TRENDS FOR MONDAY 6/19
Monday Trends and Indexes
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Hot Pitchers
-- Reds are 10-4 in Arroyo's starts, 5-3 on the road.
-- Bronx is 4-1 in RJohnson's last five starts, but not because he has pitched well (5.02 RA).
-- Brewers won seven of last ten Davis starts. Bonderman has a 2.08 RA in his last three starts.
-- Giants won Cain's last five starts, scoring 32 runs.
-- Haren is 3-0, 0.96 in his last three starts.
-- Duke is 3-0, 4.91 in his last four starts; Pirates are 3-0 in his last three starts at PNC Park.
Cold Pitchers
-- OHernandez has 4.30 RA in four starts for the Mets, all won by the visiting team.
-- Marshall is 0-4, 5.74 in his last five starts. Jason Johnson is 1-7 7.74 in his last ten starts.
-- Myers is 2-2, 6.95 in his last six starts.
-- Armas is 1-2, 6.64 in his last four starts; his dad played for the Red Sox and was very good player. Snyder was picked up from Royals on waivers and starts here; he allowed nine runs in just two IP in his only '06 start, vs Texas. He was 2-9, 5.64 in 18 starts prior to this season.
-- Kim is 0-2, 10.20 in his last three starts.
-- Escobar is 0-5, 5.80 in his last six starts.
-- Vargas is 0-2, 7.50 in his last two starts.
Totals
-- Under is 7-3-1 in Arroyo's last eleven starts.
-- Seven of last ten Marshall starts stayed under the total.
-- Five of last siz Phillies' home games went over the total.
-- Eight of last ten Armas starts went over the total.
-- Eight of last twelve Davis starts went over the total.
-- Under is 16-3-1 in last twenty games at Coors Field.
-- Over is 18-7-1 in San Francisco's last twenty-six home games.
-- Four of last five Arizona road games went over the total.
Hot Teams
-- Mets won nine of last eleven games, but oddly, are 2-5 in last seven games at home.
-- Washington won five of their last six road games. Red Sox are on three-game winning streak, having swept the Braves. They're 6-2 in their last eight home games.
-- Milwaukee won five of their last six games. Detroit won nine of their last ten games.
-- Angels won five of their last seven road games.
-- A's won ten games in row after 6-0 week vs Seattle, Dodgers.
-- Arizona lost eleven of their last twelve games.
Cold Teams
-- Cincinnati lost eight of their last nine games.
-- Cubs were 0-6 last week, allowing 43 runs. Indians lost ten of their last thirteen games.
-- Phillies lost eight of their last ten games. Bronx lost three of last four games; their bullpen is very thin right now.
-- Colorado lost six of their last nine home games.
-- Giants lost seven of their last nine games; their pitchers are being hurt by defensive deficiencies of their aging leftfielder.
-- Pirates lost their last four games, allowing 23 runs
posted by phantom
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Pro Baseball Trend Report
CINCINNATI (37 - 32) at NY METS (43 - 25) - 7:10 PM
BRONSON ARROYO (R) vs. ORLANDO HERNANDEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 13-25 (-13.9 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 43-25 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 43-25 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
NY METS are 30-14 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
NY METS are 22-11 (+9.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CINCINNATI is 20-13 (+10.6 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
CINCINNATI is 162-166 (+26.1 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 20-13 (+10.6 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
CINCINNATI is 13-7 (+8.3 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
CINCINNATI is 15-7 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
CINCINNATI is 164-212 (+29.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
HERNANDEZ is 21-27 (-18.7 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
BRONSON ARROYO vs. NY METS since 1997
ARROYO is 1-1 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 7.71 and a WHIP of 1.714.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)
ORLANDO HERNANDEZ vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
HERNANDEZ is 0-1 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 12.70 and a WHIP of 2.293.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)
CHICAGO CUBS (26 - 42) at CLEVELAND (31 - 37) - 7:05 PM
SEAN MARSHALL (L) vs. JASON JOHNSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 27-42 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 27-42 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 139-140 (-35.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 54-72 (-24.5 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 46-48 (-15.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 31-37 (-12.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 30-36 (-12.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CLEVELAND is 16-27 (-17.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CLEVELAND is 20-29 (-22.1 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 15-18 (-10.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
JOHNSON is 18-28 (-12.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
JOHNSON is 25-47 (-25.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
JOHNSON is 17-33 (-17.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
JOHNSON is 11-26 (-17.3 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
JOHNSON is 1-6 (-8.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season. (Team's Record)
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
SEAN MARSHALL vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
No recent starts.
JASON JOHNSON vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
No recent starts.
NY YANKEES (38 - 29) at PHILADELPHIA (34 - 35) - 7:05 PM
RANDY JOHNSON (L) vs. BRETT MYERS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 133-99 (-27.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 12-17 (-11.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
NY YANKEES are 21-28 (-19.3 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 19-23 (-18.9 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 117-87 (-22.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 82-69 (-31.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 90-70 (-19.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
JOHNSON is 47-38 (-20.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
JOHNSON is 3-8 (-11.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
JOHNSON is 28-30 (-24.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PHILADELPHIA is 107-84 (+20.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 17-21 (-10.3 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 17-21 (-10.3 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 21-26 (-10.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
RANDY JOHNSON vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
JOHNSON is 8-2 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 2.02 and a WHIP of 1.089.
His team's record is 10-3 (+3.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-6. (-1.3 units)
BRETT MYERS vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
No recent starts.
