sunday services
Gamebreaker
9-6 this season and usually has only 2 or 3 picks. This week he has 4. They all are for 1 unit.
Pittsburgh, Green Bay, Colts Under, Seattle
Week 7
Sunday
Pittsburgh at Cincinnati
Pick: Pittsburgh +1
Rating: Regular Play
A perfect setup and this one may be upgraded to a Top Play a bit later in the week depending upon a couple key injuries. If everyone was relatively healthy on the Steelers it would a Top without a doubt. The injury that I needed to confirm was Roethlisberger and he's due to play. He was close Sunday and good to go here. As I mentioned at the start this is a PERFECT setup. The Steelers played at home and lost a tight OT game due to turnovers and a backup QB. That drops them to 3-2 and 2 full games behind the Bengals. The Bengals were very fortunate vs Tennessee and turnovers played a key role in their comeback. Unlike many Bengals opponents, I'm not worried about the turnover factor for Pittsburgh because last game was an abnormality and they haven't committed more than 1 turnover in any other ballgame this year. I expect Pittsburgh to have a very significant edge in intensity which will key the win. At 2 games back this early in the division race they can't afford to slip up. They're coming off a sub-par performance and Roethlisberger's return will spark the Steelers from a motivational standpoint. I like the Bengals this year and they're looking good to cash our Over 8 Wins futures pick. But I'm not sure they're prepared for this role, favored and leading the division by a significant margin. They stumbled vs a bad Houston team 3 weeks ago but managed a 6 point win. They lost vs Jacksonville and then had to come from behind vs Tennessee. I've seen this movie before with other teams and there comes a time where the luck runs out and they have to pay the price. I expect it to be here vs a quality football team. Now forget the great situation and consider the fundamental mismatch at the line of scrimmage. Pittsburgh is a smash-mouth, run-first team that also has the #1 offensive yards/pass average in the NFL. The Bengals have been coughing up blood with their run defense, allowing 4.9 yards/rush vs a group of opponents that average only 4.0! Pittsburgh's has 2 options now in the running game with Bettis and Parker and I fully expect them to pound away and then go up top when Cincy cheats to stop the run. The defensive edge goes to Pittsburgh, especially vs the run and their road record has been exceptional so no concerns there. Now add Pittsburgh's motivational edge. This game will likely settle at around a pick'em so play it now for maximum line value but it won't matter. Getting Pittsburgh in this spot without laying points is the icing on the cake. Play it as a Regular for now (1 unit) and if things go our way with the injury updates I'll likely bump it up for an additional 1/2 unit.
Indianapolis at Houston
Pick: Under 44.5
Rating: Regular Play
This is a carbon copy of the Bonus pick winner we had on Indy/San Fran Under in week 5. That one was a hair from being upgraded and this Sunday I'm pulling the trigger on a very similar situation. The Colts defense has played against 5 below average offenses and they've allowed a total of 29 points! Well, here comes the #29 ranked Texans who average under 11 points/game. The offense is so bad they've averaged just over 200 yards/game all season and have been absolutely brutal in pass protection. Bad matchup against almost anyone but especially brutal vs the #1 sack D in the NFL. Plain and simple the Houston offense is overmatched. They've had a bit of success running and the Colts are not overwhelming there so I expect Houston to try to get a running game going. They also realize that having Carr drop back 30 times will get him killed. The last thing Houston wants is a shootout with the Colts and more time on the ground means more time off the clock. If the Colts can limit the Texans to 14 points or less our chances are greatly improved and in the last 8 seasons when big home underdogs fail to score more than 14 points, the Under is 30-7-1 (81%). The Texans have scored 10 points or less in 4 of their 5 games and this really does not look like a spot for the offense to break out for more than 14 points. Against all 5 of the Colts offensively challenged opponents the Under is a perfect 5-0 with the total staying Under by an average of 19 points. Indy has run the ball an average of 30 times in these games to take the time off the clock and limit the exposure to Manning. With the bye up next and then the Patriots on their schedule the following week after I expect the Colts to hold the Texans to 10 or less, emphasize the running game, and protect against injuries by getting this game over as quickly as possible. As a bonus, injuries also line up in our favor. For insurance I'm buying a 1/2 point to get the line to 45 which is a key number but I expect 41 points or less here. There are still some 45's available so shop around if you have that option. Close to a Top Play.
