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Been laying low lately but I have some picks I like alot tonight. It's crunch time and Houston and NYY and desperate, and are much better teams than their comp tonight.
NYY / Houston parlay Pays 1.1:1 (10 units)
Braves are on a slide and need a win tonight. They will get it.
Braves -160 (10 units)
posted by skydivin
Sept. 20 2005 11:09am -
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well, i got my Gints pick but, what a huge silly mistake on keeping my teaser at Dall +.5 instead of doing a 6.5 teaser at +1 to push.
i was too cheap and greedy to go ahead and do what made sense. therefore, i have a loss instead of some coin...
for those of you that had DALL -6, understand this... in this thing that we do, we will have several games where we lose when we werent supposed to, and win the same way.
as far as this game is concerned, even though it was a loss, feel good about that loss. the end result was bitter, but you still picked the right team...they just didnt come through. am i making any sense?
when i lost that game, i wasnt as mad as i usually get when i get raped on a game. take it as a loss and keep it moving with a clear head and you will be o.k. the rest of the week. otherwise, you could allow your head to get all cluttered and you wont see things (plays) as clearly...
GL THE NOOCH
posted by thenooch
Sept. 20 2005 12:22pm -
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TAKIS CONVINCED ME TO COMEBACK FOR ONE MORE TRY, BUT HERE IS THE BIG EXCEPTION. IVE DECIDED I WILL NOT TRY TO HANDICAP GAMES ANYMORE BASED ON TRENDS, STATS, MATCHUPS, ETC. IVE NOTICED MY 5 YRS CAPPING THAT EVERYTIME I FIND AN EMOTIONAL EDGE SUCH AS A FIRING OF A COACH, DEATH OF A PLAYER, COACH OR TEAMMATE, DEATH OF FAMILY MEMBER OF A PLAYER THATS A BIG NAME STAR, ETC THESE PLAYS COME IN 90% IF NOT HIGHER. IVE POSTED MAN THE LAST 2 YEARS FROM SPORTSLINE TO GOTPICKS
1)CAM NEELY NIGHT RETIRING # BRUINS WIN
2)MTSU PROFESSOR DYING GOING TO LAST GAME OF SEASON WIN
3)MARIO LEMUIX RETURN FROM HODGKINS WIN
4)FRANK BEAMERS MOTHER PASSES AWAY WIN
5)ROGER CLEMENS MOTHER PASSES AWAY WIN
6)TED WILLIAMS PASSES AWAY SOX WIN
7)TIMMY CHANG'S LAST GAME AT HAWAII WIN
SAINTS FIRST GAME OF SEASON FROM HURRICAN WIN9)PAT TILLMAN HONORED CARDS VS SAINTS LAST YR WIN
AND MANY MANY MORE IVE POSTED.. EVEN NEW COACHES BEING HIRED IVE COME ON TO POST AND ALMOST EVERYTIME THEY WIN. EMOTION IS SO BIG IN SPORTS GUYS THAT EVEN THE SHITTIEST OF TEAMS CAN BEAT THE BEST. LOOK AT WHAT HAPPEN WHEN THE ROYALS FIRED MANAGER AND BUDDY BELL COMES ON TO COACH THEY HAD THEIR LONGEST WINNING STREAK AND GOD KNOWS HOW LONG. IT DOESNT HAPPEN WITH INTERIM MANAGERS OR SOME RANDOM BENCH COACH, BUT WHEN THEY HIRE A NEW MANAGER IT ALMOST ALWAYS COMES TO BE A WIN. LOOK AT BUSTER DOUGLAS THE BIGGEST SCRUB IN BOXING VS THE BEST BOXER IN THE NATION THE NIGHT BEFORE BUSTERS MOM DIES AND HE PULLS OFF THE BIGGEST UPSET IN HISTORY RIGHT AFTER USA VS RUSSIA HOCKEY. NOW I WASNT AROUND OR OLD ENOUGH TO POST IT OR CALL IT BUT YOU CATCH MY DRIFT. NO MATTER HOW BAD YOU ARE WHETHER ROYALS OR BUSTER EMOTIONAL HIGH AND ADRENALINE CAN GIVE YOU AN EDGE FOR ONE GAME OR MATCH OVER ANYONE. PATRIOTS