LINE INFORMATION FOR 10/22

Welcome to this week's edition of the Pinnacle Pulse where the line managers at Pinnacle Sports look to give you an unprecedented insight into the point spread movement on key games each week plus offer you the inside line on a little gambling theory to help players of all levels crank up their skill level and hopefully their winnings as well!

Texas Tech (+15.5) at Texas

Both teams are 6-0 overall and 3-0 in the Big 12. Both teams' offenses appear statistically insane with Tech averaging 53.7 points per game and 573 yards of offense, while Texas averages 46.7 points and 494.5 yards per game. However, there are a couple of big differences between the in-state rivals.

First, Texas has the #1 pass defense in the Big 12, allowing under 148 passing yards per game. Second, Tech's schedule has been much easier thus far - games against Florida International, Sam Houston State, and Indiana State have inflated their statistics. By comparison, Sagarin rates Tech's schedule as the 138th most difficult in the nation compared to 46th for Texas.

This week, we opened this game at Texas -12 and got pounded by Texas backers. Within four minutes we were at -14. We are still seeing mostly Longhorn money, but the line is stabilizing near 15.5/16. Interestingly, we started taking action on this game in July when we opened it as one of our Marquee match-ups. At that time, we opened it at +10.5 and Tech backers pushed the line down to 9.5.

Auburn (+6.5) at LSU

The last five meetings between these two teams have been won by the home team and only one of those was decided by less than 13 points. Both teams have one loss, but LSU has played stronger teams, overcoming Florida and Arizona State (while losing to Tennessee). We opened the game on Sunday at +6.5 and have been taking heavy, balanced action ever since.

As another game that was featured as one of our College Football Marquee match-ups in July, we opened the line at -6 (-105) and took balanced action then as well. There has been little in way of line movement since then and it seems as though our opener was strong

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posted by phantom

Oct. 21, 2005 11:44pm
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