Wyoming by 8
After watching Boise rip Oregon State to
shreds, who's gonna take the Cowboys here?
Not me, for sure, but I'm not taking the
Broncos either. Not with Hawaii up next.
Florida over Tennessee by 4
After two hair-raising games on Rocky Top,
wonder if the Vols can summon up the emotional
wizards again. Got a strong feeling that
Florida is the right side here. Today, anyway.
Washington St over Baylor by 13
In the old days, this would be an automatic.
However, as we all painful know, the old days
are gone. Gutty Bears have a chance. Maybe
not to win, but for the cover.
Notre Dame over Michigan by 6
It's much too early to make a statement on
Notre Dame. Hell, I haven't even been to
practice yet. Will say one thing, though. Michigan
will bring everything it has for this one.
Oregon over Oklahoma by 5
Ducks have double revenge and seem to be
rolling right now. One thing for certain: This
office isn't fading them for the third straight
week. Twice is more than enough.
Louisville over Miami by 4
Loss of shutdown corner Council will hurt
Louie at some point. Maybe today. Tell me,
how do you play Kentucky and Temple and
still feel prepared for Miami's speed?
Fresno St over Washington by 1
A good coach could catch the Bulldogs on a
downer after they way they lost to Oregon at
home last week. A good coach could.
Mississippi over Kentucky by 3
This, my friends, is the exact opposite of the
LSU-Auburn game later on. This is the bottom
of the SEC barrel anyway you slice it.
Texas over Rice by 31
Katie, bar the door. The Mad Cow is here.
E Carolina over Memphis by 3
ECU is getting better. Memphis isn't.
Georgia over Uab by 14
Every one likes quality underdogs. Do the
Blazers and their 29-12 record in that role
qualify as quality? I think so.
Mississippi St over Tulane by 11
Here, folks, is an 11-point favorite who has
yet to cross its opponents 45 yard-line.
S Mississippi over NC State by 3
Everybody knows that the Wolves suck at
home (3-14$) but, did you know that NC State
is 13-1 ATS in their last 14 as road pups.
Arkansas over Vanderbilt by 6
Arky totally unimpressive so far, especially at
the QB position. Despite being 0-2, the opposite
can be said about Vandy.
Auburn over Lsu by 1
It just doesn't make any sense to lay points in
this kind of game. Take the short or take a
snort and sleep it off. Lsu can win this.
N Illinois over Buffalo by 23
Can't trust NIU at this price - not with that
defense. Still, will never take Buffalo on the
road at any number. Bulls aren't very good.
Florida St over Clemson by 6
Seminoles have rushed for just 46 yards on
the season but have allowed only 15. Clemmie
is beat up defensively and the Seminoles have
revenge. We'd only go with Papa Bowden here.
Southern Cal over Nebraska by 20
Strong angles lead us to the Trojans who don't
seem to miss Bush, White and Leinhart that
much. Nebbish has been an underdog of 14+
three times in 26 years. 3-0 ATS.
Utah over Utah St by 20
Nevada over Colorado St by 3
Two brutal road games will have the Wolfpack
seething for this. Rams haven't played anybody
yet. Could be in trouble here.
Texas A&M over Army by 28
Aggies could win by 50 if motivated.
Hawaii over Unlv by 14
Don't forget that the Rebel backup QB was
the starter last year. Can't fade the Pineapples
on the Island, though.
Ohio St over Cincinnati by 30
Bucks will probably sleepwalk through this
but that Bearcat offense is awful.
Connecticut over Wake Forest by 6
Three years ago, UConn went to Wake and
won 51-17. The Deacs would love to return
the favor. But they need Ben Mauk. Badly!
Virginia over W Michigan by 8
WMU's win over Toledo considerably less
impressive than score indicates. Virginia's
win over Wyoming was as bad as it looked.
Kansas St over Marshall by 7
Marshall has this thing for Kansas State.
Even in their heyday, the Wildcats couldn't
tame the Herd. Oh, by the way, the K-State
heyday is long gone. Herd has a chance.
Rutgers over Ohio by 17
Watch what the Bobcats do today now that
the Steam Sheet has no interest. Rutgers has
the same power running game as Northern
Illinois. The Knights play defense too.
Purdue over Ball St by 16
Hard to lay 16 with a Purdue defense that has
allowed 66 points in two games against two
pretty shitty offenses. Cards can score a little.
Akron over C Michigan by 1
No way a team can go to NC State and win
then go to Mount Pleasant and lose. Don't
believe a word of that.
posted by phantom
Sept. 15 2006 2:32pm -
0 likes
POWER SWEEP
Power Sweep Newsletter
College
4* Texas
3* Kentucky
3* Illinois
2* Fla Int
2* Va Tech
2* Mich
Underdog: Tennessee
Pro
4* Carolina
3* NE
2* NYG
2* San Diego
power rating play: Carolina
4* angle plays: Balt, San Diego
System play: Tampa Bay
Total Plays
3* Cle/Cinci under 43
3* NE/NYJ under 37'
3* STL/SF over 44
2* NO/GB over 36'
2* Buff/Mia under 37'
posted by phantom
Sept. 15 2006 2:33pm -
0 likes
power sweep
NCAA Selections!
KEY SELECTIONS
4* Texas over RICE - Texas is 12-3 ATS after a SU loss as Ohio St snapped their 21 gm win streak. Since ‘02 UT has outscored non-conf/non-BCS tms on avg 51-7 including 3-0 SU (2-1 ATS) vs Rice. Texas is 6-14 ATS in its 1st road gm and the home team is 8-2 ATS in this series. Those factors are tempered by the fact this is in Reliant Stadium and the Horns should have at least a 2-1 crowd edge. Texas is 13-3 ATS as a DD fav. Texas will again be able to establish the rush allowing QB McCoy the needed time to read the defense and make the proper throw. The Owls have major QB injuries with Clement (finger) sitting out vs UCLA and Armstrong leaving in 1Q. With a fired up #4 Texas D and offense (#9) held to just one score (prior 12 games 40+) look for a quick rebound. FORECAST: Texas 49 RICE 6
3* KENTUCKY over Mississippi - UK got the backdoor cover LY on the road (see Past History). This is a must-win for both teams but especially for UK’s bowl chances and HC Brooks’ future possibly resting on this game. Ole Miss is 5-1 SU (4-2 ATS) with UK’s last series win in 1993. UK has lost 18 straight SEC openers but has covered 4 straight. The Cats have been a SEC HF once in 3 yrs and covered that gm by 15. UK built some confidence LW with a blowout win vs IAA Texas St, 41-7. QB Woodson is avg 214 ypg (50%) with a 6-1 ratio. UK was able to step up the running gm LW and top RB Little has 112 yds rush (5.9). WR Burton has 9 rec (23.0) while Lyons has 5 rec (27.6) with 4 TD’s. Ole Miss had just 162 ttl yds (outgained 169-7 after 1Q) vs Missouri LW. QB Schaeffer is avg only 94 ypg (44%) with a 1-3 ratio. The Rebels’ top RB, Green-Ellis has 196 rush yds (4.7) with 2 TD’s while WR McCluster has 8 rec (15.4) but has yet to see the EZ. This is a battle of 2 SEC coaches on the hotseat, but Brooks has the home and offensive edges (#56-92) in this one. FORECAST: KENTUCKY 30 Mississippi 20
3* ILLINOIS over Syracuse - Illinois is 7-3 ATS at home and 4-3 as a HF but does have their Big 10 opener on deck while SU has Miami, Oh. Syr is 13-3 ATS vs non-conf including LW’s near upset of Iowa. These 2 teams last met in 1982 (47-10 Illinois) & UI leads the all-time series 9-1. Last week the Illini were shutout by Rutgers, 33-0, for the 1st time since 1996 by a non-conf opponent. IL had a P blk’d for a TD, an int for a TD, & a fumble which led to TD for a RU 20-0 1Q lead. SU nearly got its 2nd win under Robinson losing in OT 20-13 vs #14 Iowa after being stopped on 7 straight from the 2. In a game time decision, Iowa’s QB Tate (ab) was replaced by Manson & SU took advantage forcing 4 Int. UI QB Brasic had an off day LW (5-11, 46 yds, 2 int) & gave way to VHT Juice Williams (PS#11), a Mike Vick type, who saw PT & will thru the season. SU showed improvement LW with QB Patterson who is avg 189 yds (59%) with a 1-0 ratio. SU’s leading rusher Brinkley (PS#42) has 102 yds (5.4). SU has a def edge (#62-96), ST’s are close while IL has the offense edge (#57-110). These two have lost a combined 21 straight games but Illinois is the more talented team. FORECAST: ILLINOIS 23 Syracuse 6
OTHER SELECTIONS
2* FLA INT’L (+) over Bowling Green - FIU continues to impress. They’ve improved from 2 to 3 to 5 wins the L3Y and are now off a pair of 1 pt losses as 10 and 20 pt dogs. BG is making a rare Florida trip, is in a MAC sandwich and has lost 6 straight as a fav. The off was in gear LW with a 570 yd performance led by QB Turner who had 204 yds (70%) with a 3-1 ratio. BG now has a varied off with Barnes (starting QB in opener) playing a hybrid WR/RB with 257 yds (5.2). FIU rates the def edge (#84-110) and has upgraded its team speed especially on the side and BG’s OL is much bigger than both Mid Tenn and S Fla but the heat and humidity favors the athletic Golden Panthers at home. FORECAST: FLA INT’L 27 (+) Bowling Green 20
2* Michigan (+) over NOTRE DAME - UM is 1-7 ATS in road openers losing 6 in a row SU!! The dog is 9-1 ATS (also 16-3-1) in this series but UM is just 6-14 ATS the week before its Big 10 opener. The 27 pts combined LY was the lowest S/’79 & 2nd lowest since 1909. UM is off a vanilla 41-17 win over CM in which the Wolves had 23-14 FD and 386-204 yd edges. UM has yet to really crack open the playbook as QB Henne is avg 124 ypg (51%) with a 2-0 ratio. RB Hart has been revitalized with 262 yds (5.2). The Wolves’ D has allowed just 29 rush ypg (1.2) with 10 sks and rank #3 in pass eff D allowing 156 ypg (46%) with a 3-1 ratio. The Irish took advantage of numerous PSU blunders (botched FG att, 3-0 TO deficit) to make a close game a 41-17 rout. QB Quinn is avg 267 ypg (65%) with a 3-0 ratio. RB Walker has 155 yds (3.7). WR’s McKnight & Samardzija have combined for 25 rec (11.9). ND has the edge on offense (#3-17) but UM has it on D (#1-11) and a big edge on ST’s (#5-74). Gotta take the points here in this classic rivalry. FORECAST: Michigan 23 (+) NOTRE DAME 24
2* VIRGINIA TECH over Duke - This game is going to get ugly quickly. LY Duke had just 35 TOTAL yds on 53 plays. This is VT’s ACC home opener and they have only Cincy on deck. Duke is 15-7 ATS as an AD, but is coming off a heartbreaking ATS win as they lost to WF LW by just 1 pt (19.5 pt dog) in a game they led most of the way. Duke started true Fr QB Thaddeus Lewis (PS#71) who threw for 305 yds (60%) with a 1-0 ratio but now faces our #14 D. They were w/o RB Drummer (leg inj’s), log onto ncsports.com for inj updates. VT is coming off a conf win vs NC. QB Glennon has 144 ypg pass (71.4%) with a 3-1 ratio, RB Ore has 165 rush yds (5.0) & 4 rec (29.5) with 5 ttl TD’s. VT is continuing its home dominance having won 15 of 18 and covering 13 of 18. HC Beamer should allow his offense free reign as the offense must improve after just a 9 FD performance LW. FORECAST: VIRGINIA TECH 49 Duke 0
OTHER GAMES
Thursday, September 14th
Maryland at WEST VIRGINIA - These teams have played every year S/’80 & MD is 10-4-1 ATS S/‘92. WV is 9-0 SU in night games under Rodriguez. LY QB White directed four 4Q scoring drives, & WV ripped MD’s defense for 301 yards rushing (see Past History). Maryland is a much improved team and the talent is very close here. The Fridge’s schemes limited WV to 12.3 ppg until that 4Q spurt LY. Tonight Phil Steele will release a Thursday Night MARQUEE PLAY from his Private Play Hotline. The Red Hot Thursday Night Plays are 20-9 69% L2Y and 110-71 61% S/’91. Call Phil Steele’s Private Play Hotline at 1-900-438-9467 and pick up the play for just $15 or save $6 by purchasing online or with your Northcoast Debit Card after 5:00 pm ET.
Friday, September 15th
Kansas at TOLEDO - KU is on an 8-3 ATS run vs non-BCS teams. Kansas won their last meeting 63-14 (-3) at home in 2004. UT is 24-12 ATS as a HF and will be sky high for a Friday Nt game (also home opener) vs a BCS team and are 3-1 ATS in such games with wins over Minny, Purdue and #9 Pitt. Tonight Phil Steele will release another MARQUEE PRIVATE PLAY HOTLINE PLAY for Friday night. Call Phil Steele’s Private Play Hotline at 1-900-438-9467 and pick up the play for just $15 (available online and on the debit card as well for only $9).
IOWA 31 Iowa St 14 - ISU is 6-2 SU & 7-1 ATS vs rival Iowa as ISU HC McCarney is a 1975 grad of Iowa & was an assistant along with Ferentz under Fry. LY we got an easy 4* Late Phone Winner on ISU (+9) as they got the upset 23-3 (see Past History) as Hawks QB Tate was KO’d with a concussion. The visitor is 14-5 ATS in the series. Ferentz is 27-5-1 ATS at home. This is the Cyclones’ 1st road trip but despite having 10 off sts back, they’ve only avg 19.5 ppg in regulation. Meyer is avg 219 ypg (67%) with a 2-1 ratio. Hicks has 198 yds (4.3). WR’s Flynn, Blythe & Davis have combined for 18 rec (16.1). The Cyclones rebuilt D is allowing 60 rush ypg (2.1) but ranks #103 in pass eff D allowing 293 ypg (75%) with a 4-2 ratio. Iowa St is 9-3 ATS as a dog. Iowa QB Tate was a Saturday morning scratch due to an ab injury (check ncsports.com for status). Manson threw 4 picks in his 1st start as the Hawks gutted out a 2OT win at Syracuse. Young has 166 yds (4.5) but curiously got just 14 carries with most of them coming late vs Syr. Chandler has 10 rec (10.9). Hawks D allows 40 rush ypg (1.2) but ranks #99 in pass eff allowing 160 ypg (57%) with a 2-1 ratio. They stopped Syr 7 consecutive times from the 2 to win in OT. LY the Hawks avg win was 41-17 at home. Iowa does have huge edges on D (#27-67) and ST’s (#8-40). ISU is 0-2 ATS TY and is the most overrated 2-0 SU team in the country (3OT win vs Toledo and LW vs UNLV see Page 1).
BOSTON COLLEGE 31 Byu 30 - This is a rare trip as BYU last visited an East Coast state in 1991 (PSU). They must also adjust to an early kickoff for this TV matchup. BC meanwhile is in an ACC sandwich and had to go into 2OT’s LW to pull out the 1 pt win vs #18 ranked Clemson (1st home win vs ranked in 10 yrs). This game matches up with BYU holding the offensive edge (#12-32) and BC the defensive (#47-61). BC shutdown the Cougars LY 20-3 (see Past History) but expect QB Beck who is avg 265 pass yds (solid 73%) with a 4-0 ratio to move the ball. BYU’s young and improving defense has impressed allowing 16.5 FD’s, 2.7 ypc & 51.2% comp and the Cougars covered as our NC College Comp Play LW. They now face their toughest challenge against QB Ryan (avg 267 ypg, 63%, 4-0 ratio) who has led BC offense which has moved consistently. BC is off a draining 2OT win vs Clemson. Check Ryan’s status @www.ncsports.com as he is less than 100% healthy.
