power sweep- vol.23 issue 14 Dec. 3, 2005
3* cusa championship- Tulsa
3* San Diego St.
2* Army
2* Louisville
4* Jax
3* Carolina
2* Chicago
2* Baltimore
Power ratings play: Tampa
Pro Stat Play: Baltimore
3* chi/gb under32
3* tenn/indy over48
3* wash/rams over47
2* buff/mia over35
2* jets/ne under41
Confidential Kick-Off!! The Gold Sheet!!
America's Handicapping Leaders For 48 Seasons!
CKO Vol. 44 Dec. 1-5, 2005 No. 14
CTO Vol. 42 Dec. 2-8, 2005 No. 1
11 *NEW ENGLAND over N.Y. Jets
Late Score Forecast:
*NEW ENGLAND 33 - N.Y. Jets 10
(Sunday, December 4)
CKO scouts in the East report you can count on Tom Brady bouncing back with
aplomb after one of his worst games (4 ints.) last week at Kansas City. Pats
also gradually getting stronger in the "pits" (Bruschi & DE Seymour already
back) where injuries limited what the coaches could do for so many games.
Jets' injured, turnover-prone offense struggles even more on the road (7
ppg!), where N.Y. is 0-6 vs. spread TY.
10 *CHICAGO over Green Bay
Late Score Forecast:
*CHICAGO 23 - Green Bay 6
(Sunday, December 4)
This is a terrible time for G.B. to be playing arch-rival Chicago, with the
Packer OL still seeking to jell, its WRs, RBs & TEs (check Bubba Franks)
suffering from injuries, and former Bear killer Brett Favre (19 ints. TY)
obviously trying to do too much. Chicago defense (11 ppg at home) getting
lots of deserved headlines. But OL, RBs, and Kyle Orton all doing better
than expected. Insiders reiterate that one of Lovie's primary goals is to
restore Bear dominance to this "ancient" NFL rivalry.
TOTALS: UNDER (35) in Jacksonville-Cleveland game-Cleveland "under" 9 of 11
TY; Jags' defense tough, but Garrard starts at QB...UNDER (3 in
Minnesota-Detroit game-Trust both defenses in this one much more than the
offenses.
HONORABLE MENTION (Nine-rated games): ATLANTA (+3) at Carolina-Falcons have
the coaching, ground game, pass rush, and QBing to gain tie for first in NFC
South.
The Gold Sheet
GS NFL
Miami by 14 over Buffalo
Baltimore by 17 over Houston
Over the total: Arizona/San Fran
GS COLLEGE
Fresno St. by 32 over Louisiana Tech
Georgia by 9 over LSU
Power Play
College
1*Louisville
2*Southern Cal
4*San Diego St
4*Tulsa
4*Army
NFL
1*Jaguars
3*Ravens
3*Bucs
4*Panthers
The Harmon Forecast
Game of the Week
*Southern California 34, UCLA 31
In what should be a wild game, we take USC to win by 3. In the past six years, UCLA is 0-6 against the Trojans, including a 29-24 loss last season.
Thursday, Dec. 1
MAC Championship
Northern Illinois 27 Akron 23
Friday, Dec. 2
*Fresno State 41 Louisiana Tech 24
Saturday, Dec. 3
ACC Championship
Virginia Tech 26 Florida State 17
Big 12 Championship
Texas 31 Colorado 17
C-USA Championship
Tulsa 28 Central Florida 21
SEC Championship
LSU 24 Georgia 20
Other Games
Louisville 35 Connecticut 23
*Navy 26 Army 21
San Diego State 28 Hawaii 24
*Southern California 34 UCLA 31
* - Denotes home team
Below are the projections for the NCAA IA football games through
the games of 12-3-2005. Games against non-IA teams are excluded.
The favorite is listed first with the projected margin of victory
(i.e., the line) in parenthesis. 'TP' represents the total number of
points expected to be scored in the game and 'Odds' represents the odds
of the favorite winning straight-up (not against-the-spread). Due to
time constraints, I will not be tracking perfomance of the computer
against actual odds this season.
