In a better mood and I'm playing golf in the morning so I'm posting two now where I think it benefits to get in early and I'll post again around 5:00CST.
Big XII:
Longhorns vs. Sooners
8:00 CST Opening Line UT-2 1/2
Facts first:
Last meeting in Austin: 66-37 UT.
Last three in the series: UT has won and covered SU and ATS.
UT..4-2-1 ATS in their last 7.
OU..3-6 ATS at home this year.
Number of Seniors on Boomer Sooner: 1
Leading Scorer for the Sooners: Laveandar with a rousing 10.5pts ppg.
(Note two other scorers around 10)
How I think it goes down: Although OU has put up some wins recently, the CBB tip sheet on VI points out a good stat, it's been against the second tier of the Big XII, save T Tech. When you look at the numbers, OU beats who they should, and loses to the upper echelon of the Big XII. In my mind UT is in that upper echelon. Looking at the time of year it is, both teams are playing for big ramifications: OU...to stay on the bubble..UT to make a run for a #2 or #1 (if they can get by the Cowboys in the BigXII tourney).
OU has a problem when they get down by 6 or more. They can't score in bunches and their youth shows with Sampson's conservative Defense first approach. The Red River Shootout always has the threat of a high scoring affair, but these two teams both sport more Under totals than Overs.
UT comes out and plays rattled in the first five minutes, but OU can't put up a big lead. UT takes the half with a single digit lead. Look for UT's leaders to keep the team focused and within striking distance of the Cowboys. I hate taking Road Favorites in the Big XII..but I like The Longhorns a whole bunch at -2 1/2. If your a line watcher.....be weary. I think it will go up, but we'll see since it's a night game.
Big XII Plays for Saturday:
1.)Play on the total, I'll have write up in the late afternoon.
2.)Take the Longhorns to win by about 11.
Mo Valley:
SIU/Hawaii total play..coming later in the afternoon.
WSU/Austin Peay play.
If you have to bet in the morning, here's what I would go with, but I'm waiting on the totals to come out before I post...
Big XII:
1.Longhorns Under
2.UT -2 1/2
3.Okie St. -12 1/2
Mo valley:
1.)SIU under
2.)Wichita State under
3.)Wichita State
6 plays on four games all late. Good luck on everyone's early stuff. I posted here because the PM's were too much work!! Have a great day and I hope all your plays roll. I'll be on the course when you read this. I'll also post more on SIU/WSU/Okie State when I get back. I wanted to post UT because I think the line will go up. HOWEVER...I have been wrong on this so if you study line movement, good luck, it was at -2 1/2 when I went to bed and booked it Friday night.