MINNESOTA 55 Temple 0 - Minn is 8-2 ATS as a DD HF and 8-2 ATS in its home openers. Temple is 13-8-1 ATS as an AD but only has 6 starters returning and LY, vs BCS schools, lost by an avg of 46.8 ppg on the road! The Owls young front 7 figures to be overpowered by UM’s powerful rush attack. Minny is in a Cal/Purdue sandwich but is a top-notch bully. They were outFD’d 31-12 & outgained 671-230 by a disinterested Louisville team that was without star RB Bush & had their biggest home game ever on deck (Miami, Fl). Temple is allowing 5.7 ypc rushing which should mean Minn RB Daniels who has 233 rush yds (5.2) should have a big day. We won a 4* on these pages and Late Phone Selection going against the Gophers LW as they lost their 1st non-conf game since the 2001 opener. Look for Coach Mason to show no mercy here as he will be able to name his own score and will want to get the Gophers confidence back up.
OHIO ST 34 Cincinnati 10 - The Bearcats are 1-7 SU, but 5-2-1 ATS vs B10. HC Dantonio was a DC at OSU when they won the National Title in ‘02 & in his debut in ‘04 lost to OSU 27-6 (+14) as the Bucks had a 442-238 yd edge. #1 OSU is in a huge sandwich off of their big victory over Texas and with Penn St on deck, the 2 teams that handed them their only defeats LY (legit revenge sandwich). OSU’s surging Heisman candidate QB Smith is #5 in the NCAA in pass eff, avg 283 ypg (69%) with a 5-0 ratio. His favorite targets are WR’s Ginn who has 9 rec (24.4) and Gonzalez with 12 rec (16.3). OSU may work on the running game which is avg 126 ypg (3.9). OSU is allowing 162 rush ypg (5.1) but after facing the nation’s leading rusher (NI’s Wolfe) & the NCAA’s top OL (Texas), this is undoubtedly the weakest running game they’ve faced YTD (Bearcats avg 82 ypg, 2.5 behind leading rusher Glatthaar 133 yds, 7.
. CU uses a tandem at QB with Grutza (passer) avg 175 ypg (60%) with a 2-2 ratio and Davila avg 77 ypg (58%) with a 1-0 ratio. The Cincy pass D allows 222 ypg (52%) with a 3-3 ratio & the team has 7 sks. We won a Friday Night Marquee selection going vs Cincy LW as Pitt outgained them 357-256 winning 33-15. OSU does have massive edges on offense (#4-94), D (#6-59) and ST’s (#23-108) but in such a massive sandwich and with Dantonio being part of the OSU family tree Tressel may take it easy on him.Wake Forest 24 UCONN 23 - In their 1st & only meeting the Huskies crushed WF 51-17 in ’03. UC is 8-4-1 ATS as a HF and WF is just 6-10 ATS in its road opener. Grobe is 19-12-2 as a dog at WF & is on a 4-2 streak. Week 1 UConn crushed IAA Rhode Island 52-7 rushing for 418 yds & holding the Rams to 293 ttl yds, a number Edsall was not pleased with. QB DJ Hernandez (PS#66) threw for 149 yds (62%) 2 TD’s & rushed for another. RB Caulley rushed for 98 yds (8.2) before being replaced early 3Q. WF is off a conf home game vs Duke squeaking out the win LW in the 4Q, 14-13. WF scored with 1:28 left & blocked the game winning FG as time ran out but despite the win they were outgained 367-292 & outFD’d 24-14!!! With QB Mauk injured (broke arm), rFr Skinner started his 1st game throwing for 235 yds (76%) with a 1-0 ratio. RB Andrews (PS#43) leads the team with 183 yds (4.9). Offensively, UConn has the edge (#54-73) but WF returns 19 starters incl 10 on defense & we give them the edge there (#48-80). WF is in its preferred dog role but UC is off a bye and will be pumped to face an ACC team & is 16-4 SU at Rentschler Field.
VIRGINIA 31 W Michigan 10 - LY WM was coming off a 1-10 season and was +34 here. UVA jumped out to a 24-3 lead but a 55 yd IR TD with :37 left in the 1H helped WM pull within 24-19 in the 4Q when they were SOD at the VA 30 and lost by 12. VA knows that was tight and WM was 7-4 LY so they will not take them lightly. VA does have a big Thursday night ACC game vs GT on deck. UVA is 13-8 ATS as a HF including an ATS loss LW as they were lucky when a missed XP by WY in OT gave them the 1 pt win (13-12). QB Olsen (222 yds, 53%, 0-2) struggled LW and was replaced by Kevin McCabe in the 2H, who threw for 85 yds (62%) and 1 TD. WR Ogletree has 12 rec (10.1) and 1 TD. WM is coming off a win vs Toledo, snapping a 5 gm losing streak vs the Rockets. RB Bonds has 195 rush yds (4.9) and 2 TD’s. QB Cubit was inj’d in their 1st game and missed LW, log onto ncsports.com for inj updates. Peregrin (PS#47JC) replaced him and threw for 98 yds (73%) and 2 TD’s. The Cavs have solid line value as WM is off a misleading final LW with only 11 FD’s and 261 yds.
KANSAS ST 27 Marshall 23 - These two met on Sat morning LY and KSt was in control but mistakes kept MU in the game and KSt needed a last second int to preserve the win (see Past History). The last time these two played here, Marshall was +19’ in ‘03 and upset the #6 rated Wildcats which was the start of their downturn. KSt is off a shutout win 45-0 over Fla Atl allowing just 200 ttl yds. QB Meier is avg 145 ypg (54.3%) with a 2-2 ratio. RB Clayton returned from a 1 game suspension & had 89 yds and a TD. Marshall is off a 54-31 win over IAA Hofstra. The Herd is led by QB Morris who is avg 160 ypg (65.3%) with a 3-1 ratio and has 190 rush yds (8.6). He has gotten off to a great start after only hitting 52.8% LY. RB Bradshaw has 222 yds (6.3). KSt holds a large edge on D (#37-98) while Marshall has the edge on off (#42-63). KSt is just 3-9 ATS vs CUSA tms.
RUTGERS 34 Ohio 13 - The Bobcats are 2-7 ATS vs non-conf, 1-10 ATS as an AD and LY lost by 21.7 ppg on the road. Rutgers avg home win LY was by 21 ppg. RU only has IAA Howard on deck while OU is on the 2nd of a 3 gm road trip. RU takes aim at the MAC this week after ACC & Big Ten wins. The Knights posted their 1st shutout S/’02 over Illinois 33-0. RU blk’d a punt for a TD & got a pick for a TD to go up 20-0 in 1Q. On the day they outgained IL 311-126 & outFD’d them 18-7 and didn’t let them get past their 46. QB Teel continues to improve avg 145 ypg (64%) with a 1-1 ratio & RB Rice has 309 rush yds (9.
with 4 TD’s. Ohio surprised many with their 35-23 win over NIll. They rolled up 509 yds of offense led by QB Everson’s (most yards by QB S/’86) 322 yds (74%) and 3 TD’s. RB McRae has 134 yds (4.9) & 3 TD’s. RU holds all the edges here, offense (#47-90), def (#24-79) as well as revived popularity of Knights FB. Solich has the Bobcats in the right direction but will hit a setback here with Rutgers looking to be 3-0 (1st time S/’80).PURDUE 41 Ball St 24 - PU is 6-0 SU & 3-1 ATS in the series w/the avg score 38-13 & avg cover by 9 ppg with a 59-7 win in its last game in ‘04. BSU is 6-12-1 as an AD but has 18 returning starters for its first ‘06 road game. BSU did lose by a 42-20 avg on the road LY but was shorthanded due to suspensions early and pulled 3 outright road upsets. PU is off a dramatic 38-31 OT win over Miami (OH) in which they were outgained 483-391 and DE Spencer blk’d a FG with :11 left in regulation. QB Painter (235 ypg, 54%, 3-3 ratio) was almost the goat as he had 3 int including one at the Boilers 31 with 1:32 left. RB Sheets has 188 yds (6.0) with 7 TD’s. WR Bryant has 14 rec (17.1). PU’s secondary amazingly lost another starter in walk-on transfer CB Lane (out 6-8 weeks with broken collarbone) and played 2 true frosh, a JC transfer and a redshirt soph for most of the 2H allowing MU’s rFr QB Kokal 355 yds passing & 4 TD’s in his first road start. BSU is off a heartbreaking loss to another in-state rival Indiana where they led 23-7 at the half before IU rFr QB Lewis rallied the Hoosiers (-3’) for a 24-23 win. BSU uses 2 QB’s in Lynch (avg 184 ypg, 57%, 4-1 ratio) and rare HT Davis (PS#35). RB Bostic has 72 yds (3.1). WR Love has 12 rec (8.9). BSU allows 187 rush ypg (5.6) and is #39 in pass eff D allowing 218 ypg (56%) with a 2-1 ratio. PU is 1-5 ATS as a HF the L2Y. PU has a big offensive edge (#36-93) but surprisingly just a #99-104 D edge.
C MICHIGAN 26 Akron 23 - Akron travels into Mt Pleasant fresh off its first BCS win S/’99. CM awaits them with a 9-3 SU & 11-1 ATS record in its 1st MAC gm. CM has an obvious scheduling adv coming off a short ride from UM while Akr is traveling for the third straight week. LY CM was an 11 pt AD but RB Sneed rushed for 183 yds and they overcame a 17-7 deficit at half and won 31-17. Sneed has just 80 yds (4.4) TY and Akron’s rush D has greatly improved as they have given up just 79 ypg vs two BCS teams after allowing 159 ypg LY. Akron’s biggest edge is QB Getsy vs a young secondary. They outgained NCSt 381-290 but needed a TD as time expired to pull the 3 pt upset. CM was outgained by Mich 386-204 and had just 16 rush yds. CM surprisingly has the offensive edge (#71-76) but Akron has the defensive edge (#51-94). CM QB Lefevour is avg 187 ypg (53%) with a 3-2 ratio while UA’s Getsy is avg 202 ypg (46.5%) with a 1-2 ratio.
MIAMI, OH 23 Kent St 20 - Both teams covered LW, but lost in OT after missing late 4Q FG’s that would have won the game. They also both outgained their opps LW, Miami 483-391 and Kent St 290-275. Kent comes into this MAC opener with a ret starter edge of 17-7, but those returnees need to step up as their 0-2 start has been caused by a -5 TO deficit. LY Miami RB Murphy rushed for 172 yds as they had a 27-19 FD & 427-369 yd edge winning 27-10 as a 6’ pt AF. Miami’s ground game is struggling, avg just 85 ypg (2.6) but QB Kokal is avg 265 ypg (65%) with a 4-2 ratio. Kent St which avg just 46 ypg rushing LY, is avg 165 ypg on the ground TY led by RB Jarvis with 158 yds (5.4). KSU QB Edelman is avg 121 ypg (45%) with a 1-4 ratio but has 113 rush yds (3.
as he is a Cribbs-style QB.NORTHWESTERN 31 E Michigan 17 - 1st meeting. NW is just 2-9 ATS as a HF while EM is 2-14 on the road vs non-conf. EM has been outscored 716-91 vs B10 while losing its L/20 SU including LW’s 52-20 loss to MSU in which they trailed just 24-20 in the 3Q but were outFD’d 29-12 & outgained 586-272. EM coach Genyk spent 12 yrs prior to EM coaching at NU and brought over 2 assistants when he got the Eagles’ job. NW does have a National TV Friday game on deck but are off a crushing loss to IAA’s #2 team New Hampshire 34-17. In that game, IAA All-AA QB Santos took a page out of NW’s playbook and ran the no-huddle off hitting 18-24 for 206 yds & accounting for 4 TD’s. NW QB Kafka is avg 140 ypg (65%) with a 1-1 ratio. RB Sutton had 162 yds (6.0) but was mysteriously benched in the 4Q LW. Cats’ new 3-4 D is allowing 98 rush ypg (2.7) & 191 pass ypg (68%) with a 2-0 ratio. EM is on its 3rd straight road game with the MAC opener on deck. EM goes with 2 QB’s in Schmitt (97 ypg, 61%, 1-1 ratio) and Jones (104, 63%, 1-0 with 173 rush yds). The running game has been nonexistent as the top RB, Walker, has 50 yds (3.
. WR DeSlauriers (6-5) is a weapon with 16 rec (11.4). Genyk has decided to leave his young CB’s on an island so they’re battle tested for MAC play and they rank just #109 in our pass eff D. NW has edges on offense (#77-95), D (#68-107) while EM has a big ST’s edge (#49-114).USF 21 UCF 20 - Only 98 miles separate these two and LY 45,000 were on hand. USF had a 43 lb edge at the line and rushed for 326 in an easy 31-14 (led 31-7 w/2:30 left) home win dealing UCF its 17th straight loss. Since that game UCF is 9-4 SU and has played in a bowl. UCF rates the edge at QB with veteran Moffett avg 145 ypg (55.7%) with a 3-0 ratio and then-true frosh RB Smith, who was not a factor in LY’s game, but rushed for 1,178 on the year. Smith has struggled with just 108 yds (3.7) TY. USF PS#55 QB Grothe (Pat Julmiste inj and ineffective) has done a good job avg 173 ypg (58.5%) and is the team’s leading rusher with 140 yds (5.4). USF does not have RB Andre Hall who rushed for 155 vs UCF LY. RB Smith has struggled with only 62 yds (4.4) while WR Johnson has 6 rec (17.6). USF is 1-8 SU and 2-4 ATS in its first road game. USF does rate a large edge on D (#58-109). USF worked hard to get this matchup and even with a rFr at QB they look to be the better team. USF has RB Ponton, DL Josh Julimiste and WR Chambers who were all suspended for between 2 and 6 games so check their status at ncsports.com.
WISCONSIN 20 San Diego St 17 - UW got off to a shaky start LW when KR Minter’s fmbl led to a 3-0 W IL lead but it was short lived as the Badgers controlled the game behind a healthy QB Stocco (15-25 for 227 yds) while the D forced 3 int for a 34-10 win. UW RB Hill has 231 yds (5.3). The Badgers’ D allows 124 pass ypg (54%) with a 0-3 ratio. Wisky is 8-3-1 ATS at home and the Aztecs are 4-9 ATS in road openers. SDSt is 13-3-1 ATS as DD AD’s, 7-2 ATS off a bye and has covered 4 straight vs the B10 losing to Mich by 3 in ‘04 & by 3 to OSU in ‘03. The Aztecs will be starting VHT Mougey (6-5 with 4.5 speed) in place of inj QB O’Connell (out indef after thumb surgery) and will be in good shape as he has respect of the players as well as the coaches. They lost the opener to UTEP despite holding 22-12 FD & 384-243 yd edges. First yr HC’s Long & Bielema coached together at Iowa under Fry. UW does have Michigan on deck and aren’t talented enough to look ahead.
Boise St 24 WYOMING 13 - BSU is 12-5 SU & 6-2 ATS in reg ssn vs current MWC tms. They are coming off a dominating performance Thurs dismantling Oreg St, 42-14. After trailing 14-0 they reeled off 42 unanswered pts while holding a huge 413-234 edge. BSU’s D was just as impressive by getting 6 sks and dominating the point of attack. BSU’s running game had a massive 316-61 yd edge behind RB Johnson’s 238 yds (11.3) and 5 TD’s and will have three extra days to practice which will help them get ready for the Cowboys. WY lost to Virginia, 13-12 on a missed xp in OT, even though they controlled the clock and yds 313-206 and only all’d 32 yds rush. Surprisingly, the visitor is 2-0 ATS in this series but BSU won here 35-13 in ‘02 and won at home 33-17 (-23) in ‘03. This is BSU’s 1st road trip and first Sat game after 2 Thurs. WY is 7-3 ATS as a HD with FIVE outright upsets. BSU is 12-6 ATS as an AF and has 18 returning starters. BSU is 15-4-1 ATS S/’97 after a SU win.