BEAT THE 14 PT FAV RAMS IN 2001 JUST ANOTHER EXAMPLE. ANY GIVEN DAY EMOTION CAN TAKE OVER TALENT I TRULLY BELIEVE. THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER INSTANCES WHERE REVENGE OR OTHER FACTORS BESIDES EMOTIONAL TRAUMAS LIFT A TEAM AND ITS ONE REASON WHY IM BACK TO POST A GAME FOR THAT EDGE. THIS FACTORS INTO THE STAGES OF THESE GAMES AND THESE ARE THE ONLY PLAYS FROM MY STANDPOINT I WILL GO AFTER BECAUSE I HONESTLY FEEL THEY GIVE YOU A HUGE ADVANTAGE OF COVERING, BECAUSE JUST LIKE JASON STARK SAID THE OTHER NIGHT " IF YOU PULLED ANY OF THESE ASTROS ASIDE BEFORE THE GAME AND ASKED THEM HOW THEY THINK ROGER AND THE TEAM WILL COME OUT FROM THIS TRAUMA, I DON'T THINK ONE PLAYER ON THIS TEAM FELT THEY WOULD LOSE THIS GAME, THEY KNEW IT WOULD BE A WIN NO MATTER WHAT" ALL THE SUDDEN YOU SEE THE ANEMIC ASTROS OFFENSE SCORE 12 RUNS WHEN THEY HAVE HARDLY DONE THAT ALL YEAR OR GIVEN ROGER RUN SUPPORT! WELL GUYS THESE ARE THE ONLY TIMES IM POSTING FROM NOW ON 2-2 RECORD TO ME IS DISGUSTING AND IVE NEVER HAD SUCH A BAD WKND IN ALL MY LIFE BETTING AND TO LOSE MYSELF MOST THE MONEY I HIT ON THOSE PARLAY TICKETS I POSTED TO ONE LOWSY WKND MAKES ME SICK! SO I MIGHT ONLY GET ABOUT 10 GAMES REST OF SEASON TO POST BUT IT WILL BE WORTH IT, UNLESS I FIND AN EMOTIONAL EDGE I WILL NOT PLAY ANY GAMES. ILL RESEARCH THICK AND THIN TO FIND THOSE GAMES IN COLLEGE AND NFL. JUST THIS WEEKEND MY BUDDY TOLD ME VANDERBILT WAS HONORING A DEAD PLAYER ON THEIR TEAM AND THEY GO OUT AND BEAT UP ON OLE MISS. THERE WAS ANOTHER INSTANCE OF THIS A COUPLE YEARS AGO I FOGET WHICH TEAM IT WAS BUT THEY ALMOST UPSET MIAMI AND THEIR LONGEST WIN STREAK OF THE NATION BUT ALL I REMEMBER IT WAS A THURS NIGHT GAME AND THE TEAM HAD THE ARM BAND OF SOME TEAMMATE AND THEY JUST BARELY MISSED WINNING OUTRIGHT, BUT THEY COVERED. THESE EDGES CAN TAKE THE LOWEST OF TEAMS OVER THE BEST OF THE BEST ANYDAY OF THE WEEK. NOW AGAIN THIS GAME THIS WKND HAS NO EXTRA EDGE FROM THE DEATH FACTOR, BUT THIS GAME I LIKE THIS WKND IN NFL IS SAN DIEGO-5 OVER NY GIANTS. ELI MANNING SLAPPED THE WHOLE CHARGERS ORGANIZATION IN THE FACE THE WIMP HE IS BY TURNING THEM DOWN IN THE DRAFT. I THINK THIS TEAM IS HUNGRY FOR A WIN AND JUST MISSED BEING 2-0 ON THE YEAR FROM LAST MINUTE DRIVES FROM DALLAS AND DENVER. THEY ARE HUNGRY MOFO'S AND I BELIEVE THIS TYPE OF MOTIVATION IS CAUSE FOR A RELEASE. MY NEXT RELEASE GUYS UNLESS I FIND SOME INFORMATION ON A DEATH OR WHAT NOT WILL BE ROY JONES JR+180 TO BEAT TARVER. HE IS COMING OUT OF RETIREMENT TO FINALIZE HIS LEGACY AND I BELIEVE HE WILL AVENGE THE LOSSES OF TARVER AND JOHNSON AND THEN CALL IT QUITS ONCE HE RECLAIMS HIMSELF. HE TOOK THEM BOTH LIGHTLY AND TOOK THIS LAST YEAR OFF TO BUST HIS ASS IN THE GYM..UNLESS I FIND ANYTHING ELSE GUYS THATS HOW IM CALLING THE SHOTS FROM NOW ON.. I HOPE THIS NOVEL MAKES IT ON THE NY TIMES BEST SELLER LIST.. ILL COPY AND PASTE THIS FOR SUNDAY'S THREAD, BUT IT WASN'T UP YET SO I JUST FIGURED ID POST THIS IN HERE TO LET EVERYONE KNOW IM BACK FOR ONE REASON AND ONLY FOR THESE TYPES OF GAMES FROM NOW ON!
posted by DeletedUser
Sept. 20 2005 2:13pm -
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That might be the longest post I've ever read.
