BOWL SERVICES FOR DEC 28TH
Fat Jack:
1-0 Yesterday
Boise St.
OVER in Nebraska
posted by phantom
24 replies
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Espn Insider Pick:
MPC Computers Bowl
Boise State +1½ vs. Boston College: Boise State's going to lose at some point on the big blue field, but we don't think it will be this time around. The Broncos have won 31 in a row at Bronco Stadium and are 45-1 at home since 1999. Even though Boston College is a solid ACC opponent that outweighs Boise by a considerable amount, Boise's speed, quickness and tremendous homefield advantage can pull them through. And the departure of Broncos coach Dan Hawkins to Colorado should only add to the emotional fire. Last year Urban Meyer coached Utah to a Fiesta Bowl victory after he had already agreed to leave for Florida.
Boston College will try to control the game with its offensive line, but Boise's speed advantage can make the difference. In the season, opener Georgia was able to push the Broncos around but there are two big differences between this game and that one. Georgia was playing at home and has much more speed than BC does.
Boise State's defense appeared to have improve as the season went on. Only Fresno State was able to dominate the Broncos by using a strong running game. The Broncos have a pretty good running game of their own and quarterback Jared Zabransky is always a threat to take off.
But the biggest advantage Boise might have is that the starting time is 10:30 a.m. in Boise. Even though BC will be there for several days prior to the game, that morning start time is bound to play havoc on the Eagles' body clocks.
The pick: Boise State. Note: Boston College has won five straight bowl games under coach Tom O'Brien. Four of the five were by 13 points or more. They'll be ready, but Broncos will give all they have for Hawkins' farewell.
posted by phantom
Dec. 28 2005 1:25pm -
0 likes
Mighty ~ Quinn Bowl Games (fade him )
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Lost on arizona state last night
mighty has Boise St tonight
posted by phantom
Dec. 28 2005 1:26pm -
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Ashley Sports Picks:
Wednesday
College Football
7* Executive Selection Boston College & Boise St over 53 ½
5* Michigan -10
NBA
7* Executive Selection Phoenix & Washington over 212
College Basketball
10* Executive Selection Northern Iowa pk
7* Executive Selection Indiana St +9
7* Executive Selection Creighton +1 ½
7* Executive Selection SE Missouri St +31 1/2
5* Air Force -3 ½
5* Austin Peay +11
__________________
posted by phantom
Dec. 28 2005 1:26pm -
0 likes
Gamblers World
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TIP OF THE DAY
Sport: NBA
Game: Seattle SuperSonics @ Minnesota Timberwolves on Dec 28 2005 8:00PM
Prediction: Minnesota Timberwolves
Current Line: -7 -110
Over/Under: 191.5 -110
Reason: At 8:05 pm, our complimentary selection is on the
Minnesota T-Wolves, as Minny falls into a team trend on Wednesday
night that is 14-1 ATS since January 27, 2003. What we
want to do is play on the Timberwolves at home if they
have double revenge, and are not getting more than 2
points. The Wolves indeed have double revenge vs.
Seattle, including a loss in overtime earlier this season
(107-102). Take Minnesota minus the points.
posted by phantom
Dec. 28 2005 1:26pm -
0 likes
Totals 4 U
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Yesterday 1-1 on Top Plays... 3-0 on Other Plays .. 1-0 on Comp play... Here we go for today
...
Top Plays ( Super Totals) What ever that means???
BC OVER 53-
Nebraska UNDER 47
...
Other Plays
Atlanta OVER 200-
Port UNDER 195-
Memphis OVER 181
...
Comp Play
NYK UNDER 190-
posted by phantom
Dec. 28 2005 1:26pm -
0 likes
little LINK lover
40 DIME BC
20 DIME MICHIGAN
10 DIME ST. JOES/BRADLEY/ATL HAWKS
posted by phantom
Dec. 28 2005 1:27pm -
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Power Sweep
Boston College 31 Boise St 23 3*
Nebraska (+) 20 Michigan 26 2*
posted by phantom
Dec. 28 2005 1:27pm -
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Vegas Experts Tip Of The Day
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won last night on the over rutgers..very good and free..
New York Knicks at Orlando Magic
Wednesday, December 28, 7:05 P.M. EST
Magic played good "D" Monday in holding the Bucks to 93 points. The Knicks better play improved "D" after giving up 109 in a loss to the Nets their last out. An angle in support of the under play says to Play Under - Any team (NEW YORK) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%), in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +5.5 reb/game). (84-45 since 1996.) And New York itself is 49-30 Under vs. teams attempting 11 or less 3's/game since '96.
