SUPERBOWL TRENDS
The Seahawks and Steelers meet for all the marbles
Seattle (15-3 SU/11-6-1 ATS) made it to their first-ever Super Bowl with two home playoff wins. After a first-round bye, they beat the Redskins 20-10 as -10 point favs to advance to the NFC Championship Game, where they manhandled Carolina 34-14 as -4 point chalks. League MVP Shaun Alexander, who missed most of the Washington game with a concussion, rushed for 132 yards and two touchdowns in the win over the Panthers. QB Matt Hasselbeck completed 20-of-28 passes for 219 yards and two TD's as Seattle advanced to the Super Bowl for the first time in its 30-year history. Alexander carried the ball 34 times and showed no ill-effects from his concussion. Seattle outgained the Panthers 393-212, had a 27-11 edge in FD's and the Seahawks' defense shut down the Panthers by forcing four turnovers.
For Pittsburgh (14-5 SU/12-7 ATS), it was a tougher journey getting to the big game. They won three consecutive playoff games on the road and became just the second team to accomplish that feat since the 1985 New England Patriots. In Week 1 of the playoffs, they knocked off Cincinnati 31-17 as -3 point favorites. In Week 2, they shocked the world with a 21-18 win over the high-powered Colts as +10 point dogs. In the AFC title game, they posted a relatively easy 34-17 win at Denver as +3 point dogs. Against the Broncos, QB Ben Roethlisberger completed 21-of-29 passes for 275 yards and two TD's without an interception as the Steelers became the first sixth seed in NFL history to advance to the Super Bowl. Cedrick Wilson had five catches for 92 yards with a touchdown and Hines Ward added 59 yards and a score on five receptions for Pittsburgh, which won the AFC Championship Game for just the second time in six tries under head coach Bill Cowher. The Steelers had dropped their last three championship games, all at home, and will be seeking their first Super Bowl win in 26 years.
The Seattle offense ranks 2nd in the NFL with 369 ypg, while the Steelers offense ranks 15th with 321 ypg. Defensively, Pittsburgh comes in ranked 4th in the NFL (283 ypg), while Seattle ranks 17th, allowing 316 ypg. Both teams protect the ball well. In their five combined playoff games, the offenses gave the ball away only twice each and Hasselbeck and Roethlisberger had a combined one interception in 126 attempts. Roethlisberger has thrown just 10 interceptions in 340 attempts on the season, while Hasselbeck has tossed nine picks in 341 passes. Seattle committed just 17 turnovers during the regular season, second fewest in the league, and Pittsburgh had 23, the sixth fewest.
In order for the Seahawks to be successful in this game, Alexander will have to be able to run the ball to open up the passing game. He averaged 117.5 ypg and 5.1 ypc to lead the Seahawks NFL 3rd-ranked rushing "O". He had 12 games with 100-plus yards and six games with 140 yards or more and the Seahawks are 12-0 SU and 9-3 ATS when he tops 100 yards in a game. In contrast, the Pittsburgh defense, which ranked No. 3 in the league against the rush, surrendered only 86 yards per game.
The Steelers gave up just 3.4 yards per carry, a league low, and surrendered just seven runs of 20 yards or more. Most significantly perhaps is the fact that Pittsburgh has allowed just one 100-yard rusher in their last 32 games. Seattle is 6-2-1 ATS the last nine meetings with the Steelers (5-0 ATS last five), with the last one coming in the 2003 regular season, a 23-16 home win for the Seahawks (-5). Seattle is also 9-2 ATS when playing on turf. Pittsburgh comes in 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games and 17-6 ATS when favored between -3½ and -9½ points.
posted by phantom
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The Pittsburgh Steelers and Seattle Seahawks will contest Super Bowl XL at Ford Field in Detroit on Sunday, February 5. It's the first time a No. 6 seed (the Steelers) has reached the title game, and it's the first Super Bowl trip for the Seahawks franchise.
Seattle sits as a small dog in this one, as the line opened at 3 in favor of the Steelers, who are 12-7 ATS this season. The Seahawks are 11-6-1 ATS. The OVER/UNDER opened at 47 points.
In the NFC title game at Qwest Field against the Panthers, the Seahawks as favorites defeated the Carolina Panthers 34-14. The game was a Seattle cover and an OVER play.
Meanwhile, at INVESCO Field at Mile High, the underdog Pittsburgh Steelers were winning their third straight road playoff game, defeating the Denver Broncos 34-17. The game was a Pittsburgh cover and an OVER play.
Seahawks coach Mike Holmgren knows how to get it done, as he coached the Green Bay Packers to a Super Bowl title. Steelers coach Bill Cowher hopes to avenge his last Super Bowl appearance and win his first title as a head coach.