Thursday, December 1, 2005
MAC Championship: Northern Illinois (-10) vs. Akron (TP=50 Odds=.638) @ Detroit, MI
Middle Tennessee State (-2.5) @ Florida International (TP=43 Odds=.538)
Friday, December 2, 2005
Fresno State (-22.5) vs. Louisiana Tech (TP=56 Odds=.770)
Saturday, December 3, 2005
Big 12 Championship: Texas (-31.5) vs. Colorado (TP=56 Odds=.863) @ Houston, TX
Southern California (-35.5) vs. UCLA (TP=70 Odds=.831)
ACC Championship: Virginia Tech (-21) vs. Florida State (TP=47 Odds=.797) @ Jacksonville, FL
SEC Championship: Louisiana State (-3) vs. Georgia (TP=44 Odds=.551) @ Atlanta, GA
West Virginia (-6) @ South Florida (TP=47 Odds=.593)
Louisville (-13) @ Connecticut (TP=56 Odds=.663)
CUSA Championship: Central Florida (-4.5) vs. Tulsa (TP=54 Odds=.562)
San Diego State (-5.5) @ Hawaii (TP=58 Odds=.565)
Navy (-3.5) vs. Army (TP=50 Odds=.551) @ Philadelphia, PA
Sunshine Forecast
NFL Computer Predictions
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Sunday, December 4, 2005
Buffalo Bills (+3) at Miami Dolphins
Power Rating Projection:
Miami Dolphins 23 Buffalo Bills 19
Statistical Projections
Buffalo Bills 16
Rushing Yards: 115
Passing Yards: 163
Turnovers: 1 Miami Dolphins 19
Rushing Yards: 135
Passing Yards: 202
Turnovers: 3
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Miami Dolphins 22 Buffalo Bills 18
Cincinnati Bengals (+4) at Pittsburgh Steelers
Power Rating Projection:
Pittsburgh Steelers 24 Cincinnati Bengals 22
Statistical Projections
Cincinnati Bengals 23
Rushing Yards: 106
Passing Yards: 246
Turnovers: 2 Pittsburgh Steelers 22
Rushing Yards: 148
Passing Yards: 187
Turnovers: 3
** Statistical edge to Cincinnati Bengals
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Pittsburgh Steelers 34 Cincinnati Bengals 20
Pittsburgh Steelers (1 star)
Angle: Scored 30+ Points in Consecutive Games
Go against Cincinnati Bengals ( Played previous two games at home, 17-30-1, 36.2% )
Houston Texans (+7) at Baltimore Ravens
Power Rating Projection:
Baltimore Ravens 22 Houston Texans 14
Statistical Projections
Houston Texans 16
Rushing Yards: 96
Passing Yards: 155
Turnovers: 1 Baltimore Ravens 23
Rushing Yards: 124
Passing Yards: 244
Turnovers: 1
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Baltimore Ravens 16 Houston Texans 7
Tennessee Titans (+14) at Indianapolis Colts
Power Rating Projection:
Indianapolis Colts 30 Tennessee Titans 15
Statistical Projections
Tennessee Titans 19
Rushing Yards: 107
Passing Yards: 243
Turnovers: 2 Indianapolis Colts 32
Rushing Yards: 114
Passing Yards: 287
Turnovers: 1
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Indianapolis Colts 35 Tennessee Titans 20
Angle: Favored by More Than 13 Points at Home
Go against Indianapolis Colts ( No additional conditions, 27-38-3, 41.5% )
Jacksonville Jaguars(-3) at Cleveland Browns
Power Rating Projection:
Jacksonville Jaguars 19 Cleveland Browns 16
Statistical Projections
Jacksonville Jaguars 20
Rushing Yards: 123
Passing Yards: 185
Turnovers: 1 Cleveland Browns 14
Rushing Yards: 107
Passing Yards: 185
Turnovers: 3
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Cleveland Browns 16 Jacksonville Jaguars 6
Cleveland Browns (1 star)
Angle: Third Straight Road Game
Go against Jacksonville Jaguars ( Won 1st and/or 2nd road game, 10-22, 31.3% )
Dallas Cowboys (+3) at New York Giants
Power Rating Projection:
New York Giants 25 Dallas Cowboys 21
Statistical Projections
Dallas Cowboys 20
Rushing Yards: 105
Passing Yards: 228
Turnovers: 2 New York Giants 23
Rushing Yards: 124
Passing Yards: 223
Turnovers: 2
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
New York Giants 30 Dallas Cowboys 26
Green Bay Packers (+7) at Chicago Bears
