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looking at clemson today line dropping like crazy
posted by domenico
Oct. 13 2005 6:05am -
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All right, we continue to roll along on MLB post season. MLB Post Season Week 1: 6-1-1 ATS
MLB Post Season Week 2: 2-0-0 ATS
MLB Post Season Series: 1-0 ATS (Angels +170 pending)
Tonight my college play is on the under 45 1/2 in Clemson/NC State. Should be a good hard fought football game. Only thing that scares me on playing the under is Overtime. But I think you see a close game either way with the FG kickers deciding the game. In the last 3 years the game has gone under. However, last year's game arrived at a 46 point finish. This is a small play for me, but I like it enough to post.
GOOD LUCK IF YOU PLAY IT...ROll on under 45 1/2.
Peace....How bout that Sox under last night? Easy cover.
MLB Post Season Best Bet #11:
2-0 to start this week. Today I have a play on the total again. I will be rolling the under 7 1/2 in this game. Here's why:
1.)Oswalt: In his last 3 starts at Busch Stadium..all the games have gone under. Here's the results from Vegas Insider:
VS. Opponent ( Last 5 Starts - Since 1997)
Date Opp SC Dec IP R ER H BB SO HR H/Open H/Close Tot Op Tot Cl
6/06/04 at STL 3-2 W 6.0 2 2 6 0 6 0 +120 +107 8.5-110 8.5+100
9/27/04 STL 10-3 W 7.0 2 2 9 1 6 0 -140 -150 8.5-120 8.5-120
4/05/05 STL 3-7 L 6.0 6 6 7 1 2 2 -132 -106 8.5-130 8.5-130
7/16/05 at STL 2-4 L 6.0 4 4 8 1 4 1 -112 -120 8.0-105 8.0-110
9/27/05 at STL 3-1 W 7.0 1 1 8 0 7 0 +108 +110 8.0+100 8.0+110
Notice in the 3 starts at Busch he has pitched extremely well with a 3-2, 2-4, 3-1 result.
Oswalt is also fearless. Since he came on the scene at Enron..err MinuteMaid...err..the Astrodome, he has not been intimidated by the hitter's park he calls home. This shows up on the road as he goes after opposing pitchers with first pitch strikes. I'm banking on the fact that Oswalt can get to the 7'th and turn it over to the stellar Stros pen.
Mulder is equally impressive. He sports a 2.51 ERA @ home for the year and has pitched well in the 2'nd half of the season. In addition, he has the post season experience from his days with the A's. I think the public will be hammering the over since the first game went over today.
Also, Mulder's 2 home starts against the Stros both went under this year..easily.
Fellas..MLB POST SEASON PLAY #11: Roll on under 7 1/2 in Astros/Cardinals.
Good luck whatever your on. I'm not as strong on this play as some of the other post season, but I think it's the safer play out of side and total. And I like the fact that I will be fading the public in this one. Have a good day all....SLAM THE MAN>
posted by pc7588
Oct. 13 2005 6:49am -
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Nice Hit AGAIN PC. Ok it's time for me to get this off my chest. Ever have one of these nights, where you just weren't supposed to win? Last night, my parlay of St. Louis/Under was ruined by an error in the 9th. Now to top that all off I took LAA @ +180, they lose on a bullshit call in the 9th as well. Arghhhh that hurts. What the hell was Doug Eddings doing? What an asshole!!
Thanks to PC and his under on LAA/CWS my hit wasn't too bad, but what a shitty night. I feel like I just took a shower in a Federal Penitentary!!! Come on at least you could have given me some lubrication!
Be back later with today's picks.
posted by skydivin
Oct. 13 2005 8:17am -
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No value in Andy last night, quess I will stay with what butters my bread CFB!! Tonight love the dog here as NC State does not put up many points and lying 4.5 tonight is just to tempting to pass! Play on the DOG CLEMSON +4.5!! GL!
posted by joeweaver
Oct. 13 2005 10:20am -
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Gold Tooth of the Day
(1-0)(+1.28 units)
North Carolina State -4 -110!
posted by mikejones
Oct. 13 2005 11:14am -
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FELLAS I HAVE BEEN LOOKING AT A PLAY ALL WEEK AND IT'S JUST EATING AT ME AND I FEEL LIKE I NEED TO DROP A BOMB ON THIS GAME.
WASH ST. +5 1/2. THIS LINE OPENED AT 6 1/2 AND HAS DROPPED A POINT EVEN A POINT IN A HALF IN SOME BOOKS DOWN TO 5. AS OF NOW PUBLIC IS ON UCLA AND I BELIEVE WILL STAY THAT WAY. UCLA CAN'T STOP THE RUN TO SAVE THEIR LIVES. THEY GIVE UP MORE YARDAGE ON THE GROUND THEN THROUGH THE AIR. THIS DOESN'T BODE WELL FOR THE BRUINS THIS WEEKEND. I HAVE SOME MONEY ON IT RIGHT NOW AT 5 1/2. HAVEN'T HAMMERED IT COMPLETELY YET. I KNOW A COUPLE OTHER GOOD CAPPERS HERE LIKE THIS GAME AS WELL. LINE I DON'T BELIEVE WILL GO DOWN ANYMORE THAN FIVE. IF JASON HILL PLAYS THEN THIS GAME BECOMES A MOTHERLOAD PLAY FOR ME. HE'S QUESTIONABLE RIGHT NOW. HOPEFULLY THE PUBLIC KEEPS PLAYING UCLA AND LINE DRIVES BACK UP TO 6 AT LEAST. LOOK INTO THIS PLAY AND I'LL EVEN THROW A COUPLE OF UNITS ON THE ML.
GL FELLAS
posted by jtmoney16
Oct. 13 2005 12:25pm -
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ok fellas here's my play for today. While everyone is focused on the bigger game, i'll look at the smaller game.
here's my two sense.
