23 replies:

1. Hurley NFL

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   PREFERED PICK

   TAMPA BAY at ATLANTA: Bad ‘capping spot for the visiting T-Bay Bucs who bring oft-rattled QB Simms into noisy Georgia Dome where madcap Falcons defense will be coming from all angles and so we’ll call it seven- or eight-sack game here. Throw in fact that Atlanta’s lefty slinger – the ever-improving Mr. Vick – will be stat-sheet stuffer in run/pass categories by the time this one ends and it’s pro-Falcs play here minus the price. Note the Bucs are a lousy 4-9 spreadwise in NFC South games the past two-plus years while losing last season’s trip into Hot-lanta by a 24-14 score. Okay, so we’ll add a field goal to Falcons total here and call it Atlanta 27, Tampa Bay 14

   * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * *

   OAKLAND at WASHINGTON: Call this one an anti-Raiders selection as silver-and-black coming off back-to-back divisional duels (at Kansas City/home to Denver) and gotta believe concentration level will waver for this team that usually has enough problems staying on the straight-and-narrow. The ‘Skins can pick on an injury-riddled Oakland secondary and so you fantasy leaguers may want to “activateâ€Â

   

   posted by phantom

   Nov. 15, 2005 1:26pm
2. It’s "Rivalry Weekend" in College Football and so that means getting up-close and personal with the various trends concerning these key games:

   Alabama at Auburn – The Crimson Tide’s covered the last five games played at Auburn in this Iron Bowl matchup. Note that in the last eight seasons in all, ‘Bama sports a solid 6-2 spread mark.

   Utah at BYU – Underdogs have notched spread wins in eight of the last 10 tilts in this Beehive State showdown. Meanwhile, the Utes have covered four of their last five games in Provo.

   California at Stanford – Road teams sport a 7-3 spread mark the last 10 years in this Bay Area rivalry.

   Duke at North Carolina – The Dookies have dropped seven of their last eight spread verdicts when playing their next-door neighbors from Chapel Hill.

   Northwestern at Illinois – Home teams are a sour 3-7 spreadwise the past 10 years in this Big 10 rivalry that’s shifted away from the Illini. Note that Northwestern has covered four of the last five games in this series.

   Purdue at Indiana – Home teams have rolled up a seven-year winning streak in this Old Oaken Bucket rivalry game.

   Ohio State at Michigan – The Buckeyes have cashed five times in the last seven meetings against the maize-and-blue and the Wolverines have failed to cover as the chalk side in three of the last four such meetings.

   Oregon State at Oregon – The O-State Beavers have covered four of the last five meetings in the Civil War. Note the last time the Ducks won/covered as home favorites was back in 1999.

   Virginia Tech at Virginia – The home teams own a 7-3 spread advantage the past 10 years in this still-underrated rivalry game.

   Washington State at Washington – The UW Huskies own a five-game spread winning streak in this Apple Cup series.

   

   posted by phantom

   Nov. 15, 2005 1:26pm
3. Newsletters for the week of Nov 15th

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   marc lawrence;

   GAME OF THE WEEK UPSET UPSET

   MICHIGAN STATE over Penn State by 3

   All Penn State has to do is win this game and the Nittany

   Lions will win the Big Ten title and the league’s BCS spot.

   Easier said than done. Michigan State has made a habit of

   winning its last home game of the season. In the last 20

   years, the Spartans have won their home finale 17 times

   posting 18 covers along the way, including a remarkable

   13 covers in a row. We must remember that, in its last dozen

   road games against .500 or better opposition, Penn State

   has ONE win and that one, at Northwestern, required an

   85-yard drive in the last 1:41 to get it. Sure, the Lions are

   only ONE SECOND away from being unbeaten. They'd

   better be ready to play 3600 of them here.

   team has NOTHING going for it. The reward for being the nation’s

   most disappointing team? Syracuse gets to travel to the home

   of the hottest offense in the country and face a team who is still

   angry about the 38-12 beating they got from the Orange last

   year. Whew!

   ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

   5
   BEST BET

   OREGON over Oregon State by 27

   Regarded by football fans in the Beaver State as the single

   most important sporting event in the world, the Civil War,

   as its called, has been dominated recently by the home team

   with seven covers in the last eight meetings. Both teams

   will be using a second-string quarterbacks and Oregon State

   can throw a six turnover game at you on any day. We’re

   sure the Ducks want to get even for that 50-21 roast last

   season, a loss that denied them a winning season. Furthermore,

   Oregon is 28-0 ATS in SU conference revenge victories

   while Oregon State is 0-8 ATS in its last eight losses against

   avenging foes. Ducks in a walk.

   ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

   4
   BEST BET

   California over STANFORD by 14

   Pac Ten scouts have informed us that Stanford is convinced

   that it can win this game and that the Cardinal will be

   ready for the Bears when Cal invades the farm. We’re not

   exactly sure where Stanford is getting its confidence. The

   Cardinal has lost the last three games in this series by an

   average of 23 points. Moreover, the host in the series has

   just three covers in the last 12 meetings. In addition,

   Stanford is the phoniest winning team in the land, allowing

   more than 100 yards per game than they gain. Look for

   the series visitor to improve to 7-1 ATS here today.

   against clearly superior teams, but we won’t Force this pick.

   ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

   3
   BEST BET

   SOUTHERN CAL over Fresno State by 14

   Many believed that the games against Oregon, California,

   Arizona State and UCLA were the teams with the best

   chance to stop Southern Cal’s historic winning streak. We

   believe that THIS TEAM has the best chance to do it. Of

   course, we have the benefit of knowing that the other four

   have already failed. Count on this: Fresno is not and will

   not be intimidated and the Bulldogs will fight to the end.

   Their 18-4 ATS record as non-conference road dogs makes

   it easy for us to back the Bulldogs here. So does our

   Awesome Angle (page 2). Take the points.

   

   posted by phantom

   Nov. 15, 2005 1:28pm
4. Tuesday, November 15th

   marc lawrencetonight

   MIAMI OH over Bowling Green by 10

   Greg Brandon has admitted that he is saving Omar Jacobs for

   Toledo. He says that Jacobs might play here but he always finishes

   those projections with a confirmation that he wants Omar for

   the Toledo game. Even with Jacobs in there, it’s no gimme that

   Bowling Green will be able to outduel the RedHawks. Miami’s

   defense, although not up to previous standards, is far better

   than the BeeGee stop troops and Josh Betts has the ability to

   render the Falcon secondary helpless. Despite the RedHawks'

   5-0 ATS mark in the series, we’ll probably sit this one out and

   wait for better stuff down the road.

   ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

   wednesday

   Ohio over AKRON by 1

   Akron is the worst home favorite in the MAC with just three

   wins in its last 12 tries, but Ohio is 1-8 ATS in its last nine tries as

   a road underdog, including six failures in a row. Both of these

   teams have had chances to improve their seasons and neither

   has taken advantage of those chances. We’ll lean to the Bobcats

   as a 'Rip Van Winkle' Smart Box side.

   ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

   TOLEDO over N Illinois by 10

   Without Phil Horvath, the Huskies have little chance to beat

   Toledo. WITH Garrett Wolfe, they definitely have a chance to

   cover the generous spread. At this writing, we don’t know if

   Wolfe is playing and because of that, we can’t make an educated

   guess. Ah hell, let’s face it. We’re not going to fade Toledo on

   this field when the Rockets can win the MAC West title with a

   win. The Rockets are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 as home chalk and

   26-4 ATS in their last 30 SU wins. We ain’t fadin’ that!

   ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

   MARYLAND over Boston College by 1

   We watch the Terrapins play and we wonder why they aren’t

   doing better than they have been. They’re not too bad, folks.

   Neither is Boston College and the Eagles know how to win on

   the road. BC is 5-2 ATS away vs ACC opposition and 12-6 ATS in

   its last 18 road games – regardless of price. Unfortunately for

   the Eagles, Maryland is getting better every week (five covers in

   its last six games) and can taste the bowl bid it will get if it wins

   this game.

   ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

   Purdue over INDIANA by 17

   You can see improvement in the Boilermakers stretching back to

   the moment Joe Tiller inserted Curtis Painter as his starting QB.

   Home wins over Michigan State and Illinois were just what Painter

   needed to build up his confidence after two straight starts on

   the road. Purdue lost both of those road games and the numbers

   say that this won’t be easy, either. Indiana is spiralling downward

   as injuries have devastated the Hoosier defense. Emotion

   abounds in this game with no clear cut edge for either side in

   that department. Talent rules. Purdue has the talent. Lay it.

   ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

   KANSAS ST over Missouri by 1

   Kansas State just can’t seem to get into the victory column. The

   Cats played step for step with Nebraska but lost by two. They

   played the division-leading Colorado Buffaloes for sixty hard

   minutes and lost by three. Just before that, K-State took a bitter

   two-point loss at home from Texas A&M. It’s about time the

   Wildcats won. Missouri’s last two road games were a 13-6 loss to

   Kansas and a 29-point blowout loss at Colorado. Kansas State is

   7-3 ATS in its last ten with Missouri and it wouldn’t take much

   of a win to make it 8-3. We just don’t know if the Cats can do it.

   ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

   Northwestern over ILLINOIS by 18

   Illinois is averaging 11 ppg in Big Ten play this season and 15

   ppg in league play over the last two years. Conversely,

   Northwestern is averaging over 30 ppg in conference action this

   season. Would it be safe to say that the Wildcats will get more

   points than Illinois? If you think yes, then check out our

   INCREDIBLE STAT OF THE WEEK on page 3. By the way, the Cats

   are also 11-1 ATS as road chalk vs an opponent off a loss. Again.

   

   posted by phantom

   Nov. 15, 2005 1:28pm
5. marc lawrence:

   IOWA over Minnesota by 7

   Iowa showed some character last week. The Hawkeyes went into

   Wisconsin off back-to-back heartbreaking losses at home to

   Michigan in overtime and at Northwestern after leading by 13

   with three minutes and change left. They had every reason in

   the world to play an uninspired game, Instead, they did just the

   opposite, Iowa is 12-1 ATS in its home finale over the past 13

   years while Minnesota is 1-9 ATS in its road finale. Minnesota’s

   running game is scary but it hasn’t frightened Iowa much. The

   Gophers are 0-6 SU & ATS in their last six trips to Iowa City.

   ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ~

   C Michigan over BALL ST by 8

   Two tough losses in succession might take the starch out of a

   Central Michigan team that was in the MAC West driver’s seat

   two weeks ago. Now, the Chips are out of the race, will not go

   to a bowl game, and may not even get a winning season out of

   the deal. Ball State has come alive in the last month and is

   certainly capable of winning this game. With the Gonads in off

   an 'inside-out' stat win and the Chips off an 'inside-out' stat loss,

   we'll go outside the box and count our Chips.

   ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ~~~

   N CAROLINA over Duke by 21

   The bitter overtime loss to Maryland will either serve to inspire

   North Carolina more, or render them flat as pancakes. The Devils

   are perfect this year. They’ve lost all seven of their conference

   games by at least 25 points each and haven’t covered in any of

   those losses. A week of rest, the return of a few injured starters

   and Aunt Jemimah all combine to give the Dukies their virgin

   ATS win.

   ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

   S FLORIDA over Cincinnati by 14

   That was an impressive road trip for the Bulls. A win over a decent

   Rutgers team and a 28-0 whitewashing of that awful Syracuse

   bunch. South Florida added to its already profitable 15-2 ATS

   mark in SU wins by putting two more on the left side. The

   Bearcats are young and might be a bit intimidated by South

   Florida’s 45-14 win on this field against Louisville, a team that

   beat the Bearcats by 24 in Cincinnati. The linemaker could

   overadjust. Be careful of this underdog.

   ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

   GEORGIA over Kentucky by 24

   We don’t know what kind of energy drink was on the Kentucky

   team bus, but there’s a few AARP members around this office

   that would like to have a case of it. The Cats came off that bus

   dancing and they didn’t stop until the fourth quarter after

   posting a 48-24 lead going into the final period. We know this

   ain’t Vanderbilt but Georgia doesn’t have the scoring capability

   of the Commies. It's always dangerous to back the Bluegrass Cats

   on the road off a road win but Georgia is locked and loaded in a

   classic 'Double Bubble Burster' play against role here today.

   ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

   Lsu over MISSISSIPPI by 13

   We know how bad Ole Miss must have looked last week against

   an Arkansas team whose only two wins of the season came

   against SW Missouri and LA Monroe. We also know how the

   Rebels played Alabama toe to toe for the entire 60 minutes in a

   last minute 13-10 loss. Count on those Rebs showing up here.

