UFC 63
The hackers knocked out our last posts, but let's get it started on UFC 63.
In a deleted post, I talked about the huge fight of the year implications between BJ Penn and Matt Hughes. The line has been pretty steady with Hughes a slight favorite in UFC terms at -210 to -165ish. I have avidly been following both fighters training and will have some great info on who to take in this ultimate grudge match.
A little history...
BJ Penn is part of the bad ass Hawaiian contingent that includes Cabbage Correjia and TUF season winner Kendall "The Spyda" Grove. The usual rule of thumb is this in MMA...if your fighting a Hawaiian, your not gonna knock him out. They also have very good mui tai and striking skills. In fact, Grove and BJ Penn are world champions in abudabi and Pancreas competitions. BJ Penn is one of my favorite fighters of all time because of his flair for the dramatic. He moved up in weight at short notice to give Matt Hughes his only loss in the UFC. He then pulled a Riddick Bowe and basically dumped his title in the trash can and went on to fight in other forums. Hughes has been impatiently waiting to get a shot at the only man I've ever seen submit him. If your a die hard MMA fan or know the scene on the West Coast..you know the Hawaiians are tough as nails, crazy about this sport, and win more than they lose. BJ Penn has come out and said that he's not going to overtrain for this fight. Last time he did aganst St. Pierre, he said the fight was anti climactic. What does this mean? I at first took it as a sure fire sign to lay my money on Hughes NOW before the line shoots up..but I waited because Penn is so damn unpredictable and I hadn't followed up on Hughes yet.
Following the champ and being a huge fan, I've told myself to never EVER bet against Matt Hughes. Then I go ahead and take a washed up Gracie who gets beat down badly by Hughes. So now, as I seriously deliberate going against Hughes again, I remind myself of the Royce Gracie debacle. I've watched the Hughes/Penn fight about 15 times in the last 2 months. (UFC.tv. has a wonderful download that is cheap..great for capping and seeing old fights.)I've also been watching Matt's fights since then. Here's the kicker...no one has challenged Hughes in over a year..his hardest fights are probably happpening as we speak in the Quad Cities as he trains. So here's my betting question...can The Prodigy BJ Penn shock the UFC world yet again and take down the champ? Will Matt Hughes be "ready" for a world class opponent? His last 4 fights have been a joke and this is his first true test in over a year in a half. I'll have a complete fight post and Title fight prediction. But if your just getting into the UFC< you couldn't have asked for a better pay per view headliner. That's all I got, back with fight picks the Friday before the pay per view. In addition, I'll post the full odds when I see them.
UFC 61: -4.9 units
UFC 62: +10 units
Overall UFC title fight records:
4-2 ATS +21.2 units
Overall UFC unit total:
+23.9 units
Let's roll fellas..after sweeping UFC 62 and seeing the undercard for UFC 63...we are going to make some serious cash.
Oh yeah Ricky, I talked to Dana White, he send he would lend ya a few goons to take care of the hackers!!!
posted by pc7588
7 replies
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lmao pc!!!
posted by ricky
Sept. 13 2006 11:44pm -
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ULTIMATE FIGHTING CHAMPIONSHIP 63 -
ARROWHEAD POND, ANAHEIM , C
AFIGHTERS MUST FIGHT FOR ACTION - $1000 LIMITS -
UFC WELTERWEIGHT CHAMPIONSHIP
BJ Penn +170
Matt Hughes -200
David Loiseau +115
Mike Swick -135
Jason Lambert +180
Rashad Evans -210
Joe Lauzens +525
Jens Pulver -650
Gabe Reudigar +145
Melvin Guillard -165
Roger Huerta -575
Jason Dent +450
Danny Abbadi +575
Jorge Gurgel -725
David Lee +460
Tyson Griffin -585
I'll post my fight picks on Friday night or Saturday day. Have some studying to do and want to watch the weigh in. GL all.
posted by pc7588
Sept. 21 2006 6:56pm -
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I am one excited mofo..there are 4 great fights on this card and the heavy favorites are also knock out kings. Anyways...here is what I recommend if you bet on Saturday night...I'm going to post opinion on each fight and my card at the bottom. Since UFC 59..I've only had one losing card for you. If you want, try my unit system with whatever your comfortable playing..if you play these picks I would be shocked if you don't come out ahead...anyways..let's get on to it..
ULTIMATE FIGHTING CHAMPIONSHIP 63 -
ARROWHEAD POND, ANAHEIM , C
AFIGHTERS MUST FIGHT FOR ACTION - $1000 LIMITS -
UFC WELTERWEIGHT CHAMPIONSHIP
BJ Penn +170
Matt Hughes -200
Wow..my two favorite fighters of all time. I'm a huge fan of Hughes because of his work ethic, brutal wrestling, constantly evolving. BJ is the king of the dramatic and this is his surreal moment. I've watched and studied as much as I can. The champ is fighting for revenge and his first serious test in awhile. BJ is coming back after a loss against GSP...I think this card is a coin flip and the pub heavy on Hughes after all the recent beat downs. With that being said, I keep reminding myself of laying on Gracie and watching Hughes pummel. For the first time since posting I will not bet on the headline fight.
