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22 replies:
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TORONTO +5 (PUNCHOUT PLAY) (NBA Game of the Week)
BOSTON -5.5
NEW ORLEANS +5
PORTLAND +3.5
MILWAUKEE +6
Yesterday: 2-3
Wins:
DETROIT -9
SACRAMENTO -7.5
Losses:
TORONTO +10
MINNESOTA -3.5
MILWAUKEE +5
Season Record: 22-21
5-2 (PUNCHOUT PLAYS)
1-1 (GOW)
posted by jdelt88
Nov. 16, 2005 3:25am -
you guys want to know what a MOMO is???
i say to play 4 plays...
JT's UNC G, Philly, Sac, Wisc GB. i would have went 3-1. instead, like a MOMO, i skip and do a play here and there that didnt even make sense.
for example, play the Over 2H of the MIL/CLIP game when i said the Over for the game was a sucker bet and the numbers were the damn same.
thankfully, i yanked a play from JT and Pako while las vegas was yanking my money and dick.
TQ, watch out my man, im riding until you fall!
ah, JDELT, you sure you want to touch Tor at all this yr? they are our "reversed" cash cow fade this yr...
GL The Nooch!
posted by thenooch
Nov. 16, 2005 3:47am -
NO problemo Nooch - not planning on being a bucking bronco just yet... I had a miserable Aug&Sep and my book owes me plenty yet... revenge is sweet my friend - so so sweet...
3-1 last night, losing on a smaller play so I aint too upset. Gotta say though, only reason I'm probably winning is that I play favorites 90% of the time, and right now the favs seem to be cashing - like last night think was 9-2...
I also played a parlay like I said yesterday of PHI 76ers -6, NJ Nets -5, DET Pistons -5.0, MIA Heat -5.0, SAC Kings -6.0 as u can see all reduced caps but it paid 6.0 which was a nice little cherry on top - ah what the hell it was Big MOFO Cherry on top, damn near squished the cake!
Enjoy it while it lasts... all good things must come to an end, but I for one will resist that as much as I can.
Looking at today, you gotta like toronto in the Home&Home as that one always seems to cash, but hard to pull trigger on it all the same with toronto struggling. Of the others, I think would have to be a doggie tonight, or a totals play. All the lines seem wrong to me, all about 2pts too high in favour of the favs, seems like vegas wants its cash back - Playas Beware!
TQ
November:
NBA: 14-4
NFL: 9-3
NCAAF: 2-1
posted by tq
Nov. 16, 2005 6:34am -
Tonight's big CFB match-up is a huge MAC-West conference showdown with the two top teams in the division doing battle in Toledo.
The current line is at -8 (opened at 7) and is sure to go up with the likelyhood that the public will be hammering the home team tonight. Well I'll tell you what ladies and gentleman- the public.is.correct on this play, and in my estimation by a good 6 or 7 points. Here's why-
Saragin Rating = Toledo -6.5 -- this is for the entire season's performance including N. Illinois games vs. Michigan & Northwestern in September to help their SOS give them some extra points.
- Using Saragin as a decent line-setter this seems to favor the NI Huskies- but uh oh.... uh oh... just wait
NI Injuries-
Starting Jr. QB Phil Horvath - done for the season, injured in last week's game
New Starter- FRESHMAN QB Dan Nicholson 1 Point Towards - Toldeo
Leading Huskie RB Garrette Wolfe (who was ave 6.7 ypc) is day-to-day with a banged up knee- there is a chance of playing, but won't be more than 75%. Combine this loss with their 3rd stringer also being doubtful, and NI is left with Adrian Davis alone in the backfield to carry the load versus a stout Toledo Rushing Defense at 3.4 ypr - 1 Point Towards - Toldeo
Rockets Senior QB Bruce Gradkowski's last home game tonight, senior night before he heads for a likely pro-career 1 Point Towards - Toldeo
Rockets' rushing attack is averaging 1/2 yard more per rush on the season than No. Illinois and is running away at 1st in the MAC division by nearly 50 yards per game (223; Ohio 2nd at 175). With the current aresenal of Dawson (5.7) and Broussard (8.1) vs. the weakened NI rushers should make this stat even more lobsided tonight... 1 Point Towards - Toldeo
Weather- Around or Below Freezing with likely rain/snow at game time. This should set both teams' game plans at 60+% running plays. If Toledo can get to Nicholson in his first college start and upset any rythm that he has from a solid performance vs. Central Michigan last week, it should spell disaster and turnovers for the Huskies. Combining the superior rushing attack, veteran QB vs. Freshman QB, and better Rocket rushing defense - Mother nature gives another advantage to Toledo - 1 Point Towards - Toldeo