PITTSBURGH 30 Michigan St 27- MSU is the 1st B10 team to visit Heinz Field. Both teams had losing records LY but made our Most Improved list TY. MSU has ND on deck but has won their last 5 as a non-conf AD. Two of the NCAA’s top senior QB’s here in MSU’s Stanton (240 ypg, 70%, 4-1 ratio) and Pitt’s Palko (#2 NCAA pass eff avg 275, 65%, 6-1 ratio). MSU surprisingly led just 24-17 over EM at the half thanks to a trick play TD pass and another TD drive set up by a fmbl’d KO for EM. They finally woke up in the 3Q and took control finishing with a 52-20 win and gigantic 29-12 FD and 586-272 yd edges. Top MSU producers are 6-6 WR Trannon with 18 rec (10.2) and RB Ringer who has 200 yds (6.5). MSU’s D is improved allowing 78 rush ypg (2.4) and 193 pass ypg (58%) with a 3-1 ratio but faces its first big test here. Pitt RB Brooks has 110 yds (3.5). WR Kinder has 12 rec (20.
. Pitt’s D ranks #18 in pass eff D allowing 190 ypg (56%) with a 1-4 ratio. We have used Pitt twice TY on our Late Phones with great success winning a 3* in their opening win over Virginia and a Friday Night Marquee victory over Cincy. MSU rates the edge on offense (#8-34) and ST’s (#47-51) while Pitt has it on D (#22-40).WASH ST 38 Baylor 17 (Seattle) - Last time these two met was the ‘94 Alamo Bowl as BU had just 8 FD’s & 151 yds offense and we won with a rare 5* on Wash St. Baylor is 12-21 ATS as an AD but is 5-1 ATS off a SU win. Baylor is coming off of a 47-10 home win vs N’western St where QB Bell had 288 yds with a 4-1 ratio. They are in their 1st year of the Texas Tech type off which Bell used in HS & he is avg 287 ypg (64%) with a 5-2 ratio. This type of offense is great between the 20’s but struggles in the redzone. Baylor’s leading WR Zeigler DNP LW (check ncsports.com for status). BU is #111 in pass eff D allowing 208 ypg (58%) with a 3-4 ratio. WSU also got their offense in gear with a 56-10 pasting of neighbor Idaho where they outgained the Vandals 636-301. QB Brink is avg 149 ypg (59%) with a 4-1 ratio but this week should have starting RB Woolridge back from injury. WSU is #7 in our pass eff D allowing 206 ypg (46%) with a 1-1 ratio. This is the Bears’ first road game & the last time BU traveled to Pac 10 country they lost to Cal 70-22 (‘02). Bill Doba is just 4-10 ATS as a HF and WSU has its Pac 10 opener on deck.
Oklahoma 23 OREGON 20 - This is the battle of two PS#1 RB’s as Peterson visits Stewart’s Ducks. The Sooners are a perfect 6-0 SU (avg score 33.5-5.2) vs the Ducks including LY’s Holiday Bowl outright upset where they delivered a 4* Late Phone Winner for us. Okla is also coming off of a convincing 37-20 win against Wash where Peterson ran for 165 yds and 2 TD’s. Okla is 6-10-1 ATS in its road openers and has our #8 ranked D despite allowing an un-Sooner-like 170 rush ypg (4.2). OK is 8-4 ATS under Stoops as an AD while UO is 9-4 as a HF. UO is coming off a big win in a tough situation at Fresno St with Stewart only having 1 carry due to an ankle injury (check ncsports.com for status). The Ducks did score TD’s on a fake FG & a botched blk’d FG. The D has allowed 153 rush ypg (4.0). A win here for the Sooners could give them momentum for the Oct 7 Red River Shootout & look for them to get it on the road.
LOUISVILLE 30 Miami, Fl 23 - Papa John’s Stadium will be rocking. This is one of 2 circled games for UL and they face a still angry Miami squad which has never lost in 10 tries to Louisville. In ‘04 a #17 UL (+9) nearly got the outright upset over #3 Miami losing 38-41 in the Orange Bowl. UM is 24-10 ATS prior to a bye and only faced a IAA tm LW. LY L’ville hammered tms at home by a 55-15 avg and has mauled KY and Temple TY. L’ville has a potential Top 3 NFL pick in QB Brohm who is avg 281 ypg (58%) with a 2-1 ratio. The Smith/Stripling combo, who took over for the inj’d Bush, have rushed for 314 yds (8.5) with 5 TD’s. UL has the edge on off (#1-40), but UM has the def edge (#9-31). 1st Tm ACC RB Tyrone Moss returned LW after a knee inj and rushed for 64 yds and 1 TD. QB Wright is avg only 149 ypg (solid 69%) with a 1-1 ratio.
Fresno St 24 WASHINGTON 23 - The all-time series is knotted at 1-1 with Washington winning in ‘79 and Fresno St winning in ‘04. UW is 0-8 SU & 2-6 ATS the L2Y as a HD. FSU is off an emotional home loss vs a ranked Oregon team that was 10-1 LY. FSU probably won’t match that intensity on the road vs a UW team that was 2-9 LY. Remember LY’s loss to USC was followed by 2 embarrassing upset losses. FSU is now 3-12-1 off a SU loss. The Huskies went 1-10 & 2-9 SU in ‘04 & ‘05 and only 52,256 were in attendance for the ‘06 home opener. UW’s Stanback is a dual threat (154 ypg pass, 60 ypg run) and is one of the nation’s more underrated QB’s. This will be the first road start for FSU’s QB Brandstater (137 ypg, 56%) but he won’t have to shoulder the load himself with RB Wright (156 ypg rush & 2 TD per game) leading a strong running game. Both offenses (UW #37, FS #51) and D’s (FS #46, UW #65) are in the same ballpark. UW has a killer schedule (#3 toughest in NCAA) and has UCLA on deck, while FSU has a bye next week. Washington has covered just 1 of 11 at home when not getting 4 TD’s.
Texas Tech 28 TCU 27 - TT is just 7-17 SU & 8-16 ATS on grass but is 9-3 ATS vs TCU. Their last meeting (2004) was a wild one with TCU leading 21-0 early 2Q and TT then scoring 56 straight pts winning 70-35 at home. We successfully went against the Red Raiders LW as TT beat a pesky UTEP team in OT 38-35 but failed to cover as 8 pt AF’s. Both offenses were running on all cylinders with TT QB Harrell hitting 40-52 for 376 yds and a 2-1 ratio. TCU beat IAA UC Davis 46-13 while holding a 461-251 ttl yd edge and only allowing 26 yds rush on 28 carries. TCU’s RB Brown had 2 TD’s with a running game that lost alot of depth without 1,000 yd rushers Merrill (back), and Hobbs (foot) as neither have played so far TY (check ncsports.com for update). TCU has been a HD 8 times in 8 yrs and is 6-2 ATS with 4 outright upsets. They have a bye on deck and should have a peak performance. TCU does have only 1 starter back in the secondary allowing 256 ypg (61%) with 1-3 ratio. TT has the expected offensive edge (#7-53) while TCU has D (#33-50), ST’s (#36-97) and the home edges as well as the nation’s longest win streak. Last one with the ball wins.
E CAROLINA 30 Memphis 20 - Last year Memphis dominated the 1H with a 250-82 yd edge but EC got the backdoor cover with :10 left (see Past History). EC is just 3-9 ATS in home openers and the dog is 5-1 ATS in the series. Memphis QB Hankins thrives in the spread off avg 252 ypg (70%!!) with a 3-1 ratio and hit 11 diff rec’s LW led by true frosh Calhoun with 6 rec (23.0). Doss, trying to fill Williams’ shoes, has 128 yds (4.4). EC’s off a heartbreaking loss 17-12 where they were going in for a TD when WR Henry was stripped of the ball at the 5 and it rolled into the EZ for a TB. QB Pinkney who is avg 281 ypg (53%) with a 3-1 ratio is being asked to carry a team that is avg just 86 ypg (3.3) rush. Memphis only had a IAA game LW and has a bye on deck but is just 3-11 ATS vs EC. EC in need of some home cooking starting the first of 5 straight home games and is 10-3 ATS under Holtz.
GEORGIA 27 Uab 10 - The Bulldogs are just 3-8 ATS in non-conf HG’s under Richt. In the only previous meeting, GA pulled out a 16-13 win with Florida on deck (-29) at home in ‘03. That was a game in which QB Hackney was inj’d so current QB Williams made his 1st ever start. GA is off a 18-0 shutout of SC in which QB Tereshinski sprained his ankle (check ncsports.com) & in came VHT true Stafford (PS#2) who threw for 171 yds but also had 3 int. The Dawg QB’s have avg 159 ypg (48%) 2-3 ratio while RB’s Ware & Brown have 206 yds (5.0). GA’s #12 D is allowing just 51 ypg rush (1.
& handed Spurrier just his 2nd career shutout. UAB is off a 17-12 win over EC & the QB derby is in full force as Hunt & Williams have each started 1. Williams came off the bench LW and hit 144 yds (75%) with a 2-0 ratio. UAB is using a RB by committee with 259 yds (3.1) & have had some success vs the run D of Okla (allow 169 ypg) and EC (263 ypg). They are transforming into a run first off but are struggling with the move and now face a stout D. UAB is 10-4 ATS as an AD and it’s tough to lay too many pts with GA in non-conf play.MISS ST 24 Tulane 3 - MSU is 7-1 SU & ATS vs Tulane delivering 3* Late Phone Winners for us the L/2Y. MSU is 4-1 ATS as a HF and needs every win they can get so they will not take TU lightly. Tulane is 6-14 ATS vs non-conf and is playing its 2nd of 3 straight road games. Off and ST’s are close but MSU has a huge edge on D (#30-119) and held Aub RB Irons to just 69 yds rush LW. MSU hasn’t scored a point in ‘06, but have faced the tough D’s of SC (#35) and Aub (#10) and now take a huge step down in competition. RFr MSU QB Rutland made his 1st start LW replacing inj’d starter Henig & is avg 73 ypg (45%) with a 0-3 ratio while true frosh RB Dixon (PS#28), who was cleared to play at last minute LW (brkn hand), has 133 rush yds (4.6). TU QB Ricard hit 14 of 25 for 156 yds with a 1-1 ratio in their blowout loss to Houston LW. I like MSU, but it’s tough to lay points with the Bulldogs when they haven’t put any on the board yet this year.
S MISS 17 Nc State 16 - Last year NCSt’s Stone took over as starter vs SM but hit just 10 of 26 at home. NCSt did have a 425-246 yd edge but did not cover (-6) 21-17. They are 10-5 ATS in their first road game and 6-3 ATS on art turf. RB Brown rushed for 248 yds vs SM. When NCSt takes to the road the DOG is 28-9 ATS! SM is just 3-9-1 ATS vs the ACC but only had a IAA foe LW and doesn’t play for another 9 days so the crowd should be frenzied at “The Rockâ€
posted by phantom
Sept. 15 2006 2:36pm -
0 likes
pointwise red sheet late week forecast:
89 and above superior play 88 and below above avg.
college:
mich. 89
sdst. 89
ohio st. 88
misso. 88
tulsa 88
pro:
miami 88
near choices rated 87's
flor.
minny(college)
so.miss.
baltimore
new england
jacks
posted by phantom
Sept. 15 2006 2:37pm -
0 likes
Newsletters best bets for tonight
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Winning points
close call
Toledo* over Kansas by 7 (Friday)
The Glass Bowl has been a difficult place for first-time visitors over the years, and
the Rockets should remember well the 673-14 drubbing that they suffered at
Lawrence two years ago. TOLEDO 27-20.
Marc lawrence
4*
Holy Toledo, the Rockets return home off a 21-point loss as
11-point favorites last week. Toledo has numbers galore for
this non-conference clash. The Rockets are 12-1 ATS at home
vs opponents who are off a win and 34-2 SU on this fi eld since
1999, averaging 40 ppg in those 36 home games. Kansas is
21-70 ATS when allowing 28 or more. The most signifi cant
number in this match, however, is 49. That is the margin of
victory for Kansas when these teams last met in 2004. Toledo
hasn't forgotten that dismemberment. And we haven't forgot
that Tom Amstutz has never lost three games in a row and is
13-2 ATS in the Glass City against an opponent off a win win.
TOLEDO over Kansas by 16
posted by phantom
Sept. 15 2006 2:40pm -
0 likes
Title: Jimmy Boyd's 5* CFB Friday Night Game of the Year!!!
Teaser: Toledo nearly knocked off a Big 12 opponent in Iowa State in the opener on the road. Will the Rockets torch the Jayhawks at home or will Kansas get their 3rd straight win? This one won't even be close and Jimmy Boyd is all over the decisive winning side. Take Jimmy's biggest Friday Night College Football play this year to the bank!!!
Selection: 5 unit Friday Night Game of the Year on Kansas +
The books are giving us a gift with Kansas getting 5 points as the Jayhawks take this one outright. Toledo showed some offensive spark in their first game against Iowa State, but when they went up against a solid defense in week 2, they were shut down. Kansas is a good defensive football team and they'll come out strong this week after a scare against Louisiana-Monroe. Mangino has put a big emphasis on defense and it has resulted in Bowl games 2 of the last 3 years. Toledo won't be ready for the best defense they've seen yet this season in this one. Take the Jayhawks to the bank.
posted by phantom
Sept. 15 2006 2:42pm -
0 likes
Title: Rocketman Sports 4* College Football Best Bet Friday
Teaser: Rocketman Sports has cashed 10 straight years in College Football and going for #11 in a row in our 11 year history. Get on board for our TOP 4* CFB Best Bet for Friday GUARANTEED to win or you will not be charged anything.
Selection: Rocketman Sports plays are rated 1-5 units!
CFB
Kansas @ Toledo 8:00 PM EST
Play On: 4* Toledo (-)pts
Kansas is 25-44 ATS on the road since 1992. Kansas is 44-73 ATS since 1992 when playing with 6 days or less rest. Kansas is 1-6 ATS as dogs vs opponent off a double digit against the spread loss. Kansas is 2-10 ATS off straight up win vs opponent off back to back straight up losses. Toledo is 15-3 ATS since 1992 as a favorite of 3 1/2 to 10 points. Toledo is 34-18 ATS on turf since 1992. Toledo is 11-1 ATS as favorite off double digit straight up loss. Toledo is 10-1 ATS at home vs opponent off a straight up win. We'll play the Toledo Rockets for 4 units on Friday night! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
posted by phantom
Sept. 15 2006 2:43pm -
0 likes
Title: Players Advantage NCAAF ESPN2 Friday Winner (30-20 run)
Teaser: This match-up between the Jayhawks and Rockets at The Glass Bowl in Toledo has been set up perfectly and we're all set to cash in. Even though we've gotten off to a slow start on the gridiron we are still on a 30-20 Football run that extends back to last season. As always, must win or you're not charged. Cash in with Rickenbach's Players Advantage.
Selection: Game #304 - 1* (Regular Play) Toledo Rockets (-) vs Kansas @ 8:00 ET - On the surface this may seem like an interesting play here as you have a 2-0 Big 12 team playing an 0-2 MAC team. However, note that records can be very deceiving. Kansas has only beaten Northwestern State and then barely hung on last week at home versus UL Monroe 21-19. Despite the wins the Jayhawks have not looked particularly strong at all especially considering the level of competition they faced.
Toledo, despite being 0-2, has played well in two road games and are much better that their record shows. They are picked as one of the top teams in the MAC and have shot themselves in the foot the last two weeks with turnovers and penalties. Toledo's strength has been through the air. This is great news for the Rockets tonight as the Kansas defense has given up an average of 300 yards per game in the first two weeks.