Play on: Under
posted by phantom
Dec. 28 2005 1:27pm -
0 likes
Over/Under Hotline:
BOWL TOTAL of the WEEK: NEb/Mich UNDER
posted by phantom
Dec. 28 2005 1:28pm -
0 likes
Winning Pts newsletters plays for today
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MPC COMPUTERS BOWL (December 28 at Boise, ID)
BOSTON COLLEGE over BOISE STATE (30-24)
ALAMO BOWL (December 28 at San Antonio, TX)
MICHIGAN over NEBRASKA (26-19)
posted by phantom
Dec. 28 2005 1:28pm -
0 likes
Beat Ur Bookie
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4-5 on Bowls so far; 5* Nebraska GOM on Boise ST
ESPN Insider 2-3 Sat; 1-0-1 sun; 1-3 Mon; 2-3 Tue; Today he likes Boise State
Dr Bob 2-4 Sat; 0-2 Mon; 2-0 Tue; won 4 of 5 over at FPBE Michigan Under
SportsBookGuru WLWWW L6 plays; Memphis Grizzlies +3
posted by phantom
Dec. 28 2005 1:28pm -
0 likes
JR Tips
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Wednesday, December 28, 2005
College Bowls
10,000,000* Over 47 Michigan/Nebraska
5,000,000* Boise State +2
5,000,000* Over 53 BoiseSt./Boston College
5,000,000* Michigan -10
NBA
10,000,000* Atlanta +3
5,000,000* Memphis +3
He says he is a documented 10-2-1 in Bowls so far
posted by phantom
Dec. 28 2005 1:29pm -
0 likes
Gold Sheet Publication
BC 33
Boise State 26
Michigan 27
Nebraska 23
posted by phantom
Dec. 28 2005 1:29pm -
0 likes
Dunkel Index - College Football
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Dunkel Index - NCAA Football
WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 28
Boston College 98.7 (1) Boise State* 97.5
Total Points: 51 1/2
Michigan 105.0 (13) Nebraska 92.3
Total Points: 45
posted by phantom
Dec. 28 2005 1:29pm -
0 likes
Tom Luicci Bowl Plays
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Season record .excellent and free ..60 ~ 40 ~ 2
bowl record up to today..5 ~ 4
upcoming plays..
Dec. 28;;MPC Computers Bowl;;Boise, Idaho;;Boston College-Boise State;;Boston College by 1
Pick: Boston College, 38-30
Are the Boise State players inspired or angry that Dan Hawkins bolted on them for the Colorado job? Broncos make their fourth straight appearance in their home bowl game, winning the previous three, But the Eagles aren't some soft ACC school that can't take the heat -- or the Idaho cold, for that matter. Jared Zabransky, meet Mathias Kiwanuka.
Dec. 28;;Alamo Bowl;;San Antonio;;Michigan-Nebraska;;Michigan by 12
Pick: Michigan, 34-20
This should have been the 1997 national championship showdown but wasn't. Now it's just a couple of overpaid coaches trying not to have their teams underachieve any more than they have. QB Zac Taylor may finally be getting the hang of the West Coast offense, but Nebraska couldn't win the woeful Big 12 North. Having a healthy Mike Hart at RB makes the difference for Michigan.
Dec. 29;;Emerald Bowl;;San Francisco;;Georgia Tech-Utah;;Georgia Tech by 8
Pick: Georgia Tech, 37-17
Want a reason to watch this? Here's one good one: Tech WR Calvin Johnson, a future NFL star. No player in the game makes more spectacular catches. But don't the Yellow Jackets deserve better than a trip to the West Coast to play a 6-5 Utah team that lost starting QB Brian Johnson late in the season? Utes look to be out of their league here.
Dec. 29;;Holiday Bowl;;San Diego;;Oregon-Oklahoma;;Oregon by 3
Pick: Oregon, 31-17
We've seen it happen before, most recently with California last year. A 10-1 team is snubbed by the BCS, then bombs in a lesser bowl (like the Holiday). The Ducks are the better team, even with Dennis Dixon at QB for the injured Kellen Clemens, but will they play inspired football? Sooners quarterback Rhett Bomar needs to be mindful of Oregon DB Aaron Gipson, the nation's leader with seven interceptions. Oklahoma's defense is still suspect.
Dec. 30;;Music City Bowl;;Nashville, Tenn;;Minnesota-Virginia;;Minnesota by 3
Pick: Minnesota, 30-16
It has been a good week for Virginia. No assistant coaches have bailed out on Al Groh. Erratic Cavs, perennial underachievers under Groh, will play this game after losing both coordinators and two assistants. They better hope someone knows how to stop the run. Gophers will grind away with Laurence Maroney and Gary Russell. And QB Brian Cupito has improved.