Match-Up History - This one is a laugher - Toledo has won the last TEN, yes TEN matchups with No. Illinois and in very convincing fashion with an ave. win margin of 17 since 2000, and three of those games were in Illinois. I'm not really a fan of trends, but Toledo OWNS the Huskies - 1 Point Towards - Toldeo
Post Season Aspirations- At 5-4 No. Illinois is still alive for the bowl picture, needing only one more win to become bowl-eligible and will be hungry for a win. Keep in mind that the MAC is still only a mid-major conference and certainly gets overlooked by bowl selection committees unless the conference leaders stand out. With an 8th victory Toledo will garuntee itself a semi-respectable bowl bid, and they will be equally hungry tonight especially seeing as next week's opponent Bowling Green on the road is no walk in the park. - Scratch
Home Field Advantage - Toledo has been absolutely sick at home with an ave. point differential of 32.75 this season. After splitting two road games in a row the Rockets will be ready for some home cookin. The huskies are only at a +2.2 on the road over 5 games in '05. Add in the fact that this is a nationally televisded game on ESPN2 (one of only 3 or 4 all season) which only adds to the home crowd's craziness. 1 Point Towards - Toldeo
So let's add everything up. Saragin we'll even say is only 6 points. That's Toledo by 6, plus Huskie QB injury 1 point, plus Senior night for Rocket QB 1 point, plus Huskie RB injuries 1 point, plus Rocket RB tandom and higher ypr 1 point, plus weather/better rocket rushing defense 1 point = Toledo by 11 points. And IMO that is being safe- a Fresh QB coming into Sr. night of a conference rival in bad passing conditions should be 3 points.
Weather favors low scoring as well and the O/U line should go down below 50 by game time (already dropped from 56-51), but I have a feeling the Rockets are going to run it up as much as possible in this one with ease :
Final Score: Toledo 38 - No. Ill. 10
*This line is going to climb considerably before game time- but it doesn't matter. Cover city. Enjoy counting your money at 11:30.
posted by tigertimsju
Nov. 16, 2005 11:34am -
JDELT U GOTTA BE KIDDIN W/ YOUR TORONTO RAPTOR PLAY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
HOW THE FUCK CAN U LAY YOUR $$$$ ON SUCH A PATHETIC TEAM??
AND YOU'RE CALLIN IT YOUR GAME OF THE WEEK??????????U GOTTA BE KIDDIN ME.RAPTORS WILL BE LUCKY TO WIN 10 GAMES THIS YEAR.PERHAPS YOU SHOULD MAKE IT YOUR GAME OF THE WEEK WHEN THEY PLAY ATLANTA AT HOME INSTEAD OF IVERSON!
posted by studlybookiecrusher
Nov. 16, 2005 12:08pm -
fellas i fucking love this gambling shit right now. last night hit for 10 units on unc greensboro. Easy $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ THen for shits and giggles, I played this. I'm gonna post it for you guys cause i couldn't believe it. These plays were little throw around plays for action and nothing more and this is what happened. lol
Ticket # 29296987
Accepted: 11/15/2005 5:04:21 PM
Wager Type: Parlay
Risk: 50
Win: 1889.4
Description: Football - 301 Bowling Green +330 for Game Basketball - 528 Wyoming +125 for Game Basketball - 534 North Carolina Greensboro +110 for Game Basketball - 538 Washington -15½ -110 for Game
Ticket # 29314641
Accepted: 11/15/2005 11:08:56 PM
Wager Type: Spread
Risk: 935
Win: 850
Description: Basketball - 537 Air Force +16 -110 for Game
Opponents: Air Force vs. Washington
I covered with airforce here because first three won so i won 800 bucks on a fluke because the odds werent with me that first three dogs would all win.
Ticket # 29316622
Accepted: 11/16/2005 12:18:31 AM
Wager Type: Spread
Risk: 165
Win: 150
Description: Basketball - 538 Washington -10½ -110 for 2nd Half
Opponents: Air Force vs. Washington
I said fuck it at half time since they were down six. So here's a little xtra bonus for me I guess.
Ticket # 29295818
Accepted: 11/15/2005 3:28:46 PM
Wager Type: Teaser
Risk: 200
Win: 400
Description: Basketball - 528 Wyoming +7½ for Game Basketball - 534 North Carolina Greensboro +6½ for Game Basketball - 538 Washington -10½ for Game Basketball - 539 Cal State Sacramento +6½ for Game
Are u kidding me with this one. Played it for fun and wash which was the last game wins by 11 so i hit this one as well.
All in all fellas I wound up winning 25 units on the night. Just incredible.
I'll be back later with my play. Gl
posted by jtmoney16
Nov. 16, 2005 12:13pm -
I have to post this now as I too believe the line will go up.
Toledo -8 for 4 units for me.
Qb is out, best rb quest. (so not 100%) and only one other rb. This is not good for n. ill.
Here's some more info.