This will be Toledo's home opener and we do not see them starting the season 0-3. The Rockets will be very fired up for this opportunity at a night game on National TV. There are some on the team who can also still remember getting blasted by the Jayhawks in a 63-14 loss two years ago! Revenge is on order and, in the Glass Bowl, the experienced Rockets should win this game by at least two touchdowns. Play Toledo minus the points as a regular selection.
posted by phantom
Sept. 15 2006 2:43pm -
0 likes
Title: Marc Lawrence Never Lost Friday Night CFB Fan Appreciation Play! - Friday 9/15
Teaser: Join Marc Lawrence right now fro a Fan Appreciation play on Friday night's College Football clash between Kansas and Toledo. It's backed by a NEVER LOST winning angle inside the game and it's your for only $10 - pay after you win - if you act now!
Selection: Play On: Toledo
Note: Rockets return home off surprising back-to-back losses to open the season knowing they are 27-2 SU & 19-7 ATS at home under head coach Tom Amstutz. Included in those numbers is a 6-0 ATS log when taking on a foe off back-to-back wins. We like the fact Amstutz has never lost three games in a row - and, playing with revenge from a 63-14 loss suffered against Kansas in 2004, we like Toledo here tonight
posted by phantom
Sept. 15 2006 2:44pm -
0 likes
Title: Tom Freese Blue Line Club Fri. CFB 57-7 ATS 4* Side Winner 9/15/06
Teaser: Tom Freese cashed with West Virginia last night and he is now 8-1-1 in College Football this year. On Friday he has a 4* Side Winner in the Kansas/Toledo game that is in Angles that are 57-7 ATS. Jump on it now and grab the Cash.
Selection: Tom Freese Blue Line Club- Friday, September 15
Kansas at Toloedo (8:00pm)
Toledo is 12-1 ATS at home vs. an opponent who is off a straight up win. The Rockets are 27-4 ATS their last 31 straight up wins. Kansas is 0-8 ATS after allowing 100 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games. The Jayhawks are 2-10 ATS off a straight up win vs. an opponent who is off back to back losses. 4* Play On Toledo -
posted by phantom
Sept. 15 2006 2:44pm -
0 likes
Title: Hudson Sports Friday Night Football on ESPN2
Teaser: 6 - 0 Hot Streak NCAAF. Rob has the winning side between Kansas at Toledo, 8 pm EST ESPN2. Get on board now and start winning. Guaranteed to win or you don't pay.
Selection: Kansas Jayhawks at Toledo Rockets, 8 pm EST ESPN2 Friday, September 15th
3* Play on Toledo Rockets - points
Kansas 16-36 ATS in their last 52 road games.
Toledo 17-6 ATS in their last 23 home games.
TOLEDO is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992. Play on Toledo Rockets - points at home.
posted by phantom
Sept. 15 2006 2:45pm -
0 likes
Friday Night Football: Kansas vs. Toledo
It’s the Big 12 versus the MAC tonight as Kansas travels to Toledo to take on the Rockets. You have Kansas coming in at 2-0 while Toledo is winless at 0-2. However, the Sportsbooks still like Toledo as they are four-point favorites. Both teams are coming in off poor performances. Kansas was a 26-point favorite over LA Monroe last week and sneaked out with a two-point win. Toledo went to Western Michigan and got beat 31-10 as ten-point favorites. These two teams met two years ago in Kansas and the Jayhawks grounded the Rockets, 63-14. Will Toledo get revenge? One strong trend favoring Toledo is they play great at home in the first half of the season posting a 17-3 ATS record.
posted by phantom
Sept. 15 2006 2:55pm -
0 likes
When someone mentions rivalry it gets us thinking about USC-Notre Dame; FLorida-Florida State; Nebraska-Oklahoma; Michigan-OSU and any number of other traditional battles. Who would think that in the minds of some, the war between Marshall and Kansas State fits in just fine with the others?
These two squads have played only twice but both games were competitive, thrilling, and filled with the testosterone rage of both teams. Both were definitely barn burners as the schools have split their first two games.
Marshall (1-1) travels to Kansas State (2-0) for the anticipated Saturday morning match up. In 2003, Marshall's Thundering Herd broke the hearts and spirits of KSU fan's with a last minute 27-20 win. The win snapped a 41 game non-conference winning streak and sent the 6th ranked KSU squad to its first defeat of the year. If that wasn't enough, the Herd thundered all over KSU's Powercat logo midfield and thus the rivalry was born.
KState got revenge in 2005 topping Marshall 21-19 when Marshall, in easy field goal range, was intercepted late in the game to lose their chance. At the game's conclusion, the Wildcat players stormed midfield and did a number on the big "M" logo. There was a lot of pushing and shoving and cussing before things settled down.
We like Marshall plus the ten points in this game. KSU is coming off a 45-0 crunching of Florida - in this case, Florida Atlantic. Marshall just finished throttling Hofstra 54-31. Not a lot ot write home about there. Marshall did lose game one to West Virginia 42-10, but you can bet they won't be the last to take a whipping from WV. KSU draws Louisville next week and Marshall goes to Tennessee. No bargains there for either team.
Why do we like Marshall other than the 10 point spot? Well, it looks like it should be the third straight close game in the rubber match. Marshall has seen a very good West Virginia team and despite losing, no doubt gained some valuable experience for this one. Kansas State is not West Virginia. KSU's passing game is nothing to get excited about. Passing "D" has been a sore spot for Marshall so perhaps they will be able to pay less attention to the air wars and concentrate on stopping the run. A negative and potential problem could be that Marshall tends to turn the ball over and KSU's defense is not shy. Hopefully the Herd will hang on to the ball.
It should be a tight game and both teams have pretty strong special teams.Marshall's Emmanuel Spann and KSU's Yamon Figurs will be running wild on punts and kickoffs. We think Marshall's better balanced offense, stronger rushing attack, and a few intangibles should be enough to stay close if not win. The first two games were decided in thrilling fashion in the final seconds. Let's see what happens this year. Take Marshall plus the points.
posted by phantom
Sept. 15 2006 2:56pm -
0 likes
Ethan Law
CFB Side
304 Toledo -3.5 (-110) vs 303 Kansas
-- Analysis:
Home for the first time this season, Toledo is all-out to avoid a 0-3 start to the season. The Rockets got demolished last weekend fresh off a 21-point loss as 11-point favorite. Toledo (0-2) is retooling this season because of sophomore QB Clint Cochran. Last week the Rockets got bit by big-play efforts by the Western Michigan defense as Cochran was intercepted twice and sacked five times. He also lost one fumble and bobbled a snap that wiped out a field goal attempt. Meanwhile, Kansas tuned up for this contest with a home game against a lowly Louisiana Monroe squad, and had to hang for dear life in a 21-19 win. UL-Monroe missed a two-point conversion with three minutes left to allow Kansas to escape with a 21-19 win. Despite being 2-0 there is cause for concern as Kansas has a true freshman at QB in Kerry Meier, who will be making his first road start of his career. Jon Cornish rushed for 103 yards for the Jayhawks (2-0). The senior running back, who had 140 yards rushing the week before against Northwestern State, also picked up 62 yards on two receptions. The main concern for the Jayhawks has to be the nearly 400 yards of passing offense allowed in last weekends contest as their eight new starters on defense are still making adjustments. After looking quit in-depth on this matchup I can confidently say that this should be one of the easiest games to handicap in my careerwhich does tend to scare me a bit since it seems too easy.
To be blunt, Toledo owns situational, fundamental, motivational and technical advantages over this Kansas team. First off, we have a 0-2 team desperately needed a win, playing it first game at home (always a good angle) against a true-freshman quarterback making his first road appearance of his career (again another very profitable proposition). One report I read on the freshman QB from a first-hand observer says: ''Meiers final stats looked decent on paper, but he looked every bit a freshman in his second game. He failed to make good reads and find secondary receivers. Instead, he chose to force the ball to receivers who were not open. This resulted in easy interceptions for Lousiana-Monroe...'' Kansas failed to get a first down on seven of 12 possessions in last week's game. Even better, Toledo is looking to avenge an early-season 62-10 loss at Kansas in 2004, when many defensive starters were suspended. Some of those defensive players are still with the program and are about to show what a difference having the whole team makes. Something else to consider is the fact that other than a bowl game, Kansas has never played a weeknight game during the current tenure of head coach Mark Mangino, who is dealing with a compressed schedule for the first time, Toledo has the advantage of having played 18 weeknight games since 2002. Fundamentally, Toledo should be able to exploit the above mention week secondary of the Jayhawks as Cochran (who will be the focus of this offense) will air it out again against the Jayhawks. From a technical standpoint, the numbers are mind boggling. The Rockets are 12-1 ATS at home against an opponent who is off a win and 34-2 SU on this field since 1999, averaging 40 points per game in those 36 home games. During that same stretch, the Rockets are 10-0 ATS against non-MAC foes, 7-0 ATS off a loss of ten or more and 6-0 ATS against opponents who are off back-to-back wins. In comparison, Kansas is 21-70 ATS when allowing 28 or more, and 28 should certainly be achievable with this offense. Factor in that Rockets HC Tom Amstutz has never lost three games in a row and is 13-2 ATS in the Glass City against an opponent off a win and Ill let you decide. Is it too easy? Let's hope not!
Fridays Forecast: Toledo 31, Kansas 21
OPINION SELECTION ON TOLEDO -3.5
_________________
posted by phantom
Sept. 15 2006 5:38pm -
0 likes
Dunkel Index - College Football (Friday, Saturday)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Dunkel Index – NCAA Football
FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 15
Game 303-304: Kansas at Toledo
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas 86.306; Toledo 83.929
Dunkel Line: Kansas by 2 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Toledo by 4; 48
Dunkel Pick: Kansas (+4); Under
SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 16
Game 305-306: Iowa State at Iowa
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa State 91.331; Iowa 101.294
Dunkel Line: Iowa by 10; 47
Vegas Line: Iowa by 13 1/2; 48
Dunkel Pick: Iowa State (+13 1/2); Under
Game 307-308: BYU at Boston College
Dunkel Ratings: BYU 91.024; Boston College 97.353
Dunkel Line: Boston College by 6 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Boston College by 7; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: BYU (+7); Over
Game 309-310: Syracuse at Illinois
Dunkel Ratings: Syracuse 76.829; Illinois 78.464
Dunkel Line: Illinois by 1 1/2; 38
Vegas Line: Illinois by 3 1/2; 39 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (+3 1/2); Under
Game 311-312: Temple at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Temple 57.660; Minnesota 94.192
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 36 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 42, 54
Dunkel Pick: Temple (+42); Under
Game 313-314: Cincinnati at Ohio State
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 77.856; Ohio State 114.965
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 37; 45 1/2
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 29 1/2; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-29 1/2); Neutral
Game 315-316: Duke at Virginia Tech
Dunkel Ratings: Duke 70.793; Virginia Tech 105.481
Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 35; 43 1/2
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 35; 45
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Under
Game 317-318: Wake Forest at Connecticut
Dunkel Ratings: Wake Forest 84.051; Connecticut 85.853
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 2; 45 1/2
Vegas Line: Connecticut by 6; 42
Dunkel Pick: Wake Forest (+6); Over
Game 319-320: Western Michigan at Virginia
Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 78.195; Virginia 86.766
Dunkel Line: Virginia by 8 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Virginia by 9 1/2; 44
Dunkel Pick: Western Michigan (+9 1/2); Neutral
Game 321-322: Marshall at Kansas State
Dunkel Ratings: Marshall 76.826; Kansas State 87.333
Dunkel Line: Kansas State by 10 1/2; 51 1/2
Vegas Line: Kansas State by 10 48
Dunkel Pick: Kansas State (-10); Over
Game 323-324: Ohio at Rutgers
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 76.484; Rutgers 91.372
Dunkel Line: Rutgers by 15; 47
Vegas Line: Rutgers by 15, 47
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Neutral
Game 325-326: Ball State at Purdue
Dunkel Ratings: Ball State 75.285 ; Purdue 90.951
Dunkel Line: Purdue by 15 1/2; 57
Vegas Line: Purdue by 17; 55
Dunkel Pick: Ball State (+17); Over
Game 327-328: Akron at Central Michigan
Dunkel Ratings: Akron 83.648; Central Michigan 80.718
Dunkel Line: Akron by 3; 47
Vegas Line: Akron by 1; 47
Dunkel Pick: Akron (-1); Neutral
Game 329-330: Kent at Miami (OH)
Dunkel Ratings: Kent 62.281; Miami (OH) 83.409
Dunkel Line: Miami (OH) by 21; 43
Vegas Line: Miami (OH) by 11; 43
Dunkel Pick: Miami (OH) (-11); Neutral
Game 331-332: Eastern Michigan at Northwestern
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 67.495; Northwestern 86.183
Dunkel Line: Northwestern by 18 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: Northwestern by 17; 52
Dunkel Pick: Northwestern (-17); Over
Game 333-334: South Florida at Central Florida
Dunkel Ratings: South Florida 86.232; Central Florida 80.082
Dunkel Line: South Florida by 6; 42 1/2
Vegas Line: Central Florida by 2; 44
Dunkel Pick: South Florida (+2); Under
Game 335-336: San Diego State at Wisconsin
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego State 85.810; Wisconsin 98.153
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 12 1/2; 54 1/2
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 14; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego State (+14); Over
Game 337-338: Boise State at Wyoming
Dunkel Ratings: Boise State 97.369; Wyoming 84.338;
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 13; 57 1/2
Vegas Line: Boise State by 7; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-7); Over
Game 339-340: Michigan State at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan State 91.143; Pittsburgh 96.025
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 5; 47 1/2
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 2; 52
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-2); Under
Game 341-342: Florida at Tennessee
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 105.955; Tennessee 101.205
Dunkel Line: Florida by 5; 45
Vegas Line: Florida by 3 1/2; 45
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-3 1/2); Neutral
Game 343-344: Baylor vs. Washington State
Dunkel Ratings: Baylor 85.384; Washington State 91.692
Dunkel Line: Washington State by 6 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: Washington State by 13; 50
Dunkel Pick: Baylor (+13); Under
Game 345-346: Michigan at Notre Dame
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan 104.372; Notre Dame 109.029
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 4 1/2; 48 1/2
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 6 1/2; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (+6 1/2); Under
Game 347-348: Oklahoma at Oregon
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma 97.976; Oregon 103.825
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 6; 50
Vegas Line: Oregon by 4 1/2; 50
Dunkel Pick: Oregon (-4 1/2); Neutral
Game 349-350: Miami (FL) at Louisville
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (FL) 99.386; Louisville 104.567
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 5; 55 1/2
Vegas Line: Louisville by 4; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-4); Over
Game 351-352: Fresno State at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Fresno State 92.075; Washington 82.494
Dunkel Line: Fresno State by 9 1/2; 54 1/2
Vegas Line: Fresno State by 3 1/2; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Fresno State (-3 1/2); Over
Game 353-354: Mississippi at Kentucky
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi 81.096; Kentucky 83.292
Dunkel Line: Kentucky by 2; 49
Vegas Line: Kentucky by 4; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi (+4); Under
Game 355-356: Texas vs. Rice
Dunkel Ratings: Texas 109.042; Rice 74.651
Dunkel Line: Texas by 34 1/2; 59
Vegas Line: Texas by 31 1/2; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-31 1/2); Over
Game 357-358: Texas Tech at TCU
Dunkel Ratings: Texas Tech 101.207; TCU 98.226
Dunkel Line: Texas Tech by 3; 57 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas Tech by 1 1/2; 54
Dunkel Pick: Texas Tech (-1 1/2); Over
Game 359-360: Memphis at East Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 82.473; East Carolina 80.044
Dunkel Line: Memphis by 2 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: East Carolina by 1 1/2; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+1 1/2); Under
Game 361-362: UAB at Georgia
Dunkel Ratings: UAB 85.321; Georgia 105.267
Dunkel Line: Georgia by 20; 43
Vegas Line: Georgia by 17; 38
Dunkel Pick: Georgia (-17); Over
Game 363-364: Tulane at Mississippi State
Dunkel Ratings: Tulane 67.919; Mississippi State 78.848
Dunkel Line: Mississippi State by 11; 33 1/2
Vegas Line: Mississippi State by 11; 39
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Under
Game 365-366: NC State at Southern Mississippi
Dunkel Ratings: NC State 89.477; Southern Mississippi 85.078
Dunkel Line: NC State by 4 1/2; 37 1/2
Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 2 1/2; 38 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NC State (+2 1/2); Under
Game 367-368: Arkansas at Vanderbilt
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas 89.971; Vanderbilt 86.183
Dunkel Line: Arkansas by 4; 47
Vegas Line: Arkansas by 5 1/2; 38 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Vanderbilt (+5 1/2); Over
Game 369-370: Arizona State at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona State 95.506; Colorado 78.624
Dunkel Line: Arizona State by 17; 53
Vegas Line: Arizona State by 10; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona State (-10); Over
Game 371-372: LSU at Auburn
Dunkel Ratings: LSU 111.716; Auburn 107.756
Dunkel Line: LSU by 4; 45