   LSU has only covered once in teight meetings in this series and

   Ole Miss is 12-3 ATS as SEC dogs of +11 or more. The hard-fighting

   defense of the Rebels keeps them in the game front to back.

   ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

   TENNESSEE over Vanderbilt by 10

   If you’re wondering when the last time Tennessee covered as a

   favorite, it was September of 2004 against Louisiana Tech. If

   you’re wondering when the last time the Vols covered as chalk

   in SEC play, it was November of 2003 against Kentucky. If you’re

   wondering if we’re going to lay points with Tennessee in this

   game, stop. You already know the answer. Besides, the Commies

   are in best tightener in this week's Smart Box (see page 3).

   They're also 5-0 ATS in their last five tries as traveling dogs.

   ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

   MICHIGAN over Ohio St by 3

   We don’t think anyone in the country would have guessed that

   the Buckeyes would come in here off four straight SUATS wins

   and that they would have scored at least 40 points in each of

   those four victories. Nor would anyone have guessed that, after

   starting the season 3-3. Michigan would still be in the running for

   a share of the Big Ten title and the conference BCS bid. Ohio

   State is 3-12 ATS on the road off a DD win and 0-7 ATS away

   against a foe off a SU & ATS win. Wolves defend their den.

   ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ~~

   NAVY over Temple by 31

   Navy continues to present itself as a team that plays its ass off

   every time it goes onto the field. If they do that here, they’ll do

   what everyone else has done to the Owls - beat them by 50. You

   know this isn’t our kind of game and we, most likely, won’t be

   involved but we have to tell you that Navy is 33-4 ATS in its last

   37 SU wins as a favorite and that Navy will win this game.

   ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

   BUFFALO over E Michigan by 1

   Hooray for Jim Hofher. After being fired from the worst coaching

   job in football, Hofher led his kids to their first victory of the

   season at Kent State. The euphoria of that initial victory is well

   contained in the team (nobody in Buffalo cares about the Bulls)

   but it may show up in the form of an enthusiastic sendoff for

   the coach. The kids like Hofher, and they play hard for him despite

   being overmatched in nearly every game they play. It’s been more

   than six years since the Emus have been MAC road chalk.

   

   posted by phantom

   Nov. 15, 2005 1:29pm
6. marc lawrence:

   ARKANSAS over Mississippi St by 11

   Houston Nutt finally got a much-needed conference win by

   overpowering the Mississippi Rebels. Here’s some bad news for

   Mississippi State. He’s going to do that again and there isn’t

   anything you can do to stop it. You certainly can’t match points

   with the Hogs. After all, you haven’t won a game in the league

   this season and you’re averaging five and a half points per game

   in league play. Hell, just mail it in and save the travel money.

   Nonetheless, the Bulldogs are in the same Smart Box play that

   we alluded to in the Ohio U-Akron game. Be careful.

   ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

   TEXAS TECH over Oklahoma by 3

   We think it would be safe to say that these two were looking

   ahead last week. Second place in the Big 12 South doesn’t get

   you into the conference championship game but it does make

   you the second best team in the league and puts you higher on

   the bowl pecking order. Oklahoma faces a Red Raider who is 15-

   2 ATS in its last home game and 14-5 ATS in its last 19 as home

   chalk. The Sooner offense is getting better and they were favored

   by 25 points in this game last year in Norman and laid 19 points

   here in 2003.

   ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

   NOTRE DAME over Syracuse by 38

   They couldn’t make this line high enough for us to take Syracuse.

   One pitiful performance after another is making Orange fans

   long for Paul Pasqualooney and his pedestrian ball clubs. At least

   Paul won a few games and, for the most part, competed. This

   team has NOTHING going for it. The reward for being the nation’s

   most disappointing team? Syracuse gets to travel to the home

   of the hottest offense in the country and face a team who is still

   angry about the 38-12 beating they got from the Orange last

   year. Whew!

   ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

   BAYLOR over Oklahoma St by 7

   We thought that Baylor would be a bit down in the dumps after

   that overtime loss to Oklahoma but the Bears are taking the

   term “let downâ€Â

   

   posted by phantom

   Nov. 15, 2005 1:29pm
7. marc lawrence:

   TEXAS EL PASO over Uab by 4

   The Blazers play to the level of their competition, to say the

   least. UAB is 8-0 ATS in its last eight games against .700 or better

   opponents and 5-14 ATS against less than .333 foes. Texas El Paso

   is in the former group and you can count on UAB’s best here as

   the Blazers will be 'Puttin On The Stats' as a dangerous dog. The

   Miners are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 chances as home favorites of

   more than three points but we'll opt for out stat-dog here.

   ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

   SAN JOSE ST over New Mexico St by 10

   Since 1996, Jose has been a favorite 18 times. The Spartans won

   14 and covered 13 of those games, including seven consecutive

   wins and covers in that role. New Mexico State hasn’t won a

   road game this season. The closest the Aggies got was a 17-point

   loss and that wasn’t really a road game – it was across the street

   at New Mexico.

   ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

   Tulsa over TULANE by 17

   The odyssey is almost over for the Green Wave. This is the tenth

   game of an 11-game slate that has seen the Wave on a different

   field every week. The rigorous demands have shown up on the

   field. Tulane was beaten badly by both Texas El Paso and Navy

   and Tulsa fits right into that class of opponent. Tulsa is 25-3-1

   ATS in its 29 lined road wins since 1980.

   ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

   S CAROLINA over Clemson by 1

   If emotion determines how a team performs, this will be the

   worst game on the Saturday card and nobody will win. The

   Palmetto State teams hosted a pair of teams from the land of

   the Big Breeze and took them both down - hard. Two incredibly

   emotional wins by two hard-fighting underdogs against two

   hated rivals should leave these two without a shred of intensity

   at the start of this game. The one who finds that emotional

   reserve first will win this one.

   ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

   Colorado St over UNLV by 16

   Colorado State has a reputation for protecting its home field

   but it’s on the road that the Rams have made the money,

   particularly in their last road game of the season. With 11 covers

   in its last 12 road finales, CSU is like money in the bank on its

   final trip. Unlv has covered five of the last seven in the series but

   the Rebels are clearly the inferior team. One only has to look

   back to the 55-14 whipping the Rebs took from BYU to know

   that CSU can win this one big. We’ll take a look at the number,

   then the Rams.

   ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

   Virginia Tech over VIRGINIA by 3

   The Hokies have had two weeks to get over that home whipping

   put on them by the Miami Hurricanes. If you’ve followed our

   forecasting for any length of time, you already know that road

   favorites who are off their first loss of the year this late in the

   season almost never get our support. We know that Tech is 13-2

   ATS in their last 15 tries as single digit road favorites but

   Virginia counters that stat with an impressive 9-1 ATS log in its

   last ten tries as home dogs. You know that’s where we’re going.

   ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

   NEW MEXICO over Air Force by 13

   It’s hard to imagine the Force winning this game considering

   that the Falcons have just one conference road win in their last

   nine tries and that win came against a winless UNLV club. New

   Mexico is 0-5 ATS in its last five home favorite appearances but

   the Lobos are an amazing 33-1 ATS in their last 34 SU wins with

   revenge. We usually favor military teams as road dogs, sometimes

   against clearly superior teams, but we won’t Force this pick.

   ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

   S MISSISSIPPI over Memphis by 3

   The Eagles have the credentials that merit support but, most of

   all, they have one of the most underrated coaches in the country

   directing one of the nation’s most underrated QB’s. Memphis

   has DeAngelo Williams and is 8-1 ATS following BB SUATS losses.

   We like running dogs with numbers like those.

   ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

   SAN DIEGO ST over Wyoming by 10

   Both teams had high hopes at the beginning of the season and

   both have seen those hopes evaporate into smoke. Wyoming

   still has the best players but the Cowboys are 0-4 ATS in the last

   four vs San Diego State and 2-13 ATS as favorites against

   opponents off BB SU losses. Aztecs in LHG get a long look.

   ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

   ADDED GAMES

   NC STATE over Mid Tenn St by 13

   The struggles of Sun Belt teams on the non-conference road have

   been well documented. One team that has risen above the abyss

   of Sun Belt mediocrity is Middle Tennessee. The Blue Raiders are

   13-6 ATS in their last 19 non-conference road trips. NC State fits

   right into the MTSU program with its horrible 2-13 ATS mark

   as double digit chalk and its 3-13 ATS log in its last 16 home

   games. Sorta like a sheep in wolf’s clothing.

   ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

   ARMY over Arkansas St by 11

   Army has covered in every one of its last 12 wins and the Black

   Knights of the Hudson can certainly win this. Arkansas State does

   not have Middle Tennessee’s skill at pulling the unexpected. The

   Indians are a miserable 1-62 SU in their last 63 non-conference

   road games. 1-62! Army has enough to get the win and cover

   over the poor travelling Tribe. Besides, the Cadets have won more

   games this year than they did in the previous three years

   combined. Lay the small number.

   ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

   MIAMI FLA over Georgia Tech by 13

   Another storm-havoc rescheduled game finds the Yellow Jackets

   flying into a real Hurricane as Miami has its sights on an ACC

   title rematch with Florida State in the championship game.

   Thanks to the top defense in the land, Miami has played its way

   into the #3 slot in the BCS polls while the Techsters are hanging

   by a thread in hopes of garnering a ninth straight bowl bid. Key

   stat is Miami's 0-8 ATS mark in games off an ATS win as double

   digit chalk. Points look appealing with Tech's formidable defense

   

   posted by phantom

   Nov. 15, 2005 1:30pm
8. marc lawrence:

   3
   BEST BET

   TENNESSEE over Jacksonville by 7

   The Jags finally did it. They reached the 30-point scoring

   level last week for the first time in 49 games. Now its time

   for a return to earth and the Titans are rested and ready to

   comply. Jacksonville is 3-11 SU against Tennessee, including

   1-6 ATS as a favorite. With Fred Taylor ailing, Jacksonville’s

   chances of running for 100 or more yards are severely

   diminished. The Jags are 10-28 SU on the road when they

   rush for less than 100. Furthermore, division home dogs

   playing with rest off a loss of six or more points are a sweet

   23-7 ATS, including 18-3 ATS when facing off against a .500

   or better foe. Jags drop to 0-9 ATS as road favs off a SU

   non-division home win here.

   ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

   5
   BEST BET

   CHICAGO over Carolina by 14

   Most likely it’s a function of the weather on the western

   shore of Lake Michigan, but Chicago is tough to beat in

   November on its home field. The Bears, when they are a

   winning team as they are now, are 18-5-1 ATS in the Turkey

   month against other winning teams. The Panthers check in

   with an atrocious 0-10 ATS log as favorites off a win of 14

   or more points and 0-6 ATS as chalk against .666 or better

   opposition. It's never hard backing the league's #1 defensive

   unit as a dog, especially when they're allowing a mere 12

   PPG. Call this our NIKE special – Just do it!

   ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

   4
   BEST BET

   Seattle over SAN FRANCISCO by 10

   The Forty Niners have taken their lumps on a regular basis when

   they leave the city by the bay but here, on the Pacific shore, they

   come up with a good effort every now and then. The problem

   with taking the Niners is that you’re taking the NINERS. Seattle

   is an astounding 75-3 ATS in its last 78 road wins and just a scant

   three points from being 78-0 in those games. Regardless, a huge

   angle from our system book says to back the Niners here.

   ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

   best bets:

   3* fresno state,,titans.. denver under,,

   4* cali..pack..wash over

   5* oregon..bears..giants under

   

   posted by phantom

   Nov. 15, 2005 1:30pm
9. marc lawrence:

   Monday, November 21st

   GREEN BAY over Minnesota by 15

   The Vikings take to the road off a rare road victory knowing

   they are 6-16 SU & ATS away from the Metrodome off win.

   The Vikings will also have to beat down Green Bay’s 10-1

   ATS log as division home chalk of less than -4 points, the

   12-3 ATS Monday night mark owned by the Pack and Brett

   Favre’s 10-4 ATS record in his last 14 division revenge games.

   With the Pack returning home off a previous home loss,

   look for the ghosts of the past to move to Green and Gold

   against a Minny bunch that is 0-6 ATS when going into same

   season division revenge. THE PACK IS BACK!

   ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

   DENVER over NY Jets by 13

   If you take a look at Denver’s 4-13-1 ATS mark against opponents

   off BB losses or its 2-8 ATS mark against the AFC East, you might

   reach into your pocket for some Jet money. The hand quickly

   goes back into the pant hole when Denver’s 88-26 SU record at

   home in non-division games comes up, especially when the

   14-98-4 ATS mark of the Jets in SU non-division losses is brought

   to light. You have to have a good reason to fade Denver in their

   own corral. We don’t.

   ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

   Pittsburgh over BALTIMORE by 4

   We are still amazed by how close Baltimore came to winning

   the first match against the Steelers without their two best

   defensive players. It kind of makes you want to give the Ravens

   a shot in this game. There’s no question that this is a bitter rivalry

   and that nothing will be left on the field when this one is over.

   Pittsburgh brings more ONTO the field, though and the Steelers

   are a decent 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight trips to the Harbor.

   ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

   Kansas City over HOUSTON by 4

   We won’t kid by hinting that we might like Houston here. We

   are, however, enamored with Ugly Pig home dogs, especially

   UPS (Ugly Pig Syndrome) home dogs of this size. Kansas City

   probably wants to get through this game and get home to start

   preparing for the defending Super Bowl champs followed by

   the AFC West leader. Houston is not on the mind of the Chiefs.

   In the NFL, you must focus on EVERY opponent, no matter how

   bads. Texans are 5-0-1 ATS in games after tackling the Colts.

   ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

   WASHINGTON over Oakland by 4

   Oakland is another team that has its problems away from home.

   The Raiders have won just three of their last 21 road games,

   notching only seven covers in those 21 games. Washington used

   to be a go-against team at home but the Redskins have won and

   covered six of the last seven here. Bottom line is we can't trust a

   Washington squad that has lost eight straight games to the AFC.

   ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ~

   DALLAS over Detroit by 10

   The Lions are 4-32 SU on the road in their last 36 trips. They

   have, however, covered six of the last seven against winning

   teams and 6-1 ATS in the last seven years in the week before

   their annual Thanksgiving game. So is Dallas, and the Cowboys

   add to that 6-1 ATS mark with an 11-2 ATS log against NFC North

   teams. The Cowboy defense has been dominant at home this

   year allowing less than 13 ppg in the HoleDome. With Lions'

   mentor Steve Mariucci the answer to this week's Trivia Teaser

   (see page 2), we'll stay in the Big 'D' – Dallas, that is – here today.

   ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

   Philadelphia over NY GIANTS by 3

   Philly is just 4-16 ATS on the division road against an opponent

   off BB wins while the Giants are 20-5-1 ATS as division home

   chalk of -3 or more off a SU win. Those impressive numbers aside,

   Philadelphia has its back to the wall here. Lose this game and

   the Eagles fall so far behind the New Yorkers that it may be

   impossible to catch up before season's end. We applaud Andy

   Reid for his actions against the insufferable Terrell Owens and

   we’re kinda rootin’ for the big guy here. We also like the fact

   the G-Men are 1-13 ATS at home during Turkey Month..

   ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

   CLEVELAND over Miami by 3

   Trent Dilfer and Gus Frerotte face off in the battle of aging hasbeens

   that never were. Miami probably has better personnel that

   the men of Lake Erie but that doesn’t always translate into victory,

   especially in this league. Miami is 1-10 SU in its last 11 true road

   games with the only win coming against San Francisco High and

   the Dolphins will need to win to get the money. The banks of

   the North Coast sends shivers through the boys from South Beach.

   ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ~~

   Seattle over SAN FRANCISCO by 10

   The Forty Niners have taken their lumps on a regular basis when

   they leave the city by the bay but here, on the Pacific shore, they

   come up with a good effort every now and then. The problem

   with taking the Niners is that you’re taking the NINERS. Seattle

   is an astounding 75-3 ATS in its last 78 road wins and just a scant

   three points from being 78-0 in those games. Regardless, a huge

   angle from our system book says to back the Niners here.

   ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

   SAN DIEGO over Buffalo by 13

   Buffalo has played a lot better with Kelly Holcomb running the

   show but the defense still hasn’t rebounded from the loss of

   Takeo Spikes. San Diego, though, has no mercy on losing teams

   who venture into the Navy Base (six straight wins here against

   losers. You can’t Buffalo us. Not today... yoo many rushing

   numbers in Diego's favor to ignore here as Bills are 8-78-1 ATS

   in SU losses when playing off a SU & ATS win.

   ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

   ATLANTA over Tampa Bay by 6

   Although Tampa Bay has dominated the series of late from a

   pointspread perspective (7-2 ATS last nine), Atlanta can run the

   football better than any team in the NFL and that is a concern

   here, especially with the Dirty Birds in off an embarrassing home

   loss last week. Would you care to guess how many games the

   Buccaneers have won on the road against winning teams who run

   for 100 or more against them? Zero! Zed! Nada! Tampa is 0-17 SU

   and 4-13 ATS when that happens. We're not in a hurry to lay too

   many points, though, as the Bucs own the superior defense.

   ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

   Indianapolis over CINCINNATI by 3

   There has already been talk on the networks that this is the end

   of the undefeated season for Indianapolis. We’re not sure how

   the talking heads came to that conclusion nor are we sure we

   agree with them. The Colts are 3-13 ATS against opponents off

   BB SU wins and Cincinnati is 8-3 ATS at home against foes off BB

   SU wins. The Bengals have the firepower to get this done. We’ll

   take a hard look at the underdog Stripers in the 'War of I-74'.

   ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

   NEW ENGLAND over New Orleans by 7

   New Orleans has faced just about every type of adversity a team

   can face, including a series of badly officiated games that, had

   they been called properly, could have resulted in a couple more

   Saint wins. New England has problems of its own, but the Patriot

   organization has more ability to cure its woes than the Saints

   have of solving theirs. New England is 9-1-1 ATS against NFC foes

   and hasn’t lost BB home games since falling to the Packers and

   the Broncos in October of 2002. Still, the feeling here is they are

   posting too many points to a dangerous, well traveled roadster.

   ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

   ST LOUIS over Arizona by 6

   Yes, the Rams own all the trends in this division battle. The

   Cardinals, though, bring the better stats into the fray, and a dash

   of same season revenge to boot. We have an attraction for division

   dogs that own the better defense, especially the kind that are on

   a string of losses. Look for the erratic, over rated Rams to drop to

   1-8 ATS as a favorite of six or more points. Grab the points.

   

   posted by phantom

   Nov. 15, 2005 1:31pm
10. Confidential Kick-Off!!

    The Gold Sheet!!

    America's Handicapping

    Leaders For 48 Seasons!

    CKO Vol. 44 November 17-21, 2005 No. 12

    11 *NOTRE DAME over Syracuse

    Late Score Forecast:

    *NOTRE DAME 54 - Syracuse 7

    CKO sources urge us to lay the lumber in this anticipated blowout, since

    floundering 1-8 Syracuse still can't execute new HC Greg Robinson's West

    Coast offense (10 ppg last 5) with any proficiency. Ever-shaky Orange QBs

    Patterson or Fields (combined 8 of 25 vs. S. Florida) will continue to

    misfire, especially since sluggish ground attack (110 ypg, 3.0 ypc) needn't

    be respected by hard-charging ND front 7. What a world of difference on the

    other side. ND's loaded, smooth-functioning pro-style attack (39

    ppg)-expertly directed by smart, accurate QB Quinn (66%, 27 TDs, 5

    ints.)-will light up board vs. the overworked, discouraged Orange defense

    that must pick its poison here. Smallish 'Cuse CBs ill-equipped to cover

    Irish's rangy 6-5 WRs Samardzija (56 grabs, 12 TDs), Stovall & 6-4 TE Fasano

    (40 catches), while speedy RB Walker (797 YR) gets to the perimeter without

    much resistence. Morever, Irish veterans reportedly haven't forgotten 38-13

    pasting at Carrier Dome 2 years ago, so every reason to believe Orange's poor

    road dog mark (8-19 since '95; 0-3 TY) remains intact vs. Weiss'squad that is

    a "backdoor" TD (Navy scored with 1:17 on clock) away from going 8-1 vs.

    spread.

    10 PENN STATE over *Michigan State

    Late Score Forecast:

    PENN STATE 34 - *Michigan State 16

    Penn State needs a win in this game to secure the Big Ten title and a highly

    coveted BCS bowl bid. The Nittany Lions have a chance to turn in the best

    record at the school since Paterno's '94 squad ran the table 12-0. The

    veteran, senior-laden Penn State defense (10 returning starters) is among the

    best around, ranking 8th against the run, and yields less than 16 ppg. That

    unit gave up just 15 ppg last season. The LB corps, anchored by jr. LB jr.

    Paul Posluszny, has been sensational. Soph Dan Connor's return from

    suspension has been a boon (5th in tackles despite only starting 4 of 10

    games). A big difference this season has been the improved offense, which is

    designed by respected o.c. Galen Hall and fueled by speedy frosh and redshirt

    frosh playmakers recruited the last two seasons. MSU has had its moments

    offensively, but defensive and special teams breakdowns have plagued the

    Spartans all year. QB Drew Stanton has cooled considerably since 4-0 start,

    throwing just 6 TD passes & 5 ints. in last 4. Paterno celebrates.

    10 UAB over *Utep

    Late Score Forecast:

    UAB 35 - *Utep 33

    Picking UAB to win straight up at El Paso might be a bit of a reach, as

    Blazers often find a way to lose games. But when UAB goes down, it usually

    isn't by much. This season's 5 losses have come by a total of 24 points.

    None has been by double digits, with two by a single point. And Blazers have

    covered 9 of their last 12 as a dog. Expect more of the same against Miners.

    UTEP's vulnerable defense has allowed 69 points in last 2 games vs. Div. I-A

    foes. UAB sr. QB Darrell Hackney is a highly-regarded NFL prospect who's

    averaging 302 ypg passing TY. He has 44 TDP (vs. only 16 ints.) in last 1+

    seasons. And complementary jr. RBs Corey White (6-2, 230; 200 YR in recent

    upset at Memphis) & Marculus Elliott (5-9, 190; TD runs of 52 & 22 yards last

    week) giving Blazer offense better balance lately. Acknowledge potency of

    Miners' own attack. But UAB's frequent blitzes could force mistake-prone jr.

    QB Jordan Palmer (42 career ints.) into some critical errors.

    10 *OREGON over Oregon State

    Late Score Forecast:

    *OREGON 42 - Oregon State 16

    Special situation in TY's "Civil War" rivalry, one of the most bitter in the

    nation, as knee injury suffered by Oregon State QB Matt Moore means that both

    teams will be counting on backup QBs! And that's where the edges for the

    Ducks begin to mount. CKO scouts in Pacific Northwest lavish in their praise

    of the way OU coach Bellotti has developed and juggled soph backups Dennis

    Dixon & Brady Leaf in 2- games since starter Kellen Clemens was lost with

    broken ankle, with the duo hitting 28 of 39 for 296 yds., with 2 TDs & 1 int.

    in come-from-behind win last week on the road at Washington State, not to

    mention the winning fourth-Q TDP vs. Cal the week before at home. OSU soph

    Ryan Gunderson (54%, 1 TD, 0 ints. in 59 atts. TY) being asked to make his

    first start at the noisiest stadium in Pac-10. Oregon, still fuming about

    LY's 50-21 loss to then-veteran Beavers at Corvallis LY, have lost only to

    Southern Cal TY and would love to return the favor to OSU.

    10 *DALLAS over Detroit

    Late Score Forecast:

    *DALLAS 28 - Detroit 10

    (Sunday, November 20)

    NFL insiders say the root of Detroit's offensive woes this season has not

    been Joey Harrington, although he is usually the main focus of the fans'

    barbs. It's the underachieving OL that has kept Kevin Jones from having a

    single 100-yard game and has lowered his average to 3.0 ypc. Thus,

    Harrington is too often quickly swamped by defenders, with the result being

    many errant tosses under pressure requiring difficult catches by WRs with the

    offense sinking to 28th. After facing injury-depleted Arizona last week at

    home, Harrington now faces deep, young aggressive Dallas defense that rotates

    its front three to keep them fresh. Young DE Canty & LB/DE Ware improving

    every game, with Cowboys holding five straight foes to a single TD prior to

    Monday nighter in Philly.

    TOTALS: UNDER (34) in Miami-Cleveland game-Two immobile QBs on run-oriented

    teams; Browns "under" 7 of 9 TY...UNDER (44) in Minnesota-Green Bay

    game-Packer defense vastly improved; no Daunte & Randy to strike for big

    plays for Vikes.