Dec. 30;;Vitalis Sun Bowl;;El Paso, Texas;;UCLA-Northwestern;;UCLA by 3 1/2
Pick: Northwestern, 44-37
Now this is what a non-BCS bowl matchup should look like: Two of the country's best offenses facing two of the nation's worst defenses. Whoever has the ball last wins. A fun QB showdown with Northwestern's Brian Basanez dueling against UCLA's Drew Olson. And two top-flight running backs in the Bruins' Maurice Drew and the Wildcats' Tyrell Sutton.
Dec. 30;;Independence Bowl;;Shreveport, La.;;South Carolina-Missouri;;South Carolina by 4
Pick: South Carolina, 24-14
It's hard not to be impressed by the coaching job Steve Spurrier did at South Carolina this year. He even turned Blake Mitchell into a serviceable quarterback -- something not many people thought was possible. And he is as impossible as ever to work for, with three assistants leaving after the regular-season finale. Missouri has never reached its potential with Brad Smith at QB, and Big 12 schools could be exposed this bowl season.
Dec. 30;;Peach Bowl;;Atlanta;;Miami-LSU;;No line
Pick: Miami 23-17.
The uncertain status of Tigers QB JaMarcus Russell (shoulder) and the uncertain emotion of Miami in a non-BCS affair make this a game not even the Vegas sharpies will touch. Defenses should rule, but both running games can be effective. If Russell can play, LSU has a chance. If not, Miami's defense will carry the day.
Dec. 31;;Meineke Car Care Bowl;;Charlotte, N.C.;;North Carolina State-South Florida;;North Carolina State by 6
Pick: South Florida, 24-17
A shining example of why there are too many bowl games. Wolfpack earned a "home" bowl thanks to victories over Eastern Kentucky and Middle Tennessee State in a 6-5 season. The defense is solid, but the passing game is a mess. USF lost its final two but still earned its first-ever bowl bid. TB Andre Hall, the Big East's leading rusher, holds the key to their success.
Dec. 31;;Liberty Bowl;;Memphis, Tenn.;;Fresno State-Tulsa;;Fresno State by 7
Pick: Tulsa, 37-34
If the pre-USC Fresno State team shows up, the Bulldogs will be a handful. But if it's the team that saw an 8-1 start dissolve into an 8-4 finish after giving the Trojans all they could handle, Tulsa can pull off the upset. Fresno QB Paul Pinegar threw for 3,122 yards, but had 11 interceptions the last three games. Tulsa has the nation's top passing-catching tight end in Garrett Mills and had to win the C-USA title game on the road to get here.
Dec. 31;;Houston Bowl;;Houston;;TCU-Iowa State;;TCU by 4
Pick: TCU, 34-17
Junior QB Jeff Ballard has given TCU's offense the balance it once lacked with the threat of a passing game. And the Horned Frogs have a gamebreaker they like to utilize in wide receiver/kick return Cory Rodgers. This will also be like a home game for TCU, which won its last nine and relishes the chance to knock off a BCS conference school. Cyclones could have won the Big 12 North but couldn't beat Kansas in their finale. ISU's QB Bret Meyer, a sophomore, is still a work in progress.
posted by phantom
Dec. 28 2005 1:30pm -
0 likes
Sebastian
College Football *10 Neb
*5 Bc Under
Coll Baskets
All *5 Fordham - Air Force -geo.
posted by phantom
Dec. 28 2005 1:31pm -
0 likes
BOSTON COLLEGE (8 - 3) at BOISE ST (9 - 3) - 12/28/2005, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOISE ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
BOISE ST is 36-19 ATS (+15.1 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
BOISE ST is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
BOISE ST is 36-17 ATS (+17.3 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
BOISE ST is 19-5 ATS (+13.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
BOISE ST is 58-31 ATS (+23.9 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 58-31 ATS (+23.9 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 44-23 ATS (+18.7 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
BOISE ST is 32-12 ATS (+18.8 Units) in home games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 32-12 ATS (+18.8 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
NEBRASKA (7 - 4) vs. MICHIGAN (7 - 4) - 12/28/2005, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
UTAH (6 - 5) vs. GEORGIA TECH (7 - 4) - 12/29/2005, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
UTAH is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all games this season.
UTAH is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
UTAH is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after a bye week over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
UTAH is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
UTAH is 33-16 ATS (+15.4 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
OKLAHOMA (7 - 4) vs. OREGON (10 - 1) - 12/29/2005, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
OREGON is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON is 28-10 ATS (+17.0 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
OREGON is 1-0 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA is 1-0 straight up against OREGON over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA (6 - 5) vs. MINNESOTA (7 - 4) - 12/30/2005, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in road games after a bye week since 1992.