Green Bay at Minnesota
Pick: Green Bay -1.5
Rating: Regular Play
I expected the Packers to struggle this season because of bad defensive personnel and changes to the O-line but I never imagined a 1-4 start for Minnesota. The funny thing is that I think Minnesota hasn't hit rock bottom yet while Green Bay has started to adapt and move in a positive direction. Green Bay has started to play much better on the O-line the past 2 games and they've adapted to the personnel changes. That's allowed Favre time to throw and 81 points in their last 2 games is a big positive. TE Franks and RB Green are back to give them an additional boost. Defensively the Packers now rank 11th in the league and are allowing only 4.9 yards/play vs a group of opponents that averages 5.1. Two words on why this group has turned it around: Jim Bates. He was extremely undervalued as the defensive coordinator of the Dolphins and he's worked some real magic with this group. It would have been laughable in July to suggest the Packers would be ranked #3 in defensive yards/rush at this point. The pass defense still needs to improve but in the NFL if you can stop the run that gives you the right to do alot of creative things on D. On the other sideline we have the Vikings who were pegged to be Super Bowl contenders by many in the off-season. But the loss of Randy Moss, poor coaching and schemes, questionable character, and the whole Ship Of Fools/Love Boat incident has the fans ready to turn on them. That may very well happen in this game if Green Bay starts strong. The Vikings run D has been terrible and the offense has struggled. They'll have to throw to be successful because the rushing matchup looks very tough. I look at these teams and I don't see Green Bay dropping to 1-5 while the Vikings take a step upward at their expense. Give me Favre and the Packers off the bye against a Vikings team that has the potential to implode at any time. Green Bay has won in their past 2 trip to Minnesota and they've played very well off the bye in recent years. The line seems a bit out of whack but with this line the straight-up winner very likely covers so being a couple points off has much less significance. For added insurance I'm buying the 1/2 point to -1 so an outright Green Bay wins gets me no worse than a push but I fully expect a Packer win by 3 or more. I recommend playing this one now and the line could rise to -2 or higher.
Dallas at Seattle
Pick: Seattle -4
Rating: Regular
Seattle is one of the NFC's best and they catch Dallas at the right time off a tight OT win versus the Giants. Teams off those types of division wins have a tendency to struggle on the road the following week. The Seahawks didn't expend much energy with their blowout win vs the Texans and they'll be fresh playing at home for the 2nd straight week. The Cowboys will be without RB Julius Jones and just as importantly OL Flozel Adams. They've struggled to run the ball and the Seahawks have a good chance of limiting them here, especially with the Dallas injury concerns. That leaves Bledsoe vs a defense ranked 10th in yards allowed per pass. Seattle has been able to get after opposition QBs (ranked #6) and Bledsoe is at his worst when pressured. Seattle now has the #1 ranked offense in the league and Dallas may be in for a tough ride vs RB Alexander with their below average rush D. I'll back one of the NFC's best laying a bit more than a FG vs an opponent in a tough situation.