But as a longtime Bolt fan, I love the pick. They will be all over Sheli sunday night. Short week and a long flight for the G-strings.
posted by bignuts24
Sept. 20 2005 2:39pm -
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I posted this early this morning, and now the line has gone to 5 and even 5.5 in some spots. That line move could mean trouble for me, but I'm not buying it, so I am still rolling with the Sun (I bought it to 5 at -117 anyway at Pinnacle):
CONNECTICUT +4 (we will see a Game 5 in this series; ML +165 as well)
Playoff Record: 3-7
2-3 (PUNCHOUT PLAYS)
WNBA Playoff Game of the Year wasn't easy, but thank you Brooke Wycoff! I'm sure most everyone is thinking, who the hell is she? She sunk the three to send it to OT in Game 2, and the Sun eventually got the cover.
posted by jdelt88
Sept. 20 2005 2:40pm -
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not for anything but i couldn't agree any more with vegas on san diego pick. THere gonna come after eli and try to knock his ass out on sunday. Crowd will be reved up also. Its a good play in my opinion.
gl all
posted by jtmoney16
Sept. 20 2005 2:51pm -
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"mrlasvegas69":3j5v3psz
...
Vegas..... bud u are da best capper on this planet bud win or lose I'm behind 100% u have da balls to post picks and don't hide behind mamas skirt when u lose I know u feel bad but we have no control over the games bud a crazy weekend it was. The write up is worth Million bucks and your picks too I know I have hit a 8 teamer from u before nice work lets kick some ass this weekend payback time bookies!!!!!!!!!!!!!
posted by takis28
Sept. 20 2005 2:59pm -
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ok time for my play. Houston can go fuck themselves since they fucked me last night. Allthough, they probably spank pitt tonight with a rookie pitching and pettite has pitched well recently
However, i'm going with over 8 runs in marlins/mets game tonight. I have a feeling mets score on burnett and forces marlins to hit against bensen to stay with them. i see a 6-4 marlins win tonight.
gl all
posted by jtmoney16
Sept. 20 2005 3:08pm -
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MRLASVEGAS69
Your cred here is solid no matter what. I remember the Frank Beamer post last year, it saved my ass. Keep postin and stay strong. Thanks for the offshore totals.
posted by goat-
Sept. 20 2005 4:44pm -
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hey fellas...lost on cws..no worries..get em back tonight..
TORONTO BLUE JAYS -145 5*
Heres some reasoning if yall...
for favs above -141:
last year Cuzzi was 11-2 for favs above -141.
year before, 8-4
year before, 11-2
year before, 11-0
great rend..now, reading vegas posts kind of makes me nervous of playing on trends..but this one is a good one..plus, jays lost late last night, and dont thnik they get swept..
posted by jivany
Sept. 20 2005 5:02pm -
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Thank you Redskins for last night....most emotional win I have had in a long time. Tonight I roll with
MLB
Detriot/KC over 8.5 game #2
WORD TO MY MAN...IF YOU WANT TO FIND HELL I CAN SHOW YOU WHAT ITS LIKE
posted by mrwinstrol5
Sept. 20 2005 5:15pm -
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...Got two I'm playing in MLB:
Roll on Minnesota +155 @ Oakland.
Will Oakland's big swingers be able to solve the rook in the first look at him?
Roll On KC/Det UNDER Gm 2 in the doubleheader tonight...
Robertson/Greinke.....
My 3 teamer for a 1/2 unit:
Marlins under 8 +100, Seattle under 9 1/2 -120, Atlanta ML -150
Have a good one whatever your on.
posted by pc7588
Sept. 20 2005 6:44pm -
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GOOD EVENING FELLAS GONNA GET RIGHT TO IT I HAVE A PLAY THAT LOOKS ON PAPER AS A MISMATCH WITH THE PUPLIC ----GP'S AND MY FUCKEN DAWG ON THEM......NOT SO FAST . THIS TEAM HAS LET A HUGE LEAD GO DOWN THE TUBES AND NOW MUST REGROUP TO KEEP THE HEAT OFF THERE ASSES.
I HAVE FEW NUGGETS ON THIS GAME.
MARK BUEHRLE 9-2 @ HOME 2.41 ERA
2-0 VS CLEVLAND THIS YR2.11 ERA
PUPLIC IS ON THIS CLEVLAND 62 % LINE OPENED -113 NOW -129 SOXS GET OFF THE DCK AND GAIN A GAME BACK ON CLEVLAND.
CHIGACO WHITESOXS -116 10 UNIT
BONUS PLAY
BLUE JAYS -136 5 UNITS
$$$$$$ JIMMYZ623 $$$$$$$
posted by jimmyz623
Sept. 20 2005 7:05pm -
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Vegas . .its all good. There are some great guys on here. I know when we all cap games and we come up with a common play its usually $$$$$.
Thanks to all the great cappers on here (except for that Matador bastard. . he's rude in the chat)
Mustand1z
posted by mustand1z
Sept. 20 2005 10:18pm