VIRGINIA is 13-29 ATS (-18.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
MINNESOTA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
NORTHWESTERN (7 - 4) vs. UCLA (9 - 2) - 12/30/2005, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NORTHWESTERN is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in road games in games played on turf since 1992.
NORTHWESTERN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 2 seasons.
UCLA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
MISSOURI (6 - 5) vs. S CAROLINA (7 - 4) - 12/30/2005, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
LSU (10 - 2) vs. MIAMI (9 - 2) - 12/30/2005, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
S FLORIDA (6 - 5) vs. NC STATE (6 - 5) - 12/31/2005, 11:00 AM
Top Trends for this game.
NC STATE is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
TULSA (8 - 4) vs. FRESNO ST (8 - 4) - 12/31/2005, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FRESNO ST is 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
TULSA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
IOWA ST (7 - 4) vs. TCU (10 - 1) - 12/31/2005, 2:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
ALABAMA (9 - 2) vs. TEXAS TECH (9 - 2) - 1/2/2006, 11:00 AM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS TECH is 62-41 ATS (+16.9 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
IOWA (7 - 4) vs. FLORIDA (8 - 3) - 1/2/2006, 11:00 AM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
IOWA is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
IOWA is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
IOWA is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA is 1-0 against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
IOWA is 1-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
LOUISVILLE (9 - 2) vs. VIRGINIA TECH (10 - 2) - 1/2/2006, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA TECH is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 37-21 ATS (+13.9 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
VIRGINIA TECH is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 28-8 ATS (+19.2 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
VIRGINIA TECH is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) against ACC opponents since 1992.
LOUISVILLE is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
WISCONSIN (9 - 3) vs. AUBURN (9 - 2) - 1/2/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AUBURN is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
AUBURN is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games this season.
AUBURN is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
AUBURN is 1-0 against the spread versus WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
AUBURN is 1-0 straight up against WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NOTRE DAME (9 - 2) vs. OHIO ST (9 - 2) - 1/2/2006, 4:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
W VIRGINIA (10 - 1) vs. GEORGIA (10 - 2) - 1/2/2006, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1992.
GEORGIA is 38-22 ATS (+13.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
W VIRGINIA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games this season.
W VIRGINIA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
FLORIDA ST (8 - 4) vs. PENN ST (10 - 1) - 1/3/2006, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
PENN ST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after playing a conference game this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
TEXAS (12 - 0) vs. USC (12 - 0) - 1/4/2006, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
USC is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
USC is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
TEXAS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins this season.
TEXAS is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games this season.
TEXAS is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
posted by phantom
Dec. 28 2005 1:33pm -
0 likes
MPC Computers Bowl Boise, Dec 28
Boston College is only team in country to win a bowl game in each of last five seasons, and they were underdog in three of them; not only that, they've crushed teams, covering by average of over two TD's per game, but they get stern road test here from Boise team, playing last game for a beloved coach who is moving on (to Colorado, ironically, the last team to beat BC in a bowl). Teams that beat BC held them to 17,10,14 points; Boise is more of offensive team; they allowed 20+ points in nine of their 12 games this season. This year, BC used two QB's; they were 3-2 on road, and game that really hurt them was 16-14 loss at North Carolina. Eagles are 7-0 when they score 20+ points.
Boise won, covered four of their last five bowls, losing last year to Louisville (44-40, +10) at Memphis; they've won 29 games in row on this field, covered 75% of last 40 home games, and are
3-0 vs spread in this bowl. Broncos started year 0-2, getting beat 48-13 at Georgia, then losing 30-27 in hail storm-marred game at Oregon State, but they won nine of last ten games, losing only at Fresno (27-7). Boise was -10 in turnovers their first five games (6-16), but was +5 the last seven games. Zabransky is prone to making bas mistakes when pressured, so healthy DE Kiwanuka, an NFL player, is key for BC here.
Despite cold weather, average total in first eight Humanitarian Bowls has been 64.2.
Favorite covered this bowl in four of last five seasons; losing side scored 24+ points in five of last seven Humanitarian Bowls. December in Boise isn't pleasant, so you figure that coming from cold Boston, Eagles can't be thrilled with this trip, especially since they had very good season (8-3, tying Florida State for division lead), and deserved a warm bowl, but Eagles' lack of rabid fan support hurt them with warmer bowls. O'Brien is crafty mentor, though, and Hawkins is leaving town, so that shifts balance to Boston College, as far as I'm concerned, in this matchup.
