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Picks for Monday, March 21st

glta

ricky

posted by ricky

March 20 2005 11:11pm

13 replies

  1. 0 likes

    CHARLOTTE +2

    L.A. CLIPPERS -8

    Yesterday: 5-1

    Wins:

    TORONTO (SPECIAL PLAY)

    NEW JERSEY

    PHOENIX

    GOLDEN STATE

    L.A. LAKERS (very, very lucky with a buzzer beating cover; had no business winning this game, but I guess I'll take it)

    Loss:

    SAN ANTONIO

    Sat. 3/19: 0-2

    Losses:

    NEW YORK

    L.A. CLIPPERS

    Post Super Bowl Record: 87-78-1

    20-14 (SPECIAL PLAYS)

    3-2 (GOW)

    0-1 (GOM)

    PC, I hope you decided to grab some of that +2.5 or +3 on the Lakers to go along with your ML play. I hope you did, to offset the straight up loss by the Lakers.

    jdelt88

    posted by jdelt88

    March 21 2005 4:09am
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    Hit with Toronto and lost on Spurs last night... and much like JD I wanted to post a couple more plays but there was something up with the site.

    As regards to record, its 12-9-1

    Spurs was nearly very costly but I backed against them in-running when Spurs were up 6 points in the second quarter, so didnt lose a dime on that.

    Then I backed Spurs/Det Over89.5 for the second half which was going to post but no joy. Also picked Suns/Gstate/Seattle (-2 tho!) Denver & Houston in a long shot parlay, so got sunk by houston.

    JD, we both seem to be rolling in the right direction picking some of the same winners, so keep it going bro!

    tq

    posted by tq

    March 21 2005 7:06am
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    If anybody has video or link of Steve Francis kicking NBA photographer - let him post link and I will upload video on my web page.

    lexoganal

    posted by lexoganal

    March 21 2005 7:20am
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    Kobe was just being a cocksucker...No business throwing that last shot...He must of had LAL +2.5 too...Let's move on.

    NCAAB PLAYS

    W MICH -6

    ST JOE'S -5

    NBA PLAYS

    ORL -1 !!! (Playoff push)

    NO +10

    wolfman

    posted by wolfman

    March 21 2005 8:47am
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    There was nothing on the nba card I really liked til I saw Spurs +1 @ NYK...

    dont care if tim is down n out... spurs still have couple all stars and far better role players... they change the tempo when playing without tim, and I see this being slightly over the total set, but seeing as its a b2b night not going on the over.

    Spurs 9-5 with 0 days rest and are 22-5 against the East... only defeats coming on road to Toronto/Wiz/Miami/Orl & Det - all when those teams were playing dynamite ball.... and we are talking bout knicks here...

    Spurs +1, medium value play 2*.... :wink:

    tq

    posted by tq

    March 21 2005 1:11pm
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    Going to try again at baseball... had the Braves earlier. $$$$ Now im on

    1. Detroit Tigers -120

    ps....i like all the dogs in the NIT!!!

    2. TCU +7 1/2

    3. HOLY CROSS +6 1/2

    4. WICHITA ST. + 7 1/2

    bs390

    posted by bs390

    March 21 2005 3:46pm
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    Nice 5-0 record for the NCAA TOURNEY like one tonight in the NIT ! WICHITA STATE +7.5!

    joeweaver

    posted by joeweaver

    March 21 2005 4:57pm
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    Let's tap that ass.

    BOOTY BANGER PLAY

    NCAAB ST JOE'S OVER 115

    Kobe, you suck man...Fucker.

    wolfman

    posted by wolfman

    March 21 2005 5:12pm
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    hope you guys jumped on the louisville bandwagon as i hammered them yesterday. here's some info i thought i'd pass on concerning trends going into the sweet 16. hopefully this helps you guys.

    Conference Records

    The following are the ATS records of the major conferences in the NCAA tournament since ’98. For the record, the small conferences with the most interesting records to note are the Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference, which is 7-1 ATS, and the Ivy League, which is 0-7 SU & ATS.