WASHINGTON (32 - 39) at BOSTON (39 - 28) - 7:05 PM
TONY ARMAS JR (R) vs. KYLE SNYDER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 113-119 (+6.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 57-61 (+17.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 30-13 (+21.1 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 112-117 (+7.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 43-41 (+18.9 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 250-200 (-53.2 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
TONY ARMAS JR vs. BOSTON since 1997
No recent starts.
KYLE SNYDER vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
No recent starts.
DETROIT (46 - 24) at MILWAUKEE (35 - 35) - 8:05 PM
JEREMY BONDERMAN (R) vs. DOUG DAVIS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 116-115 (+5.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 70-50 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 112-110 (+6.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
DAVIS is 8-2 (+7.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
DETROIT is 47-24 (+21.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 27-9 (+16.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
DETROIT is 27-10 (+18.7 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
DETROIT is 13-3 (+10.3 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
DETROIT is 44-21 (+21.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
DETROIT is 29-12 (+16.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
DETROIT is 32-13 (+17.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
BONDERMAN is 16-8 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
JEREMY BONDERMAN vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
No recent starts.
DOUG DAVIS vs. DETROIT since 1997
DAVIS is 0-2 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 3.97 and a WHIP of 1.942.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)
OAKLAND (38 - 31) at COLORADO (34 - 35) - 9:05 PM
DAN HAREN (R) vs. BYUNG-HYUN KIM (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 39-25 (+15.3 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 60-56 (+12.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 14-2 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in June games this season.
OAKLAND is 99-65 (+35.3 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game since 1997.
OAKLAND is 37-26 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
OAKLAND is 77-50 (+23.2 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 32-16 (+15.2 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
HAREN is 9-0 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HAREN is 11-3 (+9.2 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
COLORADO is 60-84 (-25.3 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
DAN HAREN vs. COLORADO since 1997
HAREN is 0-1 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 12.00 and a WHIP of 1.333.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)
BYUNG-HYUN KIM vs. OAKLAND since 1997
No recent starts.
LA ANGELS (31 - 38) at SAN FRANCISCO (34 - 35) - 10:15 PM
KELVIM ESCOBAR (R) vs. MATT CAIN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS is 31-38 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS is 26-33 (-12.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA ANGELS is 20-25 (-8.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ESCOBAR is 2-9 (-10.3 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ESCOBAR is 16-23 (-15.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 859-693 (+99.0 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 23-10 (+16.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 535-403 (+103.5 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 80-56 (+24.2 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
LA ANGELS is 63-55 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 36-50 (-19.3 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 9-18 (-12.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
KELVIM ESCOBAR vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
No recent starts.
MATT CAIN vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
No recent starts.
ARIZONA (35 - 34) at PITTSBURGH (26 - 44) - 12:30 PM
CLAUDIO VARGAS (R) vs. ZACH DUKE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 163-231 (-64.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 14-31 (-19.2 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 43-72 (-34.5 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 88-143 (-53.3 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 26-55 (-28.5 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 57-57 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 57-57 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 30-22 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
VARGAS is 14-9 (+12.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
VARGAS is 10-5 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
VARGAS is 10-3 (+9.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PITTSBURGH is 26-44 (-15.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 5-19 (-13.8 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 26-44 (-15.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 4-1 (+2.8 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)
CLAUDIO VARGAS vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
VARGAS is 2-0 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 1.69 and a WHIP of 0.844.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.0 units)
ZACH DUKE vs. ARIZONA since 1997
DUKE is 0-1 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 6.00 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)
posted by phantom
June 19 2006 4:16pm -
0 likes
MLB Baseball Trends
Monday, June 19th
National League:
Cincinnati at NY Mets, 7:10 EST
Bronson Arroyo (R) vs. Orlando Hernandez (R)
Arroyo: Cincinnati 16-3 Over with an .285 OBP or worse over their last 5 games
Hernandez: Mets 22-8 Over at home when the total is 9 to 9.5
Interleague Play:
Chicago Cubs at Cleveland, 7:05 EST
Sean Marshall (L) vs. Jason Johnson (R)
Marshall: Cubs 26-12 Under vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 3 or less batters/start
Johnson: Cleveland 2-13 off 5+ road games
NY Yankees at Philadelphia, 7:05 EST ESPN
Randy Johnson (L) vs. Brett Myers (R)
Johnson: 10-3 TSR, 2.02 vs. Philadelphia
Myers: Philadelphia 31-16 Over in night games
Washington at Boston, 7:05 EST
Tony Armas (R) vs. Kyle Snyder (R)
Armas: 14-7 TSR as an underdog of +100 to +150
Snyder: Boston 23-14 Over off a win
Detroit at Milwaukee, 8:05 EST
Jeremy Bonderman (R) vs. Doug Davis (L)
Bonderman: Detroit 12-0 as a road favorite of -125 or more
Davis: Milwaukee 7-21 after allowing 4 runs or less 3 straight games
Oakland at Colorado, 9:05 EST
Danny Haren (R) vs. Byung-Hyun Kim (R)
Haren: 9-0 TSR in June
Kim: Col. 11-2 Under off 6+ road games
LA Angels at San Francisco, 10:15 EST
Kelvim Escobar (R) vs. Matt Cain (R)
Escobar: Angels 3-12 off 5+ home games
Cain: 5-0 TSR L5 starts
Write-In Game League:
Arizona at Pittsburgh, 12:35 EST
Claudio Vargas (R) vs. Zach Duke (L)
Vargas: 14-9 TSR as a road underdog
Duke: Pittsburgh 5-19 in day games
posted by phantom
June 19 2006 4:16pm