posted by phantom
9 replies
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0 likes
LENNY STEVENS--20*UNDERDOG GOY--SAINTS--20*ARIZONA
> BLACKIE--EX LARGE--GIANTS
> SPORTS ANALYST--LOCK--RAIDERS
> FINAL SCORE--TOP PLAY--RAMS
> SEBASTIAN SPORTS--50*GOW--VIKINGS
> LEM BANKER--BEST BET--GIANTS
> DR BOB--3*SEAHAWKS
> DOC--5 UNITS--SEAHAWKS
> JOE GAVAZZI4%TEXANS--ARIZONA--OV BILLS--OV COLTS
> TONY DIAMOND--3 DIAMOND BEST BET--SEAHAWKS
> SUPERLOCK--REDSKINS
> SUPER SYSTEMS--RAIDERS
> JIM FEIST--PLATINUM ELITE--GIANTS
> RANDY WHITE--COWBOY CLUB--VIKINGS
> GLEN McGREW--BLOWOUT GOW--REDSKINS--UNDERDOG
> GOM--BILLS
> MIKE WARREN--PLATINUM PLAY--STEELERS
> SPECIAL K--20*GIANTS
> A-PLAY--VIP PLAY--OVER BENGALS
> AAA SPORTS--2 UNIT BEST BET--EAGLES
> USA SPORTS--TOP PLAY--BEARS
> GUARANTEED--BROWNS
> FRANK MAGLIOSA--1.5 UNITS TOP PLAYS--OV EAGLES--OV
> BILLS
> MAXWELL--UNDERDOG GOY--STEELERS
> TOTAL EDGE--UN TEXANS--UN 49ERS--OV BEARS
> BETTOR'S EDGE--TOP PLAYS--BILLS--PACKERS & OVER
> BEST BET SPORTS--LIONS
> CAPTAIN--25*BEST BET--RAVENS--20*RAMS
> MIKE LEE--8%BILLS--COWBOYS
> WINNER PATH--TOTAL GOY--OVER LIONS
> NORTHCOAST--3.5*GOW--OVER
> TITANS--3*REDSKINS--PACKERS
posted by phantom
Oct. 23 2005 12:22pm -
0 likes
The New York Wiseguys
(100*) New York Giants -2 and
(100*) Cleveland Browns -2 (-120)
_________________
GLEN MCGREW
BLOWOUT GAME OF YEAR
WASHINGTON
UNDERDOG GAME OF YEAR
BUFFALO
Lenny Stevens
20 star NFC underdog GOY New Orleans
20 star Arizona
10 star Cincy
10 star Seahawks
10 star Baltimore
baseball:
white sox game 2
Pointwise
Top Rated Play
(4*) Washington Redskins
Regular Plays
(3*) Philadelphia Eagles
(3*) New York Giants
(3*) Cleveland Browns
(3*) Baltimore Ravens
EXPERT
GIANTS
PRIVATE PLAYERS
(5*)
PHILADELPHIA
PITTSBURGH
REGULAR PLAYS
Houston
Ariozna
Buffalo over
Tnnessee over
Seattle
Buffalo
Giants
CAROLINA
GAME OF MONTH
MINNESOTA
Regular Plays
Houston
Dallas
Denver
Oakland over
_________________
Mike Lee
Top Rated Plays
(8*) Buffalo Bills
(8*) Dallas Cowboys
Regular Plays
(6*) Tennessee Titans
(6*) Pittsburgh Steelers
(6*) Baltimore Ravens
posted by phantom
Oct. 23 2005 12:25pm -
0 likes
Special K
NFL Game of the Week
(20*) New York Giants
Top Rated Plays
(15*) Pittsburgh Steelers
(15*) Philadelphia Eagles
Regular Play
(10*) Buffalo Bills
Jim Feist
Top Rated Play
(10* Elite) New York Giants
Top Rated Play
(Inner Circle) San Diego Chargers
Regular Plays
(5*) Indianapolis Colts
(5*) Chicago/Baltimore Under
Dr. Bob Sports
Top Rated Play
(3*) Seattle Seahawks
Regular Play
(2*) Houston Texans
Strong Opinions
(1*) San Diego Chargers
(1*) Buffalo Bills
Ben Burns
Top Rated Play
NFL Game of the Week) Arizona Cardinals
Sebastian Sports
50*gow
Vikings
Scott Spreitzer
Special (AFC/NFC Interconference Game of the Year)
Cleveland Browns
Top Rated Plays
Hammer) Chicago Bears
(Hammer) Seattle Seahawks
(Hammer) Green Bay Packers
posted by phantom
Oct. 23 2005 12:27pm -
0 likes
LENNY STEVENS--20*UNDERDOG GOY--SAINTS--20*ARIZONA
BLACKIE--EX LARGE--GIANTS
SPORTS ANALYST--LOCK--RAIDERS
FINAL SCORE--TOP PLAY--RAMS
SEBASTIAN SPORTS--50*GOW--VIKINGS
LEM BANKER--BEST BET--GIANTS
DR BOB--3*SEAHAWKS
DOC--5 UNITS--SEAHAWKS