Vegas Line: Auburn by 3 1/2; 39 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LSU (+3 1/2); Over
Game 373-374: Buffalo at Northern Illinois
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 63.704; Northern Illinois 84.217
Dunkel Line: Northern Illinois by 20 1/2; 46 1/2
Vegas Line: Northern Illinois by 23; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+23); Under
Game 375-376: Clemson at Florida State
Dunkel Ratings: Clemson 99.445; Florida State 99.284
Dunkel Line: Even; 45 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida State by 4 1/2; 44
Dunkel Pick: Clemson (+4 1/2); Over
Game 377-378: Nebraska at USC
Dunkel Ratings: Nebraska 102.138; USC 119.313
Dunkel Line: USC by 17; 60 1/2
Vegas Line: USC by 18 1/2; 57
Dunkel Pick: Nebraska (+18 1/2); Over
Game 379-380: Missouri at New Mexico
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri 89.798; New Mexico 76.497
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 13 1/2; 54 1/2
Vegas Line: Missouri by 13 1/2; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Over
Game 381-382: Utah at Utah State
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 93.333; Utah State 65.383
Dunkel Line: Utah by 28; 45 1/2
Vegas Line: Utah by 20 1/2; 44
Dunkel Pick: Utah (-20 1/2); Over
Game 383-384: Colorado State at Nevada
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado State 84.397; Nevada 81.682
Dunkel Line: Colorado State by 2 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Nevada by 2 1/2; 53
Dunkel Pick: Colorado State (+2 1/2); Under
Game 385-386: Army vs. Texas A&M
Dunkel Ratings: Army 69.204; Texas A&M 94.868
Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 25 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Texas A&M 27 1/2; 49
Dunkel Pick: Army (+27 1/2); Neutral
Game 387-388: Navy at Stanford
Dunkel Ratings: Navy 87.465; Stanford 80.280
Dunkel Line: Navy by 7; 58
Vegas Line: Stanford by 3; 58
Dunkel Pick: Navy (+3); Neutral
Game 389-390: UNLV at Hawaii
Dunkel Ratings: UNLV 76.373; Hawaii 84.072
Dunkel Line: Hawaii by 7 1/2; 62 1/2
Vegas Line: Hawaii by 12; 57 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UNLV (+12); Over
Game 392-392: Troy at Georgia Tech
Dunkel Ratings: Troy 71.792; Georgia Tech 96.660
Dunkel Line: Georgia Tech by 25; 37 1/2
Vegas Line: Georgia Tech by 17; 37 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgia Tech (-17); Neutral
Game 393-394: UL Monroe at Alabama
Dunkel Ratings: UL Monroe 68.051; Alabama 97.634
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 29 1/2; 40
Vegas Line: Alabama by 24 1/2; 40
Dunkel Pick: Alabama (-24 1/2); Neutral
Game 395-396: Bowling Green at Florida International
Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 79.981; Florida International 71.220
Dunkel Line: Bowling Green by 9; 45 1/2
Vegas Line: Bowling Green by 5; 48
Dunkel Pick: Bowling Green (-5); Under
Game 397-398: Florida Atlantic at Oklahoma State
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 59.672; Oklahoma State 86.267
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 26 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 30; 47
Dunkel Pick: Florida Atlantic (+30); Neutral
Game 399-400: North Texas at Tulsa
Dunkel Ratings: North Texas 69.755; Tulsa 87.459
Dunkel Line: Tulsa by 17 1/2; 45 1/2
Vegas Line: Tulsa by 19 1/2; 48
Dunkel Pick: North Texas (+17 1/2); Under
posted by phantom
Sept. 15 2006 5:44pm -
0 likes
Kansas Vs Toledo
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
KANSAS VS TOLEDO
Friday's Game
Toledo is 24-12 vs spread in last 36 tries as home favorite; they lost 63-14 in Lawrence two years ago (+3). Kansas hung on for 21-19 win over UL-Monroe last week, but Warhawks passed for 382 yards on only 24 completions, so Jayhawks have DB issues; they covered only five of last fifteen non-Big 12 road games; they're 3-6 vs spread in their last nine road openers. Toledo off to rough 0-2 start, getting upset in Kalamazoo last week (outscored 24-0 in second half), after dropping opener in OT at Iowa State.
---------------------------------------------------------------------
Game 303-304: Kansas at Toledo
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas 86.306; Toledo 83.929
Dunkel Line: Kansas by 2 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Toledo by 4; 48
Dunkel Pick: Kansas (+4); Under
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Friday, September 15th
Kansas at Toledo, 8:00 EST ESPN2
Kansas: 0-8 ATS off BB games allowing 100 or less rushing yards
Toledo: 15-3 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
KANSAS (2 - 0) at TOLEDO (0 - 2) - 9/15/2006, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS is 61-89 ATS (-36.9 Units) in all games since 1992.
KANSAS is 61-89 ATS (-36.9 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
KANSAS is 35-56 ATS (-26.6 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
KANSAS is 25-44 ATS (-23.4 Units) in road games since 1992.
KANSAS is 25-44 ATS (-23.4 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
KANSAS is 44-73 ATS (-36.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
TOLEDO is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
TOLEDO is 34-18 ATS (+14.2 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS is 1-0 against the spread versus TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS is 1-0 straight up against TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Key Player Injuries
KANSAS
CB Aqib Talib (Suspension) missed last 2 games, upgraded to probable. - 9/1
FS Darrell Stuckey (Ankle) is expected to miss another 2 weeks. - 9/12
TOLEDO
No significant injuries.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Kansas (2-0) at Toledo (0-2) 12 pm EST ESPN2 Friday, September 15th
Why to watch: Toledo might be the best 0-2 team in the country. After a heartbreaking three-overtime loss to Iowa State, the Rockets inexplicably went into the tank against Western Michigan in a 31-10 loss that'll set them back big-time in the MAC race. The passing game has been there and the offense has the firepower to put up big points, but the losing slide has to stop now. On the flip side, Kansas has been mediocre at best beating Northwestern State and UL Monroe. If you can only beat ULM 21-19, there are issues. KU has bigger fish to fry ahead playing Nebraska in two weeks, so it needs this game and next week's tussle with South Florida to be ready.
Why Kansas might win: Yeah, it only played Northwestern State and UL Monroe, but the KU run defense appears to have reloaded with an aggressive front that's been great at getting into the backfield. Toledo has done next to nothing in the running game relying on Clint Cochran's arm to carry the offense. If he's inconsistent, like he was against Western Michigan, KU will come away with the win.
Why Toledo might win: Under Mark Mangino, Kansas has been awful on the road going just 3-17 with a win over Missouri in 2004, Wyoming in 2003, and Tulsa in 2002. Yeah, Toledo hasn't been able to run the ball, but it has the ability to bomb away if Cochran gets hot. Kansas couldn't handle Kinsmon Lancaster and the mighty Warhawk passing game last week and could get shredded to bits. The KU offense isn't exactly built to put points on the board in a hurry.
Who to watch: Kansas senior RB Jon Cornish has been the offense early on and he'll need to be a steady factor to keep the pressure off new starting QB Kerry Meier. Cornish is a former linebacker with good hands and a nice speed burst. With 243 yards and three touchdowns in the first two games, and 6.75 yard-per-carry average, he has been the team's MVP by far. For the Toledo offense, senior TE Chris Hopkins is making an early case for the Mackey Award after catching 13 passes for 139 yards and three touchdowns against Iowa State and four catches for 100 yards against Western Michigan.
What will happen: How real is Kansas? Toledo is a tough test on the road with too much firepower for the Jayhawks to overcome if this gets into any sort of a shootout. Cochran will find his groove just in time to come away with the win.
posted by phantom
Sept. 15 2006 5:45pm -
0 likes
Dunkel - College Football (Friday info)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Dunkel write-up for tonight's NCAA football
Kansas at Toledo
It has not been the best of starts for the MAC as the conference has gone a disappointing 3-13 in non-conference games thus far. Tonight in front of an ESPN audience Toledo will try to improve on that as the Rockets host Big 12 opponent Kansas. But to do that Toledo will have to improve in some other areas first, including a defense that has given up 76 points in losses to Iowa State and Western Michigan. Also raising concern was QB Clint Cochran's inability to move the Rocket offense last week in the second half against Western Michigan as Toledo was outscored 24-0. While Kansas has not looked particularly sharp in wins over I-AA Northwestern State and Louisiana-Monroe, the Jayhawks are an improving program under coach Mark Mangino and have a productive offense led by QB Kerry Meier and RB Jon Cornish. That should help KU take advantage of a +4 Vegas line according to Dunkel, which has Kansas favored straight up by 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Kansas (+4).
posted by phantom
Sept. 15 2006 5:48pm -
0 likes
College Football Trend Report - Week 3
KANSAS (2 - 0) at TOLEDO (0 - 2) - 9/15/2006, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS is 61-89 ATS (-36.9 Units) in all games since 1992.
KANSAS is 61-89 ATS (-36.9 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
KANSAS is 35-56 ATS (-26.6 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
KANSAS is 25-44 ATS (-23.4 Units) in road games since 1992.
KANSAS is 25-44 ATS (-23.4 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
KANSAS is 44-73 ATS (-36.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
TOLEDO is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
TOLEDO is 34-18 ATS (+14.2 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS is 1-0 against the spread versus TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS is 1-0 straight up against TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
IOWA ST (2 - 0) at IOWA (2 - 0) - 9/16/2006, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA ST is 2-0 against the spread versus IOWA over the last 3 seasons
IOWA is 1-1 straight up against IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
BYU (1 - 1) at BOSTON COLLEGE (2 - 0) - 9/16/2006, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON COLLEGE is 1-0 against the spread versus BYU over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON COLLEGE is 1-0 straight up against BYU over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
SYRACUSE (0 - 2) at ILLINOIS (1 - 1) - 9/16/2006, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ILLINOIS is 30-49 ATS (-23.9 Units) in home games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 30-49 ATS (-23.9 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 38-67 ATS (-35.7 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
TEMPLE (0 - 2) at MINNESOTA (1 - 1) - 9/16/2006, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEMPLE is 14-31 ATS (-20.1 Units) in September games since 1992.
TEMPLE is 17-35 ATS (-21.5 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
CINCINNATI (1 - 1) at OHIO ST (2 - 0) - 9/16/2006, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO ST is 1-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
OHIO ST is 1-0 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
DUKE (0 - 2) at VIRGINIA TECH (2 - 0) - 9/16/2006, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DUKE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 32-14 ATS (+16.6 Units) in September games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
VIRGINIA TECH is 1-1 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA TECH is 2-0 straight up against DUKE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
WAKE FOREST (2 - 0) at CONNECTICUT (1 - 0) - 9/16/2006, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WAKE FOREST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in September games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
W MICHIGAN (1 - 1) at VIRGINIA (1 - 1) - 9/16/2006, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
W MICHIGAN is 1-0 against the spread versus VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA is 1-0 straight up against W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MARSHALL (1 - 1) at KANSAS ST (2 - 0) - 9/16/2006, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS ST is 48-29 ATS (+16.1 Units) in home games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 48-29 ATS (+16.1 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 47-27 ATS (+17.3 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 70-46 ATS (+19.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 48-29 ATS (+16.1 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
MARSHALL is 1-0 against the spread versus KANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS ST is 1-0 straight up against MARSHALL over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
OHIO U (2 - 0) at RUTGERS (2 - 0) - 9/16/2006, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO U is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
BALL ST (1 - 1) at PURDUE (2 - 0) - 9/16/2006, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
PURDUE is 1-0 against the spread versus BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
PURDUE is 1-0 straight up against BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
AKRON (1 - 1) at C MICHIGAN (0 - 2) - 9/16/2006, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
C MICHIGAN is 1-0 against the spread versus AKRON over the last 3 seasons
C MICHIGAN is 1-0 straight up against AKRON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
KENT ST (0 - 2) at MIAMI OHIO (0 - 2) - 9/16/2006, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI OHIO is 35-19 ATS (+14.1 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI OHIO is 2-0 against the spread versus KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI OHIO is 2-0 straight up against KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
E MICHIGAN (0 - 2) at NORTHWESTERN (1 - 1) - 9/16/2006, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E MICHIGAN is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
E MICHIGAN is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
S FLORIDA (2 - 0) at C FLORIDA (1 - 1) - 9/16/2006, 2:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
S FLORIDA is 1-0 against the spread versus C FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
S FLORIDA is 1-0 straight up against C FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO ST (0 - 1) at WISCONSIN (2 - 0) - 9/16/2006, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WISCONSIN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
BOISE ST (2 - 0) at WYOMING (1 - 1) - 9/16/2006, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WYOMING is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in September games over the last 2 seasons.
WYOMING is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
BOISE ST is 59-32 ATS (+23.8 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 36-18 ATS (+16.2 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
BOISE ST is 59-32 ATS (+23.8 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 45-23 ATS (+19.7 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
BOISE ST is 47-28 ATS (+16.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
MICHIGAN ST (2 - 0) at PITTSBURGH (2 - 0) - 9/16/2006, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
FLORIDA (2 - 0) at TENNESSEE (2 - 0) - 9/16/2006, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 2-0 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 1-1 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
BAYLOR (1 - 1) at WASHINGTON ST (1 - 1) - 9/16/2006, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BAYLOR is 43-64 ATS (-27.4 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
MICHIGAN (2 - 0) at NOTRE DAME (2 - 0) - 9/16/2006, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
NOTRE DAME is 2-0 against the spread versus MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
NOTRE DAME is 2-0 straight up against MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA (2 - 0) at OREGON (2 - 0) - 9/16/2006, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
OREGON is 1-1 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA is 2-0 straight up against OREGON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI (1 - 1) at LOUISVILLE (2 - 0) - 9/16/2006, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISVILLE is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
LOUISVILLE is 1-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 1-0 straight up against LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
FRESNO ST (1 - 1) at WASHINGTON (1 - 1) - 9/16/2006, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FRESNO ST is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) against Pac 10 conference opponents since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 56 since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
FRESNO ST is 1-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
FRESNO ST is 1-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MISSISSIPPI (1 - 1) at KENTUCKY (1 - 1) - 9/16/2006, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MISSISSIPPI is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
KENTUCKY is 1-0 against the spread versus MISSISSIPPI over the last 3 seasons
MISSISSIPPI is 1-0 straight up against KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS (1 - 1) at RICE (0 - 2) - 9/16/2006, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 43-23 ATS (+17.7 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
RICE is 1-1 against the spread versus TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS is 2-0 straight up against RICE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS TECH (2 - 0) at TCU (2 - 0) - 9/16/2006, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS TECH is 84-58 ATS (+20.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS TECH is 1-0 against the spread versus TCU over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS TECH is 1-0 straight up against TCU over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS (1 - 1) at E CAROLINA (0 - 2) - 9/16/2006, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
E CAROLINA is 2-0 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 2-0 straight up against E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
UAB (1 - 1) at GEORGIA (2 - 0) - 9/16/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UAB is 32-14 ATS (+16.6 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
UAB is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in September games since 1992.