    HONORABLE MENTION: SAN DIEGO STATE (-7) vs. Wyoming-RB L. Hamilton & QB

    O'Connell were in fine form in victory at Colorado State; Wyo has lost 5 in

    a row SU & vs. the spread...MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE (+17.5) at North Carolina

    State-Middle's offense finally helping out; N.S. State has managed 10

    straight Ls as a home favorite...NORTH TEXAS (+4.5) vs. La.-Monroe-Mean Green

    finally got some QBing last week; Monroe defense vulnerable to Patrick Cobbs'

    runs...N.Y. GIANTS (-4) vs. Philadelphia-Giants coach Coughlin fuming about

    last week's turnovers and STs gaffs; Philly missing too many elements on

    offense.

    

    posted by phantom

    Nov. 15, 2005 1:31pm
11. Pointwise NFL 2-SD 3-ATL 4-KC 5-Chi, Sea

    ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

    Pointwise NCAA 16-0 L2 weeks 1-Tulsa, BYU 2-NWU 3-SDSU 4-MSU, Iowa 5-Navy, TxTk

    

    posted by phantom

    Nov. 16, 2005 1:45pm
12. MEJIA's SELECTIONS:

    Projected Scores

    Week 12

    Miami (Ohio) 44 Bowling Green 27

    Akron 17 Ohio 14

    Toledo 35 Northern Illinois 31

    Miami (Fla.) 39 Wake Forest 10

    South Florida 38 Cincinnati 13

    Ball State 34 Central Michigan 23

    Army 31 Arkansas State 16

    North Carolina State 24 Middle Tennessee 13

    Navy 40 Temple 3

    Eastern Michigan 24 Buffalo 17

    Arkansas 27 Mississippi State 13

    Texas Tech 36 Oklahoma 20

    Notre Dame 35 Syracuse 10

    Boise State 45 Idaho 23

    Nevada 37 Utah State 20

    Central Florida 30 Rice 17

    Washington State 41 Washington 24

    Marshall 27 East Carolina 13

    San Jose State 31 New Mexico State 24

    Florida International 24 Western Kentucky 20

    Oregon 40 Oregon State 27

    Stanford 38 California 31

    Tulsa 45 Tulane 20

    Louisiana-Monroe 20 La.-Lafayette 17

    Southern Mississippi 31 Memphis 19

    Texas-El Paso 38 UAB 34

    Southern California 37 Fresno State 17

    Miami (Ohio) 44 Ohio 14

    New Mexico 20 Air Force 17

    LSU 24 Mississippi 6

    Auburn 20 Alabama 10

    Maryland 24 Boston College 16

    Iowa 34 Minnesota 24

    Baylor 20 Oklahoma State 16

    Kansas State 27 Missouri 20

    Utah 31 Brigham Young 24

    North Carolina 54 Duke 7

    Northwestern 45 Illinois 27

    Michigan 27 Ohio State 24

    Purdue 34 Indiana 23

    San Diego State 34 Wyoming 24

    Clemson 30 South Carolina 17

    Colorado State 27 UNLV 21

    Tennessee 30 Vanderbilt 17

    Virginia 20 Virginia Tech 17

    Georgia 34 Kentucky 6

    Penn State 45 Michigan State 34

    Home team is in bold.

    His underdogs to win outright:

    Virginia

    Utah

    Kansas State

    Michigan

    Stanford

    Ball State

    

    posted by phantom

    Nov. 16, 2005 1:45pm
13. HARMON FORECAST:

    Game of the Week

    *Michigan 24, Ohio State 23

    This will be the 102nd meeding as Michigan has a 57-38-6 edge. The home team has won the last three meetings, so we give the Wolverines the edge by one point.

    Week of Nov. 18

    Major Colleges - Div. I-A

    *Arkansas 24 Mississippi State 12

    Arkansas State 20 *Army 17

    *Akron 27 Ohio 24

    *Auburn 20 Alabama 17

    *Ball State 28 Central Michigan 27

    *Boise State 41 Idaho 14

    *Brigham Young 28 Utah 24

    California 33 *Stanford 24

    Central Florida 27 *Rice 7

    Clemson 24 *South Carolina 23

    Colorado State 31 *UNLV 22

    Eastern Michigan 34 *Buffalo 7

    *Florida International 24 Western Kentucky 14

    *Georgia 24 Kentucky 7

    *Kansas State 27 Missouri 25

    *Louisiana-Monroe 27 La.-Lafayette 21

    LSU 21 *Mississippi 6

    *Marshall 26 East Carolina 21

    *Maryland 24 Boston College 23

    *Miami (Fla.) 28 Georgia Tech 16

    *Miami (Ohio) 30 Bowling Green 24

    *Michigan 24 Ohio State 23

    Minnesota 30 *Iowa 23

    *Navy 26 Temple 6

    Nevada 31 *Utah State 17

    *New Mexico 27 Air Force 20

    *North Carolina 23 Duke 16

    *North Carolina State 31 Middle Tennessee 21

    Northwestern 35 *Illinois 14

    *Notre Dame 38 Syracuse 10

    Oklahoma State 34 *Baylor 24

    *Oregon 34 Oregon State 31

    Penn State 29 *Michigan State 27

    Purdue 28 *Indiana 14

    *San Diego State 23 Wyoming 20

    *San Jose State 28 New Mexico State 24

    *South Florida 31 Cincinnati 20

    *Southern California 37 Fresno State 24

    *Southern Mississippi 24 Memphis 23

    *Tennessee 17 Vanderbilt 10

    *Texas-El Paso 24 UAB 17

    *Texas Tech 31 Oklahoma 24

    *Toledo 31 Northern Illinois 23

    Tulsa 31 *Tulane 17

    Virginia Tech 23 *Virginia 14

    Washington State 34 *Washington 24

    * - Denotes home team

    

    posted by phantom

    Nov. 16, 2005 1:46pm
14. SUNSHINE FORECAST: College

    Official Selections:

    November 19, 2005

    Texas Tech (-7½) 51 vs. Oklahoma 24

    Notre Dame 44 vs. Syracuse (+35) 26

    Brigham Young (-11½) 40 vs. Utah 21

    Virginia (+8½) 15 vs. Virginia Tech 13

    The rest:

    Saturday, November 19, 2005

    Boston College(-2) at Maryland

    Power Rating Projection:

    Boston College 22 Maryland 20

    Statistical Projections

    Boston College 29

    Rushing Yards: 145

    Passing Yards: 281

    Turnovers: 1 Maryland 21

    Rushing Yards: 115

    Passing Yards: 234

    Turnovers: 1

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Boston College 17 Maryland 14

    Purdue(-11½) at Indiana

    Power Rating Projection:

    Purdue 29 Indiana 23

    Statistical Projections

    Purdue 38

    Rushing Yards: 208

    Passing Yards: 296

    Turnovers: 2 Indiana 22

    Rushing Yards: 96

    Passing Yards: 238

    Turnovers: 2

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Purdue 28 Indiana 23

    Historical trend: Take Indiana ( Domination by home team, 7-1, 87.5% )

    Missouri(Pk) at Kansas State

    Power Rating Projection:

    Kansas State 23 Missouri 21

    Statistical Projections

    Missouri 32

    Rushing Yards: 203

    Passing Yards: 224

    Turnovers: 2 Kansas State 24

    Rushing Yards: 118

    Passing Yards: 211

    Turnovers: 2

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Kansas State 18 Missouri 16

    Northwestern(-15) at Illinois

    Power Rating Projection:

    Northwestern 41 Illinois 24

    Statistical Projections

    Northwestern 50

    Rushing Yards: 239

    Passing Yards: 353

    Turnovers: 1 Illinois 26

    Rushing Yards: 215

    Passing Yards: 202

    Turnovers: 3

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Northwestern 48 Illinois 31

    Minnesota(+4) at Iowa

    Power Rating Projection:

    Iowa 28 Minnesota 24

    Statistical Projections

    Minnesota 30

    Rushing Yards: 242

    Passing Yards: 209

    Turnovers: 1 Iowa 30

    Rushing Yards: 168

    Passing Yards: 251

    Turnovers: 1

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Iowa 28 Minnesota 24

    Historical trend: Take Iowa ( Domination at home by Iowa, 4-0, 100.0% )

    Historical trend: Take Iowa ( Domination by Iowa, 7-1, 87.5% )

    Central Michigan(-5) at Ball State

    Power Rating Projection:

    Central Michigan 26 Ball State 22

    Statistical Projections

    Central Michigan 36

    Rushing Yards: 216

    Passing Yards: 281

    Turnovers: 1 Ball State 20

    Rushing Yards: 102

    Passing Yards: 194

    Turnovers: 1

    ** Statistical edge to Central Michigan

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Central Michigan 23 Ball State 20

    Duke(+26) at North Carolina

    Power Rating Projection:

    North Carolina 31 Duke 10

    Statistical Projections

    Duke 15

    Rushing Yards: 109

    Passing Yards: 127

    Turnovers: 2 North Carolina 36

    Rushing Yards: 176

    Passing Yards: 263

    Turnovers: 1

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    North Carolina 25 Duke 3

    Historical trend: Take North Carolina ( Domination by North Carolina, 7-1, 87.5% )

    Cincinnati(+17) at South Florida

    Power Rating Projection:

    South Florida 34 Cincinnati 16

    Statistical Projections

    Cincinnati 20

    Rushing Yards: 137

    Passing Yards: 207

    Turnovers: 3 South Florida 40

    Rushing Yards: 272

    Passing Yards: 199

    Turnovers: 1

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    South Florida 31 Cincinnati 14

    Kentucky(+27) at Georgia

    Power Rating Projection:

    Georgia 37 Kentucky 11

    Statistical Projections

    Kentucky 16

    Rushing Yards: 121

    Passing Yards: 159

    Turnovers: 3 Georgia 32

    Rushing Yards: 208

    Passing Yards: 225

    Turnovers: 1

    ** Statistical edge to Kentucky

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Georgia 38 Kentucky 10

    Louisiana State(-17) at Mississippi

    Power Rating Projection:

    Louisiana State 28 Mississippi 7

    Statistical Projections

    Louisiana State 25

    Rushing Yards: 141

    Passing Yards: 191

    Turnovers: 2 Mississippi 10

    Rushing Yards: 82

    Passing Yards: 138

    Turnovers: 2

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Louisiana State 23 Mississippi 3

    Historical trend: Take Mississippi ( Domination by underdog, 7-1, 87.5% )

    Vanderbilt(+11½) at Tennessee

    Power Rating Projection:

    Tennessee 27 Vanderbilt 18

    Statistical Projections

    Vanderbilt 26

    Rushing Yards: 75

    Passing Yards: 298

    Turnovers: 2 Tennessee 36

    Rushing Yards: 207

    Passing Yards: 225

    Turnovers: 1

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Tennessee 27 Vanderbilt 19

    Ohio State(-2½) at Michigan

    Power Rating Projection:

    Michigan 26 Ohio State 25

    Statistical Projections

    Ohio State 28

    Rushing Yards: 183

    Passing Yards: 197

    Turnovers: 2 Michigan 19

    Rushing Yards: 96

    Passing Yards: 191

    Turnovers: 1

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Michigan 25 Ohio State 24

    Temple(+27) at Navy

    Power Rating Projection:

    Navy 49 Temple 17

    Statistical Projections

    Temple 13

    Rushing Yards: 77

    Passing Yards: 165

    Turnovers: 2 Navy 40

    Rushing Yards: 307

    Passing Yards: 146

    Turnovers: 2

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Navy 56 Temple 24

    Eastern Michigan(-5) at Buffalo

    Power Rating Projection:

    Eastern Michigan 21 Buffalo 18

    Statistical Projections

    Eastern Michigan 23

    Rushing Yards: 122

    Passing Yards: 206

    Turnovers: 1 Buffalo 15

    Rushing Yards: 136

    Passing Yards: 131

    Turnovers: 2

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Eastern Michigan 14 Buffalo 12

    Mississippi State(+14) at Arkansas

    Power Rating Projection:

    Arkansas 24 Mississippi State 10

    Statistical Projections

    Mississippi State 16

    Rushing Yards: 106

    Passing Yards: 168

    Turnovers: 2 Arkansas 25

    Rushing Yards: 200

    Passing Yards: 162

    Turnovers: 2

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Arkansas 19 Mississippi State 6