First place is on the line in the MAC West, as the Toledo Rockets host
the Northern Illinois Huskies. The Rockets have dominated the series
and lead 26-6 and have won 11 in a row, including last years 31-17
contest. The Huskies are 5-4 overall and 4-2 in the MAC. They have been off
for 11 days, after winning at Central Michigan, 31-28. They have won
four of their last five games. The Rockets are 7-2 and 5-1 in the league.
They haven't played in 12 days, since their 30-21 victory at Ohio. The
Rockets have won four of their last five contests.
The Rockets are an 8 point favorite. They are 9-1-1 ATS in this series,
over the past 11 meetings. This season, the Huskies are 4-3 ATS. They
are 3-1 ATS on the road and 2-0 ATS as an underdog. The Rockets are 3-5
ATS and have failed to cover over their last four games. They are 3-4
ATS as a favorite. The Rockets are 2-1 ATS at home. The total on the
game is 54 points. The Huskies have played under in four of their past
five games. The Rockets have been under in six of their eight lined games this season.
Public on Toledo right now but I believe the public has to be right sometimes. Tiger Tim, I agree with you bro 100%. THis should lead us to the $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ tonight. gl guys
Gonna go look at college here in a bit and see if something stands out. Gl
posted by jtmoney16
Nov. 16, 2005 12:21pm -
NBA Season Record 0-0
Philly/Toronto U205
posted by the_rookie10
Nov. 16, 2005 1:11pm -
"TigerTimSJU":2tkyslle
Tonight's big CFB match-up is a huge MAC-West conference showdown with the two top teams in the division doing battle in Toledo.
The current line is at -8 (opened at 7) and is sure to go up with the likelyhood that the public will be hammering the home team tonight. Well I'll tell you what ladies and gentleman- the public.is.correct on this play, and in my estimation by a good 6 or 7 points. Here's why-
Saragin Rating = Toledo -6.5 -- this is for the entire season's performance including N. Illinois games vs. Michigan & Northwestern in September to help their SOS give them some extra points.
- Using Saragin as a decent line-setter this seems to favor the NI Huskies- but uh oh.... uh oh... just wait
NI Injuries-
Starting Jr. QB Phil Horvath - done for the season, injured in last week's game
New Starter- FRESHMAN QB Dan Nicholson 1 Point Towards - Toldeo
Leading Huskie RB Garrette Wolfe (who was ave 6.7 ypc) is day-to-day with a banged up knee- there is a chance of playing, but won't be more than 75%. Combine this loss with their 3rd stringer also being doubtful, and NI is left with Adrian Davis alone in the backfield to carry the load versus a stout Toledo Rushing Defense at 3.4 ypr - 1 Point Towards - Toldeo
Rockets Senior QB Bruce Gradkowski's last home game tonight, senior night before he heads for a likely pro-career 1 Point Towards - Toldeo
Rockets' rushing attack is averaging 1/2 yard more per rush on the season than No. Illinois and is running away at 1st in the MAC division by nearly 50 yards per game (223; Ohio 2nd at 175). With the current aresenal of Dawson (5.7) and Broussard (8.1) vs. the weakened NI rushers should make this stat even more lobsided tonight... 1 Point Towards - Toldeo
Weather- Around or Below Freezing with likely rain/snow at game time. This should set both teams' game plans at 60+% running plays. If Toledo can get to Nicholson in his first college start and upset any rythm that he has from a solid performance vs. Central Michigan last week, it should spell disaster and turnovers for the Huskies. Combining the superior rushing attack, veteran QB vs. Freshman QB, and better Rocket rushing defense - Mother nature gives another advantage to Toledo - 1 Point Towards - Toldeo
Match-Up History - This one is a laugher - Toledo has won the last TEN, yes TEN matchups with No. Illinois and in very convincing fashion with an ave. win margin of 17 since 2000, and three of those games were in Illinois. I'm not really a fan of trends, but Toledo OWNS the Huskies - 1 Point Towards - Toldeo
Post Season Aspirations- At 5-4 No. Illinois is still alive for the bowl picture, needing only one more win to become bowl-eligible and will be hungry for a win. Keep in mind that the MAC is still only a mid-major conference and certainly gets overlooked by bowl selection committees unless the conference leaders stand out. With an 8th victory Toledo will garuntee itself a semi-respectable bowl bid, and they will be equally hungry tonight especially seeing as next week's opponent Bowling Green on the road is no walk in the park. - Scratch
Home Field Advantage - Toledo has been absolutely sick at home with an ave. point differential of 32.75 this season. After splitting two road games in a row the Rockets will be ready for some home cookin. The huskies are only at a +2.2 on the road over 5 games in '05. Add in the fact that this is a nationally televisded game on ESPN2 (one of only 3 or 4 all season) which only adds to the home crowd's craziness. 1 Point Towards - Toldeo
So let's add everything up. Saragin we'll even say is only 6 points. That's Toledo by 6, plus Huskie QB injury 1 point, plus Senior night for Rocket QB 1 point, plus Huskie RB injuries 1 point, plus Rocket RB tandom and higher ypr 1 point, plus weather/better rocket rushing defense 1 point = Toledo by 11 points. And IMO that is being safe- a Fresh QB coming into Sr. night of a conference rival in bad passing conditions should be 3 points.