Pittsburgh knows that beating the Seahawks depends on stopping the run (and Shaun Alexander). Alexander has carried the ball 40 times and put up 141 yards total in the postseason, with two touchdowns.
The Steelers will largely depend on QB Ben Roethlisberger, who has completed almost 70% of his pass attempts for 999 yards in three playoff games thus far. Also, look for Jerome Bettis to carry the running load for Pittsburgh, as he's notched three touchdowns in the postseason.
Some trends to consider:
Seattle is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games after scoring 31 to 40 points
Seattle is 3-6-0 OU in its last 9 games against Pittsburgh
Seattle is 17-9-0 OU in its last 26 games
Seattle is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Pittsburgh is 13-2-0 SU in its last 15 games after being .5 to 3 point underdogs
Pittsburgh is 6-1-0 ATS in its last 7 games
Pittsburgh is 6-1-0 ATS in its last 7 games after scoring 31 to 40 points
Pittsburgh is 5-1-0 SU in its last 6 games after scoring 31 to 40 points
posted by phantom
Feb. 3 2006 1:15pm -
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Seattle/Pittsburgh
Top 3/Bottom 3 Trends
Seattle
Seattle is the highest scoring team in the league at 28.3 points per game.
Seattle is third in the league in rushing at 153.6 yards per game.
Seattle is second best in the league in committing turnovers with 1.1 per game.
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh allows the third least rushing yards in the league at 85.5 per game.
Handicapping Trends
Seattle
Seattle is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Seattle is 6-1-0 ATS in its last 7 games against Pittsburgh
Seattle is 17-9-0 OU in its last 26 games
Seattle is 3-6-0 OU in its last 9 games against Pittsburgh
Seattle is 4-1-0 SU in its last 5 games after scoring 31 to 40 points
Seattle is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games after scoring 31 to 40 points
Seattle is 5-0-0 SU in its last 5 games after being 3.5 to 7 point favorites
Seattle is 5-1-0 ATS in its last 6 games after being 3.5 to 7 point favorites
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 6-1-0 ATS in its last 7 games
Pittsburgh is 1-6-0 ATS in its last 7 games against Seattle
Pittsburgh is 4-1-0 OU in its last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 3-6-0 OU in its last 9 games against Seattle
Pittsburgh is 5-1-0 SU in its last 6 games after scoring 31 to 40 points
Pittsburgh is 6-1-0 ATS in its last 7 games after scoring 31 to 40 points
Pittsburgh is 13-2-0 SU in its last 15 games after being .5 to 3 point underdogs
Pittsburgh is 11-4-0 ATS in its last 15 games after being .5 to 3 point underdogs
Betting Situations
Seattle most recently...
After a win are 9-1
After playing Panthers are 1-1
When playing outside division are 8-2
When they are a dog on the road are 3-7
After out gaining opponent are 10-0
Pittsburgh most recently...
After a win are 9-1
After playing Broncos are 2-6
When playing outside division are 7-3
When they are favored at home are 7-3
After out gaining opponent are 7-3
posted by phantom
Feb. 3 2006 1:15pm -
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Sunday, February 5th
Super Bowl XL
Seattle vs. Pittsburgh, 6:20 EST
Seattle:
6-0 Over away vs. non-conference opponents
11-3 Over off a home win
Pittsburgh:
7-1 ATS away off a straight up win
13-5 ATS off a win by 10+ points
posted by phantom
Feb. 3 2006 1:15pm -
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SEATTLE (15 - 3) vs. PITTSBURGH (14 - 5) - 2/5/2006, 6:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 1-0 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 1-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
_________________
posted by phantom
Feb. 3 2006 1:16pm -
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Seattle most recently...
After a win are 9-1
After playing Panthers are 1-1
When playing outside division are 8-2
When they are a dog on the road are 3-7
After out gaining opponent are 10-0
Pittsburgh most recently...
After a win are 9-1
After playing Broncos are 2-6
When playing outside division are 7-3
When they are favored at home are 7-3
After out gaining opponent are 7-3
posted by phantom
Feb. 3 2006 1:16pm -
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The UNDERDOG has covered the last four Super Bowls.