    Historical trend: Take Mississippi State ( Domination by underdog, 7-1, 87.5% )

    Oklahoma(+7½) at Texas Tech

    Power Rating Projection:

    Texas Tech 39 Oklahoma 24

    Statistical Projections

    Oklahoma 23

    Rushing Yards: 186

    Passing Yards: 154

    Turnovers: 3 Texas Tech 30

    Rushing Yards: 54

    Passing Yards: 352

    Turnovers: 2

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Texas Tech 51 Oklahoma 24

    Texas Tech (1 star)

    Angle: After Losing as 20-Point Chalk

    Go against Texas Tech ( Favored by 1 to 19½ points (or PK), 3-13, 18.8% )

    Syracuse(+35) at Notre Dame

    Power Rating Projection:

    Notre Dame 45 Syracuse 15

    Statistical Projections

    Syracuse 17

    Rushing Yards: 130

    Passing Yards: 170

    Turnovers: 3 Notre Dame 34

    Rushing Yards: 163

    Passing Yards: 272

    Turnovers: 1

    ** Statistical edge to Syracuse

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Notre Dame 44 Syracuse 26

    Syracuse (1 star)

    Angle: Fourth Straight Home Game

    Go against Notre Dame ( Won previous three games, Favored in 1st three games, 7-15, 31.8% )

    Oklahoma State(+4) at Baylor

    Power Rating Projection:

    Oklahoma State 24 Baylor 22

    Statistical Projections

    Oklahoma State 21

    Rushing Yards: 185

    Passing Yards: 126

    Turnovers: 3 Baylor 20

    Rushing Yards: 145

    Passing Yards: 230

    Turnovers: 2

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Oklahoma State 24 Baylor 22

    U-C-F(-10) at Rice

    Power Rating Projection:

    U-C-F 32 Rice 24

    Statistical Projections

    U-C-F 46

    Rushing Yards: 210

    Passing Yards: 329

    Turnovers: 1 Rice 23

    Rushing Yards: 247

    Passing Yards: 115

    Turnovers: 3

    ** Statistical edge to U-C-F

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    U-C-F 35 Rice 27

    Idaho(+29½) at Boise State

    Power Rating Projection:

    Boise State 49 Idaho 12

    Statistical Projections

    Idaho 15

    Rushing Yards: 60

    Passing Yards: 231

    Turnovers: 2 Boise State 40

    Rushing Yards: 243

    Passing Yards: 234

    Turnovers: 3

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Boise State 55 Idaho 18

    Nevada-Reno(-9½) at Utah State

    Power Rating Projection:

    Nevada-Reno 30 Utah State 26

    Statistical Projections

    Nevada-Reno 34

    Rushing Yards: 163

    Passing Yards: 290

    Turnovers: 2 Utah State 22

    Rushing Yards: 114

    Passing Yards: 196

    Turnovers: 2

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Nevada-Reno 31 Utah State 28

    Washington State(-3) at Washington

    Power Rating Projection:

    Washington State 34 Washington 28

    Statistical Projections

    Washington State 36

    Rushing Yards: 196

    Passing Yards: 302

    Turnovers: 2 Washington 23

    Rushing Yards: 114

    Passing Yards: 228

    Turnovers: 2

    ** Statistical edge to Washington State

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Washington State 41 Washington 34

    Historical trend: Take Washington ( Domination by underdog, 7-1, 87.5% )

    Historical trend: Take Washington ( Domination by underdog at Washington, 4-0, 100.0% )

    Alabama(+7) at Auburn

    Power Rating Projection:

    Auburn 25 Alabama 15

    Statistical Projections

    Alabama 21

    Rushing Yards: 163

    Passing Yards: 200

    Turnovers: 1 Auburn 23

    Rushing Yards: 158

    Passing Yards: 224

    Turnovers: 2

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Auburn 20 Alabama 10

    Historical trend: Take Alabama ( Domination on the road by Alabama, 4-0, 100.0% )

    Penn State(-7) at Michigan State

    Power Rating Projection:

    Penn State 31 Michigan State 25

    Statistical Projections

    Penn State 38

    Rushing Yards: 232

    Passing Yards: 236

    Turnovers: 2 Michigan State 23

    Rushing Yards: 140

    Passing Yards: 241

    Turnovers: 2

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Penn State 34 Michigan State 28

    Historical trend: Take Michigan State ( Domination by home team, 7-1, 87.5% )

    Utah(+11½) at Brigham Young

    Power Rating Projection:

    Brigham Young 29 Utah 27

    Statistical Projections

    Utah 30

    Rushing Yards: 170

    Passing Yards: 306

    Turnovers: 3 Brigham Young 31

    Rushing Yards: 145

    Passing Yards: 300

    Turnovers: 2

    ** Statistical edge to Utah

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Brigham Young 40 Utah 21

    Brigham Young (1 star)

    Historical trend: Take Utah ( Domination by underdog, 7-1, 87.5% )

    Historical trend: Take Utah ( Domination by underdog at Brigham Young, 4-0, 100.0% )

    Historical trend: Take Utah ( Domination by visiting team, 6-2, 75.0% )

    East Carolina(+6½) at Marshall

    Power Rating Projection:

    Marshall 30 East Carolina 22

    Statistical Projections

    East Carolina 24

    Rushing Yards: 91

    Passing Yards: 245

    Turnovers: 2 Marshall 25

    Rushing Yards: 160

    Passing Yards: 203

    Turnovers: 2

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Marshall 30 East Carolina 22

    U-A-B(+7½) at UTEP

    Power Rating Projection:

    UTEP 34 U-A-B 25

    Statistical Projections

    U-A-B 20

    Rushing Yards: 121

    Passing Yards: 218

    Turnovers: 2 UTEP 28

    Rushing Yards: 114

    Passing Yards: 283

    Turnovers: 3

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    UTEP 38 U-A-B 30

    New Mexico State(+6) at San Jose State

    Power Rating Projection:

    San Jose State 39 New Mexico State 24

    Statistical Projections

    New Mexico State 25

    Rushing Yards: 74

    Passing Yards: 341

    Turnovers: 3 San Jose State 29

    Rushing Yards: 139

    Passing Yards: 236

    Turnovers: 2

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    San Jose State 45 New Mexico State 31

    Oregon State(+13) at Oregon

    Power Rating Projection:

    Oregon 34 Oregon State 23

    Statistical Projections

    Oregon State 24

    Rushing Yards: 123

    Passing Yards: 244

    Turnovers: 4 Oregon 37

    Rushing Yards: 110

    Passing Yards: 380

    Turnovers: 2

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Oregon 36 Oregon State 26

    Historical trend: Take Oregon ( Domination by home team, 7-1, 87.5% )

    Tulsa(-14) at Tulane

    Power Rating Projection:

    Tulsa 35 Tulane 25

    Statistical Projections

    Tulsa 38

    Rushing Yards: 179

    Passing Yards: 246

    Turnovers: 1 Tulane 20

    Rushing Yards: 99

    Passing Yards: 197

    Turnovers: 3

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Tulsa 40 Tulane 30

    Clemson(+1) at South Carolina

    Power Rating Projection:

    South Carolina 26 Clemson 25

    Statistical Projections

    Clemson 25

    Rushing Yards: 167

    Passing Yards: 198

    Turnovers: 1 South Carolina 20

    Rushing Yards: 74

    Passing Yards: 213

    Turnovers: 2

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    South Carolina 25 Clemson 24

    Historical trend: Take Clemson ( Domination by Clemson, 6-2, 75.0% )

    California(-4½) at Stanford

    Power Rating Projection:

    California 34 Stanford 26

    Statistical Projections

    California 32

    Rushing Yards: 239

    Passing Yards: 208

    Turnovers: 2 Stanford 19

    Rushing Yards: 76

    Passing Yards: 195

    Turnovers: 1

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    California 38 Stanford 31

    Colorado State(-15½) at Nevada-Las Vegas

    Power Rating Projection:

    Colorado State 36 Nevada-Las Vegas 24

    Statistical Projections

    Colorado State 34

    Rushing Yards: 106

    Passing Yards: 339

    Turnovers: 1 Nevada-Las Vegas 21

    Rushing Yards: 119

    Passing Yards: 249

    Turnovers: 3

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Colorado State 35 Nevada-Las Vegas 24

    Historical trend: Take Nevada-Las Vegas ( Domination by underdog, 6-1, 85.7% )

    Virginia Tech(-8½) at Virginia

    Power Rating Projection:

    Virginia Tech 25 Virginia 15

    Statistical Projections

    Virginia Tech 26

    Rushing Yards: 185

    Passing Yards: 175

    Turnovers: 2 Virginia 15

    Rushing Yards: 122

    Passing Yards: 147

    Turnovers: 2

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Virginia 15 Virginia Tech 13

    Virginia (1 star)

    Angle: After Bye Week

    Go against Virginia Tech ( Playing on the Road, Favored by 7½+ Points, 54-92-2, 37.0% )

    Historical trend: Take Virginia ( Domination by home team, 6-2, 75.0% )

    Historical trend: Take Virginia Tech ( Domination by favorite, 6-2, 75.0% )

    Air Force(+13) at New Mexico

    Power Rating Projection:

    New Mexico 31 Air Force 24

    Statistical Projections

    Air Force 30

    Rushing Yards: 234

    Passing Yards: 179

    Turnovers: 2 New Mexico 35

    Rushing Yards: 216

    Passing Yards: 254

    Turnovers: 1

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    New Mexico 31 Air Force 25

    Historical trend: Take New Mexico ( Domination by home team, 6-1, 85.7% )

    Memphis(+7½) at Southern Miss

    Power Rating Projection:

    Southern Miss 31 Memphis 27

    Statistical Projections

    Memphis 27

    Rushing Yards: 259

    Passing Yards: 166

    Turnovers: 2 Southern Miss 28

    Rushing Yards: 87

    Passing Yards: 283

    Turnovers: 2

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Southern Miss 35 Memphis 31

    Historical trend: Take Southern Miss ( Domination at home by Southern Miss, 4-0, 100.0% )

    Historical trend: Take Southern Miss ( Domination by Southern Miss, 7-1, 87.5% )

    Historical trend: Take Southern Miss ( Domination by favorite at Southern Miss, 4-0, 100.0% )

    Wyoming(+6½) at San Diego State

    Power Rating Projection:

    San Diego State 32 Wyoming 25

    Statistical Projections

    Wyoming 21

    Rushing Yards: 136

    Passing Yards: 208

    Turnovers: 3 San Diego State 22

    Rushing Yards: 141

    Passing Yards: 172

    Turnovers: 2

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    San Diego State 34 Wyoming 28

    Fresno State(+25) at Southern Cal

    Power Rating Projection:

    Southern Cal 42 Fresno State 25

    Statistical Projections

    Fresno State 26

    Rushing Yards: 166

    Passing Yards: 191

    Turnovers: 2 Southern Cal 36

    Rushing Yards: 237

    Passing Yards: 262

    Turnovers: 1

    ** Statistical edge to Fresno State

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Southern Cal 49 Fresno State 31

    Middle Tennessee(+18) at No Carolina State

    Power Rating Projection:

    No Carolina State 26 Middle Tennessee 18

    Statistical Projections

    Middle Tennessee 18

    Rushing Yards: 64

    Passing Yards: 183

    Turnovers: 1 No Carolina State 21

    Rushing Yards: 125

    Passing Yards: 199

    Turnovers: 3

    ** Statistical edge to Middle Tennessee

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    No Carolina State 21 Middle Tennessee 13

    Arkansas State(+7) at Army

    Power Rating Projection:

    Army 29 Arkansas State 21

    Statistical Projections

    Arkansas State 22

    Rushing Yards: 164

    Passing Yards: 153

    Turnovers: 2 Army 17

    Rushing Yards: 158

    Passing Yards: 154

    Turnovers: 2

    ** Statistical edge to Arkansas State

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Army 27 Arkansas State 19

    Georgia Tech(+18½) at Miami-Florida

    Power Rating Projection:

    Miami-Florida 31 Georgia Tech 12

    Statistical Projections

    Georgia Tech 12

    Rushing Yards: 121

    Passing Yards: 110

    Turnovers: 3 Miami-Florida 25

    Rushing Yards: 138

    Passing Yards: 213

    Turnovers: 3

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Miami-Florida 24 Georgia Tech 7

    S-M-U(+12½) at Houston

    Power Rating Projection:

    Houston 33 S-M-U 19

    Statistical Projections

    S-M-U 18

    Rushing Yards: 130

    Passing Yards: 162

    Turnovers: 2 Houston 29

    Rushing Yards: 150

    Passing Yards: 298

    Turnovers: 2

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Houston 33 S-M-U 19

    Western Kentucky at Florida Intl

    Power Rating Projection:

    Florida Intl 25 Western Kentucky 23

    Statistical Projections

    No statistical projections for this game

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Florida Intl 23 Western Kentucky 20

    UL-Monroe(-4½) at North Texas

    Power Rating Projection:

    UL-Monroe 28 North Texas 27

    Statistical Projections

    UL-Monroe 30

    Rushing Yards: 175

    Passing Yards: 280

    Turnovers: 2 North Texas 17

    Rushing Yards: 168

    Passing Yards: 133

    Turnovers: 3

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    UL-Monroe 30 North Texas 28

    Historical trend: Take North Texas ( Domination by home team, 4-0, 100.0% )

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Monday, November 21, 2005

    Miami-Ohio at Ohio

    Power Rating Projection:

    Miami-Ohio 29 Ohio 20

    Statistical Projections

    Miami-Ohio 37

    Rushing Yards: 145

    Passing Yards: 354

    Turnovers: 2 Ohio 20

    Rushing Yards: 174

    Passing Yards: 124

    Turnovers: 1

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Miami-Ohio 27 Ohio 18

    

    posted by phantom

    Nov. 16, 2005 1:47pm
15. SUNSHINE FORECAST: NFL

    Official Selections:

    November 20, 2005

    Seattle Seahawks (-12) 36 at San Francisco 49ers 16

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    November 21, 2005

    Green Bay Packers (-3½) 37 vs. Minnesota Vikings 16

    The rest:

    Sunday, November 20, 2005

    Carolina Panthers (-3) at Chicago Bears

    Power Rating Projection:

    Carolina Panthers 24 Chicago Bears 18

    Statistical Projections

    Carolina Panthers 21

    Rushing Yards: 77

    Passing Yards: 238

    Turnovers: 2 Chicago Bears 13

    Rushing Yards: 102

    Passing Yards: 152

    Turnovers: 4

    ** Statistical edge to Carolina Panthers

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Carolina Panthers 26 Chicago Bears 20

    Jacksonville Jaguars(-4) at Tennessee Titans

    Power Rating Projection:

    Jacksonville Jaguars 24 Tennessee Titans 18

    Statistical Projections

    Jacksonville Jaguars 27

    Rushing Yards: 135

    Passing Yards: 243

    Turnovers: 1 Tennessee Titans 18

    Rushing Yards: 108

    Passing Yards: 225

    Turnovers: 3

    ** Statistical edge to Jacksonville Jaguars

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Jacksonville Jaguars 23 Tennessee Titans 17

    Indianapolis Colts (-4½) at Cincinnati Bengals

    Power Rating Projection:

    Indianapolis Colts 22 Cincinnati Bengals 19

    Statistical Projections

    Indianapolis Colts 24

    Rushing Yards: 143

    Passing Yards: 216

    Turnovers: 3 Cincinnati Bengals 21

    Rushing Yards: 128

    Passing Yards: 224

    Turnovers: 2

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Indianapolis Colts 20 Cincinnati Bengals 17

    New Orleans Saints (+10) at New England Patriots

    Power Rating Projection:

    New England Patriots 26 New Orleans Saints 16

    Statistical Projections

    New Orleans Saints 22

    Rushing Yards: 117

    Passing Yards: 262

    Turnovers: 2 New England Patriots 28

    Rushing Yards: 108

    Passing Yards: 261

    Turnovers: 1

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    New England Patriots 24 New Orleans Saints 15

    Arizona Cardinals (+9) at St Louis Rams

    Power Rating Projection:

    St Louis Rams 30 Arizona Cardinals 21

    Statistical Projections

    Arizona Cardinals 24

    Rushing Yards: 90

    Passing Yards: 278

    Turnovers: 2 St Louis Rams 27

    Rushing Yards: 103

    Passing Yards: 314

    Turnovers: 2

    ** Statistical edge to Arizona Cardinals

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    St Louis Rams 37 Arizona Cardinals 28

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers(+6) at Atlanta Falcons

    Power Rating Projection:

    Atlanta Falcons 22 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 17

    Statistical Projections

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers 18

    Rushing Yards: 109

    Passing Yards: 228

    Turnovers: 2 Atlanta Falcons 21

    Rushing Yards: 160

    Passing Yards: 153

    Turnovers: 2

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Atlanta Falcons 17 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 13

    Historical trend: Take Atlanta Falcons ( Domination by favorite, 7-2, 77.8% )

    Historical trend: Take Tampa Bay Buccaneers ( Domination by Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 7-2, 77.8% )

    Oakland Raiders (+6) at Washington Redskins

    Power Rating Projection:

    Washington Redskins 24 Oakland Raiders 19

    Statistical Projections

    Oakland Raiders 21

    Rushing Yards: 77

    Passing Yards: 227

    Turnovers: 1 Washington Redskins 25

    Rushing Yards: 124

    Passing Yards: 265

    Turnovers: 1

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Washington Redskins 25 Oakland Raiders 21

    Detroit Lions (+8) at Dallas Cowboys

    Power Rating Projection:

    Dallas Cowboys 23 Detroit Lions 15

    Statistical Projections

    Detroit Lions 16

    Rushing Yards: 103

    Passing Yards: 177

    Turnovers: 2 Dallas Cowboys 19

    Rushing Yards: 118

    Passing Yards: 223

    Turnovers: 2

    ** Statistical edge to Detroit Lions

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Dallas Cowboys 23 Detroit Lions 15

    Philadelphia Eagles (+3½) at New York Giants

    Power Rating Projection:

    New York Giants 26 Philadelphia Eagles 21

    Statistical Projections

    Philadelphia Eagles 19

    Rushing Yards: 65

    Passing Yards: 280

    Turnovers: 2 New York Giants 22

    Rushing Yards: 105

    Passing Yards: 233

    Turnovers: 2

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    New York Giants 33 Philadelphia Eagles 28

    Miami Dolphins (+2½) at Cleveland Browns

    Power Rating Projection:

    Cleveland Browns 19 Miami Dolphins 18

    Statistical Projections

    Miami Dolphins 20

    Rushing Yards: 114

    Passing Yards: 228

    Turnovers: 2 Cleveland Browns 15

    Rushing Yards: 94

    Passing Yards: 205

    Turnovers: 2

    ** Statistical edge to Miami Dolphins

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Miami Dolphins 13 Cleveland Browns 12

    Seattle Seahawks (-12) at San Francisco 49ers

    Power Rating Projection:

    Seattle Seahawks 26 San Francisco 49ers 19

    Statistical Projections

    Seattle Seahawks 28

    Rushing Yards: 132

    Passing Yards: 284

    Turnovers: 2 San Francisco 49ers 12

    Rushing Yards: 100

    Passing Yards: 135

    Turnovers: 2

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Seattle Seahawks 36 San Francisco 49ers 16

    Seattle Seahawks (1 star)

    Angle: Favored by More Than 7 Points on the Road

    Go against Seattle Seahawks ( No additional conditions, 42-71-3, 37.2% )

    Angle: Scored 9 or Fewer Points in Consecutive Games

    Go against San Francisco 49ers ( Opponent played at home in previous game, 16-26-2, 38.1% )

    Angle: Home Underdogs

    Go with San Francisco 49ers ( Underdog by more than 7 points, Lost on the road in previous game, 37-23-3, 61.7% )

    Buffalo Bills (+9) at San Diego Chargers

    Power Rating Projection:

    San Diego Chargers 28 Buffalo Bills 19

    Statistical Projections

    Buffalo Bills 17

    Rushing Yards: 109

    Passing Yards: 166

    Turnovers: 1 San Diego Chargers 24

    Rushing Yards: 153

    Passing Yards: 209

    Turnovers: 3

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    San Diego Chargers 34 Buffalo Bills 26

    Angle: After Bye Week

    Go against San Diego Chargers ( Favored, Previous game was on the road, 27-46-3, 37.0% )

    New York Jets (+13) at Denver Broncos

    Power Rating Projection:

    Denver Broncos 28 New York Jets 14

    Statistical Projections

    New York Jets 15

    Rushing Yards: 91

    Passing Yards: 179

    Turnovers: 2 Denver Broncos 26

    Rushing Yards: 162

    Passing Yards: 208

    Turnovers: 1

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Denver Broncos 27 New York Jets 14

    Pittsburgh Steelers (-4) at Baltimore Ravens

    Power Rating Projection:

    Pittsburgh Steelers 20 Baltimore Ravens 15

    Statistical Projections

    Pittsburgh Steelers 22

    Rushing Yards: 121

    Passing Yards: 170

    Turnovers: 1 Baltimore Ravens 14

    Rushing Yards: 86

    Passing Yards: 199

    Turnovers: 2

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Pittsburgh Steelers 13 Baltimore Ravens 9

    Angle: Home Turf versus Road Grass

    Go with Baltimore Ravens ( Average line past 3 games shows home team as underdog, 57-23-1, 71.3% )

    Angle: Scored 9 or Fewer Points in Consecutive Games

    Go against Baltimore Ravens ( Opponent played at home in previous game, 16-26-2, 38.1% )

    Historical trend: Take Pittsburgh Steelers ( Domination on the road by Pittsburgh Steelers, 7-1, 87.5% )

    Kansas City Chiefs (-6½) at Houston Texans

    Power Rating Projection:

    Kansas City Chiefs 22 Houston Texans 19

    Statistical Projections

    Kansas City Chiefs 30

    Rushing Yards: 147

    Passing Yards: 285

    Turnovers: 1 Houston Texans 18

    Rushing Yards: 114

    Passing Yards: 166

    Turnovers: 1

    ** Statistical edge to Kansas City Chiefs

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Kansas City Chiefs 21 Houston Texans 18

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Monday, November 21, 2005

    Minnesota Vikings (+3½) at Green Bay Packers

    Power Rating Projection:

    Green Bay Packers 27 Minnesota Vikings 18

    Statistical Projections

    Minnesota Vikings 21

    Rushing Yards: 89

    Passing Yards: 250

    Turnovers: 1 Green Bay Packers 27

    Rushing Yards: 88

    Passing Yards: 290

    Turnovers: 2

    SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

    Green Bay Packers 37 Minnesota Vikings 16

    Green Bay Packers (1 star)

    Angle: After Winning as Double Digit Dog

    Go against Minnesota Vikings ( Opponent played previous game on the road, 6-14-2, 30.0% )

    Historical trend: Take Minnesota Vikings ( Domination by underdog, 13-4, 76.5% )

    Historical trend: Take Minnesota Vikings ( Domination by underdog at Green Bay Packers, 7-1, 87.5% )

    

    posted by phantom

    Nov. 16, 2005 1:48pm
16. Powersweep

    4* Colorado state over UNLV 44-20

    3* Purdue over Indiana 41-13

    3* San Diego St Over Wyoming 35-20

    2* Alabama over Auburn 18-17

    2* Washington over Washington State 31-26

    2* Oklahoma over texas tech 31-30

    4* Seattle over San Francisco 37-6

    3* Carolina over Chicago 17-6

    2* Cincinnati over Indianapolis 31-28

    2* San Deigo over Buffalo 38-17

    

    posted by phantom

    Nov. 16, 2005 1:49pm
17. Red Sheet NCAA

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    89-Tulsa, Boise 88-USF, Vandy, ND 87-BYU, UCF, N'west'n, Iowa

    Red Sheet NFL

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    88-Den 87-SD, Atl, GB

    

    posted by phantom

    Nov. 16, 2005 1:49pm
18. RED SHEET

    NOVEMBER 19, 2005 VOLUME 37, NUMBER 12

    Tulsa 45 - TULANE 14 - (2:00 EST) -- Line opened at Tulsa minus 14, and is still minus 14. If ever a team

    was emotionally & physically drained, the Greenies of Tulane are that team. Robbed of

    their home, thanks to Katrina, they've seen their early 2-1 start (wins vs an SMU team which

    was in off a 66-8 pounding the previous week, & in a non-lined affair with SE La). turn to

    mush. They've been mauled, especially overland (allowed 801 RYs last 2 games), & last

    week, became Rice's first victim of the year. On a 6-game losing streak, both SU & ATS,

    they don't figure to get healthy vs the premier visiting team in the nation (5-0 vs the pts, by

    an average of 23.9 ppg!). The 'Canes are only a couple of plays from being on an 8-game

    run, following their brutal opening sked. Reasonable spot is worth noting.