Alamo Bowl San Antonio Dec 28
Michigan was disappointment this season, going 7-4, and covering just two of eight as favorite; while this is 31st bowl in row for Michigan, this is first time in decade that Wolverines' bowl is in December. Lloyd Carr is 5-5 in bowls (4-6 vs spread). Nebraska had their string of 35 straight bowls snapped last year, so their guys should be enthused about playing, especially after way they dispatched Colorado in regular season finale (30-3). You never know what state of mind the '05 Wolverines will show up in, especially since they have injury issues on their offensive line.
Nebraska opened the season with unimpressive 25-7 win over Maine; in late October, they started a three-game skid that saw them lose to Missouri (41-24), Oklahoma (31-24) and Kansas
(40-15), first time they lost to Jayhawks since '68. Callahan was said to be on hot seat, but then Huskers survived home finale vs Kansas State (27-25) and crushed Nebraska (30-3), saving Callahan's job, and sending team to this bowl. Nebraska is trying to run West Coast offense, and QB Taylor seemed to catch on somewhat in last two games. Husker defense had allowed 229 rushing yards per game over four-week stretch before they shut Colorado down in finale, so Michigan might do some business running ball.
The poor Saints; one week it is girls' volleyball, this week the Alamo Bowl disrupts their last week of practice this season. Big 11 is 7-2 vs Big 12 in last nine Alamo Bowls, but Nebraska got both wins, taking this game two years ago, beating Michigan State 17-3, and whipping Northwestern 66-17 five years ago. Favorites are 5-3 vs spread in last eight bowls here, with four of last six having 40 or less total points scored, despite indoor venue with fast carpet.
As we said earlier in week, double digits dogs in the December bowls are 15-7 vs spread, from '96 thru Monday, so edge there to Huskers, but just have feeling that snub by Outback Bowl will spur a better-balanced Michigan team to win this game a by a decent amount.
posted by phantom
Dec. 28 2005 1:33pm -
0 likes
NOTE: IF THE LINE MOVES MORE THEN 2.5 POINTS OFF THE NUMBER THAT IS POSTED THEN IT IS A NO PLAY. THAT MEANS I WILL HAVE HEDGED MY BET.
8* MY TOP PLAY...VERY RARE (23-8 ) LAST 4 YEARS IN FOOTBALL (74%)
6-7* HIGH RATED SELECTION ONLY WHEN ALOT OF GAMES ON THE CARD TO CHOSE FROM (WELL OVER 60%)
5* EXCEPTIONAL PLAY USUALLY HIGHEST WHEN ONLY A FEW GAMES
4* VERY STRONG SELECTION
3* STRONG SELECTION
2* PROBABLE COVER (MOST COMMON RATING)
1* A GAME THAT SHOULD COVER
OPINION PLAY: GAME THAT I THINK MAY WIN BUT OFTEN JUST TO WATCH A GAME OR A LEAN USUALLY 1/2 A UNIT.
--------------------------------------------------
SUMMARY OF NCAA BOWL SELECTIONS:
1* MICHIGAN -10.5
1* BOSTON COLLEGE -2
1* BOSTON COLLEGE/BOISE STATE UNDER 53
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NEBRASKA (7 - 4) vs. MICHIGAN (7 - 4)
Week 15 Wednesday, 12/28/2005 8:00 PM
Alamo Bowl - Alamodome - San Antonio, TX
vs
History
Although this is Michigan's 31st consecutive bowl game, the longest such streak in the nation, it is the first time in ten seasons that the Wolverines have been relegated to a minor bowl. The last time was right here, against Texas A&M in '95, a 22-20 loss as a six-point favorite. The Wolverines streak dates back to 1975, the first year the Big Ten Conference allowed more than one representative to play in the postseason; that season the Wolverines faced eventual national champion Oklahoma in the 1976 Orange Bowl. Michigan gained the ‘active’ uninterrupted bowl game appearance mark after Nebraska had its 35-game streak snapped last season. Michigan head coach Lloyd Carr enters the 2005 Alamo Bowl with a 5-5 record in bowl games during his first 10 seasons. The Wolverines played in 1995 Alamo Bowl game during Carr’s first season and then participated in nine consecutive New Year’s Day bowl games prior to this season’s return to the Alamo Bowl. U-M has played in three Rose, three Capital One Citrus, two Outback and one Orange. He won titles in the 1998 Rose, 2000 Orange, 2003 Outback and two Citrus bowl titles (1999 and 2001). The Wolverines will participate in just their sixth bowl game during the month of December in their 37 all-time appearances. Michigan has compiled a 2-3 record in those previous five games, with the losses coming in the 1979 Gator, 1984 Holiday and 1995 Alamo bowls. U-M claimed victories in the 1981 Bluebonnet and 1994 Holiday bowls. Michigan is 18-18 all time in bowl games and are tied for ninth in the nation in all-time bowl appearances with 36. Meanwhile, their opponent, Nebraska ranks fifth in the nation in overall bowl game appearances and has received bowl bids in 36 out of the last 37 seasons. Until the 2004 season, Nebraska had held an NCAA record of 35-straight bowl appearances from 1969 to 2003 posting a 19-16 record. The Huskers also rank fifth in the nation in all-time bowl appearances with 42. Nebraska has never lost in the Alamodome, producing a 4-0 record, including victories in the 2000 Alamo Bowl (66-17 over Northwestern) and the 2003 Alamo Bowl (17-3 over Michigan State). Nebraska also captured a pair of Big 12 titles in the building, defeating Texas A&M in 1997 and Texas in 1999.
