ExBookie in NFL for Week 4
Exbookie Wants To Help The Players Week 4
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RECORD
NFL OVER $2000 BETS........5-3 +$3200.00
CFF OVER $2000 BETS........3-0 +$8500.00
........................................8-3 + $11,700.00
NFL & CFF UNDER $1100 BETS(FOR ACTION ONLY)....7-11 -$3790.00
TOTAL..................................+$7,910.00
STARTING BANKROLL.....50,000.....NOW $57,910.00
THIS WEEK IS THE START OF "MY LINE"
The truth in examining games is the detail.....anyone who expects to be successful had better learn to read between the lines to determine how or why teams are winning or losing....
one capper may say that turnover are the most important stat. others home field......passing.....running....ect...
BUT ONE FACTOR USUALLY DONT TELL THE STORY....
anybetter who wants to take advantage of edges will have to learn to read between the lines
other factors can infuence a team's performance....injuries, weather and coaching ......emotion too....
so remember....sometimes stats can lie. stats are a good starting point,but successful betters DIG DEEP.....
Expanding your thinking helps you get better in life......
and at the betting window.......
I have made a comp program that find the line of a game.....most the games are right on.......(1-2 point + or -)
ITS base on:
turnovers,penalties,total time,bookies line( how many over or under)
a bit on how it works:
pitt beat cin by 11 points......
the line was pit -4
that would be +7 for pitt and -7 for cinn....I do this eash week
the program kick in with good number after week 4.....
I find it works good between week 4-10.....
after that the line are .....TIGHT....
.............THE LINE.............................................. .MY LINE
CINN..........9 1/2................................................. .-10 1/2
JAC............4.................................. .........................-2
KC.............2 1/2................................................. ....EV
NE.............5.................................. .........................EV
BUF...........EV.................................. .......................-5
NYG...........3................................... ........................-1
TB.............7.................................. ..........................-7
IND ..........-6 1/2................................................. ....-1 1/2
WAS.........- 2 1/2................................................. ...-1
BALT..........OFF....WITH ADJUSTMENT TO QB..............-6
ATL.............- 5 1/2................................................. -6 1/2
OAK............-3................................................D AL..-4
ARIZ............-3................................................. ......-4
CAR............-7 1/2................................................. .-2 1/2
THE ONE'S WITH THE MOST VALUE
NE +5
BUF +5
DAL +7
SD +5(THAT MEANS VALUE)
I POSTED IT NOW SO YOU CAN TRY TO READ BETWEEN THE LINES
I WILL POST MY PICKS LATER....THUR OR FIR/DAY
GOOD LUCK TO ALL
posted by phantom
4 replies
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0 likes
CINN VS HOU.....IT O-LINE(CINN) VS D-LINE(HOU)
CIN IS RATED NO3 IN OFFENCE VS HOU THAT IS RATE LAST
RATED QB CINN NO.2 VS HOU 2ND FROM THE BOTTOM
CINN RUSHER JOHNSON AVG 100 YDS A GAME VS
HOU CARR ONLY AVG 25 YDS A GAME
TAKEWAY VS GIVEWAY....CIN IS +12 VS HOU -6
MY LINE GIVE THIS GAME A +1
.................................................. .................................................. ..
SD VS NE......
MY LINE GIVE SD A +5 VALUE HERE (SMALL PLAY)
.................................................. .................................................. .
NO VS BUF.....
TAKEWAY VS GIVEWAY BUF +6 VS NO -7
DEFENSE.... BUF IS NO.9 RATED VS NO. AS NUMBER 25
NEW ORLEANS...THE 10 T/O THE LAST TWO WEEKS EQUAL THE WORST TWO GAME SPAN SINCE JIM HASLETT BECOME HEAD COACH IN 2000
MY LINE GIVE THIS GAME A VALUE TO BUF OF +5
.................................................. .................................................. ..
DAL VS OAK.....
TAKEWAY VS GIVEWAY DALL +5 VS OAK 0
O-LINE DALL IS RATED NO. 4 VS OAK RATED NO.8
D-LINE DALL NO.24 VS OAK NO.29
QB RATED....DALLAS IS NO.3 VS OAK RATED NO 5
MY LINE VALUE IS DALL +7 VALUE.....
.................................................. .................................................. .
MY BETS ARE......
CIN -9 1/2..............................................$30 00.00
BUF M/L................................................. $3000.00
SD +5................................................ .......$500.00
DALLAS +3 1/2.......................................$1000.00
NO PLAY ON SUNDAY NIGHT....BUT I WILL BET MONDAY NIGHTS GAME
I WILL POST IT MON/DAY
I'M ACE-ACE AND I APPROVE THIS MESSAGE!!!!
posted by phantom
Sept. 29 2005 8:02pm -
0 likes
RECAP....
CIN -9 1/2........................................$3000.00. ...LOST
BUF M/L........................................... $3000.00...LOST
SD +5................................................ .$500.00..WINNER
DALLAS +3 1/2...................................$1000.00..LOST
OVER 43 1/2 SF GAME...............$500.00
3 TEAM TEASER
SD +14 1/2
BUF +10
GB +18............................................$60 0.00...LOST
1-4 ON THE DAY......WIN HARD DIE HARD
I HAD A WEEK-END LIKE THIS LAST YEAR....WE WILL GET THEM NEXT WEEK.....
ACE-ACE
posted by phantom
Oct. 3 2005 2:39pm -
0 likes
Monday Night Game
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GB VS CAR....
I HAVE LOVE THIS GAME ALL WEEK (WOULD OF LOVE IT MORE IF BOTH MY OVER 2K BETS WOULD OF BAL/OUT!!!!!
STILL LOTS OF MONEY IN THE BANKROLL......NO TIME TO GET IT BACK THIS WEEK...BUT THERE ALWAY 196 MORE REG/SEASON GAMES TO GO
I GOT A VALUE OF +5 1/2 ON GB TONIGHT
YOU CANT KEEP A GREAT QB DOWN ALL SEASON LONG
I SEE A BREAK-OUT GAME HERE
TOO MANY POINT TO GIVE TO GB
A VERY EVEN GAME AND THEY ARE GIVE ME 7 1/2 POINTS
MY BET IS
GB+7 1/2.........................................$2000.00
posted by phantom
Oct. 3 2005 6:10pm -
0 likes
RECAP...FOR TONIGHT
ADDING
7PT TEASER
GD +14 1/2
OVER 36.........................................$600.00 ......WINNER
MY BET IS
GB+7 1/2.........................................$2000.00 ...WINNER
IT HELPS!!!!!!
posted by phantom
Oct. 4 2005 2:36pm