GEORGIA is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
TULANE (0 - 1) at MISSISSIPPI ST (0 - 2) - 9/16/2006, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TULANE is 42-64 ATS (-28.4 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MISSISSIPPI ST is 2-0 against the spread versus TULANE over the last 3 seasons
MISSISSIPPI ST is 2-0 straight up against TULANE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NC STATE (1 - 1) at SOUTHERN MISS (1 - 1) - 9/16/2006, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
SOUTHERN MISS is 1-0 against the spread versus NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
NC STATE is 1-0 straight up against SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS (1 - 1) at VANDERBILT (0 - 2) - 9/16/2006, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
VANDERBILT is 1-0 against the spread versus ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
VANDERBILT is 1-0 straight up against ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA ST (2 - 0) at COLORADO (0 - 2) - 9/16/2006, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
LSU (2 - 0) at AUBURN (2 - 0) - 9/16/2006, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AUBURN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
AUBURN is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
AUBURN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
AUBURN is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
LSU is 33-15 ATS (+16.5 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
AUBURN is 1-1 against the spread versus LSU over the last 3 seasons
AUBURN is 1-1 straight up against LSU over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO (1 - 1) at N ILLINOIS (0 - 2) - 9/16/2006, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
CLEMSON (1 - 1) at FLORIDA ST (2 - 0) - 9/16/2006, 7:45 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA ST is 1-1 against the spread versus CLEMSON over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA ST is 1-1 straight up against CLEMSON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NEBRASKA (2 - 0) at USC (1 - 0) - 9/16/2006, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
MISSOURI (2 - 0) at NEW MEXICO (1 - 1) - 9/16/2006, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEW MEXICO is 1-0 against the spread versus MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons
NEW MEXICO is 1-0 straight up against MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
UTAH (1 - 1) at UTAH ST (0 - 2) - 9/16/2006, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH ST is 1-1 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 2-0 straight up against UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO ST (2 - 0) at NEVADA (0 - 2) - 9/16/2006, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEVADA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO ST is 1-0 against the spread versus NEVADA over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO ST is 1-0 straight up against NEVADA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
ARMY (1 - 1) at TEXAS A&M (2 - 0) - 9/16/2006, 9:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS A&M is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in home games in September games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
NAVY (2 - 0) at STANFORD (0 - 2) - 9/16/2006, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NAVY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
NAVY is 86-56 ATS (+24.4 Units) in all games since 1992.
NAVY is 86-56 ATS (+24.4 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 58-35 ATS (+19.5 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
NAVY is 42-17 ATS (+23.3 Units) in road games since 1992.
NAVY is 42-17 ATS (+23.3 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 82-53 ATS (+23.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
NAVY is 53-33 ATS (+16.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NAVY is 41-16 ATS (+23.4 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
NAVY is 44-18 ATS (+24.2 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
NAVY is 1-0 against the spread versus STANFORD over the last 3 seasons
STANFORD is 1-0 straight up against NAVY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
UNLV (1 - 1) at HAWAII (0 - 1) - 9/16/2006, 11:59 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
TROY ST (1 - 1) at GEORGIA TECH (1 - 1) - 9/16/2006, 1:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
LA MONROE (1 - 1) at ALABAMA (2 - 0) - 9/16/2006, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA MONROE is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) as a road underdog of 21.5 or more points since 1992.
ALABAMA is 35-54 ATS (-24.4 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
ALABAMA is 26-43 ATS (-21.3 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
BOWLING GREEN (1 - 1) at FLA INTERNATIONAL (0 - 2) - 9/16/2006, 6:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
FLA ATLANTIC (0 - 2) at OKLAHOMA ST (2 - 0) - 9/16/2006, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA ST is 1-0 against the spread versus FLA ATLANTIC over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA ST is 1-0 straight up against FLA ATLANTIC over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NORTH TEXAS (1 - 1) at TULSA (1 - 1) - 9/16/2006, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NORTH TEXAS is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
TULSA is 1-0 against the spread versus NORTH TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
TULSA is 1-0 straight up against NORTH TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NCAAFB Trends - Week 3
Friday, September 15th
Kansas at Toledo, 8:00 EST ESPN2
Kansas: 0-8 ATS off BB games allowing 100 or less rushing yards
Toledo: 15-3 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points
** (TC) Denotes Time Change
Saturday, September 16th
Iowa State at Iowa, 12:00 EST ESPN
Iowa State: 5-1 Over in road games
Iowa: 17-9 ATS after forcing 0 turnovers
BYU at Boston College, 12:00 EST ESPN2
BYU: 5-0 ATS with a total of 49.5 to 56 points
Boston College: 5-1 Over as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points
Syracuse at Illinois, 12:00 EST ESPNU
Syracuse: 1-12 ATS as a road underdog of 7 points or less
Illinois: 5-1 Under off a loss by 28+ points
(TC) Temple at Minnesota, 2:00 EST
Temple: 14-31 ATS in September
Minnesota: 8-1 ATS off a non-conference game
Cincinnati at Ohio State, 12:00 EST
Cincinnati: 16-5 Under vs. non-conference opponents
Ohio State: 7-0 ATS off BB ATS wins
Duke at Virgnia Tech, 12:00 EST
Duke: 2-9 ATS last eleven lined games
Virginia Tech: 11-3 ATS as a favorite
Wake Forest at Connecticut, 12:00 EST
Wake Forest: 0-6 ATS in September
Connecticut: 9-1 Under off a straight up win
(TC) Western Michigan at Virginia, 3:30 EST
Western Michigan: 4-0 ATS off a win as an underdog
Virginia: 6-0 Under at home off an ATS loss
Marshall at Kansas State, 12:30 EST FSN
Marshall: 0-7 ATS as a road underdog of 7.5 to 14 points
Kansas State: 26-13 ATS off a home win by 28+ points
(TC) Ohio U at Rutgers, 3:30 EST
Ohio U: 0-7 ATS away off BB wins
Rutgers: 9-2 Under vs. non-conference opponents
Ball State at Purdue, 1:00 EST
Ball State: 6-1 ATS after forcing 0 turnovers
Purdue: 0-6 ATS first half of the season
Akron at Central Michigan, 1:00 EST
Akron: 6-0 Under as a road favorite
Central Michigan: 9-21 ATS after allowing 37+ points
Kent State at Miami OH, 2:00 EST
Kent State: 5-1 Under off a road loss
Miami OH: 9-2 ATS after having 375+ passing yards
Eastern Michigan at Northwestern, 2:00 EST
Eastern Michigan: 4-16 ATS vs. non-conference opponents
Northwestern: 6-0 ATS off a straight up loss
South Florida at Central Florida, 2:30 EST CSTV
South Florida: 7-0 Under in September
Central Florida: 5-1 ATS as a home underdog of 3 points or less
San Diego State at Wisconsin, 3:30 EST
San Diego State: 12-2 Under away off a non-conference game
Wisconsin: 6-0 ATS vs. non-conference opponents
Boise State at Wyoming, 3:30 EST
Boise State: 14-4 ATS off BB wins by 21+ points
Wyoming: 13-4 Under off BB ATS wins
(TC) Michigan State at Pittsburgh, 12:00 EST ESPN2
Michigan State: 8-20 ATS away off a combined score of 60+ points
Pittsburgh: 10-1 ATS at home off a conference win by 10+ points
(TC) Florida at Tennessee, 8:00 EST CBS
Florida: 8-1 ATS off a home win by 17+ points
Tennessee: 0-8 ATS at home vs. conference opponents
(TC) Baylor at Washington State, 5:00 EST
Baylor: 6-0 Under first half of the season
Washington State: 1-7 ATS as a home favorite
Michigan at Notre Dame, 3:30 EST NBC
Michigan: 0-6 ATS off a win by 17+ points
Notre Dame: 6-1 Over after committing 0 turnovers
Oklahoma at Oregon, 3:30 EST ABC
Oklahoma: 10-0 Over off BB non-conference games
Oregon: 6-0 ATS off a road win
Miami FL at Louisville, 3:30 EST ABC
Miami FL: 1-6 ATS off a win by 21+ points
Louisville: 11-1 ATS as a home favorite
(TC) Fresno State at Washington, 6:30 EST
Fresno State: 17-6 ATS vs. Pac-10 opponents
Washington: 2-10 ATS first half of the season
Mississippi at Kentucky, 6:00 EST
Mississippi: 13-4 ATS off BB games forcing 1 or 0 turnovers
Kentucky: 5-16 ATS after out-gaining their opponent by 175+ yards
Texas at Rice, 6:00 EST ESPN2
Texas: 12-3 ATS last 15 lined games
Rice: 6-16 ATS after allowing 125 or less passing yards
(TC) Texas Tech at TCU, 5:30 EST OLN
Texas Tech: 1-6 ATS as a road favorite
TCU: 11-2 Over at home off an ATS win
Memphis at East Carolina, 7:00 EST
Memphis: 4-0 Over off a home win
East Carolina: 1-10 ATS at home off an Under
(TC) UAB at Georgia, 1:00 EST
UAB: 18-7 ATS in September
Georgia: 6-16 ATS at home off a road win
Tulane at Mississippi State, 7:00 EST
Tulane: 8-1 Over off an Over
Mississippi State: 0-7 ATS off a home game
NC State at Southern Mississippi, 7:00 EST
NC State: 11-1 Under in road games
Southern Miss: 17-6 ATS off BB non-conference games
(TC) Arkansas at Vanderbilt, 12:30 EST
Arkansas: 10-2 Under off BB ATS losses
Vanderbilt: 7-1 ATS in September
Arizona State at Colorado, 7:00 EST TBS
Arizona State: 8-1 ATS in September
Colorado: 0-6 ATS after allowing 75 or less rushing yards
(TC) LSU at Auburn, 3:30 EST CBS
LSU: 9-2 Under off BB wins by 21+ points
Auburn: 8-1 ATS vs. conference opponents
Buffalo at Northern Illinois, 7:30 EST
Buffalo: 5-1 Under off a road loss
Northern Illinois: 7-1 ATS off BB ATS losses
Clemson at Florida State, 7:45 EST ESPN
Clemson: 7-1 Under off BB Overs
Florida State: 31-16 ATS after having 100 or less rushing yards
Nebraska at USC, 8:00 EST ABC
Nebraska: 11-25 ATS away off a home win by 17+ points
USC: 30-13 ATS after scoring 42+ points
Missouri at New Mexico, 8:00 EST
Missouri: 6-1 Under as a road favorite
New Mexico: 0-6 ATS off an Over
Utah at Utah State, 8:00 EST
Utah: 12-2 Under away off a home win by 17+ points
Utah State: 1-6 ATS after allowing 275+ rushing yards
Colorado State at Nevada, 9:00 EST
Colorado State: 5-19 ATS off BB non-conference games
Nevada: 6-0 ATS as a home favorite
Army at Texas A&M, 9:15 EST ESPN2
Army: 1-5 ATS off a win by 6 points or less
Texas A&M: 18-7 ATS at home in September
Navy at Stanford, 10:00 EST
Navy: 6-0 ATS with a line of +3 to -3
Stanford: 3-15 ATS off a loss as a favorite
UNLV at Hawaii, 11:59 EST
UNLV: 1-6 ATS off an ATS win
Hawaii: 6-1 ATS off a road loss
Added Games:
(TC) Troy at Georgia Tech, 1:30 EST
Troy: 0-6 ATS away off an ATS win
Georgia Tech: 14-5 Under first month of the season
(TC) Louisiana Monroe at Alabama, 7:00 EST
LA Monroe: 6-0 ATS away after having 100 or less rushing yards
Alabama: 0-7 ATS as a home favorite
Bowling Green at Florida International, 6:00 EST
Bowling Green: 1-6 ATS in September
Florida Int: 5-1 Under in the first half of the season
Florida Atlantic at Oklahoma State, 7:00 EST
Florida Atl: 0-6 ATS after scoring 9 points or less
Oklahoma State: 8-1 ATS off BB wins by 21+ points
North Texas at Tulsa, 7:00 EST
North Texas: 1-10 ATS vs. non-conference opponents
Tulsa: 7-2 Over off a road game
** (TC) Denotes Time Change
VinnyVegas' List of NCAAF Team Sites
AIR FORCE- http://www.airforcesports.com [airforcesports.com]">www.airforcesports.com
AKRON- http://www.gozips.com [gozips.com]">www.gozips.com
ALABAMA- http://www.rolltide.com [rolltide.com]">www.rolltide.com
ALA-BIRM- http://www.uabsports.com [uabsports.com]">www.uabsports.com
ARIZONA- http://www.arizonaathletics.com [arizonaathletics.com]">www.arizonaathletics.com
ARIZ. ST.- http://www.sundevils.com [sundevils.com]">www.sundevils.com
ARKANSAS- http://www.hogwired.com [hogwired.com]">www.hogwired.com
ARKANSAS ST- http://www.asuindians.com [asuindians.com]">www.asuindians.com
ARMY- http://www.goarmysports.com [goarmysports.com]">www.goarmysports.com
AUBURN- http://www.auburntigers.com [auburntigers.com]">www.auburntigers.com
BALL STATE- http://www.ballstatesports.com [ballstatesports.com]">www.ballstatesports.com
BAYLOR- http://www.baylorbears.com [baylorbears.com]">www.baylorbears.com
BOISE ST.- http://www.broncosports.com [broncosports.com]">www.broncosports.com
BOSTON COLLEGE- http://www.bceagles.com [bceagles.com]">www.bceagles.com
BOWLING GREEN- http://www.bgsufalcons.com [bgsufalcons.com]">www.bgsufalcons.com
BYU- http://www.byucougers.com [byucougers.com]">www.byucougers.com
BUFFALO- http://www.ubathletics.buffalo.edu [ubathletics.buffalo.edu]">www.ubathletics.buffalo.edu
CAL- http://www.calbears.com [calbears.com]">www.calbears.com
C. FLORIDA- http://www.ucfathletics.com [ucfathletics.com]">www.ucfathletics.com
C. MICH- http://www.cmuchippewas.com [cmuchippewas.com]">www.cmuchippewas.com
CINCY- http://www.ucbearcats.com [ucbearcats.com]">www.ucbearcats.com
CLEMSON- http://www.clemsontigers.com [clemsontigers.com]">www.clemsontigers.com
COLORADO- http://www.cubuffs.com [cubuffs.com]">www.cubuffs.com
COLO ST. - http://www.csurams.com [csurams.com]">www.csurams.com
CONN- http://www.uconnhuskies.com [uconnhuskies.com]">www.uconnhuskies.com
DUKE- http://www.goduke.com [goduke.com]">www.goduke.com
E. CAR.- http://www.ecupirates.com [ecupirates.com]">www.ecupirates.com
E. MICH- http://www.emueagles.com [emueagles.com]">www.emueagles.com
FLORIDA- http://www.gatorzone.com [gatorzone.com]">www.gatorzone.com
FLORIDA ATL.- http://www.fausports.com [fausports.com]">www.fausports.com
