CAPPER LIST 3-27-04
NSA
NCAA...
20- UConn -8 1/2
10- St.Joe's +3
NBA....
10- Minn. -5
5- Nets +5
5- SAS Under 184
2- Utah -5
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dr bob NCAA
Oklahoma State (2 ½) 72 Saint Joseph’s 69
Using all games this season for both teams would yield a fair line of pick in this game, but St. Joe’s upped their rating by blowing out bad teams by more than expected and didn’t play as well against better teams. My tournament ratings, which are based on games against decent teams or better, favor Oklahoma State by 3 points and there is no reason for me to deviate from that prediction. St. Joe’s is a very good team on both ends of the floor, but Oklahoma State is the nation’s best shooting team (52% FG) and knocking down 49% of their shots against Pittsburgh is incredible. St. Joseph’s will need to have another good shooting game from beyond the 3-point arc if they are going to win this game, but chances are that it won’t be quite good enough to beat the Cowboys. In case you’re wondering, #1 seeds that are underdogs to lower seeded teams are just 1-4 ATS in the NCAA Tournament the last 14 years.
Alabama (+8 ½) 68 Connecticut 76
I’ve been right on every one of Alabama’s 3 tournament games so far, but this one is a bit trickier. The Crimson Tide are still underrated, as my ratings favor Connecticut by only 5 points and the Huskies have played just 5 ½ points better than Bama in 3 tournament games, but Alabama qualifies in a negative 1-19 ATS NCAA Tournament situation. Connecticut, however, qualifies in a negative 5-17-2 ATS round 4 situation, as lower seeded teams tend to have their way in this round. The situation against Alabama is clearly stronger than the one against U Conn, but I can only favor Connecticut by 7 ½ points after adding in the value of the situations. So, I’ll still lean a bit with the underrated Crimson Tide.
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Sports4cast
20* Okl St. -2.5
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Sebastian - 100* NBA total of year Twolves under, 100* Elite 8 GOY-Ok St, 20* Alabama
Blazer - 4*Jazz, reg play Ok St
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http://www.boxersports.com [boxersports.com]">www.boxersports.com (1* to 5*)
NCAA Tournament Phoenix Bracket @ America West Arena - Phoenix, AZ (Final)
Basket ball - 718 Connecticut -9 ( 3* )
NCAA Tournament East Rutherford Bracket @ Continental Airlines Arena - East Rutherford, NJ (Final)
Basket ball - 716 St Josephs +2½ ( 3* )
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ROCKETMAN
Pro Basketball:
1 Unit on San Antonio Spurs -12½ -110
San Antonio is 36-18 ATS last 3 years after scoring 85 points or less. San Antonio is 27-13 ATS last 3 years on Saturdays.
Hockey:
1 Unit on Boston Bruins -½ -125
Boston is 9-2 ATS this year after a loss by 2 goals or more their previous game.
4 Units on Pittsburgh Penguins +135
Pittsburgh is 10-3 ATS in March this year. Pittsburgh is 9-2 ATS vs Buffalo overall last 3 years. Pittsburgh is 4-0-1 SU and 5-0 ATS @ home vs Buffalo last 3 years.
1 Unit on Toron! to Maple Leafs -120
Toronto is 12-3 ATS this year off an upset win as an underdog.
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CEASAR SPORTS FOR SATURDAY, March 27, 2004:
NCAA- 4* ST.JOE’S, 2*ALABAMA
NBA- 3* PHOENIX
http://www.ceasarsports.com [ceasarsports.com]">www.ceasarsports.com
“THE SPORTS ANALYSIS GROUPâ€Â