Power Rating Projection:
Chicago Bears 20 Green Bay Packers 17
Statistical Projections
Green Bay Packers 16
Rushing Yards: 64
Passing Yards: 260
Turnovers: 2 Chicago Bears 17
Rushing Yards: 126
Passing Yards: 142
Turnovers: 2
** Statistical edge to Green Bay Packers
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Chicago Bears 13 Green Bay Packers 10
Minnesota Vikings (-3) at Detroit Lions
Power Rating Projection:
Detroit Lions 23 Minnesota Vikings 19
Statistical Projections
Minnesota Vikings 19
Rushing Yards: 95
Passing Yards: 226
Turnovers: 2 Detroit Lions 19
Rushing Yards: 99
Passing Yards: 209
Turnovers: 2
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Detroit Lions 24 Minnesota Vikings 19
Angle: Home Again after Home ATS Loss
Go with Detroit Lions ( At least 10 days since previous game, Opponent played at home in previous game, 21-13, 61.8% )
Historical trend: Take Detroit Lions ( Domination by underdog, 12-4-1, 75.0% )
Atlanta Falcons (+3) at Carolina Panthers
Power Rating Projection:
Carolina Panthers 22 Atlanta Falcons 19
Statistical Projections
Atlanta Falcons 21
Rushing Yards: 156
Passing Yards: 161
Turnovers: 3 Carolina Panthers 23
Rushing Yards: 108
Passing Yards: 230
Turnovers: 2
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Carolina Panthers 20 Atlanta Falcons 17
Tampa Bay Buccaneers(-3½) at New Orleans Saints
Power Rating Projection:
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 21 New Orleans Saints 19
Statistical Projections
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 22
Rushing Yards: 114
Passing Yards: 210
Turnovers: 2 New Orleans Saints 19
Rushing Yards: 110
Passing Yards: 214
Turnovers: 2
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 17 New Orleans Saints 15
Historical trend: Take New Orleans Saints ( Domination by underdog, 7-2, 77.8% )
Arizona Cardinals (-3) at San Francisco 49ers
Power Rating Projection:
San Francisco 49ers 26 Arizona Cardinals 24
Statistical Projections
Arizona Cardinals 24
Rushing Yards: 73
Passing Yards: 319
Turnovers: 2 San Francisco 49ers 17
Rushing Yards: 102
Passing Yards: 154
Turnovers: 2
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
San Francisco 49ers 34 Arizona Cardinals 31
Washington Redskins (-3) at St Louis Rams
Power Rating Projection:
St Louis Rams 24 Washington Redskins 23
Statistical Projections
Washington Redskins 25
Rushing Yards: 138
Passing Yards: 242
Turnovers: 2 St Louis Rams 21
Rushing Yards: 84
Passing Yards: 276
Turnovers: 2
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Washington Redskins 35 St Louis Rams 23
Washington Redskins (1 star)
New York Jets (+7½) at New England Patriots
Power Rating Projection:
New England Patriots 23 New York Jets 14
Statistical Projections
New York Jets 18
Rushing Yards: 84
Passing Yards: 235
Turnovers: 2 New England Patriots 25
Rushing Yards: 87
Passing Yards: 280
Turnovers: 2
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
New England Patriots 21 New York Jets 6
New England Patriots (1 star)
Historical trend: Take New York Jets ( Domination by visiting team, 12-3-1, 80.0% )
Historical trend: Take New York Jets ( Domination on the road by New York Jets, 6-1-1, 85.7% )
Denver Broncos (Pk) at Kansas City Chiefs
Power Rating Projection:
Kansas City Chiefs 23 Denver Broncos 22
Statistical Projections
Denver Broncos 27
Rushing Yards: 171
Passing Yards: 218
Turnovers: 2 Kansas City Chiefs 23
Rushing Yards: 127
Passing Yards: 245
Turnovers: 2
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Denver Broncos 27 Kansas City Chiefs 26
Oakland Raiders (+10) at San Diego Chargers
Power Rating Projection:
San Diego Chargers 31 Oakland Raiders 20
Statistical Projections
Oakland Raiders 20