    Conference ATS Record

    ACC: 43-47-2 (48%)

    Atlantic 10: 20-20-1 (50%)

    Big 12: 51-40 (56%)

    Big East: 50-40-3 (56%)

    Big Ten: 59-42-2 (58%)

    Conf-USA: 18-28 (39%)

    Pac 10: 34-41-1 (45%)

    SEC: 38-51-2 (43%)

    (This year, the MEAC Champ, Deleware St, lost by 9 to Duke, covering ATS, and Penn got crushed by BC, extending the Ivy League's mark to 0-8 S/U adn ATS)

    Sweet 16 Round

    Over the last five years, the Sweet 16 round might be best described as the round where the underdogs give it the ole’ college try but come up short as there is a 17 game difference between the SU & ATS records of the higher seeds here. Check out these and some other interesting trends from recent Sweet 16 action:

    - Higher seeds own a 39-17 SU record but are just 22-31-3 ATS in the Sweet 16 round.

    - Similarly, favorites are 41-15 SU. The highest SU winning percentage of any round (73%).

    - Overall, totals in this round are 21 OVER, 25 UNDER. However, in games with totals below 140, the results are 12 OVERS-9 UNDERS. In totals above 140, the result: 9 OVERS, 16 UNDERS.

    - Seeds #8- #13 who have reached the Sweet 16 are 8-17 SU but 13-11-1 ATS.

    - Interestingly, the #8 seed has won straight up in all four appearances in the Sweet 16, the latest being when Alabama beat Syracuse a year ago.

    - The #4 seed has done dreadfully in this round, going just 2-10 SU & 4-8 ATS. The only two 4th seeds to advance to the Elite 8 round were Ohio State, who beat Auburn in ’99, 72-64, and Kansas, who defeated #9 seed UAB last year, 100-74.

    Elite 8 Round

    The Elite 8 round has probably produced the biggest percentage of blowout games in the past seven years as an unusually high 43% of the games, 12 of 28, have been decided by double digits. In fact, over the last four years, only three of the 12 games in this round have been decided by less than six points. In addition, the Elite 8 round has also produced some higher scoring games, with 15 of the 24 totaled games going OVER. Here are a few other interesting points regarding the Elite 8 round:

    - 19 of the 28 games in the round have involved #1 seeds. They are just 11-8 SU & 7-10-2 ATS. In fact, over the last two years, #1 seeds have advanced past this round in just two of 6 games.

    - #5 and #8 seeds have combined for a 4-2 SU & 5-1 ATS record in Elite 8 action. The only two teams to not advance to the final four from this group were Rhode Island, a # 5 seed in ’98 who fell 2 points shy of Stanford, and Alabama in ’04, who lost to eventual champion Connecticut by 16.

    - Elite 8 upsets have generally come in games with small spreads, as underdogs of less than seven points have compiled an impressive 10-8 SU & 11-7 ATS mark over the last seven years.

    - The only one of the eight favorites of more than 7 points to lose straight up was Arizona in ’98, who lost to Utah by 25 points. That game marks the second “easiestâ€Â

    jtmoney16

    posted by jtmoney16

    March 21 2005 5:32pm
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    NEW YORK -1

    ATLANTA +9

    jdelt88

    posted by jdelt88

    March 21 2005 6:25pm
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    FELLAS I JUST BET A DIME ON UNC -9 OVER VILLANOVA. LINE OPENED AT 10, DROPPED TO NINE AND IS NOW AT 10 AGAIN WITH MY BOOK.

    CURTIS SUMPTER FOR VILLANOVA IS OUT FOR THE GAME FOR SURE.

    NOVA WON'T KEEP UP. GL IF YOU PLAY IT BUT I BELIEVE THIS LINE WILL GO UP SO IF YOU LIKE UNC JUMP ON IT NOW.

    jtmoney16

    posted by jtmoney16

    March 21 2005 6:25pm
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    3-4-2 yesterday ouch

    CLIPPERS -8.5

    BULLS -9

    CHARL. +1

    DALLAS -105

    ST.JOES -5.5

    W.MICH. -7.5

    cowboysfan

    posted by cowboysfan

    March 21 2005 6:35pm
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    3 units plays.........

    Holy Cross +6

    W. Michigan UNDER 137.5

    St. Joe's OVER 115

    2 units plays.........

    Vandy -7

    W. Michigan -7

    GLTA!!!!!!!!!! :twisted: :twisted: :twisted: :twisted: :twisted:

    phball101

    posted by phball101

    March 21 2005 6:48pm

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