    RATING: TULSA 89

    BOISE STATE 58 - Idaho 14 - (3:00) -- Line opened at Boise minus 29½, and is now minus 31. Yes, we are

    aware of the heavy baggage here, but simply no other way to go. The Broncos are in off

    their worst league showing since 1998, managing not a single pt in the final 59:13 in a 27-

    7 loss in their WAC showdown at Fresno. Following their previous loss (Sept 10th at

    OregonSt), they were not to be fooled with, & proceeded to trounce a quality Bowling Green

    squad, 48-20, leading 48-6 in the 4th. In their last 2 HGs, the Broncos rolled by similar 49-

    14 & 56-6 scores, covering by 15 & 17s pts. Are still in line for a decent bowl, so the

    incentive is there. They catch the Vandals off a heartbreaking loss to LaTech, but note

    Idaho with a 62-14 loss in its last RG vs a decent foe (Reno). This one is over early.

    RATING: BOISE STATE 89

    SOUTH FLORIDA 38 - Cincinnati 10 - (12:00) -- Line opened at SouthFlorida minus 17, and is now minus

    19. Largest line move on the board (thru Tuesday) here, but still have to call the Bulls'

    number. They've been one of the top surprises of the season. In Hall, they own one of the

    true overland gems in the nation, & rank 14th in rushing "O". And try 24th in land in total

    "D", despite facing the likes of PennSt, Louisville, & Miami-Fla. Of course, their shocking

    45-14 upset of the Cards (51-pt cover) had the nation taking notice. By the way, that was

    their last home game. As noted on Pointwise, they control their BigEast destiny. If they

    run the table, they will land a prestigious BCS Bowl. The 'Bearcats are yet to impress, away

    from home, & in off a 38-0 thumping at WestVirginia. More of the same.

    RATING: SOUTH FLORIDA 88

    TENNESSEE 27 - Vanderbilt 25 - (12:30) -- Line opened at Tennessee minus 13, and is now minus 11½. As

    our readers are well aware, the Vols are one of the worst home propositions in the nation.

    Check it out: now on an 0-9 ATS run in Knoxville, while the visitor in Tennessee games is on

    a 30-12 spread streak. As if that weren't reason enough to string along with the Commodores

    here, the fact that the Vols are among the worst rushing teams in the land (98th), with

    a still fluid QB situation, only cements it. In off squeaking by a Memphis team which was

    without its splendid RB, Williams. Vandy has seen its hopeful season, turn to dust, but

    'Dores took Florida into OT just 2 weeks back, & stay in this all the way.

    RATING: VANDERBILT 88

    NOTRE DAME 52 - Syracuse 3 - (2:20) -- Line opened at NotreDame minus 36, and is now minus 34½. We

    originally had this one slotted as our top Red Sheet choice, despite the 5-TD spread, but

    there is a distinct chance that the midwest may be hit with snow this weekend, thus a drop

    to #5. The Irish just continue to put points on the board, averaging >41 pts in 8 of their 9

    starts, including 31 vs the top team in the land, USC. Quinn has been a superb leader, with

    27 TD passes, & just 5 interceptions. The 'Cuse is the exact opposite. Can't move the ball

    (116th in total offense), behind its invisible offensive line. And to think that just 2 yrs ago,

    the Orange beat the Irish, 38-12. Maybe a bit of revenge? Romper Room.

    RATING: NOTRE DAME 88

    DENVER 30 - New York Jets 10 - (4:15) -- Line opened at Denver minus 12½, and is now minus 13. It's all

    over for the Jets. They've made a valiant effort, in trying to replace Pennington, along with

    various other offensive performers. Now down to Bollinger at QB, who came from a pair of

    TD throws, in a decent home showing vs the Chargers, to no less than 4 interceptions the

    following week, at Carolina. That's enough for us, as NY is suddenly a road midget, with

    losses by double digits in all 5 away games, and by an average of 16 pts. Enter the Broncos

    - the epitome of consistency since their opening bomb at Miami. Just a 24-23 loss at the

    Giants from 8-0 SU run. Check a 1,319-536 RY edge in their last 7 contests, along with

    Plummer without a pick in his last 193 passes. Opposite directions.

    RATING: DENVER 88

    NEAR CHOICES (Rated 87): BYU, CentFlorida, Northwestern, Iowa -- NFL: San Diego, Atlanta, Green

    Bay

    

    posted by phantom

    Nov. 18, 2005 2:15pm
19. MEJIA's SELECTIONS:

    Projected Scores

    Week 12

    Miami (Ohio) 44 Bowling Green 27

    Akron 17 Ohio 14

    Toledo 35 Northern Illinois 31

    Miami (Fla.) 39 Wake Forest 10

    South Florida 38 Cincinnati 13

    Ball State 34 Central Michigan 23

    Army 31 Arkansas State 16

    North Carolina State 24 Middle Tennessee 13

    Navy 40 Temple 3

    Eastern Michigan 24 Buffalo 17

    Arkansas 27 Mississippi State 13

    Texas Tech 36 Oklahoma 20

    Notre Dame 35 Syracuse 10

    Boise State 45 Idaho 23

    Nevada 37 Utah State 20

    Central Florida 30 Rice 17

    Washington State 41 Washington 24

    Marshall 27 East Carolina 13

    San Jose State 31 New Mexico State 24

    Florida International 24 Western Kentucky 20

    Oregon 40 Oregon State 27

    Stanford 38 California 31

    Tulsa 45 Tulane 20

    Louisiana-Monroe 20 La.-Lafayette 17

    Southern Mississippi 31 Memphis 19

    Texas-El Paso 38 UAB 34

    Southern California 37 Fresno State 17

    Miami (Ohio) 44 Ohio 14

    New Mexico 20 Air Force 17

    LSU 24 Mississippi 6

    Auburn 20 Alabama 10

    Maryland 24 Boston College 16

    Iowa 34 Minnesota 24

    Baylor 20 Oklahoma State 16

    Kansas State 27 Missouri 20

    Utah 31 Brigham Young 24

    North Carolina 54 Duke 7

    Northwestern 45 Illinois 27

    Michigan 27 Ohio State 24

    Purdue 34 Indiana 23

    San Diego State 34 Wyoming 24

    Clemson 30 South Carolina 17

    Colorado State 27 UNLV 21

    Tennessee 30 Vanderbilt 17

    Virginia 20 Virginia Tech 17

    Georgia 34 Kentucky 6

    Penn State 45 Michigan State 34

    Home team is in bold.

    His underdogs to win outright:

    Virginia

    Utah

    Kansas State

    Michigan

    Stanford

    Ball State

    

    posted by phantom

    Nov. 18, 2005 2:15pm
20. HARMON FORECAST

    Game of the Week

    *Michigan 24, Ohio State 23

    This will be the 102nd meeding as Michigan has a 57-38-6 edge. The home team has won the last three meetings, so we give the Wolverines the edge by one point.

    Week of Nov. 18

    Major Colleges - Div. I-A

    *Arkansas 24 Mississippi State 12

    Arkansas State 20 *Army 17

    *Akron 27 Ohio 24

    *Auburn 20 Alabama 17

    *Ball State 28 Central Michigan 27

    *Boise State 41 Idaho 14

    *Brigham Young 28 Utah 24

    California 33 *Stanford 24

    Central Florida 27 *Rice 7

    Clemson 24 *South Carolina 23

    Colorado State 31 *UNLV 22

    Eastern Michigan 34 *Buffalo 7

    *Florida International 24 Western Kentucky 14

    *Georgia 24 Kentucky 7

    *Kansas State 27 Missouri 25

    *Louisiana-Monroe 27 La.-Lafayette 21

    LSU 21 *Mississippi 6

    *Marshall 26 East Carolina 21

    *Maryland 24 Boston College 23

    *Miami (Fla.) 28 Georgia Tech 16

    *Miami (Ohio) 30 Bowling Green 24

    *Michigan 24 Ohio State 23

    Minnesota 30 *Iowa 23

    *Navy 26 Temple 6

    Nevada 31 *Utah State 17

    *New Mexico 27 Air Force 20

    *North Carolina 23 Duke 16

    *North Carolina State 31 Middle Tennessee 21

    Northwestern 35 *Illinois 14

    *Notre Dame 38 Syracuse 10

    Oklahoma State 34 *Baylor 24

    *Oregon 34 Oregon State 31

    Penn State 29 *Michigan State 27

    Purdue 28 *Indiana 14

    *San Diego State 23 Wyoming 20

    *San Jose State 28 New Mexico State 24

    *South Florida 31 Cincinnati 20

    *Southern California 37 Fresno State 24

    *Southern Mississippi 24 Memphis 23

    *Tennessee 17 Vanderbilt 10

    *Texas-El Paso 24 UAB 17

    *Texas Tech 31 Oklahoma 24

    *Toledo 31 Northern Illinois 23

    Tulsa 31 *Tulane 17

    Virginia Tech 23 *Virginia 14

    Washington State 34 *Washington 24

    * - Denotes home team

    

    posted by phantom

    Nov. 18, 2005 2:16pm
21. RED SHEET ONLINE

    RATINGS: 89 & ABOVE: SUPERIOR PLAY

    88 & BELOW: ABOVE AVERAGE PLAY

    NOVEMBER 19, 2005 VOLUME 37, NUMBER 12

    Tulsa 45 - TULANE 14 - (2:00 EST) -- Line opened at Tulsa minus 14, and is still minus 14. If ever a team was emotionally & physically drained, the Greenies of Tulane are that team. Robbed of their home, thanks to Katrina, they've seen their early 2-1 start (wins vs an SMU team which was in off a 66-8 pounding the previous week, & in a non-lined affair with SE La). turn to mush. They've been mauled, especially overland (allowed 801 RYs last 2 games), & last week, became Rice's first victim of the year. On a 6-game losing streak, both SU & ATS, they don't figure to get healthy vs the premier visiting team in the nation (5-0 vs the pts, by an average of 23.9 ppg!). The 'Canes are only a couple of plays from being on an 8-game run, following their brutal opening sked. Reasonable spot is worth noting.

    RATING: TULSA 89

    BOISE STATE 58 - Idaho 14 - (3:00) -- Line opened at Boise minus 29½, and is now minus 31. Yes, we are aware of the heavy baggage here, but simply no other way to go. The Broncos are in off their worst league showing since 1998, managing not a single pt in the final 59:13 in a 27-7 loss in their WAC showdown at Fresno. Following their previous loss (Sept 10th at OregonSt), they were not to be fooled with, & proceeded to trounce a quality Bowling Green squad, 48-20, leading 48-6 in the 4th. In their last 2 HGs, the Broncos rolled by similar 49-14 & 56-6 scores, covering by 15 & 17s pts. Are still in line for a decent bowl, so the incentive is there. They catch the Vandals off a heartbreaking loss to LaTech, but note Idaho with a 62-14 loss in its last RG vs a decent foe (Reno). This one is over early.

    RATING: BOISE STATE 89

    SOUTH FLORIDA 38 - Cincinnati 10 - (12:00) -- Line opened at SouthFlorida minus 17, and is now minus 19. Largest line move on the board (thru Tuesday) here, but still have to call the Bulls' number. They've been one of the top surprises of the season. In Hall, they own one of the true overland gems in the nation, & rank 14th in rushing "O". And try 24th in land in total "D", despite facing the likes of PennSt, Louisville, & Miami-Fla. Of course, their shocking 45-14 upset of the Cards (51-pt cover) had the nation taking notice. By the way, that was their last home game. As noted on Pointwise, they control their BigEast destiny. If they run the table, they will land a prestigious BCS Bowl. The 'Bearcats are yet to impress, away from home, & in off a 38-0 thumping at WestVirginia. More of the same.

    RATING: SOUTH FLORIDA 88

    TENNESSEE 27 - Vanderbilt 25 - (12:30) -- Line opened at Tennessee minus 13, and is now minus 11½. As our readers are well aware, the Vols are one of the worst home propositions in the nation. Check it out: now on an 0-9 ATS run in Knoxville, while the visitor in Tennessee games is on a 30-12 spread streak. As if that weren't reason enough to string along with the Commo-dores here, the fact that the Vols are among the worst rushing teams in the land (98th), with a still fluid QB situation, only cements it. In off squeaking by a Memphis team which was without its splendid RB, Williams. Vandy has seen its hopeful season, turn to dust, but 'Dores took Florida into OT just 2 weeks back, & stay in this all the way.