Nebraska (7-4 overall, 4-4 Big 12 North/T2nd)
Head Coach: Bill Callahan
Career Record: 12-10 (2nd year)
Record at BC: 12-10 (2nd year)
Last Bowl:
Michigan (9-3, 7-1 WAC champions)
Head Coach: Lloyd Carr
Career Record: 102-33 (11th year)
Record at Arizona State: 102-33 (11th year)
Last Bowl:
Nebraska Leaders:
Rushing: Cory Ross (11 G, 197-721 yards, 4 TDs)
Passing: Zac Taylor (11 G, 223-399, 2,486 yards, 16 TDs)
Receiving: Nate Swift (8 G, 42-610 yards, 6 TDs)
Michigan Leaders:
Rushing: Mike Hart (7 G, 131-588 yards, 4 TDs)
Passing: Chad Henne (11 G, 202-339, 2,256 yards, 20 TDs)
Receiving: Jason Avant (11 G, 74-936 yards, 8 TDs)
MICHIGAN:
The Wolverines will face a Big 12 Conference school for the second straight bowl season. Michigan has a 16-7-2 record against the teams currently in the Big 12 Conference and are 3-1 vs. teams in the Big 12 at the time U-M played them, all during head coach Lloyd Carr’s coaching tenure. They defeated Colorado (27-3) and Baylor (38-3) during the 1997 national championship season and won 20-13 at Colorado in 1996, when members of the conference. The lone setback was last year’s 38-37 loss to Texas in the 2005 Rose Bowl.
COACHING NOTES: Head coaches Lloyd Carr and Bill Callahan have never faced one another in the head coaching realm. However, teams of both coaches’ history have faced off numerous times during both coaches’ tenures. Coach Carr’s Michigan team holds the advantage over coach Callahan’s teams (Illinois, Wisconsin), winning six of their 10 meetings. (Coach Callahan and Coach Carr were assistants at this time). Interestingly enough, in 1986, during Callahans tenure at Illinois, the Illini and Wolverines tied 3-3. Prior to coaching at Nebraska, Coach Callahan was the head coach of the Oakland Raiders (NFL).
CONFERENCE NOTES: The Big Ten has been the dominant conference in past Alamo Bowls. The conference sports a 7-4 record including Michigan’s 22-20 loss to Texas A&M in 1995. In 1993, the Big Ten’s Iowa played California in the Alamo Bowl’s inaugural game, losing 37-3, in a contest that saw a Big Ten/Pac-10 match up since the Southwest Conference didn’t have a bowl eligible team. As a conference the Big 12 has not fared well in the Alamo Bowl, winning only three times in 11 appearances (including Baylor and Texas A&M appearances as members of the Southwest Conference in 1994 and 1995). Nebraska has the conference’s only winning record (2-0). Other team records are: Baylor 0-1; Colorado 0-1; Kansas State 0-1; Oklahoma State 0-2; Texas A&M 1-1; Texas Tech 0-2. This marks the largest bowl point spread for Michigan in the Lloyd Carr Era that began back in 1995, while Nebraska takes a double-digit price for the second game in a row. This could be a problem for Michigan as they have only on double digit bowl victory in nine tries under Lloyd Carr.
GAME NOTES: This will be the sixth meeting between the two programs, with the Wolverines holding a 3-1-1 advantage in the all-time series. Michigan defeated Nebraska 27-23 in the 1986 Fiesta Bowl, the last meeting between the two schools and the only previous match-up during the bowl season. UM and Nebraska also met on the gridiron during the 1905, 1911, 1917 and 1962 seasons. Both Michigan and Nebraska rank in the top five for all-time college football wins. Michigan leads the nation with 849 wins; Nebraska ranks fourth with 793. Michigan holds the current active streak for consecutive bowl appearances (31) dating back to 1975. Nebraska holds the record for the overall longest streak of consecutive bowl appearances with a 35-year streak from 1969-2003. This is the first year that instant replay will be used in the post-season. To keep the process standard across the 28 bowl games, all replay officials will be using the Big Ten protocol.