posted by phantom
Feb. 3 2006 1:16pm -
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Pittsburgh is 23-9-2 ATS vs. teams with a winning record
Seattle is 13-1 SU last 14 games (9-4-1 ATS)
Pittsburgh is 9-2 ATS last 11 road games
Pittsburgh is also 6-1 ATS during current seven-game winning streak
Seattle is 9-2 ATS last 11 games on artificial turf
OVER is 7-1 in Seattle's last eight road games
posted by phantom
Feb. 3 2006 1:18pm -
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Pittsburgh is 20-10 ATS with Ben Roethlisberger starting at QB
Seattle is 6-2-1 ATS last nine meetings with Pittsburgh
Underdog is 4-0 ATS last four Super Bowls
OVER is 4-1 in Pittsburgh's last five games
posted by phantom
Feb. 3 2006 1:18pm -
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Super Bowl History
Super Bowl NFC AFC Winner Score Favorite Line Covering Team Over/Under Result
40
39 PHI NE NE 24-21 NE 7 PHI DOG 48 UNDER
38 CAR NE NE 32-29 NE 7 CAR DOG 38 OVER
37 TB OAK TB 48-21 OAK 3.5 TB DOG 44 OVER
36 STL NE NE 20-17 STL 14 NE DOG 53 UNDER
35 NYG BAL BAL 34-7 BAL 3 BAL FAV 33 OVER
34 STL TEN STL 23-16 STL 7 PUSH PUSH 48 UNDER
33 ATL DEN DEN 34-19 DEN 7.5 DEN FAV 52 OVER
32 GB DEN DEN 31-24 GB 12 DEN DOG 49 OVER
31 GB NE GB 35-21 GB 14 PUSH PUSH 49 OVER
30 DAL PIT DAL 27-17 DAL 13.5 DAL DOG 52 UNDER
29 SF SD SF 49-26 SF 18 SF FAV 54 OVER
28 DAL BUF DAL 30-13 DAL 10.5 DAL FAV 50 UNDER
27 DAL BUF DAL 52-17 DAL 6.5 DAL FAV 45 OVER
26 WAS BUF WAS 37-24 WAS 7 WAS FAV 48 OVER
25 NYG BUF NYG 20-19 BUF 7 NYG DOG 40 UNDER
24 SF DEN SF 55-10 SF 12 SF FAV 48 OVER
23 SF CIN SF 20-16 SF 7 CIN DOG 46 UNDER
22 WAS DEN WAS 42-10 DEN 3 WAS DOG 47 OVER
21 NYG DEN NYG 39-20 NYG 9 NYG FAV 40 OVER
20 CHI NE CHI 46-10 CHI 11 CHI FAV 37 OVER
19 SF MIA SF 38-16 SF 3 SF FAV 53 OVER
18 WAS OAK OAK 38-9 WAS 3 OAK DOG 48 UNDER
17 WAS MIA WAS 27-17 MIA 3 WAS DOG 37 OVER
16 SF CIN SF 26-21 SF 2 SF FAV 47 PUSH
15 PHI OAK OAK 27-10 PHI 3 OAK DOG
14 LA PIT PIT 31-19 PIT 11 PIT FAV
13 DAL PIT PIT 35-31 PIT 4 PUSH PUSH
12 DAL DEN DAL 27-10 DAL 5 DAL FAV
11 MIN OAK OAK 32-14 OAK 5 OAK FAV
10 DAL PIT PIT 21-17 PIT 7 DAL DOG
9 MIN PIT PIT 16-6 PIT 3 PIT FAV
8 MIN MIA MIA 24-7 MIA 6 MIA FAV
7 WAS MIA MIA 14-7 WAS 2 MIA DOG
6 DAL MIA DAL 24-3 DAL 5 DAL FAV
5 DAL BAL BAL 16-13 DAL 1 BAL DOG
4 MIN KC KC 23-7 MIN 10 KC DOG
3 BAL NYJ NYJ 16-7 BAL 17 NYJ DOG
2 GB OAK GB 33-14 GB 13 GB FAV
1 GB KC GB 35-10 GB 14 GB FAV
posted by phantom
Feb. 3 2006 1:18pm -
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SUPERBOWL WRITE UP FROM PINACLE
Super Bowl Betting Tips - Moneyline vs Spread
With nearly two weeks until the Super Bowl, bettors have plenty of time to decide which team they like in the championship game. During this period, you should not only study how the teams match-up, but also how to maximize your earning potential on the big game.
If you like a particular team in a match-up, you should decide whether to bet the spread or the moneyline. To decide which line offers better value, you need a “moneyline to spreadâ€Â
posted by phantom
Feb. 3 2006 1:19pm -
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STEELERS$
posted by takis28
Feb. 3 2006 1:19pm -
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HEY.MAN UR CLUTTERING UP THIS THREAD!!
LOL!!
STEELAS EH?
posted by phantom
Feb. 3 2006 1:22pm -
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PH I REC'D THE INSIDE SCOOP IN THE GAME BELEAVE BROTHER BEALEAVE THIS YEAR IS THE YEAR FOR THE STEELERS CAN U DIG IT.
MY BUD PERRYCOMO IS ON STEELERS ALSO LETS ROLL BABY$$
posted by takis28
Feb. 3 2006 1:29pm