    RATING: VANDERBILT 88

    NOTRE DAME 52 - Syracuse 3 - (2:20) -- Line opened at NotreDame minus 36, and is now minus 34½. We originally had this one slotted as our top Red Sheet choice, despite the 5-TD spread, but there is a distinct chance that the midwest may be hit with snow this weekend, thus a drop to #5. The Irish just continue to put points on the board, averaging >41 pts in 8 of their 9 starts, including 31 vs the top team in the land, USC. Quinn has been a superb leader, with 27 TD passes, & just 5 interceptions. The 'Cuse is the exact opposite. Can't move the ball (116th in total offense), behind its invisible offensive line. And to think that just 2 yrs ago, the Orange beat the Irish, 38-12. Maybe a bit of revenge? Romper Room.

    RATING: NOTRE DAME 88

    DENVER 30 - New York Jets 10 - (4:15) -- Line opened at Denver minus 12½, and is now minus 13. It's all over for the Jets. They've made a valiant effort, in trying to replace Pennington, along with various other offensive performers. Now down to Bollinger at QB, who came from a pair of TD throws, in a decent home showing vs the Chargers, to no less than 4 interceptions the following week, at Carolina. That's enough for us, as NY is suddenly a road midget, with losses by double digits in all 5 away games, and by an average of 16 pts. Enter the Broncos - the epitome of consistency since their opening bomb at Miami. Just a 24-23 loss at the Giants from 8-0 SU run. Check a 1,319-536 RY edge in their last 7 contests, along with Plummer without a pick in his last 193 passes. Opposite directions.

    RATING: DENVER 88

    NEAR CHOICES (Rated 87): BYU, CentFlorida, Northwestern, Iowa -- NFL: San Diego, Atlanta, Green Bay

    LINE MOVES (from largest to smallest move): SoFlorida (-17 to -19); Vanderbilt (+13 to +11½); Eastern Michigan (-4½ to -6); Oklahoma (+8½ to +7); Syracuse (+36 to +34½); OklahomaSt (+4 to +2½); BoiseSt (-29½ to -31); BYU (-10 to -11½); Clemson (Pick to -1½); SanDiegoSt (-5½ to -7); Army (-6 to -7½) - NFL: Indianapolis (-4½ to -5½). -- TIME CHANGE: Just one change from early edition: BC/Maryland: Now 1:00.

    

    posted by phantom

    Nov. 18, 2005 2:17pm
22. KEVIN O’NEILL’S

    The Maximum Profit Football Weekly

    • Volume 6 Issue 13 November 17-21, 2005 •

    Rivalry Landscape Has Changed in College Football and

    Why Can’t Coaches Let Them Score?

    Rivalry Time: There is still some value to be gained from my first book published in 1996, but times have changed quite a bit as well. One thing that has changed is the landscape of college football rivalries. A lot of the underdog angles in rivalry games don’t work nearly as well any more. Treat them as a factor not the factor. If you lack any of my books steep discounts are available for Max readers. Call 1-770-649-1078 for details.

    Coaches Can’t Let Them Score: Georgia looked to have their game with Auburn all but won, leading 30-28 with Auburn facing a 4th and 10 in their own territory near the 2 minute mark. The resulting long completion and fumble retained by the offense results in the Tigers having it 1st and goal from the 3. If I’m Mark Richt and I let Auburn score immediately. Allowing Auburn to score a touchdown on first down would result in the Bulldogs trailing either 34-30 or 36-30 (Auburn would have gone for 2) and receiving the kickoff with about 1:40 left. Instead Richt let Auburn run the clock down and kick a 20-yard field goal for the win. A 20-yard field goal is a 90%+ shot, even though the Auburn kicker missed 5 of 6 at LSU. He wasn’t about to miss the equivalent of an extra point. So stopping them is a 90% chance of losing. What is the likelihood of accepting a kickoff and scoring a TD in 1:40? I’m not sure, but it is a heck of a lot better than 10%. I know that allowing them to score would have been counterintuitive, but it is the right play often enough that coaches should be prepared to make the decision.

    Apologies to you loyal readers for writing about this so frequently, but refusing to use a strategy that can help you win a game is truly baffling

    Our Week: 3-1-1 on the late phones in college, 1-1 on Sunday for an overall 4-2-1 weekend on the phones. The Max went 4-3 in the colleges and 1-3 on Sunday. Those records include a 0-2 mark by Dave Fobare, who still has a solid winning record despite a tough couple of weeks. The Max has Dallas pending on Monday night (written up at +3, it eventually required a significant (-125 or so) lay to get +3, which was one of the reasons we stayed off it on the late phones. The Midweek Play actually won a game with the Texans and will stay in the NFL this week. Favorites continue to do well, going 8-5 on Sunday in the NFL.

    Copyright 2005. All Rights Reserved.

    Published by Strategic Sports Publishing

    8610 Roswell Road. Suite 900-300. Atlanta, Georgia 30350

    Phone (770.649.1078) Fax (770.234.5051) Email (kevino@bellsouth.net)

    SELECTIONS: November 17-21, 2005

    College Football

    Saturday, November 19, 2005 One Dimensional Matchup @Iowa (-4½) over Minnesota

    Both of these teams are seen as one-dimensional offensively but are improving their weakness. Iowa passes the ball much more impressively than they run it but Albert Young is running big late in the season. Minnesota can run all over you but Brian Cupito is having a decent year and the power of the Gophers running game opens up the pass to the tune of over 200 yards per game on around 8 yards per pass attempt. Minnesota has a deep and strong running game and third stringer Amir Pinnix went for over 200 yards at home in a big win against Michigan State and Laurence Maroney, one of the nation’s best backs, will return from injury for this one on Saturday. But well-coached Iowa is always developing players well over the course of the season and their defense has developed into a real strength late in the year. They held Wisconsin’s spectacular Brian Calhoun to 18 yards rushing and no TD’s on Saturday. Iowa’s defensive line was a source of concern at the start of the season but is developing into a real strength. Redshirt freshman DE Mitch King was named Big 10 Defensive Player of the Week after a huge performance against Wisconsin and his fellow end Kenny Iwebema is developing into a pass rushing monster. This strong defense helped the Hawkeyes bounce back at Wisconsin after crushing defeats at home against Michigan and at Northwestern.

    Iowa is 24-5-1 ATS in their last 30 home games. In addition to their outrageous success at home, Ferentz has gotten his team geeked up for Senior Day. In their home finales under Ferentz the Hawkeyes have covered by 20, 13, 24, 6, 22, and 16, a 6-0 pointspread mark that combines to cover by 101 points. Conversely, Minnesota under Mason has struggled in their road finale, failing to cover each of their last 6. While 3 of those games were at Iowa and therefore overlap with the Ferentz stats, Minnesota lost at Wisconsin in the alternating years, getting blown out each time and failing to cover each by double digits. They have lost each of their last five last road games by 18 or more. Ferentz has proven time and time again that he has Mason’s number, especially at this site. Lay the short number, as well-prepared Iowa is the side in this one. Iowa by 11.

    Wildcat Strike

    Kentucky (+27½) over @Georgia

    After losing to South Carolina and being 0-5 against 1-A opposition, Kentucky was given up for dead and Rich Brooks was considered to be as good as fired. Then a funny thing happened. The Wildcats started playing with some fire. They lost to Mississippi 13-7 as a 10-point dog and then beat Mississippi State by an identical 13-7 score as a 1-point favorite. The Wildcats then put up 450 yards of offense against Auburn and were right in that ballgame before the breaks went against them late in a 49-27 loss. Kentucky then exploded to a 41-10 lead early in the third quarter before the defense softened up against hurry up Vandy and the Commodores cut the final score to 48-43. But it was still an impressive win for UK. Their passing game is impressive right now and emerging RB Rafael Little has been outstanding. Now granted, UK is riddled with injuries on the defensive side of the ball and gave up over 500 yards in each of those games. And we realize that they caught both Auburn (looking ahead to Georgia) and Vandy (off OT loss at Florida) in flat spots. But Kentucky still is capable of putting some points on the board against a Georgia team that has been susceptible to the big play and gave up over 500 yards against Auburn and that is meaningful with a spread this high.

    Georgia isn’t in the greatest spot in the world themselves. The Bulldogs are off of consecutive losses and the Auburn loss was a real crusher, as all they had to do was stop the Tigers in a 4th and 10 situation and they’d have the SEC East clinched. But UGA wasn’t that down after the game, as with South Carolina’s win over Florida earlier in the day they considered themselves to have the division wrapped up anyhow, as they know they’ll win this game. But winning the game is fine. We just need Kentucky to hang around inside this big number and we’re confident the Wildcats can do that. Since their opening week rampage against Boise State UGA has failed to cover four consecutive home games and they haven’t won a home conference game by more than a field goal. Overall they haven’t won a conference game by more than 17 points. UGA the superior team and though this is an important game for them they may be deflated off the successive losses to Florida and Auburn while they look forward to in state rival Georgia Tech (lots of woofing and yapping in that one each year). Kentucky is the side today. Georgia by only 20.

    UnTennable

    Vanderbilt (+11) @Tennessee

    Tennessee makes you just want to throw up. All those top recruits in a program with all that money and all those facilities and they hardly do anything with it. They very easily could have lost to Memphis on Saturday. Memphis superstar RB DeAngelo Williams, who may be more important to his team than any single player in college football, didn’t even play due to injury while their QB is Maurice Avery, who was a WR until about three games ago. The problems at Tennessee run a lot deeper than bad wide receivers and poor quarterback decisions. When they won the national championship they began to recruit nationally. Instead of having players from Tennessee, the Carolinas, and Georgia, they have kids from California, Texas, New Jersey, Ohio, Hawaii, Wisconsin, etc. It can be tough to get a national recruiting class to gel. They are often thinking more about their NFL career rather than playing for the dear old State U. The lack of chemistry has the Volunteers 4-5 straight up and scrambling for a Music City Bowl berth. UT is 1-7-1 against the spread and has failed to cover each of the past three games by double digits.

    Vandy had their doors blown off early by Kentucky before they came back to make the final score respectable. They were crashing hard after the devastating double OT loss in Gainesville the week before. But the Commodores will have no trouble getting up for this one. In the Volunteer State Vandy isn’t even considered the JV to Tennessee’s varsity, they’re more like the freshman team. They’ll be supremely motivated. While Vandy’s defense is wearing down the offense remains lively.

    Tennessee is a pretty easy team to defend, as they can’t throw the ball effectively and their running game is overrated as well. QB Jay Cutler has kept the Commodores in some games against superior opposition and while Tennessee has superior talent it may be a stretch to call them a superior team. Look for the Commodores to stay in this one. Tennessee by only 4.

    Rivalry Dog

    @Michigan (+3) over Ohio State

    Looking to buck an early line move on Ohio State. Understand the move, as Ohio State has the superior defense, but in a rivalry of this magnitude and the amount of talent on the field for both teams we’ll look to take the points with a good home dog. Michigan has shown a lot of intestinal fortitude as the season has progressed. After a 3-3 start the Wolverines have meaningful wins over Penn State (Nittany Lions only loss) and at Iowa (first loss for

    3

    Iowa at home in over three years, as well as a meaningful road win at Northwestern. Michigan has shown they have quality athletes, and while they are not as good defensively as Ohio State, they have firmed up considerably in recent weeks. Both teams are off of easy home wins, Michigan 41-14 over Indiana (41-7 at the half) and Ohio State 48-7 over Northwestern.

    Not a big Lloyd Carr fan but he is good as a dog and has this one in proper perspective. When asked after the Indiana game when he started to think about Ohio State Carr said, “I don’t think you ever stop thinking about them.â€Â

    

    posted by phantom

    Nov. 18, 2005 2:17pm
23. more powersweep

    4* colo st

    3* purdue

    3* san diego st

    2* alabama

    2* washington

    2* oklahoma

    ....

    4* seattle

    3* carolina

    2* cincinatti

    2* san deigo

    ....

    dog of week virginia

    ....

    pro stat play washington

    ....

    pro angle play

    3 san diego

    3 ny giants

    ....

    totals

    3* chic under

    3* rams over

    3* bills over

    2* siants over

    2* miami under

    ....

    pro system selection

    cincinatti

    san diego

    

    posted by phantom

    Nov. 18, 2005 2:18pm