OPINION>: HUGHES by submission.
NO ACTION for me.
David Loiseau +115
Mike Swick -135
I'm all over this dog. 2 units for me on the crow David Loiseau from Canada. His last fight was a headline loss where he was dominated by Rich "Ace" Franklin. The American Fighter absolutely destroyed Loiseau..not only is he hungry, but Swick doesn't have the pedigree to win this fight. This will be a very tough fight for him. The linesmakers put it as close to even as possible and I respect them for that. This is a very hard fight to cap as both are brutal strikers that can end it via strikes from the fists (Swick) or elbows and knees from Loiseau. I like the record and the inching further of another title shot.
OPINION: David Loiseau by KO in the 2nd round.
ACTION: 2 units @ +115
Jason Lambert +180
Rashad Evans -210
This is where I start preaching my system. Great value in the dog. Rashad has been tough, but Lambert is no slouch. Don't believe the T.V. hype as America catches on with the TUF show. I'm old school and will take the vets anytime. (Like I did with David above). Rashad has looked great, but Lambert matches up beautfilly with him.
OPINION: Lambert by KO
ACTION: 1 unit on Jason Lambert +180
Joe Lauzens +525
Jens Pulver -650
The return of little evil. Way too much juice for me too bet in a fight. (I like finding the dogs..you barkin still with me Grim Reaper..Bernard Hopkins$$) But Little Evil is gonna dominate in his first fight back in the UFC. If you followed WWF back in the day..Joe Lauzens is WWF's version of Barry O..the dude who got beat up every Sunday morning by the flavor of the week in that horse crap "wrestling."
Gabe Reudigar +145
Melvin Guillard -165
Again, here we go with a TUF fighter. This is my best bet and a dog play. I'll take the former WEC title holder Gabe Reudigar and his ground game over the impressively cut, but lacking substance Guillard. I am really convinced from what I know of MMA outside of the UFC to say that Gabe should be favored.
OPINION: Reudigar (I'm callin my shot) by rear naked choke in the 1'st.
ACTION: BEST BET: Gabe Reudigar +145 for 3 units
Roger Huerta -575
Jason Dent +450
Don't know much about Dent.
No opinion no Action
Danny Abbadi +575
Jorge Gurgel -725
Danny was portrayed as a pussy by Tito and the TUF fighters. here's his shot to prove he's not a puss. Well, I gotta roll Jorge, "The soul assassin" Danny Abbadi had no fight in him against Herman. Now he's healthy. Don't bet this fight, if anything, take the heavy dog for a small amount. enough of a reason to not play the favorite or the dog.
David Lee +460
Tyson Griffin -585
here's some value. Again I'll take the dog. Not many know either fighter, but DL is a nice play at 460ish. I would have taken him at +200ish. Griffin is a monster in the octagon but if you get to see this fight, I think David Lee is gonna surprise a lot of people who think they see an easy winner in Griffin.
Opinion: Lee by submission in the 2nd.
1/2 unit on David Lee +460
I'm out fellas. I'm gonna stick to UFC, MLB post season, and hoops for the rest of the year. I'll have a football play here and there (MY ONLY PLAY THIS WEEKEND IS THE NEW ORLEAN SAINTS +4 1/2). but will post in my strong suits.
Good luck on this card..I can not wait for Penn/Hughes. Let me know if you ride and win or lose...enjoy the show.
posted by pc7588
Sept. 22 2006 10:09pm -
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GL PC looks like you've put some thought into this. I hope you hit them all bud.
UFC is great to watch if you get it.
posted by close_call
Sept. 23 2006 12:14am -
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Hey boys...Like your card PC (although I liked Swick but will not touch it!)
I spoke to my buddy who gave the HUGE Tim SLyvia under dog win over the pit bull....He tells me that Hughes is at the top of his game....Penn beat him earlier in his career and he hasn't forget it....He says Hughes has far more experience now and WILL beat Bj Penn!!!
Again, PC knows his shit...I watch but cannot cap these fights. But this guy knows his shit and made anyone who followed big dough on Sylvia....I am with him again and will roll on MATT HUGHES!!!!
PC...football treated me well today so I will propbably follow ur card...(I am not sure about thr Swick fight...I will take him or lay off!!!
GOOD LUCK BOYS!!!!
posted by thebigmessy
Sept. 23 2006 6:43pm -
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Messy, I do like Hughes to win but I won't bet it. I have too much faith in BJ penn..should be an incredible but if I had an opinion, I like Hughes as posted. GL BRO...I will be rooting for BJ, but expect Hughes to win.
GL..I agree on the swick fight..that is tough to call. But look at the fighter's experience and history..this is by far the hardest fight of Swick's career. Coming off a loss to Franklin, DL is right there. I expect him to win this one.
Have a good one, I'll be in the chat when the fights are on. I
posted by pc7588
Sept. 23 2006 8:13pm -
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My worst UFC post ever. Apologize and we'll get it back on the next one. Take care players. Bad, bad, results for me. Swick and Guillard's victory cost me some jack.
See ya for the next one.
posted by pc7588
Sept. 26 2006 9:57am