TRENDS
NEBRASKA:
Nebraska is 2-0 SU and ATS in their last two Alamo Bowl games.
Nebraska is 12-1 SU and 11-2 ATS in their last 13 bowl games when they score at least 21 points.
Nebraska is 14-2 SU and 11-5 ATS against their last 16 Big Ten opponents.
Nebraska is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 bowl games.
MICHIGAN:
Michigan HC Lloyd Carr is 4-6 ATS and 2-3 ATS as chalk.
Michigan HC Lloyd Carr is 9-17 ATS line last 26 as a chalk away from Ann Arbor.
Michigan is 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS against last 4 against Big XII opponents.
Michigan is 1-15-1 ATS away as a favorite of -4 or more against winning teams last 17 tries.
CONFERENCE AND BOWL TRENDS
Big XII representatives are 5-10 ATS in Bowl games over the past two seasons.
Big XII are 2-12 ATS against opponents off a SU & ATS loss.
The underdog is 3-1 SU & ATS in the last 4 Alamo Bowl Games.
Analysis
At first glance, with the power program names of Michigan and Nebraska, you would maybe think a national championship is on the line, but these two will have to settle for a shootout in the Alamo Bowl. The Wolverines are one of this year's top disappointments. Ranked 4th nationally in the preseason, they've been put through the wringer, losing 4 games this season. In their four losses this season (Notre Dame, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Ohio State), Michigan has lost their games by a total of 17 points, a margin of only 4.25 points per loss and are just a mere 17 points from being 11-0. In the past seven games combined, the Wolverines have won five games and lost two. The total margin of points in the two losses was seven points. For all of Michigan’s tough losses, it should be noted that those came against the Nations second toughest in all of college football, trailing only the Oklahoma Sooners. Indeed, sixty-four percent of the Wolverines’ 11 regular-season opponents are heading into post season bowl action this season. Michigan non-conference opponent Notre Dame (Fiesta) earned a BCS bowl berth, with Big Ten opponents Iowa (Outback), Ohio State (Fiesta), Minnesota (Music City), Northwestern (Sun), Penn State (Orange) and Wisconsin (Capital One) gaining bowl slots. Northern Illinois was bowl eligible but did not get selected after losing to Akron in the Mid-American Conference title game.
Offensively, Michigan was a bit of a bully, beating up defensively-lacking teams like Eastern Michigan, Northwestern and Indiana for 43 points per game, while struggling against some of the stronger defenses it faced, such as Iowa and Ohio State. The offense is led by QB Chad Henne who didn’t come close to having as productive a year as a sophomore as he did as a freshman, and part of that regression has to be the fact that star WR Braylon Edwards went to the NFL and sr. Jason Avant was good, but only had about 60% of the yards and points Edwards contributed Last year. Despite his inconsistency, Henne continued to cement his name in the Michigan record books, reaching sixth place all-time in the history of Michigan football with 4,999 passing yards heading into the Alamo Bowl. Despite numerous injuries to his backfield and offensive line, Henne stood strong throwing for 20 touchdowns, tied for third in the Big Ten Conference. Connecting with freshman wide-out Mario Manningham on the final play against an undefeated, eighth-ranked Penn State team proved just how dangerous Henne can be. Henne found comfort in throwing to senior captain and Academic All-American Jason Avant. Avant led the Wolverines with career highs in receptions (74), receiving yards (936) and receiving touchdowns (eight) this season. He is second in the Big Ten in receptions and third in receiving yards this season and ranks among the top 25 nationally in every major receiving category. Avant combined with Manningham and senior Steve Breaston to catch 15 of Henne’s 20 touchdown passes. On the ground, the Wolverines faced an uphill battle after a string of injuries. The offensive line featured six different starting lineups, including four changes within the first four games of the season, as 16 different linemen saw action in 2005. The shuffling of linemen will continue in the bowl game as fifth-year senior left guard Leo Henige, who suffered a broken leg in the fourth quarter against Ohio State, will cause a seventh starting lineup this season. Sophomore tailback Mike Hart, who battled through several injuries throughout the season to record 588 rushing yards and four TDs, saw limited action in 2005. After gaining 1,455 yards on 282 carries (5.2 avg.) in 2004, much was expected out of the Big Ten Freshman of the Year. A leg injury in the opening half versus Notre Dame forced the Michigan coaching staff to make adjustments. In stepped bruising freshman Kevin Grady, that punched in a team leading five-rushing touchdowns and Jerome Jackson, whose one-yard touchdown plunge gave the Wolverines a 23-20 overtime win at Iowa. Max Martin is the fourth of Michigan's tailbacks with more than 225 yards rushing this season.