FLORIDA INT. - http://www.flusports.com [flusports.com]">www.flusports.com
FLORIDA ST. - http://www.seminoles.com [seminoles.com]">www.seminoles.com
FRESNO ST. - http://www.gobulldogs.com [gobulldogs.com]">www.gobulldogs.com
GEORGIA- http://www.georgiadogs.com [georgiadogs.com]">www.georgiadogs.com
GEORGIA TECH- http://www.ramblinwreck.com [ramblinwreck.com]">www.ramblinwreck.com
HAWAII- http://www.uhathletics.hawaii.edu [uhathletics.hawaii.edu]">www.uhathletics.hawaii.edu
HOUSTON- http://www.uhcougers.com [uhcougers.com]">www.uhcougers.com
IDAHO- http://www.uiathletics.com [uiathletics.com]">www.uiathletics.com
ILLINI- http://www.fightingillini.com [fightingillini.com]">www.fightingillini.com
INDIANA- http://www.iuhoosiers.com [iuhoosiers.com]">www.iuhoosiers.com
IOWA- http://www.hawkeyesports.com [hawkeyesports.com]">www.hawkeyesports.com
IOWA ST. - http://www.cyclones.com [cyclones.com]">www.cyclones.com
KANSAS- http://www.kuathletics.com [kuathletics.com]">www.kuathletics.com
KANSAS ST. - http://www.k-statesports.com [k-statesports.com]">www.k-statesports.com
KENT ST. - http://www.kentstatesports.com [kentstatesports.com]">www.kentstatesports.com
KENTUCKY- http://www.ukathletics.com [ukathletics.com]">www.ukathletics.com
LOUIS. LAFAYETTE- http://www.ragincajuns.com [ragincajuns.com]">www.ragincajuns.com
LOUIS. MONROE- http://www.ulmathletics.com [ulmathletics.com]">www.ulmathletics.com
LSU- http://www.LSUsports.com [lsusports.com]">www.LSUsports.com
LOUIS. TECH - http://www.latechsports.com [latechsports.com]">www.latechsports.com
LOUISVILLE- http://www.uoflsports.com [uoflsports.com]">www.uoflsports.com
MARSHALL- http://www.herdzone.com [herdzone.com]">www.herdzone.com
MARYLAND- http://www.umterps.com [umterps.com]">www.umterps.com
MEMPHIS - http://www.gotigersgo.com [gotigersgo.com]">www.gotigersgo.com
MIAMI FL. - http://www.hurricanesports.com [hurricanesports.com]">www.hurricanesports.com
MIAMI OHIO- http://www.muredhawks.com [muredhawks.com]">www.muredhawks.com
MICHIGAN- http://www.mgoblue.com [mgoblue.com]">www.mgoblue.com
MICH ST- http://www.msuspartans.com [msuspartans.com]">www.msuspartans.com
MIDD TENN ST. - http://www.goblueraiders.com [goblueraiders.com]">www.goblueraiders.com
MINNESOTA- http://www.gophersports.com [gophersports.com]">www.gophersports.com
MISSISSIPPI- http://www.olemisssports.com [olemisssports.com]">www.olemisssports.com
MISS. STATE- http://www.mstateathletics.com [mstateathletics.com]">www.mstateathletics.com
MISSOURI- http://www.mutigers.com [mutigers.com]">www.mutigers.com
NAVY- http://www.navysports.com [navysports.com]">www.navysports.com
NEBRASKA- http://www.XXXXs.com [xxxxs.com]">www.XXXXs.com
NEVADA- http://www.nevadawolfpack.com [nevadawolfpack.com]">www.nevadawolfpack.com
NEW MEXICO- http://www.golobos.com [golobos.com]">www.golobos.com
NEW MEXICO ST- http://www.nmstatesports.com [nmstatesports.com]">www.nmstatesports.com
NORTH CAROLINA- http://www.tarheelblue.com [tarheelblue.com]">www.tarheelblue.com
NC STATE- http://www.gopack.com [gopack.com]">www.gopack.com
NO. TEXAS- http://www.meangreensports.com [meangreensports.com]">www.meangreensports.com
NO. ILLINOIS- http://www.niuhuskies.com [niuhuskies.com]">www.niuhuskies.com
NORTHWESTERN- http://www.nusports.com [nusports.com]">www.nusports.com
NOTRE DAME- http://www.und.com [und.com]">www.und.com
OHIO ST. - http://www.ohiostatebuckeyes.com [ohiostatebuckeyes.com]">www.ohiostatebuckeyes.com
OHIO U. - http://www.ohiobobcats.com [ohiobobcats.com]">www.ohiobobcats.com
OKLAHOMA- http://www.soonersports.com [soonersports.com]">www.soonersports.com
OKLA ST- http://www.okstate.com [okstate.com]">www.okstate.com
OREGON- http://www.goducks.com [goducks.com]">www.goducks.com
OREGON ST- http://www.osubeavers.com [osubeavers.com]">www.osubeavers.com
PENN ST.- http://www.gopsusports.com [gopsusports.com]">www.gopsusports.com
PITT- http://www.pittsburghpanthers.com [pittsburghpanthers.com]">www.pittsburghpanthers.com
PURDUE- http://www.purduesports.com [purduesports.com]">www.purduesports.com
RICE- http://www.riceowls.com [riceowls.com]">www.riceowls.com
RUTGERS- http://www.scarletknights.com/football [scarletknights.com]">www.scarletknights.com/football
SDSU- http://www.goaztecs.com [goaztecs.com]">www.goaztecs.com
SAN JOSE ST- http://www.sjsuspartons.com [sjsuspartons.com]">www.sjsuspartons.com
SMU- http://www.smumustangs.com [smumustangs.com]">www.smumustangs.com
SOUTH CAROLINA - http://www.uscsports.com [uscsports.com]">www.uscsports.com
SOUTH FLORIDA- http://www.gobulls.usf.edu [gobulls.usf.edu]">www.gobulls.usf.edu
SOUTHERN CAL - http://www.usctrojans.com [usctrojans.com]">www.usctrojans.com
SO. MISS- http://www.southernmiss.com [southernmiss.com]">www.southernmiss.com
STANFORD- http://www.gostanford.com [gostanford.com]">www.gostanford.com
SYRACUSE- http://www.suathletics.com [suathletics.com]">www.suathletics.com
TCU- http://www.gofrogs.com [gofrogs.com]">www.gofrogs.com
TEMPLE- http://www.owlsports.com [owlsports.com]">www.owlsports.com
TENNESSEE- http://www.utsports.com [utsports.com]">www.utsports.com
TEXAS- http://www.texassports.com [texassports.com]">www.texassports.com
TEXAS AM- http://www.aggiesports.com [aggiesports.com]">www.aggiesports.com
TEXAS EL PASO - http://www.utepathletics.com [utepathletics.com]">www.utepathletics.com
TEXAS TECH- http://www.texastech.com [texastech.com]">www.texastech.com
TOLEDO- http://www.utrockets.com [utrockets.com]">www.utrockets.com
TROY- http://www.troytrojans.com [troytrojans.com]">www.troytrojans.com
TULANE- http://www.tulanegreenwave.com [tulanegreenwave.com]">www.tulanegreenwave.com
TULSA- http://www.tulsahurricane.com [tulsahurricane.com]">www.tulsahurricane.com
UCLA- http://www.uclabruins.com [uclabruins.com]">www.uclabruins.com
UNLV- http://www.unlvrebels.com [unlvrebels.com]">www.unlvrebels.com
UTAH- http://www.utahutes.com [utahutes.com]">www.utahutes.com
UTAH ST. http://www.utahstateaggies.com [utahstateaggies.com]">www.utahstateaggies.com
VANDY- http://www.vucommodores.com [vucommodores.com]">www.vucommodores.com
VIRGINIA- http://www.virginiasports.com [virginiasports.com]">www.virginiasports.com
V. TECH- http://www.hokiesports.com [hokiesports.com]">www.hokiesports.com
WAKE FOREST- http://www.wakeforestsports.com [wakeforestsports.com]">www.wakeforestsports.com
WASHINGTON- http://www.gohuskies.com [gohuskies.com]">www.gohuskies.com
WASH ST. - http://www.wsucougars.com [wsucougars.com]">www.wsucougars.com
WEST VIRGINIA- http://www.wvu.edu/~sports [wvu.edu]">www.wvu.edu/~sports
W. MICH- http://www.wmubroncos.com [wmubroncos.com]">www.wmubroncos.com
WISKY- http://www.uwbadgers.com [uwbadgers.com]">www.uwbadgers.com
WYOMING- http://www.wyomingathletics.com [wyomingathletics.com]">www.wyomingathletics.com
posted by phantom
Sept. 15 2006 5:49pm -
0 likes
Ted SevranskyGame: New York Giants @ Philadelphia Eagles on Sep 17, 2006 1:00PM
Prediction: Philadelphia Eagles
Reason:
The Eagles are an undervalued team in the betting marketplace, still priced closer to last years 6-10 squad than this year’s NFC East title contender. After a sluggish start at Houston last week, we saw all the things that made Philadelphia an exciting squad to watch in the preseason. Here is what I wrote about Philadelphia in my NFL Season Over/Under Win Report, released on the last day of August:
In my style of handicapping, there are four units on an NFL roster that stand out in importance: offensive line, defensive line, secondary and quarterback. The Eagles are well above average in every one of those areas. Donovan McNabb has his critics, but you can’t argue with the fact that he guided the Eagles to the championship game with a no-name receiving corps in each of the three seasons before Terrell Owens arrived in Philly. The Eagles offensive line, bookended by perennial pro bowl contending tackles Jon Runyan and Tra Thomas is surely an elite unit. The defensive line has been downright dominant throughout the preseason with the addition of free agent acquisition Darren Howard on the other end from Jevon Kearse. And three of the four starters in the secondary were pro bowlers just two years ago.
Aside from the unit analysis, there are two other key factors that I consider besides schedule analysis – coaching and chemistry. And, frankly, there’s no arguing with the coaching resume of Andy Reid and his longtime defensive coordinator Jim Johnson. Reid is the winningest coach in Eagles history; Johnson can design a gameplan capable of shutting down just about any offense. These are two coaches that I trust my money on, plain and simple.
We’re getting a bargain on the Eagles here. A month from now, in this same matchup, Philly might be laying a touchdown. Eli Manning has been awful on the road throughout his career, and Jim Johnson is exactly the guy I want designing a gameplan to shut him down, even with cornerback Lito Shepard’s ankle injury keeping him sidelined. Depth is not a concern in the Eagles defensive backfield, but Shepard’s injury gave us an key half point of value, with the pointspread now sitting on -3, instead of -3.5.
Philadelphia lost both meetings with the Giants last year as part of their 0-6 divisional slide, just 1-5 against the pointspread in those defeats. When Philly was winning division titles and going on extended runs in the playoffs for four consecutive seasons, they went a combined 18-8 ATS against their NFC East rivals. Look for Philly to win this one by margin in a statement game for a very good team. Lay the points with the Eagles.
posted by phantom
Sept. 15 2006 6:02pm -
0 likes
Vegas Sports Authority
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CFB - 8:00 ET
Kansas at Toledo
TOLEDO -3.5
Toledo is very good at home at the Glass Bowl, 34-2 straight-up their last 36 games, 24-12 in the same time frame.
Kansas has not been a good road team under coach Mark Mangino, 3-17 since the Great Pumpkin took over. The Jayhawks have only 3 returning starters on defense. They allowed a hyphen school, Louisiana-Monroe, 382 yards passing last week in a close 21-19 victory as a 23 point favorite. ULM actually had a shot at tying the game up but missed a two-point conversion with 3:30 left in the game. How good is ULM? Two weeks ago they were only ahead 10-6 going into the fourth quarter against Alcorn State.
While redshirt frosh QB, Dylan Meier, has shown promise he still ranks only tenth in the Big 12 in passing. This will be his first road game. A shortage of playmakers hinders the Jayhawk offense once again this year. They just don't grow very fast football players in the Wheat State.
Toledo's QB Clint Cochran leads the MAC in passing offense. He is at the helm of a sophisticated offense and should improve each week. Toledo has not forgotten the 63-14 spanking they suffered two years ago at Kansas. You have an 0-2 team, the Rockets, that felt they stood a very good chance to win the MAC. They played Iowa State into overtime, but were shocked by division rival Western Michigan last week, 31-10. Toledo outgained Western Michigan, 306-261, but could not overcome three interceptions and one lost fumble in a 31-10 loss at Kalamazoo. The Rockets, only behind 14-10, were moving in for a score when an interception was returned by WMU 92 yards for a touchdown.
Kansas has not been impressive and appears to be a team on the downside from last year. Toledo needs, and wants, this game much more. Take the Rockets
posted by phantom
Sept. 15 2006 6:19pm -
0 likes
Tim Sullivan ..NY Post
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
6-0 best bets
22-7-1 overall
WV (thursday-16 1/2)
BB ................Ok + 4 1/2......Miami + 4 1/2...............Auburn -3
his other plays
byu..illi..ohio st...vt..uab..pitt..nd...texas..fla st... usc
FLORIDA -3.5 OVER TENNESSEE.............
BYU (+7) over BOSTON COLLEGE: Expect just a small Eagle letdown after the emotional win over Clemson. The Cougars are 9-4 in their last 13 as a road dog.
ILLINOIS (-3) over Syracuse: The Orange (2-0 ATS) play hard. But Illinois needs to show the Big Ten it's not going to lose back-to-back games to the Big East.
OHIO ST. (-30) over Cincinnati: Bearcats coach Mark Dantonio was a coordinator under Buckeyes coach Jim Tressel, so there might be a little mercy here. But don't count on it.
VA. TECH (-35) over Duke: The Hokies, 4-1 ATS against the Blue Devils, are flying under the national radar. A blowout can help their cause.
PITT (-2 1/2) over Michigan St.: Kudos to the Panthers (2-0 ATS) on the home slate, already having whacked Virginia, 38-13. MSU is 3-7 ATS against the Big East.
NOTRE DAME (-6) over Michigan: Is there a less impressive 2-0 team than UM? The Wolverines dropped their last four ATS and three of four to the Irish.
BB.......Oklahoma (+4 1/2) over OREGON: Still waiting for a statement from the ho-hum Sooners. OU defeated the Ducks, 17-14, in last year's Holiday Bowl.
BB........Miami (+4 1/2) over LOUISVILLE: It's a danger zone going against the Cards at home, but the Hurricanes' defense is the best Louisville will see. No Michael Bush vs. Temple was not a problem. No Bush vs. the 'Canes is a problem.
Texas (-31) over Rice: Neutral site (San Antonio) doesn't affect the number much. QB Colt McCoy needs to bounce back.
UAB (+17) over GEORGIA: The Blazers lost by three in Athens in 2003 as a 29-point dog. UGA is 3-8 ATS against non-SEC teams at home under Mark Richt.
BB........AUBURN (-3) over LSU: The battle for SEC-West supremacy goes to the home team. Auburn RB Kenny Irons ran for 218 yards last year vs. the Bayou Bengals.
FSU (-4 1/2) over Clemson: Both Bowdens are limping. Tommy's picking up the pieces after the B.C. loss and Bobby almost lost to Troy. It's time the 'Noles made Tallahassee special again.
USC (-19) over Nebraska: Bill Callahan has done a tremendous job. But Pete Carroll's had two weeks to prepare.
Last week: 10-4-1. Best Bets: 3-0. Season: 22-7-1. Best Bets: 6-0
________________
posted by phantom
Sept. 16 2006 3:20am -
0 likes
North "FADE ME" Coast
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Northcoast free pick phones
Monday
Early Bird Play of the Week Virginia Tech -35
Tuesday
Underdog Play of the Week Kent St.
Power Plays Newsletter 4* San Diego St.
Wednesday
PAC 10 POW Washington St.