The Arkansas State Indians are coming off a bye to face an offensively challenge offensive squad in UL-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns. The Indians have averaged an incredible 61 points this season on their home field while holding their opponents to 9.5 points per contest. Arkansas State's offense puts an average of 189 rushing per game and 188 yards in the air to form a very balanced attach. The Ragin Cajuns are coming off a lopsided loss at home to Owls of Florida Atlantic, 28-10. The Ragin Cajuns are without their starting quarterback, Jerry Babb, who is out with a strained shoulder and did not play in their last game. The Passing game has suffered with back up Michael Desormeaux (48% completions, 0TDS/5INTs). The Cajun offense only threw for only 47 yards and two interceptions against a quick and aggressive Florida Atlantic defense. The Indian defense is also an aggressive unit that has produced 12 turnovers on the season. Take the Indians -10 1/2. Gl fellas
posted by jtmoney16
Oct. 13 2005 12:34pm -
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Congratulations on STL and all other GP winners last night.....
JT I couldn't agree with you more on your last post, I and I know several other cappers on GP have been following that line closely .....
Mike Jones .... nice to have you, especially with that WINNER last night ... Keep them GOLDS coming!
Nut of the Day
(7-3)
Tease ...
Arkansas State -4.5
Clemson/NC State OVER 40
Nutz of Luck
da Squirrel
posted by simila2asquirrel
Oct. 13 2005 12:43pm -
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JT you added another post that I also agree with ... are you sure you aren't the squirrel or the hamster or anything like that .....??
Wash St and the Arkansas St posts are very good ones JT .....
posted by simila2asquirrel
Oct. 13 2005 12:45pm -
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thank you squirrel and gl with your tease tonight.
p.s. i'm looking at tulsa/rice right now at -7. shouldn't tulsa kill these guys or am i gonna get suckered here. Rice sucks but they also haven't had a home game yet. i don't know, just thinking out loud on this one. i guess call it a lean.
gl all again.
posted by jtmoney16
Oct. 13 2005 12:50pm -
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Had to add this one!!!
HOOKEM HORNS BABY 
posted by ricky
Oct. 13 2005 12:51pm -
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LA LAFAYETTE +11
EXPECT A CLOSE GAME HERE & ULL TO LOSE BY A LAST SECOND ARK ST. TD or FG
posted by nflwinnings
Oct. 13 2005 1:15pm -
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Rolling on NC St. -4. This is a much better team than their record indicates. Pub is all over Clemson, and a Nat TV game. NC State wins this by 7-10.
I am also all over the under 46. This is a strong play.
Lastly, I'll take Houston +146 (Oswalt gets the job done tonight)
posted by skydivin
Oct. 13 2005 2:49pm -
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CLEMSON +4
EXPECT CHARLIE WHITEHURST TO HAVE A GREAT GAME TONIGHT
HE WILL SLICE AND DICE THE NC ST. DEFENSE TONITE
posted by nflwinnings
Oct. 13 2005 3:01pm -
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MLB
CARDS ML:hookem:
NHL
DETROIT ML:hookem:
GL
posted by takis28
Oct. 13 2005 4:47pm -
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STL ML
WHAM BAM THANK YOU MAN THIS ONE
WITH CONFIDENCE
5000000000 STAR PLAY
posted by nflwinnings
Oct. 13 2005 5:12pm -
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SORRY GUYS I POSTED SO LATE IVE BEEN SO SWAMPED TODAY. ANYWAYS OFFSHORE HAS UNDER 6 BOS/FLA. OFFSHORE ON 5-0-1 RUN AS THEY PUSHED LAST NIGHT GUYS MY MAKEUP GOY PLAY IN PUCKS FROM THAT BRUINS LOSS IS CALGARY-140 I LOVEEEEEEEE THIS PLAY AND I HOPE Z AND GREEK AGREE. NICE 2-0-1 NIGHT LAST NIGHT NAILING BOTH CARDS AND CHISOX UNDER KEEP FADING KEVIN KENNEDY AND WE WILL WIN GUYS. NOT SURE WHAT HE HAS TONIGHT SO I WONT POST AN MLB PLAY UNLESS I SEE HIM AROUND 8PM WITH HIS SELECTION. OTHERWISE SQUIRREL I LIKE YOUR TEASER I THREW THAT IN THIS MORNING. MY OPINION ON THE NCST/CLEMSON IS COULD GO EITHER WAY IM LAYING OFF. GL EVERYONE! SORRY FOR THE LATE POST!
posted by DeletedUser
Oct. 13 2005 7:03pm -
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Thursday Night CFB.......
Clemson +4
Over 46
Ark State -12
2 unit plays
posted by phball101
Oct. 13 2005 7:09pm -
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TYPED SO FAST I MESSED UP LINE IS FLAMES-130....OFFSHORE HAS UNDER 53 IN ARKANSAS GAME. GOODLUCK EVERYONE TONIGHT. I HOPE KEVIN KENNEDY MAKES ANOTHER PICK TONIGHT!
posted by DeletedUser
Oct. 13 2005 7:16pm -
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OVER CARDS 7.5
GOODLUCK TONIGHT$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
posted by gtnp
Oct. 13 2005 7:51pm -
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SAID WE COULD SEE SOME FIREWORKS WITH OSWALTS HISTORY ON THE ROAD AND MULDER BICEP INJURY HOW THAT COULD FACTOR IN. HEY PC ID SAY YOUR UNDER IS $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$. PC IS HOT, ME FADING KEVIN KENNEDY HAS HAD SUCCESS SO WHAT THE HECK ILL ROLL ON THE UNDER 7.5 AS WELL.
posted by DeletedUser
Oct. 13 2005 8:15pm