The Michigan defense may pose the most stringent test for Zac Taylor and the rest of the Huskers offense. The Wolverines, who rank third in the Big Ten in total defense, are the only team within the conference to have three players ranking in the top-17 in terms of total tackles. Leading U-M in tackles is senior inside linebacker David Harris with a career-best 80. Harris also contributed five tackles for loss and three pass breakups, forced two fumbles, and recovered another. On the outside is junior Prescott Burgess, third on the team with 77 tackles, while forcing two fumbles. The Wolverine secondary is led by cornerbacks, junior Leon Hall and fifth-year senior Grant Mason, who both finished in the top five in tackles on the Wolverines. They helped hold opponents to 211.5 yards per-game through the air, good for fourth in the Big Ten. Mason, whose 79 tackles were second on the team, led U-M with eight pass break-ups. Both Mason and Hall produced two interceptions as the secondary was responsible for 13 take away's on the year. The highlight of the season for Hall was earning Defensive Player of the Week honors for his performance in the Wolverines' 33-17 victory at No. 21 Northwestern, which included a school record 83-yard fumble return for a touchdown. Sophomore cornerback Morgan Trent provided a speedster in nickel and dime packages.
Nebraska has come along way considering they completely revamped their offensive play book but they are still in the transition phase from moving from the option run game to the West Coast pro-style offense. Remember when Nebraska used to absolutely dominated on the ground? That certainly has changed since the arrival of Callahan a year ago and implementation of his version of the “West coast offenseâ€Â
posted by phantom
Dec. 28 2005 2:03pm -
0 likes
Bowl service plays
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A Play = Under Michigan (VIP play)
Best Bet Sports = Nebraska
California Sports = 4* Under Michigan
Captain= 20* Michigan
Director Sports = Game of Year Boston College
Final Score = Under Michigan (Top play)
Guaranteed = Boston College
JB Sports = Michigan
Chicago Bulls (NBA)
Jim Feist Elite = Under Boise State
Nevada Club = Under Boise State
Reed Harris = 20* Boston College
Superlock = Boston College
Super Systems = Boston College, Nebraska
Truline = Game of Week Boise State
posted by phantom
Dec. 28 2005 5:14pm -
0 likes
mike neri
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2* michigan
opinion: boise st
posted by phantom
Dec. 28 2005 5:14pm -
0 likes
-Play.........................10*Boise St & Nebraska
ATS.............................3*Boston College
Best Bets.....................Nebraska
Blazer.........................3*Boston College
Cobra..........................3*Mich/Nebr(U)
Cowtown.....................2*Boise State
Dave Cokin.................System Play: Boise State
Doctor Bob..................Opinions: Boston College & Nebraska
Fiest............................Elite Club: BC/BSU(U)
....................................Regular: Nebraska
Gavazzi(PPP)..............4*Nebraska
....................................3*Boist State
....................................Opinions; BC/BSU(O) & Mich/Nebr(O)
Guarantee Picks..........Top: Boston College
Kelso Sturgeon............Regular: Boston College & Nebraska
Las Vegas Sports.........10*Michigan
Lenny Stevens.............10*Nebraska
Northcoast...................4*Nebraska
....................................2*Boston College & BC/BSU(U)
SCORE.........................400% Boston College
....................................300% Michigan
Scotty Spreitzer...........Game Of The Month: Nebraska
....................................Regular: Boston College
Texas Sp Brokers........10*Nebraska
Tony Basich.................1*Boise State
Underdog Hotline.........Nebraska
Winning Points............5*Boston College & Nebraska
WiseGuys.....................Boston College & Michigan
posted by phantom
Dec. 28 2005 6:02pm -
0 likes
ats vig club
Football Lock Club
3 units on Boston College (-1 1/2) over Boise State, 4:30
Basketball Lock Club
4 units on Georgia (-2) over Clemson, 7:00
3 units on Air Force (-3 1/2) over Georgia Tech, 9:00
3 units on South Carolina (-1 1/2) over Pittsburgh, 7:00
posted by phantom
Dec. 28 2005 6:02pm -
0 likes
Pork Chop
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Boise
Neb
West Coast
Memphis
posted by phantom
Dec. 28 2005 6:03pm