Weather favors low scoring as well and the O/U line should go down below 50 by game time (already dropped from 56-51), but I have a feeling the Rockets are going to run it up as much as possible in this one with ease :
Final Score: Toledo 38 - No. Ill. 10
*This line is going to climb considerably before game time- but it doesn't matter. Cover city. Enjoy counting your money at 11:30.
That's one hell of a write-up. You've sold me brother.
posted by bignuts24
Nov. 16, 2005 1:24pm -
NCAA PLAY OF THE DAY----------TOLEDO-7.5--------------------
TOLEDO=6-0 ATS VS. NORTHERN ILLINOIS
NHL PLAY OF THE DAY----------DALLAS STARS-------------------
STARS ARE 6-2 ON ROAD INCLUDING 3-1 WIN IN ANAHEIM SUNDAY, AND DUCKS ARE 1-4 SKID.PLAY ON DALLAS!!!!!
posted by studlybookiecrusher
Nov. 16, 2005 3:04pm -
phball101 thanks for the service plays. I appreciate you taking the time to post them.
As for tonight, I'm still trying to decide. I got burned last night with Miami. The way you guys are talking today sounds a lot like last night. Not sure which way to go. The injuries did not seem to matter last night!
posted by brian4state
Nov. 16, 2005 3:18pm -
studlybookiecrusher, where did you get 7 1/2 bro. I just check my line and its at 9 1/2 now.
Thanks
posted by jtmoney16
Nov. 16, 2005 3:54pm -
Thanks for posting the great writeups on the N. ILL - Toledo game.
The line has moved to 10 at both of my books (pinnaclesports and gotocasino) so this is a no-play for the goat- Gun to head, I'd buy it down to 8 1/2 -126 at pinnaclesports
Shit, public ALL over this one, be careful bros. There are more games Saturday
posted by goat-
Nov. 16, 2005 4:33pm -
maybe....
Boston -6
NO+4
GS-6
just, maybe though...
GL The Nooch
btw, the line behavior says that TOR is actually a good play today but my financial advisor told me to go find a bridge with the shit...
posted by thenooch
Nov. 16, 2005 5:09pm -
hey fellas...gonna start posting my plays again....so here we go with tonights play...
Portland Trailblazers +3.5
Good Luck!
posted by jivany
Nov. 16, 2005 5:48pm -
NBA Play:
BOSTON -6 *
The only play I like tonight is Boston -6, all others look to be too far off what I have them pegged at personally. I also like the over in this game, think both could easily cash in.... but ultimately I'm going with Boston -6 and not the over, as both played last night, definately gotta be road weary and thats the key, Seattle are about to end their longest road trip of their entire season, and they will be glad to see the back of it.... speaking of seeing the back of... Weiss is likely to get his marching orders when they get back if whispers are true. Seems to be trouble in the camp.
GL, TQ
posted by tq
Nov. 16, 2005 6:01pm -
2-0 ats last night (over 54 bg/ New Mex State +18) Starting out CBB like I finished out last year picking winners (2-0 ats this year) Can only hope CBB follows the winning ways of CFB this year! On that note starting to see some value in NORTH ILL tonight as the line has soared to 10.5!! Taking the dog tonight N. ILL +10.5!!
posted by joeweaver
Nov. 16, 2005 6:50pm -
Wednesday's plays.....
3 units
Toledo -10
Over 51.5
GL tonight boys
books are going to make a killing tonight if toledo doesn't cover!!
posted by phball101
Nov. 16, 2005 6:52pm -
3 units on Duke/Seton Hall Over 130
this is like stealing the man's money
posted by phball101
Nov. 16, 2005 6:55pm -
NHL Total of the Day
16-8 YTD
Play on Under 6.5 -115 in AVS/Coyotes
Sorry for the loss last night, i like to at least be close on a game, but last night we were never in it. Belfour played maybe his best game of the year, Rangers couldn't get anything passed him. Lots of shots, little goals.
posted by onechime
Nov. 16, 2005 7:10pm -
"phball101":q0drxbbn
3 units on Duke/Seton Hall Over 130
this is like stealing the man's money
holy shit....the hall shooting 4% in the 1st half
maybe the man is going to steal my $$$
dammit
posted by phball101
Nov. 16, 2005 8:05pm -
like i said easy money here guys
even with the hall stinkin' it up in the 1st half
posted by phball101
Nov. 16, 2005 9:28pm