Thursday
Totals play of the week Cleve/ Cincy Under the total
Conference USA/Independence POW Tulsa
posted by phantom
Sept. 16 2006 3:21am -
0 likes
"Jokin'" Dave Cokin RADIO PLAYS :
UCONN
CENT. FLORIDA
MISS. STATE
( An astonishing 1-5 so far )
posted by phantom
Sept. 16 2006 3:22am -
0 likes
Powerplays for today
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1:00 PM EDT
325 ball state
326 purdue -16 -16.0 / -16.5 -17
purdue -28..the play is PURDUE
2:00 PM EDT
329 kent state
330 miami ohio -10.5 -10.5 / -11.0 -11.5
MIami Ohio -23..the play is Miami Ohio
333 south florida
334 central florida -2 -2.0 / -2.5 / -2.0 / -1.5 PK
CSTV
s fla -5..the play is s fla + the points
335 san diego state
336 wisconsin -14 -14
wisky -26..the play is WISKY
339 michigan state
340 pittsburgh -2.5 -15 -2.5
pitt -9..the play is PITT
359 memphis
360 east carolina -1 -1.0 / -1.5 / -2.0 -2.5
Memphis -5..the play is MEMPHIS
1:00 PM EDT
361 uab
362 georgia -17 -17.5 -17
GeorgiA -30..the play is GEORGIA
7:00 PM EDT
369 arizona state -10 -10.0 / -10.5 -11
370 colorado
TBS
COLORADO +3 IS THE PLAY
8:00 PM EDT
379 missouri -14 -14.0 / -13.5 / -13.0 -13.5
380 new mexico
NM-(QB) McKamey OUT
NM +7 IS THE PLAY
1:30 PM EDT
391 troy
392 georgia tech
***TIME CHANGE***
GT-24 IS THE PLAY
posted by phantom
Sept. 16 2006 3:23am -
0 likes
Marc Lawrence
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CFB - 9:00 ET
Colorado St. at Nevada
3* Best Bet on NEVADA (-2.5) over Colorado St. by 11
Wow! First Nevada had to visit an angry pack of Fresno State Bulldogs who were bent on revenge. Then, travel to the desert to face an equally angry Arizona State team who was looking for some respect. Now, the Wolves face another teamdesperate for respect and are laying points to boot. We think
the Wolves are up to the challenge. CSU is a woeful 6-13 ATS in its last 19 road games while Nevada is a strong 6-1 ATS at home with revenge. Add the fact that CSU is checking in off a triple-revenge win over state rival Colorado (Rams 1-6 ATS in games after Buffaloes, including 0-3 ATS off a win) and we
have the makings of a solid play here today
posted by phantom
Sept. 16 2006 3:24am -
0 likes
Marc Lawrence
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Superplay
Play On: Eastern Michigan
Note: The Eagles take the road for their 3rd straight game to open the season knowing that teams who start the year 0-2, with both losses by double-digit margins, are 17-7 ATS as non-conference dogs of 16 > points if they win 3 > games last season. Take the points with EMU against a Northwestern squad that is still finding its new identity
posted by phantom
Sept. 16 2006 3:24am -
0 likes
SP Connection
Hamilton +7 Strong Strong Strong -- Hamilton Moneyline As Well I Think They Get The Job Done Straight Up As Well
posted by phantom
Sept. 16 2006 3:25am -
0 likes
Colin Cowherd "Herd" Radio show ESPN
Miami +4
Navy +3
Oregon -4.5
Cinci +30
posted by phantom
Sept. 16 2006 3:26am -
0 likes
Steele's Underdog Plays (3-1 last week)
San Diego St
Marshall
Nebraska
Kent St
posted by phantom
Sept. 16 2006 3:26am -
0 likes
Greg Roberts
Roast of the Week - Texas 59-14 over Rice
Barking Dog - San Diego St 24-27 Wisconsin
Total of week - (NFL)Bears/Lions Under
posted by phantom
Sept. 16 2006 3:27am -
0 likes
Dr. Bob's Saturday NCAA Plays:
3* South Florida Bulls
2* Michigan Wolverines
2* Navy
2* East Caroline
posted by phantom
Sept. 16 2006 3:27am -
0 likes
Big Al 5* Louisville
posted by phantom
Sept. 16 2006 3:28am -
0 likes
Pac star
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Marshall +10 (cfb
posted by phantom
Sept. 16 2006 3:28am -
0 likes
Gold Sheet
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
super play
miami ohio..
fla state top play
regular plays on..byu..ball st ..ok
posted by phantom
Sept. 16 2006 3:29am -
0 likes
POINTWISE "bigger" plays ( has smaller plays also ):
4* usc
4*navy
3*pitt.
3*flor.
3*mich.
3*uab
posted by phantom
Sept. 16 2006 3:30am -
0 likes
Mike Lee from heaven
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
10% Arkansas
8% LSU, Nebraska
6% Oklahoma, Rutgers, Missouri, Navy,
4% Marshall, Illinois, Clemson, Troy
__________________
posted by phantom
Sept. 16 2006 3:31am -
0 likes
Lt Profits
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2*
Rutgers Under
W.Michigan
TCU
Clemson
posted by phantom
Sept. 16 2006 3:31am -
0 likes
Alex Smart
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
3*
S.Florida
LSU
Vandy
Memphis
Clemson
posted by phantom
Sept. 16 2006 3:31am -
0 likes
Marc LAwrence Playbook :
9/16 :
Play On :
Auburn -any vs LSU
Georgia Tech -any vs Troy
Michigan as Dog vs Notre Dame
Nevada -any vs Colorado State
Southers Miss as dog vs NC state
TCU as dog vs Texas state
Wake Forest -any- vs Connecticut
posted by phantom
Sept. 16 2006 3:32am -
0 likes
Pointwise Redsheet
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
superior plays
Michigan +7
San Diego St.+14
above average plays
Ohio St-30
Missouri-14
Tulsa-19.5
Miami Dolphins-7
last week 3-3, 2-0 superior plays
ytd 6-6 3-1 superior plays
posted by phantom
Sept. 16 2006 3:32am -
0 likes
Ras
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Baylor at Washington State (Over 50) - 2:00pm Pacific - Game #343-344
The Washington State offense is very, very good. QB Alex Brink recorded the best QB rating ever by a sophomore with 100 passes or more last year and is back for his junior season. Brink battled a case of strep throat leading up to the Auburn game in week one and did not play well but looked better than ever in last week's 56-10 win over Idaho in which the Cougars racked up 637 total yards. WR Jason Hill already holds many school receiving records and passed up the NFL draft to come back for his senior year. Big time playmaker Michael Bumpus, experienced senior Chris Jordan (3 TD's last week), and senior TE Cory Boyd join Hill to make for an impressive group of receivers. Starting RB DeMaundray Woolridge sat out last week with a contusion injury but is back practicing and is expected to start Saturday. The Cougars averaged 33.5 points per game last season and actually ran over 53% of the time. With the departure of 1,996 yard RB Jerome Harrison, and a more experienced QB, they figure to throw more often this year. The WSU defense gave up 31.5ppg last year and remain a big question mark. They then have bit hit hard by several key injuries. Projected starting DE Matt Mullenix and starting DT Fevaea'i Ahu were both lost to injuries before the first game. Four defensive backs missed last week's game vs Idaho. Two are expected to return this week (starting safety Michael Willis, backup CB Courtney Williams), but two remain out this week (starting CB Don Turner, top backup CB Markus Dawes). Arguably the team's top LB Scott Davis (achilles) missed practice time this week but is expected to play Saturday.
New Baylor offensive coordinator Lee Hays has installed a Texas Tech style of spread offense here. Through two games, Baylor has six plays of 40 yards or longer. That's more than half of last season's total (11). Of the team's nine scoring drives, five have taken less than a minute. The Bears 21.5ppg average last year was their highest output since 1996 and they should surpass that figure this year. Eight starters are back including QB Shawn Bell, RB Paul Mosely, and WR Dominique Ziegler. All three led the team at their respective position last year and are seniors this year. Baylor gained a respectable 333 yards and converted 60% on 3rd down vs a well regarded TCU defense in their season opener. Due to an array of miscues and missed opportunities they only ended up with a misleading 7 points. They put up 47 points last week vs 1-AA Northwestern State despite top WR Ziegler and top RB Mosely being held out with minor injuries. Both are expected to be fine for this game. Baylor had an experienced defense last year and still gave up 26.5ppg. This year only 4 starters are back. Starting defensive tackle MT Robinson missed last week with a foot injury and is questionable Saturday. Baylor's defense looked good for most of the TCU game in week 1, but the Horned Frogs played the majority of the game without their starting QB. Baylor's suspect defensive line was warn down by the 4th quarter. The dynamic Washington State offense will be a huge challenge for Baylor's defense.
Weather calls for cool temperatures (low 60's) and partly cloudy skies. The game is being played in Seattle, not Pullman, so it will have more of a neutral feel to it. Washington State blew leads in several of their losses last year and their constant motto in the offseason was to "finish" games. They poured it on Idaho last week and as a double digit favorite here could get the chance to do so again. This line is too low. Expect a high scoring affair.
RAS Official Play: Over 50 1 UNIT
Ole Miss at Kentucky (-3.5) - 3:00pm Pacific - Game #353-354
To say that Kentucky battled injury woes last season would be a huge understatement. No less than 12 starters or key reserves were lost for the season and a total of 31 players underwent some type of surgery last year. The Wildcats were already down on scholarship players due to sanctions from the Hal Mumme era. This year they are back up to 78, their highest since 2001. Many of the injured players are back healthy, and many of the young backups that were forced into action last year gained valuable experience. Kentucky has 9 starters back on offense. Good looking QB Andre Woodson (6-5, strong arm, mobile for his size) reportedly worked harder than ever this past offseason and is poised for an improved season. RB Rafeal Little earned second team SEC honors last year. Big play WR Keenan Burton is back after playing in only 1 game last year. His return has allowed sophomore Dicky Lyons (4 TD's in first two games) to emerge as a second pass catching threat. Solid junior TE Jacob Tamme is battling a hamstring injury this week but will likely play. The Kentucky defense has been a glaring weakness in recent seasons but they return 7 starters and have significantly upgraded their depth on that side of the ball. Highly touted LB recruit Micah Johnson is already battling for a starting job. Kentucky was beaten badly in opener at Louisville (no surprise) but bounced back with a confidence boosting blowout win over 1-AA Texas State last week.
Ole Miss only returned 10 starters from last year's 3-8 team. They are learning a new offensive system and have a very young defensive line that has gotten even younger due to injuries. The Rebels started the season with a suspect 3 point win over Memphis. They were outgained by 40+ yards and barely held on for the win despite playing at home, recovering a key fumble, and scoring on a trick play. They then went on the road to Missouri and were dominated in every faucet of the game. They were outgained by 309 yards and lost 34-7. Ole Miss is currently the only school from a BCS conference to rank 100th or worse in both total offense and total defense. Big things were expected from transfer QB Brent Schaeffer but so far he has been inconsistent at best. A below average offensive line and a very inexperienced group of receivers has not helped his efforts. On defense Ole Miss is expected to start two true freshman at DE and two sophomores at DT. One of the starters, sophomore Peria Jerry, is playing at less than 100%. The defensive line has been hurt by injuries to starting DE Chris Bowers (foot) and nose tackle Jeremy Garrett (leg) who both missed last game and are not expected back this week. They also are missing touted DL recruit Jerrell Powe for whom the NCAA just passed along a decision to uphold his ineligible status.
Kentucky's decision to keep head coach Rich Brooks for another season has been criticized, but this is really the first year that Brooks has had a legitimate chance to be successful. This is a make or break season and game for Kentucky. UK lost by 6 at Ole Miss last season but lost 3 fumbles in the game. This year they are much healthier and are playing at home. Dating back to last season Ole Miss has lost five straight road games by an average margin of 19.4 points. Kentucky could not ask for a better opportunity to snap their 18 year losing streak in SEC openers. Look for the Wildcats to get this much needed win.
RAS Official Play: Kentucky -3.5 1 UNIT
posted by phantom
Sept. 16 2006 3:33am -
0 likes
PLAY: Nevada | Your pick will be graded at: -2.5 -110 Sportsbook
REASON FOR PLAY: ***Non-Conference Game of the Year*** Nevada heads home after starting the season 0-2 but those losses came against some top quality competition. The Wolf Pack have played the nation’s 15th ranked schedule after two weeks and now will be facing a Colorado St. team that is very overrated. The Rams have played a schedule ranked 105th in the country after going against 1-AA Weber St. (163rd) and Colorado (104th). Their statistics are severely skewed because of this and the line is reflecting that.
I know the loss of running back Kyle Bell was going to be huge and Colorado St. right now has not running game to speak of. Colorado's defense smothered the Rams rushing attack, limiting the Rams to 15 yards on 34 carries. While the sacks were a big part of that story, the fact that leading rusher Gartrell Johnson gained 17 yards on 14 carries points to the lack of production on the ground. Their rushing offense is last in the MWC and 98th nationally, averaging 82 ypg.
Running back Robert Hubbard will likely start against Colorado St. and his presence will be a much needed boost in the balanced offense of the pistol attack. The senior did not start and played sparingly on Saturday after missing too much practice time with a bruised knee and sore ribs last week. He had 71 yards on 12 carries, mostly in the second half. Quarterback Jeff Rowe has been decent but he can play much better and will do so here against the untested Colorado St. defense.
One has to wonder how good this Colorado St. defense really is. One week after limiting Weber State to 86 total yards, the Rams held Colorado to 146 yards. That's the first time in Sonny Lubick's 14 seasons that one of his teams has produced back-to-back games yielding fewer than 200 yards. And that is where it is going to end. Last year the Rams were third to last nationally in run defense, had just 19 sacks in 12 games and allowed an average of 26.8 ppg. This is easily their biggest test.
Good as they have been, the Rams have yet to recover an opponent’s fumble or make an interception so it shows their lack of aggressiveness. Colorado St. leads the nation in total defense and that is simply an illusion. Statistics do not mean much at this point in the season when schedules are completely different for a lot of teams as far as strength goes. Looking at it the other way, Nevada is 100th in total defense and 112th in scoring defense and those rankings are based on the competition and not the potential.
Nevada has not lost confidence because of those early losses. The players said it's time to snap out of the funk they've been in so far this season and the first step is improving the morale around Wolf Pack Park. Heading home is the biggest factor. Nevada has not lost at home since last year's season-opener against Washington St. and if ever there is a time for the Wolf Pack to snap its current 0-7 record against Colorado St., this is precisely the time and spot for it to happen. Nevada gets into the win column, and rather easily. Play Nevada Wolf Pack 3 Units
posted by phantom
Sept. 16 2006 3:34am -
0 likes
Banker Sports
5.5 units "Big Dog" = Michigan State
Wise Brothers (Danny & Bobby)
4.5 units = Boise St.
Billy Hill
12* = Baylor
posted by phantom
Sept. 16 2006 3:35am -
0 likes
mid west syndicate
top plays
cincinnatti
louisville
vanderbilt
posted by phantom
Sept. 16 2006 3:37am -
0 likes
Ben Burns:
Today's Pick: GEORGIA TECH (Saturday)
CFB
Troy St vs. Georgia Tech
1:30 EST
Through the first two weeks of the season there have been a couple of similarities between the Trojans and Yellow Jackets. Both teams have beaten up on a Division 1-AA opponent. Georgia Tech smoked Samford 38-6 while Troy trashed Alabama State by a score of 38-0. Additionally, both teams blew second half leads and suffered losses vs. teams which were ranked in the top 10 nationally. The Yellow Jackets led Notre Dame in the third quarter but eventually lost 14-10. More surprisingly, the Trojans, listed at 25.5-point underdogs, held a 17-10 lead over the Seminoles in the fourth quarter. Florida State was forced to rally for a pair of late touchdowns to avoid the embarrassing upset.
There are also a couple of differences between the two programs. For starters, Georgia Tech comes from a vastly superior conference. The Yellow Jackets have better coaches, better players and better facilities. The second difference is that the Yellow Jackets have had two weeks to recover from their emotional loss while the Trojans are likely to still be thinking about theirs.
Can the Trojans, playing their second straight road game against an ACC team, give the same type of effort in back to back weeks? Not in my opinion. Troy was fortunate to catch an unfocused Seminoles' squad coming off a huge victory over rival Miami and playing on a short week. Georgia Tech coach Chan Gailey, who coached Troy for two seasons back in the 1980s, is certain to have his team fully prepared.
The Trojans are 0-3 ATS when playing their second road game of the season the past three seasons, including a 45-20 loss last season. Look for Georgia Tech, 3-1-1 ATS the past five times it was favored by greater than a touchdown in the regular season, to jump off to an early lead and never look back. LAY THE POINTS WITH GEORGIA TECH
posted by phantom
Sept. 16 2006 3:38am -
0 likes
Larry Ness' LEGEND play is on Nevada -2.5
posted by phantom
Sept. 16 2006 3:38am