JOE GAVAZZI4%TEXANS--ARIZONA--OV BILLS--OV COLTS
TONY DIAMOND--3 DIAMOND BEST BET--SEAHAWKS
SUPERLOCK--REDSKINS
SUPER SYSTEMS--RAIDERS
JIM FEIST--PLATINUM ELITE--GIANTS
RANDY WHITE--COWBOY CLUB--VIKINGS
GLEN McGREW--BLOWOUT GOW--REDSKINS--UNDERDOG GOM--BILLS
MIKE WARREN--PLATINUM PLAY--STEELERS
SPECIAL K--20*GIANTS
A-PLAY--VIP PLAY--OVER BENGALS
AAA SPORTS--2 UNIT BEST BET--EAGLES
USA SPORTS--TOP PLAY--BEARS
GUARANTEED--BROWNS
FRANK MAGLIOSA--1.5 UNITS TOP PLAYS--OV EAGLES--OV BILLS
MAXWELL--UNDERDOG GOY--STEELERS
TOTAL EDGE--UN TEXANS--UN 49ERS--OV BEARS
BETTOR'S EDGE--TOP PLAYS--BILLS--PACKERS & OVER
BEST BET SPORTS--LIONS
CAPTAIN--25*BEST BET--RAVENS--20*RAMS
MIKE LEE--8%BILLS--COWBOYS
WINNER PATH--TOTAL GOY--OVER LIONS
NORTHCOAST--3.5*GOW--OVER TITANS--3*REDSKINS--PACKERS
CAROLINA SPORTS--5*GOM--VIKINGS
CAL SPORTS--4*STEELERS--COWBOYS
PRO SOURCE--AFC GOY--TEXANS
WINNING POINTS--TOP PLAYS--PACKERS--SEAHAWKS--CHARGERS--OV TITANS
GOLD SHEET--1.5 UNITS TOP PLAY--EAGLES
BLAZER--4*SEAHAWKS
SYCAMORE--TOP PLAYS--STEELERS--GIANTS
PROBABILITY--4 UNIT TEASER--BILLS/CHARGERS
WAYNE
ROOT--CHAIRMAN--COWBOYS--MILLIONAIRE--RAIDERS--BD--GIANTS--TROPHY--EAGLES
SCOTT SPREITZER--KO GOY--BROWNS--TKO--BEARS--SEAHAWKS
TONY BASICK--GOW--CHARGERS
INSIDE INFO--PACKERS
TRULINE--GOM--RAMS
POWER PLAY--20*BEST BET--REDSKINS
ALATEX--SUPERPLAY--GIANTS
posted by phantom
Oct. 23 2005 12:44pm -
0 likes
BUDDAH5-6
22-30
THE PROPHET0-1
5-4
JB SPORTS5-3RAIDERS--GIANTS--
38-31
THE FAT MAN7-10OVER EAGLES--
13-16
NFL TEASERS
2-4
NEVADA CLUB2-3OVER PACKERS--
11-9
BEN BURNS TOP16-15CARDINALS--
27-27
GAVAZZI 5 STARS15-14EAGLES--STEELERS--
15-14
CHUCK LUCK
NFL ONLY5-2SUNDAY SURE THING--BRONCOS--
BEARS--CHARGERS--
14-12
COMPUTER BOY
TOTALS2-2UNDER LIONS--UNDER BRONCOS--OVER CHARGERS--
UNDER COWBOYS--
43-37
NORTHCOAST
5 STARS1-2NONE--
1-2
UNCLE MIKEY'S
LOCK5-6OVER GIANTS--
5-6
BRANDON LANE
100 DIMES +5-4100 DIMES--GIANTS--BENGALS--
11-5
POINTWISE 4+ REDSKINS--
12-8
CAL SPORTS
5 STARS 3-5NONE--
3-5
Champagne TOP 3-210--RAMS--TITANS--
13-15
JOEY DIMES TOP15-10MONDAY NIGHT GAME OF THE YEAR--FALCONS--
35-32
posted by phantom
Oct. 23 2005 12:45pm -
0 likes
Recap of top PRO % winners (see that thread) selections known so far for Sunday
Fezzik Sports (29-16) SEA-3
Joe Gazazzi (PPP) (36-20) Top: Phil / Pitt : Additional Hou, ARIZ, BUF >,TN>, SEA,BUF,NYG
SUPERLOCK LINE (9-2) WASH
USA SPORTS (15-6) 10*CHI/ 5* GB, CINN, SD, SEA
posted by phantom
Oct. 23 2005 12:46pm -
0 likes
from rjeremy....he's been hot
Sunday Play$$$!!!!
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NFL:
26-9 (74.3%) +74.3 UNITS
Steelers +1.5 (4****)
G-MEN -2.5 (5*****)
San Diego +11 & Atlanta pick tease (4****)
posted by phantom
Oct. 23 2005 12:47pm -
0 likes
i hear theres been a server attack all over the net,,thats why everything is sloe heres the fades
cinny -1.5..28-10 against us
vikes -1.5..26-6 against us
colts -13.5,,16-8 against us
49ers +14..28-7 against us
dallas +5..33-13 against us
denver +3//34-9 against us
posted by phantom
Oct. 23 2005 12:49pm -
0 likes
Tex Green Guaranteed Selections
Date: Sunday, October 23, 2005
$35.00 Guaranteed: Tex Green just keeps on winning! He goes 4-1 yesterday and has just one NFL play today but its a TOP RATED 50* PLAY! GUARANTEED NFL 50* PLAY!!! 10/23/2005
50* SEATTLE -4
posted by phantom
Oct. 23 2005 12:50pm