Wouldn't call anything I post a game to unload on, but didn't know where else to post this and wanted to get it out there in case anyone still had a total of 49.5 in the Iowa/Ball State game. Even up until last night, Pinnacle had it at 49.5. I looked today from work and it was 52 at 11:30, then 54 at 1:30? Not sure if I'll play it now (my book doesn't have Totals yet), but I thought it looked good in case anyone can still get it at 49.5, here are some notes I had already written up on it:
OVER 49.5 Iowa/Ball State (was gonna buy a half point to 49)
* Over the last 5 years, when Iowa -25 or more at home, average score has been 50-7.
* Fewest total points scored in these 5 games was 46, with Iowa themselves scoring 39, 56, 41, 62, 51.
* Iowa is 5-0 ATS in these games, and has also covered its last 4 home openers. So if oddsmakers are right with Iowa (-39), then if Ball State scores one TD, Iowa should have at least 46 (based on the fact Iowa has been covering the larger spreads/home openers). Also, in all games (H/A) over the past 6 seasons, Iowa has only posted one shut-out.
* In home games favored by 2 TDs or more over the last 5 years, Iowa has scored at least 41 points in 7 of the 9 (over 49 in 4 of the games).
* Over the last 3 years (8 games), when Ball State has been a road dog of 20+, the average score has been 45-16 (with one shut-out). Overall, Ball State has been shut-out 3 times over the past 5 seasons.
Offensive skill players are all back for Iowa. I was/am just hoping for 7 points out of the Cardinals.
Good Luck.