Rushing Yards: 75
Passing Yards: 259
Turnovers: 1 San Diego Chargers 31
Rushing Yards: 135
Passing Yards: 264
Turnovers: 1
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
San Diego Chargers 39 Oakland Raiders 27
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Monday, December 5, 2005
Seattle Seahawks (-3) at Philadelphia Eagles
Power Rating Projection:
Philadelphia Eagles 23 Seattle Seahawks 20
Statistical Projections
Seattle Seahawks 24
Rushing Yards: 133
Passing Yards: 249
Turnovers: 1 Philadelphia Eagles 20
Rushing Yards: 88
Passing Yards: 267
Turnovers: 1
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Philadelphia Eagles 25 Seattle Seahawks 22
CFB Computer Predictions
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Thursday, December 1, 2005
Akron(+13) vs. Northern Illinois
Power Rating Projection:
Northern Illinois 31 Akron 19
Statistical Projections
Akron 18
Rushing Yards: 109
Passing Yards: 198
Turnovers: 2 Northern Illinois 25
Rushing Yards: 154
Passing Yards: 201
Turnovers: 1
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Northern Illinois 28 Akron 17
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Friday, December 2, 2005
Louisiana Tech(+22) at Fresno State
Power Rating Projection:
Fresno State 42 Louisiana Tech 14
Statistical Projections
Louisiana Tech 20
Rushing Yards: 150
Passing Yards: 163
Turnovers: 2 Fresno State 32
Rushing Yards: 157
Passing Yards: 233
Turnovers: 2
** Statistical edge to Louisiana Tech
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Fresno State 44 Louisiana Tech 16
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Saturday, December 3, 2005
Louisville(-19½) at Connecticut
Power Rating Projection:
Louisville 33 Connecticut 22
Statistical Projections
Louisville 33
Rushing Yards: 177
Passing Yards: 268
Turnovers: 2 Connecticut 18
Rushing Yards: 128
Passing Yards: 130
Turnovers: 2
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Louisville 35 Connecticut 24
Army(+7) vs. Navy
Power Rating Projection:
Navy 26 Army 25
Statistical Projections
Army 22
Rushing Yards: 180
Passing Yards: 154
Turnovers: 1 Navy 29
Rushing Yards: 276
Passing Yards: 111
Turnovers: 2
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Navy 25 Army 24
Angle: After Bye Week
Go against Navy ( Playing at Neutral Site, Favored by 1-to-7 Points, 4-7, 36.4% )
U.C.L.A.(+22) at Southern Cal
Power Rating Projection:
Southern Cal 53 U.C.L.A. 24
Statistical Projections
U.C.L.A. 27
Rushing Yards: 117
Passing Yards: 254
Turnovers: 2 Southern Cal 53
Rushing Yards: 305
Passing Yards: 320
Turnovers: 1
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Southern Cal 56 U.C.L.A. 27
Historical trend: Take Southern Cal ( Domination at home by Southern Cal, 4-0, 100.0% )
San Diego State(+2½) at Hawaii
Power Rating Projection:
Hawaii 31 San Diego State 29
Statistical Projections
San Diego State 31
Rushing Yards: 177
Passing Yards: 242
Turnovers: 2 Hawaii 26
Rushing Yards: 76
Passing Yards: 362
Turnovers: 2
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Hawaii 35 San Diego State 34
Colorado(+27½) vs. Texas
Power Rating Projection:
Texas 41 Colorado 15
Statistical Projections
Colorado 13
Rushing Yards: 78
Passing Yards: 133
Turnovers: 1 Texas 36
Rushing Yards: 222
Passing Yards: 235
Turnovers: 1
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Texas 44 Colorado 17
Louisiana State(-2) vs. Georgia
Power Rating Projection:
Georgia 22 Louisiana State 21
Statistical Projections
Louisiana State 22
Rushing Yards: 136
Passing Yards: 207
Turnovers: 3 Georgia 16
Rushing Yards: 131
Passing Yards: 148
Turnovers: 1
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Georgia 17 Louisiana State 16
Tulsa(+2) at U-C-F
