I'm gonna play on Duke/UNC sorry for the confusion. I love this game in hoops. And I usually nail it. It is Army/Navy, FSU/Miami, UCLA/USC, Yanks/Sox, Red Wings/Blackhawks...of college basketball. I can't play on the side because I think UNC will cover but it's a real tough spot to play. I'll take Duke -4 against anyone, even UNC, in Cameron, but not at the Dean Dome. Remember, I've followed Roy for over 12 years at Kansas and he is one of the best coaches I can remember in Regular Season home games. Getting 4 in this rivalry? Wow...anyways..I'm pulling a rare FLIP and rollin on...
UNC +5 @ home against Duke in the Dean Dome..here's my trends and thoughts on it..
TRENDS:
NORTH CAROLINA LAST 10 GAMES
Date Matchup Line Total ATS Result
02/04/06 Clemson 61 @ North Carolina 76 -7.5 143 W/U
02/02/06 North Carolina 77 @ Maryland 62 +4.5 158 W/U
01/28/06 Arizona 69 @ North Carolina 86 -3.5 149 W/O
01/25/06 Boston College 81 @North Carolina 74 -3 148 L/O
01/22/06 North Carolina 81 @ Florida State 80 +3 151.5 W/O
01/19/06 North Carolina 68 @ Virginia 72 -3 140 L/P
01/14/06 Miami (FL) 81 @North Carolina 70 -11 141 L/O
01/10/06 North Carolina 64 @ Virginia Tech 61 -1 141.5 W/U
01/07/06 North Carolina State 69 @ North Carolina 82 -2.5 140.5 W/O
01/03/06 Davidson 58 @ North Carolina 82 -10.5 158.5 W/U
Check it out...they beat a good (although down year) Cats team at home. Since the BC loss at home..Roy has the boys rollin..with 3 straight covers and wins of 17 (Zona), 15 (Terps), and 15 (Tigers). I've been rollin on UNC since that win and I won't back down because Big Bad Duke is coming to town. Since the Gtown game, the Dukies have been anemic at best. Although throw that out since UNC shouldn't have to motivate any of the Blue Devils. I think your gonna see Tyler Hansbrough surprise the hell out Sheldon Williams tonight. mark my words..the run and gun is going to be Duke's undoing. They will get into foul trouble tonight and that favores UNC>
Anyways, here's Duke's last 10..check out their ATS and wins since the Hoyas loss...
02/04/06 Florida State 96 @ Duke 97 -15 151.5 L/O
02/01/06 Duke 83 @ Boston College 81 -4.5 148 L/O
01/28/06 Virginia 63 @ Duke 82 -19 143 P/O
01/26/06 Duke 80 @ Virginia Tech 67 -11 141 W/O
01/21/06 Duke 84 @ Georgetown 87 -8 134 L/O
01/18/06 North Carolina State 68 @ Duke 81 -12 143.5 W/O
01/14/06 Duke 87 @ Clemson 77 -10 141 P/O
01/11/06 Maryland 52 @ Duke 76 -13 156 W/U
01/08/06 Duke 82 @ Wake Forest 64 -7.5 151.5 W/U
01/02/06 Bucknell 50 @ Duke 84 N/A N/A /
I'm sorry, but as I've said for years..(if your really bored find out the date of UNC/Duke games last year and check out my dead money posts on them last year) this line should be a pick or close to it every year. The home team getting five is insane. I would still play UNC if they were 0-fer on the season.
I'm done yammering...Here's how I'm playing it...
Wichita State +6 (down to 5 1/2) 5 units
UNC +5 (up to 5 from 4) 3 units
4 team parley for a 1/2 unit: Wichita State +6, UNC+5, Creighton over 132, St. Joseph's +8 1/2 -145 (bought up 1 1/2 points)
good luck tonight...thank you for catching the home team jmoney..I posted that sucker early and must have misread the home/away. Have a good one all..good luck and enjoy the big game tonight. As a KU fan...
ROLL HEELS$$$$ Roy hates Coach K..I mean despises the dude. But I guess that works both ways.
OUTTT$$$$$$$
Billz...nice 2-0..you are a cash machine right now$$$ I can't wait til MLB..we are gonna fricken bank$$
Looking forward to the next HFA's!