Power Rating Projection:
Tulsa 30 U-C-F 27
Statistical Projections
Tulsa 32
Rushing Yards: 170
Passing Yards: 270
Turnovers: 2 U-C-F 26
Rushing Yards: 156
Passing Yards: 231
Turnovers: 2
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Tulsa 33 U-C-F 29
Florida State(+14) vs. Virginia Tech
Power Rating Projection:
Virginia Tech 33 Florida State 15
Statistical Projections
Florida State 14
Rushing Yards: 77
Passing Yards: 188
Turnovers: 2 Virginia Tech 30
Rushing Yards: 177
Passing Yards: 160
Turnovers: 1
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Virginia Tech 30 Florida State 11
Middle Tennessee(- at Florida Intl
Power Rating Projection:
Middle Tennessee 25 Florida Intl 19
Statistical Projections
Middle Tennessee 22
Rushing Yards: 113
Passing Yards: 217
Turnovers: 1 Florida Intl 16
Rushing Yards: 93
Passing Yards: 193
Turnovers: 3
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Middle Tennessee 20 Florida Intl 14
West Virginia(- at South Florida
Power Rating Projection:
West Virginia 24 South Florida 19
Statistical Projections
West Virginia 25
Rushing Yards: 239
Passing Yards: 109
Turnovers: 2 South Florida 21
Rushing Yards: 139
Passing Yards: 163
Turnovers: 2
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
West Virginia 18 South Florida 13
Official NFL Picks
December 4, 2005
Pittsburgh Steelers (-4) 34 vs. Cincinnati Bengals 20
Cleveland Browns (+3) 16 vs. Jacksonville Jaguars 6
Washington Redskins (-3) 35 at St Louis Rams 23
New England Patriots (-7½) 21 vs. New York Jets 6
Pinnacle pulse- 12/1
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The inside line from PinnacleSports by Simon Noble
It’s easy to be a Monday morning quarterback, talking about plays you should or shouldn’t have made over the weekend, but it’s a far more daunting task to look ahead to Saturday or Sunday, make selections and consistently pick winners. PinnacleSports sharp players do just that.
One of my aims when writing this column has been to help readers find a smarter way to bet at Pinnacle Sports by providing an unprecedented insight into the point spread movement on certain key games each week. The idea is to let readers know well before kick off if it’s the public or pros that are causing the line movement, how big the moves are, and if we expect any further movement before game day.
One of our readers emailed me this week asking how the wise guys were doing on the featured games. Out of interest, I went back through the first twelve editions of The Pinnacle Pulse to see just how “sharpâ€Â
This Hokie pick is no joke
By Double D/ The College Picks
Friday, December 2, 2005 - Updated: 08:12 AM EST
There is nothing unusual about Florida State playing a late-season game to earn a spot in a BCS bowl game. Under Bobby Bowden, the Seminoles have a rich history of high national rankings and major bowl appearances and victories.
But not this season.
The rebuilding ’Noles will enter tomorrow’s Atlantic Coast Conference championship game a two-touchdown underdog to Virginia Tech.
And though it’s rare for FSU to get points â€â€
Mejia's Selections
By Tony Mejia
Weekly predictions of the nation's Division I college football action.
Last week: 33-12 |Season to date: 473-171 (73.4%)
2004 season record: 469-156 (75.0 %)
Projected Scores
Week 14
Northern Illinois 27 Akron 17
Fresno State 41 Louisiana Tech 24
Central Florida 27 Tulsa 24
Texas 41 Colorado 20
Navy 23 Army 20
Southern California 48 UCLA 24
LSU 26 Georgia 13
Virginia Tech 27 Florida State 10
Hawaii 36 San Diego State 24
West Virginia 17 South Florida 13
Louisville 31 Connecticut 24
Looks like there aren't any outright dogs this week.
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